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Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor DEGIT St. Petersburg, Russia 8 September 2011 Richard C. Barnett Drexel University

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Page 1: Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor · Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor DEGIT St. Petersburg, Russia. 8 September 2011. Richard

Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor

DEGIT

St Petersburg Russia

8 September 2011

Richard C Barnett

Drexel University

Outline of the Talk

Outline of the Talk Background and Motivation

― Evidence from World Bank

― Objectives

― Related literature

Outline of the Talk Background and Motivation

― Evidence from World Bank

― Objectives

― Related literature

The Model― Model overview

― Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

Outline of the Talk Background and Motivation

― Evidence from World Bank

― Objectives

― Related literature

The Model― Model overview

― Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

Main Results

Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative

relationship between output and child labor

Outline of the Talk Background and Motivation

― Evidence from World Bank

― Objectives

― Related literature

The Model― Model overview

― Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

Main Results

Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative

relationship between output and child labor

Conclusions

Background

Some 206 million children workpart-or full-time in developingcountries (ILO estimates 2002)

The World Bank documents aninverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child laborparticipation rates

Barriers to capital seem to playan important role in explainingsome stylized differences ineconomic development

Background

Some 206 million children workpart-or full-time in developingcountries (ILO estimates 2002)

The World Bank documents aninverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child laborparticipation rates

Barriers to capital seem to playan important role in explainingsome stylized differences ineconomic development

Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

Paperrsquos Objectives

Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

Two main questionsmdash Do capital barriers have

i) Positive impact on child labor and

ii) A negative impact on output

mdash What are some implications for policy

Paperrsquos Objectives

Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

Two main questionsmdash Do capital barriers have

i) Positive impact on child labor and

ii) A negative impact on output

mdash What are some implications for policy

Paperrsquos Objectives

3 Important Features

Binding non-negativity constraint on bequestsParents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

― 0 lt λ lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo ― 1β lt rπ lt 1βλ

3 Important Features

Binding non-negativity constraint on bequestsParents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

― 0 lt λ lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo ― 1β lt rπ lt 1βλ

Barriers to capital formationBribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to

many developing economies

― Reduces capital input― Maymay not affect labor allocation

3 Important Features

Binding non-negativity constraint on bequestsParents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

― 0 lt λ lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo ― 1β lt rπ lt 1βλ

Barriers to capital formationBribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to

many developing economies

― Reduces capital input― Maymay not affect labor allocation

Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

3 Important Features

Barriers

Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

Child Labor and Human Capital

Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

Minimum Consumption Requirements

Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

Related Studies

Overview

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKπ

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKπ

MCR γ

The Model

Preferences

Ut equiv u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ Ut+1

where u(c ) = (c ndash γ )1-σ (1 - σ) 0 le β λ le 1

c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

c) c1t c2t+1 ge γ xt bt ge 0

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

c) c1t c2t+1 ge γ xt bt ge 0

d) θt equiv bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge (rt π ) λ β uprime(c1t +1 )

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge (rt π ) λ β uprime(c1t +1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) ge wt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) λβ uprime(c1t+1 )+ wt + 2 hprime( 1- lt ) λ β 2 uprime(c2t+2 )

Aggregate Investment

X = +[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ ]

Factors and Technologies

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factorsa) Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )b) Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )c) Capital Kt+1 = xt π + bt π

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factorsa) Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )b) Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )c) Capital Kt+1 = xt π + bt π

Human CapitalAssumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of sequences for prices wt rt t ge 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t ge 1and Xt Kt+1 lt t ge 1 such that

a) Agents optimize

b) Factor payments w = (1 - α) A Kα L-α

r = α A Kα -1 L1-α

c) All markets clear Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 ) Capital xt + bt = π Kt +1 Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

Equilibrium

Approach

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequestsmdash MCR = 0

mdash MCR gt 0

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Policy-induced changes in factors

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)Suppose drr ge dππ Then dK lt 0

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reason In the steady-state 1βλ = rπ if bt gt 0

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

If the MCR γ = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reasonndash When γ = 0 investment dXX = dwwndash But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKKndash From the clearing condition X = π K so

dXX = dKK + dππ there4 drr = dππ

Aggregate Investment (γ = 0)

X = +[wh(1- l)][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Suppose the minimum consumption requirement γ gt 0 anddπ gt 0 Then drr gt dππ

Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

One consequence Effective return rπ rises child labor increases

dK + dππ = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in π is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ) 1σ]

( )( )

( )( ) =

Γ

+minusminusminus

minus

Γminus

+minus+minusminus

παα

πππαα r

llhlhrrr

llhllh

)1211

)1211

( )( ) 11

1

1minus+

equivΓσββ z

z

( ) ( )( )

Γminus

minus

+minus+

minus

minus

πππαα

α

γ

α

αα

rrr

llhA

r 1

)121

11

1

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rπ is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

Pedagogical Examples

Variable β λ σ γ α π hValue 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84

1

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

04 05 06 07 08 09 1

Relative Output

Rela

tive

Parti

cipa

tion

Rate

s

Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

γ gt 0 γ = 0

Why the difference

The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels Wages Return rπ Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of

middle-age decisionmakers

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Conclusions

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriersdeveloping countries can reduce child labor Without areduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricterbarriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lotof a country

  • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Background
  • Background
  • Slide Number 9
  • Slide Number 10
  • Slide Number 11
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • Slide Number 16
  • Slide Number 17
  • Slide Number 18
  • Slide Number 19
  • Slide Number 20
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • Slide Number 23
  • Preferences
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Aggregate Investment
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Slide Number 39
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Slide Number 43
  • Slide Number 44
  • Slide Number 45
  • Slide Number 46
  • Slide Number 47
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Aggregate Investment (g = 0)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Slide Number 62
  • Steady State
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Slide Number 67
  • Pedagogical Examples
  • Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)
  • Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)
  • Slide Number 71
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
    • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor

      DEGIT

      St Petersburg Russia

      8 September 2011

      Richard C Barnett

      Drexel University

      Secrecy vs Seclective Disclosure

      Outline of the Talk

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Conclusions

          Background

          Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

          The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

          Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Background

              Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

              The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

              Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)

                  Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

                  3 Important Features

                  Barriers

                  Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

                  Child Labor and Human Capital

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

                  Minimum Consumption Requirements

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

                  Related Studies

                  Overview

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  MCR g

                  The Model

                  Preferences

                  Ut ordm u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl Ut+1

                  where u(c ) = (c ndash g )1-s (1 - s) 0 pound b l pound 1

                  c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

                  c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  qt ordm bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3 wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) lb ucent(c1t+1 )

                  + wt + 2 hcent( 1- lt ) l b 2 ucent(c2t+2 )

                  Aggregate Investment

                  X = +

                  [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                  [rp + (b rp)1s]

                  wl (b rp)1s

                  [rp + (b rp)1s ]

                  Factors and Technologies

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Human Capital

                      Assumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

                      Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of

                      sequences for prices wt rt t sup3 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t sup3 1

                      and Xt Kt+1 lt t sup3 1 such that

                      Agents optimize

                      Factor payments

                      w = (1 - a) A Ka L-a

                      r = a A Ka -1 L1-a

                      All markets clear

                      Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 )

                      Capital xt + bt = p Kt +1

                      Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

                      Equilibrium

                      Approach

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          MCR = 0

                          MCR gt 0

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Steady State

                          • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                              • 1b l sup3 r p
                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                  • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                    • Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                      Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                      wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                      The Child Labor Decision

                                      Steady State

                                      • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                          • 1b l sup3 r p
                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                  -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                  Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                                  Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                                  wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                                  The Child Labor Decision

                                                  Steady State

                                                  • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                                      • 1b l sup3 r p
                                                      • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                            • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                              -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)

                                                                  Suppose drr sup3 dpp Then dK lt 0

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                  Reason In the steady-state 1bl = rp if bt gt 0

                                                                  Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      If the MCR g = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                      Reason

                                                                      When g = 0 investment dXX = dww

                                                                      But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKK

                                                                      From the clearing condition X = p K so

                                                                      dXX = dKK + dpp drr = dpp

                                                                      Aggregate Investment (g = 0)

                                                                      X = +

                                                                      [wh(1- l)][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Suppose the minimum consumption requirement g gt 0 and

                                                                      dp gt 0 Then drr gt dpp

                                                                      Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

                                                                      One consequence Effective return rp rises child labor increases

                                                                      dK + dpp = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

                                                                      Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in p is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

                                                                      Steady State

                                                                      + = K

                                                                      [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp) 1s]

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rp is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛

                                                                      primeprime

                                                                      +rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l Kprime )

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛ +

                                                                      rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      l

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l K )

                                                                      l l prime

                                                                      Pedagogical Examples

                                                                      Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

                                                                      Chart1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates
                                                                      1
                                                                      1036832741
                                                                      1073090064
                                                                      1108955549
                                                                      1144590727
                                                                      1180143169
                                                                      1215752801
                                                                      1251557262
                                                                      1287696923
                                                                      1324320074
                                                                      1361588833
                                                                      1399686467
                                                                      1438827114
                                                                      1479269523
                                                                      152133756
                                                                      1565452592
                                                                      1612187974
                                                                      1662367955
                                                                      1717266013
                                                                      1779062077
                                                                      1852152497

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates

                                                                      Sheet2

                                                                      Sheet3

                                                                      Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

                                                                      g gt 0

                                                                      g = 0

                                                                      Why the difference

                                                                      The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels

                                                                      Wages

                                                                      Return rπ

                                                                      Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of middle-age decisionmakers

                                                                      Conclusions

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriers developing countries can reduce child labor Without a reduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricter barriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lot of a country

                                                                          (

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                                                                          s

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                                                                          ucirc

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                                                                          14

                                                                          15

                                                                          16

                                                                          17

                                                                          18

                                                                          19

                                                                          0405060708091

                                                                          Relative Output

                                                                          Relative Participation Rates

                                                                          Fig 42b Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          = 0

                                                                          4

                                                                          41

                                                                          42

                                                                          43

                                                                          44

                                                                          45

                                                                          46

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          002

                                                                          004

                                                                          006

                                                                          008

                                                                          01

                                                                          012

                                                                          014

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                          Fig 42a Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          gt 0

                                                                          28

                                                                          29

                                                                          3

                                                                          31

                                                                          32

                                                                          33

                                                                          34

                                                                          35

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          005

                                                                          01

                                                                          015

                                                                          02

                                                                          025

                                                                          03

                                                                          035

                                                                          04

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                      y l ratio y ratio l
                                                                      1 5103837338 0196324827 1 1
                                                                      11 4846566344 02035560085 09495926345 1036832741
                                                                      12 4618839709 02106742213 09049739251 1073090064
                                                                      13 4414915419 02177155064 08650188333 1108955549
                                                                      14 423047326 02247115765 08288808949 1144590727
                                                                      15 4062184154 02316914036 07959078404 1180143169
                                                                      16 390742778 02386824584 07655862679 1215752801
                                                                      17 3764101166 0245711763 07375041398 1251557262
                                                                      18 3630484915 02528068757 07113245731 1287696923
                                                                      19 3505146855 02599969094 06867669603 1324320074
                                                                      2 3386870309 02673136922 06635929175 1361588833
                                                                      21 3274598498 02747932035 06415953882 1399686467
                                                                      22 3167388932 02824774842 06205897097 1438827114
                                                                      23 3064372843 02904173333 06004056634 1479269523
                                                                      24 296471464 02986763333 05808795311 152133756
                                                                      25 2867564887 03073372094 0561844882 1565452592
                                                                      26 2771995899 03165125252 05431199537 1612187974
                                                                      27 2676897761 03263641013 05244872796 1662367955
                                                                      28 2580781446 03371419529 0505655113 1717266013
                                                                      29 248133507 03492740545 04861704842 1779062077
                                                                      3 2374158982 03636235186 04651713652 1852152497
                                                                      31 2247263191 03826037427 04403085448 1948830153
                                                                      32
                                                                      33
                                                                      34
                                                                      35
                                                                      1
                                                                      09495926345
                                                                      09049739251
                                                                      08650188333
                                                                      08288808949
                                                                      07959078404
                                                                      07655862679
                                                                      07375041398
                                                                      07113245731
                                                                      06867669603
                                                                      06635929175
                                                                      06415953882
                                                                      06205897097
                                                                      06004056634
                                                                      05808795311
                                                                      0561844882
                                                                      05431199537
                                                                      05244872796
                                                                      0505655113
                                                                      04861704842
                                                                      04651713652
                                                                      Variable b l s g a p h
                                                                      Value 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84
Page 2: Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor · Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor DEGIT St. Petersburg, Russia. 8 September 2011. Richard

Outline of the Talk

Outline of the Talk Background and Motivation

― Evidence from World Bank

― Objectives

― Related literature

Outline of the Talk Background and Motivation

― Evidence from World Bank

― Objectives

― Related literature

The Model― Model overview

― Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

Outline of the Talk Background and Motivation

― Evidence from World Bank

― Objectives

― Related literature

The Model― Model overview

― Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

Main Results

Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative

relationship between output and child labor

Outline of the Talk Background and Motivation

― Evidence from World Bank

― Objectives

― Related literature

The Model― Model overview

― Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

Main Results

Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative

relationship between output and child labor

Conclusions

Background

Some 206 million children workpart-or full-time in developingcountries (ILO estimates 2002)

The World Bank documents aninverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child laborparticipation rates

Barriers to capital seem to playan important role in explainingsome stylized differences ineconomic development

Background

Some 206 million children workpart-or full-time in developingcountries (ILO estimates 2002)

The World Bank documents aninverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child laborparticipation rates

Barriers to capital seem to playan important role in explainingsome stylized differences ineconomic development

Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

Paperrsquos Objectives

Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

Two main questionsmdash Do capital barriers have

i) Positive impact on child labor and

ii) A negative impact on output

mdash What are some implications for policy

Paperrsquos Objectives

Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

Two main questionsmdash Do capital barriers have

i) Positive impact on child labor and

ii) A negative impact on output

mdash What are some implications for policy

Paperrsquos Objectives

3 Important Features

Binding non-negativity constraint on bequestsParents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

― 0 lt λ lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo ― 1β lt rπ lt 1βλ

3 Important Features

Binding non-negativity constraint on bequestsParents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

― 0 lt λ lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo ― 1β lt rπ lt 1βλ

Barriers to capital formationBribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to

many developing economies

― Reduces capital input― Maymay not affect labor allocation

3 Important Features

Binding non-negativity constraint on bequestsParents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

― 0 lt λ lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo ― 1β lt rπ lt 1βλ

Barriers to capital formationBribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to

many developing economies

― Reduces capital input― Maymay not affect labor allocation

Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

3 Important Features

Barriers

Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

Child Labor and Human Capital

Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

Minimum Consumption Requirements

Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

Related Studies

Overview

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKπ

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKπ

MCR γ

The Model

Preferences

Ut equiv u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ Ut+1

where u(c ) = (c ndash γ )1-σ (1 - σ) 0 le β λ le 1

c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

c) c1t c2t+1 ge γ xt bt ge 0

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

c) c1t c2t+1 ge γ xt bt ge 0

d) θt equiv bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge (rt π ) λ β uprime(c1t +1 )

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge (rt π ) λ β uprime(c1t +1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) ge wt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) λβ uprime(c1t+1 )+ wt + 2 hprime( 1- lt ) λ β 2 uprime(c2t+2 )

Aggregate Investment

X = +[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ ]

Factors and Technologies

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factorsa) Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )b) Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )c) Capital Kt+1 = xt π + bt π

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factorsa) Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )b) Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )c) Capital Kt+1 = xt π + bt π

Human CapitalAssumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of sequences for prices wt rt t ge 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t ge 1and Xt Kt+1 lt t ge 1 such that

a) Agents optimize

b) Factor payments w = (1 - α) A Kα L-α

r = α A Kα -1 L1-α

c) All markets clear Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 ) Capital xt + bt = π Kt +1 Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

Equilibrium

Approach

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequestsmdash MCR = 0

mdash MCR gt 0

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Policy-induced changes in factors

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)Suppose drr ge dππ Then dK lt 0

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reason In the steady-state 1βλ = rπ if bt gt 0

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

If the MCR γ = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reasonndash When γ = 0 investment dXX = dwwndash But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKKndash From the clearing condition X = π K so

dXX = dKK + dππ there4 drr = dππ

Aggregate Investment (γ = 0)

X = +[wh(1- l)][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Suppose the minimum consumption requirement γ gt 0 anddπ gt 0 Then drr gt dππ

Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

One consequence Effective return rπ rises child labor increases

dK + dππ = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in π is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ) 1σ]

( )( )

( )( ) =

Γ

+minusminusminus

minus

Γminus

+minus+minusminus

παα

πππαα r

llhlhrrr

llhllh

)1211

)1211

( )( ) 11

1

1minus+

equivΓσββ z

z

( ) ( )( )

Γminus

minus

+minus+

minus

minus

πππαα

α

γ

α

αα

rrr

llhA

r 1

)121

11

1

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rπ is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

Pedagogical Examples

Variable β λ σ γ α π hValue 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84

1

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

04 05 06 07 08 09 1

Relative Output

Rela

tive

Parti

cipa

tion

Rate

s

Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

γ gt 0 γ = 0

Why the difference

The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels Wages Return rπ Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of

middle-age decisionmakers

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Conclusions

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriersdeveloping countries can reduce child labor Without areduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricterbarriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lotof a country

  • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Background
  • Background
  • Slide Number 9
  • Slide Number 10
  • Slide Number 11
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • Slide Number 16
  • Slide Number 17
  • Slide Number 18
  • Slide Number 19
  • Slide Number 20
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • Slide Number 23
  • Preferences
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Aggregate Investment
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Slide Number 39
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Slide Number 43
  • Slide Number 44
  • Slide Number 45
  • Slide Number 46
  • Slide Number 47
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Aggregate Investment (g = 0)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Slide Number 62
  • Steady State
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Slide Number 67
  • Pedagogical Examples
  • Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)
  • Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)
  • Slide Number 71
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
    • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor

      DEGIT

      St Petersburg Russia

      8 September 2011

      Richard C Barnett

      Drexel University

      Secrecy vs Seclective Disclosure

      Outline of the Talk

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Conclusions

          Background

          Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

          The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

          Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Background

              Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

              The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

              Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)

                  Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

                  3 Important Features

                  Barriers

                  Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

                  Child Labor and Human Capital

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

                  Minimum Consumption Requirements

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

                  Related Studies

                  Overview

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  MCR g

                  The Model

                  Preferences

                  Ut ordm u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl Ut+1

                  where u(c ) = (c ndash g )1-s (1 - s) 0 pound b l pound 1

                  c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

                  c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  qt ordm bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3 wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) lb ucent(c1t+1 )

                  + wt + 2 hcent( 1- lt ) l b 2 ucent(c2t+2 )

                  Aggregate Investment

                  X = +

                  [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                  [rp + (b rp)1s]

                  wl (b rp)1s

                  [rp + (b rp)1s ]

                  Factors and Technologies

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Human Capital

                      Assumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

                      Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of

                      sequences for prices wt rt t sup3 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t sup3 1

                      and Xt Kt+1 lt t sup3 1 such that

                      Agents optimize

                      Factor payments

                      w = (1 - a) A Ka L-a

                      r = a A Ka -1 L1-a

                      All markets clear

                      Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 )

                      Capital xt + bt = p Kt +1

                      Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

                      Equilibrium

                      Approach

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          MCR = 0

                          MCR gt 0

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Steady State

                          • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                              • 1b l sup3 r p
                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                  • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                    • Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                      Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                      wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                      The Child Labor Decision

                                      Steady State

                                      • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                          • 1b l sup3 r p
                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                  -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                  Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                                  Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                                  wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                                  The Child Labor Decision

                                                  Steady State

                                                  • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                                      • 1b l sup3 r p
                                                      • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                            • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                              -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)

                                                                  Suppose drr sup3 dpp Then dK lt 0

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                  Reason In the steady-state 1bl = rp if bt gt 0

                                                                  Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      If the MCR g = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                      Reason

                                                                      When g = 0 investment dXX = dww

                                                                      But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKK

                                                                      From the clearing condition X = p K so

                                                                      dXX = dKK + dpp drr = dpp

                                                                      Aggregate Investment (g = 0)

                                                                      X = +

                                                                      [wh(1- l)][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Suppose the minimum consumption requirement g gt 0 and

                                                                      dp gt 0 Then drr gt dpp

                                                                      Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

                                                                      One consequence Effective return rp rises child labor increases

                                                                      dK + dpp = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

                                                                      Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in p is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

                                                                      Steady State

                                                                      + = K

                                                                      [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp) 1s]

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rp is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛

                                                                      primeprime

                                                                      +rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l Kprime )

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛ +

                                                                      rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      l

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l K )

                                                                      l l prime

                                                                      Pedagogical Examples

                                                                      Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

                                                                      Chart1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates
                                                                      1
                                                                      1036832741
                                                                      1073090064
                                                                      1108955549
                                                                      1144590727
                                                                      1180143169
                                                                      1215752801
                                                                      1251557262
                                                                      1287696923
                                                                      1324320074
                                                                      1361588833
                                                                      1399686467
                                                                      1438827114
                                                                      1479269523
                                                                      152133756
                                                                      1565452592
                                                                      1612187974
                                                                      1662367955
                                                                      1717266013
                                                                      1779062077
                                                                      1852152497

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates

                                                                      Sheet2

                                                                      Sheet3

                                                                      Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

                                                                      g gt 0

                                                                      g = 0

                                                                      Why the difference

                                                                      The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels

                                                                      Wages

                                                                      Return rπ

                                                                      Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of middle-age decisionmakers

                                                                      Conclusions

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriers developing countries can reduce child labor Without a reduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricter barriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lot of a country

                                                                          (

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                                                                          +

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                                                                          -

                                                                          uacute

                                                                          ucirc

                                                                          ugrave

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                                                                          1

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                                                                          )

                                                                          1

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                                                                          G

                                                                          s

                                                                          b

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                                                                          uacute

                                                                          ucirc

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                                                                          ecirc

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                                                                          eacute

                                                                          divide

                                                                          oslash

                                                                          ouml

                                                                          ccedil

                                                                          egrave

                                                                          aelig

                                                                          G

                                                                          -

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                                                                          +

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                                                                          +

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                                                                          -

                                                                          p

                                                                          p

                                                                          p

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          g

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          l

                                                                          l

                                                                          h

                                                                          A

                                                                          r

                                                                          1

                                                                          )

                                                                          1

                                                                          2

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          11

                                                                          12

                                                                          13

                                                                          14

                                                                          15

                                                                          16

                                                                          17

                                                                          18

                                                                          19

                                                                          0405060708091

                                                                          Relative Output

                                                                          Relative Participation Rates

                                                                          Fig 42b Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          = 0

                                                                          4

                                                                          41

                                                                          42

                                                                          43

                                                                          44

                                                                          45

                                                                          46

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          002

                                                                          004

                                                                          006

                                                                          008

                                                                          01

                                                                          012

                                                                          014

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                          Fig 42a Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          gt 0

                                                                          28

                                                                          29

                                                                          3

                                                                          31

                                                                          32

                                                                          33

                                                                          34

                                                                          35

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          005

                                                                          01

                                                                          015

                                                                          02

                                                                          025

                                                                          03

                                                                          035

                                                                          04

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                      y l ratio y ratio l
                                                                      1 5103837338 0196324827 1 1
                                                                      11 4846566344 02035560085 09495926345 1036832741
                                                                      12 4618839709 02106742213 09049739251 1073090064
                                                                      13 4414915419 02177155064 08650188333 1108955549
                                                                      14 423047326 02247115765 08288808949 1144590727
                                                                      15 4062184154 02316914036 07959078404 1180143169
                                                                      16 390742778 02386824584 07655862679 1215752801
                                                                      17 3764101166 0245711763 07375041398 1251557262
                                                                      18 3630484915 02528068757 07113245731 1287696923
                                                                      19 3505146855 02599969094 06867669603 1324320074
                                                                      2 3386870309 02673136922 06635929175 1361588833
                                                                      21 3274598498 02747932035 06415953882 1399686467
                                                                      22 3167388932 02824774842 06205897097 1438827114
                                                                      23 3064372843 02904173333 06004056634 1479269523
                                                                      24 296471464 02986763333 05808795311 152133756
                                                                      25 2867564887 03073372094 0561844882 1565452592
                                                                      26 2771995899 03165125252 05431199537 1612187974
                                                                      27 2676897761 03263641013 05244872796 1662367955
                                                                      28 2580781446 03371419529 0505655113 1717266013
                                                                      29 248133507 03492740545 04861704842 1779062077
                                                                      3 2374158982 03636235186 04651713652 1852152497
                                                                      31 2247263191 03826037427 04403085448 1948830153
                                                                      32
                                                                      33
                                                                      34
                                                                      35
                                                                      1
                                                                      09495926345
                                                                      09049739251
                                                                      08650188333
                                                                      08288808949
                                                                      07959078404
                                                                      07655862679
                                                                      07375041398
                                                                      07113245731
                                                                      06867669603
                                                                      06635929175
                                                                      06415953882
                                                                      06205897097
                                                                      06004056634
                                                                      05808795311
                                                                      0561844882
                                                                      05431199537
                                                                      05244872796
                                                                      0505655113
                                                                      04861704842
                                                                      04651713652
                                                                      Variable b l s g a p h
                                                                      Value 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84
Page 3: Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor · Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor DEGIT St. Petersburg, Russia. 8 September 2011. Richard

Outline of the Talk Background and Motivation

― Evidence from World Bank

― Objectives

― Related literature

Outline of the Talk Background and Motivation

― Evidence from World Bank

― Objectives

― Related literature

The Model― Model overview

― Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

Outline of the Talk Background and Motivation

― Evidence from World Bank

― Objectives

― Related literature

The Model― Model overview

― Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

Main Results

Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative

relationship between output and child labor

Outline of the Talk Background and Motivation

― Evidence from World Bank

― Objectives

― Related literature

The Model― Model overview

― Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

Main Results

Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative

relationship between output and child labor

Conclusions

Background

Some 206 million children workpart-or full-time in developingcountries (ILO estimates 2002)

The World Bank documents aninverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child laborparticipation rates

Barriers to capital seem to playan important role in explainingsome stylized differences ineconomic development

Background

Some 206 million children workpart-or full-time in developingcountries (ILO estimates 2002)

The World Bank documents aninverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child laborparticipation rates

Barriers to capital seem to playan important role in explainingsome stylized differences ineconomic development

Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

Paperrsquos Objectives

Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

Two main questionsmdash Do capital barriers have

i) Positive impact on child labor and

ii) A negative impact on output

mdash What are some implications for policy

Paperrsquos Objectives

Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

Two main questionsmdash Do capital barriers have

i) Positive impact on child labor and

ii) A negative impact on output

mdash What are some implications for policy

Paperrsquos Objectives

3 Important Features

Binding non-negativity constraint on bequestsParents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

― 0 lt λ lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo ― 1β lt rπ lt 1βλ

3 Important Features

Binding non-negativity constraint on bequestsParents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

― 0 lt λ lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo ― 1β lt rπ lt 1βλ

Barriers to capital formationBribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to

many developing economies

― Reduces capital input― Maymay not affect labor allocation

3 Important Features

Binding non-negativity constraint on bequestsParents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

― 0 lt λ lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo ― 1β lt rπ lt 1βλ

Barriers to capital formationBribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to

many developing economies

― Reduces capital input― Maymay not affect labor allocation

Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

3 Important Features

Barriers

Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

Child Labor and Human Capital

Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

Minimum Consumption Requirements

Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

Related Studies

Overview

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKπ

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKπ

MCR γ

The Model

Preferences

Ut equiv u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ Ut+1

where u(c ) = (c ndash γ )1-σ (1 - σ) 0 le β λ le 1

c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

c) c1t c2t+1 ge γ xt bt ge 0

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

c) c1t c2t+1 ge γ xt bt ge 0

d) θt equiv bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge (rt π ) λ β uprime(c1t +1 )

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge (rt π ) λ β uprime(c1t +1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) ge wt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) λβ uprime(c1t+1 )+ wt + 2 hprime( 1- lt ) λ β 2 uprime(c2t+2 )

Aggregate Investment

X = +[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ ]

Factors and Technologies

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factorsa) Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )b) Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )c) Capital Kt+1 = xt π + bt π

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factorsa) Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )b) Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )c) Capital Kt+1 = xt π + bt π

Human CapitalAssumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of sequences for prices wt rt t ge 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t ge 1and Xt Kt+1 lt t ge 1 such that

a) Agents optimize

b) Factor payments w = (1 - α) A Kα L-α

r = α A Kα -1 L1-α

c) All markets clear Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 ) Capital xt + bt = π Kt +1 Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

Equilibrium

Approach

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequestsmdash MCR = 0

mdash MCR gt 0

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Policy-induced changes in factors

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)Suppose drr ge dππ Then dK lt 0

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reason In the steady-state 1βλ = rπ if bt gt 0

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

If the MCR γ = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reasonndash When γ = 0 investment dXX = dwwndash But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKKndash From the clearing condition X = π K so

dXX = dKK + dππ there4 drr = dππ

Aggregate Investment (γ = 0)

X = +[wh(1- l)][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Suppose the minimum consumption requirement γ gt 0 anddπ gt 0 Then drr gt dππ

Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

One consequence Effective return rπ rises child labor increases

dK + dππ = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in π is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ) 1σ]

( )( )

( )( ) =

Γ

+minusminusminus

minus

Γminus

+minus+minusminus

παα

πππαα r

llhlhrrr

llhllh

)1211

)1211

( )( ) 11

1

1minus+

equivΓσββ z

z

( ) ( )( )

Γminus

minus

+minus+

minus

minus

πππαα

α

γ

α

αα

rrr

llhA

r 1

)121

11

1

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rπ is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

Pedagogical Examples

Variable β λ σ γ α π hValue 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84

1

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

04 05 06 07 08 09 1

Relative Output

Rela

tive

Parti

cipa

tion

Rate

s

Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

γ gt 0 γ = 0

Why the difference

The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels Wages Return rπ Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of

middle-age decisionmakers

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Conclusions

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriersdeveloping countries can reduce child labor Without areduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricterbarriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lotof a country

  • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Background
  • Background
  • Slide Number 9
  • Slide Number 10
  • Slide Number 11
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • Slide Number 16
  • Slide Number 17
  • Slide Number 18
  • Slide Number 19
  • Slide Number 20
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • Slide Number 23
  • Preferences
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Aggregate Investment
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Slide Number 39
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Slide Number 43
  • Slide Number 44
  • Slide Number 45
  • Slide Number 46
  • Slide Number 47
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Aggregate Investment (g = 0)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Slide Number 62
  • Steady State
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Slide Number 67
  • Pedagogical Examples
  • Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)
  • Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)
  • Slide Number 71
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
    • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor

      DEGIT

      St Petersburg Russia

      8 September 2011

      Richard C Barnett

      Drexel University

      Secrecy vs Seclective Disclosure

      Outline of the Talk

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Conclusions

          Background

          Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

          The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

          Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Background

              Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

              The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

              Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)

                  Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

                  3 Important Features

                  Barriers

                  Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

                  Child Labor and Human Capital

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

                  Minimum Consumption Requirements

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

                  Related Studies

                  Overview

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  MCR g

                  The Model

                  Preferences

                  Ut ordm u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl Ut+1

                  where u(c ) = (c ndash g )1-s (1 - s) 0 pound b l pound 1

                  c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

                  c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  qt ordm bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3 wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) lb ucent(c1t+1 )

                  + wt + 2 hcent( 1- lt ) l b 2 ucent(c2t+2 )

                  Aggregate Investment

                  X = +

                  [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                  [rp + (b rp)1s]

                  wl (b rp)1s

                  [rp + (b rp)1s ]

                  Factors and Technologies

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Human Capital

                      Assumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

                      Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of

                      sequences for prices wt rt t sup3 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t sup3 1

                      and Xt Kt+1 lt t sup3 1 such that

                      Agents optimize

                      Factor payments

                      w = (1 - a) A Ka L-a

                      r = a A Ka -1 L1-a

                      All markets clear

                      Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 )

                      Capital xt + bt = p Kt +1

                      Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

                      Equilibrium

                      Approach

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          MCR = 0

                          MCR gt 0

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Steady State

                          • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                              • 1b l sup3 r p
                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                  • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                    • Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                      Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                      wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                      The Child Labor Decision

                                      Steady State

                                      • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                          • 1b l sup3 r p
                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                  -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                  Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                                  Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                                  wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                                  The Child Labor Decision

                                                  Steady State

                                                  • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                                      • 1b l sup3 r p
                                                      • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                            • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                              -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)

                                                                  Suppose drr sup3 dpp Then dK lt 0

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                  Reason In the steady-state 1bl = rp if bt gt 0

                                                                  Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      If the MCR g = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                      Reason

                                                                      When g = 0 investment dXX = dww

                                                                      But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKK

                                                                      From the clearing condition X = p K so

                                                                      dXX = dKK + dpp drr = dpp

                                                                      Aggregate Investment (g = 0)

                                                                      X = +

                                                                      [wh(1- l)][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Suppose the minimum consumption requirement g gt 0 and

                                                                      dp gt 0 Then drr gt dpp

                                                                      Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

                                                                      One consequence Effective return rp rises child labor increases

                                                                      dK + dpp = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

                                                                      Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in p is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

                                                                      Steady State

                                                                      + = K

                                                                      [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp) 1s]

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rp is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛

                                                                      primeprime

                                                                      +rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l Kprime )

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛ +

                                                                      rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      l

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l K )

                                                                      l l prime

                                                                      Pedagogical Examples

                                                                      Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

                                                                      Chart1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates
                                                                      1
                                                                      1036832741
                                                                      1073090064
                                                                      1108955549
                                                                      1144590727
                                                                      1180143169
                                                                      1215752801
                                                                      1251557262
                                                                      1287696923
                                                                      1324320074
                                                                      1361588833
                                                                      1399686467
                                                                      1438827114
                                                                      1479269523
                                                                      152133756
                                                                      1565452592
                                                                      1612187974
                                                                      1662367955
                                                                      1717266013
                                                                      1779062077
                                                                      1852152497

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates

                                                                      Sheet2

                                                                      Sheet3

                                                                      Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

                                                                      g gt 0

                                                                      g = 0

                                                                      Why the difference

                                                                      The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels

                                                                      Wages

                                                                      Return rπ

                                                                      Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of middle-age decisionmakers

                                                                      Conclusions

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriers developing countries can reduce child labor Without a reduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricter barriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lot of a country

                                                                          (

                                                                          )

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                                                                          G

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                                                                          divide

                                                                          oslash

                                                                          ouml

                                                                          ccedil

                                                                          egrave

                                                                          aelig

                                                                          G

                                                                          -

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                                                                          +

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                                                                          +

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                                                                          -

                                                                          p

                                                                          p

                                                                          p

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          g

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          l

                                                                          l

                                                                          h

                                                                          A

                                                                          r

                                                                          1

                                                                          )

                                                                          1

                                                                          2

                                                                          1

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                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          11

                                                                          12

                                                                          13

                                                                          14

                                                                          15

                                                                          16

                                                                          17

                                                                          18

                                                                          19

                                                                          0405060708091

                                                                          Relative Output

                                                                          Relative Participation Rates

                                                                          Fig 42b Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          = 0

                                                                          4

                                                                          41

                                                                          42

                                                                          43

                                                                          44

                                                                          45

                                                                          46

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          002

                                                                          004

                                                                          006

                                                                          008

                                                                          01

                                                                          012

                                                                          014

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                          Fig 42a Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          gt 0

                                                                          28

                                                                          29

                                                                          3

                                                                          31

                                                                          32

                                                                          33

                                                                          34

                                                                          35

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          005

                                                                          01

                                                                          015

                                                                          02

                                                                          025

                                                                          03

                                                                          035

                                                                          04

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                      y l ratio y ratio l
                                                                      1 5103837338 0196324827 1 1
                                                                      11 4846566344 02035560085 09495926345 1036832741
                                                                      12 4618839709 02106742213 09049739251 1073090064
                                                                      13 4414915419 02177155064 08650188333 1108955549
                                                                      14 423047326 02247115765 08288808949 1144590727
                                                                      15 4062184154 02316914036 07959078404 1180143169
                                                                      16 390742778 02386824584 07655862679 1215752801
                                                                      17 3764101166 0245711763 07375041398 1251557262
                                                                      18 3630484915 02528068757 07113245731 1287696923
                                                                      19 3505146855 02599969094 06867669603 1324320074
                                                                      2 3386870309 02673136922 06635929175 1361588833
                                                                      21 3274598498 02747932035 06415953882 1399686467
                                                                      22 3167388932 02824774842 06205897097 1438827114
                                                                      23 3064372843 02904173333 06004056634 1479269523
                                                                      24 296471464 02986763333 05808795311 152133756
                                                                      25 2867564887 03073372094 0561844882 1565452592
                                                                      26 2771995899 03165125252 05431199537 1612187974
                                                                      27 2676897761 03263641013 05244872796 1662367955
                                                                      28 2580781446 03371419529 0505655113 1717266013
                                                                      29 248133507 03492740545 04861704842 1779062077
                                                                      3 2374158982 03636235186 04651713652 1852152497
                                                                      31 2247263191 03826037427 04403085448 1948830153
                                                                      32
                                                                      33
                                                                      34
                                                                      35
                                                                      1
                                                                      09495926345
                                                                      09049739251
                                                                      08650188333
                                                                      08288808949
                                                                      07959078404
                                                                      07655862679
                                                                      07375041398
                                                                      07113245731
                                                                      06867669603
                                                                      06635929175
                                                                      06415953882
                                                                      06205897097
                                                                      06004056634
                                                                      05808795311
                                                                      0561844882
                                                                      05431199537
                                                                      05244872796
                                                                      0505655113
                                                                      04861704842
                                                                      04651713652
                                                                      Variable b l s g a p h
                                                                      Value 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84
Page 4: Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor · Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor DEGIT St. Petersburg, Russia. 8 September 2011. Richard

Outline of the Talk Background and Motivation

― Evidence from World Bank

― Objectives

― Related literature

The Model― Model overview

― Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

Outline of the Talk Background and Motivation

― Evidence from World Bank

― Objectives

― Related literature

The Model― Model overview

― Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

Main Results

Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative

relationship between output and child labor

Outline of the Talk Background and Motivation

― Evidence from World Bank

― Objectives

― Related literature

The Model― Model overview

― Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

Main Results

Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative

relationship between output and child labor

Conclusions

Background

Some 206 million children workpart-or full-time in developingcountries (ILO estimates 2002)

The World Bank documents aninverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child laborparticipation rates

Barriers to capital seem to playan important role in explainingsome stylized differences ineconomic development

Background

Some 206 million children workpart-or full-time in developingcountries (ILO estimates 2002)

The World Bank documents aninverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child laborparticipation rates

Barriers to capital seem to playan important role in explainingsome stylized differences ineconomic development

Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

Paperrsquos Objectives

Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

Two main questionsmdash Do capital barriers have

i) Positive impact on child labor and

ii) A negative impact on output

mdash What are some implications for policy

Paperrsquos Objectives

Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

Two main questionsmdash Do capital barriers have

i) Positive impact on child labor and

ii) A negative impact on output

mdash What are some implications for policy

Paperrsquos Objectives

3 Important Features

Binding non-negativity constraint on bequestsParents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

― 0 lt λ lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo ― 1β lt rπ lt 1βλ

3 Important Features

Binding non-negativity constraint on bequestsParents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

― 0 lt λ lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo ― 1β lt rπ lt 1βλ

Barriers to capital formationBribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to

many developing economies

― Reduces capital input― Maymay not affect labor allocation

3 Important Features

Binding non-negativity constraint on bequestsParents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

― 0 lt λ lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo ― 1β lt rπ lt 1βλ

Barriers to capital formationBribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to

many developing economies

― Reduces capital input― Maymay not affect labor allocation

Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

3 Important Features

Barriers

Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

Child Labor and Human Capital

Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

Minimum Consumption Requirements

Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

Related Studies

Overview

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKπ

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKπ

MCR γ

The Model

Preferences

Ut equiv u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ Ut+1

where u(c ) = (c ndash γ )1-σ (1 - σ) 0 le β λ le 1

c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

c) c1t c2t+1 ge γ xt bt ge 0

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

c) c1t c2t+1 ge γ xt bt ge 0

d) θt equiv bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge (rt π ) λ β uprime(c1t +1 )

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge (rt π ) λ β uprime(c1t +1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) ge wt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) λβ uprime(c1t+1 )+ wt + 2 hprime( 1- lt ) λ β 2 uprime(c2t+2 )

Aggregate Investment

X = +[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ ]

Factors and Technologies

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factorsa) Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )b) Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )c) Capital Kt+1 = xt π + bt π

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factorsa) Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )b) Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )c) Capital Kt+1 = xt π + bt π

Human CapitalAssumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of sequences for prices wt rt t ge 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t ge 1and Xt Kt+1 lt t ge 1 such that

a) Agents optimize

b) Factor payments w = (1 - α) A Kα L-α

r = α A Kα -1 L1-α

c) All markets clear Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 ) Capital xt + bt = π Kt +1 Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

Equilibrium

Approach

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequestsmdash MCR = 0

mdash MCR gt 0

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Policy-induced changes in factors

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)Suppose drr ge dππ Then dK lt 0

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reason In the steady-state 1βλ = rπ if bt gt 0

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

If the MCR γ = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reasonndash When γ = 0 investment dXX = dwwndash But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKKndash From the clearing condition X = π K so

dXX = dKK + dππ there4 drr = dππ

Aggregate Investment (γ = 0)

X = +[wh(1- l)][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Suppose the minimum consumption requirement γ gt 0 anddπ gt 0 Then drr gt dππ

Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

One consequence Effective return rπ rises child labor increases

dK + dππ = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in π is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ) 1σ]

( )( )

( )( ) =

Γ

+minusminusminus

minus

Γminus

+minus+minusminus

παα

πππαα r

llhlhrrr

llhllh

)1211

)1211

( )( ) 11

1

1minus+

equivΓσββ z

z

( ) ( )( )

Γminus

minus

+minus+

minus

minus

πππαα

α

γ

α

αα

rrr

llhA

r 1

)121

11

1

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rπ is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

Pedagogical Examples

Variable β λ σ γ α π hValue 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84

1

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

04 05 06 07 08 09 1

Relative Output

Rela

tive

Parti

cipa

tion

Rate

s

Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

γ gt 0 γ = 0

Why the difference

The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels Wages Return rπ Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of

middle-age decisionmakers

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Conclusions

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriersdeveloping countries can reduce child labor Without areduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricterbarriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lotof a country

  • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Background
  • Background
  • Slide Number 9
  • Slide Number 10
  • Slide Number 11
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • Slide Number 16
  • Slide Number 17
  • Slide Number 18
  • Slide Number 19
  • Slide Number 20
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • Slide Number 23
  • Preferences
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Aggregate Investment
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Slide Number 39
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Slide Number 43
  • Slide Number 44
  • Slide Number 45
  • Slide Number 46
  • Slide Number 47
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Aggregate Investment (g = 0)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Slide Number 62
  • Steady State
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Slide Number 67
  • Pedagogical Examples
  • Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)
  • Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)
  • Slide Number 71
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
    • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor

      DEGIT

      St Petersburg Russia

      8 September 2011

      Richard C Barnett

      Drexel University

      Secrecy vs Seclective Disclosure

      Outline of the Talk

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Conclusions

          Background

          Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

          The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

          Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Background

              Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

              The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

              Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)

                  Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

                  3 Important Features

                  Barriers

                  Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

                  Child Labor and Human Capital

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

                  Minimum Consumption Requirements

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

                  Related Studies

                  Overview

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  MCR g

                  The Model

                  Preferences

                  Ut ordm u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl Ut+1

                  where u(c ) = (c ndash g )1-s (1 - s) 0 pound b l pound 1

                  c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

                  c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  qt ordm bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3 wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) lb ucent(c1t+1 )

                  + wt + 2 hcent( 1- lt ) l b 2 ucent(c2t+2 )

                  Aggregate Investment

                  X = +

                  [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                  [rp + (b rp)1s]

                  wl (b rp)1s

                  [rp + (b rp)1s ]

                  Factors and Technologies

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Human Capital

                      Assumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

                      Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of

                      sequences for prices wt rt t sup3 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t sup3 1

                      and Xt Kt+1 lt t sup3 1 such that

                      Agents optimize

                      Factor payments

                      w = (1 - a) A Ka L-a

                      r = a A Ka -1 L1-a

                      All markets clear

                      Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 )

                      Capital xt + bt = p Kt +1

                      Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

                      Equilibrium

                      Approach

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          MCR = 0

                          MCR gt 0

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Steady State

                          • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                              • 1b l sup3 r p
                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                  • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                    • Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                      Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                      wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                      The Child Labor Decision

                                      Steady State

                                      • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                          • 1b l sup3 r p
                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                  -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                  Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                                  Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                                  wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                                  The Child Labor Decision

                                                  Steady State

                                                  • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                                      • 1b l sup3 r p
                                                      • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                            • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                              -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)

                                                                  Suppose drr sup3 dpp Then dK lt 0

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                  Reason In the steady-state 1bl = rp if bt gt 0

                                                                  Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      If the MCR g = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                      Reason

                                                                      When g = 0 investment dXX = dww

                                                                      But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKK

                                                                      From the clearing condition X = p K so

                                                                      dXX = dKK + dpp drr = dpp

                                                                      Aggregate Investment (g = 0)

                                                                      X = +

                                                                      [wh(1- l)][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Suppose the minimum consumption requirement g gt 0 and

                                                                      dp gt 0 Then drr gt dpp

                                                                      Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

                                                                      One consequence Effective return rp rises child labor increases

                                                                      dK + dpp = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

                                                                      Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in p is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

                                                                      Steady State

                                                                      + = K

                                                                      [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp) 1s]

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rp is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛

                                                                      primeprime

                                                                      +rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l Kprime )

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛ +

                                                                      rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      l

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l K )

                                                                      l l prime

                                                                      Pedagogical Examples

                                                                      Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

                                                                      Chart1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates
                                                                      1
                                                                      1036832741
                                                                      1073090064
                                                                      1108955549
                                                                      1144590727
                                                                      1180143169
                                                                      1215752801
                                                                      1251557262
                                                                      1287696923
                                                                      1324320074
                                                                      1361588833
                                                                      1399686467
                                                                      1438827114
                                                                      1479269523
                                                                      152133756
                                                                      1565452592
                                                                      1612187974
                                                                      1662367955
                                                                      1717266013
                                                                      1779062077
                                                                      1852152497

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates

                                                                      Sheet2

                                                                      Sheet3

                                                                      Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

                                                                      g gt 0

                                                                      g = 0

                                                                      Why the difference

                                                                      The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels

                                                                      Wages

                                                                      Return rπ

                                                                      Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of middle-age decisionmakers

                                                                      Conclusions

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriers developing countries can reduce child labor Without a reduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricter barriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lot of a country

                                                                          (

                                                                          )

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                                                                          1

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                                                                          G

                                                                          s

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                                                                          ucirc

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                                                                          divide

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                                                                          -

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                                                                          p

                                                                          p

                                                                          p

                                                                          a

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                                                                          g

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          l

                                                                          l

                                                                          h

                                                                          A

                                                                          r

                                                                          1

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                                                                          1

                                                                          2

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                                                                          11

                                                                          12

                                                                          13

                                                                          14

                                                                          15

                                                                          16

                                                                          17

                                                                          18

                                                                          19

                                                                          0405060708091

                                                                          Relative Output

                                                                          Relative Participation Rates

                                                                          Fig 42b Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          = 0

                                                                          4

                                                                          41

                                                                          42

                                                                          43

                                                                          44

                                                                          45

                                                                          46

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          002

                                                                          004

                                                                          006

                                                                          008

                                                                          01

                                                                          012

                                                                          014

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                          Fig 42a Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          gt 0

                                                                          28

                                                                          29

                                                                          3

                                                                          31

                                                                          32

                                                                          33

                                                                          34

                                                                          35

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          005

                                                                          01

                                                                          015

                                                                          02

                                                                          025

                                                                          03

                                                                          035

                                                                          04

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                      y l ratio y ratio l
                                                                      1 5103837338 0196324827 1 1
                                                                      11 4846566344 02035560085 09495926345 1036832741
                                                                      12 4618839709 02106742213 09049739251 1073090064
                                                                      13 4414915419 02177155064 08650188333 1108955549
                                                                      14 423047326 02247115765 08288808949 1144590727
                                                                      15 4062184154 02316914036 07959078404 1180143169
                                                                      16 390742778 02386824584 07655862679 1215752801
                                                                      17 3764101166 0245711763 07375041398 1251557262
                                                                      18 3630484915 02528068757 07113245731 1287696923
                                                                      19 3505146855 02599969094 06867669603 1324320074
                                                                      2 3386870309 02673136922 06635929175 1361588833
                                                                      21 3274598498 02747932035 06415953882 1399686467
                                                                      22 3167388932 02824774842 06205897097 1438827114
                                                                      23 3064372843 02904173333 06004056634 1479269523
                                                                      24 296471464 02986763333 05808795311 152133756
                                                                      25 2867564887 03073372094 0561844882 1565452592
                                                                      26 2771995899 03165125252 05431199537 1612187974
                                                                      27 2676897761 03263641013 05244872796 1662367955
                                                                      28 2580781446 03371419529 0505655113 1717266013
                                                                      29 248133507 03492740545 04861704842 1779062077
                                                                      3 2374158982 03636235186 04651713652 1852152497
                                                                      31 2247263191 03826037427 04403085448 1948830153
                                                                      32
                                                                      33
                                                                      34
                                                                      35
                                                                      1
                                                                      09495926345
                                                                      09049739251
                                                                      08650188333
                                                                      08288808949
                                                                      07959078404
                                                                      07655862679
                                                                      07375041398
                                                                      07113245731
                                                                      06867669603
                                                                      06635929175
                                                                      06415953882
                                                                      06205897097
                                                                      06004056634
                                                                      05808795311
                                                                      0561844882
                                                                      05431199537
                                                                      05244872796
                                                                      0505655113
                                                                      04861704842
                                                                      04651713652
                                                                      Variable b l s g a p h
                                                                      Value 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84
Page 5: Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor · Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor DEGIT St. Petersburg, Russia. 8 September 2011. Richard

Outline of the Talk Background and Motivation

― Evidence from World Bank

― Objectives

― Related literature

The Model― Model overview

― Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

Main Results

Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative

relationship between output and child labor

Outline of the Talk Background and Motivation

― Evidence from World Bank

― Objectives

― Related literature

The Model― Model overview

― Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

Main Results

Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative

relationship between output and child labor

Conclusions

Background

Some 206 million children workpart-or full-time in developingcountries (ILO estimates 2002)

The World Bank documents aninverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child laborparticipation rates

Barriers to capital seem to playan important role in explainingsome stylized differences ineconomic development

Background

Some 206 million children workpart-or full-time in developingcountries (ILO estimates 2002)

The World Bank documents aninverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child laborparticipation rates

Barriers to capital seem to playan important role in explainingsome stylized differences ineconomic development

Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

Paperrsquos Objectives

Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

Two main questionsmdash Do capital barriers have

i) Positive impact on child labor and

ii) A negative impact on output

mdash What are some implications for policy

Paperrsquos Objectives

Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

Two main questionsmdash Do capital barriers have

i) Positive impact on child labor and

ii) A negative impact on output

mdash What are some implications for policy

Paperrsquos Objectives

3 Important Features

Binding non-negativity constraint on bequestsParents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

― 0 lt λ lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo ― 1β lt rπ lt 1βλ

3 Important Features

Binding non-negativity constraint on bequestsParents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

― 0 lt λ lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo ― 1β lt rπ lt 1βλ

Barriers to capital formationBribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to

many developing economies

― Reduces capital input― Maymay not affect labor allocation

3 Important Features

Binding non-negativity constraint on bequestsParents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

― 0 lt λ lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo ― 1β lt rπ lt 1βλ

Barriers to capital formationBribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to

many developing economies

― Reduces capital input― Maymay not affect labor allocation

Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

3 Important Features

Barriers

Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

Child Labor and Human Capital

Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

Minimum Consumption Requirements

Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

Related Studies

Overview

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKπ

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKπ

MCR γ

The Model

Preferences

Ut equiv u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ Ut+1

where u(c ) = (c ndash γ )1-σ (1 - σ) 0 le β λ le 1

c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

c) c1t c2t+1 ge γ xt bt ge 0

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

c) c1t c2t+1 ge γ xt bt ge 0

d) θt equiv bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge (rt π ) λ β uprime(c1t +1 )

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge (rt π ) λ β uprime(c1t +1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) ge wt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) λβ uprime(c1t+1 )+ wt + 2 hprime( 1- lt ) λ β 2 uprime(c2t+2 )

Aggregate Investment

X = +[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ ]

Factors and Technologies

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factorsa) Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )b) Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )c) Capital Kt+1 = xt π + bt π

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factorsa) Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )b) Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )c) Capital Kt+1 = xt π + bt π

Human CapitalAssumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of sequences for prices wt rt t ge 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t ge 1and Xt Kt+1 lt t ge 1 such that

a) Agents optimize

b) Factor payments w = (1 - α) A Kα L-α

r = α A Kα -1 L1-α

c) All markets clear Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 ) Capital xt + bt = π Kt +1 Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

Equilibrium

Approach

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequestsmdash MCR = 0

mdash MCR gt 0

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Policy-induced changes in factors

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)Suppose drr ge dππ Then dK lt 0

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reason In the steady-state 1βλ = rπ if bt gt 0

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

If the MCR γ = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reasonndash When γ = 0 investment dXX = dwwndash But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKKndash From the clearing condition X = π K so

dXX = dKK + dππ there4 drr = dππ

Aggregate Investment (γ = 0)

X = +[wh(1- l)][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Suppose the minimum consumption requirement γ gt 0 anddπ gt 0 Then drr gt dππ

Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

One consequence Effective return rπ rises child labor increases

dK + dππ = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in π is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ) 1σ]

( )( )

( )( ) =

Γ

+minusminusminus

minus

Γminus

+minus+minusminus

παα

πππαα r

llhlhrrr

llhllh

)1211

)1211

( )( ) 11

1

1minus+

equivΓσββ z

z

( ) ( )( )

