broiler eu weekly average price evolution · ( 1000 tonnes product weight) year 2018 total eu = 15...

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DG AGRI DASHBOARD : POULTRY MEAT 18.12.2019 Sources : European Commission (DG ESTAT, DG AGRI), MSs notifications (Regulation (EC) 2017/1185 and Regulation (EC) 617/2008), GTA. Last update: Period: 2018 2019 % Chg EU-28 1 482 872 1 604 856 + 8.2 % Philippines 141 617 193 304 + 36.5 % Ghana 134 200 151 937 + 13.2 % Ukraine 151 093 148 480 - 1.7 % South Africa 64 618 110 259 + 70.6 % Hong Kong 113 249 93 825 - 17.2 % Vietnam 74 384 80 125 + 7.7 % Benin 80 107 68 794 - 14.1 % Other 723 604 758 133 + 4.8 % POULTRY MEAT (Tonnes carcase weight) Jan-Oct Prices World Quotations Production Trade EU-28 EXPORTS ( Top Destinations in 2019/2018 ) World Trade + 1.7% Overall Poultry Meat Placings Broiler - 1.0% + 1.2% Period: 2018 2019 % Chg EU-28 688 723 723 304 + 5.0% Thailand 260 978 271 872 + 4.2 % Brazil 255 036 270 930 + 6.2 % Ukraine 105 600 111 498 + 5.6 % Chile 33 731 30 679 - 9.0 % China 19 980 26 653 + 33.4 % Argentina 6 255 5 528 - 11.6 % Switzerland 2 645 2 224 - 15.9 % Other 4 500 3 920 - 12.9 % POULTRY Meat (Tonnes carcase weight) Jan-Oct EU-28 IMPORTS ( Main Partners in 2019/2018 ) 11 687 12 154 12 381 12 716 12 805 13 263 13 788 14 495 14 570 15 248 15 557 15 742 11 619 11 800 11 922 12 233 12 285 12 719 13 254 13 831 13 827 14 457 14 761 14 948 101% 103% 104% 104% 104% 104% 104% 105% 105% 106% 105% 105% 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 125% 0 4 000 8 000 12 000 16 000 20 000 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019f 2020f 1000 Tonnes EU Poultry meat production ( Forecasts 2019 and 2020 based on estimations ) EU Production EU Consumption Self-sufficiency (in %) EU W E E K P R I C E S 50 last WEEK last MONTH last YEAR BROILER €/100 kg carcase weight Broiler 83% Turkey 13% Duck 3% Others 1% Production of poultry meat 184.50 170 175 180 185 190 195 € / 100 kg BROILER EU WEEKLY AVERAGE PRICE EVOLUTION Avg. 2014-18 2018 2019 184.50 50 75 100 125 150 175 200 225 € / 100 kg E U, U S A & B R A Z I L B R O I L E R P R I C E S EU US BR 154.21 119.10 184.50 E V O L U T I O N S I N C E PL 2545.14 17% UK 1957.82 13% FR 1732 11% ES 1636.83 11% DE 1572 10% IT 1284.95 9% Others 4416.69 29% EU Main Producers ( 1000 Tonnes product weight) Year 2018 Total EU = 15 145 6 MSs = 71% of total EU production (+ 4.8% over 2017) 0 100000 200000 300000 400000 500000 600000 700000 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Placings of broiler chicks ( 1 000 pieces ) 2017 2018 2019 0 200000 400000 600000 800000 1000000 1200000 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Production forecast of broiler ( Tonnes ) 2017 2018 2019 875 902 807 813 689 723 0 200 400 600 800 1000 2015 2016 2017 2018 Jan-Oct 18 Jan-Oct 19 EU Imports evolution ( 1000 Tonnes carcase weight) Source: Eurostat 1 508 1 679 1 671 1 780 1483 1 605 0 250 500 750 1 000 1 250 1 500 1 750 2 000 2015 2016 2017 2018 Jan-Oct 18 Jan-Oct 19 EU Exports evolution ( 1000 Tonnes carcase weight) Source: Eurostat 1.00 1.10 1.20 1.30 1.40 Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct 2017 2018 2019 2.50 3.00 3.50 4.00 4.50 5.00 Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct 2017 2018 2019 EUR / USD EUR / BRL Brazil Brazil United States United States EU EU Thailand Thailand China + H. Kong China + H. Kong Turkey Turkey Ukraine (up to Sep) Ukraine (up to Sep) 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 2018 (up to October). 2019 (up to October). Qty in 1000 Tonnes Main Exporters of POULTRY Products (up to October). Source : GTA Excl. Live animals China + H. Kong China + H. Kong Japan Japan Mexico (up to Sep) Mexico (up to Sep) EU EU South Africa South Africa Philippines (up to Sep) Philippines (up to Sep) Taiwan (up to Sep) Taiwan (up to Sep) 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 2018 (up to October). 2019 (up to October). Qty in 1000 Tonnes Main Importers of POULTRY Products (up to October). Source : GTA Excl. Live animals

