campana, aurélie. rethinking terrorist safe havens
TRANSCRIPT
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Rethinking Terrorist Safe Havens:Beyond a State-Centric ApproachAurélie Campana a & Benjamin Ducol aa Université Laval, QuébecVersion of record first published: 19 Dec 2011.
To cite this article: Aurélie Campana & Benjamin Ducol (2011): Rethinking Terrorist Safe Havens:Beyond a State-Centric Approach, Civil Wars, 13:4, 396-413
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Rethinking Terrorist Safe Havens: Beyond aState-Centric Approach
AURELIE CAMPANA AND BENJAMIN DUCOL
Over the last decade, the term safe haven has stirred controversy both in the
political arena as well as in the academic literature. Several authors have
emphasised the imprecise and commonly ill-conceived use of this terminology.
This article intends to provide a fresh analytical framework to better
understand the notion of terrorist safe haven. Rejecting the orthodox
state-centric approach that envisions terrorist safe havens solely in their static
and territorial dimensions, we focus rather on the social dynamics that
characterise these spaces. We contend that although they might appear
socially fragmented, these geographical areas are ruled by alternative modes
of governance that impose a form of social order regulating interactions
among actors. We use the concept of ‘social space’ to capture the framework
in which social interactions between local actors are taking place. While we
recognise that the social order that governs a given social space imposes
constraints for actors, we contend that it can be subjected to internal
contestation, opening a series of opportunities for transnational terrorist
networks. We then try to highlight how terrorist groups might take advantage
of these internal dynamics and create new ones to ensnare some local actors
into forming alliances with them. This article addresses several case studies to
further illustrate the theoretical discussion. Finally, we conclude with a
discussion of the importance of interpersonal relationships between local and
transnational actors. While this article proposes a preliminary analysis of the
question, it opens up new research avenues in conceptualising why and how
some regions have come to attract transnational terrorist groups.
INTRODUCTION
While the administration of Barack Obama has renounced the use of the highly
contested expression ‘War on Terror’,1 it has retained the Bush-era obsession with
terrorist safe havens. This term continues to prevail in the discourse on Pakistan,
Afghanistan, Yemen, Somalia and the Trans-Sahara region.2 Over the last decade,
the terminology ‘terrorist safe haven’ has been relentlessly used to describe a region,
a geographical area or a state that is, supposedly, either ungoverned or ill-governed.
In this perspective, the weakness of the state apparatus is argued to provide terrorist
groups with opportunities to ‘organise, plan, raise funds, communicate, recruit, train,
transit, and operate’.3
Civil Wars, Vol.13, No.4 (December 2011), pp.396–413ISSN 1369-8249 print/ISSN 1743-968X online
http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/13698249.2011.629868 q 2011 Taylor & Francis
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The use of the term safe haven has stirred controversy in the political arena as
well as in the academic literature. Several authors have emphasised the imprecise
and commonly ill-conceived use of this terminology. In turn, they provide some
alternative explanations that account for potential linkages between terrorist groups
and geographical spaces in which these entities might operate.4 This article extends
this literature by proposing, in an interpretive perspective, a new conceptualisation
of these spaces as ‘alternatively governed’.5 In so doing, it intends to provide a
critical6 examination of the relationships that terrorist entities like Al-Qaeda seek to
establish with the local actors. In the same vein, while our purpose is not to define
the highly contested term ‘terrorism’,7 it certainly needs some clarifications.
Following most of the critical scholars of terrorism, we contend that achieving a
neutral and consensual definition of terrorism is difficult, not to say impossible for its
changing meaning is strongly contingent on the historical, political and cultural
contexts in which it is used.8 Terrorism should therefore be defined as a social
practice embedded in political, social and cultural contexts. More precisely, it may
be considered as an ‘asymmetrical deployment of threats and violence against
enemies using means that fall outside the forms of political struggle routinely
operating within some current regime’.9
This article aims to neither discuss the necessity of such safe havens per se, nor
develop a new grand theory. Rather we propose a preliminary analysis that would
open up new avenues in conceptualizing why and how some regions in the world
have come to attract transnational terrorist groups. We reject the western state-
centric approach that solely accounts for the territorial dimensions of terrorist
sanctuary and concentrate our analysis on the social dynamics that are often left out
from these discussions. Therefore, we argue that there is a crucial need to go beyond
the territorial understandings of safe havens and to develop a new analytical
framework that would account for the penetration of transnational terrorist entities
into local contexts. The notion of ‘social space’ forms the starting point in building
our theoretical framework. It allows us to draw attention to the specificities of these
regions that are said to function as magnets for transnational terrorism. In so doing,
we focus on alternative forms of governance and diversity of the social structures
that compose them. The integration of sociological dimensions into the analysis
allows for a renewed theoretical conceptualisation of safe havens and gives us
insights into complex relational processes that regulate interactions between terrorist
networks and their close environments. In so doing, we intend to provide a
conceptual toolbox that would eventually pave the way for further theory-building.
This article is organised as follows. In the first part, we examine the term
‘terrorist safe haven’ and review the contemporary debates around its use. Then, we
move forward by discussing the notion of ‘social space’ and its conceptual value to
better grasp the micro-social dynamics that organise these spaces. Finally, we look
at the strategies developed by transnational terrorist organisations to compose with
these a priori closed spaces. In order to illustrate our main arguments, we will
address several case studies representing spaces that have been described as terrorist
safe havens in the current and past US official counterterrorism documents.10 In the
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last edition of Country Reports on Terrorism released by the US Department of
State, the list of terrorist safe havens includes: Somalia, the Trans-Sahara territory
(southern Algeria, several regions of Mali, Niger and Mauritania), regions bordering
the Sulu-Sulawesi sea, Malaysia, South-East of the Philippines, Iraq, Lebanon,
Yemen, Afghanistan, Pakistan, Venezuela, and the border between Argentina,
Brazil and Paraguay (Tri-Border area).11 Other regions have also been labelled as
terrorist sanctuaries in the past, including Bosnia, the Caucasus or Sudan. For the
sake of clarity, we will mainly concentrate our discussion on the geographical areas
where ‘radical pan-Islamist’12 groups have been or are currently active. Therefore,
we exclude Venezuela and the Tri-Border area from our analysis. If some of our
theoretical findings could be applied to these case studies, the present article does
not allow us to elaborate a carefully crafted comparison.
