bubble distributions and dynamics: the expansion ...gang/eprints/eprintlovejoy/coalescence200… ·...

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1 Bubble distributions and dynamics: 2 The expansion-coalescence equation 3 S. Lovejoy 4 Department of Physics, McGill University, Montre ´al, Quebec, Canada 5 H. Gaonac’h 6 Centre for Research in Geochemistry and Geodynamics, Universite ´ du Que ´bec a ` Montre ´al, Montre ´al, Quebec, Canada 7 D. Schertzer 8 Centre d’Enseignement et de Recherche sur l’Eau, Ecole Nationale des Ponts et Chausse ´es, Marne-la-Valle ´e, France 9 Received 2 October 2003; revised 2 April 2004; accepted 8 June 2004; published XX Month 2004. 10 [1] As magma rises from depth, it forms bubbles by nucleation, followed by diffusion- 11 decompressive expansion. Expansion induces shearing, and shearing in turn causes 12 coalescence. As the bubbles grow larger, coalescence gradually becomes more efficient 13 and can be dominant. Coalescence first as a binary (bubble-bubble) and later as a 14 (possibly singular percolating) multibody process may thus be central to eruption 15 dynamics. Here we consider a binary coalescence model governed by the 16 Smoluchowski or coalescence/coagulation equation. The introduction of decompressive 17 expansion is theoretically straightforward and yields the nonlinear partial 18 integrodifferential expansion-coalescence equation; we argue that this is a good model 19 for bubble-bubble dynamics in a decompressing magma. We show that when the 20 collision/interaction kernel has the same form over a wide range of interaction volumes 21 (i.e., it is scaling), exact truncated power law solutions are possible irrespective of 22 the expansion and the collision rate histories. This enables us to reduce the problem to 23 a readily solvable linear ordinary differential equation whose solutions primarily 24 depend on the total integration integral. In this framework, we investigate the behavior 25 of several eruption models. The validity of the expansion coalescence model is 26 empirically supported by analysis of samples of pumice and lava. Theoretically, the 27 suggested power laws are indeed stable and attractive under a wide range of 28 conditions. We finally point out the effect of small perturbations and new ways to test 29 the theory. INDEX TERMS: 8414 Volcanology: Eruption mechanisms; 8439 Volcanology: Physics and 30 chemistry of magma bodies; 3220 Mathematical Geophysics: Nonlinear dynamics; 3210 Mathematical 31 Geophysics: Modeling; KEYWORDS: expansion-coalescence, bubbles, fragmentation 32 Citation: Lovejoy, S., H. Gaonac’h, and D. Schertzer (2004), Bubble distributions and dynamics: The expansion-coalescence 33 equation, J. Geophys. Res., 109, XXXXXX, doi:10.1029/2003JB002823. 35 1. Introduction 36 1.1. Role of Coalescence in Volcano Dynamics 37 [2] Volcanic bubble growth is a fundamental but not yet 38 fully understood part of both eruptive and effusive volcano 39 dynamics. The basic picture starts at depth (see Figure 1) 40 where the magma rises until nucleation starts. This occurs, 41 depending on the amount of gas initially dissolved in the 42 magma and on whether the latter is heterogeneous or 43 homogeneous [Mangan and Sisson, 2000], somewhere 44 between 200 and 60 MPa. This is followed by diffusion 45 and decompressive expansion. However, the rate of 46 coalescence-expansion will increase with the vesicularity 47 of the ascending magma; it can, at least in principle, 48 eventually become the dominant mechanism [Gaoanac’h 49 et al., 1996b]. Somewhere around 10 MPa the vesicularity 50 reaches a critical value of 70% (e.g., Sparks [1978] gives 51 75% and Gardner et al. [1996] gives 64%), the magma 52 fragments, and, if it is highly stressed, explosion occurs. 53 [3] Recently, there has been a growing consensus about 54 the importance of coalescence growth processes, at least for 55 large bubbles at high vesicularities. First, there is direct 56 evidence for this in dynamical laboratory experiments 57 [Manga and Stone, 1994]. There is also evidence for this 58 in natural samples; sections of volcanic products including 59 those from viscous magmas [e.g., Gaonac’h et al. , 60 2004] frequently display morphologies highly suggestive 61 of bubble shear and coalescence (see, e.g., Figure 2a). 62 Numerous empirical attempts to ‘‘decoalesce’’ bubbles JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH, VOL. 109, XXXXXX, doi:10.1029/2003JB002823, 2004 Copyright 2004 by the American Geophysical Union. 0148-0227/04/2003JB002823$09.00 XXXXXX 1 of 16

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Page 1: Bubble distributions and dynamics: The expansion ...gang/eprints/eprintLovejoy/coalescence200… · 63 before estimating their size distributions are based on this 64 conviction

1 Bubble distributions and dynamics:

2 The expansion-coalescence equation

3 S. Lovejoy4 Department of Physics, McGill University, Montreal, Quebec, Canada

5 H. Gaonac’h6 Centre for Research in Geochemistry and Geodynamics, Universite du Quebec a Montreal, Montreal, Quebec, Canada

7 D. Schertzer8 Centre d’Enseignement et de Recherche sur l’Eau, Ecole Nationale des Ponts et Chaussees, Marne-la-Vallee, France

9 Received 2 October 2003; revised 2 April 2004; accepted 8 June 2004; published XX Month 2004.

10 [1] As magma rises from depth, it forms bubbles by nucleation, followed by diffusion-11 decompressive expansion. Expansion induces shearing, and shearing in turn causes12 coalescence. As the bubbles grow larger, coalescence gradually becomes more efficient13 and can be dominant. Coalescence first as a binary (bubble-bubble) and later as a14 (possibly singular percolating) multibody process may thus be central to eruption15 dynamics. Here we consider a binary coalescence model governed by the16 Smoluchowski or coalescence/coagulation equation. The introduction of decompressive17 expansion is theoretically straightforward and yields the nonlinear partial18 integrodifferential expansion-coalescence equation; we argue that this is a good model19 for bubble-bubble dynamics in a decompressing magma. We show that when the20 collision/interaction kernel has the same form over a wide range of interaction volumes21 (i.e., it is scaling), exact truncated power law solutions are possible irrespective of22 the expansion and the collision rate histories. This enables us to reduce the problem to23 a readily solvable linear ordinary differential equation whose solutions primarily24 depend on the total integration integral. In this framework, we investigate the behavior25 of several eruption models. The validity of the expansion coalescence model is26 empirically supported by analysis of samples of pumice and lava. Theoretically, the27 suggested power laws are indeed stable and attractive under a wide range of28 conditions. We finally point out the effect of small perturbations and new ways to test29 the theory. INDEX TERMS: 8414 Volcanology: Eruption mechanisms; 8439 Volcanology: Physics and

30 chemistry of magma bodies; 3220 Mathematical Geophysics: Nonlinear dynamics; 3210 Mathematical

31 Geophysics: Modeling; KEYWORDS: expansion-coalescence, bubbles, fragmentation

32 Citation: Lovejoy, S., H. Gaonac’h, and D. Schertzer (2004), Bubble distributions and dynamics: The expansion-coalescence

33 equation, J. Geophys. Res., 109, XXXXXX, doi:10.1029/2003JB002823.

35 1. Introduction

36 1.1. Role of Coalescence in Volcano Dynamics

37 [2] Volcanic bubble growth is a fundamental but not yet38 fully understood part of both eruptive and effusive volcano39 dynamics. The basic picture starts at depth (see Figure 1)40 where the magma rises until nucleation starts. This occurs,41 depending on the amount of gas initially dissolved in the42 magma and on whether the latter is heterogeneous or43 homogeneous [Mangan and Sisson, 2000], somewhere44 between 200 and 60 MPa. This is followed by diffusion45 and decompressive expansion. However, the rate of46 coalescence-expansion will increase with the vesicularity

47of the ascending magma; it can, at least in principle,48eventually become the dominant mechanism [Gaoanac’h49et al., 1996b]. Somewhere around 10 MPa the vesicularity50reaches a critical value of �70% (e.g., Sparks [1978] gives5175% and Gardner et al. [1996] gives 64%), the magma52fragments, and, if it is highly stressed, explosion occurs.53[3] Recently, there has been a growing consensus about54the importance of coalescence growth processes, at least for55large bubbles at high vesicularities. First, there is direct56evidence for this in dynamical laboratory experiments57[Manga and Stone, 1994]. There is also evidence for this58in natural samples; sections of volcanic products including59those from viscous magmas [e.g., Gaonac’h et al.,602004] frequently display morphologies highly suggestive61of bubble shear and coalescence (see, e.g., Figure 2a).62Numerous empirical attempts to ‘‘decoalesce’’ bubbles

JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH, VOL. 109, XXXXXX, doi:10.1029/2003JB002823, 2004

Copyright 2004 by the American Geophysical Union.0148-0227/04/2003JB002823$09.00

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63 before estimating their size distributions are based on this64 conviction. Perhaps the most compelling argument for the65 central role of coalescence is the growing recognition that66 empirical bubble distributions follow power laws; that is,67 that the number density is of the form n(V ) � V�B�1,68 where V is the bubble volume and B is a scaling exponent69 [e.g., Gaonac’h et al., 1996a, 2004; Simakin et al., 1999;70 Blower et al., 2001; Klug et al., 2002] (Figure 2b).71 [4] Although with appropriate extra constraints/72 boundary conditions, it is theoretically possible to obtain73 power law distributions with pure nucleation-diffusion74 processes (e.g., Blower et al. [2001] for a four bubble75 hierarchical packing model) not only does coalescence76 provide a simple and natural intrinsic mechanism but, as77 emphasized by Gaonac’h et al. [1996b, 2004], binary78 coalescence immediately provides a unifying explanation79 for the apparent empirical universality of the exponent80 B � 0.85 in diverse volcanic products. Finally, using81 Monte Carlo simulations, Gaonac’h et al. [2003] have82 quantitatively shown how such power laws allow bubbles83 to be very efficiently ‘‘packed’’, effectively delaying the84 onset of ‘‘percolation’’ until vesicularities of the order of85 0.70 are reached. At the percolation point, bubbles overlap86 to such a degree that there is almost surely a single large87 (tentacle-like) bubble spanning an infinite system: the88 magma is effectively reduced to fragments by the network89 of overlapping bubbles. If it is stressed, this triggers an90 explosion. Note that this is very different from the usually91 postulated eruption mechanisms in which fragmentation is92 the consequence, not the cause, of either the stress or the93 strain rates exceeding critical thresholds. Note that here we94 are referring to power law (algebraic) number-size distri-95 butions; this should not be confused with the totally96 different single bubble growth rate which may also be a97 power law (see Appendix A).