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Page 1: BROILER EU WEEKLY AVERAGE PRICE EVOLUTION · ( 1000 Tonnes product weight) Year 2018 Total EU = 15 145 6 MSs = 71% of total EU production (+ 4.8% over 2017) 0 100000 200000 300000

DG AGRI DASHBOARD : POULTRY MEAT 18.12.2019

Sources : European Commission (DG ESTAT, DG AGRI), MSs notifications (Regulation (EC) 2017/1185 and Regulation (EC) 617/2008), GTA.

Last update:

Period:2018 2019 % Chg

EU-28 1 482 872 1 604 856 + 8.2 %Philippines 141 617 193 304 + 36.5 %

Ghana 134 200 151 937 + 13.2 %

Ukraine 151 093 148 480 - 1.7 %

South Africa 64 618 110 259 + 70.6 %

Hong Kong 113 249 93 825 - 17.2 %

Vietnam 74 384 80 125 + 7.7 %

Benin 80 107 68 794 - 14.1 %

Other 723 604 758 133 + 4.8 %

POULTRY MEAT (Tonnes carcase weight)Jan-Oct

Pri

ces

Wo

rld

Qu

ota

tio

ns

Pro

du

ctio

nTr

ade

EU-28 EXPORTS( Top Destinations in 2019/2018 )

Wo

rld

Tra

de

+ 1.7%

Ove

rall

Po

ult

ry M

eat

Pla

cin

gs B

roil

er

- 1.0% + 1.2%

Period: 2018 2019 % Chg

EU-28 688 723 723 304 + 5.0%

Thailand 260 978 271 872 + 4.2 %

Brazil 255 036 270 930 + 6.2 %

Ukraine 105 600 111 498 + 5.6 %

Chile 33 731 30 679 - 9.0 %

China 19 980 26 653 + 33.4 %

Argentina 6 255 5 528 - 11.6 %

Switzerland 2 645 2 224 - 15.9 %

Other 4 500 3 920 - 12.9 %

POULTRY Meat (Tonnes carcase weight)Jan-Oct

EU-28 IMPORTS

( Main Partners in 2019/2018 )

11

68

7

12

15

4

12

38

1

12

71

6

12

80

5

13

26

3

13

78

8

14

49

5

14

57

0

15

24

8

15

55

7

15

74

2

11

61

9

11

80

0

11

92

2

12

23

3

12

28

5

12

71

9

13

25

4

13

83

1

13

82

7

14

45

7

14

76

1

14

94

8

101% 103% 104% 104% 104% 104% 104% 105% 105% 106% 105% 105%

0%

25%

50%

75%

100%

125%

0

4 000

8 000

12 000

16 000

20 000

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019f 2020f

10

00

To

nn

es

EU Poultry meat production( Forecasts 2019 and 2020 based on estimations )

EU Production EU Consumption Self-sufficiency (in %)

EUW E E K P R I C E S 50

last WEEK last MONTH last YEAR

BROILER

€/100 kg carcase weight

Broiler

83%

Turkey

13%

Duck3%

Others

1%

Production of poultry meat

184.50

170

175

180

185

190

195

€ / 1

00

kg

BROILER EU WEEKLY AVERAGE PRICE EVOLUTION

Avg. 2014-18 2018 2019

184.50

50

75

100

125

150

175

200

225

€ /

10

0 k

g

E U, U S A & B R A Z I L B R O I L E R P R I C E S

EU

US

BR

154.21

119.10

184.50

E V O L U T I O N S I N C E

PL2545.14

17%

UK1957.82

13%FR

173211%

ES1636.83

11%

DE157210%

IT1284.95

9%

Others4416.69

29%

EU Main Producers( 1000 Tonnes product weight)