Γminus

minus

+minus+

minus

minus

πππαα

α

γ

α

αα

rrr

llhA

r 1

)121

11

1

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rπ is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

Pedagogical Examples

Variable β λ σ γ α π hValue 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84

1

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

04 05 06 07 08 09 1

Relative Output

Rela

tive

Parti

cipa

tion

Rate

s

Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

γ gt 0 γ = 0

Why the difference

The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels Wages Return rπ Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of

middle-age decisionmakers

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Conclusions

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriersdeveloping countries can reduce child labor Without areduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricterbarriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lotof a country

  • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Background
  • Background
  • Slide Number 9
  • Slide Number 10
  • Slide Number 11
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • Slide Number 16
  • Slide Number 17
  • Slide Number 18
  • Slide Number 19
  • Slide Number 20
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • Slide Number 23
  • Preferences
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Aggregate Investment
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Slide Number 39
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Slide Number 43
  • Slide Number 44
  • Slide Number 45
  • Slide Number 46
  • Slide Number 47
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Aggregate Investment (g = 0)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Slide Number 62
  • Steady State
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Slide Number 67
  • Pedagogical Examples
  • Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)
  • Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)
  • Slide Number 71
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
    • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor

      DEGIT

      St Petersburg Russia

      8 September 2011

      Richard C Barnett

      Drexel University

      Secrecy vs Seclective Disclosure

      Outline of the Talk

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Conclusions

          Background

          Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

          The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

          Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Background

              Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

              The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

              Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)

                  Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

                  3 Important Features

                  Barriers

                  Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

                  Child Labor and Human Capital

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

                  Minimum Consumption Requirements

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

                  Related Studies

                  Overview

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  MCR g

                  The Model

                  Preferences

                  Ut ordm u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl Ut+1

                  where u(c ) = (c ndash g )1-s (1 - s) 0 pound b l pound 1

                  c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

                  c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  qt ordm bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3 wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) lb ucent(c1t+1 )

                  + wt + 2 hcent( 1- lt ) l b 2 ucent(c2t+2 )

                  Aggregate Investment

                  X = +

                  [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                  [rp + (b rp)1s]

                  wl (b rp)1s

                  [rp + (b rp)1s ]

                  Factors and Technologies

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Human Capital

                      Assumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

                      Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of

                      sequences for prices wt rt t sup3 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t sup3 1

                      and Xt Kt+1 lt t sup3 1 such that

                      Agents optimize

                      Factor payments

                      w = (1 - a) A Ka L-a

                      r = a A Ka -1 L1-a

                      All markets clear

                      Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 )

                      Capital xt + bt = p Kt +1

                      Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

                      Equilibrium

                      Approach

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          MCR = 0

                          MCR gt 0

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Steady State

                          • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                              • 1b l sup3 r p
                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                  • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                    • Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                      Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                      wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                      The Child Labor Decision

                                      Steady State

                                      • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                          • 1b l sup3 r p
                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                  -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                  Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                                  Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                                  wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                                  The Child Labor Decision

                                                  Steady State

                                                  • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                                      • 1b l sup3 r p
                                                      • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                            • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                              -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)

                                                                  Suppose drr sup3 dpp Then dK lt 0

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                  Reason In the steady-state 1bl = rp if bt gt 0

                                                                  Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      If the MCR g = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                      Reason

                                                                      When g = 0 investment dXX = dww

                                                                      But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKK

                                                                      From the clearing condition X = p K so

                                                                      dXX = dKK + dpp drr = dpp

                                                                      Aggregate Investment (g = 0)

                                                                      X = +

                                                                      [wh(1- l)][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Suppose the minimum consumption requirement g gt 0 and

                                                                      dp gt 0 Then drr gt dpp

                                                                      Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

                                                                      One consequence Effective return rp rises child labor increases

                                                                      dK + dpp = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

                                                                      Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in p is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

                                                                      Steady State

                                                                      + = K

                                                                      [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp) 1s]

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rp is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛

                                                                      primeprime

                                                                      +rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l Kprime )

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛ +

                                                                      rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      l

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l K )

                                                                      l l prime

                                                                      Pedagogical Examples

                                                                      Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

                                                                      Chart1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates
                                                                      1
                                                                      1036832741
                                                                      1073090064
                                                                      1108955549
                                                                      1144590727
                                                                      1180143169
                                                                      1215752801
                                                                      1251557262
                                                                      1287696923
                                                                      1324320074
                                                                      1361588833
                                                                      1399686467
                                                                      1438827114
                                                                      1479269523
                                                                      152133756
                                                                      1565452592
                                                                      1612187974
                                                                      1662367955
                                                                      1717266013
                                                                      1779062077
                                                                      1852152497

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates

                                                                      Sheet2

                                                                      Sheet3

                                                                      Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

                                                                      g gt 0

                                                                      g = 0

                                                                      Why the difference

                                                                      The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels

                                                                      Wages

                                                                      Return rπ

                                                                      Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of middle-age decisionmakers

                                                                      Conclusions

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriers developing countries can reduce child labor Without a reduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricter barriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lot of a country

                                                                          (

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                                                                          1

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                                                                          14

                                                                          15

                                                                          16

                                                                          17

                                                                          18

                                                                          19

                                                                          0405060708091

                                                                          Relative Output

                                                                          Relative Participation Rates

                                                                          Fig 42b Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          = 0

                                                                          4

                                                                          41

                                                                          42

                                                                          43

                                                                          44

                                                                          45

                                                                          46

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          002

                                                                          004

                                                                          006

                                                                          008

                                                                          01

                                                                          012

                                                                          014

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                          Fig 42a Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          gt 0

                                                                          28

                                                                          29

                                                                          3

                                                                          31

                                                                          32

                                                                          33

                                                                          34

                                                                          35

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          005

                                                                          01

                                                                          015

                                                                          02

                                                                          025

                                                                          03

                                                                          035

                                                                          04

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                      y l ratio y ratio l
                                                                      1 5103837338 0196324827 1 1
                                                                      11 4846566344 02035560085 09495926345 1036832741
                                                                      12 4618839709 02106742213 09049739251 1073090064
                                                                      13 4414915419 02177155064 08650188333 1108955549
                                                                      14 423047326 02247115765 08288808949 1144590727
                                                                      15 4062184154 02316914036 07959078404 1180143169
                                                                      16 390742778 02386824584 07655862679 1215752801
                                                                      17 3764101166 0245711763 07375041398 1251557262
                                                                      18 3630484915 02528068757 07113245731 1287696923
                                                                      19 3505146855 02599969094 06867669603 1324320074
                                                                      2 3386870309 02673136922 06635929175 1361588833
                                                                      21 3274598498 02747932035 06415953882 1399686467
                                                                      22 3167388932 02824774842 06205897097 1438827114
                                                                      23 3064372843 02904173333 06004056634 1479269523
                                                                      24 296471464 02986763333 05808795311 152133756
                                                                      25 2867564887 03073372094 0561844882 1565452592
                                                                      26 2771995899 03165125252 05431199537 1612187974
                                                                      27 2676897761 03263641013 05244872796 1662367955
                                                                      28 2580781446 03371419529 0505655113 1717266013
                                                                      29 248133507 03492740545 04861704842 1779062077
                                                                      3 2374158982 03636235186 04651713652 1852152497
                                                                      31 2247263191 03826037427 04403085448 1948830153
                                                                      32
                                                                      33
                                                                      34
                                                                      35
                                                                      1
                                                                      09495926345
                                                                      09049739251
                                                                      08650188333
                                                                      08288808949
                                                                      07959078404
                                                                      07655862679
                                                                      07375041398
                                                                      07113245731
                                                                      06867669603
                                                                      06635929175
                                                                      06415953882
                                                                      06205897097
                                                                      06004056634
                                                                      05808795311
                                                                      0561844882
                                                                      05431199537
                                                                      05244872796
                                                                      0505655113
                                                                      04861704842
                                                                      04651713652
                                                                      Variable b l s g a p h
                                                                      Value 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84
Page 6: Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor · Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor DEGIT St. Petersburg, Russia. 8 September 2011. Richard

Outline of the Talk Background and Motivation

― Evidence from World Bank

― Objectives

― Related literature

The Model― Model overview

― Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

Main Results

Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative

relationship between output and child labor

Conclusions

Background

Some 206 million children workpart-or full-time in developingcountries (ILO estimates 2002)

The World Bank documents aninverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child laborparticipation rates

Barriers to capital seem to playan important role in explainingsome stylized differences ineconomic development

Background

Some 206 million children workpart-or full-time in developingcountries (ILO estimates 2002)

The World Bank documents aninverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child laborparticipation rates

Barriers to capital seem to playan important role in explainingsome stylized differences ineconomic development

Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

Paperrsquos Objectives

Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

Two main questionsmdash Do capital barriers have

i) Positive impact on child labor and

ii) A negative impact on output

mdash What are some implications for policy

Paperrsquos Objectives

Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

Two main questionsmdash Do capital barriers have

i) Positive impact on child labor and

ii) A negative impact on output

mdash What are some implications for policy

Paperrsquos Objectives

3 Important Features

Binding non-negativity constraint on bequestsParents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

― 0 lt λ lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo ― 1β lt rπ lt 1βλ

3 Important Features

Binding non-negativity constraint on bequestsParents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

― 0 lt λ lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo ― 1β lt rπ lt 1βλ

Barriers to capital formationBribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to

many developing economies

― Reduces capital input― Maymay not affect labor allocation

3 Important Features

Binding non-negativity constraint on bequestsParents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

― 0 lt λ lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo ― 1β lt rπ lt 1βλ

Barriers to capital formationBribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to

many developing economies

― Reduces capital input― Maymay not affect labor allocation

Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

3 Important Features

Barriers

Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

Child Labor and Human Capital

Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

Minimum Consumption Requirements

Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

Related Studies

Overview

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKπ

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKπ

MCR γ

The Model

Preferences

Ut equiv u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ Ut+1

where u(c ) = (c ndash γ )1-σ (1 - σ) 0 le β λ le 1

c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

c) c1t c2t+1 ge γ xt bt ge 0

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

c) c1t c2t+1 ge γ xt bt ge 0

d) θt equiv bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge (rt π ) λ β uprime(c1t +1 )

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge (rt π ) λ β uprime(c1t +1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) ge wt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) λβ uprime(c1t+1 )+ wt + 2 hprime( 1- lt ) λ β 2 uprime(c2t+2 )

Aggregate Investment

X = +[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ ]

Factors and Technologies

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factorsa) Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )b) Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )c) Capital Kt+1 = xt π + bt π

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factorsa) Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )b) Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )c) Capital Kt+1 = xt π + bt π

Human CapitalAssumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of sequences for prices wt rt t ge 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t ge 1and Xt Kt+1 lt t ge 1 such that

a) Agents optimize

b) Factor payments w = (1 - α) A Kα L-α

r = α A Kα -1 L1-α

c) All markets clear Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 ) Capital xt + bt = π Kt +1 Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

Equilibrium

Approach

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequestsmdash MCR = 0

mdash MCR gt 0

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Policy-induced changes in factors

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)Suppose drr ge dππ Then dK lt 0

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reason In the steady-state 1βλ = rπ if bt gt 0

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

If the MCR γ = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reasonndash When γ = 0 investment dXX = dwwndash But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKKndash From the clearing condition X = π K so

dXX = dKK + dππ there4 drr = dππ

Aggregate Investment (γ = 0)

X = +[wh(1- l)][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Suppose the minimum consumption requirement γ gt 0 anddπ gt 0 Then drr gt dππ

Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

One consequence Effective return rπ rises child labor increases

dK + dππ = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in π is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ) 1σ]

( )( )

( )( ) =

Γ

+minusminusminus

minus

Γminus

+minus+minusminus

παα

πππαα r

llhlhrrr

llhllh

)1211

)1211

( )( ) 11

1

1minus+

equivΓσββ z

z

( ) ( )( )

Γminus

minus

+minus+

minus

minus

πππαα

α

γ

α

αα

rrr

llhA

r 1

)121

11

1

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rπ is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

Pedagogical Examples

Variable β λ σ γ α π hValue 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84

1

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

04 05 06 07 08 09 1

Relative Output

Rela

tive

Parti

cipa

tion

Rate

s

Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

γ gt 0 γ = 0

Why the difference

The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels Wages Return rπ Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of

middle-age decisionmakers

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Conclusions

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriersdeveloping countries can reduce child labor Without areduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricterbarriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lotof a country

  • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Background
  • Background
  • Slide Number 9
  • Slide Number 10
  • Slide Number 11
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • Slide Number 16
  • Slide Number 17
  • Slide Number 18
  • Slide Number 19
  • Slide Number 20
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • Slide Number 23
  • Preferences
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Aggregate Investment
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Slide Number 39
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Slide Number 43
  • Slide Number 44
  • Slide Number 45
  • Slide Number 46
  • Slide Number 47
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Aggregate Investment (g = 0)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Slide Number 62
  • Steady State
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Slide Number 67
  • Pedagogical Examples
  • Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)
  • Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)
  • Slide Number 71
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
    • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor

      DEGIT

      St Petersburg Russia

      8 September 2011

      Richard C Barnett

      Drexel University

      Secrecy vs Seclective Disclosure

      Outline of the Talk

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Conclusions

          Background

          Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

          The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

          Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Background

              Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

              The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

              Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)

                  Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

                  3 Important Features

                  Barriers

                  Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

                  Child Labor and Human Capital

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

                  Minimum Consumption Requirements

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

                  Related Studies

                  Overview

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  MCR g

                  The Model

                  Preferences

                  Ut ordm u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl Ut+1

                  where u(c ) = (c ndash g )1-s (1 - s) 0 pound b l pound 1

                  c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

                  c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  qt ordm bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3 wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) lb ucent(c1t+1 )

                  + wt + 2 hcent( 1- lt ) l b 2 ucent(c2t+2 )

                  Aggregate Investment

                  X = +

                  [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                  [rp + (b rp)1s]

                  wl (b rp)1s

                  [rp + (b rp)1s ]

                  Factors and Technologies

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Human Capital

                      Assumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

                      Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of

                      sequences for prices wt rt t sup3 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t sup3 1

                      and Xt Kt+1 lt t sup3 1 such that

                      Agents optimize

                      Factor payments

                      w = (1 - a) A Ka L-a

                      r = a A Ka -1 L1-a

                      All markets clear

                      Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 )

                      Capital xt + bt = p Kt +1

                      Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

                      Equilibrium

                      Approach

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          MCR = 0

                          MCR gt 0

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Steady State

                          • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                              • 1b l sup3 r p
                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                  • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                    • Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                      Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                      wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                      The Child Labor Decision

                                      Steady State

                                      • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                          • 1b l sup3 r p
                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                  -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                  Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                                  Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                                  wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                                  The Child Labor Decision

                                                  Steady State

                                                  • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                                      • 1b l sup3 r p
                                                      • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                            • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                              -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)

                                                                  Suppose drr sup3 dpp Then dK lt 0

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                  Reason In the steady-state 1bl = rp if bt gt 0

                                                                  Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      If the MCR g = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                      Reason

                                                                      When g = 0 investment dXX = dww

                                                                      But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKK

                                                                      From the clearing condition X = p K so

                                                                      dXX = dKK + dpp drr = dpp

                                                                      Aggregate Investment (g = 0)

                                                                      X = +

                                                                      [wh(1- l)][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Suppose the minimum consumption requirement g gt 0 and

                                                                      dp gt 0 Then drr gt dpp

                                                                      Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

                                                                      One consequence Effective return rp rises child labor increases

                                                                      dK + dpp = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

                                                                      Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in p is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

                                                                      Steady State

                                                                      + = K

                                                                      [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp) 1s]

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rp is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛

                                                                      primeprime

                                                                      +rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l Kprime )

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛ +

                                                                      rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      l

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l K )

                                                                      l l prime

                                                                      Pedagogical Examples

                                                                      Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

                                                                      Chart1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates
                                                                      1
                                                                      1036832741
                                                                      1073090064
                                                                      1108955549
                                                                      1144590727
                                                                      1180143169
                                                                      1215752801
                                                                      1251557262
                                                                      1287696923
                                                                      1324320074
                                                                      1361588833
                                                                      1399686467
                                                                      1438827114
                                                                      1479269523
                                                                      152133756
                                                                      1565452592
                                                                      1612187974
                                                                      1662367955
                                                                      1717266013
                                                                      1779062077
                                                                      1852152497

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates

                                                                      Sheet2

                                                                      Sheet3

                                                                      Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

                                                                      g gt 0

                                                                      g = 0

                                                                      Why the difference

                                                                      The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels

                                                                      Wages

                                                                      Return rπ

                                                                      Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of middle-age decisionmakers

                                                                      Conclusions

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriers developing countries can reduce child labor Without a reduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricter barriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lot of a country

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                                                                          )

                                                                          uacute

                                                                          ucirc

                                                                          ugrave

                                                                          ecirc

                                                                          euml

                                                                          eacute

                                                                          divide

                                                                          oslash

                                                                          ouml

                                                                          ccedil

                                                                          egrave

                                                                          aelig

                                                                          G

                                                                          -

                                                                          -

                                                                          +

                                                                          -

                                                                          +

                                                                          -

                                                                          -

                                                                          p

                                                                          p

                                                                          p

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          g

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          l

                                                                          l

                                                                          h

                                                                          A

                                                                          r

                                                                          1

                                                                          )

                                                                          1

                                                                          2

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          11

                                                                          12

                                                                          13

                                                                          14

                                                                          15

                                                                          16

                                                                          17

                                                                          18

                                                                          19

                                                                          0405060708091

                                                                          Relative Output

                                                                          Relative Participation Rates

                                                                          Fig 42b Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          = 0

                                                                          4

                                                                          41

                                                                          42

                                                                          43

                                                                          44

                                                                          45

                                                                          46

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          002

                                                                          004

                                                                          006

                                                                          008

                                                                          01

                                                                          012

                                                                          014

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                          Fig 42a Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          gt 0

                                                                          28

                                                                          29

                                                                          3

                                                                          31

                                                                          32

                                                                          33

                                                                          34

                                                                          35

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          005

                                                                          01

                                                                          015

                                                                          02

                                                                          025

                                                                          03

                                                                          035

                                                                          04

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                      y l ratio y ratio l
                                                                      1 5103837338 0196324827 1 1
                                                                      11 4846566344 02035560085 09495926345 1036832741
                                                                      12 4618839709 02106742213 09049739251 1073090064
                                                                      13 4414915419 02177155064 08650188333 1108955549
                                                                      14 423047326 02247115765 08288808949 1144590727
                                                                      15 4062184154 02316914036 07959078404 1180143169
                                                                      16 390742778 02386824584 07655862679 1215752801
                                                                      17 3764101166 0245711763 07375041398 1251557262
                                                                      18 3630484915 02528068757 07113245731 1287696923
                                                                      19 3505146855 02599969094 06867669603 1324320074
                                                                      2 3386870309 02673136922 06635929175 1361588833
                                                                      21 3274598498 02747932035 06415953882 1399686467
                                                                      22 3167388932 02824774842 06205897097 1438827114
                                                                      23 3064372843 02904173333 06004056634 1479269523
                                                                      24 296471464 02986763333 05808795311 152133756
                                                                      25 2867564887 03073372094 0561844882 1565452592
                                                                      26 2771995899 03165125252 05431199537 1612187974
                                                                      27 2676897761 03263641013 05244872796 1662367955
                                                                      28 2580781446 03371419529 0505655113 1717266013
                                                                      29 248133507 03492740545 04861704842 1779062077
                                                                      3 2374158982 03636235186 04651713652 1852152497
                                                                      31 2247263191 03826037427 04403085448 1948830153
                                                                      32
                                                                      33
                                                                      34
                                                                      35
                                                                      1
                                                                      09495926345
                                                                      09049739251
                                                                      08650188333
                                                                      08288808949
                                                                      07959078404
                                                                      07655862679
                                                                      07375041398
                                                                      07113245731
                                                                      06867669603
                                                                      06635929175
                                                                      06415953882
                                                                      06205897097
                                                                      06004056634
                                                                      05808795311
                                                                      0561844882
                                                                      05431199537
                                                                      05244872796
                                                                      0505655113
                                                                      04861704842
                                                                      04651713652
                                                                      Variable b l s g a p h
                                                                      Value 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84
Page 7: Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor · Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor DEGIT St. Petersburg, Russia. 8 September 2011. Richard

Background

Some 206 million children workpart-or full-time in developingcountries (ILO estimates 2002)

The World Bank documents aninverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child laborparticipation rates

Barriers to capital seem to playan important role in explainingsome stylized differences ineconomic development

Background

Some 206 million children workpart-or full-time in developingcountries (ILO estimates 2002)

The World Bank documents aninverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child laborparticipation rates

Barriers to capital seem to playan important role in explainingsome stylized differences ineconomic development

Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

Paperrsquos Objectives

Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

Two main questionsmdash Do capital barriers have

i) Positive impact on child labor and

ii) A negative impact on output

mdash What are some implications for policy

Paperrsquos Objectives

Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

Two main questionsmdash Do capital barriers have

i) Positive impact on child labor and

ii) A negative impact on output

mdash What are some implications for policy

Paperrsquos Objectives

3 Important Features

Binding non-negativity constraint on bequestsParents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

― 0 lt λ lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo ― 1β lt rπ lt 1βλ

3 Important Features

Binding non-negativity constraint on bequestsParents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

― 0 lt λ lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo ― 1β lt rπ lt 1βλ

Barriers to capital formationBribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to

many developing economies

― Reduces capital input― Maymay not affect labor allocation

3 Important Features

Binding non-negativity constraint on bequestsParents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

― 0 lt λ lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo ― 1β lt rπ lt 1βλ

Barriers to capital formationBribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to

many developing economies

― Reduces capital input― Maymay not affect labor allocation

Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

3 Important Features

Barriers

Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

Child Labor and Human Capital

Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

Minimum Consumption Requirements

Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

Related Studies

Overview

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKπ

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKπ

MCR γ

The Model

Preferences

Ut equiv u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ Ut+1

where u(c ) = (c ndash γ )1-σ (1 - σ) 0 le β λ le 1

c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

c) c1t c2t+1 ge γ xt bt ge 0

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

c) c1t c2t+1 ge γ xt bt ge 0

d) θt equiv bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge (rt π ) λ β uprime(c1t +1 )

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge (rt π ) λ β uprime(c1t +1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) ge wt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) λβ uprime(c1t+1 )+ wt + 2 hprime( 1- lt ) λ β 2 uprime(c2t+2 )

Aggregate Investment

X = +[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ ]

Factors and Technologies

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factorsa) Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )b) Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )c) Capital Kt+1 = xt π + bt π

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factorsa) Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )b) Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )c) Capital Kt+1 = xt π + bt π

Human CapitalAssumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of sequences for prices wt rt t ge 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t ge 1and Xt Kt+1 lt t ge 1 such that

a) Agents optimize

b) Factor payments w = (1 - α) A Kα L-α

r = α A Kα -1 L1-α

c) All markets clear Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 ) Capital xt + bt = π Kt +1 Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

Equilibrium

Approach

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequestsmdash MCR = 0

mdash MCR gt 0

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Policy-induced changes in factors

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)Suppose drr ge dππ Then dK lt 0

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reason In the steady-state 1βλ = rπ if bt gt 0

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

If the MCR γ = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reasonndash When γ = 0 investment dXX = dwwndash But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKKndash From the clearing condition X = π K so

dXX = dKK + dππ there4 drr = dππ

Aggregate Investment (γ = 0)

X = +[wh(1- l)][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Suppose the minimum consumption requirement γ gt 0 anddπ gt 0 Then drr gt dππ

Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

One consequence Effective return rπ rises child labor increases

dK + dππ = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in π is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ) 1σ]

( )( )

( )( ) =

Γ

+minusminusminus

minus

Γminus

+minus+minusminus

παα

πππαα r

llhlhrrr

llhllh

)1211

)1211

( )( ) 11

1

1minus+

equivΓσββ z

z

( ) ( )( )

Γminus

minus

+minus+

minus

minus

πππαα

α

γ

α

αα

rrr

llhA

r 1

)121

11

1

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rπ is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

Pedagogical Examples

Variable β λ σ γ α π hValue 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84

1

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

04 05 06 07 08 09 1

Relative Output

Rela

tive

Parti

cipa

tion

Rate

s

Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

γ gt 0 γ = 0

Why the difference

The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels Wages Return rπ Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of

middle-age decisionmakers

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Conclusions

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriersdeveloping countries can reduce child labor Without areduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricterbarriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lotof a country

  • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Background
  • Background
  • Slide Number 9
  • Slide Number 10
  • Slide Number 11
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • Slide Number 16
  • Slide Number 17
  • Slide Number 18
  • Slide Number 19
  • Slide Number 20
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • Slide Number 23
  • Preferences
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Aggregate Investment
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Slide Number 39
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Slide Number 43
  • Slide Number 44
  • Slide Number 45
  • Slide Number 46
  • Slide Number 47
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Aggregate Investment (g = 0)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Slide Number 62
  • Steady State
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Slide Number 67
  • Pedagogical Examples
  • Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)
  • Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)
  • Slide Number 71
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
    • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor

      DEGIT

      St Petersburg Russia

      8 September 2011

      Richard C Barnett

      Drexel University

      Secrecy vs Seclective Disclosure

      Outline of the Talk

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Conclusions

          Background

          Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

          The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

          Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Background

              Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

              The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

              Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)

                  Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

                  3 Important Features

                  Barriers

                  Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

                  Child Labor and Human Capital

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

                  Minimum Consumption Requirements

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

                  Related Studies

                  Overview

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  MCR g

                  The Model

                  Preferences

                  Ut ordm u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl Ut+1

                  where u(c ) = (c ndash g )1-s (1 - s) 0 pound b l pound 1

                  c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

                  c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  qt ordm bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3 wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) lb ucent(c1t+1 )

                  + wt + 2 hcent( 1- lt ) l b 2 ucent(c2t+2 )

                  Aggregate Investment

                  X = +

                  [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                  [rp + (b rp)1s]

                  wl (b rp)1s

                  [rp + (b rp)1s ]

                  Factors and Technologies

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Human Capital

                      Assumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

                      Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of

                      sequences for prices wt rt t sup3 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t sup3 1

                      and Xt Kt+1 lt t sup3 1 such that

                      Agents optimize

                      Factor payments

                      w = (1 - a) A Ka L-a

                      r = a A Ka -1 L1-a

                      All markets clear

                      Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 )

                      Capital xt + bt = p Kt +1

                      Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

                      Equilibrium

                      Approach

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          MCR = 0

                          MCR gt 0

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Steady State

                          • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                              • 1b l sup3 r p
                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                  • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                    • Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                      Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                      wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                      The Child Labor Decision

                                      Steady State

                                      • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                          • 1b l sup3 r p
                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                  -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                  Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                                  Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                                  wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                                  The Child Labor Decision

                                                  Steady State

                                                  • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                                      • 1b l sup3 r p
                                                      • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                            • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                              -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)

                                                                  Suppose drr sup3 dpp Then dK lt 0

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                  Reason In the steady-state 1bl = rp if bt gt 0

                                                                  Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      If the MCR g = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                      Reason

                                                                      When g = 0 investment dXX = dww

                                                                      But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKK

                                                                      From the clearing condition X = p K so

                                                                      dXX = dKK + dpp drr = dpp

                                                                      Aggregate Investment (g = 0)

                                                                      X = +

                                                                      [wh(1- l)][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Suppose the minimum consumption requirement g gt 0 and

                                                                      dp gt 0 Then drr gt dpp

                                                                      Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

                                                                      One consequence Effective return rp rises child labor increases

                                                                      dK + dpp = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

                                                                      Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in p is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

                                                                      Steady State

                                                                      + = K

                                                                      [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp) 1s]

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rp is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛

                                                                      primeprime

                                                                      +rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l Kprime )

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛ +

                                                                      rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      l

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l K )

                                                                      l l prime

                                                                      Pedagogical Examples

                                                                      Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

                                                                      Chart1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates
                                                                      1
                                                                      1036832741
                                                                      1073090064
                                                                      1108955549
                                                                      1144590727
                                                                      1180143169
                                                                      1215752801
                                                                      1251557262
                                                                      1287696923
                                                                      1324320074
                                                                      1361588833
                                                                      1399686467
                                                                      1438827114
                                                                      1479269523
                                                                      152133756
                                                                      1565452592
                                                                      1612187974
                                                                      1662367955
                                                                      1717266013
                                                                      1779062077
                                                                      1852152497

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates

                                                                      Sheet2

                                                                      Sheet3

                                                                      Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

                                                                      g gt 0

                                                                      g = 0

                                                                      Why the difference

                                                                      The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels

                                                                      Wages

                                                                      Return rπ

                                                                      Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of middle-age decisionmakers

                                                                      Conclusions

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriers developing countries can reduce child labor Without a reduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricter barriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lot of a country

                                                                          (

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                                                                          15

                                                                          16

                                                                          17

                                                                          18

                                                                          19

                                                                          0405060708091

                                                                          Relative Output

                                                                          Relative Participation Rates

                                                                          Fig 42b Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          = 0

                                                                          4

                                                                          41

                                                                          42

                                                                          43

                                                                          44

                                                                          45

                                                                          46

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          002

                                                                          004

                                                                          006

                                                                          008

                                                                          01

                                                                          012

                                                                          014

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                          Fig 42a Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          gt 0

                                                                          28

                                                                          29

                                                                          3

                                                                          31

                                                                          32

                                                                          33

                                                                          34

                                                                          35

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          005

                                                                          01

                                                                          015

                                                                          02

                                                                          025

                                                                          03

                                                                          035

                                                                          04

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                      y l ratio y ratio l
                                                                      1 5103837338 0196324827 1 1
                                                                      11 4846566344 02035560085 09495926345 1036832741
                                                                      12 4618839709 02106742213 09049739251 1073090064
                                                                      13 4414915419 02177155064 08650188333 1108955549
                                                                      14 423047326 02247115765 08288808949 1144590727
                                                                      15 4062184154 02316914036 07959078404 1180143169
                                                                      16 390742778 02386824584 07655862679 1215752801
                                                                      17 3764101166 0245711763 07375041398 1251557262
                                                                      18 3630484915 02528068757 07113245731 1287696923
                                                                      19 3505146855 02599969094 06867669603 1324320074
                                                                      2 3386870309 02673136922 06635929175 1361588833
                                                                      21 3274598498 02747932035 06415953882 1399686467
                                                                      22 3167388932 02824774842 06205897097 1438827114
                                                                      23 3064372843 02904173333 06004056634 1479269523
                                                                      24 296471464 02986763333 05808795311 152133756
                                                                      25 2867564887 03073372094 0561844882 1565452592
                                                                      26 2771995899 03165125252 05431199537 1612187974
                                                                      27 2676897761 03263641013 05244872796 1662367955
                                                                      28 2580781446 03371419529 0505655113 1717266013
                                                                      29 248133507 03492740545 04861704842 1779062077
                                                                      3 2374158982 03636235186 04651713652 1852152497
                                                                      31 2247263191 03826037427 04403085448 1948830153
                                                                      32
                                                                      33
                                                                      34
                                                                      35
                                                                      1
                                                                      09495926345
                                                                      09049739251
                                                                      08650188333
                                                                      08288808949
                                                                      07959078404
                                                                      07655862679
                                                                      07375041398
                                                                      07113245731
                                                                      06867669603
                                                                      06635929175
                                                                      06415953882
                                                                      06205897097
                                                                      06004056634
                                                                      05808795311
                                                                      0561844882
                                                                      05431199537
                                                                      05244872796
                                                                      0505655113
                                                                      04861704842
                                                                      04651713652
                                                                      Variable b l s g a p h
                                                                      Value 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84
Page 8: Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor · Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor DEGIT St. Petersburg, Russia. 8 September 2011. Richard

Background

Some 206 million children workpart-or full-time in developingcountries (ILO estimates 2002)

The World Bank documents aninverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child laborparticipation rates

Barriers to capital seem to playan important role in explainingsome stylized differences ineconomic development

Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

Paperrsquos Objectives

Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

Two main questionsmdash Do capital barriers have

i) Positive impact on child labor and

ii) A negative impact on output

mdash What are some implications for policy

Paperrsquos Objectives

Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

Two main questionsmdash Do capital barriers have

i) Positive impact on child labor and

ii) A negative impact on output

mdash What are some implications for policy

Paperrsquos Objectives

3 Important Features

Binding non-negativity constraint on bequestsParents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

― 0 lt λ lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo ― 1β lt rπ lt 1βλ

3 Important Features

Binding non-negativity constraint on bequestsParents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

― 0 lt λ lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo ― 1β lt rπ lt 1βλ

Barriers to capital formationBribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to

many developing economies

― Reduces capital input― Maymay not affect labor allocation

3 Important Features

Binding non-negativity constraint on bequestsParents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

― 0 lt λ lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo ― 1β lt rπ lt 1βλ

Barriers to capital formationBribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to

many developing economies

― Reduces capital input― Maymay not affect labor allocation

Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

3 Important Features

Barriers

Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

Child Labor and Human Capital

Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

Minimum Consumption Requirements

Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

Related Studies

Overview

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKπ

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKπ

MCR γ

The Model

Preferences

Ut equiv u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ Ut+1

where u(c ) = (c ndash γ )1-σ (1 - σ) 0 le β λ le 1

c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

c) c1t c2t+1 ge γ xt bt ge 0

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

c) c1t c2t+1 ge γ xt bt ge 0

d) θt equiv bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge (rt π ) λ β uprime(c1t +1 )

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge (rt π ) λ β uprime(c1t +1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) ge wt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) λβ uprime(c1t+1 )+ wt + 2 hprime( 1- lt ) λ β 2 uprime(c2t+2 )

Aggregate Investment

X = +[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ ]

Factors and Technologies

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factorsa) Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )b) Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )c) Capital Kt+1 = xt π + bt π

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factorsa) Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )b) Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )c) Capital Kt+1 = xt π + bt π

Human CapitalAssumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of sequences for prices wt rt t ge 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t ge 1and Xt Kt+1 lt t ge 1 such that

a) Agents optimize

b) Factor payments w = (1 - α) A Kα L-α

r = α A Kα -1 L1-α

c) All markets clear Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 ) Capital xt + bt = π Kt +1 Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

Equilibrium

Approach

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequestsmdash MCR = 0

mdash MCR gt 0

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Policy-induced changes in factors

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)Suppose drr ge dππ Then dK lt 0

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reason In the steady-state 1βλ = rπ if bt gt 0

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

If the MCR γ = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reasonndash When γ = 0 investment dXX = dwwndash But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKKndash From the clearing condition X = π K so

dXX = dKK + dππ there4 drr = dππ

Aggregate Investment (γ = 0)

X = +[wh(1- l)][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Suppose the minimum consumption requirement γ gt 0 anddπ gt 0 Then drr gt dππ

Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

One consequence Effective return rπ rises child labor increases

dK + dππ = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in π is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ) 1σ]

( )( )

( )( ) =

Γ

+minusminusminus

minus

Γminus

+minus+minusminus

παα

πππαα r

llhlhrrr

llhllh

)1211

)1211

( )( ) 11

1

1minus+

equivΓσββ z

z

( ) ( )( )

Γminus

minus

+minus+

minus

minus

πππαα

α

γ

α

αα

rrr

llhA

r 1

)121

11

1

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rπ is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

Pedagogical Examples

Variable β λ σ γ α π hValue 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84

1

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

04 05 06 07 08 09 1

Relative Output

Rela

tive

Parti

cipa

tion

Rate

s

Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

γ gt 0 γ = 0

Why the difference

The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels Wages Return rπ Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of

middle-age decisionmakers

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Conclusions

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriersdeveloping countries can reduce child labor Without areduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricterbarriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lotof a country

  • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Background
  • Background
  • Slide Number 9
  • Slide Number 10
  • Slide Number 11
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • Slide Number 16
  • Slide Number 17
  • Slide Number 18
  • Slide Number 19
  • Slide Number 20
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • Slide Number 23
  • Preferences
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Aggregate Investment
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Slide Number 39
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Slide Number 43
  • Slide Number 44
  • Slide Number 45
  • Slide Number 46
  • Slide Number 47
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Aggregate Investment (g = 0)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Slide Number 62
  • Steady State
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Slide Number 67
  • Pedagogical Examples
  • Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)
  • Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)
  • Slide Number 71
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
    • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor

      DEGIT

      St Petersburg Russia

      8 September 2011

      Richard C Barnett

      Drexel University

      Secrecy vs Seclective Disclosure

      Outline of the Talk

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Conclusions

          Background

          Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

          The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

          Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Background

              Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

              The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

              Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)

                  Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

                  3 Important Features

                  Barriers

                  Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

                  Child Labor and Human Capital

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

                  Minimum Consumption Requirements

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

                  Related Studies

                  Overview

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  MCR g

                  The Model

                  Preferences

                  Ut ordm u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl Ut+1

                  where u(c ) = (c ndash g )1-s (1 - s) 0 pound b l pound 1

                  c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

                  c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  qt ordm bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3 wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) lb ucent(c1t+1 )

                  + wt + 2 hcent( 1- lt ) l b 2 ucent(c2t+2 )

                  Aggregate Investment

                  X = +

                  [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                  [rp + (b rp)1s]

                  wl (b rp)1s

                  [rp + (b rp)1s ]

                  Factors and Technologies

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Human Capital

                      Assumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

                      Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of

                      sequences for prices wt rt t sup3 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t sup3 1

                      and Xt Kt+1 lt t sup3 1 such that

                      Agents optimize

                      Factor payments

                      w = (1 - a) A Ka L-a

                      r = a A Ka -1 L1-a

                      All markets clear

                      Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 )

                      Capital xt + bt = p Kt +1

                      Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

                      Equilibrium

                      Approach

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          MCR = 0

                          MCR gt 0

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Steady State

                          • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                              • 1b l sup3 r p
                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                  • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                    • Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                      Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                      wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                      The Child Labor Decision

                                      Steady State

                                      • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                          • 1b l sup3 r p
                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                  -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                  Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                                  Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                                  wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                                  The Child Labor Decision

                                                  Steady State

                                                  • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                                      • 1b l sup3 r p
                                                      • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                            • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                              -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)

                                                                  Suppose drr sup3 dpp Then dK lt 0

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                  Reason In the steady-state 1bl = rp if bt gt 0

                                                                  Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      If the MCR g = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                      Reason

                                                                      When g = 0 investment dXX = dww

                                                                      But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKK

                                                                      From the clearing condition X = p K so

                                                                      dXX = dKK + dpp drr = dpp

                                                                      Aggregate Investment (g = 0)

                                                                      X = +

                                                                      [wh(1- l)][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Suppose the minimum consumption requirement g gt 0 and

                                                                      dp gt 0 Then drr gt dpp

                                                                      Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

                                                                      One consequence Effective return rp rises child labor increases

                                                                      dK + dpp = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

                                                                      Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in p is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

                                                                      Steady State

                                                                      + = K

                                                                      [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp) 1s]

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rp is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛

                                                                      primeprime

                                                                      +rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l Kprime )

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛ +

                                                                      rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      l

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l K )

                                                                      l l prime

                                                                      Pedagogical Examples

                                                                      Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

                                                                      Chart1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates
                                                                      1
                                                                      1036832741
                                                                      1073090064
                                                                      1108955549
                                                                      1144590727
                                                                      1180143169
                                                                      1215752801
                                                                      1251557262
                                                                      1287696923
                                                                      1324320074
                                                                      1361588833
                                                                      1399686467
                                                                      1438827114
                                                                      1479269523
                                                                      152133756
                                                                      1565452592
                                                                      1612187974
                                                                      1662367955
                                                                      1717266013
                                                                      1779062077
                                                                      1852152497

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates

                                                                      Sheet2

                                                                      Sheet3

                                                                      Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

                                                                      g gt 0

                                                                      g = 0

                                                                      Why the difference

                                                                      The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels

                                                                      Wages

                                                                      Return rπ

                                                                      Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of middle-age decisionmakers

                                                                      Conclusions

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriers developing countries can reduce child labor Without a reduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricter barriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lot of a country

                                                                          (

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                                                                          divide

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                                                                          a

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                                                                          15

                                                                          16

                                                                          17

                                                                          18

                                                                          19

                                                                          0405060708091

                                                                          Relative Output

                                                                          Relative Participation Rates

                                                                          Fig 42b Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          = 0

                                                                          4

                                                                          41

                                                                          42

                                                                          43

                                                                          44

                                                                          45

                                                                          46

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          002

                                                                          004

                                                                          006

                                                                          008

                                                                          01

                                                                          012

                                                                          014

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                          Fig 42a Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          gt 0

                                                                          28

                                                                          29

                                                                          3

                                                                          31

                                                                          32

                                                                          33

                                                                          34

                                                                          35

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          005

                                                                          01

                                                                          015

                                                                          02

                                                                          025

                                                                          03

                                                                          035

                                                                          04

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                      y l ratio y ratio l
                                                                      1 5103837338 0196324827 1 1
                                                                      11 4846566344 02035560085 09495926345 1036832741
                                                                      12 4618839709 02106742213 09049739251 1073090064
                                                                      13 4414915419 02177155064 08650188333 1108955549
                                                                      14 423047326 02247115765 08288808949 1144590727
                                                                      15 4062184154 02316914036 07959078404 1180143169
                                                                      16 390742778 02386824584 07655862679 1215752801
                                                                      17 3764101166 0245711763 07375041398 1251557262
                                                                      18 3630484915 02528068757 07113245731 1287696923
                                                                      19 3505146855 02599969094 06867669603 1324320074
                                                                      2 3386870309 02673136922 06635929175 1361588833
                                                                      21 3274598498 02747932035 06415953882 1399686467
                                                                      22 3167388932 02824774842 06205897097 1438827114
                                                                      23 3064372843 02904173333 06004056634 1479269523
                                                                      24 296471464 02986763333 05808795311 152133756
                                                                      25 2867564887 03073372094 0561844882 1565452592
                                                                      26 2771995899 03165125252 05431199537 1612187974
                                                                      27 2676897761 03263641013 05244872796 1662367955
                                                                      28 2580781446 03371419529 0505655113 1717266013
                                                                      29 248133507 03492740545 04861704842 1779062077
                                                                      3 2374158982 03636235186 04651713652 1852152497
                                                                      31 2247263191 03826037427 04403085448 1948830153
                                                                      32
                                                                      33
                                                                      34
                                                                      35
                                                                      1
                                                                      09495926345
                                                                      09049739251
                                                                      08650188333
                                                                      08288808949
                                                                      07959078404
                                                                      07655862679
                                                                      07375041398
                                                                      07113245731
                                                                      06867669603
                                                                      06635929175
                                                                      06415953882
                                                                      06205897097
                                                                      06004056634
                                                                      05808795311
                                                                      0561844882
                                                                      05431199537
                                                                      05244872796
                                                                      0505655113
                                                                      04861704842
                                                                      04651713652
                                                                      Variable b l s g a p h
                                                                      Value 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84
Page 9: Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor · Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor DEGIT St. Petersburg, Russia. 8 September 2011. Richard

Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

Paperrsquos Objectives

Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

Two main questionsmdash Do capital barriers have

i) Positive impact on child labor and

ii) A negative impact on output

mdash What are some implications for policy

Paperrsquos Objectives

Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

Two main questionsmdash Do capital barriers have

i) Positive impact on child labor and

ii) A negative impact on output

mdash What are some implications for policy

Paperrsquos Objectives

3 Important Features

Binding non-negativity constraint on bequestsParents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

― 0 lt λ lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo ― 1β lt rπ lt 1βλ

3 Important Features

Binding non-negativity constraint on bequestsParents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

― 0 lt λ lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo ― 1β lt rπ lt 1βλ

Barriers to capital formationBribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to

many developing economies

― Reduces capital input― Maymay not affect labor allocation

3 Important Features

Binding non-negativity constraint on bequestsParents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

― 0 lt λ lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo ― 1β lt rπ lt 1βλ

Barriers to capital formationBribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to

many developing economies

― Reduces capital input― Maymay not affect labor allocation

Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

3 Important Features

Barriers

Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

Child Labor and Human Capital

Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

Minimum Consumption Requirements

Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

Related Studies

Overview

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKπ

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKπ

MCR γ

The Model

Preferences

Ut equiv u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ Ut+1

where u(c ) = (c ndash γ )1-σ (1 - σ) 0 le β λ le 1

c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

c) c1t c2t+1 ge γ xt bt ge 0

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

c) c1t c2t+1 ge γ xt bt ge 0

d) θt equiv bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge (rt π ) λ β uprime(c1t +1 )

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge (rt π ) λ β uprime(c1t +1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) ge wt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) λβ uprime(c1t+1 )+ wt + 2 hprime( 1- lt ) λ β 2 uprime(c2t+2 )

Aggregate Investment

X = +[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ ]

Factors and Technologies

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factorsa) Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )b) Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )c) Capital Kt+1 = xt π + bt π

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factorsa) Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )b) Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )c) Capital Kt+1 = xt π + bt π

Human CapitalAssumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of sequences for prices wt rt t ge 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t ge 1and Xt Kt+1 lt t ge 1 such that

a) Agents optimize

b) Factor payments w = (1 - α) A Kα L-α

r = α A Kα -1 L1-α

c) All markets clear Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 ) Capital xt + bt = π Kt +1 Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

Equilibrium

Approach

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequestsmdash MCR = 0

mdash MCR gt 0

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Policy-induced changes in factors

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)Suppose drr ge dππ Then dK lt 0

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reason In the steady-state 1βλ = rπ if bt gt 0

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

If the MCR γ = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reasonndash When γ = 0 investment dXX = dwwndash But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKKndash From the clearing condition X = π K so

dXX = dKK + dππ there4 drr = dππ

Aggregate Investment (γ = 0)

X = +[wh(1- l)][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Suppose the minimum consumption requirement γ gt 0 anddπ gt 0 Then drr gt dππ

Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

One consequence Effective return rπ rises child labor increases

dK + dππ = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in π is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ) 1σ]

( )( )

( )( ) =

Γ

+minusminusminus

minus

Γminus

+minus+minusminus

παα

πππαα r

llhlhrrr

llhllh

)1211

)1211

( )( ) 11

1

1minus+

equivΓσββ z

z

( ) ( )( )

Γminus

minus

+minus+

minus

minus

πππαα

α

γ

α

αα

rrr

llhA

r 1

)121

11

1

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rπ is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

Pedagogical Examples

Variable β λ σ γ α π hValue 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84

1

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

04 05 06 07 08 09 1

Relative Output

Rela

tive

Parti

cipa

tion

Rate

s

Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

γ gt 0 γ = 0

Why the difference

The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels Wages Return rπ Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of

middle-age decisionmakers

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Conclusions

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriersdeveloping countries can reduce child labor Without areduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricterbarriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lotof a country

  • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Background
  • Background
  • Slide Number 9
  • Slide Number 10
  • Slide Number 11
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • Slide Number 16
  • Slide Number 17
  • Slide Number 18
  • Slide Number 19
  • Slide Number 20
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • Slide Number 23
  • Preferences
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Aggregate Investment
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Slide Number 39
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Slide Number 43
  • Slide Number 44
  • Slide Number 45
  • Slide Number 46
  • Slide Number 47
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Aggregate Investment (g = 0)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Slide Number 62
  • Steady State
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Slide Number 67
  • Pedagogical Examples
  • Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)
  • Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)
  • Slide Number 71
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
    • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor

      DEGIT

      St Petersburg Russia

      8 September 2011

      Richard C Barnett

      Drexel University

      Secrecy vs Seclective Disclosure

      Outline of the Talk

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Conclusions

          Background

          Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

          The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

          Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Background

              Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

              The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

              Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)

                  Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

                  3 Important Features

                  Barriers

                  Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

                  Child Labor and Human Capital

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

                  Minimum Consumption Requirements

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

                  Related Studies

                  Overview

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  MCR g

                  The Model

                  Preferences

                  Ut ordm u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl Ut+1

                  where u(c ) = (c ndash g )1-s (1 - s) 0 pound b l pound 1

                  c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

                  c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  qt ordm bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3 wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) lb ucent(c1t+1 )

                  + wt + 2 hcent( 1- lt ) l b 2 ucent(c2t+2 )

                  Aggregate Investment

                  X = +

                  [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                  [rp + (b rp)1s]

                  wl (b rp)1s

                  [rp + (b rp)1s ]

                  Factors and Technologies

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Human Capital

                      Assumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

                      Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of

                      sequences for prices wt rt t sup3 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t sup3 1

                      and Xt Kt+1 lt t sup3 1 such that

                      Agents optimize

                      Factor payments

                      w = (1 - a) A Ka L-a

                      r = a A Ka -1 L1-a

                      All markets clear

                      Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 )

                      Capital xt + bt = p Kt +1

                      Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

                      Equilibrium

                      Approach

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          MCR = 0

                          MCR gt 0

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Steady State

                          • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                              • 1b l sup3 r p
                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                  • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                    • Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                      Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                      wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                      The Child Labor Decision

                                      Steady State

                                      • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                          • 1b l sup3 r p
                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                  -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                  Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                                  Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                                  wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                                  The Child Labor Decision

                                                  Steady State

                                                  • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                                      • 1b l sup3 r p
                                                      • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                            • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                              -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)

                                                                  Suppose drr sup3 dpp Then dK lt 0

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                  Reason In the steady-state 1bl = rp if bt gt 0

                                                                  Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      If the MCR g = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                      Reason

                                                                      When g = 0 investment dXX = dww

                                                                      But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKK

                                                                      From the clearing condition X = p K so

                                                                      dXX = dKK + dpp drr = dpp

                                                                      Aggregate Investment (g = 0)

                                                                      X = +

                                                                      [wh(1- l)][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Suppose the minimum consumption requirement g gt 0 and

                                                                      dp gt 0 Then drr gt dpp

                                                                      Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

                                                                      One consequence Effective return rp rises child labor increases

                                                                      dK + dpp = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

                                                                      Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in p is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

                                                                      Steady State

                                                                      + = K

                                                                      [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp) 1s]

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rp is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛

                                                                      primeprime

                                                                      +rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l Kprime )

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛ +

                                                                      rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      l

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l K )

                                                                      l l prime

                                                                      Pedagogical Examples

                                                                      Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

                                                                      Chart1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates
                                                                      1
                                                                      1036832741
                                                                      1073090064
                                                                      1108955549
                                                                      1144590727
                                                                      1180143169
                                                                      1215752801
                                                                      1251557262
                                                                      1287696923
                                                                      1324320074
                                                                      1361588833
                                                                      1399686467
                                                                      1438827114
                                                                      1479269523
                                                                      152133756
                                                                      1565452592
                                                                      1612187974
                                                                      1662367955
                                                                      1717266013
                                                                      1779062077
                                                                      1852152497

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates

                                                                      Sheet2

                                                                      Sheet3

                                                                      Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

                                                                      g gt 0

                                                                      g = 0

                                                                      Why the difference

                                                                      The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels

                                                                      Wages

                                                                      Return rπ

                                                                      Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of middle-age decisionmakers

                                                                      Conclusions

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriers developing countries can reduce child labor Without a reduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricter barriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lot of a country

                                                                          (

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                                                                          G

                                                                          s

                                                                          b

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                                                                          divide

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                                                                          -

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                                                                          p

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                                                                          a

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                                                                          g

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          l

                                                                          l

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                                                                          A

                                                                          r

                                                                          1

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                                                                          1

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                                                                          11

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                                                                          13

                                                                          14

                                                                          15

                                                                          16

                                                                          17

                                                                          18

                                                                          19

                                                                          0405060708091

                                                                          Relative Output

                                                                          Relative Participation Rates

                                                                          Fig 42b Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          = 0

                                                                          4

                                                                          41

                                                                          42

                                                                          43

                                                                          44

                                                                          45

                                                                          46

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          002

                                                                          004

                                                                          006

                                                                          008

                                                                          01

                                                                          012

                                                                          014

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                          Fig 42a Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          gt 0

                                                                          28

                                                                          29

                                                                          3

                                                                          31

                                                                          32

                                                                          33

                                                                          34

                                                                          35

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          005

                                                                          01

                                                                          015

                                                                          02

                                                                          025

                                                                          03

                                                                          035

                                                                          04

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                      y l ratio y ratio l
                                                                      1 5103837338 0196324827 1 1
                                                                      11 4846566344 02035560085 09495926345 1036832741
                                                                      12 4618839709 02106742213 09049739251 1073090064
                                                                      13 4414915419 02177155064 08650188333 1108955549
                                                                      14 423047326 02247115765 08288808949 1144590727
                                                                      15 4062184154 02316914036 07959078404 1180143169
                                                                      16 390742778 02386824584 07655862679 1215752801
                                                                      17 3764101166 0245711763 07375041398 1251557262
                                                                      18 3630484915 02528068757 07113245731 1287696923
                                                                      19 3505146855 02599969094 06867669603 1324320074
                                                                      2 3386870309 02673136922 06635929175 1361588833
                                                                      21 3274598498 02747932035 06415953882 1399686467
                                                                      22 3167388932 02824774842 06205897097 1438827114
                                                                      23 3064372843 02904173333 06004056634 1479269523
                                                                      24 296471464 02986763333 05808795311 152133756
                                                                      25 2867564887 03073372094 0561844882 1565452592
                                                                      26 2771995899 03165125252 05431199537 1612187974
                                                                      27 2676897761 03263641013 05244872796 1662367955
                                                                      28 2580781446 03371419529 0505655113 1717266013
                                                                      29 248133507 03492740545 04861704842 1779062077
                                                                      3 2374158982 03636235186 04651713652 1852152497
                                                                      31 2247263191 03826037427 04403085448 1948830153
                                                                      32
                                                                      33
                                                                      34
                                                                      35
                                                                      1
                                                                      09495926345
                                                                      09049739251
                                                                      08650188333
                                                                      08288808949
                                                                      07959078404
                                                                      07655862679
                                                                      07375041398
                                                                      07113245731
                                                                      06867669603
                                                                      06635929175
                                                                      06415953882
                                                                      06205897097
                                                                      06004056634
                                                                      05808795311
                                                                      0561844882
                                                                      05431199537
                                                                      05244872796
                                                                      0505655113
                                                                      04861704842
                                                                      04651713652
                                                                      Variable b l s g a p h
                                                                      Value 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84
Page 10: Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor · Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor DEGIT St. Petersburg, Russia. 8 September 2011. Richard

Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

Two main questionsmdash Do capital barriers have

i) Positive impact on child labor and

ii) A negative impact on output

mdash What are some implications for policy

Paperrsquos Objectives

Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

Two main questionsmdash Do capital barriers have

i) Positive impact on child labor and

ii) A negative impact on output

mdash What are some implications for policy

Paperrsquos Objectives

3 Important Features

Binding non-negativity constraint on bequestsParents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

― 0 lt λ lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo ― 1β lt rπ lt 1βλ

3 Important Features

Binding non-negativity constraint on bequestsParents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

― 0 lt λ lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo ― 1β lt rπ lt 1βλ

Barriers to capital formationBribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to

many developing economies

― Reduces capital input― Maymay not affect labor allocation

3 Important Features

Binding non-negativity constraint on bequestsParents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

― 0 lt λ lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo ― 1β lt rπ lt 1βλ

Barriers to capital formationBribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to

many developing economies

― Reduces capital input― Maymay not affect labor allocation

Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

3 Important Features

Barriers

Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

Child Labor and Human Capital

Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

Minimum Consumption Requirements

Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

Related Studies

Overview

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKπ

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKπ

MCR γ

The Model

Preferences

Ut equiv u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ Ut+1

where u(c ) = (c ndash γ )1-σ (1 - σ) 0 le β λ le 1

c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

c) c1t c2t+1 ge γ xt bt ge 0

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

c) c1t c2t+1 ge γ xt bt ge 0

d) θt equiv bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge (rt π ) λ β uprime(c1t +1 )

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge (rt π ) λ β uprime(c1t +1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) ge wt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) λβ uprime(c1t+1 )+ wt + 2 hprime( 1- lt ) λ β 2 uprime(c2t+2 )

Aggregate Investment

X = +[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ ]

Factors and Technologies

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factorsa) Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )b) Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )c) Capital Kt+1 = xt π + bt π

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factorsa) Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )b) Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )c) Capital Kt+1 = xt π + bt π

Human CapitalAssumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of sequences for prices wt rt t ge 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t ge 1and Xt Kt+1 lt t ge 1 such that

a) Agents optimize

b) Factor payments w = (1 - α) A Kα L-α

r = α A Kα -1 L1-α

c) All markets clear Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 ) Capital xt + bt = π Kt +1 Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

Equilibrium

Approach

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequestsmdash MCR = 0

mdash MCR gt 0

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Policy-induced changes in factors

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)Suppose drr ge dππ Then dK lt 0

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reason In the steady-state 1βλ = rπ if bt gt 0

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

If the MCR γ = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reasonndash When γ = 0 investment dXX = dwwndash But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKKndash From the clearing condition X = π K so

dXX = dKK + dππ there4 drr = dππ

Aggregate Investment (γ = 0)

X = +[wh(1- l)][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Suppose the minimum consumption requirement γ gt 0 anddπ gt 0 Then drr gt dππ

Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

One consequence Effective return rπ rises child labor increases

dK + dππ = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in π is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ) 1σ]

( )( )

( )( ) =

Γ

+minusminusminus

minus

Γminus

+minus+minusminus

παα

πππαα r

llhlhrrr

llhllh

)1211

)1211

( )( ) 11

1

1minus+

equivΓσββ z

z

( ) ( )( )

Γminus

minus

+minus+

minus

minus

πππαα

α

γ

α

αα

rrr

llhA

r 1

)121

11

1

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rπ is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

Pedagogical Examples

Variable β λ σ γ α π hValue 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84

1

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

04 05 06 07 08 09 1

Relative Output

Rela

tive

Parti

cipa

tion

Rate

s

Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

γ gt 0 γ = 0

Why the difference

The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels Wages Return rπ Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of

middle-age decisionmakers

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Conclusions

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriersdeveloping countries can reduce child labor Without areduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricterbarriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lotof a country

  • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Background
  • Background
  • Slide Number 9
  • Slide Number 10
  • Slide Number 11
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • Slide Number 16
  • Slide Number 17
  • Slide Number 18
  • Slide Number 19
  • Slide Number 20
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • Slide Number 23
  • Preferences
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Aggregate Investment
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Slide Number 39
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Slide Number 43
  • Slide Number 44
  • Slide Number 45
  • Slide Number 46
  • Slide Number 47
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Aggregate Investment (g = 0)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Slide Number 62
  • Steady State
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Slide Number 67
  • Pedagogical Examples
  • Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)
  • Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)
  • Slide Number 71
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
    • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor

      DEGIT

      St Petersburg Russia

      8 September 2011

      Richard C Barnett

      Drexel University

      Secrecy vs Seclective Disclosure

      Outline of the Talk

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Conclusions

          Background

          Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

          The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

          Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Background

              Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

              The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

              Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)

                  Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

                  3 Important Features

                  Barriers

                  Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

                  Child Labor and Human Capital

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

                  Minimum Consumption Requirements

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

                  Related Studies

                  Overview

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  MCR g

                  The Model

                  Preferences

                  Ut ordm u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl Ut+1

                  where u(c ) = (c ndash g )1-s (1 - s) 0 pound b l pound 1

                  c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

                  c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  qt ordm bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3 wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) lb ucent(c1t+1 )

                  + wt + 2 hcent( 1- lt ) l b 2 ucent(c2t+2 )

                  Aggregate Investment

                  X = +

                  [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                  [rp + (b rp)1s]

                  wl (b rp)1s

                  [rp + (b rp)1s ]

                  Factors and Technologies

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Human Capital

                      Assumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

                      Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of

                      sequences for prices wt rt t sup3 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t sup3 1

                      and Xt Kt+1 lt t sup3 1 such that

                      Agents optimize

                      Factor payments

                      w = (1 - a) A Ka L-a

                      r = a A Ka -1 L1-a

                      All markets clear

                      Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 )

                      Capital xt + bt = p Kt +1

                      Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

                      Equilibrium

                      Approach

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          MCR = 0

                          MCR gt 0

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Steady State

                          • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                              • 1b l sup3 r p
                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                  • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                    • Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                      Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                      wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                      The Child Labor Decision

                                      Steady State

                                      • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                          • 1b l sup3 r p
                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                  -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                  Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                                  Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                                  wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                                  The Child Labor Decision

                                                  Steady State

                                                  • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                                      • 1b l sup3 r p
                                                      • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                            • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                              -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)

                                                                  Suppose drr sup3 dpp Then dK lt 0

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                  Reason In the steady-state 1bl = rp if bt gt 0

                                                                  Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      If the MCR g = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                      Reason

                                                                      When g = 0 investment dXX = dww

                                                                      But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKK

                                                                      From the clearing condition X = p K so

                                                                      dXX = dKK + dpp drr = dpp

                                                                      Aggregate Investment (g = 0)

                                                                      X = +

                                                                      [wh(1- l)][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Suppose the minimum consumption requirement g gt 0 and

                                                                      dp gt 0 Then drr gt dpp

                                                                      Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

                                                                      One consequence Effective return rp rises child labor increases

                                                                      dK + dpp = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

                                                                      Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in p is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

                                                                      Steady State

                                                                      + = K

                                                                      [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp) 1s]

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rp is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛

                                                                      primeprime

                                                                      +rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l Kprime )

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛ +

                                                                      rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      l

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l K )

                                                                      l l prime

                                                                      Pedagogical Examples

                                                                      Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

                                                                      Chart1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates
                                                                      1
                                                                      1036832741
                                                                      1073090064
                                                                      1108955549
                                                                      1144590727
                                                                      1180143169
                                                                      1215752801
                                                                      1251557262
                                                                      1287696923
                                                                      1324320074
                                                                      1361588833
                                                                      1399686467
                                                                      1438827114
                                                                      1479269523
                                                                      152133756
                                                                      1565452592
                                                                      1612187974
                                                                      1662367955
                                                                      1717266013
                                                                      1779062077
                                                                      1852152497

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates

                                                                      Sheet2

                                                                      Sheet3

                                                                      Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

                                                                      g gt 0

                                                                      g = 0

                                                                      Why the difference

                                                                      The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels

                                                                      Wages

                                                                      Return rπ

                                                                      Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of middle-age decisionmakers

                                                                      Conclusions

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriers developing countries can reduce child labor Without a reduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricter barriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lot of a country

                                                                          (

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                                                                          a

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                                                                          11

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                                                                          13

                                                                          14

                                                                          15

                                                                          16

                                                                          17

                                                                          18

                                                                          19

                                                                          0405060708091

                                                                          Relative Output

                                                                          Relative Participation Rates

                                                                          Fig 42b Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          = 0

                                                                          4

                                                                          41

                                                                          42

                                                                          43

                                                                          44

                                                                          45

                                                                          46

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          002

                                                                          004

                                                                          006

                                                                          008

                                                                          01

                                                                          012

                                                                          014

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                          Fig 42a Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          gt 0

                                                                          28

                                                                          29

                                                                          3

                                                                          31

                                                                          32

                                                                          33

                                                                          34

                                                                          35

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          005

                                                                          01

                                                                          015

                                                                          02

                                                                          025

                                                                          03

                                                                          035

                                                                          04

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                      y l ratio y ratio l
                                                                      1 5103837338 0196324827 1 1
                                                                      11 4846566344 02035560085 09495926345 1036832741
                                                                      12 4618839709 02106742213 09049739251 1073090064
                                                                      13 4414915419 02177155064 08650188333 1108955549
                                                                      14 423047326 02247115765 08288808949 1144590727
                                                                      15 4062184154 02316914036 07959078404 1180143169
                                                                      16 390742778 02386824584 07655862679 1215752801
                                                                      17 3764101166 0245711763 07375041398 1251557262
                                                                      18 3630484915 02528068757 07113245731 1287696923
                                                                      19 3505146855 02599969094 06867669603 1324320074
                                                                      2 3386870309 02673136922 06635929175 1361588833
                                                                      21 3274598498 02747932035 06415953882 1399686467
                                                                      22 3167388932 02824774842 06205897097 1438827114
                                                                      23 3064372843 02904173333 06004056634 1479269523
                                                                      24 296471464 02986763333 05808795311 152133756
                                                                      25 2867564887 03073372094 0561844882 1565452592
                                                                      26 2771995899 03165125252 05431199537 1612187974
                                                                      27 2676897761 03263641013 05244872796 1662367955
                                                                      28 2580781446 03371419529 0505655113 1717266013
                                                                      29 248133507 03492740545 04861704842 1779062077
                                                                      3 2374158982 03636235186 04651713652 1852152497
                                                                      31 2247263191 03826037427 04403085448 1948830153
                                                                      32
                                                                      33
                                                                      34
                                                                      35
                                                                      1
                                                                      09495926345
                                                                      09049739251
                                                                      08650188333
                                                                      08288808949
                                                                      07959078404
                                                                      07655862679
                                                                      07375041398
                                                                      07113245731
                                                                      06867669603
                                                                      06635929175
                                                                      06415953882
                                                                      06205897097
                                                                      06004056634
                                                                      05808795311
                                                                      0561844882
                                                                      05431199537
                                                                      05244872796
                                                                      0505655113
                                                                      04861704842
                                                                      04651713652
                                                                      Variable b l s g a p h
                                                                      Value 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84
Page 11: Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor · Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor DEGIT St. Petersburg, Russia. 8 September 2011. Richard

Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

Two main questionsmdash Do capital barriers have

i) Positive impact on child labor and

ii) A negative impact on output

mdash What are some implications for policy

Paperrsquos Objectives

3 Important Features

Binding non-negativity constraint on bequestsParents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

― 0 lt λ lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo ― 1β lt rπ lt 1βλ

3 Important Features

Binding non-negativity constraint on bequestsParents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

― 0 lt λ lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo ― 1β lt rπ lt 1βλ

Barriers to capital formationBribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to

many developing economies

― Reduces capital input― Maymay not affect labor allocation

3 Important Features

Binding non-negativity constraint on bequestsParents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

― 0 lt λ lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo ― 1β lt rπ lt 1βλ

Barriers to capital formationBribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to

many developing economies

― Reduces capital input― Maymay not affect labor allocation

Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

3 Important Features

Barriers

Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

Child Labor and Human Capital

Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

Minimum Consumption Requirements

Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

Related Studies

Overview

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKπ

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKπ

MCR γ

The Model

Preferences

Ut equiv u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ Ut+1

where u(c ) = (c ndash γ )1-σ (1 - σ) 0 le β λ le 1

c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

c) c1t c2t+1 ge γ xt bt ge 0

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

c) c1t c2t+1 ge γ xt bt ge 0

d) θt equiv bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge (rt π ) λ β uprime(c1t +1 )

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge (rt π ) λ β uprime(c1t +1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) ge wt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) λβ uprime(c1t+1 )+ wt + 2 hprime( 1- lt ) λ β 2 uprime(c2t+2 )

Aggregate Investment

X = +[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ ]

Factors and Technologies

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factorsa) Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )b) Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )c) Capital Kt+1 = xt π + bt π

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factorsa) Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )b) Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )c) Capital Kt+1 = xt π + bt π

Human CapitalAssumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of sequences for prices wt rt t ge 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t ge 1and Xt Kt+1 lt t ge 1 such that

a) Agents optimize

b) Factor payments w = (1 - α) A Kα L-α

r = α A Kα -1 L1-α

c) All markets clear Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 ) Capital xt + bt = π Kt +1 Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

Equilibrium

Approach

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequestsmdash MCR = 0

mdash MCR gt 0

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Policy-induced changes in factors

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)Suppose drr ge dππ Then dK lt 0

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reason In the steady-state 1βλ = rπ if bt gt 0

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

If the MCR γ = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reasonndash When γ = 0 investment dXX = dwwndash But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKKndash From the clearing condition X = π K so

dXX = dKK + dππ there4 drr = dππ

Aggregate Investment (γ = 0)

X = +[wh(1- l)][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Suppose the minimum consumption requirement γ gt 0 anddπ gt 0 Then drr gt dππ

Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

One consequence Effective return rπ rises child labor increases

dK + dππ = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in π is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ) 1σ]

( )( )

( )( ) =

Γ

+minusminusminus

minus

Γminus

+minus+minusminus

παα

πππαα r

llhlhrrr

llhllh

)1211

)1211

( )( ) 11

1

1minus+

equivΓσββ z

z

( ) ( )( )

Γminus

minus

+minus+

minus

minus

πππαα

α

γ

α

αα

rrr

llhA

r 1

)121

11

1

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rπ is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

Pedagogical Examples

Variable β λ σ γ α π hValue 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84

1

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

04 05 06 07 08 09 1

Relative Output

Rela

tive

Parti

cipa

tion

Rate

s

Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

γ gt 0 γ = 0

Why the difference

The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels Wages Return rπ Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of

middle-age decisionmakers

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Conclusions

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriersdeveloping countries can reduce child labor Without areduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricterbarriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lotof a country

  • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Background
  • Background
  • Slide Number 9
  • Slide Number 10
  • Slide Number 11
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • Slide Number 16
  • Slide Number 17
  • Slide Number 18
  • Slide Number 19
  • Slide Number 20
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • Slide Number 23
  • Preferences
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Aggregate Investment
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Slide Number 39
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Slide Number 43
  • Slide Number 44
  • Slide Number 45
  • Slide Number 46
  • Slide Number 47
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Aggregate Investment (g = 0)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Slide Number 62
  • Steady State
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Slide Number 67
  • Pedagogical Examples
  • Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)
  • Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)
  • Slide Number 71
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
    • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor

      DEGIT

      St Petersburg Russia

      8 September 2011

      Richard C Barnett

      Drexel University

      Secrecy vs Seclective Disclosure

      Outline of the Talk

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Conclusions

          Background

          Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

          The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

          Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Background

              Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

              The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

              Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)

                  Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

                  3 Important Features

                  Barriers

                  Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

                  Child Labor and Human Capital

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

                  Minimum Consumption Requirements

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

                  Related Studies

                  Overview

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  MCR g

                  The Model

                  Preferences

                  Ut ordm u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl Ut+1

                  where u(c ) = (c ndash g )1-s (1 - s) 0 pound b l pound 1

                  c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

                  c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  qt ordm bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3 wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) lb ucent(c1t+1 )

                  + wt + 2 hcent( 1- lt ) l b 2 ucent(c2t+2 )

                  Aggregate Investment

                  X = +

                  [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                  [rp + (b rp)1s]

                  wl (b rp)1s

                  [rp + (b rp)1s ]

                  Factors and Technologies

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Human Capital

                      Assumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

                      Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of

                      sequences for prices wt rt t sup3 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t sup3 1

                      and Xt Kt+1 lt t sup3 1 such that

                      Agents optimize

                      Factor payments

                      w = (1 - a) A Ka L-a

                      r = a A Ka -1 L1-a

                      All markets clear

                      Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 )

                      Capital xt + bt = p Kt +1

                      Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

                      Equilibrium

                      Approach

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          MCR = 0

                          MCR gt 0

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Steady State

                          • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                              • 1b l sup3 r p
                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                  • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                    • Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                      Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                      wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                      The Child Labor Decision

                                      Steady State

                                      • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                          • 1b l sup3 r p
                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                  -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                  Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                                  Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                                  wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                                  The Child Labor Decision

                                                  Steady State

                                                  • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                                      • 1b l sup3 r p
                                                      • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                            • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                              -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)

                                                                  Suppose drr sup3 dpp Then dK lt 0

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                  Reason In the steady-state 1bl = rp if bt gt 0

                                                                  Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      If the MCR g = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                      Reason

                                                                      When g = 0 investment dXX = dww

                                                                      But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKK

                                                                      From the clearing condition X = p K so

                                                                      dXX = dKK + dpp drr = dpp

                                                                      Aggregate Investment (g = 0)

                                                                      X = +

                                                                      [wh(1- l)][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Suppose the minimum consumption requirement g gt 0 and

                                                                      dp gt 0 Then drr gt dpp

                                                                      Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

                                                                      One consequence Effective return rp rises child labor increases

                                                                      dK + dpp = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

                                                                      Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in p is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

                                                                      Steady State

                                                                      + = K

                                                                      [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp) 1s]

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rp is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛

                                                                      primeprime

                                                                      +rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l Kprime )

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛ +

                                                                      rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      l

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l K )

                                                                      l l prime

                                                                      Pedagogical Examples

                                                                      Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

                                                                      Chart1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates
                                                                      1
                                                                      1036832741
                                                                      1073090064
                                                                      1108955549
                                                                      1144590727
                                                                      1180143169
                                                                      1215752801
                                                                      1251557262
                                                                      1287696923
                                                                      1324320074
                                                                      1361588833
                                                                      1399686467
                                                                      1438827114
                                                                      1479269523
                                                                      152133756
                                                                      1565452592
                                                                      1612187974
                                                                      1662367955
                                                                      1717266013
                                                                      1779062077
                                                                      1852152497

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates

                                                                      Sheet2

                                                                      Sheet3

                                                                      Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

                                                                      g gt 0

                                                                      g = 0

                                                                      Why the difference

                                                                      The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels

                                                                      Wages

                                                                      Return rπ

                                                                      Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of middle-age decisionmakers

                                                                      Conclusions

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriers developing countries can reduce child labor Without a reduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricter barriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lot of a country

                                                                          (

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                                                                          15

                                                                          16

                                                                          17

                                                                          18

                                                                          19

                                                                          0405060708091

                                                                          Relative Output

                                                                          Relative Participation Rates

                                                                          Fig 42b Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          = 0

                                                                          4

                                                                          41

                                                                          42

                                                                          43

                                                                          44

                                                                          45

                                                                          46

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          002

                                                                          004

                                                                          006

                                                                          008

                                                                          01

                                                                          012

                                                                          014

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                          Fig 42a Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          gt 0

                                                                          28

                                                                          29

                                                                          3

                                                                          31

                                                                          32

                                                                          33

                                                                          34

                                                                          35

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          005

                                                                          01

                                                                          015

                                                                          02

                                                                          025

                                                                          03

                                                                          035

                                                                          04

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                      y l ratio y ratio l
                                                                      1 5103837338 0196324827 1 1
                                                                      11 4846566344 02035560085 09495926345 1036832741
                                                                      12 4618839709 02106742213 09049739251 1073090064
                                                                      13 4414915419 02177155064 08650188333 1108955549
                                                                      14 423047326 02247115765 08288808949 1144590727
                                                                      15 4062184154 02316914036 07959078404 1180143169
                                                                      16 390742778 02386824584 07655862679 1215752801
                                                                      17 3764101166 0245711763 07375041398 1251557262
                                                                      18 3630484915 02528068757 07113245731 1287696923
                                                                      19 3505146855 02599969094 06867669603 1324320074
                                                                      2 3386870309 02673136922 06635929175 1361588833
                                                                      21 3274598498 02747932035 06415953882 1399686467
                                                                      22 3167388932 02824774842 06205897097 1438827114
                                                                      23 3064372843 02904173333 06004056634 1479269523
                                                                      24 296471464 02986763333 05808795311 152133756
                                                                      25 2867564887 03073372094 0561844882 1565452592
                                                                      26 2771995899 03165125252 05431199537 1612187974
                                                                      27 2676897761 03263641013 05244872796 1662367955
                                                                      28 2580781446 03371419529 0505655113 1717266013
                                                                      29 248133507 03492740545 04861704842 1779062077
                                                                      3 2374158982 03636235186 04651713652 1852152497
                                                                      31 2247263191 03826037427 04403085448 1948830153
                                                                      32
                                                                      33
                                                                      34
                                                                      35
                                                                      1
                                                                      09495926345
                                                                      09049739251
                                                                      08650188333
                                                                      08288808949
                                                                      07959078404
                                                                      07655862679
                                                                      07375041398
                                                                      07113245731
                                                                      06867669603
                                                                      06635929175
                                                                      06415953882
                                                                      06205897097
                                                                      06004056634
                                                                      05808795311
                                                                      0561844882
                                                                      05431199537
                                                                      05244872796
                                                                      0505655113
                                                                      04861704842
                                                                      04651713652
                                                                      Variable b l s g a p h
                                                                      Value 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84
Page 12: Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor · Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor DEGIT St. Petersburg, Russia. 8 September 2011. Richard

3 Important Features

Binding non-negativity constraint on bequestsParents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

― 0 lt λ lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo ― 1β lt rπ lt 1βλ

3 Important Features

Binding non-negativity constraint on bequestsParents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

― 0 lt λ lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo ― 1β lt rπ lt 1βλ

Barriers to capital formationBribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to

many developing economies

― Reduces capital input― Maymay not affect labor allocation

3 Important Features

Binding non-negativity constraint on bequestsParents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

― 0 lt λ lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo ― 1β lt rπ lt 1βλ

Barriers to capital formationBribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to

many developing economies

― Reduces capital input― Maymay not affect labor allocation

Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

3 Important Features

Barriers

Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

Child Labor and Human Capital

Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

Minimum Consumption Requirements

Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

Related Studies

Overview

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKπ

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKπ

MCR γ

The Model

Preferences

Ut equiv u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ Ut+1

where u(c ) = (c ndash γ )1-σ (1 - σ) 0 le β λ le 1

c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

c) c1t c2t+1 ge γ xt bt ge 0

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

c) c1t c2t+1 ge γ xt bt ge 0

d) θt equiv bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge (rt π ) λ β uprime(c1t +1 )

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge (rt π ) λ β uprime(c1t +1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) ge wt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) λβ uprime(c1t+1 )+ wt + 2 hprime( 1- lt ) λ β 2 uprime(c2t+2 )

Aggregate Investment

X = +[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ ]

Factors and Technologies

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factorsa) Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )b) Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )c) Capital Kt+1 = xt π + bt π

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factorsa) Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )b) Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )c) Capital Kt+1 = xt π + bt π

Human CapitalAssumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of sequences for prices wt rt t ge 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t ge 1and Xt Kt+1 lt t ge 1 such that

a) Agents optimize

b) Factor payments w = (1 - α) A Kα L-α

r = α A Kα -1 L1-α

c) All markets clear Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 ) Capital xt + bt = π Kt +1 Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

Equilibrium

Approach

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequestsmdash MCR = 0

mdash MCR gt 0

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Policy-induced changes in factors

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)Suppose drr ge dππ Then dK lt 0

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reason In the steady-state 1βλ = rπ if bt gt 0

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

If the MCR γ = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reasonndash When γ = 0 investment dXX = dwwndash But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKKndash From the clearing condition X = π K so

dXX = dKK + dππ there4 drr = dππ

Aggregate Investment (γ = 0)

X = +[wh(1- l)][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Suppose the minimum consumption requirement γ gt 0 anddπ gt 0 Then drr gt dππ

Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

One consequence Effective return rπ rises child labor increases

dK + dππ = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in π is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ) 1σ]

( )( )

( )( ) =

Γ

+minusminusminus

minus

Γminus

+minus+minusminus

παα

πππαα r

llhlhrrr

llhllh

)1211

)1211

( )( ) 11

1

1minus+

equivΓσββ z

z

( ) ( )( )

Γminus

minus

+minus+

minus

minus

πππαα

α

γ

α

αα

rrr

llhA

r 1

)121

11

1

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rπ is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

Pedagogical Examples

Variable β λ σ γ α π hValue 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84

1

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

04 05 06 07 08 09 1

Relative Output

Rela

tive

Parti

cipa

tion

Rate

s

Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

γ gt 0 γ = 0

Why the difference

The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels Wages Return rπ Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of

middle-age decisionmakers

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Conclusions

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriersdeveloping countries can reduce child labor Without areduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricterbarriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lotof a country

  • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Background
  • Background
  • Slide Number 9
  • Slide Number 10
  • Slide Number 11
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • Slide Number 16
  • Slide Number 17
  • Slide Number 18
  • Slide Number 19
  • Slide Number 20
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • Slide Number 23
  • Preferences
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Aggregate Investment
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Slide Number 39
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Slide Number 43
  • Slide Number 44
  • Slide Number 45
  • Slide Number 46
  • Slide Number 47
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Aggregate Investment (g = 0)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Slide Number 62
  • Steady State
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Slide Number 67
  • Pedagogical Examples
  • Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)
  • Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)
  • Slide Number 71
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
    • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor

      DEGIT

      St Petersburg Russia

      8 September 2011

      Richard C Barnett

      Drexel University

      Secrecy vs Seclective Disclosure

      Outline of the Talk

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Conclusions

          Background

          Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

          The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

          Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Background

              Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

              The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

              Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)

                  Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

                  3 Important Features

                  Barriers

                  Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

                  Child Labor and Human Capital

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

                  Minimum Consumption Requirements

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

                  Related Studies

                  Overview

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  MCR g

                  The Model

                  Preferences

                  Ut ordm u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl Ut+1

                  where u(c ) = (c ndash g )1-s (1 - s) 0 pound b l pound 1

                  c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

                  c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  qt ordm bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3 wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) lb ucent(c1t+1 )

                  + wt + 2 hcent( 1- lt ) l b 2 ucent(c2t+2 )

                  Aggregate Investment

                  X = +

                  [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                  [rp + (b rp)1s]

                  wl (b rp)1s

                  [rp + (b rp)1s ]

                  Factors and Technologies

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Human Capital

                      Assumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

                      Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of

                      sequences for prices wt rt t sup3 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t sup3 1

                      and Xt Kt+1 lt t sup3 1 such that

                      Agents optimize

                      Factor payments

                      w = (1 - a) A Ka L-a

                      r = a A Ka -1 L1-a

                      All markets clear

                      Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 )

                      Capital xt + bt = p Kt +1

                      Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

                      Equilibrium

                      Approach

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          MCR = 0

                          MCR gt 0

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Steady State

                          • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                              • 1b l sup3 r p
                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                  • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                    • Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                      Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                      wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                      The Child Labor Decision

                                      Steady State

                                      • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                          • 1b l sup3 r p
                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                  -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                  Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                                  Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                                  wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                                  The Child Labor Decision

                                                  Steady State

                                                  • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                                      • 1b l sup3 r p
                                                      • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                            • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                              -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)

                                                                  Suppose drr sup3 dpp Then dK lt 0

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                  Reason In the steady-state 1bl = rp if bt gt 0

                                                                  Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      If the MCR g = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                      Reason

                                                                      When g = 0 investment dXX = dww

                                                                      But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKK

                                                                      From the clearing condition X = p K so

                                                                      dXX = dKK + dpp drr = dpp

                                                                      Aggregate Investment (g = 0)

                                                                      X = +

                                                                      [wh(1- l)][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Suppose the minimum consumption requirement g gt 0 and

                                                                      dp gt 0 Then drr gt dpp

                                                                      Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

                                                                      One consequence Effective return rp rises child labor increases

                                                                      dK + dpp = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

                                                                      Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in p is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

                                                                      Steady State

                                                                      + = K

                                                                      [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp) 1s]

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rp is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛

                                                                      primeprime

                                                                      +rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l Kprime )

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛ +

                                                                      rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      l

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l K )

                                                                      l l prime

                                                                      Pedagogical Examples

                                                                      Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

                                                                      Chart1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates
                                                                      1
                                                                      1036832741
                                                                      1073090064
                                                                      1108955549
                                                                      1144590727
                                                                      1180143169
                                                                      1215752801
                                                                      1251557262
                                                                      1287696923
                                                                      1324320074
                                                                      1361588833
                                                                      1399686467
                                                                      1438827114
                                                                      1479269523
                                                                      152133756
                                                                      1565452592
                                                                      1612187974
                                                                      1662367955
                                                                      1717266013
                                                                      1779062077
                                                                      1852152497

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates

                                                                      Sheet2

                                                                      Sheet3

                                                                      Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

                                                                      g gt 0

                                                                      g = 0

                                                                      Why the difference

                                                                      The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels

                                                                      Wages

                                                                      Return rπ

                                                                      Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of middle-age decisionmakers

                                                                      Conclusions

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriers developing countries can reduce child labor Without a reduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricter barriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lot of a country

                                                                          (

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                                                                          0405060708091

                                                                          Relative Output

                                                                          Relative Participation Rates

                                                                          Fig 42b Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          = 0

                                                                          4

                                                                          41

                                                                          42

                                                                          43

                                                                          44

                                                                          45

                                                                          46

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          002

                                                                          004

                                                                          006

                                                                          008

                                                                          01

                                                                          012

                                                                          014

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                          Fig 42a Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          gt 0

                                                                          28

                                                                          29

                                                                          3

                                                                          31

                                                                          32

                                                                          33

                                                                          34

                                                                          35

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          005

                                                                          01

                                                                          015

                                                                          02

                                                                          025

                                                                          03

                                                                          035

                                                                          04

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                      y l ratio y ratio l
                                                                      1 5103837338 0196324827 1 1
                                                                      11 4846566344 02035560085 09495926345 1036832741
                                                                      12 4618839709 02106742213 09049739251 1073090064
                                                                      13 4414915419 02177155064 08650188333 1108955549
                                                                      14 423047326 02247115765 08288808949 1144590727
                                                                      15 4062184154 02316914036 07959078404 1180143169
                                                                      16 390742778 02386824584 07655862679 1215752801
                                                                      17 3764101166 0245711763 07375041398 1251557262
                                                                      18 3630484915 02528068757 07113245731 1287696923
                                                                      19 3505146855 02599969094 06867669603 1324320074
                                                                      2 3386870309 02673136922 06635929175 1361588833
                                                                      21 3274598498 02747932035 06415953882 1399686467
                                                                      22 3167388932 02824774842 06205897097 1438827114
                                                                      23 3064372843 02904173333 06004056634 1479269523
                                                                      24 296471464 02986763333 05808795311 152133756
                                                                      25 2867564887 03073372094 0561844882 1565452592
                                                                      26 2771995899 03165125252 05431199537 1612187974
                                                                      27 2676897761 03263641013 05244872796 1662367955
                                                                      28 2580781446 03371419529 0505655113 1717266013
                                                                      29 248133507 03492740545 04861704842 1779062077
                                                                      3 2374158982 03636235186 04651713652 1852152497
                                                                      31 2247263191 03826037427 04403085448 1948830153
                                                                      32
                                                                      33
                                                                      34
                                                                      35
                                                                      1
                                                                      09495926345
                                                                      09049739251
                                                                      08650188333
                                                                      08288808949
                                                                      07959078404
                                                                      07655862679
                                                                      07375041398
                                                                      07113245731
                                                                      06867669603
                                                                      06635929175
                                                                      06415953882
                                                                      06205897097
                                                                      06004056634
                                                                      05808795311
                                                                      0561844882
                                                                      05431199537
                                                                      05244872796
                                                                      0505655113
                                                                      04861704842
                                                                      04651713652
                                                                      Variable b l s g a p h
                                                                      Value 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84
Page 13: Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor · Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor DEGIT St. Petersburg, Russia. 8 September 2011. Richard

Binding non-negativity constraint on bequestsParents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

― 0 lt λ lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo ― 1β lt rπ lt 1βλ

3 Important Features

Binding non-negativity constraint on bequestsParents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

― 0 lt λ lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo ― 1β lt rπ lt 1βλ

Barriers to capital formationBribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to

many developing economies

― Reduces capital input― Maymay not affect labor allocation

3 Important Features

Binding non-negativity constraint on bequestsParents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

― 0 lt λ lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo ― 1β lt rπ lt 1βλ

Barriers to capital formationBribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to

many developing economies

― Reduces capital input― Maymay not affect labor allocation

Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

3 Important Features

Barriers

Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

Child Labor and Human Capital

Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

Minimum Consumption Requirements

Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

Related Studies

Overview

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKπ

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKπ

MCR γ

The Model

Preferences

Ut equiv u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ Ut+1

where u(c ) = (c ndash γ )1-σ (1 - σ) 0 le β λ le 1

c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

c) c1t c2t+1 ge γ xt bt ge 0

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

c) c1t c2t+1 ge γ xt bt ge 0

d) θt equiv bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge (rt π ) λ β uprime(c1t +1 )

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge (rt π ) λ β uprime(c1t +1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) ge wt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) λβ uprime(c1t+1 )+ wt + 2 hprime( 1- lt ) λ β 2 uprime(c2t+2 )

Aggregate Investment

X = +[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ ]

Factors and Technologies

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factorsa) Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )b) Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )c) Capital Kt+1 = xt π + bt π

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factorsa) Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )b) Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )c) Capital Kt+1 = xt π + bt π

Human CapitalAssumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of sequences for prices wt rt t ge 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t ge 1and Xt Kt+1 lt t ge 1 such that

a) Agents optimize

b) Factor payments w = (1 - α) A Kα L-α

r = α A Kα -1 L1-α

c) All markets clear Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 ) Capital xt + bt = π Kt +1 Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

Equilibrium

Approach

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequestsmdash MCR = 0

mdash MCR gt 0

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Policy-induced changes in factors

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)Suppose drr ge dππ Then dK lt 0

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reason In the steady-state 1βλ = rπ if bt gt 0

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

If the MCR γ = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reasonndash When γ = 0 investment dXX = dwwndash But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKKndash From the clearing condition X = π K so

dXX = dKK + dππ there4 drr = dππ

Aggregate Investment (γ = 0)

X = +[wh(1- l)][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Suppose the minimum consumption requirement γ gt 0 anddπ gt 0 Then drr gt dππ

Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

One consequence Effective return rπ rises child labor increases

dK + dππ = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in π is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ) 1σ]

( )( )

( )( ) =

Γ

+minusminusminus

minus

Γminus

+minus+minusminus

παα

πππαα r

llhlhrrr

llhllh

)1211

)1211

( )( ) 11

1

1minus+

equivΓσββ z

z

( ) ( )( )

Γminus

minus

+minus+

minus

minus

πππαα

α

γ

α

αα

rrr

llhA

r 1

)121

11

1

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rπ is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

Pedagogical Examples

Variable β λ σ γ α π hValue 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84

1

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

04 05 06 07 08 09 1

Relative Output

Rela

tive

Parti

cipa

tion

Rate

s

Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

γ gt 0 γ = 0

Why the difference

The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels Wages Return rπ Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of

middle-age decisionmakers

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Conclusions

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriersdeveloping countries can reduce child labor Without areduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricterbarriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lotof a country

  • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Background
  • Background
  • Slide Number 9
  • Slide Number 10
  • Slide Number 11
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • Slide Number 16
  • Slide Number 17
  • Slide Number 18
  • Slide Number 19
  • Slide Number 20
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • Slide Number 23
  • Preferences
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Aggregate Investment
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Slide Number 39
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Slide Number 43
  • Slide Number 44
  • Slide Number 45
  • Slide Number 46
  • Slide Number 47
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Aggregate Investment (g = 0)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Slide Number 62
  • Steady State
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Slide Number 67
  • Pedagogical Examples
  • Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)
  • Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)
  • Slide Number 71
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
    • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor

      DEGIT

      St Petersburg Russia

      8 September 2011

      Richard C Barnett

      Drexel University

      Secrecy vs Seclective Disclosure

      Outline of the Talk

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Conclusions

          Background

          Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

          The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

          Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Background

              Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

              The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

              Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)

                  Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

                  3 Important Features

                  Barriers

                  Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

                  Child Labor and Human Capital

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

                  Minimum Consumption Requirements

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

                  Related Studies

                  Overview

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  MCR g

                  The Model

                  Preferences

                  Ut ordm u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl Ut+1

                  where u(c ) = (c ndash g )1-s (1 - s) 0 pound b l pound 1

                  c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

                  c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  qt ordm bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3 wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) lb ucent(c1t+1 )

                  + wt + 2 hcent( 1- lt ) l b 2 ucent(c2t+2 )

                  Aggregate Investment

                  X = +

                  [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                  [rp + (b rp)1s]

                  wl (b rp)1s

                  [rp + (b rp)1s ]

                  Factors and Technologies

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Human Capital

                      Assumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

                      Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of

                      sequences for prices wt rt t sup3 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t sup3 1

                      and Xt Kt+1 lt t sup3 1 such that

                      Agents optimize

                      Factor payments

                      w = (1 - a) A Ka L-a

                      r = a A Ka -1 L1-a

                      All markets clear

                      Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 )

                      Capital xt + bt = p Kt +1

                      Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

                      Equilibrium

                      Approach

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          MCR = 0

                          MCR gt 0

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Steady State

                          • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                              • 1b l sup3 r p
                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                  • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                    • Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                      Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                      wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                      The Child Labor Decision

                                      Steady State

                                      • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                          • 1b l sup3 r p
                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                  -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                  Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                                  Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                                  wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                                  The Child Labor Decision

                                                  Steady State

                                                  • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                                      • 1b l sup3 r p
                                                      • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                            • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                              -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)

                                                                  Suppose drr sup3 dpp Then dK lt 0

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                  Reason In the steady-state 1bl = rp if bt gt 0

                                                                  Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      If the MCR g = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                      Reason

                                                                      When g = 0 investment dXX = dww

                                                                      But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKK

                                                                      From the clearing condition X = p K so

                                                                      dXX = dKK + dpp drr = dpp

                                                                      Aggregate Investment (g = 0)

                                                                      X = +

                                                                      [wh(1- l)][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Suppose the minimum consumption requirement g gt 0 and

                                                                      dp gt 0 Then drr gt dpp

                                                                      Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

                                                                      One consequence Effective return rp rises child labor increases

                                                                      dK + dpp = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

                                                                      Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in p is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

                                                                      Steady State

                                                                      + = K

                                                                      [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp) 1s]

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rp is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛

                                                                      primeprime

                                                                      +rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l Kprime )

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛ +

                                                                      rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      l

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l K )

                                                                      l l prime

                                                                      Pedagogical Examples

                                                                      Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

                                                                      Chart1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates
                                                                      1
                                                                      1036832741
                                                                      1073090064
                                                                      1108955549
                                                                      1144590727
                                                                      1180143169
                                                                      1215752801
                                                                      1251557262
                                                                      1287696923
                                                                      1324320074
                                                                      1361588833
                                                                      1399686467
                                                                      1438827114
                                                                      1479269523
                                                                      152133756
                                                                      1565452592
                                                                      1612187974
                                                                      1662367955
                                                                      1717266013
                                                                      1779062077
                                                                      1852152497

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates

                                                                      Sheet2

                                                                      Sheet3

                                                                      Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

                                                                      g gt 0

                                                                      g = 0

                                                                      Why the difference

                                                                      The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels

                                                                      Wages

                                                                      Return rπ

                                                                      Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of middle-age decisionmakers

                                                                      Conclusions

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriers developing countries can reduce child labor Without a reduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricter barriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lot of a country

                                                                          (

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                                                                          ucirc

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                                                                          a

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                                                                          a

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                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          l

                                                                          l

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                                                                          r

                                                                          1

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                                                                          14

                                                                          15

                                                                          16

                                                                          17

                                                                          18

                                                                          19

                                                                          0405060708091

                                                                          Relative Output

                                                                          Relative Participation Rates

                                                                          Fig 42b Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          = 0

                                                                          4

                                                                          41

                                                                          42

                                                                          43

                                                                          44

                                                                          45

                                                                          46

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          002

                                                                          004

                                                                          006

                                                                          008

                                                                          01

                                                                          012

                                                                          014

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                          Fig 42a Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          gt 0

                                                                          28

                                                                          29

                                                                          3

                                                                          31

                                                                          32

                                                                          33

                                                                          34

                                                                          35

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          005

                                                                          01

                                                                          015

                                                                          02

                                                                          025

                                                                          03

                                                                          035

                                                                          04

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                      y l ratio y ratio l
                                                                      1 5103837338 0196324827 1 1
                                                                      11 4846566344 02035560085 09495926345 1036832741
                                                                      12 4618839709 02106742213 09049739251 1073090064
                                                                      13 4414915419 02177155064 08650188333 1108955549
                                                                      14 423047326 02247115765 08288808949 1144590727
                                                                      15 4062184154 02316914036 07959078404 1180143169
                                                                      16 390742778 02386824584 07655862679 1215752801
                                                                      17 3764101166 0245711763 07375041398 1251557262
                                                                      18 3630484915 02528068757 07113245731 1287696923
                                                                      19 3505146855 02599969094 06867669603 1324320074
                                                                      2 3386870309 02673136922 06635929175 1361588833
                                                                      21 3274598498 02747932035 06415953882 1399686467
                                                                      22 3167388932 02824774842 06205897097 1438827114
                                                                      23 3064372843 02904173333 06004056634 1479269523
                                                                      24 296471464 02986763333 05808795311 152133756
                                                                      25 2867564887 03073372094 0561844882 1565452592
                                                                      26 2771995899 03165125252 05431199537 1612187974
                                                                      27 2676897761 03263641013 05244872796 1662367955
                                                                      28 2580781446 03371419529 0505655113 1717266013
                                                                      29 248133507 03492740545 04861704842 1779062077
                                                                      3 2374158982 03636235186 04651713652 1852152497
                                                                      31 2247263191 03826037427 04403085448 1948830153
                                                                      32
                                                                      33
                                                                      34
                                                                      35
                                                                      1
                                                                      09495926345
                                                                      09049739251
                                                                      08650188333
                                                                      08288808949
                                                                      07959078404
                                                                      07655862679
                                                                      07375041398
                                                                      07113245731
                                                                      06867669603
                                                                      06635929175
                                                                      06415953882
                                                                      06205897097
                                                                      06004056634
                                                                      05808795311
                                                                      0561844882
                                                                      05431199537
                                                                      05244872796
                                                                      0505655113
                                                                      04861704842
                                                                      04651713652
                                                                      Variable b l s g a p h
                                                                      Value 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84
Page 14: Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor · Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor DEGIT St. Petersburg, Russia. 8 September 2011. Richard

Binding non-negativity constraint on bequestsParents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

― 0 lt λ lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo ― 1β lt rπ lt 1βλ

Barriers to capital formationBribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to

many developing economies

― Reduces capital input― Maymay not affect labor allocation

3 Important Features

Binding non-negativity constraint on bequestsParents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

― 0 lt λ lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo ― 1β lt rπ lt 1βλ

Barriers to capital formationBribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to

many developing economies

― Reduces capital input― Maymay not affect labor allocation

Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

3 Important Features

Barriers

Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

Child Labor and Human Capital

Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

Minimum Consumption Requirements

Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

Related Studies

Overview

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKπ

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKπ

MCR γ

The Model

Preferences

Ut equiv u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ Ut+1

where u(c ) = (c ndash γ )1-σ (1 - σ) 0 le β λ le 1

c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

c) c1t c2t+1 ge γ xt bt ge 0

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

c) c1t c2t+1 ge γ xt bt ge 0

d) θt equiv bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge (rt π ) λ β uprime(c1t +1 )

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge (rt π ) λ β uprime(c1t +1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) ge wt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) λβ uprime(c1t+1 )+ wt + 2 hprime( 1- lt ) λ β 2 uprime(c2t+2 )

Aggregate Investment

X = +[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ ]

Factors and Technologies

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factorsa) Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )b) Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )c) Capital Kt+1 = xt π + bt π

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factorsa) Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )b) Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )c) Capital Kt+1 = xt π + bt π

Human CapitalAssumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of sequences for prices wt rt t ge 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t ge 1and Xt Kt+1 lt t ge 1 such that

a) Agents optimize

b) Factor payments w = (1 - α) A Kα L-α

r = α A Kα -1 L1-α

c) All markets clear Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 ) Capital xt + bt = π Kt +1 Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

Equilibrium

Approach

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequestsmdash MCR = 0

mdash MCR gt 0

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Policy-induced changes in factors

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)Suppose drr ge dππ Then dK lt 0

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reason In the steady-state 1βλ = rπ if bt gt 0

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

If the MCR γ = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reasonndash When γ = 0 investment dXX = dwwndash But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKKndash From the clearing condition X = π K so

dXX = dKK + dππ there4 drr = dππ

Aggregate Investment (γ = 0)

X = +[wh(1- l)][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Suppose the minimum consumption requirement γ gt 0 anddπ gt 0 Then drr gt dππ

Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

One consequence Effective return rπ rises child labor increases

dK + dππ = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in π is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ) 1σ]

( )( )

( )( ) =

Γ

+minusminusminus

minus

Γminus

+minus+minusminus

παα

πππαα r

llhlhrrr

llhllh

)1211

)1211

( )( ) 11

1

1minus+

equivΓσββ z

z

( ) ( )( )

Γminus

minus

+minus+

minus

minus

πππαα

α

γ

α

αα

rrr

llhA

r 1

)121

11

1

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rπ is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

Pedagogical Examples

Variable β λ σ γ α π hValue 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84

1

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

04 05 06 07 08 09 1

Relative Output

Rela

tive

Parti

cipa

tion

Rate

s

Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

γ gt 0 γ = 0

Why the difference

The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels Wages Return rπ Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of

middle-age decisionmakers

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Conclusions

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriersdeveloping countries can reduce child labor Without areduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricterbarriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lotof a country

  • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Background
  • Background
  • Slide Number 9
  • Slide Number 10
  • Slide Number 11
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • Slide Number 16
  • Slide Number 17
  • Slide Number 18
  • Slide Number 19
  • Slide Number 20
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • Slide Number 23
  • Preferences
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Aggregate Investment
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Slide Number 39
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Slide Number 43
  • Slide Number 44
  • Slide Number 45
  • Slide Number 46
  • Slide Number 47
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Aggregate Investment (g = 0)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Slide Number 62
  • Steady State
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Slide Number 67
  • Pedagogical Examples
  • Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)
  • Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)
  • Slide Number 71
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
    • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor

      DEGIT

      St Petersburg Russia

      8 September 2011

      Richard C Barnett

      Drexel University

      Secrecy vs Seclective Disclosure

      Outline of the Talk

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Conclusions

          Background

          Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

          The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

          Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Background

              Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

              The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

              Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)

                  Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

                  3 Important Features

                  Barriers

                  Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

                  Child Labor and Human Capital

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

                  Minimum Consumption Requirements

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

                  Related Studies

                  Overview

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  MCR g

                  The Model

                  Preferences

                  Ut ordm u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl Ut+1

                  where u(c ) = (c ndash g )1-s (1 - s) 0 pound b l pound 1

                  c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

                  c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  qt ordm bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3 wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) lb ucent(c1t+1 )

                  + wt + 2 hcent( 1- lt ) l b 2 ucent(c2t+2 )

                  Aggregate Investment

                  X = +

                  [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                  [rp + (b rp)1s]

                  wl (b rp)1s

                  [rp + (b rp)1s ]

                  Factors and Technologies

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Human Capital

                      Assumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

                      Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of

                      sequences for prices wt rt t sup3 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t sup3 1

                      and Xt Kt+1 lt t sup3 1 such that

                      Agents optimize

                      Factor payments

                      w = (1 - a) A Ka L-a

                      r = a A Ka -1 L1-a

                      All markets clear

                      Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 )

                      Capital xt + bt = p Kt +1

                      Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

                      Equilibrium

                      Approach

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          MCR = 0

                          MCR gt 0

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Steady State

                          • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                              • 1b l sup3 r p
                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                  • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                    • Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                      Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                      wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                      The Child Labor Decision

                                      Steady State

                                      • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                          • 1b l sup3 r p
                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                  -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                  Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                                  Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                                  wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                                  The Child Labor Decision

                                                  Steady State

                                                  • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                                      • 1b l sup3 r p
                                                      • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                            • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                              -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)

                                                                  Suppose drr sup3 dpp Then dK lt 0

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                  Reason In the steady-state 1bl = rp if bt gt 0

                                                                  Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      If the MCR g = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                      Reason

                                                                      When g = 0 investment dXX = dww

                                                                      But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKK

                                                                      From the clearing condition X = p K so

                                                                      dXX = dKK + dpp drr = dpp

                                                                      Aggregate Investment (g = 0)

                                                                      X = +

                                                                      [wh(1- l)][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Suppose the minimum consumption requirement g gt 0 and

                                                                      dp gt 0 Then drr gt dpp

                                                                      Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

                                                                      One consequence Effective return rp rises child labor increases

                                                                      dK + dpp = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

                                                                      Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in p is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

                                                                      Steady State

                                                                      + = K

                                                                      [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp) 1s]

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rp is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛

                                                                      primeprime

                                                                      +rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l Kprime )

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛ +

                                                                      rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      l

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l K )

                                                                      l l prime

                                                                      Pedagogical Examples

                                                                      Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

                                                                      Chart1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates
                                                                      1
                                                                      1036832741
                                                                      1073090064
                                                                      1108955549
                                                                      1144590727
                                                                      1180143169
                                                                      1215752801
                                                                      1251557262
                                                                      1287696923
                                                                      1324320074
                                                                      1361588833
                                                                      1399686467
                                                                      1438827114
                                                                      1479269523
                                                                      152133756
                                                                      1565452592
                                                                      1612187974
                                                                      1662367955
                                                                      1717266013
                                                                      1779062077
                                                                      1852152497

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates

                                                                      Sheet2

                                                                      Sheet3

                                                                      Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

                                                                      g gt 0

                                                                      g = 0

                                                                      Why the difference

                                                                      The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels

                                                                      Wages

                                                                      Return rπ

                                                                      Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of middle-age decisionmakers

                                                                      Conclusions

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriers developing countries can reduce child labor Without a reduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricter barriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lot of a country

                                                                          (

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                                                                          G

                                                                          s

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                                                                          divide

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                                                                          -

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                                                                          p

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                                                                          a

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                                                                          g

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          l

                                                                          l

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                                                                          A

                                                                          r

                                                                          1

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                                                                          1

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                                                                          11

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                                                                          13

                                                                          14

                                                                          15

                                                                          16

                                                                          17

                                                                          18

                                                                          19

                                                                          0405060708091

                                                                          Relative Output

                                                                          Relative Participation Rates

                                                                          Fig 42b Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          = 0

                                                                          4

                                                                          41

                                                                          42

                                                                          43

                                                                          44

                                                                          45

                                                                          46

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          002

                                                                          004

                                                                          006

                                                                          008

                                                                          01

                                                                          012

                                                                          014

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                          Fig 42a Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          gt 0

                                                                          28

                                                                          29

                                                                          3

                                                                          31

                                                                          32

                                                                          33

                                                                          34

                                                                          35

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          005

                                                                          01

                                                                          015

                                                                          02

                                                                          025

                                                                          03

                                                                          035

                                                                          04

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                      y l ratio y ratio l
                                                                      1 5103837338 0196324827 1 1
                                                                      11 4846566344 02035560085 09495926345 1036832741
                                                                      12 4618839709 02106742213 09049739251 1073090064
                                                                      13 4414915419 02177155064 08650188333 1108955549
                                                                      14 423047326 02247115765 08288808949 1144590727
                                                                      15 4062184154 02316914036 07959078404 1180143169
                                                                      16 390742778 02386824584 07655862679 1215752801
                                                                      17 3764101166 0245711763 07375041398 1251557262
                                                                      18 3630484915 02528068757 07113245731 1287696923
                                                                      19 3505146855 02599969094 06867669603 1324320074
                                                                      2 3386870309 02673136922 06635929175 1361588833
                                                                      21 3274598498 02747932035 06415953882 1399686467
                                                                      22 3167388932 02824774842 06205897097 1438827114
                                                                      23 3064372843 02904173333 06004056634 1479269523
                                                                      24 296471464 02986763333 05808795311 152133756
                                                                      25 2867564887 03073372094 0561844882 1565452592
                                                                      26 2771995899 03165125252 05431199537 1612187974
                                                                      27 2676897761 03263641013 05244872796 1662367955
                                                                      28 2580781446 03371419529 0505655113 1717266013
                                                                      29 248133507 03492740545 04861704842 1779062077
                                                                      3 2374158982 03636235186 04651713652 1852152497
                                                                      31 2247263191 03826037427 04403085448 1948830153
                                                                      32
                                                                      33
                                                                      34
                                                                      35
                                                                      1
                                                                      09495926345
                                                                      09049739251
                                                                      08650188333
                                                                      08288808949
                                                                      07959078404
                                                                      07655862679
                                                                      07375041398
                                                                      07113245731
                                                                      06867669603
                                                                      06635929175
                                                                      06415953882
                                                                      06205897097
                                                                      06004056634
                                                                      05808795311
                                                                      0561844882
                                                                      05431199537
                                                                      05244872796
                                                                      0505655113
                                                                      04861704842
                                                                      04651713652
                                                                      Variable b l s g a p h
                                                                      Value 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84
Page 15: Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor · Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor DEGIT St. Petersburg, Russia. 8 September 2011. Richard

