bv/s $ 0.18 debt (m) equity (m) november 20, 2014 $ 29.5
TRANSCRIPT
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N O V E M B E R 2 0 , 2 0 1 4
I N D U S T R Y :
O I L & G A S
See Important Disclosures and Disclaimer on Page 12
PEDEVCO Corp.
(NYSE:PED)
Research Update: PED: Company continues to
develop Niobrara and resolves salt water disposal
The Company continues to develop its Niobrara asset with three wells expected to
produce in December. In addition, it has solved the issue of salt water disposal
that posed a hindrance to the Company’s production in the last two quarters.
Q3FY14 Results reported
The Company reported topline of $1.1M vs our estimates of $2.2M as a result of
salt water disposal causing the wells to slow production. Cost of revenue was
$0.5M vs $2.4M and SG&A was in line with projections at $2.2M. Lower than
expected topline led to a net loss of $4.5M vs net loss of $3.0M and reported EPS
of $(0.16) vs $(0.10).
Continues to develop Niobrara Play The Company continues to develop its play in the Niobrara region in Colorado. It
acquired another 850 plus net acres in an area that the Company believes is the
most prolific region in the Niobrara. The current acreage position has the
opportunity to drill over 1,000 gross wells, and the Company believes that it will
exit FY14 producing over 500boepd. We believe if the Company can further
develop and drill more wells in the Niobrara in a cost effective and quick manner,
it can continue its strategy of becoming a dominant energy company in the
Niobrara.
While solving issue of salt water disposal The Company ran into the issue of salt water disposal resulting in the shut in at the
time of discovery. It is worth nothing that PEDEVCO was not the only operator
who encountered this problem. The Company sought preferred access to salt water
disposal and on November 3rd
, it reached an agreement. The agreement allows the
company to go forward at its current capacity without any interruption. We believe
uninterrupted production is imperative for the Company to be able to make
deliverables in a timely fashion.
Changes to Model
We have adjusted our model to take into account the latest activity of the Company
and its results. For FY14 we have adjusted our topline to $5.6M to reflect the
Company latest results and lower oil prices. In addition, we project operating
expenses to be $7.5M (not including the loss from investments) resulting in a net
loss for FY14 of $13.8M and an EPS loss of $(0.48). For FY15, we expect
production to increase as the Company has established itself in the Niobrara. This
leads to our estimated top line of $12.1M with operating expenses increasing y-o-y
to $5.5M. As a result we project a net loss of $7.8M and an EPS loss of $(0.22) for
FY15.
Valuation We have used an EV per barrel (EV/barrel) methodology to arrive at the Company’s valuation. We are applying EV/Barrel of 13.0x on its core assets
resulting in a valuation range of $3.24 to $5.67 with the mid-point of the range at
$4.39. It is worth noting that PEDEVCO’s 5% interest in Caspian Energy has
significant upside if Caspian proves to be successful in Kazakhstan.
MARKET STATISTICS
Price $0.63
52-Week Range $0.62 - $3.31
Daily Vol. (3 Month Avg.) 68,954
Market Cap ($M) $19.5
Enterprise Value ($M) $40.2
Shares Outstanding (M) 31.0
Float (M) 21.0
Insider Ownership 17.0%
Institutional Ownership 8.4%
FINANCIAL SUMMARY
Equity (M) 5.5$
BV/S 0.18$
Cash (M) 8.9$
Debt (M) 29.5$
Debt/Cap 84%
FYE: Dec 2013 2014E 2015E
(in $000)
Rev 744$ 5,665$ 12,050$
Chng% 48% 662% 113%
EBITDA (10,088)$ (4,418)$ (4,119)$
EPS (0.86)$ (0.79)$ (0.22)$
EV/R 54.0x 7.1x 3.3x
EV/EBITDA nm nm nm
P/E nm nm nm
Dan D. Trang [email protected]
214-987-4121
COMPANY DESCRIPTION
PEDEVCO is an energy company engaged in the acquisition and development of high-value energy projects. The Company plans to focus initially on developing its shale oil and gas assets held in the US and then intends to seek conventional oil and gas asset acquisition opportunities in the US and Asia. PEDEVCO’s current operations are located primarily in the Niobrara Shale play in the DJ Basin in Colorado, and the Mississippian Lime play in Kansas. In September 2013, the Company announced an agreement to acquire a producing asset located in the pre-Caspian basin, Kazakhstan.
