building a sustainable business at us$1,300/oz gold price
TRANSCRIPT
Building a Sustainable Business At US$1,300/oz Gold Price
Denver Gold Forum Nick Holland
16 September 2014
2
Forward looking statements
Certain statements in this document constitute “forward looking statements” within the meaning of Section 27A of the US Securities Act of
1933 and Section 21E of the US Securities Exchange Act of 1934.
In particular, the forward looking statements in this document include among others those relating to the Damang Exploration Target
Statement; the Far Southeast Exploration Target Statement; commodity prices; demand for gold and other metals and minerals; interest
rate expectations; exploration and production costs; levels of expected production; Gold Fields’ growth pipeline; levels and expected
benefits of current and planned capital expenditures; future reserve, resource and other mineralisation levels; and the extent of cost
efficiencies and savings to be achieved. Such forward looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other
important factors that could cause the actual results, performance or achievements of the company to be materially different from the future
results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward looking statements. Such risks, uncertainties and other
important factors include among others: economic, business and political conditions in South Africa, Ghana, Australia, Peru and elsewhere;
the ability to achieve anticipated efficiencies and other cost savings in connection with past and future acquisitions, exploration and
development activities; decreases in the market price of gold and/or copper; hazards associated with underground and surface gold mining;
labour disruptions; availability terms and deployment of capital or credit; changes in government regulations, particularly taxation and
environmental regulations; and new legislation affecting mining and mineral rights; changes in exchange rates; currency devaluations; the
availability and cost of raw and finished materials; the cost of energy and water; inflation and other macro-economic factors, industrial
action, temporary stoppages of mines for safety and unplanned maintenance reasons; and the impact of the AIDS and other occupational
health risks experienced by Gold Fields’ employees.
These forward looking statements speak only as of the date of this document. Gold Fields undertakes no obligation to update publicly or
release any revisions to these forward looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date of this document or to reflect the
occurrence of unanticipated events.
Nick Holland | Denver Gold Forum | Building a Sustainable Business at US$1,300/oz Gold Price | 16 September 2014
3
The Transformation of Gold Fields
Nick Holland | Denver Gold Forum | Building a Sustainable Business at US$1,300/oz Gold Price | 16 September 2014
The Journey Started With The Speech To The Melbourne Mining Club
Building A Sustainable Business At US$1,300/oz
What Investors Want
Aug 2012
Portfolio Review
Aug - Dec 2012
Sibanye Gold
Dec - Jan 2012
New Cash Strategy
2013 Business PlanA New Paradigm
15 April 2013
Gold Price
< US$1,300/oz
A Fundamental Shift In Strategy
Focus on free cash flow and growing the margin
“It’s all about cash – not ounces for the sake of ounces”
4
The Transformation of Gold Fields
Nick Holland | Denver Gold Forum | Building a Sustainable Business at US$1,300/oz Gold Price | 16 September 2014
Six Strategic Themes
Focus on Total Shareholder Returns
>15% Free Cash Flow Margin at US$1,300/oz Gold
Underway
Underway
Commitments Made On 22 August 2013
1. Focus on free cash flow
Structural shift in cost base
>15% free cash flow at a US$1,300/oz gold price
No marginal mining, no high-grading, maintain cut-off grades
Protect sustainability of ore bodies by investing in development and stripping
2. Reboot and deliver South Deep
3. Drive brownfields exploration
4. No greenfields exploration & projects and divest
non-core assets
5. Strengthen balance sheet
6. Pay dividends
5
451,000
496,000
598,000
557,000 548,000
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
0
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
700,000
Q2 2013 Q3 2013 Q4 2013 Q1 2014 Q2 2014
US
$/o
z
Ounces
Production and Costs
Gold Produced Gold Price AIC
The Transformation of Gold Fields
Nick Holland | Denver Gold Forum | Building a Sustainable Business at US$1,300/oz Gold Price | 16 September 2014
AIC Down 30% from US$1,572/oz (Q2 13) to US$1,093/oz (Q2 14)
A Sustainable, Structural Shift In The Cost Base
6
The Transformation of Gold Fields
Nick Holland | Denver Gold Forum | Building a Sustainable Business at US$1,300/oz Gold Price | 16 September 2014
Net Cash Flow1
US$294 Positive Swing In Net Cash Flow From Q2 2013 to Q2 2014
-229
3.6
3854
65
1,3721,315 1,265 1,283 1,275
-2,000
-1,500
-1,000
-500
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
-250
-200
-150
-100
-50
0
50
100
150
200
250
Q2 2013 Q3 2013 Q4 2013 Q1 2014 Q2 2014
US
$/o
z
US
$ m
illio
n
Net cash flow Gold price
1 Net cash flow from operating activities after taking account of net capital expenditure, environmental payments, debt service costs and non-recurring items.
