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Battery storage technology improvements and cost reductions to 2030: A Deep Dive International Renewable Energy Agency Workshop Dusseldorf, 17.03.2017 Kai-Philipp Kairies, ISEA / RWTH Aachen International Renewable Energy Agency

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Page 1: Battery storage technology improvements and cost ...€¦ · Battery storage technology improvements and cost reductions to 2030: ... IRENA event on 'Battery storage cost and market

Battery storage technology improvements and cost reductions to 2030: A Deep Dive

International Renewable Energy Agency Workshop

Dusseldorf, 17.03.2017 Kai-Philipp Kairies, ISEA / RWTH Aachen

International Renewable Energy Agency

Page 2: Battery storage technology improvements and cost ...€¦ · Battery storage technology improvements and cost reductions to 2030: ... IRENA event on 'Battery storage cost and market

Agenda

2

Technology

IWHH#E --

Application

17.03.2017 I Kai-Philipp Kairies

• Battery performance and cost

o The current and future cost and performance of

battery electricity storage for electric power

• Calculating the cost of service of electricity

storage

• Example calculations

o Load leveling

o Rural electrification

International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA) �IRENA International Renewable Energy Agency

Page 3: Battery storage technology improvements and cost ...€¦ · Battery storage technology improvements and cost reductions to 2030: ... IRENA event on 'Battery storage cost and market

Overview: Storage Technologies

• Mechanical Storage Systems o Pumped Hydro Storage

o Compressed Air Energy Storage

o Flywheels

• Lead-Acid Batteries o Flooded / VRLA

3 17.03.2017 I Kai-Philipp Kairies International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA)

• High Temperature Batteries o NaNiCI / NaS

• Flow Batteries o Vanadium Flow / ZnBr Hybrid Flow

• Lithium-Ion Batteries o NMC / NCA / LFP / Titanate

~ IRENA International Renewable Energy Agency

Page 4: Battery storage technology improvements and cost ...€¦ · Battery storage technology improvements and cost reductions to 2030: ... IRENA event on 'Battery storage cost and market

Overview: Storage Technologies

• Cost development • Performance development o Energy installation costs [USO/kWh] o Cyclic lifetime

o Power installation costs [USO/kW] o Calendric lifetime

o Round-trip-efficiency

• Electrochemical properties o Self-discharge

o Energy density D .. .

o Power density

o Power dynamics

4 17.03.2017 I Kai-Philipp Kairies International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA) ~ IRENA

International Renewable Energy Agency

Page 5: Battery storage technology improvements and cost ...€¦ · Battery storage technology improvements and cost reductions to 2030: ... IRENA event on 'Battery storage cost and market

Overview: Power Conversion Units

• Power conversion units can have a • Inverter significant influence on the cost of o Small scale <= 30 kW service, depending on the o Large scale > 30 kW application

• No inverter • Electric machines o For DC applications

o PHS / CAES / Flywheel

5 17.03.2017 I Kai-Philipp Kairies International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA)

~ IRENA International Renewable Energy Agency

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Overview: Methodology

6

> 150 literature sources

Tt<:hnology ~ on Ele(:trld!yS~ ________ .. _ _ ,,,..._ .... _..,..

- ··-·-......... ---·--·--

17.03.2017 I Dirk Uwe Sauer

Background report

(t® IRENA Inferno 0001 ~·/Obie E"lergy Agency

9 Events

IRENA event on 'Battery storage cost and market outlook 2030' 15 - 16 March 2017 Dosseldorf, Gem1any

International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA)

Expert interviews

~ [2]

~ IRENA International Renewable Energy Agency

Page 7: Battery storage technology improvements and cost ...€¦ · Battery storage technology improvements and cost reductions to 2030: ... IRENA event on 'Battery storage cost and market

Cost development of different storage technologies USO/kWh

1.200 ~-----~---------r--------------------

Lead-Acid High-Temp Flow Batt Lithium-Ion 1.000 -+-------+------~-----~---------------I

800 -+-------+-------+-----I

600 -+-------+-------+-----I

400 -+------~-.....-----------i

200 -+--------I

0

• 2016

• 2030

Flooded LA VRLA NaNiCI NaS Vanadium ZnBr Flow NCA NMC/LMO LiFeP04 Titanate

0%

-58% -64% -64% -58% -58% -58%

-100% ~---------------------------------

7 17.03.2017 I Kai-Philipp Kairies International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA) ~ IRENA

International Renewable Energy Agency

Page 8: Battery storage technology improvements and cost ...€¦ · Battery storage technology improvements and cost reductions to 2030: ... IRENA event on 'Battery storage cost and market

Potentials of multi-use of electric vehicles

-60 60 .r::.

e ~ I.!) - .._..