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PEDEVCO Corp. | November 20, 2014
INVESTMENT FACTORS
PEDEVCO is involved in the evaluation, acquisition, and development of oil and gas exploration
projects; and is focused on its shale assets in the US. Also, the Company is vigilant about
conventional oil and gas asset acquisition opportunities in the US and Asia. A successful
exploration and production operation underscores the potential of PEDEVCO’s US shale assets, and
there is potential upside for the Company’s through its Kazakhstan assets that could open up new
international opportunities.
Investment Positives
An experienced management team of experts PEDEVCO has an experienced management team with a proven track record of delivering in the
international oil and gas industry. The Company’s president and CEO, Frank C Ingreselli is an
international oil and gas industry veteran with more than 33 years of industry experience, including
as the president of Texaco International Operations Inc. whose parent company is Chevron
(NYSE:CVX). The Company’s Chief Technology Advisor and Director of Exploration, Dr. Y. M.
Shum is an industry veteran with more than 40 years of experience in the international petroleum
industry. The Company’s management team has developed and commercialized some of the
industry's most profitable and successful energy ventures through its unique business insights and
technical knowledge. We believe expert management, with experience in the fields of international
business development, petroleum engineering, geology, petroleum field development as well as
petroleum operations and finance, will continue to provide significant advantage to the Company.
Assets in US located in the Wattenberg, Niobrara and Mississippian shale formations PEDEVCO’s existing core operating areas span across 40,987 gross (19,784 net) acres totally,
representing a significant unconventional resource play The majority of the Company’s interests are
near areas of considerable E&P activity by major oil and gas entities. PEDEVCO has about 2,542
potential gross drilling locations on its acreage, indicating substantial drilling inventory for the
coming years (after the acquisition from Continental). The Company has planned drilling about 10
wells on its shale acreage through the end of 2014. With two successful test announcements in
September 2013, PEDEVCO now has 45 (40 from recent acquisition from Continental) producing
wells on its gross acres Niobrara asset. The developments highlight the management’s experience
and insight in selecting rich sites and the potential of the Company’s existing assets. The fourth
original horizontal well on the Niobrara asset has tested a peak oil production rate of 972 barrel oil
per day (bopd) and peak natural gas production rate of 800 million cubic feet gas per day (mcfgd)
(or combined 1,105 barrel oil equivalent per day - boepd) whereas the fifth original well has tested
at an initial production rate of 414 bopd and 408 mcfgd (482 boepd). We believe the core operating
areas represent significant upside for the Company as it begins its drilling operations.
Strategic partnership with MIE Holdings and STXRA PEDEVCO is supported by robust strategic alliances and investors that bring deep experience and
expertise. The Company has a strategic relationship with MIE Holding, one of the largest
independent oil & gas companies in China, which offers technical as well as financial support. MIE
Holdings has drilled and is currently operating more than 2,000 oil wells in China. South Texas
Reservoir Alliance, LLC (STXRA) is one of the key advisors to the Company. STXRA brings with
itself proven expertise in drilling and completing horizontal wells, including experience in hydraulic
fracturing technologies and in the operation of shale wells and fields. In October 2012, PEDEVCO
entered into a 70/30 joint venture with STXRA and formed a technical services subsidiary, Pacific
Energy Technology Services. The joint venture is expected to provide technological services to
third parties. We believe, PEDEVCO would continue to obtain technical and financial assistance
from its partners in evaluating, acquiring, and developing petroleum resources.