Year 2018Total EU = 15 145

6 MSs =

71% of total EU production

(+ 4.8% over 2017)

0

100000

200000

300000

400000

500000

600000

700000

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Placings of broiler chicks( 1 000 pieces )

2017 2018 2019

0

200000

400000

600000

800000

1000000

1200000

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Production forecast of broiler( Tonnes )

2017 2018 2019

87

5

90

2

80

7

81

3 68

9

72

3

0

200

400

600

800

1000

2015 2016 2017 2018 Jan-Oct 18 Jan-Oct 19

EU Imports evolution( 1000 Tonnes carcase weight)

Source: Eurostat

1 5

08

1 6

79

1 6

71

1 7

80 14

83

1 6

05

0

250

500

750

1 000

1 250

1 500

1 750

2 000

2015 2016 2017 2018 Jan-Oct 18 Jan-Oct 19

EU Exports evolution( 1000 Tonnes carcase weight)

Source: Eurostat

1.00

1.10

1.20

1.30

1.40

Jan

Ap

r

Jul

Oct

Jan

Ap

r

Jul

Oct

Jan

Ap

r

Jul

Oct

2017 2018 2019

2.50

3.00

3.50

4.00

4.50

5.00

Jan

Ap

r

Jul

Oct

Jan

Ap

r

Jul

Oct

Jan

Ap

r

Jul

Oct

2017 2018 2019

EUR / USD EUR / BRL

Bra

zil

Bra

zil

Un

ite

d S

tate

s

Un

ite

d S

tate

s

EU

EU

Tha

ila

nd

Tha

ila

nd

Ch

ina

+ H

. Ko

ng

Ch

ina

+ H

. Ko

ng

Turk

ey

Turk

ey

Ukr

ain

e (u

p t

o Se

p)

Ukr

ain

e (u

p t

o Se

p)

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

2018 (up to October). 2019 (up to October).

Qty

in 1

00

0 T

on

nes

Main Exporters of POULTRY Products (up to October).

Source : GTA Excl. Live animals

Ch

ina

+ H

. Ko

ng

Ch

ina

+ H

. Ko

ng

Jap

an

Jap

an

Me

xico

(up

to

Se

p)

Me

xico

(up

to

Se

p)

EU EU

Sou

th A

fric

a

Sou

th A

fric

a

Ph

ilip

pin

es (u

p t

o S

ep)

Ph

ilip

pin

es (u

p t

o S

ep)

Taiw

an

(up

to

Sep

)

Taiw

an

(up

to

Sep

)

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

2018 (up to October). 2019 (up to October).

Qty

in 1

00

0 T

on

nes

Main Importers of POULTRY Products (up to October).

Source : GTA Excl. Live animals

Page 2: BROILER EU WEEKLY AVERAGE PRICE EVOLUTION · ( 1000 Tonnes product weight) Year 2018 Total EU = 15 145 6 MSs = 71% of total EU production (+ 4.8% over 2017) 0 100000 200000 300000

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Pric

es

+ 1.7% - 1.0% + 1.2%

EUW E E K P R I C E S 50

last WEEK last MONTH last YEAR

BROILER

€/100 kg carcase weight

184.50

170

175

180

185

190

195

€ / 1

00

kg

E V O L U T I O N S I N C E

Source: MSs notifications (Regulation (EC) 1249/2008)

Page 3: BROILER EU WEEKLY AVERAGE PRICE EVOLUTION · ( 1000 Tonnes product weight) Year 2018 Total EU = 15 145 6 MSs = 71% of total EU production (+ 4.8% over 2017) 0 100000 200000 300000

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PageNext

Source: MSs notifications (Regulation (EC) 1249/2008)

170

175

180

185

190

195

€ / 1

00

kg

BROILER EU WEEKLY AVERAGE PRICE EVOLUTION

Avg. 2014-18 2018 2019

184.50

Page 4: BROILER EU WEEKLY AVERAGE PRICE EVOLUTION · ( 1000 Tonnes product weight) Year 2018 Total EU = 15 145 6 MSs = 71% of total EU production (+ 4.8% over 2017) 0 100000 200000 300000

