biomcn producing sustainable feedstock for transport and
TRANSCRIPT
BioMCN – producing sustainable feedstock for transport and chemical applications
Paul Hamm, Initiator
Rob Voncken, CEO
Course Master of Business in Energy Systems, Module Business & Strategy
January 2013
1. Methanor plant closed. Former partners DSM,
Akzo Nobel and Dynea declared plant for sale in May 2006
2. BioMCN acquired Methanor assets
3. Production restarted on November 6th, 2006
4. Green (bio-)methanol planned for Q4 2007
5. Based on Inventions by Ing. Sieb Doorn
6. Absolutely new and unique technology (patented) to transfer biomass into methanol in a mixture with natural gas
BACKGROUND
3
OVERVIEW OF THE PLANT
4
COMPANY PROFILE
• Two methanol plants with 500 Kton
capacity each
• 90 FTE highly motivated employees
• Products: • Bio-methanol
• Traditional methanol
• H2
• Markets – focus for transport market: • MTBE
• Direct blends with gasoline
• DME
• Bio-diesel
• Other ‘green’ products
5
START-UP APPROACH
• Continue with traditional methanol
• Pre-marketing of green concepts
• Start of production and marketing bio-methanol • Pilot plant of 20 kton/pa
• Production plant of 200 kton/pa
• Stepwise increase of bio-methanol production to: • 400 kton/pa in the course of 2008
• Start-up of line 2 aligned with growth of bio-methanol demand
• 600-800 kton/pa in 2010
• Next to 200-400 kton/pa traditional methanol
• Exact quantities dependant on commercial optimization
Break-out
• What challenges are the initiators faced with ?
• What factors would drive this business ?
Break-out
• What challenges are the initiators faced with ?
• Re-start and start-up
• Business with a history – not greenfield
• Size of the assets
• New technology, new product, new market
• Government regulated – energy directive
• Technology push !
• What factors would drive this business ?
• Driver is growth of biofuel sector – energy directive
• Availability of feedstock crude glycerine
• Opportunity of idle plant – reducing initial investment
8
2. Biomass
resource market 1. Market
4. Marketing
strategy
6. Vision and partnership
€ 5. Financials
OVERVIEW OF PRESENTATION
3. Bio-methanol
technology
9
2. Biomass
resource market 1. Market
4. Marketing
strategy
6. Vision and partnership
€ 5. Financials
3. Bio-methanol
technology
1. BIOFUEL MARKET
10
Global MeOH Demand
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
500002
00
1
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
20
10
20
11
KT
/yr
Formaldehyde Acetic Acid MTBE/TAME
Methyl Methacrylate Gasoline Solvents
DMT Other
Bio-methanol – platform chemical for biobased economy
resins
glues
hydrogen
biodiesel
antifreeze
medicine
industrial industrial
HPC HPC
construction construction
automotive automotive
furniture furniture
transportation transportation
plastics
E&E E&E
sweetener
12
GLOBAL BIOFUEL MARKET
• European Union market 2010: 20 billion €
• World market estimate 2010: 50 billion €
• 75% bio-ethanol; 25% biodiesel
• Main future ethanol consumers: Brazil, USA, China, EU
• Drivers: mainly commercial
13
EUROPEAN UNION BIOFUEL DIRECTIVE
• Current transport fuel use: 581 million ton (13,730 PJ)
• Biofuel targets:
• 2% in 2005
• 5.75% in 2010
• Minimum obligation 10% for 2020 defined this year
• Vision of member states and EC towards
> 30% in a few decades
• Total biofuels 2010:
• 789 PJ
• 21.2 million ton bio-diesel equivalent
• Bio-methanol production Delfzijl
• 2008: 0.2 million ton
• 2011: 0.8 million ton
14
BIO-METHANOL MARKET
• EU biofuel directive includes:
• Bio-methanol
• Bio-MTBE (36% counted as biofuel)
• Bio-DME
• Bio-hydrogen
• Synthetic biofuels = synthetic hydrocarbons
• Gasoline standard (EN228) + Fuel directive (98/70/EC):
• 15 vol% ethers (MTBE/ETBE)
• 3 vol% methanol
15
BIO-METHANOL MARKET
• Mainly competing with bio-ethanol:
• > for gasoline replacement
• expensive to produce!
