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Belle II physics prospects 15 th Conference on Flavor Physics and CP violation 9 June 2017, Prague Elisa Guido INFN Torino (on behalf of the BELLE II Collaboration) Belle

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Page 1: Belle II physics prospects · The B-factories legacy • The 1st generation of B-factories (BABAR+Belle) collected, in about a decade, more than 1.5 ab-1 of data, leaving a solid

Belle II physics prospects

15th Conference on Flavor Physics and CP violation9 June 2017, Prague

Elisa GuidoINFN Torino

(on behalf of the BELLE II Collaboration) Belle

Page 2: Belle II physics prospects · The B-factories legacy • The 1st generation of B-factories (BABAR+Belle) collected, in about a decade, more than 1.5 ab-1 of data, leaving a solid

The B-factories legacy• The 1st generation of B-factories

(BABAR+Belle) collected, in about a decade, more than 1.5 ab-1 of data, leaving a solid heritage to the future experiments:

• discovery of CP violation, and confirmation of the CKM description of flavor physics

• discovery of several new particles• precision tests of the SM → some

interesting tensions

E. Guido FPCP2017, 9 June 2017, PragueBelle

• Belle II at the SuperKEKB factory will collect 50 ab-1 by 2024• Its purpose is:

• to search for NP through precision study of rare and suppressed processes, confirming current anomalies and understanding their correlations

• to further reveal the nature of QCD in describing matter

2

Page 3: Belle II physics prospects · The B-factories legacy • The 1st generation of B-factories (BABAR+Belle) collected, in about a decade, more than 1.5 ab-1 of data, leaving a solid

The intensity frontier

• Belle II will be an intensity frontier experiment• Complementary to the energy frontier (LHC, direct searches)

• if NP was detected at LHC, Belle II could provide determination of the flavor structure and weak phases of NP

• if not, indirect searches could be the right path• Advantages:

• a full solid angle detector, within a clean environment, and with a constrained kinematics

• missing-energy decays can be studied (B→𝜏ν,B→D(*)𝜏ν)• inclusive measurements can be performed (b→sɣ, b→sℓℓ)• efficient reconstruction of neutrals (π0, η, η’, KL

0)

E. Guido FPCP2017, 9 June 2017, PragueBelle 3

Page 4: Belle II physics prospects · The B-factories legacy • The 1st generation of B-factories (BABAR+Belle) collected, in about a decade, more than 1.5 ab-1 of data, leaving a solid

Highlights of the physics program• The expected available physics program is wide:

• B physics [~1.1 x 109 BB pairs / ab-1]: neutral B mixing, penguin B decays, semileptonic B decays

• charm physics [~1.3 x 109 cc pairs / ab-1]: mixing, CPV in charm, rare decays• 𝜏-physics [~0.9 x 109 𝜏+𝜏- pairs / ab-1]: LFV beyond SM• Initial State Radiation: e+e-→light hadrons cross section• bottomonium spectroscopy and search for exotic states• direct searches of NP at the MeV-GeV scale (dark sector)

• A (not exhaustive) selection of topics will be presented in this talk• Many details are available in the B2TiP report: detector, simulation, software, analysis

tools, physics program (https://confluence.desy.de/display/BI/B2TiP+ReportStatus), to be published in 2017

E. Guido FPCP2017, 9 June 2017, PragueBelle 4

_

_

Page 5: Belle II physics prospects · The B-factories legacy • The 1st generation of B-factories (BABAR+Belle) collected, in about a decade, more than 1.5 ab-1 of data, leaving a solid

Semileptonic B decays• Used at Belle+BABAR to precisely determine the CKM parameters |Vub| and |Vcb|• At the end of the B-factories era, tension between inclusive and exclusive measurements

E. Guido FPCP2017, 9 June 2017, PragueBelle 5

• Determine new techniques to understand this tension, exploiting a larger dataset

• Improvement of theoretical predictions is crucial

• LHCb can also contribute (|Vub| from barionic decays, Nature Phys.11 (2015) 743)

