bcm_1913@hk_070915_2158
DESCRIPTION
BCM_1913@HK_070915_2158TRANSCRIPT
-
09 July 2015
Focus of the Day
Download our reports from Bloomberg: BOCMenter
Morning Express
Network Financials Internetization is set to become a major model of consumer finance
companies
Shanshan LI, CFA [email protected] Not Rated
The loan balance in the P2P industry reached RMB208.726bn in Jun, up 338% YoY, which
marked the first decline in growth rate since the beginning of 2015; while the
consolidated interest rate of loans in the P2P industry was 14.17%, down 0.37 ppt MoM.
There were 125 problematic platforms in Jun, a notable increase of 66 compared with
May. The return on Internet and bank wealth management products continued to decline
in Jun. As the State Council encouraged consumer finance companies to expand, along
with the diversification of investments, consumer finance companies are set to see rapid
growth and internetization is expected to be the major model of newly established
consumer finance companies. Google announced that it no longer charges service fees
from card issuers for payment made through Android Pay. Prior to that, the promotion of
Google Wallet lagged behind Apples ApplePay. At present, ApplePay still faces backlash
from certain retailers, mainly due to the fact that ApplePay still processes payment
through credit card issuers. Googles move helps the company capture the market share
in mobile payment. Apple will introduce its payment service ApplePay in the UK. With the
massive promotion of contactless smart cards such as EMV which is a well-developed
market, the popularization of ApplePay, the fact that more and more smartphones are
equipped with NFC, the improvement in mobile payment infrastructures of emerging
markets and the increase in payment scenarios, global NFC mobile payment will continue
to develop rapidly.
Prada (1913.HK)
Stock
BUY
LTBUYNeutral
SELLNegatives are yet to be priced in
Phoebe WONG [email protected]
Last Closing: HK$37.75 Upside: -26% Target Price: HK$28.00
We reiterate Sell and target price of HK$28 on Prada following our latest management
update. Despite the sequential improvement with May-Jun SSS decline narrowing to mid
single-digits from high single-digits in 1Q (revenue was flat vs. 1Q -5% in local currency),
we attribute it partly to the easy comps of the Japan market due to the VAT rise in Apr
Indices Close 1d % Ytd %
HSI 23,517 -5.84 -0.37 H Shares 11,107 -6.09 -7.32 SH A 3,676 -5.90 8.45 SH B 296 -7.38 1.81 SZ A 1,971 -2.49 33.31 SZ B 1,141 -4.79 10.87 DJIA 17,515 -1.47 -1.73 S&P 500 2,047 -1.67 -0.59 Nasdaq 4,910 -1.75 3.67 FTSE 6,491 0.91 -1.15 CAC 4,639 0.75 8.57 DAX 10,747 0.66 9.60
Source: Bloomberg
Indicators Close 3m % Ytd %
Brent 57.10 0.94 -0.40 Gold 1,156.15 -3.23 -2.42 Silver 15.05 -7.07 -4.19 Copper 5,520.00 -8.15 -12.38 JPY 120.84 -0.22 -0.88 GBP 1.54 4.42 -1.37 EURO 1.11 3.81 -8.54
bps change 3 m 6 m
HIBOR 0.39 0.00 0.00 US 10 yield 2.19 0.24 0.25
Source: Bloomberg
HSI Technical HSI 23,517 50 d MA 27,183
200 d MA 24,986 14 d RSI 20 Short Sell (HK$m) 23,874
Source: Bloomberg
BOCOM Int'l Corporate Access
17 Jul CT Environmental (1363.HK)
-
Download our reports from Bloomberg: BOCMenter
09 July 2015 Morning Express
last year. Most importantly, signs of fundamental recovery remain absent, in our view.
We believe the sustained global macro headwinds heightened by the recent pullback of
the stock markets, particularly China, are set to further dampen the already weak luxury
goods spending and affect tourist flow (particularly mainland Chinese). Apart from sales,
margin pressure remains Pradas key challenge amid operating deleverage and sustained
negative geographical and sales mix. While management is striving to find ways for
cost-cutting, we believe the help is limited in view of the groups high fixed-cost base
amplified by its aggressive new store openings over the past few years (particularly the
high-cost Greater China, the key affected market). Moreover, we are increasingly
concerned about the companys leather goods sales outlook. We believe its unique
product design no longer suits the market well amid fast-changing consumer taste and
intensifying competition. Further, as Prada does not and has no plan to follow the other
major peers to lower sales prices in Asia ex-Japan (though it adjusted prices up by mid to
high single-digits in Europe and Japan in order to narrow the pricing gap with Asia),
Pradas products in Asia ex-Japan have turned even less competitive, in our view. While
management is planning to launch more new styles and products with lower entry prices
from its Pre-fall collection, we remain skeptical of the consumer response. The key rising
star brands among Chinese consumers, such as Michael Kors, Saint Laurent, Kate Spade,
Tony Burch, Givenchy and MCM, have been taking market share from the traditional
luxury brands including Prada. Coupled with our FY16/17E net profit forecasts being
16%/27% below market consensus and with the stock trading at a 35% premium to the
global peers (PE 22.5x), we believe the negatives are yet to be priced in.