• EU 2010 bio-methanol market:
• Potential gasoline replacement: 20 Mton
• Production BioMCN: 0.8 Mton
• Global bio-methanol market
• Potential global market in ethanol using
countries
Spot the difference
Methanol Bio-methanol
Formula
Purity > 99,85% > 99,85%
Feedstock Natural gas Crude glycerine
CO2 -/- 78%
Energy content counts twice
Because bio-methanol is made from a residue, its energy content shall be counted twice towards the renewable energy target (RED art 21.2)
1.000 kilos
bio-MEOH
1.500 kilo
Bio-ETOH
1 ton of 2nd generation bio-methanol = 1,5 ton bio-ethanol
Wastes, agricultural crop residues, …, and residues from processing, including crude glycerine (glycerine that is not refined), shall be considered to have zero life-cycle greenhouse gas emissions up to the process of collection of those materials.
RED Annex V.C.18
Residues are substances that are not the end product that a process directly seeks to produce, e.g. crude glycerine (EC communication 2010/C 160/02)
What makes a 2nd generation biofuel ?
Duurzaamheidsmeetlat – CE Delft/Greenpeace
Break-out
• Formulate a business mission and proposition
Our mission / proposition
Our mission is to be a leading company in the global transformation towards sustainable non-fossil fuels & materials • recognized status as 2nd generation biofuel (RED) • first to market – frontrunner • commercial availability – RIGHT NOW • high ‘well to wheel’ CO2 savings (>70%) • chemically identical, i.e. low introduction barrier • competitive business proposition as fuel-(component) • market pull from other than fuel applications • potential of feedstock mix natural gas/ biogas/biosyngas
22
2. Biomass
resource market 1. Market
4. Marketing
strategy
6. Vision and partnership
€ 5. Financials
3. Bio-methanol
technology
2.1 Biomass globally
2.2 Glycerol market
2. BIOMASS RESOURCE MARKET
23
FROM METHANOL TO GLYCEROL AND BACK
BioMCN Glycerol
(Other Biomass)
Bio-Methanol
Glycerol Methanol Esterification plant
Vegetable oil Bio-diesel
• Biodiesel / Glycerol ratio about 10 / 1
• Glycerol / Bio-methanol ratio: about 1-1.5 / 1
24
FEEDSTOCK FOR BIODIESEL
• Types of bio-oil as input for biodiesel production:
• Rapeseed -> most widely used
• Sunflower seed -> large production in Russia
• Palm -> sustainability certification needed
• Jatropha -> can grow on arid areas
• Algae -> by far highest yield per hectare
• Quality rapeseed makes it the number one in use
• Russia and Ukraine big potential for new seed cultivation
25
WORLD BIODIESEL PRODUCTION
-
2 ,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Bio
die
se
l p
rod
uc
tio
n [
kto
n/y
r]
G erm any France R est o f Europe U SA R est o f w orld
26
GLOBAL GLYCEROL PRODUCTION
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Wo
rldw
ide
gly
cerin
e p
rod
uctio
n [
kto
n/y
r]
Biodiesel based glycerine Other glycerine sources
27
CRUDE GLYCEROL PRICE
-
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
jun-95 jun-96 jun-97 jun-98 jun-99 jun-00 jun-01 jun-02 jun-03 jun-04 jun-05 jun-06 jun-07
Cru
de
gly
ce
rin
e p
ric
e C
IF R
'da
m [
Eu
ro/t
on
]
28
CRUDE GLYCEROL PRICE
• Between 1995-2006: • Sharp and stable decrease of price because of
biodiesel • Slow reaction on market changes -> oscillations
• In 2007: • Upward development (“oscillation”) • Take-up in animal feed sector • Upper limit has been achieved:
• Now at price of molasses and other feed: about 100 euro/ton
• Next 3 years: • Stabilization expected around current level • Slight oscillations may maintain
Break-out
• How would you assess the feedstock supply situation ?
• Your observations from todays perspective !
Break-out
• How would you assess the feedstock supply situation ?
• All signs were pointing in positive direction – growth of biodiesel and thus crude glycerine
• Expectation was that it was even difficult to meet the targets in the directive (10%)
• Intelligence reports positive about future outlook
• Your observations from todays perspective !