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PEDEVCO Corp. | November 20, 2014
Investment Challenges / Risks
Vulnerable to commodity prices
As an upstream oil and gas company, PEDEVCO’s revenue generation is directly linked with the
prices it is able to realize on its hydrocarbon sales. The Company’s realized oil prices depend upon
international crude oil prices. In a recessionary phase such as 2008-09, international oil prices could
be affected by a significant reduction in oil demand. Lower-than-expected international crude oil
and gas prices could damage the Company’s top-line growth.
Company has incurred substantial losses Over the last five years, the Company’s operations have not been profitable, with an accumulated
deficit of $53.1M as of September 2014. We expect the Company to continue to incur substantial
net losses in the coming quarters, considering its ongoing drilling program. In order to fund its
future business operations, the Company’s management heavily depends upon the expected cash
flows from its existing oil and gas assets and from those that it may acquire. Any delays or failure in
generating enough cash flow from business operations or obtaining external funds, under such
circumstances, could pose a serious threat to the Company’s existence.
Stringent regulatory environment
Oil and natural gas exploration, development, production, and related operations in the US are
subject to extensive federal, state and local laws, rules, and regulations. Failure to comply with these
regulations can result in substantial penalties and halting of exploration and production activities.
Noncompliance with environmental regulation such as related to disposal of wastes and radioactive
materials from E&P activities could also lead to civil and criminal penalties imposed on the
Company, impacting its future financial performance. While PEDEVCO’s current exploration and
production operations are within the US, any future E&P operations outside the US will be subject
to various types of regulations imposed by different governments. In addition, there are risks that
entail hydraulic fracturing. Failure to comply with these regulations could adversely affect the
company.
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PEDEVCO Corp. | November 20, 2014
VALUATION SUMMARY
PEDEVCO plans to focus primarily on developing its shale oil and gas assets in the US in the
Niobrara, and Mississippian shale formations. In addition, the Company has an interest in
Kazahkstan. In addition, the Company seeks conventional oil and gas asset acquisition opportunities
in the US and Asia. As the Company is in early stage of oil and gas exploration and development
activities, we have used EV per barrel (EV/barrel) methodology to arrive at the Company’s
valuation. We have considered only the core assets to value the Company. It is worth noting that in
our previous valuation from our initiation report, there was an error regarding the gross unproven
reserves (mboe), and we mistakenly put the net acreage inside our calculation instead.
EV/barrel Analysis
The Company’s core assets
include oil and gas acreage in the
Wattenberg, the Niobrara and the
Mississippian Lime play.
According to our estimates, these
prospects hold unproven reserves
of approximately 21.0B barrels.
Applying risk to reserve of 50%,
we value the Company’s total
unproven reserve estimate of
10.5B barrels.
We apply an EV/barrel of 13.0x
to risk adjusted reserves to value
the Company. Our target
EV/barrel multiple for
PEDEVCO is in line with an
industry median of 13.0x.
Following is the scenario analysis
based on our assumptions, which
result in a valuation range of
$3.24 to $5.67 with the mid-point
of the range at $4.39.
Exhibit 2: Sensitivity Analysis
Source: Company Reports, Stonegate Securities
The 5% interest in Caspian Energy deal could enhance value: We have not factored in the
additional revenues generated and the value created from PED’s interest in Caspian Energy. In
August 2014, the Company agreed to exchange its interest in Kazakhstan for 5% equity in Caspian
Energy(TO:CKZ.H). Caspian Energy is purely dedicated to oil and gas exploration and
development in Kazakhstan. The Company’s current marketcap is $6.6M, and as a result
PEDEVCO’s interest is minimal. If Caspian shows positive results, however, there could be
significant upside for PEDEVCO.
