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Biologics market

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  • Developments, Trends and Strategies

    ANDREW BOURGOIN [email protected] NY Pharma Forum January 31st, 2012

    Biologics Market: An Overview

  • Generics & API Intelligence at Thomson Reuters

    20 years of expertise in global generics

    Unique research that tracks global generic API development and manufacturing activities

    Intelligence appears in Newport Premium database for generic companies and API manufacturers interested in:

    Strategy, Planning and Product Targeting

    Business Development & Licensing

    Competitive & Business Intelligence

    API Sourcing

    Patents & Intellectual Property

    Supports Life Sciences consulting projects

    Serves 300 customers operating in 43 countries

    Team based in Portland, Maine

    2

  • Agenda

    Competition in Follow-on Biologic Development

    Incentive and Challenges to Compete

    Established Companies

    Global Development

    Strategies, Trends and Forecasts

    Gaining a Competitive Advantage through M&A

    Takeaways and Questions

    3

  • 4

    2011 T

    hom

    son R

    eute

    rs.

    Competitive Landscape

  • Biologics: a $90bn Global Market

    Class #Launched WW Sales

    US$

    No.

    Blockbusters

    %Blockbuster

    Sales

    rhProtein 65 $52bn 13 80%

    MAb 26 $42bn 9 90%

    Total 91 $94bn 22 85%

    5 Source: IMS Health, Newport Premium for Generics, TR Research

  • Incentive To Compete In The Follow-on Biologic Market

    6 Source: IMS Health, Newport Premium for Generics, TR Research

    0

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    7

    $B

    US

    WW

  • Global MAbs Market

    7

    INN WW Sales

    (US$B) Growth

    Biosimilar Competition Not Expected Before

    USA EU JPN Infliximab 6.3 10% 2010 2014 2012

    Adalimumab 6.6 19% 2010 2018 2018 Bevacizumab 5.4 1% 2011 2014 2016

    Rituximab 5.3 9% 2016 2013 2016 Trastuzumab 4.4 10% 2008 2014 2014 Ranibizumab 3.4 32% 2017 2014 2019 Cetuximab 1.5 5% 2015 2014 2016

    Palivizumab 1.4 10% 2015 2014 2015 Natalizumab 9 16% 2014 2014 Omalizumab 8 16% 2007 2017

    Panitumumab 4 81% 2017 2014 2018 Eculizumab 2 26% 2014 2017 2020

    Source: IMS Health via Newport Premium for Generics, TR Research

  • First Wave FOB Launches

    Therapy Brand Name Company Markets

    Somatropin Omnitrope Sandoz EU, USA,

    Canada, Japan

    EPO Epokine CJ Corporation South Korea,

    Thailand

    EPO Binocrit Sandoz EU

    EPO Retacrit Hospira EU

    EPO Wepox, Epox Wockhardt India

    EPO Epiao 3SBio China

    EPO Erypo Biocon India

    Filgrastim Nivestim Hospira EU, Austrailia

    Filgrastim Ratiograstim Ratiopharm EU

    INF A 2a Intefen 3SBio China

    INF A 2b Realdiron Biotechna Ukraine

    8

  • Major Generic Companies Active in FOB Development

    Company Proteins Antibodies Vaccines Launches

    Teva FP UD FP EPO, GCSF

    Sandoz FP UD EPO, HGH

    Biocon FP UD FP GCSF

    Hospira FP UD EPO, HGH

    Zydus FP UD GCSF

    STADA FP UD EPO

    Actavis FP Via Bioton

    Ranbaxy FP UD FP

    Dr Reddys FP FP GCSF

    Apotex FP UD FP

    Cipla UD

    9 Source: TR Research

    Key: FP = Full Production, UD = Under Development

  • Big Pharma Committed To Compete

    10

    Company Strategic Positioning (year)

    Pfizer Announcement (10), Biocon

    Merck Bioventures (09), Parexel, Hanwha (11)

    Amgen Watson (11)

    Biogen Idec Samsung (11)

    Baxter Momenta (11)

    Boehringer Ingelheim Announcement (11)

    Many of the traditional innovator companies have the most to lose from competition in the follow-on biologics

    market. Conversely, companies with established sales

    and marketing forces in the US will have a competitive

    advantage against competition void of such attributes.

    -Thomson Reuters White Paper

  • Biosimilars and the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act (H.R. 3590)

    Section 351 of the Public Health Service Act (PHSA) amended to include an abbreviated biological license application (aBLA)

    for highly similar biological products

    Safety and efficacy

    Large-scale clinical studies

    Same condition(s)s of use, route(s) of administration, dose form, strength and utilizes the same mechanism(s) of action

    as reference product

    Interchangeability

    Must produce the same clinical results as the reference product

    Exclusivity

    Continuing debate

    11

  • Biosimilars and the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act (H.R. 3590) Continued

    12

    Pre-Market Phase

    Initial or annual biosimilar product development fee (BPD)

    Reactivation Fee

    Marketing Application Fee

    Post-Market Phase

    Establishment fee

    Product Fee

    Biosimilar User Fees Congressional Consideration

    Many Similarities to the PDUFA Fee structure

    Performance Goals

    Initial Guidance? Waiting game

    NEMJ article

    Which Route to take? 351(a) v. 351(k)

