beach energy limited expanding the cooper basin base business · •2p reserves of 66 mmboe •...
TRANSCRIPT
Beach Energy Limited
Expanding the Cooper Basin Base Business
Macquarie Australia Conference
Sydney, 7 May 2010
1
Neil Gibbins
General Manager –
Exploration and Development
Disclaimer
• This presentation contains forward looking statements that are subject to risk factors
associated with oil, gas, geothermal and related businesses. It is believed that the
expectations reflected in these statements are reasonable but they may be affected by a
variety of variables and changes in underlying assumptions which could cause actual results or
trends to differ materially, including, but not limited to: price fluctuations, actual demand,
currency fluctuations, drilling and production results, reserve estimates, loss of market,
industry competition, environmental risks, physical risks, legislative, fiscal and regulatory
developments, economic and financial market conditions in various countries and regions,
political risks, project delays or advancements, approvals and cost estimates.
• All references to dollars, cents or $ in this presentation are to Australian currency, unless
otherwise stated. References to “Beach” may be references to Beach Energy Limited or its
applicable subsidiaries.
• Unless otherwise noted, all references to reserves and resources figures are as at 30 June
2009 and represent Beach’s share.
Competent Persons Statement
• This presentation contains information on Beach’s Reserves and Resources which have been
compiled by Mr Gordon Moseby, who is a full time employee of Beach, is qualified in
accordance with ASX listing rule 5.11 and has consented to the inclusion of this information in
the form and context in which it appears.
Compliance statements
2
Overview of Beach Energy Limited
Cooper Basin shale gas:
• Technical attributes
• Resource potential
• What’s happened in the US
• Why Beach is positioned for success
Other long term growth opportunities
3
Today’s presentation
• 2P reserves of 66 MMboe
• Sustainable long-term oil and gas production
• FY 2010 production guidance now 7.4 MMboe
• $140 million cash and zero debt*
4
Beach Energy Limited (ASX : BPT): A compelling value proposition
* as at 31 March 2010
• Huge Cooper Basin shale gas resource potential
• High potential East African rift oil exploration acreage
• LNG supply potential from existing portfolio
• Track record of value creation
• Highly competent team
• Quality joint venture and strategic relationships
Strong base
business
‘Game changing’
long-term growth
potential
The right
people and
relationships
Cooper / Eromanga Gippsland Egypt
Reserves & resources snapshot: 30 June 2009
5
A solid and enviable base from which to grow,plus a substantial portfolio of emerging opportunities
2P Reserves:
66 MMboe
2P Reserves & Contingent
Resources: 359 MMboe
Cooper / Eromanga 2P Gippsland Other
2P Reserves
are a fraction
of the total
resource base
Reserves and production
6
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
FY 2007 FY2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 est.
Gas & Gas Liquids Oil
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
FY 2006 FY2007 FY 2008 FY 2009
Gas & Gas Liquids Oil
2P ReservesProduction
• Consistent production performance:
– Cooper Basin flooding has resulted in
lower FY10 estimates
• Solid reserves growth in recent years:
– Offset by Tipton West gas divestment in
FY 2009
MM
bo
e
MM
bo
e
Corporate framework
7
• Consistent, targeted growth:
– Long-term cash flow, production and reserves
– Value driven investments
• Thinking ahead of the pack:
– Early entry, low risk, high return
– Participation in emerging technologies and opportunities
• Balanced portfolio:
– 60:30:10 risk profile
• Conservative and flexible balance sheet
• Invest in affordable low pollutant energy
• Cooper Basin is a key supplier
of onshore oil and gas to
eastern Australian markets:
– Diversified asset, product and
market mix
– Quality customers
• Beach participates in
approximately 300 exploration
and production licenses:
– Equity interests range from