A BRIEF ACCOUNT OF POLITICAL AND ACADEMIC DISCOURSES ON SAFE
HAVEN SINCE 2001
Since 2001, the usage of the terminology ‘terrorist safe haven’ has become more
frequent in both the political and academic realms. In the 1970s and 1980s, the term
was mostly used to describe fully functional states that either actively supported
terrorist groups or passively sponsored them. In the new millennium, however, the
weak, failing and failed states are considered as the new providers of terrorist
sanctuaries. Therefore, the dominant academic and political discourses presuppose a
causal link between the weakness of state structures and the opportunities for
terrorist groups to take advantage of these ungoverned or under-governed areas to
push their agenda forward.13 The ‘War on Terror’ discourse that prevailed during the
Bush administration has clearly infused a one-dimensional perception of terrorist
sanctuaries, obsessively limited to a geopolitical perspective. As a result, the notion
of safe havens came to be conceived in a narrowly state-centric perspective14 that
justified political and even military interventions designed to prevent the
implantation of terrorist groups in these areas.15 In its moderate account, this
approach favoured a statebuilding perspective that sought to reconstruct institutional
structures in states in which they were considered to be failed or failing.16
While several academic studies hypothesise a strong causal mechanism between
the withering organisational structures of a state and the constitution of terrorist safe
havens,17 they neither provide a solid formulation of this concept nor contest
un-scrutinised definitions of terrorist safe havens used in both political and academic
fields. Consequently, as Innes contends, ‘there has been little scholarly attention to
defining terrorist sanctuaries’.18 Moreover, many of these studies encounter multiple
methodological weaknesses, such as the heterogeneity of terrorist entities to be
studied, the aggregation and the inconsistence of statistical indicators, and the
uncritical use of secondary sources and existing terrorism data sets.19
Nonetheless, certain authors have attempted to elucidate the key characteristics of
the term safe haven. For instance, Kittner identifies four factors that would contribute
to the emergence of terrorist safe havens. Aside from geographic factors – such as
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porous borders and inaccessibility of the area – low population density, weak
political governance, a history of corruption and violence, and endemic poverty
provide the backdrop for the development of terrorist activities in a given territory.20
Kortweg enlarges the analysis by proposing a comparison between a set of
geographical areas that are described as under-governed or ungoverned. He thus
proposes a descriptive framework that consists of seven elements – the absence of
government control, the presence of ethnic or religious communities, past
experiences, geographic characteristics, economic opportunities, economic under-
development and exterior influences. These components allow for identification of
areas that are particularly favourable for the creation of what the author refers to as
‘terrorist black holes’.21
The above attempts to define the notion of safe haven are all anchored in state-
centric and territorial conceptions of space. Such definitions in no way account for
the changing meaning of traditional state boundaries and the social consequences of
late globalisation. Therefore, they remain firmly Weberian in their definition of
power and sovereignty.22 The academic literature on safe havens, due to its state-
centric bias towards international security issues, has failed to envision this notion
other than in its physical manifestation. In systematically associating the
terminology ‘safe haven’ to a territory free of all forms of control – be it political,
social, economic or cultural – the orthodox perspectives overlook the much more
complex image of local power dynamics.
In the same vein, transnational terrorist networks are often conceived as
atomistic, de-rooted and under-socialised objects, strictly operating in a
geopolitically constrained world. Other factors (social, economic, religious and
cultural) that may influence the interactions between these clandestine entities and
their contiguous environment are too often ignored in the literature. Thus, even
though terrorist organisations are located at the margins of societies, these
movements cannot be analysed outside the social dynamics that contingently shape
their birth, transformation and survival.23 Moreover, the inability of certain groups to
profit from these supposedly chaotic areas – such as the failure of Al-Qaeda to
implant itself in Bosnia and Somalia in the 1990s24 – undermines the uncritical
acceptance of a static theorisation of terrorist safe havens. It also highlights, in the
context of contemporary terrorism studies, the limits of a theoretical conception of
safe havens that does not address the micro-social dynamics of these spaces. The
constant appeal to the state-centred model epitomises the limits of a western
perception of international relations that too frequently fails to remember that the
conception of a modern state is neither universal25 nor detached from its socio-
historical roots.26 Outside the western world, the failure to import the European
state-centric model27 draws attention to the enduring role played by traditional
power structures as well as the importance of horizontal group solidarities. This
logic is manifested in the clan life in Somalia, the tribal governance in Yemen,
Pakistan and Afghanistan, and the horizontal solidarities in Chechnya. In these
instances, the state does not monopolise the power structure, but appears to be a co-
source of the political authority parallel to alternative structures of governance.
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In the following paragraphs, we are proposing to reframe the concept of safe
haven through the notion of ‘social space’ and, hence, to analyse the possible
opportunities that are made available to international terrorist groups searching for a
territorial base for their activities. We seek to formulate a comprehensive alternative
conception of the term, in a socio-political perspective, that would allow us to better
understand the specificities of these under-governed or ungoverned areas as well as
their specific attractiveness for various terrorist groups. We will draw particular
emphasis on the malleability of these fragmented social spaces, rather than simply
their ‘ungoverned’ character.
CONCEPTUALIZING TERRORIST SAFE HAVEN AS A SOCIAL SPACE
Alternative Forms of Governance Beyond the State
We concur with the argument advanced by Cluman and Trinkunas, who attest to the
existence of alternative forms of governance in the territories previously perceived
as ungoverned or under-governed.28 We use the term ‘traditional’ or ‘alternative’ to
designate these forms of authority, which have defied the homogenisation policies of
the central powers. Three evolutions account for the perseverance of these modes of
governance.
First, some states have never established an extensive governmental structure
uniformly capable of imposing political control, moderating grievance through a
bureaucratic institutionalised legal system, and distributing public goods and
services throughout their whole territory. These shortcomings led to the emergence
of the so-called alternative forms of governance that take on the functions that would
traditionally be provided by the state. This is the case of the tribal system in Yemen
that extends over the majority of the country and supplements the absence of a
higher political authority.29 The recourse to this alternative structure of governance
reflects the pragmatism of local populations that are faced with a chronic
institutional deficiency notably in the realm of local conflict resolution.30 Alike, the
Palestinian refugee camps in Lebanon – i.e. Burj al-Barajneh, Nahr al-Barid and
Ain al-Helweh – form, in fact, ‘hyper-localised’ wards over which the Lebanese
state does not exercise a full control. These marginal territories are home to various
armed Palestinian factions that try to run these camps in conformity with their own
style of governance.31
Second, certain primordial structures of governance have survived decades of
colonial rule as well as the attempt to impose a so-called ‘modern organisation of the
state’. This is the case of Somalia, where pre-colonial clan system continued to exist
throughout the period of both British and Italian domination, as well as after the
political unification of the country in the 1960s and the accession of the communist
regime of Said Barre.32 A quite similar dynamic is seen in Chechnya. Although
affiliation to teips33 garnered a symbolic significance in the 1960s, the customary
laws (adats) continued to provide a form of rule for the Chechens while relegating
the Soviet judicial system to a secondary role.34 To that effect, the Sufi congregations
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have played a central role in preserving the traditional social regulations. Before
1991, it was indeed not uncommon to witness Communist Party officials
participating in the illegal Friday prayers.35
Third, some states have introduced ‘mediated state strategies’36 that purposely
delegated political authority to local actors in the region in exchange for the
maintenance of certain stability. These initiatives, however, neither helped to evolve
the traditional structures of governance nor did they help the state to penetrate
substantially those social spaces. The tribal zones in Pakistan are perfect examples
of these areas that are not directly run by the state, but follow local customs of
governance.37 In legitimising these traditional forms of governance, the Pakistani
state sought to reinforce its own legitimacy and to better control the challenge posed
by the Pashtun particularism.38 On the other hand, the patronage strategy used by the
Yemeni government in its attempt to reign in the tribal chiefs similarly developed in
the 1990s following the country’s unification. It was meant essentially to negotiate a
social coexistence between the central and the local modes of governance.39
All these categories should be understood as ideal-types that account for the
different forms of ‘alternative’ governance. It does not mean that we consider these
regions or states to be uniform entities; on the contrary, we acknowledge the strong
contextual differences between all of them. Nevertheless, these different cases
provide relevant illustrations of the different forms of alternative governance.