Sinopec (386.HK)
Stock
BUY
LTBUYNeutral
SELLQ2 profit jump expected, but uncertainty remains
Tony LIU [email protected]
Last Closing: HK$6.16 Target Price: HK$5.50
Sinopec announced profit alert for its Q2 results after market close on July 8. The
company expects over 1000% net profit growth compared with Q1. Sinopecs 1H net
profit and EPS will likely significantly beat market expectation and account for 74% and
72% of 2015 full-year consensus, respectively. The Refining and Chemical segments
benefited from low inventory cost and upward adjustment of oil product prices, while
Brent crude rebounded 15% in Q2. However, uncertainties still abound. We reiterate
Neutral rating and TP of HK$5.5.
Hang Seng Index (1 year)
21,00022,00023,00024,00025,00026,00027,00028,00029,000
Source: Company data, Bloomberg
HS China Enterprise Index (1 year)
8,000
9,000
10,000
11,000
12,000
13,000
14,000
15,000
Source: Company data, Bloomberg
Shanghai A-shares (1 year)
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
5,000
5,500
Source: Company data, Bloomberg
Shenzhen A-shares (1 year)
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
Source: Company data, Bloomberg
-
Download our reports from Bloomberg: BOCMenter
09 July 2015 Morning Express
Shanghai Petrochem (338.HK)
SELL
NeutralLT
BUY
BUY
Stock
1H profit turned around
Tony LIU [email protected]
Last Closing: HK$2.47 Upside: +21.5% Target Price: HK$3.00
Shanghai Petrochem (338 HK) released profit alert for its 1H results. The company
expects a 1H net profit between Rmb1.68bn and 1.78bn under CAS, turning around from
a net loss of Rmb165mn in the same period last year. Shanghai Petrochem suffered loss
in 2014 due to the sharp decline of oil prices. The companys net profit turned positive in
Q1 2015 with Rmb52mn. Earnings are expected to reach a half yearly record high in 1H
2015.
Shanghai Petrochem mainly benefited from the upward adjustment of domestic oil
product prices on the back of Brent oil price recovery in Q2, and low crude inventory cost.
The group saw its costs of crude oil processing come down sharply, which led to higher
gross margin. Also, profit from its associates and JVs saw an increase.
Shanghai Petrochems A and H shares both dropped 41% in the past week, while SSE and
HSI dipped 13.5% and 10.4% in the same period, respectively. We expect Shanghai
Petrochems share price to rebound after the stock markets have settled down.
Renewable Energy Sector Highlights: China issued the Guiding Opinions on the Promotion of Smart
Grid Development; Canada made final ruling of harm on the
anti-dumping and countervailing duty case against Chinese PV products;
PV product prices improved further
Louis SUN [email protected] UP OPMPUP OPMP
1) Recently, the National Development and Reform Commission and the National
Energy Administration issued the Guiding Opinions on the Promotion of Smart Grid
Development. The Opinions give detailed explanations on the definition of smart grid,
the significance of smart grid development, general requirements, major tasks and
safeguard measures. Smart grids could better achieve network security, with reliable,
economical and efficient operation. Chinas PV power generation and wind power
generation are subject to serious power curtailment. The most effective solution is to
strengthen the access capability of the power grid with the non-continuous and
widespread power system through the development of a more intelligent grid
system.
2) According to media reports, the Canadian International Trade Tribunal made the final
ruling of harm on the anti-dumping and countervailing duty case against Chinese PV
modules and wafers on July 4, which ruled that Chinese PV products did not cause
any harm to the domestic industry in Canada but cause damage threat. The final
ruling of the damage threat showed that Canada is not going to impose anti-dumping
-
Download our reports from Bloomberg: BOCMenter
09 July 2015 Morning Express
and countervailing duties against Chinese PV products in the meantime. However, if
the Chinese manufacturers continue to adopt low-cost strategy to compete with the
domestic companies in Canada, it is likely to lead to further sanctions. The pace of
internationalization of the Chinese PV industry will need to accelerate.
3) The prices of some PV products continued to recover this week, with the prices of
polysilicon/wafer/cell/cell module moving 0.26%/0.12%/0.33%/-0.18% WoW, and
-19.8%/-7.7%/-4.4%/-11.7% YTD. The prices of polysilicon and wafers have risen for 2
weeks and the prices of cells have climbed for 7 weeks, while the prices of cell
modules dipped further. The general rise in PV product prices reflected the
improving industry outlook, while the fall in cell module prices was mainly due to
lower combined costs.
Shanghai Pharma (2607.HK)
SELL
NeutralLT
BUY
BUY
Stock
DTP business provides an opportunity to penetrate
into Internet healthcare
David LI [email protected]
Last Closing: HK$16.62 Upside: +44.6% Target Price: HK$24.04
As a leading company in the China pharmaceutical industry, Shanghai Pharma stands
to benefit from the stable industry growth in the long term. (1) Production segment:
The company has a wide range of star products with sales focus on the core products;
(2) Distribution segment: As the industry leader, Shanghai Pharma benefits from the
stable industry growth in the long run; (3) Pharmaceutical retail segment: The DTP
business provides an opportunity to penetrate into Internet healthcare.