98[5] Finally, we should mention that while our results may99help explain some of the early stages in the evolution of100foams, they are not expected to be relevant to the evolution101of foams per se. This is because bubble interactions in foams102are multibubble, not just binary. The picture that emerges103from this is one in which coalescence, both binary at lower104vesicularities and multibody near the percolation point, plays105a central role (see Figure 3 for a schematic). As before, it106starts with a rising magma with nucleation, diffusion,107decompressive expansion. However, diffusion and other108single bubble processes are linear in the number density109where as binary coalescence is quadratic. Eventually,

Figure 1. A schematic diagram showing the basic picturefor an explosive eruption. See color version of this figure inthe HTML.

Figure 2. (a) Digitization of a Minoan pumice samplefrom Santorini, more details on the eruption are given byGardner et al. [1996]. (b) Plots of the number of vesiclesfrom the digitized surface of a single Minoan eruptionvolcanic sample of size larger and smaller than A(A inmm2), N(A0 > A), N(A0 < A) versus A for sample inFigure 2a (these are integrals of n(A)). A line with slope B2

= 0.75 is shown (B2 = �slope, the subscript indicates thedimension of space of the sampling, for N(A0 < A) thecorresponding exponent for small bubbles is �0.20). Thecorresponding volume exponents are B = B3 = 0.85 (largebubbles) and +0.20 (small bubbles). To change dimensionfrom 2 to 3, we use B3 = 2B2/3 + 1/3 (which is strictly validfor convex bubbles [Gaonac’h et al., 1996a]).

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110 vesicularities can be high enough so that binary coalescence111 becomes dominant over single bubble processes; the coales-112 cence power law regime is established (the exact theoretical113 criterion for dominance is given by Gaonac’h et al.114 [1996b]). As the vesicularity increases further, the rates of115 ternary and higher-order collisions become dominant diverg-116 ing at a critical vesicularity Pc: at this point, the entire117 magma fragments [Gaonac’h et al., 2003]. In stressed118 magmas the fragmentation signals explosion; the process is119 suddenly quenched; the resulting samples display the entire120 range of bubbles. In effusive basalts the gas is nearly121 completely exsolved, equilibrium with atmospheric pressure122 is achieved, and the coalescence process has time to coalesce123 all the small bubbles while simultaneously decreasing the124 overall number density.

125 1.2. Modeling of Coalescence and the Coalescence126 Equation

127 [6] The understanding of bubble growth processes has128 mostly progressed in the areas of nucleation and diffusion,129 which are single bubble processes and are hence linear with130 respect to the bubble number density. They are relatively131 2tractable mathematically and have been studied in labo-132 ratory experiments [e.g., Simakin et al., 1999]. In contrast,133 coalescence is a binary (or higher-order) process and is134 hence nonlinear, accelerating notably as the vesicularity135 increases. Unfortunately, theoretical consideration of gen-136 eral coalescence processes would be intractable without a137 further guiding physical principle. Indeed, in spite of its138 potential importance, the coalescence equation has only139 occasionally been invoked in this context [Sahagian, 1985;140 Gaonac’h et al., 1996b].141 [7] In discussing effusive eruptions, it was argued142 [Gaonac’h et al., 1996b] that until the vesicularity was very143 high, coalescence was primarily (but not necessarily exclu-144 sively) a binary bubble interaction. This simplification145 allowed the (binary) coalescence equation to be invoked,146 enabling the estimation of the relative rates of formation of147 bubbles of different sizes. Application of the binary coales-

148cence equation showed that excluding decompression/149expansion which affects all bubbles by an equal factor, for150large bubbles coalescence can quickly become the dominant151process, at least if there is a high enough bubble collision152rate. The second application of the coalescence equation153was to argue that, when coalescence mechanism was154particularly efficient for bubbles of roughly the same size,155the process would have a cascade-like phenomenology.156Beyond that, the cascade model was not derivable from157the coalescence equation; indeed, Gaonac’h et al. [1996b]158proposed a quasi-steady state cascade process in which the159volume scaling exponent B was determined by conservation160of volume; hence it had to be near the value 1. Its deviation161from unity could not be determined by the model.

1621.3. A New Framework for Handling Coalescence:163Coalescence-Expansion Equation

164[8] The problem of binary collisions with the possibility165of ‘‘sticking’’ is important in many areas of science. The166mathematical formulation of the basic problem goes back to167Smoluchowski [1916]; the resulting equation has been var-168iously called the ‘‘Smoluchowski equation’’, ‘‘the coales-169cence equation’’, and the ‘‘coagulation equation’’ (see Drake170[1972] for an early review). Today, major application areas171include notably aerosol formation [see Friedlander, 1961;172Turco and Yu, 1999], hydrometeor growth [e.g., Sahagian,1731985; Brown, 1995], polymer growth [Lushnikov, 1972; Van174Dongen, 1987], nuclear reactions [e.g., Meunier and175Peschanski, 1992], and astrophysics (especially planetary176growth [e.g., Lee, 2000]). Although this is a nonlinear partial177integrodifferential equation, a great deal is now known about178long-time solutions, especially in the case where the funda-179mental interaction is ‘‘scaling’’ (i.e., when it depends only180on ratios of particle sizes, the basic mechanism is scale-181invariant). Of particular importance is the work by Van182Dongen and Ernst [1987, 1988] and Van Dongen [1987],183who provided a fairly complete classification of interaction184‘‘kernels’’ (see the function H in equation (1) below) as well185as corresponding large time and large particle behaviors.186[9] When the volcanic bubble collision/collection kernel187is scaling (sometimes also called ‘‘homogenous’’, see188below) these power law solutions are stable and attractive.189If the homogeneity exponent is b (see section 2), then the190stable solutions are power laws with exponents B = b and191we can now turn the argument around and conclude that the192observation of a distribution with a given B must have been193the result of coalescence with a homogeneous kernel with194scaling exponent b. The overall picture is thus of a dynam-195ically evolving (still possibly cascade-like, but not quasi-196steady state) cutoff power law distribution with an exponent197fundamentally determined by the exponent of the bubble198collision/collection kernel. Since pure coalescence doesn’t199alter the vesicularity (the total volume of the coalescing200bubbles is conserved in a pure coalescence process), we201must take into account expansion in order to obtain a202realistic overall picture of the bubble size distribution.203[10] Before continuing, we need a few words on the204structure of this paper. The writing has been a difficult task205since the main result, the existence of stable, attractive206truncated power law number distributions, is easy enough207to state, but its derivation is nevertheless technically com-208plex. We have attempted to put as many of the technical

Figure 3. A schematic of the emerging picture showingthe central role of coalescence. See color version of thisfigure in the HTML.

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209 derivations as possible in appendices where readers may210 consult them. For readers primarily interested in results, the211 key sections are section 2 where we introduce the notation212 and explain the assumptions, and section 3.4 where we give213 the basic truncated power law solutions. The rest of the214 paper consists of mathematical developments (sections 3.1215 and 3.2), consequences (section 3.3), summary of key216 results (section 3.4), consequences for large bubbles217 (section 3.5), empirical tests (section 3.6), and conclusions218 (section 4). Appendices A and C on single bubble processes219 and examples, respectively, are intended to be primarily220 pedagogical, whereas Appendix B is concerned with a221 technically difficult linear stability calculation which, while222 fundamentally important in justifying the use of the equa-223 tion in physical modeling, does not directly impinge on the224 rest of the development.

226 2. Expansion-Coalescence Equation

227 2.1. Mathematical Formulation of the Problem

228 [11] We first introduce the notation and equations; we then229 nondimensionalize them. The dimensional quantities will be230 written in bold, the nondimensional in plain (the only231 exception will be the time variable t; t will be the nondi-232 mensional time); see Table 1 for a symbols and definitions.233 Let the number density n(V, t) equal the number of bubbles234 with volumes between V and V + dV per unit volume (of235 space), x(t) be the rate of decompressive expansion (from236 any source) and let J(t) be the coalescence rate (the total237 change in bubble volume per unit time due to coalescence).238 The expansion-coalescence equation can thus be written

@n V ; tð Þ@t

¼� x tð Þ @ n V ; tð Þð Þ@V

þ j tð Þ

1

2

ZV0

H V � V 0;V 0ð Þn V � V 0; tð Þn V 0; tð ÞdV 0

�n V ; tð ÞZ10

H V ;V 0ð Þn V 0; tð ÞdV 0

266666664

377777775

ð1Þ

240 where V 0 is a dummy variable. The first term on the right-241 hand side represents the decompressive expansion of the242 bubble (see Appendix A for a detailed derivation), while the243 second term is due to coalescence; putting x(t) = 0 yields244 the standard (pure) coalescence equation. Although this245 notation for the coalescence processes may seem heavy, it is246 standard; in Appendix B we use a simpler though less247 conventional form. H(V, V 0) is the fraction of the overall248 coalescence per unit time which occurs between bubbles249 with volumes in the range V to V + dV and the range V 0 to250 V 0 + dV 0; it is the basic collision/collection ‘‘kernel’’ (the251 ‘‘kernel’’ of an integral is the basic function over which the252 integration is performed). Note that we do not consider253 the slightly more general case H(V, V 0, t) (i.e., the254 coalescence rate due to bubbles with volumes in the range255 V to V + dV and the range V 0 to V 0 + dV 0), where the256 factorization used here (H(V, V 0, t) = J(t)H(V, V 0)) is257 impossible. Such a factorization of the time dependence of258 the coalescence process is justified when the bubble-bubble259 interaction mechanism (H ) is fixed; only the coalescence260 rate J(t) changes in time (reflecting changes in viscosity,

261strain rates). The dimensions of J(t) are chosen to be262volume/time, this simplifies the nondimensionalization of263H; in the context of precise models of the interaction, it can264be given a physical interpretation (below). Considering now265the coalescence term, the first integral gives the time rate of266change of bubble density for volume V bubbles from267coalescence of smaller bubbles; the second integral accounts268for the loss of bubbles of size V due to coalescence with269either larger or smaller bubbles.270[12] Finally, the first term on the right of equation (1) is a271single bubble process term, the expansion of bubbles at272rate XT(dV/dt) = X(t)V; X > 0 corresponds to expansion,273X < 0 corresponds to contraction. If we add the term274�M(t)[@(nV1/3)/@V], where M(t) is the diffusion rate of the275dissolved gas into bubbles (dimensions area per unit time),276then equation (1) is an expansion-diffusion-coalescence277equation: see Appendix A for more information for this278and other single bubble processes and terms. In what follows,279we assume that the coalescence and expansion terms are280dominant. In Appendix B we show how to treat other single281bubble processes as small perturbations. Our results will only282depend on certain symmetries of the kernel H, and one283convergence property; these will be discussed below.

