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BHP Billiton Petroleum and Growth
Philip AikenPresident and Chief Executive Officer, Petroleum
Analyst Briefing, South AfricaSeptember 2002
Petroleum Financial Year 2002
Revenue: US$2.9 billion
EBIT: US$1.1 billion
Total reserves: 1.4 billion boe
Average daily production: 366,000 boe/d
Total production: 134 MMboe
No. of staff & contractors: 1,600
Main centres: Melbourne, London, Houston, Perth
Petroleum Relative to the Industry Players
Excludes companies with significant state ownershipBHPB shown with FY01 productionOther companies are CY01 data except CY00 where not availableSource: Evaluate Energy
MMboe/annum
Annual Production
0 500 1000 1500 2000
30. Suncor29. Woodside
28. EOG27. Petro-Canada
26. Wintershall25. Husky
24. Enterprise Oil23. Nexen
22. Kerr-McGee21. BG
20. Apache19. BHP Billiton
18. Canadian Nat. Res.17. Devon
16. Burlington15. Talisman Energy
14. Marathon13. Amerada Hess
12. Occidental11. Unocal
10. Anadarko9. Encana
8. Repsol-Ypf7. ENI
6. ConocoPhillips5. TotalFina Elf
4. ChevronTexaco3. BP
2. Shell1. ExxonMobil
MMboe
Proven Reserves
0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000
30. Ocean29. EOG
28. Husky27. Petro-Canada
26. Nexen25. Woodside
24. Wintershall23. Santos
22. Enterprise21. Marathon
20. Canadian Nat.Res.19. Apache
18. BHP Billiton17. Amerada Hess
16. BG15. Talisman
14. Kerr-McGee13. Devon12. Unocal
11. Burlington10. Occidental
9. Anadarko8. Repsol-Ypf
7. ENI6. ConocoPhillips
5. TotalFina Elf4. ChevronTexaco
3. BP2. Shell
1. ExxonMobil
19th in terms of production
19th in terms of production 18th in terms of
reserves18th in terms of
reserves
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
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Oil&GasDiversifiedGasElectricityElec&GasOil Service
BHP Billiton- is a small-medium player in a huge energy industry
Market Capitalization of the Top 50 Energy Companies (PFC Energy 50)April 2002 (US$ Billion)
8th in terms of Market Cap
8th in terms of Market Cap
Source: The Petroleum Finance Company
01.01.01Page 5
The Energy Industry-maturing but global demand looks robust, particularly for gas
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
1990 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
0
10
20
30
40
50
1990 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
Market Share %Crude OilCrude Oil
Natural GasNatural Gas
Solid FuelsSolid Fuels
NuclearNuclear
HydroHydro
Crude Oil maintaining market share
Crude Oil maintaining market share
Natural Gas growing market share
Natural Gas growing market share
Source: PEL, June 2001
Demand mmbbls/d
Future Production Requirements
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
mm
bopd
Non -OPEC Existing Non -OPEC New OPEC Existing OPEC New
Slow (~1%pa) growth in non-OPEC
production since 1986
Increasing call on OPEC crude
OPEC marketShare 2001
~ 38%
OPEC marketShare 2001
~ 38%
OPEC marketShare 2020
~ 50%
OPEC marketShare 2020
~ 50%
Long-Term Production View -increasing liquids demand to be met largely through OPEC production
4%pa 1970-85
CERA estimate of future non-OPEC growth
Oil Price-Key Determinant of ProfitabilityThere has been a positive and widening spread between oil price and marginal cost since 1995
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
1988 1991 1994 1997 2000Year
US $
/bbl
(Rea
l 200
0)
WTI ($ US real 2000) Marginal cost
Positive spread between price and
marginal cost
Positive spread between price and
marginal costPrices seemingly driven by cost of marginal supply
Prices seemingly driven by cost of marginal supply
“Marginal Cost” is the oil price required for the 3/4th quartile producer to meet his cost of capital (Source: Goldman Sachs)
1998 Oil price anomaly
1998 Oil price anomaly
Peer Group BenchmarkingBHP Billiton's Peer Group Ranking – change in industry position over 4 yearsPerformance based upon 3 year averages to 1996/7 and 2000/2001
Top Quartile Performance
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
Find
ing
& De
velo
pmen
t Co
sts
Rese
rves
Re
plac
emen
t
Prod
uctio
nG
rowt
h
Prof
it M
argi
n
Retu
rn o
nCa
pita
l
1996/97
2000/01
76
408
410
179
Other *
NWS (Australia)
Bass Strait (Australia)
LBD (UK)
US$1073 million
Petroleum EBIT FY 2002 US$million
* Includes exploration expenditure and overhead
Petroleum Production FY 02 – 134 MMboe
• Bass Strait - Australia
• North West Shelf - Australia
• Laminaria/Corallina - Australia
• Griffin - Australia
• Liverpool Bay - United Kingdom
• Bruce/Keith - United Kingdom
• Gulf of Mexico - United States
• Mamore - Bolivia
• Zamzama - Pakistan
Petroleum Complementary Growth Strategies
GlobalPortfolio
High Margin Oil Exploration& Production
Low Risk Resources(Discovered)
Gas
Cash Generation
• High-margin v subsurface /technological risk
• Price upside
• Positioning in resource-rich countries
• Low risk resources vspolitical risk
• Maximize returns
• Limited growth or capability contribution