Introducing Social Dimensions into the Analysis
Local actors, often sidelined in the analysis, play a central role in this variety of
social contexts. These include clans, tribes and all other forms of informal networks
that organise and govern micro-social interactions. In order to best account for this
malleable social reality, we need to expand the theoretical framework commonly
used to examine terrorist safe havens. The latter cannot be conceived in strictly static
territorial terms according to which terrorist organisations would operate outside all
social, political, economic and cultural realms. In fact, the term must be understood
in the context of a relational space with interactions between transnational terrorist
groups and local actors at its heart. In this sociological perspective, the term safe
haven constitutes a constraining universe for terrorist organisations not in terms of a
higher political authority, but by the existence of social regulations that dominate in
the alternatively governed entities.
The notion of social space, initially developed by scholars in the field of social
geography, has progressively been integrated into disciplines, such as history,
sociology and political science. This concept allows us to create a bridge between a
given territorial space and its social dimensions. The definition of social space used
in our analytical framework is similar to the ‘social system’ concept enunciated by
Giddens, who refers to it as ‘reproduced relations between actors or collectivities,
organized as regular social practices’.40 This notion emphasises the relational
strategies of actors, their inter-subjective perceptions of the social reality, and the
social links on both the normative and symbolic levels, which unite as well as divide
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them. Moreover, this conceptualisation focuses on the rules that govern these spaces
throughout the different modes of legitimisation and domination.41 Each type of
alternative governance is therefore a structuring mechanism that contributes to
define the social relations and social practices in a given territory.
We do not consider the social space as an environment constrained by its own
structures. Instead, we perceive it as the product of socio-historical processes rooted
in symbolic power struggles. The social space can thus be defined as the seat of a
constant negotiation between the different actors that compose it and as a ‘zone of
mutual evaluation’42 in which several games intercross. The notion of social space
also highlights the relational character of the resources, either material or symbolic,
mobilised by all the actors. The resources vary depending on the local context, the
internal and external influences, and the social connections maintained by
individuals and groups. Each actor can thus mobilise the resources in the hope of
either perpetuating or transforming the constraining structures that govern any given
social space.
Social space functions as an enabling zone with constraining but yet potentially
transformable frontiers. The borders delineating this space are not physical per se.
They can take on social, cultural and symbolic meanings by perpetuating a certain
number of codes, shared rules and regulations, as well as by the existence of specific
interdependencies between actors.43 If the social space is devoid of all instances of
formal regulation, it is not synonymous with general chaos since it remains governed
by a series of structures that can be attached to a particular social order. Thus, as
Elias argues, ‘even a situation that appears to be height of disorder to the people
involved in it forms part of a social order’.44
Here, social order is conceived as a categorisation of the world, a mechanism that
structures the practices of actors and their social interactions. It reflects the ‘meta-
rules’ that organise the space depending on a dominant system of legitimisation and
defines the nature of resources exchanged between the actors. Social order, as Elster
contends, is the ‘cement of a society’.45 Each space is ruled by its own social order,
which is determined by three main components: the control of the physical force that
guarantees the political authority, the distribution of economic resources, and the
production and preservation of symbolic–cultural patterns that shape behaviour and
provide an identity to a specific group.46 Social systems that administer these
functions favour seniority, experience and cumulative possession of political,
economic and symbolic capitals. They also shape the logics of behaviour and
constrict interactions between actors. The organising characteristic of social order
minimises the weight of incertitude. The order may nonetheless lead to
controversies if the actors adopt contentious strategies or if they indirectly
challenge the institutionalised hierarchy by introducing new social references that
would question the established order over time.
In definitive, we argue that the notion of social space, because it reflects
long-term social trends and accounts for different borders that intersect it, is a much
needed tool to better understand the complexities of the types of regulations and
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kinds of interactions that render alternative spaces of governance presented above
attractive to international terrorist groups.
INTEGRATING AND CHALLENGING THE SOCIAL SPACE: HOW
TRANSNATIONAL TERRORIST GROUPS USE AND CREATE OPPORTUNITIES
We now turn to examine several dynamics of social interactions between terrorist
organisations and local actors existing through a vast range of geographical regions
commonly designated as terrorist safe havens (Yemen, North Caucasus, Somalia,
Afghanistan, Pakistan, Central Asia and Sahel). Terrorist movements can draw on a
vast repertoire of actions dependent on opportunity structures in a given space.
The strategies used by these organisations depend on the opportunity structure that
allows the transnational groups, a priori exogenous actors, to infiltrate the relational
dynamics of a given social space. First, we discuss the permeability of fragmented
social spaces, and then we direct our attention to the issue of strategic inducement
and resource mobilisation.
Structures of Opportunity and the Permeability of Fragmented Social Spaces
All social systems are asymmetric to a certain degree, which makes them potentially
vulnerable to contestation and emergence of small-scale conflicts.47 This is even
more likely since the social spaces of the aforementioned regions are marked by
particularly high degree of fragmentation.48 This social fragmentation is amplified
by the superposition of loyalties (to the family, the clan, the tribe, etc.) and by the
existence of potential zones of conflicts. Even though this organisation is relatively
rigid, it can be partially or totally questioned from inside as well as outside. Social
space and social order are indeed perpetually evolving because of their own internal
dynamics and external shocks. The disequilibria at the heart of any social space may
open up structures of opportunity for both local actors who are looking for external
support in local or regional infightings, and transnational terrorist group that are
looking to expand their networks and activities. While we fully acknowledge that
local actors may intentionally initiate relations with the transnational terrorist groups
and take some examples that illustrate these kinds of relationships, we will mainly
concentrate on the ways in which transnational terrorist groups take advantage of the
emergence of new opportunity structures. This does not mean that we strip agency
away from local groups; on the contrary, we contend that each party has its own
agenda that may converge or diverge at some points.
The structures of opportunity discussed in this paper do not address specific
moments or ruptures.49 However, they reflect the processes that can disturb an
existent social space or redefine its borders. Structures of opportunity expand or
restrict the ability of terrorist movements to penetrate the indigenous social
environments. These arrangements can produce endogenous factors that disrupt the
social cohesion (situational logic, internal conflicts, competition between actors for
the control and the preservation of political, economic, symbolic resources).