Binding non-negativity constraint on bequestsParents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

― 0 lt λ lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo ― 1β lt rπ lt 1βλ

Barriers to capital formationBribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to

many developing economies

― Reduces capital input― Maymay not affect labor allocation

Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

3 Important Features

Barriers

Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

Child Labor and Human Capital

Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

Minimum Consumption Requirements

Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

Related Studies

Overview

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKπ

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKπ

MCR γ

The Model

Preferences

Ut equiv u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ Ut+1

where u(c ) = (c ndash γ )1-σ (1 - σ) 0 le β λ le 1

c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

c) c1t c2t+1 ge γ xt bt ge 0

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

c) c1t c2t+1 ge γ xt bt ge 0

d) θt equiv bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge (rt π ) λ β uprime(c1t +1 )

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge (rt π ) λ β uprime(c1t +1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) ge wt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) λβ uprime(c1t+1 )+ wt + 2 hprime( 1- lt ) λ β 2 uprime(c2t+2 )

Aggregate Investment

X = +[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ ]

Factors and Technologies

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factorsa) Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )b) Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )c) Capital Kt+1 = xt π + bt π

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factorsa) Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )b) Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )c) Capital Kt+1 = xt π + bt π

Human CapitalAssumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of sequences for prices wt rt t ge 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t ge 1and Xt Kt+1 lt t ge 1 such that

a) Agents optimize

b) Factor payments w = (1 - α) A Kα L-α

r = α A Kα -1 L1-α

c) All markets clear Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 ) Capital xt + bt = π Kt +1 Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

Equilibrium

Approach

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequestsmdash MCR = 0

mdash MCR gt 0

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Policy-induced changes in factors

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)Suppose drr ge dππ Then dK lt 0

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reason In the steady-state 1βλ = rπ if bt gt 0

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

If the MCR γ = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reasonndash When γ = 0 investment dXX = dwwndash But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKKndash From the clearing condition X = π K so

dXX = dKK + dππ there4 drr = dππ

Aggregate Investment (γ = 0)

X = +[wh(1- l)][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Suppose the minimum consumption requirement γ gt 0 anddπ gt 0 Then drr gt dππ

Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

One consequence Effective return rπ rises child labor increases

dK + dππ = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in π is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ) 1σ]

( )( )

( )( ) =

Γ

+minusminusminus

minus

Γminus

+minus+minusminus

παα

πππαα r

llhlhrrr

llhllh

)1211

)1211

( )( ) 11

1

1minus+

equivΓσββ z

z

( ) ( )( )

Γminus

minus

+minus+

minus

minus

πππαα

α

γ

α

αα

rrr

llhA

r 1

)121

11

1

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rπ is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

Pedagogical Examples

Variable β λ σ γ α π hValue 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84

1

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

04 05 06 07 08 09 1

Relative Output

Rela

tive

Parti

cipa

tion

Rate

s

Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

γ gt 0 γ = 0

Why the difference

The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels Wages Return rπ Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of

middle-age decisionmakers

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Conclusions

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriersdeveloping countries can reduce child labor Without areduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricterbarriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lotof a country

  • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Background
  • Background
  • Slide Number 9
  • Slide Number 10
  • Slide Number 11
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • Slide Number 16
  • Slide Number 17
  • Slide Number 18
  • Slide Number 19
  • Slide Number 20
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • Slide Number 23
  • Preferences
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Aggregate Investment
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Slide Number 39
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Slide Number 43
  • Slide Number 44
  • Slide Number 45
  • Slide Number 46
  • Slide Number 47
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Aggregate Investment (g = 0)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Slide Number 62
  • Steady State
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Slide Number 67
  • Pedagogical Examples
  • Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)
  • Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)
  • Slide Number 71
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
    • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor

      DEGIT

      St Petersburg Russia

      8 September 2011

      Richard C Barnett

      Drexel University

      Secrecy vs Seclective Disclosure

      Outline of the Talk

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Conclusions

          Background

          Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

          The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

          Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Background

              Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

              The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

              Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)

                  Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

                  3 Important Features

                  Barriers

                  Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

                  Child Labor and Human Capital

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

                  Minimum Consumption Requirements

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

                  Related Studies

                  Overview

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  MCR g

                  The Model

                  Preferences

                  Ut ordm u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl Ut+1

                  where u(c ) = (c ndash g )1-s (1 - s) 0 pound b l pound 1

                  c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

                  c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  qt ordm bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3 wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) lb ucent(c1t+1 )

                  + wt + 2 hcent( 1- lt ) l b 2 ucent(c2t+2 )

                  Aggregate Investment

                  X = +

                  [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                  [rp + (b rp)1s]

                  wl (b rp)1s

                  [rp + (b rp)1s ]

                  Factors and Technologies

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Human Capital

                      Assumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

                      Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of

                      sequences for prices wt rt t sup3 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t sup3 1

                      and Xt Kt+1 lt t sup3 1 such that

                      Agents optimize

                      Factor payments

                      w = (1 - a) A Ka L-a

                      r = a A Ka -1 L1-a

                      All markets clear

                      Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 )

                      Capital xt + bt = p Kt +1

                      Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

                      Equilibrium

                      Approach

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          MCR = 0

                          MCR gt 0

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Steady State

                          • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                              • 1b l sup3 r p
                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                  • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                    • Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                      Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                      wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                      The Child Labor Decision

                                      Steady State

                                      • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                          • 1b l sup3 r p
                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                  -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                  Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                                  Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                                  wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                                  The Child Labor Decision

                                                  Steady State

                                                  • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                                      • 1b l sup3 r p
                                                      • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                            • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                              -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)

                                                                  Suppose drr sup3 dpp Then dK lt 0

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                  Reason In the steady-state 1bl = rp if bt gt 0

                                                                  Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      If the MCR g = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                      Reason

                                                                      When g = 0 investment dXX = dww

                                                                      But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKK

                                                                      From the clearing condition X = p K so

                                                                      dXX = dKK + dpp drr = dpp

                                                                      Aggregate Investment (g = 0)

                                                                      X = +

                                                                      [wh(1- l)][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Suppose the minimum consumption requirement g gt 0 and

                                                                      dp gt 0 Then drr gt dpp

                                                                      Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

                                                                      One consequence Effective return rp rises child labor increases

                                                                      dK + dpp = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

                                                                      Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in p is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

                                                                      Steady State

                                                                      + = K

                                                                      [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp) 1s]

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rp is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛

                                                                      primeprime

                                                                      +rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l Kprime )

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛ +

                                                                      rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      l

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l K )

                                                                      l l prime

                                                                      Pedagogical Examples

                                                                      Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

                                                                      Chart1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates
                                                                      1
                                                                      1036832741
                                                                      1073090064
                                                                      1108955549
                                                                      1144590727
                                                                      1180143169
                                                                      1215752801
                                                                      1251557262
                                                                      1287696923
                                                                      1324320074
                                                                      1361588833
                                                                      1399686467
                                                                      1438827114
                                                                      1479269523
                                                                      152133756
                                                                      1565452592
                                                                      1612187974
                                                                      1662367955
                                                                      1717266013
                                                                      1779062077
                                                                      1852152497

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates

                                                                      Sheet2

                                                                      Sheet3

                                                                      Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

                                                                      g gt 0

                                                                      g = 0

                                                                      Why the difference

                                                                      The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels

                                                                      Wages

                                                                      Return rπ

                                                                      Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of middle-age decisionmakers

                                                                      Conclusions

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriers developing countries can reduce child labor Without a reduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricter barriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lot of a country

                                                                          (

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                                                                          p

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                                                                          a

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                                                                          14

                                                                          15

                                                                          16

                                                                          17

                                                                          18

                                                                          19

                                                                          0405060708091

                                                                          Relative Output

                                                                          Relative Participation Rates

                                                                          Fig 42b Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          = 0

                                                                          4

                                                                          41

                                                                          42

                                                                          43

                                                                          44

                                                                          45

                                                                          46

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          002

                                                                          004

                                                                          006

                                                                          008

                                                                          01

                                                                          012

                                                                          014

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                          Fig 42a Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          gt 0

                                                                          28

                                                                          29

                                                                          3

                                                                          31

                                                                          32

                                                                          33

                                                                          34

                                                                          35

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          005

                                                                          01

                                                                          015

                                                                          02

                                                                          025

                                                                          03

                                                                          035

                                                                          04

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                      y l ratio y ratio l
                                                                      1 5103837338 0196324827 1 1
                                                                      11 4846566344 02035560085 09495926345 1036832741
                                                                      12 4618839709 02106742213 09049739251 1073090064
                                                                      13 4414915419 02177155064 08650188333 1108955549
                                                                      14 423047326 02247115765 08288808949 1144590727
                                                                      15 4062184154 02316914036 07959078404 1180143169
                                                                      16 390742778 02386824584 07655862679 1215752801
                                                                      17 3764101166 0245711763 07375041398 1251557262
                                                                      18 3630484915 02528068757 07113245731 1287696923
                                                                      19 3505146855 02599969094 06867669603 1324320074
                                                                      2 3386870309 02673136922 06635929175 1361588833
                                                                      21 3274598498 02747932035 06415953882 1399686467
                                                                      22 3167388932 02824774842 06205897097 1438827114
                                                                      23 3064372843 02904173333 06004056634 1479269523
                                                                      24 296471464 02986763333 05808795311 152133756
                                                                      25 2867564887 03073372094 0561844882 1565452592
                                                                      26 2771995899 03165125252 05431199537 1612187974
                                                                      27 2676897761 03263641013 05244872796 1662367955
                                                                      28 2580781446 03371419529 0505655113 1717266013
                                                                      29 248133507 03492740545 04861704842 1779062077
                                                                      3 2374158982 03636235186 04651713652 1852152497
                                                                      31 2247263191 03826037427 04403085448 1948830153
                                                                      32
                                                                      33
                                                                      34
                                                                      35
                                                                      1
                                                                      09495926345
                                                                      09049739251
                                                                      08650188333
                                                                      08288808949
                                                                      07959078404
                                                                      07655862679
                                                                      07375041398
                                                                      07113245731
                                                                      06867669603
                                                                      06635929175
                                                                      06415953882
                                                                      06205897097
                                                                      06004056634
                                                                      05808795311
                                                                      0561844882
                                                                      05431199537
                                                                      05244872796
                                                                      0505655113
                                                                      04861704842
                                                                      04651713652
                                                                      Variable b l s g a p h
                                                                      Value 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84
Page 16: Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor · Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor DEGIT St. Petersburg, Russia. 8 September 2011. Richard

Barriers

Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

Child Labor and Human Capital

Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

Minimum Consumption Requirements

Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

Related Studies

Overview

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKπ

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKπ

MCR γ

The Model

Preferences

Ut equiv u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ Ut+1

where u(c ) = (c ndash γ )1-σ (1 - σ) 0 le β λ le 1

c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

c) c1t c2t+1 ge γ xt bt ge 0

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

c) c1t c2t+1 ge γ xt bt ge 0

d) θt equiv bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge (rt π ) λ β uprime(c1t +1 )

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge (rt π ) λ β uprime(c1t +1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) ge wt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) λβ uprime(c1t+1 )+ wt + 2 hprime( 1- lt ) λ β 2 uprime(c2t+2 )

Aggregate Investment

X = +[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ ]

Factors and Technologies

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factorsa) Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )b) Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )c) Capital Kt+1 = xt π + bt π

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factorsa) Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )b) Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )c) Capital Kt+1 = xt π + bt π

Human CapitalAssumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of sequences for prices wt rt t ge 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t ge 1and Xt Kt+1 lt t ge 1 such that

a) Agents optimize

b) Factor payments w = (1 - α) A Kα L-α

r = α A Kα -1 L1-α

c) All markets clear Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 ) Capital xt + bt = π Kt +1 Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

Equilibrium

Approach

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequestsmdash MCR = 0

mdash MCR gt 0

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Policy-induced changes in factors

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)Suppose drr ge dππ Then dK lt 0

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reason In the steady-state 1βλ = rπ if bt gt 0

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

If the MCR γ = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reasonndash When γ = 0 investment dXX = dwwndash But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKKndash From the clearing condition X = π K so

dXX = dKK + dππ there4 drr = dππ

Aggregate Investment (γ = 0)

X = +[wh(1- l)][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Suppose the minimum consumption requirement γ gt 0 anddπ gt 0 Then drr gt dππ

Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

One consequence Effective return rπ rises child labor increases

dK + dππ = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in π is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ) 1σ]

( )( )

( )( ) =

Γ

+minusminusminus

minus

Γminus

+minus+minusminus

παα

πππαα r

llhlhrrr

llhllh

)1211

)1211

( )( ) 11

1

1minus+

equivΓσββ z

z

( ) ( )( )

Γminus

minus

+minus+

minus

minus

πππαα

α

γ

α

αα

rrr

llhA

r 1

)121

11

1

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rπ is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

Pedagogical Examples

Variable β λ σ γ α π hValue 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84

1

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

04 05 06 07 08 09 1

Relative Output

Rela

tive

Parti

cipa

tion

Rate

s

Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

γ gt 0 γ = 0

Why the difference

The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels Wages Return rπ Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of

middle-age decisionmakers

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Conclusions

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriersdeveloping countries can reduce child labor Without areduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricterbarriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lotof a country

  • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Background
  • Background
  • Slide Number 9
  • Slide Number 10
  • Slide Number 11
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • Slide Number 16
  • Slide Number 17
  • Slide Number 18
  • Slide Number 19
  • Slide Number 20
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • Slide Number 23
  • Preferences
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Aggregate Investment
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Slide Number 39
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Slide Number 43
  • Slide Number 44
  • Slide Number 45
  • Slide Number 46
  • Slide Number 47
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Aggregate Investment (g = 0)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Slide Number 62
  • Steady State
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Slide Number 67
  • Pedagogical Examples
  • Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)
  • Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)
  • Slide Number 71
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
    • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor

      DEGIT

      St Petersburg Russia

      8 September 2011

      Richard C Barnett

      Drexel University

      Secrecy vs Seclective Disclosure

      Outline of the Talk

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Conclusions

          Background

          Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

          The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

          Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Background

              Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

              The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

              Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)

                  Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

                  3 Important Features

                  Barriers

                  Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

                  Child Labor and Human Capital

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

                  Minimum Consumption Requirements

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

                  Related Studies

                  Overview

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  MCR g

                  The Model

                  Preferences

                  Ut ordm u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl Ut+1

                  where u(c ) = (c ndash g )1-s (1 - s) 0 pound b l pound 1

                  c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

                  c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  qt ordm bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3 wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) lb ucent(c1t+1 )

                  + wt + 2 hcent( 1- lt ) l b 2 ucent(c2t+2 )

                  Aggregate Investment

                  X = +

                  [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                  [rp + (b rp)1s]

                  wl (b rp)1s

                  [rp + (b rp)1s ]

                  Factors and Technologies

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Human Capital

                      Assumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

                      Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of

                      sequences for prices wt rt t sup3 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t sup3 1

                      and Xt Kt+1 lt t sup3 1 such that

                      Agents optimize

                      Factor payments

                      w = (1 - a) A Ka L-a

                      r = a A Ka -1 L1-a

                      All markets clear

                      Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 )

                      Capital xt + bt = p Kt +1

                      Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

                      Equilibrium

                      Approach

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          MCR = 0

                          MCR gt 0

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Steady State

                          • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                              • 1b l sup3 r p
                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                  • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                    • Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                      Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                      wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                      The Child Labor Decision

                                      Steady State

                                      • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                          • 1b l sup3 r p
                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                  -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                  Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                                  Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                                  wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                                  The Child Labor Decision

                                                  Steady State

                                                  • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                                      • 1b l sup3 r p
                                                      • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                            • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                              -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)

                                                                  Suppose drr sup3 dpp Then dK lt 0

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                  Reason In the steady-state 1bl = rp if bt gt 0

                                                                  Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      If the MCR g = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                      Reason

                                                                      When g = 0 investment dXX = dww

                                                                      But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKK

                                                                      From the clearing condition X = p K so

                                                                      dXX = dKK + dpp drr = dpp

                                                                      Aggregate Investment (g = 0)

                                                                      X = +

                                                                      [wh(1- l)][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Suppose the minimum consumption requirement g gt 0 and

                                                                      dp gt 0 Then drr gt dpp

                                                                      Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

                                                                      One consequence Effective return rp rises child labor increases

                                                                      dK + dpp = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

                                                                      Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in p is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

                                                                      Steady State

                                                                      + = K

                                                                      [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp) 1s]

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rp is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛

                                                                      primeprime

                                                                      +rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l Kprime )

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛ +

                                                                      rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      l

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l K )

                                                                      l l prime

                                                                      Pedagogical Examples

                                                                      Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

                                                                      Chart1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates
                                                                      1
                                                                      1036832741
                                                                      1073090064
                                                                      1108955549
                                                                      1144590727
                                                                      1180143169
                                                                      1215752801
                                                                      1251557262
                                                                      1287696923
                                                                      1324320074
                                                                      1361588833
                                                                      1399686467
                                                                      1438827114
                                                                      1479269523
                                                                      152133756
                                                                      1565452592
                                                                      1612187974
                                                                      1662367955
                                                                      1717266013
                                                                      1779062077
                                                                      1852152497

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates

                                                                      Sheet2

                                                                      Sheet3

                                                                      Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

                                                                      g gt 0

                                                                      g = 0

                                                                      Why the difference

                                                                      The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels

                                                                      Wages

                                                                      Return rπ

                                                                      Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of middle-age decisionmakers

                                                                      Conclusions

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriers developing countries can reduce child labor Without a reduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricter barriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lot of a country

                                                                          (

                                                                          )

                                                                          (

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                                                                          (

                                                                          )

                                                                          (

                                                                          )

                                                                          =

                                                                          divide

                                                                          oslash

                                                                          ouml

                                                                          ccedil

                                                                          egrave

                                                                          aelig

                                                                          G

                                                                          +

                                                                          -

                                                                          -

                                                                          -

                                                                          -

                                                                          uacute

                                                                          ucirc

                                                                          ugrave

                                                                          ecirc

                                                                          euml

                                                                          eacute

                                                                          divide

                                                                          oslash

                                                                          ouml

                                                                          ccedil

                                                                          egrave

                                                                          aelig

                                                                          G

                                                                          -

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                                                                          (

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                                                                          uacute

                                                                          ucirc

                                                                          ugrave

                                                                          ecirc

                                                                          euml

                                                                          eacute

                                                                          divide

                                                                          oslash

                                                                          ouml

                                                                          ccedil

                                                                          egrave

                                                                          aelig

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                                                                          17

                                                                          18

                                                                          19

                                                                          0405060708091

                                                                          Relative Output

                                                                          Relative Participation Rates

                                                                          Fig 42b Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          = 0

                                                                          4

                                                                          41

                                                                          42

                                                                          43

                                                                          44

                                                                          45

                                                                          46

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          002

                                                                          004

                                                                          006

                                                                          008

                                                                          01

                                                                          012

                                                                          014

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                          Fig 42a Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          gt 0

                                                                          28

                                                                          29

                                                                          3

                                                                          31

                                                                          32

                                                                          33

                                                                          34

                                                                          35

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          005

                                                                          01

                                                                          015

                                                                          02

                                                                          025

                                                                          03

                                                                          035

                                                                          04

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                      y l ratio y ratio l
                                                                      1 5103837338 0196324827 1 1
                                                                      11 4846566344 02035560085 09495926345 1036832741
                                                                      12 4618839709 02106742213 09049739251 1073090064
                                                                      13 4414915419 02177155064 08650188333 1108955549
                                                                      14 423047326 02247115765 08288808949 1144590727
                                                                      15 4062184154 02316914036 07959078404 1180143169
                                                                      16 390742778 02386824584 07655862679 1215752801
                                                                      17 3764101166 0245711763 07375041398 1251557262
                                                                      18 3630484915 02528068757 07113245731 1287696923
                                                                      19 3505146855 02599969094 06867669603 1324320074
                                                                      2 3386870309 02673136922 06635929175 1361588833
                                                                      21 3274598498 02747932035 06415953882 1399686467
                                                                      22 3167388932 02824774842 06205897097 1438827114
                                                                      23 3064372843 02904173333 06004056634 1479269523
                                                                      24 296471464 02986763333 05808795311 152133756
                                                                      25 2867564887 03073372094 0561844882 1565452592
                                                                      26 2771995899 03165125252 05431199537 1612187974
                                                                      27 2676897761 03263641013 05244872796 1662367955
                                                                      28 2580781446 03371419529 0505655113 1717266013
                                                                      29 248133507 03492740545 04861704842 1779062077
                                                                      3 2374158982 03636235186 04651713652 1852152497
                                                                      31 2247263191 03826037427 04403085448 1948830153
                                                                      32
                                                                      33
                                                                      34
                                                                      35
                                                                      1
                                                                      09495926345
                                                                      09049739251
                                                                      08650188333
                                                                      08288808949
                                                                      07959078404
                                                                      07655862679
                                                                      07375041398
                                                                      07113245731
                                                                      06867669603
                                                                      06635929175
                                                                      06415953882
                                                                      06205897097
                                                                      06004056634
                                                                      05808795311
                                                                      0561844882
                                                                      05431199537
                                                                      05244872796
                                                                      0505655113
                                                                      04861704842
                                                                      04651713652
                                                                      Variable b l s g a p h
                                                                      Value 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84
Page 17: Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor · Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor DEGIT St. Petersburg, Russia. 8 September 2011. Richard

Overview

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKπ

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKπ

MCR γ

The Model

Preferences

Ut equiv u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ Ut+1

where u(c ) = (c ndash γ )1-σ (1 - σ) 0 le β λ le 1

c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

c) c1t c2t+1 ge γ xt bt ge 0

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

c) c1t c2t+1 ge γ xt bt ge 0

d) θt equiv bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge (rt π ) λ β uprime(c1t +1 )

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge (rt π ) λ β uprime(c1t +1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) ge wt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) λβ uprime(c1t+1 )+ wt + 2 hprime( 1- lt ) λ β 2 uprime(c2t+2 )

Aggregate Investment

X = +[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ ]

Factors and Technologies

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factorsa) Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )b) Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )c) Capital Kt+1 = xt π + bt π

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factorsa) Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )b) Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )c) Capital Kt+1 = xt π + bt π

Human CapitalAssumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of sequences for prices wt rt t ge 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t ge 1and Xt Kt+1 lt t ge 1 such that

a) Agents optimize

b) Factor payments w = (1 - α) A Kα L-α

r = α A Kα -1 L1-α

c) All markets clear Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 ) Capital xt + bt = π Kt +1 Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

Equilibrium

Approach

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequestsmdash MCR = 0

mdash MCR gt 0

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Policy-induced changes in factors

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)Suppose drr ge dππ Then dK lt 0

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reason In the steady-state 1βλ = rπ if bt gt 0

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

If the MCR γ = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reasonndash When γ = 0 investment dXX = dwwndash But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKKndash From the clearing condition X = π K so

dXX = dKK + dππ there4 drr = dππ

Aggregate Investment (γ = 0)

X = +[wh(1- l)][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Suppose the minimum consumption requirement γ gt 0 anddπ gt 0 Then drr gt dππ

Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

One consequence Effective return rπ rises child labor increases

dK + dππ = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in π is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ) 1σ]

( )( )

( )( ) =

Γ

+minusminusminus

minus

Γminus

+minus+minusminus

παα

πππαα r

llhlhrrr

llhllh

)1211

)1211

( )( ) 11

1

1minus+

equivΓσββ z

z

( ) ( )( )

Γminus

minus

+minus+

minus

minus

πππαα

α

γ

α

αα

rrr

llhA

r 1

)121

11

1

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rπ is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

Pedagogical Examples

Variable β λ σ γ α π hValue 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84

1

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

04 05 06 07 08 09 1

Relative Output

Rela

tive

Parti

cipa

tion

Rate

s

Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

γ gt 0 γ = 0

Why the difference

The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels Wages Return rπ Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of

middle-age decisionmakers

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Conclusions

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriersdeveloping countries can reduce child labor Without areduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricterbarriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lotof a country

  • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Background
  • Background
  • Slide Number 9
  • Slide Number 10
  • Slide Number 11
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • Slide Number 16
  • Slide Number 17
  • Slide Number 18
  • Slide Number 19
  • Slide Number 20
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • Slide Number 23
  • Preferences
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Aggregate Investment
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Slide Number 39
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Slide Number 43
  • Slide Number 44
  • Slide Number 45
  • Slide Number 46
  • Slide Number 47
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Aggregate Investment (g = 0)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Slide Number 62
  • Steady State
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Slide Number 67
  • Pedagogical Examples
  • Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)
  • Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)
  • Slide Number 71
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
    • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor

      DEGIT

      St Petersburg Russia

      8 September 2011

      Richard C Barnett

      Drexel University

      Secrecy vs Seclective Disclosure

      Outline of the Talk

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Conclusions

          Background

          Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

          The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

          Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Background

              Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

              The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

              Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)

                  Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

                  3 Important Features

                  Barriers

                  Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

                  Child Labor and Human Capital

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

                  Minimum Consumption Requirements

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

                  Related Studies

                  Overview

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  MCR g

                  The Model

                  Preferences

                  Ut ordm u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl Ut+1

                  where u(c ) = (c ndash g )1-s (1 - s) 0 pound b l pound 1

                  c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

                  c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  qt ordm bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3 wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) lb ucent(c1t+1 )

                  + wt + 2 hcent( 1- lt ) l b 2 ucent(c2t+2 )

                  Aggregate Investment

                  X = +

                  [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                  [rp + (b rp)1s]

                  wl (b rp)1s

                  [rp + (b rp)1s ]

                  Factors and Technologies

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Human Capital

                      Assumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

                      Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of

                      sequences for prices wt rt t sup3 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t sup3 1

                      and Xt Kt+1 lt t sup3 1 such that

                      Agents optimize

                      Factor payments

                      w = (1 - a) A Ka L-a

                      r = a A Ka -1 L1-a

                      All markets clear

                      Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 )

                      Capital xt + bt = p Kt +1

                      Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

                      Equilibrium

                      Approach

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          MCR = 0

                          MCR gt 0

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Steady State

                          • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                              • 1b l sup3 r p
                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                  • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                    • Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                      Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                      wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                      The Child Labor Decision

                                      Steady State

                                      • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                          • 1b l sup3 r p
                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                  -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                  Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                                  Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                                  wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                                  The Child Labor Decision

                                                  Steady State

                                                  • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                                      • 1b l sup3 r p
                                                      • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                            • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                              -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)

                                                                  Suppose drr sup3 dpp Then dK lt 0

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                  Reason In the steady-state 1bl = rp if bt gt 0

                                                                  Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      If the MCR g = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                      Reason

                                                                      When g = 0 investment dXX = dww

                                                                      But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKK

                                                                      From the clearing condition X = p K so

                                                                      dXX = dKK + dpp drr = dpp

                                                                      Aggregate Investment (g = 0)

                                                                      X = +

                                                                      [wh(1- l)][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Suppose the minimum consumption requirement g gt 0 and

                                                                      dp gt 0 Then drr gt dpp

                                                                      Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

                                                                      One consequence Effective return rp rises child labor increases

                                                                      dK + dpp = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

                                                                      Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in p is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

                                                                      Steady State

                                                                      + = K

                                                                      [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp) 1s]

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rp is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛

                                                                      primeprime

                                                                      +rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l Kprime )

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛ +

                                                                      rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      l

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l K )

                                                                      l l prime

                                                                      Pedagogical Examples

                                                                      Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

                                                                      Chart1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates
                                                                      1
                                                                      1036832741
                                                                      1073090064
                                                                      1108955549
                                                                      1144590727
                                                                      1180143169
                                                                      1215752801
                                                                      1251557262
                                                                      1287696923
                                                                      1324320074
                                                                      1361588833
                                                                      1399686467
                                                                      1438827114
                                                                      1479269523
                                                                      152133756
                                                                      1565452592
                                                                      1612187974
                                                                      1662367955
                                                                      1717266013
                                                                      1779062077
                                                                      1852152497

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates

                                                                      Sheet2

                                                                      Sheet3

                                                                      Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

                                                                      g gt 0

                                                                      g = 0

                                                                      Why the difference

                                                                      The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels

                                                                      Wages

                                                                      Return rπ

                                                                      Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of middle-age decisionmakers

                                                                      Conclusions

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriers developing countries can reduce child labor Without a reduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricter barriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lot of a country

                                                                          (

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                                                                          17

                                                                          18

                                                                          19

                                                                          0405060708091

                                                                          Relative Output

                                                                          Relative Participation Rates

                                                                          Fig 42b Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          = 0

                                                                          4

                                                                          41

                                                                          42

                                                                          43

                                                                          44

                                                                          45

                                                                          46

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          002

                                                                          004

                                                                          006

                                                                          008

                                                                          01

                                                                          012

                                                                          014

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                          Fig 42a Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          gt 0

                                                                          28

                                                                          29

                                                                          3

                                                                          31

                                                                          32

                                                                          33

                                                                          34

                                                                          35

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          005

                                                                          01

                                                                          015

                                                                          02

                                                                          025

                                                                          03

                                                                          035

                                                                          04

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                      y l ratio y ratio l
                                                                      1 5103837338 0196324827 1 1
                                                                      11 4846566344 02035560085 09495926345 1036832741
                                                                      12 4618839709 02106742213 09049739251 1073090064
                                                                      13 4414915419 02177155064 08650188333 1108955549
                                                                      14 423047326 02247115765 08288808949 1144590727
                                                                      15 4062184154 02316914036 07959078404 1180143169
                                                                      16 390742778 02386824584 07655862679 1215752801
                                                                      17 3764101166 0245711763 07375041398 1251557262
                                                                      18 3630484915 02528068757 07113245731 1287696923
                                                                      19 3505146855 02599969094 06867669603 1324320074
                                                                      2 3386870309 02673136922 06635929175 1361588833
                                                                      21 3274598498 02747932035 06415953882 1399686467
                                                                      22 3167388932 02824774842 06205897097 1438827114
                                                                      23 3064372843 02904173333 06004056634 1479269523
                                                                      24 296471464 02986763333 05808795311 152133756
                                                                      25 2867564887 03073372094 0561844882 1565452592
                                                                      26 2771995899 03165125252 05431199537 1612187974
                                                                      27 2676897761 03263641013 05244872796 1662367955
                                                                      28 2580781446 03371419529 0505655113 1717266013
                                                                      29 248133507 03492740545 04861704842 1779062077
                                                                      3 2374158982 03636235186 04651713652 1852152497
                                                                      31 2247263191 03826037427 04403085448 1948830153
                                                                      32
                                                                      33
                                                                      34
                                                                      35
                                                                      1
                                                                      09495926345
                                                                      09049739251
                                                                      08650188333
                                                                      08288808949
                                                                      07959078404
                                                                      07655862679
                                                                      07375041398
                                                                      07113245731
                                                                      06867669603
                                                                      06635929175
                                                                      06415953882
                                                                      06205897097
                                                                      06004056634
                                                                      05808795311
                                                                      0561844882
                                                                      05431199537
                                                                      05244872796
                                                                      0505655113
                                                                      04861704842
                                                                      04651713652
                                                                      Variable b l s g a p h
                                                                      Value 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84
Page 18: Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor · Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor DEGIT St. Petersburg, Russia. 8 September 2011. Richard

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKπ

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKπ

MCR γ

The Model

Preferences

Ut equiv u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ Ut+1

where u(c ) = (c ndash γ )1-σ (1 - σ) 0 le β λ le 1

c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

c) c1t c2t+1 ge γ xt bt ge 0

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

c) c1t c2t+1 ge γ xt bt ge 0

d) θt equiv bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge (rt π ) λ β uprime(c1t +1 )

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge (rt π ) λ β uprime(c1t +1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) ge wt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) λβ uprime(c1t+1 )+ wt + 2 hprime( 1- lt ) λ β 2 uprime(c2t+2 )

Aggregate Investment

X = +[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ ]

Factors and Technologies

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factorsa) Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )b) Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )c) Capital Kt+1 = xt π + bt π

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factorsa) Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )b) Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )c) Capital Kt+1 = xt π + bt π

Human CapitalAssumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of sequences for prices wt rt t ge 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t ge 1and Xt Kt+1 lt t ge 1 such that

a) Agents optimize

b) Factor payments w = (1 - α) A Kα L-α

r = α A Kα -1 L1-α

c) All markets clear Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 ) Capital xt + bt = π Kt +1 Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

Equilibrium

Approach

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequestsmdash MCR = 0

mdash MCR gt 0

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Policy-induced changes in factors

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)Suppose drr ge dππ Then dK lt 0

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reason In the steady-state 1βλ = rπ if bt gt 0

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

If the MCR γ = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reasonndash When γ = 0 investment dXX = dwwndash But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKKndash From the clearing condition X = π K so

dXX = dKK + dππ there4 drr = dππ

Aggregate Investment (γ = 0)

X = +[wh(1- l)][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Suppose the minimum consumption requirement γ gt 0 anddπ gt 0 Then drr gt dππ

Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

One consequence Effective return rπ rises child labor increases

dK + dππ = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in π is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ) 1σ]

( )( )

( )( ) =

Γ

+minusminusminus

minus

Γminus

+minus+minusminus

παα

πππαα r

llhlhrrr

llhllh

)1211

)1211

( )( ) 11

1

1minus+

equivΓσββ z

z

( ) ( )( )

Γminus

minus

+minus+

minus

minus

πππαα

α

γ

α

αα

rrr

llhA

r 1

)121

11

1

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rπ is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

Pedagogical Examples

Variable β λ σ γ α π hValue 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84

1

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

04 05 06 07 08 09 1

Relative Output

Rela

tive

Parti

cipa

tion

Rate

s

Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

γ gt 0 γ = 0

Why the difference

The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels Wages Return rπ Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of

middle-age decisionmakers

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Conclusions

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriersdeveloping countries can reduce child labor Without areduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricterbarriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lotof a country

  • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Background
  • Background
  • Slide Number 9
  • Slide Number 10
  • Slide Number 11
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • Slide Number 16
  • Slide Number 17
  • Slide Number 18
  • Slide Number 19
  • Slide Number 20
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • Slide Number 23
  • Preferences
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Aggregate Investment
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Slide Number 39
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Slide Number 43
  • Slide Number 44
  • Slide Number 45
  • Slide Number 46
  • Slide Number 47
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Aggregate Investment (g = 0)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Slide Number 62
  • Steady State
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Slide Number 67
  • Pedagogical Examples
  • Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)
  • Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)
  • Slide Number 71
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
    • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor

      DEGIT

      St Petersburg Russia

      8 September 2011

      Richard C Barnett

      Drexel University

      Secrecy vs Seclective Disclosure

      Outline of the Talk

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Conclusions

          Background

          Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

          The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

          Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Background

              Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

              The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

              Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)

                  Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

                  3 Important Features

                  Barriers

                  Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

                  Child Labor and Human Capital

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

                  Minimum Consumption Requirements

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

                  Related Studies

                  Overview

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  MCR g

                  The Model

                  Preferences

                  Ut ordm u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl Ut+1

                  where u(c ) = (c ndash g )1-s (1 - s) 0 pound b l pound 1

                  c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

                  c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  qt ordm bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3 wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) lb ucent(c1t+1 )

                  + wt + 2 hcent( 1- lt ) l b 2 ucent(c2t+2 )

                  Aggregate Investment

                  X = +

                  [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                  [rp + (b rp)1s]

                  wl (b rp)1s

                  [rp + (b rp)1s ]

                  Factors and Technologies

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Human Capital

                      Assumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

                      Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of

                      sequences for prices wt rt t sup3 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t sup3 1

                      and Xt Kt+1 lt t sup3 1 such that

                      Agents optimize

                      Factor payments

                      w = (1 - a) A Ka L-a

                      r = a A Ka -1 L1-a

                      All markets clear

                      Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 )

                      Capital xt + bt = p Kt +1

                      Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

                      Equilibrium

                      Approach

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          MCR = 0

                          MCR gt 0

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Steady State

                          • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                              • 1b l sup3 r p
                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                  • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                    • Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                      Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                      wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                      The Child Labor Decision

                                      Steady State

                                      • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                          • 1b l sup3 r p
                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                  -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                  Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                                  Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                                  wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                                  The Child Labor Decision

                                                  Steady State

                                                  • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                                      • 1b l sup3 r p
                                                      • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                            • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                              -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)

                                                                  Suppose drr sup3 dpp Then dK lt 0

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                  Reason In the steady-state 1bl = rp if bt gt 0

                                                                  Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      If the MCR g = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                      Reason

                                                                      When g = 0 investment dXX = dww

                                                                      But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKK

                                                                      From the clearing condition X = p K so

                                                                      dXX = dKK + dpp drr = dpp

                                                                      Aggregate Investment (g = 0)

                                                                      X = +

                                                                      [wh(1- l)][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Suppose the minimum consumption requirement g gt 0 and

                                                                      dp gt 0 Then drr gt dpp

                                                                      Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

                                                                      One consequence Effective return rp rises child labor increases

                                                                      dK + dpp = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

                                                                      Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in p is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

                                                                      Steady State

                                                                      + = K

                                                                      [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp) 1s]

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rp is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛

                                                                      primeprime

                                                                      +rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l Kprime )

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛ +

                                                                      rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      l

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l K )

                                                                      l l prime

                                                                      Pedagogical Examples

                                                                      Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

                                                                      Chart1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates
                                                                      1
                                                                      1036832741
                                                                      1073090064
                                                                      1108955549
                                                                      1144590727
                                                                      1180143169
                                                                      1215752801
                                                                      1251557262
                                                                      1287696923
                                                                      1324320074
                                                                      1361588833
                                                                      1399686467
                                                                      1438827114
                                                                      1479269523
                                                                      152133756
                                                                      1565452592
                                                                      1612187974
                                                                      1662367955
                                                                      1717266013
                                                                      1779062077
                                                                      1852152497

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates

                                                                      Sheet2

                                                                      Sheet3

                                                                      Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

                                                                      g gt 0

                                                                      g = 0

                                                                      Why the difference

                                                                      The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels

                                                                      Wages

                                                                      Return rπ

                                                                      Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of middle-age decisionmakers

                                                                      Conclusions

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriers developing countries can reduce child labor Without a reduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricter barriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lot of a country

                                                                          (

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                                                                          G

                                                                          s

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                                                                          ucirc

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                                                                          divide

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                                                                          -

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                                                                          p

                                                                          p

                                                                          a

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                                                                          g

                                                                          a

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                                                                          a

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          l

                                                                          l

                                                                          h

                                                                          A

                                                                          r

                                                                          1

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                                                                          1

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                                                                          11

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                                                                          13

                                                                          14

                                                                          15

                                                                          16

                                                                          17

                                                                          18

                                                                          19

                                                                          0405060708091

                                                                          Relative Output

                                                                          Relative Participation Rates

                                                                          Fig 42b Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          = 0

                                                                          4

                                                                          41

                                                                          42

                                                                          43

                                                                          44

                                                                          45

                                                                          46

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          002

                                                                          004

                                                                          006

                                                                          008

                                                                          01

                                                                          012

                                                                          014

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                          Fig 42a Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          gt 0

                                                                          28

                                                                          29

                                                                          3

                                                                          31

                                                                          32

                                                                          33

                                                                          34

                                                                          35

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          005

                                                                          01

                                                                          015

                                                                          02

                                                                          025

                                                                          03

                                                                          035

                                                                          04

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                      y l ratio y ratio l
                                                                      1 5103837338 0196324827 1 1
                                                                      11 4846566344 02035560085 09495926345 1036832741
                                                                      12 4618839709 02106742213 09049739251 1073090064
                                                                      13 4414915419 02177155064 08650188333 1108955549
                                                                      14 423047326 02247115765 08288808949 1144590727
                                                                      15 4062184154 02316914036 07959078404 1180143169
                                                                      16 390742778 02386824584 07655862679 1215752801
                                                                      17 3764101166 0245711763 07375041398 1251557262
                                                                      18 3630484915 02528068757 07113245731 1287696923
                                                                      19 3505146855 02599969094 06867669603 1324320074
                                                                      2 3386870309 02673136922 06635929175 1361588833
                                                                      21 3274598498 02747932035 06415953882 1399686467
                                                                      22 3167388932 02824774842 06205897097 1438827114
                                                                      23 3064372843 02904173333 06004056634 1479269523
                                                                      24 296471464 02986763333 05808795311 152133756
                                                                      25 2867564887 03073372094 0561844882 1565452592
                                                                      26 2771995899 03165125252 05431199537 1612187974
                                                                      27 2676897761 03263641013 05244872796 1662367955
                                                                      28 2580781446 03371419529 0505655113 1717266013
                                                                      29 248133507 03492740545 04861704842 1779062077
                                                                      3 2374158982 03636235186 04651713652 1852152497
                                                                      31 2247263191 03826037427 04403085448 1948830153
                                                                      32
                                                                      33
                                                                      34
                                                                      35
                                                                      1
                                                                      09495926345
                                                                      09049739251
                                                                      08650188333
                                                                      08288808949
                                                                      07959078404
                                                                      07655862679
                                                                      07375041398
                                                                      07113245731
                                                                      06867669603
                                                                      06635929175
                                                                      06415953882
                                                                      06205897097
                                                                      06004056634
                                                                      05808795311
                                                                      0561844882
                                                                      05431199537
                                                                      05244872796
                                                                      0505655113
                                                                      04861704842
                                                                      04651713652
                                                                      Variable b l s g a p h
                                                                      Value 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84
Page 19: Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor · Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor DEGIT St. Petersburg, Russia. 8 September 2011. Richard

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKπ

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKπ

MCR γ

The Model

Preferences

Ut equiv u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ Ut+1

where u(c ) = (c ndash γ )1-σ (1 - σ) 0 le β λ le 1

c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

c) c1t c2t+1 ge γ xt bt ge 0

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

c) c1t c2t+1 ge γ xt bt ge 0

d) θt equiv bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge (rt π ) λ β uprime(c1t +1 )

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge (rt π ) λ β uprime(c1t +1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) ge wt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) λβ uprime(c1t+1 )+ wt + 2 hprime( 1- lt ) λ β 2 uprime(c2t+2 )

Aggregate Investment

X = +[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ ]

Factors and Technologies

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factorsa) Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )b) Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )c) Capital Kt+1 = xt π + bt π

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factorsa) Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )b) Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )c) Capital Kt+1 = xt π + bt π

Human CapitalAssumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of sequences for prices wt rt t ge 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t ge 1and Xt Kt+1 lt t ge 1 such that

a) Agents optimize

b) Factor payments w = (1 - α) A Kα L-α

r = α A Kα -1 L1-α

c) All markets clear Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 ) Capital xt + bt = π Kt +1 Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

Equilibrium

Approach

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequestsmdash MCR = 0

mdash MCR gt 0

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Policy-induced changes in factors

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)Suppose drr ge dππ Then dK lt 0

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reason In the steady-state 1βλ = rπ if bt gt 0

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

If the MCR γ = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reasonndash When γ = 0 investment dXX = dwwndash But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKKndash From the clearing condition X = π K so

dXX = dKK + dππ there4 drr = dππ

Aggregate Investment (γ = 0)

X = +[wh(1- l)][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Suppose the minimum consumption requirement γ gt 0 anddπ gt 0 Then drr gt dππ

Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

One consequence Effective return rπ rises child labor increases

dK + dππ = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in π is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ) 1σ]

( )( )

( )( ) =

Γ

+minusminusminus

minus

Γminus

+minus+minusminus

παα

πππαα r

llhlhrrr

llhllh

)1211

)1211

( )( ) 11

1

1minus+

equivΓσββ z

z

( ) ( )( )

Γminus

minus

+minus+

minus

minus

πππαα

α

γ

α

αα

rrr

llhA

r 1

)121

11

1

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rπ is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

Pedagogical Examples

Variable β λ σ γ α π hValue 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84

1

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

04 05 06 07 08 09 1

Relative Output

Rela

tive

Parti

cipa

tion

Rate

s

Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

γ gt 0 γ = 0

Why the difference

The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels Wages Return rπ Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of

middle-age decisionmakers

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Conclusions

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriersdeveloping countries can reduce child labor Without areduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricterbarriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lotof a country

  • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Background
  • Background
  • Slide Number 9
  • Slide Number 10
  • Slide Number 11
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • Slide Number 16
  • Slide Number 17
  • Slide Number 18
  • Slide Number 19
  • Slide Number 20
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • Slide Number 23
  • Preferences
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Aggregate Investment
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Slide Number 39
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Slide Number 43
  • Slide Number 44
  • Slide Number 45
  • Slide Number 46
  • Slide Number 47
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Aggregate Investment (g = 0)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Slide Number 62
  • Steady State
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Slide Number 67
  • Pedagogical Examples
  • Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)
  • Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)
  • Slide Number 71
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
    • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor

      DEGIT

      St Petersburg Russia

      8 September 2011

      Richard C Barnett

      Drexel University

      Secrecy vs Seclective Disclosure

      Outline of the Talk

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Conclusions

          Background

          Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

          The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

          Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Background

              Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

              The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

              Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)

                  Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

                  3 Important Features

                  Barriers

                  Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

                  Child Labor and Human Capital

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

                  Minimum Consumption Requirements

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

                  Related Studies

                  Overview

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  MCR g

                  The Model

                  Preferences

                  Ut ordm u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl Ut+1

                  where u(c ) = (c ndash g )1-s (1 - s) 0 pound b l pound 1

                  c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

                  c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  qt ordm bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3 wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) lb ucent(c1t+1 )

                  + wt + 2 hcent( 1- lt ) l b 2 ucent(c2t+2 )

                  Aggregate Investment

                  X = +

                  [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                  [rp + (b rp)1s]

                  wl (b rp)1s

                  [rp + (b rp)1s ]

                  Factors and Technologies

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Human Capital

                      Assumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

                      Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of

                      sequences for prices wt rt t sup3 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t sup3 1

                      and Xt Kt+1 lt t sup3 1 such that

                      Agents optimize

                      Factor payments

                      w = (1 - a) A Ka L-a

                      r = a A Ka -1 L1-a

                      All markets clear

                      Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 )

                      Capital xt + bt = p Kt +1

                      Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

                      Equilibrium

                      Approach

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          MCR = 0

                          MCR gt 0

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Steady State

                          • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                              • 1b l sup3 r p
                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                  • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                    • Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                      Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                      wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                      The Child Labor Decision

                                      Steady State

                                      • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                          • 1b l sup3 r p
                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                  -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                  Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                                  Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                                  wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                                  The Child Labor Decision

                                                  Steady State

                                                  • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                                      • 1b l sup3 r p
                                                      • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                            • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                              -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)

                                                                  Suppose drr sup3 dpp Then dK lt 0

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                  Reason In the steady-state 1bl = rp if bt gt 0

                                                                  Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      If the MCR g = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                      Reason

                                                                      When g = 0 investment dXX = dww

                                                                      But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKK

                                                                      From the clearing condition X = p K so

                                                                      dXX = dKK + dpp drr = dpp

                                                                      Aggregate Investment (g = 0)

                                                                      X = +

                                                                      [wh(1- l)][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Suppose the minimum consumption requirement g gt 0 and

                                                                      dp gt 0 Then drr gt dpp

                                                                      Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

                                                                      One consequence Effective return rp rises child labor increases

                                                                      dK + dpp = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

                                                                      Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in p is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

                                                                      Steady State

                                                                      + = K

                                                                      [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp) 1s]

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rp is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛

                                                                      primeprime

                                                                      +rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l Kprime )

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛ +

                                                                      rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      l

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l K )

                                                                      l l prime

                                                                      Pedagogical Examples

                                                                      Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

                                                                      Chart1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates
                                                                      1
                                                                      1036832741
                                                                      1073090064
                                                                      1108955549
                                                                      1144590727
                                                                      1180143169
                                                                      1215752801
                                                                      1251557262
                                                                      1287696923
                                                                      1324320074
                                                                      1361588833
                                                                      1399686467
                                                                      1438827114
                                                                      1479269523
                                                                      152133756
                                                                      1565452592
                                                                      1612187974
                                                                      1662367955
                                                                      1717266013
                                                                      1779062077
                                                                      1852152497

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates

                                                                      Sheet2

                                                                      Sheet3

                                                                      Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

                                                                      g gt 0

                                                                      g = 0

                                                                      Why the difference

                                                                      The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels

                                                                      Wages

                                                                      Return rπ

                                                                      Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of middle-age decisionmakers

                                                                      Conclusions

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriers developing countries can reduce child labor Without a reduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricter barriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lot of a country

                                                                          (

                                                                          )

                                                                          (

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                                                                          ucirc

                                                                          ugrave

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                                                                          )

                                                                          1

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                                                                          (

                                                                          )

                                                                          (

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                                                                          1

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                                                                          +

                                                                          ordm

                                                                          G

                                                                          s

                                                                          b

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                                                                          (

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                                                                          uacute

                                                                          ucirc

                                                                          ugrave

                                                                          ecirc

                                                                          euml

                                                                          eacute

                                                                          divide

                                                                          oslash

                                                                          ouml

                                                                          ccedil

                                                                          egrave

                                                                          aelig

                                                                          G

                                                                          -

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                                                                          +

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                                                                          +

                                                                          -

                                                                          -

                                                                          p

                                                                          p

                                                                          p

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          g

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          l

                                                                          l

                                                                          h

                                                                          A

                                                                          r

                                                                          1

                                                                          )

                                                                          1

                                                                          2

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

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                                                                          1

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                                                                          11

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                                                                          13

                                                                          14

                                                                          15

                                                                          16

                                                                          17

                                                                          18

                                                                          19

                                                                          0405060708091

                                                                          Relative Output

                                                                          Relative Participation Rates

                                                                          Fig 42b Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          = 0

                                                                          4

                                                                          41

                                                                          42

                                                                          43

                                                                          44

                                                                          45

                                                                          46

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          002

                                                                          004

                                                                          006

                                                                          008

                                                                          01

                                                                          012

                                                                          014

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                          Fig 42a Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          gt 0

                                                                          28

                                                                          29

                                                                          3

                                                                          31

                                                                          32

                                                                          33

                                                                          34

                                                                          35

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          005

                                                                          01

                                                                          015

                                                                          02

                                                                          025

                                                                          03

                                                                          035

                                                                          04

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                      y l ratio y ratio l
                                                                      1 5103837338 0196324827 1 1
                                                                      11 4846566344 02035560085 09495926345 1036832741
                                                                      12 4618839709 02106742213 09049739251 1073090064
                                                                      13 4414915419 02177155064 08650188333 1108955549
                                                                      14 423047326 02247115765 08288808949 1144590727
                                                                      15 4062184154 02316914036 07959078404 1180143169
                                                                      16 390742778 02386824584 07655862679 1215752801
                                                                      17 3764101166 0245711763 07375041398 1251557262
                                                                      18 3630484915 02528068757 07113245731 1287696923
                                                                      19 3505146855 02599969094 06867669603 1324320074
                                                                      2 3386870309 02673136922 06635929175 1361588833
                                                                      21 3274598498 02747932035 06415953882 1399686467
                                                                      22 3167388932 02824774842 06205897097 1438827114
                                                                      23 3064372843 02904173333 06004056634 1479269523
                                                                      24 296471464 02986763333 05808795311 152133756
                                                                      25 2867564887 03073372094 0561844882 1565452592
                                                                      26 2771995899 03165125252 05431199537 1612187974
                                                                      27 2676897761 03263641013 05244872796 1662367955
                                                                      28 2580781446 03371419529 0505655113 1717266013
                                                                      29 248133507 03492740545 04861704842 1779062077
                                                                      3 2374158982 03636235186 04651713652 1852152497
                                                                      31 2247263191 03826037427 04403085448 1948830153
                                                                      32
                                                                      33
                                                                      34
                                                                      35
                                                                      1
                                                                      09495926345
                                                                      09049739251
                                                                      08650188333
                                                                      08288808949
                                                                      07959078404
                                                                      07655862679
                                                                      07375041398
                                                                      07113245731
                                                                      06867669603
                                                                      06635929175
                                                                      06415953882
                                                                      06205897097
                                                                      06004056634
                                                                      05808795311
                                                                      0561844882
                                                                      05431199537
                                                                      05244872796
                                                                      0505655113
                                                                      04861704842
                                                                      04651713652
                                                                      Variable b l s g a p h
                                                                      Value 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84
Page 20: Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor · Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor DEGIT St. Petersburg, Russia. 8 September 2011. Richard

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKπ

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKπ

MCR γ

The Model

Preferences

Ut equiv u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ Ut+1

where u(c ) = (c ndash γ )1-σ (1 - σ) 0 le β λ le 1

c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

c) c1t c2t+1 ge γ xt bt ge 0

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

c) c1t c2t+1 ge γ xt bt ge 0

d) θt equiv bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge (rt π ) λ β uprime(c1t +1 )

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge (rt π ) λ β uprime(c1t +1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) ge wt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) λβ uprime(c1t+1 )+ wt + 2 hprime( 1- lt ) λ β 2 uprime(c2t+2 )

Aggregate Investment

X = +[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ ]

Factors and Technologies

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factorsa) Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )b) Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )c) Capital Kt+1 = xt π + bt π

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factorsa) Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )b) Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )c) Capital Kt+1 = xt π + bt π

Human CapitalAssumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of sequences for prices wt rt t ge 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t ge 1and Xt Kt+1 lt t ge 1 such that

a) Agents optimize

b) Factor payments w = (1 - α) A Kα L-α

r = α A Kα -1 L1-α

c) All markets clear Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 ) Capital xt + bt = π Kt +1 Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

Equilibrium

Approach

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequestsmdash MCR = 0

mdash MCR gt 0

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Policy-induced changes in factors

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)Suppose drr ge dππ Then dK lt 0

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reason In the steady-state 1βλ = rπ if bt gt 0

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

If the MCR γ = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reasonndash When γ = 0 investment dXX = dwwndash But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKKndash From the clearing condition X = π K so

dXX = dKK + dππ there4 drr = dππ

Aggregate Investment (γ = 0)

