bimit (s.rana)
TRANSCRIPT
8/9/2019 BIMIT (S.RANA)
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/bimit-srana 1/42
Capital Budgeting
8/9/2019 BIMIT (S.RANA)
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/bimit-srana 2/42
topics
8/9/2019 BIMIT (S.RANA)
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/bimit-srana 3/42
CAPITAL
8/9/2019 BIMIT (S.RANA)
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/bimit-srana 4/42
CAPITAL
y Capital is the money you have got, or the money you
could raise by selling your possessions.
Thus, the cash is your wallet is capital.
In business terms, it means the cash in the bank, less
money owed. Plus the value of the building, computers,
furniture, vehicles, etc.. It is anything that can be
converted into cash.
8/9/2019 BIMIT (S.RANA)
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/bimit-srana 5/42
Budget
8/9/2019 BIMIT (S.RANA)
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/bimit-srana 6/42
BUDGET
y A budget is a description of a financial plan.
y It is a list of estimates of revenues and expenditures for astated period of time.
y
Normally a budget describes a period in the future not thepast.
y Budget is a financial tool of control
y Enable the actual financial operation of the business to be
measured against the forecast.y Types of budget
8/9/2019 BIMIT (S.RANA)
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/bimit-srana 7/42
Indian School of Petroleum
The Basics of Capital Budgeting:
Should we
build this
plant?
8/9/2019 BIMIT (S.RANA)
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/bimit-srana 8/42
Capital Budgeting
y Capital budgeting is the planning process used todetermine whether a firm's long term investments such asnew machinery, replacement machinery, new plants, new products, and research development projects are worthpursuing. It is budget for major capital, investment,expenditures
y Its an investment for long period of time
y Identifying potential investment (allocation of fund)
y Choose which investment to make
y Following up & monitoring investment
8/9/2019 BIMIT (S.RANA)
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/bimit-srana 9/42
Examples
Replacement decision
Expansion decision
Diversification decision
8/9/2019 BIMIT (S.RANA)
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/bimit-srana 10/42
POSITION OF CAPITAL BUDGETING
The Position of Capital Budgeting
Capital Budgeting
Long Term Assets Short Term Assets
Investment Decison
Debt/Equity Mix
Financing Decision
Divi end Payout Ratio
Dividend Decision
Financial Goal of the Firm:
Wealth Maximisation
8/9/2019 BIMIT (S.RANA)
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/bimit-srana 11/42
Features & significance
y Long term effects :-
Long term effects on the risk & return composition of the firm
y substantial commitments :-
Large amount of money involve in project
Substantial portion of fund blocked in capital budgeting
y Irreversible decision:-
y
Affect the capacity & strength to compete :-
8/9/2019 BIMIT (S.RANA)
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/bimit-srana 12/42
CAPITAL BUDGETING
Where do I investmy money?
8/9/2019 BIMIT (S.RANA)
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/bimit-srana 13/42
8/9/2019 BIMIT (S.RANA)
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/bimit-srana 14/42
CapitalBudgeting decision & fund availability
COSTBENEFITS
8/9/2019 BIMIT (S.RANA)
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/bimit-srana 15/42
Capital Budgeting decision & fund availability
y No business firm can possibly afford to undertake all the
profitable all the profitable proposal
Why?
y
No firms has unlimited fundsy What are the sources of fund ?
Only those decision are to be implemented
The cost of the project does not exceeds the fund available
The benefits ex pected from the project is more than the cost
8/9/2019 BIMIT (S.RANA)
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/bimit-srana 16/42
Assumptions & Procedures
y Assumptions:-
1. Certainty with respect to cost & benefits
2. Profit motives
3. No capital rationing
y Process:-
1. Estimation of cost-benefit of a proposal
2. Estimation of required rate of return
3. Using capital budgeting decision criterion
8/9/2019 BIMIT (S.RANA)
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/bimit-srana 17/42
Capital Budgeting Techniques Of Evaluation
NPV
IRR ARR
PAYBACK PERIOD
P I
8/9/2019 BIMIT (S.RANA)
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/bimit-srana 18/42
TraditionalTraditionalDiscounted cashflow/ Time adjustedDiscounted cashflow/ Time adjusted
y Pay back period
y Accounting rate of
return(ARR)
y Net present value(NPV)
y
Profitability index (PI)y Internal rate of return
(IRR)
TECHNIQUES OF CAPITALBUDGETING
8/9/2019 BIMIT (S.RANA)
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/bimit-srana 19/42
PAY BACK PERIOD
y The number of years required to recover a project¶s cost, or³How long does it take to get our money back?´
y This is the most simple & easy, concept as well as in itsapplications
EXAMPLES
A. When annual cash flows are equal
Project life time 5 years
Initial investment Rs. 20,00,000
Expected constant annual inflow Rs. 8,00,000
Pay back period = (20,00,000/8,00,000) = 2.5 years
8/9/2019 BIMIT (S.RANA)
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/bimit-srana 20/42
Example
B. when annual cash flows are unequal
Y ear Project X Project Y
Cashflow
Cumul.cash flow
Cashflow
Cumul.Cash flow
0 (100000) (100000)
1 25000 25000 15000 15000
2 35000 60000 20000 350003 40000 100000 25000 60000
4 47000 147000 40000 100000
5 50000 197000 42000 142000
8/9/2019 BIMIT (S.RANA)
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/bimit-srana 21/42
Discounted payback period
y Uses discounted cash flows rather than raw CFs.
