brics pms performance update - 31 august 2010
DESCRIPTION
Performance Update of the Portfolio Management Services, (PMS), I manage at BRICS Securities.TRANSCRIPT
MULTIPLE -STRATEGY TREND RATED
AUTOMATIC TRADING SYSTEM
Portfolio Management Services (PMS)
Performance Update
31 August 2010
Vivek Mavani – Vice President and Senior Portfolio Manager
BRICS Growth Synopsis
BRICS Growth is a Long only Diversified Equity Product aimed at generating Absolute Returns
The Objective is:
Generate Steady & Consistent returns over medium to long term
Low Volatility
Cautious on Margin of Safety
The Focus is therefore on Stock Picking with a Buy and Hold philosophy
Invest in high quality and high growth companies at reasonable valuations and hold them
over a period of time. (Not trade in & out frequently)
Our conservative approach to managing investments, (especially during periods of volatility) is
reflected in our superior performance.
Absolute Performance – 31 August 2010
Inception Date: 1 October, 2009 Portfolio returns are audited and net of fees & expenses
Weekly Monthly Quarterly Half YearlyYTD
(Calendar)
Since
Inception
BRICS Growth -0.49% 7.25% 17.84% 32.34% 30.88% 42.00%
NIFTY -1.87% 0.65% 6.21% 9.75% 3.87% 6.28%
SENSEX -1.86% 0.58% 6.06% 9.38% 2.90% 4.88%
S&P CNX 500 -1.89% 1.39% 7.35% 9.93% 4.81% 10.15%
S&P CNX MIDCAP -2.93% 3.14% 11.91% 21.10% 16.78% 29.59%
Performance Snapshot
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
Monthly Quarterly Half Yearly YTD (Calender) Since Inception
BRICS Growth NAV Nifty Sensex S&P CNX 500 CNX Mid Cap
Portfolio returns are audited and net of fees & expensesInception Date: 1 October, 2009
Consistency in our Month-on-Month Performance
Month BRICS Growth Nifty Sensex S&P CNX 500 CNX Mid Cap
Oct-09 -0.67% -7.31% -7.23% -6.46% -1.77%
Nov-09 2.79% 6.81% 6.48% 7.59% 8.65%
Dec-09 6.27% 3.35% 3.18% 4.43% 3.97%
Jan-10 -1.84% -6.13% -6.34% -4.00% -3.11%
Feb-10 0.75% 0.82% 0.44% -0.69% -0.48%
Mar-10 6.24% 6.64% 6.68% 4.50% 7.50%
Apr-10 3.77% 0.55% 0.18% 1.27% 4.62%
May-10 1.86% -3.63% -3.50% -3.24% -3.79%
Jun-10 5.81% 4.45% 3.83% 4.59% 4.83%
Jul-10 3.84% 1.04% 1.56% 1.23% 3.50%
Aug-10 7.25% 0.65% 0.58% 1.39% 3.14%
Performance ahead of benchmark indices month after month
Month on month comparison
-8%
-6%
-4%
-2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
Oct-09 Nov-09 Dec-09 Jan-10 Feb-10 Mar-10 Apr-10 May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10
BRICS Growth Nifty Sensex S&P CNX 500 CNX Mid Cap
Compared to Top 20 Mutual Funds
The comparison includes 250 Diversified Equity Funds across all Fund Houses
Ranked on 1 month returns
Rank Scheme Name Performance
1 Month % 3 Months % 6 Months %
1 Brics Growth 7.25 17.84 32.34
2 HDFC Long Term Equity Fund - Growth 5.09 13.15 22.05
3 DSP BlackRock Equity Fund - Growth 4.77 12.37 20.13
4 HDFC Growth Fund - Growth 4.06 11.97 22.40
5 IDFC Premier Equity Fund - Plan A - Growth 4.03 19.19 26.99
6 SBI Magnum Global Fund 94 - Growth 3.98 13.91 20.55
7 HDFC Equity Fund - Growth 3.95 13.45 22.31
8 Quantum Long-Term Equity Fund - Growth 3.73 12.45 20.52
9 Canara Robeco Emerging Equities - Growth 3.69 14.73 28.77
10 Reliance Equity Opportunities Fund - Growth 3.63 14.85 25.76
11 Fortis Future Leaders Fund - Growth 3.53 13.17 26.82
12 Franklin India High Growth Companies Fund - Growth 3.51 12.09 15.02
13 DSP BlackRock Opportunities Fund - Growth 3.17 11.48 20.78
14 Tata Select Equity Fund - Appr 3.15 9.35 14.32
15 DSP BlackRock India Tiger Fund - Growth 3.08 9.81 16.30
16 Franklin India Prima Fund - Growth 3.00 12.61 20.49
17 Kotak Emerging Equity Scheme - Growth 3.00 14.41 23.90
18 Morgan Stanley A.C.E Fund - Growth 2.60 11.61 17.64
19 Templeton India Growth Fund - Growth 2.56 7.40 13.25
20 Morgan Stanley Growth Fund - Growth 2.44 9.37 14.45
The comparison includes 250 Diversified Equity Funds across all Fund Houses
Ranked on 3 month returns
Compared to Top 20 Mutual Funds
Rank Scheme Name Performance
1 Month % 3 Months % 6 Months %
1 IDFC Premier Equity Fund - Plan A - Growth 4.03 19.19 26.99
