built by advisors for advisors go figure – math can lie (a bit) so if: 1/3 = 0.333 what does...

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Built By Advisors For Advisors GO FIGURE – MATH CAN LIE (A BIT) SO IF: 1/3 = 0.333 WHAT DOES 3*0.333 = ? 0.999 RIGHT? X 1/3 = 1 (RIGHT?) ACTUALLY NO: IN MATH 0.999(REPEATING DECIMAL) = HERE’S PROOF: X= 0.999 10(X) = 9.999 10X – X = 9.999 – 0.999 9X = 9 X = 1 GOT TO LOVE TH IS STUF F????

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Page 1: Built By Advisors For Advisors GO FIGURE – MATH CAN LIE (A BIT) SO IF: 1/3 = 0.333 WHAT DOES 3*0.333 = ? 0.999 RIGHT? SO IF: 1/3 = 0.333 WHAT DOES 3*0.333

Built By Advisors For Advisors

GO FIGURE – MATH CAN LIE (A BIT)

SO IF: 1/3 = 0.333WHAT DOES 3*0.333 = ?

0.999 RIGHT?

3 X 1/3 = 1 (RIGHT?)

ACTUALLY NO: IN MATH 0.999(REPEATING DECIMAL) = 1

HERE’S PROOF:X= 0.99910(X) = 9.99910X – X = 9.999 – 0.9999X = 9X = 1

GOT TO LOVE THIS STUFF????

Page 2: Built By Advisors For Advisors GO FIGURE – MATH CAN LIE (A BIT) SO IF: 1/3 = 0.333 WHAT DOES 3*0.333 = ? 0.999 RIGHT? SO IF: 1/3 = 0.333 WHAT DOES 3*0.333

Built By Advisors For Advisors

BIGFOOT INVESTMENTS OPEN FORUM

Mar 28th, 2013

WELCOME!

Page 3: Built By Advisors For Advisors GO FIGURE – MATH CAN LIE (A BIT) SO IF: 1/3 = 0.333 WHAT DOES 3*0.333 = ? 0.999 RIGHT? SO IF: 1/3 = 0.333 WHAT DOES 3*0.333

Built By Advisors For Advisors

AGENDA WELCOME! ADMIN NOTESQUOTE OF THE DAYOPTIMISM GAUGECHARTS OF INTERESTSO WHAT’S UP WITH: CONVERTIBLE BONDSA CLOSER LOOK AT DAVID’S CORNERSWAPS AND SPREADSLEE’S COMMENTS QUESTIONS/COMMENTS

Page 4: Built By Advisors For Advisors GO FIGURE – MATH CAN LIE (A BIT) SO IF: 1/3 = 0.333 WHAT DOES 3*0.333 = ? 0.999 RIGHT? SO IF: 1/3 = 0.333 WHAT DOES 3*0.333

Built By Advisors For Advisors

IF YOU USE ANY OF OUR SLIDES, PLEASE REMEMBER TOHAVE THEM APPROVED BY YOUR COMPLIANCE DEPARTMENT.

WE’LL UN-MUTE YOU ON OUR END SO YOU CAN ASK QUESTIONS.

PLEASE MUTE AUDIO FROM THE MENU ON YOUR SCREEN SO WE DO NOT GET FEEDBACK.

THANK YOU!

“NOTES”

Page 5: Built By Advisors For Advisors GO FIGURE – MATH CAN LIE (A BIT) SO IF: 1/3 = 0.333 WHAT DOES 3*0.333 = ? 0.999 RIGHT? SO IF: 1/3 = 0.333 WHAT DOES 3*0.333

Built By Advisors For Advisors

BigFoot Investments is now on Twitter, LinkedIn!

Page 6: Built By Advisors For Advisors GO FIGURE – MATH CAN LIE (A BIT) SO IF: 1/3 = 0.333 WHAT DOES 3*0.333 = ? 0.999 RIGHT? SO IF: 1/3 = 0.333 WHAT DOES 3*0.333

Built By Advisors For Advisors

BigFoot On LinkedIn!