4.39 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
11 $5.20 $4.46 $3.71 $2.97 $2.23
12 $5.67 $4.86 $4.05 $3.24 $2.43
13 $6.14 $5.27 $4.39 $3.51 $2.63
14 $6.62 $5.67 $4.73 $3.78 $2.84
15 $7.09 $6.08 $5.06 $4.05 $3.04
Risk to reserves
EV
/Ba
rrel
Exhibit 1: Valuation – Core Assets
Source: Company Reports, Stonegate Securities
Wattenberg Niobrara Mississippian
Gross unproven
reserves (mboe)33,673 3,395 6,560
Working Interest 50.00% 26.30% 49.10%
Net unproven
reserve16,837 893 3,221
Total net unproven reserve - mboe 20,950
Unproven Reserve (Net in mmboe) 21.0
Risk to Reserve 50%
Unproven Reserves (Net in mmboe) 10.5
EV/BOE 13.0x
Net Asset Value ($M) 136
Shares Outstanding (M) 31.0
Value per share ($) 4.39
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PEDEVCO Corp. | November 20, 2014
We see the following important catalysts for the stock in FY14 and beyond:
More drilling and development in Niobrara/Wattenberg region …...……….…………FY14 & FY15
Potential joint ventures in various plays……………………………………...…….…..FY14 & FY15
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PEDEVCO Corp. | November 20, 2014
BALANCE SHEETS
PEDEVCO Corp. (NYSE: PED)
Consolidated Balance Sheets (in thousands $)
Fiscal Year: December
FY 2012 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 FY 2013 Q1 Q2 Q3
ASSETS Mar-13 Jun-13 Sep-13 Dec-13 Mar-14 Jun-14 Sep-14
Current Assets
Cash & cash equivalents 2,478 3,982 1,773 2,264 6,613 6,613 8,483 5,015 8,891
Accounts receivables, net 212 307 373 310 236 236 1,908 2,570 1,872
Deferred financing costs - - 47 23 50 50 397 1,945 2,161
Prepaid expenses and other current assets 134 140 24 53 74 74 72 57 159
Total Current Assets 2,824 4,428 2,216 4,650 6,974 6,974 10,860 9,587 13,084
Oil and gas properties, net 3,346 9,007 9,120 8,939 8,803 8,803 20,408 21,661 23,159
Notes receivable - related party 2,786 3,689 4,298 5,025 - - 1,617 1,446 6,371
Acquired intangibles, net - - - - - - 4,094
Other assets - 100 2 42 - - 85 85 85
Investments 2,102 2,017 1,938 2,084 4 4 4 4 4
Deposite for business acquisition - - - 8,000 10,020 10,020 5,000 5,000 -
Other noncurrent assets - - - - - 6,396 4,486 -
Total Assets 11,147 19,325 17,636 28,769 25,801 25,801 44,370 42,269 46,796
LIABILITIES AND STOCKHOLDERS' EQUITY
Current Liabilities
Notes payable, net of discount 2,170 9,584 9,745 9,957 9,760 9,760 9,994 7,679 8,119
Accounts payable 1,054 2,540 2,668 2,604 2,520 2,520 2,154 2,431 5,669
Accrued expenses 1,485 1,514 1,801 2,067 2,558 2,558 2,398 2,293 2,522
Revenue payable - - - - 1,134 1,408 1,261
Other current liabilities - 12 - - - - - 1,203 2,217
Total Current Liabilities 4,710 13,751 14,431 14,628 14,838 14,838 15,680 15,015 19,787 -
Long-Term Liabilities
Notes payable - related party - - - - - - 18,447 18,952 21,399
Asset retirement obligation 59 69 69 60 75 75 118 122 83
Total Long-Term Liabilities 59 69 69 60 75 75 18,565 19,074 21,482
Stockholders' Equity
Issued shares 7 14 14 23 26 26 27 27 29
Additional paid-in capital 18,167 20,026 20,206 43,208 51,783 51,783 51,547 53,804 56,114
