bobby milstein 7 th annual force health protection conference albuquerque, nm august 10, 2004
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Force Health Protection Under a Syndemic Orientation From Force Health Protection, To Forces for Protecting Health. Bobby Milstein 7 th Annual Force Health Protection Conference Albuquerque, NM August 10, 2004. “New recruits” Karen Kasmauski, National Geographic, 1988. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
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Force Health Protection Under a Syndemic Orientation
From Force Health Protection, To Forces for Protecting Health
Force Health Protection Under a Syndemic Orientation
From Force Health Protection, To Forces for Protecting Health
Bobby Milstein 7th Annual Force Health Protection Conference
Albuquerque, NMAugust 10, 2004
Bobby Milstein 7th Annual Force Health Protection Conference
Albuquerque, NMAugust 10, 2004
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“For most people peace is not the highest value. People, groups, and
governments will not renounce violence when that is seen to mean
becoming powerless and helpless in a conflict in which their basic beliefs and
the nature of their society are, or are believed to be, under attack.”
“For most people peace is not the highest value. People, groups, and
governments will not renounce violence when that is seen to mean
becoming powerless and helpless in a conflict in which their basic beliefs and
the nature of their society are, or are believed to be, under attack.”
-- Gene Sharp-- Gene Sharp
Paradox of Protecting Health in an Unhealthy Enterprise
Paradox of Protecting Health in an Unhealthy Enterprise
Sharp G. There are realistic alternatives. Boston Mass: Albert Einstein Institution, 2003. http://65.109.42.80/organizations/org/TARA.pdf.
“New recruits” Karen Kasmauski, National Geographic, 1988
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Science, 256, (12 June 1992) pp. 1520-1521
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Preparing for Inevitable ConflictPreparing for Inevitable Conflict
“Social and political theory
have neglected the central
question of means, and,
therefore, the problem of
inevitable conflict.”
“Social and political theory
have neglected the central
question of means, and,
therefore, the problem of
inevitable conflict.”
-- Joan Bondurant-- Joan Bondurant
Bondurant JV. Conquest of violence: the Gandhian philosophy of conflict. New rev. ed. Princeton N J: Princeton University Press, 1988.
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Joining Fields of InquiryJoining Fields of Inquiry
PREVENTION SCIENCEPREVENTION SCIENCE
InnovativeHealth
Ventures
SYSTEM SCIENCES(improving understanding)
• What conditions protectpeople’s health and safety?
• What causes population health problems?
• How and when do health systems change?
PUBLIC HEALTH(setting goals)
What are health leaderstrying to accomplish?
SOCIAL NAVIGATION(directing movement)
Directing Change
Charting Progress
• Who does the work to effect change?• How do they act?• What do they value?
• Are conditions changing?• In what directions?
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A Glimpse Into 2020A Glimpse Into 2020
Murray CJL, Lopez AD. The global burden of disease: summary. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press, 1996.
Rising Into Top 15
War
HIV
Violence
Self-inflicted injury
Cancer of the trachea, bronchus, and lung
Rising Into Top 15
War
HIV
Violence
Self-inflicted injury
Cancer of the trachea, bronchus, and lung
Falling Below Top 15
Measles
Malaria
Falls
Anemia
Malnutrition
Falling Below Top 15
Measles
Malaria
Falls
Anemia
Malnutrition
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Public Health Goals Are Expanding…and Accumulating
Public Health Goals Are Expanding…and Accumulating
Prevent disease and injury (~1850 -- present)
Promote health and development (1974 -- present)
Assure the conditions in which people can be healthy (1988 -- present)
Prevent disease and injury (~1850 -- present)
Promote health and development (1974 -- present)
Assure the conditions in which people can be healthy (1988 -- present)
“The perfection of means and confusion of goals characterizes our age.”
-- Albert Einstein
“The perfection of means and confusion of goals characterizes our age.”
-- Albert Einstein
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What does it mean to organize science and society around the goal of assuring healthful conditions?
What does it mean to organize science and society around the goal of assuring healthful conditions?
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“We are redefining CDC as the nation’s
health-protection agency.”
“We are redefining CDC as the nation’s
health-protection agency.”
-- Julie Gerberding-- Julie Gerberding
Time 100: the people who shape our world. Time Magazine 2004 April 26.