7
The Transformation of Gold Fields
Nick Holland | Denver Gold Forum | Building a Sustainable Business at US$1,300/oz Gold Price | 16 September 2014
Creating Value Through Corporate Restructuring (Announced 29 November 2012)
+47% TSR Despite 26% Fall In Gold Price
Source: Bloomberg
47%
-20%-26% -30%
-40% -43% -45%-55% -55%
-61% -61%-80%
-60%
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
GFI & SibanyeCombined
Randgold Goldcorp Agnico Eagle Newmont Anglogold Barrick Yamana Newcrest Harmony Kinross
Total Shareholder Returns28 November 2012 to 3 September 2014
1,000
1,100
1,200
1,300
1,400
1,500
1,600
1,700
1,800
Gold Price28 November 2012 to 3 September 2014
28 Nov 2012
US$1,719.69/oz
3 Sep 2014
US$1,269.40/oz
8
The Transformation of Gold Fields
● H1 2014 - Net debt reduced by US$100m to US$1,635m
● Net Debt to EBITDA reduced to 1.47X1
● Maturity date on US$715m of debt extended, on same terms, from November 2015 to
November 2017
Nick Holland | Denver Gold Forum | Building a Sustainable Business at US$1,300/oz Gold Price | 16 September 2014
Balance Sheet Further Strengthened
If We Make The Earnings, We Will Pay The Dividend
1 12-month rolling historical average
H1 2014 Dividend
● ZAR0.20 per share
● In line with dividend policy of paying out 25% to 35% of normalised earnings
Targeting Net Debt To EBITDA of 1X
9
The Transformation of Gold Fields
Nick Holland | Denver Gold Forum | Building a Sustainable Business at US$1,300/oz Gold Price | 16 September 2014
Active Portfolio Management
Re-invest Proceeds in Debt Reduction or Value Adding Acquisitions
Woodjam
British Columbia
“The wrong metal”
Asosa
Ethiopia
“The wrong address”
Yanfolila
Mali
“Franchise / hurdle rates”
Royalty
Portfolio
“Value release”
Talas
Kyrgysztan
“The wrong address”
Arctic Platinum Project
Finland
“The wrong metal”
Chucapaca
Peru
“Franchise / hurdle rates”Salares Norte
Chile
“Great optionality”
FSE
Phillippines
“Great optionality”
Sold
Disposal Underway
Retain
10
The Transformation of Gold Fields
● Short term bonus (Annual)
Based on Board approved annual operational plans and targets
Includes parameters for operational sustainability
● Long term bonus (Three year cycle)
Cash rather than shares ensures no shareholder dilution
Introduces downside – if threshold is not achieved, no bonus
Nick Holland | Denver Gold Forum | Building a Sustainable Business at US$1,300/oz Gold Price | 16 September 2014
Alignment of Executive and Senior Management Incentives With Shareholders
If Shareholders Win We Win, If Shareholders Lose, We Lose
Free
Cash Flow
Total
Shareholder
Returns
15% Free Cash Flow
Margin
US WACC
6% Real
compounded
(Threshold)
50%
Weighting
50%
Weighting
+ = BONUS
12
Australia Region
Nick Holland | Denver Gold Forum | Building a Sustainable Business at US$1,300/oz Gold Price | 16 September 2014
Gold Fields Australia: A Robust Portfolio
Targeting One Million Ounces at AIC Below US$1,050/oz
256.9
83.4 84.6
66.0
22.9
1 042
1,372
692
1,010
1,228
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
Region St Ives Granny Smith Agnew/Lawlers Darlot
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
Q2 2014 Production and AIC By Mine
Production AIC
US
$/o
z
Ko
z
13
Australia Region
Nick Holland | Denver Gold Forum | Building a Sustainable Business at US$1,300/oz Gold Price | 16 September 2014
Yilgarn South Acquisition: Key Performance Indicators
Leverage Operational Expertise
KPI Unit GFI 9 Months ABX 9 Months Comments
Safety TRIFR 7.72 15.51 Actual injuries - 11 under GFI vs 30 under ABX
Ore Processed Kt 1,931 2,274Only mining ore that contributes to the required
margin