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Disturbances can also be caused by exogenous factors and shocks (external
interventions, infiltration strategies defined by transnational terrorist groups,
counterterrorism and counterinsurgency activities). We are particularly interested in
the ‘sensitivity’50 of these structures and the actors, which allows us to identify the
reasons why certain alternatively governed spaces are more sensitive to external
infiltration than others.
Endogenous Factors: Internal Disequilibria and Social Order Transformation
We argue the existence of multilevel disturbances that may have dissimilar
influences on social space and social order. On the one hand, the upheaval of internal
disequilibria of social space (relations between individuals–groups, distribution of
resources, etc.) varies depending on the partial – if not total – revision of the social
order and its structuring capacity. In the former case, the internal equilibrium of the
social space is questioned. The latter scenario, however, signals a progressive – yet
critical – decomposition of the social order and the possibility of a new social space
with its proper mechanisms of regulation to emerge. Innumerable possibilities of
transformation exist that depend on both the context and strategies of local and
foreign actors. We will focus on several cases that highlight the internal evolutions
of social space and/or the influence of external factors. Our aim is to illustrate our
argument with the examples of transformations mentioned above and not to present
an exhaustive typology of possible configurations.
Yemen provides a good example of long-term evolutions of the social order,
which ultimately introduced tensions in the social space creating a structure of
opportunity taken advantage of by Al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP).
Since the 1990s, the modes of tribal governance in Yemen have been deeply
reconfigured. The evolution of relations between the tribes and the central state was
among the major changes that took place during the three-decade-long Saleh
presidency. President Ali Abdullah Saleh, in a quest for political survival, sought to
neutralise the threatening influence of tribal chefs through a whole range of co-
opting strategies.51 As the majority of tribal chiefs no longer resided in their native
territories but in the capital Sana’a, they became detached from local realities and
more involved in national politics.52 The ‘neo-patronism’53 established by the Saleh
regime has led to the re-tribalisation of the political space in the country and the in-
egalitarian distribution of economic and political resources among the sheiks.54
Tribes’ anger towards their chiefs as well as the latter’s contempt for central
authority greatly contributed to the destabilisation of tribal governance that had
historically mitigated relations between the tribes and the central authority. This
restructuring created multiple internal tensions within the Yemeni social space,
manifested by a conflict-prone atmosphere.55 This trend was exacerbated when each
tribe attempted to put pressure on the central government56 leading to an array of
incidental alliances.57 As a matter of fact, the reappearance of AQAP in Yemen in
2006 was one of the consequences of the transformation process of the Yemeni
social space.58
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The case of Yemen illustrates one of the possible dynamics that alter social space
without challenging its frontiers. Other transformations, like the exacerbation of
generational cleavages, can produce even greater destabilising effects as the claims
of the younger generations can sow the seeds of contestation of the entire social
order. The degree of contestation as well as the types of mobilisation and resources
vary and this question merits an in-depth study that this article is unable to provide.
However, we do witness in most of the above-mentioned regions a deepening gap
between old and the new generations. The latter takes on new discourses and
practices and proves to be more open to external influences. We will use three
different contextual examples to better illustrate the attractiveness of new discourses
to young generations and, in turn, how this variable may account for the
transformation of social order.
In Tajikistan, several reports have demonstrated that younger generations have
taken more quickly to religion than members of the older one after the breakup of the
Soviet Union. In the absence of other social markers, the young used Islam, which
witnessed a revival in the public sphere at the end of the 1980s, as an instrument of
social distinction.59 Some openly expressed their rejection of traditional Islam and
its dictates.60 This challenged the traditional authority of customary laws. This
generational gap was highlighted by a conflict over the dress code. Saudi inspired
dress (niqab among others), which was prohibited by the government that perceived
it as a direct reflection of the rise of radical Islam, generated a symbolic conflict
regarding the role of religion in society. This weakened the traditional social order
that was accused of being corrupted by the Soviet experience.61 Today, several
illegal Islamist organisations, like Hizb ut-Tahrir62 and the Islamic Movement of
Uzbekistan, draw on this young generation.
Similarly, the infiltration of jihadist groups into the Palestinian refugee camps in
Lebanon is best explained by looking at the decomposition of traditional
mechanisms of political socialisation. As Rougier argues, ‘They [jihadist
movements] were able to do so because the usual means of socialization were no
longer working, whether in the framework of the family, or in the political and
strategic framework of the Palestinian Liberation Organisation (PLO)’.63
The inability of the PLO to provide channels for mobilisation in turn led to the
re-politicisation of the younger Palestinian generation and their integration to
informal transnational jihadist networks.
The generational variable is also influential in Niger where Al-Qaeda in the
Islamic Maghreb (AQIM) has been taking advantages of the transformation of tribal
systems and the persistence of the Tuareg ‘problem’64 to attract socially
disadvantaged youth to its cause. In the last decades, the Tuareg social system
and consequently its traditional social order, at the family and the clan level, have
been profoundly transformed. The failed disarmament process and the absence of
economic integration led to the Tuareg rebellion of 2007, which subsequently
opened up opportunities for AQIM to present itself as a social alternative to former
rebels. The attractiveness of the AQIM discourse and its resources has encouraged
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some young Tuareg to take up ambush activity and kidnappings in the name of the
jihadist organisation.65
Exogenous Factors and Shocks
Internal tensions of a given social space can also be indirect consequences of
external shocks. The latter is a large category that includes both events located
outside the established social space and the disruptive intervention of external
actors. Two examples might help us to further illustrate the significance of these
external-threatening influences on the social order and on the social space as a
whole. The first one focuses on the detrimental effects of the decade-long war in
Afghanistan on the Pakistani tribal zones. These regions, mostly populated by
Pashtun people and benefiting from a great degree of autonomy, have been gradually
transformed into military strongholds for the Afghan Taliban fleeing the deployment
of international troops. The successive offensives of the Pakistani army and the
activity of what has become known as the ‘Pakistani Taliban’ have profoundly
altered the social organisation of these areas. Hence, these groups mostly made up of
youth that do not possess an elevated status among the traditional tribal hierarchy
have aligned themselves with the Afghan Taliban and have become more and more
active in the Federally Administered Tribal Areas (FATA). These fighters have
brought with them a whole new set of resources and social references, which have
challenged the dominant social order and thus revamped the power relations in the
social space.66 This process has led to integration of new norms and marginalisation
of traditional institutions.
