1 Brazil | Country reports | Trends in global energy efficiency 2011

BrazilEnergy efficiency report

Objectives:

– 109 TWh of electricity savings by 2030

1 The European Union, as the best-performing region, is used as the benchmark.

Overview 2009 2000-2009 (% / year)

Primary intensity (EU=100)1 109 - -0.4% --CO2 intensity (EU=100) 69 ++ -1.9% -

CO2 emissions per capita (in tCO2 / cap) 1.7 ++ 0.0% -Power generation 2009 2000-2009 (% / year)Efficiency of thermal power plants (in %) 42 + 2.1% ++Rate of electricity T&D losses (in %) 16 -- -0.1% --CO2 emissions per kWh generated (in gCO2 / kWh) 56 ++ -4.5% ++Industry 2009* 2000-2009* (% / year)Energy intensity (EU=100) 213 -- -0.1% --Unit consumption of steel (in toe / t) 0.62 -- 0.2% -*2008 and 2000-2008 for steel

++ Among best countries + Better than the EU average1 - Below the EU average1 -- Among countries with lowest performances

Latest update: February 2011

Trends in global energy efficiency 2011 | Country reports | Brazil 2

1. Overview1.1. Policies: 109 TWh of electricity savings by 2030In December 2008 Brazil’s president signed the National Cli-mate Change Plan (PNMC). The plan largely focuses on reduc-ing deforestation. The Plan also contains provisions regarding energy efficiency and renewable energy. It seeks to increase energy efficiency across various sectors of the economy in line with best practices, and to maintain the high renewable energy mix in Brazil’s transport and electricity sectors.

A national energy efficiency action plan is foreseen to fall within the framework of the PNMC. It will involve a reduction in elec-tricity consumption of around 10 percent by 2030 compared with a reference scenario (equivalent to savings of 106 TWh), which would avoid 30 million tons of CO2 emissions that same year. The plan also involves the replacement of one million old refrigerators per year for 10 years. Lastly, the plan aims to improve energy efficiency in industry, transport and buildings.

In December 2009, Brazil announced it would decrease its total greenhouse gas emissions by 36.1-38.9 percent by 2020 compared with a business as usual scenario; although the largest part would be achieved through a reduction in defores-tation and land use changes, 6.1-7.7 percent of the reduction would come from energy uses.

1.2. Energy consumption trends: rapid increaseAt 1.2 toe, Brazil’s per capita consumption is 31 percent lower than the world average of 1.8 toe.

Total energy consumption increased at the rapid pace of 3 percent / year between 1990 and 2008. In 2009 it decreased as a consequence of the global economic crisis. Final consump-tion followed the same trend as total energy consumption.Oil is the main source of energy, accounting for 40 percent of the country’s overall consumption. Non-commercial energy sources (wood, bagasse) come second with 32 percent, fol-lowed by hydroelectricity (14 percent), gas (7 percent), coal (5 percent) and nuclear power (3 percent).

Source: Enerdata

Primary consumption

Final consumption

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e1990 1995 2000 2005 2009

Figure 1: Total and final energy consumption trends

Industry plays an important role in final energy consumption (46 percent, including non-energy uses). The transport sector is also a large consumer: it absorbs one-third of final con-sumption and is a large consumer of biomass (alcohol con-sumption accounts for 20 percent of transport consumption). The households, services and agriculture sector accounts for just 22 percent of final energy consumption (2009). The distri-bution of final energy consumption by sector is relatively stable.

Source: Enerdata

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1990 2000 2005 2009

Households - Services -Agriculture

Transport

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Figure 2: Distribution of final energy consumption by sector

The country’s electricity consumption per capita is 16 percent lower than the world average, but 45 percent higher than the average of non-OECD countries (2,100 kWh in 2009, com-pared with 2,500 kWh world average). It is still more than three times lower than the average of OECD countries. Total electric-ity consumption increased at the steady pace of 3.5 per-cent / year between 1990 and 2009, except in 2001 / 2002

3 Brazil | Country reports | Trends in global energy efficiency 2011

BrazilEnergy efficiency report

when it decreased by 7 percent because of a low level of hydro production linked to a severe drought.

Electricity represents 18 percent of final energy consumption, and its market share is increasing slightly (16 percent in 1990). Sectoral shares have remained roughly stable over the last decade. Industry absorbs nearly half of the consumption (25 percent for services and 24 percent for the households sector).

Source: Enerdata

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1990 1995 2000 2005 2009

Figure 3: Electricity consumption trends by sector

1.3. Energy efficiency and CO2 trends: overall energy efficiency improvements since 2000Total energy consumption per unit of GDP (primary energy intensity), measured at purchasing power parity, is about 31 percent lower than the world average

Total energy intensity has been decreasing at a moderate pace since 2000 (less than 0.5 percent per year between 2000 and 2009), and more slowly than the world average (1.3 per-cent / year). The reduction in final energy intensity (final energy consumption per unit of GDP) was slightly faster over the same period.

