building an ecology of peace in urban communities: individual level interventions to reduce violence...

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Building an Ecology of Peace in Urban Communities: Individual level interventions to reduce violence in Jamaica Nancy G. Guerra & Kirk R. Williams, UC Riverside Julie Meeks-Gardner, University of the West Indies Ian Walker, World Bank University of Lancashire, Preston, UK, June 2009

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Page 1: Building an Ecology of Peace in Urban Communities: Individual level interventions to reduce violence in Jamaica Nancy G. Guerra & Kirk R. Williams, UC

Building an Ecology of Peace in Urban Communities:

Individual level interventions to reduce violence in Jamaica

Nancy G. Guerra & Kirk R. Williams, UC RiversideJulie Meeks-Gardner, University of the West Indies

Ian Walker, World Bank

University of Lancashire, Preston, UK, June 2009

Page 2: Building an Ecology of Peace in Urban Communities: Individual level interventions to reduce violence in Jamaica Nancy G. Guerra & Kirk R. Williams, UC

Welcome to Jamaica

Page 3: Building an Ecology of Peace in Urban Communities: Individual level interventions to reduce violence in Jamaica Nancy G. Guerra & Kirk R. Williams, UC

International Homicide Rates

Page 4: Building an Ecology of Peace in Urban Communities: Individual level interventions to reduce violence in Jamaica Nancy G. Guerra & Kirk R. Williams, UC

The “other” Jamaica

Page 5: Building an Ecology of Peace in Urban Communities: Individual level interventions to reduce violence in Jamaica Nancy G. Guerra & Kirk R. Williams, UC

An Ecology of Danger

• Extreme poverty-per capita GDP less than $2,000; 30% of population does not have access to sanitation

• Transnational shipment of cocaine

• Slave plantation/colonial heritage-social exclusion

• Political violence; organized crime (dons)

• Absence of the “state”—informer fi dead

• Family stressors-father absent families—Matey Wars

• Availability of guns (“tools”) 30% travel with weapons

• Subculture of violence (harsh punishment, revenge)

Page 6: Building an Ecology of Peace in Urban Communities: Individual level interventions to reduce violence in Jamaica Nancy G. Guerra & Kirk R. Williams, UC

• How can we build an ecology of peace in the context of danger and violence?

– Community-level programs– Individual-level programs

Page 7: Building an Ecology of Peace in Urban Communities: Individual level interventions to reduce violence in Jamaica Nancy G. Guerra & Kirk R. Williams, UC

Individual-level Programs: Kingston YMCA

• At-risk boys ages 14 to 16 expelled from regular school. Attend 1-6 school terms.

• Alternative secondary education curriculum including literacy, math, health education, reproductive health, life skills and computer classes, among other activities.

Page 8: Building an Ecology of Peace in Urban Communities: Individual level interventions to reduce violence in Jamaica Nancy G. Guerra & Kirk R. Williams, UC

Two Primary Evaluation Questions

1. Do these programs help youth build competencies and prepare for the future?

2. Are these programs (in the context of multiple contextual risk factors) effective in preventing or reducing youth violence?

Page 9: Building an Ecology of Peace in Urban Communities: Individual level interventions to reduce violence in Jamaica Nancy G. Guerra & Kirk R. Williams, UC

Methodology

• Administer Jamaica Youth Survey to 128 program participants and 55 wait list controls.

• Conduct tracer study of 150 youth using propensity score matching not in YMCA (currently underway).

Page 10: Building an Ecology of Peace in Urban Communities: Individual level interventions to reduce violence in Jamaica Nancy G. Guerra & Kirk R. Williams, UC

Jamaica Youth Survey

• Self report of physical aggression

• What would make you fight

• Core competencies

• Masculine identity

Page 11: Building an Ecology of Peace in Urban Communities: Individual level interventions to reduce violence in Jamaica Nancy G. Guerra & Kirk R. Williams, UC

Physical Aggression: In the last month (give date), how many times have you:

Items: Factor Loadings1

Shoved or pushed someone .700Threatened to hit or physically harm someone .724Been in a fight and hit someone .672Thrown something at someone to hurt them .616Hit or slapped someone .794

Cronbach’s Alpha = .7431Principal Components Factor Analysis with Oblique Rotation(Single factor, eigenvalue = 2.475)

Page 12: Building an Ecology of Peace in Urban Communities: Individual level interventions to reduce violence in Jamaica Nancy G. Guerra & Kirk R. Williams, UC

What Would Make You Fight: Would you hit or fight with a male if:

Items: Factor Loadings1

He hit you first .645He shouted at you and called you names .627He spread rumors or lies about you behind your back .718He took something of yours without asking .546You were in angry or in a bad mood .607You wanted to get revenge .691He said something bad about a family member .655

Cronbach’s Alpha = .7621Principal Components Factor Analysis with Oblique Rotation(Single factor, eigenvalue = 2.897)