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Hygeia and PanaceaHygeia and Panacea“In no single thing do men approach the Gods more nearly,
than in the giving of safety to mankind.”– Cicero
“In no single thing do men approach the Gods more nearly, than in the giving of safety to mankind.”
– Cicero
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Exploring the Potential of a Syndemic Orientation
Exploring the Potential of a Syndemic Orientation
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Spotlight on syndemics. Syndemics Prevention Network, 2001. Available at <http://www.cdc.gov/syndemics>.
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A study of innovations in health planning and evaluation
Member network includes
244 individuals
175 organizations
11 countries
A study of innovations in health planning and evaluation
Member network includes
244 individuals
175 organizations
11 countries
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New Word for a Familiar PhenomenonNew Word for a Familiar Phenomenon
Singer M, Snipes C. Generations of suffering: experiences of a treatment program for substance abuse during pregnancy. Journal of Health Care for the Poor and Underserved 1992;3(1):222-34.
Singer M. AIDS and the health crisis of the US urban poor: The perspective of critical medical anthropology. Social Science and Medicine 1994;39(7): 931-948.
Singer M. A dose of drugs, a touch of violence, a case of AIDS: Conceptualizing the SAVA syndemic. Free Inquiry in Creative Sociology 1996;24(2): 99-110.
Singer M, Clair S. Syndemics and public health: reconceptualizing disease in bio-social context. Medical Anthropology Quarterly 2003;17(4):423-441.
“We have introduced the term ‘syndemic’ to refer to the set of synergistic
or intertwined and mutually enhancing health and social problems facing
the urban poor. Violence, substance abuse, and AIDS, in this sense, are not
concurrent in that they are not completely separable phenomena.”
“We have introduced the term ‘syndemic’ to refer to the set of synergistic
or intertwined and mutually enhancing health and social problems facing
the urban poor. Violence, substance abuse, and AIDS, in this sense, are not
concurrent in that they are not completely separable phenomena.”
-- Merrill Singer-- Merrill Singer
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Focusing on RelationshipsFocusing on Relationships
The word syndemic signals special concern for many kinds of relationships:
mutually reinforcing health problems
health status and living conditions
character and composition of the health response system
The word syndemic signals special concern for many kinds of relationships:
mutually reinforcing health problems
health status and living conditions
character and composition of the health response system A syndemic orientation clarifies the
dynamic and democratic character of public health work
Health
LivingConditions
Powerto Act
Milstein B. Spotlight on syndemics. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 2001. <http://www.cdc.gov/syndemics>
“You think you understand two because you understand one and one. But you must also understand ‘and’.”
-- Sufi Saying
“You think you understand two because you understand one and one. But you must also understand ‘and’.”
-- Sufi Saying
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Moving Toward a Complementary Science of Relationships
Moving Toward a Complementary Science of Relationships
Efforts to Reduce Population Health ProblemsProblem, problem solver, response
Efforts to Organize a System that Protects Population HealthDynamic interaction among multiple problems, problem solvers, and responses
Efforts to Reduce Population Health ProblemsProblem, problem solver, response
Efforts to Organize a System that Protects Population HealthDynamic interaction among multiple problems, problem solvers, and responses
Bammer G. Integration and implementation sciences: building a new specialisation. Cambridge, MA: The Hauser Center for Nonprofit Organizations, Harvard University 2003.
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Summers J. Soho: a history of London's most colourful neighborhood. Bloomsbury, London, 1989. p. 117.
“No improvements at all had been
made...open cesspools are still to
be seen...we have all the materials
for a fresh epidemic...the water-
butts were in deep cellars, close to
the undrained cesspool...The
overcrowding appears to increase."
“No improvements at all had been
made...open cesspools are still to
be seen...we have all the materials
for a fresh epidemic...the water-
butts were in deep cellars, close to
the undrained cesspool...The
overcrowding appears to increase."
Broad Street, One Year LaterBroad Street, One Year Later
-- Judith Summers-- Judith Summers
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Core Public Health Functions Under a Syndemic OrientationCore Public Health Functions Under a Syndemic Orientation
System Dynamics
SocialNavigation
POLICYDEVELOPMENT
ASSESSMENT
ASSURANCE
NetworkAnalysis
CategoricalOrientationSyndemic
Orientation
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Policy ResistancePolicy Resistance
“At least six times since the
Depression, the United States has
tried and failed to enact a national
health insurance program.”