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Broiler83%

Turkey13%

Duck3%

Others1%

Production of poultry meat

Source: MSs notifications – Expert group

PreviousPage

Next

Page 5: BROILER EU WEEKLY AVERAGE PRICE EVOLUTION · ( 1000 Tonnes product weight) Year 2018 Total EU = 15 145 6 MSs = 71% of total EU production (+ 4.8% over 2017) 0 100000 200000 300000

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PageNext

Sources : EU = weighted average of MS prices Broiler 65% US = weekly USDA prices Fresh chicken grade A ,ChicagoBR = CEPEA/ESALQ chilled chicken prices - São Paulo State

50

75

100

125

150

175

200

225

€ /

100

kg

E U, U S A & B R A Z I L B R O I L E R P R I C E S

EU

US

BR

154.21

119.10

184.50

Page 6: BROILER EU WEEKLY AVERAGE PRICE EVOLUTION · ( 1000 Tonnes product weight) Year 2018 Total EU = 15 145 6 MSs = 71% of total EU production (+ 4.8% over 2017) 0 100000 200000 300000

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PageNext

Source: ECB (European Central Bank)

EUR / USD EUR / BRL

1.00

1.10

1.20

1.30

1.40

Jan

Ap

r

Jul

Oct

Jan

Ap

r

Jul

Oct

Jan

Ap

r

Jul

Oct

2017 2018 2019

2.50

3.00

3.50

4.00

4.50

5.00

Jan

Ap

r

Jul

Oct

Jan

Ap

r

Jul

Oct

Jan

Ap

r

Jul

Oct

2017 2018 2019

Page 7: BROILER EU WEEKLY AVERAGE PRICE EVOLUTION · ( 1000 Tonnes product weight) Year 2018 Total EU = 15 145 6 MSs = 71% of total EU production (+ 4.8% over 2017) 0 100000 200000 300000

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PageNext

Source: Reg. (EC) 617/2008

0

100 000

200 000

300 000

400 000

500 000

600 000

700 000

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Placings of broiler chicks( 1 000 pieces )

2017 2018 2019

Page 8: BROILER EU WEEKLY AVERAGE PRICE EVOLUTION · ( 1000 Tonnes product weight) Year 2018 Total EU = 15 145 6 MSs = 71% of total EU production (+ 4.8% over 2017) 0 100000 200000 300000

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Source: Reg. (EC) 617/2008

0

200000

400000

600000

800000

1000000

1200000

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Production forecast of broiler( Tonnes )

2017 2018 2019

Page 9: BROILER EU WEEKLY AVERAGE PRICE EVOLUTION · ( 1000 Tonnes product weight) Year 2018 Total EU = 15 145 6 MSs = 71% of total EU production (+ 4.8% over 2017) 0 100000 200000 300000

PL2545.14

17%

UK1957.82

13%FR

173211%

ES1636.83

11%

DE157210%

IT1284.95

9%

Others4416.57

29%

EU Main Producers( 1000 Tonnes product weight)

Year 2018Total EU = 15 145

6 MSs =

71% of total EU production

(+ 4.8% over 2017)

back to DashboardPrevious

PageNext

Source: Eurostat

Page 10: BROILER EU WEEKLY AVERAGE PRICE EVOLUTION · ( 1000 Tonnes product weight) Year 2018 Total EU = 15 145 6 MSs = 71% of total EU production (+ 4.8% over 2017) 0 100000 200000 300000

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PageNext

1168

7

1215

4

1238

1

1271

6

1280

5

1326

3

1378

8

1449

5

1457

0

1524

8

1555

7

1574

2

1161

9

1180

0

1192

2

1223

3

1228

5

1271

9

1325

4

1383

1

1382

7

1445

7

1476

1

1494

8

101% 103% 104% 104% 104% 104% 104% 105% 105% 106% 105% 105%

0%

25%

50%

75%

100%

125%

0

4 000

8 000

12 000

16 000

20 000

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019f 2020f

1000

Ton

nes

EU Poultry meat production( Forecasts 2019 and 2020 based on estimations )

EU Production EU Consumption Self-sufficiency (in %)Source: DG AGRI Short-term outlook report

Page 11: BROILER EU WEEKLY AVERAGE PRICE EVOLUTION · ( 1000 Tonnes product weight) Year 2018 Total EU = 15 145 6 MSs = 71% of total EU production (+ 4.8% over 2017) 0 100000 200000 300000

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Braz

il

Braz

il

Unite

d St

ates

Unite

d St

ates

EU EU

Thai

land

Thai

land

Chin

a + H

. Kon

g

Chin

a + H

. Kon

g

Turk

ey

Turk

ey

Ukra

ine

(up

to Se

p)

Ukra

ine

(up

to Se

p)

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

2018 (up to October). 2019 (up to October).

