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THIRD QUARTER 2014
DELTA ASSOCIATES
MID-ATLANTIC
CLASS A APARTMENT
MARKET REPORT
SPONSORED BY
THIRD QUARTER 2014
DELTA ASSOCIATES
MID-ATLANTIC
CLASS A APARTMENT
MARKET REPORT
By Subscription Only
Prepared For Exclusive Use of Subscribers
On September 30, 2014
SPONSORED BY
© Delta Associates, 2014. All rights reserved.You may neither copy nor disseminate this report. If quoted, proper attribution is required.
Please see www.DeltaAssociates.com for more information on our reports.
DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION
1. STATE OF THE ECONOMY AND WASHINGTON/BALTIMORE CONDOMINIUM MARKET The National Economy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3
The Washington Area Economy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13
The Baltimore Area Economy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19.
An Overview of the Washington/Baltimore Condominium Market . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24
2. STATE OF THE MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET A Snapshot of the Class A Apartment Market . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28.
State of the Mid-Atlantic Class A Apartment Market . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29.
Table A: Projected Third Quarter 2017 Class A Vacancy Rate – Washington Metro Area . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40
Table B: NCREIF Return Index for Apartment Properties U .S . Apartment Income vs . Pricing . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41
Table C: Market-Rate Rental Properties in Washington MSA . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 42
Table D: Market-Rate Rental Properties in the United States . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43
Mind the Gap . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44
3. WASHINGTON STATISTICAL REPORT Table 3 .1: Estimated Effective Rent and Stabilized Vacancy Rate for Washington Metro Area . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47
Table 3 .1 .1: Rent Increase for Washington Metro Area . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48.
LOW-RISE MARKET INDICATORS
Table 3 .2: Washington Metro Area . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 49.
Table 3 .3: Northern Virginia – Close-In Submarkets . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50
Table 3 .4: Northern Virginia – Outer Submarkets . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51
Table 3 .5: Suburban Maryland – Close-In Submarkets . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 52
Table 3 .6 Suburban Maryland – Outer Submarkets . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53
MID- & HIGH-RISE MARKET INDICATORS
Table 3 .7: Washington Metro Area . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 54
Table 3 .8.: Northern Virginia . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 55
Table 3 .9.: Suburban Maryland . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 56
Table 3 .10: District of Columbia . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 57
ABSORPTION SUMMARY
Table 3 .11: New, Actively Marketing Projects . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 58.
Table 3 .12: Recently Stabilized Projects . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 60
NORTHERN VIRGINIA NEW CONSTRUCTION PIPELINE
Table 3 .13: Apartment Projects Under Construction and/or Marketing . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 62
Table 3 .14: Planned Apartment Projects That Could Be Delivered within 36 months . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 64
Table 3 .15: Longer Term Planned Apartment Projects . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 66
TABLE OF CONTENTS
DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION
TABLE OF CONTENTS
3. WASHINGTON STATISTICAL REPORT (CONTINUED) SUBURBAN MARYLAND NEW CONSTRUCTION PIPELINE
Table 3 .16: Apartment Projects Under Construction and/or Marketing . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 68.
Table 3 .17: Planned Apartment Projects That Could Be Delivered within 36 months . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 70
Table 3 .18.: Longer Term Planned Apartment Projects . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 72
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA NEW CONSTRUCTION PIPELINE
Table 3 .19.: Apartment Projects Under Construction and/or Marketing . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 74
Table 3 .20: Planned Apartment Projects That Could Be Delivered within 36 months . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 76
Table 3 .21: Longer Term Planned Apartment Projects . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 78.
MULTIFAMILY BUILDING AND LAND SALES
Table 3 .22: 2013 Apartment Building Sales . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8.0
Table 3 .23: 2014 Apartment Building Sales . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8.1
Table 3 .24: 2013 Land Sales . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8.2
Table 3 .25: 2014 Land Sales . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8.3
4. BALTIMORE STATISTICAL REPORT MARKET INDICATORS
Table 4 .1: Baltimore Metro Area . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8.7
Table 4 .2: City of Baltimore . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8.8.
ABSORPTION SUMMARY
Table 4 .3: New, Actively Marketing Projects . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8.9.
Table 4 .4: Recently Stabilized Projects . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9.0
BALTIMORE METRO AREA NEW CONSTRUCTION PIPELINE
Table 4 .5: Apartment Projects Under Construction and/or Marketing . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9.1
Table 4 .6: Planned Apartment Projects That Could Be Delivered within 36 months . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9.2
Table 4 .7: Longer Term Planned Apartment Projects . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9.3
MULTIFAMILY BUILDING SALES
Table 4 .8.: 2013 Apartment Building Sales . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9.4
Table 4 .9.: 2014 Apartment Building Sales . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9.5
DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION
5. PHILADELPHIA STATISTICAL REPORT MARKET INDICATORS
Table 5 .1: Philadelphia Metro Area . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9.9.
Table 5 .2: Suburban Pennsylvania . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 100
Table 5 .3: Southern New Jersey . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 101
Table 5 .4: Center City Philadelphia . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 102
ABSORPTION SUMMARY
Table 5 .5: New, Actively Marketing Projects . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 103
Table 5 .6: Recently Stabilized Projects . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 104
CITY CENTER PHILADELPHIA NEW CONSTRUCTION PIPELINE
Table 5 .7: Apartment Projects Under Construction and/or Marketing . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 105
Table 5 .8.: Planned Apartment Projects That Could Be Delivered within 36 months . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 106
Table 5 .9.: Longer Term Planned Apartment Projects . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 107
MULTIFAMILY BUILDING SALES
Table 5 .10: 2013 Apartment Building Sales . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 108.
Table 5 .11: 2014 Apartment Building Sales . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 109.
6. EXPLANATION OF GEOGRAPHIC COVERAGE AND METHODOLOGY Class A Apartments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 113
Apartment Submarket Maps . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 115
Photography Credits . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 122
TABLE OF CONTENTS
DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION
Although the information contained herein is based on sources which Delta Associates (DA) and Transwestern (TW) believe to be reliable, DA and TW make no representation or warranty that such information is accurate or complete. All prices, yields, analyses, computations, and opinions expressed are subject to change without notice. Under no circumstances should any such information be considered representations or warranties of DA or TW of any kind. Any such information may be based on assumptions which may or may not be accurate, and any such assumption may differ from actual results. This report should not be considered investment advice.
MID-ATLANTIC MULTIFAMILY TEAM
MULTIFAMILY SALES:Executive Vice President, Director Dean Sigmon 301-8.9.6-9.08.9.
Executive Vice President, Director Robin Williams 301-8.9.6-9.070
Vice President Justin Shay 301-8.9.6-9.08.2
Marketing Associate Katie Rubino 301-8.9.6-9.069.
MID-ATLANTIC LEADERSHIP:Executive Managing Director- Market Leader Phil McCarthy 301 .8.9.6 .9.011
Executive Managing Director- Market Leader Keith Foery 301 .8.9.6 .9.028.
Managing Senior Vice President David Popp 301 .8.9.6 .9.048.
Managing Senior Vice President Ray Hite 301 .8.9.6 .9.023
TEAM
MULTIFAMILY PRACTICE TEAM
Senior Vice President, Multifamily Practice Director William E . L . Rich 703-535-3545
Senior Associate Justin Donaldson
Associate Kayla Bruun
Associate Luke Gelber
Associate Rachelle Sarmiento
EDITOR AND CHIEF EXECUTIVE: Gregory H . Leisch, CRE 703-8.36-5700
OF COUNSEL, ECONOMICS: Dr . Stephen S . Fuller 703-9.9.3-318.6
Although the information contained herein is based on sources which Delta Associates (DA) believe to be reliable, DA makes no representation or warranty that such information is accurate or complete. All prices, yields, analyses, computations, and opinions expressed are subject to change without notice. Under no circumstances should any such information be considered representations or warranties of DA of any kind. Any such information may be based on assumptions which may or may not be accurate, and any such assumption may differ from actual results. This report should not be considered investment advice.
DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION
AVAILABLE REPORTS FROM DELTA ASSOCIATES
MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT Market Coverage: Washington Metro, Baltimore Metro, Philadelphia Metro
A comprehensive report on apartment market conditions, focusing on the following indicators:
• Analysis of the national and regional economies
• Regional condo market summary
• Key market statistics for 47 submarkets and regional totals for:
• Current rents and rent change
• Vacancy
• Concessions
• Class A apartment building sales
Additional indicators analyzed in the Third Quarter and Year-End reports:
• Third Quarter Report: Comparison of median revenue,
expense, and net operating income data for the USA
and Washington MSA .
• Year-End Report: Market-maker survey on capitalization
rates, hard and soft development costs, investment posture,
thoughts on the economy, and more
WASHINGTON METROPOLITAN AREA CLASS B APARTMENT MARKET REPORT
A comprehensive report on apartment market conditions, focusing on the following indicators:
• Analysis of the national and regional economies
• Key market statistics for 30 submarkets and regional totals for:
• Current rents and rent change
• Vacancy
• Concessions
• Renovation information including budget and timetable
• Class B apartment building sales
Additional indicators analyzed in the Year-End report:
• Year-End Report: Market-maker survey on capitalization rates, investment posture, thoughts on the economy, and more .
WASHINGTON/BALTIMORE CONDOMINIUM MARKET REPORTMarket Coverage: Washington Metro and Baltimore Metro
A comprehensive report on condominium market conditions, focusing on the following indicators:
• Analysis of the national and regional economies
• Regional apartment market summary
• Key market statistics for 12 submarkets and regional totals for:
• Sales trends for new and resale condos
• Historic condominium price changes
• Pipeline trends
• Additional data include:
• Absorption pace
• Multifamily building and land sales
Additional indicators analyzed in the Third Quarter and Year-End reports:
• Third Quarter Report: Comparison of median condo
expenses in the Washington MSA and Mid-Atlantic region
• Year-End Report: Market-maker survey on
capitalization rates, investment posture, thoughts
on the economy, and more .
MULTIFAMILY MARKET
DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION
AVAILABLE REPORTS FROM DELTA ASSOCIATES
• Market-maker survey on capitalization rates, investment posture, thoughts on the economy, and more
COMMERCIAL MARKET
WASHINGTON/BALTIMORE OFFICE MARKET REPORTMarket Coverage: Washington Metro and Baltimore Metro
A comprehensive quarterly report on office market conditions, focusing on the following indicators:
• Analysis of the national and regional economies
• Metro-level and substate area (Northern Virginia, Suburban
Maryland, District of Columbia) office market summaries
• Key market statistics (All Space and Class A Space) for all
major submarkets and regional totals for:
• Net absorption
• Vacancy
• Construction
• Additional data include:
• Supply/demand analysis
• Rental rate and tenant improvement data
• Average lease terms and operating expenses
• Delivered, proposed, and planned SF
• Building and land sales
• Investment returns
• Cap rate trends
Additional indicators analyzed in the Year-End report:
• Market-maker survey on capitalization rates, hard & soft development costs, investment posture, thoughts on the economy,
and more
• Development economics
Special supplements to the report have included:
• Analysis of Federal bailout/stimulus spending
• Impact of stimulus spending on office leasing
• Office rent equilibrium zone study
WASHINGTON/BALTIMORE FLEX/INDUSTRIAL REPORTMarket Coverage: Washington Metro and Baltimore Metro; data is separated into flex/R&D and warehouse/distribution product types.
A comprehensive semi-annual report on flex/industrial market conditions, focusing on the following indicators:
• Analysis of the national and regional economies
• Regional, metro-level and substate area (Northern Virginia,
Suburban Maryland, and Suburban Baltimore) flex/
industrial market summaries
• Key market statistics for all major submarkets and
regional totals for:
• Inventory
• Net absorption
• Vacancy
• Construction
• Additional data include:
• Supply/demand analysis
• Rental rate and tenant improvement data
• Average lease terms and operating expenses
• Delivered, proposed, and planned SF
• Building sales
• Investment returns
• Cap rate trends
Additional indicators analyzed in the Year-End reports:
DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION
• Analysis of the regional economy
• Regional apartment market summary
• Key market statistics for all major submarkets and regional totals for:
• Current rents and rent change
• Vacancy
• Concessions
• Regional apartment building sales
FREE REPORTS
Delta Associates publishes free reports on the economy and real estate market, including:
• Washington, DC Metro Retail Outlook (quarterly)
• Washington Metro Area Housing Outlook (quarterly)
• Understanding the Economy (periodic)
• Washington TrendLines (annual)
• Houston TrendLines (annual)
Delta Associates also publishes occasional white papers on areas of interest . To view sample reports or to subscribe,
please visit www .DeltaAssociates .com .
PHILADELPHIA APARTMENT MARKET REPORT
An executive summary-style report on apartment market conditions, focusing on the following indicators:
AVAILABLE REPORTS FROM DELTA ASSOCIATES
DELTA A SSOCIATESLeading advisor and information provider
to the commercial real estate industry
Market Studies | Repositioning Analyses | Asset Valuations | Feasibility Studies Litigation Support | Market Data and Publications | Boardroom Presentations
500 MONTGOMERY STREET, SUITE 600 | ALEXANDRIA, VA 22314P: 703.836.5700 | WWW.DELTAASSOCIATES.COM |
DELTA A SSOCIATES
Is a firm of experienced professionals offering
consulting, valuation, and data services to the
commercial real estate industry for over 30 years. The
firm’s practice is organized in four related areas:
CONSULTING, RESE ARCH AND ADVISORY SERVICES
For commercial real estate projects, including
market studies (FHA/HUD compliant), market entry
strategies, asset performance enhancement studies,
pre-acquisition due diligence, and financial and fiscal
impact analyses.
LITIGATION SUPPORT
That includes dispute resolution, from forensic fact
finding to mediation and expert witness services.
Damages, material adverse change, and contract
disputes are specialties.
VALUATION
Of partial interests in commercial real estate assets.
SUBSCRIPTION DATA
For select metro regions for office, industrial, retail,
condominium, and apartment markets.
GREGORY H. LEISCH, CRE Chief Executive703.836.5700
DAVID WEISEL, CRE President
ALEXANDER (SANDY) PAUL, CRE Executive Vice President
CONTACT US
Please join us the morning of Friday, October 3, 2014 to attend Delta Associates’ 18th Annual Washington/Baltimore Multifamily Market Overview & Awards for Excellence.
when.FRIDAY, OCTOBER 3, 2014
8:00 AM – Registration & Continental Breakfast8:30 AM – Delta Associates Market Presentation & Awards9:30 AM – Networking
where.THE MAYFLOWER HOTEL
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rsvp.RSVP BY SEPTEMBER 26, 2014
at www.multifamilydc.com
deltaassociatesWASHINGTON/BALTIMORE
eighteenth annual
Multifamily Market Overview & Awards for Excellence
deltaassociatesPHILADELPHIA
third annual
Apartment Market Overview & Awards for Excellence
sponsors:
Delta Associates will present the latest trends and prospects in the Philadelphia economy and apartment market, followed by awards for excellence in the Philadelphia metropolitan area apartment industry.
when:TUESDAY, APRIL 21, 2015
8:00 AM – Registration & Continental Breakfast8:30 AM – Delta Associates Market Presentation & Awards9:30 AM – Networking Reception
where:FOUR SEASONS PHILADELPHIA
One Logan SquarePhiladelphia, PA 19103
rsvp:RSVP BY APRIL 10, 2015
For an invitation, email:
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DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION
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DELTA INSIGHTS: EACH WEEK IN THE WASHINGTON BUSINESS JOURNAL
See Delta Associates’ weekly feature in the Washington Business Journal . In each release of Delta Insights, the WBJ highlights key
statistics and analysis from Delta that bring the local commercial real estate market into perspective .
PRESENTATIONS
HOUSTON TRENDLINES
The 14th annual Houston TrendLines® event will be held on November 13, 2014 at the River Oaks Country Club in Houston, TX .
TrendLines® is an invitation-only, annual presentation of market conditions with an outlook for investment and development
opportunities in the period ahead . Delta’s Executive Vice President, Sandy Paul, will present his assessment of the regional
economy and commercial real estate market conditions . To reserve an invitation to the 2014 event, hosted by Transwestern,
please contact Jennifer Glaser at 703-29.9.-6363 .
The Houston TrendLines® report and presentation will be available at Transwestern .com . The report will include data and analysis
on the office, industrial, multifamily, and retail markets as well as a detailed forecast on the national and regional economies .
PHILADELPHIA APARTMENT MARKET PRESENTATION AND AWARDS
Delta’s annual Philadelphia Apartment Market event was held on April 22, 2014 at the Four Seasons Hotel in Philadelphia,
PA . Delta’s CEO, Gregory Leisch, presented his Real Estate Market and Economic Overview . This event is co-sponsored by the
Bozzuto Group . To download the market presentation from our 2014 event, please visit our website . To register for the 2015 event,
to be held April 21, 2015, please contact Jennifer Glaser at 703-29.9.-6363 .
WASHINGTON TRENDLINES
The 17th annual Washington TrendLines® event was held on February 6, 2014 at the Ronald Reagan Building and International
Trade Center in Washington, DC . TrendLines® is an invitation-only, annual presentation of market conditions with an outlook
for investment and development opportunities in the period ahead . Delta’s CEO, Gregory Leisch, presented his assessment of
the market prior to the presentation of the annual TrendSetter awards . The event was co-sponsored by PNC Bank, Baker Tilly,
and Transwestern . For an invitation to the February 5, 2015 event, or to learn more about our TrendLines presentation and
report, please contact Jennifer Glaser or visit TrendLinesDC .com .
NEW YORK TRENDLINES
The inaugural New York TrendLines® event was held on December 10, 2013 at the Roosevelt Hotel in New York, NY . Delta’s
Executive Vice President, Sandy Paul, presented commercial real estate market conditions with an outlook for investment
and development opportunities in the period ahead . The New York TrendLines® event was co-sponsored by Transwestern . A
recording of the market presentation may be viewed at www .TrendLinesNYC .com .
WASHINGTON/BALTIMORE MULTIFAMILY PRESENTATION AND AWARDS
The 18.th annual Washington/Baltimore Multifamily Presentation and Awards will be held on October 3, 2014 at the Mayflower
Renaissance Hotel in Washington, DC . Delta’s CEO, Gregory Leisch, will present his Real Estate Market and Economic Overview
prior to the awards ceremony . The Multifamily Awards event is co-sponsored each year with Transwestern and Greystar . To
see the list of award winners, or to download the market overview presentation, please visit the Multifamily Awards page on
our website following the event .
DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION
DELTA NEWS
WASHINGTON AREA APARTMENT WEBINARS
On July 15, 2014, Delta Associates hosted its eighth webinar covering the Washington apartment market, with information
from Delta Associates’ Mid-Year 2014 Class A Apartment Report . These webinars are co-sponsored by the ROSS Companies
and the Washington Business Journal . At each webinar, Delta Associates’ CEO, Gregory Leisch, provides a short regional economic
overview followed by a comprehensive review of the Washington apartment market . A brief question and answer period with
Greg Leisch and Scott Ross rounds out each webinar . The slide show from each webinar is available to attendees and to Delta’s
clients . For more information, please contact Rachelle Sarmiento at 703-29.9.-6360 .
RECENT SPEECHES AND PRESENTATIONS GIVEN BY DELTA EXECUTIVES
• 18.th Annual Washington/Baltimore Multifamily Market Presentation: 10 .3 .14
• Maryland Housing Outlook: 9. .10 .14
• Mid-Year 2014 Washington Area Apartment Market Webinar: 7 .15 .14
• Bisnow’s Baltimore Multifamily Conference: 6 .25 .14
• Bisnow’s 2nd Annual Future of Alexandria: 6 .6 .14
• Bisnow’s National Multifamily West Conference: 5 .22 .14
• Trends in Apartment Design: 5 .20 .14
• 2014 NMHC Research Forum: 4 .29. .14
• Philadelphia Apartment Market Overview: 4 .22 .14
UPCOMING SPEECHES AND PRESENTATIONS BY DELTA EXECUTIVES
• AIDC Real Estate Update: 11 .6 .14
• Bisnow’s National Multifamily East Conference: 11 .24 .14
• 18.th Annual Washington TrendLines Event: 2 .5 .15
• 3rd Annual Philadelphia Apartment Market Overview & Awards of Excellence 4 .21 .15
PUBLICATIONS
PHILADELPHIA CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT
The 2nd issue of Delta’s newest publication, Philadelphia Class A Apartment Market Report, was released in July 2014 . The next issue
will be released in October 2014 . To subscribe to this executive summary-style report, please contact Jennifer Glaser at 703-29.9.-6363 .
UNDERSTANDING THE ECONOMY
Delta publishes an electronic newsletter called Understanding the Economy on changes in the national economy and their
relevance to commercial real estate . This newsletter is available free of charge via e-mail, and the latest issue is released every
few months . Please subscribe to the report via our website .
WASHINGTON AREA RETAIL OUTLOOK
The Washington Area Retail Outlook is a quarterly report in which Delta provides a quantitative and qualitative assessment of the
Washington area retail market, with a focus on grocery-anchored shopping centers . Information is included on vacancy rates,
rents, investment sales, projects of interest, and key trends in the retail market . The report is co-sponsored by The Rappaport
Companies,and is available free of charge via e-mail . The latest issue of this report was released in July 2014 . The next issue of
the report will be released in October 2014 . Please subscribe to the report via our website .
WASHINGTON AREA HOUSING OUTLOOK
The Washington Area Housing Outlook is a quarterly report in which Delta provides an assessment of the region’s single-family
housing market, including data on pricing, sales volume, and days on market . The report is co-sponsored by George Mason
University’s Center for Real Estate Entrepreneurship, and is available free of charge via e-mail . The latest issue of this report was
released in July 2014 . The next issue of the report will be released in October 2014 . Please subscribe to the report via our website .
DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION
18TH ANNUAL DELTA ASSOCIATES
WASHINGTON/BALTIMORE
MULTIFAMILY OVERVIEW & AWARDS FOR EXCELLENCE
CONGRATULATIONS TO THE APARTMENT AWARD WINNERS
BEST WASHINGTON/BALTIMORE HIGH-RISE APARTMENT COMMUNITYThe Apartments at CityCenter, Washington, DCHinesThe Bozzuto Group
Shalom Baranes Associates
BEST WASHINGTON MID-RISE APARTMENT COMMUNITYCornerstone at Monroe Street Market, Washington, DCThe Bozzuto GroupAbdo Development
KTGY Group
BEST BALTIMORE MID-RISE APARTMENT COMMUNITYGunther Apartments, Baltimore, MDObrecht Commercial Real Estate Kinsley Equities
Kettler Management Gordon and Greenberg
BEST WASHINGTON/BALTIMORE LOW-RISE APARTMENT COMMUNITYAvalon Arlington North, Arlington, VAAvalonBay Communities The Preston Partnership
BEST WASHINGTON/BALTIMORE GREEN APARTMENT COMMUNITYGallery Bethesda, Bethesda, MDThe Donohoe CompaniesVantage Management
WDG Architecture
BEST WASHINGTON/BALTIMORE NEIGHBORHOOD IMPACT APARTMENT COMMUNITYCity Market at O, Washington, DCRoadside Development, LLC Shalom Baranes Associates
BEST WASHINGTON/BALTIMORE ADAPTIVE REUSE APARTMENT COMMUNITYSky House, Washington, DCUrban Atlantic The JBG Companies
Wiencek & Associates
BEST WASHINGTON/BALTIMORE APARTMENT RENOVATION COMMUNITYCascade at Landmark, Alexandria, VAGreystarStudio 39.
BEST WASHINGTON/BALTIMORE INTERIOR DESIGN APARTMENT COMMUNITY - NEW CONSTRUCTIONPortland Flats at Monroe Street Market, Washington, DCThe Bozzuto Group Abdo Development
RD Jones & Associates Interior Architecture and Design
BEST WASHINGTON/BALTIMORE INTERIOR DESIGN APARTMENT COMMUNITY - RENOVATIONRiver House, Arlington, VAVornado / Charles E . Smith Hartman Design Group, Inc .
© Maxwell MacKenzie
DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION
18TH ANNUAL DELTA ASSOCIATES
WASHINGTON/BALTIMORE
MULTIFAMILY OVERVIEW & AWARDS FOR EXCELLENCE
CONGRATULATIONS TO THE CONDOMINIUM AWARD WINNERS
CONGRATULATIONS TO THE APARTMENT AWARD WINNERS (CONTINUED)
BEST LEASE-UP PACE FOR A DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA APARTMENT COMMUNITYCamden NoMa, Washington, DCCamden
BEST LEASE-UP PACE FOR A NORTHERN VIRGINIA APARTMENT COMMUNITYAvenir Place, Vienna, VAMill Creek Residential Trust
BEST LEASE-UP PACE FOR A SUBURBAN MARYLAND APARTMENT COMMUNITYCadence at Crown, Gaithersburg, MDThe Bozzuto Group
BEST LEASE-UP PACE FOR A BALTIMORE APARTMENT COMMUNITYParagon at Columbia Overlook, Baltimore, MDChesapeake Realty PartnersWPM Management
BEST WASHINGTON/BALTIMORE CONDOMINIUM COMMUNITYThe Residences at City Center, Washington, DCHines
The Mayhood Company
Shalom Baranes Associates
BEST WASHINGTON/BALTIMORE BOUTIQUE CONDOMINIUM COMMUNITYEdmonds School, Washington, DCCAS Riegler Ditto Residential
McWilliams | Ballard R2L Architects
BEST WASHINGTON/BALTIMORE ADAPTIVE REUSE CONDOMINIUM COMMUNITYThe Oronoco Waterfront Residences, Alexandria, VAEYA Shalom Baranes Associates
BEST WASHINGTON/BALTIMORE CONDOMINIUM CONVERSION COMMUNITYSomerset House, Washington, DCTenacity Group Condo Network @ Long and Foster
Forrest Perkins, IBL Enterprises, Capitol Design
BEST SALES PACE FOR A WASHINGTON/BALTIMORE CONDOMINIUM COMMUNITYThe Flats at Metro West, Fairfax, VAPulteGroup Minno & Wasko Architects
HIGHEST AVERAGE SALES PRICE PER SQUARE FOOT FOR A WASHINGTON/BALTIMORE CONDOMINIUM COMMUNITY
1055 High, Washington, DCEastBanc
1STATE OF THE ECONOMY &
WASHINGTON/BALTIMORE
CONDOMINIUM MARKET
DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION 3
According to Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen’s semiannual
Monetary Policy Report, the economy continues to see
improvement, but the recovery from the Great Recession is
still in progress . This is partially based on the unemployment
rate being above the Federal Open Market Committee’s
(FOMC) longer-run normal level estimate and the labor force
participation rate appearing weaker than expected .
Despite these current shortcomings, the national economy
is expected to continue experiencing moderate growth over
the next few years . It will be spurred by supportive monetary
policy, increased home prices and equity values, stronger
foreign growth, and a decreased drag from fiscal policy .
Until the FOMC sees a significant increase in stability in the
labor market, we can expect it to continue utilizing monetary
policies to support economic growth . For example, the FOMC
has continuously reaffirmed its stance on maintaining the
Federal Funds Rate at 0% to 0 .25% . The road to a complete
recovery has been slow, but there has been continued
progress despite bumps along the way .
Now, for a look at major U.S. economic indicators:
PAYROLL JOBS
The national economy added 2 .6 million new payroll jobs
(not seasonally adjusted) during the 12 months ending July
2014, with the private sector accounting for the majority
of net additions (the public sector added 9.8.,000 positions) .
Recent month-to-month gains (seasonally adjusted) have
been fairly strong and have shown improved consistency:
• April 2014: 304,000 (revised from 28.2,000)
• May 2014: 229.,000 (revised from 217,000)
• June 2014: 29.8.,000 (preliminary)
• July 2014: 209.,000 (preliminary)
After the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) releases job growth
data it revises its records a number of times as more data
becomes available . These revisions tend to be pro-cyclical,
meaning that revisions tend to show stronger growth during
an expansion and less growth during recessions . Recently,
since we are in an expansion period, BLS has typically been
revising job growth upwards . Revisions to April and May of 2014
showed an additional 34,000 jobs compared to preliminary
data . It is also noteworthy that for the 12 months ending in
July 2014, the public sector added the most jobs since the 12
months ending June 2010, more than four years ago .
ECONOMY GAINING TRACTION; UNEMPLOYMENT RATE CONTINUES TO DECLINE;HIRES RATE INCREASING, SUGGESTING RENEWED STRENGTH IN LABOR MARKET
PAYROLL JOB GROWTH United States | Year-Over-Year
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Delta Associates; September 2014.
-3,000
-2,000
-1,000
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
Mar.10
May10
Jul.10
Sep.10
Nov.10
Jan.11
Mar.11
May11
Jul.11
Sep.11
Nov.11
Jan.12
Mar.12
May12
Jul.12
Sep.12
Nov.12
Jan.13
Mar.13
May.13
Jul.13
Sep.13
Nov.13
Jan.14
Mar.14
May.14
Jul.14
Private Sector
Public Sector
TH
OU
SAN
DS
OF
NE
W P
AY
RO
LL J
OB
S
Note: Data are not seasonally adjusted.
THE NATIONAL
ECONOMYTHIRD QUARTER 2014
DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION4
SPONSORED BY BOZZUTO
The public sector has now added jobs for four consecutive
months after shedding jobs for the previous 44, and all of
this growth stems from state and local governments . The
Federal government continues to cut its workforce as it faces
budget shortfalls and rising liabilities . Of note, these cuts
are being achieved primarily through attrition rather than
layoffs . One benefit of Federal austerity and an enduring
economy is deficit reduction . The Congressional Budget
Office (CBO) projects that in 2015, the Federal budget deficit
will be 31% smaller than it was in 2013 . Of note, the U .S . will
still be running a deficit – we are not paying down debt, just
increasing it at a slower rate – but that is still substantial
progress in two years . In its April 2014 update, the CBO
reported that 2014 will be the fifth consecutive year that the
deficit’s share of the GDP has decreased . The CBO projects
the budget deficit in 2014 will be $49.2 billion, which is 2 .8.%
of GDP and is nearly a third less than the $68.0 billion deficit
in 2013 . However, after 2015, the deficit will stop shrinking
and will reach approximately $1 trillion from 2022 through
2024 . This will be caused by our aging population, rising
health care costs, an expansion of Federal subsidies for
health insurance, and growing interest payments on the
Federal debt .
As was the case in our mid-year report, the top four sectors
in job gains were Professional/Business Services, Leisure/
Hospitality, Education/Health Services, and Retail Trade –
adding a total of 1 .7 million new jobs and accounting for over
64% of net new employment . Retail employment continues
to grow at a healthy rate, though retail jobs have less of a
multiplier effect than many others due to their low wages .
Some sectors have experienced weaker recoveries than
others . Specifically, the manufacturing, financial services,
and information industries have lagged behind while some
other sectors have either matched their pre-recession
levels or surpassed them . Job losses were confined to the
Federal Government and Information sectors over the past
year, with a total net loss of 43,000 and 28.,000, respectively .
Of note, while those two sectors are still shedding jobs, the
rate of loss is slowing .
The Bureau of Labor Statistics projects that the economy
will add approximately 15 .3 million nonfarm payroll jobs
from 2012 through 2022, for an average annual growth rate
of 1 .1% . This compares to an average annual growth rate
of 0 .3% from 2002-2012, albeit that decade was marred by
the Great Recession . Education/Health Services is projected
to be the leader in job growth through 2022, adding 5 .7
PAYROLL JOB GROWTH United States | 12 Months Ending July 2014
-100,000 0 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 600,000 700,000
Federal Government
Information
Other Services
Financial Activities
Wholesale Trade
State and Local Government
Transportation/Utilities
Manufacturing
Construction/Mining
Retail Trade
Education/Health
Leisure/Hospitality
Professional/Business Services
J O B C H A N G E
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Delta Associates; September 2014. Note: Data are not seasonally adjusted.
PROJECTED PAYROLL JOB GROWTH United States | December 2012 – December 2022
-1,000 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000
Manufacturing
Federal Govt
Information
Transportation/Utilities
Wholesale Trade
Other Services
Financial Activities
State/Local Govt
Retail Trade
Leisure/Hospitality
Construction/Mining
Professional/Business
Education/Health
J O B C H A N G E ( T H O U S A N D S )
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Delta Associates; September 2014.
BASELINE BUDGET PROJECTIONS United States
Baseline budget projections as of April 2014. Source: Congressional Budget Office, Delta Associates; September 2014.
FED
ER
AL
DE
FIC
IT (
$ B
ILLI
ON
S)
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
4.0%
4.5%
-1,200
-1,000
-800
-600
-400
-200
0
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Deficit % of GDP
DE
FIC
IT A
S A
% O
F R
EA
L G
DP
THE NATIONAL ECONOMY
5DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION
SPONSORED BY BOZZUTO
million jobs . Professional/Business Services follows, adding
3 .5 million positions . Manufacturing, Federal Government
and the Information sectors are expected to shed positions
over the 2012-2022 period . Of note, the Bureau of Labor
Statistics expects the disparity between goods-producing
jobs and service jobs as a percentage of total employment
to widen . Goods-producing jobs (Mining, Construction and
Manufacturing) will comprise 12 .1% of all jobs in 2022,
compared to 12 .6% in 2012 . Service jobs as a percentage of
all employment is forecasted to rise to 8.0 .9.% in 2022, from
79. .9.% in 2012 .
UNEMPLOYMENT
Overall, Initial unemployment claims have steadily
fallen since their peak in March of 2009. . As of mid-August
2014, initial claims stood at 29.5,750 based on a four-week
seasonally-adjusted moving average, falling 11 .7% from the
same period one year ago . This compares to the 15-year
average of 379.,8.00 . We expect unemployment claims to
continue decline gradually through the year in concert with
improving labor market conditions .
The unemployment rate (seasonally adjusted) declined to
6 .2% as of July 2014 from 7 .3% one year earlier . (The rate
declined to 6 .1% as of August in data released shortly before
this writing .) Earlier in the year, the unemployment rate
was declining in part because of workers dropping out of
the labor force, but more recently the rate has been driven
more by new jobs being created . In general, we anticipate
that the unemployment rate will gradually decline over
the next year as the economic expansion continues, hiring
accelerates, and uncertainty dissipates . In the short term
unemployment may tick up slightly as the current increase
in hiring might encourage even more people to rejoin the
labor force .
One indicator of the economy that has not seen significant
growth as of late is the national average hourly wage . In
July 2014 the hourly wage only increased slightly to $24 .45,
a 2 .0% increase since one year prior . By comparison, in 2007
the national hourly wage increased by at least 3 .0% during
each month compared with the same month one year prior .
The slow growth in wages is an indicator that the jobs being
created are in lower-paying industries . Even if people are
finding jobs, they are likely to be underemployed, meaning
job seekers are taking jobs that are below the education
levels they have earned .
THE NATIONAL ECONOMY
INITIAL UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS United States | Four-Week Moving Average
250,000
300,000
350,000
400,000
450,000
500,000
550,000
600,000
650,000
700,000
Peak in Initial Unemployment Claims (Week of 3/28/09) = 659,250
15-Year Average = 379,800
INIT
IAL
UN
EM
PLO
YM
EN
T C
LAIM
S
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Delta Associates; September 2014. Note: Data are seasonally adjusted.
(Week of 9/6/14) = 304,000
UNEMPLOYMENT RATE United States
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14*
Note: Through August 2014; seasonally adjusted; shaded bars represent recessions. Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Delta Associates; September 2014.
U.S
. U
NE
MP
LOY
ME
NT
RA
TE
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
2007* 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
AVERAGE HOURLY EARNINGS 12-Month Percentage Growth | 2007- July 2014
* Data available starting March 2007 Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Delta Associates; September 2014.
Average 2007-2008 = 3.3%
Average 2009-2014 = 2.1%
12
-MO
NT
H P
ER
CE
NTA
GE
GR
OW
TH
DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION6
SPONSORED BY BOZZUTO
Hires Rate: According to the Economic Policy Institute, a
method to gauge the relative strength of the current labor
market is through the hires rate, or the share of total
employment accounted for by new hires . In effect, the hires
rate captures (1) Net new hires, and (2) New hires that are
due to “churn .” The indicator is useful because top-end
payroll job growth hides a lot of shuffling in the economy,
or the natural “churn” in the job market as hires fill vacated
or lost positions . One feature of the current expansion
has been the reluctance of workers to separate from their
current job, which is usually an important way for many
workers to advance their careers and take advantage of
better and bolder opportunities . As shown below, the hires
rate fell dramatically during the Great Recession and has
shown only modest improvement thereafter . From 2009.
to year-end 2013, net new hires accounted for only about
3 .15% of payroll job growth on average . The adjacent graph
illustrates the fragility of the labor market, as employees
are clinging to less desirable positions and may be missing
opportunities for future career growth . The recent trend
has been positive, however, with the June 2014 rate (the
most recent data available) at 3 .5% .
Job applicants: As of June 2014, there were 2 .0 potential
applicants for every job opening . This is well below the July
2009. peak of 6 .7 applicants for every job and also less than
the 10-year average of 3 .2 . Also, this is the lowest ratio since
March 2008. and the 11th consecutive month the ratio has
been below 3 .0 . At the peak of the previous expansion cycle,
in March 2007, the ratio was 1 .4 potential applicants for
every job opening .
However, there are still many sectors that have significantly
more potential applicants than jobs available . This gap is
most apparent in the construction sector, where for every
job opening, there are 7 .0 potential applicants as of June
2014 . This gap is forcing many unemployed construction
workers to revamp their skill sets in order to be hirable
in other sectors . This need to learn new skills applies to
workers in all industries, which might help explain why so
many people have dropped out of the labor force since the
Great Recession . While the construction industry has the
highest unemployed workers to job openings ratio, other
industries also have a significant oversupply of candidates .
Importantly, the oversupply in construction is declining, with
the ratio down from 7 .5 just three months earlier and 10 .4 a
year earlier . In comparison, the Professional and Business
Services sector has just 1 .6 applicants per job opening .
HIRES RATE United States
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
4.0%
4.5%
5.0%
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
SH
AR
E O
F TO
TAL
EM
PLO
YM
EN
T T
HA
T I
S N
EW
H
IRE
S
Note: Shaded bar represents most recent recession. Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Delta Associates; September 2014.
Average 2009-2013 = 3.15%
Average 2003-2008 = 3.75%
JOB-SEEKERS RATIO United States
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
RA
TIO
OF
JOB
-SE
EK
ER
S T
O
JOB
OP
EN
ING
S
Note: Through June 2014. Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Economic Policy Institute, Delta Associates; September 2014.
10-Year Average = 3.1
NUMBER OF UNEMPLOYED VS. JOB OPENINGS 12-Month Average Ending June 2014
0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600
Wholesale and retail trade
Leisure and hospitality
Professional and business services
Education and health services
Manufacturing
Construction
Government
Financial activities
Other services
Transportation and utilities
Information
Mining
Number of Job Openings
Number of Unemployed
T H O U S A N D S O F J O B S
Note: Based on 12-month trailing average. Data are not seasonally adjusted. Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Delta Associates; September 2014.
THE NATIONAL ECONOMY
7DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION
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GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT (GDP)
Real GDP contracted for the first time in three years by
a revised 2 .1% annualized rate during the 1st quarter of
2014, but bounced back and increased by an annualized
rate of 4 .2% (the government’s second estimate) during
the 2nd quarter of 2014 . The increase in real GDP growth
during the 2nd quarter stemmed from a rise in personal
consumption expenditures, private inventory investment,
exports, nonresidential fixed investment, state and local
government spending, and residential fixed investment .
According to the most recent report from Federal Reserve
Bank of Philadelphia, economists predict that the real GDP
growth will be 3 .0% in the 3rd quarter of 2014, 3 .1% in the
4th quarter, and 2 .1% in 2014 overall . Looking further ahead,
real GDP is predicted to average 3 .1% in 2015, 2 .9.% in 2016,
and 2 .8.% in 2017 .
Nevertheless, global economic growth could face near-term
constraints from a combination of current account deficits/
weak currencies in emerging economies and questions
about the rate of future growth in China . And, of course,
there are always worries about geo-political events .
The national economic expansion remains on track, even if
its performance is slow and uneven from month to month .
This is due in part to consumer’s improved outlook due to:
• Higher-income Americans feeling wealthier due to a
17 .7% gain in the S&P 500 in the past year;
• Middle-income Americans feeling better due to a 6 .2%
gain in housing prices over the past 12 months (per the
S&P/Case-Shiller national index), though the rate of
increase is decelerating; and
• Lower- and middle-income earners benefiting from low
inflation .
In addition, as households continue to fuel growth in the
economy through consumption expenditures, household
wealth accumulation (e .g ., residential investment)
continues to be on the mend . Non-residential investment
as a percentage of GDP is returning to pre-recession levels,
as inventory stock has been building up and commercial
construction is ramping up . Residential investment, which
includes new housing starts and upgrades to existing
residential buildings, has historically been a significant
contributor to GDP growth following the last four
recessions, but growth in residential investment following
THE NATIONAL ECONOMY
FIXED INVESTMENT CONTRIBUTIONS TO GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT (GDP)
Source: Federal Reserve Economic Database (FRED), Delta Associates; September 2014.
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
PE
RC
EN
TAG
E O
F R
EA
L G
DP
RI %GDPNRI % GDP
Residential Private Investment Nonresidential Private Investment
*Through Q2 2014. Note: data are seasonally adjusted at annual rates.
GDP PERCENT CHANGE United States
Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis, Delta Associates; September 2014. Note: Annualized.
-10%
-8%
-6%
-4%
-2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
Q107
Q207
Q307
Q407
Q108
Q208
Q308
Q408
Q109
Q209
Q309
Q409
Q110
Q210
Q310
Q410
Q111
Q211
Q311
Q411
Q112
Q212
Q312
Q412
Q113
Q213
Q313
Q413
Q114
Q214
AN
NU
AL
GD
P C
HA
NG
E I
N 2
00
9
CO
NST
AN
T D
OLL
AR
S
20-Year Average = 2.5%
DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION8
SPONSORED BY BOZZUTO
the latest recession has been sub-par . We expect residential
fixed investment as a percentage of GDP will increase
during the coming year, as home values continue to rise
(though perhaps more slowly) and home construction picks
up . Much like our expectation that personal consumption
expenditures are poised to expand as household equity
continues to mend, a rise in residential fixed investment
should translate into accelerating GDP growth in the
coming year or two .
CORPORATE PROFITS
U .S . corporate profits totaled $1 .9.4 trillion during the 1st
quarter of 2014 on an annualized basis, a 4 .8.% decrease
over the 1st quarter of 2013 . Despite this decline, overall
corporate profits have been trending upwards since 2008. .
Companies have the resources to hire but remain wary
about future demand for products and services . We expect
that record corporate profits will gradually decline over the
next few years as uncertainty fades, businesses expand
their capital expenditures and M&A activity ramps up . We
have already seen a number of large acquisitions in 2014
including Facebook’s $19. billion purchase of WhatsApp,
Google’s $3 .2 billion deal for Nest Labs, and Apple’s $3
billion acquisition of Beats Electronics .
HOUSING MARKET
Home prices in the 20 major metro areas increased 8. .1%
during the 12 months ending June 2014, the most recent
data available, according to S&P/Case-Shiller . The housing
market is slowing nationally on a year-over-year basis,
and is now more in line with the pace of overall economic
growth . Inventory, which had been very low in some metro
areas, is gradually normalizing, easing pricing pressure .
The number of U .S . home sales rose to 5 .15 million (on an
annualized basis) in July 2014 from 5 .03 million one month
earlier . The 5 .15 million-unit pace is 4 .3% below the 5 .38.
million-unit pace from the same period a year ago . The
average existing home sales price was $268.,700 in July
2014 according to the National Association of Realtors,
surpassing the pre-recession average .
FEDERAL INTERVENTION AND INFLATION
Janet Yellen, the Federal Reserve’s new Chair, stated in
her semiannual Monetary Policy Report to Congress that
ANNUAL CHANGE IN EXISTING HOME SALE PRICES United States
-25%
-20%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
PE
RC
EN
T C
HA
NG
E F
OR
ME
DIA
N P
RIC
E
OF
SIN
GLE
-FA
MIL
Y H
OM
ES
Source: S&P/Case-Shiller, Delta Associates; September 2014.
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Note: Data reflect 20-city composite index.
2013 2014
Source: National Association of Realtors, Delta Associates; September 2014.
$200,000
$210,000
$220,000
$230,000
$240,000
$250,000
$260,000
$270,000
$280,000
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
5,000
5,500
6,000
6,500
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014*
Number of Existing Home Sales**
Average Existing Home Sales Price
NU
MB
ER
OF
SALE
S –
T
HO
USA
ND
S O
F U
NIT
S
U .S . EXISTING HOME SALES VS. SALES PRICE
AV
ER
AG
E S
ALE
S P
RIC
E
*Data as of July 2014. ** Seasonally adjusted annual sales rate.
THE NATIONAL ECONOMY
$0
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
$120
$0.0
$0.5
$1.0
$1.5
$2.0
$2.5
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014*
Corporate Profits
S&P 500 12-Month EPS
Note: Seasonally adjusted at annual rates. *EPS through March 2014.
