bristol– the flexible workspace market bristol ......highlights of this report include: • the...
TRANSCRIPT
We hope you find this report interesting. If you have any queries in relation to flexible workspace, please contact me at [email protected].
Bristol is one of the UK’s most vibrant
and successful cities, which earlier
this year topped the Sunday Times list of
the Best Places to Live in Britain Guide.
This report will give you the inside track
on Bristol’s local flexible workspace market, the office market as a whole and the area’s economic prospects. Like
our previous report on Leeds, it has
been produced in conjunction with the
Business Centre Association (BCA).
The city’s economic outlook is extremely positive and its economic growth is
expected to outperform the rest of the United Kingdom by 2020.
One of the drivers of this growth is the
West of England’s status as one of the
UK’s fastest-growing digital tech clusters.
This is estimated to have attracted
more than 110 companies to the region
to date, created 3,000 jobs and added
£200m to the regional economy.
There is a shortage of supply of office space in Bristol and this, together with
the economic factors identified in this report, make us extremely positive about Bristol’s flexible space market.
We expect significant growth in the market in the year ahead, both in the city
centre and surrounding areas.
Highlights of this report include:
• The current state of the Bristol flexible market, including a table showing
operators in the city
• Where Grade A rents are expected to be by the end of 2017
• The factors behind Bristol’s
anticipated economic growth
of 15.7% by 2026
• Information about Bristol’s tech-
hub, centred around Bristol’s Temple
Quarter Enterprise Zone – one of
the UK’s largest urban regeneration
projects
• Reasons behind Bristol’s shortage of
Grade A stock
• Plans for ‘pro-working’ in the city. We
ask if this is the future of co-working?
BRISTOL– THE FLEXIBLE WORKSPACE MARKET
WELCOME FROM GKRE DIRECTOR, DOUGLAS GREEN
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BS4
BS2
BS1
BS3
BS2
BS5
BS16
BS7
BS6
BS8
BS9
LOCATION OF CENTRES
Bristol’s flexible space market is based in three main areas. The heart of the market is
in the city centre, BS1 and BS2, which as a
result of major roadworks and the creation
of the Temple Quarter Enterprise Zone
has in recent years moved towards the
area around Temple Meads railway station.
Major occupiers in the area now include,
IBM, BT, Deloitte, Burges Salmon and
Bank of Ireland.
Aztec West, a business park 10 miles north
of Bristol and close to the M4 and M5
motorways is another popular area, with
Citibase and Regus among operators with
centres there. The other main location
for flexible space is Clifton (BS8), which is popular with businesses that support the
nearby university.
Current office supply in Bristol’s is at a very low level – in the summer, it stood at
585,513 sq ft, of which only 166,000 was Grade A space (equal to around 12 months’ demand). This is likely to impact on the
growth of the flexible space market in the city centre.
OPERATORS
All the main national operators have a
presence in Bristol including Regus (five centres), BE Offices (two centres), Citibase, i2 Office, Orega and The Office Group. It is also home to established independents
including Independent Business Centres
(IBC), a specialist provider with locations in
Bristol, Yate and Southampton.
