bree.gov.au allison ball manager, energy program energy supply and use in australia
TRANSCRIPT
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Allison BallManager, Energy Program
Energy supply and usein Australia
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Outline
• Energy use in Australia• Australia’s energy supply• Electricity generation investment
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Energy intensity in Australia
• Growth in energy consumption lower than growth in GDP
• Decreasing energy intensity = increasing energy productivity
Source: BREE 2014, Australian energy statistics.
1964-65=100
GDP
Energy consumption
Energy intensity
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Australia's energy consumption, 2012-13
• Oil is the largest energy source in Australia: 38% of total primary energy consumption
• Coal share is 33%, but role is declining
Source: BREE 2014, Australian energy statistics.
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Australia’s energy consumption, by fuel type
• Primary energy consumption fell 0.5% in 2012-13
• Oil, gas & renewables consumption increasing
• Coal consumption falling, to lowest share on record
Source: BREE 2014, Australian Energy Statistics.
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Australian energy consumption, by industry
• Electricity generation, transport & manufacturing sectors account for 76% of energy consumption
• Decline in energy use in electricity generation sector
• Mining is fast growing sector: 9% increase in 2012-13
Source: BREE 2014, Australian Energy Statistics.
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End-use energy intensity
• Will look at trends in energy consumption in end use sectors in more detail
• Decompose change in energy consumption into activity, structural and energy efficiency changes
• Due out 1st quarter 2014
Note: Chart results are illustrative only.
Example of decomposition of change in energy use
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Australia’s energy production, by fuel type
• Primary energy production in Australia is 19 318 PJ in 2012–13
• Recent energy production growth supported by increased output of black coal, uranium and gas for export
Source: BREE 2014, Australian Energy Statistics
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Coal in AustraliaBlack coal balance Coal-fired electricity generation
Source: BREE 2014, Australian Energy Statistics.
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Oil in AustraliaCrude oil and ORF balanceOil production
Source: BREE 2014, Australian Energy Statistics; Resources and Energy Quarterly.
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Refined products in AustraliaImports share of refinery feedstock
Refined products balance
Source: BREE 2014, Australian Energy Statistics.
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Gas in AustraliaGas balance Gas use by sector,
2012-13
Source: BREE 2014, Australian Energy Statistics; Energy in Australia.
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Renewables in Australia
Production by type, 2012-13 Use by sector, 2012-13
Source: BREE 2014, Australian Energy Statistics.
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Electricity use in Australia
Source: BREE 2014, Australian energy statistics.
Consumption by sector, 2012-13
Consumption by market
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Household energy prices
Source: ABS 2014, 6401.0 Consumer price index.
Electricity
CPI
Gas
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Transmission & distribution capital investment, NEM
2012-13 A$b
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Energy efficiency in householdsElectricity use in Melbourne on a hot (max temp 35°C) and a mild day (max temp 23°C)
Hot day
Mild day
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Electricity generation, by fuel type
• Electricity generation fell from 253 TWh in 2010-11 to 249 TWh in 2012-13
• Decline in electricity demand driven by energy efficiency, weather, reduced load, higher prices
Sources: BREE 2014 Australian Energy Statistics.
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Australia’s electricity generation fuel mix
• Coal fired generation continues to decline: now 64% of total
• Use of gas and renewables increasing
Source: BREE 2014, Australian Energy Statistics, Table O.
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Committed electricity generation projects:Number and nominal value
Source: BREE 2014, Electricity generation major projects.
• As at October 2014, 16 committed generation projects with$3.5 billion capital cost
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Committed projects: Additional capacity
Source: BREE 2014, Electricity generation major projects.
• As at October 2014, additional planned capacity of committed projects is 1580 MW
• Around 3% of existing Australian generation capacity
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Committed projects: type of fuel
Source: BREE 2014, Electricity generation major projects.
• As at October 2014, all committed electricity generation projects use renewable energy
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Installed capacity and electricity use, NEM
Source: BREE, ESAA, Global roam.
Installed capacity
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Solar PV installations
Source: BREE; Clean Energy Regulator.
• Around 1.2 million rooftop PV installations
• 15% of Australian households now have solar PV
• Solar 1.5% electricity generation in 2012-13