U.S. CORPORATE PRE -TAX PROFITS
Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis, Multpl.com, Delta Associates; September 2014.
CO
RP
OR
AT
E P
RO
FIT
S I
N T
RIL
LIO
NS
S&
P 5
00
12
-MO
NT
H E
PS
9DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION
SPONSORED BY BOZZUTOTHE NATIONAL ECONOMY
the economy continues to improve, but has still not
completely recovered . Accordingly, the Fed plans to keep
short-term rates at their current range of 0% to 0 .25% until
labor market conditions, indicators of inflation pressures
and inflation expectations, and readings on financial
developments improve .
In late July the Fed cut its bond-buying activities (QE3) by
another $10 billion, bringing down total long-term bond
purchases to $25 billion per month . Also, minutes from the
Federal Open Market Committee’s June meeting reveal the
tapering process will end in October .
For commercial real estate investors, we perceive the
tapering decision as a net positive . The Fed’s announcement
should provide more clarity as to the central bank’s
monetary guidance going forward . The move also sheds
light on the improving prospects of the U .S . economy, and it
should remove a portion of the all-too-familiar uncertainty
that has plagued business decision-making and capital
investment for some time .
How will markets react going forward? Time will tell, but we
expect some short-term volatility, especially in emerging
economies that benefited from record-low borrowing
rates . The stock market has seen its upward momentum
continue through the summer as the Fed has tapered its
bond purchases .
Regarding inflation, prices increased 2 .0% during the
12 months ending July 2014 . The personal consumption
expenditure price index (PCEPI), which takes into account
changes in consumption habits as people substitute away
from some goods and services towards others, rose 1 .6%
during the 12 months ending July 2014 . The slight increase
in prices stems partially from the rise in costs for food,
especially meats, poultry, fish, and eggs, and the rise in
energy costs . Meat prices are rising due to droughts in the
central United States, which has significantly cut down hay
production, leaving ranchers with less food for cattle . As
a result ranchers are reducing cattle production, cutting
supply during barbeque season, which is when demand for
meat is at its highest . We expect inflation to be contained
in the near-term due to modest wage growth, coupled with
the fact that price pressure tends to lag economic growth
by a year or more . Given this, coupled with appropriate
monetary measures, inflation looks soft and should hover
near 2 .0% during the balance of 2014 .
SELECTED U.S. GOVERNMENT INTEREST RATES
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
INT
ER
EST
RA
TE
S (
%)
Federal Funds Rate
10-Year Treasury
30-Year Treasury
Source: Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), Delta Associates; September 2014. Note: Federal Funds Rate unchanged since December 16, 2008. 30-Year Treasury not issued between Q2 2002-2005.
U.S. INFLATION AND PERSONAL CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURE INDEX
Source: Federal Reserve Economic Database (FRED), Delta Associates; September 2014.
-6%
-4%
-2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14*
PE
RC
EN
TAG
E C
HA
NG
E
Series1
Series2
CPI-U PCEPI
Note: *CPI-U through July 2014 and PCEPI through July 2014. 12-month seasonally-adjusted percentage change.
DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION10
SPONSORED BY BOZZUTO
ECONOMIC OUTLOOK
During the 3rd quarter of 2014, the economy experienced
growth at the slow and steady pace we have become
accustomed to during the recovery from the Great
Recession . The most recent GDP readings, from the 2nd
quarter of the year, were strong, but most economists
believe the overall set of current and leading indicators
suggests that growth will settle in at a slower rate for the
balance of 2014 . Looking forward, we expect to see payroll
employment growth continue, the unemployment rate to
decline further, and household net worth to increase from
the rise in home and stock market values . The economy
successfully bounced back from a slow 1st quarter and we
expect it do so again if faced with similar challenges in
the near future . On balance, we look for this recovery to
continue on its slow but steady course through 2018. or so,
barring a catastrophic event .
Specifically, we believe the economic outlook is as follows:
• Real GDP growth: 2 .5% in 2014 .
• Payroll jobs: 2 .6 million added in 2014, slightly outpacing
the 2013 total .
• Housing: Price appreciation around 6% to 8.% in 2014, off
last year’s performance .
• Unemployment rate: Hovering around 6 .0% to 6 .2% for
the balance of 2014 .
• Federal Funds Rate: 0% to 0 .25% through year-end 2015 .
• Long-term interest rates: Edging higher during the rest
of 2014 .
• Inflation: Around 2 .0% to 2 .5% for 2014 as consumer
demand strengthens .
The outlook for the intermediate-term is bright as well .
According to the Bureau of Labor statistics, the prime
working age population has been growing since 2012, and will
continue to do so until 2020 . The rise in the prime working
age population is an important shift in demographics that
should help boost economic activity in the coming years .
This data also suggests that we would have likely faced
slower economic activity, to some degree, during the past
decade no matter what – the financial crisis compounded
THE NATIONAL ECONOMY
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Delta Associates; September 2014.
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
90,000
100,000
110,000
120,000
130,000
1948 1954 1960 1966 1972 1978 1984 1990 1996 2002 2008 2014*
PO
PU
LAT
ION
(0
00
S)
population
*As of July 2014.
PRIME AGE POPULATION, 25 TO 54 YEARS OLD United States
Looking forward, we expect to see payroll employment growth continue, the unemployment rate to decline further, and household net worth to increase.
11DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION
SPONSORED BY BOZZUTOTHE NATIONAL ECONOMY
*Seasonally-adjusted change for 12 months ending in July 2014; others are comparisons of annual averages. Note that BLS has rebenchmarked figures since their initial publication; the figures presented above are the most recent estimates.
U.S. PAYROLL JOB GROWTH
YEAR JOB CHANGE % CHANGE
1 .9.%
1 .7%
1 .7%
1 .2%
-0 .7%
-4 .3%
-0 .6%
1 .1%
1 .8.%
1 .7%
1 .1%
-0 .2%
-1 .1%
2,542,000
2,264,000
2,250,000
1,576,000
-9.48.,000
-5,9.49.,000
-765,000
1,532,000
2,407,000
2,265,000
1,417,000
-313,000
-1,451,000
2014*
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009.
2008.
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
METRO AREA # % METRO AREA # %New York 155,400 1.8% Baltimore 34,600 2.6%LA Basin Philadelphia 33,900 1.2% Los Angeles/Long Beach/Glendale 69,200 1.7% Orlando 33,200 3.2% Orange County (Santa Ana/Anaheim/Irvine) 22,500 1.6% Austin 32,600 3.8% Riverside/San Bernardino/Ontario 36,200 3.0% Portland (OR) 31,700 3.1% Subtotal LA Basin 127,900 1.9% Raleigh-Durham 31,000 3.8%Dallas/Ft. Worth 120,800 3.9% St. Louis 27,100 2.1%Houston 112,200 4.0% Charlotte 25,800 3.0%San Francisco Bay Area Las Vegas 25,700 3.0% San Jose/Sunnyvale/Santa Clara 27,100 2.8% Indianapolis 22,600 2.4% San Francisco/San Mateo/Redwood City 35,400 3.3% Nashville 21,400 2.7% Oakland/Fremont/Hayward 23,700 2.3% Tampa-St. Pete 21,000 1.8% Subtotal Bay Area 86,200 2.8% San Antonio 20,800 2.3%South Florida Sacramento 20,800 2.4% West Palm Beach/Boca Raton 17,700 3.3% Cincinnati 19,900 1.9% Fort Lauderdale 22,800 3.1% Washington, DC 19,800 0.6% Miami/Miami Beach/Kendall 36,400 3.5% Oklahoma City 19,000 3.2% Subtotal South Florida 76,900 3.3% Salt Lake City 19,000 2.9%Atlanta 63,900 2.7% Jacksonville 17,100 2.8%Boston (Metropolitan NECTA) 57,200 2.2% Detroit (Detroit/Warren/Livonia) 16,800 0.9%Seattle 49,700 2.8% Cleveland 16,000 1.6%Denver-Boulder 48,100 3.3% New Orleans 15,100 2.8%Phoenix 47,400 2.7% Kansas City 13,700 1.4%Chicago 47,200 1.1% Pittsburgh 12,400 1.1%Minneapolis-St. Paul 46,300 2.6% Memphis 8,900 1.5%San Diego 37,200 2.8% Columbus (OH) 6,600 0.7%
Note: Data are not seasonally adjusted.Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Delta Associates; September 2014.
12-MONTH PAYROLL EMPLOYMENT CHANGE THROUGH JULY 2014
JOB CHANGE JOB CHANGE
the problem of weaker workforce demographics, but some
economic retrenchment was likely in any case .
Additionally, the largest five-year age cohort is now the 20
to 24-year-old age group based on data from the Census
Bureau . As workers within this cohort grow older over the
next few years, their wages will rise and the amount they
spend will increase as result, further boosting the economy .
Also, as this age cohort shifts to the 25 to 29.-year-old
group, they will be more likely to start buying their own
homes as opposed to renting . Based on the aforementioned
conditions, we expect the national economy to see
continued growth in both the near and intermediate terms .
NATIONAL PAYROLL JOB GROWTH SUMMARY
The U .S . economy gained 2 .5 million payroll jobs over the 12
months ending July 2014 (seasonally adjusted), representing
an increase of 1 .9.% . This compares to the 25-year annual
average of 1 .2 million jobs at a 1 .1% average growth rate .
DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION 13
The Washington metro area faced a number of challenges in
early 2014, including Federal budget cuts and harsh winter
weather that hindered businesses throughout the region .
Despite these challenges, payroll job change still remained
positive, albeit below historical averages . In more recent
months, job growth has been stronger on an annual basis
and we expect it to continue gaining strength throughout
the balance of 2014 . During the 12 months ending July 2014,
payroll employment increased by 19.,8.00, or 0 .6% . However, the
12-month employment gain is below the metro area’s 20-year
annual average of 42,600 and compares to prior expansion
cycles of 60,000 to 100,000 in job gains . As a result, this
expansion, while strengthening, feels anemic by comparison .
As the Washington metro area adjusts to these conditions,
we expect the private sector to increasingly pick up the
slack . Growth in the private sector combined with pent-up
demand for goods and services will help to spur job growth
for the balance of 2014 and will likely continue through
2018. . Job growth will keep the region’s unemployment rate
low; as of July 2014 the unemployment rate was at 5 .4%, one
of the lowest rates among major metro areas .
Specifically, more job growth will be needed from the
Professional/Business Services sector, as it produces higher
paying jobs . Currently, the job growth is highest in the Retail
Trade sector, which produces lower-wage jobs . Plans in Virginia,
such as Governor McAuliffe’s recently announced “New Virginia
Economy Workforce Initiative,” are a step in the right direction .
The initiative will focus on training people for middle-skill jobs
that require some training past high school, but do not need a
four-year degree . Governor McAuliffe has set a goal for 50,000
Virginians to graduate the program by the end of 2017 .
P A Y R O L L E M P L O Y M E N T
ECONOMIC HIGHLIGHTSW A S H I N G T O N M E T R O A R E A
3.1m i l l i o n
at July
2014
J O B C H A N G E
19.8thousand
12 months ending July
2014
U N E M P L O Y M E N T R AT E
5.4%I N F L AT I O N
1.7%12 months ending July
2014
H O U S I N G P R I C E S
5.3%12 months
ending June
2014Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, S&P/Case-Shiller; September 2014.
at July 2014
down from
5.7% one year ago
THE WASHINGTON
AREA ECONOMY
THIRD QUARTER 2014
JOB GROWTH IMPROVING; CONTRACTORS SLOWLY GAINING MORE CONFIDENCE; UNEMPLOYMENT RATE REMAINS LOW
DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION14
SPONSORED BY BOZZUTO
PAYROLL JOBS
The Washington metro ranks seventh in population among
the nation’s metro areas, with 5 .9. million residents . With
3 .1 million payroll jobs, the Washington metro area ranks
as the fifth-largest job market, behind New York, LA Basin,
Chicago, and Dallas/Ft . Worth . The Washington metro area
economy added 19.,8.00 new payroll positions during the
12 months ending July 2014 . Growth is below the 20-year
annual average of 42,600 and less than in past recovery
cycles, which averaged 60,000 to 100,000 .
As noted previously, a majority of job growth since the
end of the recession has come from lower-wage jobs . Jobs
filled that were mid-wage and higher-wage were outpaced
by lower-wage jobs by about 40,000 and 20,000 jobs,
respectively . As jobs in the Manufacturing, Information, and
Federal Government sectors continue to be shed, creating
higher-wage jobs becomes an ever-increasing priority .
The Washington metro area added 19.,8.00 new jobs during
the past 12 months . Other metro areas with larger private
sectors continue to outpace it in job gains . New York, the
LA Basin, DFW, Houston, and SF Bay are the leaders in
job growth, spurred by growth in Professional/Business
Services, Trade/Transportation/Utilities, and Energy .
PAYROLL JOBS BY SECTOR
The top four sectors for job growth in the Washington
metro area are Retail Trade, Leisure/Hospitality, Education/
Health Services, and State/Local Government – with a total
of 24,300 new jobs added to the economy in these four
sectors alone . These industries are still seeing job growth,
but they are being partially offset by other industries that
are experiencing losses . Notably, the Federal Government
sector lost 8.,100 jobs while the Manufacturing and
Information sectors lost 2,600 and 2,500 jobs, respectively,
during the 12 months ending July 2014 . Federal agencies
continue to tighten spending due to Federal austerity
measures, notwithstanding the partial rollback of
sequestration . The majority of the region’s Federal job
cuts occurred in the District of Columbia . The Federal
government is not laying off workers; rather, a hiring
freeze has prevented hiring for many positions vacated
due to retirement or workers leaving for other positions
outside the Federal government .
(60) (40) (20) 0 20 40 60 80
Lower Wage
Mid-Wage
Higher-Wage
Thousands
2008-2009
2010-2013 H I G H E R - W A G E
M I D - W A G E
L O W E R - W A G E
JOB CHANGE IN THOUSANDS
PAYROLL JOB CHANGE BY WAGE Washington Metro Area
Source: Dr. Stephen Fuller, Delta Associates; September 2014.
19.8
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
NY LABasin
DFW Hou SF Bay SouthFL
Atl Bos Denver Phx Chi Was
PAYROLL JOB GROWTH Selected Large Metro Areas | 12 Months Ending July 2014
TH
OU
SAN
DS
OF
NE
W
PAY
RO
LL J
OB
S
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Delta Associates; September 2014.
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14*
20-Year Annual Average = 42,600/Year
*12 months ending in July 2014.
TH
OU
SAN
DS
OF
NE
W P
AY
RO
LL
JOB
S (
AN
NU
AL
AV
ER
AG
E)
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Delta Associates; September 2014.
PAYROLL JOB GROWTH Washington Metro Area
THE WASHINGTON AREA ECONOMY
15DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION
SPONSORED BY BOZZUTO
UNEMPLOYMENT RATE
The Washington area unemployment rate was 5 .4% at July
2014, down 30 basis points from 5 .7% one year ago . This
compares to the national (seasonally adjusted) rate of
6 .2% in July 2014, which is down 110 basis points from one
year earlier . The Washington metro area has the second-
lowest unemployment rate among the nation’s largest
metro areas, behind Denver . The Washington metro area’s
unemployment rate peaked in January 2010, at 7 .1%,
and has since declined, albeit unevenly . We expect the
Washington metro area’s unemployment rate to hold in the
low-5% range during the balance of 2014 .
REGIONAL CONSUMER PRICE INDEX
Overall inflation in the Washington/Baltimore region was
1 .7% during the 12 months ending July 2014, compared to
the national inflation rate of 2 .0% . Inflation for all types
of items remained relatively in check with the regional
inflation rate . Medical expenses only rose 2 .3% in the
Washington/Baltimore region during the past 12 months,
the lowest rise in a 12 month period since November 2009. .
Also, housing fuel and utilities have decreased 1 .4% during
the same period after rising 7 .2% during the 12 months
ending March 2014 and 4 .0% during the 12 months ending
PAYROLL JOB GROWTH Washington Metro Area | 12 Months Ending July 2014
-12,000 -8,000 -4,000 0 4,000 8,000 12,000 16,000
Federal Government
Manufacturing
Information
Wholesale Trade
Professional/Business Services
Construction/Mining
Transportation/Utilities
Other Services
Financial Services
State and Local Government
Education/Health
Leisure/Hospitality
Retail Trade
J O B C H A N G E
+33,000
-13,200
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Delta Associates; September 2014.
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
Den Was Bos DFW Hou SF Bay Phx S Fla Chi NY Atl LABasin
July 2013 July 2014
UN
EM
PLO
YM
EN
T R
AT
E
National Rate*
7.3% 6.2%
-170 -30 -120 -260 -130 -90 -130 -100 -100 -120 -30 -140 Basis Point Change
UNEMPLOYMENT RATE Large Metro Areas | July 2013 vs. July 2014
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Delta Associates; September 2014. *Seasonally adjusted.
THE WASHINGTON AREA ECONOMY
Note: In thousands of payroll jobs. Data are not seasonally adjusted.Source: BLS, Delta Associates; September 2014.
TRENDS IN EMPLOYMENT BY MAJOR SECTORWashington Metro Area
JULY 2014
Retail Trade
Leisure/Hospitality
Education/Health
State and Local Govt .
Financial Services
Other Services
Transportation/Utilities
Construction/Mining
Professional/Bus . Svs .
Wholesale Trade
Information
Manufacturing
Federal Government
Total
273 .3
311 .7
39.1 .8.
306 .5
156 .1
19.3 .5
61 .5
150 .7
712 .6
63 .2
74 .2
46 .0
366 .7
3,107.8
12-MONTHCHANGE
7 .7
7 .2
5 .4
4 .0
3 .8.
2 .5
1 .0
0 .7
0 .5
0 .2
-2 .5
-2 .6
-8. .1
19.8
20-YEAR ANNUAL AVERAGE
1 .9.
5 .1
8. .6
3 .8.
0 .0
3 .7
0 .1
1 .0
16 .8.
2 .0
-0 .2
-0 .9.
0 .7
42.6
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Delta Associates; September 2014.
AN
NU
AL
PR
ICE
IN
DE
X C
HA
NG
E
CONSUMER PRICE INDEX (CPI ) Washington/Baltimore Region
-2%
-1%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
10-Year Annual Average = 2.7%
Note: Data is 12 months ending in each period, through July 2014.
DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION16
SPONSORED BY BOZZUTO
May 2014 . For the balance of 2014, we expect inflation
to be contained locally, as slowly progressing economic
conditions keep prices in check, with growth of 1 .5% to 2 .5% .
As long as appropriate monetary measures are in place at
the Federal level, inflation should remain controlled .
HOUSING PRICES
House prices increased 5 .3% in the Washington metro area
during the 12 months ending June 2014, according to the
S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index . This compares to a rise
of 8. .1% in the 20 MSA Composite Index .
Using a different methodology, the Federal Housing
Finance Administration (FHFA) measured price growth in
the Washington region at 5 .2% for the 12 months ending
in June 2014 . Both measures reflect decent year-over-year
gains thanks to a resilient private sector, though price
increases have been slower in recent months across the
nation . As demand continues to grow we expect prices to
continue rising . However, housing has become increasingly
unaffordable due to the slower acceleration of wage growth .
REGION’S CORE INDUSTRIES
The Gross Regional Product (GRP) for Washington is expected
to grow to $475 .5 billion in 2014 – a 3 .8.% increase from
$458. .1 billion in 2013 . The Federal government is the largest
component of the Washington area economy, as its spending
touches every job sector . However, this share of spending
is shrinking . During 2013, Federal government spending
accounted for 35% of GRP . By 2018., we expect this share
to shrink to 29.%, as the Federal government continues to
control spending and the private sector picks up the slack .
The most important element of Federal spending in the
metro area economy is procurement – the government’s
purchase of goods and services from the private sector .
Procurement spending declined 5 .9.% during 2013 compared
to a decline of 5 .0% in 2012 . While government contractors
have right-sized over the past three years and found ways
to increase their business with private sector clients,
Federal procurement spending is continuing to decline,
which has a negative impact on this region’s overall
economic performance . In consultation with Dr . Stephen
Fuller of the Center for Regional Analysis, we expect Federal
procurement spending in the Washington metro area to
decline at least 3 .0% in 2014 on a current-dollar basis .
Source: S&P/Case-Shiller, Delta Associates; September 2014.
PE
RC
EN
T C
HA
NG
E
PERCENT CHANGE IN HOUSE PRICES Washington MSA vs. U.S. 20 MSA Composite
Note: Seasonally adjusted.
-20%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014*
Washington MSA
U.S. 20 MSA Composite
*12 months ending June 2014.
THE WASHINGTON AREA ECONOMY
35%
15%
5% 5% 5%
3%
34% Federal SpendingTechnologyBuilding IndustryInt'l BusinessHealth/EducationHospitalityOther
Source: Dr. Stephen Fuller, Delta Associates; September 2014.
SHARE OF GRP Washington Metro Area | 2013
$458 Billion
Percentages may not add to 100% due to rounding.
17DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION
SPONSORED BY BOZZUTO
The Washington region has experienced slow-growth in the
first half of 2014, as expected, due to the lingering effects of
mandatory Federal budget cuts, but harsh winter weather
further stymied the economy earlier this year . We expect
to see stronger economic growth in the Washington metro
area during the balance of 2014 and into 2015 .
Contractors are continuing to adjust to the new economic
environment . With the budget deal and debt limit suspension
in place, contractors have more confidence to commit
towards larger future projects instead of being limited
to smaller short-term deals . This increased certainty has
allowed contractors to adjust their personnel accordingly
and we should see fewer job cuts moving forward . For
example, 500 jobs were added in the Professional/Business
Services sector over the past 12 months, which is not a
significant gain, but is a positive sign compared to the net
loss of jobs in the sector earlier in the year .
Also, the retail and hospitality sectors still have room for
growth . Although these sectors consist of lower-wage jobs,
we expect that they will continue to add workers, which
benefits the overall regional economy .
Even with the headwinds generated by job losses in the
Federal government and contracting sectors, the region’s
overall job growth has been fairly healthy due to the
outperformance of other sectors . These other sectors
generated 62,9.00 new payroll jobs during the 12 months
ending in July 2014, which is more on par with the historical
average of the Washington metro area .
WASHINGTON AREA ECONOMIC OUTLOOK
We expect job growth in the metro area to remain tempered
for an expansion cycle – in the range of 25,000 to 60,000
jobs per annum . This is sufficient to support a healthy
commercial real estate industry, but below the levels
experienced in most recent expansion cycles .
THE WASHINGTON AREA ECONOMY
TH
OU
SAN
DS
OF
NE
W P
AY
RO
LL
JOB
S (
AN
NU
AL
AV
ER
AG
E)
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Dr. Stephen Fuller, Delta Associates; September 2014.
PAYROLL JOB GROWTH Washington Metro Area
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
District Sub. MD No. Virginia
20-Year Annual Average = 42,600/Year 5-Year Projected Average = 43,800/Year
*Preliminary
A N N UA L C H A N G E I N F E D E R A L P R O C U R E M E N T S P E N D I N G Washington Metro Area (Current Dollars)
Source: Dr. Stephen Fuller, Delta Associates; September 2014.
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013* 2014**
**Projected
14-Year Annual Average = 4.2%
% C
HA
NG
E I
N S
PE
ND
ING
(8,100)
(35,000)
62,900
-40,000
-20,000
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
Federal Government Procurement/ Contractors* All Other
Source: BLS, Delta Associates, September 2014.
JOB GROWTH Washington Metro Area | 12 Months Ending July 2014
*Estimate.
JO
B G
RO
WT
H
Even with the headwinds generated by job losses in the Federal government and contracting sectors, the region’s overall job growth has been fairly healthy due to the outperformance of other sectors.
DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION18
SPONSORED BY BOZZUTO
We expect the Washington metro area economy to build on
some of the momentum started during the 3rd quarter of the
year . Consumer confidence is at its highest level in nearly
seven years according to The Conference Board’s Consumer
Confidence Index and 60% of CEOs are optimistic about the
national economy’s outlook over the next year according
to PwC’s most recent Trendsetter Barometer report . Also,
52% of companies have expansion initiatives planned over
the next year and 63% plan on hiring more workers during
the period of time . We expect these national trends to have
a local impact and boost the regional economy during the
balance of 2014 and into 2015 .
During 2015 and 2016 we expect healthy growth, though at
a slower rate than seen in recent expansion cycles . As the
Federal government will continue to face austerity measures
during this period – albeit reduced from 2013 levels – we
expect the source of growth to continue its shift to the
private sector . Overall, employment growth will be healthy
but average wages lower on an inflation-adjusted basis than
what this region has experienced in the past . International
business activities will benefit Washington and support
payroll job growth in the National Capital Region .
We estimate that an annual average of 43,8.00 payroll jobs will
be added to the Washington metro area economy during the
five-year period from 2014 to 2018. . Private sector firms will be
the cornerstone of employment growth in the period ahead .
THE WASHINGTON AREA ECONOMY
We expect job growth in the metro area to remain tempered for an expansion cycle – in the range of 25,000 to 60,000 jobs per annum. This is sufficient to support a healthy commercial real estate industry, but below the levels experienced in most recent expansion cycles.
19DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION
SPONSORED BY BOZZUTO
The Baltimore metro area’s economy experienced
continued economic growth during the 3rd quarter of
2014 and remains a leader among comparably-sized metro
areas . Overall, we expect conditions to continue to improve
for the remainder of 2014 and into 2015 .
The Baltimore metro area economy has continued to record
strong job growth . Payroll employment increased 34,600
(a 2 .6% increase) during the 12 months ending July 2014,
which is above the long-term annual average of 11,8.00 .
The Professional/Business Services sector continued to
power the local economy during the past 12 months,
however, the Leisure/Hospitality, Construction, and State/
Local Government sectors all played important roles as
well . Compared to past recovery cycles, all four sectors
have achieved healthy gains in jobs since the trough of the
most recent recession . Hindering more robust job growth
is the 1,600 payroll positions lost in the Manufacturing
sector and the 1,100 payroll positions lost in the Federal
Government sector during the 12 months ending July 2014 .
The unemployment rate is at 6 .9.% as of July 2014, down
from 7 .2% one year earlier .
The Baltimore economy should continue to outperform other
comparably-sized metro areas . With a solid core economic
base, boosted by a growing cyber-security industry, the
Baltimore economy is poised for long-term growth .
PAYROLL JOBS
With 1 .4 million payroll jobs, the Baltimore area ranks
as the largest job base among comparable metro areas,
slightly larger than St . Louis . The Baltimore metro area
BALTIMORE METRO ECONOMY GROWING AS HIRING ACCELERATES
P A Y R O L L E M P L O Y M E N T
ECONOMIC HIGHLIGHTSB A L T I M O R E M E T R O A R E A
1.4m i l l i o n
at July
2014
J O B C H A N G E
34.6t h o u s a n d
12 months ending July
2014
U N E M P L O Y M E N T R AT E
6.9% down from
7.2% one year ago
I N F L AT I O N
1.7%12 months ending July
2014
H O U S I N G P R I C E S
3.7%12 months
ending June
2014Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, FHFA; September 2014.
at July 2014
THE BALTIMORE
AREA ECONOMY
THIRD QUARTER 2014
DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION20
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gained 34,600 new payroll positions during the 12 months
ending July 2014, first in its peer group . This compares to
the 20-year annual average of 11,8.00 new payroll jobs .
JOB GROWTH BY SECTOR
Over the past 12 months, nine sectors added jobs in the
Baltimore metro area, up from only six in the 12 months
ending April 2014 . The top three sectors are Professional/
Business Services, Leisure/Hospitality, and Construction/
Mining – with a total of 23,600 new jobs added to the
economy in these three sectors alone . The Professional/
Business Services and Leisure/Hospitality sectors shared
the lead for the amount of payroll jobs added in the past
12 months, each adding 8.,8.00 payroll jobs . These totals
exceeded the Professional/Businesses Services sector’s
20-year annual average of 4,8.00 jobs and the Leisure/
Hospitality sector’s 20-year annual average of 1,700 jobs .
UNEMPLOYMENT RATE
The Baltimore area unemployment rate was 6 .9.% (not
seasonally adjusted) at July 2014, down from 7 .2% one
year earlier . This compares to the seasonally-adjusted
national rate of 6 .2% in July 2014 . Among comparable metro
PAYROLL JOB GROWTH Baltimore Metro Area | 12 Months Ending July 2014
-6,000 -4,000 -2,000 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000
Manufacturing
Federal Government
Information
Other Services
Wholesale Trade
Financial Services
Retail Trade
Transportation/Utilities
Education/Health
State/Local Gov
Construction/Mining
Leisure/Hospitality
Prof/Business Services
J O B C H A N G E
+38,700
-4,100
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Delta Associates; September 2014.
34.6
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
Baltimore St. Louis Milwaukee Detroit Cleveland Pittsburgh
PAYROLL JOB GROWTH Comparable Metro Areas | 12 Months Ending July 2014
TH
OU
SAN
DS
OF
NE
W
PAY
RO
LL J
OB
S
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Delta Associates; September 2014.
THE BALTIMORE AREA ECONOMY
Note: In thousands of payroll jobs. Data are not seasonally adjusted.Source: BLS, Delta Associates; September 2014.
Prof/Business Services
Leisure/Hospitality
Construction/Mining
State/Local Govt
Education/Health
Transportation/Utilities
Retail Trade
Financial Services
Wholesale Trade
Other Services
Information
Federal Government
Manufacturing
Total
225 .0
142 .3
78. .5
169. .0
251 .3
46 .4
139. .1
77 .8.
53 .4
54 .4
15 .9.
50 .5
56 .5
1,360.1
8. .8.
8. .8.
6 .0
5 .2
4 .5
2 .3
1 .6
0 .9.
0 .6
(0 .5)
(0 .9.)
(1 .1)
(1 .6)
34.6
4 .8.
1 .7
0 .7
1 .0
4 .5
0 .5
0 .3
0 .1
0 .2
0 .5
-0 .1
0 .1
-2 .5
11.8
TRENDS IN EMPLOYMENT BY MAJOR SECTORBaltimore Metro Area | In Thousands
JULY 2014
12-MONTHCHANGE
20-YEAR ANNUAL AVERAGE
-50
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14*
20-Year Annual Average = 11,800/Year
*12 months ending in July 2014.
TH
OU
SAN
DS
OF
NE
W P
AY
RO
LL
JOB
S (
AN
NU
AL
AV
ER
AG
E)
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Delta Associates; September 2014.
PAYROLL JOB GROWTH Baltimore Metro Area
21DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION
SPONSORED BY BOZZUTO
areas, Baltimore holds the third-lowest unemployment
rate as of July 2014 . Although the Baltimore metro area’s
unemployment rate has increased during the past several
months, the cause for this is formerly-discouraged
unemployed workers re-entering the labor market in search
of jobs . This is a positive sign and the result of an increase
in hiring as of late . We expect the Baltimore metro area’s
unemployment rate to decline into the mid-6% range by the
end of 2014 .
CYBER-SECURITY FIELD GAINS NEW INVESTMENT FUND
The Baltimore metro area has established itself as one of
the main hubs for cyber-security jobs . Efforts such as the
Maryland Technology Development Corporation’s new
investment fund should help further strengthen Baltimore’s
position in this sector . The fund will invest up to $100,000
in companies that are developing and commercializing
new cyber-security projects . Not only will this help cyber-
security companies grow, but this will also help combat
the growing amount of cyber-security threats companies
are facing . Cyber threats can significantly hurt consumers’
trust in companies, weakening sales .
Additionally, Towson University students studying cyber-
security now have access to internships at the National
Security Agency . Towson is only one of 13 schools that have
earned recognition from the NSA as one of its National Centers
of Academic Excellence in Cyber Operations . Students at the
13 universities that received this recognition gain access to
internships that are set aside especially for them .
Furthermore, the University of Maryland University College
has tripled the amount of its undergraduate and graduate
students in its cyber-security program since its launch
in 2010 . Now, more than 4,8.00 students are taking the
online college’s cyber-security program . Such initiatives
are important in order to sustain the significant growth
occurring within the industry .
REGIONAL CONSUMER PRICE INDEX
Overall inflation in the Washington/Baltimore region was
1 .7% during the 12 months ending July 2014, compared to
the national inflation rate of 2 .0% . Inflation for all types
of items remained relatively in check with the regional
inflation rate . Medical expenses only rose 2 .3% in the
UNEMPLOYMENT RATES Comparable Metro Areas | July 2013 vs. July 2014
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Delta Associates; September 2014.
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
Pittsburgh Milwaukee Baltimore St. Louis Cleveland Detriot
July 2013 July 2014
UN
EM
PLO
YM
EN
T R
AT
E
National Rate*
6.2%
7.3%
Basis Point Change -80 -60 -60 -30 -100 -130
*Seasonally adjusted.
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Delta Associates; September 2014.
AN
NU
AL
PR
ICE
IN
DE
X C
HA
NG
E
CONSUMER PRICE INDEX (CPI ) Washington/Baltimore Region
-2%
-1%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
10-Year Annual Average = 2.7%
Note: Data is 12 months ending in each period, through July 2014.
THE BALTIMORE AREA ECONOMY
DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION22
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Washington/Baltimore region during the past 12 months,
the lowest rise in a 12 month period since November 2009. .
Also, housing fuel and utilities have decreased 1 .4% during
the same period after rising 7 .2% during the 12 months
ending March 2014 and 4 .0% during the 12 months ending
May 2014 . For the balance of 2014, we expect inflation
to be contained locally, as slowly progressing economic
conditions keep prices in check, with growth of 1 .5% to 2 .5% .
As long as appropriate monetary measures are in place at
the Federal level, inflation should remain controlled .
HOUSING PRICES
House prices increased 3 .7% during the 12 months ending
June 2014 in the Baltimore metro area, according to the
Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) . This compares to a
national increase of 5 .3% during the same period, according
to FHFA’s methodology . Of note, the Baltimore metro area
is not one of the 20 metros tracked monthly by the Case-
Shiller index .
Baltimore’s job growth remains above the long-term
average, which will support a healthy local housing market .
However, as we expected, the rate of price growth has
decelerated as the economy continues to experience the
effects of sequestration – notwithstanding the partial
roll-back that is underway – and the fact that housing
has become increasingly unaffordable due to the slower
acceleration of wage growth .
REGION’S CORE INDUSTRIES
The Baltimore metro area’s gross regional product (GRP) was
$162 .8. billion in 2013 in current year dollars, an increase
of 3% over 2012 . Federal and financial activities make up
a notable portion of the economy, generating 27% and
20%, respectively, of the Baltimore metro area’s economic
activity . The level of Federal procurement spending in
the Baltimore metro area rose during 2013 . Procurement
spending totaled an estimated $9. .8. billion during 2013, up
from $9. .4 billion during 2012 in current year dollars . This
is in contrast to the Washington metro area, where Federal
procurement spending has been declining .
BALTIMORE AREA ECONOMIC OUTLOOK
We expect the Baltimore metro economy to finish out the
year strongly and to continue its positive momentum into
THE BALTIMORE AREA ECONOMY
GRP = Gross Regional Product; totals are estimates and may not round to 100%.
2013
GRP IN BILLIONS $ % OF GRP Total Federal $s $44.0 27%
Portion Procurement $9.8 6%
Financial Activities $32.6 20%
Prof/Business Services $24.4 15%
Education/Health $17.9 11%
Leisure/Hospitality $6.5 4%
Other $37.4 23%
Total GRP $162.8 100%
CORE ECONOMIC SECTORS Baltimore Metro Area
Source: BEA, U.S. Conference of Mayors, Delta Associates; September 2014. Note: % GRP reflects the most recent data available from the BEA.
FEDERAL PROCUREMENT SPENDING Baltimore Metro Area
DO
LLA
RS
IN
BIL
LIO
NS
Note: Estimate of current year dollars.
$0
$2
$4
$6
$8
$10
$12
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Source: U.S. Census, BEA, U.S. Conference of Mayors, Delta Associates; September 2014.
HOME PRICES Baltimore Metro Area vs. United States
Source: Federal Housing Finance Agency, Delta Associates; September 2014.
PE
RC
EN
T C
HA
NG
E
Note: Seasonally adjusted purchase-only price. *12-month change at June 2014.
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014*
Baltimore MSAUnited States
23DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION
SPONSORED BY BOZZUTO
2015 . Jobs continue to be added to the metro area at a rate
above the 20-year annual average . While some of the jobs
being created are lower-wage positions, such as many of
the leisure/hospitality jobs, others are higher-wage such as
many of the professional and business services positions .
The higher-wage positions will have a greater multiplier
effect throughout the rest of the regional economy .
The local economy likely will continue generating jobs at a
rate above the 20-year average during the 2014-16 period .
We project that the Baltimore metro area economy will add
16,300 net new jobs in 2014, followed by 17,600 in 2015 and
20,400 in 2016 . Employment growth in early 2014 was not
as strong as it has been recently, so we expect the annual
average for this year to be less than the total for the 12
months ending in July 2014 .
We expect most of the upcoming hiring to be generated by
the Professional/Business Services and Education/Health
sectors . The demand for cyber-security workers and the
growing private sector will drive the local economy during
the 2014-16 period .
THE BALTIMORE AREA ECONOMY
JOB GROWTH Baltimore Metro Area
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Delta Associates; September 2014.
TH
OU
SAN
DS
OF
NE
W P
AY
RO
LL
JOB
S (
AN
NU
AL
AV
ER
AG
E)
-50
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
3-Year Projected Average = 18,100/Year 20-Year Average = 11,800/Year
We expect the Baltimore metro economy to finish out the year strongly and to continue its positive momentum into 2015.
DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION24
AN OVERVIEW OF THE WASHINGTON
CONDOMINIUM MARKET
THIRD QUARTER 2014
CONSTRUCTION DELIVERIES
CONSTRUCTION STARTS
NET SALES VOLUME
THIRD QUARTER 2014
453PAST 12 MONTHS
1,612PRIOR 12-MONTH PERIOD
1,944
PIPELINE AT SEPTEMBER 2014
PRICES
11.9%NEW UNITS
1.2%RESALES
CONCESSIONS
1.6%AT SEPT 2014
2.1%AT SEPT 2013
MONTHS OF INVENTORY
months
SALES PACE
3,119
16.7
PROJECTED STARTS IN 2014
2,304STARTS IN 2013
1,578
PROJECTED DELIVERIES IN 2014
DELIVERIES IN 2013
2,004SOLD OUT SINCE 2013
2.8
INTRODUCED IN PAST 12 MONTHS
sales per month
3.4sales per month
983
UNSOLD NEW CONDO UNITS
DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION 25
AN OVERVIEW OF THE BALTIMORE
CONDOMINIUM MARKET
THIRD QUARTER 2014
CONSTRUCTION DELIVERIES
CONSTRUCTION STARTS
NET SALES VOLUME
THIRD QUARTER 2014
55PAST 12 MONTHS
189PRIOR 12-MONTH PERIOD
323
PIPELINE AT SEPTEMBER 2014
PRICES
-2.9%NEW UNITS
2.0%RESALES
CONCESSIONS
1.2%AT SEPT 2014
2.6%AT SEPT 2013
MONTHS OF INVENTORY
months
SALES PACE
271
14.0
PROJECTED STARTS IN 2014
50STARTS IN 2013
80
SOLD OUT SINCE 2013
2.1
PAST 12 MONTHS
sales per month
N/Asales per month
488
80PROJECTED DELIVERIES IN 2014
DELIVERIES IN 2013
UNSOLD NEW CONDO UNITS
SPONSORED BY BOZZUTO
2STATE OF THE
MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A
APARTMENT MARKET
DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION28
ANNUAL AVERAGE EFFECTIVE RENT GROWTH
MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A LOW-RISE APARTMENTS SEPTEMBER 2014
Source: Delta Associates, September 2014.
ANNUAL AVERAGE EFFECTIVE RENT GROWTH
MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A MID AND HIGH-RISE APARTMENTS | SEPTEMBER 2014
Source: Delta Associates, September 2014.
SUPPLY/DEMAND RELATIONSHIP
MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKETSNEXT 36 MONTHS: PERIOD ENDING SEPT 2017
Source: Delta Associates, September 2014.
STABILIZED VACANCY RATES
MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKETS
Source: Delta Associates, September 2014.
ANNUAL AVERAGE EFFECTIVE RENT GROWTH Mid-Atlantic Class A Low-Rise Apartments | September 2014
Source: Delta Associates, September 2014.
$800 $1,100 $1,400 $1,700
SUBURBAN PHL.
SUBURBAN BALT.
SUBURBAN MD
NORTHERN VA
3Q 2009 Increase 2009-2014
ANNUAL INCREASE Past 5 Yrs
Past 1 Yr
3.6%
3.0%
3.4%
2.4%
1.0%
1.0%
1.4%
2.3%
SUPPLY/DEMAND RELATIONSHIP Mid-Atlantic Class A Apartment Markets Next 36 Months: Period Ending September 2017
Source: Delta Associates, September 2014.
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
Washington Baltimore
Supply
Demand
Projected Stabilized Vacancy % at
September 30, 2017 4.5% 3.0%
ANNUAL AVERAGE EFFECTIVE RENT GROWTH Mid-Atlantic Class A Mid- and High-Rise Apartments | September 2014
Source: Delta Associates, September 2014.
$1,200 $1,600 $2,000 $2,400 $2,800
BALTIMORE CITY
SUBURBAN MD
CENTER CITYPHILADELPHIA
NORTHERN VA
THE DISTRICT
3Q 2009 Increase 2009-2014
ANNUAL INCREASE Past 5 Yrs
Past 1 Yr
1.4%
3.8%
2.6%
0.9%
1.6%
1.0%
-0.1%
1.2%
4.3%
-0.1%
STABILIZED VACANCY RATES Mid-Atlantic Class A Apartment Markets
Source: Delta Associates, September 2014.
3.7% 3.4%
1.9%
3.9% 4.2%
2.8%
3.9%
4.6% 5.0%
4.6%
3.6%
2.9%
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
Washington Baltimore Philadelphia
Q3 2011 Q3 2012 Q3 2013 Q3 2014
STA
BIL
IZE
D V
AC
AN
CY
RA
TE
A SNAPSHOT OF THE
CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET
THIRD QUARTER 2014
DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION 29
WASHINGTON METRO AREA
RECORD ABSORPTION & A DROP IN STARTS SET THE STAGE FOR A REBOUND IN RENTS.ARE WE SEEING THE BEGINNING OF THE END OF THE SUPPLY PROBLEM?
RECORD SETTING CLASS A ABSORPTION CONTINUES, AS 10,663 CLASS A UNITS WERE ABSORBED OVER THE PAST 12 MONTHS77% ahead of our long term average, despite weak job growth over the past year
THE GOOD NEWS
2014 TRENDS
METRO-WIDE, THE STABILIZED VACANCY RATE FOR ALL CLASSES OF INVESTMENT GRADE APARTMENTS REMAINED UNCHANGED OVER THE PAST YEAR – AT 4.1%However, Class A vacancy edged up to 4.6%
METRO AREA CLASS A RENTS ROSE BY 1.1% OVER THE PAST 12 MONTHSdue to unprecedented absorption levels
THE 36-MONTH DEVELOPMENT PIPELINE EDGED UP SLIGHTLY TO 40,175 UNITSwith 32,081 of those units currently under construction
Largely due to favorable demographic and lifestyle trends, the region has been able to weather the onslaught of supply with
record setting absorption – thus far . This onslaught has been building up in intensity since the credit markets began lending
again in 2011 . Whether the region can continue on this track is questionable, given an additional 26,500 units that will deliver
over the next 24 months and projected job growth that is slower-than-average for a recovery cycle .
STATE OF THE MID-ATLANTIC
CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET
THIRD QUARTER 2014
CONSTRUCTION STARTS IN THE 3RD QUARTER ARE AT THEIR LOWEST LEVEL IN 3 YEARSbut an elevated amount of units are expected to start construction before the end of the year
DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION30
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RENTS
Metro area effective rents for all classes of investment
grade apartments rose by 1 .0% over the past year; Class A
rents increased by 1 .1% while Class B rents rose by 0 .9.% .
VACANCY
Washington metro area stabilized vacancy for all classes
of apartments is 4 .1%, similar to the national rate of 4 .1% .
The vacancy rate for Class A apartments in the Washington
metro area at September 2014 increased to 4 .6% from 3 .9.%
at third quarter 2013 .
CONCESSIONS
Concessions as a barometer of the market have lost their
usefulness, because the share of properties in the region
using rent optimization software has increased and “real-
time pricing” without concessions has become widespread .
We will continue to track these data in our statistical tables
for the time being, but we no longer comment on this metric .
LEASE-UP
As the number of projects in lease-up remains elevated
in the third quarter of 2014, the market saw per-project
monthly lease-up pace hold up well at an average of 16
units leased per month per project, the same as the rate
registered last year . This is a testament to the strength of
the market, as there are 76 projects in active lease-up today
compared to 60 in the third quarter of 2013 . (See Table 3 .11)
The number of projects in lease-up will continue to climb,
with a large slate of projects set to deliver over the next 12
months, likely putting downward pressure on per-project
lease-up pace .