“At least six times since the
Depression, the United States has
tried and failed to enact a national
health insurance program.”
-- Lee & Paxman-- Lee & Paxman
“The tendency for interventions to be delayed, diluted, or defeated by the response of the system to the intervention itself.”
“The tendency for interventions to be delayed, diluted, or defeated by the response of the system to the intervention itself.”
-- Meadows, Richardson, Bruckman-- Meadows, Richardson, Bruckman
Lee P, Paxman D. Reinventing public health. Annual Reviews of Public Health 1997;18:1-35.
Meadows DH, Richardson J, Bruckmann G. Groping in the dark: the first decade of global modelling. New York, NY: Wiley, 1982.
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Flaws in Previous Attempts at Health Reform in AmericaFlaws in Previous Attempts at Health Reform in America
Heirich M. Rethinking health care: innovation and change in America. Boulder CO: Westview Press, 1999.
Kari NN, Boyte HC, Jennings B. Health as a civic question. American Civic Forum, 1994. Available at <http://www.cpn.org/topics/health/healthquestion.html>.
Piecemeal approaches
Comprehensive strategies that are opposed by special interests
Assumption that healthcare dynamics are separate from other areas of public concern
Conventional analytic methods make it difficult to
Observe the health system as a large, dynamic enterprise
Craft high-leverage strategies that can overcome policy resistance
Been thinking of health and healthcare as nouns (i.e., commodities to be distributed), not as verbs (i.e., public work to be produced)
Piecemeal approaches
Comprehensive strategies that are opposed by special interests
Assumption that healthcare dynamics are separate from other areas of public concern
Conventional analytic methods make it difficult to
Observe the health system as a large, dynamic enterprise
Craft high-leverage strategies that can overcome policy resistance
Been thinking of health and healthcare as nouns (i.e., commodities to be distributed), not as verbs (i.e., public work to be produced)
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“The macroscope filters details and amplifies that
which links things together. It is not used to make things
larger or smaller but to observe what is at once too
great, too slow, and too complex for our eyes.”
“The macroscope filters details and amplifies that
which links things together. It is not used to make things
larger or smaller but to observe what is at once too
great, too slow, and too complex for our eyes.”
Rosnay Jd. The macroscope: a book on the systems approach. Principia Cybernetica, 1997. <http://pespmc1.vub.ac.be/MACRBOOK.html
-- Joèel de Rosnay-- Joèel de Rosnay
Looking Through the MacroscopeLooking Through the Macroscope
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The Health System Exhibits Many of Our Toughest Challenges
The Health System Exhibits Many of Our Toughest Challenges
Dynamic complexityCause and effect are distant in time and space
Social complexityDiverse stakeholders with different agendas and worldviews
Adaptive complexitySolutions from the past may no longer be as effective
Dynamic complexityCause and effect are distant in time and space
Social complexityDiverse stakeholders with different agendas and worldviews
Adaptive complexitySolutions from the past may no longer be as effective
Adapted from: Senge PM. Creating desired futures in a global society. Reflections 2003;5(1):1-12.
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Blood Lead Levels in the U.S. Population 1976–1999Blood Lead Levels in the U.S. Population 1976–1999
1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000
Year
18
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
Blo
od
Lea
d L
evel
s (m
g/d
L)
0
2.72.0
Unleaded gasolineintroduced
1979
Lead paint ban1976
Can solder phase-outbegins1978
Lead & copper rule1991
Can solderends1992 Leaded gas
ends1996
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0
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4,000
5,000
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Nu
mb
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aret
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Adult Per Capita Cigarette Consumption and Major Smoking-and-Health Events
United States, 1900-1998
Adult Per Capita Cigarette Consumption and Major Smoking-and-Health Events
United States, 1900-1998
Great Depression
End of WW II
NonsmokersRights Movement Begins
1st SurgeonGeneral’s
Report
1st Smoking-Cancer Concern
Federal CigaretteTax Doubles
BroadcastAd Ban
Source: USDA; 1986 Surgeon General's Report
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600
500
400
200
100
501950 1960 1970 1980 1990 1995
Rate if trend continued
Peak Rate
Actual Rate
Age-a
dju
sted D
eath
Rate
per
10
0,0
00
Popula
tion
1955 1965 1975 1985
300
700
Year
Marks JS. The burden of chronic disease and the future of public health. CDC Information Sharing Meeting. Atlanta, GA: National Center for Chronic Disease Prevention and Health Promotion; 2003.