DTP business provides an opportunity to penetrate into Internet healthcare. We
think moving its DTP business from offline to online confers the following benefits: (1)
avoiding the medicare payment issue; (2) aligning with the interest of hospitals and
government guidance; (3) a large client base, since its DTP business is typically for
cancer, transplant rejection and other high-expense diseases which require
long-term drug use; and (4) improving the GPM of pharmaceutical retail given the
high unit price and GPM of special-effect drugs; and (5) concentration of demand in
the tier-one hospitals.
As one of the most crucial medical assets and a key enterprise under Shanghai
SASACs share incentive scheme, the company stands to benefit from a more
market-based incentive mechanism and SOE reform, in our view.
Initiate at BUY with a target price of HKD24.04, implying 44.6% upside.
-
Download our reports from Bloomberg: BOCMenter
09 July 2015 Morning Express
Market Review
Hong Kong stocks plunged on Wednesday. The Hang Seng Index sank 1,458 points, or
5.8%, to 23,516. HKEx (388.HK) slumped 8.4%, extending losing streak to the ninth
straight session. COLI (688.HK) plummeted 10% as the worst blue-chip performer. Peer
CR Land (1109.HK) lost 8.4%. Insurers fell. China Life (2628.HK) dropped 8.8%. Ping An
(2318.HK) lost 6.2%. Brokers declined. Huatai (6886.HK) dropped 12.8%. CITIC Securities
(6030.HK) fell 9.5%.
US stocks fell sharply. The S&P 500 dropped 34.65 points, or 1.7%, to 2,046.69. The DJIA
fell 261.49 points, or 1.5%, to 17,515.42. European stocks rose. The Stoxx Europe 600
edged up 0.04% to 372.88.
News Reaction
PBOC issued a statement on supporting the stability of the stock market and claimed to
guard against the bottomline of no systematic risks. PBOC announced the Statement of
Supporting the Stability of the Stock Market at nearly 9:30 this morning, pursuant to
which it pinpointed that in order to support the stable development of the stock market,
PBoC actively helped China Securities Finance Corp obtain sufficient liquidity through
borrowing, issue of financial bonds, mortgage financing, loan refinancing and other
means.
SASAC requested SOEs not to reduce the shareholding when the market fluctuates. As
announced by SASAC, the domestic stock market saw abnormal fluctuations recently and
SASAC was highly concerned. In order to maintain market stability, create a favorable
market environment for SOE reforms and development and protect the statutory rights
of all kinds of investors, SASAC required all relevant SOEs to rise to undertake social
responsibility and not to reduce their shareholding of the listed companies amid stock
market fluctuations, as responsible shareholders.
Research institute Gartner adjusted its estimates of 2015 electronic equipment output
growth downward to 1.5%. According to foreign media, research institute Gartner
adjusted its estimates of the global output growth of products such as PCs, laptops and
smart phones from originally 2.8% down to 1.5%, up to 2.5 bn units. The reasons for the
downward adjustment were the slowdown in the pace of procurement of PCs in Western
Europe, Russia and Japan and higher selling prices on the back of a strong dollar.
Net profit of CITIC Securities (6030.HK) was RMB2.38 bn, doubled compared with May.
CITIC Securities released its financial data in June, of which its operating income and net
profit reached RMB4.55 bn and RMB2.38 bn, respectively, representing a growth of
90.9% and 100%.
Alibaba to further invest nearly US$140 mn in Singapore Post. Singapore Post and
Alibaba jointed announced that Alibaba will invest S$187.1 mn (approximately USD138
mn) to acquire approximately 5% equity interest of Singapore Post. Upon the transaction,
on fully diluted basis, Alibabas shareholding in Singapore Post will increase from 10.23%
to 14.51%.
