basel iii impact - la caixa june 2010

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    The impact for Spain of the new banking regulationsproposed by the Basel Committee

    Jordi GualChief Economist and Head of Research, la Caixa

    Meeting of the Group of Experts in the Banking Industry (GEBI)Brussels, June 14th 2010

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    Agenda1. Overview of main regulatory proposals

    2. Outline of the estimation approach

    3. Capital requirements

    4. Liquidity requirements

    5. Results

    6. Possible impact on monetary policy, banking businessand products

    3

    8

    11

    14

    17

    21

    2

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    1. Overview of regulatory proposals

    3

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    Identified problemsCurrent regulatory

    proposals

    Wholesale funding

    (securitization)

    Procyclical regulation

    House prices

    CompensationCompetition for market share

    Misjudgement of risk

    Ineffective supervision

    Transparency (rating agencies)

    Liquidity regulation

    Countercyclical capital

    Taxes

    Monetary policy

    Rules on compensation; taxes Revision of accounting rules

    Quality and quantity of capital

    More effective supervision

    Restrictions on size Living wills

    Central counterparties

    Corporate governance

    Overview over current regulatory proposals

    Leverage

    Credit

    Risk

    4

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    Basel II New proposal (Basel III)

    New definition of Core Capital

    + Capital

    + Reserves

    + Retained Earnings

    + Minority interests

    Deductions:

    Goodwill and intangibles

    Revalorization reserves and others

    + Capital

    + Reserves

    + Retained Earnings

    Deductions:

    Goodwill and intangibles

    Revalorization reserves and others Minority stakes in banks (>10%) and insurance (>20%)

    Deferred tax assets

    Shortfall of provision vs. expected loss

    Other changes include:

    Restrictions on hybrid capital in Tier 1

    Increase of RWA for trading book

    Procyclicality adjustments

    Leverage ratio

    Basel III proposal on solvency regulation

    Specificminimum

    requirement(to be defined)

    5

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    Two new liquidity ratios

    Assets Liabilities

    Availablestable

    funding

    Highlyliquid assets

    Cash outflows(30 days)>