Don’t Forget To Join Our “Group”

Page 7: Built By Advisors For Advisors GO FIGURE – MATH CAN LIE (A BIT) SO IF: 1/3 = 0.333 WHAT DOES 3*0.333 = ? 0.999 RIGHT? SO IF: 1/3 = 0.333 WHAT DOES 3*0.333

Built By Advisors For Advisors

Notifying You!

SMS Alert System

Page 8: Built By Advisors For Advisors GO FIGURE – MATH CAN LIE (A BIT) SO IF: 1/3 = 0.333 WHAT DOES 3*0.333 = ? 0.999 RIGHT? SO IF: 1/3 = 0.333 WHAT DOES 3*0.333

Built By Advisors For Advisors

Screening/Scoring for AprilACTION POSTING DATES

Stock Screen By 5pm CDST – Friday 3/29/2013*

Dividend Screen

ETF Selections

Stock Screening

*Note: We will attempt to have all postings completed AMC on 3/28/2013

Page 9: Built By Advisors For Advisors GO FIGURE – MATH CAN LIE (A BIT) SO IF: 1/3 = 0.333 WHAT DOES 3*0.333 = ? 0.999 RIGHT? SO IF: 1/3 = 0.333 WHAT DOES 3*0.333

Built By Advisors For Advisors

QUOTE OF THE DAY:Take time to deliberate; but when the time for

action arrives……

Andrew Jackson

…STOP THINKING AND GO ON!

Page 10: Built By Advisors For Advisors GO FIGURE – MATH CAN LIE (A BIT) SO IF: 1/3 = 0.333 WHAT DOES 3*0.333 = ? 0.999 RIGHT? SO IF: 1/3 = 0.333 WHAT DOES 3*0.333

Built By Advisors For Advisors

Optimism Gauge

As of: 3/28/2013

Page 11: Built By Advisors For Advisors GO FIGURE – MATH CAN LIE (A BIT) SO IF: 1/3 = 0.333 WHAT DOES 3*0.333 = ? 0.999 RIGHT? SO IF: 1/3 = 0.333 WHAT DOES 3*0.333

Indicator Current Value Prior/Metric Value Current Value

St Louis Fed Financial Stress Index -.696 -0.639(Revised) +1.0

Chicago Fed National Act Index (3 Mon Mov Av) 0.09 0.28(Revised) -.50

Unemployment 7.7 7.9 (Revised) +.50

Weekly Jobless Claims (4Wk Mov Av) 343,000 340,750 -.50

ECRI Weekly Index 6.3 6.4(Revised) +.50

Conf Board Leading Indicators (NEW) 94.1 93.9 +1.0

University of Michigan Sentiment - Final 77.6(Final – Feb 2013) 73.8(Final-Jan 2012) -.25

Monthly Retail Sales (Adjusted) 416,990 416,070 +.50

NFIB Small Business Sentiment 90.8 88.9 -.50

ISM Manufacturing 54.2(Expansion Line = 50) 53.1 +.50

Economic Capacity Utilization 79.1 79.3(Revised) +.50

Stock Market Moving Averages Weekly Data Points >50-day MA/>100-Day MA N/A

+.50

S&P Case-Shiller 20 City Comp Index 146.14 145.95 (Revised) +.50

Total +3.75Last Update: 3/28/2013

Measuring Our Economy

Page 12: Built By Advisors For Advisors GO FIGURE – MATH CAN LIE (A BIT) SO IF: 1/3 = 0.333 WHAT DOES 3*0.333 = ? 0.999 RIGHT? SO IF: 1/3 = 0.333 WHAT DOES 3*0.333

NOTES/COMMENTS

CURRENT READING: 67.7%

PRIOR READING: 76.3%

BIAS: MILDLY BULLISH

9 OF 13 INDICATORS POSITIVE

TREND - NEGATIVE

EconomicOptimism

Index

15

25

35

45 65

75

85

95

67.7%

READING AS OF: 3/28/2013

POSITIVE AS OF: 8/17/2012

Current Reading Prior Reading

Measuring Our Economy

Page 13: Built By Advisors For Advisors GO FIGURE – MATH CAN LIE (A BIT) SO IF: 1/3 = 0.333 WHAT DOES 3*0.333 = ? 0.999 RIGHT? SO IF: 1/3 = 0.333 WHAT DOES 3*0.333

Built By Advisors For Advisors

Charts of Interest!

