bez tytułu slajdu · 8 ‐central power plant investment: over 11gw of total value? 1. general...
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Updates on smart meter preparation in Poland
Tomasz Kowalak, PhDDirector of the Tariff Department
Smart Metering Central and Eastern Europe 2011, Warsaw, May 17 - 18, 2011
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1. Review of progresses of the last 12 months and outlining key challenges and developments
Agenda
2. Defining the business initiatives for metering
3. Identifying key challenges for meter deployment
4. Review of key pilot projects, analysis of customer responses, business process improvements and demand control outcomes
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1. Review of progresses of the last 12 month and outlining key challenges and developments
2. Regulatory initiatives 2. Regulatory initiatives
‐ Demand curve dynamics
‐ Central power plant investments
‐ RES connection dynamics
‐ Network investment dynamics
3. Government initiatives 3. Government initiatives
1. General situation:1. General situation:
‐ Declaration
‐ Education
‐ Co‐operation
‐ Legal initiatives of Ministry of Economy
‐ Supporting structures
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‐ Demand curve dynamics:
1. General situation:1. General situation:
1. Review of progresses of the last 12 monthsand outlining key challenges and developments
15 000
17 000
19 000
21 000
23 000
25 000
27 000
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
[GW]
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‐ Central power plant investment: over 11 GW of total value
1. General situation:1. General situation:
Investment Project Type of investment City, voivodeshipPlanned year of generation start
Gorzów (PGE) new peak block 126 MW, gas Gorzów, Lubuskie 2013
CHP Siekierki (Vattenfall) new CHP block 480 MW, hard coal Warszawa, Mazowieckie 2014
Kozienice II (ENEA) new power plant, up to 1000 MW, hard coal Kozienice, Mazowieckie 2014
Opole (PGE) block no. 5 and 6 - up to 1600 MW, hard coal Opole, Opolskie 2014-2015
Jaworzno III (Tauron) new block, 900 MW, hard coal Jaworzno, Śląskie 2015
Ostrołęka (Energa) new block, 1000 MW, hard coal Ostrołęka, Mazowieckie 2015
RWE + Kompania Węglowa new power plant, 800 MW, hard coal Tychy, Śląskie 2015
Rybnik (EdF) block 900-100 MW, hard coal Rybnik, Śląskie 2015
Stalowa Wola new block, 400 MW, gas Stalowa Wola, Podkarpackie 2015
Blachownia (Tauron) new block, 900 MW, hard coal Kędzierzyn, Opolskie 2015
Lublin (PGE) new power plant, 2 x 800 MW, hard coal Lublin, Lubelskie 2015-2016
Turów (PGE) block no. 11, lignite Bogatynia, Dolnośląskie 2016
ZA Puławy + Vattenfall new power plant, up to 1400 MW, hard coal Lublin, Lubelskie 2016-2017
1. Review of progresses of the last 12 monthsand outlining key challenges and developments
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‐ Central power plant investment: over 11 GW of total value
1. General situation:1. General situation:
1. Review of progresses of the last 12 monthsand outlining key challenges and developments
2016-2017 do Lublin, Lubelskie new power plant, up to 1400 MW, hard coal ZA Puławy + Vattenfall
2016Bogatynia, Dolnośląskie block no. 11, lignite Turów (PGE)
2015-2016 Lublin, Lubelskie new power plant, 2 x 800 MW, hard coal Lublin (PGE)
2015Kędzierzyn, Opolskie new block, 900 MW, hard coal Blachownia (Tauron)
2015Stalowa Wola, Podkarpackie new block, 400 MW, gas Stalowa Wola
2015Rybnik, Śląskie block 900-100 MW, hard coal Rybnik (EdF)
2015Tychy, Śląskie new power plant, 800 MW, hard coal RWE + Kompania Węglowa
2015Ostrołęka, Mazowieckie new block, 1000 MW, hard coal Ostrołęka (Energa)
2015 do 2016Jaworzno, Śląskie new block, 900 MW, hard coal Jaworzno III (Tauron)
2014-2015 do 2016-2017Opole, Opolskie block no. 5 and 6 - up to 1600 MW, hard coal Opole (PGE)
2014 do 2016Kozienice, Mazowieckie new power plant, up to 1000 MW, hard coal Kozienice II (ENEA)
2014Warszawa, Mazowieckie new CHP block 480 MW, hard coal CHP Siekierki (Vattenfall)
2013 do 2015Gorzów, Lubuskie new peak block 126 MW, gas 244 MWGorzów (PGE)
Planned year of
generation startCity, voivodeshipType of investmentInvestment Project
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‐ Central power plant investment:
over 11 GW of total value ?1. General situation:1. General situation:
1. Review of progresses of the last 12 monthsand outlining key challenges and developments
Real questions:
CEZ, RWE and Vattenfall – stopped investments
Enea, TAURON – delay related to the changing of shareholders structure
PGE – possible gap between declarations and realisation
Conclusion: app. 50% of planned investment may be a „paper investment” only*
*) http://energetyka/wnp.pl
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‐ Current state of RES connections to TSO1. General situation:1. General situation:
0,49,5
66
0102030405060708090
100
connectedwind power
plants
grantedconnectionstatements
applications forconnectionstatements
[GW]
1. Review of progresses of the last 12 monthsand outlining key challenges and developments
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‐ Dynamics of RES & CHP connections to DSOs1. General situation:1. General situation:
0
500
1 000
1 500
2 000
2 500
3 000
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
[MW]
1. Review of progresses of the last 12 months and outlining key challenges and developments
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‐ Network investment dynamics1. General situation:1. General situation:
Total DSO's investment expenditures
0
1 000
2 000
3 000
4 000
5 000
2007 2008 2009 2010
[MPLN]
1. Review of progresses of the last 12 monthsand outlining key challenges and developments
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2. Regulatory initiatives 2. Regulatory initiatives ‐ Declaration Requirements
‐ Education
‐ Co‐operation
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1. Review of progresses of the last 12 monthsand outlining key challenges and developments
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2. Regulatory initiatives 2. Regulatory initiatives
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Regulatory Positionconcerning the requirements of Smart Metering Smart Grid Ready into the Polish power system,
part 1, related to DSO investment – under public discussion, ended on May 13
The next parts, related to: ‐metering data market structure and Metering Data Independent Operator, ‐ HAN and prosumers, ‐ regulatory incentives and ‐ legal rules
– TBD up to the end of the year
1. Review of progresses of the last 12 monthsand outlining key challenges and developments
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2. Regulatory initiatives 2. Regulatory initiatives
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Education concerning:
‐ the ERO website,
‐ press releases and press conferences
‐ content‐related conferences
‐ ERO personnel activity on many other conferences and workshops
1. Review of progresses of the last 12 monthsand outlining key challenges and developments
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2. Regulatory initiatives 2. Regulatory initiatives
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Co‐operation related to :
‐ Transmission System Operator,
‐ Distribution System Operators
‐ Branch Chambers of Commerce
‐ Universities of Technology
‐ 19.11.2010 - ERO President signs Declaration of Creating the National Technological Platform on Energy
1. Review of progresses of the last 12 monthsand outlining key challenges and developments
.
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3. Government initiatives 3. Government initiatives
‐ Legal initiatives of MoE:
Energy Efficiency Act, signed by President of Poland andpublished on 10 May 2011
‐ Supporting organisations:
Advisory Team for Smart Grid Implementation
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1. Review of progresses of the last 12 monthsand outlining key challenges and developments
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1. PSE – Operator (Transmission System Operator)
2. Defining the business initiatives for metering
2. ENERGA – Operator (one of Distribution System Operators)
3. KIGEIT (Polish Chamber of Commerce for Electronics and Telecommunications)
4. PIIT (Polish Chamber of Technology of Information Technology and Telecommunication)
5. IGG (Chamber of the Natural Gas Industry)
6. Consortium Smart Power Grids Polska
7. Cluster 3x20
8. ….