Actual and Expected Death Rates for Coronary Heart Disease, 1950–1998
Actual and Expected Death Rates for Coronary Heart Disease, 1950–1998
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Even the Greatest Gains are FragileEven the Greatest Gains are Fragile
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“Solutions” Can Also Create New Problems“Solutions” Can Also Create New Problems
Merton RK. The unanticipated consequences of purposive social action. American Sociological Review 1936;1936:894-904.
Forrester JW. Counterintuitive behavior of social systems. Technology Review 1971;73(3):53-68.
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Side Effects of SpecializationSide Effects of SpecializationConfusion, inefficiency, organizational disarray
Competition for shared resources
Attention to “local” causes, near in time and space
Neglected feedback (+ and -)
Confounded evaluations
Coercive power dynamics
Priority on a single value, implicitly or explicitly devaluing others
Limited mandate to address context (living conditions) or infrastructure (public strength)
Disappointing track record, especially with regard to inequalities
Confusion, inefficiency, organizational disarray
Competition for shared resources
Attention to “local” causes, near in time and space
Neglected feedback (+ and -)
Confounded evaluations
Coercive power dynamics
Priority on a single value, implicitly or explicitly devaluing others
Limited mandate to address context (living conditions) or infrastructure (public strength)
Disappointing track record, especially with regard to inequalities
A
C
BD
E
A B C D EIssue Organizations
Population
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Diseases of DisarrayDiseases of Disarray
Hardening of the categories
Tension headache between treatment and prevention
Hypocommitment to training
Cultural incompetence
Political phobia
Input obsession
Hardening of the categories
Tension headache between treatment and prevention
Hypocommitment to training
Cultural incompetence
Political phobia
Input obsession
Wiesner PJ. Four disease of disarray in public health. Annals of Epidemiology. 1993;3(2):196-8.
Chambers LW. The new public health: do local public health agencies need a booster (or organizational "fix") to combat the diseases of disarray? Canadian Journal of Public Health 1992;83(5):326-8.
Wiesner PJ. Four disease of disarray in public health. Annals of Epidemiology. 1993;3(2):196-8.
Chambers LW. The new public health: do local public health agencies need a booster (or organizational "fix") to combat the diseases of disarray? Canadian Journal of Public Health 1992;83(5):326-8.
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Dangers of Getting Too SpecificDangers of Getting Too Specific
Krug EG, World Health Organization. World report on violence and health. Geneva: World Health Organization, 2002.Krug EG, World Health Organization. World report on violence and health. Geneva: World Health Organization, 2002.
Conventional problem solving proliferates problems
Opens a self-reinforcing niche for professional problem solvers
Obscures patterns that transcend any specific problem (e.g., nonviolence is entirely neglected)
Conventional problem solving proliferates problems
Opens a self-reinforcing niche for professional problem solvers
Obscures patterns that transcend any specific problem (e.g., nonviolence is entirely neglected)
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Examples of Nonviolent ActionExamples of Nonviolent Action
Albert Einstein Institution. Applications of nonvilolent action. Albert Einstein Institution, 2001. http://www.aeinstein.org/.
Powers RS, Vogele WB, Kruegler C, McCarthy RM. Protest, power, and change: an encyclopedia of nonviolent action from ACT-UP to women's suffrage. New York: Garland Pub., 1997.
Dismantling dictatorships
Blocking coups d’état
Defending against foreign invasions and occupations
Providing alternatives to violence in extreme ethnic conflicts
Challenging unjust social and economic systems
Developing, preserving and extending democratic practices, human rights, civil liberties, and freedom of religion
Resisting genocide
Dismantling dictatorships
Blocking coups d’état
Defending against foreign invasions and occupations
Providing alternatives to violence in extreme ethnic conflicts
Challenging unjust social and economic systems
Developing, preserving and extending democratic practices, human rights, civil liberties, and freedom of religion
Resisting genocide
“A phenomenon that cuts across ethnic, cultural, religious,
geographic, socioeconomic and other demographic lines.”
“A phenomenon that cuts across ethnic, cultural, religious,
geographic, socioeconomic and other demographic lines.”
