calp the collaborative for advanced landscape …/media/7c68fcf4a2834fedab8893665958c49e.pdfincrease...
TRANSCRIPT
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Adaptation solutions for BC and Metro Vancouver
1. What do adaptation
measures look like?
• already happening
• future solutions
2. Resilience
3. Low-carbon attractive
resilient communities
Heat mapping data: Natural Resources Canada
Visualization, John Danahy, U of Toronto
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Adaptation
to higher
temperatures
• Technological Solutions: – Better insulated buildings
– Reflective roads/walls
– Built in cooling systems (not AC!)
• Administrative Solutions – Weather warning systems
– Encourage tree planting
– Heat-waves plan for vulnerable
• Personal Behavioural Solutions – Maintain hydration
– Wear less formal clothing
– Change working hours
– Enjoy it!
Courtesy of Chris West, UKCIP
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Risk of debris flooding
Increase through MPB
desease
Climate Change:
Increase of winter
precipitation
Kimberley: Fire, flooding, and heat risks
Visualization: Olaf Schroth/Courtney Miller, CALP
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June 9, 2009 Community Open House
Kimberley Climate Adaptation Project Visualization Presentation
Adaptation and
Mitigation:
Resilient low-carbon
options
Image credit: Miller/Muir
Owen/Pond/CALP
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Adapting to What?
NORTHSHORE VULNERABILITY TO
CLIMATE CHANGE
• High elevations, steep slopes
• Sensitive recreation and water
resources
• High rainfall
• Extensive forest areas
• Fragile salmon habitat/riparian ecosystems
• Critical stream flows and high run-off
• Low-lying shoreline areas
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Recognizing Local Adaptation
6
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ADAPTATION SOLUTIONS
Stormwater swale, 15th Street, West Vancouver
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West Vancouver’s climate
change planning:
• Beach adaptation
(& ocean heat exchange)
8 Photos: Stephen Jenkins, District of West Vancouver
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Current
Visualizations: David Flanders, CALP
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2050
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2100
2100
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2100
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How to Adapt?
Assessing 3 scenarios:
Hold the Line
Managed Retreat
Build Up
Delta Regional Adaptation Collaborative (RAC) Policy Report
(Barron et al., 2012)
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Hold the line – 1.2m
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Hold the line – 1.9m
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Build Up
Ladner Dike View
1.2 m Sea Level Rise, Year ~2100
Value of Land & Buildings Agricultural Land Area Road & Dike Length
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Build Up
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Resilience – ability to absorb disturbances while retaining
the same basic structure and ways of
functioning; capacity to adapt.
Credit: Megan Voigt, UBC Landscape Architecture
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Adaptation to crop suitability
Source: Royal BC Museum/Richard Hebda
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Developed by Professor Nicholas Coops and Rory Tooke, UBC
for District of North Vancouver
Online interactive maps of solar roof potential
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Northshore storyline: a high-carbon, high-risk aesthetic Existing
Housing
Mosquito
Creek
Grouse
Mountain
Mosquito Creek
High Risk of Blow
Down
Mod- High Forest Fuel Potential
Visualizations: David Flanders, CALP
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2050
LABEL MOSQUITO CREEK LOW SUMMER FLOWS,SCOURED AND
ERODED; BURNT AREAS
(SHOWN IN HIGHER FIRE RISK AREAS); NEW HOUSING AT HIGHER RISK
Expansion of homes at higher elevations
Burnt areas
Kelowna, 2004
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Renewable Energy Capacity Mapping
Example: Northshore biomass and micro-hydro
23
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Low-carbon, Attractive, Resilient Communities
High-carbon, nondescript, vulnerable communities
Visualizations: David Flanders, CALP
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Lo-CAR sustainability:
1. Low-Carbon
– 80% reductions of GHG emissions by 2050
– Hard target
2. Attractive/acceptable/‘awesome’ – Sense of identity, character/fit, and quality of life
3. Resilient
– Adapt to climate disruption, high energy prices,
etc., while maintaining core functions
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Visualization: Jon Laurenz, CALP
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Local food market
Live / work development
60% reduction in home energy consumption
Multifamily suites
Community gardening
Electric commuter
vehicles
Smaller, efficient cars
Increased public transit
Stormwater drainage swale Passive solar
conservatory
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How much money do we want to spend to
safeguard our community?
Photo: Mark van Manen, Vancouver Sun
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Resources:
Earthscan/Routledge book www.routledge.com/books/details/97818440782
02/
Delta RAC website: http://www.delta-adaptation-bc.ca Visualization Training Modules: http://www.delta-adaptation-bc.ca/category/training-modules/
www.calp.forestry.ubc.ca/publications
Visioning Guidance Manual
(Pond et al, 2010)
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THINK BIG!
Daylighting the Cheong Gye
Cheon in Seoul, South Korea.
Courtesy of Dr. In-Keun Lee.