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@David_Rogers Faculty Director, Digital Business Strategy Columbia Business School Exec Ed www.davidrogers.biz Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I.

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Page 1: Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. · Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. Image of person buying online. Dr. Jeffrey Brenner Healthcarehotspotting.com

@David_RogersFaculty Director, Digital Business StrategyColumbia Business School Exec Ed

www.davidrogers.biz

Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I.

Page 2: Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. · Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. Image of person buying online. Dr. Jeffrey Brenner Healthcarehotspotting.com
Page 3: Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. · Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. Image of person buying online. Dr. Jeffrey Brenner Healthcarehotspotting.com
Page 4: Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. · Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. Image of person buying online. Dr. Jeffrey Brenner Healthcarehotspotting.com

Image of person buying online

Page 5: Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. · Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. Image of person buying online. Dr. Jeffrey Brenner Healthcarehotspotting.com

Dr. Jeffrey Brenner

Healthcarehotspotting.com

Page 6: Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. · Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. Image of person buying online. Dr. Jeffrey Brenner Healthcarehotspotting.com
Page 7: Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. · Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. Image of person buying online. Dr. Jeffrey Brenner Healthcarehotspotting.com

Every business needs an explicit data strategy

Page 8: Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. · Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. Image of person buying online. Dr. Jeffrey Brenner Healthcarehotspotting.com

Key types of data for business strategy

Data Type Examples UtilityBusiness process data

• Inventory & supply chain• Sales• Billing• Human resources

Manage & optimize business operations, reduce risk, provide external reporting

Customer data • Purchases• Behaviors & interactions• Comments & reviews• Demographics• Survey responses

Provide a complete picture of the customer and allow for more relevant and valuable interactions

Product or service data

• Maps data (for a Google)• Business data (for

Bloomberg)• Weather data (for TWC)

Deliver the core value proposition of the business’s product or service

Page 9: Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. · Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. Image of person buying online. Dr. Jeffrey Brenner Healthcarehotspotting.com

Guiding principles

• Combine data across silos

• Gather diverse new data types

• Watch what customers do, not what they say

• Develop a 360-degree picture of your business

• Use data as a predictive layer in decision-making

• Apply data to new product innovation

Page 10: Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. · Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. Image of person buying online. Dr. Jeffrey Brenner Healthcarehotspotting.com

what about

data?

Page 11: Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. · Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. Image of person buying online. Dr. Jeffrey Brenner Healthcarehotspotting.com
Page 12: Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. · Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. Image of person buying online. Dr. Jeffrey Brenner Healthcarehotspotting.com

New sources of“unstructured” data

Page 13: Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. · Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. Image of person buying online. Dr. Jeffrey Brenner Healthcarehotspotting.com

Social data

Page 14: Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. · Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. Image of person buying online. Dr. Jeffrey Brenner Healthcarehotspotting.com

Mobile phones

Mobile data

Page 15: Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. · Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. Image of person buying online. Dr. Jeffrey Brenner Healthcarehotspotting.com

Jet engine / cow?

“Internet of Things” data

Page 16: Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. · Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. Image of person buying online. Dr. Jeffrey Brenner Healthcarehotspotting.com

New tools for unstructured data

Page 17: Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. · Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. Image of person buying online. Dr. Jeffrey Brenner Healthcarehotspotting.com

Einiac

Storage & processing power

Page 18: Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. · Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. Image of person buying online. Dr. Jeffrey Brenner Healthcarehotspotting.com

Cloud + Siri

Everything in the cloud

Page 19: Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. · Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. Image of person buying online. Dr. Jeffrey Brenner Healthcarehotspotting.com

New analytic tools

In-memory computing

Text mining

Distributed processing

Page 20: Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. · Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. Image of person buying online. Dr. Jeffrey Brenner Healthcarehotspotting.com

Cat video

What do you see?

Page 21: Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. · Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. Image of person buying online. Dr. Jeffrey Brenner Healthcarehotspotting.com

“A.I.” – what do you think of?

