book reviews
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This article was downloaded by: [Umeå University Library]On: 06 October 2014, At: 19:22Publisher: RoutledgeInforma Ltd Registered in England and Wales Registered Number: 1072954Registered office: Mortimer House, 37-41 Mortimer Street, London W1T 3JH,UK
Contemporary Security PolicyPublication details, including instructions for authorsand subscription information:http://www.tandfonline.com/loi/fcsp20
Book ReviewsDr Jez Littlewood aa Norman Paterson School of International Affairs,Carleton University , CanadaPublished online: 10 Sep 2008.
To cite this article: Dr Jez Littlewood (2008) Book Reviews, Contemporary SecurityPolicy, 29:2, 402-404, DOI: 10.1080/13523260802284779
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Book Reviews
Koran, Kalashnikov and Laptop: The Neo Taliban and Insurgency in Afghanistan,
Antonio Giustozzi. London and New York: Hurst and Company, Columbia Univer-
sity Press, 2007, pp. 259. $24.95/£45.00 (hardcover); £16.99 (paperback, UK only).
Antonio Giustozzi’s book represents a significant contribution that enhances our
understanding of the current insurgency in Afghanistan. It is a great pity that this
study was not available in 2005 when the British government made the decision to
commit significant forces to reclaim Helmand province on behalf of the central gov-
ernment in Afghanistan. At the time this was seen as an uncontroversial decision that
entailed minimal risk to British forces. Indeed, so confident was the British govern-
ment that the Defence Secretary declared to Parliament in February 2006 that he
believed it unlikely that the British would fire a single shot over the proposed three
years of their deployment. How ironic then that, in the summer of 2006, NATO Com-
mander General Richards described the ferocity and intensity of the fighting in
Helmand as the most intensive combat experienced by British forces since the
Korean War (1950–1953). Obviously something went wrong in terms of the UK’s
intelligence picture on Afghanistan; a fact reaffirmed by subsequent reports, which
highlight that British commanders had virtually no real information on the situation
facing them in Helmand when they deployed in May 2006.
Clearly the biggest surprise that confronted them was the strength, motivation,
and determination of the insurgency from a movement that was believed moribund
and demoralised. What Giustozzi’s book does extremely well is to explain how
this movement, which had been defeated so easily in 2001, reorganised itself to
become the tenacious political and military grouping that it is today. A particular
strength of this study is that its author does not claim to be an expert on insurgency
and, most importantly, he does not attempt to provide a game plan on how to defeat
the Taliban. I fully support his decision not to engage in the policy-orientated litera-
ture on insurgency and counter-insurgency. In doing this he has avoided the path fol-
lowed by many current thinkers on the subject of insurgency – a path that all too
frequently results in a rather formulaic discussion, which is often sterile because it
lacks a meaningful context. Instead, he has simply focused on trying to understand
and explain the phenomenon that is the ‘Neo Taliban’. As such this is a welcome
addition to an area that has not been well served by the academic community so far.
The book has two other strengths. First he has carried out much of the research for
this project in country and therefore has a better sense than most of how conditions
are on the ground. Second, as he readily admits, the book grew out of a wider study
examining the fragility of the Afghan state. The decision to write a piece on the insur-
gency only happened because his research coincided with the revival of this move-
ment and he thought it opportune to write a small article which in the end, because
of the complexity of the topic, became a book. However, in conducting this analysis,
Contemporary Security Policy, Vol.29, No.2 (August 2008), pp.384–410ISSN 1352-3260 print/1743-8764 onlineDOI: 10.1080/13523260802284480 # 2008 Taylor & Francis
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Giustozzi was able to draw upon a wide range of research that embraced the broader
historical, political, social, economic, and military setting in the country and this has
been used to good effect in explaining the current insurgency.
Equally important, this diverse pool of information is developed in a logical,
coherent, and easily accessible format and each chapter addresses a fundamentally
important question relating the resurrection of this movement. The study examines
the following areas: the sources or drivers behind the insurgency, the recruitment pol-
icies adopted by the Taliban, the organization of the movement, its strategy, its tac-
tical game plan, and finally NATO’s counter-insurgency campaign against it.
What is particularly interesting is how Giustozzi justifies the distinction between
the new and old Taliban. Whilst he acknowledges the continuity that exists in terms
of their commitment to an ultra-conservative interpretation of Islam based on the
Deobondi tradition, there are important differences which have served to reinforce
the effectiveness of this movement. Of particular importance here has been the
absorption of foreign jihadist allies and the importation of new technologies and
tactics from other Islamist insurgent groups operating in places such as Iraq. Of
great significance here is the cleverness of the Taliban’s information warfare strategy,
a development which has both shocked and surprised the British.
An aspect of the study that is particularly interesting is his analysis of how strong
the Neo Taliban was as a fighting movement in 2006–2007. It is perhaps not surpris-
ing that his estimates are far higher than NATO’s. However, his analysis seems to be
based on a credible foundation of information and if accepted, should be a cause for
concern for the international coalition which is currently struggling to get to grips
with this foe.
It is also interesting that so few members from the old Taliban joined the Neo
Taliban. Instead, the majority of the organization’s fighters come from Pashtun
tribal youth. Giustozzi’s analysis of why this social group has joined is interesting
and has important policy implications in terms of how the insurgency can be
tackled. What is clear is that the motivations for joining the insurgency are frequently
no different from past insurgencies: money, security, and personal status, factors
which we tend to dismiss when thinking about Islamist insurgencies. To some
extent these basic motivations are reaffirmed by the employment of casual fighters
paid on a monthly basis by the Taliban. However, Giustozzi stresses that the existence
of this practice is not evidence that the Neo Taliban are merely mercenaries as some
have claimed.
An extremely useful and informative component of this book is the chapter on the
organization of the Taliban. This examines the command and control arrangements
that exist within the organization, and most importantly, how the organization
funds its operations. It is within this domain that Giustozzi examines the relationship
between the drug trade and the Taliban. Once again, he challenges what has become
orthodoxy in government and military circles, that the Taliban rely heavily on the
drug trade to fund their operations, which if true has important implications for
the future development of a counter-narcotics and counter-insurgency strategy in
Afghanistan. Less controversial, but nevertheless interesting, is Giustozzi’s analysis
of the Neo Taliban’s strategy, which confirms the earlier speculative commentaries
BOOK REVIEWS 385
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made by analysts in 2005 and early 2006, but what is most interesting are the parallels
made between the present and past insurgencies, which again feed into the wider
policy debate on the appropriate counter-insurgent strategy to be employed when
fighting an Islamist insurgency. The final chapter provides a brief overview of the
counter-insurgency strategy adopted by the United States and the Afghan govern-
ment. Whilst this chapter is not as comprehensive as the others, it is nevertheless a
vital component of the overall study simply because it explains why and how
failure of the state and its security forces has fed and strengthened the insurgency.
In sum, this is an excellent book and should be standard issue to all NATO com-
manders deploying into Afghanistan!
Warren Chin
King’s College London
Joint Services Command and Staff College
Transforming Military Force: The Legacy of Arthur Cebrowski and Network Centric
Warfare, James R. Blaker. Westport, CT: Praeger Security International, 2007,
pp. 264. $44.95/£25.95 (hardcover).
The debate surrounding the transformation of the US military had been simmering
since the early 1990s; however, it heated up in 2001 when newly elected President
George W. Bush appointed Donald Rumsfeld as Secretary of Defense. Rumsfeld
entered office with a mandate from President Bush to transform the US military
into a smaller, more technologically advanced, and more effective force. In Trans-
forming Military Force: The Legacy of Arthur Cebrowski and Network Centric
Warfare James R. Blake, vice president and senior analyst at Science International
Applications Corporation (SAIC), introduces the reader to the late Admiral Arthur
Cebrowski, the man that Secretary Rumsfeld hand-picked to implement the trans-
formation that the Bush administration felt was so desperately needed in the Amer-
ican armed forces. Having served in numerous positions within the Department of
Defense that placed him on the leading edge of transformation policy and in daily
contact with Admiral Cebrowski, Blaker is well qualified to tell this story.
Blaker explains how Admiral Cebrowski’s military assignments and education
placed him at the forefront of military transformation. During the 1990s, Cebrowski
joined with other likeminded reformers to develop a new theory of war, codified in
the term Network Centric Warfare (NCW). Blaker argues that Cebrowski felt that
NCW theory would be to the information era what Carl von Cluasewitz’s On War
was to the industrial era. Whereas Clausewitz’s theory emphasized the use of
massed armies, attrition warfare, and centralized command and control to obtain
military objectives, Blaker states that Cebrowski’s NCW theory ‘envisioned a new
force characterized by numerous small, fast, networked units; organized around
extensive self-synchronization at the tactical level; and operating interdependently
in a distributed manner across board expanse’ (p. 19). Cebrowski claimed that
warfare conducted in this manner would present an enemy with overwhelming
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complexity, which would rapidly erode his will to resist and convince him that his
position was untenable.