~ 55 55 0 cYl (.,? e 0 ........

0 (\,I

M 50 50 C:

0 ('\J Location a: C: a:

Metr ic China Germany California UK LL a: 45 Assumed share of electric cars in 2030 30% 20% 20% 20% 45 ~ a: Q. l-

Average battery capacity of electric cars [kwh] 20 20 20 20 Q.

>, :::;

a. 40 Average charging power [kW] 40 Vl 22 22 22 22 0 a. ....,

:J Average percentage of cars connected to charger at all times 5% 5% 5% 5% -:I 1/)

0 35 Inhabitants (Mio] 35 Q)

1,357 80 39 64 1/) ...., ::l

"O Number of automobiles [Mio] 175 45 29 32 (I) Q) .c Vl ::, 30 30 s::: (l) ro .c V

C: ...., CD ro 25 25 .c: u ....

..,J >, ro ...., .r::. u ...., 20 20 nJ i,..

Q. Q)

~ ro u 0 15 15 (l) a. Cl ro ca

i,.. ...., 0 C: 10 10

...., (l) 1/) ....,

(t) 0 Cl. '..:;

5 5 C: <lJ ....,

0 0 0 Q.

China Germany Cal1forn1a UK

8 / 17.03.2017 I Kai-Philipp Kairies International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA) ~ IRENA

International Renewable Energy Agency

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Performance: Batteries are already offering excellent lifetimes {cyclic lifetime, 2016)

max. cycles 14.000 -.-------------,------+---------+-------------

Lead-Acid High-Temp 12 .000 -+-------------,------+----t

10 .000 -+------------<------+-----I

8.000 -+------------<------+-----I

6.000 -+------------<------+-----I

4. 000 -+--------------<----

0

Elow Batt Lithium-Ion

Flooded LA VRLA NaNiCI NaS Vanadium ZnBr Flow NCA NMC/LMO LiFeP04 Titanate

• Calendric aging most important factor

• Stationary applications: Storage systems often do not utilize their maximum cycles

9 17.03.2017 I Kai-Philipp Kairies International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA) ~ IRENA

International Renewable Energy Agency

Page 10: Battery storage technology improvements and cost ...€¦ · Battery storage technology improvements and cost reductions to 2030: ... IRENA event on 'Battery storage cost and market

Performance: Batteries are already offering excellent lifetimes {calender lifetime, 2030)

Years lifetime 25 ~-----------------------------

10

5

0

10 17.03.2017 I Kai-Philipp Kairies International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA) ~ IRENA

International Renewable Energy Agency

Page 11: Battery storage technology improvements and cost ...€¦ · Battery storage technology improvements and cost reductions to 2030: ... IRENA event on 'Battery storage cost and market

Detailed information for 15 storage technologies available

11 /

Pum1

• DevE

Compresse<

• Adiabatic CAE

Improve effici energy

• Only two facili

a Huntdorf (Ge,

Flywheel Electricil

• Very high self-<lischa1

a Used in high frequen, applications

• New concepts

a High density fly-whee

" Superconducting bea

Cycle life

Lead-Acid Batteries !Gel/AGM\ Lead-Acid B,

• Extens ive ope, many stationar

n Requires refilli

• New concepts

u Carbon electrc

- Copper stretcl

Cycle life

Calender life

Round-trip elf1ele1

• Extensive operat many stalionary

a No refilling requ

• New concepts

o Carbon electrod

c Copper stretch ,

Cycle Ide

Calender life

Round-trip effic1en

Lithium-Ion Batter

• Substantial scale effe internat ional transitio, elect ro mobility

• New concepts

c Silicon anode

" 5 V electrolytes

Cycle life

Lithium-Ion Batteries (LFP)

• Comparably low energy density

o Lower effic•---..

" Increased·

• No expensh required

Lithium-Ion Batteries (Titanate)

• Excellent cycle life and high-power performance

o Used in electric busses for fast chargi

o No a Mel ntosh (U~ Calender life

Round-trip efficiency

Self-discharge

Sett-discharge Sett-discharge

Energy installation I

Calender life

Round-trip efficiency

Sett-discharge

Cycle life

calender life

Round-tripeffi

sett-dischargE

Energy instal~

Power lnstalla

0 ~~~r'; Lithium-Ion Batteries (NCA) • New Cycle life

a US< Calender me o Util Round-tnp effic,e - Sett-discharge

Energy installat10n costs

Power installation costs

Energy installa Power installation c

Power installatlor

" " 1&0370171~ --1'031<t171Ke!-"'1 ----------

) ! ~1::::::::~::-::,::":":.,---------...