2842.2. Nondimensional Expansion-Coalescence Equation

285[13] The expansion-coalescence equation involves both286dimensions of time and volume. Nondimensionalizing the287volume can simply be accomplished by using the mean initial288bubble volumeV0 (the exact numerical value is unimportant):

V ¼ V=V 0

n ¼ V 20n

ð2Þ

290(note that the dimensions of n are volume�2 since n is the291number density per unit interval of bubble volume dV ).292Similarly, we have H(V, V 0) = H(V, V 0) is dimensionless.293We also have for the nondimensional expansion rate

x ¼ xJV 0 ð3aÞ

295Time can be nondimensionalized either by using the296expansion rate X or the coalesence rate J. It turns out to297be more convenient to use J:

t tð Þ ¼ V�10

Z t

0

J t 0ð Þdt0 ð3bÞ

299(assuming the process starts at t = 0). These definitions300permit us to write the following nondimensional expansion-301coalescence equation

@n

@t¼� x tð Þ @ Vnð Þ

@Vþ 1

2

ZV0

H V � V 0;V 0ð Þn V � V 0; tð Þ

n V 0; tð ÞdV 0 � n V ; tð ÞZ10

H V ;V 0ð Þn V 0; tð ÞdV 0 ð4Þ

3032.3. Scaling Symmetries of Interaction Kernel

3042.3.1. Scaling Symmetry (‘‘Homogeneous’’) Kernel305[14] The scaling symmetry is the basic assumption we306make. Physically, it is justified if over a range of volumes,307the coalescence mechanism involves no characteristic vol-308ume. More precisely, this means that if the volumes of the

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309 interacting bubbles are increased by a factor l that the310 interaction (the kernel H ) increases by a power of l;311 the form of H is therefore independent of the scale, it is312 scale-invariant.313 [15] Mathematically, for any bubble volume ratio l:

H lV ;lV 0ð Þ ¼ lbH V ;V 0ð Þ ð5aÞ

315 where b is the scaling/homogeneity exponent.316 [16] Although virtually all interaction kernels studied in317 the literature are scaling/homogeneous, the justification here318 is both theoretical and empirical. First, a scaling form is319 appropriate when there is no qualitative change in the320 coalescence mechanism over wide ranges of bubble vol-321 ume; such scaling (power law, with scale-invariant expo-322 nent) mechanisms are frequently obtained in fluid systems.323 Second, the scaling form can be justified ex post facto if the324 number densities do indeed display scaling (power law)325 regimes (as they appear to do here).326 2.3.2. Exchange Symmetry327 [17] If we also assume that the collisions are binary and328 that the mechanism depends only on the volumes, then we329 obtain an ‘‘exchange’’ symmetry:

H V ;V 0ð Þ ¼ H V 0;Vð Þ ð5bÞ

331Note that virtually all the kernels that have been studied in332the literature satisfy both the scaling and the exchange333symmetries 1 and 2, these properties are very general.334[18] Combining equation (5a) and (5b) and using l = V0/335V, we deduce

V bH 1;lð Þ ¼ V bH l; 1ð Þ ¼ H V ;V 0ð Þ ¼ H V 0;Vð Þ ð6aÞ

H 1;l�1�

¼ H l�1; 1�

¼ l�bH l; 1ð Þ ¼ l�bH 1;lð Þ ð6bÞ

3402.3.3. Convergence of the Nondimensional Interaction341Coefficient h0,0342[19] The final property that we will need is a bit technical;343it has to do with the convergence (finiteness) of various344coalescence integrals. Defining the dimensionless ‘‘interac-345tion coefficient’’ between bubbles h0,0:

h0;0 ¼Z10

1� 1

21þ lð Þb

�l�1�bH 1;lð Þdl

¼Z11

1þ lb � 1þ lð Þbh i

l�1�bH 1;lð Þdl ð7Þ

t1.1 Table 1. Symbols Used in the Text and Their Definitionsa

Symbol Meaningt1.2

V bubble volumet1.3V0 characteristic bubble volume used for nondimensionalizing the volumes (e.g., the initial mean volume)t1.4V*(t) truncation/cutoff bubble volume, roughly, the largest in the systemt1.5z V/V*(t)t1.6f(z) cutoff function specifying the exact form of the large V truncationt1.7g(z) subexponential part of f g(z) = f(z)ezt1.8t timet1.9t nondimensional timet1.10n(V, t) number density of bubbles between V and V + dVt1.11n0(t) time varying amplitude of the power law number densityt1.12H(V, V0) time-independent interaction kernel describing the interaction between bubbles of size V and V 0t1.13b basic scaling exponent for Ht1.14w scaling exponent for the extreme V falloff Ht1.15h0,0 fundamental interaction coefficientt1.16Hq,q0 generalized interaction coefficientt1.17x(t) expansion rate as a function of timet1.18

j(t) coalescence rate (the total volume of bubbles per unit volume of space created by coalescence per unit time)t1.19

m(t) diffusion rate as a function of timet1.20E(V, V0) dimensionless efficiency factor for collisions between bubbles size V, V0t1.21l scale ratiot1.22Du(V, V0) absolute velocity difference (shear) between bubbles volume V, V0t1.23u0(t) velocity of bubbles with the reference volume V0 (models with buoyancy generated shearing)t1.24g velocity exponent with respect to volume (models with buoyancy generated shearing)t1.25P(t) vesicularity, the fraction of the volume occupied by bubblest1.26P0 initial porosity of the system (when coalescence begins to act), equal to P(0)t1.27F total expansion (decompression) factor since the beginning of the coalescence process, equal to P(t)/P(0)t1.28pB numerical factor of order unity relating the porosity and cutoff V*t1.29G standard gamma functiont1.30G ratio by which the largest bubbles increase in size purely due to coalescence processest1.31w(V, t) rate of growth of a bubble of size Vt1.32d exponent of w with respect to Vt1.33

H interaction operator (Appendix B only)t1.34

a(V, t) an arbitrary number density (Appendix B only)t1.35b(V, t) an arbitrary number density (Appendix B only)t1.36N V1+B ‘‘compensated’’ number density (Appendix B only)t1.37N0 perturbation of N (Appendix B only)t1.38N0(q, t) Mellin transform of N0 (Appendix B only)t1.39wq relative perturbation in the Mellin transform of number density (Appendix B only)t1.40a an exponent in a model eruption characterizing an eruptiont1.41t0 a parameter indicating the (dimensionless) time of eruptiont1.42

aSymbols are in the approximate order in which they are introduced. In addition, we have used the convention that bold symbols are for dimensionalquantities, and standard symbols are for their dimensionless counterparts. The only exception is t (dimensional time) and t (dimensionless time).t1.43

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347 The equality of the two integrals follows from equation (6).348 We will need to assume that h0,0 converges; h0,0349 characterizes the intrinsic strength of the coalescence350 interaction, independently of any particular collision rate351 or number size distribution.352 [20] We shall see that at least in the power law domain of353 attraction (i.e., those initial conditions which evolve toward354 power law distributions), the main quantitative aspect of H355 which is important is given by h0,0. The subscripts ‘‘0,0’’356 are used because h0,0 is simply one of a hierarchy of357 coefficients defined by H; the other members of the hierar-358 chy turn out only to be important for the stability properties;359 see Appendix B.360 [21] To determine the conditions on H(V, V0) necessary361 for the convergence of h0,0, and following Van Dongen and362 Ernst [1987], we introduce a large l exponent w such that

H 1;lð Þ � lb�w; l � 1 ð8Þ

365 [22] Since for large l the bracketed term in equation (7) is366 of order unity when b < 1, we see that h0,0 converges when367 w > 0 (if b > 1, then convergence requires w > b � 1);368 convergence corresponds to Van Dongen and Ernst’s [1987]369 ‘‘class 1’’ kernel. If in addition, w > b, then the interactions370 are primarily among bubbles with similar volumes hence371 the large bubbles are mostly the result of a hierarchical372 series of coalescence of smaller nearly equisized bubbles:373 the coalescence process has a cascade phenomenology as374 described in Gaonac’h et al. [1996b].375 [23] It suffices for our results that H satisfies the fairly376 general properties 1–3. However, for concreteness, we note377 that still under fairly general conditions H is of the follow-378 ing form:

H V ;V 0; tð Þ ¼ E V ;V 0ð Þ V 1=3 � V 01=3� �2

#u V ;V 0; tð Þ ð9Þ

380 where Du(V, V0, t) is the absolute velocity difference (shear)381 between bubbles of size V, and V0 and E is the382 dimensionless efficiency factor: it is homogeneous of order383 b = 0 (see equation (5a)); that is., it depends only on the384 volume ratios l = V 0/V. The interpretation of equation (9) is385 straightforward; the middle term is the geometric cross386 section for collisions, and the collision rate depends on the387 velocity differences between the two bubbles. In a volcanic388 conduit, this velocity difference will arise primarily because389 of shearing: both because the overall flow rate is highest390 near the center of the conduit but also locally due to the391 expansion of bubbles as they rise.392 [24] The efficiency factor E is the fraction of collisions393 that result in coalescence. As discussed by Manga and394 Stone [1994], since small bubbles tend to flow around large395 bubbles, E(l) does indeed fall off, for large and small396 volume ratio l. Although the value of w is not known397 empirically, it is almost certainly >0 (implying convergence398 of h0,0) and could indeed be >b (�0.85 [Gaonac’h et al.,399 1996a, 2004]) as required for a cascade phenomenology.400 Although viscosity may influence the efficiency its effect401 will primarily be on the shear term. For example, if we402 assume that the bubbles follow the magma field (as, for403 example, in Plinian eruptions), then Du is proportional to404 the stress, inversely proportional to the local viscosity. The405 possible temporal variation of the latter will determine J.