approximately 17% to 100%
• Numerous exploration and
development opportunities
The ‘base business’: Cooper Basin production, development & exploration
8
Cooper Basin Oil
2P reserves 14.3 MMbbl
• Comprised of three key areas:
– Western flank (Beach operated)
– Central Cooper Basin (Santos
operated)
– Eastern flank (Beach operated)
• Successful development of the
Beach operated western flank:
– Beach discovered approximately
10 MMbbl over the past 8 years
• Beach operated six well drilling
campaign planned for 2010
The ‘base business’: Conventional Cooper Basin oil & gas
9
Cooper Basin Gas
2P reserves 228 PJ & 7.4 MMboe
• Gas & ethane contracts with major
retailers and end consumers
• Domestic and export LPG contracts
• Export naptha contracts
• Quality joint venture partners in
Santos and Origin Energy
• Drilling program planned to convert
500 PJ (gross) of conventional gas
resources into 2P reserves
• Beach is seeking to grow its
base gas business in eastern
Australian markets from the
Cooper Basin
• Good long-term growth
opportunities for eastern
Australian gas resources:
– Strong projected domestic and
export demand
– Carbon policies
• Cooper Basin shale gas is a
‘sleeper’ in the options for long-
term domestic and export gas
supply
Expanding the Cooper Basin ‘base business’:Positioning for long-term Australian gas supply
10
Schematic geology of natural gas resources
11 Source: Energy Information Administration (EIA), US Department of Energy
Hydraulic fracturing
12 Source: Modified from Chesapeake Energy
SHALE FRACTURES
STEEL CASING
• Early identification of Cooper
Basin shale gas potential
• Captured prospective acreage
with high equity participation
• Huge resource potential:
– Comparable to combined NSW
and Queensland coal seam gas
volume
• Access to multiple market
opportunities via existing
and future infrastructure
• Developing key relationships
to deliver technologies and
new markets
Cooper Basin:Significant shale gas potential
13
Nappamerri Trough: Potential gas in place greater than 200 Tcf
• Extensive and thick shale
packages
• Similar properties to the best
US shale plays
• Nappamerri Trough total area
~ 10,000 km2
• Potential gas in place 20 – 100
Bcf/km2
• Beach has high equity
participation in key permits:– PEL 218 (1,600 km2: 90%)
– ATP 855P (1,680 km2: 25 - 40%)
14
Geological properties
Thick shale sequence 150m thick over 10,000 km2
Organically rich 5% Total Organic Carbon (TOC)
Gas prone Proven
Thermally mature Proven
Overpressure Proven
Tight gas sands Potential upside
Mechanical properties
Suitability for fracturing Probable
Containment of fracture Low risk
Commercial aspects
Infrastructure Significant infrastructure already exists
Cost structure To be determined
Market Multiple options; dependent on cost structure
Why the Nappamerri Trough?
15
• First well (Holdfast-1) spud planned for July
2010
• Vertical exploration wells
• Gas in place (GIP) measurement a key
objective:
– Extensive coring
– Evaluate gas content of shale
– Determine porosity and free gas
• Results will assist in the design of future
pilot well program:
– Evaluate mechanical properties from core
– Determine in-situ stress (mini-frac in Holdfast-1)
– Well design (vertical / horizontal / multi-lateral)
– Completion design (liner / cement / stimulation)
16
The initial tests: Holdfast-1 & Encounter-1 exploration wells
Nappamerri Trough: Geographical context vs US basins
17
Cooper Basin
Nappamerri
Trough
Cooper Basin shale gas:Similar to best US plays
18
Parameter Cooper Basin
Nappamerri
Trough
Barnett
(Texas)
Haynesville
(Louisiana)
Depth (ft) 9500 - 11500’ 5400 - 9600’ 10000 -13000’
Thickness (ft) 400 - 500’ 250 - 500’ 200 – 300’
Petrology Siliceous
Mudstone
Siliceous
Mudstone
Argillaceous
/ Calcareous
Mudstone
Age Permian Lower
Carboniferous
(Mississippian)
Jurassic
Porosity % To be measured 7 10
TOC Av% 5 5 4
Ro% 1.6 - 3.1 (type II) 1 - 1.3 (type II) 2.2 - 3 (type III)
Temp degF 300 - 390 200 240 - 322
Gas in place
(Av) Bcf/sq.mile
Prelim. 50 - 250
To be measured
100 200
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
2006 2007 2008 2009