-
Download our reports from Bloomberg: BOCMenter
09 July 2015 Morning Express
Economic releases for this week - USA
Economic releases for this week - China
Date Time Event Survey Prior
1-Jul ISM manufacturing 53.1 52.8
2-Jul Change in Non-farm payrolls(k) 230.0 280.0
2-Jul Change in Private payrolls(k) 225.0 262.0
2-Jul Unemployment rate 5.4% 5.5%
2-Jul Initial jobless claims (k) 270.0 271.0
2-Jul Factory orders -0.5% -0.4%
Date Time Event Survey Prior
1-Jul Manufacturing PMI 50.4 50.2
1-Jul HSBC Manufacturing PMI 49.6 49.6
Source: Bloomberg
Source: Bloomberg
BOCOM Research Latest Reports
Data Report Analyst
8 Jul 2015 Energy Sector - Bocom Energy Weekly Tony Liu
8 Jul 2015 Intime (1833.HK) - 2Q SSS in-line; Maintain Neutral Anita Chu
8 Jul 2015 Sinotrans Limited (598.HK) - Company update - Stable 2Q15 expected Geoffrey Cheng, CFA
7 Jul 2015 Container Shipping Sector - Weekly container shipping commentary Geoffrey Cheng, CFA
6 Jul 2015 Summer Breeze - Downgrade Hengan; Switch to Vinda Summer Wang 6 Jul 2015 Property Sector - HK/CH Property Weekly 20150703 Luella Guo, Alfred Lau, CFA, FRM, Philip Tse, CFA,
FRM
6 Jul 2015 China Market Strategy - Shock And Awe Hao Hong, CFA
3 Jul 2015 Transportation Sector - Weekly transportation news wrap Geoffrey Cheng, CFA, Fay Zhou
2 Jul 2015 China South City Holdings Limited (1668.HK) - Disappointing FY15 property sales; recurrent income caught up
Alfred Lau, CFA, FRM, Luella Guo
2 Jul 2015 China Market Strategy - The CSRC Steps In. Now What Hao Hong, CFA
2 Jul 2015 Energy Sector - Bocom Energy Weekly Tony Liu
30 Jun 2015 Container Shipping Sector Weekly container shipping commentary Geoffrey Cheng, CFA
30 Jun 2015 HK retail sector Improved May sales, but skeptical of sustainability Phoebe Wong
29 Jun 2015 China Market Strategy The PBoC Cuts. Now What? Hao Hong, CFA
29 Jun 2015 China Property Sector How to outperform HSI 94 ppts in 140 trading days Philip Tse, CFA, FRM, Alfred Lau, CFA, FRM
29 Jun 2015 Property Sector HK/CH Property Weekly; Community service industry Luella Guo, Alfred Lau, CFA, FRM Philip Tse, CFA, FRM
26 Jun 2015 Luk Fook Holdings (590.HK) Downgrade to Neutral on stronger sales headwind Phoebe Wong, CPA
26 Jun 2015 Sa Sa (178.HK) FY15 in line; softening outlook sustained Phoebe Wong, CPA
26 Jun 2015 Transportation Sector Weekly transportation news wrap Geoffrey Cheng, CFA, Fay Zhou
26 Jun 2015 Far East Consortium (35.HK) All eyes on Brisbane Alfred Lau, CFA, FRM
Source: Company data, BOCOM International
-
Download our reports from Bloomberg: BOCMenter
09 July 2015 Morning Express
Hang Seng Index Constituents
Company BBG Share Mkt 5 d Ytd 52-week PE Yield P/B
name code price cap chg chg Hi Lo 2014A 2015E 2016E
(HK$) (HK$m) (%) (%) (HK$) (HK$) (X) (X) (X) (%) (X)
CKH HOLDINGS 1 HK 105.20 406,038 -7.64 40.16 125.00 71.77 4.52 13.03 11.04 3.47 0.62
CLP HOLDINGS 2 HK 64.45 162,830 -2.20 -4.16 69.85 61.80 14.51 15.08 14.38 4.07 1.85
HONG KG CHINA GS 3 HK 15.44 178,537 -5.04 -4.37 17.27 15.00 24.94 23.01 21.39 2.06 3.39
WHARF HLDG 4 HK 49.20 149,127 -4.65 -12.14 63.90 48.00 4.15 12.43 11.22 3.68 0.49
HSBC HLDGS PLC 5 HK 65.75 1,284,896 -6.27 -11.15 84.40 64.35 12.47 9.93 9.60 5.78 0.87
POWER ASSETS 6 HK 66.35 141,608 -6.15 -11.83 82.80 64.05 2.32 16.42 16.60 4.04 1.15
HANG SENG BANK 11 HK 142.20 271,864 -6.14 10.06 161.50 123.20 17.98 13.07 14.07 3.94 1.95
HENDERSON LAND D 12 HK 49.00 161,718 -7.63 -0.74 59.46 40.73 9.59 16.14 15.70 2.04 0.68