X = +[wh(1- l)][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Suppose the minimum consumption requirement γ gt 0 anddπ gt 0 Then drr gt dππ

Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

One consequence Effective return rπ rises child labor increases

dK + dππ = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in π is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ) 1σ]

( )( )

( )( ) =

Γ

+minusminusminus

minus

Γminus

+minus+minusminus

παα

πππαα r

llhlhrrr

llhllh

)1211

)1211

( )( ) 11

1

1minus+

equivΓσββ z

z

( ) ( )( )

Γminus

minus

+minus+

minus

minus

πππαα

α

γ

α

αα

rrr

llhA

r 1

)121

11

1

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rπ is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

Pedagogical Examples

Variable β λ σ γ α π hValue 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84

1

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

04 05 06 07 08 09 1

Relative Output

Rela

tive

Parti

cipa

tion

Rate

s

Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

γ gt 0 γ = 0

Why the difference

The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels Wages Return rπ Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of

middle-age decisionmakers

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Conclusions

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriersdeveloping countries can reduce child labor Without areduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricterbarriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lotof a country

  • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Background
  • Background
  • Slide Number 9
  • Slide Number 10
  • Slide Number 11
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • Slide Number 16
  • Slide Number 17
  • Slide Number 18
  • Slide Number 19
  • Slide Number 20
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • Slide Number 23
  • Preferences
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Aggregate Investment
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Slide Number 39
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Slide Number 43
  • Slide Number 44
  • Slide Number 45
  • Slide Number 46
  • Slide Number 47
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Aggregate Investment (g = 0)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Slide Number 62
  • Steady State
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Slide Number 67
  • Pedagogical Examples
  • Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)
  • Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)
  • Slide Number 71
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
    • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor

      DEGIT

      St Petersburg Russia

      8 September 2011

      Richard C Barnett

      Drexel University

      Secrecy vs Seclective Disclosure

      Outline of the Talk

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Conclusions

          Background

          Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

          The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

          Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Background

              Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

              The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

              Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)

                  Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

                  3 Important Features

                  Barriers

                  Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

                  Child Labor and Human Capital

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

                  Minimum Consumption Requirements

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

                  Related Studies

                  Overview

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  MCR g

                  The Model

                  Preferences

                  Ut ordm u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl Ut+1

                  where u(c ) = (c ndash g )1-s (1 - s) 0 pound b l pound 1

                  c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

                  c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  qt ordm bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3 wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) lb ucent(c1t+1 )

                  + wt + 2 hcent( 1- lt ) l b 2 ucent(c2t+2 )

                  Aggregate Investment

                  X = +

                  [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                  [rp + (b rp)1s]

                  wl (b rp)1s

                  [rp + (b rp)1s ]

                  Factors and Technologies

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Human Capital

                      Assumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

                      Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of

                      sequences for prices wt rt t sup3 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t sup3 1

                      and Xt Kt+1 lt t sup3 1 such that

                      Agents optimize

                      Factor payments

                      w = (1 - a) A Ka L-a

                      r = a A Ka -1 L1-a

                      All markets clear

                      Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 )

                      Capital xt + bt = p Kt +1

                      Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

                      Equilibrium

                      Approach

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          MCR = 0

                          MCR gt 0

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Steady State

                          • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                              • 1b l sup3 r p
                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                  • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                    • Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                      Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                      wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                      The Child Labor Decision

                                      Steady State

                                      • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                          • 1b l sup3 r p
                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                  -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                  Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                                  Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                                  wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                                  The Child Labor Decision

                                                  Steady State

                                                  • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                                      • 1b l sup3 r p
                                                      • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                            • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                              -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)

                                                                  Suppose drr sup3 dpp Then dK lt 0

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                  Reason In the steady-state 1bl = rp if bt gt 0

                                                                  Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      If the MCR g = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                      Reason

                                                                      When g = 0 investment dXX = dww

                                                                      But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKK

                                                                      From the clearing condition X = p K so

                                                                      dXX = dKK + dpp drr = dpp

                                                                      Aggregate Investment (g = 0)

                                                                      X = +

                                                                      [wh(1- l)][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Suppose the minimum consumption requirement g gt 0 and

                                                                      dp gt 0 Then drr gt dpp

                                                                      Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

                                                                      One consequence Effective return rp rises child labor increases

                                                                      dK + dpp = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

                                                                      Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in p is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

                                                                      Steady State

                                                                      + = K

                                                                      [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp) 1s]

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rp is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛

                                                                      primeprime

                                                                      +rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l Kprime )

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛ +

                                                                      rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      l

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l K )

                                                                      l l prime

                                                                      Pedagogical Examples

                                                                      Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

                                                                      Chart1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates
                                                                      1
                                                                      1036832741
                                                                      1073090064
                                                                      1108955549
                                                                      1144590727
                                                                      1180143169
                                                                      1215752801
                                                                      1251557262
                                                                      1287696923
                                                                      1324320074
                                                                      1361588833
                                                                      1399686467
                                                                      1438827114
                                                                      1479269523
                                                                      152133756
                                                                      1565452592
                                                                      1612187974
                                                                      1662367955
                                                                      1717266013
                                                                      1779062077
                                                                      1852152497

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates

                                                                      Sheet2

                                                                      Sheet3

                                                                      Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

                                                                      g gt 0

                                                                      g = 0

                                                                      Why the difference

                                                                      The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels

                                                                      Wages

                                                                      Return rπ

                                                                      Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of middle-age decisionmakers

                                                                      Conclusions

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriers developing countries can reduce child labor Without a reduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricter barriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lot of a country

                                                                          (

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                                                                          1

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                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          )

                                                                          1

                                                                          2

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          (

                                                                          )

                                                                          (

                                                                          )

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          -

                                                                          +

                                                                          ordm

                                                                          G

                                                                          s

                                                                          b

                                                                          b

                                                                          z

                                                                          z

                                                                          (

                                                                          )

                                                                          (

                                                                          )

                                                                          (

                                                                          )

                                                                          uacute

                                                                          ucirc

                                                                          ugrave

                                                                          ecirc

                                                                          euml

                                                                          eacute

                                                                          divide

                                                                          oslash

                                                                          ouml

                                                                          ccedil

                                                                          egrave

                                                                          aelig

                                                                          G

                                                                          -

                                                                          -

                                                                          +

                                                                          -

                                                                          +

                                                                          -

                                                                          -

                                                                          p

                                                                          p

                                                                          p

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          g

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          l

                                                                          l

                                                                          h

                                                                          A

                                                                          r

                                                                          1

                                                                          )

                                                                          1

                                                                          2

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                                                                          12

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                                                                          14

                                                                          15

                                                                          16

                                                                          17

                                                                          18

                                                                          19

                                                                          0405060708091

                                                                          Relative Output

                                                                          Relative Participation Rates

                                                                          Fig 42b Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          = 0

                                                                          4

                                                                          41

                                                                          42

                                                                          43

                                                                          44

                                                                          45

                                                                          46

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          002

                                                                          004

                                                                          006

                                                                          008

                                                                          01

                                                                          012

                                                                          014

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                          Fig 42a Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          gt 0

                                                                          28

                                                                          29

                                                                          3

                                                                          31

                                                                          32

                                                                          33

                                                                          34

                                                                          35

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          005

                                                                          01

                                                                          015

                                                                          02

                                                                          025

                                                                          03

                                                                          035

                                                                          04

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                      y l ratio y ratio l
                                                                      1 5103837338 0196324827 1 1
                                                                      11 4846566344 02035560085 09495926345 1036832741
                                                                      12 4618839709 02106742213 09049739251 1073090064
                                                                      13 4414915419 02177155064 08650188333 1108955549
                                                                      14 423047326 02247115765 08288808949 1144590727
                                                                      15 4062184154 02316914036 07959078404 1180143169
                                                                      16 390742778 02386824584 07655862679 1215752801
                                                                      17 3764101166 0245711763 07375041398 1251557262
                                                                      18 3630484915 02528068757 07113245731 1287696923
                                                                      19 3505146855 02599969094 06867669603 1324320074
                                                                      2 3386870309 02673136922 06635929175 1361588833
                                                                      21 3274598498 02747932035 06415953882 1399686467
                                                                      22 3167388932 02824774842 06205897097 1438827114
                                                                      23 3064372843 02904173333 06004056634 1479269523
                                                                      24 296471464 02986763333 05808795311 152133756
                                                                      25 2867564887 03073372094 0561844882 1565452592
                                                                      26 2771995899 03165125252 05431199537 1612187974
                                                                      27 2676897761 03263641013 05244872796 1662367955
                                                                      28 2580781446 03371419529 0505655113 1717266013
                                                                      29 248133507 03492740545 04861704842 1779062077
                                                                      3 2374158982 03636235186 04651713652 1852152497
                                                                      31 2247263191 03826037427 04403085448 1948830153
                                                                      32
                                                                      33
                                                                      34
                                                                      35
                                                                      1
                                                                      09495926345
                                                                      09049739251
                                                                      08650188333
                                                                      08288808949
                                                                      07959078404
                                                                      07655862679
                                                                      07375041398
                                                                      07113245731
                                                                      06867669603
                                                                      06635929175
                                                                      06415953882
                                                                      06205897097
                                                                      06004056634
                                                                      05808795311
                                                                      0561844882
                                                                      05431199537
                                                                      05244872796
                                                                      0505655113
                                                                      04861704842
                                                                      04651713652
                                                                      Variable b l s g a p h
                                                                      Value 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84
Page 21: Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor · Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor DEGIT St. Petersburg, Russia. 8 September 2011. Richard

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKπ

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKπ

MCR γ

The Model

Preferences

Ut equiv u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ Ut+1

where u(c ) = (c ndash γ )1-σ (1 - σ) 0 le β λ le 1

c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

c) c1t c2t+1 ge γ xt bt ge 0

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

c) c1t c2t+1 ge γ xt bt ge 0

d) θt equiv bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge (rt π ) λ β uprime(c1t +1 )

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge (rt π ) λ β uprime(c1t +1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) ge wt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) λβ uprime(c1t+1 )+ wt + 2 hprime( 1- lt ) λ β 2 uprime(c2t+2 )

Aggregate Investment

X = +[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ ]

Factors and Technologies

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factorsa) Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )b) Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )c) Capital Kt+1 = xt π + bt π

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factorsa) Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )b) Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )c) Capital Kt+1 = xt π + bt π

Human CapitalAssumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of sequences for prices wt rt t ge 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t ge 1and Xt Kt+1 lt t ge 1 such that

a) Agents optimize

b) Factor payments w = (1 - α) A Kα L-α

r = α A Kα -1 L1-α

c) All markets clear Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 ) Capital xt + bt = π Kt +1 Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

Equilibrium

Approach

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequestsmdash MCR = 0

mdash MCR gt 0

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Policy-induced changes in factors

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)Suppose drr ge dππ Then dK lt 0

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reason In the steady-state 1βλ = rπ if bt gt 0

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

If the MCR γ = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reasonndash When γ = 0 investment dXX = dwwndash But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKKndash From the clearing condition X = π K so

dXX = dKK + dππ there4 drr = dππ

Aggregate Investment (γ = 0)

X = +[wh(1- l)][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Suppose the minimum consumption requirement γ gt 0 anddπ gt 0 Then drr gt dππ

Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

One consequence Effective return rπ rises child labor increases

dK + dππ = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in π is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ) 1σ]

( )( )

( )( ) =

Γ

+minusminusminus

minus

Γminus

+minus+minusminus

παα

πππαα r

llhlhrrr

llhllh

)1211

)1211

( )( ) 11

1

1minus+

equivΓσββ z

z

( ) ( )( )

Γminus

minus

+minus+

minus

minus

πππαα

α

γ

α

αα

rrr

llhA

r 1

)121

11

1

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rπ is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

Pedagogical Examples

Variable β λ σ γ α π hValue 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84

1

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

04 05 06 07 08 09 1

Relative Output

Rela

tive

Parti

cipa

tion

Rate

s

Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

γ gt 0 γ = 0

Why the difference

The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels Wages Return rπ Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of

middle-age decisionmakers

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Conclusions

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriersdeveloping countries can reduce child labor Without areduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricterbarriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lotof a country

  • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Background
  • Background
  • Slide Number 9
  • Slide Number 10
  • Slide Number 11
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • Slide Number 16
  • Slide Number 17
  • Slide Number 18
  • Slide Number 19
  • Slide Number 20
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • Slide Number 23
  • Preferences
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Aggregate Investment
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Slide Number 39
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Slide Number 43
  • Slide Number 44
  • Slide Number 45
  • Slide Number 46
  • Slide Number 47
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Aggregate Investment (g = 0)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Slide Number 62
  • Steady State
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Slide Number 67
  • Pedagogical Examples
  • Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)
  • Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)
  • Slide Number 71
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
    • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor

      DEGIT

      St Petersburg Russia

      8 September 2011

      Richard C Barnett

      Drexel University

      Secrecy vs Seclective Disclosure

      Outline of the Talk

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Conclusions

          Background

          Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

          The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

          Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Background

              Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

              The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

              Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)

                  Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

                  3 Important Features

                  Barriers

                  Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

                  Child Labor and Human Capital

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

                  Minimum Consumption Requirements

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

                  Related Studies

                  Overview

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  MCR g

                  The Model

                  Preferences

                  Ut ordm u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl Ut+1

                  where u(c ) = (c ndash g )1-s (1 - s) 0 pound b l pound 1

                  c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

                  c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  qt ordm bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3 wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) lb ucent(c1t+1 )

                  + wt + 2 hcent( 1- lt ) l b 2 ucent(c2t+2 )

                  Aggregate Investment

                  X = +

                  [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                  [rp + (b rp)1s]

                  wl (b rp)1s

                  [rp + (b rp)1s ]

                  Factors and Technologies

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Human Capital

                      Assumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

                      Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of

                      sequences for prices wt rt t sup3 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t sup3 1

                      and Xt Kt+1 lt t sup3 1 such that

                      Agents optimize

                      Factor payments

                      w = (1 - a) A Ka L-a

                      r = a A Ka -1 L1-a

                      All markets clear

                      Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 )

                      Capital xt + bt = p Kt +1

                      Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

                      Equilibrium

                      Approach

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          MCR = 0

                          MCR gt 0

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Steady State

                          • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                              • 1b l sup3 r p
                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                  • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                    • Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                      Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                      wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                      The Child Labor Decision

                                      Steady State

                                      • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                          • 1b l sup3 r p
                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                  -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                  Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                                  Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                                  wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                                  The Child Labor Decision

                                                  Steady State

                                                  • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                                      • 1b l sup3 r p
                                                      • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                            • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                              -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)

                                                                  Suppose drr sup3 dpp Then dK lt 0

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                  Reason In the steady-state 1bl = rp if bt gt 0

                                                                  Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      If the MCR g = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                      Reason

                                                                      When g = 0 investment dXX = dww

                                                                      But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKK

                                                                      From the clearing condition X = p K so

                                                                      dXX = dKK + dpp drr = dpp

                                                                      Aggregate Investment (g = 0)

                                                                      X = +

                                                                      [wh(1- l)][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Suppose the minimum consumption requirement g gt 0 and

                                                                      dp gt 0 Then drr gt dpp

                                                                      Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

                                                                      One consequence Effective return rp rises child labor increases

                                                                      dK + dpp = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

                                                                      Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in p is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

                                                                      Steady State

                                                                      + = K

                                                                      [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp) 1s]

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rp is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛

                                                                      primeprime

                                                                      +rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l Kprime )

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛ +

                                                                      rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      l

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l K )

                                                                      l l prime

                                                                      Pedagogical Examples

                                                                      Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

                                                                      Chart1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates
                                                                      1
                                                                      1036832741
                                                                      1073090064
                                                                      1108955549
                                                                      1144590727
                                                                      1180143169
                                                                      1215752801
                                                                      1251557262
                                                                      1287696923
                                                                      1324320074
                                                                      1361588833
                                                                      1399686467
                                                                      1438827114
                                                                      1479269523
                                                                      152133756
                                                                      1565452592
                                                                      1612187974
                                                                      1662367955
                                                                      1717266013
                                                                      1779062077
                                                                      1852152497

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates

                                                                      Sheet2

                                                                      Sheet3

                                                                      Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

                                                                      g gt 0

                                                                      g = 0

                                                                      Why the difference

                                                                      The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels

                                                                      Wages

                                                                      Return rπ

                                                                      Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of middle-age decisionmakers

                                                                      Conclusions

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriers developing countries can reduce child labor Without a reduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricter barriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lot of a country

                                                                          (

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                                                                          G

                                                                          s

                                                                          b

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                                                                          uacute

                                                                          ucirc

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                                                                          eacute

                                                                          divide

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                                                                          -

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                                                                          a

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                                                                          a

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                                                                          r

                                                                          l

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                                                                          14

                                                                          15

                                                                          16

                                                                          17

                                                                          18

                                                                          19

                                                                          0405060708091

                                                                          Relative Output

                                                                          Relative Participation Rates

                                                                          Fig 42b Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          = 0

                                                                          4

                                                                          41

                                                                          42

                                                                          43

                                                                          44

                                                                          45

                                                                          46

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          002

                                                                          004

                                                                          006

                                                                          008

                                                                          01

                                                                          012

                                                                          014

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                          Fig 42a Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          gt 0

                                                                          28

                                                                          29

                                                                          3

                                                                          31

                                                                          32

                                                                          33

                                                                          34

                                                                          35

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          005

                                                                          01

                                                                          015

                                                                          02

                                                                          025

                                                                          03

                                                                          035

                                                                          04

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                      y l ratio y ratio l
                                                                      1 5103837338 0196324827 1 1
                                                                      11 4846566344 02035560085 09495926345 1036832741
                                                                      12 4618839709 02106742213 09049739251 1073090064
                                                                      13 4414915419 02177155064 08650188333 1108955549
                                                                      14 423047326 02247115765 08288808949 1144590727
                                                                      15 4062184154 02316914036 07959078404 1180143169
                                                                      16 390742778 02386824584 07655862679 1215752801
                                                                      17 3764101166 0245711763 07375041398 1251557262
                                                                      18 3630484915 02528068757 07113245731 1287696923
                                                                      19 3505146855 02599969094 06867669603 1324320074
                                                                      2 3386870309 02673136922 06635929175 1361588833
                                                                      21 3274598498 02747932035 06415953882 1399686467
                                                                      22 3167388932 02824774842 06205897097 1438827114
                                                                      23 3064372843 02904173333 06004056634 1479269523
                                                                      24 296471464 02986763333 05808795311 152133756
                                                                      25 2867564887 03073372094 0561844882 1565452592
                                                                      26 2771995899 03165125252 05431199537 1612187974
                                                                      27 2676897761 03263641013 05244872796 1662367955
                                                                      28 2580781446 03371419529 0505655113 1717266013
                                                                      29 248133507 03492740545 04861704842 1779062077
                                                                      3 2374158982 03636235186 04651713652 1852152497
                                                                      31 2247263191 03826037427 04403085448 1948830153
                                                                      32
                                                                      33
                                                                      34
                                                                      35
                                                                      1
                                                                      09495926345
                                                                      09049739251
                                                                      08650188333
                                                                      08288808949
                                                                      07959078404
                                                                      07655862679
                                                                      07375041398
                                                                      07113245731
                                                                      06867669603
                                                                      06635929175
                                                                      06415953882
                                                                      06205897097
                                                                      06004056634
                                                                      05808795311
                                                                      0561844882
                                                                      05431199537
                                                                      05244872796
                                                                      0505655113
                                                                      04861704842
                                                                      04651713652
                                                                      Variable b l s g a p h
                                                                      Value 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84
Page 22: Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor · Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor DEGIT St. Petersburg, Russia. 8 September 2011. Richard

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKπ

The Model

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKπ

MCR γ

The Model

Preferences

Ut equiv u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ Ut+1

where u(c ) = (c ndash γ )1-σ (1 - σ) 0 le β λ le 1

c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

c) c1t c2t+1 ge γ xt bt ge 0

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

c) c1t c2t+1 ge γ xt bt ge 0

d) θt equiv bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge (rt π ) λ β uprime(c1t +1 )

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge (rt π ) λ β uprime(c1t +1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) ge wt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) λβ uprime(c1t+1 )+ wt + 2 hprime( 1- lt ) λ β 2 uprime(c2t+2 )

Aggregate Investment

X = +[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ ]

Factors and Technologies

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factorsa) Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )b) Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )c) Capital Kt+1 = xt π + bt π

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factorsa) Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )b) Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )c) Capital Kt+1 = xt π + bt π

Human CapitalAssumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of sequences for prices wt rt t ge 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t ge 1and Xt Kt+1 lt t ge 1 such that

a) Agents optimize

b) Factor payments w = (1 - α) A Kα L-α

r = α A Kα -1 L1-α

c) All markets clear Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 ) Capital xt + bt = π Kt +1 Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

Equilibrium

Approach

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequestsmdash MCR = 0

mdash MCR gt 0

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Policy-induced changes in factors

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)Suppose drr ge dππ Then dK lt 0

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reason In the steady-state 1βλ = rπ if bt gt 0

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

If the MCR γ = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reasonndash When γ = 0 investment dXX = dwwndash But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKKndash From the clearing condition X = π K so

dXX = dKK + dππ there4 drr = dππ

Aggregate Investment (γ = 0)

X = +[wh(1- l)][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Suppose the minimum consumption requirement γ gt 0 anddπ gt 0 Then drr gt dππ

Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

One consequence Effective return rπ rises child labor increases

dK + dππ = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in π is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ) 1σ]

( )( )

( )( ) =

Γ

+minusminusminus

minus

Γminus

+minus+minusminus

παα

πππαα r

llhlhrrr

llhllh

)1211

)1211

( )( ) 11

1

1minus+

equivΓσββ z

z

( ) ( )( )

Γminus

minus

+minus+

minus

minus

πππαα

α

γ

α

αα

rrr

llhA

r 1

)121

11

1

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rπ is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

Pedagogical Examples

Variable β λ σ γ α π hValue 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84

1

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

04 05 06 07 08 09 1

Relative Output

Rela

tive

Parti

cipa

tion

Rate

s

Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

γ gt 0 γ = 0

Why the difference

The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels Wages Return rπ Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of

middle-age decisionmakers

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Conclusions

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriersdeveloping countries can reduce child labor Without areduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricterbarriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lotof a country

  • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Background
  • Background
  • Slide Number 9
  • Slide Number 10
  • Slide Number 11
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • Slide Number 16
  • Slide Number 17
  • Slide Number 18
  • Slide Number 19
  • Slide Number 20
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • Slide Number 23
  • Preferences
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Aggregate Investment
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Slide Number 39
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Slide Number 43
  • Slide Number 44
  • Slide Number 45
  • Slide Number 46
  • Slide Number 47
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Aggregate Investment (g = 0)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Slide Number 62
  • Steady State
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Slide Number 67
  • Pedagogical Examples
  • Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)
  • Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)
  • Slide Number 71
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
    • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor

      DEGIT

      St Petersburg Russia

      8 September 2011

      Richard C Barnett

      Drexel University

      Secrecy vs Seclective Disclosure

      Outline of the Talk

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Conclusions

          Background

          Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

          The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

          Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Background

              Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

              The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

              Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)

                  Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

                  3 Important Features

                  Barriers

                  Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

                  Child Labor and Human Capital

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

                  Minimum Consumption Requirements

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

                  Related Studies

                  Overview

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  MCR g

                  The Model

                  Preferences

                  Ut ordm u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl Ut+1

                  where u(c ) = (c ndash g )1-s (1 - s) 0 pound b l pound 1

                  c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

                  c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  qt ordm bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3 wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) lb ucent(c1t+1 )

                  + wt + 2 hcent( 1- lt ) l b 2 ucent(c2t+2 )

                  Aggregate Investment

                  X = +

                  [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                  [rp + (b rp)1s]

                  wl (b rp)1s

                  [rp + (b rp)1s ]

                  Factors and Technologies

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Human Capital

                      Assumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

                      Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of

                      sequences for prices wt rt t sup3 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t sup3 1

                      and Xt Kt+1 lt t sup3 1 such that

                      Agents optimize

                      Factor payments

                      w = (1 - a) A Ka L-a

                      r = a A Ka -1 L1-a

                      All markets clear

                      Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 )

                      Capital xt + bt = p Kt +1

                      Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

                      Equilibrium

                      Approach

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          MCR = 0

                          MCR gt 0

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Steady State

                          • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                              • 1b l sup3 r p
                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                  • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                    • Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                      Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                      wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                      The Child Labor Decision

                                      Steady State

                                      • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                          • 1b l sup3 r p
                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                  -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                  Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                                  Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                                  wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                                  The Child Labor Decision

                                                  Steady State

                                                  • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                                      • 1b l sup3 r p
                                                      • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                            • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                              -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)

                                                                  Suppose drr sup3 dpp Then dK lt 0

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                  Reason In the steady-state 1bl = rp if bt gt 0

                                                                  Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      If the MCR g = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                      Reason

                                                                      When g = 0 investment dXX = dww

                                                                      But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKK

                                                                      From the clearing condition X = p K so

                                                                      dXX = dKK + dpp drr = dpp

                                                                      Aggregate Investment (g = 0)

                                                                      X = +

                                                                      [wh(1- l)][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Suppose the minimum consumption requirement g gt 0 and

                                                                      dp gt 0 Then drr gt dpp

                                                                      Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

                                                                      One consequence Effective return rp rises child labor increases

                                                                      dK + dpp = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

                                                                      Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in p is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

                                                                      Steady State

                                                                      + = K

                                                                      [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp) 1s]

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rp is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛

                                                                      primeprime

                                                                      +rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l Kprime )

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛ +

                                                                      rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      l

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l K )

                                                                      l l prime

                                                                      Pedagogical Examples

                                                                      Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

                                                                      Chart1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates
                                                                      1
                                                                      1036832741
                                                                      1073090064
                                                                      1108955549
                                                                      1144590727
                                                                      1180143169
                                                                      1215752801
                                                                      1251557262
                                                                      1287696923
                                                                      1324320074
                                                                      1361588833
                                                                      1399686467
                                                                      1438827114
                                                                      1479269523
                                                                      152133756
                                                                      1565452592
                                                                      1612187974
                                                                      1662367955
                                                                      1717266013
                                                                      1779062077
                                                                      1852152497

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates

                                                                      Sheet2

                                                                      Sheet3

                                                                      Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

                                                                      g gt 0

                                                                      g = 0

                                                                      Why the difference

                                                                      The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels

                                                                      Wages

                                                                      Return rπ

                                                                      Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of middle-age decisionmakers

                                                                      Conclusions

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriers developing countries can reduce child labor Without a reduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricter barriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lot of a country

                                                                          (

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                                                                          divide

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                                                                          egrave

                                                                          aelig

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                                                                          -

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                                                                          p

                                                                          p

                                                                          p

                                                                          a

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                                                                          a

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                                                                          r

                                                                          r

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                                                                          1

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                                                                          15

                                                                          16

                                                                          17

                                                                          18

                                                                          19

                                                                          0405060708091

                                                                          Relative Output

                                                                          Relative Participation Rates

                                                                          Fig 42b Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          = 0

                                                                          4

                                                                          41

                                                                          42

                                                                          43

                                                                          44

                                                                          45

                                                                          46

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          002

                                                                          004

                                                                          006

                                                                          008

                                                                          01

                                                                          012

                                                                          014

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                          Fig 42a Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          gt 0

                                                                          28

                                                                          29

                                                                          3

                                                                          31

                                                                          32

                                                                          33

                                                                          34

                                                                          35

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          005

                                                                          01

                                                                          015

                                                                          02

                                                                          025

                                                                          03

                                                                          035

                                                                          04

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                      y l ratio y ratio l
                                                                      1 5103837338 0196324827 1 1
                                                                      11 4846566344 02035560085 09495926345 1036832741
                                                                      12 4618839709 02106742213 09049739251 1073090064
                                                                      13 4414915419 02177155064 08650188333 1108955549
                                                                      14 423047326 02247115765 08288808949 1144590727
                                                                      15 4062184154 02316914036 07959078404 1180143169
                                                                      16 390742778 02386824584 07655862679 1215752801
                                                                      17 3764101166 0245711763 07375041398 1251557262
                                                                      18 3630484915 02528068757 07113245731 1287696923
                                                                      19 3505146855 02599969094 06867669603 1324320074
                                                                      2 3386870309 02673136922 06635929175 1361588833
                                                                      21 3274598498 02747932035 06415953882 1399686467
                                                                      22 3167388932 02824774842 06205897097 1438827114
                                                                      23 3064372843 02904173333 06004056634 1479269523
                                                                      24 296471464 02986763333 05808795311 152133756
                                                                      25 2867564887 03073372094 0561844882 1565452592
                                                                      26 2771995899 03165125252 05431199537 1612187974
                                                                      27 2676897761 03263641013 05244872796 1662367955
                                                                      28 2580781446 03371419529 0505655113 1717266013
                                                                      29 248133507 03492740545 04861704842 1779062077
                                                                      3 2374158982 03636235186 04651713652 1852152497
                                                                      31 2247263191 03826037427 04403085448 1948830153
                                                                      32
                                                                      33
                                                                      34
                                                                      35
                                                                      1
                                                                      09495926345
                                                                      09049739251
                                                                      08650188333
                                                                      08288808949
                                                                      07959078404
                                                                      07655862679
                                                                      07375041398
                                                                      07113245731
                                                                      06867669603
                                                                      06635929175
                                                                      06415953882
                                                                      06205897097
                                                                      06004056634
                                                                      05808795311
                                                                      0561844882
                                                                      05431199537
                                                                      05244872796
                                                                      0505655113
                                                                      04861704842
                                                                      04651713652
                                                                      Variable b l s g a p h
                                                                      Value 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84
Page 23: Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor · Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor DEGIT St. Petersburg, Russia. 8 September 2011. Richard

Overview

OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKπ

MCR γ

The Model

Preferences

Ut equiv u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ Ut+1

where u(c ) = (c ndash γ )1-σ (1 - σ) 0 le β λ le 1

c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

c) c1t c2t+1 ge γ xt bt ge 0

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

c) c1t c2t+1 ge γ xt bt ge 0

d) θt equiv bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge (rt π ) λ β uprime(c1t +1 )

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge (rt π ) λ β uprime(c1t +1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) ge wt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) λβ uprime(c1t+1 )+ wt + 2 hprime( 1- lt ) λ β 2 uprime(c2t+2 )

Aggregate Investment

X = +[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ ]

Factors and Technologies

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factorsa) Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )b) Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )c) Capital Kt+1 = xt π + bt π

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factorsa) Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )b) Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )c) Capital Kt+1 = xt π + bt π

Human CapitalAssumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of sequences for prices wt rt t ge 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t ge 1and Xt Kt+1 lt t ge 1 such that

a) Agents optimize

b) Factor payments w = (1 - α) A Kα L-α

r = α A Kα -1 L1-α

c) All markets clear Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 ) Capital xt + bt = π Kt +1 Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

Equilibrium

Approach

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequestsmdash MCR = 0

mdash MCR gt 0

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Policy-induced changes in factors

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)Suppose drr ge dππ Then dK lt 0

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reason In the steady-state 1βλ = rπ if bt gt 0

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

If the MCR γ = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reasonndash When γ = 0 investment dXX = dwwndash But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKKndash From the clearing condition X = π K so

dXX = dKK + dππ there4 drr = dππ

Aggregate Investment (γ = 0)

X = +[wh(1- l)][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Suppose the minimum consumption requirement γ gt 0 anddπ gt 0 Then drr gt dππ

Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

One consequence Effective return rπ rises child labor increases

dK + dππ = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in π is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ) 1σ]

( )( )

( )( ) =

Γ

+minusminusminus

minus

Γminus

+minus+minusminus

παα

πππαα r

llhlhrrr

llhllh

)1211

)1211

( )( ) 11

1

1minus+

equivΓσββ z

z

( ) ( )( )

Γminus

minus

+minus+

minus

minus

πππαα

α

γ

α

αα

rrr

llhA

r 1

)121

11

1

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rπ is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

Pedagogical Examples

Variable β λ σ γ α π hValue 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84

1

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

04 05 06 07 08 09 1

Relative Output

Rela

tive

Parti

cipa

tion

Rate

s

Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

γ gt 0 γ = 0

Why the difference

The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels Wages Return rπ Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of

middle-age decisionmakers

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Conclusions

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriersdeveloping countries can reduce child labor Without areduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricterbarriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lotof a country

  • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Background
  • Background
  • Slide Number 9
  • Slide Number 10
  • Slide Number 11
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • Slide Number 16
  • Slide Number 17
  • Slide Number 18
  • Slide Number 19
  • Slide Number 20
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • Slide Number 23
  • Preferences
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Aggregate Investment
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Slide Number 39
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Slide Number 43
  • Slide Number 44
  • Slide Number 45
  • Slide Number 46
  • Slide Number 47
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Aggregate Investment (g = 0)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Slide Number 62
  • Steady State
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Slide Number 67
  • Pedagogical Examples
  • Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)
  • Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)
  • Slide Number 71
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
    • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor

      DEGIT

      St Petersburg Russia

      8 September 2011

      Richard C Barnett

      Drexel University

      Secrecy vs Seclective Disclosure

      Outline of the Talk

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Conclusions

          Background

          Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

          The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

          Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Background

              Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

              The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

              Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)

                  Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

                  3 Important Features

                  Barriers

                  Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

                  Child Labor and Human Capital

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

                  Minimum Consumption Requirements

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

                  Related Studies

                  Overview

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  MCR g

                  The Model

                  Preferences

                  Ut ordm u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl Ut+1

                  where u(c ) = (c ndash g )1-s (1 - s) 0 pound b l pound 1

                  c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

                  c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  qt ordm bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3 wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) lb ucent(c1t+1 )

                  + wt + 2 hcent( 1- lt ) l b 2 ucent(c2t+2 )

                  Aggregate Investment

                  X = +

                  [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                  [rp + (b rp)1s]

                  wl (b rp)1s

                  [rp + (b rp)1s ]

                  Factors and Technologies

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Human Capital

                      Assumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

                      Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of

                      sequences for prices wt rt t sup3 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t sup3 1

                      and Xt Kt+1 lt t sup3 1 such that

                      Agents optimize

                      Factor payments

                      w = (1 - a) A Ka L-a

                      r = a A Ka -1 L1-a

                      All markets clear

                      Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 )

                      Capital xt + bt = p Kt +1

                      Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

                      Equilibrium

                      Approach

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          MCR = 0

                          MCR gt 0

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Steady State

                          • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                              • 1b l sup3 r p
                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                  • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                    • Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                      Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                      wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                      The Child Labor Decision

                                      Steady State

                                      • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                          • 1b l sup3 r p
                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                  -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                  Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                                  Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                                  wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                                  The Child Labor Decision

                                                  Steady State

                                                  • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                                      • 1b l sup3 r p
                                                      • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                            • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                              -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)

                                                                  Suppose drr sup3 dpp Then dK lt 0

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                  Reason In the steady-state 1bl = rp if bt gt 0

                                                                  Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      If the MCR g = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                      Reason

                                                                      When g = 0 investment dXX = dww

                                                                      But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKK

                                                                      From the clearing condition X = p K so

                                                                      dXX = dKK + dpp drr = dpp

                                                                      Aggregate Investment (g = 0)

                                                                      X = +

                                                                      [wh(1- l)][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Suppose the minimum consumption requirement g gt 0 and

                                                                      dp gt 0 Then drr gt dpp

                                                                      Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

                                                                      One consequence Effective return rp rises child labor increases

                                                                      dK + dpp = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

                                                                      Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in p is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

                                                                      Steady State

                                                                      + = K

                                                                      [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp) 1s]

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rp is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛

                                                                      primeprime

                                                                      +rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l Kprime )

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛ +

                                                                      rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      l

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l K )

                                                                      l l prime

                                                                      Pedagogical Examples

                                                                      Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

                                                                      Chart1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates
                                                                      1
                                                                      1036832741
                                                                      1073090064
                                                                      1108955549
                                                                      1144590727
                                                                      1180143169
                                                                      1215752801
                                                                      1251557262
                                                                      1287696923
                                                                      1324320074
                                                                      1361588833
                                                                      1399686467
                                                                      1438827114
                                                                      1479269523
                                                                      152133756
                                                                      1565452592
                                                                      1612187974
                                                                      1662367955
                                                                      1717266013
                                                                      1779062077
                                                                      1852152497

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates

                                                                      Sheet2

                                                                      Sheet3

                                                                      Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

                                                                      g gt 0

                                                                      g = 0

                                                                      Why the difference

                                                                      The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels

                                                                      Wages

                                                                      Return rπ

                                                                      Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of middle-age decisionmakers

                                                                      Conclusions

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriers developing countries can reduce child labor Without a reduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricter barriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lot of a country

                                                                          (

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                                                                          0405060708091

                                                                          Relative Output

                                                                          Relative Participation Rates

                                                                          Fig 42b Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          = 0

                                                                          4

                                                                          41

                                                                          42

                                                                          43

                                                                          44

                                                                          45

                                                                          46

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          002

                                                                          004

                                                                          006

                                                                          008

                                                                          01

                                                                          012

                                                                          014

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                          Fig 42a Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          gt 0

                                                                          28

                                                                          29

                                                                          3

                                                                          31

                                                                          32

                                                                          33

                                                                          34

                                                                          35

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          005

                                                                          01

                                                                          015

                                                                          02

                                                                          025

                                                                          03

                                                                          035

                                                                          04

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                      y l ratio y ratio l
                                                                      1 5103837338 0196324827 1 1
                                                                      11 4846566344 02035560085 09495926345 1036832741
                                                                      12 4618839709 02106742213 09049739251 1073090064
                                                                      13 4414915419 02177155064 08650188333 1108955549
                                                                      14 423047326 02247115765 08288808949 1144590727
                                                                      15 4062184154 02316914036 07959078404 1180143169
                                                                      16 390742778 02386824584 07655862679 1215752801
                                                                      17 3764101166 0245711763 07375041398 1251557262
                                                                      18 3630484915 02528068757 07113245731 1287696923
                                                                      19 3505146855 02599969094 06867669603 1324320074
                                                                      2 3386870309 02673136922 06635929175 1361588833
                                                                      21 3274598498 02747932035 06415953882 1399686467
                                                                      22 3167388932 02824774842 06205897097 1438827114
                                                                      23 3064372843 02904173333 06004056634 1479269523
                                                                      24 296471464 02986763333 05808795311 152133756
                                                                      25 2867564887 03073372094 0561844882 1565452592
                                                                      26 2771995899 03165125252 05431199537 1612187974
                                                                      27 2676897761 03263641013 05244872796 1662367955
                                                                      28 2580781446 03371419529 0505655113 1717266013
                                                                      29 248133507 03492740545 04861704842 1779062077
                                                                      3 2374158982 03636235186 04651713652 1852152497
                                                                      31 2247263191 03826037427 04403085448 1948830153
                                                                      32
                                                                      33
                                                                      34
                                                                      35
                                                                      1
                                                                      09495926345
                                                                      09049739251
                                                                      08650188333
                                                                      08288808949
                                                                      07959078404
                                                                      07655862679
                                                                      07375041398
                                                                      07113245731
                                                                      06867669603
                                                                      06635929175
                                                                      06415953882
                                                                      06205897097
                                                                      06004056634
                                                                      05808795311
                                                                      0561844882
                                                                      05431199537
                                                                      05244872796
                                                                      0505655113
                                                                      04861704842
                                                                      04651713652
                                                                      Variable b l s g a p h
                                                                      Value 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84
Page 24: Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor · Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor DEGIT St. Petersburg, Russia. 8 September 2011. Richard

Preferences

Ut equiv u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ Ut+1

where u(c ) = (c ndash γ )1-σ (1 - σ) 0 le β λ le 1

c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

c) c1t c2t+1 ge γ xt bt ge 0

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

c) c1t c2t+1 ge γ xt bt ge 0

d) θt equiv bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge (rt π ) λ β uprime(c1t +1 )

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge (rt π ) λ β uprime(c1t +1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) ge wt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) λβ uprime(c1t+1 )+ wt + 2 hprime( 1- lt ) λ β 2 uprime(c2t+2 )

Aggregate Investment

X = +[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ ]

Factors and Technologies

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factorsa) Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )b) Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )c) Capital Kt+1 = xt π + bt π

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factorsa) Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )b) Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )c) Capital Kt+1 = xt π + bt π

Human CapitalAssumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of sequences for prices wt rt t ge 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t ge 1and Xt Kt+1 lt t ge 1 such that

a) Agents optimize

b) Factor payments w = (1 - α) A Kα L-α

r = α A Kα -1 L1-α

c) All markets clear Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 ) Capital xt + bt = π Kt +1 Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

Equilibrium

Approach

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequestsmdash MCR = 0

mdash MCR gt 0

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Policy-induced changes in factors

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)Suppose drr ge dππ Then dK lt 0

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reason In the steady-state 1βλ = rπ if bt gt 0

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

If the MCR γ = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reasonndash When γ = 0 investment dXX = dwwndash But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKKndash From the clearing condition X = π K so

dXX = dKK + dππ there4 drr = dππ

Aggregate Investment (γ = 0)

X = +[wh(1- l)][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Suppose the minimum consumption requirement γ gt 0 anddπ gt 0 Then drr gt dππ

Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

One consequence Effective return rπ rises child labor increases

dK + dππ = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in π is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ) 1σ]

( )( )

( )( ) =

Γ

+minusminusminus

minus

Γminus

+minus+minusminus

παα

πππαα r

llhlhrrr

llhllh

)1211

)1211

( )( ) 11

1

1minus+

equivΓσββ z

z

( ) ( )( )

Γminus

minus

+minus+

minus

minus

πππαα

α

γ

α

αα

rrr

llhA

r 1

)121

11

1

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rπ is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

Pedagogical Examples

Variable β λ σ γ α π hValue 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84

1

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

04 05 06 07 08 09 1

Relative Output

Rela

tive

Parti

cipa

tion

Rate

s

Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

γ gt 0 γ = 0

Why the difference

The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels Wages Return rπ Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of

middle-age decisionmakers

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Conclusions

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriersdeveloping countries can reduce child labor Without areduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricterbarriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lotof a country

  • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Background
  • Background
  • Slide Number 9
  • Slide Number 10
  • Slide Number 11
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • Slide Number 16
  • Slide Number 17
  • Slide Number 18
  • Slide Number 19
  • Slide Number 20
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • Slide Number 23
  • Preferences
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Aggregate Investment
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Slide Number 39
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Slide Number 43
  • Slide Number 44
  • Slide Number 45
  • Slide Number 46
  • Slide Number 47
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Aggregate Investment (g = 0)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Slide Number 62
  • Steady State
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Slide Number 67
  • Pedagogical Examples
  • Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)
  • Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)
  • Slide Number 71
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
    • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor

      DEGIT

      St Petersburg Russia

      8 September 2011

      Richard C Barnett

      Drexel University

      Secrecy vs Seclective Disclosure

      Outline of the Talk

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Conclusions

          Background

          Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

          The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

          Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Background

              Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

              The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

              Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)

                  Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

                  3 Important Features

                  Barriers

                  Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

                  Child Labor and Human Capital

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

                  Minimum Consumption Requirements

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

                  Related Studies

                  Overview

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  MCR g

                  The Model

                  Preferences

                  Ut ordm u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl Ut+1

                  where u(c ) = (c ndash g )1-s (1 - s) 0 pound b l pound 1

                  c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

                  c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  qt ordm bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3 wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) lb ucent(c1t+1 )

                  + wt + 2 hcent( 1- lt ) l b 2 ucent(c2t+2 )

                  Aggregate Investment

                  X = +

                  [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                  [rp + (b rp)1s]

                  wl (b rp)1s

                  [rp + (b rp)1s ]

                  Factors and Technologies

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Human Capital

                      Assumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

                      Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of

                      sequences for prices wt rt t sup3 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t sup3 1

                      and Xt Kt+1 lt t sup3 1 such that

                      Agents optimize

                      Factor payments

                      w = (1 - a) A Ka L-a

                      r = a A Ka -1 L1-a

                      All markets clear

                      Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 )

                      Capital xt + bt = p Kt +1

                      Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

                      Equilibrium

                      Approach

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          MCR = 0

                          MCR gt 0

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Steady State

                          • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                              • 1b l sup3 r p
                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                  • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                    • Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                      Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                      wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                      The Child Labor Decision

                                      Steady State

                                      • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                          • 1b l sup3 r p
                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                  -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                  Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                                  Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                                  wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                                  The Child Labor Decision

                                                  Steady State

                                                  • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                                      • 1b l sup3 r p
                                                      • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                            • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                              -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)

                                                                  Suppose drr sup3 dpp Then dK lt 0

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                  Reason In the steady-state 1bl = rp if bt gt 0

                                                                  Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      If the MCR g = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                      Reason

                                                                      When g = 0 investment dXX = dww

                                                                      But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKK

                                                                      From the clearing condition X = p K so

                                                                      dXX = dKK + dpp drr = dpp

                                                                      Aggregate Investment (g = 0)

                                                                      X = +

                                                                      [wh(1- l)][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Suppose the minimum consumption requirement g gt 0 and

                                                                      dp gt 0 Then drr gt dpp

                                                                      Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

                                                                      One consequence Effective return rp rises child labor increases

                                                                      dK + dpp = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

                                                                      Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in p is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

                                                                      Steady State

                                                                      + = K

                                                                      [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp) 1s]

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rp is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛

                                                                      primeprime

                                                                      +rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l Kprime )

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛ +

                                                                      rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      l

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l K )

                                                                      l l prime

                                                                      Pedagogical Examples

                                                                      Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

                                                                      Chart1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates
                                                                      1
                                                                      1036832741
                                                                      1073090064
                                                                      1108955549
                                                                      1144590727
                                                                      1180143169
                                                                      1215752801
                                                                      1251557262
                                                                      1287696923
                                                                      1324320074
                                                                      1361588833
                                                                      1399686467
                                                                      1438827114
                                                                      1479269523
                                                                      152133756
                                                                      1565452592
                                                                      1612187974
                                                                      1662367955
                                                                      1717266013
                                                                      1779062077
                                                                      1852152497

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates

                                                                      Sheet2

                                                                      Sheet3

                                                                      Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

                                                                      g gt 0

                                                                      g = 0

                                                                      Why the difference

                                                                      The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels

                                                                      Wages

                                                                      Return rπ

                                                                      Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of middle-age decisionmakers

                                                                      Conclusions

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriers developing countries can reduce child labor Without a reduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricter barriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lot of a country

                                                                          (

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                                                                          17

                                                                          18

                                                                          19

                                                                          0405060708091

                                                                          Relative Output

                                                                          Relative Participation Rates

                                                                          Fig 42b Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          = 0

                                                                          4

                                                                          41

                                                                          42

                                                                          43

                                                                          44

                                                                          45

                                                                          46

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          002

                                                                          004

                                                                          006

                                                                          008

                                                                          01

                                                                          012

                                                                          014

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                          Fig 42a Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          gt 0

                                                                          28

                                                                          29

                                                                          3

                                                                          31

                                                                          32

                                                                          33

                                                                          34

                                                                          35

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          005

                                                                          01

                                                                          015

                                                                          02

                                                                          025

                                                                          03

                                                                          035

                                                                          04

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                      y l ratio y ratio l
                                                                      1 5103837338 0196324827 1 1
                                                                      11 4846566344 02035560085 09495926345 1036832741
                                                                      12 4618839709 02106742213 09049739251 1073090064
                                                                      13 4414915419 02177155064 08650188333 1108955549
                                                                      14 423047326 02247115765 08288808949 1144590727
                                                                      15 4062184154 02316914036 07959078404 1180143169
                                                                      16 390742778 02386824584 07655862679 1215752801
                                                                      17 3764101166 0245711763 07375041398 1251557262
                                                                      18 3630484915 02528068757 07113245731 1287696923
                                                                      19 3505146855 02599969094 06867669603 1324320074
                                                                      2 3386870309 02673136922 06635929175 1361588833
                                                                      21 3274598498 02747932035 06415953882 1399686467
                                                                      22 3167388932 02824774842 06205897097 1438827114
                                                                      23 3064372843 02904173333 06004056634 1479269523
                                                                      24 296471464 02986763333 05808795311 152133756
                                                                      25 2867564887 03073372094 0561844882 1565452592
                                                                      26 2771995899 03165125252 05431199537 1612187974
                                                                      27 2676897761 03263641013 05244872796 1662367955
                                                                      28 2580781446 03371419529 0505655113 1717266013
                                                                      29 248133507 03492740545 04861704842 1779062077
                                                                      3 2374158982 03636235186 04651713652 1852152497
                                                                      31 2247263191 03826037427 04403085448 1948830153
                                                                      32
                                                                      33
                                                                      34
                                                                      35
                                                                      1
                                                                      09495926345
                                                                      09049739251
                                                                      08650188333
                                                                      08288808949
                                                                      07959078404
                                                                      07655862679
                                                                      07375041398
                                                                      07113245731
                                                                      06867669603
                                                                      06635929175
                                                                      06415953882
                                                                      06205897097
                                                                      06004056634
                                                                      05808795311
                                                                      0561844882
                                                                      05431199537
                                                                      05244872796
                                                                      0505655113
                                                                      04861704842
                                                                      04651713652
                                                                      Variable b l s g a p h
                                                                      Value 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84
Page 25: Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor · Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor DEGIT St. Petersburg, Russia. 8 September 2011. Richard

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

c) c1t c2t+1 ge γ xt bt ge 0

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

c) c1t c2t+1 ge γ xt bt ge 0

d) θt equiv bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge (rt π ) λ β uprime(c1t +1 )

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge (rt π ) λ β uprime(c1t +1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) ge wt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) λβ uprime(c1t+1 )+ wt + 2 hprime( 1- lt ) λ β 2 uprime(c2t+2 )

Aggregate Investment

X = +[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ ]

Factors and Technologies

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factorsa) Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )b) Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )c) Capital Kt+1 = xt π + bt π

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factorsa) Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )b) Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )c) Capital Kt+1 = xt π + bt π

Human CapitalAssumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of sequences for prices wt rt t ge 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t ge 1and Xt Kt+1 lt t ge 1 such that

a) Agents optimize

b) Factor payments w = (1 - α) A Kα L-α

r = α A Kα -1 L1-α

c) All markets clear Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 ) Capital xt + bt = π Kt +1 Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

Equilibrium

Approach

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequestsmdash MCR = 0

mdash MCR gt 0

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Policy-induced changes in factors

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)Suppose drr ge dππ Then dK lt 0

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reason In the steady-state 1βλ = rπ if bt gt 0

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

If the MCR γ = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reasonndash When γ = 0 investment dXX = dwwndash But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKKndash From the clearing condition X = π K so

dXX = dKK + dππ there4 drr = dππ

Aggregate Investment (γ = 0)

X = +[wh(1- l)][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Suppose the minimum consumption requirement γ gt 0 anddπ gt 0 Then drr gt dππ

Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

One consequence Effective return rπ rises child labor increases

dK + dππ = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in π is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ) 1σ]

( )( )

( )( ) =

Γ

+minusminusminus

minus

Γminus

+minus+minusminus

παα

πππαα r

llhlhrrr

llhllh

)1211

)1211

( )( ) 11

1

1minus+

equivΓσββ z

z

( ) ( )( )

Γminus

minus

+minus+

minus

minus

πππαα

α

γ

α

αα

rrr

llhA

r 1

)121

11

1

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rπ is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

Pedagogical Examples

Variable β λ σ γ α π hValue 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84

1

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

04 05 06 07 08 09 1

Relative Output

Rela

tive

Parti

cipa

tion

Rate

s

Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

γ gt 0 γ = 0

Why the difference

The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels Wages Return rπ Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of

middle-age decisionmakers

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Conclusions

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriersdeveloping countries can reduce child labor Without areduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricterbarriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lotof a country

  • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Background
  • Background
  • Slide Number 9
  • Slide Number 10
  • Slide Number 11
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • Slide Number 16
  • Slide Number 17
  • Slide Number 18
  • Slide Number 19
  • Slide Number 20
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • Slide Number 23
  • Preferences
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Aggregate Investment
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Slide Number 39
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Slide Number 43
  • Slide Number 44
  • Slide Number 45
  • Slide Number 46
  • Slide Number 47
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Aggregate Investment (g = 0)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Slide Number 62
  • Steady State
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Slide Number 67
  • Pedagogical Examples
  • Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)
  • Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)
  • Slide Number 71
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
    • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor

      DEGIT

      St Petersburg Russia

      8 September 2011

      Richard C Barnett

      Drexel University

      Secrecy vs Seclective Disclosure

      Outline of the Talk

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Conclusions

          Background

          Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

          The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

          Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Background

              Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

              The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

              Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)

                  Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

                  3 Important Features

                  Barriers

                  Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

                  Child Labor and Human Capital

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

                  Minimum Consumption Requirements

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

                  Related Studies

                  Overview

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  MCR g

                  The Model

                  Preferences

                  Ut ordm u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl Ut+1

                  where u(c ) = (c ndash g )1-s (1 - s) 0 pound b l pound 1

                  c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

                  c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  qt ordm bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3 wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) lb ucent(c1t+1 )

                  + wt + 2 hcent( 1- lt ) l b 2 ucent(c2t+2 )

                  Aggregate Investment

                  X = +

                  [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                  [rp + (b rp)1s]

                  wl (b rp)1s

                  [rp + (b rp)1s ]

                  Factors and Technologies

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Human Capital

                      Assumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

                      Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of

                      sequences for prices wt rt t sup3 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t sup3 1

                      and Xt Kt+1 lt t sup3 1 such that

                      Agents optimize

                      Factor payments

                      w = (1 - a) A Ka L-a

                      r = a A Ka -1 L1-a

                      All markets clear

                      Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 )

                      Capital xt + bt = p Kt +1

                      Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

                      Equilibrium

                      Approach

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          MCR = 0

                          MCR gt 0

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Steady State

                          • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                              • 1b l sup3 r p
                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                  • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                    • Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                      Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                      wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                      The Child Labor Decision

                                      Steady State

                                      • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                          • 1b l sup3 r p
                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                  -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                  Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                                  Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                                  wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                                  The Child Labor Decision