External interventions – and even more counterterrorism and counterinsurgency
activities – can also be a strong determinant of social order disequilibria. Indeed,
they often bring a completely new set of moral and material resources that directly
affect the social equilibrium that had been prevailing until then. The Somalian
example highlights the detrimental impact that external military interventions
can have on local insurgencies and the ‘parasite opportunities’ that arise for
transnational terrorist groups. As a matter of fact, the 2006 Ethiopian military
intervention paradoxically led to the consolidation of a new Jihadi agenda in the
country. Following the collapse of the Islamic Courts Union, the Somalian uprising
formed around the growing influence of the jihadist agenda, which was marginal up
to this point.67 This re-composition was coupled with the arrival of dozens of foreign
combatants68 leading to the radicalisation of the al-Shabaab movement. This trend
has been visible in both the movement’s discourse and practice, particularly with the
introduction of the suicide-bombing strategy. Internally, the moderate figures of the
movement have been marginalised by the radical elements thereby confirming the
ascendancy of the ideologically exogenous Al-Qaeda thinking over the al-Shabaab
movement.69
Strategies of Inducement and Resource Mobilisation
Internal disequilibria and external shocks cannot solely account for the above-
mentioned infiltrations. In fact, terrorist groups not only benefit from tensions
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produced by endogenous and exogenous factors, but they also follow their own
agenda and can adopt proactive strategies to create an opportunity where the
structure of opportunity does not exist. Gamson and Meyer remind us that for social
movements, ‘opportunities may shape or constrain movements but movements can
create their own opportunities’.70 These strategies necessitate the mobilisation of
various resources. This prompts an argument that the pragmatism of terrorist
movements allows them to create or expand the already existent structures of
opportunity. Once again, this article does not allow us to exhaustively examine the
multiplicity of strategies of inducement and resource mobilisation. Nonetheless, we
would like to draw attention to the convergence of various configurations on two
factors that influence the inducement game, namely the intertwined contests of
legitimisation and reciprocal instrumentalisation.
The use of symbolic references fosters an illusion of community belonging that
transcends the frontiers of social space. The jihadist discourse of Al-Qaeda has
become the ideological link between groups with diverging objectives. The jihadist
promise, circulated by professional preachers of jihad, former combatants71 or even
the Internet, can be easily absorbed by local actors who may be attracted by this type
of discourse. Several transnational terrorist groups do not hesitate to manipulate
local reference points. The rhetoric of the AQPA perfectly illustrates the use of
symbolic discourses to facilitate integration into the tribal dynamics.72 In the
Yemeni context, hospitality, more than a stereotype, incorporate a sense of strong
moral obligations. Consequently, the multiplication of the AQPA references to
‘honour’ (sharaf) and to tribal ‘hospitality’ (diyafa) is part of an intentional
symbolic message crafted for local audiences.73
Such symbolic types of resources remain extremely dependant on the local
context and the receptivity of local actors.74 Several examples have demonstrated the
hesitancy and resistance of local population that external actors sometimes face.
Following the outbreak of the Bosnian war, a contingent of about 4,000 Afghan
jihadist veterans attempted to infiltrate the conflict zone in hopes of extending
‘global jihad’. While providing logistical and financial support to the Bosnian
fighters, these volunteer combatants were not operating under the authority of the
7th brigade of Bosnian army to which they belonged.75 The failure of the fighters to
integrate themselves into the conflict led to Bosnia’s rejection of jihad,76 a direct
consequence of a symbolic divergence between resources mobilised by Bosnian
Islam and the jihad fantasy of Afghan volunteers.
Although symbolic resources are influential in the creation of imagined shared
references, they cannot override the lure of offers of financial and logistical support.
In Lebanon, Salafist groups managed to establish themselves in the Palestinian
refugee camps, thanks to their capacity to provide material resources (money, goods,
etc.) as well as immaterial resources (education, security, etc.) to local populations.77
In Chechnya, the alliance between the military leader Shamil Basayev and al-
Khattab, the jihadist of Saudi origin, was a result of a convergence of interests. Al-
Khattab was well connected in the jihadist universe; he also possessed
organisational experience and fund-raising ability, all of which made him a central
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figure in the Russo–Chechen conflicts.78 As noted by Johnston: ‘For militia leaders,
a key motivation behind the adoption of radical Islam and alliances with foreign
Islamists was that they provided significant resources to wage battle against the
Russians’.79
The mobilisation of logistical and financial resources was coupled with a
reciprocal legitimisation strategy. Al-Kattab’s marriage to a young Dagestani
woman allowed him to reinforce his connection to the region and the locals.80
The union signalled the arrival of this foreigner in the group and opened a cycle of
reciprocity involving different protagonists. The Chechen case illustrates the weight
of interpersonal relations and the manipulation of symbols in the long-term
anchoring of initially exogenous actors to the conflict. This example also highlights
the indirect influence that the foreign actors can have on internal power struggles in a
given social space and the re-composition of social order in the context of persistent
social instability. The logistical and financial aid provided by exogenous terrorist
groups often results in an aggravation of the power in-equilibrium that prevails in
any social space.
Similarly, the use of more radical strategies may seek to disrupt power
in-equilibrium and impose a form of social control over a large territory. Violence
per se is not always the strategy used by transnational terrorist groups to create a safe
haven. Negotiation and inducement are often preferred to achieve a specific
objective. Nonetheless, exogenous terrorist elements can support the recourse to
violence by local actors when they are seeking to transform the existing social order.
Violence consequently sustains two converging strategies: one of a transnational
terrorist group seeking to cement an alliance and its implantation; and one of local
actors attempting to impose new outlooks and new types of transactions in a social
space. Violence becomes an instrument of contestation of an established social order
and a tool for its restructuring.81 In Somalia, the use of violence was exploited by
elements of the al-Shabaab movement to reconfigure the social space to its liking.
By imposing a series of religious decrees (prohibition of qat, local religious
practices, sporting events, etc.)82 and multiplying the use of public corporal
punishments (amputations and flogging),83 al-Shabaab secured its social control
over local populations who could have questioned the legitimacy of the movement’s
use of violence in the long term.
CONCLUSION
This article, while constituting a preliminary reflection, suggests that a rethinking of
the safe haven concept around dimensions of social spaces governed in alternative
ways is necessary. In rejecting the state-centric interpretation of the concept as well
as the idea that certain territories can escape all sorts of social control, we formulate
a conceptual proposition that integrates into the analysis, complexity, diversity and
fluidity of interactions. The development of a socio-political approach allows us to
develop not only a better understanding of micro-dynamics of these spaces, but also
of the strategies used by transnational terrorist organisations.
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The notion of social space constitutes a gateway for comprehending the
framework in which interactions between local and external actors take place and
the constraints that these outside forces face. The weight of social hierarchies, the
types of domination that constitute social order in each of the spaces provide as
many obstacles as opportunities for terrorist organisations. In fact, the high degree of
fragmentation that characterises these hierarchies multiplies the possible areas of
contestation in a social space from within as well as the possibilities of infiltration
for the groups. Mobilisation of inducement strategies based on common reference
points and the provision of symbolic and material resources possess an undoubtedly
significant power of attraction for local actors seeking to expand their struggle.