In proselytizing his transformation message, Cebrowski stressed that information/
knowledge would substitute for mass on the battlefield and that speed of innovation,
coupled with a willingness to change and agility in adapting new technologies to the
future operational environment, would define the dominant military power(s) in the
21st century. Not only would information technology cut through Clausewitz’s Fog
and Friction of war; but also, it would break down cumbersome conventional
command structures by linking the sensors, decision-makers, and shooters in real-
time, thereby fostering self-synchronization. According to Cebrowski, this was the
essence of Network Centric Warfare and a force with these capabilities would
possess an enormous advantage over an opponent without them. Moreover,
because NCW held the promise of quick, decisive operations with relatively
minimal friendly and enemy casualties and damage, Cebrowski felt NCW had a
moral ( jus in bello) quality to it.
However, the armed services were sceptical of Cebrowski’s message. It was not
that the services opposed change or that they found fault with the conceptual under-
pinnings of NCW; rather, it was the accelerated pace of Defense Transformation that
Cebrowski advocated, coupled with the resultant changes in force structure within
and among the services, that gave military decision-makers pause. If implemented
as he wished, Cebrowski’s initiatives would have put many service acquisition pro-
grams at risk and realigned several service warfighting jurisdictions, e.g. shifting the
primary indirect fire support role for the Army from the field artillery to the US Air
Force. Undeterred by the objections he encountered within the Department of
Defense (DoD), Cebrowski relentlessly advocated accelerated change to a fully
Network Centric Force. To implement NCW Adm. Cebrowski recommended
changes to American overseas basing strategy, a trifurcated networked force struc-
ture, and a unique unit rotation policy.
While this book is a fitting testimony to the vision and initiatives of the late
Admiral Cebrowski, it is not an objective account of American Defense Transform-
ation. Blaker’s work is based on his close association with Adm. Cebrowski and the
numerous interactions and correspondence that he had with Cebrowski over a number
of years. Blaker states that Adm. Cebrowski ‘never explicated his new theory in
detail, comprehensively or systematically in writing’ (p. 17). Consequently, while
Blaker extensively quotes Cebrowski in the text, the reader is left wondering if this
is Cebrowski’s theory or the author’s interpretation of it; and if Cebrowski would
have reached the same conclusions that Blaker attributes to him. Likewise,
Blaker’s discussion of Cebrowski’s basing, force structure, and unit rotation rec-
ommendations is absent any account of service critique, which these recommen-
dations most certainly would have engendered.
In contrasting Cebrowski’s NCW theory with Clausewitz’s theory of war, Blaker
presents a generally accurate if somewhat narrow interpretation of Clausewitz’s
views on mass, attrition, and the importance of technology and intelligence in the
conduct of war. Emphasizing that the aim of war is to disarm the enemy and stressing
the application of decisive force to the key point on the battlefield, Clausewitz’s
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discussion of mass and attrition is much more nuanced than Blaker would have the
reader believe. Both these concepts, massing the effects against vital points and dis-
arming the enemy, which Blaker’s attributes to Cebrowski’s NCW theory, are in fact
refined assertions of Clausewitz. Unlike Clausewitz’s theory, there is relatively little
discussion of the political objectives in war; instead, the author focuses primarily on
the cognitive, technological, force structure, and operational considerations required
for implementing NCW. Much of the above could have been clarified had the author
cited the assertions of authors other than Adm. Cebrowski.
Readers may also find the discussion of Adm. Cebrowski’s epiphany on the moral
certitude of NCW-conducted warfare a bit overstated. Blaker emphasizes the role that
Adm. Cebrowski’s religiosity and Roman Catholic upbringing had in shaping his
views on warfare; however, the ethical convictions of Adm. Cebrowski and the
moral implications of NCW might have been better addressed within the context
of Just War Theory, particularly Jus in Bello.
In discussing Defense Transformation and the role Admiral Cebrowski played in
it, Blaker achieves his purpose in writing this book. For the advocates of Network
Centric Warfare, Transforming Military Force is a chronicle of the uphill struggle
against bureaucratic inertia, service parochialism, and the difficulty of implementing
a new theory of warfare in the information age. However, the sceptics of NCW will
find this book informative in understanding intellectual underpinnings of NCW, but
sadly lacking in clarifying the assumptions surrounding NCW or its applicability,
other than in a very general sense, to the irregular warfare challenges of the future.
Dr Kevin P. Reynolds
United States Army War College, Carlisle, Pennsylvania
Red Rogue: The Persistent Challenge of North Korea, Bruce E. Bechtol, Jr. Dulles,
VA: Potomac Books, 288 pages. $29.95 (hardcover).
Bruce Becthol, professor of international relations at the US Marine Corps Command
and Staff College, has written a timely book on a topic that the international commu-
nity is increasingly concerned with: threats from North Korea. He asks, why will the
threat ‘continue to be among the most important challenge faced by decision makers
in Washington, DC?’ (p. ix).
The book lists several reasons. North Korea’s nuclear program comes as the first.
Its highly enriched uranium (HEU) program is posing an especially great threat
because it is easier to hide than a plutonium program. The North Korean HEU
program began as early as 1990s and grew out of a ‘barter deal’ (p. 17) with Pakistan
that sent necessary technology, equipment, and blueprints’ (p. 17) in return for mis-
siles. North Korea’s nuclear program is more threatening given its missile program to
deliver the weapons than otherwise. Its missiles continue to improve. Now, the
Taepo-Dong 2, one of its newly developed missiles, could ‘potentially hit the
western United States’ (p. 40). Moreover, North Korea seems to have developed
yet another long-range missile, called ‘Taepo-Dong X’ (p. 45). It is interesting to
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learn that Iran, another part of ‘Axis of Evil’, as named in the 2002 Bush address, has
a connection to this missile development (p. 44; pp. 48–50).
The author also reminds readers of the threat posed by North Korea’s conventional
forces, including the sheer size of armed forces – 1.1 million (p. 56) – the presence of
‘advanced fighters such as MiG-23s and 29s, as well as Su-25s’ (p. 58), submarines
(p. 59), a significant increase in artillery pieces (p. 62), and short-range missiles
(p. 63). Another aspect of the North Korean threat of this kind is its special operations
forces (SOFs) made up of 100,000 personnel, ‘the world’s largest’ (p. 63) who are
trained and ready to ‘attack key command and control nodes, air bases, or any other
high value targets in South Korea’ (p. 64). This threat has not remained idle, appearing
in Becthol’s case study of a military conflict between two Koreas in 2002 over a disputed
sea border, resulting in casualties on both sides. How can the regime afford all these
military assets given its record of constant poverty and devastating natural disasters?
The author’s answer is North Korean illicit economic activities. For example, Central
Committee Bureau 39 was founded to produce a slush fund and led by Kim Il-sung
and later his son, Kim Jung-il. Banks in Macao and Luxembourg were used for
its money-laundering operations (p. 89). In addition, the regime has engaged in drug-
trafficking (pp. 90–1) and counterfeiting the American dollar and even American
cigarettes (pp. 92–6).
How serious is the threat from the North Korean regime – not just a rogue, but the
‘Red Rogue’? The list of threats discussed by the author unfortunately does not
provide satisfying answers largely due to two omissions – one major and one rela-
tively minor – and one editorial issue of this book. The first is the omission of com-
parison. A three-year-old boy’s physical power is not really threatening to an adult;
however, to ants or frogs his approach alone can be lethally frightening. In other
words, a threat is always relative. Therefore, any discussion of threat from North
Korea that does not take into account its neighbour’s power is incomplete. Therefore,
when the author claims that ‘[N]o matter what one’s political philosophy is, it cannot
be denied that all three of these Cold War paradigms [the maintenance of a nuclear
arsenal and missile platforms; large conventional forces; refusal to join the global
capitalist economy] exist in North Korea’ (p. 28), he was only half correct. Regard-
less of one’s political philosophy, it cannot be denied that North Korea is significantly
weaker, and its threat is hence radically smaller, than the USSR and its threat. So let’s
rephrase the question: can North Korea initiate anything remotely similar to mutual
assured destruction with the US, as the author implies? The answer can be found in
the book. Some missile tests were conducted only ‘presumably’ (p. 51); the newest
aircrafts were received ‘during the mid- to late 1980s’ (p. 58); submarines are
either ‘older, Soviet made’ or ‘indigenously produced’ (p. 59); military exercises
have declined due to ‘fuel shortages’ (p. 61); the SOF relies on ‘300 AN-2 COLT
(WWII vintage)’ (p. 64). It is not that difficult to conclude North Korean forces –
strategic and conventional – are not really that strong compared to the might of
South Korea – 11th-largest economy of the world and a major consumer of US mili-
tary equipment – combined with the US forces stationed in South Korea and Japan.
Therefore, to claim that North Korea is threatening, the author should be clearer about
‘to what and how’.
