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Molson Coors Brewing Company Barclays BacktoSchool Consumer Conference September 5, 2012

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Page 1: Boston Back-to-School 2012 Slides Draft4 [Read-Only]s21.q4cdn.com/334828327/files/doc_presentations/2012/Boston-Bac… · Forward‐Looking Statement Forward‐Looking Statements:

Molson Coors Brewing CompanyBarclays Back‐to‐School Consumer ConferenceSeptember 5, 2012

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Peter SwinburnChief Executive Officer 

Molson Coors Brewing Company

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Forward‐Looking Statement

Forward‐Looking Statements:  This presentation includes estimates or projections that constitute “forward‐looking statements” within the meaning of the U.S.  federal securities laws.  Generally, the words “believe,” expect,” intend,” anticipate,” “project,” “will,” and similar expressions identify forward‐looking statements, which generally are not historic in nature.  Although the Company believes that the assumptions upon which its forward‐looking statements are based are reasonable, it can give no assurance that these assumptions will prove to be correct. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from the Company’s historical experience, and present projections and expectations are disclosed in the Company’s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”).  These factors include, among others, our ability to successfully integrate StarBev, retain key employees and achieve planned cost synergies; pension plan costs; availability or increase in the cost of packaging materials; our ability to maintain manufacturer/distribution agreements; impact of competitive pricing and product pressures; our ability to implement our strategic initiatives, including executing and realizing cost savings; changes in legal and regulatory requirements, including the regulation of distribution systems; increase in the cost of commodities used in the business; our ability to maintain brand image, reputation and product quality; our ability to maintain good labor relations; changes in our supply chain system; additional impairment charges; the impact of climate change and the availability and quality of water; the ability of MillerCoors to integrate operations and technologies; lack of full‐control over the operations of MillerCoors; the ability of MillerCoors to maintain good relationships with its distributors; and other risks discussed in our filings with the SEC, including our Annual Report on Form 10‐K for the year‐ended December 31, 2011, which are available from the SEC.  All forward‐looking statements in this press release are expressly qualified by such cautionary statements and by reference to the underlying assumptions. You should not place undue reliance on forward‐looking statements, which speak only as of the date they are made.  We do not undertake to update forward‐looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.

Reconciliations to Nearest U.S. GAAP Measures:  The following presentation includes certain "non‐GAAP financial measures" as defined in Regulation G under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. A schedule is posted on the Company's website at MolsonCooors.com (in the “Investor Relations" section) which reconciles our results as reported under Generally Accepted Accounting Principles and the non‐GAAP financial measures included in the following presentation.

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Today’s Agenda

• Peter Swinburn, CEO, Molson Coors

Introductions and strategic overview

• Gavin Hattersley, CFO, Molson Coors 

Driving improved financial strength, performance and total shareholder return

• Closing Remarks

• Q&A

4

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Current Landscape for Beer Industry

Developed Markets

• Persistent macroeconomic challenges 

High unemployment for key beer drinkers

Sluggish consumer confidence Less disposable income

• Rising commodity costs

• Competition from wine and spirits

Sweeter palates Looking for more choices 

• Rapid growth of craft segment• Attractive profit pools

Developing/Emerging Markets

• Higher GDP growth rates than developed markets

• Growing middle classes

More disposable income

Greater interest in imports

• Growing beer markets

• Growing interest in premium beers

• Challenging regulatory and legal environments

• Thin margins in some markets

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A Disciplined Strategy for Growth & Scale

M&A

Accelerate Growth in Developing Markets

Maximize Growth and Profit in Developed Markets

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Current Strategic Priorities

M&A

Accelerate Growth in Developing Markets

Maximize Growth and Profit in Developed Markets

Invest Behind Our Power BrandsDeliver Value Added InnovationLeverage Above‐Premium Growth

Build Momentum in Emerging Markets Integrate Molson Coors Central Europe

PRIORITIES

STRATEGIC PRIORITIES

Strong Cost Management Discipline

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Investing Behind Our Power Brands

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US – Coors Light, Miller Lite Outperform Segment

New MillerLite Ad Campaign

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Canada – Coors Light #1, Canadian Stabilized

#1 Brand in Canada in 2010 and 2011

9.510.6

11.512.9 13.5 13.7 13.5 13.7

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

14.0

16.0

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 1H 2012

Market Share (%)

9.6 9.2 8.7 8.2 7.7 7.8 7.9 7.7

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 1H 2012

Market Share (%)

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UK – Carling Facing Headwinds

11

Source: Internal data /  BBPA Data to July 2012

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Delivering Value Added Innovation

Adding News & Excitement Behind Core Brands

Delivering New Options for Changing Preferences

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Leveraging Success in Above Premium

