beyond budgeting - an agile management model for new business and people realities
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Beyond Budgeting - an agile management model for new business and people realities Ambition to Action - the Statoil journey
Bjarte Bogsnes Vice President - Performance Management Development Chairman - Beyond Budgeting Roundtable Europe
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Outline
• The case for change - what is the problem?
• The Beyond Budgeting principles
• The Statoil model - Ambition to action
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Statoil in brief • Turnover approx. 130 bn. USD • 23000 employees
in 33 countries • World’s largest operator in
waters deeper than 100 metres • Second largest gas exporter to
Europe • World leader of crude oil sales • Listed in New York and Oslo
Current production of oil and gas
US Gulf of Mexico
South America
West Africa
North Africa
Caspian
Middle East
Russia
Arctic
North Sea & Norwegian Sea
Canada
East Africa
Aus/Indo.
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Fortune 500 ranking (2011)
Social responsibility Innovation
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Some of the budget problems
Often a bad yardstick for evaluating performance
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Irritating itches - or symptoms of a bigger problem?
Assumptions quickly outdated
Often weak link to strategy
Very time consuming
Decisions made too early and often too high up
Can prevent value adding activities
“Accordion” forecasting horizon
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Managing traffic performance - one alternative
Based on which information?
Who is in control?
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Based on which information?
Who is in control?
Managing traffic performance - another alternative
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Which is most difficult?
In which are values most important?
Which is most efficient?
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what about the way we lead and manage? S
tabl
e D
ynam
ic
People
Business environment
Traditional management
”Theory X” ”Theory Y”
The world has changed -
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Sta
ble
Dyn
amic
”Theory X” ”Theory Y” Leadership
Processes
No traditional budgeting Relative and directional goals Dynamic planning, forecasting and resource allocation Holistic performance evaluation
We must change both processes and leadership
Values based Autonomy Transparency Internal motivation
Rigid, detailed and annual Rules-based micromanagement Centralised command and control Secrecy, sticks and carrots
Beyond Budgeting
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Companies on a similar journey
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The Beyond Budgeting principles
Change in leadership Change in processes
1. Values - Govern through a few clear values, goals and boundaries, not detailed rules and budgets
7. Goals - Set relative goals for continuous improvement, don’t negotiate fixed performance contracts
2. Performance - Create a high performance climate based on relative success, not on meeting fixed targets
8. Rewards - Reward shared success based on relative performance, not on meeting fixed targets
3. Transparency - Promote open information for self management, don’t restrict it hierarchically
9. Planning - Make planning a continuous and inclusive process, not a top-down annual event
4. Organization - Organize as a network of lean, accountable teams, not around centralized functions
10. Coordination - Coordinate interactions dynamically, not through annual planning cycles
5. Autonomy - Give teams the freedom and capability to act; don’t micro-manage them
11. Resources - Make resources available as needed, not through annual budget allocations
6. Customers - Focus everyone on improving customer outcomes, not on hierarchical relationships
12. Controls - Base controls on relative indicators and trends, not on variances against plan
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Improve
“Same number – conflicting purposes” ”Different numbers”
• Unbiased - expected outcome • Limited detail
• Inspiring & motivating • Relative where possible • Holistic performance evaluation
• Dynamic - no annual allocation • KPI targets, mandates, decision
gates & decision criteria • Trend monitoring
Start of the Statoil journey - solving a serious budget conflict
Budget =
• Target
• Forecast
• Resource allocation
Step 1 Step 2
Target What we want to happen
Forecast What we think will happen
Resource allocation
The budget purposes Separate
“Event driven - not calendar driven”
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Financial performance - as we define it
Total Shareholder Return 2012 Return on Capital (RoACE) 2012
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Budget
OK
Not OK
OK? OK? OK? OK? OK?
The mindset required…..
Is this really necessary?
Do I have a budget for this?
What is good enough?
How much value is this creating?
Is this within my execution framework?