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The second omission is about sources. The entire book is largely based on secondary
material, with some exceptions. When news media is used, moreover, these tend not
to be local sources, except a few South Korean newspapers. This undermines the
credibility of some observations and claims that are too serious or important to be
backed by only secondary sources. For example, let’s look at one claim linking
North Korea to international terrorism – a link that helped justify the American inva-
sion of Iraq: ‘North Korean weapons brokers and technicians are likely to have
contact with terrorist organizations supported by and currently located in Tehran’
(p. 50). Looking at a footnote, we learn that the author used The Asian Times as
the source. The few Korean sources that the author uses tend to be newspapers –
Chosun Ilbo, Donga Ilbo and Joongang Ilbo – notorious for unbalanced reporting,
which can impair the credibility of his arguments.
Another source of potential distraction is editorial. The book deviates from the
major theme toward the end to comment more generally on Korean affairs. For
example, the author blames South Korean President Roh Moo-hyun for the mal-
functioning alliance with the United States (p. 151); for refusing ‘to discuss using
any of [the foreign currency reserves] to pay for the relocation of the Youngsan
Army garrison’ (p. 158); for pursuing a ‘self-reliant’ force with ‘independent capa-
bility’ (p. 168); and even for deteriorating civil-military relations. And alas, there
is little empirical evidence for these accusations. In conclusion, this book sheds
helpful light on important issues, but the shadow remains too big and dark to be
cheerful.
Taehyun Nam
Salisbury University, Maryland
The Chinese Army Today: Tradition and Transformation for the 21st Century, Dennis
J. Blasko. Abingdon and New York: Routledge, 2006, pp. 228. $170.00 (hardcover);
$45.95 (paperback).
China’s People’s Liberation Army is a credible deterrent against the security chal-
lenges that Beijing fears would tear the country apart from within, according to
Dennis J. Blasko, a former US Army officer who in the mid 1990s served as an
Attache in Beijing and Hong Kong. No longer menaced by Soviet might, pressured
by Indian border claims, or peeved at Vietnamese intransigence, today the PLA is
only one element of China’s ‘comprehensive national power’ being used to keep
Taiwan from further splitting, as well as to safeguard internal stability in Tibet, Xin-
jiang, Shenyang, and throughout the country.
Readers excited by the paperback’s ominous cover photo of a PLA infantry platoon
charging through an amphibious assault landing exercise will find little drama within
the book. Blasko’s text is a sober catalogue, a self-conscious primer for professional
experts far more detailed than the ‘introduction to the Chinese ground forces’ envi-
sioned by the author. Using Chinese sources to build upon 23 years’ experience,
Blasko deftly takes readers under the hood of the Chinese military machine.
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Capable of working in tandem with a range of civilian and paramilitary police,
Blasko depicts the PLA as Beijing’s last line of defence against social unrest. China
hopes its security forces will buy it enough time for economic development and political
cohesion to take hold. Blasko writes that ‘PLA ground forces are garrisoned throughout
the country to protect China’s sovereignty from foreign and internal enemies, support
national economic development, and assist in the maintenance of domestic stability . . .In the post September 11 world, Beijing often categorizes China’s most likely potential
enemies as “terrorists, separatists, and extremist forces”’ (p. 66).
The Chinese army Blasko describes is also preparing to defend China from an
enormously powerful United States military in a confrontation most likely triggered
by a bid for permanent Taiwanese independence. China’s preparations are apparently
focused on keeping the United States out of any conflict long enough to achieve a fait
accompli, it hopes that these military preparations will deter Taiwan from attempting
permanent separation from the mainland. China’s efforts to develop high and low
technology countermeasures to precision-guided munitions, to buy or build anti-
carrier missiles, and to disable enemy satellites all attempt to asymmetrically tip
the cross-Strait balance in its favour.
Beijing appears increasingly confident that Taiwan will one day rejoin the main-
land so long as foreign forces do not meddle in China’s ‘internal’ affairs. Neverthe-
less, discussing China’s 2004 Defence White Paper, Blasko moves beyond raw
military capabilities, writing that ‘the importance to the PLA of preventing Taiwan
independence is underscored by the declarative statements: “It is the sacred res-
ponsibility of the Chinese armed forces to stop the ‘Taiwan independence’ forces
from splitting the country”’ (p. 67). Regardless of the military balance, talk of
sacred duty and ‘crushing’ a serious bid for independence ‘at any cost’ should give
pause even to the most sceptical reader who considers a cross-Strait confrontation
unlikely.
China’s military, Blasko writes, is today capable of defending the country but not
of projecting military power beyond the strategic periphery. In crafting this assess-
ment, Blasko deftly describes not only PLA capabilities but also PLA shortcomings
in air- and sea-lift, close air support, and key special operations functions:
. While ‘the PLA’s capability to conduct amphibious operations increased tremen-
dously over the ten-year period starting from 1996 to the middle of the first
decade of the twenty-first century’ (p. 156), Blasko finds amphibious operations
still limited by both the number of vessels and the ground units capable of sup-
porting such operations.. Airpower capable of inserting troops or supporting joint operations is also sorely
lacking, despite concerted efforts since 2001 to correct the problem.. Close air support, the hallmark of America’s early efforts in Afghanistan against
the Taliban and Iraq in 2003, is reportedly not incorporated into PLA planning.
‘Conspicuous in its absence,’ Blasko assesses, ‘is any discussion of air power
in direct support of front line troops, which is controlled by ground observers
and flexible in its ability to react to changing conditions on the battlefield’
(p. 108).
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. Finally, China’s special operations forces are not built to covertly train foreign
militaries or lead guerrilla bands in operations deep in enemy territory – key
force multipliers in modern warfare (e.g. p. 158).
Beyond PLA shortcomings, Blasko aids the reader by prodding those who down-
play China’s efforts at increasing transparency of budget and capabilities, pointing
to China’s improving white papers and inviting foreign observers to training mis-
sions. China’s military budget is likely several times greater than the figure offi-
cially reported. Nevertheless, due to the qualitative difference in firepower and
the continued lack of realism in training despite great strides, Blasko cautions
against simple numeric comparisons of Chinese and western forces. Further, ‘the
skill, discipline, and toughness of the individual Chinese soldier’ is an observation
‘commonly made by foreigners who have the opportunity to see PLA units in train-
ing’ (p. 162).
In sum, Blasko has crafted an excellent description of the contemporary PLA, produ-
cing a work both clear in its writing and thorough in its research. This book will be useful
to students and practitioners struggling to gauge and balance the ‘China threat’ amid the
many security challenges we face, as well as those students fond of traditional military
studies. Blasko sees the Chinese army adapting to a changing security environment,
adjusting its threat perceptions, and modernizing to meet the realities of contemporary
warfare; may we be so fortunate as to never see these forces in action.
Dr Martin I. Wayne
Falls Church, Virginia
Beyond Preemption: Force and Legitimacy in a Changing World, Ivo H. Daalder
(ed.). Washington, DC: Brookings Institution Press, 2007, pp. 190. $19.95
(paperback).
The Political Road to War with Iraq: Bush, 9/11 and the Drive to Overthrow Saddam,
Nick Ritchie and Paul Rogers, Abingdon: Routledge, 2007, pp. 228. $150.00 (hard-
cover); $37.95 (paperback).
One central issue has come to dominate today’s international political discourse.
The invasion of Iraq (along with the broader construct of the American global
war on terror that has provided its intellectual and strategic rationale) has become
the global controversy of our time. Nick Ritchie and Paul Rogers’ The Political
Road to War with Iraq and Ivo Daalder’s Beyond Preemption provide two timely
and different approaches to assessing the invasion. The Political Road focuses on
events, reactions, and developments in strategic thinking over two decades
leading to the Iraq war, with a particular emphasis on the late Clinton and early
Bush administrations. The authors show linkages between events and the evolving
strategic perspectives of think tanks, congressional figures, and administration
leaders before the war. Beyond Preemption does not take the pragmatic approach
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of examining the power brokers who have successfully influenced policy. Rather, its
focus is a cross-national sample of politicians, strategists, diplomats, and inter-
national lawyers that the Brookings Institute conducted over three years. The goal
is a clearer understanding of its ramifications for the global community.
Each book has a slightly different purpose and is able to accomplish this with its
respective approach. As an edited book, Beyond Preemption also presents different
perspectives from its contributors on related but disparate topics, while The Political
Road argues for a unified thesis. One theme across both books (as with more and more
such literature since 2003) is a deep scepticism of the American project in Iraq and
the Bush administration. Of the two books, The Political Road presents the rationale
of the Bush administration more cogently, allowing for a more compelling critical
analysis.
The Political Road to War with Iraq is divided into three parts: containing
Saddam, regime change, and the neoconservatives. The first part of the book dis-
cusses the fundamental flaws of the unsustainable containment policy that had
been in effect prior to the invasion. Beginning with the context of the relevance of
the region to American oil interests, the authors draw back as far as the 1956 Suez
crisis. Ritchie and Rogers then discuss mounting pressures from multiple sources
on the post-Gulf War American-led containment policy. Saddam Hussein’s govern-
ment began taking increasing liberties and showing increasing defiance by flouting
agreements that ended the war in 1991, culminating with the expulsion of UN
weapons inspectors in 1998. Iraq was also reestablishing better relationships with
the neighbours that Saddam had left betrayed and shocked by his invasion of
Kuwait. Foreign policy conservatives in the US were at the same time growing
more and more critical of the containment policy that was losing efficacy as a con-
straint on the Hussein regime. Pressure from leftist sources was mounting; also,
Hussein was able to appeal successfully to sympathies in the region, within the
US, and in Europe over the crushing burden of the sanctions regime. Ritchie and
Rogers explain, ‘Both sets of critics argued that only two options remained. The
first was to do nothing and gradually release Baghdad from the obligations
imposed . . . The other option was to pro-actively work to replace the regime by
uniting, training, and arming the Iraqi opposition’ (p. 52).