• High pressure on 1st generation biofuels – food versus fuel discussion
• Biomass prices have increased beyond expectations
31
2. Biomass
resource market 1. Market
4. Marketing
strategy
6. Vision and partnership
€ 5. Financials
3. Bio-methanol
technology
3. BIO-METHANOL TECHNOLOGY
3.1. Short term technology
3.2. Medium term techn.
32
METHANOL PRODUCTION PROCESS NG/Glycerol
Reformer 850°C, Ni cat.
15 bar
Compression two steps
1535—100 bar
Synthesis Cu/Zn cat
270 – 300 °C
Distillation
CO/CO2/H2
CO/CO2/H2
Raw methanol
Pure methanol
Pure gas
composition
depending on
feed
33
METHANOL PRODUCTION PROCESS
• BioMCN’s methanol synthesis is based on proven ICI technology
• A combination of existing lay-out, with latest technology of Foster Wheeler for steam reforming and Johnson Matthey for methanol synthesis provides a state of the art methanol process – Reliable (on stream time)
– Proven safety performance
– Optimum capacity
– Optimum costprice
• Infrastructural issues are key in the overall profitability of a methanol project – shipping & landing facilities
- Traditional overall reaction:
• CH4 + H2O CH3OH + H2
- Glycerol (C3H8O3) overall reaction:
• C3H8O3 2CH3OH + CO
- Combined optimum:
• 2CH4 + C3H8O3+ 2H2O 5CH3OH
GLYCEROL REPLACES NATURAL GAS (SHORT TERM)
35
GLYCEROL PREPARATION
• Additional unit to the original plant
• Crude glycerol preferably freed from salts (alternative is to
purchase slightly more expensive qualities)
• Water and FA’s may be present
• For the first generation purification Delfzijl chooses a traditional
one
• Important is the steam/C ratio, which must be at least 3.0
• Process is proven (pilot experiments at catalyst manufacturer
and pilot plant Delfzijl)
• World-wide patents are applied for
36
PRODUCTION PROCES
Salt / waste material
Glycerol
Purification
Crude glycerol
Landing facilities
Glycerol
evaporator
Pre-heaters
Glycerol
Design data:
- Cap. 200kton/year glycerol
Crude glycerol
Storage
Pure glycerol
storage MP Super heater
MP Steam
Steam
Reformer line 1
Turbine
Cooling water
HP Super heater
HP Steam
Break-out
• The pilot plant was opened in april 2008, the 200 kt commercial plant in september 2009; any observations and/comments wrt the production process?
Break-out
• The pilot plant was opened in april 2008, the 200 kt commercial plant in september 2009; any observations and/comments wrt the production process?
• Upscaling process ‘best in class’ by concurrent engineering
• High risk approach, however with limited failures in learning curve
39
2. Biomass
resource market
4. Marketing
strategy
6. Vision and partnership
€ 5. Financials
3. Bio-methanol
technology 1. Market
4. MARKETING STRATEGY
40
GREY METHANOL MARKETING POLICY
• BioMCN mainly operates in the contract market, which means long term volume agreements with all major customers
• In order to minimize our logistical costs we only operate in the N.-W. European market
• Full-load policy: we sell everything we produce (overcommitment)
• We are able to buy additional methanol volumes from third parties to keep/extend our market-share, as well as to cover our “overcommitment”,
• Maintain and to optimize our image as the reliable European methanol producer
41
W-E METHANOL PRICES
Average WE
Methanol price
€ 250/ton
Absolute prices show different trends
2012 ytd
Euro
s/m
ton
Data source: Platts
• Bio-MTBE
• Direct blends with gasoline, e.g.:
– M3 (3% methanol, fits within gasoline specs)
– M60 -> in line with E85 and flexifuel cars
• Bio-DME
• Green formaldehyde
• Green H2 (hydrogen)
• Green ethanol
• Green MTO/MTP
POTENTIAL END USES FOR BIO-METHANOL
44
BIO-METHANOL CUSTOMERS
• MTBE: Sabic, Shell, Lyondell, BP, Total
• DME: Du Pont, Akzo (Body Shop / L’Oreal)
• Direct blends: Oil companies
• Bio-diesel producers
Shell was launching customer, but stepped away during financial crisis and internal reorganization in the first half of 2009
• 2008: direct sales of bio-methanol
– Price green value directly reflected in price
• > 2009:
– Separate sales of methanol and biofuel certificate:
• Methanol sold at normal market prices
• Biofuel certificate sold to parties that have biofuel obligation
– Direct sales of bio-methanol
BIO-METHANOL SALES MODELS
46
METHANOL FORWARD INTEGRATION
OPTIONS
• Current main market: MTBE
• BioMCN is planning to investigate potential forward
investment in esp. DME and H2
Methanol
€ 250/ton
DME
€ 500-700/ton
Transport fuel
H2
€ 1300-2500/ton
Fuel cells
• DME / H2 are medium term higher value markets
Break-out
• Imagine the consequences of the financial crisis on the market development of bio-methanol – what options did we have / how to react ?
