bta’s presentation november 2006
DESCRIPTION
BTA’s Presentation November 2006. Investments to fixed capital and ratings of Kazakhstan. Source: NBK, Standard & Poor ”s, Statistic’s Bulletin. Strong growth of banking sector. ( US$bn ). Source: NBK Data. Strong operating environment. Gross Domestic Product. (US$bn ). - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
BTA’s Presentation
November 2006
2
Strong operating environment
Investments to fixed capital and ratings of Kazakhstan
Source: NBK, Standard & Poor”s, Statistic’s Bulletin
CPI (%)
FDI (US$bn)
CAB (% GDP)
Real Wages (Growth, %)
Rating of Kazakhstan
2002 6.6 4.1 -4.2 10.9 BB/Stable
2003 6.8 4.6 -0.9 7.0 BB+/Stable
2004 6.7 8.3 1.1 14.6 BBB-/Stable
2005 7.5 6.4 0.87 17.3 BBB-/Stable
1Q2006 8.9 3.0* 2.1* 13.7* BBB/Stable
*1Q2006 only
Gross Domestic Product
Concentration risks are moderating
50%
55%
60%
65%
70%
75%
80%
04.01 03.02 02.03 02.04 01.05 01.06
Share of Top 3 in 10 Banks' LP Share of Top 3 in 10 Banks' TA
Source: NBK, Unaudited Data
Strong growth of banking sector
(US$bn)
Source: NBK Data
51,57,4 11,7 20,7 33,7
38
35
343435
048
12162024283236
2002 2003 2004 2005 9M2006
30
32
34
36
38
40
Total Assets # of Banks
24,332
45
55,768,2
9,8 9,6 8,29,2 9,5
07
142128354249566370
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 (f)
volume, USD grow th, %
(US$bn)
Source: NBK Data
3
Kazakh Monetary Reserves and Debt
11,88,15,13,71,9
127,8133,77130144,22155,6
02
468
10
1214
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
0
50
100
150
200
Amount, USD bln Exchange rate, KZTSource: NBK
National Fund External Debt
3366 2369 242036233481
1477119298
29580
41170
51471
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
2002 2003 2004 2005 1H2006
Government and Government guaranteed debt, USD mlnPrivate non-guaranteed external debt, USD mln
USD mln
31384959
9273
7065
12650
02000400060008000
100001200014000
2002 2003 2004 2005 9M2006
Net International Reserves
Source: NBK
Source: NBK
4
Recent developments
Business environment
• One notch upgrade for top 3 banks by Fitch and S&P (BTA to BB+/BB)
• Country Rating upgraded by S&P to BBB and by Moody’s to Baa2
• WTO entrance and full liberalisation of financial market in 2007
• New Law on Almaty as regional financial centre
Regulatory environment
• Implementation of Basle II Accord Principles
• Tightened control over external borrowing and lending policy
• Legislative and regulatory innovations
Best Bank in the CIS, 2005
Best Bank in Central Asia, 2005
Best FIG Borrower – Emerging Europe, 2006
5
Clear strategic targets
• Focus on SME and Retail Banking while expanding its corporate portfolio
• Further improve and diversify the bank’s funding base
• Strengthen corporate governance and invest in management
• Build a diversified financial services group attracting strategic partners
• Prepare the bank for a possible initial public offering
• Capitalize on growth potential in neighbouring countries
6
Leading market position
2 5952 883
8 0867 111
3 841
2 191 1 8701 052
1 9682 898
BTA KKB Halyk ATF BCC
(US$m)
Loans Deposits
Market position by assets Market position by loans & term deposits
Source: NBK, According to KAS as at the end of 9M 2006 Source: NBK, According to KAS as at the end of 9M2006
BTA Affiliates Market Share
BTA Life Insurance 76,4%
TuranAlem Securities (Stock Exchange) 22,1%
TuranAlem Securities (Investment Funds) 18,1%
BTA Ipoteka 20,3%
Pension Fund: Kazakhstan 9,1%
Market position by affiliates
Source: NBK
6 271
11 350 10 828
4 635 4 0442 095
2 210 1 470 1 283
3 513
BTA KKB Halyk ATF BCC
(US$m)
Total Assets Liquid assets
Comparison by capital with other banks
Source: Bank Data; Note: According to KAS as at the end of 9M2006
273394
807