Accumulated deficit (12,777) (14,258) (16,691) (18,756) (30,922) (30,922) (44,092) (48,288) (53,091)
Non-contolling interest in consolidated subsidiary - - - - - 2,644 2,637 2,475
Total Stockholders' Equity (deficit) 6,654 5,506 3,136 14,082 10,887 10,887 10,126 8,181 5,527
Total Liabilities and Stockholders' Equity 11,423 19,325 17,636 28,769 25,801 25,801 44,370 42,269 46,796
Ratios
Liquidity
Current Ratio 0.6x 0.3x 0.2x 0.3x 0.5x 0.5x 0.7x 0.6x 0.7x
Quick Ratio 0.6x 0.3x 0.2x 0.3x 0.5x 0.5x 0.7x 0.6x 0.7x
Working Capital (1,885) (9,322) (12,214) (9,978) (7,864) (7,864) (4,820) (5,428) (6,703)
Leverage
Debt To Equity 32.6% 174.1% 310.7% 70.7% 89.6% 89.6% 280.9% 325.5% 534.0%
Debt To Capital 24.6% 63.5% 75.7% 41.4% 47.3% 47.3% 73.7% 76.5% 84.2%
Capital Usage -Annualized
A/R Turns 2.0x 4.1x 1.8x 2.3x 1.8x 3.3x 3.8x 3.7x 2.0x
A/P Turns 0.4x 0.7x 0.6x 0.3x 0.3x 0.6x 1.9x 1.8x 0.5x
Source: Company Reports, Stonegate Securities
PEDEVCO Corp. | November 20, 2014
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INCOME STATEMENTS
PEDEVCO Corp. (NYSE: PED)
Consolidated Statements of Income (in thousands $, except per share amounts)
Fiscal Year: December
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 E Q1 E Q2 E Q3 E Q4 E
FY 2012 Mar-13 Jun-13 Sep-13 Dec-13 FY 2013 Mar-14 Jun-14 Sep-14 Dec-14 FY 2014 E Mar-15 Jun-15 Sep-15 Dec-15 FY 2015 E
Revenues
Revenues 503.2$ 269.1$ 156.1$ 198.8$ 119.7$ 743.7$ 1,007.5$ 2,094.8$ 1,089.9$ 1,473.2$ 5,665.3$ 1,901.9$ 1,950.7$ 3,444.0$ 4,753.8$ 12,050.4$
Total revenue 503.2 269.1 156.1 198.8 119.7 743.7 1,007.5 2,094.8 1,089.9 1,473.2 5,665.3 1,901.9 1,950.7 3,444.0 4,753.8 12,050.4
Cost of revenues
Cost of sales 412.4 292.8 386.0 224.5 182.2 1,085.5 1,085.0 1,021.4 465.2 1,088.5 3,660.1 1,777.9 1,895.0 3,386.2 4,663.3 11,722.4
Total cost of revenues 412.4 292.8 386.0 224.5 182.2 1,085.5 1,085.0 1,021.4 465.2 1,088.5 3,660.1 1,777.9 1,895.0 3,386.2 4,663.3 11,722.4
Gross (loss) profit 90.8 (23.7) (229.9) (25.7) (62.6) (341.8) (77.6) 1,073.3 624.8 384.7 2,005.2 124.0 55.7 57.8 90.5 328.0
Operating expenses
Selling, general and administrative expenses 3,729.5 1,260.1 1,288.3 1,500.9 364.4 7,149.1 2,356.2 1,653.3 2,198.4 1,208.0 7,415.9 1,293.3 1,189.9 1,446.5 1,663.8 5,593.5
Research and development - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Loss on settlement of payables - - - - - - 38.8 - - - 38.8 - - - - -
Loss from equity method investments 357.6 85.3 282.3 (126.9) 5,537.3 5,778.0 8,906.9 - - - 8,906.9 - - - - -
Total operating expenses 4,087.1 1,345.4 1,570.6 1,374.0 5,901.7 12,927.1 11,301.9 1,653.3 2,198.4 1,208.0 16,361.6 1,293.3 1,189.9 1,446.5 1,663.8 5,593.5
Income (loss) from operations (1) (3,996.3) (1,369.1) (1,800.5) (1,399.6) (5,964.3) (13,269.0) (11,379.4) (580.0) (1,573.7) (823.3) (14,356.3) (1,169.3) (1,134.3) (1,388.6) (1,573.3) (5,265.6)
Other income (expense):
Interest income 36.4 44.5 41.9 53.9 56.6 196.9 63.9 67.9 75.4 75.4 282.6 75.4 75.4 75.4 75.4 301.4
Interest expense net (986.2) (174.6) (432.1) (492.5) (492.2) (1,591.4) (1,091.2) (3,006.2) (3,034.0) (711.0) (7,842.4) (711.0) (711.0) (711.0) (711.0) (2,844.1)