Energy 1nslallat10n costs

Power installation costs

Cycle I Energy installatK -:;:;:;--~;;:;;~-=~""';:':;""~~-=~:--':!:"'111111••••• .... , » 140,~11 I r,c catenc PowerinstaJlationcosts USO/kW 945,0 781,6 712,7 693,4 -27% ._ _____ ..,"'

Roun~ .., :.:_ro.=.,1,::::t:;~.,tR~I (t~ ... IR~L' Sett-die_~----------.... --.... - -,,--...,---....,-..--'

Highc -Cycle life

Calender

Round-tr!

Self-<lisct

Energy I~

Powerim

• Substantial scale effects due to international transition towards electro mobility

High-Temperature Batteries (ZEBRA)

• -350°C operating temperature n Th.i:>rm:111 m:11n:11n,:.~nt r,:.,,11irM

Energy ,nstaffation costs USO/kWh 21,0 21,0 21,0 21,0

Power installation costs USD/kW 840,0 840,0 840,0 840,0 +0% +0%

High-Temperature Batteries (NaS)

29 1'012011 I Ka~II.M1

- - ,-, Battery Inverters (> 30kW)

• Synergies with PV inverters and traction converters (e-mobility)

• New concepts

o Improved capacitors

c Innovative topologies (e.g. feed­forward controls)

I unit I 2016 I 2020 I 2025 I 2030 I delta

Cycle Ille

Calender life years

Round-trip efficiency %

Sett-discharge %per day

Energy installation costs USO/kWh

Power installation costs USO/kW

" 1,0020,,1~ ..... Nll'IM .,_...,,.,,..~EIWll'9'f~'l41tDW

15,0 16,8 19,3 22,3

98,0 98,0 98,0 98,0

105,0 89,5 68,9 53,1

~ IRENA

14 00'8HI N11'!1t!PO ~ ~~ E'*DY>ottt'ftRHAl

17.03.2017 I Kai-Philipp Kairies International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA)

' EmfflllfflTlam!I 10k 10k 10k +0% ,0

11,4 13,5 16,0 +60% ,0 72,2

72,2 75,1 78,1 +12% ,2 0,2

15,0 15,0 15,0 +0% 7 268

696 475 324 -64% ,5 1063,8

~ IRENA __ __,....,_~

+0%

16,2 +60%

75,1 78,1 +12%

0,2 0,2 +0%

183 125 -64% 818,2 660,7 -50%

~ IRENA -- ... -·-"-""

21,4 24,3

83,2 85,0

7,0 7,0 7,0

436 326 243

~ IRENA

~ IRENA International Renewable Energy Agency

Page 12: Battery storage technology improvements and cost ...€¦ · Battery storage technology improvements and cost reductions to 2030: ... IRENA event on 'Battery storage cost and market

Main Development Drivers Lead-Acid Batteries {Flooded and VRLA)

• Production automation o Stationary lead-acid batteries are

often produced in semi-automated plants

o Scales and production automation can substantially decrease prices

• Further optimization of the cell design and additives promise to increases performance

• Largest risk: Competition of lithium-ion batteries in traditional lead-acid applications

12 / 17.03.2017 I Kai-Philipp Kairies International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA)

• Innovative developments o Copper stretch metal

o Carbon added electrodes

o Hybridization (e.g. combining with lithium-ion or flywheels)

~ IRENA International Renewable Energy Agency

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Main Development Drivers Lithium-Ion Batteries

• Differentiation between 4 different technologies o NMC/LMO, NCA, LFeP04 and

Titanate

• International transition towards electro mobility leads to substantial scale effects (NCA NMC/LMO) o 70°/o price reduction since 2012

• > 170 GWh / year production capacities projected for 2020 o Tesla Gigafactory /BYD/ CALB / ...

o LG Chem / Foxconn I CATL / ...

13 / 17.03.2017 I Kai-Philipp Kairies International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA)

• Innovative developments o Mass production

o Utilize silicon in anode

o Durable LMO cathodes

o 5 V electrolytes

o Lithium-Sulphur

o Lithium-Air

~ IRENA International Renewable Energy Agency

Page 14: Battery storage technology improvements and cost ...€¦ · Battery storage technology improvements and cost reductions to 2030: ... IRENA event on 'Battery storage cost and market

Main Development Drivers High-Temperature Batteries {NaS and ZEBRA)

• Sodium Sulfur (NaS) o Potential for very low cost active

materials

o Corrosion needs to be controlled

• "Low temperature" electrolytes (-150 °C) can o Reduce corrosion I Increase lifetime

o Reduce thermal self-discharge

o But low max. power, only stationary applications

14 / 17.03.2017 I Kai-Philipp Kairies International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA)