Head Grade g/t 6.29 5.08 As above
Gold Production Koz 367,540 341,466
All In Sustaining Cost A$/oz 982 1,243
Gold Price A$/oz 1,398 1,464
Free Cash Flow Margin % 28% 11% Efficiencies have compensated for gold price
14
RESOURCE EXTENSION &
EXPLORATION
DISCOVERY
RESOURCE
4.3 Moz
Australia Region
Nick Holland | Denver Gold Forum | Building a Sustainable Business at US$1,300/oz Gold Price | 16 September 2014
St Ives Gold Mine
Investment in Exploration Underpins Reserve Replacement
RESERVE
2.0 Moz • Strong endowment
• Exploration >A$25m pa
• Speedway Trend project pipeline
• Extensions to current mines
2013 2019 LoM Extension PotentialLoM
~12 Moz
produced
since 1980
● Orogenic style of mineralisation
● 127,556 ha of granted tenements with
significant exploration potential
● Circa 16 Moz discovered and 12 Moz
produced since 1980
● Significant new discoveries with potential to
extend mine life beyond 10 years
Neptune – High grade open pit - Paleoplacer
System
• Mineral Resources: 5.5mt @3.3g/t for 0.58
Moz
• Mineral Reserves: 2.9mt @ 3.4g/t for 0.32
Moz
Invincible High grade open pit and
underground >2 Moz potential
• Mineral Resources: 9.2mt @ 4.50g/t for 1.33
Moz
• Mineral Reserves: 3.7mt @ 4.09g/t for 0.49
Moz
0
5
10
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Moz Consistent Reserve Replacement History
Reserves Production Cumm Production
Optimisation Opportunities
Neptune in production in H2 2014 - expected to underpin improved
H2 2014
Invincible in production in H1 2015 – consolidate open pit mining
in one higher grade pit
Fast-track exploration of Invincible and Speedway Trend for life
extension
15
Australia Region
Nick Holland | Denver Gold Forum | Building a Sustainable Business at US$1,300/oz Gold Price | 16 September 2014
Agnew / Lawlers Gold Mine
A Long-Term Steady Producer With Long-Life Potential
● Orogenic style of mineralisation
● 78,547 ha of granted tenements with significant exploration
potential
● Circa 11 Moz discovered and 7 Moz produced since 1985
● Significant on-site ore reserve extension and new
exploration opportunities with potential to extend mine life
beyond 10 years
Lawlers
• Lateral extensions to the existing 200, 500, 600 and 700
series
• Repeat of horizontal lodes at depth
• Hidden Secret underexplored
Agnew
• New discoveries in FBH and Link Drive area between
Kim and FBH
• Kath, Waroonga North,
• Depth and lateral exploration opportunities in all
directions
Optimisation Opportunities
High grade FBH and Link Drive area to underpin 2015 plan
Shallower Kath and Waroonga North opportunities fast-tracked
Cinderella “boundary pillar” between Agnew and Lawlers not
explored
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
F2001 F2002 F2003 F2004 F2005 F2006 F2007 F2008 F2009 F2010 F2011 F2012 F2013
Millio
n O
un
ce
s
Reserves and Production
Reserves Production Cumulative Production
RESOURCE EXTENSION &
EXPLORATION
DISCOVERY
RESOURCE
3.66 Moz
RESERVE
0.95 Moz
• Extensive exploration pipeline
across combined land package
• Resource growth targeted at
600/700 Series, Kath, Hidden
Secret & Cinderella
• New FBH-Link model to drive 2015
planning
2013 2019 LoM Extension PotentialLoM
~7 Moz
produced
since 1985
16
Australia Region
Nick Holland | Denver Gold Forum | Building a Sustainable Business at US$1,300/oz Gold Price | 16 September 20147
Granny Smith Gold Mine
A Great Address for Significant Discoveries
● Orogenic style of mineralisation
● 61,774 ha of granted tenements with significant exploration
potential
● >20 Moz mined in the Laverton region including ~ 2.5 Moz
from Grannny Smith, ~ 8 Moz from Wallaby and ~10 Moz
from Sunrise