Much of the flexible space in Bristol is traditional serviced office space though
NAME OF CENTRE LOCATION OPERATOR
Citypoint Temple Gate, BS1 6 BE Offices
Orega Bristol Ten Victoria Street, BS1 Orega
Bristol Castlemead Lower Castle Street, BS1 Regus
Bristol Temple Quay 1 Friary, Temple Quay, BS1 Regus
Bristol Broad Quay Broad Quay House, Prince Street, BS1 Regus
Bristol Temple Quay Bristol Temple Quay, BS1 i2 Office
Bristol Wapping Wharf Jubilee House Business Centre, Wharf, BS1 Independent Business Centres
Unity Street Business
Centre7 Unity Street, BS1 Independent Business Centres
Bristol Old City 1 Little King Street, BS1 Independent Business Centres
Bristol Park Street 2 Park Street, BS1 Independent Business Centres
Harbourside Business
Centre70 Prince Street, BS1 Independent Business Centres
The Office Bristol St Nicholas House, 31-34 High Street, BS1 The Office Group
Desklodge 5th Floor, 1 Temple Way, BS2 Desklodge
Westpoint 78 Queens Road, Bristol, Avon, BS8 BE Offices
Leigh Court Business
CentreAbbots Leigh, Bristol, Avon, BS8 GWE Business West
Bristol Clifton 37 Regent Street, BS8 Independent Business Centres
Citibase Bristol Business Park
Argentum House, 510 Bristol Bus Park, BS16 Citibase
Citibase Bristol Aztec West
Aztec West, BS32 Citibase
Bristol Aztec West 2430/2440 The Quadrant, Aztec West, BS32 Regus
Almondsbury Business Park
Redwood House, Brotherswood Ct, BS32 Regus
Fromeforde House Church Road, Yate, BS37 Independent Business Centres
BRISTOL FLEXIBLE SPACE MARKET – NOVEMBER 2017
Central Bristol postcodes (BS32 and BS37 not shown)
there are other options for occupiers.
Desklodge’s centre at the former Evening
Post building in BS2 offers a range of
‘hot desking’ (effectively co-working)
options, including drop in and pay as you
go, monthly packages and even ‘personal
pods’. Desklodge’s Jamie Ellis says that
co-working and flexible workspace “matches perfectly with Bristol’s forward
thinking culture and start-up, SME scene”.
IBC offers co-working at its Unity
Street centre, which director Matthew
Wofinden says “is a good stepping stone for those not yet in the market for a
full office and acts as a catalyst for us bringing people into our offices”.
BE Offices has noticed an increase in enquiries for co-working space, with occupiers now seeking offices with communal space for time away from
their desks. In response, it is introducing
‘pro-working’ at its centres in Temple
Meads (BS1) and Clifton (BS8). For more on this, see page 3 below.
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PRICES
Asking prices range from £250 to £400
per desk per month to around £125 to
£150 per month for co-working space
(with variations in terms of the quality of the space and packages available). IBC’s
Unity Street co-working space comes in
at the top end of that range and occupiers
get a private desk and use of facilities
such as coffee machines, cycle parking,
and showers.
There is no real difference between
prices in the central core and those in
Clifton and Aztec West. With such a
shortage of space in the city, Orega’s
Regional Sales Manager Amanda
Blakemore confirmed to us that prices remain strong.
FLEXIBLE SPACE OCCUPIERS
Bristol has a wide range of occupiers,
as one would expect in one of the South West’s major business areas. IBC’s
Matthew Wofinden says that occupiers in their buildings include“accountants,
solicitors, consultants and creatives”, with
Orega’s Amanda Blakemore referring to
similar occupiers as well as recruitment
agencies and engineering companies.
Desklodge has businesses ranging
in size from one to 40 people with a
strong presence from creative and tech
businesses. This is to be expected given Bristol’s status as a thriving tech hub
and, according to a recent survey, one of
the top six cities in the UK for start-ups.
The construction of the nearby Hinkley
Point C nuclear power station by EDF has led to some of its project teams
and associated contractors taking
flexible space in the city for the past couple of years. This is expected to continue or even expand in the years leading up to the power station’s
anticipated completion in 2027.
‘PRO-WORKING’ – THE EVOLUTION OF CO-WORKING?
BE Office believes that many co-working spaces are geared towards young
denim-clad entrepreneurs or youthful start-up enterprises and lack the
professional space or appearance than some more conventional and slightly
larger businesses require. As a result, it is introducing ‘pro-working’, which
it believes is emerging as an intermediary for professionals who desire a
collaborative workspace on a par with their corporate image. BE Office’s MD
David Saul says: “There can be no doubt that our clients are increasingly
aware of the rise in the co-working revolution but we are confident that they
will prefer the pro-working we are offering. It’s co-working all grown up!”
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PROSPECTS FOR THE MARKETLocal operators believe that Bristol
has weathered the Brexit storm and remains a popular location.
