bw2 conducting procuremnet and markets-2
TRANSCRIPT
Bill Wright - Lecture 2
1
BPMA706 Project Finance and Procurement
Conducting the Procurement Process
© Bill Wright 2013. All Rights Reserved. 2
Workshop Objectives
The objective of this workshop is to be able to evaluate different Market and supply options as part of the project procurement strategy
Content: Identifying the supply market Gathering market intelligence Analysing the commercial environment (Five Forces
model) Extent of competition & ability to leverage on price Sourcing options
© Bill Wright 2013. All Rights Reserved. 3
Why ‘Market Intelligence’?
Market analysis is the precursor to procurement strategy development
Must be used to create added value and innovative solutions
An essential part of being ‘proactive’
Commercial Market Analysis
OUTPUTS:Business &Customer solutionsAdded-valueinnovationOptions & Strategies
INPUTS:Market dataBusiness driversCustomer needsLegislative &Regulatory pressures
© Bill Wright 2013. All Rights Reserved. 4
Reasons for a ‘wide’ search
More suppliers = greater competition and more choice
Competition drives efficiency and innovation Eliminates complacency Opportunity to find alternative products /
solutions Opportunity to benchmark existing supply options Building win-win relationships with the best
suppliers
You don’t know what you don’t know…!
© Bill Wright 2013. All Rights Reserved. 5
Gathering Market Intelligence
Annual report2007
Annual reports
Market Experience
Market Research
Press search
Market Profile
020406080
100
Supplier Quotes
Phone interviews
- Logistics (DHL, ..)- Supplier stores- ...
Open sources
“Looking at
Europe, the..”
“The current trends are..”
“We believe the market
will..”
© Bill Wright 2013. All Rights Reserved. 6
Strategic Analysis
Procurement requires planning Market dynamics will impact the success of your
outcomes Environmental analysis:
External influences Key product/market information Key supplier information Power / dependency
Best practice requires us to use this information effectively to our advantage
© Bill Wright 2013. All Rights Reserved. 7
Competitive Analysis of Markets (Porter’s 5 Forces)
7
THREAT OFNEW ENTRANTS
THREAT OFSUBSTITUTES
BARGAININGPOWER
OF BUYERS
RIVALRY IN MARKET
BARGAININGPOWER
OF SUPPLIERS
Simple formula:
More competition = Less potential profit in the market= Lower prices
© Bill Wright 2013. All Rights Reserved. 8
Defining the Market
Role of the specification: Documents our requirements Determines what the supplier will provide and which
suppliers can supply …defines the market
Watch out for: Over-specifying the requirements Limiting the market size and number of suppliers who
can compete for your business Geographic limitations within each market.
o We will cover this further in module CM8: ‘Writing a Specification’
© Bill Wright 2013. All Rights Reserved. 9
Market Rivalry
Relates to the level of competitive rivalry within the market (i.e. between market players). Rivalry is intense when:
Numerous market players, few dominant
Industry growth is slow
Exit barriers are high
Little differentiation other than price
Rivalry extends beyond normal bounds of business.
Price competition occurs when:
Broadly similar products and low switching costs for buyers
Price is sensitive to volume [elasticity]
Low marginal costs
Short product life / perishability.
Adapted from: Porter (1980)
© Bill Wright 2013. All Rights Reserved. 10
MARKET RIVALRYKey Questions
1. Is there evidence of competition or collaboration within the market? (e.g. ready-mix concrete)
2. How similar or differentiated are market products?
3. Can the market easily find other buyers? What level of sales & marketing activity is there?
4. Is there an excess or shortage of market capacity?
5. What are typical profit and liquidity levels within the market?
6. To what extent does the market compete on price?
© Bill Wright 2013. All Rights Reserved. 11
Threat of New Entrants
Relates to the likelihood of new players setting up in the market as competitors to the existing market players. The threat of new entrants to the market is lower when:
Products in the market enjoy scale economies
Demand benefits from scale in the market
Customers would incur switching costs
High capital investment is required to set up
Incumbent in the market have advantages
The market depends on defined channels of distribution
Operation in the market has specific regulatory requirements
Adapted from: Porter (1980)
© Bill Wright 2013. All Rights Reserved. 12
Possible Substitutes
Relates to the likelihood of alternative products and services fulfilling the same function as those within the market.
The threat of substitutes is high if:
The alternatives offer an attractive trade-off in terms of price vs.
performance
Customers have relatively low switching costs
Customers are price-sensitive
Customers are open to new ideas or ways of working.
Adapted from: Porter (1980)
© Bill Wright 2013. All Rights Reserved. 13
Bargaining Power of Buyers
Relates to the relative bargaining power of all buyers to the market in question (i.e. not just us as a buyer, but others too).
Buyers have leverage when:
Fewer buyers [concentrated]
Market’s products are undifferentiated
Low switching costs
Threats of backward integration to the supply market.
Buyers are price sensitive when:
Margins are tight
Large cost item
Direct impact on buyer’s products
Market products are believed to be non-critical.
Adapted from: Porter (1980)
© Bill Wright 2013. All Rights Reserved. 14
Bargaining Power of Suppliers
Relates to the relative bargaining power of the suppliers to the market in question.
Suppliers are powerful when:
Fewer suppliers competing with one another
Low dependency on revenue from your market
High switching costs between suppliers
Suppliers’ products are differentiated
No credible substitutes
Adapted from: Porter (1980)
© Bill Wright 2013. All Rights Reserved. 15
How do we use the analysis ?
Remember: The purpose of analysis is to identify future opportunities for enhancing value
…this is part of your procurement strategy.
Possible outputs of competitive analysis include: An overall assessment of the structures of power within the
market An assessment of your potential leverage on the market (as-is) Identification of ‘levers of power’ within the supply market An assessment of the switching costs associated with
changing supply An understanding of how the market dynamics could be
changed with alternative sourcing opportunities.
© Bill Wright 2013. All Rights Reserved. 16
Key things suppliers want …
Mutual respecto Focus on what the supplier is delivering, not how they do it
Client commitmentso Clients need to deliver their side of the bargain, and commit
resource needed Client Management
o Need a professional relationship Communication
o Share the vision, let the supplier know what is happening, so they can react to change
Plus being paid on time!!
Source: CIPS – Chartered Institute of Purchasing & Supply
© Bill Wright 2013. All Rights Reserved. 17
Portfolio Analysis (the Kraljic matrix)
Bottleneck Strategic
LeverageAcquisition
High Value
Low Value
Low Market
Difficulty
High Market
Difficulty
Adapted from: Kraljic (1983)
© Bill Wright 2013. All Rights Reserved. 18
Portfolio analysis - tactics
LeverageDrive Profit
Short/medium term relationshipsStandardise inputs/switch suppliers
Use purchasing leverageMarket/price intelligenceMinimise switching costs
Consortia buy
StrategicCompetitive Advantage
Long term relationshipShare risks and benefits
Cost transparencyTotal cost of ownership focus
Cross functional teamsPlan for the worst!
Non-criticalMinimise Effort
Reduce processing costAutomate process
Purchasing cards, e-procureCall-off contracts
End user make purchaseOne stop shopping
BottleneckReduce Risk
Medium/long term relationshipsKnow supplier’s business
Seek alternativesContingency plans
Encourage new suppliersHold stock