The book then moves on to the Bush administration’s transition to power, the
search for a new approach, and the catalyst for change provided by the 9/11
attacks. The authors’ detailed research on the evolving opinions and influence
of key players provides several insights. One of note is that Clinton administration
leaders considered regime-change options long before the invasion but dismissed
them due to the lack of unity among Iraqi opposition factions. Quotations from
Secretary of State Madeleine Albright and General Anthony Zinni convincingly
make this point. As of this writing, progress in Iraq seems frustratingly debilitated
by the failure of any political reconciliation process. Another insight was the
extremely limited influence of neoconservatives when the Bush administration
first took power. The authors document the emergence of Cheney and Rumsfeld
as influential (yet still only partially convinced) neocons after 9/11. Before the
attacks, the administration had focused almost exclusively on domestic policy
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and these two powerful figures remained much more sceptical of the neoconserva-
tive perspective.
In retrospect, particularly after reading The Political Road, the inevitability of the
war seems intuitive. The authors point out, however, that ‘the majority opinion
among international relations analysts, right up to the end of 2002, was that a war
with Iraq was unlikely [and] a diplomatic solution was probable’ (p. 163). This mol-
lified me because, as a member of the intelligence community at the time, such had
been my own assessment. The authors argue, however, in hindsight, that there was an
overwhelming probability that the Bush administration would invade Iraq, but that
‘inevitability’ is a term whose subjectivity makes it go beyond the scope of their argu-
ment. The authors conclude by arguing that the exit from the situation will be much
less easy and seamless than the entrance into it.
Beyond Preemption focuses on the impact of the war on the international commu-
nity and the ability to mobilize collective action in the future. One opinion that seems
common to the different contributing authors is that collective action in places such as
Darfur, where the international community seems embarrassingly ineffective, has
become more difficult because of Iraq. This argument seems to ignore examples
before Iraq, however, such as Kosovo or Rwanda, where Security Council authoriz-
ation to prevent ethnic fighting was equally elusive. Even in the early days of the UN,
UN authorization for the use of force after North Korea’s invasion of the South
occurred only because the Soviet boycott of the Security Council prevented a
Soviet veto. To me, Iraq hardly seems to change the dynamics of a collective body
divided by the divergent national interests of its great power members.
Beyond Preemption, however, views the Iraq War as a significant paradigm shift
that has altered the dynamics of international opinion on the use of force. The book
begins with a forward by Brookings president Strobe Talbott and an introduction by
editor Ivo Daalder. The contributing authors then discuss the use of force to prevent
the proliferation and use of WMD, to fight terrorism, and to conduct humanitarian
intervention. Changing state sovereignty norms are addressed in all of these chapters.
A summary chapter, ‘What the World Thinks’, by congressional staffer Anne Kramer
covers these themes as well as sharing the outcome of the Brookings cross-national
survey. Finally, a series of appendices includes two recent landmark US National
Security Strategies and three UN reports, including The Responsibility to Protect.
Absent is any biographical information on chapter authors that would be expected
in an edited volume, but following the appendices is the list of names and institutional
affiliations that also appears on the back cover.
The foreword by respected scholar and diplomat Strobe Talbott gave me pause as I
began to read this book. Several unsupported assertions made me question where the
rest of the book would lead. In two sentences, Ambassador Talbott argued that Amer-
ican intervention in Afghanistan has been unsuccessful because of a diversion of atten-
tion to Iraq, and that Iraq has been unsuccessful because of its illegitimacy in the eyes of
world opinion. While both of these arguments may be true, I think they are a bit too
controversial to make without further development. Setbacks in both Afghanistan
and Iraq could be due to the committed and canny Islamist insurgencies in those
countries, the monumental size of the task that could not be accomplished even with
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more attention or allied support, or flawed execution (which the author mentions but
dismisses as not the primary factor). Mr Talbott then claims a few paragraphs later
that ‘since 1945, most states have generally lived up to these rules’, by which he
means the UN Charter’s prohibition of ‘the use of force in interstate relations [that]
recognizes only two exceptions . . . defend[ing] themselves and . . . authorization of
the UN Security Council’. I am not sure that a historical review would agree that
there has been such minimal use of interstate force since 1945. Examples coming to
my mind without consulting any outside reference, include Afghanistan in the 1980s,
Korea, Vietnam, the Falklands, Israel, Kashmir, and numerous small-scale wars in
the developing world.
After moving beyond the foreword, I found Daalder’s introduction to provide less
sweeping and more supported claims. Although I do not agree with his entire perspec-
tive, I found that he sets up his book nicely and provides a coherent case against the
preemption doctrine articulated by the Bush administration after 11 September.
James Steinberg then addresses the difficult problem of using force to combat
the spread of weapons of mass destruction. Steinberg is sympathetic to the need
for force, even preemptive force, to prevent the destabilizing and risky consequences
of the spread of WMD, but he also recognizes the difficulties of using force for
this purpose.
Bruce Jentleson’s following chapter on the use of force against terrorism seems to
provide a more sceptical assessment of both the legitimacy and efficacy of using
force. He also raises the issue of international opinion, citing in particular those
countries that might find themselves the sites of counterterrorist intervention (such
as Sudan, Iran, and Libya) as highly critical of both its efficacy and legitimacy.
Susan Rice and Andrew Loomis discuss the tensions between sovereignty and
intervention and the evolution of this dynamic that occurred throughout the 1990s.
Much of this discussion is a review of ideas that circulated the scholarly field in
the early part of this decade. However, they include discussion on Iraq and Darfur
in particular. Their conclusion makes an impassioned call for international involve-
ment in Darfur, but this reviewer remains highly pessimistic of the ability of the inter-
national community to mount an appropriate response to that catastrophe.
The last chapter by Anne Kramer provides an overview of the various concepts
discussed in the book with a focus on how respondents to the Brookings survey
reacted. I found this chapter to be the least compelling of the main chapters of the
book for two reasons. First, references to the respondents seemed inconsistent, some-
times using terminology such as ‘Russians and Middle Eastern participants expressed’
(p. 129) and other times ‘India, Pakistan, and Israel agreed’ (p. 111). I found the latter
characterization problematic because the survey of these mid-level functionaries could
not really merit the metonymy used to suggest a state position. (This could be a merely
stylistic issue.) The second concern presents a more fundamental difficulty. The
chapter meandered and was hard to follow. It was difficult to determine the author’s
goal, and only after reaching the 36th page of the chapter did the author present her
framework synthesizing her findings. I would have found this much more useful at
the beginning of the chapter and found the chapter much more cogent and readable
had it been organized around this framework.
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Altogether, Beyond Preemption is an interesting read that provides a timely
assessment of an important topic. I found The Political Road to War with Iraq to
provide both more new facts as well as stronger arguments, although I admit that
my scepticism regarding the internationalist assumptions of Beyond Preemption
most likely have biased my opinions of that book. Both books present arguments
deeply sceptical of the Bush administration’s global war on terror as it has played
out in Iraq, which has now become that effort’s central front. As the US is in the
midst of an election campaign to prepare for a new administration, these timely con-
tributions to the scholarly literature in international relations will help inform scho-
lars and policymakers as new ideas are developed to deal with the difficult realities
that confront the world in Iraq and beyond.
Matthew J. Morgan
McKinsey & Company, Atlanta
Iran and the Rise of its Neoconservatives: The Politics of Tehran’s Silent Revolution,
Anoushiravan Ehteshami and Mahjoob Zweiri. London and New York: I.B. Tauris,
2007. pp. 215. $45/£20 (hardback).
One of the most important questions for American security policy since 2003 has
been what to do about the growing regional power of Iran. Any American effort at
coercive ‘regime change’ seems increasingly unlikely and threatens to create far
more problems throughout the region than it could possibly solve. In this regard,
the illusions surrounding the US-led invasion of Iraq have now been dispelled, and
it is no longer possible to maintain with credibility that the default position for an
ousted authoritarian regime is a liberal democracy. Unfortunately, it also remains
unclear as to how the United States can help change the behaviour of the Iranian gov-
ernment and engage in an effective and meaningful dialogue on the major issues
dividing the two countries. Also, and of special interest to policymakers, is the
concern about whether the 2005 electoral victory of the Iranian right has been con-
solidated and institutionalized to the extent that any attempt to reform the Iranian
system from within is doomed for the foreseeable future.
While no book can answer the above questions with certainty, Ehteshami and
Zweiri’s recent work can at least help us think about them in an informed way.