• Innovative developments o Larger cell stacks promise cheaper

production costs

o Development of low cost corrosion resistant materials (e.g. coatings, joints, ... )

~ IRENA International Renewable Energy Agency

Page 15: Battery storage technology improvements and cost ...€¦ · Battery storage technology improvements and cost reductions to 2030: ... IRENA event on 'Battery storage cost and market

Main Development Drivers Flow Batteries {Vanadium and ZnBr)

• Flow batteries offer an independent design of storage- and power capacity o Optimal for high E/P ratio

applications

• Production of larger cell packs promises higher outputs at lower costs

• In order to compete, electrolyte and active material costs need to fall below 100 USO/kWh

15 / 17.03.2017 I Kai-Philipp Kairies International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA)

• Innovative developments o Improved membrane production

o Improve calendric lifetime of electrolyte

o Aqueous electrolytes (saltwater) flow batteries

~ IRENA International Renewable Energy Agency

Page 16: Battery storage technology improvements and cost ...€¦ · Battery storage technology improvements and cost reductions to 2030: ... IRENA event on 'Battery storage cost and market

Agenda

16

Technology

IWHHi!E

--Application

17.03.2017 I Kai-Philipp Kairies

• Battery performance and cost o The current and future cost and performance of

battery electricity storage for electric power

• Calculating the cost of service of electricity storage

• Example calculations o Load leveling

o Rural electrification

International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA) ~ IRENA International Renewable Energy Agency

Page 17: Battery storage technology improvements and cost ...€¦ · Battery storage technology improvements and cost reductions to 2030: ... IRENA event on 'Battery storage cost and market

Calculating Cost of Service for ESS

• Definition of ,,Cost of Service"

o Different value of storage depending on application ( energy vs. power)

o Different battery lifetime depending on application

• Applications defined by four parameters

o Power

o E/P ratio

o Cycles per day

o Electricity price

17 17.03.2017 I Dirk Uwe Sauer International Renewable Energy Agency (!RENA)

Cell prices

Efficiency

Technology

Balance of System

Lifetime

Application

~ IRENA International Renewable Energy Agency

Page 18: Battery storage technology improvements and cost ...€¦ · Battery storage technology improvements and cost reductions to 2030: ... IRENA event on 'Battery storage cost and market

Calculating Cost of Service for ESS

• Definition of ,,Cost of Service"

o Different value of storage depending on application ( energy vs. power)

o Different battery lifetime depending on application

• Applications defined by four parameters

Cell prices

Efficiency

Technology

Balance of System

Lifetime

Application

+ Invest (Energy Storage Unit) + Maintenance (Energy Storage Unit)

18

+ Invest (Power Conversion Unit) + Invest (Other, i.e. planning, land) + Conversion losses + Self-discharge losses

17.03.2017 I Dirk Uwe Sauer International Renewable Energy Agency (!RENA)

+ Maintenance (Power Conversion Unit) + Running costs (Other, i.e. rent)

~ IRENA International Renewable Energy Agency

Page 19: Battery storage technology improvements and cost ...€¦ · Battery storage technology improvements and cost reductions to 2030: ... IRENA event on 'Battery storage cost and market

Storage Application

• Grid Services o Enhanced Frequency Response

o Frequency Containment Reserve

o Frequency Restoration Reserve

o Energy Shifting

• Behind-the-meter o Solar Self consumption

o Community Storage

o Increased Power Quality

o Peak Shaving

o Time-of-lse

• Off-grid o Nano-grid

o Village Electrification

o Island Grid

19 17.03.2017 I Kai-Philipp Kairies International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA) ~ IRENA

International Renewable Energy Agency

Page 20: Battery storage technology improvements and cost ...€¦ · Battery storage technology improvements and cost reductions to 2030: ... IRENA event on 'Battery storage cost and market

Effect of different locations I countries

• Local conditions can have a significant impact on the calculation of Cost of Service o Land costs

o Interest rate

o Grid connection point

o Electricity price

o Maintenance costs

• Temperature I Humidity/ Salt spray

• Costs of labour

• Different storage system design for different parts of the world

20 17.03.2017 I Kai-Philipp Kairies International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA) ~ IRENA

International Renewable Energy Agency

Page 21: Battery storage technology improvements and cost ...€¦ · Battery storage technology improvements and cost reductions to 2030: ... IRENA event on 'Battery storage cost and market

Agenda

21

Technology

IWHHi!E

--Application

17.03.2017 I Kai-Philipp Kairies

• Battery performance and cost o The current and future cost and performance of

battery electricity storage for electric power

• Calculating the cost of service of electricity storage

• Example calculations o Load leveling

o Rural electrification

International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA) ~ IRENA International Renewable Energy Agency

