boeing 777 casestudy solution

3

Click here to load reader

Upload: rohit-parnerkar

Post on 10-Jul-2016

22 views

Category:

Documents


5 download

DESCRIPTION

Boeing 777 CaseStudy Solution

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Boeing 777 CaseStudy Solution

Assignment II - Boeing 777 Case Study Team I

Assignment 2 - Boeing 777 Case study

21st January, 2016

Submitted by Team I

- Illy WEDDERBURN

- Samantha Zhiwei ZUO

- Marco TRADA

- Arnaud SAVIGNAT

- Rohit PARNERKAR

Page 2: Boeing 777 CaseStudy Solution

Assignment II - Boeing 777 Case Study Team I

Q. Should Boeing have launched the 777 in October 1990?

In light of Boeing's CEOs goal of improving theirs ROE, we need to assess whether this new

project would help him pursue his objective. To assess the worthiness of the project we need to

identify if the rate of return from the 777 project and compare it with our Cost of Capital (Equity +

Debt). As the gulf war is not expected to last beyond 6 months hence, we have calculated the long

term viability of the project and have considered a time horizon of 54 months.

The case says that the Inter Rate of Return (IRR) for Boeing is IRR is 19%. If our Cost of

investment is less than IRR we should go ahead with the project. The Prevailing Tax rate is 34%.

To calculate the Cost of Capital the formula is as following:

π‘Šπ΄πΆπΆ = (π‘‡π‘œπ‘‘π‘Žπ‘™ πΈπ‘žπ‘’π‘–π‘‘π‘¦

(π‘‡π‘œπ‘‘π‘Žπ‘™ πΈπ‘žπ‘’π‘–π‘‘π‘¦ + π‘‡π‘œπ‘‘π‘Žπ‘™ 𝐷𝑒𝑏𝑑)βˆ— π‘…π‘’π‘‘π‘’π‘Ÿπ‘›π‘’π‘žπ‘’π‘–π‘‘π‘¦ +

π‘‡π‘œπ‘‘π‘Žπ‘™ 𝐷𝑒𝑏𝑑

(π‘‡π‘œπ‘‘π‘Žπ‘™ 𝐷𝑒𝑏𝑑 + π‘‡π‘œπ‘‘π‘Žπ‘™ πΈπ‘žπ‘’π‘–π‘‘π‘¦)βˆ— π‘…π‘’π‘‘π‘’π‘Ÿπ‘›π‘‘π‘’π‘π‘‘) βˆ— (1 βˆ’ π‘‡π‘Žπ‘₯ π‘…π‘Žπ‘‘π‘’π‘π‘œπ‘Ÿπ‘π‘œπ‘Ÿπ‘Žπ‘‘π‘’)

Where Returns on Equity is given by,

π‘…π‘’π‘‘π‘’π‘Ÿπ‘›π‘’π‘žπ‘’π‘–π‘‘π‘¦ = (π‘…π‘’π‘‘π‘’π‘Ÿπ‘›π‘Ÿπ‘–π‘ π‘˜ π‘“π‘Ÿπ‘’π‘’ + π΅π‘’π‘‘π‘Žπ΅π‘œπ‘’π‘–π‘›π‘”) βˆ— (π‘…π‘’π‘‘π‘’π‘Ÿπ‘›π‘šπ‘Žπ‘Ÿπ‘˜π‘’π‘‘ βˆ’ π‘…π‘’π‘‘π‘’π‘Ÿπ‘›π‘Ÿπ‘–π‘ π‘˜ π‘“π‘Ÿπ‘’π‘’)

And return on debt is given by,

π‘…π‘’π‘‘π‘’π‘Ÿπ‘›π‘‘π‘’π‘π‘‘ = (π·π‘’π‘π‘‘π‘‡π‘Ÿπ‘Žπ‘›π‘β„Ž1

π‘‡π‘œπ‘‘π‘Žπ‘™ 𝐷𝑒𝑏𝑑⁄ βˆ— π·π‘–π‘ π‘π‘œπ‘’π‘›π‘‘ π‘…π‘Žπ‘‘π‘’π‘‡π‘Ÿπ‘Žπ‘›π‘β„Ž 1) + (

π·π‘’π‘π‘‘π‘‡π‘Ÿπ‘Žπ‘›π‘β„Ž2π‘‡π‘œπ‘‘π‘Žπ‘™ 𝐷𝑒𝑏𝑑

⁄ βˆ— π·π‘–π‘ π‘π‘œπ‘’π‘›π‘‘ π‘…π‘Žπ‘‘π‘’π‘‡π‘Ÿπ‘Žπ‘›π‘β„Ž 2)

As a note on Beta, it must me mentioned that we think that NYSE Compost is the best

representation for the market and hence we have used those set of numbers to calculate tested

Boeing’s sensitivities.

Further, as a part of observation we must mention that majority of Boeings revenues come

from commercial activities (74%). it must observed that the firm has extremely low level of Debt, as

evident from the Debt-Equity ratio. Thus the final impact of the Defence division on overall Boeings

Sensitivity to market is not significant. We have used the Beta Estimate of Boeing with respect to

NYSE Composite.

π‘…π‘’π‘‘π‘’π‘Ÿπ‘›π‘’π‘žπ‘’π‘–π‘‘π‘¦ = 8.82% + 0.87 βˆ— (5.40%) = 13.5%

π‘…π‘’π‘‘π‘’π‘Ÿπ‘›π‘‘π‘’π‘π‘‘ = ((234.5 π‘šπ‘›271.5π‘šπ‘›β„ ) βˆ— 9.73%) + ((37π‘šπ‘›

271.5π‘šπ‘›β„ ) βˆ— 9.31%) = 9.67%

π‘Šπ΄πΆπΆ = ((14896.7

15168.26) βˆ— 13.5% + (

271.5

(15168.26)) βˆ— 9.67%) βˆ— (1 βˆ’ 34%) = 13.90%

As Discussed earlier we will accept the project if our cost of capital is lower that the internal rate of

Return which is projected at 19%. Thus comparing the Findings we see that the project is worth

undertaking in long run as our IRR > WACC (After tax) i.e. 19% > 13.90%

An further Analysis of Sensitivity & Stress Metrix (Exhibit 7). Reviles that the firm will have to

maintain a lower General, Administrative & Sales Expenses (GA&S), while controlling the spending

on Research & Development (R&D) keeping in mind its competitors in commercial space.

Page 3: Boeing 777 CaseStudy Solution

Assignment II - Boeing 777 Case Study Team I

Sensitivity Analysis (IRR)

Worst Case Expected IRR Best Case

Unit volume 700 1100 1200

Price 110 120 130

IRR 14.80% 18.90% 20.60%

GS&A & R&D as percentage of Sales

1% 3% 5%

1% 23.50% 21.80% 19.90%

4% 20.50% 18.90% 16.90%

7% 17.90% 15.80% 13.50%

The project seems to be attractive in the long term as WACC (13.90%) is lower than IRR

(19%), further the gulf war is expected to have only a short term impact, and hence Boeing should

be accept the project.

In addition, Due to competition the price of 777 is expected to be scaled down from $130mn

per aricraft, but as per our analysis it should not be scaled down below $110mn per aircraft as it

would negatively affect the earnings.

As a recommendation Boeing can explore areas unaffected by Gulf war such as the Asia-

Pacific markets. It should also try and simplify & standardise internal processes to bring down costs.