However, these strategies gain utility only if the external actors have access to an
intermediary or an audience among the tribal chiefs, the military chiefs or any other
authority figure. These exogenous forces have also demonstrated their ability to
infiltrate local dynamics. The interpersonal dimension is a central figure of this
process, which explains its surrounding incertitude. The relations between different
actors remain defined by the internal power relations governing social space.
These initial reflections on the subject discussed in this article need to be
empirically tested in a more systematic manner. Moreover this study left several
questions unexplored: the translation at the local levels of this articulation of ideas,
interests and roles; and the influence of resource redistribution in the evolution of
power relations, etc. They also open up other avenues for research: that of possible
re-compositions of social spaces (resistance vs. transformation), of conflicting
strategies within the social space and the hybridisation of terrorist groups torn
between their global frames of reference and the local realities.84 This first step,
nonetheless, allows us to draw several preliminary observations. In particular, it
attracts attention to the vague conception of regions labelled as safe havens and
frequently presented as ungoverned or under-governed. Even though the types of
social control vary from those in western societies, they are no less structuring. This
social component frequently ignored up to now in the formulation of
counterterrorism strategies deserves particular attention since it is one of the most
significant interconnected tactics used by transnational groups like Al-Qaeda. By
ignoring the constraining micro-dynamics that exogenous actors must face, today’s
practices envision terrorist tactics as an utter caricature of their modern fluid state.
This social component also accounts for the resilience of terrorist movements and
their adaptation capabilities to unexplored social realities.
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
We are tremendously grateful to Elena Mizrokhi who did a wonderful job of translating this paper fromFrench to English.
NOTES
1. ‘Obama Declared End to War on Terror’, AFP 23 Jan. 2009.
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2. See, for example, Office of the Press Secretary, ‘Remarks by the President in Address to the Nation onthe Way Forward in Afghanistan and Pakistan’, The White House, 1 Dec. 2009; Office of the Press
Secretary, ‘Remarks of John O. Brennan, Assistant to the President for Homeland Security and
Counterterrorism, on Ensuring al-Qa’ida’s Demise’, The White House, 29 Jun. 2010.3. Office of the Coordinator for Counterterrorism, ‘Terrorist Safe Havens’, Country Reports on
Terrorism 2010 (Washington: US Department of State 2010), online at ,www.state.gov/s/ct/rls/crt/
2010/170262.htm., accessed 13 Sep. 2011.4. Michael A. Innes, ‘Terrorist Sanctuaries and Bosnia-Herzegovina: Challenging Conventional
Assumptions’, Studies in Conflict & Terrorism 28/4 (2005) pp.295–305; Richard Jackson,
‘Critical Reflections on Counter-Sanctuary Discourse’ in Michael A. Innes (ed.) Denial of Sanctuary:
Understanding Terrorist Safe Havens (Westport, CT: Praeger 2007) pp.21–33; Michael A. Innes,‘Deconstructing Political Orthodoxies on Insurgent and Terrorist Sanctuaries’, Studies in Conflict &
Terrorism 31/3 (2008) pp.251–67.5. Our argument draws on work by Clunan and Trinkunas. Anne L. Clunan and Harold A. Trinkunas,
‘Conceptualizing Ungoverned Spaces’ in Anne L. Clunan and Harold A. Trinkunas (eds) Ungoverned
Spaces: Alternatives to State Authority in an Era of Softened Sovereignty (Stanford: Stanford UP2010) pp.17–33.
6. In the sense of Robert Cox for who the term ‘critical’ means ‘not tak(ing) institutions and socialpower relations for granted but call(ing) them into question. [. . .] Critical theory is directed to the
social and the political complex as a whole rather than to the separate parts’ – Robert W. Cox, ‘SocialForces, States and World Orders: Beyond International Relations Theory’, Millennium: Journal of
International Studies 10/2 (1981) p.129.7. On these debates and on the multiple definitions on the term ‘terrorism’, see Alex Schmid (ed.),
The Routledge Handbook of Terrorism Research (London: Routledge 2011) pp.39–157.8. Richard Jackson, Lee Jarvis, Jeroen Gunning, and Marie Breen Smyth, Terrorism: A Critical
Introduction (New York: Palgrave Macmillan 2011) p.113.9. Charles Tilly, ‘Terror, Terrorism, Terrorists’, Sociological Theory 22/1 (2004) pp.5–13.
10. Francis T. Miko, Removing Terrorist Sanctuaries: The 9/11 Commission Recommendations and U.S.
Policy (Washington DC: Congressional Research Service Report for Congress 2004); see alsoCountry Reports on Terrorism released every year by the US Department of State, online at ,www.
state.gov/s/ct/rls/crt/index.htm., accessed 13 Sep. 2011.11. Office of the Coordinator for Counterterrorism (note 3).12. The term ‘radical pan-Islamism’ designates an ideological framework which makes the defence of the
Muslim ummah the main drivers of the armed struggle (jihad), be it local or global. See ThomasHegghammer, Jihad in Saudi Arabia Violence and Pan-Islamism Since 1979 (Cambridge: CUP 2010)
p.6.13. Chuck Hagel, ‘A Republican Foreign Policy’, Foreign Affairs 83/4 (2004) pp.64–76.14. Michael A. Innes, ‘Cracks in the System: Sanctuary and Terrorism after 9/11’ in Michael A. Innes
(ed.) Denial of Sanctuary: Understanding Terrorist Safe Havens (Westport, CT: Praeger 2007)pp.8–10.
15. National Security Council, National Security Strategy of the United States of America (Washington
DC: The White House 2002), online at ,http://georgewbush-whitehouse.archives.gov/nsc/nss/2002/
index.html., accessed 13 Sep. 2011; Francis T. Miko (note 10) pp.19–20.16. Stuart Eizenstat, John E. Porter, and Jeremy Weinstein, ‘Rebuilding Weak States’, Foreign Affairs
84/1 (2005) pp.134–46; Condoleezza Rice, ‘The Promise of Democratic Peace: Why Promoting
Freedom is the Only Realistic Path to Security’, Washington Post 11 Dec. 2005; Condoleezza Rice,‘Transformational Diplomacy’, Speech to Georgetown University, 18 Jan. 2006.