PIPELINE
The pipeline of likely deliveries over the next 36 months
remained relatively unchanged during the third quarter
of 2014, at a record-high level of 40,175 units . As pro
formas become more difficult to pencil in light of rising
construction costs and relatively flat rents, we expect the
pipeline to shrink to a more healthy level over the next 12
to 24 months . Most of the decline will come from projects
that delay starting construction, since there are currently
23,358. units under construction metro-wide that have not
STATE OF THE MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET
APARTMENT VACANCY RATES Major Apartment Markets
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
NY LA Chi Phi* Wash* Balt* DFW Phx Hou Atl
Source: Reis Services, LLC, Delta Associates; September 2014.
1/ The 79 largest apartment markets in the U.S. * Mid-Year 2014 data except for Washington, Baltimore, and Philadelphia which are as of Q3 2014.
VA
CA
NC
Y R
AT
E (
ALL
CLA
SS
ES
)
National Rate: 1/
4.1%
MARKET RATE APARTMENT DEVELOPMENT PIPELINE Washington Metro | 2005 –2014
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014*
Source: Delta Associates, September 2014.
MA
RK
ET
RA
TE
UN
ITS
PLA
NN
ED
A
ND
UN
DE
R C
ON
ST
RU
CT
ION
* As of Third Quarter 2014.
ANNUAL NET APARTMENT ABSORPTION Class A & B Units | Washington Metro
8,619
6,202
3,668 3,303 4,163
3,580
583 360
1,965
4,932
6,493 6,185
7,720
8,639
13,234
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
Source: Delta Associates, September 2014.
NET
ABS
ORP
TIO
N O
F CL
ASS
A &
B U
NIT
S
Long-Term Average = 5,333
31DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION
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begun leasing yet and only 9.% of these units are suitably
sized to switch to a condominium regime before delivery .
STARTS
Over the past 12 months, 12,424 units started construction
metro-wide – while still above average, is the lowest annual
total since 2010 . The majority of starts over the past year
occurred in the fourth quarter of 2013 and the second
quarter of 2014 . Only 1,615 units at eight projects started
construction this quarter, the smallest quarterly total since
the second quarter of 2011 . However, we expect this to
be a temporary lull since an elevated amount of units is
scheduled to begin construction in the fourth quarter .
DELIVERIES
We project that 16,608. units will deliver over the next 12
months, a 10% increase over the 15,101 units delivered in the
previous year . Deliveries are expected to decrease to 9.,9.44 units
during the following 12-month period . Approximately 58.% of
these expected deliveries are currently under construction .
SUPPLY/DEMAND STATISTICS
ABSORPTION PACE PER PROJECT PER MONTH For Projects in Initial Lease-Up | Washington Metro
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
9/07 9/08 9/09 9/10 9/11 9/12 9/13 9/14
Source: Delta Associates, September 2014.
MO
NTH
LY A
BSO
RPTI
ON
PAC
E PE
R PR
OJE
CT S
INCE
MAR
KETI
NG
BEG
AN
Number of Projects in Initial
Lease-Up: 30 46 43 32 23 33 60 76
STATE OF THE MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET
EFFECTIVE RENTAL RATE AND VACANCY RATE All Types and Classes of Apartments | Washington Metro
$700
$800
$900
$1,000
$1,100
$1,200
$1,300
$1,400
$1,500
$1,600
$1,700
$1,800
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
4.0%
4.5%
5.0%
5.5%Average Effective Base RentStabilized Vacancy
STA
BIL
IZE
D V
AC
AN
CY
RA
TE
AV
ER
AG
E E
FF
EC
TIV
E B
AS
E R
EN
T
Source: Delta Associates, September 2014.
3 . 5 % / Y E A R L O N G - T E R M R E N T G R O W T H
* As of Third Quarter 2014.
NOVA SUB MD DISTRICT METRO-WIDE
13,234
6,49.3
58.3
4,611
1,49.8.
421
Q4 13 - Q3 14
Q4 12 - Q3 13
Q4 11 - Q3 12
6,014
2,761
-1,152
2,610
2,234
1,314
NET ABSORPTION CLASS A & B:
15,101
16,608.
9.,9.44
4,8.65
6,006
7,09.6
3,9.04
1,9.9.6
Q4 13 - Q3 14
Projected:
Q4 14 - Q3 15
Q4 15 - Q3 16
Q4 16 - Q3 17
4,618.
5,207
3,29.5
1,244
4,477
4,305
2,745
1,625
DELIVERIES:
1,615
12,424
320
5,8.70
Q3 2014
Q4 13 - Q3 14
39.0
3,037
9.05
3,517
STARTS:
40,175
36,09.8.
36,564
16,662
14,719.
14,175
At 9./2014
At 9./2013
At 9./2012
12,440
11,9.8.7
12,300
11,073
9.,39.2
10,08.9.
36-MONTH PIPELINE1:
1Includes vacant units in projects leasing up, units under construction and units expected to begin construction and deliver in the the next 36 months.
ABSORPTION, DELIVERIES, STARTS, AND PIPELINE SUMMARY
Equity Residential: 1111 Belle Pre, Alexandria, VA
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SUBSTATE RECAP
Northern Virginia’s market performance is lagging the other substate areas . In a year that saw record
absorption metro-wide, Northern Virginia only experienced a modest increase over the past year . However,
deliveries increased significantly, causing more competition in the local marketplace . A bright spot: Rent
growth in Tysons Corner outpaced all other low-rise submarkets in the metro area, likely due to the debut
of Metrorail’s new Silver Line in late July .
STATE OF THE MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET
Suburban Maryland’s Class A market performance in Suburban Maryland has been improving in recent
quarters, with rents increasing for both low-rise and high-rise product and vacancy remaining constant
over the past year . This substate region was the only one where record-setting absorption nearly outpaced
deliveries of Class A product . This trend of strong demand, coupled with more restrained construction
starts, will sustain more positive market performance .
The District’s rent growth is stronger than the high-rise submarkets in the suburbs and vacancy is also
lower . Much of the new product that will begin leasing over the next 24 months is concentrated in emerging
markets such as Mt . Vernon Triangle, NoMa, H Street, and the Capitol Riverfront, but several projects are
also being built in hot areas along the 14th and U street corridors . The amount of planned deliveries is still
a concern, although The District’s recent population surge – averaging about 1,000 new residents a month,
has helped absorbed some of the new supply .
Urban Atlantic LLC & The JBG Companies: Sky House East, Washington, DC
OFFICE TO RESIDENTIAL –
A NEW TREND?
While office-to-residential conversions are more prevalent in other Mid-Atlantic cities such as Baltimore and Philadelphia, whose downtowns have an abundance of older, obsolete office buildings, a handful of projects in the Washington metro area have been completed in recent years. In The District, older office buildings in the West End and the East End have been transformed into apartment buildings such as West End 25 and The Woodward Building; and in Crystal City, the relocation of the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office spurred the repurposing of the Crystal Plaza II office building to 220 Twentieth Street. Currently, there are approximately 593 units in three projects around the metro area that are currently being converted from office space to rental apartments. See below for a sample:
• The former EPA towers in the Southwest Waterfront have been converted to 213-unit Sky House East and 211-unit Sky House West.
• The George is a 169-unit conversion in Wheaton and began pre-leasing units over the summer.
We will know in the period ahead how successful office-to-residential conversion buildings will be in a marketplace where renters have many built-as-new apartment projects to choose from in a given submarket, since some of these conversions can have floor plan design challenges – often producing unique layouts. Since the regional office market is experiencing a flight to quality, we expect more of these obsolete office buildings to convert to residential (both for-rent and for-sale).
We think the real issue is how will this trend play in the suburbs, where we have an enormous stock of obsolete office buildings?
RN ON INVESTMENT
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SUBSTATE RECAP
STATE OF THE MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET
NORTHERN VIRGINIA
ANNUAL CLASS A RENT GROWTH
CRYSTAL CITY/ PENTAGON CITY SOUTH ARLINGTON
3.6% -1.5%
36 MONTH PIPELINE
16,662PAST 12 MONTHS
13.2%
STABILIZED VACANCY
4.9%
Q3 2014
3.8%
Q3 2013
36 MONTHS
3,508
ABSORPTION
6,006
DELIVERED
15%
ANNUAL CHANGE IN ABSORPTION
-0.1%
1 320
Q3 2014 CONSTRUCTION STARTS
PROJECTS UNITS
7,096PROJECTED DELIVERIES Q4 2014 – Q3 2015
HIGH-RISE
TYSONS CORNER FAIR OAKS
7.0% -1.9%
1.0%LOW-RISE
CLASS A: THIRD QUARTER
ANNUAL CLASS A
SUBURBAN MARYLAND
ANNUAL CLASS A RENT GROWTH
N. BETHESDA/ ROCKVILLE BETHESDA
2.6% -2.9%
36 MONTH PIPELINE
12,440PAST 12 MONTHS
3.8%
STABILIZED VACANCY
4.6%
Q3 2014
4.6%
Q3 2013
36 MONTHS
4,424
ABSORPTION
4,618
DELIVERED
56%
ANNUAL CHANGE IN ABSORPTION
1.2%
3 390
Q3 2014 CONSTRUCTION STARTS
PROJECTS UNITS
5,207PROJECTED DELIVERIES Q4 2014 – Q3 2015
HIGH-RISE
ANNAPOLISHOWARD COUNTY/ COLUMBIA
6.0% -4.2%
1.0%LOW-RISE
CLASS A: THIRD QUARTER
ANNUAL CLASS A
ANNUAL CLASS A RENT GROWTH
THE DISTRICT
NORTHEAST CENTRAL
7.7% -0.2%
36 MONTH PIPELINE
11,073PAST 12 MONTHS
17.9%
STABILIZED VACANCY
Q3 2014
2.5%
Q3 2013
36 MONTHS
2,731
ABSORPTION
4,477
DELIVERED
22%
ANNUAL CHANGE IN ABSORPTION
HIGHEST $/SF SUBMARKET
$3.40/SF
2.6%
C.H./SHAW SUBMARKET
average
4 905
Q3 2014 CONSTRUCTION STARTS
PROJECTS UNITS
4,305PROJECTED DELIVERIES Q4 2014 – Q3 2015
CLASS A: THIRD QUARTER
ANNUAL CLASS A
3.5%
DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION34
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GROWING DEMAND
The Washington area’s Class A apartment absorption was
10,663 units over the past 12 months — a 77% increase
over the 10-year average . This record-setting absorption
was not at the expense of the Class B market, which also
experienced positive absorption (at least in the suburbs) .
Contributing factors to this uptick include:
• Apartment supply that is no longer constrained .
• An increase in jobs and household that tend to rent rather than own .
• Resulting in an increase in the share of renter households vs . owners .
Over the coming quarters, three factors will be necessary
for rental demand generation:
• Job growth .
• Demographic shifts:
• The “de-nesting” of 25- to 34-year-olds who are living at home .
• The “un-grouping” of 25- to 34-year-olds who are living together to save money .
• Renter/owner preference shifts: The ratio of renters to owners stays the same or increases .
We expect all three of these factors to continue to favor the
apartment market through this housing cycle . We project
“de-nesting” and “un-grouping” to take place in the 2014 to
2018. period, with improved job growth in the region . This
trend will produce solid Class A apartment absorption .
Therefore, we project demand of approximately 9.,167 Class
A units per annum over the next three years, fewer than the
10,663 units during the past 12 months, but stronger than
the metro region’s 10-year average of 5,9.25 units per annum .
SUPPLY/DEMAND AND RENT OUTLOOK
Given the projected delivery schedule of projects currently
under construction, we expect the region-wide vacancy rate
for stabilized Class A apartment properties to edge upward
from 4 .6% today to the low 5% range before declining to
approximately 4 .5% by the third quarter of 2017 . However,
CLASS A APARTMENT UNIT STARTS Washington Metro | 2012-2014
Source: Delta Associates, September 2014.
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
District Sub MD No VA
NU
MBE
R O
F CL
ASS
A M
ARKE
T RA
TE U
NIT
S
Class A Long-Term Average Quarterly Absorption = 1,508
2012 2013 2014
% O
F TO
TAL
HO
US
EH
OLD
S
28%
29%
30%
31%
32%
33%
34%
35%
36%
37%
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Washington MetroU.S.
Source: U.S. Census, Delta Associates, September 2014.
RENTER HOUSEHOLDS Washington Metro vs. U.S. | 2007 - 2014
Y E A R LY A V E R A G E
PROJECTED DELIVERIES Projects Currently Under Construction | Washington Metro | 2014-2016
Source: Delta Associates, September 2014.
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
DistrictSub MDNo VA
2014 2015 2016
NU
MBE
R O
F CL
ASS
A M
ARKE
T RA
TE U
NIT
S
Class A Long-Term Average Quarterly Absorption = 1,508
STATE OF THE MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET
We project demand of approximately 9,167 Class A units per annum over the next three years, fewer than the 10,663 units during the past 12 months, but stronger than the metro region’s 10-year average of 5,925 units per annum.
35DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION
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there will be significant variance in conditions among
submarkets . (See Table A on page 40 .)
At the regional level, Class A rents will be flat to slightly
negative over the next 24 months due to the large slate of
scheduled deliveries compared to projected demand levels .
Rents have thus far held up well as competition increased
over the past year due to record absorption, but given
a robust delivery schedule of new product and projected
absorption (while elevated) below the record-setting pace
as of late, rents will likely be flat at the regional level by
the end of 2014 and modest declines are probable in 2015 .
Better projects in stronger submarkets will outperform
these market-wide averages . We expect rent growth to
recover to the 3 .0% range by 2017 and higher in 2018. .
RETURN ON INVESTMENT
Total return on apartment investment (cash flow plus
appreciation) in the Washington market continues to track
below the national average, as reported by NCREIF . While
this index reports a 7 .06% 12-month total return, this
measure is significantly off the cyclical peak of 28. .64% in
2010 . This breather is to be expected after such a huge run-
up earlier this cycle in area prices . (See Table B on page 41 .)
Washington was early to recover from the 2009. recession
and was also early to peak in investment returns .
WASHINGTON INVESTMENT SALES
The Washington investment sales market experienced an
increase in Class A sales activity in 2013, with $1 .63 billion of
multifamily Class A building sales (18. low-rise properties and
five mid-/high-rise properties) . The average per unit price for
2013 sales was 17 .2% higher than year-end 2012 for low-rise
units (at $235,000) . High-rise prices were up 8. .4% from year-
end 2012 (at $426,000) . These totals do not include the break-
up and sale of stalwart developer and operator Archstone to
AvalonBay and Equity Residential . This transaction, covering
138. existing properties nationally and development sites
throughout the region, closed in February 2013 .
Through August 2014, we note $9.26 million of multifamily
Class A building transaction volume in 11 trades – compared
to $1 .04 billion in the same period last year . Two of these
trades set records for the region within weeks of one
another, with the later transaction breaking the $9.00,000
per unit barrier .
DEMAND AND SUPPLY PROJECTIONS Washington Metro Class A Apartment Market September 2014 – September 2017
Source: Delta Associates, September 2014.
02468
1012141618
The District Sub MD No VA
Net Absorption: 9,167/Year = 27,500
D E M A N D
S U P P LY 1
Planned and may deliver by 9/17: 8,094 units Under construction supply: 32,081 units 2
Total = 40,175 units 1 Probable supply after projected attrition. 2 Includes unleased units at projects in lease-up.
4.6% 4.0% 4.9%
Projected Stabilized Vacancy % at September 2017 Projected Stabilized Vacancy % at September 2017: 4.5% Metro Wide
MAR
KET
RATE
UN
ITS
IN T
HOU
SAN
DS
STATE OF THE MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET
CLASS A APARTMENT VACANCY RATE Washington Metro | Year-End 2007-2017
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014* 2015 2016 2017
No VA Sub MD The District
Source: Delta Associates, September 2014.
2.9% 3.6% 4.4% 3.6% 5.0% 4.2% 4.7% 4.9% 5.1% 4.8% 4.6%
STA
BIL
IZE
D V
AC
AN
CY
RA
TE
Washington
Metro Vacancy
*Q3 2014 Class A Vacancy = 4.6%
ANNUAL CLASS A APARTMENT RENT GROWTH Washington Metro | 2002 - 2017
-4%
-2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%Long-Term Average = 4.4%
Source: Delta Associates, September 2014.
PE
RC
EN
T E
FF
EC
TIV
E R
EN
T G
RO
WT
H
* Annual rent growth at Third Quarter 2014 is 1.1%
DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION36
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It is our sense, and those of our 2013 Delta Associates
Market Maker Survey participants, that apartment cap
rates nudged up slightly during 2013, as market conditions
became more competitive amid increased supply and job
growth became muted in the region . Despite this uptick in
cap rates, our survey indicated that apartments have been
and will remain in favor as an asset class . So far in 2014,
apartments remain in favor and cap rates appear to be
holding steady at cyclical lows .
A total of 12 multifamily land sales have closed through
August 2014, totaling $19.6 million, with the capacity for
more than 3,000 multifamily units . More than $28.2 million
in multifamily land sales was completed in 2013, with the
capacity for more than 4,200 units, compared with $338.
million in sales during 2012 .
LONG-TERM RENTAL OUTLOOK BRIGHT
Demographic and housing trends will power a healthy
apartment market over the next five years or more .
Due to a confluence of factors, including the Millennial
demographic bulge and the increased preference to rent
rather than own following the national housing collapse,
there is an extremely large cohort of renters expected to
emerge that will increase in size for another decade . The
prime renter cohort of population of 20-34 year olds will
grow to nearly 68. million nation-wide by 2024 . This pool
of renters should power a strong national and local rental
market over the intermediate to long term .
A driving factor why these Millennials will rent rather than
own is student debt . The average student debt balance for
25 year-olds has nearly doubled over the past decade from
$10,649. in 2003 to $20,9.26 in 2013 . Furthermore, the breadth
of student debt has also grown over the past decade, with
nearly 45% of 25 year-olds still maintaining student debt,
up from 25% in 2003 . This large and widely shared debt
burden will delay saving for a down payment and will likely
lengthen the tenure of renters in this generation .
Source: Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Equifax, Delta Associates, September 2014.
STUDENT LOAN DEBT United States
$10,000
$12,000
$14,000
$16,000
$18,000
$20,000
$22,000
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
SH
AR
E O
F 2
5 Y
EA
R O
LDS
WIT
H
ST
UD
EN
T D
EB
T
AV
ER
AG
E S
TU
DE
NT
LO
AN
BA
LAN
CE
O
F 2
2 -
25
YE
AR
OLD
S
STATE OF THE MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET
DEMOGRAPHIC MOST LIKELY TO RENT Cumulative Number of People Age 20 – 34 | United States
Source: U.S. Census, Delta Associates, Fannie Mae, September 2014.
54
56
58
60
62
64
66
68
70
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
IN M
ILLI
ON
S
The Donohoe Companies: Gallery Bethesda, Bethesda, MD
Demographic and housing trends will power a healthy apartment market over the next five years or more.
37DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION
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BALTIMORE METRO AREA: RENT GROWTH REMAINS POSITIVEAS VACANCY RATE DECLINES
Rental housing fundamentals in the Baltimore area are
healthy, with stable performance in the city and most
suburbs . Record absorption has been recorded over the past
12 months and supply had been limited in recent quarters;
however, the pipeline is on the rise and may have an impact
on market conditions .
THIRD QUARTER 2014 HIGHLIGHTS
• Stabilized Class A vacancy for the Baltimore metro area
is down 100 basis points from last year at this time,
to 3 .6% . Vacancy in Baltimore’s northern submarkets
is down to 2 .6% from 5 .3% at September 2013 . Vacancy
in Baltimore City is down to 2 .0% from 4 .0% a year
ago . Vacancy in Baltimore’s southern submarkets
edged upwards from 4 .5% last year to 5 .3% . At 3 .6%,
the Baltimore region’s vacancy rate outperforms the
national average of 4 .1% .
• Concessions in the Baltimore metro area have decreased
slightly since last year, to 1 .8.% at September 2014, from
2 .3% in September 2013 .
• Average effective rents in the metro area are $1,626
($1 .61 per SF) . Rents in the Baltimore metro area saw
an increase over the year with 1 .3% rent growth, caused
by strong growth in the suburbs . Rents in the northern
suburbs have increased by 2 .4% since September 2013,
mainly due to positive rent growth of 4 .0% over the year
in West & NW Baltimore County . Effective rents in the
southern suburbs increased by 0 .6% over the past 12
months, with the rent decline of 4 .2% in Howard County/
Columbia offsetting a 6 .0% rent increase in Annapolis .
Effective rents in the Baltimore City submarkets rose by
0 .9.% as a whole with rents in Fells Point/Inner Harbor
and Downtown increasing 0 .3% and 1 .3% respectively .
• The supply pipeline metro-wide at third quarter 2014
is up compared to the pipeline at third quarter 2013 .
About 6,38.2 units are under construction or planned
and may deliver in the next 36 months in the Baltimore
metro area, compared to 4,9.9.2 units from this time last
year . These counts exclude Baltimore’s southernmost
suburbs, Anne Arundel and Howard counties, whose
STATE OF THE MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET
EFFECTIVE RENTAL RATE AND VACANCY RATE Class A Apartments | Baltimore Metro
$700
$800
$900
$1,000
$1,100
$1,200
$1,300
$1,400
$1,500
$1,600
$1,700
0.0%0.5%1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%4.0%4.5%5.0%5.5%6.0%
Average Effective Base RentStabilized Vacancy
STA
BIL
IZE
D V
AC
AN
CY
RA
TE
AV
ER
AG
E E
FF
EC
TIV
E B
AS
E R
EN
T
Source: Delta Associates, September 2014.
4 . 4 % / Y E A R L O N G - T E R M R E N T G R O W T H
* As of Third Quarter 2014
Obrecht Commercial Real Estate: The Gunther Apartments, Baltimore, MD
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units are also counted in the Washington metro pipeline
(and do not account for attrition) .
• Lease-up pace for the eight actively marketing projects
in the Baltimore area currently averages 12 units per
month per project . Five of the seven projects were
delivered in 2013 . One project was delivered in 2012 and
the remaining two in 2014 . Projects that have recently
stabilized have an average lease-up pace of 11 units per
month at low-rise properties and nine units per month
at high-rise properties .
Limited supply in recent quarters has led to healthy rent
growth and low vacancy in the Baltimore area . Despite
an increase in supply pipeline this quarter, we project
that strong Class A apartment absorption – due to recent
demographic and lifestyle shifts inducing rental demand
– will help soak up the 36-month supply forecasted in the
area . Baltimore’s supply/demand relationship indicates that
vacancy rates will decelerate and rent growth is likely to stay
flat or experience slight gains over the next 24 months .
PHILADELPHIA METRO AREA: EXPERIENCES SLIGHT RENT INCREASE AND A DROP IN VACANCY
The Philadelphia metro area’s stabilized Class A vacancy rate fell
210 basis points to 2 .9.% in the third quarter of 2014, compared
to 5 .0% at this time last year, as vacancy decreased over the
year in all metro area submarkets . Suburban Pennsylvania
vacancy is down 240 basis points compared with September
2013, at 2 .4% . In Southern New Jersey, vacancy is at 2 .9.% – down
by 18.0 basis points from 4 .7% a year ago . Vacancy in Center City
also declined 19.0 basis points to 3 .6% in the same time period .
The sub-state areas of Southern New Jersey and Suburban
Pennsylvania experienced similar rent conditions with overall
rent growth of 2 .3% over the year with average effective rents
at $1,468. per month . Rents in Center City remained relatively
flat with a slight decrease of 0 .1% since September 2013 . Rent
growth in Southern New Jersey was strongest as it grew by
2 .9.% over the same period . Effective rents across the entire
Philadelphia metro area increased by 1 .5% over the past year .
Metro-wide, average effective rental rates are $1,69.3 ($1 .70
per SF) . Center City effective rents average $2,177 ($2 .28. per
SF) for high-rise product vs . $1,468. ($1 .44 per SF) for low-
rise product in the suburbs .
STATE OF THE MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET
EFFECTIVE RENTAL RATE AND VACANCY RATE Class A Apartments | Philadelphia Metro
$1,000
$1,100
$1,200
$1,300
$1,400
$1,500
$1,600
$1,700
0.0%0.5%1.0%1.5%2.0%2.5%3.0%3.5%4.0%4.5%5.0%5.5%6.0%6.5%7.0%7.5%
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014*
Average Effective Base RentStabilized Vacancy
STA
BIL
IZE
D V
AC
AN
CY
RA
TE
AV
ER
AG
E E
FF
EC
TIV
E B
AS
E R
EN
T
Source: Delta Associates, September 2014.
2 . 6 % / Y E A R L O N G - T E R M R E N T G R O W T H
* As of Third Quarter 2014
Bozzuto: Arbors at Baltimore Crossroads, Baltimore, MD
Jefferson Apartment Group: Jefferson Pointe at West Chester, West Chester, PA
39DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION
SPONSORED BY BOZZUTO
CITY OF PHILADELPHIA
An increase in supply over recent quarters has led to lackluster
rent growth and rising vacancy in Center City . Despite some
improvements this quarter, the number of units under
construction continues to increase, and as a result, we project
that the 36-month supply will slightly exceed the number of
units that will be absorbed in Center City by the end of our
36-month forecast period . There are currently about 4,9.14
units under construction or planned that may deliver in the
next 36 months in Center City . Philadelphia’s supply/demand
relationship indicates that vacancy will continue to edge up
slightly and rent growth is likely to stay flat over the next 24
months . However, this trend will be temporary and we expect
Center City to remain a healthy market .
SUBURBAN PENNSYLVANIA
Effective rents in Suburban Pennsylvania are up by 2 .0% when
compared with rents at September 2013 . Stabilized vacancy
is currently 2 .4% compared with last year’s level of 4 .8.% .
Concessions have dropped slightly over the last year, from
2 .3% of asking rent at September 2013 to 0 .9.% in the current
quarter . Effective rents in Bucks County are down 0 .3% over
the year, while Montgomery County experienced positive
growth of 2 .3% . Chester and Delaware counties experienced
the strongest rent gains in Suburban Pennsylvania with an
increase of 2 .9.% over the year . Stabilized vacancy is currently
also the lowest in Delaware and Chester Counties at 0 .9.% .
Stabilized vacancy in Bucks County is 1 .6%, and 4 .9.% in
Montgomery County at September 2014 .
SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY
Southern New Jersey has a stabilized vacancy rate of 2 .9.%
at September 2014, down from 4 .7% over the year . Mercer
County has the lowest stabilized vacancy rate among
Southern New Jersey submarkets, at 0 .9.%, from 2 .4% last
year at this time . Camden County has a stabilized rate
of 3 .0%, and Burlington County has a rate of 2 .8.%, down
from 5 .0% and 4 .5% respectively over the year . All of the
submarkets in Southern New Jersey experienced rent
growth with effective rents increasing 2 .9.% over the year .
Burlington County led this increase with a 4 .7% from third
quarter 2013 to third quarter 2014, compared to Camden
County’s rent growth of 0 .6% and Mercer County’s rent gain
of 2 .8.% over the same period .
STATE OF THE MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET
A W O R D A B O U T O U R D E F I N I T I O N O F VA C A N C Y R AT E
We sometimes hear from apartment developers and managers
that their portfolio vacancy rate is 200 to 400 basis points
higher than the numbers we report, which places them under
unfair investor scrutiny. While we state methodological matters
at the end of our report (Section 5), we thought it appropriate to
describe here our term “vacancy.”
When we conduct our quarterly surveys, we obtain information
on “units available to lease” – that is, physical vacancy.
Obtaining the information this way, of course, may produce
several important differences from “vacancy” as reported in
your financial statements. Simply stated, the difference can be
characterized as:
Delta’s Definition: Available units to lease
Operating Statement Vacancy: Economic vacancy
Our definition (available units) may therefore be understated
compared to yours (economically vacant) by our exclusion of
units occupied by non-paying tenants (which we cannot know),
and of units not available for lease, such as employee units and
model apartments. We estimate that this adds about 100 to 150
basis points to your definition of vacancy, as compared with
ours. Our vacancy rate may also be understated, compared
with yours, by our exclusion of what are economically vacant,
on-notice units for which a lease to occupy in the future has
been signed (hence, they are not currently available to lease).
We estimate that this potentially adds another 150 to 200 basis
points to your definition of vacancy, as compared to ours.
Greystar: The Granary, Philadelphia, PA
DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION40
SPONSORED BY BOZZUTO
Northern Suburban The Metro AreaVirginia Maryland District Total
Stabilized Inventory at 9/14 53,865 36,725 15,123 105,713Pipeline Through 9/17 w/attrition 1 16,662 12,440 11,073 40,175Inventory at 9/17 70,527 49,165 26,196 145,888
Vacant Units at 9/14 2 2,647 1,703 529 4,875New Supply Through 9/17 16,662 12,440 11,073 40,175Avail. Units Through 9/17 19,309 14,143 11,602 45,050
Underlying Demand Through 9/17 3 11,000 9,625 6,875 27,500
Vacant Units at 9/17 8,309 4,518 4,727 17,550
Overall Vacancy at 9/14 4 10.7% 10.1% 11.2% 10.6%Stabilized Vacancy at 9/14 4.9% 4.6% 3.5% 4.6%
Overall Vacancy at 9/17 4,5 11.8% 9.2% 18.0% 12.0%
Stabilized Vacancy at 9/17 4.9% 4.0% 4.6% 4.5%
RENTAL UNIT ABSORPTION SUMMARY
Northern Suburban The Metro AreaVirginia Maryland District Total 6
Class A Unit Absorption 3,508 4,424 2,731 10,663Class B Unit Absorption 1,103 1,590 (122) 2,571Total Absorption 4,611 6,014 2,610 13,234
1 Available units in apartment buildings currently under construction plus those planned to deliver by September 2017
totals 67,953 units. We assume 23% of the planned units will materialize, making a 36-month pipeline of 40,261 units.
See deliveries by year 2017 on Tables 3.13, 3.14, 3.16, 3.17, 3.19, and 3.20.2 In stabilized projects only.3 Projected annual underlying demand: Northern VA - approximately 3,667 units; Suburban MD - approximately 3,208 units;
The District - approximately 2,292 units. Underlying demand projections are driven by job growth, lifestyle changes, demoographics and other factors cited in
the preceding text. 36-Month Average/Year for Metro Area = 9,167 units. 4 Includes vacant units in projects still in initial lease-up.5 Assumes an attrition rate averaging 77% for planned units in the 36-month pipeline in Northern Virginia, Suburban Maryland, and The District.6 Substate areas may not add precisely to total because of rounding.
Source: Delta Associates; September 2014.
Supply vs. Demand (units)
Vacancy Rate at Third Quarter 2014
Projected Vacancy Rate at Third Quarter 2017 5
12-Month Period Ended September 2014
TABLE APROJECTED THIRD QUARTER 2017 VACANCY RATES
Washington Metro Area | Class A Apartment MarketAs of Third Quarter 2014
Inventory (units)
Washington Metro Area | Investment Grade Class A and Class B Apartments
PROJECTED THIRD QUARTER 2016 CLASS A VACANCY RATE
41DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION
SPONSORED BY BOZZUTO
12-MONTH METRO AREA TOTAL RETURN 1
Atlanta 15.11%
Dallas 12.81%
Houston 12.35%
National Average 9.93%
Chicago 9.11%
Baltimore 9.02%
Austin 8.67%
Phoenix 7.86%
Philadelphia 7.33%
Washington 7.06%
1 NCREIF compiles returns based on its members' $70 billion apartment portfolio. The index includes both current income and estimated capital appreciation returns.
Source: Delta Associates, based on trailing 12-month data in NCREIF "Real Estate Performance Report: Second Quarter 2014".
TABLE BNATIONAL COUNCIL OF REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT FIDUCIARIES
Return Index: 12 Months Ending June 2014 1
Investment Grade Apartment Properties
TOTAL APARTMENT INVESTOR RETURNS Washington Metro vs. U.S. | 2003 – Mid-Year 2014
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
U.S.
Washington Metro
Source: NCREIF, Delta Associates, September 2014.
TOTA
L RE
TURN
(IN
COM
E +
APPR
ECIA
TIO
N)
*As of Second Quarter 2014.
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
NATIONAL COUNCIL OF REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT FIDUCIARIES
DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION42
SPONSORED BY BOZZUTOMARKET-RATE RENTAL PROPERTIES IN WASHINGTON MSA
Total Number of PropertiesTotal Number of Units
% OF % OFREVENUE $/SF $/UNIT GPI $/SF $/UNIT GPI Rents -- Apartments 17.73 15,668 94.8 28.22 25,057 91.7Rents -- Garage/Parking 0.10 90 0.7 0.93 784 2.8Rents -- Storage/Offices 0.21 171 1.2 0.43 346 1.6Gross Possible Rents 17.79 15,798 95.5 29.25 2,581 95.4Concessions 0.14 123 1.0 0.12 101 0.5Vacancies/Rent Loss 0.90 810 4.4 1.49 1,217 5.2Total Rents Collected 16.44 14,914 87.9 27.49 24,094 89.9Other Income 0.86 809 4.5 1.60 1,323 4.6Gross Possible Income ("GPI") 18.82 16,464 100.0 30.74 27,434 100.0
Total Collections 17.53 15,517 94.4 28.32 25,841 94.3EXPENSESManagement Fee 0.75 641 3.9 1.02 833 3.3Other Administrative 1.21 970 5.6 1.49 1,452 5.5Supplies 0.07 60 0.4 0.11 92 0.4Heating Fuel -- Common Areas only 0.04 37 0.6 0.17 129 0.5Common Areas & Apts 0.66 501 4.7 0.34 375 1.9Electricity -- CA Only 0.14 128 0.8 0.46 420 1.6Common Areas & Apts 0.17 153 4.5 0.83 867 4.5Water/Sewer -- Common Areas Only 0.46 435 2.2 0.44 382 1.3Common Areas & Apts 0.65 560 2.8 0.66 677 3.2Gas -------- Common Areas Only 0.04 29 0.2 0.10 74 0.3Common Areas & Apts 0.23 195 2.7 0.43 501 2.1Building Services 0.21 179 1.3 0.30 329 1.4Other Operating Costs 0.06 65 0.9 0.16 134 0.6Security 0.06 58 0.1 0.07 67 0.2Grounds Maintenance 0.23 199 1.6 0.07 62 0.3Maintenance & Repairs 0.48 453 2.9 0.97 801 2.5Painting/Decorating 0.27 258 1.5 0.23 191 0.7Real Estate Taxes 1.60 1,424 8.1 2.50 1,831 8.6Other Tax/Fee/Permit Costs 0.04 38 0.3 0.07 72 0.3Insurance 0.26 213 1.3 0.28 246 0.9Recreational/Amenities Costs 0.06 47 0.2 0.04 38 0.2Other Payroll 0.99 891 4.9 0.97 968 4.0Total Operating Expenses 6.92 6,110 35.7 9.45 8,477 33.2Net Operating Income 10.85 9,970 55.9 19.29 16,412 61.6
Notes:
- Payroll expenses: data contributors were instructed to INCLUDE related payroll expenses when reporting the following expense categories: Other Administrative Costs, Security, Grounds Maintenance, Painting and Decorating (Interior Only), and Recreational Amenities. All remaining payroll expenses, including the amount paid to janitors, maids, and interior maintenance personnel, were to be reported in the expense category "Other Payroll". The IREM publication also provides a line item "Payroll Recap" recapitulating [that is, cumulating] all the various PAYROLL expenses reported in any of those categories. - The operating expenses reported by IREM do NOT reflect such items as ground rent, mortgage interest, amortization, depreciation, income taxes, or capital expenditures for alterations, improvements, or remodeling of occupied or public areas -- and so the "Net Operating Income" amounts shown in the tables are what is sometimes termed EBITDAR income.
"Common Areas Only" represents the median cost of that utility in the common areas of the building (and not its use, if any, in the residential units)."Common Areas & Apts." provides the median cost of the utility in the common areas and in the individual apartments. This row also includes any buildings where the utility is used only in the apartments but is still paid for by the management.
Source : Institute of Real Estate Management, Conventional Apartments: Income/Expense Analysis, 2013 edition.
- For utilities: Electricity and Gas expense categories are not to include any heating expense, according to instructions to respondents.
- Reflects operating data for the year ending 2013. - Because data are medians, detailed amounts may not add precisely to totals, and percentages may not add to 100. - Data exclude federally assisted apartment buildings.
TABLE C
256,956
9124,382
MARKET-RATE RENTAL PROPERTIES IN WASHINGTON MSAGARDEN ELEVATOR
MEDIAN INCOME AND EXPENSE DATA COMPARISON BY PROPERTY TYPE:
43DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION
SPONSORED BY BOZZUTOMARKET-RATE RENTAL PROPERTIES IN THE UNITED STATES
Total Number of PropertiesTotal Number of Units
% OF % OFREVENUE $/SF $/UNIT GPI $/SF $/UNIT GPI Rents -- Apartments 11.08 9,773 93.9 17.48 13,882 93.4Rents -- Garage/Parking 0.12 108 0.9 0.51 463 2.3Rents -- Storage/Offices 0.08 81 0.8 0.42 346 1.7Gross Possible Rents 11.13 9,797 94.4 17.88 14,484 96.1Concessions 0.10 92 0.8 0.09 72 0.5Vacancies/Rent Loss 0.77 687 6.2 0.93 790 4.9Total Rents Collected 9.98 8,813 86 16.32 12,968 88.7Other Income 0.72 643 5.7 0.8 608 4.2Gross Possible Income ("GPI") 11.94 10,523 100 18.72 15,420 100.0Total Collections 10.78 9,497 92.4 17.05 14,164 94.8EXPENSESManagement Fee 0.42 383 3.7 0.67 580 3.8Other Administrative 0.66 592 5.3 1.10 950 6.1Supplies 0.03 21 0.2 0.08 58 0.4Heating Fuel -- Common Areas Only 0.05 47 0.5 0.13 107 0.6Common Areas & Apts 0.30 259 2.5 0.41 348 2.8Electricity -- Common Areas Only 0.15 133 1.2 0.34 273 1.7Common Areas & Apts 0.22 185 2.0 0.75 634 4.1Water/Sewer -- Common Areas Only 0.39 358 2.7 0.39 364 1.8Common Areas & Apts 0.50 446 4.3 0.44 353 3.0Gas--------Common Areas Only 0.03 25 0.2 0.11 88 0.5Common Areas & Apts 0.13 101 1.1 0.20 123 1.0Building Services 0.12 108 1.1 0.18 150 1.1Other Operating Costs 0.06 52 0.5 0.10 99 0.5Security 0.04 33 0.3 0.08 61 0.5Grounds Maintenance 0.21 188 1.8 0.14 118 0.8Maintenance & Repairs 0.42 379 3.6 0.61 499 3.4Painting/Decorating 0.18 161 1.5 0.18 148 1.0Real Estate Taxes 0.88 787 7.6 1.43 1,208 7.8Other Tax/Fee/Permit Costs 0.02 15 0.1 0.03 29 0.2Insurance 0.28 250 2.3 0.33 281 1.8Recreational/Amenities Costs 0.02 21 0.2 0.04 35 0.2Other Payroll 0.63 559 5.1 0.88 764 4.7Total Operating Expenses 4.90 4,370 40.4 7.68 6,297 40.3Net Operating Income 5.79 5,189 50.1 9.78 7,649 51.9
Notes:
TABLE DMEDIAN INCOME AND EXPENSE DATA COMPARISON BY PROPERTY TYPE:
- For utilities: Electricity and Gas expense categories are not to include any heating expense, according to instructions to respondents.
"Common Areas Only" represents the median cost of that utility in the common areas of the building (and not its use, if any, in the residential units)."Common Areas & Apts." provides the median cost of the utility in the common areas and in the individual apartments. This row also includes any buildings where the utility is used only in the apartments but is still paid for by the management.
- Reflects operating data for the year ending 2013. - Because data are medians, detailed amounts may not add precisely to totals, and percentages may not add to 100.
MARKET-RATE RENTAL PROPERTIES IN THE UNITED STATESGARDEN ELEVATOR
- Data exclude federally assisted apartment buildings.
2,461 22759,898532,883
- The operating expenses reported by IREM do NOT reflect such items as ground rent, mortgage interest, amortization, depreciation, income taxes, or capital expenditures for alterations, improvements, or remodeling of occupied or public areas -- and so the "Net Operating Income" amounts shown in the tables are what is sometimes termed EBITDAR income.
- Payroll expenses: data contributors were instructed to INCLUDE related payroll expenses when reporting the following expense categories: Other Administrative Costs, Security, Grounds Maintenance, Painting and Decorating (Interior Only), and Recreational Amenities. All remaining payroll expenses, including the amount paid to janitors, maids, and interior maintenance personnel, were to be reported in the expense category "Other Payroll". The IREM publication also provides a line item "Payroll Recap" recapitulating [that is, cumulating] all the various PAYROLL expenses reported in any of those categories.
DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION44
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The phrase Mind the Gap was first introduced in 19.69. on the
London Underground, warning passengers to take caution
while stepping onto the station platform . It has become
a stock phrase having little to do with subway safety and
more about generation, gender and class divide . And it may
very well serve as a fair warning about the cost of continued
gender inequity at the leadership levels of commercial real
estate firms .
Females represent more than 56% of college students today,
even though there are more college-aged males than females .
There are three million more women than men in college and
four million more college educated women than men . Over the
past ten years, the number of women holding undergraduate
degrees increased from 28.% to 41% . In addition, women are
finding it increasingly harder to find a compatible mate,
leading to the lowest fertility numbers in US history . Combine
this with a 20% - 25% divorce rate and we have more single
women in this country than ever before .
Our research shows that 53% of our Millennial renters in
Washington DC are female . And we expect that number to
grow . Single women are a growing demographic group of
single mothers preferring to live closer to cities in full amenity
rental communities .
Women make or influence 9.1% of all home buying decisions .
They guide 9.4% of all home-furnishing purchases . Yet these
companies are largely run by groups of men . Women account
for $7 trillion in consumer and business spending in the US .
Over the next decade, they will control two-thirds of consumer
wealth . Women make or influence 8.5% of all purchasing
decisions, yet 9.7% of advertising agency creative directors
are male . It’s not surprising that 9.1% of women claim that
advertisers don’t understand them . And that is bad for any
business . Simply put – it’s time to mind the gap .
There is a tremendous amount of research supported by top
consulting firms and world class universities that clearly
demonstrate the economic benefit associated with gender-
inclusive and balanced teams . The case has been made time
and again . Research has proven that gender diverse teams
and leadership make better products, companies, families,
communities and countries .
Meanwhile, in this country, the debate is focused on how to
stem the tide of women leaving corporate America . Only 5% of
Fortune 500 companies are led by women .
But that’s not so easy . Despite decades of good intentions and
varied levels of diversity efforts, women in commercial real
estate have not achieved equal access to C-suite positions .
Nor have they achieved equal pay for equal work .
There are many reasons that can be attributed to this gender
inequity; unconscious bias, lack of sponsorship, child rearing
conflicts, a confidence gap among women and an overall
lack of cultural bias that supports gender parity at the more
senior levels . But what often goes unnoticed is what is lost
when women are not at the table . And we can start with
financial performance .
A study by Ferguson Partners found that over a five-year
horizon, female representation was “far and away the
characteristic that most likely correlated with economic
performance .” In this same study, 44% of REIT boards did not
have a single female board member . In real estate, as in the
broader economy, we have a long way to go .
As an industry, we should focus on creating company cultures
that value self-assured women and sponsor talent in a
productive and supportive way . But that alone won’t close
the divide . We must continue to address the realities and the
challenges that working parents face – regardless of gender .
For starters, we need continued focus and implementation
of policies such as flexible work schedules, family-friendly
benefits, and equal pay for equal work . These efforts can
demonstrate that we are mindful of the gap . The results will
speak volumes .