HUTCHISON 13 HK 115.00 490,288 N/A 28.85 119.40 85.90 7.30 14.70 13.09 2.10 1.15
SHK PPT 16 HK 115.10 331,035 -8.36 -2.70 137.60 105.00 10.41 15.23 13.40 2.91 0.75
NEW WORLD DEV 17 HK 8.83 79,443 -12.92 -1.01 11.00 8.52 6.64 10.96 10.33 4.76 0.47
SWIRE PACIFIC-A 19 HK 93.00 136,036 -4.57 -7.92 109.80 90.20 12.64 13.05 11.98 4.19 0.64
BANK EAST ASIA 23 HK 30.90 80,839 -8.85 -1.12 35.85 29.00 10.78 12.23 11.36 3.59 1.05
GALAXY ENTERTAIN 27 HK 30.80 131,096 -0.32 -28.92 66.16 29.40 12.74 17.25 15.44 0.00 3.41
MTR CORP 66 HK 34.05 198,876 -5.68 7.08 40.00 29.25 12.66 19.10 19.00 3.08 1.21
SINO LAND 83 HK 11.68 71,080 -9.88 -6.71 14.20 11.04 9.18 13.71 12.98 4.28 0.62
HANG LUNG PPT 101 HK 20.55 92,177 -10.85 -5.52 26.45 19.86 7.87 14.08 14.71 3.70 0.70
KUNLUN ENERGY 135 HK 6.68 53,924 -15.34 -8.87 13.86 6.58 9.61 10.83 9.05 2.99 1.02
CHINA MER HOLD 144 HK 27.35 70,306 -17.74 4.79 37.00 23.05 17.10 14.70 13.27 2.82 1.04
WANT WANT CHINA 151 HK 7.58 99,539 -7.56 -25.83 11.16 7.20 20.80 18.45 16.57 2.48 6.29
CITIC 267 HK 12.06 300,334 -13.24 -8.77 16.88 11.70 5.77 5.60 5.24 1.78 0.72
CHINA RES ENTERP 291 HK 22.40 54,239 -10.40 37.93 26.15 14.04 N/A 110.34 53.98 1.21 1.11
CATHAY PAC AIR 293 HK 18.26 71,832 -4.20 8.05 20.80 13.56 22.80 10.26 9.12 1.97 1.39
TINGYI 322 HK 14.34 80,360 -9.47 -19.07 23.25 13.78 27.32 21.26 18.68 1.93 3.30
SINOPEC CORP-H 386 HK 6.16 959,395 -7.92 -1.44 8.23 5.90 12.39 16.38 10.91 4.06 0.98
HKEX 388 HK 203.40 243,559 -25.66 18.46 311.40 151.10 42.64 26.07 22.84 1.96 10.40
LI & FUNG LTD 494 HK 5.93 49,904 -3.58 -17.51 10.48 5.82 11.84 13.42 11.77 5.75 2.46
CHINA OVERSEAS 688 HK 22.50 221,863 -17.73 -2.39 34.05 19.80 6.65 7.06 6.19 2.44 1.38
TENCENT 700 HK 134.80 1,263,865 -12.86 19.82 171.00 104.50 41.17 32.08 24.80 0.27 11.46
CHINA UNICOM 762 HK 10.00 239,471 -18.03 -3.85 16.00 9.68 16.18 13.32 12.59 2.50 0.83
LINK REIT 823 HK 45.10 103,431 -0.66 -7.11 53.65 40.85 3.81 22.67 21.18 4.05 0.88
CHINA RES POWER 836 HK 18.66 89,556 -13.81 -6.70 24.90 17.66 9.61 7.21 7.11 4.18 1.26
PETROCHINA-H 857 HK 7.96 2,662,164 -7.98 -7.44 11.70 7.72 10.80 19.19 12.32 4.14 0.99
CNOOC 883 HK 9.64 430,401 -12.36 -7.66 15.88 9.41 5.73 14.24 8.57 5.88 0.91
CCB-H 939 HK 6.39 1,618,246 -9.75 0.31 7.98 5.34 5.56 5.47 5.20 5.88 0.98
CHINA MOBILE 941 HK 89.95 1,841,729 -9.37 -0.61 118.00 75.55 13.36 13.42 12.59 3.21 1.72
LENOVO GROUP 992 HK 8.91 98,978 -17.04 -12.65 14.30 8.80 14.72 11.16 9.82 2.97 3.13
HENGAN INTL 1044 HK 81.75 100,096 -11.24 0.86 107.40 74.05 25.63 21.59 18.78 2.45 5.67
CHINA SHENHUA-H 1088 HK 14.72 438,172 -16.74 -35.86 24.40 14.50 6.06 7.97 7.48 6.28 0.79
CHINA RES LAND 1109 HK 19.28 133,629 -23.34 -5.72 29.10 14.96 7.64 8.99 7.75 2.57 1.16
COSCO PAC LTD 1199 HK 9.11 26,787 -13.40 -17.33 12.80 9.00 11.74 10.22 9.40 3.41 0.73
AIA 1299 HK 47.10 567,432 -7.19 9.15 58.20 38.95 20.95 18.69 17.11 1.06 2.38
ICBC-H 1398 HK 5.50 2,319,801 -10.71 -2.83 7.10 4.74 5.64 5.58 5.33 N/A 1.00
BELLE INTL 1880 HK 8.00 67,474 -10.41 -8.26 12.26 7.81 11.10 10.74 10.02 5.31 2.17
SANDS CHINA LTD 1928 HK 28.05 226,329 7.47 -26.47 59.80 25.90 11.45 17.39 16.83 7.10 4.54
PING AN-H 2318 HK 85.65 843,083 -18.19 8.28 125.80 57.05 13.91 11.50 10.50 1.09 2.11
BOC HONG KONG HO 2388 HK 28.05 296,566 -13.16 8.09 33.70 23.00 12.07 10.59 9.87 3.99 1.68
CHINA LIFE-H 2628 HK 27.90 1,099,914 -17.33 -8.37 41.00 20.25 19.59 13.94 12.21 1.79 2.22