No. of frac stages/well
F&D cost (US$/bbl)
19
US technology improvements drive down costs: e.g. - Bakken Shale
• Technology advancements in
multi – stage frac completions
is driving efficiencies in US oil
& gas developments
• Key advancements are
particularly associated with
long lateral drilling + multi-
stage fracs
• Advances in technology is
delivering:– Increased reserves & production
– Lower finding & development
costs
• Australian shale projects can
benefit from the US experience
& learning gained by others
Bakken Shale (oil), North Dakota
Source: Sundance Energy
• Australian unconventional gas M&A activity has been mainly associated
with Queensland coal seam methane (CSM):
– More than $20 billion worth of recent CSM deals
– Purchasers include BG Group, ConocoPhillips, Shell and PETRONAS
• Australian unconventional gas M&A activity has lagged overseas ‘action’
whilst the industry was developing technology, resources and markets
Australian industry dynamics lag the US on a number of fronts
20
Deal Location Date Acres Value
Mitsui - Anadarko Marcellus Feb 10 100,000 US$1.4b
Total - Chesapeake Barnett Jan 10 270,000 US$2.25b
ExxonMobil – XTO
Energy
Various basins Dec 09 Included 1 million
acres of various
shale gas acreage
US$41b
BG Group – EXCO
Resources
Haynesville Aug 09 120,000 US$1.1b
Some recent US shale gas transactions
US shale gas production forecasts highlight its importance and global industry relevance
21
“…production from gas shale plays in 2030 is 50 percent higher in the AEO2010 reference case,
than in the updated AEO2009 reference case.” - EIA 2010 Annual Energy Early Outlook, Dec 2009
Source: Energy Information Administration (EIA), US Department of Energy
Multiple long-term shale gas market options
Market opportunities
Existing customers –
extension contracts
Existing customers –incremental
contracts
New domestic
customers
Gas Swaps
Mature existing MOUs
Export LNG
• Good prospects to increase
Cooper Basin supply over time
• New domestic gas supply
opportunities include:
– Power generation
– Feedstock
– Liquid fuels
• LNG supply a long-term
objective
• Beach will continue to seek
opportunities with others that
can facilitate gas market
development
22
Cooper Basin shale gas:Indicative shale gas development timeline
23
Holdfast-1 &
Encounter-1 vertical
exploration wells
Q3 2010
Design pilot production
well Q2
Q4 2010/
Q1 2011
BOOK GAS RESOURCE
Q2 2011
Pilot production
well
Drill Q2 2011
Frac Q4 2011
Test Q1 2012
Pilot development
Commence FY13
BOOK GAS
RESERVE
Target FY13/14
FIRST GAS SALES
Target FY15
Beach will be investigating options to potentially
accelerate the above timeline
24
Some other long-term growth opportunities: ‘Big oil’ and ‘big gas’
Tanzania
Papua New Guinea
Australia
New Zealand
25
Tanzania - East African Rift:An emerging ‘big oil’ province
• Beach 100%
• Under - explored, high potential
region
• Significant success in nearby
analogous areas (Uganda)
• Recent M&A activity in Uganda
highlights regional potential
• Potential for large (> 200+ MMbbl)
discoveries
• Petroleum Sharing Agreement
signing expected within months
• Exploration activity to commence
in 2010
Offshore ‘big gas’ opportunities
• LNG supply potential from existing portfolio:
– Burnside (multi-Tcf discovery made in 2009, Beach 7.34%)
– Pandora (mean gas resource approx. 0.8 Tcf, Beach 6.36%)
– Barque gas prospect (multi-Tcf potential, Beach 20%)
Browse Basin Gulf of Papua Canterbury Basin
26
• Sustainable underlying base business:
– Long-life reserves
– Long-term production and cash-flow
– Asset, product and market diversity
• At the forefront of developing an
Australian shale gas industry
• Tangible growth potential targeting
regionally specific opportunities:
– Cooper Basin shale gas
– Game-changing exploration and
development potential
• Robust balance sheet
• The right people and strong strategic
relationships to deliver long-term growth
Beach Energy
27
Beach Energy Limited
Expanding the Cooper Basin Base Business
Macquarie Australia Conference
Sydney, 7 May 2010
28
Neil Gibbins
General Manager –
Exploration and Development