camerer/ss280/jovanonicjpe79.pdf · there is spurious correlation between job tenure (length) and...

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Page 1: camerer/SS280/JovanonicJPE79.pdf · There is spurious correlation between job tenure (length) and separati on probabilities - he corrects for that! Two sided: mp differs for employer
Page 2: camerer/SS280/JovanonicJPE79.pdf · There is spurious correlation between job tenure (length) and separati on probabilities - he corrects for that! Two sided: mp differs for employer
Page 3: camerer/SS280/JovanonicJPE79.pdf · There is spurious correlation between job tenure (length) and separati on probabilities - he corrects for that! Two sided: mp differs for employer
Page 4: camerer/SS280/JovanonicJPE79.pdf · There is spurious correlation between job tenure (length) and separati on probabilities - he corrects for that! Two sided: mp differs for employer
Peter Bossaerts
There is spurious correlation between job tenure (length) and separation probabilities - he corrects for that!
Peter Bossaerts
Two sided: mp differs for employer AND employee
Peter Bossaerts
Model of EXPERIENCE, not inspection (in latter case, signaling/screening could be used)
Page 5: camerer/SS280/JovanonicJPE79.pdf · There is spurious correlation between job tenure (length) and separati on probabilities - he corrects for that! Two sided: mp differs for employer
Peter Bossaerts
Workers are homogeneous - only luck determines the outcomes?! CANNOT explain correlation of tenure over time
Page 6: camerer/SS280/JovanonicJPE79.pdf · There is spurious correlation between job tenure (length) and separati on probabilities - he corrects for that! Two sided: mp differs for employer
Peter Bossaerts
There are NO involuntary layoffs. Firms always make zero profits. They do NOT have to scale down.
Peter Bossaerts
Now he introduces heterogeneity: some workers quit earlier because it's less costly.
Page 7: camerer/SS280/JovanonicJPE79.pdf · There is spurious correlation between job tenure (length) and separati on probabilities - he corrects for that! Two sided: mp differs for employer
Page 8: camerer/SS280/JovanonicJPE79.pdf · There is spurious correlation between job tenure (length) and separati on probabilities - he corrects for that! Two sided: mp differs for employer
Page 9: camerer/SS280/JovanonicJPE79.pdf · There is spurious correlation between job tenure (length) and separati on probabilities - he corrects for that! Two sided: mp differs for employer
Peter Bossaerts
This is the BS equation.
Page 10: camerer/SS280/JovanonicJPE79.pdf · There is spurious correlation between job tenure (length) and separati on probabilities - he corrects for that! Two sided: mp differs for employer
Peter Bossaerts
This is optimal exercise of perpetual put options
Peter Bossaerts
Pretty crude approximation!
Page 11: camerer/SS280/JovanonicJPE79.pdf · There is spurious correlation between job tenure (length) and separati on probabilities - he corrects for that! Two sided: mp differs for employer
Peter Bossaerts
First passage time...
Peter Bossaerts
In economy as a whole, wages grow.
Page 12: camerer/SS280/JovanonicJPE79.pdf · There is spurious correlation between job tenure (length) and separati on probabilities - he corrects for that! Two sided: mp differs for employer
Page 13: camerer/SS280/JovanonicJPE79.pdf · There is spurious correlation between job tenure (length) and separati on probabilities - he corrects for that! Two sided: mp differs for employer
Page 14: camerer/SS280/JovanonicJPE79.pdf · There is spurious correlation between job tenure (length) and separati on probabilities - he corrects for that! Two sided: mp differs for employer
Page 15: camerer/SS280/JovanonicJPE79.pdf · There is spurious correlation between job tenure (length) and separati on probabilities - he corrects for that! Two sided: mp differs for employer
Page 16: camerer/SS280/JovanonicJPE79.pdf · There is spurious correlation between job tenure (length) and separati on probabilities - he corrects for that! Two sided: mp differs for employer
Page 17: camerer/SS280/JovanonicJPE79.pdf · There is spurious correlation between job tenure (length) and separati on probabilities - he corrects for that! Two sided: mp differs for employer
Page 18: camerer/SS280/JovanonicJPE79.pdf · There is spurious correlation between job tenure (length) and separati on probabilities - he corrects for that! Two sided: mp differs for employer
Page 19: camerer/SS280/JovanonicJPE79.pdf · There is spurious correlation between job tenure (length) and separati on probabilities - he corrects for that! Two sided: mp differs for employer
Page 20: camerer/SS280/JovanonicJPE79.pdf · There is spurious correlation between job tenure (length) and separati on probabilities - he corrects for that! Two sided: mp differs for employer