BANKCOMM-H 3328 HK 7.60 658,868 -5.94 4.97 8.61 5.13 6.81 6.92 6.70 4.44 0.92
BANK OF CHINA-H 3988 HK 4.34 1,834,814 -13.89 -0.69 5.68 3.42 5.68 5.76 5.45 5.47 0.91
Hang Seng Index 23,517 15,253,173 -10.4 -0.4 28,588.5 22,529.8 9.8 11.2 10.2 3.5 1.3
Source: Bloomberg
-
Download our reports from Bloomberg: BOCMenter
09 July 2015 Morning Express
China Ent Index Constituents
Company BBG Share Mkt 5 d Ytd 52-week PE Yield P/B
name code price cap chg chg Hi Lo 2014A 2015E 2016E
(HK$) (HK$m) (%) (%) (HK$) (HK$) (X) (X) (X) (%) (X)
TSINGTAO BREW-H 168 HK 45.65 60,898 -2.98 -13.21 64.00 42.00 25.64 23.22 21.05 N/A 3.10
JIANGXI COPPER-H 358 HK 10.04 49,423 -22.41 -24.51 18.50 9.65 9.58 12.23 11.13 2.49 0.61
SINOPEC CORP-H 386 HK 6.16 959,395 -7.92 -1.44 8.23 5.90 12.39 16.38 10.91 4.06 0.98
CHINA RAIL GR-H 390 HK 6.41 291,113 -23.42 0.47 12.30 3.96 10.54 9.41 8.41 1.52 1.14
DONGFENG MOTOR-H 489 HK 9.17 79,010 -11.83 -16.48 15.20 8.91 4.92 5.00 4.55 2.72 0.86
CHINA TELECOM-H 728 HK 4.05 327,776 -10.99 -10.79 6.17 3.84 14.74 13.07 11.75 2.35 0.91
AIR CHINA LTD-H 753 HK 8.76 203,501 0.00 39.71 10.20 4.53 22.58 10.66 10.05 0.74 1.70
PETROCHINA-H 857 HK 7.96 2,662,164 -7.98 -7.44 11.70 7.72 10.80 19.19 12.32 4.14 0.99
HUANENG POWER-H 902 HK 8.75 166,135 -18.98 -16.51 11.90 8.23 9.22 7.44 7.51 5.43 1.44
ANHUI CONCH-H 914 HK 23.70 123,142 -12.87 -18.42 34.15 22.55 9.12 9.48 8.65 3.43 1.53
CHINA LONGYUAN-H 916 HK 7.66 61,559 -11.14 -5.08 11.36 7.12 19.26 13.63 11.57 0.97 1.49
CCB-H 939 HK 6.39 1,618,246 -9.75 0.31 7.98 5.34 5.56 5.47 5.20 5.88 0.98
CITIC BANK-H 998 HK 5.50 456,526 -11.00 -11.58 7.40 4.66 5.05 4.97 4.65 N/A 0.76
SHANDONG WEIG-H 1066 HK 4.98 22,292 -13.99 -20.45 8.92 4.11 16.45 15.27 12.98 1.66 1.81
CHINA SHENHUA-H 1088 HK 14.72 438,172 -16.74 -35.86 24.40 14.50 6.06 7.97 7.48 6.28 0.79
SINOPHARM-H 1099 HK 29.55 81,768 -14.22 7.65 41.75 21.80 21.31 18.11 14.83 1.31 2.39
BYD CO LTD-H 1211 HK 30.40 114,949 -34.69 0.16 62.30 18.70 135.19 30.65 24.75 0.00 2.38
ABC-H 1288 HK 3.59 1,554,084 -13.91 -8.42 4.55 3.38 5.14 5.04 4.77 6.33 0.83
NEW CHINA LIFE-H 1336 HK 33.35 165,770 -27.97 -14.81 56.55 26.20 13.02 9.25 8.39 0.79 1.72
PICC GROUP-H 1339 HK 3.76 159,514 -24.19 3.58 5.85 3.04 9.71 8.22 7.66 0.31 1.38
CHINA CINDA-H 1359 HK 3.36 121,822 -22.22 -11.11 5.23 3.20 8.15 6.31 5.26 3.66 1.04
ICBC-H 1398 HK 5.50 2,319,801 -10.71 -2.83 7.10 4.74 5.64 5.58 5.33 N/A 1.00
CHINA COM CONS-H 1800 HK 8.90 266,732 -23.28 -4.61 17.00 5.33 8.26 7.57 6.71 2.41 0.99
CHINA COAL ENE-H 1898 HK 3.63 93,684 -21.60 -25.31 5.60 3.45 246.32 N/A 111.76 0.83 0.44
MINSHENG BANK-H 1988 HK 7.98 431,533 -21.46 -21.76 11.88 6.97 4.88 4.80 4.47 2.90 0.91
CHINA VANKE-H 2202 HK 17.02 183,441 -10.80 -1.62 21.60 13.36 9.53 8.20 7.06 3.67 1.71
GUANGZHOU AUTO-H 2238 HK 6.00 77,941 -16.43 -15.01 9.87 5.78 9.67 8.21 6.67 3.33 0.87
PING AN-H 2318 HK 85.65 843,083 -18.19 8.28 125.80 57.05 13.91 11.50 10.50 1.09 2.11
PICC P&C-H 2328 HK 14.72 218,276 -16.65 -2.39 20.15 11.03 11.33 10.00 9.53 2.29 2.04
GREAT WALL MOT-H 2333 HK 38.00 146,594 0.00 -13.83 60.70 28.90 11.51 8.38 6.97 2.63 2.77
WEICHAI POWER-H 2338 HK 20.55 48,764 -20.50 -37.16 36.40 19.44 6.55 8.72 7.75 1.52 1.01
GREAT WALL MOT-H 2333 HK 38.00 146,594 0.00 -13.83 60.70 28.90 11.51 8.38 6.97 2.63 2.77
CHINA PACIFIC-H 2601 HK 30.85 309,927 -17.07 -21.70 47.10 26.55 20.18 14.67 13.11 2.02 1.91
CHINA LIFE-H 2628 HK 27.90 1,099,914 -17.33 -8.37 41.00 20.25 19.59 13.94 12.21 1.79 2.22