* * * *
Julie A. Smith is President of Bozzuto Management Company
MIND THE GAPBy Julie Smith, President, Bozzuto Management Companyjsmith@bozzuto .com
MIND THE GAP
3WASHINGTON
STATISTICAL
REPORT
47DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION
SPONSORED BY BOZZUTO
GEOGRAPHIC AREA
NORTHERN VIRGINIA SUBURBAN MARYLAND THE DISTRICT WASHINGTON METRO AREA
CLASS A APARTMENTS VACANCY EFF RENT VACANCY EFF RENT VACANCY EFF RENT VACANCY EFF RENT
Low-Rise 5.0% $1,625 4.9% $1,625 NA NA 5.0% $1,625
Mid & High-Rise 4.7% $2,220 3.7% $2,123 3.5% $2,570 4.1% $2,337
Total Class A 4.9% $1,840 4.6% $1,735 3.5% $2,570 4.6% $1,914
Comparison at 9/13 3.8% $1,808 4.6% $1,716 2.2% $2,574 3.9% $1,872
Comparison at 9/09 4.2% $1,583 5.2% $1,494 2.2% $2,331 4.4% $1,623
CLASS B APARTMENTS VACANCY EFF RENT VACANCY EFF RENT VACANCY EFF RENT VACANCY EFF RENT
Low-Rise 3.1% $1,544 2.5% $1,379 NA NA 2.8% $1,463
Mid & High-Rise 4.1% $1,732 4.5% $1,724 2.3% $1,995 3.9% $1,777
Total Class B 3.5% $1,626 2.9% $1,448 2.3% $1,995 3.2% $1,584
Comparison at 9/13 4.4% $1,617 4.8% $1,442 1.5% $1,939 4.4% $1,573
Comparison at 9/09 4.4% $1,421 7.5% $1,289 6.3% $1,736 5.6% $1,395
CLASS A & B APARTMENTS VACANCY EFF RENT VACANCY EFF RENT VACANCY EFF RENT VACANCY EFF RENT
Total Class A and B 4.3% $1,752 3.9% $1,615 3.2% $2,435 4.1% $1,784
Comparison at 9/13 4.1% $1,724 4.7% $1,596 2.0% $2,394 4.1% $1,746
Comparison at 9/09 4.3% $1,507 6.2% $1,403 3.7% $2,119 4.9% $1,520
Source: Compiled by Delta Associates, 500 Montgomery St., Suite 600, Alexandria, Virginia 22314Phone: (703) 836-5700. Last Update: September 2014.
Third Quarter 2014Washington Metropolitan Area | Investment Grade Class A and Class B Apartments
ESTIMATED EFFECTIVE RENT AND STABILIZED VACANCY RATE FOR INVESTMENT GRADE CLASS A AND CLASS B APARTMENTSTABLE 3.1
WASHINGTON STATISTICAL REPORT
DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION48
SPONSORED BY BOZZUTO
GEOGRAPHIC AREA
NORTHERN VIRGINIASUBURBAN MARYLAND
THE DISTRICTWASHINGTON METRO AREA
CLASS A APARTMENTS
Rent Increase/Annum Since September 2013 ¹
Low-Rise
Mid & High-Rise
Total Class A
Rent Increase/Annum Since September 2009
Total Class A
CLASS B APARTMENTS
Rent Increase/Annum Since September 2013 ¹
Low-Rise
Mid & High-Rise
Total Class B
Rent Increase/Annum Since September 2009
Total Class B
CLASS A & B APARTMENTS
Rent Increase/Annum Since September 2013 ¹
Low-Rise
Mid & High-Rise
Total Class A and B
Rent Increase/Annum Since September 2009
Total Class A and B
1 Same-store rent comparison.Source: Compiled by Delta Associates, 500 Montgomery St., Suite 600, Alexandria, Virginia 22314Phone: (703) 836-5700. Last Update: September 2014.
TABLE 3.1.1RENT INCREASE FOR INVESTMENT GRADE CLASS A AND CLASS B APARTMENTS
Washington Metropolitan Area | Investment Grade Class A and Class B ApartmentsThird Quarter 2014
1.0% 1.0% NA 1.0%
-0.1% 1.2% 2.6% 1.1%
0.6% 1.1% 2.6% 1.1%
1.8% 1.1% NA 1.5%
-0.4% -1.8% 3.0% 0.0%
0.7% 0.9% 2.7% 1.0%
0.9% 0.5% 3.0% 0.9%
1.3% 1.1% NA 1.2%
3.1% 3.0% 2.0% 3.4%
3.1% 2.9% 2.8% 3.3%
2.7% 2.3% 2.8% 2.6%
-0.2% 0.0% 2.7% 0.7%
WASHINGTON STATISTICAL REPORT
49DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION
SPONSORED BY BOZZUTO
TABLE 3.2KEY MARKET INDICATORS FOR CLASS A RENTAL LOW-RISE APARTMENTS 1
Summary: Washington Metropolitan Area
Number of Units Surveyed 19,803 16,876 36,679 16,012 14,507 30,519 67,198
Rent Levels (Avg. of All Unit Sizes)
Face Rent $1,779 $1,500 $1,651 $1,692 $1,604 $1,650 $1,651
Concession as a % of Face Rents 1.6% 1.6% 1.6% 1.0% 2.1% 1.5% 1.6%
Effective Rent $1,752 $1,475 $1,625 $1,675 $1,571 $1,625 $1,625
Effective Rent per Square Foot $1.81 $1.49 $1.67 $1.68 $1.54 $1.61 $1.64
Per Annum Effective Rent Increase
- Since 1998 3.6% 4.2% 3.9% 3.6% 4.1% 3.8% 3.8%
- Since 09/30/09 3.2% 3.9% 3.6% 2.8% 3.3% 3.0% 3.3%
- Since 09/30/13 ² -0.4% 2.6% 1.0% 1.1% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0%
Vacancy September 2014
Overall 3 6.8% 10.2% 8.4% 7.3% 8.9% 8.1% 8.2%
Stabilized 4 5.1% 5.0% 5.0% 4.9% 4.8% 4.9% 5.0%
Vacancy September 2013
Overall 3 5.0% 10.1% 7.3% 12.4% 13.3% 12.8% 9.5%
Stabilized 4 3.3% 4.1% 3.6% 4.6% 4.3% 4.5% 4.0%
Supply Projections
2,864 5,369 8,233 11,266 5,803 17,069 25,302
For Comparison
at 9/30/2013 3,066 4,696 7,762 8,898 5,615 14,513 22,275
1 Includes walk-up and elevator-served apartments of one to four stories.2 Excludes projects that were not actively marketing at date of previous survey, i.e. same project/unit price comparison.3 Includes actively marketing projects.4 Excludes actively marketing projects.5 See list of under construction and planned projects on tables 3.13 through 3.18. Under construction includes unleased units in projects not yet stabilized. Does not account for attrition.
Source: Compiled by Delta Associates, 500 Montgomery St., Suite 600, Alexandria, Virginia 22314Phone: (703) 836-5700. Last Update: September 2014.
Number of Market Rate Units Under Construction and Available Plus Planned That Are Likely to Be Delivered in the Next 36 Months 5
Third Quarter 2014GEOGRAPHIC AREA
MARKET INDICATOR METRO-WIDE TOTAL/AVERAGENORTHERN VIRGINIA SUBMARKETS SUBURBAN MARYLAND SUBMARKETS
CLOSE IN OUTER TOTAL CLOSE IN OUTER TOTAL
Table 3.2 3Q 2014 14206 A Tables.xlsx X:\DELTA\OLDSERV\Open Projects\14206\3rdQtr2014\Class A Report Work Files\3Q 2014 14206 A Tables.xlsx
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TABLE 3.3KEY MARKET INDICATORS FOR CLASS A RENTAL LOW-RISE APARTMENTS 1
Selected Submarkets | Close-In Northern Virginia
Number of Units Surveyed 5,595 1,279 1,020 3,735 5,450 2,724 19,803 16,876 36,679Rent Levels
Face Rent $1,919 $1,886 $1,954 $1,660 $1,654 $1,792 $1,779 $1,500 $1,651Concession as a % of Face Rents 2.0% 0.7% 0.0% 0.1% 3.4% 0.0% 1.6% 1.6% 1.6%Effective Rent $1,880 $1,873 $1,954 $1,658 $1,598 $1,792 $1,752 $1,475 $1,625Effective Rent per Square Foot $1.98 $2.05 $1.98 $1.73 $1.59 $1.87 $1.81 $1.49 $1.67Per Annum Effective Rent Increase
- Since 1998 4.1% 3.5% 4.2% 3.7% 2.8% NA 3.6% 4.2% 3.9%- Since 09/30/09 3.7% 4.6% 3.2% 2.7% 2.9% NA 3.2% 3.9% 3.6%- Since 09/30/13 ³ -0.5% 7.0% 0.8% -1.9% -1.8% 0.4% -0.4% 2.6% 1.0%
Vacancy September 2014Overall 4 5.7% 6.9% 2.8% 5.3% 6.8% 12.5% 6.8% 10.2% 8.4%Stabilized 5 5.1% 6.9% 2.8% 5.3% 4.8% 5.2% 5.1% 5.0% 5.0%
Vacancy September 2013Overall 4 1.9% 7.0% 2.1% 2.6% 8.9% 6.8% 5.0% 10.1% 7.3%Stabilized 5 1.9% 7.0% 2.1% 1.8% 4.8% 3.6% 3.3% 4.1% 3.6%
Absorption TrendsMonthly Absorption Pace Per Project
17 12 14 13 19 14 -- -- --
(2014) (2010) (2008) (2014) (2012) (2012) -- -- --
Supply Projections
203 325 461 859 116 900 2,864 5,369 8,233
For Comparison at 9/30/2013 407 350 461 749 175 924 3,066 4,696 7,762
1 Includes walk-up and elevator-served apartments of one to four stories.2 May include portions of Fairfax County.3 Excludes projects that were not actively marketing at date of previous survey, i.e. same project/unit price comparison.4 Includes actively marketing projects.5 Excludes actively marketing projects.6 See list of under construction and planned projects on tables 3.13 through 3.18. Under construction includes unleased units in projects not yet stabilized. Does not account for attrition.Source: Compiled by Delta Associates, 500 Montgomery St., Suite 600, Alexandria, Virginia 22314. Phone: (703) 836-5700. Last Update: September 2014.
for Most Recently Delivered Market-Rate Projects
# of Market Rate Units Under Construction & Available Plus Planned That are Likely to Be Delivered in the Next 36 Months6
(Year of Most Recently Marketed Project)
SUBMARKETThird Quarter 2014
ALEXANDRIA/ 2
ARLINGTONTYSONS CORNER
VIENNA/ MERRIFIELD
FAIR OAKSRESTON/ HERNDON
S AND E FAIRFAX
SUBTOTAL - CLOSE-IN SUBMARKETS
SUBTOTAL- OUTER SUBMARKETS
OVERALL TOTAL/WEIGHTED
AVERAGE MARKET INDICATOR
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Number of Units Surveyed 6,096 2,794 2,701 2,780 2,505 16,876 19,803 36,679
Rent LevelsFace Rent $1,570 $1,513 $1,562 $1,465 $1,287 $1,500 $1,779 $1,651Concession as a % of Face Rents 1.5% 0.5% 3.3% 1.9% 1.2% 1.6% 1.6% 1.6%Effective Rent $1,547 $1,505 $1,511 $1,437 $1,272 $1,475 $1,752 $1,625Effective Rent per Square Foot $1.53 $1.66 $1.58 $1.39 $1.23 $1.49 $1.81 $1.67
Per Annum Effective Rent Increase- Since 1998 3.7% 3.8% 4.5% 4.2% 5.3% 4.2% 3.6% 3.9%- Since 09/30/09 3.2% 5.5% 1.5% 6.1% 3.8% 3.9% 3.2% 3.6%- Since 09/30/13 ² -0.2% 4.5% 4.5% 2.1% 6.1% 2.6% -0.4% 1.0%
Vacancy September 2014
Overall 3 8.1% 4.9% 30.0% 4.4% 6.5% 10.2% 6.8% 8.4%
Stabilized 4 4.8% 4.9% 5.3% 4.4% 6.2% 5.0% 5.1% 5.0%
Vacancy September 2013
Overall 3 12.0% 1.7% 18.4% 10.6% 8.5% 10.1% 5.0% 7.3%
Stabilized 4 4.1% 1.7% 1.9% 7.1% 4.6% 4.1% 3.3% 3.6%
Absorption TrendsMonthly Absorption Pace Per Project
for Most Recently Delivered Market-Rate Projects 27 16 21 8 23 -- -- --(Year of Most Recently Marketed Project) (2012) (2007) (2014) (2012) (2013) -- -- --
Supply Projections# of Market Rate Units Under Construction & Available
Plus Planned That Are Likely to Be Delivered
in the Next 36 Months 5 1,364 0 1,829 1,134 1,042 5,369 2,864 8,233
For Comparison
at 9/30/2013 1,928 0 2,053 609 106 4,696 3,066 7,762
1 Includes walk-up and elevator-served apartments of one to four stories.2 Excludes projects that were not actively marketing at date of previous survey, i.e. same project/unit price comparison.3 Includes actively marketing projects.4 Excludes actively marketing projects.5 See list of under construction and planned projects on tables 3.13 through 3.18. Under construction includes unleased units in projects not yet stabilized. Does not account for attrition.
Source: Compiled by Delta Associates, 500 Montgomery St., Suite 600, Alexandria, Virginia 22314
Phone: (703) 836-5700. Last Update: September 2014.
TABLE 3.4
MARKET INDICATOR FREDERICKS-BURG
WEST PRINCE
WILLIAM COUNTY
EAST PRINCE WILLIAM COUNTY
CENTREVILLEEASTERN
LOUDOUN COUNTY
OVERALL TOTAL/WEIGHTED
AVERAGE
SUBTOTAL - CLOSE-IN
SUBMARKETS
SUBTOTAL- OUTER
SUBMARKETS
SUBMARKET
KEY MARKET INDICATORS FOR CLASS A RENTAL LOW-RISE APARTMENTS 1
Selected Submarkets | Outer Northern VirginiaThird Quarter 2014
Table 3.4 3Q 2014 14206 A Tables.xlsxX:\DELTA\OLDSERV\Open Projects\14206\3rdQtr2014\Class A Report Work Files\3Q 2014 14206 A Tables.xlsx
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TABLE 3.5KEY MARKET INDICATORS FOR CLASS A RENTAL LOW-RISE APARTMENTS 1
Selected Submarkets | Close-In Suburban Maryland
Number of Units Surveyed 3,586 2,425 1,869 1,627 4,387 2,118 16,012 14,507 30,519Rent Levels
Face Rent $1,891 $1,666 $1,559 $1,402 $1,734 $1,639 $1,692 $1,604 $1,650Concession as a % of Face Rents 0.3% 1.8% 1.8% 0.0% 0.9% 1.8% 1.0% 2.1% 1.5%Effective Rent $1,885 $1,636 $1,531 $1,402 $1,718 $1,609 $1,675 $1,571 $1,625Effective Rent per Square Foot $1.84 $1.64 $1.42 $1.59 $1.77 $1.61 $1.68 $1.54 $1.61Per Annum Effective Rent Increase
- Since 1998 2.9% 3.2% 3.9% 3.5% 4.1% 3.7% 3.6% 4.1% 3.8%- Since 09/30/09 2.7% 3.0% 2.9% 1.8% 3.4% 2.0% 2.8% 3.3% 3.0%- Since 09/30/13 ² 2.4% 0.7% -2.7% -1.8% 3.6% 0.1% 1.1% 1.0% 1.0%
Vacancy September 2014
Overall 3 5.2% 5.4% 9.5% 4.8% 11.5% 4.0% 7.3% 8.9% 8.1%
Stabilized 4 5.2% 4.5% 7.9% 4.8% 4.2% 4.0% 4.9% 4.8% 4.9%Vacancy September 2013
Overall 3 6.5% 17.6% 11.9% 2.0% 21.9% 6.3% 12.4% 13.3% 12.8%
Stabilized 4 5.5% 4.2% 3.4% 2.0% 4.5% 6.3% 4.6% 4.3% 4.5%Absorption Trends
Monthly Absorption Pace Per Project
for Most Recently Delivered Market-Rate Projects 14 15 16 20 28 17 -- -- --(Year of Most Recently Marketed Project) (2012) (2013) (2012) (1992) (2014) (2011) -- -- --
Supply Projections# of Market Rate Units Under Construction & Available
Plus Planned That Are Likely to Be Delivered
in the Next 36 Months 5 1,770 274 710 0 6,274 2,238 11,266 5,803 17,069
For Comparison
at 9/30/2013 1,564 1,024 980 0 3,825 1,505 8,898 5,615 14,513
1 Includes walk-up and elevator-served apartments of one to four stories.2 Excludes projects that were not actively marketing at date of previous survey, i.e. same project/unit price comparison.3 Includes actively marketing projects.4 Excludes actively marketing projects.5 See list of under construction and planned projects on tables 3.13 through 3.18. Under construction includes unleased units in projects not yet stabilized. Does not account for attrition.Source: Compiled by Delta Associates, 500 Montgomery St., Suite 600, Alexandria, Virginia 22314
Phone: (703) 836-5700. Last Update: September 2014.
SUBMARKET
Third Quarter 2014
MARKET INDICATOR S PRINCE GEORGE'S COUNTY
N PRINCE GEORGE'S COUNTY
BURTONS- VILLE
GERMAN- TOWN
GAITHERS- BURG
ROCKVILLE / N. BETHESDA
OVERALL TOTAL/WEIGHTED
AVERAGE
SUBTOTAL- OUTER
SUBMARKETS
SUBTOTAL- CLOSE-IN
SUBMARKETS
Table 3.5 3Q 2014 14206 A Tables.xlsxX:\DELTA\OLDSERV\Open Projects\14206\3rdQtr2014\Class A Report Work Files\3Q 2014 14206 A Tables.xlsx
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TABLE 3.6KEY MARKET INDICATORS FOR CLASS A RENTAL LOW-RISE APARTMENTS 1
Selected Submarkets | Outer Suburban Maryland
Number of Units Surveyed 1,939 3,535 5,120 1,423 1,247 1,243 14,507 16,012 30,519Rent Levels
Face Rent $1,359 $1,667 $1,685 $1,819 $1,585 $1,248 $1,604 $1,692 $1,650Concession as a % of Face Rents 3.8% 3.7% 1.1% 0.4% 0.8% 2.6% 2.1% 1.0% 1.5%Effective Rent $1,307 $1,606 $1,667 $1,811 $1,572 $1,215 $1,571 $1,675 $1,625Effective Rent per Square Foot $1.28 $1.53 $1.64 $1.92 $1.47 $1.18 $1.54 $1.68 $1.61Per Annum Effective Rent Increase
- Since 1998 3.4% 4.1% 4.2% 4.7% 4.3% 3.5% 4.1% 3.6% 3.8%- Since 09/30/09 4.7% 2.3% 3.5% 5.2% 2.5% 2.1% 3.3% 2.8% 3.0%- Since 09/30/13 ³ 1.4% -4.2% 2.4% 6.0% -0.5% 5.0% 1.0% 1.1% 1.0%
Vacancy September 2014
Overall 3 9.2% 12.8% 9.8% 5.9% 3.0% 3.3% 8.9% 7.3% 8.1%
Stabilized 4 4.8% 4.9% 5.8% 4.6% 3.0% 3.3% 4.8% 4.9% 4.9%Vacancy September 2013
Overall 3 6.9% 13.8% 18.6% 16.0% 4.9% 6.0% 13.3% 12.4% 12.8%
Stabilized 4 2.5% 7.1% 2.7% 3.8% 4.9% 6.0% 4.3% 4.6% 4.5%Absorption Trends
Monthly Absorption Pace Per Project
for Most Recently Delivered Market-Rate Projects 15 22 24 13 11 17 -- -- --(Year of Most Recently Marketed Project) (2014) (2014) (2013) (2014) (2012) (2012) -- -- --
Supply Projections# of Market Rate Units Under Construction & Available
Plus Planned That Are Likely to Be Delivered
in the Next 36 Months 5 559 3,437 1,206 388 213 0 5,803 11,266 17,069
For Comparison
at 9/30/2013 194 2,836 1,845 515 213 12 5,615 8,898 14,513
1 Includes walk-up and elevator-served apartments of one to four stories.2 Excludes projects that were not actively marketing at date of previous survey, i.e. same project/unit price comparison.3 Includes actively marketing projects.4 Excludes actively marketing projects.5 See list of under construction and planned projects on tables 3.13 through 3.18. Under construction includes unleased units in projects not yet stabilized. Does not account for attrition.Source: Compiled by Delta Associates, 500 Montgomery St., Suite 600, Alexandria, Virginia 22314
Phone: (703) 836-5700. Last Update: September 2014.
SUBMARKETThird Quarter 2014
MARKET INDICATOROVERALL
TOTAL/WEIGHTED AVERAGE
SUBTOTAL- CLOSE-IN
SUBMARKETS
SUBTOTAL- OUTER
SUBMARKETSFREDERICKHOWARD COUNTY/ COLUMBIA
N ANNE ARUNDEL COUNTY
ANNAPOLISCHARLES COUNTY
ST. MARY'S COUNTY
Table 3.6 3Q 2014 14206 A Tables.xlsxX:\DELTA\OLDSERV\Open Projects\14206\3rdQtr2014\Class A Report Work Files\3Q 2014 14206 A Tables.xlsx
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Number of Units Surveyed 20,872 8,579 16,518 45,969
Rent Levels ( Avg. of All Unit Sizes)
Face Rent $2,319 $2,181 $2,613 $2,399
Concession as a % of Face Rents 4.3% 2.7% 1.6% 2.4%
Effective Rent $2,220 $2,123 $2,570 $2,337
Effective Rent per Square Foot $2.50 $2.34 $3.15 $2.66
Per Annum Effective Rent Increase
- Since 1998 4.4% 2.9% 2.6% 3.5%
- Since 09/30/09 1.6% 1.0% 1.4% 1.4%
- Since 09/30/13 ¹ -0.1% 1.2% 2.6% 1.1%
Vacancy September 2014
Overall 2 14.9% 17.1% 11.2% 14.0%
Stabilized 3 4.7% 3.7% 3.5% 4.1%
Vacancy September 2013
Overall 2 6.9% 6.6% 10.3% 8.1%
Stabilized 3 4.3% 5.0% 2.5% 3.8%
Supply Projections# of Market Rate Units Under Construction and Available
Plus Planned Which Are Likely to be Delivered
in the Next 36 Months 4 16,412 9,397 16,997 43,662
For Comparison
at 9/30/2013 16,346 8,369 14,289 39,004
1 Excludes projects that were not actively marketing at date of previous survey, i.e. same project/unit price comparison.2 Includes actively marketing projects.3 Excludes actively marketing projects.4 See list of under construction and planned projects on tables 3.13 through 3.20. Under construction includes unleased units in projects not yet stabilized. Does not account for attrition.
Source: Compiled by Delta Associates, 500 Montgomery St., Suite 600, Alexandria, Virginia 22314
Phone: (703) 836-5700. Last Update: September 2014.
TABLE 3.7
GEOGRAPHIC AREA
KEY MARKET INDICATORS FOR CLASS A RENTAL HIGH-RISE APARTMENTS Summary: Washington Metropolitan Area
Third Quarter 2014
MARKET INDICATORTOTALTHE DISTRICT
SUBURBAN MARYLAND
NORTHERN VIRGINIA
Table 3.7 3Q 2014 14206 A Tables.xlsx X:\DELTA\OLDSERV\Open Projects\14206\3rdQtr2014\Class A Report Work Files\3Q 2014 14206 A Tables.xlsx
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TABLE 3.8KEY MARKET INDICATORS FOR CLASS A RENTAL HIGH-RISE APARTMENTS
Selected Submarkets | Northern Virginia
Number of Units Surveyed 3,851 7,414 3,791 1,941 3,875 20,872
Rent Levels
Face Rent $2,183 $2,430 $2,313 $2,034 $2,390 $2,319
Concession as a % of Face Rents 8.0% 4.1% 1.6% 2.1% 4.6% 4.3%
Effective Rent $2,009 $2,330 $2,275 $1,992 $2,279 $2,220
Effective Rent per Square Foot $2.25 $2.73 $2.54 $2.13 $2.45 $2.50
Per Annum Effective Rent Increase
- Since 1998 4.8% 4.5% 3.8% NA NA 4.4%
- Since 09/30/09 1.1% 2.0% 1.4% NA NA 1.6%
- Since 09/30/13 ² 3.1% -1.5% 3.6% -6.5% -1.0% -0.1%
Vacancy September 2014
Overall 3 18.2% 15.5% 5.2% 3.6% 25.5% 14.9%
Stabilized 4 5.6% 4.1% 5.2% 3.6% 5.5% 4.7%
Vacancy September 2013
Overall 3 7.6% 6.9% 4.8% 2.7% 12.6% 6.9%
Stabilized 4 6.8% 3.6% 4.8% 2.7% 3.2% 4.3%
Absorption Trends
Monthly Absorption Pace Per Project
for Most Recently Delivered Market-Rate Projects 31 47 12 20 43 --
(Year of Most Recently Marketed Project) (2014) (2014) (2010) (2011) (2014) --
Supply Projections
# of Market Rate Units Under Construction & Available
Plus Planned That Are Likely to Be Delivered
in the Next 36 Months 5 3,559 2,545 1,997 682 7,629 16,412
For Comparison
at 9/30/2013 4,040 3,365 1,046 257 7,638 16,346
1 Includes cities of Fairfax and Falls Church.2 Excludes projects that were not actively marketing at date of previous survey, i.e. same project/unit price comparison.3 Includes actively marketing projects.4 Excludes actively marketing projects.5 See list of under construction and planned projects on tables 3.13 through 3.14. Under construction includes unleased units in projects not yet stabilized. Does not account for attrition.Source: Compiled by Delta Associates, 500 Montgomery St., Suite 600, Alexandria, Virginia 22314
Phone: (703) 836-5700. Last Update: September 2014.
Third Quarter 2014SUBMARKET
MARKET INDICATOROVERALL TOTAL/WEIGHTED
AVERAGEALEXANDRIA
ROSSLYN/ BALLSTON
CORRIDOR OF ARLINGTON
CRYSTAL CITY/ PENTAGON CITY
SOUTH ARLINGTON N & W FAIRFAX 1
Table 3.8 3Q 2014 14206 A Tables.xlsx
X:\DELTA\OLDSERV\Open Projects\14206\3rdQtr2014\Class A Report Work Files\3Q 2014 14206 A Tables.xlsx
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TABLE 3.9KEY MARKET INDICATORS FOR CLASS A RENTAL HIGH-RISE APARTMENTS
Selected Submarkets | Suburban MarylandThird Quarter 2014
SUBMARKET
Number of Units Surveyed 2,000 3,088 3,491 8,579
Rent Levels
Face Rent $2,567 $2,147 $1,991 $2,181
Concession as a % of Face Rents 0.4% 0.7% 6.2% 2.7%
Effective Rent $2,556 $2,132 $1,867 $2,123
Effective Rent per Square Foot $2.78 $2.20 $2.19 $2.34
Per Annum Effective Rent Increase
- Since 1998 ¹ 3.9% 3.2% 2.0% 2.9%
- Since 09/30/09 2.9% -0.7% 1.3% 1.0%
- Since 09/30/13 ² -2.9% 2.6% 2.3% 1.2%
Vacancy September 2014
Overall 3 6.7% 12.9% 26.7% 17.1%
Stabilized 4 4.1% 2.4% 5.0% 3.7%
Vacancy September 2013
Overall 3 5.2% 6.1% 8.3% 6.6%
Stabilized 4 5.2% 6.1% 3.1% 5.0%
Absorption Trends
Monthly Absorption Pace Per Project
for Most Recently Delivered Market-Rate Projects 16 39 20 --
(Year of Most Recently Marketed Project) (2013) (2014) (2014) --
Supply Projections
# of Market Rate Units Under Construction & Available
Plus Planned That Are Likely to Be Delivered
in the Next 36 Months 5 1,949 4,725 2,723 9,397
For Comparison
at 9/30/2013 1,884 3,569 2,916 8,369
1 Average annual rent increase in Silver Spring/Wheaton is from 2004.2 Excludes projects that were not actively marketing at date of previous survey, i.e. same project/unit price comparison.3 Includes actively marketing projects.4 Excludes actively marketing projects.5 See list of under construction and planned projects on tables 3.16 and 3.17. Does not account for attrition.Source: Compiled by Delta Associates, 500 Montgomery St., Suite 600, Alexandria, Virginia 22314
Phone: (703) 836-5700. Last Update: September 2014.
MARKET INDICATORBETHESDA
N BETHESDA/ ROCKVILLE
SILVER SPRING/ WHEATON
SUBURBAN MARYLAND TOTAL/WEIGHTED AVERAGE
Table 3.9 3Q 2014 14206 A Tables.xlsxX:\DELTA\OLDSERV\Open Projects\14206\3rdQtr2014\Class A Report Work Files\3Q 2014 14206 A Tables.xlsx
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TABLE 3.10KEY MARKET INDICATORS FOR CLASS A RENTAL HIGH-RISE APARTMENTS
Selected Submarkets | The Distrct
SUBMARKET
Number of Units Surveyed 1,319 5,945 2,424 3,866 1,929 1,035 16,518
Rent Levels
Face Rent $2,964 $2,871 $2,664 $2,362 $2,267 $2,139 $2,613
Concession as a % of Face Rents 1.2% 1.3% 2.6% 2.3% 1.3% 0.0% 1.6%
Effective Rent $2,928 $2,834 $2,596 $2,308 $2,237 $2,139 $2,570
Effective Rent per Square Foot $3.19 $3.34 $3.40 $2.76 $2.70 $2.58 $3.15
Per Annum Effective Rent Increase
- Since 1998 5.2% 2.0% NA NA NA NA 2.6%
- Since 09/30/09 4.2% 2.3% 2.4% -4.4% 4.8% 5.5% 1.4%
- Since 09/30/13 ¹ 0.3% -0.2% 4.3% 6.4% -0.1% 7.7% 2.6%
Vacancy September 2014
Overall 2 18.4% 6.4% 8.8% 17.4% 6.0% 21.7% 11.2%
Stabilized 3 3.2% 3.1% 3.9% 2.1% 5.0% 6.4% 3.5%
Vacancy September 2013
Overall 2 2.2% 1.6% 23.9% 19.2% 15.3% 4.4% 10.3%
Stabilized 3 2.2% 1.6% 3.9% 2.9% 2.6% 4.4% 2.5%
Absorption Trends
Monthly Absorption Pace Per Project
for Most Recently Delivered Market-Rate Projects 9 24 33 49 9 26 --
(Year of Most Recently Marketed Project) (2014) (2013) (2014) (2014) (2014) (2014) --
Supply Projections
# of Market Rate Units Under Construction & Available
Plus Planned Which Are Likely to Be Delivered
in the Next 36 Months 4 1,074 1,875 1,898 4,236 5,126 1,972 16,997
For Comparison
at 9/30/2013 687 1,780 2,580 3,286 3,610 1,426 14,289
1 Excludes projects that were not actively marketing at date of previous survey, i.e. same project/unit price comparison.2 Includes actively marketing projects.3 Excludes actively marketing projects.4 See list of under construction and planned projects on tables 3.19 and 3.20. Does not account for attrition. Substate totals may include some projects that do not fall into the identified submarkets.
Source: Compiled by Delta Associates, 500 Montgomery St., Suite 600, Alexandria, Virginia 22314
Phone: (703) 836-5700. Last Update: September 2014.
Third Quarter 2014
MARKET INDICATOROVERALL
TOTAL/WEIGHTED AVERAGEUPPER NW CENTRAL COLUMBIA
HEIGHTS/SHAW NOMA/
H STREET CAPITOL HILL/ RIVERFRONT
NORTHEAST
Table 3.10 3Q 2014 14206 A Tables.xlsx
X:\DELTA\OLDSERV\Open Projects\14206\3rdQtr2014\Class A Report Work Files\3Q 2014 14206 A Tables.xlsx
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HIDE
Q4' 13 Q1' 14 Q2' 14 Q3' 14
LOW-RISE APARTMENTS
The Elms at Clarksburg Village 336 9/12 10/12 314 10 1 14 7 13 1%Clarksburg, MarylandBainbridge River Oaks 294 10/12 1/13 262 16 6 3 (5) 12 3%Woodbridge, VirginiaHaven at Celebrate Virginia 251 1/13 2/13 238 17 (3) 2 3 12 9%Fredericksburg, VirginiaFlats 170 at Academy Yard 369 4/13 6/13 271 (4) 27 32 10 16 0%Odenton, MarylandThe Mark at Brickyard 433 5/13 8/13 272 11 18 33 4 17 9%Laurel, MarylandParamount at Spectrum 210 6/13 6/13 195 14 9 17 6 13 0%Gaithersburg, MarylandElan Potomac Heights 288 8/13 11/13 97 0 2 12 13 7 12%Woodbridge, VirginiaAtley on the Greenway 458 8/13 8/13 342 NA 18 37 26 26 9%Ashburn, VirginiaAvalon Arlington North 227 9/13 9/13 205 13 10 25 21 17 0%Arlington, VirginiaHaven at Market Square 206 11/13 12/13 145 12 11 17 16 15 9%Frederick, MarylandHaven at Fortuna Village 250 12/13 1/14 116 NA 4 24 11 13 8%Dumfries, VirginiaMillstone at Kingsview 132 1/14 2/14 101 NA 20 10 10 13 8%Germantown, MarylandParagon at Columbia Overlook 320 1/14 4/14 173 NA 3 19 37 22 7%Columbia, Maryland3350 at Alterra 283 2/14 5/14 195 NA NA NA 28 28 0%Hyattsville, MarylandCreekside Village 208 3/14 3/14 120 NA NA -- 20 20 0%Glen Burnie, Maryland 2/
Prospect Hall Apartments 376 4/14 7/14 39 NA NA 3 10 8 NAFrederick, MarylandKensington Place - Phase I 129 6/14 8/14 46 NA NA NA 15 15 17%Woodbridge, Virginia
Icon at Dulles 448 9/12 9/12 332 0 (2) 11 9 14 12%Herndon, VirgniaTrilogy NoMa 555 9/12 9/12 530 18 11 38 23 22 8%Washington, DCCitron Apartments 191 1/13 4/13 187 14 6 6 4 10 17%Silver Spring, MarylandThe Beacon at Waugh Chapel 298 1/13 3/13 274 30 18 13 1 14 0%Crofton, MarylandDomain College Park 253 4/13 6/13 250 13 12 11 14 15 0%College Park, MarylandCrosswinds at Annapolis Town Center 215 4/13 7/13 196 13 9 11 15 12 0%Annapolis, Maryland14W 212 4/13 5/13 207 13 9 7 5 12 12%Washington, DCVerde at Howard Square 300 7/13 11/13 255 0 14 28 42 20 8%Elkridge, MarylandAvenir Place at Dunn Loring Metro - Ph. I 229 8/13 9/13 207 29 34 (3) 2 16 NAMerrifield, Virginia1111 Belle Pre 360 8/13 10/13 301 28 12 12 40 23 0%Alexandria, Virginia19Nineteen Clarendon 191 9/13 2/14 159 9 9 12 21 13 17%Arlington, VirginiaAvalon Mosaic 531 12/13 12/13 341 19 -- -- 13 34 0%Merrifield, VirginiaSolaire Wheaton 203 12/13 2/14 -- 19 -- -- -- -- NAWheaton, Maryland 2/
77H 276 1/14 1/14 179 NA 6 31 25 22 6%Washington, DCBainbridge Fair Lakes 150 2/14 4/14 94 NA 6 18 11 13 0%Fairfax, VirginiaCadence at Crown 538 2/14 3/14 176 NA 2 52 6 25 4%Gaithersburg, MarylandBell Del Ray 276 3/14 3/14 145 NA 16 29 17 22 NAAlexandria, VirginiaCornerstone - Monroe St. Market 282 3/14 4/14 120 NA -- 26 14 20 0%Washington, DCTwelve12 182 3/14 5/14 55 NA -- 18 -- 9 NAWashington, DC 2/
PerSei Pike and Rose 149 3/14 6/14 94 NA NA 10 22 16 NANorth Bethesda, MarylandStonebridge Terrace Apartments 302 4/14 4/14 125 NA NA 18 23 21 0%Woodbridge, VirginiaNorthgate 97 4/14 5/14 69 NA NA 24 (1) 12 10%East Falls Church, VirginiaThe Kingsley 175 5/14 6/14 44 NA NA NA 11 11 NAAlexandria, VirginiaThe Louis 268 6/14 6/14 99 NA NA NA 33 33 NAWashington, DCModera Tempo 340 7/14 10/14 17 NA NA NA 9 9 NAAlexandria, VirginiaThe Shelby 210 8/14 9/14 6 NA NA NA 6 6 NAAlexandria, VirginiaTakoma Central 144 8/14 11/14 9 NA NA NA 9 9 NAWashington, DCWindmill Parc - Phase I 214 8/14 12/14 2 NA NA NA 2 2 NADulles, VirginiaThe Swift 200 9/14 9/14 5 NA NA NA 10 10 NAWashington, DC
PROJECT NAME/LOCATIONTOTAL UNITS 1
DATE LEASING BEGAN
DATE OF DELIVERY
UNITS ABSORB.
MONTHLY ABSORPTION PACE PER QUARTER OVERALL LEASE-UP PACE SINCE MARKETING
BEGAN
CURRENT CONCESS. AS A
% OF FACE RENT
MID-RISE APARTMENTS
TABLE 3.11 ABSORPTION SUMMARY | ACTIVELY LEASING CLASS A APARTMENT PROJECTS
WASHINGTON METROPOLITAN AREAThird Quarter 2014
59DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION
SPONSORED BY BOZZUTOWASHINGTON STATISTICAL REPORT
HIDE
Q4' 13 Q1' 14 Q2' 14 Q3' 14PROJECT NAME/LOCATION
TOTAL UNITS 1
DATE LEASING BEGAN
DATE OF DELIVERY
UNITS ABSORB.
MONTHLY ABSORPTION PACE PER QUARTER OVERALL LEASE-UP PACE SINCE MARKETING
BEGAN
CURRENT CONCESS. AS A
% OF FACE RENT
TABLE 3.11 ABSORPTION SUMMARY | ACTIVELY LEASING CLASS A APARTMENT PROJECTS
WASHINGTON METROPOLITAN AREAThird Quarter 2014
Sedona 216 2/13 4/13 200 9 1 (2) 4 13 8%Arlington, VirginiaProsperity Flats 285 3/13 6/13 259 (1) 16 18 13 15 8%Merrifield, VirginiaThe Heritage 183 6/13 8/13 -- NA NA NA NA NA NASilver Spring, Maryland 2/
Slate 203 7/13 8/13 176 3 7 15 21 13 8%Arlington, VirginiaCitymarket at O 400 7/13 1/14 322 6 45 24 42 23 8%Washington, DCThe Exchange at Wheaton Station 425 8/13 10/13 239 22 17 24 12 18 17%Wheaton, MarylandThe Avant at Reston Town Center 315 8/13 11/13 182 (1) 7 19 25 14 8%Reston, VirginiaOvation at Park Crest 300 9/13 4/14 154 3 14 8 26 13 17%McLean, VirginiaThe Apartments at CityCenter 366 9/13 12/13 285 2 21 26 46 24 0%Washington, DCEleven55 Ripley 331 9/13 1/14 163 10 9 13 22 14 17%Silver Spring, MarylandThe View at Liberty Center 256 9/13 1/14 89 NA NA 23 6 7 0%Ballston, VirginiaLyric at 440K 234 11/13 12/13 126 4 7 15 18 13 9%Washington, DCThe Premier 140 11/13 1/14 121 2 10 5 25 12 17%Silver Spring, MarylandGallery Bethesda 198 11/13 1/14 160 NA 12 28 21 16 0%Bethesda, MarylandAscent at Springhill Station 323 11/13 3/14 98 NA 6 10 15 10 17%Tysons Corner, VirginiaCamden NoMa - Ph. I 327 12/13 12/13 254 13 12 50 18 28 7%Washington, DCSky House East 213 12/13 1/14 204 NA 8 25 35 23 0%Washington, DCAurora at North Bethesda Center 298 4/14 7/14 124 NA NA 13 28 21 NANorth Bethesda, MarylandThe Beacon at Clarendon West 187 4/14 8/14 62 NA NA 4 16 10 12%Arlington, VirginiaFenwick 271 4/14 8/14 89 NA NA NA 15 15 0%Silver Spring, MarylandVirginia Square Towers 528 5/14 7/14 188 NA NA 6 61 47 0%Arlington, VirginiaThe George 169 6/14 6/14 26 NA NA -- 9 9 14%Wheaton, MarylandBainbridge Bethesda 170 6/14 7/14 40 NA NA -- 13 13 NABethesda, MarylandDel Ray Tower 333 6/14 8/14 92 NA NA -- 31 31 12%Alexandria, VirginiaHarrison at Reston Town Center 360 6/14 11/14 29 NA NA NA 10 10 NAReston, Virginia2 M Street 308 7/14 8/14 98 NA NA NA 49 49 NAWashington, DCThe Woodley 212 7/14 7/14 18 NA NA NA 9 9 NAWashington, DCElevation at Washington Gateway 367 7/14 8/14 24 NA NA NA 12 12 0%Washington, DCTellus 254 7/14 8/14 12 NA NA NA 6 6 NAArlington, VirginiaMeridian at Mt. Vernon Triangle - Phase II 393 8/14 10/14 4 NA NA NA 4 4 NAWashington, DC
at Third Quarter 2014 21,124 -- 11,447 16 5%at Third Quarter 2013 16,327 -- 8,315 16 7%at Third Quarter 2012 9,461 -- 3,669 17 9%at Third Quarter 2011 5,652 -- 3,552 17 7%at Third Quarter 2010 9,155 -- 5,735 15 13%at Third Quarter 2009 12,109 -- 7,234 15 14%
1 Includes only market-rate units.3 Property did not participate in our suvey. Source: Compiled by Delta Associates, 500 Montgomery St., Suite 600, Alexandria, VA 22314. Phone: (703) 836-5700. Last update: September 2014.
