business and society support for renewable … · business and society support for renewable energy...
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BUSINESS AND SOCIETY SUPPORT FOR RENEWABLE ENERGY DEVELOPMENT
Erwin S. Sadirsan APEC Conference on Clean, renewable & sustainability use of energy
Ayodya resort Bali hotel
September 30th – October 2nd 2013
OUTLINE
RE for Energy Security Investment opportunity
Technology options
Green Economics
Strategy to achieve 25/25 vision : KEN
The role of industry player : Certainty, clarity
Lesson Learnt : No re invent the wheel
Leadership : One command for sustainable energy
summary
1
2
3
4
5
6
Renewable Energy : Investment opportunity
Size of Company :
Complexity, Bureaucracy ,
Risk Management
Porter : O, T, S, W
Financial access
Medium enterprises
Small enterprises
Big companies 1
2
3
4
Renewable Energy : Technology Options
1. Geothermal
2. Biomass
3. Others :Wind, PV, Ocean
Indonesia Geothermal Potential
Indonesia Geothermal Potential : 28.543 MW 40% of world geothermal potential . Indonesia is the number 3 country after Philippine and USA.
Sumber: PT. PERTAMINA Geothermal Energi
Time Frame of Geothermal
INVENTORY WKP
EKSPLORASI
EKSPLOITASI
EPC
FEED
COD
• AMDAL / UKL / UPL • Izin Lokasi • Izin penggunaan lahan untuk
kegiatan Eksplorasi – Kemenhut
• SIPPA • IMB
PROSES HEAD OF AGREEMENT PROSES NEGOSIASI HARGA UAP / LISTRIK
NOTICE OF RESORCES CONFIRMATION Notice Of Intend to Develop
• AMDAL • Izin Lokasi • Izin Pinjam Pakai Lahan • SIPPA • IMB
2-3 Tahun 3-5 Tahun
Page 6
PERIZINAN..... TAHUN ??? PERIZINAN..... TAHUN ???
Sumber: PT. PERTAMINA Geothermal Energi
RE: Technology Options (2)
NO RE Potency
(SD) Capacity (KT)
RATIO KT/SD (%)
1 2 3 4 5 = 4/3
1 hydro 75,670 MW 5,705.29 MW 7.54
2 geothermal 29,038 MW 1,189 MW 4.00
3 Mini/Micro Hydro 769.69 MW 217.89 MW 28.31
4 Biomass 49,810 MW 1,618.40 MW 3.25
5 PV 4.80 kWh/m2/day 13.5 MW -
6 wind 3 – 6 m/s 1.87 MW -
7 Uranium 3.000 MW
(e.q. 24,112 ton) for 11 years*) 30 MW 1.00
*) Kalan – West Kalimantan
Sumber: Kementerian ESDM-Ditjen EBTKE
Renewable Energy : Green Economics
Definition
Profit versus sustainability of energy
CDM, Climate Change
Feed in Tariff
Economics values : IRR, PBP, NPV
1
2
3
4
5
power 2007 2020 2030
Biogas 55 – 215 50 – 200 50 – 190
Biomassa solid 80 – 195 85 – 200 85 – 205
PV 520 – 880 270 – 460 170 – 300
Wind – onshore 75 – 110 55 – 90 50 – 85
Wind - offshore 85 – 140 65 – 115 50 – 95
Hydro small 60 – 185 55 – 160 50 – 145
Hydro big 35 – 145 30 – 140 30 – 130
Nuclear 50 – 85 45 – 80 45 – 80
Gas (PLTGU) 50 – 60 65 – 75 70 – 80
Coal (powder) 40 – 50 65 – 80 65 – 80 Source : : Komisi Eropa (2008), Canton dan Linden (2010); Dr. Tatang Hernas S.
9
Power Generation Cost ( 2005/MWh)
Strategy 25/25 vision
Energy Mix KEN
Vision 25/25
New KEN
Act Now ! How ?
Supply- Demand Theory
The devils are in the details
Kadin will support by the RE Task Force
Batubara, 34.6%
Gas Bumi, 20.6%
Minyak Bumi, 41.7%
EBT, 3.1%
Batubara, 33%
Gas Bumi, 30%
Minyak Bumi, 20%
EBT, 17%
, 0.0%
Batubara; 32%
Gas Bumi; 23%
Minyak Bumi; 20%
EBT; 25%
Strategy (2)
21 %
30,7
%
43,9%
4,4 %
EBT
Gas Bumi
Batubara
M. Bumi
2010
*
2015 2020
2025
KONSERVASI
ENERGI
(37,25%)
DIV
ER
SIF
IKA
SI
EN
ER
GI
BAU** PERPRES 5/2006 VISI 25/25
25
%
32
%
1131,3 SBM
20
%
23
% 41.7%
20,6%
34.6%
3,1%
5100 SBM
3200 SBM
3200 SBM
11
Sumber: *DEN, **Blueprint PEN 2006-2025
Batubara, 30.7%
Gas Bumi, 21.0%
Minyak Bumi, 43.9%
EBT, 4.4%
Kementerian Energi dan Sumber Daya Mineral
Direktorat Jenderal Energi Baru Terbarukan dan Konservasi Energi
© EBTKE KESDM - 2010
Rencana Induk
Konservasi
Energi Nasional
(RIKEN)
Rencana Induk
Diversifikasi
Energi Nasional
(RIDEN)
Rencana Induk
Pengembangan
dan Pemanfaatan
Energi Baru dan
Terbarukan
(RIPPEBAT)
Rencana Induk
“Rasionalisasi”
Energi Tak
Terbarukan
KEBIJAKAN ENERGI SEKTORAL
Kebijakan Energi Sektor Rumah Tangga
Kebijakan Energi Sektor Bangunan
Komersial
Kebijakan Energi Sektor Transportasi
Kebijakan Energi Sektor Industri
KEBIJAKAN KLASTERAL*
Energi Baru
Kebijakan Energi Klaster Nuklir
Kebijakan Energi Klaster Panas Bumi
Energi Terbarukan
Kebijakan Energi Klaster CBM
Kebijakan Energi Klaster Gasified Coal
Kebijakan Energi Klaster Liquified Coal
Kebijakan Energi Klaster Hidrogen
Kebijakan Energi Klaster Hidro
Kebijakan Energi Klaster Bioenergi
Kebijakan Energi Klaster Energi Surya
Kebijakan Energi Klaster Energi Angin
Kebijakan Energi Klaster Samudera
Kebijakan Energi Klaster Minyak Bumi
Kebijakan Energi Klaster Gas Bumi
Kebijakan Energi Klaster Batubara
Visi
Energi
Baru
Terbarukan
25/25
*Klaster sesuai dg UU 30/2007 ttg Energi
Energi Tak Terbarukan
Sis
i kebutu
han
Sis
i Penyedia
an
METI
Lesson Learnt : No re invent the wheel
1. Constraint a. Bureaucracy b. Business to Business (Require more Government
Support) c. Cultures and Etiquettes d. Business as Usual
2. Proposal : a. Business Partnership Forum b. Joint Road Show c. Routine Business Meeting d. Security Assurance e. Business development Incentives (tax holiday,
investment credit, etc)
Leadership : One command for sustainable energy
• KEN
• Coordination
• Leadership
• Stake Holder’s support
• Regulatory framework, especially implementing
regulation of Law no 30/2007 and propose new
Bill (RUU) of Renewable Energy
• Do Not re invent the wheel, adopt relevant best
practices
• Gradually remove fossil fuel subsidies
undermine the competitiveness of renewables.
Summary One command for sustainable energy