• High-growth
• Environmental /greenhouse driver
• Gulf of Mexico
• Trinidad
• Australia, Brunei, Africa
• Other opportunities – access, position long term– deepwater and others
High Margin Exploration
Green Canyon Area
Gulf of Mexico Exploration - Program Result FY94 - FY02
24Exploration
• 21% commercial success to date
• 33% if opportunities under evaluation are included
Drilling Leverage
30% of wells promoted
(6 of last 9 exploration wells drilled)
DiscoveriesTyphoonAtlantis
Mad DogPlutoBoris
NeptuneBass LiteCascade
36 Wells
Projects• 1 sanctioned
in FY00• 2 sanctioned
in FY02• 1 sold
12Appraisal
Gulf of Mexico Exploration Current Inventory
Walker Walker RidgeRidge
Mississippi CanyonMississippi Canyon
Green CanyonGreen CanyonGas Field
Oil Field
BHPB Acreage
Apparent High Bid LeasesCGOM Sale 182 - 2002
TYPHOON NEARFIELD
Kestral Deep
Vortex
Tembo
Bass DeepHeadroom
Kansas
Sumatra
Komodo
Shenzi
Puma
Double Mountain
Atwater ValleyAtwater Valley
Mad Dog SPAR Facility• Reserve Range (gross)
– 200 - 450 (operator estimate 350)MMboe
• BHPB share 23.9%• Gross capex US$ 1.4 billion• Investor in transportation• Wells
– 16 well slots,13 producers
• Capacity– ~80 mbbl/d, 40 MMcf/d– ~50 mbbl/d produced water
• Drill Rig– ~5250 ton rig payload
• Accommodation– 130 (drilling & operations)
• Subsea System– 3 - 4 wells
Atlantis Development
87
65
910
1112
1314
15 16
DC 16,683' WD
34
21
DC 24,409' WD
Export Pipelines
Host Facility - Semi FPS • One of Gulf of Mexico’s largest fields
• Water depths in excess of 6,000 feet
• Gross capacity 150,000 bbl/d
• Gross reserves 575 MMboe
• BHPB share 44%
• FEED studies underway
• Gross capex >US$2 billion
Trinidad
PACIFICOCEAN ATLANTIC
OCEAN
BRAZIL
BENI BASIN
Bolivia
• Previous gas discoveries - Aripo and Angostura• Recent drilling success - Canteen, Kairi• Oil development sanction 2003• Exploration acreage extended• Core exploration potential
Trinidad – Basis of Development
Block 3(a)Block 2(c)Block 2(ab)
0 Kms 25
1999 Angostura-1 Gas discovery tested at30 MMcf/d
1999 Angostura-1 Gas discovery tested at30 MMcf/d
2001 Canteen-1 Oil and Gas discovery.
179’ net gas pay, 200’ net oil pay
2001 Canteen-1 Oil and Gas discovery.
179’ net gas pay, 200’ net oil pay
2000 Aripo-1 Gas discovery tested at21.6 MMcf/d
2000 Aripo-1 Gas discovery tested at21.6 MMcf/d
2000 Kairi-1 & 2002 Kairi-2Oil and Gas discovery, 435’ net gas pay, 235’ net oil pay
2000 Kairi-1 & 2002 Kairi-2Oil and Gas discovery, 435’ net gas pay, 235’ net oil pay
• North West Shelf Train 4 (gross capex A$2.4 billion)
• Pakistan
• Bass Strait– Eastern States
Australia/Minerva(gross capex US$137 million)
• Other LNG– China supply deal– Korea potential– Taiwan potential
Gas Commercialisation
Page 5
• Good prospectivity and growing domestic gas demand
• Brownfield development based on existing production asset
• Further gas sales agreements completed
• Full field development of 300 MMcf/d gross with first gas in 2003
• BHPB share 38.5% and Operator
• Gross capex ~ US$100 million
Zamzama - Pakistan
Algeria
– ROD and Ohanet
Other Middle East
– evaluation of opportunities
Low Risk Discovered Resources
Algeria
• BHP Billiton entry 1989
• Successful exploration
• ROD oil development sanctioned June 2000
• Excellent relationship with SONATRACH
• Successful bid for Ohanetwet gas field development
• Algeria’s first Risk Service Contract
• Total investment US$1.5 billion
BHP ExplorationBlocks 401a/402a
BoukhechbaPermit Ohanet Region
(Gas)
Arzew
Algiers
0 200 km0 200 km
LicenceOil FieldGas FieldOil PipelineGas Pipeline
ALGERIA
MOROCCO
TUNISIA
SPAIN Skikda
•Wet gas development•700 MMcf/d processing facility•First gas target: FY 2004•Capital Expenditure: US$1,030M•JV partners:
– BHP Billiton (45%)– JOOG– Petrofac– Woodside*
*subject to government approval
•Central process facility at BRN•Production 80,000 bbl/d•First oil: 2004•Capital Expenditure: US$500M•Partners:
– BHP Billiton 35% (45% in 401/402)
– AGIP/ENI– SONATRACH
ROD oil field Ohanet
Algerian Projects
Page 9
Petroleum Production Forecast
…excluding exploration success
Liquids
Gas
0
50
100
150
200
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
MM
boe
Actual Forecast
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Ohanet
Zamzama FFD
Minerva
NWS4 Train
BreamP/L
Rod
Mad Dog
Atlantis
Trinidad
The existing focused asset portfolio
Gulf of Mexico
Bolivia
Trinidad
GabonAngolaS.A.
Algeria
Pakistan
North West Shelf/AOAT
Bass Strait/East Australia
Liverpool Bay,Bruce/Keith
Brazil
Brunei
Summary: Business Focus
• Maximize existing value (now)
• Deliver projects in progress (1-3 years)
• Sanction and develop (3-4years)
• Create new opportunities (4+ years)
Summary
• BHP Billiton is a significant global resources company
• BHP Billiton Petroleum is a well established oil and gas business with:
– strong producing assets; and
– substantial growth opportunities
• BHP Billiton Petroleum is a significant contributor to BHP Billiton