17. James A. Piazza, ‘Incubators of Terror: Do Failed and Failing States Promote TransnationalTerrorism?’ International Studies Quarterly 52/3 (2008) pp.469–88; Peter Tikuisis, ‘On the
Relationship Between Weak States and Terrorism’, Behavioral Sciences of Terrorism and PoliticalAggression 1/1 (2009) pp.66–79; Dipak K. Gupta, Understanding Terrorism and Political Violence
(London: Routledge 2008) pp.70–1.18. Michael A. Innes, ‘Terrorist Sanctuaries and Bosnia-Herzegovina: Challenging Conventional
Assumptions’, Studies in Conflict and Terrorism 28/4 (2005) pp.295–305.19. Edward Newman, ‘Weak States, State Failure, and Terrorism’, Terrorism and Political Violence 19/4
(2007) pp.463–88; Aidan Hehir, ‘The Myth of the Failed State and the War on Terror: A Challenge to
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20. Cristiana C. Brafman Kittner, ‘The Role of Safe Havens in Islamist Terrorism’, Terrorism and
Political Violence 19/3 (2007) pp.307–29.21. Rem Korteweg, ‘Black Holes: On Terrorist Sanctuaries and Governmental Weakness’, Civil Wars
10/1 (2008) pp.60–71.22. Innes, ‘Deconstructing Political Orthodoxies’ (note 4).23. Jeroen Gunning, ‘Social Movement Theory and the Study of Terrorism’ in Richard Jackson, Marie
Breen Smyth, and Jeroen Gunning (eds) Critical Terrorism Studies: A New Research Agenda
(London: Routledge 2009) pp.156–77.24. Ken Menkhaus and Jacob N. Shapiro, ‘Non-State Actors and Failed States: Lessons From the
Al-Qaeda’s Experiences in the Horn of Africa’ in Cluman and Trinkunas (note 5) pp.77–94; Ken
Menkhaus, ‘Quasi-States, Nation-Building, and Terrorist Safe Havens’, Journal of Conflicts Studies
22/2 (2003) pp.3–21; Brian Glynn Williams, ‘The Failure of al Qaeda Basing Projects from
Afghanistan to Iraq’ in Michael A. Innes (ed.) Denial of Sanctuary: Understanding Terrorist Safe
Havens (Westport, CT: Praeger 2007) pp.49–67; Gilles Kepel, Jihad: The Trail of Political Islam
(London: I.B. Tauris & Co. Ltd. 2006) pp.237–53.25. Pierre Clastes, Society Against the State: Essays in Political Anthropology (New York: Zone Books
1989); James C. Scott, The Art of Not Being Governed: An Anarchist History of Upland Southeast
Asia (Yale: Yale UP 2009).26. Charles Tilly, The Formation of National States in Western Europe (Princeton, NJ: Princeton UP
1975).27. Bertrand Badie, The Imported State: The Westernization of the Political Order (Stanford, CA:
Stanford UP 2000).28. Cluman and Trinkunas (note 5) p.23.29. Elham M. Manea, ‘La tribu et l’Etat au Yemen’ (‘The Tribe and the State in Yemen’) in Mondher
Kilani (ed.) Islam et Changement Social (Islam and Social Change) (Lausanne: Editions Payot 1998)
pp.205–18, available in English online at ,www.al-bab.com/yemen/soc/manea1.htm., accessed
13 Sept. 2011.30. Daniel Corstange, Tribes and the Rule of Law in Yemen, Paper presented at the Annual Conference of
the Middle East Studies Association, Washington, 22–25 Nov. 2008; For more details on customary
or tribal law (‘urf) in Yemen see Rashad al-‘Alımı and Baudoin Dupret ‘Le droit coutumier dans la
societe yemenite: nature et developpement’ (Customary Law in Yemen: Nature and Development)
Chroniques Yemenites, vol. 9 (2001).31. Simon Haddad, ‘Fatah al-Islam in Lebanon: Anatomy of a Terrorist Organization’, Studies in Conflict
& Terrorism 33/6 (2010) p.551.32. Jutta Bakonyi and Kirsti Stuvøy, ‘Violence and Social Order Beyond the State: Somalia and Angola’,
Review of African Political Economy 32/104 (2005) p.364.33. The teip is a basic tribal organisation in Chechnya.34. K. H. Ibragimov, Sedoj Kavkaz, vol. I (Moscow: GPU 2001) p.84.35. Yaacov Ro’i, Islam in the Soviet Union from the Second World War to Gorbachev (New York:
Columbia UP 2000) p.663; S. Umarov, ‘Muridism at Home’, Nauki i religii 10 Oct. 1979, pp.30–2 in
The Current Digest of the Soviet Press XXXII/1, 6 Feb. 1980, p.9.36. On the concept of mediated state strategy see Ken Menkhaus, ‘Governance without Government in
Somalia: Spoilers, State Building, and the Politics of Coping’, International Security 31/3 (2006/07)
pp.74–106.37. Ty L. Groth, ‘A Fortress Without Walls: Alternative Governance Structures on the Afghan-Pakistan
Frontier’ in Cluman and Trinkunas (eds) (note 5) pp.95–112.38. Julian Schofield, ‘Diversionary Wars: Pashtun Unrest and the Sources of the Pakistan-Afghan
Confrontation’, Canadian Foreign Policy Journal 17/1 (2011) pp.6–8.39. Sarah Phillips, Yemen’s Democracy Experiment in Regional Perspective. Patronage and Pluralized
Authoritarianism (New York: Palgrave MacMillan 2008) p.4.40. Anthony Giddens, The Constitution of Society: Outline of the Theory of Structuration (Berkeley:
University Press of California 1986) p.25.41. Our conceptualisation of social space differs from that of Bourdieusian field for it neither possesses a
sufficient degree of objectification, nor an adequate degree of structuring. See, for instance, Pierre
Bourdieu and Loic Wacquant, An Invitation to Reflexive Sociology (Chicago: University of Chicago
Press 1992) p.101. Our conceptualisation also differs from the sociological notion of networks, such
as defined by Manuel Castells, because of their logics of inclusion or exclusion that acknowledge only
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for social cleavages. See Manuel Castells, The Rise of Networked Society (Oxford: Wiley-Blackwell2000).
42. Lilian Mathieu, ‘L’espace des mouvements sociaux’ (‘The space of social movements’), Politix 20/77(2007) pp.131–51.
43. Anthony Giddens, ‘Agency, Institution, and Time-Space Analysis’ in Karin Knorr-Cetina and AaronV. Cicourel (eds) Advances in Social Theory and Methodology: Towards Integration of Micro andMacro Sociologies (Boston and London: Routledge 1981) p.169.
44. Norbert Elias, What is Sociology? (New York: Columbia University Press 1978) p.75.45. Jon Elster, The Cement of Society: The Study of Social Order (Cambridge: CUP 1989).46. Norbert Elias, ‘The Retreat of Sociologists into the Present’, Theory, Culture & Society 4/2–3 (1987)
pp.223–47.47. Charles Tilly, Identities, Boundaries & Social Ties (London: Paradigm Publishers 2005) p.17.48. Dustin Dehez and Gebrewold Belachew, ‘When Things Fall Apart: Conflict Dynamics and an Order
Beside the State in Postcollapse Somalia’, African Security 3/1 (2010) p.2.49. We here consider the structures of opportunities as a form of social temporalities. As such, we diverge
from its more traditional conceptualisation presented in the literature on social movements. See DougMcAdam, John D. McCarthy, and Mayer N. Zald, Comparative Perspectives on Social Movements:Political Opportunities, Mobilizing Structures, and Cultural Framings (Cambridge: CUP 1996).