406[25] To be even more explicit in our interpretation, it may407be useful to consider the expression Du(V, V0, t) used in408meteorology and introduced into volcanology by Sahagian409[1985] (here representing the absolute difference in bubble410velocities):

u V ; tð Þ ¼ u0 tð ÞVg ð10Þ

#u V ;V 0; tð Þ ¼ J tð Þ Vg � Vgj j

J tð Þ ¼ u0 tð ÞV 2=30 ð11Þ

414where u0(t) is the (generally time varying) velocity of the415bubble of volume V0 and g = b � 2/3 is the fundamental416velocity exponent. As mentioned by Gaonac’h et al.417[1996b], in low Reynolds number flows if we assume the418bubble velocities are purely due to buoyancy forces,419then we obtain g = 2/3 from dimensional analysis.420However, this is presumably not relevant in magmas421where buoyancy-induced shears are unlikely to be422important in comparison with dynamically imposed shears423(i.e., externally forced). Specific models such as this would424give a more precise physical interpretation of J; for425example u0(t)V0

2/3 is the mean volume swept out per unit426time by bubbles of volume V0.

4283. Solutions

4293.1. Vesicularity

430[26] The first step in the solution of the dimensionless431expansion-coalescence equation (4) is to obtain an equation432for the vesicularity. Defining the latter by

P tð Þ ¼Z10

Vn V ; tð ÞdV ð12Þ

434we can immediately obtain the equation for the evolution of435P by multiplying the expansion-coalescence equation (4) by436VdV and integrating over all V. This shows that the437coalescence terms do not change the vesicularity (this can438be seen by straightforward manipulations [see, e.g., Drake,4391972]; hence we obtain

dP

dt¼ Px tð Þ ð13Þ

441Equation (13) is just a restatement of the fact that in the442expansion-coalescence equation, the vesicularity is entirely443determined by the decompressive expansion effect (what-444ever its origins): on its own, coalescence conserves the445vesicularity. Solving this equation, we obtain:

P tð ÞP 0ð Þ ¼ F tð Þ ¼ exp

Zt0

x t0ð Þdt024

35 ¼ exp

Z t

0

tð Þdt

24

35 ð14Þ

447where F is the intrinsically dimensionless total (time448integrated) decompressive expansion factor since the449beginning of the expansion. Note that physically, P(t) 1;450in addition the equations will no longer be valid when P451approaches the percolation threshold where ternary and

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452 higher-order bubble interactions become important (for B =453 0.85, this is near 70%; see Gaonac’h et al. [2003]).454 Equation (14) establishes a one-to-one relation between the455 nondimensional time t and the vesicularity; in principle it456 can be inverted: all the solutions developed below can457 therefore be expressed purely in terms of P, not t.

458 3.2. Scaling Solutions

459 [27] A basic mathematical property of the coalescence460 equation known since the 1970s is that if B = b, then the461 pure scaling function

n V ; tð Þ ¼ n0 tð ÞV�1�B ð15Þ

463 is a solution of equation (4); n0(t), which contains all the464 time varying information, is the ‘‘amplitude’’ of the number465 density n(V, t). In this case, we find by substitution of466 n(V, t) from equation (15) into equation (4) that n0(t)

�1, is467 a solution of the first-order, ordinary linear differential468 equation

dn�10

dtþ Bxn�1

0 ¼ h0;0 ð16Þ

470 where h0,0 is the coalescence interaction coefficient471 (equation (7)). Since the term in the parentheses in472 equation (7) is >0 for b < 1 and <0 for b > 1, we find473 h0,0 > 0 for b < 1; and h0,0 < 0 for b > 1; the fact that h0,0 > 0474 for b < 1 indicates that for x = 0 (pure coalescence) n0(t)475 decreases under the action of coalescence whereas for b > 1476 n0(t) increases.477 [28] As it stands, this exact solution is of purely academic478 interest, since in general, pure power law number densities479 are physically unacceptable because of various divergences480 (infinities) that they imply. Various truncations/cutoffs are481 necessary in order for them to be useful physical models.482 The full details for any value of B are given by Gaonac’h et483 al. [1996a], here for brevity, we only consider the cases 0 <484 B < 1, B > 1.485 [29] 1. When 0 < B < 1 (the range apparently486 empirically relevant for magma), the total number of487 bubbles per volume

Rn(V )dV diverges rather due to

488 the small V behavior. This is generally not physically489 important and can be avoided if necessary by the490 introduction of a small volume cutoff in the distribution491 so that the power law only holds for larger V. What is492 more serious is that the total vesicularity

RVn(V )dV also

493 diverges but is due to the large V behavior. This is physically494 unacceptable and requires a large V truncation/cutoff at V*.495 The bubble with volumes near V* thus give the dominant496 contribution to the total vesicularity (full details are given497 below).498 [30] 2. When B > 1, the total number density still diverges499 due to the small V behavior; however, now the vesicularity500 also diverges due to this small V behavior so that a small V501 cutoff is absolutely necessary. In contrast, at large V there is502 no longer any problem, the large bubbles are simply too rare503 to give a significant contribution to the total vesicularity.504 This is the range of B which is apparently relevant for505 multibody coalescence (‘‘percolation’’ [see Gaonac’h et al.,

5062003]) and for posteruption volcanic product fragments [see507Kaminski and Jaupart, 1998].

5083.3. Similarity Solutions With a Cutoff V***(t)

509[31] We are now in a position to present the central results510of the paper. We have mentioned that the problem with the511pure power law solution (equation (15)) is that for B < 1, the512vesicularity diverges; we therefore need to introduce a513cutoff at large V. The simplest way to do this is to generalize514slightly the similarity method of Friedlander [1961], i.e., to515introduce the following ansatz (functional form):

n V ; tð Þ ¼ n0 tð ÞV�1�Bf zð Þ

z ¼ V

V* tð Þð17Þ

517where f is a cutoff function and V*(t) is the volume cutoff518(for a given f, V* will determine the vesicularity; see519below). As the overall vesicularity increases because of520compressive expansion, V*, which is essentially the largest521bubble in the system, will evolve, as will the amplitude522n0(t); they are both required to determine the vesicularity.523[32] We can now use the result of Van Dongen and Ernst524[1987], who show that the leading large V behavior is525exponential; this suggests the following:

f zð Þ ¼ e�zg zð Þ ð18Þ

527where g(z) is expected to be slowly varying (subexponen-528tial). Substituting this ansatz into the coalescence-expansion529equation (4) and using relation (23a) below between P and530V* to eliminate @z/@t, we obtain

dn�10

dtþ Bxn�1

0

� �g zð Þ 1� z

1� B

� �þ z

1� Bg0 zð Þ

� �

¼Z10

e�zlg zð Þg lzð Þl�1�BH 1;lð Þdl

�Z11

gz

1þ l

� �g

zl1þ l

� �1þ ll

� �B

H 1;lð Þl�1dl ð19Þ

532Dividing both sides by the second term in parentheses on533the left, we find that the left-hand side is only a function of534time, while the right-hand side is only a function of z; hence535using standard separation of variables arguments, they must536each be equal to a constant. Without loss of generality, we537can choose the constant is h0,0 so that the equation for n0(t)538is the same as that without the truncation:

dn�10

dtþ Bxn�1

0 ¼ h0;0 ð20Þ

540while g(z) satisfies

h0;0 g zð Þ 1� z

1� B

� �þ z

1� Bg0 zð Þ

h i

¼Z10

ezlg zð Þg lzð Þl�1�BH 1;lð Þdl�Z11

gz

1þ l

� �g

zl1þ l

� �

1þ ll

� �B

H 1;lð Þl�1dl ð21Þ

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542 We can now verify by substituting z = 0, that g(0) = 1. For543 the large z behavior, substitution of the ansatz g � za shows544 that for any scaling H exponent b = B, we obtain a = 1, i.e.,545 g is asymptotically linear; we conclude

g zð Þ � 1; z � 0

z z � 1ð22Þ

547 so that g(z) is indeed slowly varying (subexponential; i.e.,548 negligible with respect to an exponential) as required. If H549 is known, equation (21) can be solved numerically for g;550 however, the exact solution will only lead to small (second-551 order) changes in the n(V, t); the first-order effect only552 depends on the interaction kernel H via h0,0.553 [33] In order to determine V* (parameterized by t or t) we554 use the vesicularity relation, equation (14) with f(z) =555 e�zg(z):

P tð Þ ¼ pBn0 tð ÞV* tð Þ1�B

1� B

pB ¼ 1� Bð ÞZ10

e�zz�Bg zð Þdzð23aÞ

557 The constant pB depends only on H and B; the factor 1 � B558 in the definition is chosen since for all g, it gives

pB � O 1ð Þ ð23bÞ

560 [34] For example, in the case of a step-function-type cutoff562 function: g(z) = 1, z < 1, g(z) = 0, z > 1, it gives pB = 1,563 whereas for g(z) = 1 it gives pB = (1 � B)G(1 � B); which564 implies 0.8856 < pB < 1 for 0 < B < 1. Since g(z) is slowly565 varying with g(0) = 1, we therefore expect pB to be close to566 1; pB can also be estimated empirically as described below.567 [35] The solution for the first-order, linear ordinary dif-568 ferential equation for the reciprocal of the amplitude of the569 number density n0

�1 (equation (20)) is straightforward570 (using for example the method of integrating factors); we571 obtain

n�10 tð Þ ¼ P tð Þ

P 0ð Þ

� ��B

n�10 0ð Þ þ h tð Þ

h tð Þ ¼ h0;0P�B tð Þ

Zt0

PB t0ð Þdt0ð24Þ

573 where h(t) is the particular solution; t0 is a dummy variable,574 physically h(t) represents the total coalescence interaction575 of the volcanic bubbles up to time t, Figure 4 shows a576 schematic. Appendix B now shows that the solutions are577 stable and attractive implying that initial distributions which578 are not truncated power laws will, nevertheless, tend to579 evolve toward such solutions, as long as they are within the580 power law domain of attraction; i.e., this can remain true581 even in the presence of diffusion and other perturbing582 processes.