● Significant on-site ore reserve extension and new
exploration opportunities with potential to extend mine life
beyond 15 years
Wallaby Underground
• Horizontal lenses repeat at depth with higher grades
Lake Carey under-explored
• 2 World Class deposits on the margin of Lake Carey
- Wallaby and Sunrise Dam – analogue for Lake Le
Froy at St Ives
• No significant or systematic exploration since 2005
Large tenement position with multiple targets
Optimisation Opportunities
Wallaby resource conversion and exploration at depth
Improved extraction ratio through potential use of paste fill
CIL plant under-utilised – 50% upside
RESOURCE EXTENSION &
EXPLORATION
DISCOVERY
RESOURCE
3.3 Moz
RESERVE
0.8 Moz • Extensions to Wallaby footprint
• System potential down to Z150
• District exploration gaining traction
• New gravity circuit in 2014
2013 2020 LoM Extension PotentialLoM
~7 Moz
produced
since 1989
18
West Africa Region
Nick Holland | Denver Gold Forum | Building a Sustainable Business at US$1,300/oz Gold Price | 16 September 2014
Gold Fields Ghana: Significant Potential Beyond Current Resource Life
Targeting One Million Ounces at AIC Below US$1,000/oz
181.3
140.7
40.5
1,0841,026
1,282
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
Region Tarkwa Damang
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
Q2 2014 Production and AIC By Mine
Production AIC
US
$/o
zKo
z
19
West Africa Region
Nick Holland | Denver Gold Forum | Building a Sustainable Business at US$1,300/oz Gold Price | 16 September 2014
Tarkwa Gold Mine
A Gold Fields Franchise Asset Generating Significant Cash
● Wits Style Paleoplacer mineralisation
● 20,825 ha of granted tenements with significant
exploration potential at existing pits and on-site
● Significant on-site ore reserve extension and new
exploration opportunities with potential to extend
mine life beyond 15 years
Upside potential in current pits
• Last drilled at a gold price of circa
US$400/oz
Hydrothermal overlay on property
• Significant exploration targets
Reserve upside resulting from structural cost
reduction
Optimisation Opportunities
Optimisation of Mill from 12 Mtpa to +13 Mtpa by early 2015
PPA agreement with independent third party
Teberebie pillar expansion (AGA ground exchange)
RESOURCE EXTENSION &
EXPLORATION
DISCOVERY
RESOURCE
10.3 Moz
RESERVE
7.3 Moz• Very well understood ore bodies
• Exploration expanding beyond
Resource conversion
• District soil sampling project
• Blue Ridge exploration potential
2013 2030 LoM Extension PotentialLoM
~9.4 Moz
produced
since 1997
20
West Africa Region
Nick Holland | Denver Gold Forum | Building a Sustainable Business at US$1,300/oz Gold Price | 16 September 2014
Damang Gold Mine
Returning to Profitability, Targeting >15% Free Cash Flow Margin
● Hydrothermal Paleoplacer mineralisation
● 25,016 ha of granted tenements
● Significant exploration potential on 30 km strike
length between Tarkwa and Damang
● Upside potential at historic satellite pits last mined
at a gold price of circa US$400/oz
Optimisation Opportunities Underway
Significant reserve upside - exploration focus on 30 km strike
Improved plant availability, reduced dilution, recoveries and
throughput
RESOURCE EXTENSION &
EXPLORATION
DISCOVERY
RESOURCE
6.6 Moz
RESERVE
1.1 Moz • Exploration aligned to turnaround
strategy
• Extensions to active pits
• Targeting high grade hydrothermal
prospects
2013 2019 LoM Extension PotentialLoM
~4.03 Moz
produced
since 1997
22
South America Region
Nick Holland | Denver Gold Forum | Building a Sustainable Business at US$1,300/oz Gold Price | 16 September 2014
Cerro Corona Copper/Gold Mine