                                                  Steady State

                                                  • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                                      • 1b l sup3 r p
                                                      • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                            • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                              -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)

                                                                  Suppose drr sup3 dpp Then dK lt 0

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                  Reason In the steady-state 1bl = rp if bt gt 0

                                                                  Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      If the MCR g = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                      Reason

                                                                      When g = 0 investment dXX = dww

                                                                      But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKK

                                                                      From the clearing condition X = p K so

                                                                      dXX = dKK + dpp drr = dpp

                                                                      Aggregate Investment (g = 0)

                                                                      X = +

                                                                      [wh(1- l)][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Suppose the minimum consumption requirement g gt 0 and

                                                                      dp gt 0 Then drr gt dpp

                                                                      Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

                                                                      One consequence Effective return rp rises child labor increases

                                                                      dK + dpp = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

                                                                      Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in p is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

                                                                      Steady State

                                                                      + = K

                                                                      [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp) 1s]

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rp is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛

                                                                      primeprime

                                                                      +rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l Kprime )

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛ +

                                                                      rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      l

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l K )

                                                                      l l prime

                                                                      Pedagogical Examples

                                                                      Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

                                                                      Chart1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates
                                                                      1
                                                                      1036832741
                                                                      1073090064
                                                                      1108955549
                                                                      1144590727
                                                                      1180143169
                                                                      1215752801
                                                                      1251557262
                                                                      1287696923
                                                                      1324320074
                                                                      1361588833
                                                                      1399686467
                                                                      1438827114
                                                                      1479269523
                                                                      152133756
                                                                      1565452592
                                                                      1612187974
                                                                      1662367955
                                                                      1717266013
                                                                      1779062077
                                                                      1852152497

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates

                                                                      Sheet2

                                                                      Sheet3

                                                                      Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

                                                                      g gt 0

                                                                      g = 0

                                                                      Why the difference

                                                                      The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels

                                                                      Wages

                                                                      Return rπ

                                                                      Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of middle-age decisionmakers

                                                                      Conclusions

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriers developing countries can reduce child labor Without a reduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricter barriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lot of a country

                                                                          (

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                                                                          G

                                                                          s

                                                                          b

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                                                                          ucirc

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                                                                          divide

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                                                                          p

                                                                          a

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                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

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                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          l

                                                                          l

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                                                                          A

                                                                          r

                                                                          1

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                                                                          1

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                                                                          11

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                                                                          14

                                                                          15

                                                                          16

                                                                          17

                                                                          18

                                                                          19

                                                                          0405060708091

                                                                          Relative Output

                                                                          Relative Participation Rates

                                                                          Fig 42b Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          = 0

                                                                          4

                                                                          41

                                                                          42

                                                                          43

                                                                          44

                                                                          45

                                                                          46

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          002

                                                                          004

                                                                          006

                                                                          008

                                                                          01

                                                                          012

                                                                          014

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                          Fig 42a Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          gt 0

                                                                          28

                                                                          29

                                                                          3

                                                                          31

                                                                          32

                                                                          33

                                                                          34

                                                                          35

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          005

                                                                          01

                                                                          015

                                                                          02

                                                                          025

                                                                          03

                                                                          035

                                                                          04

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                      y l ratio y ratio l
                                                                      1 5103837338 0196324827 1 1
                                                                      11 4846566344 02035560085 09495926345 1036832741
                                                                      12 4618839709 02106742213 09049739251 1073090064
                                                                      13 4414915419 02177155064 08650188333 1108955549
                                                                      14 423047326 02247115765 08288808949 1144590727
                                                                      15 4062184154 02316914036 07959078404 1180143169
                                                                      16 390742778 02386824584 07655862679 1215752801
                                                                      17 3764101166 0245711763 07375041398 1251557262
                                                                      18 3630484915 02528068757 07113245731 1287696923
                                                                      19 3505146855 02599969094 06867669603 1324320074
                                                                      2 3386870309 02673136922 06635929175 1361588833
                                                                      21 3274598498 02747932035 06415953882 1399686467
                                                                      22 3167388932 02824774842 06205897097 1438827114
                                                                      23 3064372843 02904173333 06004056634 1479269523
                                                                      24 296471464 02986763333 05808795311 152133756
                                                                      25 2867564887 03073372094 0561844882 1565452592
                                                                      26 2771995899 03165125252 05431199537 1612187974
                                                                      27 2676897761 03263641013 05244872796 1662367955
                                                                      28 2580781446 03371419529 0505655113 1717266013
                                                                      29 248133507 03492740545 04861704842 1779062077
                                                                      3 2374158982 03636235186 04651713652 1852152497
                                                                      31 2247263191 03826037427 04403085448 1948830153
                                                                      32
                                                                      33
                                                                      34
                                                                      35
                                                                      1
                                                                      09495926345
                                                                      09049739251
                                                                      08650188333
                                                                      08288808949
                                                                      07959078404
                                                                      07655862679
                                                                      07375041398
                                                                      07113245731
                                                                      06867669603
                                                                      06635929175
                                                                      06415953882
                                                                      06205897097
                                                                      06004056634
                                                                      05808795311
                                                                      0561844882
                                                                      05431199537
                                                                      05244872796
                                                                      0505655113
                                                                      04861704842
                                                                      04651713652
                                                                      Variable b l s g a p h
                                                                      Value 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84
Page 26: Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor · Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor DEGIT St. Petersburg, Russia. 8 September 2011. Richard

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

c) c1t c2t+1 ge γ xt bt ge 0

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

c) c1t c2t+1 ge γ xt bt ge 0

d) θt equiv bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge (rt π ) λ β uprime(c1t +1 )

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge (rt π ) λ β uprime(c1t +1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) ge wt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) λβ uprime(c1t+1 )+ wt + 2 hprime( 1- lt ) λ β 2 uprime(c2t+2 )

Aggregate Investment

X = +[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ ]

Factors and Technologies

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factorsa) Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )b) Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )c) Capital Kt+1 = xt π + bt π

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factorsa) Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )b) Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )c) Capital Kt+1 = xt π + bt π

Human CapitalAssumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of sequences for prices wt rt t ge 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t ge 1and Xt Kt+1 lt t ge 1 such that

a) Agents optimize

b) Factor payments w = (1 - α) A Kα L-α

r = α A Kα -1 L1-α

c) All markets clear Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 ) Capital xt + bt = π Kt +1 Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

Equilibrium

Approach

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequestsmdash MCR = 0

mdash MCR gt 0

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Policy-induced changes in factors

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)Suppose drr ge dππ Then dK lt 0

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reason In the steady-state 1βλ = rπ if bt gt 0

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

If the MCR γ = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reasonndash When γ = 0 investment dXX = dwwndash But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKKndash From the clearing condition X = π K so

dXX = dKK + dππ there4 drr = dππ

Aggregate Investment (γ = 0)

X = +[wh(1- l)][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Suppose the minimum consumption requirement γ gt 0 anddπ gt 0 Then drr gt dππ

Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

One consequence Effective return rπ rises child labor increases

dK + dππ = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in π is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ) 1σ]

( )( )

( )( ) =

Γ

+minusminusminus

minus

Γminus

+minus+minusminus

παα

πππαα r

llhlhrrr

llhllh

)1211

)1211

( )( ) 11

1

1minus+

equivΓσββ z

z

( ) ( )( )

Γminus

minus

+minus+

minus

minus

πππαα

α

γ

α

αα

rrr

llhA

r 1

)121

11

1

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rπ is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

Pedagogical Examples

Variable β λ σ γ α π hValue 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84

1

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

04 05 06 07 08 09 1

Relative Output

Rela

tive

Parti

cipa

tion

Rate

s

Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

γ gt 0 γ = 0

Why the difference

The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels Wages Return rπ Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of

middle-age decisionmakers

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Conclusions

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriersdeveloping countries can reduce child labor Without areduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricterbarriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lotof a country

  • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Background
  • Background
  • Slide Number 9
  • Slide Number 10
  • Slide Number 11
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • Slide Number 16
  • Slide Number 17
  • Slide Number 18
  • Slide Number 19
  • Slide Number 20
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • Slide Number 23
  • Preferences
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Aggregate Investment
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Slide Number 39
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Slide Number 43
  • Slide Number 44
  • Slide Number 45
  • Slide Number 46
  • Slide Number 47
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Aggregate Investment (g = 0)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Slide Number 62
  • Steady State
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Slide Number 67
  • Pedagogical Examples
  • Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)
  • Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)
  • Slide Number 71
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
    • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor

      DEGIT

      St Petersburg Russia

      8 September 2011

      Richard C Barnett

      Drexel University

      Secrecy vs Seclective Disclosure

      Outline of the Talk

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Conclusions

          Background

          Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

          The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

          Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Background

              Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

              The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

              Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)

                  Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

                  3 Important Features

                  Barriers

                  Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

                  Child Labor and Human Capital

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

                  Minimum Consumption Requirements

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

                  Related Studies

                  Overview

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  MCR g

                  The Model

                  Preferences

                  Ut ordm u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl Ut+1

                  where u(c ) = (c ndash g )1-s (1 - s) 0 pound b l pound 1

                  c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

                  c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  qt ordm bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3 wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) lb ucent(c1t+1 )

                  + wt + 2 hcent( 1- lt ) l b 2 ucent(c2t+2 )

                  Aggregate Investment

                  X = +

                  [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                  [rp + (b rp)1s]

                  wl (b rp)1s

                  [rp + (b rp)1s ]

                  Factors and Technologies

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Human Capital

                      Assumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

                      Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of

                      sequences for prices wt rt t sup3 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t sup3 1

                      and Xt Kt+1 lt t sup3 1 such that

                      Agents optimize

                      Factor payments

                      w = (1 - a) A Ka L-a

                      r = a A Ka -1 L1-a

                      All markets clear

                      Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 )

                      Capital xt + bt = p Kt +1

                      Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

                      Equilibrium

                      Approach

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          MCR = 0

                          MCR gt 0

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Steady State

                          • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                              • 1b l sup3 r p
                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                  • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                    • Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                      Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                      wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                      The Child Labor Decision

                                      Steady State

                                      • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                          • 1b l sup3 r p
                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                  -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                  Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                                  Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                                  wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                                  The Child Labor Decision

                                                  Steady State

                                                  • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                                      • 1b l sup3 r p
                                                      • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                            • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                              -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)

                                                                  Suppose drr sup3 dpp Then dK lt 0

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                  Reason In the steady-state 1bl = rp if bt gt 0

                                                                  Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      If the MCR g = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                      Reason

                                                                      When g = 0 investment dXX = dww

                                                                      But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKK

                                                                      From the clearing condition X = p K so

                                                                      dXX = dKK + dpp drr = dpp

                                                                      Aggregate Investment (g = 0)

                                                                      X = +

                                                                      [wh(1- l)][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Suppose the minimum consumption requirement g gt 0 and

                                                                      dp gt 0 Then drr gt dpp

                                                                      Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

                                                                      One consequence Effective return rp rises child labor increases

                                                                      dK + dpp = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

                                                                      Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in p is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

                                                                      Steady State

                                                                      + = K

                                                                      [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp) 1s]

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rp is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛

                                                                      primeprime

                                                                      +rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l Kprime )

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛ +

                                                                      rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      l

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l K )

                                                                      l l prime

                                                                      Pedagogical Examples

                                                                      Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

                                                                      Chart1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates
                                                                      1
                                                                      1036832741
                                                                      1073090064
                                                                      1108955549
                                                                      1144590727
                                                                      1180143169
                                                                      1215752801
                                                                      1251557262
                                                                      1287696923
                                                                      1324320074
                                                                      1361588833
                                                                      1399686467
                                                                      1438827114
                                                                      1479269523
                                                                      152133756
                                                                      1565452592
                                                                      1612187974
                                                                      1662367955
                                                                      1717266013
                                                                      1779062077
                                                                      1852152497

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates

                                                                      Sheet2

                                                                      Sheet3

                                                                      Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

                                                                      g gt 0

                                                                      g = 0

                                                                      Why the difference

                                                                      The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels

                                                                      Wages

                                                                      Return rπ

                                                                      Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of middle-age decisionmakers

                                                                      Conclusions

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriers developing countries can reduce child labor Without a reduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricter barriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lot of a country

                                                                          (

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                                                                          a

                                                                          a

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                                                                          r

                                                                          r

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                                                                          h

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                                                                          1

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                                                                          1

                                                                          2

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                                                                          15

                                                                          16

                                                                          17

                                                                          18

                                                                          19

                                                                          0405060708091

                                                                          Relative Output

                                                                          Relative Participation Rates

                                                                          Fig 42b Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          = 0

                                                                          4

                                                                          41

                                                                          42

                                                                          43

                                                                          44

                                                                          45

                                                                          46

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          002

                                                                          004

                                                                          006

                                                                          008

                                                                          01

                                                                          012

                                                                          014

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                          Fig 42a Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          gt 0

                                                                          28

                                                                          29

                                                                          3

                                                                          31

                                                                          32

                                                                          33

                                                                          34

                                                                          35

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          005

                                                                          01

                                                                          015

                                                                          02

                                                                          025

                                                                          03

                                                                          035

                                                                          04

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                      y l ratio y ratio l
                                                                      1 5103837338 0196324827 1 1
                                                                      11 4846566344 02035560085 09495926345 1036832741
                                                                      12 4618839709 02106742213 09049739251 1073090064
                                                                      13 4414915419 02177155064 08650188333 1108955549
                                                                      14 423047326 02247115765 08288808949 1144590727
                                                                      15 4062184154 02316914036 07959078404 1180143169
                                                                      16 390742778 02386824584 07655862679 1215752801
                                                                      17 3764101166 0245711763 07375041398 1251557262
                                                                      18 3630484915 02528068757 07113245731 1287696923
                                                                      19 3505146855 02599969094 06867669603 1324320074
                                                                      2 3386870309 02673136922 06635929175 1361588833
                                                                      21 3274598498 02747932035 06415953882 1399686467
                                                                      22 3167388932 02824774842 06205897097 1438827114
                                                                      23 3064372843 02904173333 06004056634 1479269523
                                                                      24 296471464 02986763333 05808795311 152133756
                                                                      25 2867564887 03073372094 0561844882 1565452592
                                                                      26 2771995899 03165125252 05431199537 1612187974
                                                                      27 2676897761 03263641013 05244872796 1662367955
                                                                      28 2580781446 03371419529 0505655113 1717266013
                                                                      29 248133507 03492740545 04861704842 1779062077
                                                                      3 2374158982 03636235186 04651713652 1852152497
                                                                      31 2247263191 03826037427 04403085448 1948830153
                                                                      32
                                                                      33
                                                                      34
                                                                      35
                                                                      1
                                                                      09495926345
                                                                      09049739251
                                                                      08650188333
                                                                      08288808949
                                                                      07959078404
                                                                      07655862679
                                                                      07375041398
                                                                      07113245731
                                                                      06867669603
                                                                      06635929175
                                                                      06415953882
                                                                      06205897097
                                                                      06004056634
                                                                      05808795311
                                                                      0561844882
                                                                      05431199537
                                                                      05244872796
                                                                      0505655113
                                                                      04861704842
                                                                      04651713652
                                                                      Variable b l s g a p h
                                                                      Value 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84
Page 27: Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor · Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor DEGIT St. Petersburg, Russia. 8 September 2011. Richard

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

c) c1t c2t+1 ge γ xt bt ge 0

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

c) c1t c2t+1 ge γ xt bt ge 0

d) θt equiv bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge (rt π ) λ β uprime(c1t +1 )

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge (rt π ) λ β uprime(c1t +1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) ge wt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) λβ uprime(c1t+1 )+ wt + 2 hprime( 1- lt ) λ β 2 uprime(c2t+2 )

Aggregate Investment

X = +[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ ]

Factors and Technologies

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factorsa) Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )b) Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )c) Capital Kt+1 = xt π + bt π

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factorsa) Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )b) Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )c) Capital Kt+1 = xt π + bt π

Human CapitalAssumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of sequences for prices wt rt t ge 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t ge 1and Xt Kt+1 lt t ge 1 such that

a) Agents optimize

b) Factor payments w = (1 - α) A Kα L-α

r = α A Kα -1 L1-α

c) All markets clear Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 ) Capital xt + bt = π Kt +1 Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

Equilibrium

Approach

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequestsmdash MCR = 0

mdash MCR gt 0

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Policy-induced changes in factors

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)Suppose drr ge dππ Then dK lt 0

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reason In the steady-state 1βλ = rπ if bt gt 0

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

If the MCR γ = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reasonndash When γ = 0 investment dXX = dwwndash But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKKndash From the clearing condition X = π K so

dXX = dKK + dππ there4 drr = dππ

Aggregate Investment (γ = 0)

X = +[wh(1- l)][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Suppose the minimum consumption requirement γ gt 0 anddπ gt 0 Then drr gt dππ

Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

One consequence Effective return rπ rises child labor increases

dK + dππ = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in π is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ) 1σ]

( )( )

( )( ) =

Γ

+minusminusminus

minus

Γminus

+minus+minusminus

παα

πππαα r

llhlhrrr

llhllh

)1211

)1211

( )( ) 11

1

1minus+

equivΓσββ z

z

( ) ( )( )

Γminus

minus

+minus+

minus

minus

πππαα

α

γ

α

αα

rrr

llhA

r 1

)121

11

1

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rπ is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

Pedagogical Examples

Variable β λ σ γ α π hValue 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84

1

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

04 05 06 07 08 09 1

Relative Output

Rela

tive

Parti

cipa

tion

Rate

s

Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

γ gt 0 γ = 0

Why the difference

The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels Wages Return rπ Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of

middle-age decisionmakers

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Conclusions

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriersdeveloping countries can reduce child labor Without areduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricterbarriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lotof a country

  • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Background
  • Background
  • Slide Number 9
  • Slide Number 10
  • Slide Number 11
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • Slide Number 16
  • Slide Number 17
  • Slide Number 18
  • Slide Number 19
  • Slide Number 20
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • Slide Number 23
  • Preferences
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Aggregate Investment
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Slide Number 39
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Slide Number 43
  • Slide Number 44
  • Slide Number 45
  • Slide Number 46
  • Slide Number 47
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Aggregate Investment (g = 0)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Slide Number 62
  • Steady State
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Slide Number 67
  • Pedagogical Examples
  • Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)
  • Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)
  • Slide Number 71
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
    • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor

      DEGIT

      St Petersburg Russia

      8 September 2011

      Richard C Barnett

      Drexel University

      Secrecy vs Seclective Disclosure

      Outline of the Talk

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Conclusions

          Background

          Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

          The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

          Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Background

              Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

              The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

              Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)

                  Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

                  3 Important Features

                  Barriers

                  Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

                  Child Labor and Human Capital

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

                  Minimum Consumption Requirements

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

                  Related Studies

                  Overview

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  MCR g

                  The Model

                  Preferences

                  Ut ordm u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl Ut+1

                  where u(c ) = (c ndash g )1-s (1 - s) 0 pound b l pound 1

                  c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

                  c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  qt ordm bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3 wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) lb ucent(c1t+1 )

                  + wt + 2 hcent( 1- lt ) l b 2 ucent(c2t+2 )

                  Aggregate Investment

                  X = +

                  [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                  [rp + (b rp)1s]

                  wl (b rp)1s

                  [rp + (b rp)1s ]

                  Factors and Technologies

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Human Capital

                      Assumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

                      Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of

                      sequences for prices wt rt t sup3 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t sup3 1

                      and Xt Kt+1 lt t sup3 1 such that

                      Agents optimize

                      Factor payments

                      w = (1 - a) A Ka L-a

                      r = a A Ka -1 L1-a

                      All markets clear

                      Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 )

                      Capital xt + bt = p Kt +1

                      Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

                      Equilibrium

                      Approach

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          MCR = 0

                          MCR gt 0

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Steady State

                          • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                              • 1b l sup3 r p
                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                  • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                    • Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                      Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                      wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                      The Child Labor Decision

                                      Steady State

                                      • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                          • 1b l sup3 r p
                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                  -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                  Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                                  Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                                  wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                                  The Child Labor Decision

                                                  Steady State

                                                  • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                                      • 1b l sup3 r p
                                                      • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                            • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                              -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)

                                                                  Suppose drr sup3 dpp Then dK lt 0

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                  Reason In the steady-state 1bl = rp if bt gt 0

                                                                  Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      If the MCR g = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                      Reason

                                                                      When g = 0 investment dXX = dww

                                                                      But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKK

                                                                      From the clearing condition X = p K so

                                                                      dXX = dKK + dpp drr = dpp

                                                                      Aggregate Investment (g = 0)

                                                                      X = +

                                                                      [wh(1- l)][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Suppose the minimum consumption requirement g gt 0 and

                                                                      dp gt 0 Then drr gt dpp

                                                                      Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

                                                                      One consequence Effective return rp rises child labor increases

                                                                      dK + dpp = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

                                                                      Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in p is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

                                                                      Steady State

                                                                      + = K

                                                                      [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp) 1s]

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rp is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛

                                                                      primeprime

                                                                      +rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l Kprime )

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛ +

                                                                      rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      l

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l K )

                                                                      l l prime

                                                                      Pedagogical Examples

                                                                      Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

                                                                      Chart1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates
                                                                      1
                                                                      1036832741
                                                                      1073090064
                                                                      1108955549
                                                                      1144590727
                                                                      1180143169
                                                                      1215752801
                                                                      1251557262
                                                                      1287696923
                                                                      1324320074
                                                                      1361588833
                                                                      1399686467
                                                                      1438827114
                                                                      1479269523
                                                                      152133756
                                                                      1565452592
                                                                      1612187974
                                                                      1662367955
                                                                      1717266013
                                                                      1779062077
                                                                      1852152497

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates

                                                                      Sheet2

                                                                      Sheet3

                                                                      Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

                                                                      g gt 0

                                                                      g = 0

                                                                      Why the difference

                                                                      The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels

                                                                      Wages

                                                                      Return rπ

                                                                      Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of middle-age decisionmakers

                                                                      Conclusions

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriers developing countries can reduce child labor Without a reduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricter barriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lot of a country

                                                                          (

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                                                                          14

                                                                          15

                                                                          16

                                                                          17

                                                                          18

                                                                          19

                                                                          0405060708091

                                                                          Relative Output

                                                                          Relative Participation Rates

                                                                          Fig 42b Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          = 0

                                                                          4

                                                                          41

                                                                          42

                                                                          43

                                                                          44

                                                                          45

                                                                          46

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          002

                                                                          004

                                                                          006

                                                                          008

                                                                          01

                                                                          012

                                                                          014

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                          Fig 42a Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          gt 0

                                                                          28

                                                                          29

                                                                          3

                                                                          31

                                                                          32

                                                                          33

                                                                          34

                                                                          35

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          005

                                                                          01

                                                                          015

                                                                          02

                                                                          025

                                                                          03

                                                                          035

                                                                          04

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                      y l ratio y ratio l
                                                                      1 5103837338 0196324827 1 1
                                                                      11 4846566344 02035560085 09495926345 1036832741
                                                                      12 4618839709 02106742213 09049739251 1073090064
                                                                      13 4414915419 02177155064 08650188333 1108955549
                                                                      14 423047326 02247115765 08288808949 1144590727
                                                                      15 4062184154 02316914036 07959078404 1180143169
                                                                      16 390742778 02386824584 07655862679 1215752801
                                                                      17 3764101166 0245711763 07375041398 1251557262
                                                                      18 3630484915 02528068757 07113245731 1287696923
                                                                      19 3505146855 02599969094 06867669603 1324320074
                                                                      2 3386870309 02673136922 06635929175 1361588833
                                                                      21 3274598498 02747932035 06415953882 1399686467
                                                                      22 3167388932 02824774842 06205897097 1438827114
                                                                      23 3064372843 02904173333 06004056634 1479269523
                                                                      24 296471464 02986763333 05808795311 152133756
                                                                      25 2867564887 03073372094 0561844882 1565452592
                                                                      26 2771995899 03165125252 05431199537 1612187974
                                                                      27 2676897761 03263641013 05244872796 1662367955
                                                                      28 2580781446 03371419529 0505655113 1717266013
                                                                      29 248133507 03492740545 04861704842 1779062077
                                                                      3 2374158982 03636235186 04651713652 1852152497
                                                                      31 2247263191 03826037427 04403085448 1948830153
                                                                      32
                                                                      33
                                                                      34
                                                                      35
                                                                      1
                                                                      09495926345
                                                                      09049739251
                                                                      08650188333
                                                                      08288808949
                                                                      07959078404
                                                                      07655862679
                                                                      07375041398
                                                                      07113245731
                                                                      06867669603
                                                                      06635929175
                                                                      06415953882
                                                                      06205897097
                                                                      06004056634
                                                                      05808795311
                                                                      0561844882
                                                                      05431199537
                                                                      05244872796
                                                                      0505655113
                                                                      04861704842
                                                                      04651713652
                                                                      Variable b l s g a p h
                                                                      Value 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84
Page 28: Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor · Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor DEGIT St. Petersburg, Russia. 8 September 2011. Richard

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

c) c1t c2t+1 ge γ xt bt ge 0

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

c) c1t c2t+1 ge γ xt bt ge 0

d) θt equiv bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge (rt π ) λ β uprime(c1t +1 )

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge (rt π ) λ β uprime(c1t +1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) ge wt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) λβ uprime(c1t+1 )+ wt + 2 hprime( 1- lt ) λ β 2 uprime(c2t+2 )

Aggregate Investment

X = +[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ ]

Factors and Technologies

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factorsa) Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )b) Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )c) Capital Kt+1 = xt π + bt π

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factorsa) Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )b) Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )c) Capital Kt+1 = xt π + bt π

Human CapitalAssumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of sequences for prices wt rt t ge 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t ge 1and Xt Kt+1 lt t ge 1 such that

a) Agents optimize

b) Factor payments w = (1 - α) A Kα L-α

r = α A Kα -1 L1-α

c) All markets clear Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 ) Capital xt + bt = π Kt +1 Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

Equilibrium

Approach

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequestsmdash MCR = 0

mdash MCR gt 0

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Policy-induced changes in factors

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)Suppose drr ge dππ Then dK lt 0

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reason In the steady-state 1βλ = rπ if bt gt 0

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

If the MCR γ = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reasonndash When γ = 0 investment dXX = dwwndash But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKKndash From the clearing condition X = π K so

dXX = dKK + dππ there4 drr = dππ

Aggregate Investment (γ = 0)

X = +[wh(1- l)][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Suppose the minimum consumption requirement γ gt 0 anddπ gt 0 Then drr gt dππ

Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

One consequence Effective return rπ rises child labor increases

dK + dππ = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in π is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ) 1σ]

( )( )

( )( ) =

Γ

+minusminusminus

minus

Γminus

+minus+minusminus

παα

πππαα r

llhlhrrr

llhllh

)1211

)1211

( )( ) 11

1

1minus+

equivΓσββ z

z

( ) ( )( )

Γminus

minus

+minus+

minus

minus

πππαα

α

γ

α

αα

rrr

llhA

r 1

)121

11

1

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rπ is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

Pedagogical Examples

Variable β λ σ γ α π hValue 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84

1

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

04 05 06 07 08 09 1

Relative Output

Rela

tive

Parti

cipa

tion

Rate

s

Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

γ gt 0 γ = 0

Why the difference

The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels Wages Return rπ Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of

middle-age decisionmakers

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Conclusions

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriersdeveloping countries can reduce child labor Without areduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricterbarriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lotof a country

  • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Background
  • Background
  • Slide Number 9
  • Slide Number 10
  • Slide Number 11
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • Slide Number 16
  • Slide Number 17
  • Slide Number 18
  • Slide Number 19
  • Slide Number 20
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • Slide Number 23
  • Preferences
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Aggregate Investment
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Slide Number 39
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Slide Number 43
  • Slide Number 44
  • Slide Number 45
  • Slide Number 46
  • Slide Number 47
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Aggregate Investment (g = 0)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Slide Number 62
  • Steady State
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Slide Number 67
  • Pedagogical Examples
  • Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)
  • Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)
  • Slide Number 71
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
    • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor

      DEGIT

      St Petersburg Russia

      8 September 2011

      Richard C Barnett

      Drexel University

      Secrecy vs Seclective Disclosure

      Outline of the Talk

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Conclusions

          Background

          Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

          The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

          Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Background

              Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

              The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

              Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)

                  Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

                  3 Important Features

                  Barriers

                  Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

                  Child Labor and Human Capital

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

                  Minimum Consumption Requirements

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

                  Related Studies

                  Overview

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  MCR g

                  The Model

                  Preferences

                  Ut ordm u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl Ut+1

                  where u(c ) = (c ndash g )1-s (1 - s) 0 pound b l pound 1

                  c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

                  c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  qt ordm bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3 wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) lb ucent(c1t+1 )

                  + wt + 2 hcent( 1- lt ) l b 2 ucent(c2t+2 )

                  Aggregate Investment

                  X = +

                  [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                  [rp + (b rp)1s]

                  wl (b rp)1s

                  [rp + (b rp)1s ]

                  Factors and Technologies

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Human Capital

                      Assumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

                      Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of

                      sequences for prices wt rt t sup3 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t sup3 1

                      and Xt Kt+1 lt t sup3 1 such that

                      Agents optimize

                      Factor payments

                      w = (1 - a) A Ka L-a

                      r = a A Ka -1 L1-a

                      All markets clear

                      Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 )

                      Capital xt + bt = p Kt +1

                      Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

                      Equilibrium

                      Approach

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          MCR = 0

                          MCR gt 0

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Steady State

                          • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                              • 1b l sup3 r p
                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                  • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                    • Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                      Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                      wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                      The Child Labor Decision

                                      Steady State

                                      • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                          • 1b l sup3 r p
                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                  -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                  Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                                  Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                                  wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                                  The Child Labor Decision

                                                  Steady State

                                                  • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                                      • 1b l sup3 r p
                                                      • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                            • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                              -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)

                                                                  Suppose drr sup3 dpp Then dK lt 0

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                  Reason In the steady-state 1bl = rp if bt gt 0

                                                                  Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      If the MCR g = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                      Reason

                                                                      When g = 0 investment dXX = dww

                                                                      But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKK

                                                                      From the clearing condition X = p K so

                                                                      dXX = dKK + dpp drr = dpp

                                                                      Aggregate Investment (g = 0)

                                                                      X = +

                                                                      [wh(1- l)][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Suppose the minimum consumption requirement g gt 0 and

                                                                      dp gt 0 Then drr gt dpp

                                                                      Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

                                                                      One consequence Effective return rp rises child labor increases

                                                                      dK + dpp = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

                                                                      Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in p is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

                                                                      Steady State

                                                                      + = K

                                                                      [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp) 1s]

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rp is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛

                                                                      primeprime

                                                                      +rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l Kprime )

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛ +

                                                                      rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      l

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l K )

                                                                      l l prime

                                                                      Pedagogical Examples

                                                                      Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

                                                                      Chart1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates
                                                                      1
                                                                      1036832741
                                                                      1073090064
                                                                      1108955549
                                                                      1144590727
                                                                      1180143169
                                                                      1215752801
                                                                      1251557262
                                                                      1287696923
                                                                      1324320074
                                                                      1361588833
                                                                      1399686467
                                                                      1438827114
                                                                      1479269523
                                                                      152133756
                                                                      1565452592
                                                                      1612187974
                                                                      1662367955
                                                                      1717266013
                                                                      1779062077
                                                                      1852152497

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates

                                                                      Sheet2

                                                                      Sheet3

                                                                      Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

                                                                      g gt 0

                                                                      g = 0

                                                                      Why the difference

                                                                      The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels

                                                                      Wages

                                                                      Return rπ

                                                                      Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of middle-age decisionmakers

                                                                      Conclusions

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriers developing countries can reduce child labor Without a reduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricter barriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lot of a country

                                                                          (

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                                                                          a

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                                                                          r

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                                                                          15

                                                                          16

                                                                          17

                                                                          18

                                                                          19

                                                                          0405060708091

                                                                          Relative Output

                                                                          Relative Participation Rates

                                                                          Fig 42b Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          = 0

                                                                          4

                                                                          41

                                                                          42

                                                                          43

                                                                          44

                                                                          45

                                                                          46

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          002

                                                                          004

                                                                          006

                                                                          008

                                                                          01

                                                                          012

                                                                          014

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                          Fig 42a Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          gt 0

                                                                          28

                                                                          29

                                                                          3

                                                                          31

                                                                          32

                                                                          33

                                                                          34

                                                                          35

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          005

                                                                          01

                                                                          015

                                                                          02

                                                                          025

                                                                          03

                                                                          035

                                                                          04

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                      y l ratio y ratio l
                                                                      1 5103837338 0196324827 1 1
                                                                      11 4846566344 02035560085 09495926345 1036832741
                                                                      12 4618839709 02106742213 09049739251 1073090064
                                                                      13 4414915419 02177155064 08650188333 1108955549
                                                                      14 423047326 02247115765 08288808949 1144590727
                                                                      15 4062184154 02316914036 07959078404 1180143169
                                                                      16 390742778 02386824584 07655862679 1215752801
                                                                      17 3764101166 0245711763 07375041398 1251557262
                                                                      18 3630484915 02528068757 07113245731 1287696923
                                                                      19 3505146855 02599969094 06867669603 1324320074
                                                                      2 3386870309 02673136922 06635929175 1361588833
                                                                      21 3274598498 02747932035 06415953882 1399686467
                                                                      22 3167388932 02824774842 06205897097 1438827114
                                                                      23 3064372843 02904173333 06004056634 1479269523
                                                                      24 296471464 02986763333 05808795311 152133756
                                                                      25 2867564887 03073372094 0561844882 1565452592
                                                                      26 2771995899 03165125252 05431199537 1612187974
                                                                      27 2676897761 03263641013 05244872796 1662367955
                                                                      28 2580781446 03371419529 0505655113 1717266013
                                                                      29 248133507 03492740545 04861704842 1779062077
                                                                      3 2374158982 03636235186 04651713652 1852152497
                                                                      31 2247263191 03826037427 04403085448 1948830153
                                                                      32
                                                                      33
                                                                      34
                                                                      35
                                                                      1
                                                                      09495926345
                                                                      09049739251
                                                                      08650188333
                                                                      08288808949
                                                                      07959078404
                                                                      07655862679
                                                                      07375041398
                                                                      07113245731
                                                                      06867669603
                                                                      06635929175
                                                                      06415953882
                                                                      06205897097
                                                                      06004056634
                                                                      05808795311
                                                                      0561844882
                                                                      05431199537
                                                                      05244872796
                                                                      0505655113
                                                                      04861704842
                                                                      04651713652
                                                                      Variable b l s g a p h
                                                                      Value 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84
Page 29: Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor · Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor DEGIT St. Petersburg, Russia. 8 September 2011. Richard

The Agentrsquos Problem

U(θt Ωt ) equiv max u(c1t ) + β u(c2t+1 ) + βλ U(θt +1 Ωt +1 )

Subject to

a) c1t + xt + bt le wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 π

b) c2t+1 le wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt π

c) c1t c2t+1 ge γ xt bt ge 0

d) θt equiv bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge (rt π ) λ β uprime(c1t +1 )

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge (rt π ) λ β uprime(c1t +1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) ge wt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) λβ uprime(c1t+1 )+ wt + 2 hprime( 1- lt ) λ β 2 uprime(c2t+2 )

Aggregate Investment

X = +[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ ]

Factors and Technologies

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factorsa) Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )b) Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )c) Capital Kt+1 = xt π + bt π

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factorsa) Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )b) Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )c) Capital Kt+1 = xt π + bt π

Human CapitalAssumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of sequences for prices wt rt t ge 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t ge 1and Xt Kt+1 lt t ge 1 such that

a) Agents optimize

b) Factor payments w = (1 - α) A Kα L-α

r = α A Kα -1 L1-α

c) All markets clear Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 ) Capital xt + bt = π Kt +1 Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

Equilibrium

Approach

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequestsmdash MCR = 0

mdash MCR gt 0

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Policy-induced changes in factors

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)Suppose drr ge dππ Then dK lt 0

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reason In the steady-state 1βλ = rπ if bt gt 0

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

If the MCR γ = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reasonndash When γ = 0 investment dXX = dwwndash But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKKndash From the clearing condition X = π K so

dXX = dKK + dππ there4 drr = dππ

Aggregate Investment (γ = 0)

X = +[wh(1- l)][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Suppose the minimum consumption requirement γ gt 0 anddπ gt 0 Then drr gt dππ

Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

One consequence Effective return rπ rises child labor increases

dK + dππ = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in π is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ) 1σ]

( )( )

( )( ) =

Γ

+minusminusminus

minus

Γminus

+minus+minusminus

παα

πππαα r

llhlhrrr

llhllh

)1211

)1211

( )( ) 11

1

1minus+

equivΓσββ z

z

( ) ( )( )

Γminus

minus

+minus+

minus

minus

πππαα

α

γ

α

αα

rrr

llhA

r 1

)121

11

1

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rπ is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

Pedagogical Examples

Variable β λ σ γ α π hValue 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84

1

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

04 05 06 07 08 09 1

Relative Output

Rela

tive

Parti

cipa

tion

Rate

s

Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

γ gt 0 γ = 0

Why the difference

The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels Wages Return rπ Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of

middle-age decisionmakers

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Conclusions

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriersdeveloping countries can reduce child labor Without areduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricterbarriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lotof a country

  • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Background
  • Background
  • Slide Number 9
  • Slide Number 10
  • Slide Number 11
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • Slide Number 16
  • Slide Number 17
  • Slide Number 18
  • Slide Number 19
  • Slide Number 20
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • Slide Number 23
  • Preferences
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Aggregate Investment
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Slide Number 39
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Slide Number 43
  • Slide Number 44
  • Slide Number 45
  • Slide Number 46
  • Slide Number 47
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Aggregate Investment (g = 0)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Slide Number 62
  • Steady State
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Slide Number 67
  • Pedagogical Examples
  • Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)
  • Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)
  • Slide Number 71
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
    • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor

      DEGIT

      St Petersburg Russia

      8 September 2011

      Richard C Barnett

      Drexel University

      Secrecy vs Seclective Disclosure

      Outline of the Talk

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Conclusions

          Background

          Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

          The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

          Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Background

              Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

              The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

              Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)

                  Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

                  3 Important Features

                  Barriers

                  Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

                  Child Labor and Human Capital

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

                  Minimum Consumption Requirements

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

                  Related Studies

                  Overview

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  MCR g

                  The Model

                  Preferences

                  Ut ordm u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl Ut+1

                  where u(c ) = (c ndash g )1-s (1 - s) 0 pound b l pound 1

                  c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

                  c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  qt ordm bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3 wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) lb ucent(c1t+1 )

                  + wt + 2 hcent( 1- lt ) l b 2 ucent(c2t+2 )

                  Aggregate Investment

                  X = +

                  [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                  [rp + (b rp)1s]

                  wl (b rp)1s

                  [rp + (b rp)1s ]

                  Factors and Technologies

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Human Capital

                      Assumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

                      Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of

                      sequences for prices wt rt t sup3 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t sup3 1

                      and Xt Kt+1 lt t sup3 1 such that

                      Agents optimize

                      Factor payments

                      w = (1 - a) A Ka L-a

                      r = a A Ka -1 L1-a

                      All markets clear

                      Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 )

                      Capital xt + bt = p Kt +1

                      Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

                      Equilibrium

                      Approach

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          MCR = 0

                          MCR gt 0

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Steady State

                          • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                              • 1b l sup3 r p
                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                  • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                    • Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                      Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                      wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                      The Child Labor Decision

                                      Steady State

                                      • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                          • 1b l sup3 r p
                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                  -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                  Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                                  Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                                  wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                                  The Child Labor Decision

                                                  Steady State

                                                  • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                                      • 1b l sup3 r p
                                                      • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                            • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                              -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)

                                                                  Suppose drr sup3 dpp Then dK lt 0

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                  Reason In the steady-state 1bl = rp if bt gt 0

                                                                  Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      If the MCR g = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                      Reason

                                                                      When g = 0 investment dXX = dww

                                                                      But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKK

                                                                      From the clearing condition X = p K so

                                                                      dXX = dKK + dpp drr = dpp

                                                                      Aggregate Investment (g = 0)

                                                                      X = +

                                                                      [wh(1- l)][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Suppose the minimum consumption requirement g gt 0 and

                                                                      dp gt 0 Then drr gt dpp

                                                                      Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

                                                                      One consequence Effective return rp rises child labor increases

                                                                      dK + dpp = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

                                                                      Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in p is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

                                                                      Steady State

                                                                      + = K

                                                                      [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp) 1s]

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rp is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛

                                                                      primeprime

                                                                      +rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l Kprime )

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛ +

                                                                      rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      l

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l K )

                                                                      l l prime

                                                                      Pedagogical Examples

                                                                      Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

                                                                      Chart1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates
                                                                      1
                                                                      1036832741
                                                                      1073090064
                                                                      1108955549
                                                                      1144590727
                                                                      1180143169
                                                                      1215752801
                                                                      1251557262
                                                                      1287696923
                                                                      1324320074
                                                                      1361588833
                                                                      1399686467
                                                                      1438827114
                                                                      1479269523
                                                                      152133756
                                                                      1565452592
                                                                      1612187974
                                                                      1662367955
                                                                      1717266013
                                                                      1779062077
                                                                      1852152497

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates

                                                                      Sheet2

                                                                      Sheet3

                                                                      Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

                                                                      g gt 0

                                                                      g = 0

                                                                      Why the difference

                                                                      The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels

                                                                      Wages

                                                                      Return rπ

                                                                      Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of middle-age decisionmakers

                                                                      Conclusions

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriers developing countries can reduce child labor Without a reduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricter barriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lot of a country

                                                                          (

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                                                                          15

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                                                                          17

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                                                                          19

                                                                          0405060708091

                                                                          Relative Output

                                                                          Relative Participation Rates

                                                                          Fig 42b Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          = 0

                                                                          4

                                                                          41

                                                                          42

                                                                          43

                                                                          44

                                                                          45

                                                                          46

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          002

                                                                          004

                                                                          006

                                                                          008

                                                                          01

                                                                          012

                                                                          014

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                          Fig 42a Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          gt 0

                                                                          28

                                                                          29

                                                                          3

                                                                          31

                                                                          32

                                                                          33

                                                                          34

                                                                          35

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          005

                                                                          01

                                                                          015

                                                                          02

                                                                          025

                                                                          03

                                                                          035

                                                                          04

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                      y l ratio y ratio l
                                                                      1 5103837338 0196324827 1 1
                                                                      11 4846566344 02035560085 09495926345 1036832741
                                                                      12 4618839709 02106742213 09049739251 1073090064
                                                                      13 4414915419 02177155064 08650188333 1108955549
                                                                      14 423047326 02247115765 08288808949 1144590727
                                                                      15 4062184154 02316914036 07959078404 1180143169
                                                                      16 390742778 02386824584 07655862679 1215752801
                                                                      17 3764101166 0245711763 07375041398 1251557262
                                                                      18 3630484915 02528068757 07113245731 1287696923
                                                                      19 3505146855 02599969094 06867669603 1324320074
                                                                      2 3386870309 02673136922 06635929175 1361588833
                                                                      21 3274598498 02747932035 06415953882 1399686467
                                                                      22 3167388932 02824774842 06205897097 1438827114
                                                                      23 3064372843 02904173333 06004056634 1479269523
                                                                      24 296471464 02986763333 05808795311 152133756
                                                                      25 2867564887 03073372094 0561844882 1565452592
                                                                      26 2771995899 03165125252 05431199537 1612187974
                                                                      27 2676897761 03263641013 05244872796 1662367955
                                                                      28 2580781446 03371419529 0505655113 1717266013
                                                                      29 248133507 03492740545 04861704842 1779062077
                                                                      3 2374158982 03636235186 04651713652 1852152497
                                                                      31 2247263191 03826037427 04403085448 1948830153
                                                                      32
                                                                      33
                                                                      34
                                                                      35
                                                                      1
                                                                      09495926345
                                                                      09049739251
                                                                      08650188333
                                                                      08288808949
                                                                      07959078404
                                                                      07655862679
                                                                      07375041398
                                                                      07113245731
                                                                      06867669603
                                                                      06635929175
                                                                      06415953882
                                                                      06205897097
                                                                      06004056634
                                                                      05808795311
                                                                      0561844882
                                                                      05431199537
                                                                      05244872796
                                                                      0505655113
                                                                      04861704842
                                                                      04651713652
                                                                      Variable b l s g a p h
                                                                      Value 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84
Page 30: Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor · Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor DEGIT St. Petersburg, Russia. 8 September 2011. Richard

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge (rt π ) λ β uprime(c1t +1 )

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge (rt π ) λ β uprime(c1t +1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) ge wt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) λβ uprime(c1t+1 )+ wt + 2 hprime( 1- lt ) λ β 2 uprime(c2t+2 )

Aggregate Investment

X = +[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ ]

Factors and Technologies

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factorsa) Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )b) Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )c) Capital Kt+1 = xt π + bt π

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factorsa) Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )b) Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )c) Capital Kt+1 = xt π + bt π

Human CapitalAssumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of sequences for prices wt rt t ge 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t ge 1and Xt Kt+1 lt t ge 1 such that

a) Agents optimize

b) Factor payments w = (1 - α) A Kα L-α

r = α A Kα -1 L1-α

c) All markets clear Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 ) Capital xt + bt = π Kt +1 Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

Equilibrium

Approach

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequestsmdash MCR = 0

mdash MCR gt 0

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Policy-induced changes in factors

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)Suppose drr ge dππ Then dK lt 0

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reason In the steady-state 1βλ = rπ if bt gt 0

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

If the MCR γ = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reasonndash When γ = 0 investment dXX = dwwndash But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKKndash From the clearing condition X = π K so

dXX = dKK + dππ there4 drr = dππ

Aggregate Investment (γ = 0)

X = +[wh(1- l)][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Suppose the minimum consumption requirement γ gt 0 anddπ gt 0 Then drr gt dππ

Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

One consequence Effective return rπ rises child labor increases

dK + dππ = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in π is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ) 1σ]

( )( )

( )( ) =

Γ

+minusminusminus

minus

Γminus

+minus+minusminus

παα

πππαα r

llhlhrrr

llhllh

)1211

)1211

( )( ) 11

1

1minus+

equivΓσββ z

z

( ) ( )( )

Γminus

minus

+minus+

minus

minus

πππαα

α

γ

α

αα

rrr

llhA

r 1

)121

11

1

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rπ is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

Pedagogical Examples

Variable β λ σ γ α π hValue 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84

1

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

04 05 06 07 08 09 1

Relative Output

Rela

tive

Parti

cipa

tion

Rate

s

Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

γ gt 0 γ = 0

Why the difference

The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels Wages Return rπ Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of

middle-age decisionmakers

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Conclusions

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriersdeveloping countries can reduce child labor Without areduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricterbarriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lotof a country

  • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Background
  • Background
  • Slide Number 9
  • Slide Number 10
  • Slide Number 11
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • Slide Number 16
  • Slide Number 17
  • Slide Number 18
  • Slide Number 19
  • Slide Number 20
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • Slide Number 23
  • Preferences
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Aggregate Investment
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Slide Number 39
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Slide Number 43
  • Slide Number 44
  • Slide Number 45
  • Slide Number 46
  • Slide Number 47
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Aggregate Investment (g = 0)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Slide Number 62
  • Steady State
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Slide Number 67
  • Pedagogical Examples
  • Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)
  • Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)
  • Slide Number 71
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
    • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor

      DEGIT

      St Petersburg Russia

      8 September 2011

      Richard C Barnett

      Drexel University

      Secrecy vs Seclective Disclosure

      Outline of the Talk

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Conclusions

          Background

          Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

          The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

          Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Background

              Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

              The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

              Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)

                  Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

                  3 Important Features

                  Barriers

                  Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

                  Child Labor and Human Capital

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

                  Minimum Consumption Requirements

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

                  Related Studies

                  Overview

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  MCR g

                  The Model

                  Preferences

                  Ut ordm u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl Ut+1

                  where u(c ) = (c ndash g )1-s (1 - s) 0 pound b l pound 1

                  c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

                  c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  qt ordm bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3 wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) lb ucent(c1t+1 )

                  + wt + 2 hcent( 1- lt ) l b 2 ucent(c2t+2 )

                  Aggregate Investment

                  X = +

                  [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                  [rp + (b rp)1s]

                  wl (b rp)1s

                  [rp + (b rp)1s ]

                  Factors and Technologies

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Human Capital

                      Assumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

                      Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of

                      sequences for prices wt rt t sup3 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t sup3 1

                      and Xt Kt+1 lt t sup3 1 such that

                      Agents optimize

                      Factor payments

                      w = (1 - a) A Ka L-a

                      r = a A Ka -1 L1-a

                      All markets clear

                      Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 )

                      Capital xt + bt = p Kt +1

                      Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

                      Equilibrium

                      Approach

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          MCR = 0

                          MCR gt 0

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Steady State

                          • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                              • 1b l sup3 r p
                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                  • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                    • Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                      Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                      wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                      The Child Labor Decision

                                      Steady State

                                      • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                          • 1b l sup3 r p
                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                  -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                  Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                                  Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                                  wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                                  The Child Labor Decision

                                                  Steady State

                                                  • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                                      • 1b l sup3 r p
                                                      • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                            • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                              -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)

                                                                  Suppose drr sup3 dpp Then dK lt 0

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                  Reason In the steady-state 1bl = rp if bt gt 0

                                                                  Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      If the MCR g = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                      Reason

                                                                      When g = 0 investment dXX = dww

                                                                      But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKK

                                                                      From the clearing condition X = p K so

                                                                      dXX = dKK + dpp drr = dpp

                                                                      Aggregate Investment (g = 0)

                                                                      X = +

                                                                      [wh(1- l)][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Suppose the minimum consumption requirement g gt 0 and

                                                                      dp gt 0 Then drr gt dpp

                                                                      Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

                                                                      One consequence Effective return rp rises child labor increases

                                                                      dK + dpp = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

                                                                      Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in p is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

                                                                      Steady State

                                                                      + = K

                                                                      [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp) 1s]

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rp is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛

                                                                      primeprime

                                                                      +rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l Kprime )

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛ +

                                                                      rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      l

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l K )

                                                                      l l prime

                                                                      Pedagogical Examples

                                                                      Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

                                                                      Chart1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates
                                                                      1
                                                                      1036832741
                                                                      1073090064
                                                                      1108955549
                                                                      1144590727
                                                                      1180143169
                                                                      1215752801
                                                                      1251557262
                                                                      1287696923
                                                                      1324320074
                                                                      1361588833
                                                                      1399686467
                                                                      1438827114
                                                                      1479269523
                                                                      152133756
                                                                      1565452592
                                                                      1612187974
                                                                      1662367955
                                                                      1717266013
                                                                      1779062077
                                                                      1852152497

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates

                                                                      Sheet2

                                                                      Sheet3

                                                                      Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

                                                                      g gt 0

                                                                      g = 0

                                                                      Why the difference

                                                                      The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels

                                                                      Wages

                                                                      Return rπ

                                                                      Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of middle-age decisionmakers

                                                                      Conclusions

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriers developing countries can reduce child labor Without a reduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricter barriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lot of a country

                                                                          (

                                                                          )

                                                                          (

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                                                                          +

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                                                                          uacute

                                                                          ucirc

                                                                          ugrave

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                                                                          p

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                                                                          l

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                                                                          1

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                                                                          ordm

                                                                          G

                                                                          s

                                                                          b

                                                                          b

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                                                                          (

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                                                                          uacute

                                                                          ucirc

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                                                                          divide

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                                                                          p

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                                                                          a

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                                                                          a

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                                                                          a

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                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          l

                                                                          l

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                                                                          r

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                                                                          13

                                                                          14

                                                                          15

                                                                          16

                                                                          17

                                                                          18

                                                                          19

                                                                          0405060708091

                                                                          Relative Output

                                                                          Relative Participation Rates

                                                                          Fig 42b Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          = 0

                                                                          4

                                                                          41

                                                                          42

                                                                          43

                                                                          44

                                                                          45

                                                                          46

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          002

                                                                          004

                                                                          006

                                                                          008

                                                                          01

                                                                          012

                                                                          014

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                          Fig 42a Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          gt 0

                                                                          28

                                                                          29

                                                                          3

                                                                          31

                                                                          32

                                                                          33

                                                                          34

                                                                          35

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          005

                                                                          01

                                                                          015

                                                                          02

                                                                          025

                                                                          03

                                                                          035

                                                                          04

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                      y l ratio y ratio l
                                                                      1 5103837338 0196324827 1 1
                                                                      11 4846566344 02035560085 09495926345 1036832741
                                                                      12 4618839709 02106742213 09049739251 1073090064
                                                                      13 4414915419 02177155064 08650188333 1108955549
                                                                      14 423047326 02247115765 08288808949 1144590727
                                                                      15 4062184154 02316914036 07959078404 1180143169
                                                                      16 390742778 02386824584 07655862679 1215752801
                                                                      17 3764101166 0245711763 07375041398 1251557262
                                                                      18 3630484915 02528068757 07113245731 1287696923
                                                                      19 3505146855 02599969094 06867669603 1324320074
                                                                      2 3386870309 02673136922 06635929175 1361588833
                                                                      21 3274598498 02747932035 06415953882 1399686467
                                                                      22 3167388932 02824774842 06205897097 1438827114
                                                                      23 3064372843 02904173333 06004056634 1479269523
                                                                      24 296471464 02986763333 05808795311 152133756
                                                                      25 2867564887 03073372094 0561844882 1565452592
                                                                      26 2771995899 03165125252 05431199537 1612187974
                                                                      27 2676897761 03263641013 05244872796 1662367955
                                                                      28 2580781446 03371419529 0505655113 1717266013
                                                                      29 248133507 03492740545 04861704842 1779062077
                                                                      3 2374158982 03636235186 04651713652 1852152497
                                                                      31 2247263191 03826037427 04403085448 1948830153
                                                                      32
                                                                      33
                                                                      34
                                                                      35
                                                                      1
                                                                      09495926345
                                                                      09049739251
                                                                      08650188333
                                                                      08288808949
                                                                      07959078404
                                                                      07655862679
                                                                      07375041398
                                                                      07113245731
                                                                      06867669603
                                                                      06635929175
                                                                      06415953882
                                                                      06205897097
                                                                      06004056634
                                                                      05808795311
                                                                      0561844882
                                                                      05431199537
                                                                      05244872796
                                                                      0505655113
                                                                      04861704842
                                                                      04651713652
                                                                      Variable b l s g a p h
                                                                      Value 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84
Page 31: Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor · Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor DEGIT St. Petersburg, Russia. 8 September 2011. Richard