This study deals with the rise of the ‘new right’ or ‘neoconservatives’, whom the
authors view as epitomized by Iranian president Mamoud Amadinejad. Ehteshami
and Zweiri also suggest that the Iranian neoconservatives reflect a style and approach
to practical problems that is significantly different from those of more traditional con-
servatives and especially the clerics. In describing Amadinejad and his movement as
‘neoconservatives’, the authors have seized upon a highly loaded term familiar to
most Western readers. Iranian neoconservatives are defined as highly ideological
Islamists who are also populist, pro-military, and make a recurring effort to speak
to the economic problems of average people. The application of this word to ultra-
conservative economic populists is believed to have originated with their Iranian
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critics and not with Americans, who might find the term entertaining in an Iranian
context. Iranian critics clearly found it amusing to compare some of their most
extreme leaders with the US neoconservatives who seldom come out well in the
Iranian media and in some cases have called for military strikes against Iranian
nuclear and other targets. Ehteshami and Zweiri have picked up on this terminology
and clearly do not view the term as a compliment.
In order to understand the reasons for the rise of neoconservatism, the authors
undertake an examination of Iran’s failed ‘reform revolution’, which began with
the election of Muhammad Khatami in May 1997. Khatami is described as having
been able to associate himself with the most deeply held political and social aspira-
tions of the Iranians people in an election where he was initially viewed as a token
challenger to the presidential candidate selected by the regime. Moreover, Iranian
elections were dominated by reformists seeking to liberalize Iranian politics from
1997 until the 2003 local elections. These six years of popular backing gave the refor-
mers considerable legitimacy to confront the unelected organs of government. Yet, in
a 1999 defining moment, President Khatami backed down in a showdown with une-
lected political leaders and the security establishment leading to the beginnings of a
process of disillusionment with his role as a reformist standard bearer. This confron-
tation occurred when the security forces responded to a major 1999 student protest
with a strongly worded letter to Khatami. In this letter, 24 senior military comman-
ders threatened the president with forceful intervention on Iran’s streets to suppress
unrest as well as unspecified action against the elected government. Khatami’s own
defence minister stated in July 1999 that the armed forces would restore order ‘at any
cost’. Khatami’s retreat on this issue strongly encouraged conservative assertiveness
on other matters, and throughout his remaining years in power he faced bitter chal-
lenges by determined opponents. The 1999 confrontation also helped to accelerate
what Ehteshami and Zweiri call the militarization of politics involving the increased
political influence of the armed forces and especially the Islamic Revolutionary
Guards Corps (IRGC).
The neoconservatives’ rise to power since Khatami left office has often been
viewed as the result of the non-elected branches of the Iranian government carefully
rigging the political system as well as public disillusionment with the leadership of
the reform movement. These aspects of the situation are clearly present, but such
an explanation leaves out other key elements of the story. In order to take elected
power from reformers, critical segments of the Iranian conservative movement (the
future neoconservatives) were adjusting to political realities while the efforts of the
reformers were faltering. The neoconservatives structured their election platform to
acknowledge that political reform was important but stressed that economic reform
was at the top of their agenda. They also substantially redefined political reform
with a rhetorical emphasis (and no real follow-through) on anti-corruption measures.
This approach is sometimes described by Iranian advocates as a Chinese model of
reform which separates economics and politics. Attempts to force people to reform
their lifestyle to avoid Western influences appear to be secondary and seem half-
hearted. Unfortunately for the neocons, they have had trouble meeting the economic
expectations that they have raised. It remains to be seen if they will be able to do
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so, but their efforts should clearly be aided by the tripling of the price of oil since
2003.
The career of President Ahmadinejad is viewed by the authors as a useful window
into the neoconservative movement. Upon his election, Amadinejad was widely
mistaken in the West for one of the hostage-takers who seized the US embassy in
1979. While this suspicion was later proven to be incorrect, his actual resume, if any-
thing, is even more chilling. In the early 1980s he was part of the ‘internal security’
section of the IRGC, where he was reported to have ‘earned notoriety as a strong per-
sonality and an interrogator’. He also worked for some time as a security official in
Evin prison, according to a state-run website associated with outgoing President
Khatami. During the Iran–Iraq war, Amadinejad was involved with a still unidenti-
fied covert action in the Iraqi city of Kirkuk. Later, the future president progressed to
a number of senior positions in the IRGC, including that of the commander of the
elite Quds Force. It is also alleged that during his IRGC career, he was involved
with planning the assassination of dissident Iranians in Europe. His post-IRGC
career is more prosaic. After leaving the security forces, he obtained a PhD in
traffic management and a number of jobs in municipal government and education
until becoming the mayor of Tehran and then the Iranian president. He seems to
have made the transition from a senior security official to a bombastic politician
without too much difficulty.
In conclusion, the authors suggest that the struggle between reform and reaction
in Iran is by no means over. They indicate that Western critics have often wrongly
viewed the rise of the Iranian reform movement as ‘preordained’, seeing it as the
natural outcome of an expected worldwide flowering of democracy. When this
trend did not endure, some of these same observers plunged into despair, assuming
that Iran would be wrapped in an ideological straitjacket for decades to come. Ehte-
shami and Zweiri view this outcome as a realistic possibility, but they also suggest
that the reform movement may well re-emerge in a new, altered, and perhaps even
stronger form if the neoconservatives are not constantly bolstered by US threats.
They further assert that the divisions between neoconservatives and traditional con-
servatives will become more confrontational over time because their differences
(especially the differing emphasis given to social issues) are quite profound. It
will, of course, remain difficult for the United States to address the Iranian challenge
in ways that contain the Iranian threat while still avoiding the prospect of feeding
Iranian neocon propaganda efforts to build support by emphasizing the dangers
poised by the United States. This aspect of the problem is not fully addressed by Ehte-
shami and Zweiri, but one can postulate that hard-headed diplomacy, enhanced local
missile defence for Israel, and extended deterrence for US Gulf allies may be part of
any such strategy. Many problems, nevertheless, do not come with a perfect solution,
and Ehteshami and Zweiri help point out that many of the most bedevilling problems
in dealing with Iran will probably remain with us for some time to come.
W. Andrew Terrill, PhD
Strategic Studies Institute, US Army War College
Carlisle, Pennsylvania
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US–Indian Strategic Cooperation into the 21st Century: More than Words, Sumit
Ganguly, Brian Shoup, and Andrew Scobell (eds.). Abingdon and New York: Routle-
dge, 2006, pp. 226. $170.00 (hardcover); $42.95 (paperback).
This edited volume on Indian–American strategic ties is a timely one, taking stock of
the bilateral ties from a historical perspective as well as seeking to understand the
issues that are currently shaping the new directions in Indo-American strategic
cooperation. While almost all of the authors agreed that it was the US Secretary of
State Condoleezza Rice’s visit to India in March 2005 that gave a new direction to
the strategic relationship, most authors also recognize that something radical has to
happen to give a spark to this strategic partnership. Whether the Indo-American
nuclear deal represents this is unclear because, unfortunately, most chapters appear
to have been written prior to the deal being announced.
The volume is divided thematically into three sections. While the first three chap-
ters look at the broad spectrum of Indo-American relations and the possible future
directions, next four chapters cover specific aspects of mutual relations, ranging
from defence and military ties to counter-terrorism cooperation. The third section
focuses on the strategic trade in dual-use technology as well as Indo-American
cooperation in peace-keeping operations.
In one of the better chapters in the volume, Devin Hagerty, who teaches political
science at the University of Maryland, examines bi-lateral relations from a theoretical
perspective, and has characterized the emerging relationship between India and the
United States as an evolving ‘entente’ (p. 27), which in effect is short of an alliance,
in the absence of an agreement detailing the conditions under which they ‘will or will
not employ military force’ (p. 27). He points to several factors that will determine the
bilateral ties, including the role of both India and the United States in shaping the new
Asian security framework and the rise of China.
Arthur Rubinoff, Professor of Political Science at the University of Toronto,
stresses the often clashing goals and the myopic policies that American pursues,
and the lack of a long-term vision. Rubinoff has further detailed the huge baggage
of history in Indo-American relations, and Indian scepticism in dealing with the
United States. He points to Washington’s ‘lack of sensitivity to Indian concerns’
(p. 55) as also the cloud of ‘ambiguity and mistrust’ (p. 55) in the relationship
which could all come in the way of better Indo–US relations. While he sees
immense scope in the 2005 India–US nuclear agreement, he notes that it was ‘a tac-
tical error’ on the part of the US administration to not brief the key non-proliferation
legislators and have them on board, an assertion amply validated since. Dipankar
Banerjee has provided a detailed historical overview of the bilateral ties, right
from the time of Indian independence until now, as well as the challenges for the
future.
In another excellent chapter, V.P. Malik, former Chief of the Indian Army,
traces Indo-American defence ties from the time of Indian independence.