Page 22: Battery storage technology improvements and cost ...€¦ · Battery storage technology improvements and cost reductions to 2030: ... IRENA event on 'Battery storage cost and market

Example 1: Peak shifting {,,power applications")

Application

• Industrial peak shaving o 200 kW rated power

o 5 kWh nomical capacity

o O ,6 cycles per day

Storage Technologies

• Li-Ion (LFP)

• Li-Ion (Titanate)

• Redox-Flow (ZbBr)

Results

• Cost of power per year [USO/kW]

22 I 17.03.2017 I Kai-Philipp Kairies International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA) ~ IRENA

International Renewable Energy Agency

Page 23: Battery storage technology improvements and cost ...€¦ · Battery storage technology improvements and cost reductions to 2030: ... IRENA event on 'Battery storage cost and market

Cost of service: Peak shifting USO/kW

140 ~-----------------------------

120

100

80

60

40

20

0 2016 2020

23 17.03.2017 I Dirk Uwe Sauer International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA)

2025

• Flywheel

• Li-Ion (LFP)

• NaS

2030

~ IRENA International Renewable Energy Agency

Page 24: Battery storage technology improvements and cost ...€¦ · Battery storage technology improvements and cost reductions to 2030: ... IRENA event on 'Battery storage cost and market

Example 2: Rural electrification

Application

• Large Scale Energy storage: o 1060 GW rated power

o 9 GWh nomical capacity

o O ,8 cycles per day

Storage Technologies

• Pumped Hydro Storage

• Redox-Flow (Vanadium)

• Lead Acid batteries (Flooded)

Results

• Cost of energy [USO/kWh]

24 I 17.03.2017 I Kai-Philipp Kairies International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA) ~ IRENA

International Renewable Energy Agency

Page 25: Battery storage technology improvements and cost ...€¦ · Battery storage technology improvements and cost reductions to 2030: ... IRENA event on 'Battery storage cost and market

Cost of service: Rural electrification US Oct/kWh

120 ~------------------------------

• Zn Br Flow

• Flooded LA

• Li-Ion (NMC) 80

60

40

20

0 2016 2020 2025 2030

25 17.03.2017 I Kai-Philipp Kairies International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA) ~ IRENA

International Renewable Energy Agency

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Image sources

http://mms.businesswire.com/bwapps/mediaserverNiewMedia?mgid=298837&vid=5

2 http://tohami.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/photo _ 538x353.jpg

3 http ://aemstatic-ww2. azureedge. net/content/dam/HRW N olume-23/lssue6/goldisthal_pumped-storage _power _plant_ Source_ Vattenfall .jpg

4 http://www.climatetechwiki.org/sites/climatetechwiki.org/files/images/teaser/blob.jpg

5 http://www.climatetechwiki.org/sites/climatetechwiki.org/files/images/teaser/f1ywheels.jpg

6 http://www.multicell.co.uk/images/products/l-marine-FLAjpg

7 http ://www.windpowerengineering.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/03/Enersys 1-battery-edite _ opt.jpeg

9 http://www.batterysupplies.be/sites/default/files/images/Litium-cells.jpg

10 http ://www. sealedperformance. com.au/wp-content/uploads/2015/09/Lithium2-4 70x290 .jpg

11 http://foto.genstr.com/upload/c/c5/cc51 ceac 75d9d1 d65bf9c8204e233638.jpg

12 http ://www. metric mind. com/ac _honda/images/zebra .jpg

13 https ://www. energy-storage. news/images/made/assets/images/editorial/xNas _ batteries _low _res_ 750_500_s.jpg.pagespeed.ic.1Uc5YUX6ik.jpg

14 https ://www. frau n hofer. d el d e/p resse/presse informatio nen/201 3/M aerz/Durc h b ru c h-fuer-neu a rtige-Stroms peicher-Redox-F low/j c r _ content/contentPar/pressarticle/pressArticleParsys/textblockwithpics/imageComponent1 /image .img. large .jpg/1446811046399 _ pi 16-g-redox-flow.jpg

15 http://www.energy-without-carbon.org/sites/default/files/Flow%20battery%20redflow.jpg

16 http ://www.kingislandrenewableenergy.com.au/sites/all/files/kireip/imagecache/lightbox _image/images/hero/hydro_ tasmania _ to _install_ australias _largest_battery _ on_king_island/ecoult_battery _ at_hampton_ wind_farm_ 1 .jpg