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge (rt π ) λ β uprime(c1t +1 )

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge (rt π ) λ β uprime(c1t +1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) ge wt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) λβ uprime(c1t+1 )+ wt + 2 hprime( 1- lt ) λ β 2 uprime(c2t+2 )

Aggregate Investment

X = +[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ ]

Factors and Technologies

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factorsa) Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )b) Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )c) Capital Kt+1 = xt π + bt π

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factorsa) Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )b) Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )c) Capital Kt+1 = xt π + bt π

Human CapitalAssumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of sequences for prices wt rt t ge 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t ge 1and Xt Kt+1 lt t ge 1 such that

a) Agents optimize

b) Factor payments w = (1 - α) A Kα L-α

r = α A Kα -1 L1-α

c) All markets clear Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 ) Capital xt + bt = π Kt +1 Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

Equilibrium

Approach

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequestsmdash MCR = 0

mdash MCR gt 0

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Policy-induced changes in factors

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)Suppose drr ge dππ Then dK lt 0

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reason In the steady-state 1βλ = rπ if bt gt 0

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

If the MCR γ = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reasonndash When γ = 0 investment dXX = dwwndash But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKKndash From the clearing condition X = π K so

dXX = dKK + dππ there4 drr = dππ

Aggregate Investment (γ = 0)

X = +[wh(1- l)][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Suppose the minimum consumption requirement γ gt 0 anddπ gt 0 Then drr gt dππ

Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

One consequence Effective return rπ rises child labor increases

dK + dππ = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in π is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ) 1σ]

( )( )

( )( ) =

Γ

+minusminusminus

minus

Γminus

+minus+minusminus

παα

πππαα r

llhlhrrr

llhllh

)1211

)1211

( )( ) 11

1

1minus+

equivΓσββ z

z

( ) ( )( )

Γminus

minus

+minus+

minus

minus

πππαα

α

γ

α

αα

rrr

llhA

r 1

)121

11

1

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rπ is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

Pedagogical Examples

Variable β λ σ γ α π hValue 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84

1

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

04 05 06 07 08 09 1

Relative Output

Rela

tive

Parti

cipa

tion

Rate

s

Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

γ gt 0 γ = 0

Why the difference

The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels Wages Return rπ Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of

middle-age decisionmakers

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Conclusions

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriersdeveloping countries can reduce child labor Without areduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricterbarriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lotof a country

  • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Background
  • Background
  • Slide Number 9
  • Slide Number 10
  • Slide Number 11
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • Slide Number 16
  • Slide Number 17
  • Slide Number 18
  • Slide Number 19
  • Slide Number 20
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • Slide Number 23
  • Preferences
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Aggregate Investment
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Slide Number 39
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Slide Number 43
  • Slide Number 44
  • Slide Number 45
  • Slide Number 46
  • Slide Number 47
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Aggregate Investment (g = 0)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Slide Number 62
  • Steady State
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Slide Number 67
  • Pedagogical Examples
  • Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)
  • Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)
  • Slide Number 71
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
    • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor

      DEGIT

      St Petersburg Russia

      8 September 2011

      Richard C Barnett

      Drexel University

      Secrecy vs Seclective Disclosure

      Outline of the Talk

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Conclusions

          Background

          Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

          The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

          Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Background

              Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

              The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

              Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)

                  Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

                  3 Important Features

                  Barriers

                  Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

                  Child Labor and Human Capital

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

                  Minimum Consumption Requirements

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

                  Related Studies

                  Overview

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  MCR g

                  The Model

                  Preferences

                  Ut ordm u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl Ut+1

                  where u(c ) = (c ndash g )1-s (1 - s) 0 pound b l pound 1

                  c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

                  c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  qt ordm bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3 wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) lb ucent(c1t+1 )

                  + wt + 2 hcent( 1- lt ) l b 2 ucent(c2t+2 )

                  Aggregate Investment

                  X = +

                  [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                  [rp + (b rp)1s]

                  wl (b rp)1s

                  [rp + (b rp)1s ]

                  Factors and Technologies

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Human Capital

                      Assumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

                      Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of

                      sequences for prices wt rt t sup3 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t sup3 1

                      and Xt Kt+1 lt t sup3 1 such that

                      Agents optimize

                      Factor payments

                      w = (1 - a) A Ka L-a

                      r = a A Ka -1 L1-a

                      All markets clear

                      Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 )

                      Capital xt + bt = p Kt +1

                      Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

                      Equilibrium

                      Approach

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          MCR = 0

                          MCR gt 0

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Steady State

                          • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                              • 1b l sup3 r p
                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                  • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                    • Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                      Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                      wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                      The Child Labor Decision

                                      Steady State

                                      • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                          • 1b l sup3 r p
                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                  -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                  Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                                  Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                                  wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                                  The Child Labor Decision

                                                  Steady State

                                                  • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                                      • 1b l sup3 r p
                                                      • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                            • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                              -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)

                                                                  Suppose drr sup3 dpp Then dK lt 0

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                  Reason In the steady-state 1bl = rp if bt gt 0

                                                                  Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      If the MCR g = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                      Reason

                                                                      When g = 0 investment dXX = dww

                                                                      But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKK

                                                                      From the clearing condition X = p K so

                                                                      dXX = dKK + dpp drr = dpp

                                                                      Aggregate Investment (g = 0)

                                                                      X = +

                                                                      [wh(1- l)][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Suppose the minimum consumption requirement g gt 0 and

                                                                      dp gt 0 Then drr gt dpp

                                                                      Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

                                                                      One consequence Effective return rp rises child labor increases

                                                                      dK + dpp = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

                                                                      Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in p is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

                                                                      Steady State

                                                                      + = K

                                                                      [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp) 1s]

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rp is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛

                                                                      primeprime

                                                                      +rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l Kprime )

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛ +

                                                                      rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      l

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l K )

                                                                      l l prime

                                                                      Pedagogical Examples

                                                                      Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

                                                                      Chart1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates
                                                                      1
                                                                      1036832741
                                                                      1073090064
                                                                      1108955549
                                                                      1144590727
                                                                      1180143169
                                                                      1215752801
                                                                      1251557262
                                                                      1287696923
                                                                      1324320074
                                                                      1361588833
                                                                      1399686467
                                                                      1438827114
                                                                      1479269523
                                                                      152133756
                                                                      1565452592
                                                                      1612187974
                                                                      1662367955
                                                                      1717266013
                                                                      1779062077
                                                                      1852152497

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates

                                                                      Sheet2

                                                                      Sheet3

                                                                      Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

                                                                      g gt 0

                                                                      g = 0

                                                                      Why the difference

                                                                      The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels

                                                                      Wages

                                                                      Return rπ

                                                                      Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of middle-age decisionmakers

                                                                      Conclusions

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriers developing countries can reduce child labor Without a reduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricter barriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lot of a country

                                                                          (

                                                                          )

                                                                          (

                                                                          )

                                                                          (

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                                                                          ouml

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                                                                          egrave

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                                                                          +

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                                                                          ucirc

                                                                          ugrave

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                                                                          euml

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                                                                          l

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                                                                          )

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                                                                          1

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                                                                          -

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                                                                          ordm

                                                                          G

                                                                          s

                                                                          b

                                                                          b

                                                                          z

                                                                          z

                                                                          (

                                                                          )

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                                                                          uacute

                                                                          ucirc

                                                                          ugrave

                                                                          ecirc

                                                                          euml

                                                                          eacute

                                                                          divide

                                                                          oslash

                                                                          ouml

                                                                          ccedil

                                                                          egrave

                                                                          aelig

                                                                          G

                                                                          -

                                                                          -

                                                                          +

                                                                          -

                                                                          +

                                                                          -

                                                                          -

                                                                          p

                                                                          p

                                                                          p

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          g

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          l

                                                                          l

                                                                          h

                                                                          A

                                                                          r

                                                                          1

                                                                          )

                                                                          1

                                                                          2

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          11

                                                                          12

                                                                          13

                                                                          14

                                                                          15

                                                                          16

                                                                          17

                                                                          18

                                                                          19

                                                                          0405060708091

                                                                          Relative Output

                                                                          Relative Participation Rates

                                                                          Fig 42b Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          = 0

                                                                          4

                                                                          41

                                                                          42

                                                                          43

                                                                          44

                                                                          45

                                                                          46

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          002

                                                                          004

                                                                          006

                                                                          008

                                                                          01

                                                                          012

                                                                          014

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                          Fig 42a Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          gt 0

                                                                          28

                                                                          29

                                                                          3

                                                                          31

                                                                          32

                                                                          33

                                                                          34

                                                                          35

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          005

                                                                          01

                                                                          015

                                                                          02

                                                                          025

                                                                          03

                                                                          035

                                                                          04

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                      y l ratio y ratio l
                                                                      1 5103837338 0196324827 1 1
                                                                      11 4846566344 02035560085 09495926345 1036832741
                                                                      12 4618839709 02106742213 09049739251 1073090064
                                                                      13 4414915419 02177155064 08650188333 1108955549
                                                                      14 423047326 02247115765 08288808949 1144590727
                                                                      15 4062184154 02316914036 07959078404 1180143169
                                                                      16 390742778 02386824584 07655862679 1215752801
                                                                      17 3764101166 0245711763 07375041398 1251557262
                                                                      18 3630484915 02528068757 07113245731 1287696923
                                                                      19 3505146855 02599969094 06867669603 1324320074
                                                                      2 3386870309 02673136922 06635929175 1361588833
                                                                      21 3274598498 02747932035 06415953882 1399686467
                                                                      22 3167388932 02824774842 06205897097 1438827114
                                                                      23 3064372843 02904173333 06004056634 1479269523
                                                                      24 296471464 02986763333 05808795311 152133756
                                                                      25 2867564887 03073372094 0561844882 1565452592
                                                                      26 2771995899 03165125252 05431199537 1612187974
                                                                      27 2676897761 03263641013 05244872796 1662367955
                                                                      28 2580781446 03371419529 0505655113 1717266013
                                                                      29 248133507 03492740545 04861704842 1779062077
                                                                      3 2374158982 03636235186 04651713652 1852152497
                                                                      31 2247263191 03826037427 04403085448 1948830153
                                                                      32
                                                                      33
                                                                      34
                                                                      35
                                                                      1
                                                                      09495926345
                                                                      09049739251
                                                                      08650188333
                                                                      08288808949
                                                                      07959078404
                                                                      07655862679
                                                                      07375041398
                                                                      07113245731
                                                                      06867669603
                                                                      06635929175
                                                                      06415953882
                                                                      06205897097
                                                                      06004056634
                                                                      05808795311
                                                                      0561844882
                                                                      05431199537
                                                                      05244872796
                                                                      0505655113
                                                                      04861704842
                                                                      04651713652
                                                                      Variable b l s g a p h
                                                                      Value 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84
Page 32: Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor · Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor DEGIT St. Petersburg, Russia. 8 September 2011. Richard

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge (rt π ) λ β uprime(c1t +1 )

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge (rt π ) λ β uprime(c1t +1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) ge wt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) λβ uprime(c1t+1 )+ wt + 2 hprime( 1- lt ) λ β 2 uprime(c2t+2 )

Aggregate Investment

X = +[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ ]

Factors and Technologies

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factorsa) Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )b) Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )c) Capital Kt+1 = xt π + bt π

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factorsa) Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )b) Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )c) Capital Kt+1 = xt π + bt π

Human CapitalAssumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of sequences for prices wt rt t ge 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t ge 1and Xt Kt+1 lt t ge 1 such that

a) Agents optimize

b) Factor payments w = (1 - α) A Kα L-α

r = α A Kα -1 L1-α

c) All markets clear Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 ) Capital xt + bt = π Kt +1 Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

Equilibrium

Approach

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequestsmdash MCR = 0

mdash MCR gt 0

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Policy-induced changes in factors

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)Suppose drr ge dππ Then dK lt 0

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reason In the steady-state 1βλ = rπ if bt gt 0

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

If the MCR γ = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reasonndash When γ = 0 investment dXX = dwwndash But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKKndash From the clearing condition X = π K so

dXX = dKK + dππ there4 drr = dππ

Aggregate Investment (γ = 0)

X = +[wh(1- l)][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Suppose the minimum consumption requirement γ gt 0 anddπ gt 0 Then drr gt dππ

Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

One consequence Effective return rπ rises child labor increases

dK + dππ = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in π is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ) 1σ]

( )( )

( )( ) =

Γ

+minusminusminus

minus

Γminus

+minus+minusminus

παα

πππαα r

llhlhrrr

llhllh

)1211

)1211

( )( ) 11

1

1minus+

equivΓσββ z

z

( ) ( )( )

Γminus

minus

+minus+

minus

minus

πππαα

α

γ

α

αα

rrr

llhA

r 1

)121

11

1

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rπ is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

Pedagogical Examples

Variable β λ σ γ α π hValue 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84

1

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

04 05 06 07 08 09 1

Relative Output

Rela

tive

Parti

cipa

tion

Rate

s

Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

γ gt 0 γ = 0

Why the difference

The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels Wages Return rπ Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of

middle-age decisionmakers

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Conclusions

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriersdeveloping countries can reduce child labor Without areduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricterbarriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lotof a country

  • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Background
  • Background
  • Slide Number 9
  • Slide Number 10
  • Slide Number 11
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • Slide Number 16
  • Slide Number 17
  • Slide Number 18
  • Slide Number 19
  • Slide Number 20
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • Slide Number 23
  • Preferences
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Aggregate Investment
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Slide Number 39
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Slide Number 43
  • Slide Number 44
  • Slide Number 45
  • Slide Number 46
  • Slide Number 47
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Aggregate Investment (g = 0)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Slide Number 62
  • Steady State
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Slide Number 67
  • Pedagogical Examples
  • Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)
  • Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)
  • Slide Number 71
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
    • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor

      DEGIT

      St Petersburg Russia

      8 September 2011

      Richard C Barnett

      Drexel University

      Secrecy vs Seclective Disclosure

      Outline of the Talk

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Conclusions

          Background

          Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

          The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

          Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Background

              Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

              The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

              Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)

                  Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

                  3 Important Features

                  Barriers

                  Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

                  Child Labor and Human Capital

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

                  Minimum Consumption Requirements

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

                  Related Studies

                  Overview

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  MCR g

                  The Model

                  Preferences

                  Ut ordm u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl Ut+1

                  where u(c ) = (c ndash g )1-s (1 - s) 0 pound b l pound 1

                  c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

                  c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  qt ordm bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3 wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) lb ucent(c1t+1 )

                  + wt + 2 hcent( 1- lt ) l b 2 ucent(c2t+2 )

                  Aggregate Investment

                  X = +

                  [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                  [rp + (b rp)1s]

                  wl (b rp)1s

                  [rp + (b rp)1s ]

                  Factors and Technologies

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Human Capital

                      Assumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

                      Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of

                      sequences for prices wt rt t sup3 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t sup3 1

                      and Xt Kt+1 lt t sup3 1 such that

                      Agents optimize

                      Factor payments

                      w = (1 - a) A Ka L-a

                      r = a A Ka -1 L1-a

                      All markets clear

                      Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 )

                      Capital xt + bt = p Kt +1

                      Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

                      Equilibrium

                      Approach

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          MCR = 0

                          MCR gt 0

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Steady State

                          • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                              • 1b l sup3 r p
                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                  • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                    • Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                      Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                      wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                      The Child Labor Decision

                                      Steady State

                                      • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                          • 1b l sup3 r p
                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                  -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                  Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                                  Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                                  wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                                  The Child Labor Decision

                                                  Steady State

                                                  • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                                      • 1b l sup3 r p
                                                      • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                            • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                              -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)

                                                                  Suppose drr sup3 dpp Then dK lt 0

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                  Reason In the steady-state 1bl = rp if bt gt 0

                                                                  Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      If the MCR g = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                      Reason

                                                                      When g = 0 investment dXX = dww

                                                                      But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKK

                                                                      From the clearing condition X = p K so

                                                                      dXX = dKK + dpp drr = dpp

                                                                      Aggregate Investment (g = 0)

                                                                      X = +

                                                                      [wh(1- l)][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Suppose the minimum consumption requirement g gt 0 and

                                                                      dp gt 0 Then drr gt dpp

                                                                      Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

                                                                      One consequence Effective return rp rises child labor increases

                                                                      dK + dpp = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

                                                                      Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in p is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

                                                                      Steady State

                                                                      + = K

                                                                      [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp) 1s]

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rp is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛

                                                                      primeprime

                                                                      +rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l Kprime )

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛ +

                                                                      rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      l

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l K )

                                                                      l l prime

                                                                      Pedagogical Examples

                                                                      Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

                                                                      Chart1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates
                                                                      1
                                                                      1036832741
                                                                      1073090064
                                                                      1108955549
                                                                      1144590727
                                                                      1180143169
                                                                      1215752801
                                                                      1251557262
                                                                      1287696923
                                                                      1324320074
                                                                      1361588833
                                                                      1399686467
                                                                      1438827114
                                                                      1479269523
                                                                      152133756
                                                                      1565452592
                                                                      1612187974
                                                                      1662367955
                                                                      1717266013
                                                                      1779062077
                                                                      1852152497

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates

                                                                      Sheet2

                                                                      Sheet3

                                                                      Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

                                                                      g gt 0

                                                                      g = 0

                                                                      Why the difference

                                                                      The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels

                                                                      Wages

                                                                      Return rπ

                                                                      Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of middle-age decisionmakers

                                                                      Conclusions

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriers developing countries can reduce child labor Without a reduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricter barriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lot of a country

                                                                          (

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                                                                          ccedil

                                                                          egrave

                                                                          aelig

                                                                          G

                                                                          -

                                                                          -

                                                                          +

                                                                          -

                                                                          +

                                                                          -

                                                                          -

                                                                          p

                                                                          p

                                                                          p

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          g

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          l

                                                                          l

                                                                          h

                                                                          A

                                                                          r

                                                                          1

                                                                          )

                                                                          1

                                                                          2

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          11

                                                                          12

                                                                          13

                                                                          14

                                                                          15

                                                                          16

                                                                          17

                                                                          18

                                                                          19

                                                                          0405060708091

                                                                          Relative Output

                                                                          Relative Participation Rates

                                                                          Fig 42b Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          = 0

                                                                          4

                                                                          41

                                                                          42

                                                                          43

                                                                          44

                                                                          45

                                                                          46

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          002

                                                                          004

                                                                          006

                                                                          008

                                                                          01

                                                                          012

                                                                          014

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                          Fig 42a Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          gt 0

                                                                          28

                                                                          29

                                                                          3

                                                                          31

                                                                          32

                                                                          33

                                                                          34

                                                                          35

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          005

                                                                          01

                                                                          015

                                                                          02

                                                                          025

                                                                          03

                                                                          035

                                                                          04

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                      y l ratio y ratio l
                                                                      1 5103837338 0196324827 1 1
                                                                      11 4846566344 02035560085 09495926345 1036832741
                                                                      12 4618839709 02106742213 09049739251 1073090064
                                                                      13 4414915419 02177155064 08650188333 1108955549
                                                                      14 423047326 02247115765 08288808949 1144590727
                                                                      15 4062184154 02316914036 07959078404 1180143169
                                                                      16 390742778 02386824584 07655862679 1215752801
                                                                      17 3764101166 0245711763 07375041398 1251557262
                                                                      18 3630484915 02528068757 07113245731 1287696923
                                                                      19 3505146855 02599969094 06867669603 1324320074
                                                                      2 3386870309 02673136922 06635929175 1361588833
                                                                      21 3274598498 02747932035 06415953882 1399686467
                                                                      22 3167388932 02824774842 06205897097 1438827114
                                                                      23 3064372843 02904173333 06004056634 1479269523
                                                                      24 296471464 02986763333 05808795311 152133756
                                                                      25 2867564887 03073372094 0561844882 1565452592
                                                                      26 2771995899 03165125252 05431199537 1612187974
                                                                      27 2676897761 03263641013 05244872796 1662367955
                                                                      28 2580781446 03371419529 0505655113 1717266013
                                                                      29 248133507 03492740545 04861704842 1779062077
                                                                      3 2374158982 03636235186 04651713652 1852152497
                                                                      31 2247263191 03826037427 04403085448 1948830153
                                                                      32
                                                                      33
                                                                      34
                                                                      35
                                                                      1
                                                                      09495926345
                                                                      09049739251
                                                                      08650188333
                                                                      08288808949
                                                                      07959078404
                                                                      07655862679
                                                                      07375041398
                                                                      07113245731
                                                                      06867669603
                                                                      06635929175
                                                                      06415953882
                                                                      06205897097
                                                                      06004056634
                                                                      05808795311
                                                                      0561844882
                                                                      05431199537
                                                                      05244872796
                                                                      0505655113
                                                                      04861704842
                                                                      04651713652
                                                                      Variable b l s g a p h
                                                                      Value 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84
Page 33: Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor · Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor DEGIT St. Petersburg, Russia. 8 September 2011. Richard

Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

Savings uprime( c1t ) = (rt π ) β uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge (rt π ) λ β uprime(c1t +1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) ge wt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) λβ uprime(c1t+1 )+ wt + 2 hprime( 1- lt ) λ β 2 uprime(c2t+2 )

Aggregate Investment

X = +[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ ]

Factors and Technologies

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factorsa) Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )b) Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )c) Capital Kt+1 = xt π + bt π

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factorsa) Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )b) Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )c) Capital Kt+1 = xt π + bt π

Human CapitalAssumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of sequences for prices wt rt t ge 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t ge 1and Xt Kt+1 lt t ge 1 such that

a) Agents optimize

b) Factor payments w = (1 - α) A Kα L-α

r = α A Kα -1 L1-α

c) All markets clear Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 ) Capital xt + bt = π Kt +1 Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

Equilibrium

Approach

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequestsmdash MCR = 0

mdash MCR gt 0

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Policy-induced changes in factors

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)Suppose drr ge dππ Then dK lt 0

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reason In the steady-state 1βλ = rπ if bt gt 0

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

If the MCR γ = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reasonndash When γ = 0 investment dXX = dwwndash But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKKndash From the clearing condition X = π K so

dXX = dKK + dππ there4 drr = dππ

Aggregate Investment (γ = 0)

X = +[wh(1- l)][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Suppose the minimum consumption requirement γ gt 0 anddπ gt 0 Then drr gt dππ

Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

One consequence Effective return rπ rises child labor increases

dK + dππ = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in π is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ) 1σ]

( )( )

( )( ) =

Γ

+minusminusminus

minus

Γminus

+minus+minusminus

παα

πππαα r

llhlhrrr

llhllh

)1211

)1211

( )( ) 11

1

1minus+

equivΓσββ z

z

( ) ( )( )

Γminus

minus

+minus+

minus

minus

πππαα

α

γ

α

αα

rrr

llhA

r 1

)121

11

1

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rπ is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

Pedagogical Examples

Variable β λ σ γ α π hValue 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84

1

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

04 05 06 07 08 09 1

Relative Output

Rela

tive

Parti

cipa

tion

Rate

s

Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

γ gt 0 γ = 0

Why the difference

The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels Wages Return rπ Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of

middle-age decisionmakers

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Conclusions

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriersdeveloping countries can reduce child labor Without areduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricterbarriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lotof a country

  • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Background
  • Background
  • Slide Number 9
  • Slide Number 10
  • Slide Number 11
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • Slide Number 16
  • Slide Number 17
  • Slide Number 18
  • Slide Number 19
  • Slide Number 20
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • Slide Number 23
  • Preferences
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Aggregate Investment
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Slide Number 39
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Slide Number 43
  • Slide Number 44
  • Slide Number 45
  • Slide Number 46
  • Slide Number 47
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Aggregate Investment (g = 0)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Slide Number 62
  • Steady State
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Slide Number 67
  • Pedagogical Examples
  • Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)
  • Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)
  • Slide Number 71
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
    • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor

      DEGIT

      St Petersburg Russia

      8 September 2011

      Richard C Barnett

      Drexel University

      Secrecy vs Seclective Disclosure

      Outline of the Talk

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Conclusions

          Background

          Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

          The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

          Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Background

              Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

              The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

              Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)

                  Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

                  3 Important Features

                  Barriers

                  Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

                  Child Labor and Human Capital

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

                  Minimum Consumption Requirements

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

                  Related Studies

                  Overview

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  MCR g

                  The Model

                  Preferences

                  Ut ordm u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl Ut+1

                  where u(c ) = (c ndash g )1-s (1 - s) 0 pound b l pound 1

                  c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

                  c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  qt ordm bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3 wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) lb ucent(c1t+1 )

                  + wt + 2 hcent( 1- lt ) l b 2 ucent(c2t+2 )

                  Aggregate Investment

                  X = +

                  [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                  [rp + (b rp)1s]

                  wl (b rp)1s

                  [rp + (b rp)1s ]

                  Factors and Technologies

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Human Capital

                      Assumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

                      Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of

                      sequences for prices wt rt t sup3 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t sup3 1

                      and Xt Kt+1 lt t sup3 1 such that

                      Agents optimize

                      Factor payments

                      w = (1 - a) A Ka L-a

                      r = a A Ka -1 L1-a

                      All markets clear

                      Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 )

                      Capital xt + bt = p Kt +1

                      Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

                      Equilibrium

                      Approach

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          MCR = 0

                          MCR gt 0

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Steady State

                          • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                              • 1b l sup3 r p
                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                  • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                    • Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                      Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                      wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                      The Child Labor Decision

                                      Steady State

                                      • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                          • 1b l sup3 r p
                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                  -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                  Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                                  Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                                  wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                                  The Child Labor Decision

                                                  Steady State

                                                  • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                                      • 1b l sup3 r p
                                                      • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                            • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                              -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)

                                                                  Suppose drr sup3 dpp Then dK lt 0

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                  Reason In the steady-state 1bl = rp if bt gt 0

                                                                  Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      If the MCR g = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                      Reason

                                                                      When g = 0 investment dXX = dww

                                                                      But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKK

                                                                      From the clearing condition X = p K so

                                                                      dXX = dKK + dpp drr = dpp

                                                                      Aggregate Investment (g = 0)

                                                                      X = +

                                                                      [wh(1- l)][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Suppose the minimum consumption requirement g gt 0 and

                                                                      dp gt 0 Then drr gt dpp

                                                                      Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

                                                                      One consequence Effective return rp rises child labor increases

                                                                      dK + dpp = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

                                                                      Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in p is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

                                                                      Steady State

                                                                      + = K

                                                                      [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp) 1s]

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rp is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛

                                                                      primeprime

                                                                      +rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l Kprime )

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛ +

                                                                      rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      l

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l K )

                                                                      l l prime

                                                                      Pedagogical Examples

                                                                      Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

                                                                      Chart1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates
                                                                      1
                                                                      1036832741
                                                                      1073090064
                                                                      1108955549
                                                                      1144590727
                                                                      1180143169
                                                                      1215752801
                                                                      1251557262
                                                                      1287696923
                                                                      1324320074
                                                                      1361588833
                                                                      1399686467
                                                                      1438827114
                                                                      1479269523
                                                                      152133756
                                                                      1565452592
                                                                      1612187974
                                                                      1662367955
                                                                      1717266013
                                                                      1779062077
                                                                      1852152497

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates

                                                                      Sheet2

                                                                      Sheet3

                                                                      Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

                                                                      g gt 0

                                                                      g = 0

                                                                      Why the difference

                                                                      The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels

                                                                      Wages

                                                                      Return rπ

                                                                      Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of middle-age decisionmakers

                                                                      Conclusions

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriers developing countries can reduce child labor Without a reduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricter barriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lot of a country

                                                                          (

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                                                                          ucirc

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                                                                          divide

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                                                                          a

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                                                                          a

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          l

                                                                          l

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                                                                          r

                                                                          1

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                                                                          1

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                                                                          11

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                                                                          14

                                                                          15

                                                                          16

                                                                          17

                                                                          18

                                                                          19

                                                                          0405060708091

                                                                          Relative Output

                                                                          Relative Participation Rates

                                                                          Fig 42b Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          = 0

                                                                          4

                                                                          41

                                                                          42

                                                                          43

                                                                          44

                                                                          45

                                                                          46

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          002

                                                                          004

                                                                          006

                                                                          008

                                                                          01

                                                                          012

                                                                          014

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                          Fig 42a Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          gt 0

                                                                          28

                                                                          29

                                                                          3

                                                                          31

                                                                          32

                                                                          33

                                                                          34

                                                                          35

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          005

                                                                          01

                                                                          015

                                                                          02

                                                                          025

                                                                          03

                                                                          035

                                                                          04

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                      y l ratio y ratio l
                                                                      1 5103837338 0196324827 1 1
                                                                      11 4846566344 02035560085 09495926345 1036832741
                                                                      12 4618839709 02106742213 09049739251 1073090064
                                                                      13 4414915419 02177155064 08650188333 1108955549
                                                                      14 423047326 02247115765 08288808949 1144590727
                                                                      15 4062184154 02316914036 07959078404 1180143169
                                                                      16 390742778 02386824584 07655862679 1215752801
                                                                      17 3764101166 0245711763 07375041398 1251557262
                                                                      18 3630484915 02528068757 07113245731 1287696923
                                                                      19 3505146855 02599969094 06867669603 1324320074
                                                                      2 3386870309 02673136922 06635929175 1361588833
                                                                      21 3274598498 02747932035 06415953882 1399686467
                                                                      22 3167388932 02824774842 06205897097 1438827114
                                                                      23 3064372843 02904173333 06004056634 1479269523
                                                                      24 296471464 02986763333 05808795311 152133756
                                                                      25 2867564887 03073372094 0561844882 1565452592
                                                                      26 2771995899 03165125252 05431199537 1612187974
                                                                      27 2676897761 03263641013 05244872796 1662367955
                                                                      28 2580781446 03371419529 0505655113 1717266013
                                                                      29 248133507 03492740545 04861704842 1779062077
                                                                      3 2374158982 03636235186 04651713652 1852152497
                                                                      31 2247263191 03826037427 04403085448 1948830153
                                                                      32
                                                                      33
                                                                      34
                                                                      35
                                                                      1
                                                                      09495926345
                                                                      09049739251
                                                                      08650188333
                                                                      08288808949
                                                                      07959078404
                                                                      07655862679
                                                                      07375041398
                                                                      07113245731
                                                                      06867669603
                                                                      06635929175
                                                                      06415953882
                                                                      06205897097
                                                                      06004056634
                                                                      05808795311
                                                                      0561844882
                                                                      05431199537
                                                                      05244872796
                                                                      0505655113
                                                                      04861704842
                                                                      04651713652
                                                                      Variable b l s g a p h
                                                                      Value 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84
Page 34: Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor · Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor DEGIT St. Petersburg, Russia. 8 September 2011. Richard

Aggregate Investment

X = +[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ ]

Factors and Technologies

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factorsa) Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )b) Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )c) Capital Kt+1 = xt π + bt π

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factorsa) Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )b) Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )c) Capital Kt+1 = xt π + bt π

Human CapitalAssumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of sequences for prices wt rt t ge 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t ge 1and Xt Kt+1 lt t ge 1 such that

a) Agents optimize

b) Factor payments w = (1 - α) A Kα L-α

r = α A Kα -1 L1-α

c) All markets clear Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 ) Capital xt + bt = π Kt +1 Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

Equilibrium

Approach

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequestsmdash MCR = 0

mdash MCR gt 0

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Policy-induced changes in factors

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)Suppose drr ge dππ Then dK lt 0

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reason In the steady-state 1βλ = rπ if bt gt 0

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

If the MCR γ = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reasonndash When γ = 0 investment dXX = dwwndash But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKKndash From the clearing condition X = π K so

dXX = dKK + dππ there4 drr = dππ

Aggregate Investment (γ = 0)

X = +[wh(1- l)][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Suppose the minimum consumption requirement γ gt 0 anddπ gt 0 Then drr gt dππ

Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

One consequence Effective return rπ rises child labor increases

dK + dππ = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in π is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ) 1σ]

( )( )

( )( ) =

Γ

+minusminusminus

minus

Γminus

+minus+minusminus

παα

πππαα r

llhlhrrr

llhllh

)1211

)1211

( )( ) 11

1

1minus+

equivΓσββ z

z

( ) ( )( )

Γminus

minus

+minus+

minus

minus

πππαα

α

γ

α

αα

rrr

llhA

r 1

)121

11

1

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rπ is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

Pedagogical Examples

Variable β λ σ γ α π hValue 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84

1

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

04 05 06 07 08 09 1

Relative Output

Rela

tive

Parti

cipa

tion

Rate

s

Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

γ gt 0 γ = 0

Why the difference

The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels Wages Return rπ Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of

middle-age decisionmakers

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Conclusions

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriersdeveloping countries can reduce child labor Without areduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricterbarriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lotof a country

  • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Background
  • Background
  • Slide Number 9
  • Slide Number 10
  • Slide Number 11
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • Slide Number 16
  • Slide Number 17
  • Slide Number 18
  • Slide Number 19
  • Slide Number 20
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • Slide Number 23
  • Preferences
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Aggregate Investment
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Slide Number 39
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Slide Number 43
  • Slide Number 44
  • Slide Number 45
  • Slide Number 46
  • Slide Number 47
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Aggregate Investment (g = 0)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Slide Number 62
  • Steady State
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Slide Number 67
  • Pedagogical Examples
  • Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)
  • Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)
  • Slide Number 71
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
    • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor

      DEGIT

      St Petersburg Russia

      8 September 2011

      Richard C Barnett

      Drexel University

      Secrecy vs Seclective Disclosure

      Outline of the Talk

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Conclusions

          Background

          Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

          The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

          Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Background

              Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

              The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

              Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)

                  Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

                  3 Important Features

                  Barriers

                  Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

                  Child Labor and Human Capital

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

                  Minimum Consumption Requirements

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

                  Related Studies

                  Overview

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  MCR g

                  The Model

                  Preferences

                  Ut ordm u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl Ut+1

                  where u(c ) = (c ndash g )1-s (1 - s) 0 pound b l pound 1

                  c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

                  c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  qt ordm bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3 wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) lb ucent(c1t+1 )

                  + wt + 2 hcent( 1- lt ) l b 2 ucent(c2t+2 )

                  Aggregate Investment

                  X = +

                  [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                  [rp + (b rp)1s]

                  wl (b rp)1s

                  [rp + (b rp)1s ]

                  Factors and Technologies

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Human Capital

                      Assumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

                      Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of

                      sequences for prices wt rt t sup3 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t sup3 1

                      and Xt Kt+1 lt t sup3 1 such that

                      Agents optimize

                      Factor payments

                      w = (1 - a) A Ka L-a

                      r = a A Ka -1 L1-a

                      All markets clear

                      Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 )

                      Capital xt + bt = p Kt +1

                      Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

                      Equilibrium

                      Approach

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          MCR = 0

                          MCR gt 0

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Steady State

                          • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                              • 1b l sup3 r p
                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                  • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                    • Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                      Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                      wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                      The Child Labor Decision

                                      Steady State

                                      • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                          • 1b l sup3 r p
                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                  -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                  Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                                  Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                                  wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                                  The Child Labor Decision

                                                  Steady State

                                                  • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                                      • 1b l sup3 r p
                                                      • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                            • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                              -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)

                                                                  Suppose drr sup3 dpp Then dK lt 0

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                  Reason In the steady-state 1bl = rp if bt gt 0

                                                                  Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      If the MCR g = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                      Reason

                                                                      When g = 0 investment dXX = dww

                                                                      But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKK

                                                                      From the clearing condition X = p K so

                                                                      dXX = dKK + dpp drr = dpp

                                                                      Aggregate Investment (g = 0)

                                                                      X = +

                                                                      [wh(1- l)][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Suppose the minimum consumption requirement g gt 0 and

                                                                      dp gt 0 Then drr gt dpp

                                                                      Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

                                                                      One consequence Effective return rp rises child labor increases

                                                                      dK + dpp = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

                                                                      Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in p is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

                                                                      Steady State

                                                                      + = K

                                                                      [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp) 1s]

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rp is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛

                                                                      primeprime

                                                                      +rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l Kprime )

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛ +

                                                                      rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      l

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l K )

                                                                      l l prime

                                                                      Pedagogical Examples

                                                                      Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

                                                                      Chart1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates
                                                                      1
                                                                      1036832741
                                                                      1073090064
                                                                      1108955549
                                                                      1144590727
                                                                      1180143169
                                                                      1215752801
                                                                      1251557262
                                                                      1287696923
                                                                      1324320074
                                                                      1361588833
                                                                      1399686467
                                                                      1438827114
                                                                      1479269523
                                                                      152133756
                                                                      1565452592
                                                                      1612187974
                                                                      1662367955
                                                                      1717266013
                                                                      1779062077
                                                                      1852152497

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates

                                                                      Sheet2

                                                                      Sheet3

                                                                      Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

                                                                      g gt 0

                                                                      g = 0

                                                                      Why the difference

                                                                      The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels

                                                                      Wages

                                                                      Return rπ

                                                                      Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of middle-age decisionmakers

                                                                      Conclusions

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriers developing countries can reduce child labor Without a reduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricter barriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lot of a country

                                                                          (

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                                                                          r

                                                                          l

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                                                                          h

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                                                                          r

                                                                          1

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                                                                          1

                                                                          2

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                                                                          12

                                                                          13

                                                                          14

                                                                          15

                                                                          16

                                                                          17

                                                                          18

                                                                          19

                                                                          0405060708091

                                                                          Relative Output

                                                                          Relative Participation Rates

                                                                          Fig 42b Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          = 0

                                                                          4

                                                                          41

                                                                          42

                                                                          43

                                                                          44

                                                                          45

                                                                          46

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          002

                                                                          004

                                                                          006

                                                                          008

                                                                          01

                                                                          012

                                                                          014

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                          Fig 42a Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          gt 0

                                                                          28

                                                                          29

                                                                          3

                                                                          31

                                                                          32

                                                                          33

                                                                          34

                                                                          35

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          005

                                                                          01

                                                                          015

                                                                          02

                                                                          025

                                                                          03

                                                                          035

                                                                          04

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                      y l ratio y ratio l
                                                                      1 5103837338 0196324827 1 1
                                                                      11 4846566344 02035560085 09495926345 1036832741
                                                                      12 4618839709 02106742213 09049739251 1073090064
                                                                      13 4414915419 02177155064 08650188333 1108955549
                                                                      14 423047326 02247115765 08288808949 1144590727
                                                                      15 4062184154 02316914036 07959078404 1180143169
                                                                      16 390742778 02386824584 07655862679 1215752801
                                                                      17 3764101166 0245711763 07375041398 1251557262
                                                                      18 3630484915 02528068757 07113245731 1287696923
                                                                      19 3505146855 02599969094 06867669603 1324320074
                                                                      2 3386870309 02673136922 06635929175 1361588833
                                                                      21 3274598498 02747932035 06415953882 1399686467
                                                                      22 3167388932 02824774842 06205897097 1438827114
                                                                      23 3064372843 02904173333 06004056634 1479269523
                                                                      24 296471464 02986763333 05808795311 152133756
                                                                      25 2867564887 03073372094 0561844882 1565452592
                                                                      26 2771995899 03165125252 05431199537 1612187974
                                                                      27 2676897761 03263641013 05244872796 1662367955
                                                                      28 2580781446 03371419529 0505655113 1717266013
                                                                      29 248133507 03492740545 04861704842 1779062077
                                                                      3 2374158982 03636235186 04651713652 1852152497
                                                                      31 2247263191 03826037427 04403085448 1948830153
                                                                      32
                                                                      33
                                                                      34
                                                                      35
                                                                      1
                                                                      09495926345
                                                                      09049739251
                                                                      08650188333
                                                                      08288808949
                                                                      07959078404
                                                                      07655862679
                                                                      07375041398
                                                                      07113245731
                                                                      06867669603
                                                                      06635929175
                                                                      06415953882
                                                                      06205897097
                                                                      06004056634
                                                                      05808795311
                                                                      0561844882
                                                                      05431199537
                                                                      05244872796
                                                                      0505655113
                                                                      04861704842
                                                                      04651713652
                                                                      Variable b l s g a p h
                                                                      Value 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84
Page 35: Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor · Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor DEGIT St. Petersburg, Russia. 8 September 2011. Richard

Factors and Technologies

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factorsa) Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )b) Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )c) Capital Kt+1 = xt π + bt π

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factorsa) Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )b) Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )c) Capital Kt+1 = xt π + bt π

Human CapitalAssumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of sequences for prices wt rt t ge 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t ge 1and Xt Kt+1 lt t ge 1 such that

a) Agents optimize

b) Factor payments w = (1 - α) A Kα L-α

r = α A Kα -1 L1-α

c) All markets clear Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 ) Capital xt + bt = π Kt +1 Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

Equilibrium

Approach

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequestsmdash MCR = 0

mdash MCR gt 0

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Policy-induced changes in factors

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)Suppose drr ge dππ Then dK lt 0

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reason In the steady-state 1βλ = rπ if bt gt 0

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

If the MCR γ = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reasonndash When γ = 0 investment dXX = dwwndash But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKKndash From the clearing condition X = π K so

dXX = dKK + dππ there4 drr = dππ

Aggregate Investment (γ = 0)

X = +[wh(1- l)][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Suppose the minimum consumption requirement γ gt 0 anddπ gt 0 Then drr gt dππ

Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

One consequence Effective return rπ rises child labor increases

dK + dππ = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in π is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ) 1σ]

( )( )

( )( ) =

Γ

+minusminusminus

minus

Γminus

+minus+minusminus

παα

πππαα r

llhlhrrr

llhllh

)1211

)1211

( )( ) 11

1

1minus+

equivΓσββ z

z

( ) ( )( )

Γminus

minus

+minus+

minus

minus

πππαα

α

γ

α

αα

rrr

llhA

r 1

)121

11

1

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rπ is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

Pedagogical Examples

Variable β λ σ γ α π hValue 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84

1

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

04 05 06 07 08 09 1

Relative Output

Rela

tive

Parti

cipa

tion

Rate

s

Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

γ gt 0 γ = 0

Why the difference

The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels Wages Return rπ Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of

middle-age decisionmakers

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Conclusions

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriersdeveloping countries can reduce child labor Without areduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricterbarriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lotof a country

  • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Background
  • Background
  • Slide Number 9
  • Slide Number 10
  • Slide Number 11
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • Slide Number 16
  • Slide Number 17
  • Slide Number 18
  • Slide Number 19
  • Slide Number 20
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • Slide Number 23
  • Preferences
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Aggregate Investment
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Slide Number 39
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Slide Number 43
  • Slide Number 44
  • Slide Number 45
  • Slide Number 46
  • Slide Number 47
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Aggregate Investment (g = 0)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Slide Number 62
  • Steady State
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Slide Number 67
  • Pedagogical Examples
  • Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)
  • Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)
  • Slide Number 71
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
    • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor

      DEGIT

      St Petersburg Russia

      8 September 2011

      Richard C Barnett

      Drexel University

      Secrecy vs Seclective Disclosure

      Outline of the Talk

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Conclusions

          Background

          Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

          The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

          Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Background

              Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

              The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

              Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)

                  Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

                  3 Important Features

                  Barriers

                  Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

                  Child Labor and Human Capital

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

                  Minimum Consumption Requirements

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

                  Related Studies

                  Overview

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  MCR g

                  The Model

                  Preferences

                  Ut ordm u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl Ut+1

                  where u(c ) = (c ndash g )1-s (1 - s) 0 pound b l pound 1

                  c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

                  c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  qt ordm bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3 wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) lb ucent(c1t+1 )

                  + wt + 2 hcent( 1- lt ) l b 2 ucent(c2t+2 )

                  Aggregate Investment

                  X = +

                  [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                  [rp + (b rp)1s]

                  wl (b rp)1s

                  [rp + (b rp)1s ]

                  Factors and Technologies

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Human Capital

                      Assumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

                      Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of

                      sequences for prices wt rt t sup3 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t sup3 1

                      and Xt Kt+1 lt t sup3 1 such that

                      Agents optimize

                      Factor payments

                      w = (1 - a) A Ka L-a

                      r = a A Ka -1 L1-a

                      All markets clear

                      Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 )

                      Capital xt + bt = p Kt +1

                      Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

                      Equilibrium

                      Approach

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          MCR = 0

                          MCR gt 0

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Steady State

                          • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                              • 1b l sup3 r p
                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                  • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                    • Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                      Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                      wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                      The Child Labor Decision

                                      Steady State

                                      • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                          • 1b l sup3 r p
                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                  -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                  Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                                  Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                                  wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                                  The Child Labor Decision

                                                  Steady State

                                                  • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                                      • 1b l sup3 r p
                                                      • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                            • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                              -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)

                                                                  Suppose drr sup3 dpp Then dK lt 0

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                  Reason In the steady-state 1bl = rp if bt gt 0

                                                                  Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      If the MCR g = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                      Reason

                                                                      When g = 0 investment dXX = dww

                                                                      But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKK

                                                                      From the clearing condition X = p K so

                                                                      dXX = dKK + dpp drr = dpp

                                                                      Aggregate Investment (g = 0)

                                                                      X = +

                                                                      [wh(1- l)][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Suppose the minimum consumption requirement g gt 0 and

                                                                      dp gt 0 Then drr gt dpp

                                                                      Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

                                                                      One consequence Effective return rp rises child labor increases

                                                                      dK + dpp = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

                                                                      Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in p is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

                                                                      Steady State

                                                                      + = K

                                                                      [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp) 1s]

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rp is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛

                                                                      primeprime

                                                                      +rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l Kprime )

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛ +

                                                                      rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      l

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l K )

                                                                      l l prime

                                                                      Pedagogical Examples

                                                                      Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

                                                                      Chart1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates
                                                                      1
                                                                      1036832741
                                                                      1073090064
                                                                      1108955549
                                                                      1144590727
                                                                      1180143169
                                                                      1215752801
                                                                      1251557262
                                                                      1287696923
                                                                      1324320074
                                                                      1361588833
                                                                      1399686467
                                                                      1438827114
                                                                      1479269523
                                                                      152133756
                                                                      1565452592
                                                                      1612187974
                                                                      1662367955
                                                                      1717266013
                                                                      1779062077
                                                                      1852152497

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates

                                                                      Sheet2

                                                                      Sheet3

                                                                      Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

                                                                      g gt 0

                                                                      g = 0

                                                                      Why the difference

                                                                      The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels

                                                                      Wages

                                                                      Return rπ

                                                                      Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of middle-age decisionmakers

                                                                      Conclusions

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriers developing countries can reduce child labor Without a reduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricter barriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lot of a country

                                                                          (

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                                                                          ucirc

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                                                                          a

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                                                                          16

                                                                          17

                                                                          18

                                                                          19

                                                                          0405060708091

                                                                          Relative Output

                                                                          Relative Participation Rates

                                                                          Fig 42b Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          = 0

                                                                          4

                                                                          41

                                                                          42

                                                                          43

                                                                          44

                                                                          45

                                                                          46

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          002

                                                                          004

                                                                          006

                                                                          008

                                                                          01

                                                                          012

                                                                          014

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                          Fig 42a Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          gt 0

                                                                          28

                                                                          29

                                                                          3

                                                                          31

                                                                          32

                                                                          33

                                                                          34

                                                                          35

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          005

                                                                          01

                                                                          015

                                                                          02

                                                                          025

                                                                          03

                                                                          035

                                                                          04

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                      y l ratio y ratio l
                                                                      1 5103837338 0196324827 1 1
                                                                      11 4846566344 02035560085 09495926345 1036832741
                                                                      12 4618839709 02106742213 09049739251 1073090064
                                                                      13 4414915419 02177155064 08650188333 1108955549
                                                                      14 423047326 02247115765 08288808949 1144590727
                                                                      15 4062184154 02316914036 07959078404 1180143169
                                                                      16 390742778 02386824584 07655862679 1215752801
                                                                      17 3764101166 0245711763 07375041398 1251557262
                                                                      18 3630484915 02528068757 07113245731 1287696923
                                                                      19 3505146855 02599969094 06867669603 1324320074
                                                                      2 3386870309 02673136922 06635929175 1361588833
                                                                      21 3274598498 02747932035 06415953882 1399686467
                                                                      22 3167388932 02824774842 06205897097 1438827114
                                                                      23 3064372843 02904173333 06004056634 1479269523
                                                                      24 296471464 02986763333 05808795311 152133756
                                                                      25 2867564887 03073372094 0561844882 1565452592
                                                                      26 2771995899 03165125252 05431199537 1612187974
                                                                      27 2676897761 03263641013 05244872796 1662367955
                                                                      28 2580781446 03371419529 0505655113 1717266013
                                                                      29 248133507 03492740545 04861704842 1779062077
                                                                      3 2374158982 03636235186 04651713652 1852152497
                                                                      31 2247263191 03826037427 04403085448 1948830153
                                                                      32
                                                                      33
                                                                      34
                                                                      35
                                                                      1
                                                                      09495926345
                                                                      09049739251
                                                                      08650188333
                                                                      08288808949
                                                                      07959078404
                                                                      07655862679
                                                                      07375041398
                                                                      07113245731
                                                                      06867669603
                                                                      06635929175
                                                                      06415953882
                                                                      06205897097
                                                                      06004056634
                                                                      05808795311
                                                                      0561844882
                                                                      05431199537
                                                                      05244872796
                                                                      0505655113
                                                                      04861704842
                                                                      04651713652
                                                                      Variable b l s g a p h
                                                                      Value 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84
Page 36: Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor · Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor DEGIT St. Petersburg, Russia. 8 September 2011. Richard

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factorsa) Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )b) Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )c) Capital Kt+1 = xt π + bt π

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factorsa) Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )b) Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )c) Capital Kt+1 = xt π + bt π

Human CapitalAssumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of sequences for prices wt rt t ge 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t ge 1and Xt Kt+1 lt t ge 1 such that

a) Agents optimize

b) Factor payments w = (1 - α) A Kα L-α

r = α A Kα -1 L1-α

c) All markets clear Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 ) Capital xt + bt = π Kt +1 Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

Equilibrium

Approach

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequestsmdash MCR = 0

mdash MCR gt 0

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Policy-induced changes in factors

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)Suppose drr ge dππ Then dK lt 0

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reason In the steady-state 1βλ = rπ if bt gt 0

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

If the MCR γ = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reasonndash When γ = 0 investment dXX = dwwndash But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKKndash From the clearing condition X = π K so

dXX = dKK + dππ there4 drr = dππ

Aggregate Investment (γ = 0)

X = +[wh(1- l)][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Suppose the minimum consumption requirement γ gt 0 anddπ gt 0 Then drr gt dππ

Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

One consequence Effective return rπ rises child labor increases

dK + dππ = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in π is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ) 1σ]

( )( )

( )( ) =

Γ

+minusminusminus

minus

Γminus

+minus+minusminus

παα

πππαα r

llhlhrrr

llhllh

)1211

)1211

( )( ) 11

1

1minus+

equivΓσββ z

z

( ) ( )( )

Γminus

minus

+minus+

minus

minus

πππαα

α

γ

α

αα

rrr

llhA

r 1

)121

11

1

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rπ is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

Pedagogical Examples

Variable β λ σ γ α π hValue 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84

1

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

04 05 06 07 08 09 1

Relative Output

Rela

tive

Parti

cipa

tion

Rate

s

Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

γ gt 0 γ = 0

Why the difference

The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels Wages Return rπ Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of

middle-age decisionmakers

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Conclusions

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriersdeveloping countries can reduce child labor Without areduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricterbarriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lotof a country

  • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Background
  • Background
  • Slide Number 9
  • Slide Number 10
  • Slide Number 11
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • Slide Number 16
  • Slide Number 17
  • Slide Number 18
  • Slide Number 19
  • Slide Number 20
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • Slide Number 23
  • Preferences
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Aggregate Investment
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Slide Number 39
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Slide Number 43
  • Slide Number 44
  • Slide Number 45
  • Slide Number 46
  • Slide Number 47
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Aggregate Investment (g = 0)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Slide Number 62
  • Steady State
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Slide Number 67
  • Pedagogical Examples
  • Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)
  • Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)
  • Slide Number 71
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
    • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor

      DEGIT

      St Petersburg Russia

      8 September 2011

      Richard C Barnett

      Drexel University

      Secrecy vs Seclective Disclosure

      Outline of the Talk

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Conclusions

          Background

          Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

          The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

          Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Background

              Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

              The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

              Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)

                  Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

                  3 Important Features

                  Barriers

                  Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

                  Child Labor and Human Capital

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

                  Minimum Consumption Requirements

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

                  Related Studies

                  Overview

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  MCR g

                  The Model

                  Preferences

                  Ut ordm u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl Ut+1

                  where u(c ) = (c ndash g )1-s (1 - s) 0 pound b l pound 1

                  c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

                  c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  qt ordm bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3 wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) lb ucent(c1t+1 )

                  + wt + 2 hcent( 1- lt ) l b 2 ucent(c2t+2 )

                  Aggregate Investment

                  X = +

                  [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                  [rp + (b rp)1s]

                  wl (b rp)1s

                  [rp + (b rp)1s ]

                  Factors and Technologies

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Human Capital

                      Assumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

                      Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of

                      sequences for prices wt rt t sup3 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t sup3 1

                      and Xt Kt+1 lt t sup3 1 such that

                      Agents optimize

                      Factor payments

                      w = (1 - a) A Ka L-a

                      r = a A Ka -1 L1-a

                      All markets clear

                      Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 )

                      Capital xt + bt = p Kt +1

                      Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

                      Equilibrium

                      Approach

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          MCR = 0

                          MCR gt 0

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Steady State

                          • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                              • 1b l sup3 r p
                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                  • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                    • Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                      Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                      wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                      The Child Labor Decision

                                      Steady State

                                      • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                          • 1b l sup3 r p
                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                  -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                  Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                                  Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                                  wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                                  The Child Labor Decision