Ironic it may be, but the United States was the first country to give military aid
to India after independence. While detailing the major facets of these burgeoning
military and defence ties, he also amplifies on the future prospects as well as the
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dynamics – which includes domestic politics in both countries, changes in
international circumstances such as the rise of China and India’s rising profile –
that would come into play in this relationship. Malik seems to be in agreement
with Hagerty on the prospects for the relationship, stating that given the ‘differ-
ences in national and strategic interests’, Indo–American relations would ‘at best
remain a strategic partnership and not alliance’, which is to say that the two
countries would cooperate wherever there is a ‘convergence of views and substan-
tial domestic consensus’ (p. 99).
A chapter on Indian-American military interaction by John Gill, associate
professor of the Near East-South Asia Center, identifies the rationale, benefits, and
areas for deepening the military-to-military interaction. Hill notes that ‘sustained
and increasingly sophisticated interaction’ will enable a better understanding of
each other’s policies and perspectives, help ‘reduce suspicion’, and open up channels
of communication between individuals/institutions that will ‘lay the foundation for
consultation and possible collaboration in future crises’ (p. 114).
The two chapters on counter-terrorism cooperation, by Polly Nayak, a private
consultant and B. Raman, former Indian intelligence officer, narrate the troubled
cooperation on counter-terrorism, despite both countries being victims of this
menace as well as the obstacles that may continue in the relationship. American
reliance on Islamabad continues to complicate the bilateral cooperation on
counter-terrorism.
Varun Sahni, professor of international politics at the Jawaharlal Nehru Univer-
sity, provides a fine analysis of Indo–American strategic trade, timely considering
the current debate on the nuclear deal. As he correctly points out, whether India is
able to gain access to dual-use technology is going to be the ‘litmus test’ of the
new strategic partnership (p. 178). Trade in nuclear and space matters has been
complicated as they have been clubbed together in one basket. In general, analysts
consider nuclear and missile proliferation issues under the overall rubric of prolifer-
ation. However, in the context of US–India relations, the author has suggested that it
might be ‘analytically useful and politically helpful to separate these two issue areas
in the US-India bilateral context’ (p. 181).
Lastly, two chapters look at peace-keeping operations and US Army’s new peace
operations era. Generally, India has had problems with peace-keeping operations
that have not been mandated by the United Nations, limiting the scope of
Indo-American joint cooperation, as General Shantonu Choudhry, former Vice
Chief of Indian Army, brings out in his chapter. However, his contention that
India might not take part in bilateral peace operations not mandated by the United
Nations is questionable. For instance, India’s intervention in two cases, Sri Lanka
and the Maldives, did not have a UN mandate. Finally, William Flavin, Professor
of Multinational Dimensions of Stability Operations at the US Army War
College, traces the evolution of peace operations in various US Army Field
Manuals. Given the nature of the emerging threats, which are rather loose networks,
Flavin highlights the need for joint forces and to ‘act from multiple directions in
multiple domains concurrently’ (p. 217).
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Though the volume suffers because it was not fully able to come to grips with
recent important developments, such as the nuclear deal, it represents a useful
addition to the literature for students of Indo-American relations.
Dr Rajeswari Pillai Rajagopalan,
Senior Fellow, Observer Research Foundation, New Delhi
Human Security. Reflections on Globalization and Intervention, Mary Kaldor.
Cambridge and New York: Polity Press and Wiley, 2007, pp. 240. $69.95/£55.00
(hardcover); $24.95/£15.99 (paperback).
In Human Security, Mary Kaldor, Professor of Global Governance at the LSE, argues
‘for a new approach to security based on a global conversation – a public debate
among civil society groups and individuals as well as states and international insti-
tutions’ (p. 2). Such a work is both timely and intriguing, and at the top of the
agenda amongst both politicians and academics. Kaldor is an important voice in
this debate. One could disagree with statements made in her work, but they are
impossible to ignore. The book is a compilation of seven essays addressing changing
concepts of security and new approaches to sovereignty.
In her introduction, Kaldor outlines the book as a logical follow-up on her work
on ‘new wars’ in the 1990s. In A Decade of Humanitarian Intervention 1991–2000,
originally written for the first edition of the Global Civil Society yearbook, she out-
lines the evolution of humanitarian intervention during a decade. And one important
insight is that ‘During the 1990s there was a fundamental change in the norms gov-
erning the behaviour of states and international organizations’ (p. 17). The essay
gives the reader an exceptional overview and introduction to the humanitarian inter-
ventions of the past decade. This first chapter lays the empirical foundations for the
book as a whole. What is important is how civil society actors are put in the fore-
ground. This is a logical move, as Kaldor claims that the state is just one amongst
a range of prominent actors defining a new global society. The second chapter, Amer-
ican Power: From Compellance to Cosmopolitanism?, written for International
Affairs just after 9/11, addresses American power under the Bush administration.
Kaldor is not surprisingly critical of what she characterises as ‘the bizarre combi-
nation of unilateralism and idealism’ (p. 13) in American foreign policy. There is
not enough room to evaluate such statements here, but they clearly show Kaldor’s
inclination to use highly normative rhetoric. What is important here is that Kaldor
in this essay acknowledge the very important fact that ‘Nowadays, it is extremely dif-
ficult to control territory military and to win an outright military victory’ (p. 79).
In essay three, Nationalism and Globalization, first published in Nations and
Nationalism, the main ambition is to show how nationalism ‘is reconstructed and
reinvented out of the past’ (p. 105). Kaldor argues that war constructs nationalism.
The starting point for analysis is the most appreciated notion that nationalism is an
imagined idea. Essay four, Interventions in the Balkans: An Unfinished Learning
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Process, deals with the humanitarian interventions in a European context. The Balkan
wars are represented as a learning process. Kaldor states that the interventions in the
Balkans can be analyzed along two dimensions or two types of security philosophies:
the traditional geopolitical approach, defence of territory, and cosmopolitan, defence
of human beings. While, on the one hand, acknowledging that the geopolitical
approach still can explain state behaviour in the region, ‘the cosmopolitan approaches
have become more salient’ (p. 123).
In the last three chapters we find an aspiration for new political arrangements and
here the concept of human security is seen as highly relevant. Chapter five, The Idea
of Global Civil Society, was published in International Affairs, based on ideas
contained in Kaldor’s book; Global Civil Society: An Answer to War. One will
find some additions to the article, but the core arguments are the same. It is significant
that the author does not claim the demise of states but ‘sovereignty is likely to be
much more conditional than before – more and more dependent on both domestic
consent and international respect’ (p. 134). The main ambition in this chapter is to
explore the concept of civil society, both historically and in different geographical
contexts.
Chapters 6 and 7 are based on Kaldor’s work on the notion of human security.
In chapter 6, Just War and Just Peace, Kaldor questions the just war theory and
calls for a theory of just peace. Chapter 7, Human Security, addresses the concept
of human security directly. This new approach to security may ‘offer a new approach
both to security and to development’ (p. 182). Kaldor aims high and touches upon a
wide range of highly interesting approaches on how to grasp and analyse a complex
global reality. One could argue that this leads to a lack of analytical depth, but at the
same time this wide scope offers its audience easy access and insight to pressing
topics within the area of post-cold war international relations. The book is a
central contribution to the debate on new security trends and new approaches to
sovereignty. However, one has to remember that a concept such as human security
is both elusive and appealing, and thus a broadening of the security agenda could
also lead to lack of clarity.
Svein Vigeland Rottem
Fridtjof Nansen Instiute, Oslo
Bioviolence: Preventing Biological Terror and Crime, Barry Kellman. New York:
Cambridge University Press, 2007, pp. 362. $80.00/£40.00 (hardcover); $28.99/
£14.99 (paperback).
‘Bioviolence’, according to Professor Barry Kellman, is ‘the infliction of harm by the
intentional manipulation of living micro-organisms or their natural products for
hostile purposes’ (p. 1). Kellman provides a good pathway through the limits of think-
ing only in terms of the deliberate use of disease by terrorists or only in terms of state
use of biological weapons. Avoidance of this either-or distinction is an important
point made early on: ‘[T]here are real differences among the many potential
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perpetrators of intentionally inflicted disease, but those differences are secondary to
the challenge of preventing any and all hostile plots to make people ill’ (p. 6). A more
nuanced explanation of why the term ‘bioterrorism’ is eschewed is offered later on.
The focus on prevention is the key theme of this book. The vision is a bold re-orienta-
tion of national and international governance structures to prevent the use of biologi-
cal weapons.
At heart the book is a primer on biological weapons in two parts. Part I of the text
addresses the question of why we should be worried about ‘bioviolence’, some of the
potential microbial and other agents and means of attack – agricultural attacks, for
example – and a summary of developments in science and technology that have
implications for biological weapons. It then goes on to cover the principal history of
biological weapons, including known state programs, alleged programs, and Islamic
terrorism and its interests in biological weapons. Interest by other non-state actors –
for example, Aum Shinrikyo in Japan, right-wing and extremist Christian groups in
North America – are also addressed in this section. Part II of the text examines the
different elements of what Kellman refers to as ‘The Global Strategy for Preventing
Bioviolence’ (pp. 85–246) covering law enforcement, transport, legislation,
science, public health, international efforts, and the challenge of global governance.