2 Brics Growth 7.25 17.84 32.34
3 Reliance Equity Opportunities Fund - Growth 3.63 14.85 25.76
4 Canara Robeco Emerging Equities - Growth 3.69 14.73 28.77
5 Kotak Emerging Equity Scheme - Growth 3.00 14.41 23.90
6 SBI Magnum Global Fund 94 - Growth 3.98 13.91 20.55
7 HDFC Equity Fund - Growth 3.95 13.45 22.31
8 Fortis Future Leaders Fund - Growth 3.53 13.17 26.82
9 HDFC Long Term Equity Fund - Growth 5.09 13.15 22.05
10 Franklin India Prima Fund - Growth 3.00 12.61 20.49
11 Quantum Long-Term Equity Fund - Growth 3.73 12.45 20.52
12 DSP BlackRock Equity Fund - Growth 4.77 12.37 20.13
13 Franklin India High Growth Companies Fund - Growth 3.51 12.09 15.02
14 HDFC Growth Fund - Growth 4.06 11.97 22.40
15 Morgan Stanley A.C.E Fund - Growth 2.60 11.61 17.64
16 DSP BlackRock Opportunities Fund - Growth 3.17 11.48 20.78
17 JPMorgan India Equity Fund - Growth 1.80 10.20 18.30
18 Fidelity Equity Fund - Growth 1.36 9.84 19.54
19 DSP BlackRock India Tiger Fund - Growth 3.08 9.81 16.30
20 Franklin India Opportunity Fund - Growth 2.33 9.81 13.35
The comparison includes 250 Diversified Equity Funds across all Fund Houses
Ranked on 6 month returns
Compared to Top 20 Mutual Funds
Rank Scheme Name Performance
1 Month % 3 Months % 6 Months %
1 Brics Growth 7.25 17.84 32.34
2 Canara Robeco Emerging Equities - Growth 3.69 14.73 28.77
3 IDFC Premier Equity Fund - Plan A - Growth 4.03 19.19 26.99
4 Fortis Future Leaders Fund - Growth 3.53 13.17 26.82
5 Reliance Equity Opportunities Fund - Growth 3.63 14.85 25.76
6 Kotak Emerging Equity Scheme - Growth 3.00 14.41 23.90
7 Escorts Growth Plan - Growth 1.66 9.09 23.00
8 HDFC Growth Fund - Growth 4.06 11.97 22.40
9 HDFC Equity Fund - Growth 3.95 13.45 22.31
10 HDFC Long Term Equity Fund - Growth 5.09 13.15 22.05
11 DSP BlackRock Opportunities Fund - Growth 3.17 11.48 20.78
12 SBI Magnum Global Fund 94 - Growth 3.98 13.91 20.55
13 Quantum Long-Term Equity Fund - Growth 3.73 12.45 20.52
14 Franklin India Prima Fund - Growth 3.00 12.61 20.49
15 DSP BlackRock Equity Fund - Growth 4.77 12.37 20.13
16 ICICI Prudential Fusion Fund - IP - Growth 1.36 9.22 19.85
17 Fidelity Equity Fund - Growth 1.36 9.84 19.54
18 JPMorgan India Equity Fund - Growth 1.80 10.20 18.30
19 Morgan Stanley A.C.E Fund - Growth 2.60 11.61 17.64
20 Fidelity India Growth Fund - Growth 0.69 9.41 17.62
BRICS Growth NAV Trend
BRICS Growth has delivered steady &
consistent returns during both periods:
of range bound market with sharp
volatility between October 2009-May
2010
and when markets witnessed sharp
rally between May-August 2010
Performance has been a result of our :
Stock Picking
Low churn in the portfolio and,
Conservative attitude (not taking
excessive risks)
Leading to consistently increasing out-
performance of returns as compared to the
benchmark indices
85
90
95
100
105
110
115
120
125
130
135
140
145
150
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BRICS Growth Nifty Sensex
S&P 500 CNX Midcap
BRICS Growth NAV v/s Indices (normalised)
BRICS Growth Outperformance
Our out-performance has been increasing
over a period of time
Our Strategy has been to :
Buy only during panics
Use sharp rallies to partially book
profits
Remain liquid in the interim
Large liquidity helps :
Protect against volatility
Provides enough courage and
conviction to buy into panics
Current cash/liquid balances ~ at 25% of
the Portfolio
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
1-O
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2009
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-2010
1-F
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2010
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1-J
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-2010
1-J
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1-A
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Nifty Sensex S&P 500 CNX MidCap
BRICS Growth NAV Outperformance vis-a-vis Indices
Portfolio Breakup
Large Cap. More than Rs 5,000 crores
Mid-Cap Rs 1,000 - 5,000 crores