• Belle II will have access to more processes

]-3| [10cb|V34 36 38 40 42 44

]-3

| [10

ub|V

2.5

3

3.5

4

4.5

5 ν D* l →B ν D l →B ν l π →B ν µ p → bΛ

Average 68% C.L.=12χ∆Average

) = 7.4%2χP(

Inclusive|: GGOUub |V|: global fit in KScb |V

HFAGSummer 2016

HFAGSummer 2016

Page 6: Belle II physics prospects · The B-factories legacy • The 1st generation of B-factories (BABAR+Belle) collected, in about a decade, more than 1.5 ab-1 of data, leaving a solid

B→𝜏ν and B→D(*)𝜏ν• (Semi)leptonic modes with a 𝜏 lepton are also very sensitive to NP, in the form of a charged

Higgs contribution

E. Guido FPCP2017, 9 June 2017, PragueBelle 6

Page 7: Belle II physics prospects · The B-factories legacy • The 1st generation of B-factories (BABAR+Belle) collected, in about a decade, more than 1.5 ab-1 of data, leaving a solid

B→𝜏ν and B→D(*)𝜏ν• (Semi)leptonic modes with a 𝜏 lepton are also very sensitive to NP, in the form of a charged

Higgs contribution

E. Guido FPCP2017, 9 June 2017, PragueBelle 6

R(D)0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6

R(D

*)

0.2

0.25

0.3

0.35

0.4

0.45

0.5BaBar, PRL109,101802(2012)Belle, PRD92,072014(2015)LHCb, PRL115,111803(2015)Belle, PRD94,072007(2016)Belle, arXiv:1612.00529Average

SM Predictions

= 1.0 contours2χ∆

R(D)=0.300(8) HPQCD (2015)R(D)=0.299(11) FNAL/MILC (2015)R(D*)=0.252(3) S. Fajfer et al. (2012)

HFAG

Moriond 2017

) = 67.4%2χP(

HFAGMoriond EW 2017

~2-3% precision with 50 ab-1 → 14σ deviation

• 4σ deviation from the SM observed in B→D(*)𝜏ν• Very clean theoretical predictions:

• With 50 ab-1 the experimental sensitivity will be comparable to the current theoretical precision

• interest in D* and 𝜏 polarizations:• 𝜏 polarization already measured by

Belle [arXiv:1612.00529, accepted by PRL]

R(D) = 0.300± 0.008, 0.299± 0.011

R(D⇤) = 0.252± 0.003

[HPQCD 2015, FNAL/MILC 2015]

[S. Fajfer et al. 2012]

P (⌧) = �0.38± 0.51+0.21�0.16

Page 8: Belle II physics prospects · The B-factories legacy • The 1st generation of B-factories (BABAR+Belle) collected, in about a decade, more than 1.5 ab-1 of data, leaving a solid

B→𝜏ν and B→D(*)𝜏ν• (Semi)leptonic modes with a 𝜏 lepton are also very sensitive to NP, in the form of a charged

Higgs contribution

E. Guido FPCP2017, 9 June 2017, PragueBelle 6

~6% precision

• Current world average (hadronic and semileptonic tags) BF = (1.09 ± 0.24) 10-4

• No deviation from the SM observed in B→𝜏ν so far

• With 50 ab-1 the experimental sensitivity will reach ~6%

Belle sensitivity

Page 9: Belle II physics prospects · The B-factories legacy • The 1st generation of B-factories (BABAR+Belle) collected, in about a decade, more than 1.5 ab-1 of data, leaving a solid

LHCb: PRL 113 (2014), 151601BaBar: PRD 86 (2012), 032012Belle: PRL 103 (2009), 171801

RK

Electroweak penguins• B→Kℓℓ, for lepton universality:

E. Guido FPCP2017, 9 June 2017, PragueBelle 7

• LHCb reported a 2.6σ deviation from SM expectation

• b→see modes difficult at LHCb at high q2

RK = B(B!Kµµ)B(B!Kee) ⇠ 1

Page 10: Belle II physics prospects · The B-factories legacy • The 1st generation of B-factories (BABAR+Belle) collected, in about a decade, more than 1.5 ab-1 of data, leaving a solid

Electroweak penguins• B→Kℓℓ, for lepton universality:

E. Guido FPCP2017, 9 June 2017, PragueBelle 7

• LHCb reported a 2.6σ deviation from SM expectation

• b→see modes difficult at LHCb at high q2

RK = B(B!Kµµ)B(B!Kee) ⇠ 1

• At Belle II the same detection efficiency is expected for electrons and muons, at both low and high q2