988
637
BTA KKB Halyk ATF BCC
(US$m)
7
Strong asset quality
Asset structure
Source: Bank Data
64%
66%
68%
64%
0
1 000
2 000
3 000
4 000
5 000
6 000
7 000
8 000
9 000
10 000
11 000
2003 2004 2005 9M2006
(US$m)
50%
60%
70%
80%
Loan Portfolio Securities Cash
Other Loans/Total Assets
Customer loans by type of borrower
Source: Bank Data
13%21%
66%
78%75% 70%
11% 12% 13%11% 13%17%
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2003 2004 2005 9M2006
Corporates SME Retail
Provisioning ratios
Source: FMSA
6,2%
5,0%
6,7%
5,6%
0,40%0,60%0,70% 0,60%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
2003 2004 2005 9M2006
Provisions/Gross Loans NPL/Gross Loans
8
Sound loan structure
Key credit quality ratios
Source: Bank Data
Real Estate
Activ ities
4,3%
Indiv iduals
21,3%
Agriculture
7,3%Road and
Industrial
Construction
7,4%
Oil & Gas
7,5%
Housing
Construction
8,3%
Mining
3,0%
Other
11,6%
Chemicals
2,5%
Financial
transactions
2,0% Wholesale
16,9%
Transport
4,5%Food
3,6%
Loan portfolio breakdown
Source: Bank Data as of 9M2006
Share of top 10 borrowers declining
Source: Bank Data
2004 2005 9M2006 Classified Loans/Gross Loans
9.8% 8.2% 7.6%
Provisions/Gross Loans
6.7% 5.6% 5.0%
Provisions/Classified Loans
69.1% 68.0% 65.4%
9
Abundant funding & liquidity sources
1 6751 159 1 061
2 833
869
4 162
2 5922 060
3 713
2 790
0500
1 0001 5002 0002 5003 0003 5004 0004 500
to demand 0-1 month 1-12 months 1yr - 3yr 3yr +
(US$m)
Assets Liabilities
973
1 744
3 300
39%50% 38% 39%
61%
62%
50%
61%
2 289
0
500
1 000
1 500
2 000
2 500
3 000
3 500
2003 2004 2005 9 M2006
(US$m)
Retail Corporate and Gov. Entities
Debt Securities Issued35%
Other2%
Amounts due to customers
31%
Amounts Due to Credit Institutions
32%
Funding structure Amounts due to customers by sector
Individual deposits growth rates
Source: Bank Data
Source: Bank Data as at 9M2006
Maturity profile
37%30% 33%
42%
30% 29%35%
40%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
2003/2002 2004/2003 2005/2004 9М 2006/2005
Industry BTASource: FMSA
Source: Bank Data as at 9M2006
10
International shareholders
31.22%
The Bank of New York(Nominal holder)
2.58%
Pension funds
4.49%
Individuals1.27%
Kazakhstan companies
50.66%
IFC
1.61%
FMO1.55%
EBRD1.61%
East Capital
5%
Deep capital base
BIS capital adequacy
Source: Bank DataNote: Total is Tier 1 + Tier 2 minus investments
Capital base
Source: Bank Data
231
320
503
637180
323 1147115
16,97%
14,34%
14,58%
16,11%
0
400
800
1 200
1 600
2003 2004 2005 9М 2006
(US$m)
13%
15%
17%
19%
21%
23%
Tier 1 Capital Tier 2 Capital
Total Capital Adequacy Ratio
(US$m) 2003 2004 2005 9M2006
Tier 1 180 323 637 1 147
Paid in share capital 113 168 246 348 Disclosed reserves 67 155 368 627
Hybrid instruments 23 172 Tier 2 115 231 320 503
Asset revaluation reserves 17 2 1 General provisions 25 46 0 Hybrid capital instruments 6.5 224
Subordinated term debt 90 161 318 277 Tier 1 + Tier 2 289 540 941 1608
Shareholders’ base
Source:Bank Data as of 1/10/2006
End of August 2006 – Scandinavian EastCapital fund acquired 7.71% of the bank’sshares from RZB
11
Strong financial performance
Revenue structure
ROAE and ROAA
4,2%5,2%5,2% 4,4%
26,9%33,3%
37,0%39,4%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
2003 2004 2005 9М 2006
Net Interest Margin Cost / Income Ratio
Net interest margin and cost/income ratio
Source: Bank Data
Source: Bank Data
38%
59%
59%
64%
24%
25%
22%
25%
38%
16%
19%
11%
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
550
600
2003 2004 2005 9M 2006
(US$m)
Net Interest Income Net Fee& Commission Income
Other Non Interest Income
22,10% 20,70%
26,10%
37,23%
1,40% 1,30%
1,90%3,37%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
2003 2004 2005 9М 2006
ROAE ROAA
Source: Bank Data