Small Cap. Less than Rs 1,000 crores
Banking & Finance
13%
Branded Garments & Retail
15%
Cash25%
FMCG14%
Infrastructure4%
Media6%
Oil & Gas23%
Sectoral Allocation
Large Cap32%
Mid Cap25%
Small Cap18%
Cash25%
Market Cap Breakup
Low Portfolio Turnover (Buy & Hold at work)
0.00
0.20
0.40
0.60
0.80
1.00
Oct-09 Nov-09 Dec-09 Jan-10 Feb-10 Mar-10 Apr-10 May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10
Portfolio Turnover
Portfolio Turnover Average turnover
10 Biggest falls since October 2009
How much a portfolio falls during a
correction / sharp downturn is as
important as how much it gains in a bull
market
Protecting capital is often more important
during periods of volatility
Downside protection equally contributes
to superior returns over a period of time
We have managed to fall less than the
indices during each of the sharp falls /
panics since our inception
Date
Points
Fall -
Nifty
% Fall -
Nifty
Points
Fall -
Sensex
% Fall -
Sensex
% Fall -
BRICS
Growth
27-Jan-10 -159.65 -3.19% -490.64 -2.92% -2.29%
03-Nov-09 -147.80 -3.14% -491.34 -3.09% -0.36%
19-May-10 -146.55 -2.89% -467.27 -2.77% -0.84%
25-May-10 -137.20 -2.78% -447.07 -2.71% -1.62%
05-Feb-10 -126.70 -2.61% -434.02 -2.68% -0.47%
27-Oct-09 -124.20 -2.50% -387.10 -2.31% -0.65%
21-Jan-10 -127.55 -2.44% -423.35 -2.42% -1.32%
01-Jun-10 -116.10 -2.28% -372.60 -2.20% -1.24%
26-Nov-09 -102.60 -2.01% -344.02 -2.00% -0.95%
07-Jun-10 -101.50 -1.98% -336.62 -1.97% -0.99%
04-Feb-10 -86.50 -1.75% -271.10 -1.64% -0.28%*Beta measures the volatility of the
portfolio relative to the index
Against -- Nifty Sensex
Beta * 0.4075 0.4068
Market Outlook
Global macro economic risks will continue to weigh on the markets. Will definitely have
repercussions on India over a period of time, if not on a daily basis
Rest of 2010, markets are likely to remain range bound within 10-15% with sharp interim
volatility. Short term we maintain a view of negative bias and perhaps a sharp correction
Overall Valuations are reasonable, but definitely not cheap
In some sectors/stocks valuations already factor in fairly aggressive growth rates for FY11
and FY12. Corporate performances could disappoint in those cases given high
expectations
Q1 FY2011 results have just about met the expectations. In fact most sectors under-
performed the expectations on profit margin front.
Corporates that have delivered/exceeded expectations have witnessed significant re-rating in
the last one year and have had a sharp bounce back after each panic/fall
However, markets have also been very discriminative against corporates under-performing
expectations. As a result markets have de-rated them over a period of time. This will continue as
these stocks may not bounce back for a while even if the overall markets do, post a correction
Pockets of opportunities still available in those stocks where growth v/s valuations are still
favourable. However continue to remain cautious of the market levels and valuations and buy
only on dips / correction
Our Strategy
“Time” in the markets is more important than “Timing” the markets
Superior long-term sustainable returns are not made by timing the markets in terms of selling at
the peaks. They are a result of purchase prices that are attractive in terms of valuations with
adequate margin of safety
Even in range bound markets there are enough stocks providing consistent and absolute returns.
Stock picking therefore is the key
Our strategy going ahead would continue to be:
Buy on declines/panics
Use the sharp rallies for part profit booking
Hold large cash/liquidity during interim periods
The sectors that we are bullish are and continue to be over weight:
Banking & Financial Services,
Gas Transportation & Distribution
Domestic Consumption oriented sectors including Paints, Branded Garments, Media etc.
Thank You
Vivek Mavani – Senior Portfolio Manager
BRICS SECURITIES LIMITED
1st Floor, Sadhana House,570, P. B. Marg,Behind Mahindra Towers,Worli, Mumbai – 400 018.Tel: 91-22-6636 0000.
Happy Investing