50. The notion of ‘sensitivity’ is introduced by Dobry. Michel Dobry, Sociologie des crises politiques(Sociology of Political Crises) (Paris: Les Presses de Sciences Po 2009) p.35.
51. April Longley Alley, ‘The Rules of the Game: Unpacking Patronage Politics in Yemen’, The MiddleEast Journal 64/3 (2010) pp.385–409.
52. Paul Dresch, ‘The Tribal Factor in the Yemeni Crisis’ in Jamal S. al-Suwaidi (ed.) The Yemen War Ofthe 1994: Causes and Consequences (Abu Dhabi: The Emirates Center for Strategic Studies andResearch 1995).
53. Phillips (note 39) p.91.54. Alley (note 51) p.396.55. The number of tribal conflicts dramatically increased between 2001 and 2005 (35 tribal conflicts),
compared with last periods: 1996–2000 (22 tribal conflicts) and 1991–1995 (14 tribal conflicts). See‘Yemen: Tribal Conflict Management Program Research Report’, National Democratic Institute forInternational Affairs (Mar. 2007); Nadwa al-Dawsari, Nabeel Khoury, and Cristopher Boucek,‘Tribal Conflict and Resolution in Yemen’, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace(March 2010), online at ,www.carnegieendowment.org/events/?fa¼eventDetail&id¼2832.,accessed 13 Sep. 2011.
56. Yemeni tribes usually use two strategies of pressure to force the central authorities to political,cultural or financial concessions: the kidnapping of foreigners and the attacks of governmental and oilinfrastructures. Moneer Al-Omari, ‘History of Foreigners’ Kidnapping in Yemen’, Yemen Post 10Apr. 2010.
57. Well before the birth of Al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula, some Yemeni tribes concluded temporaryalliances with terrorist groups. In December 1998, a tribe originated from the Bani Dabyan districtparticipated in the kidnapping of 16 tourists by the Aden-Abyan Islamic Army.
58. Allistair Harris, ‘Exploiting Grievances Al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula’, Yemen: On the Brink,Carnegie Paper Series, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, Middle East Program 111(2010).
59. We use here the term ‘social distinction’ in a Bourdieusian perspective; see Pierre Bourdieu,Distinction: A Social Critique of the Judgement of Taste (London: Routledge 1984).
60. Saodat Olimova, ‘La jeunesse du Tadjikistan face a l’islam et a l’islamisme’ (The Tajik Youth, theIslam and the Islamism), Translated from Russian by Habiba Fathi, Cahiers d’Asie Centrale 15/16(2007) pp.196–222.
61. For more detail on Islam and traditional social orders in Tajikistan during the post-soviet period seeA. Niiazi and S. Lang, ‘Islam in Tajikistan’, Anthropology and Archaeology of Eurasia 36/2 (1997)pp.39–44.
62. Emmanuel Karagiannis, ‘The Challenge of Radical Islam in Tajikistan: Hizb ut-Tahrir al-Islami’,Nationalities Papers 34/1 (2006) pp.1–20.
63. Bernard Rougier, Everyday Jihad: The Rise of Militant Islam Among Palestinians in Lebanon(Cambridge: Harvard University Press 2007) p.276.
64. Gregoire Emmanuel, Touaregs du Niger, le destin d’un mythe (Touaregs in Niger: The Destiny of aMyth), 2nd edition (Paris: Editions Karthala 2010) pp.324–31.
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65. Interview with Maurice Feund, ‘Niger: C’est une entree en guerre qui se dessine’ (Niger: TheBeginning of a War is Looming), Rue 89, 22 Sep. 2010; Interview with Idebir Ahmed, ‘Le Saharaalgerien est tres convoite. . .’ (The Algerian Sahara is Coveted), El Watan 11 Oct. 2010.
66. Mariam Abou Zahab, ‘Frontieres dans la tourmente: une Talibanisation des Zones Tribales’(Borders in Turmoil: The Talibanisation of the Tribal Areas), Outre-Terre 1/24 (2010) pp.337–57.
67. Markus Virgil Hoehne, ‘Counter-Terrorism in Somalia: How External Interference Helped toProduce Militant Islamism’, Crisis in the Horn of Africa, SSRC (17 Dec. 2009).
68. Report of the Monitoring Group on Somalia Pursuant to Security Council Resolution 1853,United Nations Security Council, S/2010/91 (March 2010) p.14.
69. International Crisis Group, ‘Somalia’s Divided Islamists’, Africa Briefing, issue no. 74 (18 May2010).
70. William A. Gamson and David S. Meyer, ‘Framing Political Opportunity’ in McAdam et al. (note 49)p.277.
71. Clinton Watts, ‘Beyond Iraq and Afghanistan: What Foreign Fighter Data Reveals About the Futureof Terrorism’, Small Wars Journal 17 Apr. 2008.
72. Sarah Phillips, ‘What Comes Next in Yemen? Al-Qaeda, the Tribes, and State-Building’, CarnegiePaper Series, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, Middle East Program, issue no. 107(March 2010).
73. ‘Al Qaeda Leader Urge Tribes to Fight Government’, Biyokulule Online 20 Feb. 2009, online at,www.biyokulule.com/view_content.php?articleid¼1755., accessed 13 Sep. 2011.
74. See the seminal article by Mark Granovetter, ‘Economic Action and Social Structure: The Problem ofEmbeddedness’, American Journal of Sociology 91/3 (1985) pp.481–510.
75. Kepel (note 24) p.250.76. Ibid. pp.237–53.77. Tine Gade, Fatah al-Islam in Lebanon: Between Global and Local Jihad (Kjeller: Norwegian
Defence Research Establishment [FFI] 2007) p.44.78. Cerwyn Moore and Paul Tumelty, ‘Foreign Fighters and the Case of Chechnya: A Critical
Assessment’, Studies in Conflict & Terrorism 31/5 (2008) p.417.79. Hank Johnston, ‘Ritual, Strategy, and Deep Culture in the Chechen National Movement’,
Critical Studies on Terrorism 1/3 (2008) p.335.80. Tom de Waal, ‘Khatab: Islamic Revolutionary’, BBC News 30 Sept. 1999.81. William Reno, ‘Patronage Politics and the Behavior of Armed Groups’, Civil Wars 9/4 (2007) p.325.82. Roland Marchal, ‘A Tentative Assessment of the Somali Harakat Al-Shabaab’, Journal of Eastern
African Studies 3/3 (2009) p.389.83. Report ‘Harsh War, Harsh Peace: Abuses by al-Shabaab, the Transitional Federal Government and
AMISOM in Somalia’, Human Rights Watch (Apr. 2010).84. Thomas Hegghammer published one of the first reflections of the hybridisation of jihadist groups.
See, Thomas Hegghammer, ‘The Ideological Hybridization of Jihadi Groups’, Current Trends inIslamist Ideology: Volume 9 (New York: Hudson Institute 2009).
RETHINKING TERRO RIST SAFE HAVENS 413
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