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Getting our game on: Library Futures Stephen Abram, MLS Buffalo, NY Nov. 18, 2010

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Getting our game on:Library Futures

Stephen Abram, MLSBuffalo, NY

Nov. 18, 2010

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Is this graphic correct? What’s wrong?

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Is the book in your head?

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Frankenbooks? Emotion? Morality?

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What is the right device?

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Watch your readers? What do you see?

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Think harder about book components!

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Whose needs are met by library management systems?

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Welcome

Questions for Today:

1. What is REALLY happening with eBooks?2. Where is all this change taking us?3. Do people still value the book? 4. What’s next?5. What is the role for librarians in our info-

future?

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So, what exactly is changing?

BooksMediaMobilityCollectionsLibraries

In a word:Everything connected to your world!

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Librarians play a vital role in building the critical connections between

information , knowledge and learning.

Librarian Positioning

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The Elephant in the Room

Very Big Secret

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Change can happen very fast

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The secret

We need to overcome:

Fear of leadership Anti-partner and anti-collaboration ethic Distrust of ‘size’ The culture of victimization Introversion Unsophisticated communication Fatalism

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“Choose . . .

To be a victim and feel these changes are fated and blame stormOR

Create the future we need and take collective responsibility for the conversation and development.”

Find Reasons not Excuses.

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Jobs and Libraries

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Survey Data for theLibrary of Virginia

Stephen AbramGale, Cengage Learning

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73.3%

25.0%

1.7%

Respondent Role

Director / Management Team

Reference Staff

Circulation Staff

Technology Staff

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5.1%

11.9%

83.1%

Respondent Experience

Less than 1 year1-5 years6-10 yearsOver 10-years

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21.8%

21.8%

38.2%

18.2%

Degree of Urbanization

UrbanSmall TownRuralRegional Center / Consortia Staff

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Yep – You Get Questions

Health and Wellness / Community Health / Nutrition / Diet / Recovery DIY Do It Yourself Activities and Car Repair Genealogy Test prep (SAT, ACT, occupational tests, etc. etc.) Legal Questions (including family law, divorce, adoption, etc) Hobbies, Games and Gardening Local History Consumer reviews (Choosing a car, appliance, etc.) Homework Help (grade school) Technology Skills (software, hardware, web) Government Programs, Services and Taxation Self-help/personal development Careers (jobs, counselling, etc.) Reading Choices and recommendations, books & authors Travel and Vacation, Tourism Support Supporting College credits, Distance Education, and Adult Continuing Education Personal Finance and Investments / Financial Literacy Religion and spirituality Retirement and Seniors Services General Reference / Quick Answer Questions (e.g. telephone numbers, addresses, definitions, locations, library hours and services, etc.) Coming to America or our Community (Immigration, Moving) Book Clubs / Community Reading / Summer Reading Business. Leadership and Management Parenting and Child Development Adult Literacy / ESL Entrepreneurship and Consulting Small and Medium-sized Business Support World Cultures/Understanding Our World History Studies (Civil War, WW2, etc.) Choosing a School, Program/Degree, College or University / College Planning Finding People / Biographies

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Health and Wellness / Community Health / Nutrition / Diet / RecoveryDIY Do It Yourself Activities and Car Repair

GenealogyTest prep (SAT, ACT, occupational tests, etc. etc.)

Legal Questions (including family law, divorce, adoption, etc)Hobbies, Games and Gardening

Local HistoryConsumer reviews (Choosing a car, appliance, etc.)

Homework Help (grade school)Technology Skills (software, hardware, web)

Government Programs, Services and TaxationSelf-help/personal development

Careers (jobs, counseling, etc.)Reading Choices and recommendations, books & authors

Travel and Vacation, Tourism SupportSupporting College credits, Distance Education, and Adult Continuing Education

Personal Finance and Investments / Financial LiteracyReligion and spirituality

Retirement and Seniors ServicesGeneral Reference / Quick Answer Questions (e.g. telephone numbers, addresses, definitions, locations, library hours and services, etc.)