Page 14: Built By Advisors For Advisors GO FIGURE – MATH CAN LIE (A BIT) SO IF: 1/3 = 0.333 WHAT DOES 3*0.333 = ? 0.999 RIGHT? SO IF: 1/3 = 0.333 WHAT DOES 3*0.333

Built By Advisors For AdvisorsSource: EIA

WE CAN HOPE

Page 15: Built By Advisors For Advisors GO FIGURE – MATH CAN LIE (A BIT) SO IF: 1/3 = 0.333 WHAT DOES 3*0.333 = ? 0.999 RIGHT? SO IF: 1/3 = 0.333 WHAT DOES 3*0.333

Built By Advisors For Advisors

WATCH CAREFULLY

Page 16: Built By Advisors For Advisors GO FIGURE – MATH CAN LIE (A BIT) SO IF: 1/3 = 0.333 WHAT DOES 3*0.333 = ? 0.999 RIGHT? SO IF: 1/3 = 0.333 WHAT DOES 3*0.333

Built By Advisors For Advisors

EVER HEARD OF THE MSDP? It’s the Monthly Statement of Public Debt

Published by Treasury Direct??? Summary of Debt Holdings Last published in Feb, 2013 Also includes Statutory Limits

Page 17: Built By Advisors For Advisors GO FIGURE – MATH CAN LIE (A BIT) SO IF: 1/3 = 0.333 WHAT DOES 3*0.333 = ? 0.999 RIGHT? SO IF: 1/3 = 0.333 WHAT DOES 3*0.333

Built By Advisors For Advisors

MOST OF ‘EM STILL LOVE US

Page 18: Built By Advisors For Advisors GO FIGURE – MATH CAN LIE (A BIT) SO IF: 1/3 = 0.333 WHAT DOES 3*0.333 = ? 0.999 RIGHT? SO IF: 1/3 = 0.333 WHAT DOES 3*0.333

Built By Advisors For Advisors

THEY’RE STIILL BORROWING DESPITE THE RUMORS

Page 19: Built By Advisors For Advisors GO FIGURE – MATH CAN LIE (A BIT) SO IF: 1/3 = 0.333 WHAT DOES 3*0.333 = ? 0.999 RIGHT? SO IF: 1/3 = 0.333 WHAT DOES 3*0.333

Built By Advisors For Advisors

THINK THERE IS CONCERN IN THE MIDDLE EAST?

Page 20: Built By Advisors For Advisors GO FIGURE – MATH CAN LIE (A BIT) SO IF: 1/3 = 0.333 WHAT DOES 3*0.333 = ? 0.999 RIGHT? SO IF: 1/3 = 0.333 WHAT DOES 3*0.333

Built By Advisors For Advisors

SO WHAT’S UP WITH:Convertible Bonds

Page 21: Built By Advisors For Advisors GO FIGURE – MATH CAN LIE (A BIT) SO IF: 1/3 = 0.333 WHAT DOES 3*0.333 = ? 0.999 RIGHT? SO IF: 1/3 = 0.333 WHAT DOES 3*0.333

Built By Advisors For Advisors

A bond that can be converted into a predetermined amount of the company's equity at certain times during its life, usually at the

discretion of the bondholder. It is much like a Call Option that is attached to a bond.

As such, there is a premium “attached” - a lower interest rate

The conversion feature is a RIGHT NOT AN OBLIGATION!