Disc PaybackL = 2 + / = 2.7 years
CFt -100 10 60 80
Cumulative -100 -90.91 18.79
0 1 2 3
=
2.7
60.11
-41.32
PV of CFt -100 9.09 49.59
41.32 60.11
10%
8/9/2019 BIMIT (S.RANA)
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/bimit-srana 22/42
Limitations
y Pay back period does not give any clear picture of decisionrules.
y
It helps to compare with some predetermine target periody It fails to considered time value of money
y It over looks cash flow beyond payback period
y It ignore salvage value
8/9/2019 BIMIT (S.RANA)
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/bimit-srana 23/42
8/9/2019 BIMIT (S.RANA)
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/bimit-srana 24/42
EXAMPLE
Years 0 1 2 3
a. Investment
b. Sales
c. Operatingexpenses
d. Depreciation
e. PBT
f. Tax
g. PAT
(90000)120000
60000
30000
30000
2000
28000
100000
50000
30000
20000
2000
18000
80000
40000
30000
10000
2000
8000
8/9/2019 BIMIT (S.RANA)
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/bimit-srana 25/42
y Average profit after tax
= (28000+18000+8000)/3 = 18000
y Average book value of investment
= 90000 ARR= ( 18000/90000) * 100 = 20%
Decision criteria:-
y Firm¶s required rate of return 18% (ARR accepted)
y Firm¶s required rate of return 22% (ARR rejected)
8/9/2019 BIMIT (S.RANA)
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/bimit-srana 26/42
Discounted cash flow / time adjusted technique
8/9/2019 BIMIT (S.RANA)
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/bimit-srana 27/42
8/9/2019 BIMIT (S.RANA)
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/bimit-srana 28/42
Decision rules
y Accepted : if NPV of the project is positive.
y Rejected : if NPV is negative
y If NPV is zero: it is indifference
y If there are two and more mutually exclusiveprojects, the project with higher NPV should bechosen
8/9/2019 BIMIT (S.RANA)
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/bimit-srana 29/42
Example
NPV= (45543+40647+36312+45156) ±100000
= 67658
Y ear 0 1 2 3 4Net CashFlow
(100000) 51000 51000 51000 71000
PVIF@12%
0.893 0.797 0.712 0.636
Present value
45543 40647 36312 45156
8/9/2019 BIMIT (S.RANA)
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/bimit-srana 30/42
Profitability Index
y Benefits - Cost Ratio (BCR) :-It is define as a benefit per rupee invested in aproposal
y It is based on basic concept of discounting the futurecash flows
y Calculation of BCR = PV/I Where, PV = present value of future cash flows
I = initial investment
8/9/2019 BIMIT (S.RANA)
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/bimit-srana 31/42
ACCEPT / REJECT RULES
y If PI is greater than or equal to 1, ACCEPT.
y If PI is less than 1, R EJECT
y In case of ranking mutually exclusive proposal , theproposal with the highest positive PI will be given toppriority & lowest will be given less priority
8/9/2019 BIMIT (S.RANA)
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/bimit-srana 32/42
Examples
y Duration of the project 5 years
y Cost of fund 14%
Projec
ts
Initial
investment
Annual net cash
flow (1-5 YE ARS)
A (20) 7.5
B (4.5) 1.2
C (7) 2.5
D (8) 3.5
8/9/2019 BIMIT (S.RANA)
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/bimit-srana 33/42
SOLUTIONS
PROJECTS BCR RANK
A 7.5 X PVIFA (14%, 5 YEARS)/ 20
=(7.5 X 3.433)/20 = 1.27
2
B (1.5 X 3.433) / 4.5 = 1.14 4
C (2.5 X 3.433)/ 7 = 1.23 3
D (3.5 X 3.433)/ 8 = 1.50 1
8/9/2019 BIMIT (S.RANA)
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/bimit-srana 34/42
INTERNAL RATE OF RETURN (IRR)
y IRR is a rate of interest which makes all present valueof net cash flow equal to ³zero´.
y It is the rate, which equates the present value of the cashinflows to the present value of cash outflows.
y Decision rules:-
if IRR (r) is greater than cost of capital (k)
ACCEPT :- r>k
8/9/2019 BIMIT (S.RANA)
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/bimit-srana 35/42
Calculation of IRR
8/9/2019 BIMIT (S.RANA)
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/bimit-srana 36/42
EXAMPLE
yNPV at r=15% = 0.84
yNPV at r= 18% = 0.33
yNPV at r= 20% = 0
YEAR 0 1 2 3 4
CASH
FLOW
(1000000) 500000 500000 308000 120000
8/9/2019 BIMIT (S.RANA)
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/bimit-srana 37/42
NPV vs. IRR
8/9/2019 BIMIT (S.RANA)
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/bimit-srana 38/42
NPV ± IRR PROFILE
8/9/2019 BIMIT (S.RANA)
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/bimit-srana 39/42
NPV vs. IRR
SUPERIORITY OF IRR OVER NPV
1. IRR gives percentage return while NPV gives
absolute return.
2. For IRR, the availability of required rate of return is not a pre-requisite while for NPV it ismust.
8/9/2019 BIMIT (S.RANA)
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/bimit-srana 40/42
Selecting the appropriate technique
y Pay back Period
Immediate decision making
When two mutually exclusive project have equal
returny ARR ±objective of a firm is profit maximization
y NPV/IRR:- firms which are working for wealthmaximization
y PI :- benefit ± cost analysis
8/9/2019 BIMIT (S.RANA)
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/bimit-srana 41/42
Problems in capital budgeting
y Future Uncertainty
y Time Element
y Measurement Problem
8/9/2019 BIMIT (S.RANA)
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/bimit-srana 42/42
Points to be remember
1. Capital budgeting concern with investment for
long- term period
2. Two types of techniques
3. All discounted cash flow techniques allow ³ Time value of money´
4. NPV & IRR , maximizing share holders wealth
5. Capital budgeting can not avoid risk & uncertainty