Coming to America or our Community (Immigration, Moving)Book Clubs / Community Reading / Summer Reading

Business. Leadership and ManagementParenting and Child Development

Adult Literacy / ESLEntrepreneurship and Consulting

Small and Medium-sized Business SupportWorld Cultures/Understanding Our World

History Studies (Civil War, WW2, etc.)Choosing a School, Program/Degree, College or University / College Planning

Finding People / Biographies

0.00 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00 1.20

Relative Patron Interest in Various Areas

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The Baker’s Dozen

1. Health and Wellness / Community Health / Nutrition / Diet / Recovery 2. DIY Do It Yourself Activities and Car Repair 3. Genealogy 4. Test prep (SAT, ACT, occupational tests, etc. etc.) 5. Legal Questions (including family law, divorce, adoption, etc) 6. Hobbies, Games and Gardening 7. Local History 8. Consumer reviews (Choosing a car, appliance, etc.) 9. Homework Help (grade school) 10. Technology Skills (software, hardware, web) 11. Government Programs, Services and Taxation 12. Self-help/personal development 13. Careers (jobs, counselling, etc.)

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Hobbies and Gardening

Consumer reviews (choosing a car, appliance, etc.)

Health and Wellness / Community Health / Nutrition / Diet / Recovery

Local History

Homework Help (grade school)

DIY Do It Yourself Activities and Car Repair

Genealogy

Legal Questions (including family law, divorce, adoption, etc)

Test prep (SAT, ACT, occupational tests, etc.)

Technology Skills (software, hardware, Internet/web)

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

88.3%

83.1%

81.7%

75.9%

72.9%

67.8%

60.0%

60.0%

58.3%

51.7%

10.0%

15.3%

16.7%

22.4%

25.4%

30.5%

31.7%

35.0%

41.7%

48.3%

1.7%

1.7%

1.7%

1.7%

1.7%

1.7%

8.3%

5.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Resource Levels for Top Ten Areas of Patron Interest (Question 1)

EnoughNot EnoughNot Applicable

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History

/ Socia

l Studies

Scien

ce / S

cience

fairs)

Biographies

Litera

ture

Speci

al Ev

ents

(Black (

or Hisp

anic,

Asian, N

ative

American

) Hist

ory Month)

Women

’s Studies

Religio

n0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

45.0% 46.7% 46.7%32.2% 33.3%

5.2% 3.4%

43.3% 38.3% 38.3%

42.4% 35.0%

12.1% 11.9%

10.0% 13.3% 13.3%22.0%

20.0%

22.4%39.0%

1.7% 1.7% 1.7% 1.7%11.7%

56.9%

44.1%

0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.7% 3.4% 1.7%

Student Homework Support - Level of Requests by Area

N/ANot at all CommonSlightly CommonCommonVery Common

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Euro

pe

Middle Ea

st

United Kingd

omAfri

ca

World

Cultures

/Unders

tanding O

ur World

Australi

a /New

Zeala

nd

China / Fa

r East Asia

Easte

rn Eu

rope

Latin Ameri

ca

India / P

akist

an

Cuba & Cari

bbean

Russia

Asia Paci

fic0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

18.97% 20.00%

6.90% 8.62%14.04%

1.72% 5.00%10.53%

1.89% 3.39% 6.90%0.00% 0.00% 1.69%

39.66% 38.33%

37.93% 32.76% 22.81%

24.14% 20.00%14.04%

18.87% 16.95% 10.34%15.25% 13.79% 8.47%

34.48%28.33%

36.21% 41.38% 47.37%

56.90%50.00%

57.89%

49.06%55.93%

51.72% 52.54%46.55%

45.76%

6.90%11.67% 18.97% 17.24% 14.04% 17.24%

23.33%17.54%

28.30%22.03%

31.03% 30.51%39.66%

42.37%

0.00% 1.67% 0.00% 0.00% 1.75% 0.00% 1.67% 0.00% 1.89% 1.69% 0.00% 1.69% 0.00% 1.69%