Page 11: Belle II physics prospects · The B-factories legacy • The 1st generation of B-factories (BABAR+Belle) collected, in about a decade, more than 1.5 ab-1 of data, leaving a solid

LHCb: PRL 113 (2014), 151601BaBar: PRD 86 (2012), 032012Belle: PRL 103 (2009), 171801

RK

Electroweak penguins• B→Kℓℓ, for lepton universality:

E. Guido FPCP2017, 9 June 2017, PragueBelle 7

• LHCb reported a 2.6σ deviation from SM expectation

• b→see modes difficult at LHCb at high q2

RK = B(B!Kµµ)B(B!Kee) ⇠ 1

• At Belle II the same detection efficiency is expected for electrons and muons, at both low and high q2

• Very recent result by LHCb B0→K*0ℓℓ:

arXiv:1705.05802

• 2.1-2.5σ deviation from SM expectation, depending on the q2 region and prediction considered

Page 12: Belle II physics prospects · The B-factories legacy • The 1st generation of B-factories (BABAR+Belle) collected, in about a decade, more than 1.5 ab-1 of data, leaving a solid

Belle: PRL 118, 111801 (2017)

• 2.6σ tension with the SM also in the angular distribution of B→K*ℓℓ

• Can these anomalies be fit together? NP contributions to the Wilson coefficients

• Confirmation of these measurements by Belle II will be important

LHCb: PRL 113 (2014), 151601BaBar: PRD 86 (2012), 032012Belle: PRL 103 (2009), 171801

RK

Electroweak penguins• B→Kℓℓ, for lepton universality:

E. Guido FPCP2017, 9 June 2017, PragueBelle 7

• LHCb reported a 2.6σ deviation from SM expectation

• b→see modes difficult at LHCb at high q2

RK = B(B!Kµµ)B(B!Kee) ⇠ 1

• At Belle II the same detection efficiency is expected for electrons and muons, at both low and high q2

Page 13: Belle II physics prospects · The B-factories legacy • The 1st generation of B-factories (BABAR+Belle) collected, in about a decade, more than 1.5 ab-1 of data, leaving a solid

• Precise determination of sin2β still important at Belle II:

• check consistency of unitarity triangle• search for new CP violating phases in

b→s by testing the SM prediction:

Time-dependent CPV

E. Guido FPCP2017, 9 June 2017, PragueBelle 8

• Among the benchmark measurements at the B-factories

• Access to the weak phase of the CKM matrix, through interference between mixing and decay

• Significant improvements expected at Belle II:

• improved ∆t resolution (30% wrt Belle)

• enhanced flavor tagging efficiency

sin 2�(b ! sqq̄) = sin 2�(J/ K)

• Involve all the aspects of the detector:• tracking• neutrals reconstruction• vertexing• PID• flavor tagging• background rejection

Page 14: Belle II physics prospects · The B-factories legacy • The 1st generation of B-factories (BABAR+Belle) collected, in about a decade, more than 1.5 ab-1 of data, leaving a solid

Time-dependent CPV

E. Guido FPCP2017, 9 June 2017, PragueBelle 9

S = (0.667± 0.023± 0.012)A = (0.006± 0.016± 0.012)

• Belle II expected sensitivity on 50 ab-1:

S = (x.xxxx± 0.0027± 0.0044)A = (x.xxxx± 0.0033± 0.0037)

dominated by systematic uncertainties!

sin(2βeff) ≡ sin(2φe1ff)

HFA

GM

orio

nd 2

014

HFA

GM

orio

nd 2

014

HFA

GM

orio

nd 2

014

HFA

GM

orio

nd 2

014

HFA

GM

orio

nd 2

014

HFA

GM

orio

nd 2

014

HFA

GM

orio

nd 2

014

HFA

GM

orio

nd 2

014

HFA

G

Mor

iond

201

4

HFA

G

Mor

iond

201

4

HFA

G

Mor

iond

201

4

HFA

GM

orio

nd 2

014

HFA

G

Mor

iond

201

4

HFA

GM

orio

nd 2

014

b→ccs

φ K0

η′ K

0

K S K S

K S

π0 K0

ρ0 KS

ω K

S

f 0 KS

f 2 KS

f X K S

π0 π0 K

S

φ π0 K

S

π+ π- K

S N

RK+ K

- K0

-2 -1 0 1 2

World Average 0.68 ± 0.02BaBar 0.66 ± 0.17 ± 0.07Belle 0.90 +-0

0..01

99

Average 0.74 +-00

.

