breakout report : the permafrost carbon feedback and global policy
DESCRIPTION
Breakout Report : The Permafrost Carbon Feedback and Global Policy . Kevin Schaefer Ted Schuur Dave McGuire. Impact on Climate Change Treaty. 2°C warming target AR5 Projections don’t include permafrost emissions Temperatures higher with feedback Emissions targets may be too high - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
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Policy Implications of Warming Permafrost
Kevin SchaeferTed SchuurDave McGuire
Breakout Report: The Permafrost
Carbon Feedback and Global Policy
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Policy Implications of Warming Permafrost
Impact on Climate Change Treaty
• 2°C warming target• AR5 Projections don’t
include permafrost emissions
• Temperatures higher with feedback
• Emissions targets may be too high
• Risk overshooting 2°C warming target
Temperature Projections 4th
Assessment Report
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Policy Implications of Warming Permafrost
Report: The Permafrost Carbon Feedback and Global Policy
• UNEP report: Policy Implications of Warming Permafrost– http://www.unep.org/pdf/permafrost.pdf
• Recommendations:1) IPCC assessment2) Nationalize CALM and TSP3) Adaptation Plans
• Objective: How to implement recommendations?
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Policy Implications of Warming Permafrost
IPCC Special Assessment
• Understand the IPCC process• Look at past assessments– IPCC special assessments– SWIPA, ACIA, etc.
• Create outline• Identify science gaps• Write synthesis papers
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Policy Implications of Warming Permafrost
IPCC Special Assessment
• Hone a simple message• Contact people and groups– International Arctic Science Commission, etc.– Government representatives to IPCC
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Policy Implications of Warming Permafrost
Permafrost Monitoring Networks
• List of US/Canadian agencies– Environment Canada, USGS, etc.
• Need standards and Protocols• Need International cooperation• International Permafrost Association will
discuss• Coordinate with networks that monitor
carbon– NEON, Ameriflux, flask network, etc.
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Policy Implications of Warming Permafrost
Open Question to NACP
• Can existing/planned networks detect large emissions from thawing permafrost?