Areas of World Which Generate Most Questions

N/ANot at all PopularSlightly PopularPopularVery Popular

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Knitting & Needlecrafts

Arts & Crafts

Television Shows

Gardening

Pets

Music

Traveling, Tourism & Vacations

Exercise, Cycling & Walking

Movies & Film

Computers

Cooking & Recipes

Recreational Reading

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70

Top 12 Patron Hobbies

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GymnasticsHorseback Riding

Pool & BilliardsScrapbooking

Coin collectingStamp collecting

Winter SportsWoodworking

GolfChildren's Sports

Adult Team SportsSewing

Live TheatreHome Entertaining, Picnics & Parties

OtherAdult Individual Sports

Painting & Sculpture / Art AppreciationSummer Sports

Board & Card GamesCars, Motorcycles

Creative WritingOutdoor Life

Volunteer WorkVideo Gaming

Antiques & CollectiblesCarpentry, Home Repair & Additions

GenealogyReligion & Spiritual Activities

Diet & NutritionKnitting & Needlecrafts

Arts & CraftsTelevision Shows

GardeningPets

MusicTraveling, Tourism & Vacations

Exercise, Cycling & WalkingMovies & Film

ComputersCooking & Recipes

Recreational Reading

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70

Patron Hobbies - All

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Other Hobbies

Bird Feeding Genealogy

Homesteading Internet social games

Learning to use my I-POD Politics

Hiking Photography/Photojournalism

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What We Never Really Knew Before (US/Canada) 27% of our users are under 18.

59% are female. 29% are college students.

5% are professors and 6% are teachers. On any given day, 35% of our users are there for the very

first time! Only 29% found the databases via the library website.

59% found what they were looking for on their first search. 72% trusted our content more than what they found on

Google. But, 81% still use Google.

We often believe a lot

that isn’t true.

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0

7171 42 42 25

34

4035

17

3342

19

39

26 915

30 30

48

41

3033

59

37

30

59

30

48

6562

18 18 17 14 1822 14

1718

7

21 16

1010

Top-Level BenchmarksGale-Cengage Browse Survey

August 01, 2010 - August 31, 2010

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GOOG

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As technology advances

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Emboldened Librarians hold the key

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News Flash “The Internet and technology have now

progressed to their infancy”

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News Flash

News Flash

Tech Shift Happens

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People

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People are Changing

Demographic– Millennial, Boomer, Seniors Increased educational attainment & engagement eBooks outsell hard cover books, and will outsell

paperbacks soon (2011) Some public libraries are crediting most

cardholder growth to e-book accessibility Personal device proliferation Some sectors are very tech-dominated (farming,

cattle, trucking, natural resources…)

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People Have Changed

Twitter & Facebook are dominated by the middle aged – Reframe as social reading

Gaming too. . . Mothers in their 30’s Social networks fastest growing populations

are seniors and will be more international and less urban and English.

eBooks usage is currently largely middle-aged. Mobile data usage is growing beyond youth

very quickly, workplace use is huge

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NextGen Differences

Increase in IQ - 15-20 Points Brain & Developmental Changes Eye Movement Changes Massive Behavioural Changes Major Decline in Crime Rates – 65%

+ But still a 70% behavior overlap

with Boomers (see my book chapter)

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Have Students Changed

?

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Discovery & Ideas

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Has the future changed?Has our future changed?

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COWS, etc.

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The Future Discovered

• Stem Cells• fMRI and The Brain• Cloning• Trucking and GPS• Wind and other energy• Nanotechnology• Robotics• Massive Book Digitization• Music• Translation• Streaming Media• Seed Bank

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InterdisciplinaryCross-disciplinaryIntegrated

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A 1965 iPhone

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Can libraries keep up with change?