  • Barriers To Entry Will Limit Competition

    Biomanufacturing facility, additional capabilities

    Significant clinical and non-clinical testing

    Substantial, NDA-type dossiers

    Post-market safety surveillance

    Substantial manufacturing investments

    Sales promotion and marketing

    Intellectual property considerations

    13

  • Recombinant Protein Production: Emerging Markets

    14

    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12

    14

    16

    18

    20

    India China ROW

    Nu

    mb

    er

    of

    Co

    mp

    an

    ies

    Under Development

    Full Production

  • MAb Production: Emerging Markets

    15

    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12

    14

    16

    18

    India China ROW

    Nu

    mb

    er

    of

    Co

    mp

    an

    ies

    Under Development

    Full Production

  • Companies Currently Manufacturing or Developing Active Substances For FOBs

    16

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    China India ROW EU

    Inexperienced

    Experienced

  • Biotech Capabilities Among The Top Chinese

    Company Proteins Antibodies Vaccines Launches

    Anhui Anke FP HGH, IFN

    Amoytop FP GCSF, IFN, HGH

    Beijing SL FP GCSF

    Beijing Tiantan FP Hep B

    Citic Pacific FP UD Etanercept

    Chanchung Institute FP FP GCSF, IFN

    Chengdu Hoist FP Radio MAb

    Dalian Hissen FP Hep B, Rabies

    National Serum FP Various

    Shenzen Kexing FP IFN, HGH

    Shenyang Sunshine FP EPO, IFN, IL2

    Wuhan Institute FP FP MAb

    17

    Key: FP = Full Production, UD = Under Development

    Source: TR Research

  • Biologic Development in Japan and S Korea

    18

    Company Proteins Antibodies Vaccines Launches

    Aska UD

    Celltrion FP UD Abatacept

    CJ Cheil Jedang FP FP EPO

    Dong-A Pharmaceuticals FP EPO, GCSF, INF,

    HGH

    Fuji UD

    Gene Techno Science UD

    ISU ABXIS UD FAb

    Kissei FP GCSF

    LG Life Sciences FP FP EPO

    Mochida UD

    Nippon Kayaku UD

    Samsung UD

  • 19

    2011 T

    hom

    son R

    eute

    rs.

    Strategies, Trends and Forecasts

  • Number of Biologic Product Based Deals 2000-2011

    20

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

  • First Wave Biosimilar Deals: EPO, G-CSF

    Apotex & Cangene (1999), BioGeneriX (1999), Intas (2005)

    Ratiopharm via BioGeneriX (2003)

    Hospira via STADA (2006)

    Barr via Pliva (2005)

    Lupin via Bharat (2006)

    Mayne via Pliva (2005)

    Teva via Savient (1999), Sicor/UAB (1999), IVAX (2004), Tianjin Hualida (2006)

    STADA via DSM Biologics (2001), Bioceuticals (2001)

    Sandoz in-house

    21

    Source: TR Research

  • 22

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    80

    90

    100

    2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

    Biologic Manufacturing, Supply & Distribution Deals, 2000-2011

  • 2nd Wave Biosimilar Technology Acquisition

    Mylan via Biocon (2009)

    Hospira via BresaGen (2006), HGS (2008), Celltrion (2009), Pliva (2009)

    Teva via CoGenesys (2008), Lonza (2009)

    Pfizer via Biocon (2010)

    Strides via Inbiopro (2010)

    Kemwell joint venture with Boehringer Ingelheim (2010)

    Gedeon Richter via Mochida (2010)

    Cipla joint venture with BioMab (2010)

    EGIS via Celltrion (2010)

    Watson via Itero (2010)

    Shenzhen Wanle via Celltrion (2010)

    23

    Source: TR Research

  • The Trend Continues in 2011

    24

    Merck via Parexel, Hanwha

    Viropro via Spectrum

    Samsung via Quintiles

    Fujifulm via Merck Biomanufacturing Network

    Lupin via Nueclone

    Compass Biotechnologies via PanGen Biotech

    Pharma Praxis and Brazils Ministry of Health

    Mochida, Fuji

    Natco via Mabxience

  • 25

    Number of Biologic Product Based Deals 2000-2011

    Biologics v Biosimilars

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    Biologics

    Biosimilars

  • Teva: A Case Study

    26

    Year Deal Activity Impact

    2004 Purchased SICOR Biologics Facility

    2005 Purchased Tianjin Hualida IFN Producer

    2006 Collaboration with Protalix Novel Expression

    2008 Purchased CoGenesys Albumin Infusion

    2009 Alliance with Lonza Experience

  • Competitive Advantages Through Strategic Deals

    27

    Current strategies for companies investing in follow-on biologic development focus on novel

    technologies and manufacturing experience.

    Improved efficacy and safety of products that employ these new technologies and

    manufacturing practices will increase incentive for

    innovative process development.

    Strategic deals will focus on additional solutions that will provide a competitive advantage in the

    follow-on biologic market in the U.S. and globally

  • Conclusions and Considerations

    28

    A new paradigm in pharma competition

    Global markets and regulations growing to meet domestic demand and international growth

    Uncertainty remains and will effect decision makers but not development and less regulated

    market launches

    IP considerations and strategies will become defined.

  • CMR International, a Thomson Reuters business

    Further information

    29

    Andrew Fischer Bourgoin

    Pharmaceutical Research Analyst

    Thomson Reuters Healthcare & Science

    [email protected]

    White Paper on US Follow-on Biologic Competition

    http://science.thomsonreuters.com/info/newport_whitepapers/

    Thank You!