HIGH-RISE APARTMENTS
41%
35%
23%
SUBSTATE SHARE OF ACTIVELY MARKETING CLASS A APARTMENT UNITS Washington Metro | Third Quarter 2014
NoVa
SubMd
The District
10
12
14
16
18
20
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Leas
e-U
p Pa
ce
Apar
tmen
t Uni
ts
UNIT VOLUME AND OVERALL LEASE-UP PACE OF ACTIVELY MARKETING CLASS A APARTMENT PROJECTS Washington Metro | Third Quarter 2009-2014
Units Pace
DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION60
SPONSORED BY BOZZUTOWASHINGTON STATISTICAL REPORT
1. Somerhill Farm Low-Rise 127 7/11 9/06 11/11 24Gainesville, Virginia
2. The Myerton Low-Rise 74 8/11 10/06 5/12 13Arlington, Virginia
3. Foundry Lofts Mid-Rise 136 8/11 11/11 5/12 14Washington, DC
4. Cobblestone Square Low-Rise 306 8/11 11/11 11/12 19Fredericksburg, Virginia
5. Camden Summerfield - Ph. II Low-Rise 187 9/11 9/11 8/12 17Landover, Maryland
6. Gables Centerpointe Low-Rise 103 9/11 10/11 8/12 9Fairfax, Virginia
7. Rhode Island Row Mid-Rise 220 9/11 1/12 12/12 14Washington, DC
8. The Rockwell - Halstead Square - Ph. I Mid-Rise 242 10/11 11/11 5/12 28Vienna, Virginia
9. The Galaxy Mid-Rise 113 11/11 2/12 12/12 8Silver Spring, Maryland
10. Broadstone at Laurel Highlands Low-Rise 289 11/11 11/11 6/13 14Lorton, Virginia
11. vPoint Low-Rise 40 12/11 1/12 5/12 6Arlington, Virginia
12. Yale West High-Rise 216 12/11 1/12 8/13 10Washington, DC
13. Thomas Court Low-Rise 49 1/12 2/12 5/12 10Arlington, Virginia
14. The Nines at Gleneagles Low-Rise 120 1/12 1/12 2/13 11Waldorf, Maryland
15. Archstone Gaithersburg Station Low-Rise 371 1/12 2/12 5/14 13Gaithersburg, Maryland
16. Village at Odenton Station Low-Rise 235 2/12 5/12 11/13 11Odenton, Maryland
17. Flats at Atlas Low-Rise 257 3/12 4/12 11/13 12Washington, DC
18. Avalon First and M High-Rise 469 3/12 6/12 8/14 14Washington, DC
19. Solaire Silver Spring High-Rise 243 3/12 4/12 11/13 10Silver Spring, Maryland
20. Post Carlyle Square - Ph. II High-Rise 332 3/12 5/12 11/13 15Alexandria, Virginia
21. Residences at Hidden Creek Low-Rise 255 4/12 6/12 11/13 10Gaithersburg, Maryland
22. Gables Upper Rock - Phase I Low-Rise 240 4/12 6/12 11/13 11North Rockville, Maryland
23. The Haven at Odenton Gateway Low-Rise 252 4/12 4/12 6/13 18Odenton, Maryland
24. The Griffin Mid-Rise 49 4/12 4/12 6/12 24Washington, DC
25. Meridian Mount Vernon Triangle High-Rise 390 4/12 6/12 6/13 26Washington, DC
26. Madison at Ballston Station - Phase II Mid-Rise 270 4/12 5/12 8/13 15Arlington, Virginia
27. The Courts at Historic Manassas Low-Rise 104 5/12 7/12 6/13 8Manassas, Virginia
28. 2201 Pershing Apartments Mid-Rise 172 5/12 9/12 6/13 13Arlington, Virginia
29. Station Square at Cosners Corner Low-Rise 276 5/12 7/12 5/14 10Fredericksburg, Virginia
30. The Enclave at Potomac Club Low-Rise 406 5/12 8/12 5/14 19Woodbridge, Virginia
31. BLVD | Loudoun Station Mid-Rise 350 6/12 7/12 5/14 16Ashburn, Virgnia
32. The Lotus /The Lofts- Halstead Square Mid-Rise 380 6/12 7/12 8/14 14Vienna, Virginia
33. Avalon Park Crest Mid-Rise 354 6/12 8/12 11/13 19McLean, Virginia
34. Elan Settler's Landing Low-Rise 243 7/12 12/12 11/13 14California, Maryland
35. Orchard Meadows at North Ridge Low-Rise 144 7/12 10/12 6/13 11Columbia, Maryland
36. The Beacon of Groveton Mid-Rise 290 7/12 10/12 8/14 11Alexandria, Virginia
37. Garfield Park Mid-Rise 143 7/12 9/12 8/13 10Arlington, Virginia
38. Corner 4209 Mid-Rise 191 7/12 9/12 5/14 9Fairfax, Virginia
39. AVA H Street Mid-Rise 124 9/12 11/12 6/13 13Washington, DC
40. The Asher High-Rise 206 9/12 9/12 11/13 13Alexandria, Virginia
TABLE 3.12ABSORPTION SUMMARY | CLASS A APARTMENT PROJECTS
WASHINGTON METROPOLITAN AREAThird Quarter 2011 Through Third Quarter 2014
OVERALL MONTHLY LEASE-
UP PACE 1PROJECT NAME/LOCATION TYPE OF PROJECT TOTAL
UNITS
DATE MARKETING
BEGAN
DATE DELIVERED
DATE STABILIZED
61DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION
SPONSORED BY BOZZUTOWASHINGTON STATISTICAL REPORT
TABLE 3.12ABSORPTION SUMMARY | CLASS A APARTMENT PROJECTS
WASHINGTON METROPOLITAN AREAThird Quarter 2011 Through Third Quarter 2014
OVERALL MONTHLY LEASE-
UP PACE 1PROJECT NAME/LOCATION TYPE OF PROJECT TOTAL
UNITS
DATE MARKETING
BEGAN
DATE DELIVERED
DATE STABILIZED
41. Capitol View on 14th High-Rise 255 9/12 11/12 5/14 12Washington, DC
42. Palette at Arts District Low-Rise 242 10/12 11/12 5/14 10Hyattsville, Maryland
43. The Park at Walnut Ridge Low-Rise 204 10/12 2/13 5/14 13Frederick, Maryland
44. Aria on L Mid-Rise 54 12/12 1/13 11/13 4Washington, DC
45. Highland Park - Phase II High-Rise 116 12/12 1/13 11/13 9Washington, DC
46. Flats 130 at Constitution Square - Phase II High-Rise 203 2/13 3/13 8/14 9Washington, DC
47. 360 H Street Mid-Rise 198 2/13 4/13 5/14 15Washington, DC
48. The Palisades at Arundel Preserve High-Rise 330 2/13 4/13 8/14 17Hanover, Maryland
49. Brookland Works - Monroe St. Market Mid-Rise 152 3/13 7/13 5/14 11Washington, DC
50. The District Mid-Rise 125 3/13 4/13 11/13 14Washington, DC
51. Kennedy Row Mid-Rise 130 3/13 3/13 5/14 11Washington, DC
52. Camden South Capitol High-Rise 264 4/13 5/13 8/14 13Washington, DC
53. Henderson Park Low-Rise 66 4/13 6/13 8/13 13Arlington, Virginia
54. Harmony Place Low-Rise 286 4/13 6/13 8/14 18Bowie, Maryland
55. Arcadia Run Low-Rise 152 5/13 7/13 8/14 9Manassas, Virginia
56. Brompton House Low-Rise 254 5/13 6/13 8/14 15Elkridge, Maryland
57. 7th Flats at Progression Place High-Rise 154 8/13 9/13 8/14 11Washington, DC
58. Portland Flats - Monroe St. Market Mid-Rise 88 8/13 11/13 5/14 11Washington, DC
59. Bond Building Apartments High-Rise 83 9/13 2/14 9/14 7Washington, DC
60. Avery Row Low-Rise 67 12/13 12/13 8/14 4Arlington, Virginia
61. The Harper Mid-Rise 134 2/14 2/14 8/14 19Washington, DC
Overall Total/Average (1996-Present): 96,348 -- -- -- 16
Those That Began Marketing in 2003: Total/Average: 4,750 -- -- -- 20
Those That Began Marketing in 2004: Total/Average: 3,605 -- -- -- 13
Those That Began Marketing in 2005: Total/Average: 3,418 -- -- -- 16
Those That Began Marketing in 2006: Total/Average: 5,525 -- -- -- 16
Those That Began Marketing in 2007: Total/Average: 9,608 -- -- -- 14
Those That Began Marketing in 2008: Total/Average: 8,872 -- -- -- 13
Those That Began Marketing in 2009: Total/Average: 6,037 -- -- -- 14
Those That Began Marketing in 2010: Total/Average: 5,246 -- -- -- 15
Those That Began Marketing in 2011: Total/Average: 3,450 -- -- -- 16Those That Began Marketing in 2012: Total/Average: 7,786 -- -- -- 13Those That Began Marketing in 2013: Total/Average: 2,552 -- -- -- 13Those That Began Marketing in 2014: Total/Average: 134 -- -- -- 19
1 Includes months of pre-leasing activity.
Source: Compiled by Delta Associates, 500 Montgomery St., Suite 600, Alexandria, VA 22314. Phone: (703) 836-5700,
Last update: September 2014.
0
5
10
15
20
25
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Ove
rall
Mon
thly
Lea
se-U
p Pa
ce
Apar
tmen
t Uni
ts
MARKETING STARTS AND OVERALL MONTHLY LEASE-UP PACE FOR STABILIZED PROJECTS Washington Metro Area | 2003-2014
No. of Units
Abs. Pace
TABLE 3.12ABSORPTION SUMMARY | CLASS A APARTMENT PROJECTS
WASHINGTON METROPOLITAN AREAThird Quarter 2011 Through Third Quarter 2014
OVERALL MONTHLY LEASE-
UP PACE 1PROJECT NAME/LOCATION TYPE OF PROJECT TOTAL
UNITS
DATE MARKETING
BEGAN
DATE DELIVERED
DATE STABILIZED
41. Capitol View on 14th High-Rise 255 9/12 11/12 5/14 12Washington, DC
42. Palette at Arts District Low-Rise 242 10/12 11/12 5/14 10Hyattsville, Maryland
43. The Park at Walnut Ridge Low-Rise 204 10/12 2/13 5/14 13Frederick, Maryland
44. Aria on L Mid-Rise 54 12/12 1/13 11/13 4Washington, DC
45. Highland Park - Phase II High-Rise 116 12/12 1/13 11/13 9Washington, DC
46. Flats 130 at Constitution Square - Phase II High-Rise 203 2/13 3/13 8/14 9Washington, DC
47. 360 H Street Mid-Rise 198 2/13 4/13 5/14 15Washington, DC
48. The Palisades at Arundel Preserve High-Rise 330 2/13 4/13 8/14 17Hanover, Maryland
49. Brookland Works - Monroe St. Market Mid-Rise 152 3/13 7/13 5/14 11Washington, DC
50. The District Mid-Rise 125 3/13 4/13 11/13 14Washington, DC
51. Kennedy Row Mid-Rise 130 3/13 3/13 5/14 11Washington, DC
52. Camden South Capitol High-Rise 264 4/13 5/13 8/14 13Washington, DC
53. Henderson Park Low-Rise 66 4/13 6/13 8/13 13Arlington, Virginia
54. Harmony Place Low-Rise 286 4/13 6/13 8/14 18Bowie, Maryland
55. Arcadia Run Low-Rise 152 5/13 7/13 8/14 9Manassas, Virginia
56. Brompton House Low-Rise 254 5/13 6/13 8/14 15Elkridge, Maryland
57. 7th Flats at Progression Place High-Rise 154 8/13 9/13 8/14 11Washington, DC
58. Portland Flats - Monroe St. Market Mid-Rise 88 8/13 11/13 5/14 11Washington, DC
59. Bond Building Apartments High-Rise 83 9/13 2/14 9/14 7Washington, DC
60. Avery Row Low-Rise 67 12/13 12/13 8/14 4Arlington, Virginia
61. The Harper Mid-Rise 134 2/14 2/14 8/14 19Washington, DC
Overall Total/Average (1996-Present): 96,348 -- -- -- 16
Those That Began Marketing in 2003: Total/Average: 4,750 -- -- -- 20
Those That Began Marketing in 2004: Total/Average: 3,605 -- -- -- 13
Those That Began Marketing in 2005: Total/Average: 3,418 -- -- -- 16
Those That Began Marketing in 2006: Total/Average: 5,525 -- -- -- 16
Those That Began Marketing in 2007: Total/Average: 9,608 -- -- -- 14
Those That Began Marketing in 2008: Total/Average: 8,872 -- -- -- 13
Those That Began Marketing in 2009: Total/Average: 6,037 -- -- -- 14
Those That Began Marketing in 2010: Total/Average: 5,246 -- -- -- 15
Those That Began Marketing in 2011: Total/Average: 3,450 -- -- -- 16Those That Began Marketing in 2012: Total/Average: 7,786 -- -- -- 13Those That Began Marketing in 2013: Total/Average: 2,552 -- -- -- 13Those That Began Marketing in 2014: Total/Average: 134 -- -- -- 19
1 Includes months of pre-leasing activity.
Source: Compiled by Delta Associates, 500 Montgomery St., Suite 600, Alexandria, VA 22314. Phone: (703) 836-5700,
Last update: September 2014.
0
5
10
15
20
25
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Ove
rall
Mon
thly
Lea
se-U
p Pa
ce
Apar
tmen
t Uni
ts
MARKETING STARTS AND OVERALL MONTHLY LEASE-UP PACE FOR STABILIZED PROJECTS Washington Metro Area | 2003-2014
No. of Units
Abs. Pace
DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION62
SPONSORED BY BOZZUTOTA
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1522
Four
& F
ive
Met
ropo
litan
Par
kHi
gh-R
isePe
ntag
on C
ityVo
rnad
o Re
alty
Tru
st69
90
699
2016
2016
2017
23Se
dona
High
-Rise
Ross
lyn
ASB
Real
Inve
stm
ents
216
200
162/
2013
4/20
132Q
201
324
Slat
eHi
gh-R
iseRo
ssly
nAS
B Re
al In
vest
men
ts20
317
621
7/20
138/
2013
9/20
1325
Cent
ral P
lace
High
-Rise
Ross
lyn
JBG
377
037
74Q
201
64Q
201
61Q
201
726
Virg
inia
Squ
are
Tow
ers
High
-Rise
Virg
inia
Squ
are
Ditt
mar
534
188
346
5/20
146/
2014
3Q 2
014
27Vi
rgin
ia S
quar
e La
titud
e Ap
artm
ents
High
-Rise
Virg
inia
Squ
are
Penr
ose
Grou
p26
50
265
6/20
166/
2016
9/20
16
Fairf
ax C
ount
y /1
28W
est B
road
Res
iden
ces
High
-Rise
Falls
Chu
rch
Rush
mar
k26
80
268
3Q 2
015
1Q 2
016
2Q 2
016
29Pr
ospe
rity
Flat
sHi
gh-R
iseDu
nn L
orin
g M
etro
Rush
mar
k28
525
926
3/20
136/
2013
3Q 2
013
30Av
enir
at D
unn
Lorin
g M
etro
- Ph
. IM
id-R
iseDu
nn L
orin
g M
etro
Mill
Cre
ek R
esid
entia
l Tru
st22
920
722
8/20
139/
2013
12/2
013
31Av
enir
at D
unn
Lorin
g - P
h. II
Mid
-Rise
Dunn
Lor
ing
Met
roM
ill C
reek
Res
iden
tial T
rust
349
034
92Q
201
52Q
201
53Q
201
532
Halst
ead
Squa
re -
Ph. I
IIM
id-R
iseDu
nn L
orin
g M
etro
DSF
Grou
p19
60
196
3/20
156/
2015
6/20
1533
Nor
thga
teM
id-R
ise &
TH
East
Fal
ls Ch
urch
Heke
mia
n &
Co.
Inc.
9269
233/
2014
4/20
146/
2014
34Ba
inbr
idge
Fai
r Lak
esM
id-R
iseFa
ir La
kes
Bain
brid
ge C
os.
150
9456
2/20
144/
2014
5/20
1435
Fairf
ax R
idge
IIGa
rden
w/S
PFa
irfax
Cen
ter
Mill
Cre
ek R
esid
entia
l Tru
st17
80
178
6/20
158/
2015
5/20
1636
Hillw
ood
Squa
reTH
-Sty
leFa
lls C
hurc
hAv
alon
Bay
461
046
11Q
201
51Q
201
54Q
201
537
Rese
rve
at T
inne
r Hill
Mid
-Rise
Falls
Chu
rch
Linc
oln
Prop
erty
Co.
210
021
04Q
201
51Q
201
62Q
201
638
Icon
at D
ulle
sM
id-R
iseHe
rndo
nJL
B Pa
rtne
rs44
833
211
611
/201
211
/201
26/
2013
39Di
scov
ery
Squa
re a
t Tim
ber R
idge
Mid
-Rise
Hern
don
Linc
oln
Prop
erty
Co.
256
025
61Q
201
62Q
201
62Q
201
640
The
Shel
byM
id-R
ise/M
ixed
Use
Hunt
ingt
onIn
sight
Pro
pert
y Gr
oup
LLC
210
620
48/
2014
9/20
1412
/201
441
The
View
at H
untin
gton
Sta
tion
Mid
-Rise
Hunt
ingt
onM
idAt
lant
ic R
ealty
Par
tner
s35
00
350
2Q 2
015
2Q 2
015
3Q 2
015
42Av
alon
Mos
aic
Mid
-Rise
Mer
rifie
ldAv
alon
Bay
468
341
127
12/2
013
12/2
013
3Q 2
014
43M
ill C
reek
Mos
aic
Mid
-Rise
Mer
rifie
ldM
ill C
reek
Res
iden
tial T
rust
220
022
01/
2015
4/20
158/
2015
44BL
VD |
Res
ton
Stat
ion
High
-Rise
Rest
onCo
mst
ock
360
036
04Q
201
51Q
201
61Q
201
645
Harr
ison
at R
esto
n To
wn
Cent
erHi
gh-R
iseRe
ston
Tow
n Ce
nter
Com
mun
ity R
ealty
Co.
360
2933
16/
2014
11/2
014
5/20
1546
The
Avan
t at R
esto
n To
wn
Cent
erHi
gh-R
iseRe
ston
Tow
n Ce
nter
Bost
on P
rope
rtie
s31
518
213
38/
2013
4Q 2
013
1Q 2
014
47O
vatio
n at
Par
k Cr
est
High
-Rise
Tyso
ns C
orne
rPe
nros
e Gr
oup
296
154
142
9/20
134/
2014
1/20
1448
Asce
nt a
t Spr
ingh
ill S
tatio
nHi
gh-R
iseTy
sons
Cor
ner
Grey
star
323
9822
511
/201
33/
2014
3Q 2
014
49VI
TAHi
gh-R
iseTy
sons
Cor
ner
Mac
eric
h39
00
390
10/2
014
11/2
014
3/20
1550
Hano
ver T
yson
s Cor
ner
High
-Rise
Tyso
ns C
orne
rHa
nove
r Dev
elop
men
t38
40
384
2Q 2
015
3Q 2
015
1Q 2
016
51Ga
rfie
ld S
iteM
id a
nd H
igh-
Rise
Tyso
ns C
orne
rJL
B Pa
rtne
rs34
00
340
1Q 2
016
2Q 2
016
12/2
016
52El
an T
yson
s Wes
tHi
gh-R
iseTy
sons
Cor
ner
Grey
star
320
032
02Q
201
610
/201
63/
2017
WASHINGTON STATISTICAL REPORT
63DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION
SPONSORED BY BOZZUTO
TABL
E 3.
13RE
NTA
L AP
ARTM
ENT
PRO
JECT
S U
NDE
R CO
NST
RUCT
ION
AN
D/O
R M
ARKE
TIN
GNo
rther
n Vi
rgin
iaTh
ird Q
uarte
r 201
4
Proj
ect N
ame/
Loca
tion
Proj
ect T
ype
Loca
tion
Spon
sor(
s)#
of M
kt. R
ate
Uni
ts#
of U
nits
Ab
sorb
ed#
of A
vaila
ble
Uni
tsD
ate
Pre-
Lsg.
Be
gins
Inita
l Occ
up.
Dat
eD
ate
Cons
tr.
Com
plet
e
Loud
oun
Coun
ty53
Atle
y on
the
Gree
nway
Gard
enAs
hbur
nFa
irfie
ld R
esid
entia
l49
634
215
48/
2013
8/20
133Q
201
354
Win
dmill
Par
c - P
hase
IM
id-R
iseDu
lles
Lern
er E
nter
prise
s21
42
212
8/20
1412
/201
44Q
201
4
Prin
ce W
illia
m C
ount
y /2
55Ha
ven
at F
ortu
na V
illag
eGa
rden
Dum
frie
sJo
hnso
n De
velo
pmen
t Ass
oc.
244
116
128
12/2
013
2/20
143Q
201
456
Wel
lingt
on G
len
- Ph.
IIGa
rden
Man
assa
sAr
cadi
a Bu
ildin
g15
40
154
3Q 2
014
3Q 2
014
2Q 2
014
57O
rcha
rd B
ridge
Gard
enM
anas
sas
Villa
ge o
n Bu
ll Ru
n, L
LC36
80
368
3Q 2
014
4Q 2
014
4Q 2
014
58Ba
inbr
idge
Riv
er O
aks
Gard
enW
oodb
ridge
Bain
brid
ge C
os.
294
262
3210
/201
21/
2013
4/20
1359
Elan
Pot
omac
Hei
ghts
Gard
enW
oodb
ridge
Grey
star
288
9719
18/
2013
6/20
144Q
201
360
Ston
ebrid
ge T
erra
ce A
part
men
tsM
id-R
iseW
oodb
ridge
Whi
teco
Res
iden
tial
304
125
179
4/20
144/
2014
3Q 2
014
61Ke
nsin
gton
Pla
ce -
Phas
e I
Gard
enW
oodb
ridge
Van
Met
re12
946
836/
2014
8/20
148/
2014
62Fr
eest
one
- Ph.
IGa
rden
w/S
PW
oodb
ridge
JLB
Part
ners
420
042
010
/201
410
/201
43Q
201
563
Tack
ett's
Vill
age
Mid
-Rise
Woo
dbrid
geM
iller
& S
mith
720
724Q
201
44Q
201
41Q
201
564
Nea
bsco
Com
mon
s - P
hase
IM
id-R
iseW
oodb
ridge
Uni
wes
t18
60
186
4Q 2
014
1Q 2
014
5/20
1565
Kens
ingt
on P
lace
- Ph
. II
Gard
enW
oodb
ridge
Van
Met
re18
30
183
1Q 2
015
1Q 2
015
2Q 2
015
Staf
ford
, Spo
tsyl
vani
a, C
ity o
f Fre
deric
ksbu
rg66
Have
n at
Cel
ebra
te V
irgin
iaGa
rden
Fred
eric
ksbu
rgJo
hnso
n De
velo
pmen
t Ass
oc.
251
238
131/
2013
2/20
132Q
201
3To
tal A
ll U
nit T
ypes
: -
--
18,7
434,
689
14,0
48-
--
Port
ion
Gard
ens:
-
--
3,69
41,
306
2,38
8-
--
Port
ion
Mid
-Ris
e/Hi
gh-R
ise:
-
--
15,0
493,
383
11,6
60-
--
/1 In
clud
es ci
ties o
f Fai
rfax
and
Fal
ls Ch
urch
./2
Incl
udes
citie
s of M
anas
sas a
nd M
anas
sas P
ark.
Com
paris
on to
Prio
r Yea
rs
(Ava
ilabl
e U
nits
in P
roje
cts U
nder
Con
stru
ctio
n ) a
t:
# U
nits
9/20
1414
,048
6/20
1414
,260
3/20
1413
,452
12/2
013
13,4
0512
/201
212
,304
12/2
011
8,49
612
/201
04,
547
12/2
009
5,48
012
/200
88,
242
12/2
007
8,80
712
/200
66,
949
12/2
005
5,74
112
/200
46,
253
12/2
003
7,57
412
/200
27,
630
12/2
001
8,41
012
/200
08,
633
12/1
999
6,23
6
Sour
ce: C
ompi
led
by D
elta
Ass
ocia
tes,
500
Mon
tgom
ery
St., S
uite
600
, Ale
xand
ria,
Vir
gini
a 22
314.
Pho
ne (7
03) 8
36-5
700.
Las
t Upd
ate
Sept
embe
r 201
4.
Dat
e
0
2,00
0
4,00
0
6,00
0
8,00
0
10,0
00
12,0
00
14,0
00
16,0
00
12/1999
12/2000
12/2001
12/2002
12/2005
12/2006
12/2007
12/2008
12/2009
12/2010
12/2011
12/2012
12/2013
3/2014
6/2014
9/2014
Avai
labl
e U
nits
in P
roje
cts U
nder
Co
nstr
uctio
n #
of A
vaila
ble
Mar
ket R
ate
Uni
ts
City
of A
lexa
ndria
Arlin
gton
Cou
nty
Fairf
ax C
ount
y
Loud
oun
Coun
ty
Prin
ce W
illia
m C
o.
Staf
f., S
pot.,
Fre
d.
WASHINGTON STATISTICAL REPORT
DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION64
SPONSORED BY BOZZUTOTA
BLE
3.14
REN
TAL
PRO
JECT
S PL
ANN
ED T
O D
ELIV
ER O
VER
THE
NEX
T 36
MO
NTH
S
Proj
ect N
ame
Proj
ect T
ype
Loca
tion
# of
Mkt
. Rat
e U
nits
Prop
er Z
onin
g?In
itial
Ap
prov
als?
Site
Pla
n Ap
prov
edBl
dg. P
mts
. Is
sued
?Es
t. Co
nstr
. St
art D
ate
City
of A
lexa
ndria
1La
ndm
ark
Gate
way
- Ph
ase
IIM
id-R
iseVa
n Do
rn15
0Ye
sYe
sYe
sN
o4Q
201
42
The
Gate
way
at K
ing
and
Beau
rega
rdHi
gh-R
iseW
est A
lexa
ndria
405
No
No
No
No
1Q 2
015
Arlin
gton
Cou
nty
367
2 Fl
ats
Mid
-Rise
Balls
ton
170
No
No
No
No
10/2
015
410
th S
tree
t Fla
tsM
id-R
ise/M
ixed
Use
Clar
endo
n13
5Ye
sYe
sYe
sN
o3Q
201
55
The
Wel
lingt
on -
Addi
tion
Mid
-Rise
Colu
mbi
a Pi
ke42
5Ye
sN
oN
oN
o7/
2015
6m
. Fla
ts C
ryst
al C
ityHi
gh-R
iseCr
ysta
l City
182
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
9/20
147
2221
S. C
lark
Str
eet
High
-Rise
Crys
tal C
ity25
2N
oN
oN
oN
oTB
D8
Resid
ence
s at E
ast F
alls
Chur
ch M
etro
Mid
-Rise
East
Fal
ls Ch
urch
Met
ro14
7N
oN
oN
oN
o9/
2015
940
0 Ar
my-
Nav
y Dr
ive
High
-Rise
Pent
agon
City
453
No
No
No
No
1Q 2
015
10Pi
erce
Que
enHi
gh-R
iseRo
ssly
n11
5Ye
sYe
sYe
sYe
s10
/201
411
Met
ro R
ossly
n Ap
artm
ents
Mid
-Rise
Ross
lyn
42Ye
sYe
sN
oN
o1Q
201
6
Fairf
ax C
ount
y /1
12Av
alon
at B
aile
y's C
ross
road
sM
id-R
iseBa
iley'
s Cro
ssro
ads
251
No
No
No
No
1Q 2
016
13Fa
irfax
Circ
leM
id-R
ise/M
ixed
Use
Fair
Oak
s40
0N
oYe
sN
oN
o1Q
201
514
Oak
Kno
llsGa
rden
Fairf
ax22
5N
oN
oN
oN
o20
1515
Villa
ge o
f Acc
otin
kGa
rden
w/S
PFo
rt B
elvo
ir26
9Ye
sYe
sN
oN
o12
/201
416
Arro
wbr
ook
Cent
re -
Phas
e I
Mid
-Rise
Hern
don
177
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
4Q 2
014
17Du
lles T
ech
Mid
-Rise
Hern
don
410
No
No
No
No
2Q 2
016
18Hu
ntin
gton
Ave
nue
Site
Mid
-Rise
Hunt
ingt
on14
1N
oN
oN
oN
o20
1419
Hunt
ingt
on A
venu
e Si
teHi
gh-R
iseHu
ntin
gton
180
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
2Q 2
015
20Th
e Gr
ande
at H
untin
gton
Mid
-Rise
/Mix
ed U
seHu
ntin
gton
250
Yes
Yes
No
No
4Q 2
015
21La
urel
Hill
Gard
enLo
rton
Pris
on17
7N
oYe
sN
oN
o4Q
201
422
Resid
ence
s at R
esto
n St
atio
nM
id-R
iseRe
ston
370
Yes
Yes
No
No
4Q 2
014
23Re
ston
Hei
ghts
- Ph
ase
IM
id-R
ise/M
ixed
Use
Rest
on30
0Ye
sYe
sYe
sN
o1Q
201
524
6406
Arli
ngto
n Bo
ulev
ard
Mid
-Rise
Seve
n Co
rner
s17
4Ye
sYe
sYe
sN
o1Q
201
525
The
Com
mon
s - P
h. I
High
-Rise
Tyso
ns C
orne
r25
5Ye
sYe
sN
oN
o12
/201
426
Tyso
ns W
est
Gard
en w
/SP
Tyso
ns C
orne
r32
5Ye
sYe
sYe
sN
o2Q
201
527
7915
Jone
s Bra
nch
Driv
eM
id-R
iseTy
sons
Cor
ner
400
No
No
No
No
9/20
1528
Gree
nsbo
ro S
tatio
n - P
hase
s A1,
A3
& B
3Hi
gh-R
iseTy
sons
Cor
ner
500
No
No
No
No
3Q 2
015
29Ty
sons
Cen
tral
NVC
omm
erci
al -
Bldg
. FHi
gh-R
iseTy
sons
Cor
ner
323
Yes
Yes
No
No
3Q 2
015
Loud
oun
Coun
ty30
Elm
s at A
rcol
aGa
rden
Arco
la24
8Ye
sYe
sYe
sN
o4Q
201
431
Kinc
ora
- Pha
se I
Gard
enBr
oad
Run
550
Yes
Yes
No
No
1Q 2
015
32Ki
ncor
a - P
hase
IIGa
rden
Broa
d Ru
n15
0Ye
sYe
sN
oN
o1Q
201
633
Lans
dow
ne T
owne
Cen
ter
Mid
-Rise
/Mix
ed U
seLa
nsdo
wne
50N
oN
oN
oN
o4Q
201
4
North
ern V
irgin
iaTh
ird Q
uarte
r 201
4
WASHINGTON STATISTICAL REPORT
65DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION
SPONSORED BY BOZZUTO
TABL
E 3.
14RE
NTA
L PR
OJE
CTS
PLAN
NED
TO
DEL
IVER
OVE
R TH
E N
EXT
36 M
ON
THS
Proj
ect N
ame
Proj
ect T
ype
Loca
tion
# of
Mkt
. Rat
e U
nits
Prop
er Z
onin
g?In
itial
Ap
prov
als?
Site
Pla
n Ap
prov
edBl
dg. P
mts
. Is
sued
?Es
t. Co
nstr
. St
art D
ate
North
ern V
irgin
iaTh
ird Q
uarte
r 201
4
Prin
ce W
illia
m C
ount
y /2
34Ha
ven
at H
aym
arke
t Cro
ssin
gGa
rden
Haym
arke
t31
6Ye
sYe
sN
oN
o2Q
201
535
Elm
s at W
alke
r's S
tatio
nGa
rden
Man
assa
s Par
k29
6Ye
sYe
sYe
sN
o4Q
201
436
Nea
bsco
Com
mon
s - P
hase
IIM
id-R
iseW
oodb
ridge
155
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
4Q 2
014
37Po
tom
ac T
own
Cent
er -
Phas
e II
Gard
enW
oodb
ridge
200
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
2Q 2
015
Staf
ford
, Spo
tsyl
vani
a, C
ity o
f Fre
dric
ksbu
rg38
Abbe
rly a
t Sta
fford
Mid
-Rise
Aqui
a Di
stric
t28
8Ye
sYe
sYe
sN
o10
/201
439
Stat
ion
Squa
re a
t Cos
ner's
Cor
ner -
Ph.
IIGa
rden
Fred
eric
ksbu
rg12
0N
oN
oN
oN
o1Q
201
540
Oak
enw
old
Gard
enFr
eder
icks
burg
200
No
No
No
No
2015
41Ab
berly
at S
outh
poin
tM
id-R
iseFr
eder
icks
burg
280
No
No
No
No
3/20
15To
tal A
ll U
nit T
ypes
: -
-10
,456
--
--
-Po
rtio
n Ga
rden
s:
--
3,07
6-
--
--
Port
ion
Mid
-Ris
e/Hi
gh-R
ise:
-
-7,
380
--
--
-/1
Incl
udes
citie
s of F
airf
ax a
nd F
alls
Chur
ch.
/2 In
clud
es ci
ties o
f Man
assa
s and
Man
assa
s Par
k.
Com
paris
on to
Prio
r Yea
rsEs
timat
e of
Nex
t 18-
36 M
onth
Pip
elin
e as
of:
# U
nits
9/20
1410
,456
6/20
1411
,533
3/20
1412
,591
12/2
013
11,3
2512
/201
213
,078
12/2
011
13,2
5312
/201
012
,490
12/2
009
9,39
812
/200
810
,022
12/2
007
11,8
7512
/200
65,
284
12/2
005
1,33
312
/200
45,
043
12/2
003
6,15
512
/200
26,
189
12/2
001
8,02
512
/200
07,
677
12/1
999
7,93
0
Not
e: O
ur b
est j
udgm
ent a
s to
proj
ects
like
ly to
del
iver
thei
r fir
st u
nits
in th
e ne
xt 3
6 m
onth
s with
out r
egar
d to
the
prob
abili
ty o
f mat
eria
lizat
ion.
See
Tab
le A
for m
ater
ializ
atio
n fa
ctor
. If w
e ha
ve m
issed
you
r pro
ject
, ple
ase
let u
s kno
w.
Not
e: U
nles
s you
pro
vide
dat
a fo
r thi
s tab
le, n
ames
of s
pons
ors a
re n
o lo
nger
ava
ilabl
e to
subs
crib
ers.
If y
ou p
rovi
de d
ata
for t
his t
able
and
wish
to k
now
sele
ct
spon
sors
' nam
es, e
-mai
l you
r req
uest
to R
ache
lle.S
arm
ient
o@De
ltaAs
soci
ates
.com
.So
urce
: Com
pile
d by
Del
ta A
ssoc
iate
s, 50
0 M
ontg
omer
y St
., Sui
te 6
00, A
lexa
ndri
a, V
irgi
nia
2231
4. P
hone
(703
) 836
-570
0. L
ast U
pdat
e Se
ptem
ber 2
014.
Date
WASHINGTON STATISTICAL REPORT
DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION66
SPONSORED BY BOZZUTOTA
BLE
3.15
SUM
MAR
Y O
F LO
NGE
R-TE
RM P
LAN
NED
/RU
MO
RED
REN
TAL
APAR
TMEN
T PR
OJE
CTS
Proj
ect N
ame
Proj
ect T
ype
Loca
tion
# of
Mkt
. Rat
e U
nits
Prop
er
Zoni
ng?
Initi
al
Appr
oval
s?Si
te P
lan
Appr
oved
Bldg
. Pm
ts.
Issu
ed?
Est.
Cons
tr.
Star
t Dat
eCi
ty o
f Ale
xand
ria1
Wes
t Riv
er S
tatio
n Re
dev.
Mid
-Rise
Alex
andr
ia36
9N
oN
oN
oN
oN
/A2
The
Dalto
nM
id-R
iseBr
addo
ck M
etro
270
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
TBD
3Ca
mer
on P
ark
Mid
-Rise
Cam
eron
Sta
tion
Boul
evar
d39
1N
oN
oN
oN
oN
/A4
Carly
le P
laza
High
-Rise
Carly
le36
5Ye
sYe
sN
oN
oN
/A5
Eise
nhow
er B
lock
5Hi
gh-R
iseCa
rlyle
260
Yes
No
No
No
N/A
6Ei
senh
ower
Blo
ck 1
1Hi
gh-R
iseCa
rlyle
375
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
N/A
7Ei
senh
ower
Blo
ck 1
2Hi
gh-R
iseCa
rlyle
380
Yes
Yes
No
No
N/A
8Be
aure
gard
Tow
n Ce
nter
- Ph
ase
IM
id-R
iseW
est A
lexa
ndria
300
No
No
No
No
3Q 2
016
9Be
aure
gard
Tow
n Ce
nter
- O
ther
Pha
ses
Mid
-Rise
Wes
t Ale
xand
ria80
0N
oN
oN
oN
oN
/A10
Land
mar
k M
all R
edev
elop
men
tM
id-R
iseW
est A
lexa
ndria
400
Yes
Yes
No
No
N/A
11Se
min
ary
Hills
Red
evel
opm
ent
Mid
-Rise
Wes
t Ale
xand
ria72
0Ye
sYe
sYe
sN
oN
/AAr
lingt
on C
ount
y12
Mar
ymou
nt R
edev
elop
men
t - B
lue
Goos
e Si
teHi
gh-R
iseBa
llsto
n25
6Ye
sYe
sYe
sN
o1Q
201
513
Balls
ton
Com
mon
Mal
l Apa
rtm
ents
High
-Rise
Balls
ton
393
No
No
No
No
1Q 2
016
14Bl
uem
ont S
afew
ay R
edev
elop
men
tM
id-R
ise/M
ixed
Use
Blue
mon
t16
0N
oN
oN
oN
oN
/A15
2400
Col
umbi
a Pi
keM
id-R
iseCo
lum
bia
Pike
105
No
No
No
No
N/A
16W
akef
ield
Man
or R
edev
elop
men
tHi
gh-R
iseCo
urth
ouse
104
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
N/A
17Pl
aza
VHi
gh-R
iseCr
ysta
l City
353
No
No
No
No
2017
18Ai
rpor
t Pla
za P
hase
IVHi
gh-R
iseCr
ysta
l City
208
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
N/A
19Lo
fts a
t Cry
stal
Hou
ses
Gard
en w
/SP
Crys
tal C
ity23
9Ye
sYe
sYe
sN
oN
/A20
King
s Cro
ssin
g - P
h. II
IM
id-R
iseHu
ntin
gton
Met
ro35
0N
oN
oN
oN
oN
/A21
Six
Met
ropo
litan
Par
kHi
gh-R
isePe
ntag
on C
ity52
0Ye
sYe
sN
oN
oN
/A22
Seve
n M
etro
polit
an P
ark
High
-Rise
Pent
agon
City
395
Yes
Yes
No
No
N/A
23Ei
ght M
etro
polit
an P
ark
High
-Rise
Pent
agon
City
455
Yes
Yes
No
No
N/A
24N
atio
nal G
atew
ay -
Phas
e I
High
-Rise
Poto
mac
Yar
d36
0Ye
sYe
sYe
sYe
sN
/A25
Nat
iona
l Gat
eway
- Ph
ase
IIHi
gh-R
isePo
tom
ac Y
ard
331
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
N/A
2614
00 b
lock
of K
ey B
lvd
High
-Rise
Ross
lyn
130
No
No
No
No
2016
27Ro
ssly
n Pl
aza
-Red
ev.
High
-Rise
Ross
lyn
350
No
No
No
No
N/A
28Pa
rk S
hirli
ngto
nM
id-R
iseSh
irlin
gton
750
No
No
No
No
N/A
Fairf
ax C
ount
y /1
29AM
F An
nand
ale
Lane
s Site
High
-Rise
Anna
ndal
e31
0N
oN
oN
oN
oN
/A30
Baile
y's G
atew
ayM
id-R
iseBa
iley'
s Cro
ssro
ads
500
No
No
No
No
TBD
31Tr
inity
Cen
tre
Mid
-Rise
Cent
revi
lle31
2N
oN
oN
oN
o20
1732
Fair
Lake
s exp
ansio
nM
id-R
iseFa
ir La
kes
650
Yes
Yes
No
No
TBD
33La
yton
Hal
l Apa
rtm
ents
Mid
-Rise
Fairf
ax C
ity34
2Ye
sYe
sYe
sN
oTB
D34
Falls
Chu
rch
City
Cen
ter
High
-Rise
Falls
Chu
rch
412
Yes
Yes
No
No
N/A
35Ar
row
broo
k Ce
ntre
- Ph
ase
IIM
id-R
iseHe
rndo
n10
8Ye
sYe
sYe
sN
oN
/A36
Hunt
ingt
on C
ross
ing
Mid
-Rise
Hunt
ingt
on29
5N
oN
oN
oN
o2Q
201
637
Rive
rsid
e Re
deve
lopm
ent
Mid
-Rise
Hunt
ingt
on55
0Ye
sN
oN
oN
o3Q
201
638
Fello
wsh
ip S
quar
eM
id-R
iseLa
ke A
nne
285
Yes
Yes
No
No
N/A
39As
hby
Apar
tmen
ts a
dditi
onHi
gh-R
iseM
cLea
n25
3N
oN
oN
oN
oN
/A40
Mos
aic
Dist
rict -
Ph.
III
Mid
-Rise
Mer
rifie
ld15
0Ye
sYe
sN
oN
oN
/A41
Rest
on H
eigh
ts -
Phas
e II
Mid
-Rise
/Mix
ed U
seRe
ston
200
Yes
No
No
No
2017
42Bl
ock
4Hi
gh-R
iseRe
ston
Tow
n Ce
nter
549
Yes
Yes
No
No
3Q 2
015
43Ex
celsi
or P
arc
High
-Rise
Rest
on T
own
Cent
er45
7Ye
sYe
sYe
sN
oN
/A44
Tyso
ns W
est
Mid
-Rise
Tyso
ns C
orne
r75
0Ye
sN
oN
oN
o20
1645
Tyso
ns C
entr
al N
VCom
mer
cial
- Bl
dg. C
High
-Rise
Tyso
ns C
orne
r24
0Ye
sN
oN
oN
o20
1746
Tyso
ns C
entr
al C
lyde
's - B
ldg.
DHi
gh-R
iseTy
sons
Cor
ner
288
Yes
No
No
No
2018
47Pa
rk C
rest
Thr
eeHi
gh-R
iseTy
sons
Cor
ner
236
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
N/A
48Ar
bor R
ow -
Pha
se I
High
-Rise
Tyso
ns C
orne
r35
3Ye
sYe
sN
oN
oN
/A49
8200
Gre
ensb
oro
Driv
eHi
gh-R
iseTy
sons
Cor
ner
384
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
N/A
50Co
mfo
rt In
n Ty
sons
Site
High
-Rise
Tyso
ns C
orne
r72
0N
oN
oN
oN
oN
/A
North
ern V
irgin
iaTh
ird Q
uarte
r 201
4
WASHINGTON STATISTICAL REPORT
67DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION
SPONSORED BY BOZZUTO
TABL
E 3.
15SU
MM
ARY
OF
LON
GER-
TERM
PLA
NN
ED/R
UM
ORE
D RE
NTA
L AP
ARTM
ENT
PRO
JECT
S
Proj
ect N
ame
Proj
ect T
ype
Loca
tion
# of
Mkt
. Rat
e U
nits
Prop
er
Zoni
ng?
Initi
al
Appr
oval
s?Si
te P
lan
Appr
oved
Bldg
. Pm
ts.
Issu
ed?
Est.
Cons
tr.
Star
t Dat
e
North
ern V
irgin
iaTh
ird Q
uarte
r 201
4
Fairf
ax C
ount
y /1
(Con
tinue
d)51
Wes
tpar
k Pl
aza
- Ph.
IIHi
gh-R
iseTy
sons
Cor
ner
600
No
No
No
No
N/A
52Ar
bor R
ow -
Phas
e II
Mid
-Rise
Tyso
ns C
orne
r22
3Ye
sYe
sN
oN
oN
/A53
The
Com
mon
s - O
ther
pha
ses
High
-Rise
Tyso
ns C
orne
r1,
835
Yes
No
No
No
N/A
54W
estp
ark
Plaz
a - P
h. 1
High
-Rise
Tyso
ns C
orne
r60
0N
oN
oN
oN
oN
/A55
TBA
High
-Rise
Tyso
ns C
orne
r16
2N
oN
oN
oN
oN
/A56
Tow
ers C
resc
ent (
Bldg
D)
High
-Rise
Tyso
ns C
orne
r26
6Ye
sYe
sYe
sN
oN
/A57
Tow
ers C
resc
ent (
Bldg
E)
High
-Rise
Tyso
ns C
orne
r25
0Ye
sYe
sYe
sN
oN
/A58
Tow
ers C
resc
ent (
Bldg
G)
High
-Rise
Tyso
ns C
orne
r25
0Ye
sYe
sYe
sN
oN
/A59
Fairl
ee-M
etro
Wes
t - P
hase
IM
id-R
ise &
Hig
h-Ri
seVi
enna
Met
ro31
4Ye
sYe
sN
oN
oN
/A60
Fairl
ee-M
etro
Wes
t - P
hase
IIM
id-R
ise &
Hig
h-Ri
seVi
enna
Met
ro31
4Ye
sYe
sN
oN
oN
/A61
Fairl
ee-M
etro
Wes
t - P
hase
III
Mid
-Rise
& H
igh-
Rise
Vien
na M
etro
272
Yes
Yes
No
No
N/A
Loud
oun
Coun
ty62
Loud
oun
Park
way
Cen
ter S
outh
Mid
-Rise
/Mix
ed U
seAs
hbur
n56
0N
oN
oN
oN
oN
/A63
Kinc
ora
- Pha
se II
IM
id-R
iseBr
oad
Run
547
Yes
Yes
No
No
2017
64Fo
x Ga
teM
id-R
iseCh
antil
ly11
0Ye
sYe
sYe
sN
o4Q
201
865
Win
dmill
Par
c - P
hase
IIM
id-R
iseDu
lles
219
Yes
Yes
Yes
NA
TBD
66So
mer
set P
ark
Addi
tion
Gard
enLe
esbu
rg42
Yes
No
No
No
N/A
67Du
lles P
arkw
ay C
ente
r - L
ot 8
Mid
-Rise
Ster
ling
494
Yes
No
No
No
2016
68St
one
Ridg
e Ph
ase
15B
Gard
enSt
one
Ridg
e21
5Ye
sYe
sN
oN
oTB
D
Prin
ce W
illia
m C
ount
y /2
69Br
iarw
ood
Gard
enDu
mfir
es23
1Ye
sYe
sYe
sN
oN
/A70
Wel
lingt
on G
len
- Ph.
III-V
Gard
enM
anas
sas
316
Yes
No
No
No
N/A
71Fr
eest
one
- Ph.
IIGa
rden
w/S
PW
oodb
ridge
220
Yes
Yes
No
No
4Q 2
016
72Ri
ppon
Cen
ter -
Ph.
IGa
rden
w/S
PW
oodb
ridge
320
Yes
Yes
No
No
N/A
73Ri
ppon
Cen
ter -
Ph.
IIGa
rden
w/S
PW
oodb
ridge
230
Yes
Yes
No
No
N/A
Tota
l All
Uni
t Typ
es:
--
27,0
23-
--
--
Port
ion
Gard
ens:
-
-1,
813
--
--
-Po
rtio
n M
id-R
ise/
High
-Ris
e:
--
25,2
10-
--
--
/1 In
clud
es ci
ties o
f Fai
rfax
and
Fal
ls Ch
urch
./2
Incl
udes
citie
s of M
anas
sas a
nd M
anas
sas P
ark.
Com
para
tive
Long
er T
erm
Pip
elin
e Fo
r Mar
ket
# U
nits
9/20
1427
,023
6/20
1424
,101
3/20
1425
,050
12/2
013
23,9
8412
/201
217
,601
12/2
011
14,8
5812
/201
09,
876
12/2
009
15,0
0912
/200
813
,670
12/2
007
8,57
812
/200
69,
700
12/2
005
8,01
912
/200
43,
472
12/2
003
8,61
212
/200
211
,745
12/2
001
7,27
312
/200
08,
977
12/1
999
8,83
7
Note
: Un
less
you
pro
vide
dat
a fo
r thi
s tab
le, n
ames
of s
pons
ors a
re n
o lo
nger
ava
ilabl
e to
subs
crib
ers.
If y
ou p
rovi
de d
ata
for t
his t
able
and
wish
to k
now
sele
ct
spon
sors
' nam
es, e
-mai
l you
r req
uest
to R
ache
lle.S
arm
ient
o@De
ltaAs
soci
ates
.com
.
Sour
ce: C
ompi
led
by D
elta
Ass
ocia
tes,
500
Mon
tgom
ery
St., S
uite
600
, Ale
xand
ria, V
irgin
ia 2
2314
. Pho
ne (7
03) 8
36-5
700.