.11

13

BaBar 0.57 ± 0.08 ± 0.02Belle 0.68 ± 0.07 ± 0.03Average 0.63 ± 0.06BaBar 0.94 +-0

0..22

14 ± 0.06

Belle 0.30 ± 0.32 ± 0.08Average 0.72 ± 0.19BaBar 0.55 ± 0.20 ± 0.03Belle 0.67 ± 0.31 ± 0.08Average 0.57 ± 0.17BaBar 0.35 +-0

0..23

61 ± 0.06 ± 0.03

Belle 0.64 +-00

.

.12

95 ± 0.09 ± 0.10

Average 0.54 +-00

.

.12

81

BaBar 0.55 +-00

.

.22

69 ± 0.02

Belle 0.91 ± 0.32 ± 0.05Average 0.71 ± 0.21BaBar 0.74 +-0

0..11

25

Belle 0.63 +-00

.

.11

69

Average 0.69 +-00

.

.11

02

BaBar 0.48 ± 0.52 ± 0.06 ± 0.10Average 0.48 ± 0.53BaBar 0.20 ± 0.52 ± 0.07 ± 0.07Average 0.20 ± 0.53BaBar -0.72 ± 0.71 ± 0.08Average -0.72 ± 0.71BaBar 0.97 +-0

0..05

32

Average 0.97 +-00

.

.05

32

BaBar 0.01 ± 0.31 ± 0.05 ± 0.09Average 0.01 ± 0.33BaBar 0.65 ± 0.12 ± 0.03Belle 0.76 +-0

0..11

48

Average 0.68 +-00

.

.01

90

H F A GH F A GMoriond 2014PRELIMINARY

• Belle result on full dataset from B→ccK0 (PRL 108 (2012), 171802):

_

• Several golden modes to search for additional CP-violating phases, given by particles beyond the SM entering the loop

• B→ɸKS

• B→η’KS

• B→KSKSKS

• Theoretically clean (~2%)• Current measurements consistent with J/ψKS

• Expected errors at Belle II at the same level of the theoretical ones

Page 15: Belle II physics prospects · The B-factories legacy • The 1st generation of B-factories (BABAR+Belle) collected, in about a decade, more than 1.5 ab-1 of data, leaving a solid

Charm physics

E. Guido FPCP2017, 9 June 2017, PragueBelle 10

_• B-factories discovered D0-D0 mixing• To-do-list for Belle II:

• improve the measurements of mixing parameters

• look for direct and indirect CPV• search for rare decays• …

2x better wrt BABAR

• FCNC mode D0→ɣɣ expected BF ~ 10-8

• Belle: BF < 8.5 10-7 @90% CL• Belle II sensitivity on 50 ab-1:

BF ~10-7 - 10-8

• Substantial improvements with respect to the B-factories:

• proper time resolution• flavor tagging: new method based on the study

of the rest of event are being developed

• Advantages with respect to LHCb:• semileptonic decays (neutrinos in the final states)• rare decays:

Belle

PRD 93, 051102 (2016)

Page 16: Belle II physics prospects · The B-factories legacy • The 1st generation of B-factories (BABAR+Belle) collected, in about a decade, more than 1.5 ab-1 of data, leaving a solid

E. Guido FPCP2017, 9 June 2017, Prague

LFV in 𝜏 decays• Forbidden in the SM, while possibly enhanced in NP models up to O(10-8)• A field where LHCb competition is possible in few channels (𝜏→µµµ)• Belle II will uniquely access final states with neutrals (ɣ, π0, η, η’)• Control of beam backgrounds will be crucial

Belle 11

B-factories

Belle II

• 1-2 orders of magnitude improvement from B-factories to Belle II

Page 17: Belle II physics prospects · The B-factories legacy • The 1st generation of B-factories (BABAR+Belle) collected, in about a decade, more than 1.5 ab-1 of data, leaving a solid