The city took the top accolade in the
2017 Sunday Times’s Best Places to
Live in Britain boasting “one of the lower
unemployment rates in the country,
varied and beautiful housing stock, decent
schools, buzzy culture and night life and
access to some fantastic countryside”.
With strong transport links and even faster
rail networks emerging this year, which will
see journey times to London cut to
80 minutes, we expect demand for flexible office space in Bristol to remain high. We anticipate new operators entering the
market and existing operators expanding their operations.
BRISTOL’S TECH HUB
Bristol is the one of the fastest growing
tech hubs in the UK, in part due to
Engine Shed, a collaboration between
Bristol City Council, the University of
Bristol and the West of England Local
Enterprise Partnership.
Engine’s Shed’s mission is to stimulate
long term economic growth by
supporting business, inspiring young
people to get involved and to showcase
to the public and potential inward
investors the exciting opportunities that exist in Bristol and Bath.
Engine Shed is based in Bristol’s Temple
Quarter Enterprise Zone, one of the
largest urban regeneration projects in
the UK, and home to a growing cluster
of small and start-up businesses,
particularly in the creative, digital and
hi-tech sectors.
The Bristol Temple Quarter aims to
attract 22,000 jobs over the 25-year
lifespan of the project (which started
in 2012). To date, over 3,000 jobs have
been created in the zone.
“Bristol’s Temple Quarter
Enterprise Zone is one of the
largest urban regeneration
projects in the UK”
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RECENT OFFICE ACTIVITY
Take up in Bristol city centre in Q3 2017 was 173,022 sq ft, compared to a five year quarterly average of 155,080 sq ft.
This follows a resurgence of letting activity in the city in 2016, with take up totalling
1,103,062 square feet . This exceeded the market average for the previous five years and was largely due to a series of larger deals, particularly for Grade A space. The result
is a shortage of supply, which is estimated to be at its lowest level in the city centre since
2002. In part, this is the result of there having been limited speculative building and also
due to buildings being lost to residential under permitted development.
The pre-let by HMRC of 3 Glass Wharf (107,000 sq ft) last year at £28psf was the largest deal for nine years. Major deals this year include University of Bristol acquring 31,785 sq ft of space at Augustine’s Courtyard and 13,480 sq ft at Templeback being let to corporate services provider Jordans. The TMT sector was responsible for
more lettings than any other sector in the first half of this year, its 78,345 sq ft mainly comprising smaller transaction.
Rents on Grade A stock were static at £28.50 psf in the first half of the year despite a lack of stock. However, with only around 585,000 sq ft of space available in Bristol city centre, a decline of 21% since the start of the year, it was anticipated that there would be
rent increases and this has now started to happen. A new record headline rent of
£30.50 psq was recently recorded in the city with Mewburn Ellis’s 13,300 sq ft pre-let at the Aurora building.
Recent major occupational transactions include:
• 3 Glass Wharf, Temple Quarter, BS2 – 107,000 sq ft pre-let to HMRC
• Bridgewater House, BS1 – 81,202 sq ft let to EDF Energy
• Augustine’s Courtyard, BS1 – 31,785 sq ft building sold to University of Bristol for £11.75m
The investment market
Bristol saw £56m of office investment in Q1 and Q2 2017, about half the 10-year average. However, more than £105m was transacted in Q3 of this year. This included
M&G’s purchases of 1 Georges Square for £26.2m (at a yield of 5.5%) and 66 Queen Square for £30.1m (5.3% yield).