CHINA OILFIELD-H 2883 HK 10.02 79,580 -18.93 -25.56 23.40 9.73 5.09 9.02 7.98 5.98 0.81
CHINA NATL BDG-H 3323 HK 5.85 31,584 -20.19 -22.41 9.85 5.69 4.24 5.03 4.73 3.52 0.62
BANKCOMM-H 3328 HK 7.60 658,868 -5.94 4.97 8.61 5.13 6.81 6.92 6.70 4.44 0.92
CM BANK-H 3968 HK 19.30 563,060 -14.60 -0.82 26.85 13.12 6.96 6.34 5.69 4.34 1.24
BANK OF CHINA-H 3988 HK 4.34 1,834,814 -13.89 -0.69 5.68 3.42 5.68 5.76 5.45 5.47 0.91
CITIC SEC-H 6030 HK 19.10 331,501 -31.66 -34.59 40.50 16.30 12.11 10.26 8.81 N/A 1.62
HAITONG SECURI-H 6837 HK 13.90 237,451 -32.20 -28.79 27.90 11.70 13.91 8.90 8.03 2.25 1.56
Hang Seng China Ent Indx 11,107 5,107,626 -14.44 -7.32 14,962.74 10,097.35 8.12 7.93 7.19 3.83 1.13
Source: Bloomberg
-
Download our reports from Bloomberg: BOCMenter
09 July 2015 Morning Express
BOCOM International
11/F, Man Yee Building, 68 Des Voeux Road, Central, Hong Kong
Main: + 852 3710 3328 Fax: + 852 3798 0133 www.bocomgroup.com
Rating System
Company Rating Sector Rating
Buy: Expect more than 20% upside in 12 months Outperform (OP): Expect more than 10% upside in 12 months
LT Buy: Expect more than 20% upside but longer than 12 months Market perform (MP): Expect low volatility
Neutral: Expect low volatility Underperform (UP): Expect more than 10% downside in 12 months
Sell: Expect more than 20% downside in 12 months
Research Team
Head of Research @bocomgroup.com @bocomgroup.com
Raymond CHENG, CFA, CPA, CA (852) 2977 9393 raymond.cheng
Strategy Economics
Hao HONG, CFA (852) 2977 9384 hao.hong Miaoxian LI (86) 10 8800 9788 - 8043 miaoxian.li
Banks/Network Financials Metals & Mining
Qingli YANG (852) 2977 9212 yangqingli Jovi LI (852) 2977 9243 jovi.li
Shanshan LI, CFA (86) 10 8800 9788 - 8058 lishanshan
Li WAN, CFA (86) 10 8800 9788 - 8051 Wanli
Consumer Discretionary Oil & Gas/ Gas Utilities
Phoebe WONG, CPA (852) 2977 9391 phoebe.wong Fei WU (852) 2977 9392 fei.wu
Anita CHU (852) 2977 9205 anita.chu Tony LIU (852) 2977 9390 xutong.liu
Consumer Staples Property
Summer WANG (852) 2977 9221 summer.wang Alfred LAU, CFA, FRM (852) 2977 9235 alfred.lau
Shawn WU (852) 2977 9386 shawn.wu Philip TSE, CFA, FRM (852) 2977 9220 philip.tse
Luella GUO (852) 2977 9211 luella.guo
Environmental Services Renewable Energy
Wallace CHENG (852) 2977 9387 wallace.cheng Louis SUN (86) 21 6065 3606 louis.sun
Healthcare Telecom & Small/ Mid-Caps
David LI (852) 2977 9203 David.Li Zhiwu LI (852) 2977 9209 lizhiwu
Insurance & Brokerage Transportation & Industrial
Jerry LI (852) 2977 9389 liwenbing Geoffrey CHENG, CFA (852) 2977 9380 geoffrey.cheng
Jennifer ZHANG (852) 2977 9250 yufan.zhang Fay ZHOU (852) 2977 9381 fay.zhou
Internet Automobile
Yuan MA, PhD (86) 10 8800 9788 - 8039 yuan.ma Wei YAO (86) 21 6065 3675 wei.yao
Connie GU, CPA (86) 10 8800 9788 - 8045 conniegu
-
Download our reports from Bloomberg: BOCMenter
09 July 2015 Morning Express
Analyst Certification The authors of this report, hereby declare that: (i) all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect their personal views about any and all of the subject securities or issuers; and (ii) no part of any of their compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in this report; (iii) no insider information/ non-public price-sensitive information in relation to the subject securities or issuers which may influence the recommendations were being received by the authors.