Qty i

n 10

00 To

nnes

Main Exporters of POULTRY Products (up to October).

Source : GTA Excl. Live animals

Page 12: BROILER EU WEEKLY AVERAGE PRICE EVOLUTION · ( 1000 Tonnes product weight) Year 2018 Total EU = 15 145 6 MSs = 71% of total EU production (+ 4.8% over 2017) 0 100000 200000 300000

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PageNext

Chin

a + H

. Kon

g

Chin

a + H

. Kon

g

Japa

n

Japa

n

Mex

ico

(up

to Se

p)

Mex

ico

(up

to Se

p)

EU EU

Sout

h Af

rica

Sout

h Af

rica

Phili

ppin

es (u

p to

Sep)

Phili

ppin

es (u

p to

Sep)

Taiw

an (u

p to

Sep)

Taiw

an (u

p to

Sep)

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

2018 (up to October). 2019 (up to October).

Qty i

n 10

00 To

nnes

Main Importers of POULTRY Products (up to October).

Source : GTA Excl. Live animals

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1 50

8 1 6

79

1 67

1

1 7

80 14

83 1 6

05

0

250

500

750

1 000

1 250

1 500

1 750

2 000

2015 2016 2017 2018 Jan-Oct 18 Jan-Oct 19

EU Exports evolution( 1000 Tonnes carcase weight)

Source: Eurostat

Page 14: BROILER EU WEEKLY AVERAGE PRICE EVOLUTION · ( 1000 Tonnes product weight) Year 2018 Total EU = 15 145 6 MSs = 71% of total EU production (+ 4.8% over 2017) 0 100000 200000 300000

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Source: Eurostat

EU-28 EXPORTS( Top Destinations in 2019/2018)

Period:2018 2019 % Chg

EU-28 1 482 872 1 604 856 + 8.2 %Philippines 141 617 193 304 + 36.5 %

Ghana 134 200 151 937 + 13.2 %

Ukraine 151 093 148 480 - 1.7 %

South Africa 64 618 110 259 + 70.6 %

Hong Kong 113 249 93 825 - 17.2 %

Vietnam 74 384 80 125 + 7.7 %

Benin 80 107 68 794 - 14.1 %

Other 723 604 758 133 + 4.8 %

EU-28 Exports (Top destinations in 2019/2018)POULTRY MEAT (Tonnes carcase weight)

Jan-Oct

Page 15: BROILER EU WEEKLY AVERAGE PRICE EVOLUTION · ( 1000 Tonnes product weight) Year 2018 Total EU = 15 145 6 MSs = 71% of total EU production (+ 4.8% over 2017) 0 100000 200000 300000

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87

5 90

2

80

7

81

3 689 72

3

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1000

2015 2016 2017 2018 Jan-Oct 18 Jan-Oct 19

EU Imports evolution(In 1000 tonnes CW)

Source: Eurostat

Page 16: BROILER EU WEEKLY AVERAGE PRICE EVOLUTION · ( 1000 Tonnes product weight) Year 2018 Total EU = 15 145 6 MSs = 71% of total EU production (+ 4.8% over 2017) 0 100000 200000 300000

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Source: Eurostat

EU-28 IMPORTS ( Main Partners in 2019/2018)

Period: 2018 2019 % Chg

EU-28 688 723 723 304 + 5.0%

Thailand 260 978 271 872 + 4.2 %

Brazil 255 036 270 930 + 6.2 %

Ukraine 105 600 111 498 + 5.6 %

Chile 33 731 30 679 - 9.0 %

China 19 980 26 653 + 33.4 %

Argentina 6 255 5 528 - 11.6 %

Switzerland 2 645 2 224 - 15.9 %

Other 4 500 3 920 - 12.9 %

EU-28 Imports (Main partners in 2019/2018)POULTRY Meat (Tonnes carcase weight)

Jan-Oct