583 3.4. Summary of the Key Results

584 [36] Starting from an initial truncated power law solution,585 equations (17), (18), (23a), and (24) are the solutions for586 the entire system; for any scaling interaction kernel, any587 coalescence-expansion history. Perhaps the simplest way to

588display the solution is to parameterize the process using the589porosity. In this case these key equations can be written as

h Pð Þ ¼ h0;0P�B

ZPP0

P0BdP0

dP0=dt0ð Þ ¼ h0;0P�B

ZPP0

P0B�1 dP0

x P0ð Þ

n0 Pð Þ ¼ n0 P0ð ÞP�B0

P�B þ P�B0 h Pð Þ

V* Pð Þ ¼ 1� Bð ÞPpB

� �1= 1�Bð Þn0 P0ð Þ�1= 1�Bð Þ� 1� Bð ÞP

n0 P0ð Þ

� �1= 1�Bð Þ

n V ;Pð Þ ¼ n0 Pð ÞV�1�Be�V=V*gV

V*

� �� n0 Pð ÞV�1�Be�V=V*

ð25Þ

591where P0 = P(0) is the initial vesicularity. In order to use592equation (25) to determine the number density of the593vesicles, as a preliminary, we must first start with the594interaction kernel H and calculate the interaction coefficient595h0,0. For mathematically exact solutions, we must also plug596H into equation (19) and then solve it for g; from g we597calculate pB (equation (23a)). In actual fact, we expect to598obtain excellent approximations with pB = g = 1 (hence the599approximate equalities on the far right of equation (25)).600This preliminary step just depends on the type of interaction;601H. For the next step, we require information about the602particular magma history: more precisely, we need the603vesicularity history P(t) which relates the porosity and604(nondimensional) time. From this, we calculate the total605interaction h(P) (top line of equation (25), it is obtained from606equation (24) writing the integral for h in terms of P(t) rather607than t(P); since t is empirically inaccessible, it may be more608practical to use the relation dt = dP/(Px) obtained from609equation (13)). We can then compute the number density610amplitude n0(P) (second line, it is also obtained from611equation (24)). Finally, we calculate the cutoff V* which is612the largest vesicle volume can be determined by inverting613equation (23a) (more precisely, V* is the characteristic614exponential volume cutoff; there will be a few slightly larger615vesicles). The actual number density is finally given by using616the above values of n0(P), V* in equation (17) with f (V/617V*) = e�(V/V*) and g either = 1 (the approximation) or g is the618solution of equation (19) as indicated above. Appendix C619gives a number of analytic examples.620[37] A few comments are in order. First, h(t) represents621the total coalescence interaction over the entire duration of622the expansion/coalescence process. With pure decompres-623sive expansion, h0,0 = 0, and h(t) = 0 while for pure624coalescence, h(t) = h0,0. From equation (24), we see that625the relative importance of h(t) with respect to [P(t)/626P(0)]�Bn0

�1 (0) determines the importance of coalescence627with respect to pure decompressive expansion. Assuming a628constant decompressive expansion rate x0, we already629obtain the simple solution of equation (24):

n�10 Pð Þ ¼ n�1

0 P0ð Þ P

P0

� ��B

þ h0;0

Bx01� P

P0

� ��B !

ð26Þ

631So that for large enough expansion ratios P/P0, the632distribution achieves an asymptotic state independent of633the initial n0 (P0): n0(t) � (Bx0/h0,0). A useful general634result illustrated by the models in Appendix C is that since

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635 in h(t), (P(t0)/P(t))B < 1 we therefore have h(t) < th0,0 and636 for many models/scenarios, h(t) � th0,0. Although they are637 of somewhat academic interest, various simplified (analyt-638 ically tractable) models are discussed in Appendix C.

639 3.5. Coalescence Enhancement of the Large Bubbles

640 [38] The main effect of the coalescence is to attract the641 distribution of bubbles to the truncated power law form; this642 will occur even if the total interaction between these643 bubbles h(t) is not so large. However, when h(t) becomes644 important, coalescence can also greatly enhance the size of645 the large bubbles with respect to the small ones. Using646 equations (23a) and (24) we can obtain a formula for the647 ‘‘enhancement,’’ i.e., the factor G above and beyond the648 effect of pure decompressive expansion:

G ¼ V* Pð ÞV* P0ð Þ

� �=

P

P0

� �¼ 1þ 1� Bð Þ

pBP0

P

P0

� �B

h

" #1= 1�Bð Þ

ð27Þ

650 Equation (27) shows that there are two coalescence regimes.651 When the interaction is small enough, i.e., when

1� Bð ÞpB

P0

P

P0

� �B

h < 1 ð28Þ

653 then G(1) � 1 and coalescence can be ignored. If we assume654 that the final vesicularity P � 1 and since B � 1, P0

1�B � 1,655 pB � 1, we obtain (1 � B)h < 1. In the case of constant

656decompressive expansion rate, we further obtain h � h0,0/657Bx0 so that the weak coalescence condition reduces to

h0;0 <Bx01� Bð Þ ð29Þ

659When the interaction is weak enough or the expansion rate660strong enough, coalescence is unimportant (see, however,661some of the singular examples in Appendix C).662[39] Conversely, when the interaction coefficient between663bubbles h0,0 is large enough, coalescence can give a large664enhancement of the size of the large bubbles. Under the665same assumptions on pB, h, P we obtain

G � P0

P

1� Bð Þh0;0Bx0

� �1= 1�Bð Þ;G > 1 ð30Þ

667Even if the interaction coefficient is not very large, we may668still conclude that the main effect of coalescence is to669establish the stable power law form. In any case, it is an670important empirical task to estimate h0,0. As an indication of671the type of behavior that we might expect, we can illustrate672it by using the particular kernel of equation (9) (with Du673given by equation (11)) and assuming a pure power law674E(l) = l�w (l > 1). Figure 5 shows the result, indicating675that h0,0 < 1 for all w > 0.46 (diverging, however, as w! 0).

6763.6. Empirical Tests

677[40] The nondimensional solutions we have obtained for678the amplitude of the distribution n0(t) are not always the679most convenient. In practice it is sometimes more conve-680nient (see below) to define a new (dimensional) density681amplitude factor n0*(t):

n0* tð Þ ¼ n V*; tð Þ e

g 1ð Þ ð31Þ

683so that the basic solution (equation (17)) can be written

n V ; tð Þ ¼ n0* tð Þ V

V* tð Þ

� ��1�B

e�V=V* tð ÞgV

V* tð Þ

� �ð32Þ

686[41] This leads to

n0*V*2 ¼ 1� Bð ÞpB

P ¼ n0V* 1�Bð Þ ð33Þ

688or

n0 ¼ n0*V* 1þBð Þ ð34Þ

689the couple (n*, V*) provides a convenient characterization691of the distribution since it is determined directly by the692truncation point on a log-log plot of n (Figure 4). Using693equations (27) and (14), we have

n0* tð Þ ¼ G tð Þ�2F tð Þ�1

n0* 0ð Þ ð35Þ

695Although the theory can be tested without knowing the696actual time elapsed, only the vesicularity P and large bubble697growth factors F (pure decompressive expansion) and G

Figure 4. (top) Effect of pure coalescence when B < 1,h0,0 > 1 so that n0 decreases in time. On a log-log plot thedistributions shift downward, while the cutoff (V*)increases. (bottom) Effect of pure decompressive expansion.All bubbles increase in size by the same factor, and thedistribution is shifted to the right. See color version of thisfigure in the HTML.