-- Albert Einstein Institution-- Albert Einstein Institution
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SpecializationA Proven Problem Solving Approach
SpecializationA Proven Problem Solving Approach
Identify disease
Determine causes
Develop and test interventions
Implement programs and policies
Identify disease
Determine causes
Develop and test interventions
Implement programs and policies
Repeat steps 1-4, as necessary!Repeat steps 1-4, as necessary!
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Identify place or population
Organize with residents/members to:
Identify afflictions and their relationships
Examine living conditions and why they differ
Devise beneficial system-wide policies
Build power to act
Direct the course of social change to assure the conditions for health for all
Expand to other places/populations, as necessary
Identify place or population
Organize with residents/members to:
Identify afflictions and their relationships
Examine living conditions and why they differ
Devise beneficial system-wide policies
Build power to act
Direct the course of social change to assure the conditions for health for all
Expand to other places/populations, as necessary
Steps in a Syndemic ApproachSteps in a Syndemic Approach
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"A bad solution is bad because it acts destructively upon the
larger patterns in which it is contained...because it is formed
in ignorance or disregard of them. A bad solution solves for a
single purpose or goal, such as increased production. And it
is typical of such solutions that they achieve stupendous
increase in production at exorbitant biological and social
costs…Good solutions recognize that they are part of a larger
whole. They solve more than one problem and don't create
new problems. A good solution should not enrich one person
by the distress or impoverishment of another."
"A bad solution is bad because it acts destructively upon the
larger patterns in which it is contained...because it is formed
in ignorance or disregard of them. A bad solution solves for a
single purpose or goal, such as increased production. And it
is typical of such solutions that they achieve stupendous
increase in production at exorbitant biological and social
costs…Good solutions recognize that they are part of a larger
whole. They solve more than one problem and don't create
new problems. A good solution should not enrich one person
by the distress or impoverishment of another."
-- Wendell Berry-- Wendell Berry
Berry W. Solving for pattern. In: The Gift of Good Land. San Francisco: North Point; 1981. p. 134-45.
Solving for PatternSolving for Pattern
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Senge PM. Creating desired futures in a global society. Reflections 2003;5(1):1-12.
"In problem solving we seek to make something we do not like
go away. In creating, we seek to make what we truly care
about exist… We can get so caught up in reacting to problems
that it is easy to forget what we actually want. Organizations
must do both–resolve day-to-day problems and generate new
results. But if your primary role is to fix problems, individually
or collectively, rather than create something new and
meaningful, it's hard to maintain a sense of purpose, and..it's
difficult to harness the energy, passion, commitment, and
perseverance needed to thrive in challenging times."
"In problem solving we seek to make something we do not like
go away. In creating, we seek to make what we truly care
about exist… We can get so caught up in reacting to problems
that it is easy to forget what we actually want. Organizations
must do both–resolve day-to-day problems and generate new
results. But if your primary role is to fix problems, individually
or collectively, rather than create something new and
meaningful, it's hard to maintain a sense of purpose, and..it's
difficult to harness the energy, passion, commitment, and
perseverance needed to thrive in challenging times."
Solving Problems and Creating ValueSolving Problems and Creating Value
-- Peter Senge-- Peter Senge
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Misleading Framing AssumptionsMisleading Framing Assumptions
Focus on the events
Everything that happens must have a cause, and that cause must be close in time and space
Instantaneous impacts
Causality runs one-way
Independence
Impacts are linear and constant
Focus on the events
Everything that happens must have a cause, and that cause must be close in time and space
Instantaneous impacts
Causality runs one-way
Independence
Impacts are linear and constant
Richmond B, Peterson S, High Performance Systems Inc. An introduction to systems thinking. Hanover NH: High Performance Systems, 1997.
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Basic Problem Solving OrientationsBasic Problem Solving Orientations
Sterman J. Business dynamics: systems thinking and modeling for a complex world. Boston, MA: Irwin McGraw-Hill, 2000.
Event Oriented View
Problem Results
Goals
Situation
Decision
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Basic Problem Solving OrientationsBasic Problem Solving Orientations
Sterman J. Business dynamics: systems thinking and modeling for a complex world. Boston, MA: Irwin McGraw-Hill, 2000.
“Side Effects”
Feedback View
Goals
Environment
Decisions
Goals ofOthers
Actions ofOthers
“Side Effects”
Delay Delay
Delay
Delay
DelayDelay
Delay
Delay
Delay
Delay
Delay
Delay
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Changing (and Accumulating) Ideas in Causal Theory
What accounts for poor population health?