Readers with expertise and detailed knowledge about biological weapons, their
history, the science, and past and contemporary efforts at disarmament, non-prolifer-
ation, and technology controls might find plenty to quibble in Kellman’s sweep of the
complete picture; but this is not a book intended to delve deep into all the areas of
interest. By covering the varied territory and disciplines, explaining the history and
the present, and addressing most of the tensions inherent to current policy and
practice, Kellman is providing the reader with a fairly complete overview of the
subject and the problem. For that, and the readable nature of the writing which
pulls the reader along without falling into hyperbole too often, Kellman deserves
credit. As it stands, this is a good book for anyone looking to understand the scale
and the scope of the problem of biological weapons: it is certainly one I would
recommend to any reader new to the topic.
Worth noting, and bearing in mind while reading this book, is the observation on
page 87 that not everything that can be done to prevent bioviolence should, or could,
be pursued, and that not every preventive measure produces benefits which are
worth the costs. Readers with an affiliation with the principal international control
measure – the 1972 Biological Weapons Convention (BWC) – are likely to be
upset by Kellman’s proposals for the Convention, including potentially limiting it
to only lethal biological weapons in order to permit development and possible use
of incapacitants (aka ‘non-lethal’) biological weapons. Nevertheless, this is one
example of a valid question that needs to be asked and coherent answers provided
by governments, civil society, and the broader international community rather than
be swept under the carpet, ignored, or placed in the ‘too hard’ box. Here, and
elsewhere, Kellman does not shy away from these difficult issues. The reader might
not agree with the responses proposed, but at least the tough questions are being asked.
For me, the most interesting chapter is the final one: ‘The Challenge of Global
Governance’ (pp. 222–41). In preceding chapters, Kellman illustrates the complexity
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of the biological weapons problem and its impact across numerous disciplines and
governance sectors. For example, he quite correctly points out that the deliberate
use of disease as a weapon and the natural occurrence of disease as one of humanity’s
biggest killers cannot be separated from each other: progress in one area can – and
Kellman argues should – be leveraged to bring benefits in the other area. It is this
synthesis and exploitation of connections which serve as a good example of the
vision in this book and the strategic thinking behind it. The focus of other readers
may end up on the proposals for three new commissions in the United Nations.
These would promote bioscience for humanity, coordinate bioviolence prevention
across national and international bodies, and enforce through the Security Council
the prohibition against the use of biological weapons. This layered international
approach is one way to address what Kellman terms the ‘security-science-develop-
ment’ challenge that has bedevilled biological weapons controls in the past and
present. Again, the reader does not have to agree with all or any of the proffered sol-
utions, but for vision, recognition of the tensions and complexities of the bioviolence
problem, and a willingness to engage in the debates holistically, Kellman deserves
praise.
There is much to consider in these proposals and pleasingly – at least for this
reader – the issues are addressed from multiple perspectives. Whether or not the pro-
posals gain traction is a moot point: the strength of this book is its sweep of the actual
problem and the engagement with difficult issues and the tensions in policymaking at
the national and international level. For that, both biological weapons experts and
those less familiar with the subject will gain from reading this book.
Dr Jez Littlewood
Norman Paterson School of International Affairs
Carleton University, Canada
United States Special Operations Forces, David Tucker and Christopher J. Lamb.
New York: Columbia University Press, 2007, pp.290. $35.00/£20.50 (hardcover).
Special Operations Forces (SOFs) are a controversial part of the total American
military force. The authors of United States Special Operations Forces propose to
give readers a better understanding of the role and capabilities of special operations.
Additionally, the authors of this currently relevant book aim to make a contribution to
the debate on how to best ‘organize and employ these forces for maximum strategic
advantage against the nation’s enemies’ (p. xi). Readers with no knowledge of SOFs
will gain fundamental insights into how soldiers and sailors are selected, trained,
and equipped for special operations. All will benefit from an engaging history of
American special operations.
However, professional military readers as well as civilian policymakers engaged
in making decisions on the future of American warfare will find this book falls short
in clarifying fundamental misconceptions for how to enhance American military
capability by use of SOF capability. The book suffers from the authors’ monolithic
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approval of special operations forces, implicitly slighting any criticism. Therefore,
this book not only raises question about if and how SOFs can better be used, it
also raises provocative organizational questions about if and how the total American
military force should be reformed to capitalize on SOF capabilities.
David Tucker (Associate Professor of Defense Analysis and co-director of the
Center on Terrorism and Irregular Warfare at the Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey,
CA) and Christopher J. Lamb (Senior Fellow with the Institute of National Strategic
Studies at the National Defense University, Fort Lesley, McNair, Washington, DC)
know their subject. Both have first-hand knowledge of the core controversy and argu-
ment for and against SOF, as veterans of service in the Office of the Assistant
Secretary of Defense for Special Operations and Low-Intensity Conflict.
Tucker and Lamb argue that better understanding of SOFs has become more
important because of three reasons. First is the wider recognition special forces
gained from successful employment in Afghanistan. Second is the growing promi-
nence of SOFs and the Special Operations Command (SOCOM) in counterterrorism
operations. And, third, Tucker and Lamb argue that SOF forces may promise unique
capabilities for highly mobile, lethal response to evolving trends in regional warfare.
These factors, according to Tucker and Lamb, indicate that SOFs may be much
more significant and visible element in overall American military capabilities in
the future.
Tucker and Lamb acknowledge that special operations have historically been
controversial. They attribute this not their own strengths and weaknesses, but to
bureaucratic conflict. Tension often existed between 17th and 18th century conven-
tional and unconventional American armed forces. For example, Washington
strove to engage British and Hessian forces ‘in a formal battlefield context’. Irregular
forces were thought to be undisciplined because they ‘found it difficult to stand in the
open and face the fire of British regulars’ (p. 70). By World War II, this presumption
had changed. Irregular units gained recognition as ‘elite’. The readiness of conven-
tional units in World War II suffered when the best soldiers were moved from con-
ventional units to ‘elite’ units. This trend continues today and conventional units
suffer a brain drain when experienced soldiers win coveted assignment in ‘special’
units (p. 78). Tucker and Lamb deal with this controversy by justifying the SOF
view. They never seem to have thought to ask conventional military planners
about how regular force readiness and professional military ethos are threatened by
losses of personnel to ‘special’ units.
Tucker and Lamb contend that core attributes of SOF shape the ways SOF are
used to address security threats. SOF units conduct special missions at an acceptable
level that conventional forces cannot. The distinction between special and elite units
becomes critical, according to Tucker and Lamb, because special missions require-
ments need to be understood as such and ‘SOF will be well prepared for them’.
Tucker and Lamb explain that according to Pentagon policy SOF missions are in
‘hostile, denied, and politically sensitive areas’ (p. 147). Accordingly, SOFs capa-
bilities are designed for small-unit penetration/strike capability (commando skills)
and political, cultural, and linguistic capabilities, the optimistically titled ‘warrior-
diplomat’ or ‘cross-cultural’ skills.
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The recommendations that Tucker and Lamb make for reforming special operations
forces to better capitalize on their capabilities will challenge the sensibilities of both
progressive and traditional military planners. For example, current Pentagon policy
directs the American military services to work jointly, while Tucker and Lamb call
for the establishment of an independent Unconventional Warfare Command and a
Special Operations Strike Command, ‘Giving them the maximum freedom to operate
and produce results consistent with comprehensive American interests’ (p. 234).
Followed to the letter, this recommendation would restructure the total American
armed forces completely, establishing a separate service as a fait accompli!
Tucker and Lamb deny that their recommendations for restructuring the national
security apparatus are motivated to make it more SOF-centric. They argue the need to
restructure is based on the recognition of SOF’s growing prominence in the changing
security environment (p. 234). While some of their other recommendations seem
exaggerated, this reviewer concurs with Tucker and Lamb on this basic point. New
military challenges increasingly call of discrete use of force of the sort that only
SOFs permit. Tucker and Lamb have presented a valuable explanation for how to
do so from the SOF point of view, but leave the door of opportunity open for
future argument by their critics.
Wyman E. Shuler, III
Old Dominion University, Norfolk, Virginia
Failed Diplomacy: The Tragic Story of How North Korea Got the Bomb, Charles
Pritchard. Washington DC: Brookings Institution Press, 2007, pp. 228. $26.95
(hardcover).
Failed Diplomacy is an interesting and detailed accounting of the events surrounding
the North Korean nuclear crisis and the six-party talks along with an evaluation of the
George W. Bush administration’s handling of these issues. Former ambassador
Charles ‘Jack’ Pritchard is well placed to write a book of this sort. After serving 28
years in the US Army where he spent nine years in Japan, Pritchard served as the
special assistant to the president for national security affairs and the senior director
of Asian Affairs in the Clinton administration. During the George W. Bush adminis-
tration, he served as US ambassador and special envoy for negotiations with North
Korea until his resignation in August 2003. Pritchard also acted as American. repre-
sentative to the Korean Peninsula Energy Development Organization. He is
currently the President of the Korea Economic Institute in Washington, DC.