The authors of this report further confirm that (i) neither they nor their respective associates (as defined in the Code of Conduct issued by the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission) have dealt in or traded in the stock(s) covered in this research report within 30 calendar days prior to the date of issue of the report; (ii)) neither they nor their respective associates serve as an officer of any of the Hong Kong listed companies covered in this report; and (iii) neither they nor their respective associates have any financial interests in the stock(s) covered in this report.
Disclosure of relevant business relationships BOCOM International Securities Limited, and/or its associated companies, has investment banking relationship with Bank of Communications, China Shengmu Organic Milk Limited, Broad Greenstate International Company Limited, China National Culture Group Limited, Sichuan Development Holding Co. Ltd., Austar Lifesciences Limited, BAIC Motor Corporation Limited, China Huinong Capital Group Limited, D&G Technology Holding Company Limited, Guolian Securities Co. Ltd., GF Securities Co. Ltd., PuraPharm Corporation Limited, Chiho-Tiande Group Limited, Greenland Hong Kong Holdings Limited, Chinasoft International Limited, Forgame Holdings Limited, Legend Holdings Corporation, Peak Sport Products Co. Limited and Hengtai Securities Co. Ltd. within the preceding 12 months.
BOCOM International Securities Limited currently holds more than 1% of the equity securities of Sanmenxia Tianyuan Aluminum Company Limited.
BOCOM International Holdings Company Limited currently holds more than 1% of the equity securities of Chinasoft International Limited.
Disclaimer By accepting this report (which includes any attachment hereto), the recipient hereof represents and warrants that he is entitled to receive such report in accordance with the restrictions set forth below and agrees to be bound by the limitations contained herein. Any failure to comply with these limitations may constitute a violation of law.
This report is strictly confidential and is for private circulation only to clients of BOCOM International Securities Ltd. This report is being supplied to you strictly on the basis that it will remain confidential. No part of this report may be (i) copied, photocopied, duplicated, stored or reproduced in any form by any means or (ii) redistributed or passed on, directly or indirectly, to any other person in whole or in part, for any purpose without the prior written consent of BOCOM International Securities Ltd.
BOCOM International Securities Ltd, its affiliates and related companies, their directors, associates, connected parties and/or employees may own or have positions in securities of the company(ies) covered in this report or any securities related thereto and may from time to time add to or dispose of, or may be interested in, any such securities. Further, BOCOM International Securities Ltd, its affiliates and its related companies may do and seek to do business with the company(ies) covered in this report and may from time to time act as market maker or have assumed an underwriting commitment in securities of such company(ies), may sell them to or buy them from customers on a principal basis and may also perform or seek to perform investment banking, advisory, underwriting, financing or other services for or relating to such company(ies) as well as solicit such investment, advisory, financing or other services from any entity mentioned in this report. In reviewing this report, an investor should be aware that any or all of the foregoing, among other things, may give rise to real or potential conflicts of interest.
The information contained in this report is prepared from data and sources believed to be correct and reliable at the time of issue of this report. This report does not purport to contain all the information that a prospective investor may require and may be subject to late delivery, interruption and interception. BOCOM International Securities Ltd does not make any guarantee, representation or warranty, express or implied, as to the adequacy, accuracy, completeness, reliability or fairness of any such information and opinion contained in this report and accordingly, neither BOCOM International Securities Ltd nor any of its affiliates nor its related persons shall not be liable in any manner whatsoever for any consequences (including but not limited to any direct, indirect or consequential losses, loss of profits and damages) of any reliance thereon or usage thereof.
This report is general in nature and has been prepared for information purposes only. It is intended for circulation amongst BOCOM International Securities Ltds clients generally and does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and the particular needs of any specific person who may receive this report. The information and opinions in this report are not and should not be construed or considered as an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell the subject securities, related investments or other financial instruments thereof.
The views, recommendations, advice and opinions in this report may not necessarily reflect those of BOCOM International Securities Ltd or any of its affiliates, and are subject to change without notice. BOCOM International Securities Ltd has no obligation to update its opinion or the information in this report.
Investors are advised to make their own independent evaluation of the information contained in this research report, consider their own individual investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs and consult their own professional and financial advisers as to the legal, business, financial, tax and other aspects before participating in any transaction in respect of the securities of company(ies) covered in this report. The securities of such company(ies) may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to all categories of investors.
This report is not directed to, or intended for distribution to or use by, any person or entity who is a citizen or resident of or located in any locality, state, country or other jurisdiction where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to any law, regulation, rule or other registration or licensing requirement.
BOCOM International Securities Ltd is a wholly owned subsidiary of Bank of Communications Co Ltd.