Other income/(expense) (1) - 15.3 - - - 15.3 (763.3) - - - (763.3) - - - - -
Total other income (expense): (949.8) (114.8) (390.2) (438.6) (435.6) (1,379.2) (1,790.6) (2,938.3) (2,958.6) (635.7) (8,323.2) (635.7) (635.7) (635.7) (635.7) (2,542.7)
Pre-tax income (loss) (1) (4,946.1) (1,483.9) (2,190.7) (1,838.2) (6,399.9) (14,648.2) (13,170.0) (3,518.2) (4,532.3) (1,459.0) (22,679.5) (1,805.0) (1,769.9) (2,024.3) (2,209.0) (7,808.2)
Net income (loss) (1) (4,946.1)$ (1,483.9)$ (2,190.7)$ (1,838.2)$ (6,399.9)$ (14,648.2)$ (13,170.0)$ (3,518.2)$ (4,532.3)$ (1,459.0)$ (22,679.5)$ (1,805.0)$ (1,769.9)$ (2,024.3)$ (2,209.0)$ (7,808.2)$
Net income (loss ) to common (4,946.1)$ (1,483.9)$ (2,190.7)$ (1,838.2)$ (6,399.9)$ (14,648.2)$ (13,170.0)$ (3,518.2)$ (4,532.3)$ (1,459.0)$ (22,679.5)$ (1,805.0)$ (1,769.9)$ (2,024.3)$ (2,209.0)$ (7,808.2)$
Basic EPS (loss) (0.27)$ (0.17)$ (0.16)$ (0.10)$ (0.24)$ (0.86)$ (0.50)$ (0.13)$ (0.16)$ (0.04)$ (0.79)$ (0.05)$ (0.05)$ (0.06)$ (0.06)$ (0.22)$
Diluted EPS (loss) (0.27)$ (0.17)$ (0.16)$ (0.10)$ (0.24)$ (0.86)$ (0.50)$ (0.13)$ (0.16)$ (0.04)$ (0.79)$ (0.05)$ (0.05)$ (0.06)$ (0.06)$ (0.22)$
Basic shares outstanding 18,615.1 8,880.0 13,913.8 18,560.2 26,631.9 16,996.5 26,221.2 26,670.1 29,081.2 33,443.4 28,854.0 34,112.2 34,794.5 35,316.4 35,952.1 35,043.8
Diluted shares outstanding 18,615.1 8,880.0 13,913.8 18,560.2 26,631.9 16,996.5 26,221.2 26,670.1 29,081.2 33,443.4 28,854.0 34,112.2 34,794.5 35,316.4 35,952.1 35,043.8
EBITDA (3,864.6) (1,230.6) (1,684.0) (1,298.1) (5,875.3) (10,088.1) (2,357.7) (214.9) (1,300.4) (545.1) (4,418.1) (884.4) (848.6) (1,102.1) (1,283.5) (4,118.5)
Margin Analysis
Gross margin 18.0% -8.8% -147.3% -12.9% -52.3% -46.0% -7.7% 51.2% 57.3% 26.1% 35.4% 6.5% 2.9% 1.7% 1.9% 2.7%
Selling, general and administrative expenses 741.2% 468.3% 825.3% 755.0% 304.5% 961.3% 233.9% 78.9% 201.7% 82.0% 130.9% 68.0% 61.0% 42.0% 35.0% 46.4%
Research and development 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Loss on settlement of payables 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 3.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Loss from equity method investments 71.1% 31.7% 180.8% -63.8% 4627.7% 777.0% 884.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 157.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Operating margin -794.2% -508.8% -1153.4% -704.0% -4984.5% -1784.3% -1129.5% -27.7% -144.4% -55.9% -253.4% -61.5% -58.1% -40.3% -33.1% -43.7%
EBITDA margin -768.0% -457.3% -1078.8% -653.0% -4910.1% -1356.5% -234.0% -10.3% -119.3% -37.0% -78.0% -46.5% -43.5% -32.0% -27.0% -34.2%
Pre-tax margin -982.9% -551.4% -1403.4% -924.7% -5348.6% -1969.8% -1307.3% -168.0% -415.8% -99.0% -400.3% -94.9% -90.7% -58.8% -46.5% -64.8%
Net income margin -982.9% -551.4% -1403.4% -924.7% -5348.6% -1969.8% -1307.3% -168.0% -415.8% -99.0% -400.3% -94.9% -90.7% -58.8% -46.5% -64.8%
Tax rate 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Growth Rate Analysis Y/Y