Changing (and Accumulating) Ideas in Causal Theory
What accounts for poor population health?
God’s will
Humors, miasma, ether
Poor living conditions, immorality (sanitation)
Single disease, single cause (germ theory)
Single disease, multiple causes (heart disease)
Single cause, multiple diseases (tobacco)
Multiple causes, multiple diseases (but no feedback dynamics) (social epidemiology)
Dynamic feedback among afflictions, living conditions, and public responses (syndemic)
God’s will
Humors, miasma, ether
Poor living conditions, immorality (sanitation)
Single disease, single cause (germ theory)
Single disease, multiple causes (heart disease)
Single cause, multiple diseases (tobacco)
Multiple causes, multiple diseases (but no feedback dynamics) (social epidemiology)
Dynamic feedback among afflictions, living conditions, and public responses (syndemic)
1880
1950
1960
1980
2000
1840
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What happens if we shift from thinking about the variable-as-cause to the
system-as-cause?
What happens if we shift from thinking about the variable-as-cause to the
system-as-cause?
Argyris C. Actionable knowledge: design causality in the service of consequential theory. Journal of Applied Behavioral Science 1996;32(4):390-408.
Dent E. The interactional model: an alternative to the direct cause and effect construct for mutually causal organizational phenomena. Foundations of Science in press.
Richmond B. The "thinking" in systems thinking: seven essential skills. Waltham, MA: Pegasus Communications, 2000.
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System-as-CauseSystem-as-Cause
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“When we attribute behavior to
people rather than system structure
the focus of management becomes
scapegoating and blame rather than
the design of organizations in which
ordinary people can achieve
extraordinary results.”
“When we attribute behavior to
people rather than system structure
the focus of management becomes
scapegoating and blame rather than
the design of organizations in which
ordinary people can achieve
extraordinary results.”
-- John Sterman-- John Sterman
Sterman J. System dynamics modeling: tools for learning in a complex world. California Management Review 2001;43(4):8-25.
“The tendency to blame other people instead of the system is so strong
that psychologists call it the fundamental attribution error.”
“The tendency to blame other people instead of the system is so strong
that psychologists call it the fundamental attribution error.”
Beyond ScapegoatingBeyond Scapegoating
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Health Protection as a SystemHealth Protection as a System
From: Milstein B, Homer J. The dynamics of upstream and downstream: why is so hard for the health system to work upstream, and what can be done about it? CDC Futures Health Systems Workgroup; Atlanta, GA; 2003.
Society's HealthResponse
Demand forresponse
Infrastructure
TargetedProtection
SaferHealthierPeople Becoming
vulnerable
Becoming saferand healthier
PrimaryPrevention
VulnerablePeople Becoming
afflicted
SecondaryPrevention
Afflictedwithout
Complications Developingcomplications
TertiaryPrevention
Afflicted withComplications
Dying fromcomplications
AdverseConditions
GeneralProtection
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Adverse Effects on…
People
Environment
Civic infrastructure
Human rights
Adverse Effects on…
People
Environment
Civic infrastructure
Human rights
Assuring Healthful Conditions in War and the Preparation for War
Assuring Healthful Conditions in War and the Preparation for War
Levy BS, Sidel VW. War and public health. Updated ed. Washington DC: American Public Health Association, 2000.
Health EffectsHealth Effects Combatants Noncombatants Combatants Noncombatants
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Declining Deaths Among CombatantsDeclining Deaths Among Combatants
Percent of Wounded CombatantsWho Died of Wounds, by War
13.6%
8.8%
6.1%4.5%
2.5%3.6%
6.7%
20.0%
14.0%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
Crimean1854-1856
US Civil War(North)
1861-1865
Franco-Prussian
1870-1871
SpanishAmerican
1898
Boer War1899-1901
World War I1914-1918
World War II1941-1945
Korea 1950-1953
Vietnam1965-1973
Per
cen
t of a
ll d
eath
s
Percent of Wounded CombatantsWho Died of Wounds, by War
13.6%
8.8%
6.1%4.5%
2.5%3.6%
6.7%
20.0%
14.0%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
Crimean1854-1856
US Civil War(North)
1861-1865
Franco-Prussian
1870-1871
SpanishAmerican
1898
Boer War1899-1901
World War I1914-1918
World War II1941-1945
Korea 1950-1953
Vietnam1965-1973
Per
cen
t of a
ll d
eath
s
Garfield RM, Neugut AI. The human consequences of war. In: Barry S. Levy VWS, editor. War and public health. Updated ed. Washington DC: American Public Health Association; 2000. p. 27-38.