17 http ://www. presa. com.au/wp-content/uploads/2015/07 /solar-panels-hail.jpg

18 http://www.erantiengineering.fi/picts/pilot-wind-turbine.jpg

19 https ://www.homepower.com/sites/default/files/styles/article _gallery_ active/public/articles/ images/165-48e .jpg?itok=LMt8pgq2

20 https://www.google.de/imgres?imgurl=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.ev-power.com.au%2FIMG%2Fjpg%2FIMGP3524a.jpg&imgrefurl=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.ev-power.com.au%2F-p ROJECTS-. html&docid=gTOc20j3FivCOM&tbnid=RI PAmmrBn91 wBM%3A&vet= 1 &w=7 40&h=564&bih=770&biw= 1600&q=off%20grid%20solar% 20storage&ved=OahUKEwiuqqKKmdjSAhXDVRQKHd5fBPgQMwhSKCwwLA&iact=mrc&uact=B#h=564&imgrc=RIPAmmrBn91wBM:&vet=1&w=740

21 http ://industries. ul.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2013/11 /UL _Industries_ E NERGYINDUST RIAL SOL_ Segmentlanding_ Batteries .jpg

Unless otherwise stated, all used pictures are property of the Institute for Power Electronics and Electrical Drives (ISEA) at Aachen University (RWTH Aachen)

26 17.03.2017 I Kai-Philipp Kairies International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA) ~ IRENA

International Renewable Energy Agency

Page 27: Battery storage technology improvements and cost ...€¦ · Battery storage technology improvements and cost reductions to 2030: ... IRENA event on 'Battery storage cost and market

Battery storage technology improvements and cost reductions to 2030: A Deep Dive

International Renewable Energy Agency Workshop

Dusseldorf, 17.03.2017 Kai-Philipp Kairies

International Renewable Energy Agency

Page 28: Battery storage technology improvements and cost ...€¦ · Battery storage technology improvements and cost reductions to 2030: ... IRENA event on 'Battery storage cost and market

Detailed information on storage technologies

International Renewable Energy Agency Workshop

Dusseldorf, 17.03.2017 Kai-Philipp Kairies

International Renewable Energy Agency

Page 29: Battery storage technology improvements and cost ...€¦ · Battery storage technology improvements and cost reductions to 2030: ... IRENA event on 'Battery storage cost and market

Pumped Hydro Electricity Storage {PHES):

• Developed technology o No major improvements expected

• New concepts o Use sea water as lower reservoir

o Utilize mining shafts

I

'unit 2016 2020 2025 2030 delta '

Cycle life 50k 50k 50k 50k + OOfo

Calender life years 60,0 60,0 60,0 60,0 +0%

Round-trip efficiency % 80,0 80,0 80,0 80,0 +0%

Self-discharge % per day 0,0 0,0 0,0 0,0 +0%

Energy installation costs USO/kWh 21 ,0 21 ,0 21 ,0 21 ,0 +0%

Power installation costs USO/kW 840,0 840,0 840,0 840,0 +0%

29 17.03.2017 I Kai-Philipp Kairies ~ IRENA International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA) International Renewable Energy Agency

Page 30: Battery storage technology improvements and cost ...€¦ · Battery storage technology improvements and cost reductions to 2030: ... IRENA event on 'Battery storage cost and market

Compressed Air Electricity Storage {CAES):

• Adiabatic CAES o Improve efficiency by storing thermal

energy

• Only two facilities worldwide o Huntdorf (Germany)

o McIntosh (USA) I

'unit '

Cycle life

Calender life years

Round-trip efficiency %

Self-discharge % per day

Energy installation costs USO/kWh

Power installation costs USO/kW

30 17.03.2017 I Kai-Philipp Kairies International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA)

2016

50k

50,0

60,0

0,5

52,5

945,0

2020 2025 2030 delta

50k 50k 50k + OOfo

50,0 50,0 50,0 +0%

64,0 67,0 68,0 +13%

0,5 0,5 0,5 +0%

48,1 45,7 44,2 -16%

781 ,6 712,7 693,4 -27%

~ IRENA International Renewable Energy Agency

Page 31: Battery storage technology improvements and cost ...€¦ · Battery storage technology improvements and cost reductions to 2030: ... IRENA event on 'Battery storage cost and market

Flywheel Electricity Storage

• Very high self-discharge o Used in high frequency / high power

applications

• New concepts o High density fly-wheels

o Superconducting bearings I

'unit '

Cycle life

Calender life years

Round-trip efficiency %

Self-discharge % per day

Energy installation costs USO/kWh

Power installation costs USO/kW

31 17.03.2017 I Kai-Philipp Kairies International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA)