Total revenue na na -1.0% 13.5% -29.7% 47.8% 274.4% 1241.9% 448.3% 1131.2% 661.8% 88.8% -6.9% 216.0% 222.7% 112.7%
Total cost of revenues 58814.3% 58468.2% 529.7% 23.0% 8.4% 163.2% 270.5% 164.6% 107.2% 497.4% 237.2% 63.9% 85.5% 628.0% 328.4% 220.3%
Selling, general and administrative expenses 420.1% 98.7% 181.8% 47.0% -77.5% 91.7% 87.0% 28.3% 46.5% 231.5% 3.7% -45.1% -28.0% -34.2% 37.7% -24.6%
Operating income -437.4% -106.7% -363.0% -33.0% -215.1% -232.0% -731.1% 67.8% -12.4% 86.2% -8.2% 89.7% -95.6% 11.8% -91.1% 63.3%
EBITDA -341.3% -85.9% -347.8% -30.8% -220.4% -161.0% -91.6% 87.2% -0.2% 90.7% 56.2% 62.5% -294.9% 15.3% -135.5% 6.8%
Pre-tax income -547.6% -124.1% -465.5% -36.2% -151.2% -196.2% -787.5% -60.6% -146.6% 77.2% -54.8% 86.3% 49.7% 55.3% -51.4% 65.6%
Net income -547.6% -124.1% -465.5% -36.2% -151.2% -196.2% -787.5% -60.6% -146.6% 77.2% -54.8% 86.3% 49.7% 55.3% -51.4% 65.6%
EPS - fully diluted -320.1% -44.0% -142.0% -26.7% -75.6% -224.4% -200.6% 16.2% -57.4% 81.8% 8.8% 89.5% 61.4% 63.2% -40.8% 71.7%
Share count - fully diluted 54.2% 55.6% 133.7% 7.5% 43.1% -8.7% 195.3% 91.7% 56.7% 25.6% 69.8% 30.1% 30.5% 21.4% 7.5% 21.5%
(1) For analytical purposes we have moved net gains
of sales & disposal of assets to other income(exp)
from operating expense; Historical financials also
Source: Company Reports, Stonegate Securities estimates
8 PEDEVCO Corp. | November 20, 2014
E Q U I T Y R E S E A R C H S T O N E G A T E S E C U R I T I E S
CASH FLOWS
PEDEVCO Corp. (NYSE: PED)
Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows (cumulative)
Fiscal Year: December
FY 2012 Q1 Q2 Q3 FY 2013 Q1 Q2 Q3
Cash Flow from Operations Mar-13 Jun-13 Sep-13 Mar-14 Jun-14 Sep-14
Net income (loss) (12,013) (1,481) (3,914) (5,980) (18,145) (13,170) (17,365) (22,337)
Stock based compensation 621 254 434 1,208 3,198 1,060 1,551 2,855
Impairment of oil and gas properties 180 35 89 307 3,303 3 32 354
Loss on oil and gas property acquisition deposit 140 - 200 200 200 8,632 9,183 8,387
Depreciation depletion amortization and accretion 132 139 255 357 445 115 480 753
Loss on equity method investment 358 85 368 241 5,778 274 417 463
Amortization of debt discount 508 78 96 493 737 575 1,474 3,584
Other 271 - - 9 - 802 519 862
Accounts receivable 90 (95) (161) (98) 87 (1,321) (1,731) (1,034)
Inventories - 396 396 396
Prepaid expenses (95) 59 110 81 60 3 67 (85)
Accounts payable 289 (858) (465) (795) 1,877 (367) (69) 3,148
Accrued expenses (41) 109 291 662 211 542 749 1,090
Severance, impairment and other associated costs - - - - - 289 563 416
Net cash provided by operating activities (2,804) (1,679) (2,714) (3,372) (2,263) (2,166) (3,741) 1,069
Cash Flow from Investing
Cash paid for unproven leasehod cost (1,500) (3,775) (3,908) (4,022) (5,341) - - (274)
Cash paid for oil and gas property acquisition deposit - (100) (200) (8,200) (200) (28,523) (28,522) (28,522)
Cash paid for drilling cost (1) - (129) (131) (1,050) - (1,591) (3,639)
Issuance of notes receivable - related party (2,786) (903) (1,715) (2,461) (3,678) (1,892) (1,863) (1,834)
Cash paid for acquisition - - - (10,020) 2,889 13,199 -
