battery recycling- the big picture · pi software. the big picture-circular economy the concept of...
TRANSCRIPT
Battery recycling-
The Big PictureShane Thompson
President
Verdant Holdings Limited
Introduction to Verdant
20 years of unique experience in a unique field
Consulting on battery recycling and how battery recycling is the perfect
microcosm for the circular economy
Investments in battery materials
Working in the greater battery value chain;
Titan Advanced Energy
Cellblock FCS
Pi Software
The Big Picture-Circular Economy
The concept of movement away from the liner economy
The old method of obtaining natural resources (conventional mining) to
produce products is simply not sustainable as we add almost 3 Billion new
global middle class consumers in the next 20 years. We would be several
planets short.
Macroeconomics-Sustainability is the 6th
Wave…
Sustainable Development is at the
center of the emerging sixth wave of
technology
Kondratieff
Circular Economy- Impact of Critical
Materials and Global Supply Chains Global implications. The current trade policies are
highlighting that these natural resources and the
products that they enable are taking on a geopolitical
component
Battery materials have some similar issues to other New
Energy Metals such as rare earth elements. Batteries are needed to provide the power for our world continuing to
change, and the batteries need materials. These
materials can be problematic in their availability.
China’s dominance in REE may foreshadow their position
on batteries (which they hold a similar dominate position
in terms of production)
Source: Grilli and Yang; Pfaffenzeller; World Bank;
International Monetary Fund; Organization for
Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD);
Food and Agriculture Organization of the United
Nations (FAO); UN Comtrade; Ellen MacArthur
Foundation; McKinsey Global Institute
Commodity Price Development
An All Electric Vehicle Future
Carbon Impact on Electrification
An all Electric Future…maybe not, what factors will get parsed out and when.
Competing interests; Climate Change vs. Oil based production. In addition to the petroleum based ICE, the petrochemical industry is a large GHG contributor. This is a growing industry that provides plastics, fertilizers, tires, detergents etc.…
China is a driver in this decision making
Will regulation continue to push towards vehicle electrification (the Jervis phenomenon)? The fixation on EV’s as a panacea for climate change
Electrification of Vehicles
Increase in production, part of the e-
mobility movement which includes
autonomous driving and ride sharing.
Thomas Davenport-credited with
building the first EV in 1835
Lg. Format Batteries; Information
Storage/Data Centers
Movement to Zettabyte
Pb batteries and Li Ion CAPEX and OPEX are almost equally inverted-the tie
breaker will be space.
The “cloud” is actually a really big concrete building with a lot of servers and
batteries.
2025
160 Zettabytes
Small Format-IOT and Lifestyle
Technology Smaller batteries powering sensors and remote devices that enable smart
technology.
Large Batteries to support data center storage
Rechargeable Battery Market
Batteries
Composition-form factor
Cathode
Anode
Everything else, separator, chemicals.
Li Ion Batteries
The chemistry at the center of all of this growth is Lithium Ion
Why?
Will continue in this position for the near term (the battery industry has solved all the easy problems) and certainly for the recycler.
1. Lithium Cobalt Oxide (LCO)
2. Lithium nickel manganese cobalt (NMC)
3. Lithium nickel cobalt aluminum (NCA)
4. Lithium Iron Phosphate (LFP)
5. Lithium manganese oxide (LMO)
Battery materials New Energy Metals-the EV
revolution will have a profound impact on New Energy Metals, particularly Nickel and Cobalt.
Batteries will be a paradigm shift in Nickel demand-There is already a market for Ni (stainless) that is critical and has growth demands.
Battery Materials continued
Not all Nickel is the same
Class II 52% of the global market (2 MT) Ni content NPI 2-12% and FeNi 15-30%
Class I 48% of the global market 99.98% or higher includes Ni chemicals such as nickel sulphate.
Cobalt supply is inelastic. Co-mined mineral and DRC represents risk
NMC Cathode Mfg. Schematic
Nickel Demand for the
battery market
Battery Size is
increasing from
30kWh to 60kWh
NCM333 NCM622
NCA
NCM811
2000 kt
200 kt
2018 2020 2025 2030
Nickel Market Size Today
------------------------------------------------2200 kt
1000 kt
350-700kt
Battery
technology
8.1.1 favors Ni
Collections
Challenging to collect post consumer batteries, variability in chemistry form
factor and safety applications.
Will be less of an issue with large format, but these pose different challenges
Regulations
Recycling is
limited in US
compared to EU
99% of all lead-acid batteries are
recycled-different model which takes
advantage of some unique factors
U.S. battery recycle statistics outside
of lead are not definitive, working on
building a consortium for reporting.
Estimations would be that only 8%-12%
of all primary and rechargeable
batteries are recycled
U.S. vs. European Battery Collection Rates
European regulatory intervention is avid and widely accepted
U.S. lacks regulatory intervention, with the exception of lead-acid batteries
European Directive 2002/96/EC states
the following minimum collection rates for
batteries:
(a) 25 % by 26 September 2012;
(b) 45 % by 26 September 2016.
Slovakia 66%
Luxembourg 65%
Belgium 55%
Austria 54%
Finland 46%
Bulgaria 45%
Denmark 44%
Germany 44%
France 38%
Poland 33%
Ireland 33%
State Battery Recycling Law
3119
States that have battery
recycling laws
versus
Don’t yet have state battery
recycling laws
Processing No Li Ion processing the US
Canada-Retriev
Korea-Sungeel Hi tech
Belgium-Unicore
Germany-Accurec
Emerging Companies-
Li Cycle
Sungeel-Metallico
Battery Resourcers
Safety
Reutilization
Summary
Batteries and the technologies that they power are transformative and will
continue to be produced at a staggering rate.
The resources needed for the batteries are at the heart of a broader
conversation about criticality and the geopolitics associated with their
extraction.
The concept of the circular economy will continue to develop as the
preferred strategy as it is not only the right thing to do but it is the smart
thing to do.
Recycling can make a significant impact in battery recycling, by being the conduit to re-utilization of the batteries then reclamation of the resources
used to make the batteries and eventually closing the loop on the materials
i.e. battery to battery