Las
t Upd
ate
Sept
embe
r 201
4.
Rate
Apa
rtm
ents
as o
f:Da
te
WASHINGTON STATISTICAL REPORT
DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION68
SPONSORED BY BOZZUTOTA
BLE
3.16
REN
TAL
APAR
TMEN
T PR
OJE
CTS
UN
DER
CON
STRU
CTIO
N A
ND/
OR
MAR
KETI
NG
Subu
rban
Mar
yland
Third
Qua
rter 2
014
Proj
ect N
ame
Proj
ect T
ype
Loca
tion
Spon
sor(
s)#
of M
kt. R
ate
Uni
ts#
of U
nits
Ab
sorb
ed#
of A
vaila
ble
Uni
tsDa
te P
re-L
sg.
Begi
nsIn
ital O
ccup
. Da
teDa
te C
onst
r. Co
mpl
ete
Anne
Aru
ndel
Cou
nty
1Cr
ossw
inds
at A
nnap
olis
Tow
n Ce
nter
Mid
-Rise
Anna
polis
Bozz
uto
215
196
194/
2013
7/20
139/
2013
2Th
e Be
acon
at W
augh
Cha
pel
Mid
-Rise
Gam
brill
sBo
zzut
o29
827
424
1/20
133/
2013
6/20
133
Cree
ksid
e Vi
llage
Gard
enGl
en B
urni
eAt
apco
Pro
pert
ies
208
120
883/
2014
3/20
143Q
201
44
Flat
s 170
at A
cade
my
Yard
Gard
enO
dent
onBo
zzut
o36
927
198
4/20
136/
2013
11/2
013
5N
ovus
Res
iden
ces O
dent
onM
id-R
iseO
dent
onN
ovus
Res
iden
ces L
LC24
40
244
2Q 2
015
7/20
157/
2015
6Br
oads
tone
at O
dent
on T
own
Cent
erGa
rden
Ode
nton
Allia
nce
Resid
entia
l21
20
212
2Q 2
015
3Q 2
015
3Q 2
015
Calv
ert,
Char
les,
St.
Mar
y's C
ount
ies
7Gl
enea
gles
Apa
rtm
ents
- Ph
. III
Gard
enW
aldo
rfFe
dera
l Cap
ital P
artn
ers
213
021
310
/201
411
/201
43/
2015
Fred
eric
k Co
unty
8Ha
ven
at M
arke
t Squ
are
Gard
enFr
eder
ick
John
son
Deve
lopm
ent A
ssoc
.20
714
562
11/2
013
12/2
013
3Q 2
014
9Pr
ospe
ct H
all A
part
men
tsGa
rden
Fred
eric
kM
atan
Com
pani
es37
639
337
4/20
147/
2014
12/2
014
10Ca
nter
bury
Sta
tion
Gard
enFr
eder
ick
Ralp
h J.
Duffi
e Co
mpa
ny16
00
160
1Q 2
015
2Q 2
015
1Q 2
016
How
ard
Coun
ty11
Tow
n Ce
nter
at A
nnap
olis
Junc
tion
Mid
-Rise
Anna
polis
Junc
tion
Som
erse
t Con
stru
ctio
n Co
.38
40
384
4Q 2
015
2Q 2
016
2Q 2
016
12Th
e M
etro
polit
an D
ownt
own
Colu
mbi
aM
id-R
iseCo
lum
bia
Kett
ler
380
038
09/
2014
11/2
014
3/20
1513
Verd
e at
How
ard
Squa
reM
id-R
iseEl
krid
geAt
apco
Pro
pert
ies
300
255
458/
2013
11/2
013
2Q 2
014
14Pa
rago
n at
Col
umbi
a O
verlo
okGa
rden
Elkr
idge
Ches
apea
ke R
ealty
Par
tner
s32
017
314
71/
2014
4/20
142Q
201
515
Orc
hard
Par
k Ap
artm
ents
- Ad
ditio
nGa
rden
Ellic
ott C
itySe
curit
y De
velo
pmen
t40
040
8/20
1411
/201
43/
2015
16O
xfor
d Sq
uare
- Ph
. IGa
rden
Hano
ver
Woo
dfie
ld In
vest
men
ts21
00
210
2Q 2
015
3Q 2
015
2Q 2
016
Mon
tgom
ery
Coun
ty17
Galle
ry B
ethe
sda
High
-Rise
Beth
esda
Dono
hoe
198
160
3811
/201
31/
2014
5/20
1418
Bain
brid
ge B
ethe
sda
High
-Rise
Beth
esda
Bain
brid
ge C
os.
170
4013
06/
2014
7/20
143Q
201
419
7001
Arli
ngto
n Rd
Mid
-Rise
Beth
esda
Asso
ciat
ed E
stat
es11
90
119
4Q 2
014
4Q 2
014
1Q 2
015
20Th
e Fl
ats
High
-Rise
Beth
esda
Ston
ebrid
ge A
ssoc
iate
s12
40
124
1Q 2
015
2Q 2
015
2Q 2
015
2183
00 W
iscon
sinHi
gh-R
iseBe
thes
daSt
oneb
ridge
Ass
ocia
tes
314
031
42Q
201
53Q
201
53Q
201
522
7770
Nor
folk
Ave
.Hi
gh-R
iseBe
thes
daRo
ss D
evel
opm
ent
207
020
73Q
201
54Q
201
54Q
201
523
Elem
ent 2
8Hi
gh-R
iseBe
thes
daKe
ttle
r91
091
10/2
015
10/2
015
1/20
1624
Sola
ire B
ethe
sda
High
-Rise
Beth
esda
Was
hing
ton
Prop
erty
Com
pany
140
014
02/
2016
2/20
166/
2016
25El
ms a
t Cla
rksb
urg
Villa
geGa
rden
Clar
ksbu
rgEl
m S
tree
t Dev
elop
men
t33
631
422
10/2
012
12/2
012
10/2
013
26Pa
ram
ount
at S
pect
rum
Gard
en w
/ SP
Gaith
ersb
urg
BP R
ealty
200
195
56/
2013
7/20
133Q
201
327
Cade
nce
at C
row
nM
id-R
iseGa
ither
sbur
gBo
zzut
o46
517
628
92/
2014
3/20
147/
2014
28M
illst
one
at K
ings
view
Gard
enGe
rman
tow
nTe
rra
Verd
e Co
mm
uniti
es L
LC13
210
131
1/20
141Q
201
43/
2014
29Al
ta L
iber
ty M
illM
id-R
iseGe
rman
tow
nW
ood
Part
ners
266
026
610
/201
44Q
201
42Q
201
530
PerS
ei P
ike
and
Rose
Mid
-Rise
Nor
th B
ethe
sda
Fede
ral R
ealty
Inve
stm
ent T
rust
149
9455
3/20
143Q
201
43Q
201
431
Auro
ra a
t Nor
th B
ethe
sda
Cent
erHi
gh-R
iseN
orth
Bet
hesd
aLC
OR
298
124
174
4/20
147/
2014
10/2
014
32Pi
ke a
nd R
ose
- Ph.
1BHi
gh-R
iseN
orth
Bet
hesd
aFe
dera
l Rea
lty In
vest
men
t Tru
st28
70
287
2Q 2
015
2Q 2
015
3Q 2
015
33M
allo
ry S
quar
e Ph
I.Ga
rden
w/S
PN
orth
Roc
kvill
eW
oodf
ield
Inve
stm
ents
318
031
84Q
201
42Q
201
53Q
201
534
Bain
brid
ge S
hady
Gro
veM
id-R
iseN
orth
Roc
kvill
eBa
inbr
idge
Cos
.36
30
363
4/20
154/
2015
8/20
1535
The
Perr
y at
Par
k Po
tom
ac A
part
men
tsM
id-R
isePo
tom
acFo
ulge
r Pra
tt26
60
266
6/20
158/
2015
8/20
1536
Upto
n at
Roc
kvill
eHi
gh-R
iseRo
ckvi
lleDu
ball
225
022
51Q
201
51Q
201
52Q
201
537
Citr
on A
part
men
tsM
id-R
iseSi
lver
Spr
ing
Foul
ger P
ratt
191
187
41/
2013
5/20
137/
2013
38El
even
55 R
iple
yHi
gh-R
iseSi
lver
Spr
ing
Hom
e Pr
oper
ties
304
163
141
9/20
131/
2014
2Q 2
014
39Th
e Pr
emie
rHi
gh-R
iseSi
lver
Spr
ing
Guar
dian
140
121
1911
/201
31/
2014
1/20
1440
Fenw
ick
Mid
-Rise
Silv
er S
prin
gIn
sight
Pro
pert
y Gr
oup
LLC
271
8918
24/
2014
8/20
1410
/201
441
The
Tera
noM
id-R
iseTw
inbr
ook
JBG
175
017
53Q
201
53Q
201
53Q
201
542
Galv
an a
t Tw
inbr
ook
Mid
-Rise
Twin
broo
kJB
G34
50
345
4Q 2
015
4Q 2
015
4Q 2
015
43Th
e Ex
chan
ge a
t Whe
aton
Sta
tion
High
-Rise
Whe
aton
Patr
iot G
roup
425
239
186
8/20
1310
/201
31/
2014
44So
laire
Whe
aton
Mid
-Rise
Whe
aton
Was
hing
ton
Prop
erty
Com
pany
203
020
312
/201
32/
2014
4/20
1445
The
Geor
geHi
gh-R
iseW
heat
onLo
we
Ente
rpris
es16
926
143
6/20
146/
2014
3Q 2
014
WASHINGTON STATISTICAL REPORT
69DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION
SPONSORED BY BOZZUTO
TABL
E 3.
16RE
NTA
L AP
ARTM
ENT
PRO
JECT
S U
NDE
R CO
NST
RUCT
ION
AN
D/O
R M
ARKE
TIN
GSu
burb
an M
aryla
ndTh
ird Q
uarte
r 201
4
Proj
ect N
ame
Proj
ect T
ype
Loca
tion
Spon
sor(
s)#
of M
kt. R
ate
Uni
ts#
of U
nits
Ab
sorb
ed#
of A
vaila
ble
Uni
tsDa
te P
re-L
sg.
Begi
nsIn
ital O
ccup
. Da
teDa
te C
onst
r. Co
mpl
ete
Prin
ce G
eorg
e's C
ount
y46
Apol
lo a
t Cam
p Sp
rings
Gard
en w
/SP
Bran
ch A
ve. M
etro
Pete
r Sch
war
tz41
70
417
1Q 2
015
2Q 2
015
4Q 2
015
47Do
mai
n Co
llege
Par
kM
id-R
iseCo
llege
Par
kHa
nove
r Dev
elop
men
t25
325
03
3/20
136/
2013
1Q 2
014
4833
50 a
t Alte
rra
Gard
en w
/SP
Hyat
tsvi
llePe
rcon
tee
283
195
882/
2014
5/20
143Q
201
449
Larg
o M
etro
Site
Mid
-Rise
Larg
oLe
nnar
318
031
81Q
201
51Q
201
53Q
201
550
The
Mar
k at
Bric
kyar
dGa
rden
w/S
PLa
urel
JLB
Part
ners
433
272
161
5/20
138/
2013
6/20
1451
C St
reet
Fla
tsM
id-R
iseLa
urel
Klin
gbei
l Cap
ital M
anag
emen
t14
20
142
4Q 2
014
1Q 2
015
1Q 2
015
52La
urel
Gar
dens
Gard
enLa
urel
Laur
el R
ealty
114
011
44Q
201
41Q
201
61Q
201
653
The
Espl
anad
eM
id-R
iseN
atio
nal H
arbo
rBo
zzut
o26
20
262
9/20
144Q
201
41Q
201
5To
tal A
ll U
nit T
ypes
: -
--
13,2
494,
219
9,03
0-
--
Port
ion
Gard
ens:
-
--
4,54
81,
825
2,72
3-
--
Port
ion
Mid
-Ris
e/Hi
gh-R
ise:
-
--
8,70
12,
394
6,30
7-
--
Date
# U
nits
9/20
149,
030
6/20
149,
753
3/20
1410
,730
12/2
013
10,4
5612
/201
28,
316
12/2
011
5,77
612
/201
02,
312
12/2
009
3,34
412
/200
86,
716
12/2
007
8,03
312
/200
65,
563
12/2
005
3,92
612
/200
45,
185
12/2
003
4,64
112
/200
24,
097
12/2
001
3,09
712
/200
02,
202
12/1
999
2,16
7
Not
e: T
his T
able
may
incl
ude
som
e pr
ojec
ts li
sted
on
Tabl
e 3.
11So
urce
: Com
pile
d by
Del
ta A
ssoc
iate
s, 50
0 M
ontg
omer
y St
., Sui
te 6
00, A
lexa
ndri
a, V
irgi
nia
2231
4. P
hone
(703
) 836
-570
0. L
ast U
pdat
e Se
ptem
ber 2
014.
Com
paris
on to
Prio
r Yea
rs
(Ava
ilabl
e U
nits
in P
roje
cts U
nder
Co
nstr
uctio
n ) a
t:
02,
000
4,00
06,
000
8,00
010
,000
12,0
00
12/199912/200012/200112/200212/200312/200412/200512/200012/200112/200212/200312/200412/200512/200712/200812/200912/201012/201112/201012/201212/2013
3/20146/20149/2014
Avai
labl
e U
nits
in P
roje
cts U
nder
Co
nstr
uctio
n #
of A
vaila
ble
Mar
ket R
ate
Uni
ts
Anne
Aru
ndel
Cou
nty
Calv
ert,
Char
les,
St. M
ary'
sCo
untie
sFr
eder
ick
Coun
ty
How
ard
Coun
ty
Mon
tgom
ery
Coun
ty
Prin
ce G
eorg
e's C
ount
y
WASHINGTON STATISTICAL REPORT
DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION70
SPONSORED BY BOZZUTOTA
BLE
3.17
REN
TAL
PRO
JECT
S PL
ANN
ED T
O D
ELIV
ER O
VER
THE
NEX
T 36
MO
NTH
S
Proj
ect N
ame
Proj
ect T
ype
Loca
tion
# of
Mkt
. Rat
e U
nits
Prop
er Z
onin
g?In
itial
Ap
prov
als?
Site
Pla
n Ap
prov
edBl
dg. P
mts
. Is
sued
?Es
t. Co
nstr
. St
art D
ate
Anne
Aru
ndel
Cou
nty
1Ad
mira
l Coc
hran
eM
id-R
iseAn
napo
lis23
6Ye
sYe
sYe
sN
o11
/201
42
Rese
rve
at A
nnap
olis
Stat
ion
Gard
enAn
napo
lis13
3Ye
sN
oN
oN
o4Q
201
43
Elm
s at S
hann
onGa
rden
Jess
up36
0Ye
sYe
sYe
sN
o4Q
201
44
The
Rese
rve
at S
tone
y Cr
eek
Ph. I
IGa
rden
Pasa
dena
70Ye
sYe
sYe
sN
o4Q
201
45
Cree
ksto
ne V
illag
e -P
hase
IIGa
rden
& T
HPa
sade
na11
0Ye
sYe
sYe
sN
o1Q
201
5Ho
war
d Co
unty
6Sa
vage
Tow
ne C
entr
eM
id-R
iseAn
napo
lis Ju
nctio
n35
4Ye
sYe
sYe
sN
o1Q
201
57
Villa
ge a
t Wild
e La
keM
id-R
iseCo
lum
bia
230
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
9/20
148
Colu
mbi
a To
wn
Cent
er R
edev
elop
men
t - P
hase
II -
Nor
thM
id-R
iseCo
lum
bia
170
Yes
Yes
No
No
2Q 2
015
9Co
lum
bia
Tow
n Ce
nter
Red
evel
opm
ent -
Pha
se II
- So
uth
Mid
-Rise
Colu
mbi
a26
7Ye
sYe
sN
oN
o2Q
201
510
Litt
le P
atux
ent S
quar
eHi
gh-R
iseCo
lum
bia
Tow
n Ct
r16
0Ye
sYe
sYe
sN
o4Q
201
411
Rive
rwat
chM
id-R
iseEl
krid
ge84
Yes
Yes
No
No
3Q 2
014
12Bl
uest
ream
- P
hase
IIGa
rden
Elkr
idge
237
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
1Q 2
015
13N
orm
andy
Sho
ppin
g Ct
r. Re
dev.
Gard
en/M
ixed
-Use
Ellic
ott C
ity20
0Ye
sN
oN
oN
o2Q
201
614
Oxf
ord
Squa
re -
Ph. I
IIM
id-R
iseHa
nove
r25
0Ye
sYe
sYe
sN
o4Q
201
415
Park
way
Mot
el S
iteM
id-R
iseJe
ssup
279
No
No
No
No
1Q 2
015
Mon
tgom
ery
Coun
ty16
Bain
brid
ge B
ethe
sda
Met
roHi
gh-R
iseBe
thes
da22
5Ye
sYe
sN
oN
o12
/201
417
4850
Rug
byHi
gh-R
iseBe
thes
da18
7Ye
sYe
sYe
sN
o1Q
201
518
7900
Wisc
onsin
Ave
nue
High
-Rise
Beth
esda
374
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
1Q 2
015
19Ca
bin
Bran
chGa
rden
Boyd
s25
0Ye
sYe
sN
oN
o4Q
201
520
Garn
kirk
Far
ms A
part
men
tsGa
rden
Clar
ksbu
rg16
3Ye
sYe
sYe
sN
o1Q
201
621
The
Maj
estic
at W
atki
ns M
illM
id-R
iseGa
ither
sbur
g26
9Ye
sYe
sYe
sN
o4Q
201
422
Pike
and
Ros
e - P
h. 2
AHi
gh-R
iseN
orth
Bet
hesd
a23
1Ye
sYe
sYe
sN
o4Q
201
423
Lake
Wav
erly
- Ph
ase
IM
id-R
iseN
orth
Bet
hesd
a35
0Ye
sYe
sN
oN
o4Q
201
524
Gabl
es W
hite
Flin
tM
id-R
iseN
orth
Bet
hesd
a43
7Ye
sYe
sN
oN
o4Q
201
525
Whi
te F
lint V
iew
High
-Rise
Nor
th B
ethe
sda
165
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
2015
26Ro
ck S
prin
g Ce
ntre
- DR
IM
id-R
iseN
orth
Bet
hesd
a11
7Ye
sYe
sYe
sN
o1Q
201
627
Hano
ver S
hady
Gro
veM
id-R
iseN
orth
Roc
kvill
e31
6Ye
sYe
sYe
sN
o9/
2014
28Ca
mde
n Sh
ady
Grov
eM
id-R
iseN
orth
Roc
kvill
e39
9Ye
sYe
sYe
sN
o1Q
201
529
Cres
t II
Mid
-Rise
Rock
ville
48Ye
sYe
sYe
sN
o11
/201
430
Wes
tsid
e at
Sha
dy G
rove
Met
roM
id-R
ise &
TH
Rock
ville
707
Yes
Yes
No
No
4Q 2
014
3125
5 N
. Was
hing
ton
St.
Mid
-Rise
Rock
ville
262
Yes
No
No
No
6/20
1532
The
Blai
rs -
Phas
e I
High
-Rise
Silv
er S
prin
g28
0Ye
sYe
sN
oN
o4Q
201
433
Firs
t Bap
tist C
hurc
h Pr
oper
tyM
id-R
iseSi
lver
Spr
ing
259
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
4Q 2
014
3490
0 Th
ayer
Ave
nue
Mid
-Rise
Silv
er S
prin
g12
4Ye
sYe
sN
oN
o4Q
201
435
Stud
io P
laza
- Ph
ase
IM
id-R
iseSi
lver
Spr
ing
331
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
1Q 2
015
3686
21 G
eorg
ia A
venu
eHi
gh-R
iseSi
lver
Spr
ing
240
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
2Q 2
015
37So
laire
Rip
ley
East
High
-Rise
Silv
er S
prin
g29
0N
oN
oN
oN
o20
1538
1900
Cha
pman
Mid
-Rise
Twin
broo
k27
1Ye
sYe
sYe
sN
o1Q
201
539
1900
Cha
pman
- Ph
ase
IIM
id-R
iseTw
inbr
ook
288
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
3Q 2
015
40AV
A W
heat
onM
id-R
ise/M
ixed
Use
Whe
aton
321
Yes
Yes
No
No
3Q 2
015
Third
Qua
rter 2
014
Subu
rban
Mar
yland
WASHINGTON STATISTICAL REPORT
71DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION
SPONSORED BY BOZZUTO
TABL
E 3.
17 R
ENTA
L PR
OJE
CTS
PLAN
NED
TO
DEL
IVER
OVE
R TH
E N
EXT
36 M
ON
THS
Proj
ect N
ame
Proj
ect T
ype
Loca
tion
# of
Mkt
. Rat
e U
nits
Prop
er Z
onin
g?In
itial
Ap
prov
als?
Site
Pla
n Ap
prov
edBl
dg. P
mts
. Is
sued
?Es
t. Co
nstr
. St
art D
ate
Third
Qua
rter 2
014
Subu
rban
Mar
yland
Prin
ce G
eorg
e's C
ount
y41
Karin
gton
Gard
enBo
wie
400
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
2Q 2
015
42Ch
else
a Ea
stGa
rden
Bran
ch A
ve. M
etro
208
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
2Q 2
015
43TB
AGa
rden
Capi
tol H
eigh
ts M
etro
363
Yes
No
No
No
1Q 2
016
44M
onum
ent V
illag
eM
id-R
ise/R
etai
lCo
llege
Par
k23
5Ye
sYe
sYe
sN
o4Q
201
445
Auto
ville
Driv
e Si
teGa
rden
Colle
ge P
ark
500
Yes
No
No
No
3Q 2
015
46Ve
rde
at G
reen
belt
Stat
ion
Mid
-Rise
Gree
nbel
t30
2Ye
sYe
sYe
sN
o11
/201
447
Gree
nbel
t Sta
tion
Gard
en w
/SP
Gree
nbel
t30
2Ye
sYe
sYe
sN
o20
1448
Gree
nbel
t Pla
ceM
id-R
iseGr
eenb
elt
450
Yes
Yes
No
No
2015
49La
ndy
Prop
erty
- Ph
ase
IGa
rden
w/S
PHy
atts
ville
218
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
4Q 2
014
5034
01 E
ast-
Wes
tM
id-R
iseHy
atts
ville
348
Yes
Yes
No
No
4Q 2
015
51Be
lcre
st P
laza
- Ph
ase
IIHi
gh-R
iseHy
atts
ville
347
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
2015
52Br
ight
seat
Cro
ssin
g Ap
artm
ents
Gard
enLa
ndov
er37
2N
oN
oN
oN
o4/
2015
5350
1 La
rgo
Cent
er D
rive
Mid
-Rise
Larg
o36
0N
oN
oN
oN
o2Q
201
554
Apol
lo a
t Lar
go T
own
Cent
erM
id-R
iseLa
rgo
430
Yes
No
No
No
3Q 2
015
55W
ests
ide
Gard
enLa
urel
469
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
10/2
014
56Ha
wth
orne
Pla
ce -
Phas
e I
Mid
-Rise
Laur
el29
6Ye
sYe
sYe
sN
o12
/201
457
Aval
on L
aure
lGa
rden
Laur
el34
4Ye
sYe
sYe
sN
o4Q
201
458
Laur
el M
ARC
Stat
ion
Mid
-Rise
Laur
el31
0Ye
sYe
sN
oN
o1Q
201
559
Mid
tow
n N
orth
par
cel -
Pha
se I
Mid
-Rise
Nat
iona
l Har
bor
240
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
4Q 2
015
60N
ew C
arro
llton
Met
ro S
tatio
n De
velo
pmen
t – P
hase
IGa
rden
New
Car
rollt
on25
0Ye
sN
oN
oN
o1Q
201
661
Rive
rdal
e Pa
rk -
Phas
e I
Mid
-Rise
Rive
rdal
e Pa
rk26
3Ye
sYe
sYe
sN
o1Q
201
6To
tal A
ll U
nit T
ypes
: -
-17
,051
--
--
-Po
rtio
n G
arde
ns:
--
4,94
9-
--
--
Port
ion
Mid
-Ris
e/Hi
gh-R
ise:
-
-12
,102
--
--
-
Date
# U
nits
9/20
1417
,051
6/20
1415
,593
3/20
1415
,548
12/2
013
15,8
7912
/201
213
,318
12/2
011
16,2
2212
/201
09,
599
12/2
009
6,01
912
/200
86,
927
12/2
007
6,67
612
/200
66,
598
12/2
005
4,45
012
/200
45,
836
12/2
003
3,62
212
/200
22,
198
12/2
001
3,36
612
/200
04,
387
12/1
999
3,39
0
Not
e: O
ur b
est j
udgm
ent a
s to
proj
ects
like
ly to
del
iver
thei
r fir
st u
nits
in th
e ne
xt 3
6 m
onth
s with
out r
egar
d to
the
prob
abili
ty o
f mat
eria
lizat
ion.
See
Tab
le A
for m
ater
ializ
atio
n fa
ctor
. If w
e ha
ve m
issed
you
r pro
ject
, ple
ase
let u
s kno
w.
Not
e: U
nles
s you
pro
vide
dat
a fo
r thi
s tab
le, n
ames
of s
pons
ors a
re n
o lo
nger
ava
ilabl
e to
subs
crib
ers.
If y
ou p
rovi
de d
ata
for t
his t
able
and
wish
to k
now
sele
ct
spon
sors
' nam
es, e
-mai
l you
r req
uest
to R
ache
lle.S
arm
ient
o@De
ltaAs
soci
ates
.com
.
Sour
ce: C
ompi
led
by D
elta
Ass
ocia
tes,
500
Mon
tgom
ery
St., S
uite
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, Ale
xand
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Vir
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Las
t Upd
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Sept
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r 201
4.
Com
paris
on to
Prio
r Yea
rs
Estim
ate
of N
ext 1
8-36
Mon
th P
ipel
ine
as o
f:
WASHINGTON STATISTICAL REPORT
DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION72
SPONSORED BY BOZZUTOTA
BLE
3.18
SUM
MAR
Y O
F LO
NGE
R-TE
RM P
LAN
NED
/RU
MO
RED
REN
TAL
APAR
TMEN
T PR
OJE
CTS
Proj
ect N
ame
Proj
ect T
ype
Loca
tion
# of
Mkt
. Rat
e U
nits
Prop
er Z
onin
g?In
itial
Ap
prov
als?
Site
Pla
n Ap
prov
edBl
dg. P
mts
. Is
sued
?Es
t. Co
nstr
. St
art D
ate
Anne
Aru
ndel
Cou
nty
1Cr
omw
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Gard
enGl
en B
urni
e29
3Ye
sYe
sN
oN
oN
/A2
Conc
orde
Circ
le -
Ph. I
Gard
enLi
nthi
cum
310
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
TBD
3Co
ncor
de C
ircle
- Ph
. II
Gard
enLi
nthi
cum
300
No
No
No
No
N/A
4O
dent
on T
own
Squa
re -
Phas
e I
Gard
en w
/SP
Ode
nton
315
No
No
No
No
N/A
Calv
ert,
Char
les,
St.
Mar
y's C
ount
ies
5St
. Mar
y's C
ross
ings
Gard
enCa
lifor
nia
324
Yes
Yes
No
No
N/A
How
ard
Coun
ty6
The
Cres
cent
Gard
enCo
lum
bia
Dow
ntow
n50
0N
oN
oN
oN
oTB
D7
The
Park
at L
ocus
t Thi
cket
Mid
-Rise
Elkr
idge
350
Yes
No
No
No
4Q 2
015
8Bl
uest
ream
- O
ther
Pha
ses
Gard
enEl
krid
ge95
0Ye
sYe
sN
oN
oN
/A9
Map
le La
wn
Sout
hGa
rden
Fulto
n27
0Ye
sYe
sYe
sN
oN
/A10
Oxf
ord
Squa
re -
Ph. I
IM
id-R
iseHa
nove
r25
0Ye
sYe
sN
oN
o20
1511
Oxf
ord
Squa
re -
Ph. I
VM
id-R
iseHa
nove
r25
0Ye
sYe
sN
oN
oN
/A12
Laur
el P
ark
Stat
ion
- Ph.
IM
id-R
iseLa
urel
252
Yes
Yes
No
No
N/A
Mon
tgom
ery
Coun
ty13
Tom
my
Joe'
s Site
High
-Rise
Beth
esda
225
No
No
No
No
N/A
14Th
e Re
scue
Squ
adM
id-R
iseBe
thes
da28
0N
oN
oN
oN
oN
/A15
Wes
t Lan
eM
id-R
iseBe
thes
da10
2Ye
sYe
sN
oN
oN
/A16
Our
isman
For
d Si
teM
id-R
iseBe
thes
da29
7Ye
sYe
sYe
sN
oN
/A17
TBA
High
-Rise
Beth
esda
523
No
No
No
No
N/A
18Ch
evy
Chas
e La
ke -
Build
ing
B2M
id-R
iseCh
evy
Chas
e19
6Ye
sYe
sN
oN
o20
1619
Chev
y Ch
ase
Lake
- Bu
ildin
g B1
bHi
gh-R
iseCh
evy
Chas
e30
5Ye
sYe
sN
oN
o20
1620
The
Mag
nolia
at W
atki
ns M
illGa
rden
w/ S
PGa
ither
sbur
g22
5Ye
sYe
sYe
sN
o1Q
201
721
The
Rem
ingt
on a
t Wat
kins
Mill
Mid
-Rise
Gaith
ersb
urg
378
Yes
No
No
No
N/A
22Th
e Lo
tus a
t Wat
kins
Mill
Mid
-Rise
Gaith
ersb
urg
210
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
N/A
23Th
e Em
pres
s at W
atki
ns M
illGa
rden
w/ S
PGa
ither
sbur
g25
2Ye
sYe
sYe
sN
oN
/A24
Was
hing
toni
an N
orth
Mid
-Rise
Gaith
ersb
urg
366
Yes
Yes
No
No
TBD
25Re
siden
ces a
t Old
e To
wne
Gard
en w
/SP
Gaith
ersb
urg
Old
e To
wn
162
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
N/A
26Su
ites 3
55Ga
rden
w/S
PGa
ither
sbur
g O
lde
Tow
n22
7Ye
sYe
sYe
sN
oN
/A27
Cent
ury
site
Mid
-Rise
Germ
anto
wn
300
Yes
No
No
No
4Q 2
016
28M
iddl
ebro
ok M
obile
Hom
e Si
te -
Ph. I
Gard
enGe
rman
tow
n27
3Ye
sN
oN
oN
o20
1629
Mid
dleb
rook
Mob
ile H
ome
Site
- Ph
. II
Gard
enGe
rman
tow
n27
2Ye
sN
oN
oN
o20
1830
Kens
ingt
on M
ARC
site
Mid
-Rise
Kens
ingt
on68
Yes
No
No
No
N/A
31M
ontg
omer
y Vi
llage
Gol
f Cou
rse
Rede
v.M
id-R
iseM
ontg
omer
y Vi
llage
598
No
No
No
No
2017
32M
ontg
omer
y Vi
llage
Cen
ter
Gard
enM
ontg
omer
y Vi
llage
253
No
No
No
No
N/A
33N
orth
Bet
hesd
a Ce
nter
- Ph
ase
IIIHi
gh-R
iseN
orth
Bet
hesd
a27
9Ye
sN
oN
oN
oN
/A34
Met
ro P
ike
Cent
er S
iteHi
gh-R
iseN
orth
Bet
hesd
a32
0Ye
sYe
sN
oN
oN
/A35
Whi
te F
lint G
atew
ay -
Parc
el B
Mid
-Rise
Nor
th B
ethe
sda
287
No
No
No
No
N/A
36N
orth
Bet
hesd
a M
arke
t III
Mid
-Rise
Nor
th B
ethe
sda
335
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
N/A
37N
orth
Bet
hesd
a Ce
nter
- Ph
ase
IVHi
gh-R
iseN
orth
Bet
hesd
a27
9Ye
sN
oN
oN
oN
/A38
Lake
Wav
erly
- Ph
ase
IIM
id-R
iseN
orth
Bet
hesd
a18
0Ye
sYe
sN
oN
oTB
D39
Mal
lory
Squ
are
- Ph.
IIGa
rden
w/S
PN
orth
Roc
kvill
e34
5Ye
sYe
sYe
sN
o20
1640
Upp
er R
ock
- Pha
se II
IM
id-R
iseN
orth
Roc
kvill
e28
9Ye
sYe
sYe
sN
oN
/A41
Sola
ire S
ilver
Spr
ing
Phas
e II
High
-Rise
Silv
er S
prin
g35
8N
oN
oN
oN
o20
1642
The
Blai
rs -
Oth
er P
hase
sHi
gh-R
iseSi
lver
Spr
ing
2,80
0Ye
sYe
sN
oN
o20
1643
Stud
io P
laza
- Ph
ase
IIHi
gh-R
iseSi
lver
Spr
ing
284
Yes
Yes
No
No
2Q 2
017
4487
87 G
eorg
ia A
venu
eHi
gh-R
iseSi
lver
Spr
ing
305
No
No
No
No
2020
45Si
lver
Spr
ing
Park
Mid
-Rise
Silv
er S
prin
g50
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
N/A
46Fa
lkla
nd C
hase
Nor
th P
h. I
High
-Rise
Silv
er S
prin
g37
0Ye
sN
oN
oN
oN
/A47
Silv
er S
prin
g Tr
ansit
Cen
ter
High
-Rise
Silv
er S
prin
g14
9Ye
sN
oN
oN
oN
/A48
Boni
fant
Pla
zaM
id-R
iseSi
lver
Spr
ing
150
Yes
Yes
No
No
N/A
49Am
eric
an P
osta
l Wor
kers
Uni
on B
uild
ing
Mid
-Rise
/Mix
ed U
seSi
lver
Spr
ing
240
No
No
No
No
N/A
50Fa
lkla
nd C
hase
Nor
th P
h. II
High
-Rise
Silv
er S
prin
g49
6Ye
sN
oN
oN
oN
/A51
Aval
on a
t Tw
inbr
ook
Mid
-Rise
Twin
broo
k20
9Ye
sYe
sN
oN
o6/
2016
Subu
rban
Mar
yland
Third
Qua
rter 2
014
WASHINGTON STATISTICAL REPORT
73DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION
SPONSORED BY BOZZUTO
TABL
E 3.
18SU
MM
ARY
OF
LON
GER-
TERM
PLA
NN
ED/R
UM
ORE
D RE
NTA
L AP
ARTM
ENT
PRO
JECT
S
Proj
ect N
ame
Proj
ect T
ype
Loca
tion
# of
Mkt
. Rat
e U
nits
Prop
er Z
onin
g?In
itial
Ap
prov
als?
Site
Pla
n Ap
prov
edBl
dg. P
mts
. Is
sued
?Es
t. Co
nstr
. St
art D
ate
Subu
rban
Mar
yland
Third
Qua
rter 2
014
Mon
tgom
ery
Coun
ty (c
ontin
ued)
52Tw
inbr
ook
- Rem
aini
ng P
hase
sHi
gh-R
iseTw
inbr
ook
999
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
N/A
53Tw
inbr
ook
Met
ropl
ace
- Ph.
IHi
gh-R
iseTw
inbr
ook
347
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
N/A
54Ha
lpin
e Vi
ew R
edev
elop
men
tGa
rden
Twin
broo
k1,
730
No
No
No
No
N/A
55Pi
ke C
ente
r red
evel
opm
ent
Mid
-Rise
Twin
broo
k20
0N
oN
oN
oN
oN
/A56
Whe
aton
Res
. on
Lot 1
3Hi
gh-R
iseW
heat
on18
4Ye
sN
oN
oN
o1Q
201
857
Amba
ssad
or A
part
men
ts R
edev
elop
men
tM
id-R
iseW
heat
on16
2Ye
sN
oN
oN
oN
/A58
St. E
lmo
Apar
tmen
tsHi
gh-R
iseW
oodm
ont T
riang
le21
0N
oN
oN
oN
o4Q
201
5Pr
ince
Geo
rge'
s Cou
nty
59M
onro
e Ga
rden
s Red
evel
opm
ent
Gard
enBl
aden
sbur
g12
5Ye
sYe
sYe
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oN
/A60
MD
Scie
nce
& T
ech.
Cen
ter a
t Mel
ford
Gard
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wie
1,00
0N
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oN
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N/A
70Ga
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Rive
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Tota
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para
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31,8
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22,9
3412
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18,0
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812
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12/2
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15,9
6312
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610
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12/2
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15,1
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13,4
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211
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Date
WASHINGTON STATISTICAL REPORT
DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION74
SPONSORED BY BOZZUTOTA
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3.19
REN
TAL
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TMEN
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UN
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CON
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263
3/20
156/
2015
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153
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-Rise
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54Q
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The
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47/
2014
7/20
146/
2014
Colu
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70
117
9/20
149/
2014
10/2
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High
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Deve
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400
322
783Q
201
31/
2014
1Q 2
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10Je
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-Rise
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Apa
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227
022
73Q
201
43Q
201
43Q
201
411
The
Colo
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Mid
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CAS
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720
724Q
201
41Q
201
51Q
201
5
1214
WM
id-R
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Str
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Sim
pson
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212
207
54/
2013
5/20
132Q
201
313
Elys
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Fou
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nth
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tree
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050
3Q 2
015
4Q 2
015
11/2
015
14Th
e Lo
uis
Mid
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U S
tree
tTI
AA-C
REF
268
9916
96/
2014
6/20
143Q
201
415
2221
14t
h St
reet
Mid
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U S
tree
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s Dev
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4Q 2
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4Q 2
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4Q 2
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16At
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00
340
3Q 2
015
3Q 2
015
3Q 2
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17Th
e Sh
ayM
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Str
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135
013
51Q
201
52Q
201
52Q
201
5
Cent
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18Th
e Dr
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Dupo
nt C
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Keen
er-S
quire
201
020
19/
2014
9/20
149/
2014
19Hi
lton
Was
hing
ton
High
-Rise
Dupo
nt C
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Low
e En
terp
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230
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01Q
201
62Q
201
62Q
201
620
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285
8110
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312
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3Q 2
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510
513Q
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53Q
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54Q
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523
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4Q 2
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24Ly
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40Hi
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427
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and
L St
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133
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32Q
201
63Q
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6
NoM
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Capi
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H St
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Fish
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349
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94Q
201
41Q
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52Q
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529
625
H St
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H St
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300
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1Q 2
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398
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64Q
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61Q
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731
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553
530
239/
2012
9/20
122Q
201
332
Cam
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gh-R
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Cam
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327
254
7312
/201
312
/201
33/
2014
3377
HM
id-R
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oMa
Clar
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Part
ners
276
179
971/
2014
1/20
141/
2014
342
M S
tree
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gh-R
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Will
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C. S
mith
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898
210
7/20
148/
2014
7/20
1435
Elev
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Was
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ton
Gate
way
High
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s36
724
343
7/20
148/
2014
3Q 2
014
Capi
tol H
ill/R
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fron
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700
Cons
titut
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Capi
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illU
rban
Str
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LC14
30
143
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2Q 2
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6/20
1537
Twel
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Mid
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Capi
tol R
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fron
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rest
City
Was
hing
ton
174
5511
93/
2014
6/20
143Q
201
438
Rive
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cHi
gh-R
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pito
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Toll
Brot
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Apa
rtm
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ivin
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70
287
9/20
1411
/201
43/
2015
Distr
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Colu
mbi
aTh
ird Q
uarte
r 201
4
WASHINGTON STATISTICAL REPORT
75DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION
SPONSORED BY BOZZUTO
TABL
E 3.
19RE
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S U
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ARKE
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Proj
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Proj
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Loca
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Spon
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Uni
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of U
nits
Ab
sorb
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of A
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Uni
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Begi
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4
Capi
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41Pa
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256
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42Ga
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High
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Capi
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40
324
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3Q 2
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3Q 2
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4380
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336
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64Q
201
64Q
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644
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2Q 2
015
2Q 2
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45Sk
y Ho
use
East
High
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SW W
ater
fron
tU
rban
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ntic
213
204
912
/201
31/
2014
1/20
1446
Sky
Hous
e W
est
High
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SW W
ater
fron
tU
rban
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ntic
211
021
110
/201
411
/201
411
/201
4
Upp
er G
A47
The
Swift
Mid
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Petw
orth
Prin
cipa
l Rea
l Est
ate
Inve
stor
s20
05
195
8/20
149/
2014
9/20
1448
Tako
ma
Cent
ral
Mid
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Tako
ma
Leve
l 2 D
evel
opm
ent
144
913
58/
2014
11/2
014
11/2
014
Nor
thea
st49
Corn
erst
one
- Mon
roe
St.M
arke
tM
id-R
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ookl
and
Abdo
Dev
elop
men
t LLC
282
120
162
3/20
144/
2014
2Q 2
014
50He
cht W
areh
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Dist
rict
Mid
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Ivy
City
Doug
las D
evel
opm
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306
030
620
1520
1520
1551
Fort
Tot
ten
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id-R
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rt T
otte
nJB
G34
50
345
1Q 2
015
1Q 2
015
2Q 2
015
Tota
l All
Uni
t Typ
es:
--
-11
,542
2,53
99,
003
--
-Po
rtio
n G
arde
ns:
--
-21
40
214
--
-Po
rtio
n M
id-R
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High
-Ris
e:
--
-11
,328
2,53
98,
789
--
-
Date
# U
nits
9/20
149,
003
6/20
149,
770
3/20
149,
541
12/2
013
9,27
412
/201
28,
274
12/2
011
6,39
812
/201
03,
286
12/2
009
2,13
712
/200
84,
017
12/2
007
3,71
712
/200
62,
167
12/2
005
1,24
212
/200
41,
972
12/2
003
2,82
212
/200
23,
631
12/2
001
2,27
712
/200
072
612
/199
939
412
/199
822
812
/199
782
Not
e: T
his T
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may
incl
ude
som
e pr
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Tabl
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pile
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Del
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Com
paris
on to
Prio
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(Ava
ilabl
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in P
roje
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nder
0
2,00
0
4,00
0
6,00
0
8,00
0
10,0
00
12,0
00
12/199712/199812/199912/200012/200112/200212/200312/200412/200512/200612/200712/200612/200712/200812/200912/201012/201112/201212/2013
3/20146/20149/2014
Avai
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Pro
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t
WASHINGTON STATISTICAL REPORT
DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION76
SPONSORED BY BOZZUTOTA
BLE
3.20
REN
TAL
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ANN
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-Rise
U S
tree
t11
8Ye
sYe
sYe
sYe
s1Q
201
55
1401
UHi
gh-R
iseU
Str
eet
270
Yes
Yes
NA
NA
2015
Cent
ral
6TB
DM
id-R
iseAd
ams M
orga
n45
No
No
No
No
4Q 2
015
715
Dup
ont C
ircle
Mid
-Rise
Dupo
nt C
ircle
86Ye
sYe
sYe
sN
o1/
2015
814
00 1
4th
Stre
etM
id-R
iseLo
gan
Circ
le30
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
4Q 2
014
990
Bla
gden
Alle
yM
id-R
iseM
t. Ve
rnon
Squ
are
108
Yes
No
No
No
1/20
1510
Squa
re 3
7 - E
ast
High
-Rise
Wes
t End
93Ye
sYe
sYe
sN
o4Q
201
4N
oMa/
H St
reet
11At
las D
istric
t - P
hase
IIGa
rden
w/S
PH
Stre
et17
3Ye
sYe
sYe
sN
o3Q
201
512
Uni
on P
lace
Mid
-Rise
NoM
a36
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
10/2
014
13St
orey
Par
k Fl
ats
High
-Rise
NoM
a30
0Ye
sYe
sN
oN
o11
/201
414
22 M
Str
eet
High
-Rise
NoM
a32
9Ye
sN
oN
oN
o4Q
201
415
55M
High
-Rise
NoM
a43
8Ye
sYe
sYe
sYe
s1Q
201
516
Uni
on P
lace
- Ph
ase
IHi
gh-R
iseN
oMa
270
Yes
Yes
No
No
2Q 2
015
1733
N S
tree
t - C
apito
l Poi
ntHi
gh-R
iseN
oMa
342
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
2Q 2
015
18Ca
mde
n N
oMa
- Pha
se II
High
-Rise
NoM
a40
5Ye
sYe
sYe
sYe
s20
1519
Gate
way
Mar
ket C
ente
rM
id-R
iseTr
inid
ad15
0Ye
sYe
sN
oN
o1Q
201
5Ca
pito
l Hill
/Riv
erfr
ont
20Ri
verf
ront
on
the
Anac
ostia
High
-Rise
Capi
tol R
iver
fron
t29
5Ye
sYe
sYe
sN
o9/
2014
21Sq
uare
701
High
-Rise
Capi
tol R
iver
fron
t29
9Ye
sYe
sYe
sYe
s10
/201
422
82 I
Stre
etHi
gh-R
iseCa
pito
l Riv
erfr
ont
234
Yes
Yes
No
No
11/2
014
23Ha
lf St
reet
- Ak
ridge
High
-Rise
Capi
tol R
iver
fron
t27
7Ye
sYe
sYe
sN
o4Q
201
424
909
Half
Stre
etHi
gh-R
iseCa
pito
l Riv
erfr
ont
404
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
4Q 2
014
25Ca
pper
Car
rolls
burg
- Sq
uare
769
Nor
thHi
gh-R
iseCa
pito
l Riv
erfr
ont
137
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
2015
26Ca
pper
Car
rolls
burg
- Sq
uare
767
High
-Rise
Capi
tol R
iver
fron
t12
5Ye
sYe
sN
oN
o20
1527
1001
4th
Str
eet,
SWHi
gh-R
iseSW
Wat
erfr
ont
365
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
11/2
014
28Th
e W
harf
- Pa
rcel
2 W
est T
ower
Mid
-Rise
SW W
ater
fron
t14
6Ye
sYe
sYe
sN
o1Q
201
529
The
Wha
rf -
Parc
el 4
AM
id-R
iseSW
Wat
erfr
ont
101
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
1Q 2
015
30St
. Mat
thew
's Re
deve
lopm
ent
High
-Rise
SW W
ater
fron
t22
0Ye
sYe
sYe
sN
o1Q
201
531
The
Wha
rf -
Parc
el 2
Eas
t Tow
erM
id-R
iseSW
Wat
erfr
ont
192
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
1Q 2
015
32To
wn
Cent
er S
outh
High
-Rise
SW W
ater
fron
t14
8N
oN
oN
oN
o2Q
201
5N
orth
east
33Ch
anni
ng P
lace
- Bu
ildin
g A
Mid
-Rise
Bren
twoo
d15
6Ye
sYe
sYe
sN
o1/
2015
34Ch
anni
ng P
lace
- Bu
ildin
g B
Mid
-Rise
Bren
twoo
d12
8Ye
sYe
sYe
sN
o1/
2015
3590
1 M
onro
eM
id-R
iseBr
ookl
and
213
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
4Q 2
014
36Br
ookl
and
Squa
reM
id-R
iseBr
ookl
and
263
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
4Q 2
014
37Ar
t Pla
ce a
t For
t Tot
ten
- Pha
se I
Mid
-Rise
Fort
Tot
ten
399
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
4Q 2
014
Third
Qua
rter 2
014
Distr
ict of
Col
umbi
a
WASHINGTON STATISTICAL REPORT
77DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION
SPONSORED BY BOZZUTO
TABL
E 3.