The Most Profitable Mine In The Group
● Cu/Au porphyry mineralisation
● 2,765 ha of mining concession
● Continued outperformance against resource model
● Upgrades to the crushing facility positively
impacting throughput of increasingly harder ore
Optimisation Opportunities Underway
Future capital reduced through cancellation of TSF raise and
review of cheaper alternatives
Potential to increase reserves by ~ 30% through TSF and WSF
optionality
RESOURCE EXTENSION &
EXPLORATION
DISCOVERY
RESOURCE
3.3 Moz Au
1,124 Mlb CuRESERVE
2.0 Moz Au
712 Mlb Cu
2013 2023 LoM Extension PotentialLoM
~2.0 Moz
Au eq produced
since 2008
• 2014 re-logging project to
better define Geo-metallurgy
• Upgraded crushing facility
• TSF options being assessed
to increase LoM footprint
24
South Africa Region
Nick Holland | Denver Gold Forum | Building a Sustainable Business at US$1,300/oz Gold Price | 16 September 2014
South Deep Project
Positioning The Mine For Success in the Medium Term
Steady state production: 650 Koz to 700 Koz p.a.@ AIC of
US$900/oz by the end of 2017
Destress Step Change
Improved Productivity
Operator & Technician Skills
Fleet Availability & Utilisation
Ore Handling Infrastructure
● Ground Support Programme
Affected majority of production and destress areas
Commenced mid-May
Completed end-September
Expected to provide stability for life-of-mine
● Critical interventions fast-tracked
Labour refresher training
Machine maintenance
● Initial review of destress mining method underway – pilot
projects being mobilised
● Long-term build-up plan remains in place
● Cash break-even expected in H1 2015
RESOURCE EXTENSION &
EXPLORATION
DISCOVERY
RESOURCE
76.2 Moz
RESERVE
38.2 Moz
• Massive, multi-layered
palaeoplacer with high
predictability
• Grade control and LIB drilling
continues to be effective
• Improved regional pillar
configuration being reviewed
• Pilot destress mining
2013 2087 LoM Extension PotentialLoM
~15 Moz
produced
since 1968
25
South Deep Project
Nick Holland | Denver Gold Forum | Building a Sustainable Business at US$1,300/oz Gold Price | 16 September 2014
Reviewing The Mining Method
De-Risking The Build-Up Plan
• International Geotechnical Advisory Board (IGAB)
- Industry leading experts from across the globe
- Reviewed South Deep’s destress mining methodology over past seven months
- Two alternative mining methods identified
• Both methods piloted in areas outside current plan - Q4 2014 to Q4 2015
• Both are Single-pass systems compared to current three-pass system
1. 4x4 Metre Destress Method
- Increases dimensions of excavations from 2.2(high) X 5.0(wide) metre to 4.0(high) X 4.0(wide) metre
- Allows the use of conventional mining equipment as opposed to low profile equipment
- Alleviates logistical constraints and facilitate a fully mechanised mining process
- Interim step, pending decision on the Inclined Slot Method
2. Inclined Slot Method
- Entirely removes the need for conventional destress mining as destress is inherent in the new mining design
- Potential to de-risk build-up plan and future production
27
Conclusions
Nick Holland | Denver Gold Forum | Building a Sustainable Business at US$1,300/oz Gold Price | 16 September 2014
Its All About Cash!
1. Focus on free cash flow
Structural shift in cost base
>15% free cash flow at a US$1,300/oz gold price
No marginal mining, no high-grading, maintain cut-off grades
Protect sustainability of ore bodies by investing in development and stripping
2. Reboot and deliver South Deep
3. Drive brownfields exploration
4. No greenfields exploration & projects and divest non-core assets
5. Strengthen balance sheet
6. Pay dividends