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Civilian Deaths as a Percentage of All Deaths,Selected 20th Century Wars
75%
90%
14%
67%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
WW I WW II 1980s 1990s
Pe
rce
nt
of
all
de
ath
s
Civilian Deaths as a Percentage of All Deaths,Selected 20th Century Wars
75%
90%
14%
67%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
WW I WW II 1980s 1990s
Pe
rce
nt
of
all
de
ath
s
Garfield RM, Neugut AI. The human consequences of war. In: Barry S. Levy VWS, editor. War and public health. Updated ed. Washington DC: American Public Health Association; 2000. p. 27-38.
Increasing Deaths Among NoncombatantsIncreasing Deaths Among Noncombatants
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“For most people peace is not the highest value. People, groups, and
governments will not renounce violence when that is seen to mean
becoming powerless and helpless in a conflict in which their basic beliefs and
the nature of their society are, or are believed to be, under attack.”
“For most people peace is not the highest value. People, groups, and
governments will not renounce violence when that is seen to mean
becoming powerless and helpless in a conflict in which their basic beliefs and
the nature of their society are, or are believed to be, under attack.”
-- Gene Sharp-- Gene Sharp
Rethinking the ParadoxRethinking the Paradox
Sharp G. There are realistic alternatives. Boston Mass: Albert Einstein Institution, 2003. http://65.109.42.80/organizations/org/TARA.pdf.
“New recruits” Karen Kasmauski, National Geographic, 1988
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Methods of Nonviolent ActionMethods of Nonviolent Action
Sharp G. There are realistic alternatives. Boston Mass: Albert Einstein Institution, 2003. http://65.109.42.80/organizations/org/TARA.pdf.
Sharp G. Correcting common misconceptations about nonviolent action. Albert Einstein Institution, 1973. Accessed May 24, 2004 at <http://65.109.42.80/organizations/org/misconceptions.pdf>.
Acts of omission (N=61 types)
-- Strikes, boycotts, civil disobedience
Acts of commission (N=137 types)
-- Blockade, sabotage, counterfeiting
Combinations of both
Acts of omission (N=61 types)
-- Strikes, boycotts, civil disobedience
Acts of commission (N=137 types)
-- Blockade, sabotage, counterfeiting
Combinations of both
“Nonviolent action has nothing to do with passivity, submissiveness, and cowardice; just as in violent conflict,
these must first be rejected and overcome.”
-- Gene Sharp
“Nonviolent action has nothing to do with passivity, submissiveness, and cowardice; just as in violent conflict,
these must first be rejected and overcome.”
-- Gene Sharp
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“The strength of even dictatorships is dependent on sources of power in the society, which in turn depend on
the cooperation of a multitude of institutions and people—cooperation
which may or may not continue.”
“The strength of even dictatorships is dependent on sources of power in the society, which in turn depend on
the cooperation of a multitude of institutions and people—cooperation
which may or may not continue.”
-- Gene Sharp-- Gene Sharp
Prospects for Wielding Power through Nonviolent Action
Prospects for Wielding Power through Nonviolent Action
Sharp G. There are realistic alternatives. Boston Mass: Albert Einstein Institution, 2003. http://65.109.42.80/organizations/org/TARA.pdf.
Ackerman P, DuVall J. With weapons of the will: how to topple Saddam Hussein--nonviolently. Sojourners Magazine 2002(September-October).
“It is not about making a point, its about taking power.”
“It is not about making a point, its about taking power.”
-- Ackerman & DuVall-- Ackerman & DuVall
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Who Will Be Our Model for Powerful Action in Conflict?Who Will Be Our Model for Powerful Action in Conflict?
AchillesAchilles AshokaAshoka
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Ashoka’s StrategyAshoka’s Strategy
Security through powerful nonviolent action
Education
Transportation (roads with shade trees)
Well-digging (clean water)
Hospitals (people and animals)
Religious tolerance
Security through powerful nonviolent action
Education
Transportation (roads with shade trees)
Well-digging (clean water)
Hospitals (people and animals)
Religious tolerance
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Primary Prevention for War?Primary Prevention for War?