In a book that is critical of the Bush administration policy toward North Korea,
Pritchard maintains, ‘the six-party talks failed’ so that the purpose of his book is to
‘to provide insight into the process, in the belief that we have something to learn
from missed opportunities and failed diplomacy’ (p. x). The book begins with a
review of events during the early years of the Bush administration, including the
revelations of a covert nuclear program based on highly enriched uranium (HEU),
the unravelling of the 1994 Agreed Framework, and early US efforts to begin talks
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with North Korea prior to the start of the six-party talks. Part II of the book addresses
US–ROK relations during these years along with a review of the goals and policy
approaches of the states involved in the six-party talks. Particularly noteworthy is
an assessment of the difficulties for US–ROK relations during these years and an
examination of Chinese interests and involvement in the North Korean nuclear
problem. The final section of the book is a recounting and assessment of the six-
party talks that began in August 2003. The book concludes with a brief review of
the 13 February 2007 agreement that provides the current framework for North
Korean denuclearization.
Failed Diplomacy has several important strengths. The book is an excellent
examination of the process of crafting America’s North Korea policy during this
time frame, including a look into the inner workings and decision-making of the
administration. Pritchard chronicles the disputes within the Bush administration
regarding North Korea policy, particularly the disagreements between the various
factions within the administration that were present in the Departments of State,
Defense, the National Security Council, and the Vice President’s staff. He argues
that the administration made many serious mistakes, in part because of ‘the
general lack of knowledge about Korea or Asia within the administration’ (p. 51).
In the early years of the six-party talks, though pledging to pursue a negotiated sol-
ution, Pritchard maintains ‘the administration’s commitment to negotiating a settle-
ment with North Korea through the six-party process exists in name only. North
Korea policy has been fully captured by those in the administration who seek
regime change’ (p. 131). The book also provides insight into the decision-making
process of North Korea, along with its overall lack of understanding of and
confusion about the American political process and changing administrations in
2001. Finally, Pritchard provides a thoughtful and detailed assessment of North
Korea’s motivations for developing its nuclear weapons program.
While critical of Bush administration initiatives, and the North Korean regime,
Pritchard outlines a proposal that he believes had a better chance of succeeding.
The details of his policy proposal include abandoning the goal of regime change
and establishing normal relations with the current North Korean regime, the appoint-
ment of a presidential-level envoy to communicate these positions to North Korea,
conducting bilateral negotiations with North Korea to ensure it has ended its HEU
program, resuming fuel oil shipments when North Korea shut down its nuclear facili-
ties at Yongbyon, and requiring Pyongyang to account for all of its plutonium while
opening its facilities to International Atomic Energy Agency inspections. However,
he notes that ‘to enter negotiations toward achieving normalization requires
Washington to make a strategic decision – which it has not yet made – to accept
North Korea’s system of government and leadership much as it has the Chinese, Viet-
namese, Russian, and numerous other nondemocratic or near-totalitarian govern-
ments’ (p. 143).
Pritchard concludes the book with an impassioned plea for the establishment of a
permanent multilateral regional security forum in Northeast Asia. In his plan, initial
membership would include China, Japan, South Korea, Russia, and the United States.
North Korea, ASEAN, Australia, Canada, the European Union, India, and Mongolia
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would be invited to attend as non-voting members. Though the organization would
begin out of the six-party talks, its agenda would move beyond North Korea issues
to address a broader range of regional security concerns. For Pritchard, American
leadership in this endeavour is crucial as ‘failure to act in the near future could
well mean that long-term American influence in Northeast Asia will erode – politi-
cally, economically, and militarily’ and ‘the region could then fall back into an ad hoc
process marked by the weaknesses that arise from distrust’ (p. 184).
The book is well written and as an insider’s account, contains many illuminating
anecdotes. Pritchard’s argument for a permanent regional security forum is
well-placed and should be an important project for the next administration,
whether Democrat or Republican. No doubt, appreciation for Failed Diplomacy
will hinge on which side of the North Korea issue one falls. Those who study the
ongoing struggle to convince North Korea to give up its nuclear weapons program
and the inner workings of an administration working to address this dilemma will
find Failed Diplomacy to be a very interesting and worthwhile book.
Terence Roehrig
US Naval War College, Newport, Rhode Island
Hezbollah: A Short History, Augustus Richard Norton. Princeton, NJ: Princeton
University Press, 2007, pp. 187. $16.95 (hardcover).
Augustus Richard Norton, Professor of International Relations and Anthropology for
Boston University, is true to the promise in his title Hezbollah: A Short History. He
provides a concise history of this complex, controversial, and violent organization.
Set against the tumultuousness of Lebanon in the last three decades, this is no easy
task, especially when one contemplates the other intervening players such as Israel,
Iran, Syria the United States, and United Nations. Somewhere in the midst of his retell-
ing of the events and developments that have formed and shaped Hezbollah over the
decades, Norton even finds room to make sure his readers do not neglect the religious
and cultural makeup which have shaped and continue to shape Lebanon and
Lebanon’s Hezbollah. Yet in an endeavour this ambitious, there are the inevitable
flaws, which, while frustrating for the reader, are more errors in organization rather
than in content or analysis.
Norton stresses that organizations as multifaceted as Hezbollah do not form in a
vacuum. The historical and political context in which Hezbollah was created is critical
to understanding its actions and its development. Norton begins with a prehistory
describing the emergence of the Lebanese nation, the influence of regional powers
and powerful men, and the Israeli invasion which gave birth to Hezbollah. Although
important attention is drawn to Shi’sm and culture, most of the book is devoted to the
ideological progress of Hezbollah as an armed Shi’a militia and political organiz-
ation. Norton recognizes that during its development in the 1980s Hezbollah was
‘less as a concrete organization than as a cat’s paw’ (p. 72) for Iran and Syria, who
used Lebanon and its constituents as proxies against Israel. But Norton is careful
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to acknowledge Hezbollah’s expansion beyond the initial bombings and kidnappings
into a popular grassroots organization capable of providing community needs and
political participation. Hezbollah faced an identity crisis with the 2000 Israeli
withdrawal from Lebanese territory. After decades of internally defining itself in
opposition to Israel, the six-year relative peace in the region made Hezbollah feel
increasingly obsolete, ultimately driving it to incite Israel into war in 2006, partially
to justify its own existence. Hezbollah’s insecure belligerence continues as it attempts
‘to change the delicate political balance of Lebanon’s sectarian government in its
favor’ (p. 155), destabilizing an already precarious country.
Hezbollah is littered with sharp insights and analysis. I was impressed with
Norton’s examination of the ‘Rules of the Game’ which Hezbollah and Israel
played, with notable exceptions, throughout the Israeli occupation; rules so
entrenched that they were once set to paper (pp. 83–8). The internal dissent and
justifications for Hezbollah’s entrance into Lebanon’s political forum weighed
ideological purity against the prospect of ‘growing political empowerment . . . official
recognition as well as a public podium’ (p. 101). Syrian fear of an organized coalition
against its influence in Lebanese politics drove the assassination of former Prime
Minister Rafiq al-Hariri (p. 127).
Norton’s analysis of the July 2006 war is most intriguing. Hezbollah’s rash
actions against Israel broke the peace in 2006 and sparked immediate and unusual
condemnation from Arab leaders, but as Israeli reaction became increasingly dispro-
portionate, support quickly swung back towards the Lebanese, if not towards Hezbol-
lah specifically. Although there was no overt victory, according to Norton, Hezbollah
emerged from the 2006 war as a model of resistance and fortitude against Israel’s
superior power, sparking fear among ‘ruling elites in the Islamic world . . . that it
may inspire copycat dissent movements in their own societies’ (p. 148). This sugges-
tion has unsettling implications for Sunni Arab countries, such as Saudi Arabia or
Bahrain, with Shi’a minorities. Other regional implications can also be drawn from
Norton’s analysis of the tensions between Hezbollah and Israel. Though Norton
never explicitly draws a parallel between Lebanon and Iraq, the implications of
years of Israeli occupation, strengthening Lebanese resistance groups such as
Hezbollah, cannot be lost on readers, especially when one considers the close ties
between Iraqi and Lebanese Shi’a (pp. 75–83).
Hezbollah suffers from organizational problems that will frustrate readers un-
familiar with the ins and outs of Hezbollah and Lebanese history. As someone
only vaguely familiar with Hezbollah and Lebanon, I found the short history slightly
confusing upon first read. Hezbollah is only loosely chronological, focusing instead
on topics such as Hezbollah’s founding and political participation. This structure
typically works well when topics are addressed sequentially as they are introduced;
however, in Hezbollah topics such as Syria’s role in Lebanese politics or the
Lebanese Civil War are raised in chapter one but not fully addressed until much
later. A timeline of events and a short descriptive list of major actors would have
been very helpful.
Despite minor frustrations, Hezbollah is an achievement. It is a testament to the
author’s knowledge and skill that he could condense an extremely complicated and
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expansive topic into such an accessible and understandable form. Non-experts and
students will find the book an ideal introduction for a respectable understanding of
the political intricacies of the region ‘where Hezbollah is clearly fated to play a
continuing and important role’ (p. 159).
Julie Colegrove
Germantown, Maryland
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