20RE
NTA
L PR
OJE
CTS
PLAN
NED
TO
DEL
IVER
OVE
R TH
E N
EXT
36 M
ON
THS
Proj
ect N
ame
Proj
ect T
ype
Loca
tion
# of
Mkt
. Rat
e U
nits
Prop
er Z
onin
g?In
itial
Ap
prov
als?
Site
Pla
n Ap
prov
edBl
dg. P
mts
. Is
sued
?Es
t. Co
nstr
. St
art D
ate
Third
Qua
rter 2
014
Distr
ict of
Col
umbi
a
Rive
r Eas
t38
Capi
tol G
atew
ay M
arke
tpla
ceM
id-R
iseCa
pito
l Hei
ghts
255
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
11/2
014
39Pa
rksid
e - P
arce
l FM
id-R
iseRi
vers
ide
Terr
ace
360
Yes
No
No
No
4Q 2
014
Tota
l All
Uni
t Typ
es:
--
8,27
9-
--
--
Port
ion
Gar
dens
: -
-17
3-
--
--
Port
ion
Mid
-Ris
e/Hi
gh-R
ise:
-
-8,
106
--
--
-
Date
# U
nits
9/20
148,
279
6/20
147,
168
3/20
147,
735
12/2
013
6,84
012
/201
27,
947
12/2
011
7,94
512
/201
05,
978
12/2
009
6,18
212
/200
85,
386
12/2
007
4,95
512
/200
62,
160
12/2
005
1,83
212
/200
41,
178
12/2
003
1,19
612
/200
21,
735
12/2
001
1,70
512
/200
02,
149
12/1
999
1,23
9
Not
e: O
ur b
est j
udgm
ent a
s to
proj
ects
like
ly to
del
iver
thei
r fir
st u
nits
in th
e ne
xt 3
6 m
onth
s with
out r
egar
d to
the
prob
abili
ty o
f mat
eria
lizat
ion.
See
Tab
le A
for m
ater
ializ
atio
n fa
ctor
. If w
e ha
ve m
issed
you
r pro
ject
, ple
ase
let u
s kno
w.
Not
e: U
nles
s you
pro
vide
dat
a fo
r thi
s tab
le, n
ames
of s
pons
ors a
re n
o lo
nger
ava
ilabl
e to
subs
crib
ers.
If y
ou p
rovi
de d
ata
for t
his t
able
and
wish
to k
now
sele
ct
spon
sors
' nam
es, e
-mai
l you
r req
uest
to R
ache
lle.S
arm
ient
o@De
ltaAs
soci
ates
.com
.
Sour
ce: C
ompi
led
by D
elta
Ass
ocia
tes,
500
Mon
tgom
ery
St., S
uite
600
, Ale
xand
ria,
Vir
gini
a 22
314.
Pho
ne (7
03) 8
36-5
700.
Las
t Upd
ate
Sept
embe
r 201
4.
Com
paris
on to
Prio
r Yea
rsEs
timat
e of
Nex
t 18-
36 M
onth
Pip
elin
e as
of:
WASHINGTON STATISTICAL REPORT
DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION78
SPONSORED BY BOZZUTO
Proj
ect N
ame
Proj
ect T
ype
Loca
tion
# of
Mkt
. Rat
e U
nits
Prop
er Z
onin
g?In
itial
Ap
prov
als?
Site
Pla
n Ap
prov
edBl
dg. P
mts
. Is
sued
?Es
t. Co
nstr
. St
art D
ate
Upp
er N
orth
wes
t1
TBA
Mid
-Rise
Tenl
eyto
wn
30N
oN
oN
oN
o20
162
Tenl
ey V
iew
Mid
-Rise
Tenl
eyto
wn
60Ye
sN
oN
oN
oN
/ACo
lum
bia
Heig
hts/
Shaw
317
11 F
lorid
aM
id-R
iseAd
ams M
orga
n11
8Ye
sYe
sN
oN
o2Q
201
54
Vue
at 3
333
Geor
gia
Aven
ueHi
gh-R
isePa
rk V
iew
124
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
N/A
596
5 Fl
orid
a Av
enue
Mid
-Rise
U S
tree
t29
5N
oN
oN
oN
o20
186
How
ard
Tow
n Ce
nter
Mid
-Rise
U S
tree
t35
6Ye
sYe
sYe
sN
oN
/ACe
ntra
l7
Colu
mbi
a Pl
ace
Mid
-Rise
& H
igh-
Rise
Mt.
Vern
on S
quar
e20
0N
oN
oN
oN
oN
/A8
4th
and
K - P
h. I
High
-Rise
Mt.
Vern
on T
ri.45
0Ye
sYe
sYe
sN
o1Q
201
69
The
Cant
ata
High
-Rise
Mt.
Vern
on T
ri.26
0Ye
sYe
sN
oN
oN
/A10
455
Eye
High
-Rise
Mt.
Vern
on T
ri.17
4Ye
sYe
sYe
sN
oN
/A11
AV R
istor
ante
Ital
iano
site
High
-Rise
Mt.
Vern
on T
ri.24
9Ye
sN
oN
oN
oN
/AN
oMa/
H St
reet
1231
5 H
Stre
etM
id-R
iseH
Stre
et13
5N
oN
oN
oN
o4Q
201
613
H St
reet
Con
nect
ion
Wes
t - P
hase
IM
id-R
iseH
Stre
et20
7Ye
sYe
sYe
sN
o20
1614
H St
reet
Con
nect
ion
East
- Ph
ase
IIM
id-R
iseH
Stre
et14
4Ye
sYe
sYe
sN
o20
1815
300
M S
tree
tM
id-R
iseN
oMa
368
No
No
No
No
3Q 2
016
16Ca
pito
l Poi
ntHi
gh-R
iseN
oMa
70N
oN
oN
oN
oTB
D17
Uni
on P
lace
- Ph
ase
IIHi
gh-R
iseN
oMa
180
Yes
Yes
No
No
N/A
18Du
nbar
Pla
ceM
id-R
iseN
oMa
30Ye
sN
oN
oN
oN
/A19
100
K St
reet
High
-Rise
NoM
a20
6Ye
sYe
sYe
sN
oN
/ACa
pito
l Hill
/Riv
erfr
ont
20Bu
rnha
m P
lace
High
-Rise
Capi
tol H
ill22
5N
oN
oN
oN
o1Q
201
821
1244
Sou
th C
apito
lHi
gh-R
iseCa
pito
l Riv
erfr
ont
276
No
No
No
No
1Q 2
016
22Ca
pper
Car
rolls
burg
- Sq
uare
768
High
-Rise
Capi
tol R
iver
fron
t23
5Ye
sYe
sN
oN
o20
1623
Capp
er C
arro
llsbu
rg -
Squa
re 7
39Hi
gh-R
iseCa
pito
l Riv
erfr
ont
257
Yes
Yes
No
No
2017
24Ri
verf
ront
on
the
Anac
ostia
- Ph
. II
High
-Rise
Capi
tol R
iver
fron
t25
3N
oN
oN
oN
o20
1725
Half
Stre
etHi
gh-R
iseCa
pito
l Riv
erfr
ont
331
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
N/A
2613
33 M
Str
eet -
Ph.
IHi
gh-R
iseCa
pito
l Riv
erfr
ont
218
No
No
No
No
N/A
27W
ASA
site
- G1
parc
elHi
gh-R
iseCa
pito
l Riv
erfr
ont
322
No
No
No
No
N/A
28W
ASA
site
- G2
parc
elHi
gh-R
iseCa
pito
l Riv
erfr
ont
230
No
No
No
No
N/A
29Hi
ll Ea
stM
id-R
iseHi
ll Ea
st35
3N
oN
oN
oN
oN
/A30
1319
Sou
th C
apito
l Str
eet
High
-Rise
Sout
h Ca
pito
l26
0Ye
sN
oN
oN
oN
/A31
Rand
all S
choo
l - E
ast B
uild
ing
High
-Rise
Sout
h Ca
pito
l21
4Ye
sN
oN
oN
oN
/A32
Rand
all S
choo
l - W
est B
uild
ing
High
-Rise
Sout
h Ca
pito
l22
2Ye
sN
oN
oN
oN
/A33
The
Wha
rf -
Ph. I
IHi
gh-R
iseSW
Wat
erfr
ont
366
Yes
No
No
No
2018
34To
wn
Cent
er N
orth
High
-Rise
SW W
ater
fron
t14
0N
oN
oN
oN
o2Q
201
8U
pper
GA
35Ta
kom
a W
MAT
A pa
rcel
Mid
-Rise
Tako
ma
210
No
No
No
No
N/A
36Th
e W
illow
& T
he M
aple
Mid
-Rise
Tako
ma
80Ye
sN
oN
oN
oN
/A
Third
Qua
rter 2
014
Distr
ict of
Col
umbi
a
TABL
E 3.
21SU
MM
ARY
OF
LON
GER-
TERM
PLA
NN
ED/R
UM
ORE
D RE
NTA
L AP
ARTM
ENT
PRO
JECT
SWASHINGTON STATISTICAL REPORT
79DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION
SPONSORED BY BOZZUTO
Proj
ect N
ame
Proj
ect T
ype
Loca
tion
# of
Mkt
. Rat
e U
nits
Prop
er Z
onin
g?In
itial
Ap
prov
als?
Site
Pla
n Ap
prov
edBl
dg. P
mts
. Is
sued
?Es
t. Co
nstr
. St
art D
ate
Third
Qua
rter 2
014
Distr
ict of
Col
umbi
a
TABL
E 3.
21SU
MM
ARY
OF
LON
GER-
TERM
PLA
NN
ED/R
UM
ORE
D RE
NTA
L AP
ARTM
ENT
PRO
JECT
S
Nor
thea
st37
Broo
klan
d M
etro
Site
Mid
-Rise
Broo
klan
d25
2N
oN
oN
oN
o4Q
201
638
Fort
Tot
ten
Squa
re -
IIM
id-R
iseFo
rt T
otte
n25
0Ye
sYe
sYe
sN
o4Q
201
639
Art P
lace
at F
ort T
otte
n - P
hase
IIM
id-R
iseFo
rt T
otte
n40
0Ye
sN
oN
oN
oN
/ARi
ver E
ast
40Co
ngre
ss H
eigh
ts M
etro
High
-Rise
Cong
ress
Hei
ghts
215
No
No
No
No
N/A
41St
anto
n Sq
uare
Mid
-Rise
Fort
Sta
nton
173
No
No
No
No
N/A
42Sk
ylan
d To
wn
Cent
er -
Bloc
k 2
Mid
-Rise
Hillc
rest
216
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
10/2
014
43Sk
ylan
d To
wn
Cent
er -
Bloc
k 3
Mid
-Rise
Hillc
rest
80Ye
sYe
sYe
sN
o20
1944
Skyl
and
Tow
n Ce
nter
- Bl
ock
4M
id-R
iseHi
llcre
st70
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
2019
Tota
l All
Uni
t Typ
es:
--
9,50
4-
--
--
Port
ion
Gard
ens:
-
-0
--
--
-Po
rtio
n M
id-R
ise/
High
-Ris
e:
--
9,50
4-
--
--
Date
# U
nits
9/20
149,
504
6/20
149,
556
3/20
1410
,393
12/2
013
8,81
212
/201
26,
587
12/2
011
5,71
712
/201
05,
990
12/2
009
7,68
512
/200
88,
284
12/2
007
5,30
612
/200
62,
728
12/2
005
3,61
412
/200
41,
798
12/2
003
2,94
812
/200
23,
091
12/2
001
4,21
012
/200
03,
160
12/1
999
1,90
8
Not
e: U
nles
s you
pro
vide
dat
a fo
r thi
s tab
le, n
ames
of s
pons
ors a
re n
o lo
nger
ava
ilabl
e to
subs
crib
ers.
If y
ou p
rovi
de d
ata
for t
his t
able
and
wish
to k
now
sele
ct
spon
sors
' nam
es, e
-mai
l you
r req
uest
to R
ache
lle.S
arm
ient
o@De
ltaAs
soci
ates
.com
.
Sour
ce: C
ompi
led
by D
elta
Ass
ocia
tes,
500
Mon
tgom
ery
St., S
uite
600
, Ale
xand
ria,
Vir
gini
a 22
314.
Pho
ne (7
03) 8
36-5
700.
Las
t Upd
ate S
epte
mbe
r 201
4.
Com
para
tive
Long
er T
erm
Pip
elin
e Fo
r Mar
ket R
ate
Apar
tmen
ts a
s of:
WASHINGTON STATISTICAL REPORT
DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION80
SPONSORED BY BOZZUTO
DATE # OF YEAROF SALE UNITS BUILT TOTAL PER UNIT
CLASS A LOW-RISE1. Comparable #1 1/13 204 2005 $39,600,000 $194,118
Gaithersburg, Maryland
2. Comparable #2 1/13 460 2001 $124,000,000 $269,565
Fairfax, Virginia
3. Comparable #1 2/13 216 2003 $44,800,000 $207,407Annapolis, Maryland
4. Comparable #3 2/13 404 1990 $92,120,465 $228,021
Fairfax, Virginia
5. Comparable #4 2/13 218 2002 $63,680,458 $292,112Herndon, Virginia
6. Comparable #5 2/13 320 1995 $71,768,000 $224,275
Herndon, Virginia
7. Comparable #6 3/13 127 2006 $20,000,000 $157,480Gainesville, Virginia
8. Comparable #7 4/13 67 2013 $33,000,000 $492,537
Arlington, Virginia
9. Comparable #8 5/13 413 2012 $86,100,000 $207,470Ashburn, Virginia
9. Comparable #9 5/13 260 2012 $44,642,000 $171,700
Fredericksburg, Virginia
10. Comparable #10 7/13 300 2012 $92,500,000 $308,333Lorton, Virginia
11. Comprable #11 8/13 252 2012 $61,000,000 $242,063
Odenton, Maryland
12. Comparable #12 8/13 445 2007 $91,500,000 $205,618Laurel, Maryland
13. Comprable #13 9/13 120 2011 $22,300,000 $185,833
Waldorf, Maryland
14. Comparable #14 9/13 132 1996 $36,000,001 $272,727Rockville, Maryland
15. Comprable #15 11/13 208 2008 $44,100,000 $212,019
Elkridge, Maryland
16. Comparable #16 11/13 140 2008 $24,000,000 $171,429Laurel, Maryland
17. Comparable #17 11/13 251 2013 $45,191,250 $180,045
Laurel, Maryland
18. Comparable #18 11/13 300 2013 $92,500,000 $308,333Lorton, Virginia
Total/Average: -- 4,837 -- $1,128,802,174 $233,368
CLASS A MID-RISE/HIGH-RISE1. Comparable #1 3/13 125 2013 $76,000,000 $608,000
Washington, DC 1/
2. Comparable #2 4/13 231 2013 $110,000,000 $476,190Washington, DC
3. Comparable #3 7/13 266 2008 $82,300,000 $309,398
Washington, DC
4. Comparable #4 11/13 419 2013 $222,000,000 $529,833Arlington, Virginia
5. Comparable #5 12/13 243 2005 $57,000,000 $234,568
Silver Spring, Maryland
Total/Average: -- 1,284 -- $547,300,000 $426,246
1/ Project includes 18,000 SF of retail space.
Note: Delta Associates no longer provides the name of each project listed above except to appraisal clients of the firm
and those who provide this type of transaction data to Delta. If you wish a list of project names and you qualify to receive
same, email your request to: [email protected].
Source: Compiled by Delta Associates, 500 Montgomery St., Suite 600, Alexandria, Virginia 22314.
Phone: (703) 836-5700. Last update: 9/2014.
TABLE 3.22SUMMARY OF CLASS A LOW-RISE AND HIGH-RISE APARTMENT BUILDING SALES
Washington Metropolitan Area2013
PROJECT NAME/LOCATIONSALE PRICE
WASHINGTON STATISTICAL REPORT
81DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION
SPONSORED BY BOZZUTO
DATE # OF YEAROF SALE UNITS BUILT TOTAL PER UNIT
CLASS A LOW-RISE1. Comparable #1 1/14 191 2012 $58,200,000 $304,712
Fairfax, Virginia
2. Comparable #2 4/14 390 2005 $67,849,860 $173,974Stafford, Virgnia
3. Comparable #3 6/14 240 2003 $42,265,000 $176,104Ellicott City, Maryland
4. Comparable #4 8/14 88 2011 $15,000,000 $170,455
Pasadena, Maryland
Total/Average: -- 909 -- $183,314,860 $201,667
CLASS A MID-RISE/HIGH-RISE1. Comparable #1 1/14 277 2013 $127,000,000 $458,484
Washington, DC
2. Comparable #2 2/14 216 2011 $73,000,000 $337,963Washington, DC
3. Comparable #3 4/14 240 2005 $56,296,320 $234,568Silver Spring, Maryland
4. Comparable #4 5/14 85 2006 $40,000,000 $470,588Arlington, Virginia
5. Comparable #5 6/14 212 2014 $195,000,000 $919,811Washington, DC
6. Comparable #6 6/14 268 2014 $176,500,000 $658,582Washington, DC
7. Comparable #7 7/14 218 2014 $75,000,000 $344,037Washington, DC
Total/Average: -- 1,516 -- $742,796,320 $489,971
Note: Delta Associates no longer provides the name of each project listed above except to appraisal clients of the firm
and those who provide this type of transaction data to Delta. If you wish a list of project names and you qualify to receive
same, email your request to: [email protected].
Source: Compiled by Delta Associates, 500 Montgomery St., Suite 600, Alexandria, Virginia 22314.
Phone: (703) 836-5700. Last update: 9/2014.
TABLE 3.23SUMMARY OF CLASS A LOW-RISE AND HIGH-RISE APARTMENT BUILDING SALES
Washington Metropolitan Area2014 Through August
PROJECT NAME/LOCATIONSALE PRICE
WASHINGTON STATISTICAL REPORT
DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION82
SPONSORED BY BOZZUTO
GARDEN APARTMENTS1. Comparable #1 6/13 20 461 0 $38,000,000 $89,412 $89,412 $44
Falls Church, VA
2. Comparable #2 6/13 40.25 296 0 $9,070,000 $30,642 $30,642 $5Manassas Park, Virginia
3. Comparable #3 6/13 7.79 132 0 $4,245,000 $32,159 $32,159 $13
Fredericksburg, Virginia
HIGH-RISE/MID-RISE APARTMENTS1. Comparable #1 1/13 0.12 60 9 $13,000,000 $216,667 $254,902 $2,508
Bethesda, Maryland
2. Comparable #2 1/13 0.50 82 0 $20,100,000 $245,122 $245,122 $916Washington, DC
3. Comparable #3 1/13 3.14 461 77 $29,276,720 $63,507 $76,241 $214Tysons Corner, Virginia 1/
4. Comparable #4 1/13 5.47 669 135 $26,816,418 $40,084 $50,218 $113Tysons Corner, Virginia
5. Comparable #5 3/13 1.01 80 0 $19,500,000 $243,750 $243,750 $444Washington, DC
6. Comparable #6 3/13 4.52 549 0 $27,000,000 $49,180 $49,180 $137Reston, Virginia
7. Comparable #7 4/13 1.25 500 0 $30,100,000 $60,200 $60,200 $553Washington, DC
8. Comparable #8 5/13 0.43 225 0 $24,500,000 $108,889 $108,889 $1,312Bethesda, Maryland
9. Comparable #9 8/13 6.90 366 50 $18,000,000 $49,180 $56,962 $60Rockville, Maryland
10. Comparable #10 12/13 6.00 360 10 $22,500,000 $62,500 $64,286 $86Alexandria, Virginia
1/ Includes 7,000 SF of planned retail
Source: Compiled by Delta Associates, 500 Montgomery St., Suite 600, Alexandria, Virginia 22314.
Phone: (703) 836-5700. Last update: 9/2014.
TABLE 3.24SUMMARY OF MULTIFAMILY LAND SALES
Washington Metropolitan Area | 2013
SALE PRICE PER UNIT
SALE PRICE PER MARKET RATE
UNITS ONLY
SALE PRICE PER GROSS SQ. FOOT
PROJECT NAME/LOCATIONDATE OF
SALEPARCEL SIZE
(ACRES)
TOTAL # OF PLANNED
UNITS
AFFORDABLE DWELLING UNITS (ADU'S/ MPDU'S)
TOTAL SALE PRICE
WASHINGTON STATISTICAL REPORT
83DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION
SPONSORED BY BOZZUTO
GARDEN APARTMENTS1. Comparable #1 1/14 11.38 310 0 $12,400,000 $40,000 $40,000 $25
Linthicum, Maryland
2. Comparable #2 3/14 8.11 248 38 $11,440,000 $40,000 $54,476 $32Hanover, Maryland
3. Comparable #3 7/14 NA 212 0 $6,500,000 $30,660 $30,660 NA
Odenton, Maryland
HIGH-RISE/MID-RISE APARTMENTS1. Comparable #1 1/14 8.40 304 38 $9,500,000 $31,250 $35,714 $26
Germantown, Maryland
2. Comparable #2 2/14 0.50 30 3 $14,500,000 $483,333 $537,037 $666Bethesda, Maryland
3. Comparable #3 4/14 4.68 282 0 $26,500,000 $93,972 $93,972 $130Vienna, Virginia
4. Comparable #4 4/14 6.18 279 14 $22,500,000 $80,645 $84,906 $84Arlington, Virginia
5. Comparable #5 5/14 0.16 30 0 $4,500,000 $150,000 $150,000 $646Washington, DC
6. Comparable #6 5/14 22.90 800 0 $26,500,000 $33,125 $33,125 $27Rockville, Maryland
7. Comparable #7 5/14 10.90 296 0 $8,500,000 $28,716 $28,716 $18Laurel, Maryland
8. Comparable #8 6/14 0.88 188 30 $13,000,000 $69,149 $82,278 $338Washington, DC
9. Comparable #9 8/14 2.00 NA NA $40,000,000 NA NA $459Arlington, Virginia
Source: Compiled by Delta Associates, 500 Montgomery St., Suite 600, Alexandria, Virginia 22314.
Phone: (703) 836-5700. Last update: 9/2014.
TABLE 3.25SUMMARY OF MULTIFAMILY LAND SALES
Washington Metropolitan Area | 2014 Through August
PROJECT NAME/LOCATIONDATE OF
SALEPARCEL SIZE
(ACRES)
TOTAL # OF PLANNED
UNITS
AFFORDABLE DWELLING UNITS (ADU'S/ MPDU'S)
TOTAL SALE PRICESALE PRICE
PER UNIT
SALE PRICE PER MARKET RATE
UNITS ONLY
SALE PRICE PER GROSS SQ. FOOT
WASHINGTON STATISTICAL REPORT
BALTIMORE
STATISTICAL
REPORT
4
87DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION
SPONSORED BY BOZZUTO
TABL
E 4.
1KE
Y M
ARKE
T IN
DICA
TORS
FO
R CL
ASS
A RE
NTA
L AP
ARTM
ENTS
SUBM
ARKE
T
Num
ber o
f Uni
ts S
urve
yed
3,53
55,
120
1,42
310
,078
4,63
82,
338
1,09
28,
068
18,1
465,
115
23,2
61
Rent
Lev
els
Face
Ren
t$1
,667
$1,6
85$1
,819
$1,6
98$1
,470
$1,5
90$1
,234
$1,4
73$1
,598
$1,8
61$1
,656
Conc
essio
n as
a %
of F
ace
Rent
s3.
7%1.
1%0.
4%1.
9%0.
9%1.
0%2.
9%1.
2%1.
6%2.
5%1.
8%
Effe
ctiv
e Re
nt$1
,606
$1,6
67$1
,811
$1,6
66$1
,457
$1,5
74$1
,198
$1,4
56$1
,573
$1,8
14$1
,626
Effe
ctiv
e Re
nt p
er S
quar
e Fo
ot$1
.53
$1.6
4$1
.92
$1.6
4$1
.29
$1.5
8$1
.23
$1.3
6$1
.51
$2.0
3$1
.61
Per A
nnum
Eff
ectiv
e Re
nt In
crea
se
- Sin
ce 1
998
4.1%
4.2%
4.7%
4.3%
3.8%
4.8%
3.2%
4.0%
4.2%
NA
4.2%
- Sin
ce 0
9/30
/09
2.3%
3.5%
5.2%
3.3%
3.2%
4.3%
2.9%
3.5%
3.4%
3.8%
3.5%
- Sin
ce 0
9/30
/13
²-4
.2%
2.4%
6.0%
0.6%
4.0%
0.7%
-0.3
%2.
4%1.
4%0.
9%1.
3%
Abso
rptio
n Tr
ends
Mon
thly
Abs
orpt
ion
Pace
Per
Pro
ject
for M
ost R
ecen
tly D
eliv
ered
Mar
ket-R
ate
Proj
ects
2224
13--
1316
21--
----
--(Y
ear o
f Mos
t Rec
ently
Mar
kete
d Pr
ojec
t)(2
014)
(201
3)(2
014)
(201
2)(2
011)
(201
2)
Vaca
ncy
Sept
embe
r 201
4
Ove
rall
312
.8%
9.8%
5.9%
10.3
%2.
7%2.
7%2.
0%2.
6%6.
9%4.
8%6.
4%
Stab
ilize
d 4
4.9%
5.8%
4.6%
5.3%
2.7%
2.7%
2.0%
2.6%
4.0%
2.0%
3.6%
Vaca
ncy
Sept
embe
r 201
3
Ove
rall
313
.8%
18.6
%16
.0%
16.6
%5.
4%6.
4%4.
2%5.
5%11
.8%
12.1
%11
.6%
Stab
ilize
d 4
7.1%
2.7%
3.8%
4.5%
5.4%
5.7%
4.2%
5.3%
4.9%
4.0%
4.6%
Supp
ly P
roje
ctio
ns#
of M
arke
t Rat
e U
nits
Und
er C
onst
ruct
ion
& A
vaila
ble
Plus
Pla
nned
Whi
ch a
re L
ikel
y to
be
Deliv
ered
in th
e N
ext 3
6 M
onth
s 5
3,43
71,
206
388
5,03
10
910
107
1,01
76,
048
5,36
512
,430
For C
ompa
rison
at 9
/30/
2013
2,83
61,
845
515
5,19
696
750
618
81,
661
6,85
73,
331
11,8
49
1 In
clud
es w
alk-
up a
nd el
evat
or-s
erve
d ap
artm
ents
of o
ne to
four
stor
ies w
ith th
e exc
eptio
n of
Bal
timor
e City
whi
ch in
clud
es h
igh-
rise s
truc
ture
s.2
Exc
lude
s pro
ject
s tha
t wer
e not
act
ivel
y mar
ketin
g at
dat
e of p
revi
ous s
urve
y, i.e
. sam
e pro
ject
/uni
t pric
e com
paris
on.
3 In
clud
es a
ctiv
ely m
arke
ting
proj
ects
.4
Exc
lude
s act
ivel
y mar
ketin
g pr
ojec
ts.
5 S
ee li
st o
f und
er co
nstr
uctio
n an
d pl
anne
d pr
ojec
ts fo
r the
nor
ther
n su
burb
s and
Bal
timor
e City
on
Tabl
es 4
.5 a
nd 4
.6.
See
list
of u
nder
cons
truc
tion
and
plan
ned
proj
ects
for t
he so
uthe
rn su
burb
s in
Sect
ion
3 of
the r
epor
t on
Tabl
es 3
.16
and
3.17
. Doe
s not
acc
ount
for a
ttrit
ion.
Sour
ce: C
ompi
led
by D
elta
Ass
ocia
tes,
500
Mon
tgom
ery S
t., S
uite
600
, Ale
xand
ria, V
irgin
ia 2
2314
Phon
e: (7
03) 8
36-5
700.
Las
t Upd
ate:
Sep
tem
ber 2
014.
SUBT
OTA
L-
BALT
IMO
RE S
UBU
RBS
Selec
ted S
ubm
arke
ts |
Balti
mor
e, M
aryla
nd 1
HOW
ARD
COU
NTY
/ CO
LUM
BIA
N A
NN
E AR
UN
DEL
COU
NTY
ANN
APO
LIS
SUBT
OTA
L-
SOU
THER
N S
UBU
RBS
WES
T &
NW
BA
LTIM
ORE
CO
UN
TYEA
ST A
ND
NE
BALT
IMO
RE C
OU
NTY
HARF
ORD
CO
UN
TYSU
BTO
TAL-
N
ORT
HERN
SU
BURB
SBA
LTIM
ORE
CIT
Y
OVE
RALL
TO
TAL/
WEI
GHT
ED
AVER
AGE
M
ARKE
T IN
DICA
TOR
Third
Qua
rter 2
014
Tabl
e 4.
1 3Q
201
4 14
206
A T
able
s.xl
sxX:
\DE
LTA
\OLD
SE
RV
\Ope
n P
roje
cts\
1420
6\3r
dQtr2
014\
Cla
ss A
Rep
ort W
ork
File
s\3Q
201
4 14
206
A T
able
s.xl
sx
BALTIMORE STATISTICAL REPORT
DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION88
SPONSORED BY BOZZUTO
TABLE 4.2KEY MARKET INDICATORS FOR INVESTMENT GRADE CLASS A RENTAL APARTMENTS
Selected Submarkets | City of Baltimore, Maryland 1
Third Quarter 2014
Number of Units Surveyed 3,264 1,851 5,115Rent Levels
Face Rent $1,626 $2,275 $1,861Concession as a % of Face Rents 2.8% 2.2% 2.5%Effective Rent $1,580 $2,226 $1,814Effective Rent per Square Foot $1.85 $2.33 $2.03Per Annum Effective Rent Increase
- Since 09/30/09 3.5% 4.2% 3.8%- Since 09/30/13 ² 1.3% 0.3% 0.9%
Vacancy September 2014Overall 3 3.6% 6.9% 4.8%
Stabilized 4 2.0% 2.1% 2.0%Vacancy September 2013
Overall 3 5.5% 23.3% 12.1%
Stabilized 4 4.0% 3.9% 4.0%Absorption Trends
Monthly Absorption Pace Per Project for Most Recently Delivered Market-Rate Projects 9 19 --(Year of Most Recently Marketed Project) (2013) (2013)
Supply Projections# of Market Rate Units Under Construction & AvailablePlus Planned That Are Likely to Be Delivered
in the Next 36 Months 5 4,156 1,209 5,365For Comparison
at 9/30/2013 2,364 967 3,331
1 Includes low-rise and garden style apartments, mid-rise apartments, high-rise apartments and warehouse conversions.2 Excludes projects that were not actively marketing at date of previous survey, i.e. same project/unit price comparison.3 Includes actively marketing projects.4 Excludes actively marketing projects.5 See list of under construction and planned projects on Tables 4.5 and 4.6. Includes conversions.See list of under construction and planned projects for the southern suburbs in Section 3 of the report on Tables 3.16 and 3.17. Does not account for attrition.
Source: Compiled by Delta Associates, 500 Montgomery St., Suite 600, Alexandria, Virginia 22314
Phone: (703) 836-5700. Last Update: September 2014.
SUBMARKET
DOWNTOWN MARKET INDICATOR
FELLS POINT/ INNER HARBOR TOTAL- BALTIMORE CITY
Table 4.2 3Q 2014 14206 A Tables.xlsxX:\DELTA\OLDSERV\Open Projects\14206\3rdQtr2014\Class A Report Work Files\3Q 2014 14206 A Tables.xlsx
BALTIMORE STATISTICAL REPORT
89DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION
SPONSORED BY BOZZUTO
1. Hanover Brewers Hill 387 12/12 18Baltimore, Maryland
2. Union Wharf 253 1/13 13Baltimore, Maryland
3. Metro Crossing NA 2 2/13 NA 2
Owings Mills, Maryland4. Marketplace at Fells Point 76 9/13 6
Baltimore, Maryland5. The Gunther 154 9/13 13
Baltimore, Maryland6. 101 Ellwood 92 9/13 8
Baltimore, Maryland7. The Lenore 64 2/14 9
Baltimore, Maryland8. Jefferson Square at Washington Hill 19 6/14 6
Baltimore, MarylandTotal: 1,045 -- 12
1 Includes market rate units only.2 Property did not participate in our survey.Source: Delta Associates, 500 Montgomery St., Suite 600, Alexandria, VA 22314. Phone: (703) 836-5700.Last update: 9/2014
UNITS ABSORBED
159
281
440
1,584
162
140
102
TABLE 4.3
OVERALL MONTHLY LEASE-UP PACE
Baltimore & Northern Suburbs, Maryland | Third Quarter 2014ACTIVELY MARKETING RENTAL APARTMENT PROJECTS
ABSORPTION SUMMARY
DATE MARKETING BEGAN
COMP. #
250
300
PROJECT NAME/LOCATION TOTAL UNITS 1
BALTIMORE STATISTICAL REPORT
DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION90
SPONSORED BY BOZZUTO
TABLE 4.4ABSORPTION SUMMARY
RECENTLY STABILIZED APARTMENT PROJECTS
1. Red Run Apartments - Phase II 4/03 9/04 17 13Owings Mills, Maryland
2. The Reserve at Stonegate 7/04 8/06 25 9Woodlawn, Maryland
3. Brookside Commons - Phase II 4/05 8/06 16 3Owings Mills, Maryland
4. Greenwich Place at Town Center 6/06 6/09 36 9Owings Mills, Maryland
5. The Excalibur (frmly.Gallery at Avalon) 3/07 6/09 26 6Pikesville, Maryland
6. The Renaissance & Jazz at the Quarter 3/09 3/11 24 18Towson, Maryland
7. Towson Promenade 5/09 9/11 27 14Towson, Maryland
8. The View at Mill Run 6/11 12/13 30 13Owings Mills, Maryland
9. The Riverside Apartments 4/12 2/13 10 21Aberdeen, Maryland
10. Mill. No. 1 3/13 8/14 18 5Baltimore, Maryland
11. 1901 South Charles 8/12 12/13 16 11Baltimore, Maryland
12. Groveton Green 9/12 9/13 12 25Owings Mills, Maryland
13. Arbors at Baltimore Crossroads 8/11 5/14 33 11White Marsh, Maryland
Total Garden: -- -- 290 11
1. The Standard 2/03 6/04 16 13Baltimore, Maryland
2. Saratoga Court 9/03 12/04 15 5Baltimore, Maryland
3. Centerpoint (New Tower & Eutaw St.) 4/04 8/06 28 12Baltimore, Maryland
4. Symphony Center 1/05 8/06 20 7Baltimore, Maryland
5. Spinnaker Bay 4/05 8/06 16 20Baltimore, Maryland
6. Townes at Harvest View 4/05 3/06 12 7Reisterstown, Maryland
7. Camden Court 6/05 6/07 24 9Baltimore, Maryland
8. Crescent at Fells Point (Swan's Wharf) 7/06 11/08 29 9Baltimore, Maryland
9. The Zenith 5/07 8/09 28 7Baltimore, Maryland
10. The Eden 5/07 11/09 31 9Baltimore, Maryland
11. Domain Brewers Hill 12/08 5/10 19 9Baltimore, Maryland
12. 39 West Lexington 1/08 8/10 32 6Baltimore, Maryland
13. Professional Arts Building 2/09 12/10 22 4Baltimore, Maryland
14. The Fitzgerald 4/10 9/11 17 16Baltimore, Maryland
15. Palisades of Towson 8/10 12/12 28 13Towson, Maryland
16. McHenry Row 9/11 2/13 18 14Baltimore, Maryland
17. 1111 Light Street 5/12 9/13 17 5Baltimore, Maryland
18. 521 St. Paul Street 8/13 5/14 10 7Owings Mills, Maryland
Total High-Rise: -- -- 382 9
DATE MARKETING BEGAN
DATE STABILIZED
OVERALL MONTHLY LEASE-UP PACE
COMP. # PROJECT NAME/LOCATION TOTAL UNITS 1
219
216
69
Last update: 9/2014
3,576
280
87
252
270
221
180
Source: Delta Associates, 500 Montgomery St., Suite 600, Alexandria, VA 22314. Phone: (703) 836-5700.
1 Includes market rate units only.
93
365
48
332
191
181
90
178
375
HIGH-RISE
147
376
84
226
Baltimore & Northern Suburbs, Maryland | 2003 -Third Quarter 2014# OF MONTHS MARKETING
250
212
202
3,210
77
315
324
137
357
LOW-RISE
432
BALTIMORE STATISTICAL REPORT
91DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION
SPONSORED BY BOZZUTO
TABL
E 4.
5RE
NTA
L AP
ARTM
ENT
PRO
JECT
S U
NDE
R CO
NST
RUCT
ION
AN
D/O
R M
ARKE
TIN
GBa
ltim
ore C
ity, B
altim
ore a
nd H
arfo
rd C
ount
ies, M
aryla
nd
Third
Qua
rter 2
014
Proj
ect N
ame
Proj
ect T
ype
Loca
tion
Spon
sor(
s)#
of M
kt. R
ate
Uni
ts#
of U
nits
Ab
sorb
ed#
of A
vaila
ble
Uni
tsDa
te P
re-L
sg.
Begi
nsIn
ital O
ccup
. Da
teDa
te C
onst
r. Co
mpl
ete
Balti
mor
e Ci
ty1
Hano
ver B
rew
ers H
illM
id-R
iseCa
nton
Hano
ver D
evel
opm
ent
440
387
5312
/201
22/
2013
3Q 2
013
2Th
e Gu
nthe
rM
id-R
iseCa
nton
Focu
s Dev
elop
men
t16
215
48
8/20
1310
/201
310
/201
33
301
N. C
harle
s Str
eet
Mid
-Rise
Dow
ntow
nPM
C Pr
oper
ty G
roup
9780
171/
2014
4/20
146/
2014
4Th
e Le
nore
High
-Rise
Dow
ntow
nBa
ybrid
ge P
rope
rty
Grou
p10
264
381Q
201
44/
2014
7/20
145
The
Equi
tabl
e Tr
ust B
uild
ing
High
-Rise
Dow
ntow
nJK
Equ
ities
LLC
188
018
81Q
201
51Q
201
52/
2015
610
Lig
ht S
tree
tHi
gh-R
iseDo
wnt
own
Met
ropo
litan
Par
tner
ship
Ltd
.44
50
445
1Q 2
015
1Q 2
015
3/20
157
Calv
ert S
tree
t Pro
ject
- Ph
ase
IHi
gh-R
iseDo
wnt
own
PMC
Prop
erty
Gro
up78
078
1Q 2
015
1Q 2
015
2Q 2
015
8Ca
lver
t Str
eet P
roje
ct -
Phas
e II
High
-Rise
Dow
ntow
nPM
C Pr
oper
ty G
roup
110
011
02Q
201
52Q
201
52Q
201
69
2 E.
Wel
lsM
id-R
iseFe
dera
l Hill
Ches
apea
ke R
ealty
Par
tner
s15
30
153
4Q 2
014
4Q 2
014
1Q 2
015
10U
nion
Wha
rfM
id-R
iseFe
lls P
oint
Bozz
uto
281
253
281/
2013
6/20
1311
/201
311
Mar
ketp
lace
at F
ells
Poin
tM
id-R
iseFe
lls P
oint
Sout
h Br
oadw
ay P
rope
rtie
s15
976
834Q
201
31Q
201
42Q
201
412
Algo
nqui
n Ap
artm
ents
High
-Rise
Mt.
Vern
onHa
mel
Bui
lder
s56
056
10/2
013
11/2
013
5/20
1413
520
Park
Mid
-Rise
Mt.
Vern
onTh
e Ti
me
Grou
p17
10
171
3Q 2
014
3Q 2
014
10/2
014
1410
1 El
lwoo
dM
id-R
isePa
tter
son
Park
Focu
s Dev
elop
men
t14
092
489/
2013
11/2
013
12/2
013
15Je
ffers
on S
quar
e at
Was
hing
ton
Hill
Mid
-Rise
Was
hing
ton
Hill
Jeffe
rson
Apa
rtm
ent G
roup
300
1930
06/
2014
8/20
148/
2014
16He
ath
Stre
et L
ofts
Mid
-Rise
Wes
t Fed
eral
Hill
Pove
rni V
entu
res L
LC59
059
3Q 2
015
3Q 2
015
3Q 2
015
17Th
e Ro
tund
aHi
gh-R
iseW
yman
Par
kHe
kem
ian
& C
o. In
c.37
90
379
1Q 2
015
2Q 2
015
1Q 2
016
Balti
mor
e Co
unty
18Th
e W
inth
rop
Mid
-Rise
Tow
son
Ches
apea
ke R
ealty
Par
tner
s29
50
295
4Q 2
014
1Q 2
015
2Q 2
015
Harf
ord
Coun
ty19
The
Rive
rsid
e Ap
artm
ents
IIGa
rden
Aber
deen
Ches
apea
ke R
ealty
Par
tner
s18
881
107
4/20
143Q
201
44Q
201
4To
tal A
ll U
nit T
ypes
: -
--
3,80
31,
206
2,61
6-
--
Port
ion
Gar
dens
: -
--
188
8110
7-
--
Port
ion
Mid
-Ris
e/Hi
gh-R
ise:
-
--
3,61
51,
125
2,50
9-
--
Date
# U
nits
9/20
142,
616
6/20
143,
059
3/20
142,
901
12/2
013
2,89
312
/201
22,
527
12/2
011
2,47
612
/201
052
312
/200
91,
323
12/2
008
1,76
812
/200
71,
797
12/2
006
1,39
312
/200
51,
443
12/2
004
1,73
012
/200
31,
855
12/2
002
2,06
412
/200
11,
401
12/2
000
660
12/1
999
1,02
1N
ote:
Thi
s tab
le m
ay in
clud
e so
me
proj
ects
list
ed o
n Ta
ble
4.3
Sour
ce: C
ompi
led
by D
elta
Ass
ocia
tes,
500
Mon
tgom
ery
St., S
uite
600
, Ale
xand
ria,
Vir
gini
a 22
314.
Pho
ne (7
03) 8
36-5
700.
Las
t Upd
ate
Sept
embe
r 201
4.
Com
paris
on to
Prio
r Yea
rs(A
vaila
ble
Uni
ts in
Pro
ject
s Und
er
Cons
truc
tion
) at:
050
010
0015
0020
0025
0030
0035
00
Avai
labl
e U
nits
in P
roje
cts U
nder
Co
nstr
uctio
n #
of A
vaila
ble
Mar
ket R
ate
Uni
ts
Balti
mor
e Ci
ty
Balti
mor
e Co
unty
Harf
ord
Coun
ty
BALTIMORE STATISTICAL REPORT
DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION92
SPONSORED BY BOZZUTOTA
BLE
4.6
REN
TAL
PRO
JECT
S PL
ANN
ED T
O D
ELIV
ER O
VER
THE
NEX
T 36
MO
NTH
S
Proj
ect N
ame
Proj
ect T
ype
Loca
tion
# of
Mkt
. Rat
e U
nits
Prop
er Z
onin
g?In
itial
Ap
prov
als?