Cash proceed from the sale of White Hawk investment 1,000 - - - 91 2,718 2,718 2,718
Cash paid for acquisition of Blast Energy Services, Inc. (455) - - - - 10,363 - -
Other - - - (2,000) - - - 13,383
Net cash used by investing activities (3,742) (4,778) (5,951) (16,814) (20,198) (14,444) (16,059) (18,167)
Cash Flow from Financing
Proceeds from private placement - related party - - - 12,000 - - - -
Proceeds from notes payable 1,028 7,960 8,000 8,000 8,000 19,357 19,357 21,226
Repayment of notes payable (200) - - - 393 (2,025) (1,904) (2,321)
Cash paid for deferred financing cost - (40) (40) (90) (5,382) (5,782) (5,658)
Proceeds from Series A preferred stock 8,015 - - - - 6,525 6,525 -
Proceeds from sale of common stock 5 - - - 18,282 5 5 6,525
Other - - - 11 11 - - (395)
Net cash provided (used) by financing activities 8,848 7,960 7,960.0 19,971 26,596 18,480 18,201 19,376
Net increase (decrease) in cash 2,302 1,504 (705) (215) 4,135 1,870 (1,598) 2,277
Cash and cash equivalents, beginning of year 177 2,478 2,478 2,478 2,478 6,614 6,614 6,614
Cash and cash equivalents, end of period 2,478 3,982 1,773 2,264 6,614 8,483 5,015 8,891
Source: Company Reports, Stonegate Securities
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12 PEDEVCO Corp. | November 20, 2014
E Q U I T Y R E S E A R C H S T O N E G A T E S E C U R I T I E S
IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES AND DISCLAIMER
a) Stonegate Securities, Inc. (“Stonegate”) expects to receive or intends to seek compensation for investment banking or other
business relationships with the covered companies mentioned in this report in the next three months.
b) The Research Analyst principally responsible for the preparation of this report has received compensation that is based upon,
among other things, Stonegate’s investment banking revenues.
c) Within the last twelve months, Stonegate has not received compensation for investment banking services from the Company;
however Stonegate has a non-exclusive research and institutional investor awareness agreement in place since 11/01/13;
Stonegate is currently engaged to provide research and institutional investor awareness for the Company. As compensation,
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Meaning of Ratings - Stonegate does not rate the securities covered in its information memorandums.
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Price Chart - Stonegate does not have, nor has previously had, a rating for any securities of the Company.
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Regulation Analyst Certification: I, Dan D. Trang, hereby certify that all views expressed in this report accurately reflect my personal views about the subject
company or companies and its or their securities. I also certify that no part of my compensation was, is, or will be directly or
indirectly related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in this report.
Stonegate Securities, Inc. Dan D. Trang 214-987-4121 [email protected]
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