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Latin America & CaribbeanMexico, Caribbean, Panama, Costa Rica, ParaguayCoors Light 

ChinaCoors Light Marketing & Sales force

W. Europe Carling & StaropramenSpain and Export 

E.EuropeRussia/UkraineCarling, Staropramen & Coors Light 

IndiaCobra and Iceberg JV / Sales force

JapanZima and Corona 

Accelerating Growth in Developing Markets

Central EuropeCzech Republic, Bosnia, Slovakia, Hungary, Romania, Bulgaria, Serbia, Croatia, MontenegroStaropramen, Bergenbier, Yellen, Kamenitza, Ozujsko, Niksicko, Borsodi

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Pursuing Smart M&A Opportunities

• Focus on integration of Molson Coors Central Europe

Capturing synergies

Driving sales and innovation

Maintaining margins

• Focus on reducing debt

No major acquisitions contemplated

Pursuing pre‐acquisition leverage ratio

• Small “tuck‐in” acquisitions and portfolio additions possible

Doom Bar: UK’s fastest growing cask ale

Crispin Cider: Premier brand in fast growing adjacency

India JV: Building brand presence in world’s fastest growing beer market

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Strong Business, Growth Opportunities

Business Description

Sales Breakdown by Country (2011) 1

• A leading Central European brewer

• Brews and distributes market‐leading local brands out of nine regional breweries

• Operational headquarters in Prague, Czech Republic; approx. 4,200 employees 

• Operates in Czech Republic, Serbia, Croatia, Romania, Hungary, Bulgaria and Montenegro

2011A (US$, in millions)

Volume (million HL) 13.3

Sales 940

Underlying EBITDA% Margin

31734%

Depreciation & Amortization 139

Underlying Pretax Income% Margin

182219%

Financial Snapshot 2

1. Slovakia and Bosnia‐Herzegovina results included in Czech Republic and Croatia, respectively.  

2. Prepared in accordance with US GAAP accounting standards.  EBITDA and EBIT exclude approximately $7 million of exceptional expenses.  Assumes exchange rate of $1.33/Euro.

MOLSON COORS CENTRAL EUROPE

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Czech Republic #5 7%

Romania 7%#4 (1)(1)

Bulgaria 15%#1

Hungary #1 18%

Serbia 32%#1

Croatia 34%#1

Montenegro 62%#1 (1) (1)

Leading Brand Positions

Country Position Lead Brand Share Other MCCE BrandsFlagship Brand

Sources: 2011 data from Euromonitor Alcoholic Drinks 2012 and Molson Coors internal analyses(1) Based on Molson Coors internal analyses

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4.1%

2.2% 1.9% 1.6% 1.5%

(1%)

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

Solid Macroeconomic Outlook for Region

• The economies in Central Europe have become more stable and are on a growth trajectory

–Seven consecutive quarters of GDP growth

• The expected long‐term economic outlook for Central Europe markets is compelling

–Long‐term growth drivers: per capita income growth leading to expansion of middle class, labor cost advantage for Western manufacturers, strong foreign investment flows and productivity improvements

Source: Global Insight as of March 2012(1) MCCE markets include Bulgaria, Croatia, Czech Republic, Hungary, Montenegro, Romania, and Serbia where MCCE has brewing 

operations.

Central Europe Economic Outlook: Real GDP Per Capita Growth (CAGR) (1)

3.1%

1.7% 1.4% 1.2% 1.0%

(1%)

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

(2.0%)

(1.0%) (1.1%)(1.6%)

(1.9%)

(3%)

(2%)

(1%)

0%

1%

Pre‐Crisis: 1998‐2008 Crisis: 2008‐2010 Projected: 2011‐2016

MC Central Europe Markets Median (1) Western Europe U.K. U.S. Canada

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2.8%

(0.8%) (0.9%) (1.2%)

(2.4%)(3%)

(2%)

(1%)

0%

1%

2%

3%

Strong Beer Market Growth Opportunity

• Central Europe markets grew faster than developed markets before the 2008 financial crisis

• Strong relative beer volume growth expected in these markets over next five years

• Beer consumption per capita is growing overall in Central Europe markets

Source: 2011 data from Euromonitor Alcoholic Drinks 2012(1) MCCE markets include Bulgaria, Croatia, Czech Republic, Hungary, Montenegro, Romania, and Serbia where MCCE has brewing 

operations

2011‐2016 Projected Central Europe Beer Market Growth vs. Major Developed Markets

2.4%

(0.1%) (0.2%)(0.8%)

(1.8%)(2%)

(1%)

0%

1%

2%

3%

Beer Volume (CAGR) Per Capita Beer Consumption Growth (CAGR)

MC Central Europe Markets Median (1) Western Europe U.K. U.S. Canada

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Gavin HattersleyChief Financial Officer

Molson Coors Brewing Company

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Total Shareholder Return Ahead of the Market

The above graph compares Molson Coors cumulative total stockholder return with the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index.  Assumes $100 was invested on December 29, 2006, in Molson Coors Class B common stock and the S&P 500 and, in both instances, assumes reinvestment of dividends.