Can you recall buying a 45? Can you recall dials on TVs? Can you recall dialling?

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Books

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What does all this mean?

The Article level universe The Chapter and Paragraph Universe Integrated with Visuals – graphics and charts Integrated with ‘video’ Integrated with Sound and Speech Integrated with social web Integrated with interaction and not just

interactivity How would you enhance a book?

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Borders Kobo, B&N Nook, Amazon Kindle, Apple iPad, Sony, etc. . . .

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Mobility

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Broadband

You must clearly understand the latest US FCC Whitespace Broadband Decision – THIS IS TRANSFORMATIONAL and going global

Local wired, mobile access ‘everywhere’ to the home and workplace

Geo-awareness: GIS, GPS, GEO-IP, etc. Wireless as a business strategy (Starbucks) Mobile dominates Largest generation

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Emerging Tech that Drives Users to the Library

Encyclopedia.com HighBeam & Questia WorldCat and linked (meta)data AccessMyLibrary iPhone App for

public, school and higher ed – iPhone, iPad, iTouch and Droid!

Geo-IP features and measures Satisfaction - Foresee Watch for more . . .

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Trans-Literacy: Move beyond reading & PC skills

Reading literacy Numeracy Critical literacy Social literacy Computer literacy Web literacy Content literacy Written literacy

News literacy Technology literacy Information literacy Media literacy Adaptive literacy Research literacy Academic literacy Reputation, Etc.

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Can we frame the e-book issue so that it can be addressed rationally?

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MindMap: What is a book?

1. Reading2. Learning3. Pedagogy4. Research5. Exploration6. Reference7. Engagement8. Enjoyment9. Evaluation

Reading

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MindMap: What is a book?

1. Reading2. Learning3. Pedagogy4. Research5. Exploration6. Reference7. Engagement8. Enjoyment9. Evaluation

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Books

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Fiction

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Non-Fiction

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Encyclopedia

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Reference

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Directories

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Dictionaries

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Textbooks

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Scholarly

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E-Learning

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Steal This Idea

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What are thegood and badthings about

e-books?

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Library Goals

Be the BeeOr be the Hive

Care

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Strategic Thinking for Libraries

1. Choosing a Future2. Setting Phased Priorities3. Making Choices4. Taking Action5. Doing the Next Step6. Adjusting Tactics with Experience7. Seeking Feedback and Adjusting8. Measuring Progress

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Choosing Top Priorities Suppose that in three years: Majority of library use will be virtual – yes even rural! Majority of Non-fiction Book circulation will be e-

books and Fiction will split 50/50 – digital/print All learning will be blended and continuous DVD is circulation is dead and most other [physical

formats in decline. Majority of questions will be virtual Use will be 20 / 40 / 40 (in house, virtual, mobile) Every user will be socially networked, connected and

engaged

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What do we need to know?

What are we going

to do next?

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My Conclusions

Content acquisition needs to move up the chain

Mobile will be dominant device eBook formats will be e-reader

dependent for a short time eBook format to watch is web-based

and involves HTML5 Ads vs. no ads in books? Social reading behaviours are primary Federated search is evolving

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What do we need to know?

How do library databases and virtual services compare with other web experiences?

Who are our core virtual users? Are there gaps? Does learning happen? What are user expectations for true satisfaction? How does library search compare to consumer

search like Google and retail or government? How do people find and connect with library virtual

services? Are end users being successful in their POV? Are they happy? Will they come back? Tell a friend?

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Serve Everyone!

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The power of libraries

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It Takes A Team: Work Together & Pick Each Other Up

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It Gets Better.

Librarians can help.

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Stephen Abram, MLS, FSLAVP strategic partnerships and markets

Cengage Learning (Gale)Cel: 416-669-4855

[email protected]’s Lighthouse Blog

http://stephenslighthouse.comFacebook: Stephen Abram

LinkedIn / Plaxo: Stephen AbramTwitter: sabram

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