Site
Pla
n Ap
prov
edBl
dg. P
mts
. Is
sued
?Es
t. Co
nstr
. St
art D
ate
Balti
mor
e Ci
ty1
The
Hend
ler
Mid
-Rise
Dow
ntow
n27
6Ye
sYe
sYe
sN
o4Q
201
42
One
Lig
ht S
tree
tHi
gh-R
iseDo
wnt
own
262
Yes
No
No
No
4Q 2
014
3M
echa
nic
Cent
re -
Phas
e I
High
-Rise
Dow
ntow
n30
6Ye
sN
oN
oN
o4Q
201
44
Flou
r Hou
se A
part
men
tsM
id-R
iseDo
wnt
own
135
Yes
No
No
No
1Q 2
015
532
5 W
est B
altim
ore
Stre
etHi
gh-R
iseDo
wnt
own
229
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
1Q 2
015
6Ha
rbor
view
Wes
t Pro
ject
High
-Rise
Fede
ral H
ill30
5Ye
sYe
sN
oN
o4Q
201
47
Bann
er H
illHi
gh-R
iseIn
ner H
arbo
r35
0Ye
sN
oN
oN
o1Q
201
58
Locu
st P
oint
High
-Rise
Locu
st P
oint
292
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
12/2
014
9Th
e Ch
esap
eake
- Ph
ase
IIM
id-R
iseM
t. Ve
rnon
86N
AN
AN
AN
A4Q
201
410
414
Ligh
t Str
eet
High
-Rise
Ott
erbe
in38
2Ye
sYe
sN
oN
o4Q
201
411
Popp
leto
n - L
a Ci
te -
Phas
e I
Mid
-Rise
Popp
leto
n21
4Ye
sYe
sYe
sN
o1Q
201
512
Gate
way
at W
ashi
ngto
n Hi
ll - P
h. II
Mid
-Rise
Was
hing
ton
Hill
210
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
4Q 2
014
13St
ate
Cent
er R
edev
elop
men
t - P
hase
IHi
gh-R
iseW
est S
ide
30Ye
sYe
sYe
sN
o1Q
201
514
Libe
rty
Park
High
-Rise
Wes
tsid
e74
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
10/2
014
Balti
mor
e Co
unty
15Av
alon
at H
unt V
alle
y To
wne
Cen
tre
Mid
-Rise
Hunt
Val
ley
340
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
2Q 2
015
16Du
lane
y Va
lley
Gard
en w
/SP
Tow
son
175
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
2Q 2
015
1762
7 Yo
rk R
oad
Mid
-Rise
Tow
son
100
NA
NA
NA
NA
1Q 2
015
Tota
l All
Uni
t Typ
es:
--
3,76
6-
--
--
Port
ion
Gar
dens
: -
-17
5-
--
--
Port
ion
Mid
-Ris
e/Hi
gh-R
ise:
-
-3,
591
--
--
-
Date
# U
nits
9/20
143,
766
6/20
143,
766
3/20
142,
291
12/2
013
2,15
812
/201
22,
764
12/2
011
2,52
212
/201
02,
157
12/2
009
2,91
112
/200
82,
342
12/2
007
1,69
112
/200
62,
780
12/2
005
2,10
212
/200
41,
511
12/2
003
1,81
812
/200
21,
835
12/2
001
1,36
412
/200
01,
917
12/1
999
977
Not
e: O
ur b
est j
udgm
ent a
s to
proj
ects
like
ly to
del
iver
thei
r fir
st u
nits
in th
e ne
xt 3
6 m
onth
s with
out r
egar
d to
the
prob
abili
ty o
f mat
eria
lizat
ion.
See
Tab
le A
for m
ater
ializ
atio
n fa
ctor
. If w
e ha
ve m
issed
you
r pro
ject
, ple
ase
let u
s kno
w.
Not
e: U
nles
s you
pro
vide
dat
a fo
r thi
s tab
le, n
ames
of s
pons
ors a
re n
o lo
nger
ava
ilabl
e to
subs
crib
ers.
If y
ou p
rovi
de d
ata
for t
his t
able
and
wish
to k
now
sele
ct
spon
sors
' nam
es, e
-mai
l you
r req
uest
to R
ache
lle.S
arm
ient
o@De
ltaAs
soci
ates
.com
.So
urce
: Com
pile
d by
Del
ta A
ssoc
iate
s, 50
0 M
ontg
omer
y St
., Sui
te 6
00, A
lexa
ndri
a, V
irgi
nia
2231
4. P
hone
(703
) 836
-570
0. L
ast U
pdat
e Se
ptem
ber 2
014.
Estim
ate
of N
ext 1
8-36
Mon
th P
ipel
ine
as o
f:Co
mpa
rison
to P
rior Y
ears
Balti
mor
e City
, Balt
imor
e and
Har
ford
Cou
nties
, Mar
ylan
dTh
ird Q
uarte
r 201
4
BALTIMORE STATISTICAL REPORT
93DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION
SPONSORED BY BOZZUTO
TABL
E 4.
7SU
MM
ARY
OF
LON
GER
-TER
M P
LAN
NED
/RU
MO
RED
REN
TAL
APAR
TMEN
T PR
OJE
CTS
Proj
ect N
ame
Proj
ect T
ype
Loca
tion
# of
Mkt
Rat
e U
nits
Prop
er
Zoni
ng?
Initi
al
Appr
oval
s?Si
te P
lan
Appr
oved
Bldg
Pm
ts
Issu
ed?
Est.
Cons
tr.
Star
t Dat
e
Balti
mor
e Ci
ty1
25th
Str
eet S
tatio
nGa
rden
w/ S
PCh
arle
s Vill
age
70Ye
sYe
sYe
sN
oN
/A2
Char
les V
illag
eHi
gh-R
iseDo
wnt
own
250
No
No
No
No
N/A
3Po
rt D
iscov
ery
HiFl
yer B
allo
on si
teHi
gh-R
iseDo
wnt
own
226
No
No
No
No
N/A
430
0 W
. Bal
timor
e St
reet
High
-Rise
Dow
ntow
n17
5N
oN
oN
oN
oN
/A5
Jack
son'
s Wha
rfM
id-R
iseFe
lls P
oint
207
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
N/A
6Fo
ur S
easo
ns R
esid
ence
sHi
gh-R
iseHa
rbor
Eas
t27
9Ye
sYe
sYe
sYe
sN
/A7
Whi
teha
ll Co
tton
Mill
Gard
enJo
nes F
alls
27N
oN
oN
oN
oN
/A8
814
N. C
harle
s Str
eet
High
-Rise
Mt.
Vern
on14
2Ye
sYe
sN
oN
oN
/A9
2700
Blo
ckM
id-R
iseRe
min
gton
108
NA
NA
Yes
NA
N/A
10Le
ton
Squa
reM
id-R
ise/M
ixed
-Use
Wes
t Sid
e30
0Ye
sYe
sYe
sN
oN
/A11
Stat
e Ce
nter
Red
evel
opm
ent -
Pha
se II
High
-Rise
Wes
t Sid
e14
0Ye
sYe
sN
oN
oN
/A12
Stat
e Ce
nter
Red
evel
opm
ent -
Oth
er P
hase
sHi
gh-R
iseW
est S
ide
392
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
N/A
Balti
mor
e Co
unty
13M
etro
Cen
ter a
t Ow
ings
Mill
- Ad
d'l.
Ph.
Gard
en/M
ixed
Use
Ow
ings
Mill
s1,
450
Yes
Yes
No
No
N/A
14Ba
ltim
ore
Cros
sroa
dsGa
rden
Whi
te M
arsh
2,00
0N
oN
oN
oN
oN
/ATo
tal A
ll U
nit T
ypes
: -
-5,
766
--
--
-Po
rtio
n Ga
rden
s:
--
3,54
7-
--
--
Port
ion
Mid
-Ris
e/Hi
gh-R
ise:
-
-2,
219
--
--
-
Date
# U
nits
9/20
145,
766
6/20
145,
406
3/20
146,
923
12/2
013
6,66
712
/201
23,
768
12/2
011
4,56
812
/201
03,
147
12/2
009
3,10
212
/200
83,
742
12/2
007
2,79
612
/200
62,
299
12/2
005
3,94
212
/200
43,
079
12/2
003
2,12
112
/200
22,
984
12/2
001
3,46
112
/200
02,
750
12/1
999
1,14
3
Not
e: U
nles
s you
pro
vide
dat
a fo
r thi
s tab
le, n
ames
of s
pons
ors a
re n
o lo
nger
ava
ilabl
e to
subs
crib
ers.
If y
ou p
rovi
de d
ata
for t
his t
able
and
wish
to k
now
sele
ct
spon
sor's
nam
es, e
-mai
l you
r req
uest
to R
ache
lle.S
arm
ient
o@De
ltaAs
soci
ates
.com
.So
urce
: Com
pile
d by
Del
ta A
ssoc
iate
s, 50
0 M
ontg
omer
y St
., Sui
te 6
00, A
lexa
ndri
a, V
irgi
nia
2231
4. P
hone
(703
) 836
-570
0. L
ast U
pdat
e Se
ptem
ber 2
014.
Com
para
tive
Long
er T
erm
Pip
elin
e Fo
r Mar
ket R
ate
Apar
tmen
ts a
s of:
Balti
mor
e City
, Balt
imor
e and
Har
ford
Cou
nties
, Mar
yland
Third
Qua
rter 2
014
BALTIMORE STATISTICAL REPORT
DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION94
SPONSORED BY BOZZUTO
DATE # OF YEAROF SALE UNITS BUILT TOTAL PER UNIT
CLASS A GARDEN
1. Comparable #1 2/13 216 2003 $44,800,000 $207,407Annapolis, Maryland
2. Comparable #2 4/13 208 1989 $31,900,000 $153,365
Pikesville, Maryland
Total/Average: -- 424 -- $76,700,000 $180,896
CLASS A MID-RISE/HIGH-RISE
1. Comparable #1 11/13 146 2002 $18,400,000 $126,027Baltimore, Maryland
Total/Average: -- 146 -- $18,400,000 $126,027
Note: Delta Associates no longer provides the name of each project listed above except to appraisal clients of the firm
and those who provide this type of transaction data to Delta. If you wish a list of project names and you qualify to receive
same, email your request to: [email protected].
Source: Compiled by Delta Associates, 500 Montgomery St., Suite 600, Alexandria, Virginia 22314.
Phone: (703) 836-5700. Last update: 9/2014.
TABLE 4.8SUMMARY OF CLASS A APARTMENT BUILDING SALES
Baltimore Metropolitan Area2013
PROJECT NAME/LOCATIONSALE PRICE
BALTIMORE STATISTICAL REPORT
95DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION
SPONSORED BY BOZZUTO
DATE # OF YEAROF SALE UNITS BUILT TOTAL PER UNIT
CLASS A GARDEN
1. Comparable #1 6/14 240 2003 $42,265,000 $176,104Ellicott City, Maryland
2. Comparable #2 8/14 88 2011 $15,000,000 $170,455
Pasadena, MarylandTotal/Average -- 328 $57,265,000 $174,588CLASS A MID-RISE/HIGH-RISENo published information available to date
Note: Delta Associates no longer provides the name of each project listed above except to appraisal clients of the firm
and those who provide this type of transaction data to Delta. If you wish a list of project names and you qualify to receive
same, email your request to: [email protected].
Source: Compiled by Delta Associates, 500 Montgomery St., Suite 600, Alexandria, Virginia 22314.
Phone: (703) 836-5700. Last update: 9/2014
TABLE 4.9SUMMARY OF CLASS A APARTMENT BUILDING SALES
Baltimore Metropolitan Area2014 Through August
PROJECT NAME/LOCATIONSALE PRICE
BALTIMORE STATISTICAL REPORT
SPONSORED BY BOZZUTO
PHILADELPHIA
STATISTICAL
REPORT
5
99DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION
SPONSORED BY BOZZUTO
GEOGRAPHIC AREA
Number of Units Surveyed 7,068 3,243 10,311 4,777 15,088
Rent Levels ( Avg. of All Unit Sizes)
Face Rent $1,509 $1,446 $1,489 $2,200 $1,714
Concession as a % of Face Rents 0.9% 2.4% 1.4% 1.0% 0.9%
Effective Rent $1,495 $1,411 $1,468 $2,177 $1,693
Effective Rent per Square Foot $1.46 $1.41 $1.44 $2.28 $1.70
Per Annum Effective Rent Increase
- Since 09/30/09 2.6% 2.2% 2.4% 4.3% 3.0%
- Since 09/30/13 ¹ 2.0% 2.9% 2.3% -0.1% 1.5%
Vacancy September 2014
Overall 2 3.3% 2.9% 3.2% 8.9% 5.0%
Stabilized 3 2.4% 2.9% 2.6% 3.6% 2.9%
Vacancy September 2013
Overall 2 4.9% 4.7% 4.8% 6.4% 5.2%
Stabilized 3 4.8% 4.7% 4.8% 5.5% 5.0%
1 Excludes projects that were not actively marketing at date of previous survey, i.e. same project/unit price comparison.2 Includes actively marketing projects.3 Excludes actively marketing projects.Source: Compiled by Delta Associates, 500 Montgomery St., Suite 600, Alexandria, Virginia 22314Phone: (703) 836-5700. Last Update: September 2014.
TABLE 5.1KEY MARKET INDICATORS FOR CLASS A RENTAL APARTMENTS
Summary | Philadelphia Metropolitan AreaThird Quarter 2014
MARKET INDICATOR SUBURBAN PENNSYLVANIA
SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY
SUBTOTAL- PHILADELPHIA
SUBURBS
CITY OF PHILADELPHIA
PHILADELPHIA METRO AREA
TOTAL/AVERAGE
Table 5.1 3Q 2014 14206 A Tables.xlsxX:\DELTA\OLDSERV\Open Projects\14206\3rdQtr2014\Class A Report Work Files\3Q 2014 14206 A Tables.xlsx
PHILADELPHIA STATISTICAL REPORT
DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION100
SPONSORED BY BOZZUTO
Number of Units Surveyed 2,391 3,255 1,422 7,068
Rent Levels
Face Rent $1,484 $1,543 $1,472 $1,509
Concession as a % of Face Rents 1.1% 0.7% 1.0% 0.9%
Effective Rent $1,467 $1,532 $1,458 $1,495
Effective Rent per Square Foot $1.41 $1.47 $1.51 $1.46
Per Annum Effective Rent Increase
- Since 09/30/09 1.9% 3.8% 1.0% 2.6%
- Since 09/30/13 ² 2.3% 2.9% -0.3% 2.0%
Vacancy September 2014
Overall 3 4.9% 2.8% 1.6% 3.3%
Stabilized 4 4.9% 0.9% 1.6% 2.4%
Vacancy September 2013
Overall 3 5.1% 4.7% 4.9% 4.9%
Stabilized 4 5.1% 4.7% 4.5% 4.8%
1 Includes walk-up and elevator-served apartments of one to four stories.2 Excludes projects that were not actively marketing at date of previous survey, i.e. same project/unit price comparison.3 Includes actively marketing projects.4 Excludes actively marketing projects.
Source: Compiled by Delta Associates, 500 Montgomery St., Suite 600, Alexandria, Virginia 22314Phone: (703) 836-5700. Last Update: September 2014.
MONTGOMERY COUNTY
DELAWARE & CHESTER COUNTIES
BUCKS COUNTY
SUBURBAN PENNSYLVANIA
TOTAL/WEIGHTED AVERAGE
MARKET INDICATOR
TABLE 5.2KEY MARKET INDICATORS FOR CLASS A LOW-RISE RENTAL APARTMENTS 1
Selected Submarkets | Suburban Pennsylvania
SUBMARKET
Third Quarter 2014
Table 5.2 3Q 2014 14206 A Tables.xlsxX:\DELTA\OLDSERV\Open Projects\14206\3rdQtr2014\Class A Report Work Files\3Q 2014 14206 A Tables.xlsx
PHILADELPHIA STATISTICAL REPORT
101DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION
SPONSORED BY BOZZUTO
Number of Units Surveyed 1,411 1,832 3,243 1,929
Rent Levels
Face Rent $1,557 $1,361 $1,446 $1,703
Concession as a % of Face Rents 4.9% 0.4% 2.4% 0.0%
Effective Rent $1,481 $1,356 $1,411 $1,703
Effective Rent per Square Foot $1.42 $1.40 $1.41 $1.59
Per Annum Effective Rent Increase
- Since 09/30/09 1.7% 2.6% 2.2% 2.5%
- Since 09/30/13 ² 0.6% 4.7% 2.9% 2.8%
Vacancy September 2014
Overall 3 3.0% 2.8% 2.9% 0.9%
Stabilized 4 3.0% 2.8% 2.9% 0.9%
Vacancy September 2013
Overall 3 5.0% 4.5% 4.7% 2.4%
Stabilized 4 5.0% 4.5% 4.7% 2.4%
1 Includes garden and low-rise style apartments, mid-rise apartments, high-rise apartments, and warehouse conversions.2 Excludes projects that were not actively marketing at date of previous survey, i.e. same project/unit price comparison.3 Includes actively marketing projects.4 Excludes actively marketing projects.
Source: Compiled by Delta Associates, 500 Montgomery St., Suite 600, Alexandria, Virginia 22314Phone: (703) 836-5700. Last Update: September 2014.
TABLE 5.3
Selected Submarkets | Southern New JerseyKEY MARKET INDICATORS FOR CLASS A LOW-RISE RENTAL APARTMENTS 1
Third Quarter 2014
MARKET INDICATOR MERCER COUNTYSOUTHERN NEW JERSEY
TOTAL/WEIGHTED AVERAGE
SUBMARKET
CAMDEN COUNTYBURLINGTON
COUNTY
Table 5.3 3Q 2014 14206 A Tables.xlsxX:\DELTA\OLDSERV\Open Projects\14206\3rdQtr2014\Class A Report Work Files\3Q 2014 14206 A Tables.xlsx
PHILADELPHIA STATISTICAL REPORT
DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION102
SPONSORED BY BOZZUTO
SUBMARKET
CITY OFPHILADELPHIA
Number of Units Surveyed 4,777
Rent Levels
Face Rent $2,200
Concession as a % of Face Rents 1.0%
Effective Rent $2,177
Effective Rent per Square Foot $2.28
Per Annum Effective Rent Increase
- Since 1988 3.3%
- Since 09/30/09 4.3%
- Since 09/30/13 ¹ -0.1%
Vacancy September 2014
Overall 2 8.9%
Stabilized 3 3.6%
Vacancy September 2013
Overall 2 6.4%
Stabilized 3 5.5%
Absorption TrendsMonthly Absorption Pace Per Project
for Most Recently Delivered Market-Rate Projects 30
(Year of Most Recently Marketed Project) (2012)
Supply Projections# of Market Rate Units Under Construction & Available
Plus Planned Which are Likely to be Delivered
in the Next 36 Months 4 4,846For Comparison
at 9/30/2013 3,513
1 Excludes projects that were not actively marketing at date of previous survey, i.e. same project/unit price comparison.2 Includes actively marketing projects.3 Excludes actively marketing projects.4 See list of under construction and planned projects on Tables 5.6 and 5.7. Does not account for attrition.Source: Compiled by Delta Associates, 500 Montgomery St., Suite 600, Alexandria, Virginia 22314
Phone: (703) 836-5700. Last Update: September 2014.
TABLE 5.4
City of PhiladelphiaKEY MARKET INDICATORS FOR CLASS A RENTAL HIGH-RISE APARTMENTS
Third Quarter 2014
MARKET INDICATOR
PHILADELPHIA STATISTICAL REPORT
103DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION
SPONSORED BY BOZZUTO
1. Tower Place - Ph. 1 184 12/12 8Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
2. 2116 Chestnut Street 233 2/13 12Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
3. Goldtex Building 78 3/13 4Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
4. The Granary 214 5/13 13Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
5. Icon 138 11/13 15Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
6. The Station at Manayunk 30 1/14 4Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
7. Southstar Lofts 63 2/14 9Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
8. The Croydon 64 4/14 13Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
9. 1900 Arch 66 4/14 13Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
Total: 1,070 -- 10
Source: Delta Associates, 500 Montgomery St., Suite 600, Alexandria, VA 22314. Phone: (703) 836-5700.Last update: 9/2014
TABLE 5.5
OVERALL MONTHLY LEASE-UP PACE
City of Philadelphia | Third Quarter 2014ACTIVELY MARKETING RENTAL APARTMENT PROJECTS
ABSORPTION SUMMARY
DATE MARKETING BEGAN
204
COMP. # PROJECT NAME/LOCATION TOTAL UNITS 1 UNITS ABSORBED
163
1,718
321
227
206
85
149
127
236
1 Includes market rate units only.2 Data for the number of units absorbed was unavailable due to omission of property.
PHILADELPHIA STATISTICAL REPORT
DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION104
SPONSORED BY BOZZUTO
TABLE 5.6ABSORPTION SUMMARY
RECENTLY STABILIZED APARTMENT PROJECTSCity of Philadelphia | Third Quarter 2014
1. 600 on Broad 7/11 2/12 13Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
2. The Commonwealth 9/11 4/12 8Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
3. Penn Treaty Village Pennthouses, Ph. 1 11/11 3/13 8Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
4. 229 Arch 2/12 6/13 13Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
5. The Arch 7/12 2/13 14Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
6. 2040 Market Street 8/12 6/13 26Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
7. 320 Walnut 5/13 12/13 11Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
8. The Sansom 4/13 3/14 8Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
Total High-Rise: -- -- 12
65
1 Includes market rate units only.
Source: Delta Associates, 500 Montgomery St., Suite 600, Alexandria, VA 22314. Phone: (703) 836-5700.Last update: 9/2014
963
104
OVERALL MONTHLY LEASE-UP PACE
77
100
126
98
282
111
COMP. # PROJECT NAME/LOCATION TOTAL UNITS 1DATE MARKETING
BEGANDATE
STABILIZED
PHILADELPHIA STATISTICAL REPORT
105DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION
SPONSORED BY BOZZUTO
TABL
E 5.
7RE
NTA
L AP
ARTM
ENT
PRO
JECT
S U
NDE
R CO
NST
RUCT
ION
AN
D/O
R M
ARKE
TIN
GCi
ty of
Phi
ladelp
hia
Third
Qua
rter 2
014
Proj
ect N
ame
Proj
ect T
ype
Loca
tion
Spon
sor(
s)#
of M
kt. R
ate
Uni
ts#
of U
nits
Ab
sorb
ed#
of A
vaila
ble
Uni
tsDa
te P
re-L
sg.
Begi
nsIn
ital O
ccup
. Da
teDa
te C
onst
r. Co
mpl
ete
131
Bre
wer
ytow
nGa
rden
Brew
eryt
own
Wes
trum
Dev
elop
men
t Com
pany
647
578/
2014
11/2
014
2/20
152
The
Gran
ary
High
-Rise
Loga
n Sq
uare
Pear
l Pro
pert
ies
228
214
142Q
201
32Q
201
34Q
201
33
1900
Arc
hHi
gh-R
iseLo
gan
Squa
rePM
C Pr
oper
ty G
roup
248
6618
24/
2014
7/20
1412
/201
44
The
Stat
ion
at M
anay
unk
Gard
en w
/ SP
Man
ayun
kJ.G
. Pet
rucc
i14
930
119
1/20
144/
2013
4Q 2
013
512
13 W
alnu
t Str
eet
High
-Rise
Mar
ket E
ast
The
Gold
enbe
rg G
roup
320
032
01Q
201
61Q
201
66/
2016
611
18-1
128
Ches
tnut
Mid
-Rise
Mar
ket E
ast
Bric
ksto
ne96
096
TBD
TBD
2Q 2
015
7Pe
nn T
reat
y Vi
llage
Pen
ntho
uses
, Ph.
2M
id-R
iseN
orth
ern
Libe
rtie
sCo
re R
ealty
100
010
02Q
201
43Q
201
43Q
201
48
Broa
d St
reet
Arm
ory
Mid
-Rise
Pass
yunk
Squ
are
Mic
hael
Car
osel
la50
050
4Q 2
014
4Q 2
014
4Q 2
014
921
16 C
hest
nut S
tree
tHi
gh-R
iseRi
tten
hous
e Sq
uare
John
Buc
k Co
.32
123
388
2/20
136/
2013
4Q 2
013
10Ic
onHi
gh-R
iseRi
tten
hous
e Sq
uare
Alte
rra
Prop
erty
Gro
up20
613
868
11/2
013
4/20
141Q
201
411
AQ R
itten
hous
eM
id-R
iseRi
tten
hous
e Sq
uare
Aqui
nas R
ealty
Par
tner
s11
00
110
4Q 2
014
4Q 2
014
2015
1215
15 C
hest
nut
High
-Rise
Ritt
enho
use
Squa
reAl
terr
a Pr
oper
ty G
roup
175
017
51Q
201
53Q
201
53Q
201
513
Gold
tex
Build
ing
High
-Rise
Sprin
g Ga
rden
Post
Bro
ther
s Apa
rtm
ents
163
7885
3/20
137/
2013
4Q 2
013
14Hu
b 39
39M
id-R
iseU
nive
rsity
City
JNA
Capi
tal,
Inc.
650
654Q
201
41Q
201
52Q
201
515
3737
Che
stnu
t Apa
rtm
ents
High
-Rise
Uni
vers
ity C
ityRa
dnor
Pro
pert
y Gr
oup
276
027
62/
2015
7/20
1510
/201
516
3601
Mar
ket S
tree
tHi
gh-R
iseU
nive
rsity
City
Sout
hern
Lan
d Co
.36
40
364
2Q 2
015
2Q 2
015
7/20
1517
FMC
Tow
erHi
gh-R
iseU
nive
rsity
City
Bran
dyw
ine
Real
ty T
rust
268
026
8TB
DTB
D2Q
201
618
Sout
hsta
r Lof
tsM
id-R
iseW
ashi
ngto
n Sq
uare
Wes
tDr
anof
f Pro
pert
ies
7963
161Q
201
42Q
201
42Q
201
419
The
Croy
don
Mid
-Rise
Wes
t Phi
lade
lphi
aO
rens
Bro
ther
s Rea
l Est
ate
Inc.
127
6463
3/20
142Q
201
420
14To
tal A
ll U
nit T
ypes
: -
--
3,40
989
32,
516
--
-Po
rtio
n G
arde
ns:
--
-21
337
176
--
-Po
rtio
n M
id-R
ise/
High
-Ris
e:
--
-3,
196
856
2,34
0-
--
Sour
ce: C
ompi
led
by D
elta
Ass
ocia
tes,
500
Mon
tgom
ery
St., S
uite
600
, Ale
xand
ria,
Vir
gini
a 22
314.
Pho
ne (7
03) 8
36-5
700.
Las
t Upd
ate
Sept
embe
r 201
4.
PHILADELPHIA STATISTICAL REPORT
DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION106
SPONSORED BY BOZZUTOTA
BLE
5.8
PLAN
NED
REN
TAL
PRO
JECT
S LI
KELY
TO
DEL
IVER
OVE
R TH
E N
EXT
36 M
ON
THS
Proj
ect N
ame
Proj
ect T
ype
Loca
tion
# of
Mkt
. Rat
e U
nits
Prop
er Z
onin
g?In
itial
Ap
prov
als?
Site
Pla
n Ap
prov
edBl
dg. P
mts
. Is
sued
?Es
t. Co
nstr
. St
art D
ate
116
01 V
ine
Stre
etHi
gh-R
iseCa
llow
hill
271
Yes
Yes
No
No
4Q 2
014
2Ea
ster
n To
wer
High
-Rise
Chin
atow
n11
2Ye
sYe
sN
oN
o4Q
201
43
The
Ridg
e Fl
ats
Mid
-Rise
East
Fal
ls14
6Ye
sYe
sN
oN
o4Q
201
44
One
Riv
ersid
eHi
gh-R
iseFi
tler S
quar
e12
0Ye
sN
oN
oN
o1Q
201
55
1919
Mar
ket S
tree
tHi
gh-R
iseLo
gan
Squa
re27
8Ye
sYe
sYe
sN
o4Q
201
46
Hano
ver N
orth
Bro
adHi
gh-R
iseLo
gan
Squa
re33
9Ye
sYe
sYe
sN
o1/
2015
7Av
enue
of t
he A
rts
High
-Rise
Mar
ket E
ast
217
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
10/2
014
8O
ne W
ater
Str
eet
High
-Rise
Old
City
300
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
4Q 2
014
9Th
e Da
lian
on F
airm
ount
High
-Rise
Rodi
n Sq
uare
293
Yes
No
No
No
4Q 2
014
10Ea
st M
arke
t - P
hase
IHi
gh-R
iseW
ashi
ngto
n Sq
uare
Wes
t32
2Ye
sYe
sN
oN
o4Q
201
4To
tal A
ll U
nit T
ypes
: -
-2,
398
--
--
-Po
rtio
n Ga
rden
s:
--
0-
--
--
Port
ion
Mid
-Ris
e/Hi
gh-R
ise:
-
-2,
398
--
--
-
Not
e: O
ur b
est j
udgm
ent a
s to
proj
ects
like
ly to
del
iver
thei
r fir
st u
nits
in th
e ne
xt 3
6 m
onth
s with
out r
egar
d to
the
prob
abili
ty o
f mat
eria
lizat
ion.
Se
e Ta
ble
A fo
r mat
eria
lizat
ion
fact
or. I
f we
have
miss
ed y
our p
roje
ct, p
leas
e le
t us k
now
.N
ote:
Nam
es o
f spo
nsor
s are
no
long
er a
vaila
ble
to su
bscr
iber
s, un
less
you
pro
vide
dat
a fo
r thi
s tab
le. I
f you
pro
vide
dat
a fo
r thi
s tab
le a
nd w
ish to
kno
w se
lect
sp
onso
rs' n
ames
, e-m
ail y
our r
eque
st to
Rac
helle
.Sar
mie
nto@
Delta
Asso
ciat
es.co
m.
Sour
ce: C
ompi
led
by D
elta
Ass
ocia
tes,
500
Mon
tgom
ery
St., S
uite
600
, Ale
xand
ria,
Vir
gini
a 22
314.
Pho
ne (7
03) 8
36-5
700.
Las
t Upd
ate
Sept
embe
r 201
4.
City
of P
hilad
elphi
a Th
ird Q
uarte
r 201
4
PHILADELPHIA STATISTICAL REPORT
107DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION
SPONSORED BY BOZZUTO
TABL
E 5.
9SU
MM
ARY
OF
LON
GER
-TER
M P
LAN
NED
/RU
MO
RED
REN
TAL
APAR
TMEN
T PR
OJE
CTS
Proj
ect N
ame
Proj
ect T
ype
Loca
tion
# of
Mkt
Rat
e U
nits
Prop
er
Zoni
ng?
Initi
al
Appr
oval
s?Si
te P
lan
Appr
oved
Bldg
Pm
ts
Issu
ed?
Est.
Cons
tr.
Star
t Dat
e1
Mus
eum
Tow
ers I
IHi
gh-R
iseCa
llow
hill
270
NA
NA
NA
NA
N/A
2M
arke
tpla
ce D
esig
n Ce
nter
High
-Rise
Cent
er C
ity30
0N
oN
oN
oN
oN
/A3
1421
Eas
t Col
umbi
a Av
enue
Mid
-Rise
Fish
tow
n54
No
No
No
No
N/A
423
rd &
Che
rry
High
-Rise
Loga
n Sq
uare
200
No
No
No
No
N/A
5Ed
gew
ater
- Ph
. II
High
-Rise
Loga
n Sq
uare
240
NA
NA
NA
NA
N/A
621
00 H
amilt
onHi
gh-R
iseLo
gan
Squa
re25
0N
oN
oN
oN
oN
/A7
Pinc
us B
ro. M
axw
ell B
uild
ing
Mid
-Rise
Old
City
70N
oN
oN
oN
oN
/A8
205
Race
Str
eet
High
-Rise
Old
City
128
No
No
No
No
N/A
9Re
naiss
ance
Pla
zaHi
gh-R
iseO
ld C
ity1,
350
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
N/A
10Pi
ers 3
4-35
Sou
thHi
gh-R
iseSo
ciet
y Hi
ll20
9N
oN
oN
oN
oN
/A11
SoKo
Lof
tsM
id-R
iseSo
uth
Kens
ingt
on32
0Ye
sYe
sYe
sYe
sN
/A12
Libe
rty
Squa
reM
id-R
iseSo
uth
Kens
ingt
on19
1N
oN
oN
oN
oN
/A13
Tow
er P
lace
- Ph
. II
High
-Rise
Sprin
g Ga
rden
150
NA
NA
NA
NA
N/A
1442
24 B
altim
ore
Aven
ueM
id-R
iseW
est P
hila
delp
hia
132
No
No
No
No
N/A
15W
est P
hila
delp
hia
High
Sch
ool
Gard
en w
/ SP
Wes
t Phi
lade
lphi
a30
0N
oN
oN
oN
oN
/ATo
tal A
ll U
nit T
ypes
--
4,16
4Po
rtio
n Ga
rden
s:
--
300
--
--
-Po
rtio
n M
id-R
ise/
High
-Ris
e:
--
3,86
4-
--
--
Not
e: N
ames
of s
pons
ors a
re n
o lo
nger
ava
ilabl
e to
subs
crib
ers u
nles
s the
y pr
ovid
e da
ta fo
r thi
s tab
le. I
f you
pro
vide
dat
a fo
r thi
s tab
le a
nd w
ish to
kno
w se
lect
sp
onso
rs' n
ames
, e-m
ail y
our r
eque
st to
Rac
helle
.Sar
mie
nto@
Delta
Asso
ciat
es.co
m.
Sour
ce: C
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PHILADELPHIA STATISTICAL REPORT
DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION108
SPONSORED BY BOZZUTO
Total Per UnitCLASS A LOW-RISE APARTMENTS
1. Comparable #1 4/13 216 1991 $29,300,000 $135,648Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
2. Comparable #2 12/13 139 1999 $22,770,000 $163,813Lafayette Hill, Pennsylvania
Total/Average: -- 355 -- $52,070,000 $146,676
CLASS A MID-RISE/HIGH-RISE1. Comparable #1 5/13 128 2007 $28,500,000 $222,656
Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
2. Comparable #2 10/13 227 2013 $120,000,000 $528,634Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
Total/Average: -- 355 -- $148,500,000 $418,310
Note: Delta Associates no longer provides the name of each project listed above except to appraisal clients of the firm and those who provide this type of transaction data to Delta. If you wish a list of project names and you qualify to receivesame, email your request to: [email protected]: Compiled by Delta Associates, 500 Montgomery St., Suite 600, Alexandria, Virginia 22314.Phone: (703) 836-5700. Last update: 9/2014.
TABLE 5.10SUMMARY OF CLASS A LOW-RISE AND HIGH-RISE APARTMENT BUILDING SALES
Philadelphia Metropolitan Area2013
Project Name/Location Date of Sale # of Units Year BuiltSale Price
PHILADELPHIA STATISTICAL REPORT
109DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION
SPONSORED BY BOZZUTO
Total Per UnitCLASS A LOW-RISE APARTMENTSNo published information available to date
CLASS A MID-RISE/HIGH-RISEComparable #1 1/14 40 2009 $12,000,000 $300,000Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
Total/Average: -- 40 -- $12,000,000 $300,000
Note: Delta Associates no longer provides the name of each project listed above except to appraisal clients of the firm and those who provide this type of transaction data to Delta. If you wish a list of project names and you qualify to receivesame, email your request to: [email protected]: Compiled by Delta Associates, 500 Montgomery St., Suite 600, Alexandria, Virginia 22314.Phone: (703) 836-570. Last update: 9/2014.
TABLE 5.11SUMMARY OF CLASS A LOW-RISE AND HIGH-RISE APARTMENT BUILDING SALES
Philadelphia Metropolitan Area2014 Through August
Project Name/Location Date of Sale # of Units Year BuiltSale Price
PHILADELPHIA STATISTICAL REPORT
6EXPLANATION OF
GEOGRAPHIC COVERAGE
AND METHODOLOGY
DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION 113
MARKET AREA COVERAGE
Delta Associates currently surveys Class A garden and high-rise
apartment units in 49. submarkets in the Mid Atlantic Region .
The maps on the following pages depict the geographic areas
covered in this report .
Delta Associates collects data on a majority of the Class A
product in each covered submarket . A total of approximately
300 properties are surveyed by Delta Associates at the close
of each quarter – accounting for approximately 106,000 units .
This is believed to be approximately 8.5% of the estimated
125,000 Class A units existing in the Washington region as of
this publication date .
PRODUCT DEFINITION
“Class A” product is defined by Delta Associates generally
as built in 19.9.1 or later and offering a separate clubhouse,
decorated model units, two bedroom/two bath units, and a
large community amenity package most often including a
fitness center and swimming pool . The tenant pays gas and/
or electric in addition to telephone and cable television . The
projects are typically 200+ units except in submarkets where
quality product is scarce .
INTRODUCTION OF NEW, ACTIVELY MARKETING UNITS
New communities are added to submarket surveys as soon as
they begin pre-leasing units . The overall current asking and
effective rents and rents per square foot of gross leasable area
include these new communities . However, in comparing current
quarter rents to previous year rents, these new communities
are excluded until they have been marketing for one full year .
This is done so as to dilute the impact on rent rate increases
often associated with newly introduced product .
FACE RENT
Face rent is the asking rent for each unit, excluding any
concessions or rent specials given . Delta Associates quotes
the weighted average asking base rent for each sub-market
– the asking rent for a first floor unit without any premiums
for fireplaces, views, etc .
EFFECTIVE RENT
Effective rent deducts from face rent any concessions or
rent specials for any unit type offered at a surveyed project .
Typically, concessions are used selectively to lease weaker
floor plans or surplus units .
STABILIZED VACANCY
“Stabilized Vacancy” as used herein is the rate of “available
units” in stabilized properties . Once a property achieves
9.5% occupancy, it is considered “stabilized” and says in our
pool of stabilized properties even if it falls below 9.5% at a
subsequent reporting date .
We obtain information on “available units” when conducting
our surveys . Obtaining the information this way may produce
several important differences from “vacancy” as reported in
financial statements . Simply stated the difference can be
characterized as:
• Delta’s: Available units to lease
• Financial statement: Economic vacancy
“Available units” is understated compared to “economically
vacant” by our exclusion of units occupied by dead-beat
tenants and units not available for lease, such as employee
units and model apartments . Our occupancy rate is
overstated compared to financial reporting by our exclusion
of economically vacant, on-notice units for which a lease to
METHODOLOGY
AND GLOSSARY
DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION114
SPONSORED BY BOZZUTO
occupy in the future has been signed . As compared to the
“vacancy rate” as used in financial reports, we estimate
that the former reduces our “available units” (vacancy rate)
estimate by about 100 to 150 basis-points and the latter
another 150 to 200 basis-points .
OVERALL VACANCY
“Overall vacancy” is defined to include all physically vacant,
unrented units in all projects surveyed, including those in
actively marketing communities . Therefore, the overall
vacancy figures include new, unrented units still in initial
lease-up .
PLANNING PIPELINE
The planning pipeline includes projects in the advanced
planning stages . This pipeline, as defined here, does not
include all projects being planned . To be included on this list,
a planned community typically would have financing and
approvals in place . Some communities are included if Delta
Associates feels that financing and/or site plan approval are
imminent, but are so note .
EXPLANATION OF GEOGRAPHIC COVERAGE AND METHODOLOGY
115DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION
SPONSORED BY BOZZUTONORTHERN VIRGINIA LOW-RISE APARTMENT SUBMARKETS
7
56
1
2
3
4
8
9
10
11
SUBMARKETS1 . South and East Fairfax
2 . Arlington/Alexandria
3 . Tysons Corner
4 . Vienna/Merrifield
5 . Fair Oaks
6 . Centreville
7 . Reston/Herndon
8. . East Loudoun County
9. . West Prince William County
10 . East Prince William County
11 . Fredericksburg
Source: ESRI, Delorme, Delta Associates; September 2014
NORTHERN VIRGINIA LOW-RISE APARTMENT SUBMARKETS
DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION116
SPONSORED BY BOZZUTOSUBURBAN MARYLAND LOW-RISE APARTMENT SUBMARKETS
SUBURBAN MARYLAND LOW-RISE APARTMENT SUBMARKETS
7
5
6
1
2
3
4
8
9
10
11
12
Source: ESRI, Delorme, Delta Associates; September 2014
SUBMARKETS1 . Rockville/North Bethesda2 . Gaithersburg3 . Germantown4 . Frederick County5 . Columbia/Howard County6 . North Anne Arundel7 . Annapolis8. . Burtonsville9. . North Prince George’s10 . South Prince George’s11 . Charles County12 . St . Mary’s County
117DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION
SPONSORED BY BOZZUTOVIRGINIA AND MARYLAND HIGH-RISE APARTMENT SUBMARKETS
7
5
6
1
23
4
8
Source: ESRI, Delorme, Delta Associates; September 2014
VIRGINIA AND MARYLAND HIGH-RISE APARTMENT SUBMARKETS
SUBMARKETS1 . Alexandria
2 . Crystal City/Pentagon City
3 . South Arlington
4 . Rosslyn/Ballston Corridor
5 . North and West Fairfax
6 . Bethesda
7 . North Bethesda/Rockville
8. . Silver Spring/Wheaton
DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION118
SPONSORED BY BOZZUTOWASHINGTON, DC HIGH-RISE APARTMENT SUBMARKETS
7
5
6
1
2
3
4
8
Source: ESRI, Delorme, Delta Associates; September 2014
WASHINGTON, DCHIGH-RISE APARTMENT SUBMARKETS
SUBMARKETS1 . Upper Northwest
2 . Upper Georgia Avenue
3 . Columbia Heights/Shaw
4 . Central
5 . Capitol Hill/Riverfront
6 . NoMa/H Street
7 . Northeast
8. . River East
119DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION
SPONSORED BY BOZZUTOSUBRUBAN BALTIMORE APARTMENT SUBMARKETS
5
3
4
1
2
6
Source: ESRI, Delorme, Delta Associates; September 2014
SUBURBAN BALTIMORE APARTMENT SUBMARKETS
SUBMARKETS1 . Annapolis
2 . North Anne Arundel
3 . Columbia/Howard County
4 . W & NW Baltimore County
5 . E & NE Baltimore County
6 . Harford County
DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION120
SPONSORED BY BOZZUTOBALTIMORE CITY APARTMENT SUBMARKETS
1
2
Source: ESRI, Delorme, Delta Associates; September 2014
BALTIMORE CITYAPARTMENT SUBMARKETS
SUBMARKETS1 . Downtown
2 . Fells Point / Inner Harbor
121DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION
SPONSORED BY BOZZUTOPHILADELPHIA AREA APARTMENT SUBMARKETS
7
5
6
1
2
3
4
Source: ESRI, Delorme, Delta Associates; September 2014
PHILADELPHIA AREAAPARTMENT SUBMARKETS
SUBMARKETS1 . Chester Co ./Delaware Co .
2 . Montgomery County
3 . Bucks County
4 . City of Philadelphia
5 . Camden County
6 . Burlington County
7 . Mercer County
DELTA ASSOCIATES | MID-ATLANTIC CLASS A APARTMENT MARKET REPORT | THIRD QUARTER 2014 | NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION122
SPONSORED BY BOZZUTOPHOTOGRAPHY CREDITS
We would like to thank the following sources for the photography used in this report .
Cover: DSF Group
Halstead Square – The Rockwell, Vienna, VA
Delta Associates’ 2012 Winner of Best Northern Virginia Apartment Community
Page 27: Bozzuto
Crosswinds Annapolis Towne Centre, Annapolis, MD
Page 28: Bozzuto & Abdo Development LLC
Monroe Street Market, Washington, DC
Delta Associates’ 2014 Winner of Best Washington Mid-Rise Apartment Community
Page 29: Bozzuto
Union Wharf, Baltimore, MD
Page 31: Equity Residential
1111 Belle Pre, Alexandria, VA
Page 32: Urban Atlantic LLC & The JBG Companies
Sky House East, Washington, DC
Delta Associates’ 2014 Winner of Best Washington/Baltimore Adaptive Reuse Apartment Community
Page 36: The Donohoe Companies
Gallery Bethesda, Bethesda, MD
Delta Associates’ 2014 Winner of Best Washington/Baltimore Green Apartment Community
Page 37: Obrecht Commercial Real Estate
The Gunther Apartments, Baltimore, MD
Delta Associates’ 2014 Winner of Best Baltimore Mid-Rise Apartment Community
Page 38 (top): Bozzuto
Arbors at Baltimore Crossroads, Baltimore, MD
Delta Associates’ 2012 Winner of Best Baltimore Apartment Community
Page 38 (bottom): Jefferson Apartment Group
Jefferson Pointe at West Chester, West Chester, PA
Delta Associates’ 2012 Winner of Best Philadelphia Apartment Community
Page 39: Greystar
The Granary, Philadelphia, PA
PHOTOGRAPHY CREDITS
www.DeltaAssociates.com