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Ad 1. PSE Operator – Smart Grid Area
2. Defining the business initiatives for metering
• Smart Transmission Network
• Dynamic Line Rating Monitoring System
• Demand Side Response Programs
• Distributed Energy Resources Management
• Smart City/Smart Region Cooperation
• Smart Metering Data Management
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2. Defining the business initiatives for metering
Ad 2. ENERGA ‐ OperatorWybrane lokalizacje dla Etapu I wdro enia AMI w EOP
Weryfikacja Baza dla projektu Smart Grid
Charakter zabudowy Zabudowa mieszana
Orientacyjna liczba liczników ok. 28.500
Wybrana lokalizacja: Hel, Władysławowo
Weryfikacja Baza dla projektu Smart Grid
Charakter zabudowy Zabudowa mieszana
Orientacyjna liczba liczników ok. 28.500
Wybrana lokalizacja: Hel, Władysławowo
Weryfikacja Efektywność komunikacji WiMax
Charakter zabudowy miejska, duże zagęszczenie
Orientacyjna liczba liczników ok. 50.000
Mo liwe lokalizacje: Kalisz
Weryfikacja Efektywność komunikacji WiMax
Charakter zabudowy miejska, duże zagęszczenie
Orientacyjna liczba liczników ok. 50.000
Mo liwe lokalizacje: Kalisz
WeryfikacjaDziałanie technologii PLC na nN i SN, kwestii logistyki wymiany liczników
Charakter zabudowy wiejska
Orientacyjna liczba liczników ok. 27.500
Mo liwe lokalizacje: Drawsko Pomorskie
WeryfikacjaDziałanie technologii PLC na nN i SN, kwestii logistyki wymiany liczników
Charakter zabudowy wiejska
Orientacyjna liczba liczników ok. 27.500
Mo liwe lokalizacje: Drawsko Pomorskie
Baza dla projektu Smart Grid
Zabudowa miejska
Zabudowa wiejska
Hel
Kalisz
Drawsko Pomorskie
Wybór trzech ró nych lokalizacji umo liwi weryfikacj ró nych technologii komunikacyjnych rekomendowanych do realizacji AMI
Source: ENERGA – Operator SA, Stan wdrożenia i perspektywy rozwoju sieci inteligentnej, Sejm RP, Warszawa, 16 marca 2011
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2. Defining the business initiatives for metering
Ad 3. KIGEIT (Polish Chamber of Commerce for Electronics and Telecommunications):
fully involved into the activity of distributed generation oriented industry,
supported the mentioned above Regulatory Position concerning the requirements of Smart Metering Smart Grid Ready
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2. Defining the business initiatives for metering
Ad 5. IGG (Chamber of the Natural Gas Industry):
Position of gas sector is: „to wait and observe” and
„to be separate, away from power sector”
Real danger of parallel, redundant investment (unefficiency)
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2. Defining the business initiatives for metering
Ad 7. Kluster 3x20
focused on the independent prosumers,
local efficiency improvement only
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1. Imbalance of the cost and benefits – the need of the regulatory tools activation
2. Limitation of new meter’s functionality – the lost of potential benefits
3. Identifying key challenges for meters deployment
3. Proper structure of data market – status of independent data operator
4. Current lack of common communication standard – danger for interoperability
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1. ENERGA – Operator: pilot project
2. Pilot „anti‐projects” prepared by some other DSOs
3. Presence of mental (grey business related ?) barriers inside energy sector and a part of sector supporting establishement
4. Review of key pilot projects, analysis of customer responses, business process improvements and demand control outcomes
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1. Publication of Regulatory Position, mentioned above
Future activities of ERO
2. Preparing of the next parts of Regulatory Position, first of all related to:
‐ Incentive tools
‐ HAN
‐ Data Market (Independent Data Operator position)
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1. Targets and priorities definition ‐ solved
Crucial problems to solve - one year later
2. Defining of proper tools to achieve targets – solved, under description
3. Functionality of overall system and its certain elements – partially solved
4. Defining of common communication protocols: no solution already„competition” between: ‐ SGOP,
‐ IDIS,‐ EBIX,‐ DLMS,
(all of this under Mandate M441 umbrella !)
5. Education of entity employees and customers – TBD, the biggest challenge
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Conclusions:
There is less and less time !