Page 22: Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. · Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. Image of person buying online. Dr. Jeffrey Brenner Healthcarehotspotting.com
Page 23: Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. · Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. Image of person buying online. Dr. Jeffrey Brenner Healthcarehotspotting.com
Page 24: Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. · Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. Image of person buying online. Dr. Jeffrey Brenner Healthcarehotspotting.com
Page 25: Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. · Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. Image of person buying online. Dr. Jeffrey Brenner Healthcarehotspotting.com
Page 26: Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. · Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. Image of person buying online. Dr. Jeffrey Brenner Healthcarehotspotting.com

“We should be very careful about artificial intelligence… [it may be] our biggest existential threat.”"With artificial intelligence, we are summoning the demon.“- Elon Musk

Page 27: Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. · Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. Image of person buying online. Dr. Jeffrey Brenner Healthcarehotspotting.com

1. What is A.I.?

2. What is changing in A.I.? (ML, DL, NLP…)

3. How does A.I. impact business?

4. What are the challenges & ethical questions A.I. is raising?

5. Who will thrive in an A.I. world?

Page 28: Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. · Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. Image of person buying online. Dr. Jeffrey Brenner Healthcarehotspotting.com

1. What is A.I.?

Page 29: Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. · Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. Image of person buying online. Dr. Jeffrey Brenner Healthcarehotspotting.com

Artificial intelligence:

A system or computer program that processes information and produces outcomes similar to human learning, decision-making, and problem solving.

Page 30: Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. · Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. Image of person buying online. Dr. Jeffrey Brenner Healthcarehotspotting.com

The “A.I. Effect”

Page 31: Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. · Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. Image of person buying online. Dr. Jeffrey Brenner Healthcarehotspotting.com

"Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable

from magic." -Arthur C. Clarke

Page 32: Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. · Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. Image of person buying online. Dr. Jeffrey Brenner Healthcarehotspotting.com

"Any sufficiently advanced software will be perceived as

A.I." -David L. Rogers

Page 33: Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. · Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. Image of person buying online. Dr. Jeffrey Brenner Healthcarehotspotting.com

Where would you put “A.I.”?

1. Computing

2. P2P computing

3. Blockchain

4. Cryptocurrency

5. Bitcoin

Abstract

Concrete

A.I. (scientists)

“A.I.” (business usage)

Page 34: Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. · Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. Image of person buying online. Dr. Jeffrey Brenner Healthcarehotspotting.com

2. What is changing in A.I.? (ML, DL, NLP…)

Page 35: Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. · Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. Image of person buying online. Dr. Jeffrey Brenner Healthcarehotspotting.com

AI origins… “AI winter”… AI boom

Page 36: Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. · Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. Image of person buying online. Dr. Jeffrey Brenner Healthcarehotspotting.com

Machine Learning: Coined by Arthur Samuel, c. 1959

A field of computer science that gives computer systems the ability to "learn" (i.e., progressively improve performance on a specific task) with data, without being explicitlyprogrammed.

Page 37: Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. · Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. Image of person buying online. Dr. Jeffrey Brenner Healthcarehotspotting.com
Page 38: Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. · Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. Image of person buying online. Dr. Jeffrey Brenner Healthcarehotspotting.com

What kind of patterns / what kind of data?

• Machine vision

• Voice recognition

• Natural language processing

Visual patterns, object recognition

Audio patterns

Semantic patterns

Page 39: Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. · Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. Image of person buying online. Dr. Jeffrey Brenner Healthcarehotspotting.com

3. How does A.I. impact business?

Page 40: Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. · Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. Image of person buying online. Dr. Jeffrey Brenner Healthcarehotspotting.com

Artificial General Intelligence (Fiction)

Page 41: Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. · Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. Image of person buying online. Dr. Jeffrey Brenner Healthcarehotspotting.com

Artificial Narrow Intelligence (Fact)

Page 42: Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. · Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. Image of person buying online. Dr. Jeffrey Brenner Healthcarehotspotting.com

What’s the use case?

“Machine learning drives our algorithms for demand forecasting, product search ranking, product and deals recommendations, merchandising placements, fraud detection, translations, and much more.

Though less visible, much of the impact of machine learning will be of this type -- quietly but meaningfully improving core operations.”