2016 2020 2025 2030 delta

200k 225k 260k 303k + 51 Ofo

20,0 22,5 26,1 30,3 + 51 %

84,0 85,0 86,0 87,0 +4%

60,0 53,1 45,6 39,2 -35%

3000,0 2655,9 2280,7 1958,5 -35%

300,0 265,6 228,1 195,9 -35%

~ IRENA International Renewable Energy Agency

Page 32: Battery storage technology improvements and cost ...€¦ · Battery storage technology improvements and cost reductions to 2030: ... IRENA event on 'Battery storage cost and market

Lead-Acid Batteries {Flooded)

• Extensive operating experience in many stationary applications o Requires refilling

• New concepts o Carbon electrodes

o Copper stretch metal I

'unit '

Cycle life

Calender life years

Round-trip efficiency %

Self-discharge % per day

Energy installation costs USO/kWh

Power installation costs USO/kW

32 17.03.2017 I Kai-Philipp Kairies International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA)

2016

1500

9,0

82,0

0,3

147

2020 2025 2030 delta

1867 2454 3225 + 115°/o

9,9 11 ,3 12,8 +42%

83,0 84,2 85,5 +4%

0,3 0,3 0,3 +0%

127 99 77 -47%

~ IRENA International Renewable Energy Agency

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Lead-Acid Batteries {Gel/AGM)

• Extensive operating experience in many stationary applications o No refilling required

• New concepts o Carbon electrodes

o Copper stretch metal I

'unit '

Cycle life

Calender life years

Round-trip efficiency %

Self-discharge % per day

Energy installation costs USO/kWh

Power installation costs USO/kW

33 17.03.2017 I Kai-Philipp Kairies International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA)

2016

1500

9,0

80,0

0,3

263

2020 2025 2030 delta

1867 2454 3225 + 115°/o

9,9 11 ,3 12,8 +42%

81 ,0 82,2 83,4 +4%

0,3 0,3 0,3 +0%

226 177 138 -47%

~ IRENA International Renewable Energy Agency

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Lithium-Ion Batteries {NMC/LMO)

• Substantial scale effects due to international transition towards electro mobility

• New concepts o Silicon anode

o 5 V electrolytes I

'unit '

Cycle life

Calender life years

Round-trip efficiency %

Self-discharge % per day

Energy installation costs USO/kWh

Power installation costs USO/kW

34 17.03.2017 I Kai-Philipp Kairies International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA)

2016

2000

12,0

92,0

0,1

420

2020 2025 2030 delta

2406 3031 3819 + 91 Ofo

13,6 15,8 18,4 + 53%

92,5 93,1 93,7 +2%

0,1 0,1 0,1 +0%

339 244 176 -58%

~ IRENA International Renewable Energy Agency

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Lithium-Ion Batteries {LFP)

• Comparably low energy density o Lower efficiency

o Increased safety

• No expensive metals (Ni, Co, Al, .. ) required

I

'unit '

Cycle life

Calender life years

Round-trip efficiency %

Self-discharge % per day

Energy installation costs USO/kWh

Power installation costs USO/kW

35 17.03.2017 I Kai-Philipp Kairies International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA)

2016

2500

12,0

86,0

0,1

578

[9]

2020 2025 2030 delta

3008 3789 4774 + 91 Ofo

13,6 15,8 18,4 + 53%

86,5 87,0 87,6 +2%

0,1 0,1 0,1 +0%

466 336 242 -58%

~ IRENA International Renewable Energy Agency

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Lithium-Ion Batteries {Titanate)

• Excellent cycle life and high-power performance o Used in electric busses for fast

charging

o Very low energy density compared to other lithium-ion batteries

o High costs due to low scales

I

'unit '

Cycle life

Calender life years

Round-trip efficiency %

Self-discharge % per day

Energy installation costs USO/kWh

Power installation costs USO/kW

36 17.03.2017 I Kai-Philipp Kairies International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA)

2016

10k

15,0

96,0

0,1

1050

2020 2025 2030 delta

12k 15k 19k + 91 Ofo

16,9 19,7 23,0 + 53%

96,5 97,1 97,8 +2%

0,1 0,1 0,1 +0%

880 665 502 -52%

~ IRENA International Renewable Energy Agency

Page 37: Battery storage technology improvements and cost ...€¦ · Battery storage technology improvements and cost reductions to 2030: ... IRENA event on 'Battery storage cost and market

Lithium-Ion Batteries {NCA)

• Substantial scale effects due to international transition towards electro mobility

• High energy density o Low material costs per kWh

I

'unit '

Cycle life

Calender life years

Round-trip efficiency %

Self-discharge % per day

Energy installation costs USO/kWh

Power installation costs USO/kW

37 17.03.2017 I Kai-Philipp Kairies International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA)

