building regulation for resilience...
TRANSCRIPT
Building Regulation for Resilience Programme
Thomas MoullierWorld Bank
National Policies for Raising Quality in Construction Industry - Conference
Riga, November 25th, 2016
Chronic
Building
Failure
Acute Disaster or
Concentrated Risk
The benefits of effective building regulation
PUBLIC
HEALTH
RESOURCE
EFFICIENCY
PROPERTY VALUE
& MUNICIPAL
FINANCE
ACCESSIBILITY
FOR PERSONS
WITH DISABILITIES
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Increased vulnerability 215 million urban residents could fall back into poverty by 2030
if there is no climate mitigation and investment in urban adaptation (World Bank, 2016)
Increased exposure (millions of people exposed in large cities)
Growth of population & urbanization (current increase of 72 million per year:70% urbanized by 2050)
A stark inequality between the rich and poor
Munich Re
Disaster Impact on GDP is 20 times higher in developing countries than in industrial nations
Munich Re
Distribution of the number of disasters and fatalities across high, middle and low-income countries in the last 30 years
39%
42%
12%
7%
Fatalities
Low income
Lower-middle income
Upper middle
High income
9%
24%
20%
47%
Number of disasters
Low income
Lower-middleincomeUpper middle
High income
Source: Munich Re
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Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, March 2016
The need to invest in support institutions
Problem we are addressing:Failure of implementation of building regulation in developing countries
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Building Regulation For Resilience Agenda
• Built environment: buildings structures excluding infrastructure (roads, power plants, (roads, power plants, water sanitation, etc.)sanitation, etc.)
• Risks: Natural hazards risks (seismic, weather-related, etc.) and chronic risks (fires, structural
Scope: Building controls and the larger support environment
Andhra Pradesh, India
Ethiopia
Ecuador
Armenia
JamaicaPhilippines
Kenya
Mozambique
Dhaka, Bangladesh
Malawi
Colombo, Sri Lanka
Rabat, Morocco
Accra, Ghana
Lagos, Nigeria
160,000 lives saved by 2050
USD 268 million in reduced losses each
year
How the program supports improved building safety in Ethiopia to save 160,000 lives by 2050
Understanding risk
Hazard risk information
Seismic and flood hazard monitoring
Reducing risk in existing buildings
Rapid visual screening (RVS)
Retrofit funding for public buildings
Avoid new risk creation
Improving quality
assurance mechanisms
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Areas of collaboration between CEBC & the World Bank
• Pull European expertise in existing & future World Bank’s Urban Resilience projects
• Strengthen international community of regulatory practice to support new international agreements (Habitat III – COP22 –Sendai Framework for Action – Sustainable Development Goals)
• Build a strong case for investing into effective building regulation
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GFDRR.org/buildingregulation
Building Regulation for Resilience
Thomas Moullier, Team [email protected]
Frederick Krimgold, Lead [email protected]
Vittoria Franchini, Communications & Knowledge Management
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Annexes
January 2016Sustainable
Development GoalsGOAL 11: Make cities
inclusive, safe, resilient & sustainable
October 2016UN-Habitat III
New Urban Agenda
December 2015Paris Agreement on
Climate ChangeAdaptation, resilience and
loss minimization
March 2015Sendai Framework
(Priority 3) Investing in Disaster Risk Reduction for Resilience
Building regulation
for Resilience
Alignment with major international agreements
Source: Fumio Yamazaki, Chiba University
Damage ratio of reinforced concrete buildings in Kobe (Japan)
Data analyzed after 1995 earthquake