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698 (coalescence enhancement) are needed, this information699 may still be difficult to obtain since the only easily700 accessible bubble distribution information is from solidified701 samples. This explains why for the moment, the main702 empirical test of the theory is the near power law703 distributions observed in both lava and pumice as demon-704 strated in Figure 2 [see also Gaonac’h et al., 1996a, 2004].705 However, even at a single time further information may be706 obtainable; it may be possible to empirically confirm the707 near exponential nature of the large V cutoff: according to708 equation (31), we expect log(n(V)V1+B) to be linear with709 V(=�V/V* + log(g)) which could be used to estimate V*,710 and hence g(1), n0* from equations (31) and (32). We could711 also empirically estimate pB by estimating P(t) and using712 equation (23). Unfortunately, the key dynamical parameters713 w (characterizes the interaction between bubbles of very714 different sizes, equation (8)), h0,0 (the interaction coeffi-715 cient, equation (7)), h(t) (the total coalescence interaction716 up to time t, equation (24)), are not directly accessible from717 single samples at a single time.718 [42] If identical bubbling melts could be frozen after719 different degrees of decompression in controlled laboratory720 experiments, then this would furnish the information (e.g.,721 Simakin et al., 1999). Alternatively, we may be able to use722 statistics on measured V*, n* parameters. At present, the723 only possibility is to follow the approach of Herd and724 Pinkerton [1997] who argue that in volcanic bombs, the725 change in the bubble size distribution from the center to the726 edge of the bomb is primarily governed by the cooling727 process that is fastest near the surface. The expansion-728 coalescence process therefore has more time to act near729 the central region than near the periphery; by comparing the730 distributions near the center and edge we might therefore be731 able to test the theory and estimate the function h(P).732 [43] To illustrate the idea, in Figure 6 we replot the733 distributions from Herd and Pinkerton’s [1997, Figure 8]734 sample RH/S9. Although the data are noisy (the sample size735 was inevitably not large), we see that the theoretical power736 law behavior is reasonably followed for the large bubbles.737 The rapid rate of bubble falloff of the large edge bubbles is738 as roughly predicted by the exponential truncation theory,

739although it may be influenced by large bubbles directly740degassing to the atmosphere. In addition, the physical741properties change rapidly near the edge and the actual742distribution measured is thus somewhat of a mixture of743bubbles, which were ‘‘frozen in’’ at slightly different times744(rather than at the same time as assumed for the purposes of745this analysis). We now consider that the distribution at746different distances from the center represents identically747evolving distributions arrested at various t. We have from748equations (33) and (35):

n0;edge*

n0;center�¼ G centerð Þ2F centerð Þ

G edgeð Þ2F edgeð ÞV edge*

V center*¼ G edgeð ÞF edgeð Þ

G centerð ÞF centerð Þ

ð36Þ

750From the graph, we find n0 center* /n0 edge* = 10�0.8, and Vcenter* /751Vedge* = 100.6; hence P(center)/P(edge) = F(center)/F(edge)752= 100.4 and G(center)/G(edge) = 100.2. The estimate753of F(center)/F(edge), which is roughly equal to the754vesicularity ratio estimated by Herd and Pinkerton [1997]755(0.60/0.25 = 2.4). Clearly, this method could be applied to756intermediate distances between the center and the edge thus757yielding the function G(F ) which could then be analyzed.758[44] If a cooling curve for the sample could be estab-759lished, then the distance from the edge of the sample would760give us the relative times. By systematically comparing the761number distributions as functions of distance from the edge,762we could then estimate (n0*(t), V*(t)) as well as P(t). We763could then directly exploit equation (20) in the form

P�B tð Þd PB tð Þn�1

0 tð Þ�

dt¼ h tð Þ ð37Þ

765for small enough time intervals, the derivative could be766numerically estimated and hence h(t) could be determined.767Similarly, the expansion rate could be estimated by

x tð Þ ¼ d logPð Þdt

768from the vesicularity values. Once P, x and the collision rate770j are known, then h(t) could be determined. Clearly, large771data sets would have to be analyzed to establish if the772assumptions of this method are really valid and to improve773the statistical significance of the result.

7754. Conclusions

776[45] Magma rising from depth exsolves gas first by777nucleation, diffusion, and decompressive expansion, even-778tually obtaining high vesicularities prior to fragmentation779and explosion. As the bubbles grow, single bubble process-780es such as diffusion become increasingly less efficient781whereas coalescence becomes more efficient; the expand-782ing, rising bubbles induce shearing in the magma, and783shearing induces coalescence; it is difficult to avoid the784conclusion that binary coalescence plays a dominant role –785at least for the larger bubbles at the higher vesicularities. At786high enough vesicularities, binary coalescence itself787becomes dominated by ternary and higher-order interactions788until, as discussed by Gaonac’h et al. [2003], a critical

Figure 5. Interaction coefficient h0,0 as a function of theexponent w of the collision efficiency (estimated using thegeometric cross section asdiscussed in section2, equations (9)and (11)). A large w indicates interactions are inefficientunless the bubbles have nearly the same size (see thedefinition equation (8)).

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789 percolation threshold is reached where the magma essen-790 tially fragments due to an infinite network of tentacle-like791 overlapping bubbles. Binary coalescence plays a fundamen-792 tal role since the exponent it apparently establishes793 [Gaonac’h et al., 2004] allows the magma to avoid perco-794 lation until realistic values of 70% are achieved. The795 observed scaling of the bubble distribution turns out to796 provide exactly the necessary ‘‘packing’’ efficiencies.797 [46] We argued that to a good approximation, over a wide798 range of vesicularities and conditions (e.g., pumice and799 lavas), that bubble dynamics can be reasonably modeled800 by the decompression and coalescence of an initial distri-801 bution of small bubbles using the (binary) expansion-802 coalescence equation. A typical scenario would be the803 decompression of rising magma followed by exsolution of804 gas around nucleation centers. As the magma continues to805 rise, these small bubbles expand. At some critical but small806 gas concentration level, coalescence starts to dominate the807 diffusion and surface tension effects, first for the large808 bubbles, then eventually for all but the smallest. Eventually,809 near the percolation threshold, multibody coalescence takes810 over, but binary coalescence has already played a key role811 primarily in establishing a power law bubble distribution,812 and also in enhancing the size of the largest bubbles. Our813 theory applies to the expansion- coalescence dominated814 regime; we considered first pure expansion-coalescence,815 and then consider surface tension and diffusion as additional816 small perturbations. The strongest support for the model is817 the growing empirical evidence in favor of power law818 number densities.819 [47] The basic physical assumption is that the collision/820 interaction kernel is scaling so that over a wide range, the821 fundamental interaction mechanism depends only on the822 ratios of the volumes of the interacting bubbles. This

823assumption is almost universally made in the coalescence824literature and can be at least partially justified on the basis825of fluid mechanical considerations. The key result is that826exact truncated power law solutions are possible for any827expansion rate history (x(t)). By systematically exploiting828these stable attractive solutions, we reduce the problem829from a nonlinear integropartial differential equation into a830simple initial value problem: a first-order linear ordinary831differential equation for the inverse bubble density ampli-832tude n0(t)

�1.833[48] By considering several eruption scenarios (including834eruption events as singularities in the relative expansion-835collision rates) it was found that as long as the bulk of the836expansion occurred early in the overall coalescence process,837that the result (determined by the collision integral h(t))838was quite insensitive to the details.839[49] Although the cutoff power law solutions are mathe-840matically exact, they would be physically irrelevant if they841were unstable. In Appendix B we therefore performed linear842stability analysis and derived the conditions under which the843power law solutions are stable to small perturbations. We844also showed how to take into account diffusion and surface845tension effects as small perturbations: they both will846increase the instability of the singular (q > 0) perturbations,847i.e., lead to breaks in the scaling at small volumes, as848observed. A remarkable aspect of the problem is that most849of the details of the coalescence interaction kernel are850irrelevant; it is primarily the interaction coefficient h0,0851and the scaling exponent B, which are important. The other852details of the coalescence kernel (hq,q0 in Appendix B)853simply determine the stability of the scaling solutions to854perturbations.855[50] So far, the empirical support for this theory has come856almost exclusively from the basic scaling symmetry appar-857ently respected by bubble size distributions in pumice and858lavas. Beyond this, it is not obvious how to test the theory; to859do so would require knowledge about the temporal evolution860of the bubble size distribution. We suggest a possible method861based on the work ofHerd and Pinkerton [1997], which uses862volcanic bombs. The idea is that because of differential863cooling of the bomb after eruption/ejection the outside and864inside have different bubble distributions due to the longer865time available for coalescence near the center. By reanalyz-866ing some of their data we show how this can be used to867obtain information about the fundamental interaction inte-868gral. Unfortunately, information about the fundamental869interaction coefficient h0,0 will probably require laboratory870experiments involving binary bubble events.871[51] Although it is generally recognized that coalescence872processes are important in the evolution of bubble popula-873tions in magma, the theoretical treatment of the (linear)874single bubble growth processes has been so much easier that875attention has often been focused on the corresponding876diffusion and surface tension mechanisms. However, in this877paper, the simplifications introduced promise to make the878study of coalescence much easier. Indeed, this reduction879coupled with the agreement between the power laws880behavior predicted by the expansion-coalescence equation881and the empirical vesicle distributions found in a wide882variety of lava and pumice samples, make this approach883quite seductive. However, it should be recalled that use of a884slightly different scaling symmetry by Gaonac’h et al.

Figure 6. Replot of distributions from Herd and Pinkerton[1997, Figures 8a and 8c] for the ‘‘edge’’ (triangles) and‘‘center’’ (circles). The edge distribution has been multi-plied by 10�0.8 (a downward shift of 0.8 corresponding ton0 center* /n0 edge* = 10�0.8), and a rightward shift of 100.2

(corresponding to Vcenter* /Vedge* = 100.6, i.e., the ratio of thelarge bubble volumes). Note that using n0* rather than n0 is abit easier since we attempt to superpose the entire curvesrather than just the small r part. The straight line has thetheoretical slope �(3B + 1) = �3.55. Units are r in m and nin m�3(mm�1).

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885 [2003] led to similar power law distributions but implicitly886 involved ternary and higher-order interactions. Much more887 work, including laboratory studies of bubble interactions,888 will be therefore be needed.