2016

1000

12,0

92,0

0,2

352

2020 2025 2030 delta

1203 1516 1910 + 91 Ofo

13,6 15,8 18,4 + 53%

92,5 93,1 93,7 +2%

0,2 0,2 0,2 +0%

284 204 147 -58%

~ IRENA International Renewable Energy Agency

Page 38: Battery storage technology improvements and cost ...€¦ · Battery storage technology improvements and cost reductions to 2030: ... IRENA event on 'Battery storage cost and market

High-Temperature Batteries {ZEBRA)

• -350°C operating temperature o Thermal management required

o Thermal self-discharge

• New concepts o Lower operating temperatures

o Corrosion-resistant materials I

'unit 2016 2020 2025 2030 delta '

Cycle life 3000 3377 3914 4538 + 51 Ofo

Calender life years 15,0 16,9 19,6 22,7 + 51 %

Round-trip efficiency % 84,0 85,0 86,0 87,0 +4%

Self-discharge % per day 5,0 5,0 5,0 5,0 +0%

Energy installation costs USO/kWh 399 323 234 169 -58%

Power installation costs USO/kW

38 17.03.2017 I Kai-Philipp Kairies ~ IRENA International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA) International Renewable Energy Agency

Page 39: Battery storage technology improvements and cost ...€¦ · Battery storage technology improvements and cost reductions to 2030: ... IRENA event on 'Battery storage cost and market

High-Temperature Batteries {NaS)

• Potential for very low prices o Sodium and sulfur abundantly

available

o High corrosion requires expensive components

I

'unit '

Cycle life

Calender life years

Round-trip efficiency %

Self-discharge % per day

Energy installation costs USO/kWh

Power installation costs USO/kW

39 17.03.2017 I Kai-Philipp Kairies International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA)

2016

5000

17,0

80,0

7,0

525

2020 2025 2030 delta

5614 6489 7500 + 50°/o

18,8 21 ,4 24,3 +43%

81 ,4 83,2 85,0 +6%

7,0 7,0 7,0 +0%

436 326 243 -54%

~ IRENA International Renewable Energy Agency

Page 40: Battery storage technology improvements and cost ...€¦ · Battery storage technology improvements and cost reductions to 2030: ... IRENA event on 'Battery storage cost and market

Redox-Flow Batteries (Vanadium)

• Only one active material (V) o No cross contamination

o Very good cyclic lifetime

• New concepts o Improved membranes

o Calendric lifetime critical I

'unit 2016 2020 2025 2030 delta '

Cycle life 13k 13k 13k 13k + 001o

Calender life years 12,0 13,7 16,2 19,2 +60%

Round-trip efficiency % 70,0 72,2 75,1 78,1 +12%

Self-discharge % per day 0,2 0,2 0,2 0,2 +0%

Energy installation costs USO/kWh 347 268 183 125 -64%

Power installation costs USO/kW 1312,5 1063,8 818,2 660,7 -50%

40 17.03.2017 I Kai-Philipp Kairies ~ IRENA International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA) International Renewable Energy Agency

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Redox-Flow Batteries (ZnBr)

• Comparably high energy densities o Very high cyclic lifetime

o Zn and Br abundantly available

• Complex BMS required o Dendrite growth requires regular full

discharge I

'unit '

Cycle life

Calender life years

Round-trip efficiency %

Self-discharge % per day

Energy installation costs USO/kWh

Power installation costs USO/kW

41 17.03.2017 I Kai-Philipp Kairies International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA)

2016

10k

10,0

70,0

15,0

900

2020 2025 2030 delta

10k 10k 10k + OOfo

11 ,4 13,5 16,0 +60%

72,2 75,1 78,1 +12%

15,0 15,0 15,0 +0%

696 475 324 -64%

~ IRENA International Renewable Energy Agency

Page 42: Battery storage technology improvements and cost ...€¦ · Battery storage technology improvements and cost reductions to 2030: ... IRENA event on 'Battery storage cost and market

Battery Inverters (> 30kW)

• Synergies with PV inverters and traction converters ( e-mobility)

• New concepts o Improved capacitors

o Innovative topologies (e.g. feed-forward controls)

I

'unit '

Cycle life

Calender life years

Round-trip efficiency %

Self-discharge % per day

Energy installation costs USO/kWh

Power installation costs USO/kW

42 17.03.2017 I Kai-Philipp Kairies International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA)

2016 2020 2025 2030 delta

15,0 16,8 19,3 22,3 + 49°/o

98,0 98,0 98,0 98,0 +0%

105,0 89,5 68,9 53,1 -49%

~ IRENA International Renewable Energy Agency