Sometimes called "CVs” or “Converts”

Source: Investopedia

DEFINITION

Page 22: Built By Advisors For Advisors GO FIGURE – MATH CAN LIE (A BIT) SO IF: 1/3 = 0.333 WHAT DOES 3*0.333 = ? 0.999 RIGHT? SO IF: 1/3 = 0.333 WHAT DOES 3*0.333

Built By Advisors For Advisors

THE BASICS: Par Value: Price when issued Conversion Price: Set when bond issued Conversion Ratio: Components

Par Value of BondConversion Price

Bond Description (Sample): Acme Company 5-year CB with $1000 Par Value and Coupon

of 5%; Conversion Price = $40

$1000 $40

25

Conversion Value

Current Stock Price ($30) X Conversion Ratio (25) = $750AS YOU CAN SEE THIS BOND IS SELLING AT A PREMIUM

= orPar Value of BondConversion Ratio

$40Conversion

Ratio

Page 23: Built By Advisors For Advisors GO FIGURE – MATH CAN LIE (A BIT) SO IF: 1/3 = 0.333 WHAT DOES 3*0.333 = ? 0.999 RIGHT? SO IF: 1/3 = 0.333 WHAT DOES 3*0.333

Built By Advisors For Advisors

MORE :Parity – Bond’s conversion is equal to stock price

Conversion Premium - Price of Bond exceeds market price of stock an investor would receive upon conversion

Stock Split – Original Conversion Ratio/Split Ratio

Dividend Declared - Conversion Ratio increases by dividend amount therefore the Conversion Price decreases.

Page 24: Built By Advisors For Advisors GO FIGURE – MATH CAN LIE (A BIT) SO IF: 1/3 = 0.333 WHAT DOES 3*0.333 = ? 0.999 RIGHT? SO IF: 1/3 = 0.333 WHAT DOES 3*0.333

Built By Advisors For Advisors

PROS AND CONS FOR PURCHASING CONVERTIBLES

CONS: Often issued by companies with poor credit ratings Can be dilutive to EPS of company If stock of company performs poorly – no conversion If issuer goes bankrupt have lower priority than common bonds Sell at premiums Usually “callable” – capping gains Can have limited upside

PROS: They pay interest Typically offer better returns than conventional bonds (Kiplinger) If stock falls – they can only call so far since they eventually pay principal You may get to convert for a profit Offer some degree of protection against market fluctuations You can get dividends from companies that don’t normally pay such

Sources: about.com BONDSBioStockspro.com

Page 25: Built By Advisors For Advisors GO FIGURE – MATH CAN LIE (A BIT) SO IF: 1/3 = 0.333 WHAT DOES 3*0.333 = ? 0.999 RIGHT? SO IF: 1/3 = 0.333 WHAT DOES 3*0.333

Built By Advisors For Advisors

INVESTING OPTIONS:

Buy the bond ETF – CWB (SPDR Barclays Convertible Securities)

YTD - +3.51% 1 – Year - +9.03 CVRT Closed in Feb, 2013 (Invesco)

Mutual Funds – Next Pages Best option – ETF or Fund

Page 26: Built By Advisors For Advisors GO FIGURE – MATH CAN LIE (A BIT) SO IF: 1/3 = 0.333 WHAT DOES 3*0.333 = ? 0.999 RIGHT? SO IF: 1/3 = 0.333 WHAT DOES 3*0.333

Built By Advisors For Advisors

Page 27: Built By Advisors For Advisors GO FIGURE – MATH CAN LIE (A BIT) SO IF: 1/3 = 0.333 WHAT DOES 3*0.333 = ? 0.999 RIGHT? SO IF: 1/3 = 0.333 WHAT DOES 3*0.333

Built By Advisors For Advisors

Page 28: Built By Advisors For Advisors GO FIGURE – MATH CAN LIE (A BIT) SO IF: 1/3 = 0.333 WHAT DOES 3*0.333 = ? 0.999 RIGHT? SO IF: 1/3 = 0.333 WHAT DOES 3*0.333

Built By Advisors For Advisors

Ranked Based On: 3-yr Return Expense Ratio Earnings Growth Rate High YTD Return High 5-yr Return High Star Rating Low P/E

Page 29: Built By Advisors For Advisors GO FIGURE – MATH CAN LIE (A BIT) SO IF: 1/3 = 0.333 WHAT DOES 3*0.333 = ? 0.999 RIGHT? SO IF: 1/3 = 0.333 WHAT DOES 3*0.333

Built By Advisors For Advisors

INDEX COMPS

Page 30: Built By Advisors For Advisors GO FIGURE – MATH CAN LIE (A BIT) SO IF: 1/3 = 0.333 WHAT DOES 3*0.333 = ? 0.999 RIGHT? SO IF: 1/3 = 0.333 WHAT DOES 3*0.333

Built By Advisors For Advisors

INDEX COMPS

Page 31: Built By Advisors For Advisors GO FIGURE – MATH CAN LIE (A BIT) SO IF: 1/3 = 0.333 WHAT DOES 3*0.333 = ? 0.999 RIGHT? SO IF: 1/3 = 0.333 WHAT DOES 3*0.333

Built By Advisors For Advisors

WHAT’S A REVERSE CONVERTIBLE BOND?