Bottomonium physics• The B-factories made great contributions to the knowledge of charmonium and bottomonium• Several unexpected quarkonium-like states (from X(3872), to Zb(10610,10650))• Bottomonium physics at Belle II can achieve important results, through some golden modes

based on a possibly unique data sample to be collected at the Y(6S) energy

E. Guido FPCP2017, 9 June 2017, PragueBelle 12

Mmiss(x) =p(ECM � E

x

)2 � p

2x

PRL 117 (2016), 142001

- - - phase-space• Υ(6S)→πZb, Zb→πhb(nP)

• not sufficienct statistics at Belle to clearly separate the Zb contribution

• possibility for a data acquisition at the Υ(6S) energy during Phase 2 (2018)

• according to MC studies, separation is possible already with 10 fb-1 of data Belle

Mmiss(⇡) (GeV/c2)Mmiss(⇡⇡) GeV/c2

Page 18: Belle II physics prospects · The B-factories legacy • The 1st generation of B-factories (BABAR+Belle) collected, in about a decade, more than 1.5 ab-1 of data, leaving a solid

• η transitions from Υ(6S)• could be used to access missing states below

BB threshold (in particular Y(2D) triplet)• heavy quark spin symmetry violating —>

comparison with QCD multipole expansion calculations

• results with 50 fb-1, but more statistics will be needed for Y(2D) discovery

_

Bottomonium physics• The B-factories made great contributions to the knowledge of charmonium and bottomonium• Several unexpected quarkonium-like states (from X(3872), to Zb(10610,10650))• Bottomonium physics at Belle II can achieve important results, through some golden modes

based on a possibly unique data sample to be collected at the Y(6S) energy

E. Guido FPCP2017, 9 June 2017, PragueBelle 12

from similar transitions from Y(5S) , it is reasonable to expect cross-sections < 1500 fb

Page 19: Belle II physics prospects · The B-factories legacy • The 1st generation of B-factories (BABAR+Belle) collected, in about a decade, more than 1.5 ab-1 of data, leaving a solid

Dark sector searches• Hypothetical dark photon (A’) production

in e+e- annihilations• BABAR and NA64 ruled out the possibility

to fully explain the g-2 anomaly introducing a dark photon

• But can still partially explain it (+ other NP), and it is still an important portal to light DM

• Preliminary projection with 20 fb-1 of data in Phase 2 shows a big exclusion potential for Belle II on invisible decays

E. Guido FPCP2017, 9 June 2017, PragueBelle 13

• Very challenging signature: A’(→ invisible)+ɣ• special single photon trigger required• using KLM cluster information to reject events

falling into the ECL gaps

NA64 PRL 118 (2017) 011802BABAR arXiv:1702.03327

A’→ invisible

• excellent tracking efficiency to reject events containing tracks

• studies on-going

More details: Search for dark forces in flavour experiments, T.Czank

Page 20: Belle II physics prospects · The B-factories legacy • The 1st generation of B-factories (BABAR+Belle) collected, in about a decade, more than 1.5 ab-1 of data, leaving a solid

Conclusions• Belle II is ready to collect the legacy of the 1st generation of B-factories, and to

continue on the path set by them• Its main purpose will be the search for NP signatures at the intensity frontier, along

with a deeper knowledge of the nature of QCD in describing matter• Complementarity with LHC (NP searches at the intensity vs. energy frontier,

complementarity and competition with LHCb)• The physics program will be wide:

• some highlights have been summarized in this talk• many other possibilities and developing ideas behind the corner

• Possibility of obtaining the first physics results in the very next future, even during Phase 2 (2018)

E. Guido FPCP2017, 9 June 2017, PragueBelle 14

More on Belle II:- SuperKEKB & Belle II status, R.de Sangro- Alignment and Calibration Framework for the Belle II detector (poster), J.Kandra

Page 21: Belle II physics prospects · The B-factories legacy • The 1st generation of B-factories (BABAR+Belle) collected, in about a decade, more than 1.5 ab-1 of data, leaving a solid

Backup

Page 22: Belle II physics prospects · The B-factories legacy • The 1st generation of B-factories (BABAR+Belle) collected, in about a decade, more than 1.5 ab-1 of data, leaving a solid