889 Appendix A: Single Bubble Processes:890 Expansion, Diffusion, and Surface Tension

891 [52] In most bubble growth processes (expansion, diffu-892 sion, surface tension) we can neglect direct bubble-bubble893 interactions and consider the bubbles in isolation. In this894 appendix, we consider such single bubble processes and show895 how they modify the (two bubble) coalescence equation.896 [53] In single bubble processes, the rate of change in897 volume w depends only on the volume and time:

dV

dt¼ w V ; tð Þ ðA1Þ

899 [54] As concerns equation (1) (the partial differential900 equation for @n/@t), these single bubble processes contrib-901 ute the terms:

� @ nwð Þ@V

ðA2Þ

904 [55] The single bubble processes of interest are of the905 form

wðV ; tÞ ¼ mðtÞVd ðA3Þ

906 for diffusion we have d = 1/3, m > 0, and Ostwald ripening,908 d = 0, m > 0, surface tension, d = 2/3, m < 0. (Strictly909 speaking, Ostwald ripening is a multibubble process;910 however, the usual ‘‘mean field’’ treatment allows it to be911 treated as an ‘‘effectively’’ single bubble process with the912 rate given above.) Note that even if w(V, t) is a power law913 function of volume (and considering only single body914 processes), the evolving number density will be a power law915 in V only if very special initial conditions and/or constraints916 are imposed. For example, it is usually assumed that917 diffusion gives rise to an exponential n(V, t), but Blower et918 al. [2001] argue that special hierarchically organized (i.e.,919 scaling) constraints could enable diffusion to produce a920 power law n(V, t).921 [56] The main case of interest here is the case of expan-922 sion (d = 1); we introduce the (generally) time varying923 expansion coefficient (x(t), i.e., w(V, t) = Vx(t)) which924 determines how individual bubbles size V will expand in925 time:

dV

dt¼ x tð ÞV ðA4Þ

927 (x > 0 corresponds to expansion). Mathematically, expan-928 sion is particularly simple since the term it contributes is929 ‘‘equidimensional’’ (here, this means invariant if the bubble930 volumes are replaced by volumes l times larger, see931 equation (A2)).932 [57] Specializing to the expansion case of primary interest933 here, we obtain the expansion-coalescence equation (4).934 Equation (4) has been considered in the context of cloud

935drop growth by Srivastava and Passarelli [1980] (who936showed how it could be reduced, by transformation of937variables, to a pure coalescence problem). Generalizations938to arbitrary power law growth laws have been considered in939the polymer physics literature [Cueille and Sire, 1997].

940Appendix B: Stability of the Power Law Solutions

941B1. Linear Stability

942[58] The coalescence-expansion equations are nonlinear;943hence there is the possibility that the exact solutions944discussed above may be unstable and hence be physically945irrelevant. Van Dongen and Ernst [1987] use scaling argu-946ments on the pure coalescence equation to argue that for a947wide variety of initial conditions, at large times the cutoff948power law will be obtained. To our knowledge, however,949direct investigation of the stability using linear stability950theory has not been performed. In this appendix we consider951the linear stability of the pure power law solution of the952coalescence-expansion equation. To simplify the equations953and to simultaneously emphasize the quadratic nonlinearity954with respect to n, we introduce the following quantum955mechanical like ‘‘bra’’ and ‘‘ket’’ notation:

hn V ; tð ÞjH jn V ; tð Þi ¼ � 1

2

ZV0

H V � V 0;V 0ð Þ

n V � V 0; tð Þn V 0; tð ÞdV 0

þ n V ; tð ÞZ10

H V ;V 0ð Þn V 0; tð ÞdV 0 ðB1aÞ

957which indicates the operator H acting on the function n; the958resulting dimensionless expansion coalescence equation can959now be written

@n V ; tð Þ@t

¼ �x tð Þ @ n V ; tð Þð Þ@V

� hn V ; tð ÞjH jn V ; tð Þi ðB1bÞ

960This makes the writing much more compact while962emphasizing the quadratic nonlinearity with respect to n.963[59] Continuing to simplify notation, we introduce the964normalized density:

N V ; tð Þ ¼ VBþ1n V ; tð Þ ðB2aÞ

966which satisfies

@N V ; tð Þ@t

¼ �x tð ÞVBþ1 @ V�BN� @V

� NjHjNh i ðB2bÞ

968with the normalized kernel H defined by

a Hj jbh i ¼ VBþ1 aV�B�1 Hj jbV�B�1� �

ðB3Þ

970for any functions a(V, t), b(V, t). Finally, define the971V-independent generalized interaction coefficient hq,q0:

V�q Hj jV�q0D E

¼ V�q�q0hq;q0 ðB4Þ

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973 Note that the pure power law solution n(V, t) = n0(t)V�1�B

974 corresponds to N(V, t) = n0(t). Introduce N0(V, t) which is

975 the perturbation around the pure power law solution:

N V ; tð Þ ¼ n0 tð Þ þ N0 V ; tð Þ ðB5Þ

976 substituting this into equation (B2) and identifying the978 V-dependent and V-independent terms, we obtain the979 unperturbed equation

dn�10

dtþ Bxn�1

0 ¼ h0;0 ðB6aÞ

980 for n0(t), yielding the solution

n�10 tð Þ ¼ n�1

0 0ð ÞF�B tð Þ þ h tð Þ ðB6bÞ

983 (F(t) = P(t)/P(0)) and the following equation for the984 perturbation:

@N0 V ; tð Þ@t

¼� x tð ÞVBþ1 @ V�BN0� @V

� n0 tð Þ

½ 1 Hj jN0h i þ N0 Hj1j ih � � N0 Hj jN0h i ðB7Þ

986 The linear perturbation equation is obtained by neglecting987 the quadratic term hN0jHjN0i. Since homogeneous kernels988 have simple behaviors for power law distributions, it is989 convenient to introduce the Mellin transform and its inverse:

N0 q; tð Þ ¼Z10

N0 V ; tð ÞVq�1dV

N0 V ; tð Þ ¼ 1

2pi

Zi1þe

�i1þe

N0 q; tð ÞV�qdq

ðB8Þ

991 where e is any real constant which allows the integrals to992 converge. Substituting this into the above and in the993 nonlinear term we therefore obtain

@

@t� x tð Þ qþ Bð Þ þ n0 tð Þ h0;q þ hq;0

� �

N0q; tð Þ ¼ � 1

2piN

0q; tð Þ

Zi1þe

�i1þe

hq;q0N0 q0; tð Þdq0 ðB9Þ

994 Neglecting the right-hand quadratic term and introducing the996 relative perturbation wq(t):

wq tð Þ ¼ N0 q; tð Þn0 tð Þ ðB10Þ

998 we obtain the linear perturbation equation for wq(t):

@ logwq

@t¼ qx tð Þ þ n0 tð Þ h0;0 � h0;q � hq;0

� ðB11Þ

1000 If the amplitude of the relative perturbation decreases in1001 time, then the perturbation is stable, i.e., if for all time,

@ log wq

�� ��@t

< 0 ðB12Þ

1003 Since logjwqj = Re(log wq), the condition for stability is

Re qx tð Þ þ n0 tð Þ h0;0 � h0;q � hq;0� �

< 0 ðB13aÞ

1005with n0(t) given by equation (B6b) and with Re(q) = e fixed1006but allowing for any value of y = Im(q) (this is because the1007Mellin transform involves the integral along a line parallel to1008the imaginary axis). It is not hard to show from the definition

of hq,q0 that

maxy Re h0;eþiy þ heþiy;0

� � �¼ h0;e þ he;0

1011so that a necessary and sufficient condition for the decrease1012of wq = jN0(q, t)/n0(t)j is that

ex tð Þ þ n0 tð Þ h0;0 � h0;e � he;0�

< 0 ðB13bÞ

e ¼ Re qð Þ

1016Finally, we use the following inequality

h0;0 < h0;e þ he;0�

; e < 1� Bð Þ=2 ðB14Þ

1017to conclude that for B < 1, that e < 0 is a sufficient condition1019for stability is that wq = jN0(q, t)/n0(t)j decreases (since,1020assuming expansion, i.e., x > 0, both terms in equation (B13)1021will be <0). More precisely, depending on the exact values of1022x, n0(t), there will be a critical value ecr with 0 < ecr < (1 �1023B)/2; all perturbations inN of the form V�q (perturbations in1024n of the form V�1�B�q) will be stable for Re(q) < ecr. When1025Re(q) < 0, the perturbations correspond to regularities in V1026(dominated by large V ), when Re(q) > 0, they correspond to1027singularities (dominated by small V ).1028[60] To summarize, our stability analysis has shown1029that under expansion (x > 0) all perturbations nq

0(V, t) =1030N0(q, t)V�q�B�1, with systematic excess of large bubbles1031(Re(q) < 0) with respect to unperturbed solution1032n0(t)V

�1�B will be stable; indeed, stability continues up1033to 0 < Re(q) = ecr < (1 � B)/2. For Re(q) > ecr > 0 stability1034is no longer guaranteed. These perturbations will grow at1035least initially (they could be stabilized by the nonlinear1036term, or by other physics) and will correspond to deviations1037from pure V�1�B behavior primarily for small enough V.

1038B2. Large Volume Cutoff as a Perturbation

1039[61] Since the similarity (scaling) solution with the expo-1040nential cutoff is an exact solution, which does indeed1041approach a pure power law as t ! 1 (as V*(t) ! 1),1042it is clear that the domain of attraction of the pure power law1043is quite large. It is quite straightforward to show that the1044basin of attraction extends to drastic (step function) cutoffs.1045[62] To show that an initial distribution with such a1046drastic cutoff does indeed approach a pure power law at1047large t, note that such a cutoff distribution can be repre-1048sented as a pure power law with the following perturbation:

N0 V ; t ¼ 0ð Þ ¼ �n0 0ð Þ;V > V* 0ð Þ

N0 V ; t ¼ 0ð Þ ¼ 0;V < V* 0ð Þ ðB15Þ

1051[63] Therefore, performing the Mellin transform, we1052obtain

N0 q; 0ð Þ ¼Z10

N0 V ; 0ð ÞVq�1dV ¼ n0 0ð Þq

V*q

; Re q < 0

¼ �1; Re q > 0 ðB16Þ

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1053 [64] The perturbation is small if the ratio

N0 q; 0ð Þn0 0ð Þ ¼ V*q

q� 1 ðB17Þ

1056 this smallness criterion can be satisfied for any V* > 1 by1057 taking Re(q) = e < 0 sufficiently negative. We conclude that1058 the above perturbation theory is applicable with perturba-1059 tions having e < 0; hence the drastic cutoff is stable, and1060 solutions will be asymptotically pure power laws.