While a CONVERTIBLE BOND gives the BONDHOLDER the right to convert the asset to equity, a REVERSE CONVERTIBLE gives

the ISSUER the right to convert to equity.

In this case it is like a PUT OPTION that is held by the bond’s issuer on company shares. The company has the right , but

not the obligation, to convert the bond into shares of company stock at the set date – and are exercised when the

stock is below a “strike” price.

Why would you buy one? Higher interest rates – sometimes 10%+ Sideways markets

Page 32: Built By Advisors For Advisors GO FIGURE – MATH CAN LIE (A BIT) SO IF: 1/3 = 0.333 WHAT DOES 3*0.333 = ? 0.999 RIGHT? SO IF: 1/3 = 0.333 WHAT DOES 3*0.333

Built By Advisors For Advisors

DAVID’S CORNER

Page 33: Built By Advisors For Advisors GO FIGURE – MATH CAN LIE (A BIT) SO IF: 1/3 = 0.333 WHAT DOES 3*0.333 = ? 0.999 RIGHT? SO IF: 1/3 = 0.333 WHAT DOES 3*0.333

Built By Advisors For Advisors

SWAPS & “SPREADS”

IGNORE AT YOUR PERIL

Page 34: Built By Advisors For Advisors GO FIGURE – MATH CAN LIE (A BIT) SO IF: 1/3 = 0.333 WHAT DOES 3*0.333 = ? 0.999 RIGHT? SO IF: 1/3 = 0.333 WHAT DOES 3*0.333

Built By Advisors For Advisors

SWAPS AND SPREADSRATE PRIOR CURRENT STATUS

Libor/OIS 14.01 14.56

Euribor/Eonia .146 .148

DTCC RepoIndex

Agency .167 .139

MBS .193 .158Treas .160 .143

High Yield 4.78 4.78

Federal ReserveCurrency Swaps

(ECB)USD million

7 Day 25 2

Open 7,963 7,963

Note: Status = No impact Status = Negative Impact

As Of: 3/27/2013

CREDIT ANTICIPATES – EQUITY CONFIRMS

Page 35: Built By Advisors For Advisors GO FIGURE – MATH CAN LIE (A BIT) SO IF: 1/3 = 0.333 WHAT DOES 3*0.333 = ? 0.999 RIGHT? SO IF: 1/3 = 0.333 WHAT DOES 3*0.333

Built By Advisors For Advisors

QUESTIONS & COMMENTS

THANKS FOR JOINING US!

Page 36: Built By Advisors For Advisors GO FIGURE – MATH CAN LIE (A BIT) SO IF: 1/3 = 0.333 WHAT DOES 3*0.333 = ? 0.999 RIGHT? SO IF: 1/3 = 0.333 WHAT DOES 3*0.333

Built By Advisors For Advisors

IMPORTANT DISCLOSURE INFORMATION

Content is intended for investment professional use/review only. Please remember that past performance may not be indicative of future results. Different types of investments involve varying degrees of risk, and there can be no assurance that the future

performance of any specific investment, investment strategy, or product (including the investments and/or investment strategies recommended or undertaken by BigFoot Investments.com), or any non-investment related content, made reference to directly or indirectly in this presentation will be profitable, equal any corresponding indicated historical performance level(s), be suitable for any investment professional’s clients portfolio or individual situation, or prove successful. The investment professional retains

all decision making authority as to whether or not to follow and/or implement any of the presentation content. BigFoot has absolutely no responsibly for any suitability determination pertaining to any of the investment professional’s clients, such

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