- Jeff Bezos, 2017 annual letter to shareholders

Page 43: Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. · Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. Image of person buying online. Dr. Jeffrey Brenner Healthcarehotspotting.com

Consumer cases: familiar

• Search results / autocomplete (Google, Bing, Baidu)

• Voice recognition(dictation apps, voice entry)

• Language translation (Google Translate)

• Predictive content (Spotify playlist, FB NewsFeed, Google cards)

Page 44: Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. · Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. Image of person buying online. Dr. Jeffrey Brenner Healthcarehotspotting.com

Business cases: familiar

• Advertising(Google & Facebook ad bidding, targeting, lookalikes)

• Fraud detection(credit cards)

• Sales & inventory forecasting

• Managing investing portfolios(robo-advisor, robo-index funds)

Page 45: Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. · Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. Image of person buying online. Dr. Jeffrey Brenner Healthcarehotspotting.com

Consumer cases: emerging

• Image sorting

• Visual search

• Text recognition

• Self-optimizing IoT

• Voice assistants

• Driverless cars?

Page 46: Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. · Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. Image of person buying online. Dr. Jeffrey Brenner Healthcarehotspotting.com

Business cases: emerging

• Marketing mix modeling

• Customer service (chatbots)

• Facial recognition

• Medical imaging diagnostics

• Loan default prediction

• Legal discovery

• Lawsuits

• Robotics

Page 47: Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. · Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. Image of person buying online. Dr. Jeffrey Brenner Healthcarehotspotting.com

Spot the pattern?

Page 48: Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. · Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. Image of person buying online. Dr. Jeffrey Brenner Healthcarehotspotting.com

4. What are the challenges & ethical questions A.I. is raising?

Page 49: Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. · Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. Image of person buying online. Dr. Jeffrey Brenner Healthcarehotspotting.com

Quality & quantity of data to train on

Page 50: Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. · Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. Image of person buying online. Dr. Jeffrey Brenner Healthcarehotspotting.com

Can you verify your results?

• x

Page 51: Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. · Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. Image of person buying online. Dr. Jeffrey Brenner Healthcarehotspotting.com

Fairness & bias in data and algorithms

Page 52: Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. · Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. Image of person buying online. Dr. Jeffrey Brenner Healthcarehotspotting.com

What choices are we willing to let non-human systems make?

Page 53: Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. · Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. Image of person buying online. Dr. Jeffrey Brenner Healthcarehotspotting.com

Algorithm aversion in moral domains -- Berkeley Dietvorst and Dan Bartels (U. Chicago)

Correlation = -.951 (p=.0035)

Flood

Restaurant

Coupons

Electricity

Flyer

Greeting

33.

54

4.5

Hum

an/A

lgor

ithm

Pre

fere

nce

2 2.5 3 3.5 4Moral Conviction Average

Human/Algorithm Preference Vs. Moral Conviction

Page 54: Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. · Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. Image of person buying online. Dr. Jeffrey Brenner Healthcarehotspotting.com

LOW moral implications =HIGH willingness to use algorithms

HIGH moral implications =LOW willingness to use algorithms

Page 55: Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. · Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. Image of person buying online. Dr. Jeffrey Brenner Healthcarehotspotting.com

Machine learning & the “black box” problem

Page 56: Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. · Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. Image of person buying online. Dr. Jeffrey Brenner Healthcarehotspotting.com

5. Who will thrive in an A.I. world?

Page 57: Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. · Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. Image of person buying online. Dr. Jeffrey Brenner Healthcarehotspotting.com

3 Things You Need for A.I.

• Data

• Algorithms

• Computing power

(open source)

(open via cloud)

Page 58: Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. · Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. Image of person buying online. Dr. Jeffrey Brenner Healthcarehotspotting.com

The future of work: AI + Human

Page 59: Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. · Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. Image of person buying online. Dr. Jeffrey Brenner Healthcarehotspotting.com

“Machines are for answers. Humans are for questions.”

- Kevin Kelly

Page 60: Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. · Big Data, Analytics, and the True Power of A.I. Image of person buying online. Dr. Jeffrey Brenner Healthcarehotspotting.com

Questions?