Since 2000, CO2 emissions per unit of GDP (CO2 intensity) have decreased more rapidly than total energy intensity (almost 2 percent per year), thanks to fuel switches to CO2-free fuels and, in particular, to the declining market share of oil (47 per-cent in 2000 compared with 40 percent in 2009).

Source: Enerdata

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1990-2009 2000-2009

%/y

ear

Primary energy intensity

Final energy intensity

CO2 intensity

Figure 4: Energy and CO2 intensity trends

2. Power generation2.1. Policies: promotion of power production from renew-able energiesIn 2002, a program was launched to encourage the develop-ment of renewable energies (PROINFA) and to raise the share of renewables in primary consumption to 10 percent by 2020. The program contributed to Brazil becoming the largest wind producer in Latin America, with a capacity of 610 MW at the end of 2009. In 2008, the decision was made to award new contracts through competitive bidding. In 2009, tax exemp-tions for the wind energy industry were extended until January 2012. Brazil’s wind capacity is expected to increase rapidly resulting from projects submitted to the first wind power auc-tion in 2009 totaling 13 GW followed in 2010 by further tenders for 3 GW.

Since 1998 the Brazilian energy regulator, ANEEL, has imposed obligations on electric power distribution companies to make investments that reduce electric waste, including the taking of energy efficiency measures.

2.2. Power generation trends by source: large share of hydroelectricityBrazil is the world’s second-largest hydroelectricity producer after China, with a production of 390 TWh in 2009, and the country has one of the world’s largest shares of hydroelectricity production: 84 percent in 2009, while 5 percent of electricity is generated from biomass. Over 13 percent of electricity produc-tion comes from thermal plants and 3 percent from nuclear power. CO2-free electricity generation represents almost 92 percent of total power generation; it has fallen slightly since 1990 when it was around 94 percent (hydroelectricity account-ed for about 93 percent of that amount).

Trends in global energy efficiency 2011 | Country reports | Brazil 4

Source: Enerdata

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*Including biomass, geothermal and solar

Figure 5: Power generation by source

2.3. Efficiency of the power sector: high efficiency thanks to hydro Thanks to the large share of hydroelectricity, the efficiency of power generation is high compared with international stan-dards. In 2009 the average efficiency of thermal power genera-tion was equal to 42 percent, which is 7 points higher than the world average, thanks to the deployment of new gas combined cycle power plants since 2000.

Source: Enerdata

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1990 1995 2000 2005 2009

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Figure 6: Efficiency of power generation and thermal power plants

Source: Enerdata

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1990 1995 2000 2005 2009

Figure 7: Thermal electricity capacity, by technology

The rate of T&D losses in the Brazilian grid is above 16 percent of the distributed volumes, ie, higher than the world average (9 percent). Those losses have increased slightly over time (13 percent in 1990). The PNMC aims to decrease non-technical losses in electricity distribution at a rate of 1,000 GWh per year for the next 10 years.

Source: Enerdata

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1990 1995 2000 2005 2009

Figure 8: Electric T&D losses

Thanks to the large share of hydropower, the average CO2 emission factor for power generation is almost 10 times lower than the world average at just 56 gCO2 / kWh in 2009, and remains relatively stable.

5 Brazil | Country reports | Trends in global energy efficiency 2011

BrazilEnergy efficiency report

Source: Enerdata

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1990 1995 2000 2005 2009

Figure 9: CO2 emission factor for power generation

3. Industry3.1. PoliciesThere is no specific policy for the industrial sector.

3.2. Energy consumption trends: decrease due to global crisisIndustrial energy consumption increased at the steady pace of 3.5 percent / year between 1990 and 2008. The global crisis had a significant impact, since industrial energy consumption dropped by 6.3 percent in 2009.

Source: Enerdata

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1990 1995 2000 2005 2009

Figure 10: Industrial energy consumption

Biomass represents a high share of industrial energy consump-tion, with more than 43 percent. It has increased slightly since 1990 (40 percent). In 2009 electricity accounted for 21 percent of that consumption, oil for 16 percent and coal for 10 percent. The use of natural gas has increased over time, but accounted for just 9 percent in 2009.

The share of energy-intensive industries in industrial energy consumption has fallen slightly since 1990, now accounting for about half of that consumption. The steel industry’s share of energy consumption in particular has decreased steadily and is now just above 20 percent. The share of the chemical industry has also declined, while the non-metallic minerals (cement, ceramics, etc.) and paper industries have maintained their shares over the period.

Source: Enerdata

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1990 2000 2005 2009

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Figure 11: Energy consumption of industry, by source

Source: Enerdata

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1990 2000 2005 2008

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Figure 12: Energy consumption of industry, by branch

Trends in global energy efficiency 2011 | Country reports | Brazil 6

3.3. Energy intensity trends: no reduction in intensityOver the period 1990-2008, consumption per unit of industrial value added (energy intensity) increased by 0.4 percent / year. However, in certain branches energy efficiency improvements gained momentum; in the cement and steel industries, for instance, energy consumption per ton produced decreased by 2 percent / year and 0.6 percent / year, respectively.

Source: Enerdata

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1990-2008 2000-2008

*Including construction and mining

**Non metallic minerals

Figure 13: Trends in the energy intensity of industrial branches

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