Earlier this year, The Core, BS1 (63,123 sq ft) was sold to Direct Line for £15.20m, reflecting an initial yield of 4%
Data on this page from Savills and GVA
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UPCOMING ACTIVITY
There is some speculative Grade A activity in the city including:
• Assembly Bristol , a 300,000 sq ft mixed-use development by Bell Hammer within Bristol Temple Quarter Enterprise Zone. The
first phase of 180,000 sq ft is due for completion in 2018
• Aurora, Finzels Reach, 95,000 sq ft of Grade A office space in BS1, which is due to complete in Q1, 2018
• Aspire, 200,000 sq ft of Grade A office space in Bristol Temple Meads
• Glassfields, a 350,000 sq ft+ mixed-use office, hotel and leisure site in Temple Way. The first phase will be 36,500 sq ft of Grade A offices
FUTURE ACTIVITY
A couple of recent refurbishments that have reached the market have helped ease
the shortage of Grade A stock. These include 58,500 sq ft of Grade A space at One Cathedral Square, BS1 which is reportedly under offer already, with Dyson and the University of Bristol said to be taking two floors eaxh. Also, The Programme in All Saints Street, BS1 will deliver 50,000 sq ft this year, with a further 70,000 sq ft next year.
Savills reports that with space in such short supply, landlords are letting out second hand
space without having to undergo extensive refurbishments – occupiers are fitting out their own refurbished space. We believe this could provide opportunities for flexible space operators who classically look for this type of space.
Take up for Qs 3 and 4 of this year is expected to be around 750,000 should the Government Property Unit go ahead with a planned letting of circa 200,000 square feet.
Savills estimates that shortage of stock means rents could reach £32.50 by the end of
the year.
“Shortage of stock means rents
could reach £32.50 psf by the
end of the year”
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BRISTOL’S ECONOMY AND ECONOMIC PROSPECTS
Bristol saw economic growth of 2.4%
in 2016, placing it tenth in the UK
league table for city growth according
to The UK Powerhouse report by Irwin
Mitchell and the Centre for Business
& Economic research (Cebr).
Reasons for Bristol’s success include
its high share of creative businesses,
which is driving innovation in the city.
It estimates that Bristol’s economy
is set to grow by 15.7% by 2026.
EY’s UK Attractiveness Survey 2017
predicts that cities in southern England
(outside London) will outperform those in
the rest of England in terms of economic
growth in the period 2016 to 2019.
Bristol is projected to enjoy the fastest
employment growth, averaging 0.9% per year (creating 8,200 jobs), with accompanying gross value added
(GVA) growth of 2.0% per year. The
creative and tech industries are seen
as key drivers of the local economy.
Recent businesses that have invested
in the city include Rolls-Royce,
which has opened a new factory, and
business services provider Quantum
Advisory, which has opened an
office in Broad Quay House, BS1.
KEY STATISTICS
• Last year, inward investment created
1,800 jobs in the immediate area
• Since it was opened in 2013, Invest
Bristol & Bath, the agency that promotes
the region as a business location has
attracted 110 companies, creating
almost 3,000 jobs and generating almost
£200m to the regional economy
• Bristol has become one of the
fastest digital tech clusters in the UK,
much of the activity based in Bristol’s
Temple Quarter Enterprise Zone
• According to data released by Bristol
City Council, Bristol has the highest
rate of employment of all the UK’s
major cities. Its employment rate is
75.9%, a rise of 3.3% in the previous five years. The compares to the national average for the UK of 73.7%
“Reasons for Bristol’s success include its
high share of creative businesses, which is driving innovation
in the city”
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GKRE is the UK’s leading specialist flexible workspace agency. Founded in 2013, the directors bring to GKRE more than 25 years’ experience in the flexible workspace industry between them.
Our clients include operators and landlords across the UK, from major PLCs to
independent companies.
We have recently been involved in the merger and acquisition of businesses worth over £30m, comprising more than 360,000 square feet in some 50 buildings. On the agency side, we have acquired in excess of 400,000 square feet across the UK for 14 different operators.
GKRE advises landlords and building owners throughout the UK on their flexible workspace options and opportunities to partner with flexible workspace providers.
Please visit gkre.co.uk for more information on how we assist property owners, tenants
and flexible workspace operators, and for details of our latest transactions.
About GKRE
We have been nominated as both specialist and niche agent of the year by Estates Gazette and Property Week
11 Golden Square, London W1F 9JB020 3427 5679 www.gkre.co.uk
Douglas Green
T: 020 3427 5678M: 07855 825 088
Will Kinnear, MRICS
T: 020 3427 5677
M: 07811 942 752
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