CKMFitter: 2016 vs. 2025

16E. Guido FPCP2017, 9 June 2017, PragueBelle

Page 23: Belle II physics prospects · The B-factories legacy • The 1st generation of B-factories (BABAR+Belle) collected, in about a decade, more than 1.5 ab-1 of data, leaving a solid

arXiv:1705.05802

• Comparison with theoretical predictions in bins of q2:

• BIP: EPJC 76 (2016) 440

• CDHMV: JHEP 06 (2016) 092, JHEP 10 (2016) 075, JHEP 04 (2017) 016

• EOS: PRD 95 (2017) 035029

• flav.io: JHEP 08 (2016) 098

• JC: PRD 93 (2016) 014028

Electroweak penguins

17E. Guido FPCP2017, 9 June 2017, PragueBelle

Page 24: Belle II physics prospects · The B-factories legacy • The 1st generation of B-factories (BABAR+Belle) collected, in about a decade, more than 1.5 ab-1 of data, leaving a solid

B→D(*)𝜏ν - 𝜏 polarization

18E. Guido FPCP2017, 9 June 2017, PragueBelle

P. Urquijo, XIIth Meeting on B Physics, Naples 2017

Page 25: Belle II physics prospects · The B-factories legacy • The 1st generation of B-factories (BABAR+Belle) collected, in about a decade, more than 1.5 ab-1 of data, leaving a solid

Rest Of Event (ROE)• Selection of events with only 1 K± in the ROE to tag the flavor of D0 at production• Expected performances:

• tag efficiency ~27%• mistag level ~13%

19E. Guido FPCP2017, 9 June 2017, PragueBelle

Page 26: Belle II physics prospects · The B-factories legacy • The 1st generation of B-factories (BABAR+Belle) collected, in about a decade, more than 1.5 ab-1 of data, leaving a solid

LFV in 𝜏 decays - state of the art

HFAG−TauSummer 2016

10−8

10−6

e−γ

µ− γ

e−π

0µ− π

0e−η

µ− η

e−η′

(958

)µ− η′(9

58)

e−K S0

µ− K S0

e−f 0(

980)

µ− f 0(

980)

e−ρ

0µ− ρ

0e−

K∗ (8

92)0

µ− K

∗ (892

)0e−

K∗ (8

92)0

µ− K

∗ (892

)0 e−φ

µ− φ

e−ω

µ− ω

e−e+

e−µ− e+

e−e−µ+ µ

−µ− µ

+ µ−

e−µ+ e−

µ− e+µ−

e−π+ π−

µ− π+ π−

e−π+ K

−µ− π+ K

−e−

K+ π−

µ− K

+ π−

e−K

+ K−

µ− K

+ K−

e−K S0 K S0

µ− K S0 K S0

e+π− π−

µ+ π− π−

e+π− K

−µ+ π− K

−e+

K− K

−µ+ K

− K−

π− Λ

π− Λ

K− Λ

K− Λ

pµ− µ

−pµ

+ µ−

90%

CL

uppe

r lim

its

● ATLAS BaBar Belle CLEO LHCb

20E. Guido FPCP2017, 9 June 2017, PragueBelle

Page 27: Belle II physics prospects · The B-factories legacy • The 1st generation of B-factories (BABAR+Belle) collected, in about a decade, more than 1.5 ab-1 of data, leaving a solid

Bottomonium

21E. Guido FPCP2017, 9 June 2017, PragueBelle

Page 28: Belle II physics prospects · The B-factories legacy • The 1st generation of B-factories (BABAR+Belle) collected, in about a decade, more than 1.5 ab-1 of data, leaving a solid

Υ(nS)⟶πZb, Zb⟶πhb(mP) transitions

E. Guido FPCP2017, 9 June 2017, PragueBelle

• Missing mass for either the 2 pion system, or each pion individually• One of the pions’ missing mass must be within [10.55,10.70] GeV/c2 to select the pion

from Υ(nS)⟶πZb transition• missing mass used to deduce the Zb properties

• Additional requirements to suppress background:• tight PID for pion hypothesis• pions must originate from the interaction point

• Fit to the Mmiss(π) distribution with a Gaussian + 4th-order Chebyshev polynomial

22