– cost conscious from the first penny
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…..and the tools available
Traditional cost budget
Ambition level / burn rate
Relative KPIs
Unit cost input/output
Unit cost vs peers
EBIT
RoACE
(abs/rel)
Strategic objectives or actions only
Absolute KPIs If no KPIs found
Xx Xx Xx Xx
Xx Xx Xx
Xx
1003,4
~1000
”USD/bbl”
”USD/customer”
”USD/employee”
”1. quartile”
”Better than average”
Increasing autonomy
and flexibility
Bottom line focus only
” A simplified and cost conscious way of
working”
“More video - less travel ”
Select based on what works best in your business
Monitoring of actual development, intervention if needed only
Increasing need for
strong values and clear direction
Detailed and annual
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Ambition to Action - purpose and process • Translating strategy - from ambitions to actions
• Securing flexibility - room to act and perform
• Activating values and leadership principles
Strategic objectives KPIs
Actions & forecasts
Individual or team goals
Where are we going – what does success look like? • Most important strategic
change areas • Medium term horizon
How do we measure progress?
• Indicative measure of strategic delivery
• 5-10 KPIs, shorter/ longer term targets
What is my or our contribution?
My Performance Goals • Delivery • Behaviour
How do we get there?
• Concrete actions and expected outcome (forecast)
• Clear deadlines and accountabilities
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Ambition to Action example
Where are we going?
”Strategic objectives” How do we
measure progress?
”Key Performance
Indicators”
How do we get there?
”Actions”
Finance
Market
Operations
HSE
People & Organisation
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More than 1400 ”Ambition to Action’s” across the company
…..and more
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A broader performance language - from narrow measurement to a holistic assessment
B e h a v i o u r
D e l i v e r y
Living the values • Day-to day-observations
• 360°/ 180°/ 90° surveys
• People survey
50/50 Pressure testing KPI results: • Deliver towards the strategic objectives?
• How ambitious KPI targets?
• Changed assumptions, with positive or negative effect?
• Agreed actions implemented, or corrective actions initiated as needed?
• Delivered results sustainable?
Ambition to Action
• Development plan
• Rewards
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Towards a simpler, more dynamic and self-regulating Ambition to Action process
More cost conscious - less «cost cutting»
More event driven - less calendar driven
More translation - less cascading
More relative - less absolute KPIs
More transparency - less secrecy
Simple is not the same as easy!
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Questions or comments - now or later? Bjarte Bogsnes [email protected]
+ 47 916 13 843
Twitter @bbogsnes
Beyond Budgeting Round Table www.bbrt.org
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1. The problems with traditional management
2. The Beyond Budgeting model
3. The Borealis case
4. The Statoil case
5. Implementation advice
Out on Wiley (US) Available from e.g. Amazon.co.uk (Now available in Russian and Japanese)
Want to hear more?
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Back-up
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R
ecip
e
Id
ea
Elements only The whole Coverage
Granularity
Beyond Budgeting - why it’s different, difficult and powerful
Beyond Budgeting
Many leadership theories
Complexity theory
Lean, Agile, Holocracy
Balanced Scorecard
Budgeting
TQM, ABC etc…
Management agenda
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The CEO on Ambition to Action
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”Manager”
”Team member” without own Ambition
to action
”Other employees”
Translated goals
Translated goals
Indirectly Directly
Delivery goals are based on Ambition to action - directly or indirectly
Ambition to action
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Why a holistic performance evaluation?
Fixed targets struggle in a
dynamic world
Always wiser in hindsight, always more information
Create comfort around ambitious
targets
KPIs are indicators, does not always tell the full story
” Not everything that counts can be counted,
and not everything that can be counted counts (Albert Einstein)
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Implementation advice
• Create problem understanding before talking solutions
• What’s the real risk – upside vs downside
• Design to 80% and jump
• A ”pull-based” approach
• ”One war but a thousand battles”
• Involve HR
• Don’t become a fundamentalist
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