1061 B3. Diffusion and Surface Tension

1062 [65] The presence of diffusion adds a term: �m(t)@(Vdn)/1063 @V (with m(t) > 0 for growth, d = 1/3 ‘‘parabolic’’ growth1064 law, d = 0, Ostwald ripening, m(t) > 0 is the rate) to the basic1065 equation while surface tension adds a corresponding term1066 with d = 2/3 (but with m < 0). If the absolute rate m(t) is1067 small, we can treat such effects as perturbations. To see this,1068 consider the equation for the normalized density N (V, t) but1069 with a diffusion/surface tension term added:

@N V ; tð Þ@t

¼� x tð ÞVBþ1 @ V�BN� @V

� N Hj jNh i � m tð ÞVBþ1

@ V d�B�1N�

@VðB18Þ

1071 If we now take N(V, t) = n0(t)N0(V, t) and assume that

1072 n0(t) is the power law solution of the unperturbed equation1073 (B6a), then we obtain

@N0 V ; tð Þ@t

¼� x tð ÞVBþ1 @ V�BN0� @V

� n0 tð Þ 1 Hj jN0h i þ N0 Hj j1h i½ �

� n0 tð Þm tð ÞVBþ1 @ V d�B�1� @V

� m tð ÞVBþ1 @ V d�B�1N0� @V

� N0 Hj jN0h i ðB19Þ

1075 Since m is taken to be small, for linear perturbation we may1076 neglect the last two terms which will be second order in1077 small quantities. The remaining diffusion/surface tension1078 term

n0 tð Þm tð Þ 1þ B� dð ÞV d�1 ðB20Þ

1079 will only affect the q = �d + 1 Mellin coefficient N0(1 �1081 d, t); so these effects add an inhomogeneous term to1082 equation (B9). Ignoring the second-order terms this1083 becomes

@ logwq

@t¼ x tð Þ 1� dð Þ þ n0 tð Þ h0;0 � h0;1�d � h1�d;0

� þ w�1

q m tð Þ 1� dþ Bð Þ ðB21Þ

1085 Even without the new (far right) term, we can see that1086 the above is unstable for any 1 � d > ecr i.e., for any d < (1 +1087 B)/2 and that the new term with m(t) > 0 (diffusion) makes1088 it more unstable while m < 0 (surface tension, d = 2/3), will1089 be more stable. Taking B = 0.8, we see ecr = 0.1, so that1090 terms with d < 0.9 (which include the surface tension and1091 diffusion effects) will indeed lead to increased instability of1092 the power law, and since these correspond to q > ecr > 0,1093 these effects will be most important at small V; indeed,

1094Gaonac’h et al. [1996a, 2004] show that for small V the1095power behavior does indeed break down.

1096Appendix C: Some Empirical and Analytic1097Eruption Models

1098[66] In order to better understand the expansion-coales-1099cence processes it is useful to consider analytic solutions,1100even if these may seem a little academic. In this appendix,1101we examine several.1102[67] Recalling F(t) = P(t)/P(0) and using the identity

F�B d FBn�10

� dt

¼ dn�10

dtþ B~xn�1

0

1104equation (19) may be rewritten

d FBn�10

� dt

¼ FBh tð Þ ðC1aÞ

1106Since F(0) = 1, this implies that

n�10 tð Þ ¼ F�B tð Þn�1

0 0ð Þ þ h tð Þ ðC1bÞ

1107where n0(0) is the initial n0 at the beginning of the process1109and the interaction strength h(t) is

h tð Þ ¼ h0;0

Zt0

F t0ð ÞF tð Þ

� �B

dt0 ðC1cÞ

1111Since t simply parameterizes the evolution and the entire1112process is of finite duration, for convenience in the rest of1113this appendix, we will take t = 0 at the beginning of the1114process and t = 1 at the end. Since in the above integral1115F(t0)/F(t) < 1, we see that the total interaction strength at1116the end of the expansion-coalescence process h(t = 1) is1117bounded above by h0,0 for any non contracting process1118(x > 0). This is easy to see since the expanding process1119which gives the largest h(t) clearly is

x tð Þ ¼ x0d tð Þ

F tð Þ ¼ ex0 ; t > 0

h tð Þ ¼ h0;0; t > 0

ðC2Þ

1121In addition, for reasonable physical models, we expect1122h(1) � h0,0 as we show below via examples.1123[68] The expansion-coalescence process begins in the1124magma chamber when gas-laden magma rises to a level1125where exsolution can begin, i.e., where the pressure is low1126enough for the magma to be supersaturated and where the1127nucleation rate is sufficiently high. We can now consider1128several simple expansion-coalescence models and their1129corresponding interaction functions h(t).

1130C1. Pure Coalescence

1131[69] When x(t) = 0, we obtain pure coalescence, F(t) =1132P(0) = 1 and

h tð Þ ¼ h0;0t1112

n�10 tð Þ ¼ n�1

0 0ð Þ þ h0;0t ðC4Þ

11351136So that h(1) = h0,0 (the theoretical maximum).

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1137 C2. Constant Expansion Rates

1138 [70] In this case we may take

x tð Þ ¼ x0 ¼ const

n�10 tð Þ ¼ n�1

0 0ð Þ þ h0;0tðC5Þ

1139 this yields

F tð Þ ¼ ex0t

h tð Þ ¼ h0;0

Bx01� e�x0t�

¼ h0;0

Bx01� F�B� ðC6Þ

1142 Note that for large total expansion (F � 1), h(1) � h0,0/B.1143 This yields

n�10 Fð Þ ¼ n�1

0 F ¼ 1ð ÞF�B þ jh0;0

B~x01� F�B�

ðC7Þ

1145 where we have written n0(F(t)) with the initial n0 =1146 n0(F = 1). This shows that for large F, n0(F ) asymptotes to

1147the value Bx0/h0,0. The actual time elapsed (including the1148detailed changes in collision rate and expansion rate) is thus1149irrelevant; it is only the total expansion (F ) that matters.

1150C3. Singular Eruption Models

1151[71] The above two examples show a general feature: that1152we may parameterize the process by the vesicularity ratio F1153rather than t, indeed from equation (14) we see that

FdtdF

� ��1

¼ x tð Þ ðC8Þ

h Fð Þ ¼ h0;0FB

ZF1

F0B dtdF0

� �dF0 ¼ h0;0F

B

ZF1

F0B�1 dF0

xðC9Þ

1157We can use this to generate some rather general models in1158the following way. Consider a single term in a (generalized)1159power expansion for the normalized expansion rate x:

x ¼ AFa ðC10Þ

1160this implies

t ¼ �F�a

Aa

h Fð Þ ¼h0;0 F�a � F�B� A B� að Þ

ðC11Þ

1163Similar simple results hold for log terms. We can now use1164linear combinations of such terms to create a singular model1165for an eruption event. For example,

x ¼ a

FH � FH0

� 2 ðC12Þ

Figure C1. (a) Plot of t(F) for F(1) = 160, with F0 = 5,10, 20, 40, 80 (top to bottom), H = 0.5. (b) Plot of x(F) forF(1) = 160, with F0 = 5, 10, 20, 40, 80 (left to right), H =0.5. (c) Plot of h(F) for h0,0 = 1 and F(1) = 160, with F0 =5, 10, 20, 40, 80 (top to bottom on right).

Figure C2. (a) Singular model with F(1) = 100, for t0 =0.1, 0.3, 0.5, 0.7, 0.9. (b) Corresponding interaction integralfor F(1) = 100, for t0 = 0.1, 0.3, 0.5, 0.7, 0.9.

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1166 This represents a second-order singularity at F = F0 (the1168 exponent H is added for somewhat greater flexibility but it1169 doesn’t change the order of singularity at F0). The1170 parameter A is a normalization constant which determines1171 the total overall expansion factor. This singular model yields

t Fð Þ ¼ 2

aHFH0 1� FH�

� 1

2aH1� F2H�

þ F2H0

alogF

h Fð Þ ¼ h0;0

a

F2H � F�B�

Bþ 2H

��2FH

0 FH � F�B� BþH

þFH0 1� F�B�

B

�ðC13Þ

1173 Figures C1a, C1b, and C1c show the typical evolution of1174 t(F ), x(F ), and h(F )/h0,0 for various model parameters. If1175 it is specified that the total expansion factor is F(1), then a1176 is determined by the condition t(F(1)) = 1.1177 [72] From equation (C12) (and Figure C1a) we see that1178 the smaller F0, the sooner the bulk of the expansion occurs;1179 that is, the eruption occurs for smaller t. Figure C1c1180 indicates that the earlier the eruption the larger the overall1181 effect of the coalescence h(t) (for small F0, it is close to its1182 theoretical maximum (=h0,0 = 1 in Figure C1c).

1183 C4. Other Singular Models

1184 [73] Continuing with the idea of representing an eruptive1185 event as a singularity, we can use the following model with1186 singularity order 1/2 (with respect to t, not F) at t = t0:

x tð Þ ¼ t0 � tj j�1=2

2ffiffiffiffiffit0

p þ 2ffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffi1� t0

p !

logF 1ð Þ ðC14Þ

logF tð Þ ¼Zt0

x t0ð Þdt0 ¼

ffiffiffiffiffit0

p � ffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffit0 � t

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1190 (the order 1/2 was chosen because the integrals for x, h are1191 both analytic). Figures C2a and C2b show the correspond-1192 ing F(t), h(t) functions for a fixed total expansion factor1193 (=100) and with the eruption event occurring at different1194 relative fractions of the overall coalescence process. Once1195 again, as long as the eruption is fairly early on we find h(t =1196 1) � h0,0.

1197 [74] Acknowledgment. We acknowledge several very useful discus-1198 sions with Claude Jaupart and critical comments by Sylvie Vergniolle and1199 an anonymous referee.

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�����������������������1270H. Gaonac’h, GEOTOP, UQAM, Succ. Centre-Ville, Montreal, Quebec,1271Canada H3C 3P8. ([email protected])1272S. Lovejoy, Physics, McGill University, 3600 University St., Montreal,1273Quebec, Canada H3A 2T8. ([email protected])1274D. Schertzer, CEREVE, Ecole Nationale des Ponts et Chaussees, 6-8,1275avenue Blaise Pascal, Cite Descartes, F-77455 Marne-la-Vallee Cedex,1276France. ([email protected])1278

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