Page 13: Building an Ecology of Peace in Urban Communities: Individual level interventions to reduce violence in Jamaica Nancy G. Guerra & Kirk R. Williams, UC

What Would Make You Fight: Would you hit or fight with a female if:

Items: Factor Loadings1

She hit you first .565She shouted at you and called you names .587She spread rumors or lies about you behind your back .756She took something of yours without asking .604You were in angry or in a bad mood .641You wanted to get revenge .574She said something bad about a family member .658

Cronbach’s Alpha = .7441Principal Components Factor Analysis with Oblique Rotation(Single factor, eigenvalue = 2.771)

Page 14: Building an Ecology of Peace in Urban Communities: Individual level interventions to reduce violence in Jamaica Nancy G. Guerra & Kirk R. Williams, UC

Estimated Effects of Masculine Identity Items on Physical Aggression Factor Score (Ordinary

Least Squares Regression)

Variables b se t Beta

Violent1 .396* .150 2.640 .193

Ready2 .483* .142 3.401 .249Constant -.347* .089 -3.899 Adj. R2 .112*

1Being violent is a “man ting”2Men must be ready to use violence at any time*p<.05, two-tailed test is statistical significance

Page 15: Building an Ecology of Peace in Urban Communities: Individual level interventions to reduce violence in Jamaica Nancy G. Guerra & Kirk R. Williams, UC

Estimated Effects of Masculine Identity Items and What Would Make You Fight Scales (MUF) on Physical

Aggression Factor Score (OLS)

Variables b se t BetaViolent1 .203 .136 1.493 .099

Ready2 .163 .134 1.216 .084Male MUF .310* .074 4.189 .334Female MUF .202* .074 2.730 .214Constant -.181* .082 -2.207 Adj. R2 .302

1Being violent is a “man ting”2Men must be ready to use violence at any time*p<.05, two-tailed test is statistical significance

Page 16: Building an Ecology of Peace in Urban Communities: Individual level interventions to reduce violence in Jamaica Nancy G. Guerra & Kirk R. Williams, UC

Program Exposure

N %

0=No exposure (comparison group) 55 30.1

1=Less than six months 58 31.7

2=Six months-1 year 35 19.1

3=Over 1 year 35 19.1

Page 17: Building an Ecology of Peace in Urban Communities: Individual level interventions to reduce violence in Jamaica Nancy G. Guerra & Kirk R. Williams, UC

Estimated Effects of Masculine Identity Items, MUF Scales, and Program Exposure on Physical

Aggression Factor Score (OLS)

Variables b se t BetaViolent1 .204 .135 1.511 .100

Ready2 .175 .133 1.316 .090Male MUF .294* .074 3.973 .316Female MUF .223* .074 3.014 .235Program Exposure -.109* .105 -1.982 -.126 Constant -.181* .082 -2.207 Adj. R2 .314

1Being violent is a “man ting”2Men must be ready to use violence at any time*p<.05, two-tailed test is statistical significance

Page 18: Building an Ecology of Peace in Urban Communities: Individual level interventions to reduce violence in Jamaica Nancy G. Guerra & Kirk R. Williams, UC

The program helped to become better at:

• Helping others who have an argument to work it out peacefully and dealing with myself when I am angry.

• Coming up with creative ways of working out a problem or something that is hard to do (unusual, not normal).

• Connecting with other people on a deeper level. (Developing close friendships/ Becoming close friends with others).

• Having a high opinion and being considerate of myself and others.

• Managing my own life, and taking responsibility for things and people.

• Planning what I will be doing in the future.

74.4% (of 128 participants) claimed the program helped “quite a bit” or “a great deal” across these items!

 

Page 19: Building an Ecology of Peace in Urban Communities: Individual level interventions to reduce violence in Jamaica Nancy G. Guerra & Kirk R. Williams, UC

The program changed my life for the better1

N %

No change 4 3.1

Somewhat or a lot 124 96.9

1(gone back to school, working harder in school, wasn’t working but now I am, helping in my community, providing leadership in my school and community)

Page 20: Building an Ecology of Peace in Urban Communities: Individual level interventions to reduce violence in Jamaica Nancy G. Guerra & Kirk R. Williams, UC

The program changed my future ideas1

N %

Not at all 11 8.6

Not much 22 17.2

Somewhat or a lot 95 74.2

1(education, jobs, community and volunteer work, leadership in community activities)

Page 21: Building an Ecology of Peace in Urban Communities: Individual level interventions to reduce violence in Jamaica Nancy G. Guerra & Kirk R. Williams, UC

In conclusion

• ¾ of YMCA program participants felt it changed their life for the better.

• Increased participation in the YMCA program was associated with decreases in physical aggression.

Page 22: Building an Ecology of Peace in Urban Communities: Individual level interventions to reduce violence in Jamaica Nancy G. Guerra & Kirk R. Williams, UC

Thank you!