boletim de mercado 22-07 - bni · boletim de mercado 22-07.cdr author: edgar kuxi nunes pedro...
TRANSCRIPT
15,01%
15,34%
15,65%15,87%
16,47%
17,01%
O/N 30 dias 90 dias 180 dias 270 dias 360 dias
| 1 | USD INDEXED BOND
MATURITY 2018 - 2020
COSTS 1,50%
| 2 | BNI TERM DEPOSITS
6M 12M
100K - 5M
>5M - 50M
>50M - 100M
100M+
AMOUNT 1M 2M 3M
10,90%
11,40%
11,90%
12,40%
11,05%
11,55%
12,05%
12,55%
11,20%
11,70%
12,20%
12,70%
11,35%
11,85%
12,35%
12,85%
11,50%
12,00%
12,50%
13,00%
01 02 CROSS CURRENCY MATRIX
BNI: INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
29th July 2019
Source: XECurrency
04BRENT OIL PRICE03
Graphic 2 | Source: NASDAQ Source: XECurrency
MARKET ANALYSIS0605
MARKET BULLETIN
BOND MARKET07BT - Treasury Bills
BT - Treasury Bills
BT - Treasury Bills
OTX - Bonds Indexed to USD
OTX - Bonds Indexed to USD
OTX - Bonds Indexed to USD
91 DAYS
182 DAYS
364 DAYS
3 YEARS
4 YEARS
5 YEARS
16,15%
20,25%
23,90%
7,00%
7,50%
7,75%
Greater Security for your business,more comfort for your customers.
Angola comes from three consecutive recessions (graphic nº 1), and according to indicators reported by INE and the central Bank (BNA), 2019 will be no different. In the first three months of this year the economy fell 0.4% compared to the same period of 2018 and 3.9% compared to the last quarter of last year. This decline in GDP is mainly due to a 6.9% drop in oil refining compared to the same period last year. Other factors that contributed to this decline in economic activity are the contraction in oil production, trade, cement and beverages.
In addition to the various state incentives to support the productive sector, a high and stable oil price can do much to reverse the picture described above. Brent appreciated by 2% this week (63 USD / barrel) and is able to continue this rise taking into account various geopolitical factors. For example, following the Barry Hurricane, which caused some production units to close, US reserves shrank 40 million barrels (graphic nº 2).
In addition China's demand for oil has been rising, with Saudi Arabia being the largest exporter to this market representing 19.5% of their total imports in June, the highest proportion since 2013. Saudi Arabia is "filling the supply gap left by Iran, "said Li Li, an analyst at Shanghai-based ICIS-China consultancy. "They have been trying to regain top spot in oil supplies to China in recent months". China also boosted its purchases from other major suppliers last month. Imports from Russia rose to 7.15 million tons, while Angola's shipments increased to 4.43 million tons (graphic nº 3).
BNI - Direcção Financeira Internacional
CERTIFICAÇÃO INTERNACIONAL DE QUALIDADE
BNI - Banco de Negócios InternacionalAvenida Che-Guevara nº 42 - A, Bairro Maculusso, Distrito da Ingombota. Caixa Postal 578. Luanda - AngolaTel: (+244) 222 632 900 / (+244) 222 632 901 / Fax: (+244) 222 371 887
www.bni.ao
PASSION FOR ANGOLA.To realise, develop and participate in Angola’s growth.This is where we apply our passion. To always do better.
15,01%
15,34%
15,65%15,87%
16,47%
17,01%
O/N 30 dias 90 dias 180 dias 270 dias 360 dias
Graphic 1 | Source: INE
Graphic 3 | Source: Bloomberg
AOA
USD
GBP
EUR
ZAR
1 00000,
0,00288
0,00234
0,00259
0,04089
347,646
1,00000
0,81186
0,89897
14,2160
428,208
1,23173
1 00000,
1,10730
17,5104
386,714
1,11238
0,90310
1,00000
15,8136
24,4545
0,07034
0,05711
0,06324
1,00000
1 AOA 1 USD 1 GBP 1 EUR 1 ZAR
15,01%
15,34%
15,65%15,87%
16,47%
17,01%
O/N 30 dias 90 dias 180 dias 270 dias 360 dias
0,00%
-0,50%
-1,00%
-1,50%
-2,00%
-2,50%
-3,00%
2016 2017 2018
72.0071.0070.0069.0068.0067.0066.0065.0064.0063.4062.0061.0060.0059.0058.002.5M2.4M2.3M2.2M2.1M
2M
1.5M
1M
0.5M
0MMai/19 Jun Jul
SHARE OF SAUDI ARABIAN CRUDE OIL IN CHINA´S TOTAL IMPORT
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
2019/6/3019.5 Percent