 60

 70

 80

 90

 100

 110

 120

 130

 140

 150

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Aug 15 2012

Total Shareholder Return

Molson Coors S&P 500

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Driving Profit in Challenging Markets

$0

$200

$400

$600

$800

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012H1

+20% ‐1%+12%

+11%

+18%

+3%($mm)

+7%

MCBC Underlying Pretax Income

Non‐GAAP underlying income is calculated by excluding special and other non‐core items from the nearest U.S. GAAP earnings.  See reconciliation to nearest U.S. GAAP measures on our website.  Percentage change is versus comparable prior year period.

2012 1st half 11% EPS growth driven by U.S., C. Europe, lower shares

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Central Europe Acquisition Highlights

• Completed June 15, purchase price €2.7 billion ($3.4 billion) 

• Purchase multiple 10.8x 2011 underlying EBITDA

• 2011 Central Europe pro forma results (US GAAP): 

Net sales of $940 million Underlying pretax income of $182 million Underlying EBITDA of $317 million Solid margin foundation for growth

• Financing: $2.8 billion new debt (~3% rate), $600 million of cash  

• Capital Spending lower than expected

• New 2012 underlying tax rate range: 15‐19%

• Expect positive returns in early part of 3‐5 year return range

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Central Europe Enhances Growth/Profit Profile

1 Does not include underlying operating losses for Corporate and MCI.  Totals may not sum due to rounding.Non‐GAAP underlying income is calculated by excluding special and other non‐core items from the nearest U.S. GAAP earnings.  See reconciliation to nearest U.S. GAAP measures on our website.  Percentage change is versus comparable prior year period.

46.0%

22.7%

14.8%

14.5%

2.0%2011 Pro Forma Worldwide Beer Volume

38.4%

14.5%

7.7%

39.5%

2011 Pro Forma Underlying Operating Income1

41.6%

12.3%

17.4%

27.1%

1.6%

2011 Pro Forma Net Sales

MillerCoors

CentralEuropeUK

Canada

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Balance Sheet/Cash Use Priority: Deleverage

Debt/EBITDA

1 Total debt less cash, divided by the sum of underlying pretax income, plus interest and depreciation & amortization expense (incl. 42% of MillerCoors). See annual earnings releases  for US GAAP reconciliations.

2 2011 S&P leverage calculation based on internal estimates, currently not published by S&P.

1

2.8x3.0x 3.0x

3.6x

2.8x 2.9x

4.1x

1.8x 1.6x1.4x

0.8x0.6x

0.7x

2.8x

0.0x

1.0x

2.0x

3.0x

4.0x

5.0x

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Actual 2011 ProForma

S&P Reported Debt / EBITDA  Net debt to EBITDA

2

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Increasing 2012 Underlying FCF Target

$532 

$421 

$557 

$729 

$924 

$635 

$750

$0

$200

$400

$600

$800

$1,000

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012F

MCBC Underlying Free Cash Flow

Underlying free cash flow is defined as operating cash flow, plus asset sale proceeds, less capital spending and one‐time cash uses, plus or minus investing cash from/to MillerCoors. See reconciliation to nearest U.S. GAAP measures on our website.

($mm)

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Driving Total Shareholder Return

Goal:  Drive total shareholder return through business performance, cash generation, and optimal capital efficiency/structure

Capital allocation priorities:

1. Brand‐led growth opportunities

• Coors Light Iced T, Punch Top Can, Doom Bar, Central Europe acquisition

2. Strengthened balance sheet by reducing liabilities, funding pensions• Strong investment grade rating• Medium‐term cash use focused on returning debt ratios to pre‐Central Europe levels

3. Committed to returning cash to our shareholders• Doubled dividend (2008‐2011), now in competitive range• Hold dividend constant for time being• Buy back program on hold until rating‐agency debt ratios return to the range of 

three times underlying EBITDA or lower

Central Europe meets criteria, supports strategic priorities

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Peter SwinburnChief Executive Officer 

Molson Coors Brewing Company

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A Focus on Total Shareholder Return 

Top‐lineGrowth 

Bottom‐line Growth

M&A

Accelerate Growth in Developing Markets

Growth and Profit in Developed Markets

Building long‐term, sustainable shareholder returns through disciplined growth and capital allocation strategy

Returning Cash

TOTAL SHAREHOLDER 

RETURN

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Molson Coors Brewing CompanyBarclays Back‐to‐School Consumer ConferenceSeptember 5, 2012

Q & A