"America was not on a road to survival before Martin Luther King. Atlanta
would not look like the thriving metropolis that it is now. Atlanta
would probably look more like Beirut if history had gone its normal course, the normal violent American way."
"America was not on a road to survival before Martin Luther King. Atlanta
would not look like the thriving metropolis that it is now. Atlanta
would probably look more like Beirut if history had gone its normal course, the normal violent American way."
-- Andrew Young-- Andrew Young
From: Kearns K. In Remembrance of Martin. PBS Video, 1999.
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Academy of Achievement. Rosa Parks: pioneer of civil rights. Hall of Public Service Academy of Achievement, 2003. <http://www.achievement.org/autodoc/page/par0int-1>.
Powers RS, Vogele WB, Kruegler C, McCarthy RM. Protest, power, and change: an encyclopedia of nonviolent action from ACT-UP to women's suffrage. New York: Garland Pub., 1997.
Parks was not first to defy segregation law
Her action on December 1, 1955 was not done on a whim, but rather was part of a carefully planned NAACP legal strategy
Parks’ action was preceded by 12 years of preparation
Served as secretary of NAACP
Studied at Highlander Folk School
Parks was not first to defy segregation law
Her action on December 1, 1955 was not done on a whim, but rather was part of a carefully planned NAACP legal strategy
Parks’ action was preceded by 12 years of preparation
Served as secretary of NAACP
Studied at Highlander Folk School
“I made up my mind that I would not give in any longer to legally-imposed racial segregation.”
-- Rosa Parks
“I made up my mind that I would not give in any longer to legally-imposed racial segregation.”
-- Rosa Parks
Preparation for Nonviolent ActionPreparation for Nonviolent Action
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Expanding the Fraction Conflicts that Employ Nonviolent Means
Expanding the Fraction Conflicts that Employ Nonviolent Means
Nonviolent Action & Preparation for Nonviolent Action
War & Preparation for War
“We do not hold the vision of a world without conflict.
We do hold the vision of a world without war—and this inevitably requires an alternative system
for coping with conflict.”
“We do not hold the vision of a world without conflict.
We do hold the vision of a world without war—and this inevitably requires an alternative system
for coping with conflict.”
-- Adlai Stevenson-- Adlai Stevenson
Levy BS, Sidel VW. War and public health. Updated ed. Washington DC: American Public Health Association, 2000., p. 371.
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Roles for Health ProfessionalsRoles for Health ProfessionalsAs citizens,..
Reject blame, question system structure
Insist on policies to
Reduce the causes of violence
Control weapons
Strengthen capacity to engage in nonviolent action
As citizens,..
Reject blame, question system structure
Insist on policies to
Reduce the causes of violence
Control weapons
Strengthen capacity to engage in nonviolent action
Levy BS, Sidel VW. Preventing war and its health consequences: roles of public health professionals. In: Barry S. Levy VWS, editor. War and public health. Updated ed. Washington DC: American Public Health Association; 2000. p. 388-393.
As military noncombatants…
Document and analyze the full spectrum of health effects, including their dynamics
Develop a balanced portfolio of responses
Care for afflicted
Prevention for those at risk
Protection for those most vulnerable
Expand opportunities for nonviolent action
As military noncombatants…
Document and analyze the full spectrum of health effects, including their dynamics
Develop a balanced portfolio of responses
Care for afflicted
Prevention for those at risk
Protection for those most vulnerable
Expand opportunities for nonviolent action
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Some Attributes of a Syndemic ViewSome Attributes of a Syndemic View
Sees the health protection enterprise in larger, more dynamic terms
Shifts from an exclusively stepwise view of change to one that is also transformational
Expands prevention science by formalizing new kinds of principles and processes (e.g., causal feedback)
Acknowledges sources of dynamic complexity and relies on analytic methods that can capture its effects
Sees the health protection enterprise in larger, more dynamic terms
Shifts from an exclusively stepwise view of change to one that is also transformational
Expands prevention science by formalizing new kinds of principles and processes (e.g., causal feedback)
Acknowledges sources of dynamic complexity and relies on analytic methods that can capture its effects
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For Additional Informationhttp://www.cdc.gov/syndemics