Break-out
• Imagine the consequences of the financial crisis on the market development of bio-methanol – what options did we have / how to react ?
• Implementation of RED delayed – strong Public Affairs focus and effort focussed on main countries UK and Germany; BP became launching customer
• Development of low blending application with NorthSea Group in Netherlands
• Development of refined glycerine business
49
2. Biomass
resource market
4. Marketing
strategy
6. Vision and partnership
€ 5. Financials
3. Bio-methanol
technology 1. Market
5. FINANCIALS
50
KEY FIGURES AND FINANCIALS (key factors)
• Benefit from higher value of bio-methanol:
• Bio-methanol: € 475 - € 525
• Grey methanol: € 200 - € 250
• Attractive cost price based on crude glycerol and gas pricing
• Crude glycerol: € 150-200
• Result: high margin per ton
• Goal: profitable growth
51
KEY FIGURES AND FINANCIALS (main upward potentials)
• Third party license income and/or joint venture and trading possibilities
• Upward potential sales price bio-methanol
• No government grants or tax incentives taken into account
• Expansion of capacity at current location possible
• Even lower gas consumption at 100% bio feedstock
• Cheaper technologies for bio-methanol production patented and under investigation
• Exit value conservatively estimated, given new and valuable technologies
Break-out
• Existing bio-methanol pricing is between € 600-700; crude glycerol pricing is at € 300-400; how would you assess the existing business case ?
• What options do we have ?
Break-out
• Existing bio-methanol pricing is between € 600-700; crude glycerol pricing is at € 300-400; how would you assess the existing business case ?
• In one word – critical
• What options do we have ?
• Sourcing outside Europe
• Sourcing low end and cheaper qualities
• Supporting biodiesel industry via Industry Association
• Development of green gas feedstock
• Development of other biomass feedstock - Woodspirit
54
2. Biomass
resource market
4. Marketing
strategy
6. Vision and partnership
3. Bio-methanol
technology 1. Market
€ 5. Financials
6. LONG TERM VISION
55
THE VISION
• Bio-refinery like integrated biomass sites
• Combination of:
• Biomass terminal, storage and pretreatment
• Biofuel production
• Bio-electricity production
• Bio-heat production
• Bio-gas production
• Bio-coal production
• Integrate electricity, syngas and heat flows
• Export this concept to other
Woodspirit: NER300 project – from wood via bio-syngas to biofuels/materials
dried biomass bio-syngas bio-methanol Biofuels/materials
• Sustainable feedstock: 1,5 mio mton/year (wet) wood (EU Directive 2009/28/EC)
• Green Syngas: > 1 billion Nm3/year
• CO2 savings: 900 kton/year
• Bio-methanol: >400 kton = 500 mio liters = ~3 billion clean car kilometers
• Initial investment: several hundred of million €’s
A multi-feedstock & process approach
TIM
E
Feedstock Process Applications
crude glycerine
forestry residue
CO2 feedstock
evaporation
gasification
bio
-meth
an
ol
syn
thesis
fotosynthesis
2016
Now
2020
BioCoMet/
mu
lti-
alc
oh
ol
The challenges
• Slow acceptance of new/unknown business concepts • Delayed implementation of RED incl double counting in several EU member states • Adaption/reduction of ‘bijmengverplichting’ • Changing agenda’s/focus of stake holders • Level playing field disturbance – EU member states, subsidies, feed in, tax – overall biofuels disadvantaged How to accelerate sales ? Cooperation along the business
chain is absolute necessity
Learnings
• Everyone talks about it, just go for it ! • Financing is a qualifier, don’t cry about spilled milk • Innovation is not the issue, but commercialization • Continuous learning curve, adapt when required • Risk mitigation – develop new options • Balance the short/medium/long term business development • Every successful product was once a candidate for closure • Don’t be afraid to make mistakes
THANK YOU! www.biomcn.eu