                                                  Steady State

                                                  • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                                      • 1b l sup3 r p
                                                      • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                            • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                              -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)

                                                                  Suppose drr sup3 dpp Then dK lt 0

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                  Reason In the steady-state 1bl = rp if bt gt 0

                                                                  Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      If the MCR g = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                      Reason

                                                                      When g = 0 investment dXX = dww

                                                                      But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKK

                                                                      From the clearing condition X = p K so

                                                                      dXX = dKK + dpp drr = dpp

                                                                      Aggregate Investment (g = 0)

                                                                      X = +

                                                                      [wh(1- l)][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Suppose the minimum consumption requirement g gt 0 and

                                                                      dp gt 0 Then drr gt dpp

                                                                      Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

                                                                      One consequence Effective return rp rises child labor increases

                                                                      dK + dpp = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

                                                                      Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in p is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

                                                                      Steady State

                                                                      + = K

                                                                      [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp) 1s]

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rp is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛

                                                                      primeprime

                                                                      +rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l Kprime )

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛ +

                                                                      rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      l

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l K )

                                                                      l l prime

                                                                      Pedagogical Examples

                                                                      Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

                                                                      Chart1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates
                                                                      1
                                                                      1036832741
                                                                      1073090064
                                                                      1108955549
                                                                      1144590727
                                                                      1180143169
                                                                      1215752801
                                                                      1251557262
                                                                      1287696923
                                                                      1324320074
                                                                      1361588833
                                                                      1399686467
                                                                      1438827114
                                                                      1479269523
                                                                      152133756
                                                                      1565452592
                                                                      1612187974
                                                                      1662367955
                                                                      1717266013
                                                                      1779062077
                                                                      1852152497

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates

                                                                      Sheet2

                                                                      Sheet3

                                                                      Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

                                                                      g gt 0

                                                                      g = 0

                                                                      Why the difference

                                                                      The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels

                                                                      Wages

                                                                      Return rπ

                                                                      Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of middle-age decisionmakers

                                                                      Conclusions

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriers developing countries can reduce child labor Without a reduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricter barriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lot of a country

                                                                          (

                                                                          )

                                                                          (

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                                                                          G

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                                                                          uacute

                                                                          ucirc

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                                                                          divide

                                                                          oslash

                                                                          ouml

                                                                          ccedil

                                                                          egrave

                                                                          aelig

                                                                          G

                                                                          -

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                                                                          +

                                                                          -

                                                                          +

                                                                          -

                                                                          -

                                                                          p

                                                                          p

                                                                          p

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          g

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          l

                                                                          l

                                                                          h

                                                                          A

                                                                          r

                                                                          1

                                                                          )

                                                                          1

                                                                          2

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

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                                                                          11

                                                                          12

                                                                          13

                                                                          14

                                                                          15

                                                                          16

                                                                          17

                                                                          18

                                                                          19

                                                                          0405060708091

                                                                          Relative Output

                                                                          Relative Participation Rates

                                                                          Fig 42b Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          = 0

                                                                          4

                                                                          41

                                                                          42

                                                                          43

                                                                          44

                                                                          45

                                                                          46

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          002

                                                                          004

                                                                          006

                                                                          008

                                                                          01

                                                                          012

                                                                          014

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                          Fig 42a Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          gt 0

                                                                          28

                                                                          29

                                                                          3

                                                                          31

                                                                          32

                                                                          33

                                                                          34

                                                                          35

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          005

                                                                          01

                                                                          015

                                                                          02

                                                                          025

                                                                          03

                                                                          035

                                                                          04

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                      y l ratio y ratio l
                                                                      1 5103837338 0196324827 1 1
                                                                      11 4846566344 02035560085 09495926345 1036832741
                                                                      12 4618839709 02106742213 09049739251 1073090064
                                                                      13 4414915419 02177155064 08650188333 1108955549
                                                                      14 423047326 02247115765 08288808949 1144590727
                                                                      15 4062184154 02316914036 07959078404 1180143169
                                                                      16 390742778 02386824584 07655862679 1215752801
                                                                      17 3764101166 0245711763 07375041398 1251557262
                                                                      18 3630484915 02528068757 07113245731 1287696923
                                                                      19 3505146855 02599969094 06867669603 1324320074
                                                                      2 3386870309 02673136922 06635929175 1361588833
                                                                      21 3274598498 02747932035 06415953882 1399686467
                                                                      22 3167388932 02824774842 06205897097 1438827114
                                                                      23 3064372843 02904173333 06004056634 1479269523
                                                                      24 296471464 02986763333 05808795311 152133756
                                                                      25 2867564887 03073372094 0561844882 1565452592
                                                                      26 2771995899 03165125252 05431199537 1612187974
                                                                      27 2676897761 03263641013 05244872796 1662367955
                                                                      28 2580781446 03371419529 0505655113 1717266013
                                                                      29 248133507 03492740545 04861704842 1779062077
                                                                      3 2374158982 03636235186 04651713652 1852152497
                                                                      31 2247263191 03826037427 04403085448 1948830153
                                                                      32
                                                                      33
                                                                      34
                                                                      35
                                                                      1
                                                                      09495926345
                                                                      09049739251
                                                                      08650188333
                                                                      08288808949
                                                                      07959078404
                                                                      07655862679
                                                                      07375041398
                                                                      07113245731
                                                                      06867669603
                                                                      06635929175
                                                                      06415953882
                                                                      06205897097
                                                                      06004056634
                                                                      05808795311
                                                                      0561844882
                                                                      05431199537
                                                                      05244872796
                                                                      0505655113
                                                                      04861704842
                                                                      04651713652
                                                                      Variable b l s g a p h
                                                                      Value 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84
Page 37: Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor · Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor DEGIT St. Petersburg, Russia. 8 September 2011. Richard

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factorsa) Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )b) Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )c) Capital Kt+1 = xt π + bt π

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factorsa) Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )b) Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )c) Capital Kt+1 = xt π + bt π

Human CapitalAssumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of sequences for prices wt rt t ge 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t ge 1and Xt Kt+1 lt t ge 1 such that

a) Agents optimize

b) Factor payments w = (1 - α) A Kα L-α

r = α A Kα -1 L1-α

c) All markets clear Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 ) Capital xt + bt = π Kt +1 Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

Equilibrium

Approach

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequestsmdash MCR = 0

mdash MCR gt 0

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Policy-induced changes in factors

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)Suppose drr ge dππ Then dK lt 0

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reason In the steady-state 1βλ = rπ if bt gt 0

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

If the MCR γ = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reasonndash When γ = 0 investment dXX = dwwndash But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKKndash From the clearing condition X = π K so

dXX = dKK + dππ there4 drr = dππ

Aggregate Investment (γ = 0)

X = +[wh(1- l)][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Suppose the minimum consumption requirement γ gt 0 anddπ gt 0 Then drr gt dππ

Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

One consequence Effective return rπ rises child labor increases

dK + dππ = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in π is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ) 1σ]

( )( )

( )( ) =

Γ

+minusminusminus

minus

Γminus

+minus+minusminus

παα

πππαα r

llhlhrrr

llhllh

)1211

)1211

( )( ) 11

1

1minus+

equivΓσββ z

z

( ) ( )( )

Γminus

minus

+minus+

minus

minus

πππαα

α

γ

α

αα

rrr

llhA

r 1

)121

11

1

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rπ is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

Pedagogical Examples

Variable β λ σ γ α π hValue 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84

1

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

04 05 06 07 08 09 1

Relative Output

Rela

tive

Parti

cipa

tion

Rate

s

Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

γ gt 0 γ = 0

Why the difference

The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels Wages Return rπ Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of

middle-age decisionmakers

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Conclusions

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriersdeveloping countries can reduce child labor Without areduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricterbarriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lotof a country

  • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Background
  • Background
  • Slide Number 9
  • Slide Number 10
  • Slide Number 11
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • Slide Number 16
  • Slide Number 17
  • Slide Number 18
  • Slide Number 19
  • Slide Number 20
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • Slide Number 23
  • Preferences
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Aggregate Investment
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Slide Number 39
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Slide Number 43
  • Slide Number 44
  • Slide Number 45
  • Slide Number 46
  • Slide Number 47
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Aggregate Investment (g = 0)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Slide Number 62
  • Steady State
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Slide Number 67
  • Pedagogical Examples
  • Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)
  • Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)
  • Slide Number 71
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
    • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor

      DEGIT

      St Petersburg Russia

      8 September 2011

      Richard C Barnett

      Drexel University

      Secrecy vs Seclective Disclosure

      Outline of the Talk

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Conclusions

          Background

          Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

          The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

          Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Background

              Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

              The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

              Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)

                  Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

                  3 Important Features

                  Barriers

                  Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

                  Child Labor and Human Capital

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

                  Minimum Consumption Requirements

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

                  Related Studies

                  Overview

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  MCR g

                  The Model

                  Preferences

                  Ut ordm u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl Ut+1

                  where u(c ) = (c ndash g )1-s (1 - s) 0 pound b l pound 1

                  c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

                  c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  qt ordm bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3 wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) lb ucent(c1t+1 )

                  + wt + 2 hcent( 1- lt ) l b 2 ucent(c2t+2 )

                  Aggregate Investment

                  X = +

                  [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                  [rp + (b rp)1s]

                  wl (b rp)1s

                  [rp + (b rp)1s ]

                  Factors and Technologies

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Human Capital

                      Assumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

                      Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of

                      sequences for prices wt rt t sup3 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t sup3 1

                      and Xt Kt+1 lt t sup3 1 such that

                      Agents optimize

                      Factor payments

                      w = (1 - a) A Ka L-a

                      r = a A Ka -1 L1-a

                      All markets clear

                      Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 )

                      Capital xt + bt = p Kt +1

                      Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

                      Equilibrium

                      Approach

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          MCR = 0

                          MCR gt 0

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Steady State

                          • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                              • 1b l sup3 r p
                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                  • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                    • Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                      Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                      wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                      The Child Labor Decision

                                      Steady State

                                      • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                          • 1b l sup3 r p
                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                  -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                  Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                                  Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                                  wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                                  The Child Labor Decision

                                                  Steady State

                                                  • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                                      • 1b l sup3 r p
                                                      • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                            • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                              -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)

                                                                  Suppose drr sup3 dpp Then dK lt 0

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                  Reason In the steady-state 1bl = rp if bt gt 0

                                                                  Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      If the MCR g = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                      Reason

                                                                      When g = 0 investment dXX = dww

                                                                      But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKK

                                                                      From the clearing condition X = p K so

                                                                      dXX = dKK + dpp drr = dpp

                                                                      Aggregate Investment (g = 0)

                                                                      X = +

                                                                      [wh(1- l)][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Suppose the minimum consumption requirement g gt 0 and

                                                                      dp gt 0 Then drr gt dpp

                                                                      Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

                                                                      One consequence Effective return rp rises child labor increases

                                                                      dK + dpp = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

                                                                      Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in p is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

                                                                      Steady State

                                                                      + = K

                                                                      [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp) 1s]

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rp is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛

                                                                      primeprime

                                                                      +rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l Kprime )

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛ +

                                                                      rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      l

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l K )

                                                                      l l prime

                                                                      Pedagogical Examples

                                                                      Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

                                                                      Chart1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates
                                                                      1
                                                                      1036832741
                                                                      1073090064
                                                                      1108955549
                                                                      1144590727
                                                                      1180143169
                                                                      1215752801
                                                                      1251557262
                                                                      1287696923
                                                                      1324320074
                                                                      1361588833
                                                                      1399686467
                                                                      1438827114
                                                                      1479269523
                                                                      152133756
                                                                      1565452592
                                                                      1612187974
                                                                      1662367955
                                                                      1717266013
                                                                      1779062077
                                                                      1852152497

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates

                                                                      Sheet2

                                                                      Sheet3

                                                                      Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

                                                                      g gt 0

                                                                      g = 0

                                                                      Why the difference

                                                                      The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels

                                                                      Wages

                                                                      Return rπ

                                                                      Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of middle-age decisionmakers

                                                                      Conclusions

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriers developing countries can reduce child labor Without a reduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricter barriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lot of a country

                                                                          (

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                                                                          15

                                                                          16

                                                                          17

                                                                          18

                                                                          19

                                                                          0405060708091

                                                                          Relative Output

                                                                          Relative Participation Rates

                                                                          Fig 42b Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          = 0

                                                                          4

                                                                          41

                                                                          42

                                                                          43

                                                                          44

                                                                          45

                                                                          46

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          002

                                                                          004

                                                                          006

                                                                          008

                                                                          01

                                                                          012

                                                                          014

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                          Fig 42a Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          gt 0

                                                                          28

                                                                          29

                                                                          3

                                                                          31

                                                                          32

                                                                          33

                                                                          34

                                                                          35

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          005

                                                                          01

                                                                          015

                                                                          02

                                                                          025

                                                                          03

                                                                          035

                                                                          04

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                      y l ratio y ratio l
                                                                      1 5103837338 0196324827 1 1
                                                                      11 4846566344 02035560085 09495926345 1036832741
                                                                      12 4618839709 02106742213 09049739251 1073090064
                                                                      13 4414915419 02177155064 08650188333 1108955549
                                                                      14 423047326 02247115765 08288808949 1144590727
                                                                      15 4062184154 02316914036 07959078404 1180143169
                                                                      16 390742778 02386824584 07655862679 1215752801
                                                                      17 3764101166 0245711763 07375041398 1251557262
                                                                      18 3630484915 02528068757 07113245731 1287696923
                                                                      19 3505146855 02599969094 06867669603 1324320074
                                                                      2 3386870309 02673136922 06635929175 1361588833
                                                                      21 3274598498 02747932035 06415953882 1399686467
                                                                      22 3167388932 02824774842 06205897097 1438827114
                                                                      23 3064372843 02904173333 06004056634 1479269523
                                                                      24 296471464 02986763333 05808795311 152133756
                                                                      25 2867564887 03073372094 0561844882 1565452592
                                                                      26 2771995899 03165125252 05431199537 1612187974
                                                                      27 2676897761 03263641013 05244872796 1662367955
                                                                      28 2580781446 03371419529 0505655113 1717266013
                                                                      29 248133507 03492740545 04861704842 1779062077
                                                                      3 2374158982 03636235186 04651713652 1852152497
                                                                      31 2247263191 03826037427 04403085448 1948830153
                                                                      32
                                                                      33
                                                                      34
                                                                      35
                                                                      1
                                                                      09495926345
                                                                      09049739251
                                                                      08650188333
                                                                      08288808949
                                                                      07959078404
                                                                      07655862679
                                                                      07375041398
                                                                      07113245731
                                                                      06867669603
                                                                      06635929175
                                                                      06415953882
                                                                      06205897097
                                                                      06004056634
                                                                      05808795311
                                                                      0561844882
                                                                      05431199537
                                                                      05244872796
                                                                      0505655113
                                                                      04861704842
                                                                      04651713652
                                                                      Variable b l s g a p h
                                                                      Value 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84
Page 38: Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor · Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor DEGIT St. Petersburg, Russia. 8 September 2011. Richard

Factors and Technologies

Output Yt = AKtα Lt

1-α

Factorsa) Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )b) Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )c) Capital Kt+1 = xt π + bt π

Human CapitalAssumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of sequences for prices wt rt t ge 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t ge 1and Xt Kt+1 lt t ge 1 such that

a) Agents optimize

b) Factor payments w = (1 - α) A Kα L-α

r = α A Kα -1 L1-α

c) All markets clear Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 ) Capital xt + bt = π Kt +1 Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

Equilibrium

Approach

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequestsmdash MCR = 0

mdash MCR gt 0

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Policy-induced changes in factors

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)Suppose drr ge dππ Then dK lt 0

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reason In the steady-state 1βλ = rπ if bt gt 0

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

If the MCR γ = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reasonndash When γ = 0 investment dXX = dwwndash But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKKndash From the clearing condition X = π K so

dXX = dKK + dππ there4 drr = dππ

Aggregate Investment (γ = 0)

X = +[wh(1- l)][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Suppose the minimum consumption requirement γ gt 0 anddπ gt 0 Then drr gt dππ

Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

One consequence Effective return rπ rises child labor increases

dK + dππ = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in π is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ) 1σ]

( )( )

( )( ) =

Γ

+minusminusminus

minus

Γminus

+minus+minusminus

παα

πππαα r

llhlhrrr

llhllh

)1211

)1211

( )( ) 11

1

1minus+

equivΓσββ z

z

( ) ( )( )

Γminus

minus

+minus+

minus

minus

πππαα

α

γ

α

αα

rrr

llhA

r 1

)121

11

1

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rπ is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

Pedagogical Examples

Variable β λ σ γ α π hValue 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84

1

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

04 05 06 07 08 09 1

Relative Output

Rela

tive

Parti

cipa

tion

Rate

s

Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

γ gt 0 γ = 0

Why the difference

The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels Wages Return rπ Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of

middle-age decisionmakers

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Conclusions

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriersdeveloping countries can reduce child labor Without areduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricterbarriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lotof a country

  • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Background
  • Background
  • Slide Number 9
  • Slide Number 10
  • Slide Number 11
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • Slide Number 16
  • Slide Number 17
  • Slide Number 18
  • Slide Number 19
  • Slide Number 20
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • Slide Number 23
  • Preferences
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Aggregate Investment
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Slide Number 39
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Slide Number 43
  • Slide Number 44
  • Slide Number 45
  • Slide Number 46
  • Slide Number 47
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Aggregate Investment (g = 0)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Slide Number 62
  • Steady State
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Slide Number 67
  • Pedagogical Examples
  • Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)
  • Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)
  • Slide Number 71
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
    • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor

      DEGIT

      St Petersburg Russia

      8 September 2011

      Richard C Barnett

      Drexel University

      Secrecy vs Seclective Disclosure

      Outline of the Talk

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Conclusions

          Background

          Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

          The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

          Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Background

              Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

              The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

              Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)

                  Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

                  3 Important Features

                  Barriers

                  Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

                  Child Labor and Human Capital

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

                  Minimum Consumption Requirements

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

                  Related Studies

                  Overview

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  MCR g

                  The Model

                  Preferences

                  Ut ordm u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl Ut+1

                  where u(c ) = (c ndash g )1-s (1 - s) 0 pound b l pound 1

                  c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

                  c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  qt ordm bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3 wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) lb ucent(c1t+1 )

                  + wt + 2 hcent( 1- lt ) l b 2 ucent(c2t+2 )

                  Aggregate Investment

                  X = +

                  [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                  [rp + (b rp)1s]

                  wl (b rp)1s

                  [rp + (b rp)1s ]

                  Factors and Technologies

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Human Capital

                      Assumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

                      Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of

                      sequences for prices wt rt t sup3 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t sup3 1

                      and Xt Kt+1 lt t sup3 1 such that

                      Agents optimize

                      Factor payments

                      w = (1 - a) A Ka L-a

                      r = a A Ka -1 L1-a

                      All markets clear

                      Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 )

                      Capital xt + bt = p Kt +1

                      Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

                      Equilibrium

                      Approach

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          MCR = 0

                          MCR gt 0

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Steady State

                          • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                              • 1b l sup3 r p
                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                  • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                    • Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                      Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                      wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                      The Child Labor Decision

                                      Steady State

                                      • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                          • 1b l sup3 r p
                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                  -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                  Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                                  Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                                  wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                                  The Child Labor Decision

                                                  Steady State

                                                  • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                                      • 1b l sup3 r p
                                                      • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                            • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                              -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)

                                                                  Suppose drr sup3 dpp Then dK lt 0

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                  Reason In the steady-state 1bl = rp if bt gt 0

                                                                  Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      If the MCR g = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                      Reason

                                                                      When g = 0 investment dXX = dww

                                                                      But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKK

                                                                      From the clearing condition X = p K so

                                                                      dXX = dKK + dpp drr = dpp

                                                                      Aggregate Investment (g = 0)

                                                                      X = +

                                                                      [wh(1- l)][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Suppose the minimum consumption requirement g gt 0 and

                                                                      dp gt 0 Then drr gt dpp

                                                                      Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

                                                                      One consequence Effective return rp rises child labor increases

                                                                      dK + dpp = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

                                                                      Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in p is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

                                                                      Steady State

                                                                      + = K

                                                                      [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp) 1s]

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rp is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛

                                                                      primeprime

                                                                      +rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l Kprime )

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛ +

                                                                      rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      l

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l K )

                                                                      l l prime

                                                                      Pedagogical Examples

                                                                      Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

                                                                      Chart1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates
                                                                      1
                                                                      1036832741
                                                                      1073090064
                                                                      1108955549
                                                                      1144590727
                                                                      1180143169
                                                                      1215752801
                                                                      1251557262
                                                                      1287696923
                                                                      1324320074
                                                                      1361588833
                                                                      1399686467
                                                                      1438827114
                                                                      1479269523
                                                                      152133756
                                                                      1565452592
                                                                      1612187974
                                                                      1662367955
                                                                      1717266013
                                                                      1779062077
                                                                      1852152497

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates

                                                                      Sheet2

                                                                      Sheet3

                                                                      Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

                                                                      g gt 0

                                                                      g = 0

                                                                      Why the difference

                                                                      The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels

                                                                      Wages

                                                                      Return rπ

                                                                      Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of middle-age decisionmakers

                                                                      Conclusions

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriers developing countries can reduce child labor Without a reduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricter barriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lot of a country

                                                                          (

                                                                          )

                                                                          (

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                                                                          ucirc

                                                                          ugrave

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                                                                          )

                                                                          1

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                                                                          G

                                                                          s

                                                                          b

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                                                                          (

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                                                                          uacute

                                                                          ucirc

                                                                          ugrave

                                                                          ecirc

                                                                          euml

                                                                          eacute

                                                                          divide

                                                                          oslash

                                                                          ouml

                                                                          ccedil

                                                                          egrave

                                                                          aelig

                                                                          G

                                                                          -

                                                                          -

                                                                          +

                                                                          -

                                                                          +

                                                                          -

                                                                          -

                                                                          p

                                                                          p

                                                                          p

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          g

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          l

                                                                          l

                                                                          h

                                                                          A

                                                                          r

                                                                          1

                                                                          )

                                                                          1

                                                                          2

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          11

                                                                          12

                                                                          13

                                                                          14

                                                                          15

                                                                          16

                                                                          17

                                                                          18

                                                                          19

                                                                          0405060708091

                                                                          Relative Output

                                                                          Relative Participation Rates

                                                                          Fig 42b Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          = 0

                                                                          4

                                                                          41

                                                                          42

                                                                          43

                                                                          44

                                                                          45

                                                                          46

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          002

                                                                          004

                                                                          006

                                                                          008

                                                                          01

                                                                          012

                                                                          014

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                          Fig 42a Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          gt 0

                                                                          28

                                                                          29

                                                                          3

                                                                          31

                                                                          32

                                                                          33

                                                                          34

                                                                          35

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          005

                                                                          01

                                                                          015

                                                                          02

                                                                          025

                                                                          03

                                                                          035

                                                                          04

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                      y l ratio y ratio l
                                                                      1 5103837338 0196324827 1 1
                                                                      11 4846566344 02035560085 09495926345 1036832741
                                                                      12 4618839709 02106742213 09049739251 1073090064
                                                                      13 4414915419 02177155064 08650188333 1108955549
                                                                      14 423047326 02247115765 08288808949 1144590727
                                                                      15 4062184154 02316914036 07959078404 1180143169
                                                                      16 390742778 02386824584 07655862679 1215752801
                                                                      17 3764101166 0245711763 07375041398 1251557262
                                                                      18 3630484915 02528068757 07113245731 1287696923
                                                                      19 3505146855 02599969094 06867669603 1324320074
                                                                      2 3386870309 02673136922 06635929175 1361588833
                                                                      21 3274598498 02747932035 06415953882 1399686467
                                                                      22 3167388932 02824774842 06205897097 1438827114
                                                                      23 3064372843 02904173333 06004056634 1479269523
                                                                      24 296471464 02986763333 05808795311 152133756
                                                                      25 2867564887 03073372094 0561844882 1565452592
                                                                      26 2771995899 03165125252 05431199537 1612187974
                                                                      27 2676897761 03263641013 05244872796 1662367955
                                                                      28 2580781446 03371419529 0505655113 1717266013
                                                                      29 248133507 03492740545 04861704842 1779062077
                                                                      3 2374158982 03636235186 04651713652 1852152497
                                                                      31 2247263191 03826037427 04403085448 1948830153
                                                                      32
                                                                      33
                                                                      34
                                                                      35
                                                                      1
                                                                      09495926345
                                                                      09049739251
                                                                      08650188333
                                                                      08288808949
                                                                      07959078404
                                                                      07655862679
                                                                      07375041398
                                                                      07113245731
                                                                      06867669603
                                                                      06635929175
                                                                      06415953882
                                                                      06205897097
                                                                      06004056634
                                                                      05808795311
                                                                      0561844882
                                                                      05431199537
                                                                      05244872796
                                                                      0505655113
                                                                      04861704842
                                                                      04651713652
                                                                      Variable b l s g a p h
                                                                      Value 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84
Page 39: Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor · Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor DEGIT St. Petersburg, Russia. 8 September 2011. Richard

Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of sequences for prices wt rt t ge 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t ge 1and Xt Kt+1 lt t ge 1 such that

a) Agents optimize

b) Factor payments w = (1 - α) A Kα L-α

r = α A Kα -1 L1-α

c) All markets clear Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 ) Capital xt + bt = π Kt +1 Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

Equilibrium

Approach

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequestsmdash MCR = 0

mdash MCR gt 0

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Policy-induced changes in factors

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)Suppose drr ge dππ Then dK lt 0

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reason In the steady-state 1βλ = rπ if bt gt 0

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

If the MCR γ = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reasonndash When γ = 0 investment dXX = dwwndash But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKKndash From the clearing condition X = π K so

dXX = dKK + dππ there4 drr = dππ

Aggregate Investment (γ = 0)

X = +[wh(1- l)][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Suppose the minimum consumption requirement γ gt 0 anddπ gt 0 Then drr gt dππ

Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

One consequence Effective return rπ rises child labor increases

dK + dππ = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in π is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ) 1σ]

( )( )

( )( ) =

Γ

+minusminusminus

minus

Γminus

+minus+minusminus

παα

πππαα r

llhlhrrr

llhllh

)1211

)1211

( )( ) 11

1

1minus+

equivΓσββ z

z

( ) ( )( )

Γminus

minus

+minus+

minus

minus

πππαα

α

γ

α

αα

rrr

llhA

r 1

)121

11

1

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rπ is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

Pedagogical Examples

Variable β λ σ γ α π hValue 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84

1

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

04 05 06 07 08 09 1

Relative Output

Rela

tive

Parti

cipa

tion

Rate

s

Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

γ gt 0 γ = 0

Why the difference

The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels Wages Return rπ Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of

middle-age decisionmakers

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Conclusions

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriersdeveloping countries can reduce child labor Without areduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricterbarriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lotof a country

  • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Background
  • Background
  • Slide Number 9
  • Slide Number 10
  • Slide Number 11
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • Slide Number 16
  • Slide Number 17
  • Slide Number 18
  • Slide Number 19
  • Slide Number 20
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • Slide Number 23
  • Preferences
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Aggregate Investment
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Slide Number 39
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Slide Number 43
  • Slide Number 44
  • Slide Number 45
  • Slide Number 46
  • Slide Number 47
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Aggregate Investment (g = 0)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Slide Number 62
  • Steady State
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Slide Number 67
  • Pedagogical Examples
  • Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)
  • Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)
  • Slide Number 71
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
    • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor

      DEGIT

      St Petersburg Russia

      8 September 2011

      Richard C Barnett

      Drexel University

      Secrecy vs Seclective Disclosure

      Outline of the Talk

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Conclusions

          Background

          Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

          The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

          Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Background

              Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

              The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

              Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)

                  Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

                  3 Important Features

                  Barriers

                  Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

                  Child Labor and Human Capital

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

                  Minimum Consumption Requirements

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

                  Related Studies

                  Overview

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  MCR g

                  The Model

                  Preferences

                  Ut ordm u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl Ut+1

                  where u(c ) = (c ndash g )1-s (1 - s) 0 pound b l pound 1

                  c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

                  c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  qt ordm bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3 wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) lb ucent(c1t+1 )

                  + wt + 2 hcent( 1- lt ) l b 2 ucent(c2t+2 )

                  Aggregate Investment

                  X = +

                  [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                  [rp + (b rp)1s]

                  wl (b rp)1s

                  [rp + (b rp)1s ]

                  Factors and Technologies

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Human Capital

                      Assumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

                      Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of

                      sequences for prices wt rt t sup3 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t sup3 1

                      and Xt Kt+1 lt t sup3 1 such that

                      Agents optimize

                      Factor payments

                      w = (1 - a) A Ka L-a

                      r = a A Ka -1 L1-a

                      All markets clear

                      Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 )

                      Capital xt + bt = p Kt +1

                      Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

                      Equilibrium

                      Approach

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          MCR = 0

                          MCR gt 0

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Steady State

                          • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                              • 1b l sup3 r p
                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                  • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                    • Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                      Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                      wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                      The Child Labor Decision

                                      Steady State

                                      • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                          • 1b l sup3 r p
                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                  -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                  Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                                  Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                                  wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                                  The Child Labor Decision

                                                  Steady State

                                                  • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                                      • 1b l sup3 r p
                                                      • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                            • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                              -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)

                                                                  Suppose drr sup3 dpp Then dK lt 0

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                  Reason In the steady-state 1bl = rp if bt gt 0

                                                                  Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      If the MCR g = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                      Reason

                                                                      When g = 0 investment dXX = dww

                                                                      But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKK

                                                                      From the clearing condition X = p K so

                                                                      dXX = dKK + dpp drr = dpp

                                                                      Aggregate Investment (g = 0)

                                                                      X = +

                                                                      [wh(1- l)][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Suppose the minimum consumption requirement g gt 0 and

                                                                      dp gt 0 Then drr gt dpp

                                                                      Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

                                                                      One consequence Effective return rp rises child labor increases

                                                                      dK + dpp = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

                                                                      Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in p is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

                                                                      Steady State

                                                                      + = K

                                                                      [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp) 1s]

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rp is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛

                                                                      primeprime

                                                                      +rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l Kprime )

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛ +

                                                                      rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      l

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l K )

                                                                      l l prime

                                                                      Pedagogical Examples

                                                                      Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

                                                                      Chart1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates
                                                                      1
                                                                      1036832741
                                                                      1073090064
                                                                      1108955549
                                                                      1144590727
                                                                      1180143169
                                                                      1215752801
                                                                      1251557262
                                                                      1287696923
                                                                      1324320074
                                                                      1361588833
                                                                      1399686467
                                                                      1438827114
                                                                      1479269523
                                                                      152133756
                                                                      1565452592
                                                                      1612187974
                                                                      1662367955
                                                                      1717266013
                                                                      1779062077
                                                                      1852152497

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates

                                                                      Sheet2

                                                                      Sheet3

                                                                      Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

                                                                      g gt 0

                                                                      g = 0

                                                                      Why the difference

                                                                      The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels

                                                                      Wages

                                                                      Return rπ

                                                                      Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of middle-age decisionmakers

                                                                      Conclusions

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriers developing countries can reduce child labor Without a reduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricter barriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lot of a country

                                                                          (

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                                                                          ucirc

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                                                                          ecirc

                                                                          euml

                                                                          eacute

                                                                          divide

                                                                          oslash

                                                                          ouml

                                                                          ccedil

                                                                          egrave

                                                                          aelig

                                                                          G

                                                                          -

                                                                          -

                                                                          +

                                                                          -

                                                                          +

                                                                          -

                                                                          -

                                                                          p

                                                                          p

                                                                          p

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          g

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          l

                                                                          l

                                                                          h

                                                                          A

                                                                          r

                                                                          1

                                                                          )

                                                                          1

                                                                          2

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          11

                                                                          12

                                                                          13

                                                                          14

                                                                          15

                                                                          16

                                                                          17

                                                                          18

                                                                          19

                                                                          0405060708091

                                                                          Relative Output

                                                                          Relative Participation Rates

                                                                          Fig 42b Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          = 0

                                                                          4

                                                                          41

                                                                          42

                                                                          43

                                                                          44

                                                                          45

                                                                          46

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          002

                                                                          004

                                                                          006

                                                                          008

                                                                          01

                                                                          012

                                                                          014

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                          Fig 42a Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          gt 0

                                                                          28

                                                                          29

                                                                          3

                                                                          31

                                                                          32

                                                                          33

                                                                          34

                                                                          35

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          005

                                                                          01

                                                                          015

                                                                          02

                                                                          025

                                                                          03

                                                                          035

                                                                          04

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                      y l ratio y ratio l
                                                                      1 5103837338 0196324827 1 1
                                                                      11 4846566344 02035560085 09495926345 1036832741
                                                                      12 4618839709 02106742213 09049739251 1073090064
                                                                      13 4414915419 02177155064 08650188333 1108955549
                                                                      14 423047326 02247115765 08288808949 1144590727
                                                                      15 4062184154 02316914036 07959078404 1180143169
                                                                      16 390742778 02386824584 07655862679 1215752801
                                                                      17 3764101166 0245711763 07375041398 1251557262
                                                                      18 3630484915 02528068757 07113245731 1287696923
                                                                      19 3505146855 02599969094 06867669603 1324320074
                                                                      2 3386870309 02673136922 06635929175 1361588833
                                                                      21 3274598498 02747932035 06415953882 1399686467
                                                                      22 3167388932 02824774842 06205897097 1438827114
                                                                      23 3064372843 02904173333 06004056634 1479269523
                                                                      24 296471464 02986763333 05808795311 152133756
                                                                      25 2867564887 03073372094 0561844882 1565452592
                                                                      26 2771995899 03165125252 05431199537 1612187974
                                                                      27 2676897761 03263641013 05244872796 1662367955
                                                                      28 2580781446 03371419529 0505655113 1717266013
                                                                      29 248133507 03492740545 04861704842 1779062077
                                                                      3 2374158982 03636235186 04651713652 1852152497
                                                                      31 2247263191 03826037427 04403085448 1948830153
                                                                      32
                                                                      33
                                                                      34
                                                                      35
                                                                      1
                                                                      09495926345
                                                                      09049739251
                                                                      08650188333
                                                                      08288808949
                                                                      07959078404
                                                                      07655862679
                                                                      07375041398
                                                                      07113245731
                                                                      06867669603
                                                                      06635929175
                                                                      06415953882
                                                                      06205897097
                                                                      06004056634
                                                                      05808795311
                                                                      0561844882
                                                                      05431199537
                                                                      05244872796
                                                                      0505655113
                                                                      04861704842
                                                                      04651713652
                                                                      Variable b l s g a p h
                                                                      Value 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84
Page 40: Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor · Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor DEGIT St. Petersburg, Russia. 8 September 2011. Richard

Approach

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequestsmdash MCR = 0

mdash MCR gt 0

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Policy-induced changes in factors

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)Suppose drr ge dππ Then dK lt 0

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reason In the steady-state 1βλ = rπ if bt gt 0

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

If the MCR γ = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reasonndash When γ = 0 investment dXX = dwwndash But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKKndash From the clearing condition X = π K so

dXX = dKK + dππ there4 drr = dππ

Aggregate Investment (γ = 0)

X = +[wh(1- l)][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Suppose the minimum consumption requirement γ gt 0 anddπ gt 0 Then drr gt dππ

Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

One consequence Effective return rπ rises child labor increases

dK + dππ = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in π is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ) 1σ]

( )( )

( )( ) =

Γ

+minusminusminus

minus

Γminus

+minus+minusminus

παα

πππαα r

llhlhrrr

llhllh

)1211

)1211

( )( ) 11

1

1minus+

equivΓσββ z

z

( ) ( )( )

Γminus

minus

+minus+

minus

minus

πππαα

α

γ

α

αα

rrr

llhA

r 1

)121

11

1

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rπ is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

Pedagogical Examples

Variable β λ σ γ α π hValue 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84

1

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

04 05 06 07 08 09 1

Relative Output

Rela

tive

Parti

cipa

tion

Rate

s

Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

γ gt 0 γ = 0

Why the difference

The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels Wages Return rπ Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of

middle-age decisionmakers

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Conclusions

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriersdeveloping countries can reduce child labor Without areduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricterbarriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lotof a country

  • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Background
  • Background
  • Slide Number 9
  • Slide Number 10
  • Slide Number 11
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • Slide Number 16
  • Slide Number 17
  • Slide Number 18
  • Slide Number 19
  • Slide Number 20
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • Slide Number 23
  • Preferences
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Aggregate Investment
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Slide Number 39
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Slide Number 43
  • Slide Number 44
  • Slide Number 45
  • Slide Number 46
  • Slide Number 47
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Aggregate Investment (g = 0)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Slide Number 62
  • Steady State
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Slide Number 67
  • Pedagogical Examples
  • Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)
  • Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)
  • Slide Number 71
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
    • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor

      DEGIT

      St Petersburg Russia

      8 September 2011

      Richard C Barnett

      Drexel University

      Secrecy vs Seclective Disclosure

      Outline of the Talk

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Conclusions

          Background

          Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

          The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

          Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Background

              Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

              The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

              Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)

                  Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

                  3 Important Features

                  Barriers

                  Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

                  Child Labor and Human Capital

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

                  Minimum Consumption Requirements

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

                  Related Studies

                  Overview

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  MCR g

                  The Model

                  Preferences

                  Ut ordm u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl Ut+1

                  where u(c ) = (c ndash g )1-s (1 - s) 0 pound b l pound 1

                  c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

                  c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  qt ordm bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3 wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) lb ucent(c1t+1 )

                  + wt + 2 hcent( 1- lt ) l b 2 ucent(c2t+2 )

                  Aggregate Investment

                  X = +

                  [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                  [rp + (b rp)1s]

                  wl (b rp)1s

                  [rp + (b rp)1s ]

                  Factors and Technologies

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Human Capital

                      Assumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

                      Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of

                      sequences for prices wt rt t sup3 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t sup3 1

                      and Xt Kt+1 lt t sup3 1 such that

                      Agents optimize

                      Factor payments

                      w = (1 - a) A Ka L-a

                      r = a A Ka -1 L1-a

                      All markets clear

                      Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 )

                      Capital xt + bt = p Kt +1

                      Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

                      Equilibrium

                      Approach

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          MCR = 0

                          MCR gt 0

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Steady State

                          • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                              • 1b l sup3 r p
                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                  • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                    • Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                      Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                      wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                      The Child Labor Decision

                                      Steady State

                                      • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                          • 1b l sup3 r p
                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                  -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                  Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                                  Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                                  wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                                  The Child Labor Decision

                                                  Steady State

                                                  • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                                      • 1b l sup3 r p
                                                      • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                            • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                              -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)

                                                                  Suppose drr sup3 dpp Then dK lt 0

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                  Reason In the steady-state 1bl = rp if bt gt 0

                                                                  Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      If the MCR g = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                      Reason

                                                                      When g = 0 investment dXX = dww

                                                                      But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKK

                                                                      From the clearing condition X = p K so

                                                                      dXX = dKK + dpp drr = dpp

                                                                      Aggregate Investment (g = 0)

                                                                      X = +

                                                                      [wh(1- l)][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Suppose the minimum consumption requirement g gt 0 and

                                                                      dp gt 0 Then drr gt dpp

                                                                      Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

                                                                      One consequence Effective return rp rises child labor increases

                                                                      dK + dpp = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

                                                                      Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in p is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

                                                                      Steady State

                                                                      + = K

                                                                      [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp) 1s]

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rp is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛

                                                                      primeprime

                                                                      +rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l Kprime )

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛ +

                                                                      rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      l

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l K )

                                                                      l l prime

                                                                      Pedagogical Examples

                                                                      Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

                                                                      Chart1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates
                                                                      1
                                                                      1036832741
                                                                      1073090064
                                                                      1108955549
                                                                      1144590727
                                                                      1180143169
                                                                      1215752801
                                                                      1251557262
                                                                      1287696923
                                                                      1324320074
                                                                      1361588833
                                                                      1399686467
                                                                      1438827114
                                                                      1479269523
                                                                      152133756
                                                                      1565452592
                                                                      1612187974
                                                                      1662367955
                                                                      1717266013
                                                                      1779062077
                                                                      1852152497

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates

                                                                      Sheet2

                                                                      Sheet3

                                                                      Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

                                                                      g gt 0

                                                                      g = 0

                                                                      Why the difference

                                                                      The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels

                                                                      Wages

                                                                      Return rπ

                                                                      Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of middle-age decisionmakers

                                                                      Conclusions

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriers developing countries can reduce child labor Without a reduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricter barriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lot of a country

                                                                          (

                                                                          )

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                                                                          G

                                                                          s

                                                                          b

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                                                                          ucirc

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                                                                          divide

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                                                                          egrave

                                                                          aelig

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                                                                          -

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                                                                          p

                                                                          p

                                                                          p

                                                                          a

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                                                                          g

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          l

                                                                          l

                                                                          h

                                                                          A

                                                                          r

                                                                          1

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                                                                          1

                                                                          2

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                                                                          11

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                                                                          13

                                                                          14

                                                                          15

                                                                          16

                                                                          17

                                                                          18

                                                                          19

                                                                          0405060708091

                                                                          Relative Output

                                                                          Relative Participation Rates

                                                                          Fig 42b Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          = 0

                                                                          4

                                                                          41

                                                                          42

                                                                          43

                                                                          44

                                                                          45

                                                                          46

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          002

                                                                          004

                                                                          006

                                                                          008

                                                                          01

                                                                          012

                                                                          014

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                          Fig 42a Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          gt 0

                                                                          28

                                                                          29

                                                                          3

                                                                          31

                                                                          32

                                                                          33

                                                                          34

                                                                          35

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          005

                                                                          01

                                                                          015

                                                                          02

                                                                          025

                                                                          03

                                                                          035

                                                                          04

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                      y l ratio y ratio l
                                                                      1 5103837338 0196324827 1 1
                                                                      11 4846566344 02035560085 09495926345 1036832741
                                                                      12 4618839709 02106742213 09049739251 1073090064
                                                                      13 4414915419 02177155064 08650188333 1108955549
                                                                      14 423047326 02247115765 08288808949 1144590727
                                                                      15 4062184154 02316914036 07959078404 1180143169
                                                                      16 390742778 02386824584 07655862679 1215752801
                                                                      17 3764101166 0245711763 07375041398 1251557262
                                                                      18 3630484915 02528068757 07113245731 1287696923
                                                                      19 3505146855 02599969094 06867669603 1324320074
                                                                      2 3386870309 02673136922 06635929175 1361588833
                                                                      21 3274598498 02747932035 06415953882 1399686467
                                                                      22 3167388932 02824774842 06205897097 1438827114
                                                                      23 3064372843 02904173333 06004056634 1479269523
                                                                      24 296471464 02986763333 05808795311 152133756
                                                                      25 2867564887 03073372094 0561844882 1565452592
                                                                      26 2771995899 03165125252 05431199537 1612187974
                                                                      27 2676897761 03263641013 05244872796 1662367955
                                                                      28 2580781446 03371419529 0505655113 1717266013
                                                                      29 248133507 03492740545 04861704842 1779062077
                                                                      3 2374158982 03636235186 04651713652 1852152497
                                                                      31 2247263191 03826037427 04403085448 1948830153
                                                                      32
                                                                      33
                                                                      34
                                                                      35
                                                                      1
                                                                      09495926345
                                                                      09049739251
                                                                      08650188333
                                                                      08288808949
                                                                      07959078404
                                                                      07655862679
                                                                      07375041398
                                                                      07113245731
                                                                      06867669603
                                                                      06635929175
                                                                      06415953882
                                                                      06205897097
                                                                      06004056634
                                                                      05808795311
                                                                      0561844882
                                                                      05431199537
                                                                      05244872796
                                                                      0505655113
                                                                      04861704842
                                                                      04651713652
                                                                      Variable b l s g a p h
                                                                      Value 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84
Page 41: Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor · Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor DEGIT St. Petersburg, Russia. 8 September 2011. Richard

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequestsmdash MCR = 0

mdash MCR gt 0

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Policy-induced changes in factors

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)Suppose drr ge dππ Then dK lt 0

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reason In the steady-state 1βλ = rπ if bt gt 0

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

If the MCR γ = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reasonndash When γ = 0 investment dXX = dwwndash But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKKndash From the clearing condition X = π K so

dXX = dKK + dππ there4 drr = dππ

Aggregate Investment (γ = 0)

X = +[wh(1- l)][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Suppose the minimum consumption requirement γ gt 0 anddπ gt 0 Then drr gt dππ

Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

One consequence Effective return rπ rises child labor increases

dK + dππ = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in π is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ) 1σ]

( )( )

( )( ) =

Γ

+minusminusminus

minus

Γminus

+minus+minusminus

παα

πππαα r

llhlhrrr

llhllh

)1211

)1211

( )( ) 11

1

1minus+

equivΓσββ z

z

( ) ( )( )

Γminus

minus

+minus+

minus

minus

πππαα

α

γ

α

αα

rrr

llhA

r 1

)121

11

1

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rπ is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

Pedagogical Examples

Variable β λ σ γ α π hValue 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84

1

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

04 05 06 07 08 09 1

Relative Output

Rela

tive

Parti

cipa

tion

Rate

s

Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

γ gt 0 γ = 0

Why the difference

The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels Wages Return rπ Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of

middle-age decisionmakers

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Conclusions

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriersdeveloping countries can reduce child labor Without areduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricterbarriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lotof a country

  • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Background
  • Background
  • Slide Number 9
  • Slide Number 10
  • Slide Number 11
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • Slide Number 16
  • Slide Number 17
  • Slide Number 18
  • Slide Number 19
  • Slide Number 20
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • Slide Number 23
  • Preferences
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Aggregate Investment
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Slide Number 39
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Slide Number 43
  • Slide Number 44
  • Slide Number 45
  • Slide Number 46
  • Slide Number 47
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Aggregate Investment (g = 0)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Slide Number 62
  • Steady State
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Slide Number 67
  • Pedagogical Examples
  • Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)
  • Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)
  • Slide Number 71
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
    • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor

      DEGIT

      St Petersburg Russia

      8 September 2011

      Richard C Barnett

      Drexel University

      Secrecy vs Seclective Disclosure

      Outline of the Talk

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Conclusions

          Background

          Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

          The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

          Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Background

              Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

              The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

              Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)

                  Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

                  3 Important Features

                  Barriers

                  Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

                  Child Labor and Human Capital

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

                  Minimum Consumption Requirements

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

                  Related Studies

                  Overview

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  MCR g

                  The Model

                  Preferences

                  Ut ordm u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl Ut+1

                  where u(c ) = (c ndash g )1-s (1 - s) 0 pound b l pound 1

                  c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

                  c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  qt ordm bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3 wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) lb ucent(c1t+1 )

                  + wt + 2 hcent( 1- lt ) l b 2 ucent(c2t+2 )

                  Aggregate Investment

                  X = +

                  [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                  [rp + (b rp)1s]

                  wl (b rp)1s

                  [rp + (b rp)1s ]

                  Factors and Technologies

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Human Capital

                      Assumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

                      Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of

                      sequences for prices wt rt t sup3 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t sup3 1

                      and Xt Kt+1 lt t sup3 1 such that

                      Agents optimize

                      Factor payments

                      w = (1 - a) A Ka L-a

                      r = a A Ka -1 L1-a

                      All markets clear

                      Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 )

                      Capital xt + bt = p Kt +1

                      Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

                      Equilibrium

                      Approach

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          MCR = 0

                          MCR gt 0

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Steady State

                          • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                              • 1b l sup3 r p
                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                  • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                    • Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                      Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                      wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                      The Child Labor Decision

                                      Steady State

                                      • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                          • 1b l sup3 r p
                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                  -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                  Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                                  Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                                  wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                                  The Child Labor Decision

                                                  Steady State

                                                  • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                                      • 1b l sup3 r p
                                                      • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                            • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                              -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)

                                                                  Suppose drr sup3 dpp Then dK lt 0

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                  Reason In the steady-state 1bl = rp if bt gt 0

                                                                  Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      If the MCR g = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                      Reason

                                                                      When g = 0 investment dXX = dww

                                                                      But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKK

                                                                      From the clearing condition X = p K so

                                                                      dXX = dKK + dpp drr = dpp

                                                                      Aggregate Investment (g = 0)

                                                                      X = +

                                                                      [wh(1- l)][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Suppose the minimum consumption requirement g gt 0 and

                                                                      dp gt 0 Then drr gt dpp

                                                                      Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

                                                                      One consequence Effective return rp rises child labor increases

                                                                      dK + dpp = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

                                                                      Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in p is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

                                                                      Steady State

                                                                      + = K

                                                                      [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp) 1s]

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rp is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛

                                                                      primeprime

                                                                      +rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l Kprime )

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛ +

                                                                      rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      l

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l K )

                                                                      l l prime

                                                                      Pedagogical Examples

                                                                      Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

                                                                      Chart1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates
                                                                      1
                                                                      1036832741
                                                                      1073090064
                                                                      1108955549
                                                                      1144590727
                                                                      1180143169
                                                                      1215752801
                                                                      1251557262
                                                                      1287696923
                                                                      1324320074
                                                                      1361588833
                                                                      1399686467
                                                                      1438827114
                                                                      1479269523
                                                                      152133756
                                                                      1565452592
                                                                      1612187974
                                                                      1662367955
                                                                      1717266013
                                                                      1779062077
                                                                      1852152497

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates

                                                                      Sheet2

                                                                      Sheet3

                                                                      Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

                                                                      g gt 0

                                                                      g = 0

                                                                      Why the difference

                                                                      The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels

                                                                      Wages

                                                                      Return rπ

                                                                      Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of middle-age decisionmakers

                                                                      Conclusions

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriers developing countries can reduce child labor Without a reduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricter barriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lot of a country

                                                                          (

                                                                          )

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                                                                          +

                                                                          -

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                                                                          -

                                                                          uacute

                                                                          ucirc

                                                                          ugrave

                                                                          ecirc

                                                                          euml

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                                                                          ouml

                                                                          ccedil

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                                                                          1

                                                                          2

                                                                          1

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                                                                          )

                                                                          1

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                                                                          (

                                                                          )

                                                                          (

                                                                          )

                                                                          1

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                                                                          (

                                                                          )

                                                                          (

                                                                          )

                                                                          (

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                                                                          uacute

                                                                          ucirc

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                                                                          ecirc

                                                                          euml

                                                                          eacute

                                                                          divide

                                                                          oslash

                                                                          ouml

                                                                          ccedil

                                                                          egrave

                                                                          aelig

                                                                          G

                                                                          -

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                                                                          +

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                                                                          p

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                                                                          l

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                                                                          11

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                                                                          14

                                                                          15

                                                                          16

                                                                          17

                                                                          18

                                                                          19

                                                                          0405060708091

                                                                          Relative Output

                                                                          Relative Participation Rates

                                                                          Fig 42b Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          = 0

                                                                          4

                                                                          41

                                                                          42

                                                                          43

                                                                          44

                                                                          45

                                                                          46

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          002

                                                                          004

                                                                          006

                                                                          008

                                                                          01

                                                                          012

                                                                          014

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                          Fig 42a Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          gt 0

                                                                          28

                                                                          29

                                                                          3

                                                                          31

                                                                          32

                                                                          33

                                                                          34

                                                                          35

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          005

                                                                          01

                                                                          015

                                                                          02

                                                                          025

                                                                          03

                                                                          035

                                                                          04

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                      y l ratio y ratio l
                                                                      1 5103837338 0196324827 1 1
                                                                      11 4846566344 02035560085 09495926345 1036832741
                                                                      12 4618839709 02106742213 09049739251 1073090064
                                                                      13 4414915419 02177155064 08650188333 1108955549
                                                                      14 423047326 02247115765 08288808949 1144590727
                                                                      15 4062184154 02316914036 07959078404 1180143169
                                                                      16 390742778 02386824584 07655862679 1215752801
                                                                      17 3764101166 0245711763 07375041398 1251557262
                                                                      18 3630484915 02528068757 07113245731 1287696923
                                                                      19 3505146855 02599969094 06867669603 1324320074
                                                                      2 3386870309 02673136922 06635929175 1361588833
                                                                      21 3274598498 02747932035 06415953882 1399686467
                                                                      22 3167388932 02824774842 06205897097 1438827114
                                                                      23 3064372843 02904173333 06004056634 1479269523
                                                                      24 296471464 02986763333 05808795311 152133756
                                                                      25 2867564887 03073372094 0561844882 1565452592
                                                                      26 2771995899 03165125252 05431199537 1612187974
                                                                      27 2676897761 03263641013 05244872796 1662367955
                                                                      28 2580781446 03371419529 0505655113 1717266013
                                                                      29 248133507 03492740545 04861704842 1779062077
                                                                      3 2374158982 03636235186 04651713652 1852152497
                                                                      31 2247263191 03826037427 04403085448 1948830153
                                                                      32
                                                                      33
                                                                      34
                                                                      35
                                                                      1
                                                                      09495926345
                                                                      09049739251
                                                                      08650188333
                                                                      08288808949
                                                                      07959078404
                                                                      07655862679
                                                                      07375041398
                                                                      07113245731
                                                                      06867669603
                                                                      06635929175
                                                                      06415953882
                                                                      06205897097
                                                                      06004056634
                                                                      05808795311
                                                                      0561844882
                                                                      05431199537
                                                                      05244872796
                                                                      0505655113
                                                                      04861704842
                                                                      04651713652
                                                                      Variable b l s g a p h
                                                                      Value 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84
Page 42: Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor · Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor DEGIT St. Petersburg, Russia. 8 September 2011. Richard

Approach

Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequestsmdash MCR = 0

mdash MCR gt 0

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Policy-induced changes in factors

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)Suppose drr ge dππ Then dK lt 0

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reason In the steady-state 1βλ = rπ if bt gt 0

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

If the MCR γ = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reasonndash When γ = 0 investment dXX = dwwndash But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKKndash From the clearing condition X = π K so

dXX = dKK + dππ there4 drr = dππ

Aggregate Investment (γ = 0)

X = +[wh(1- l)][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Suppose the minimum consumption requirement γ gt 0 anddπ gt 0 Then drr gt dππ

Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

One consequence Effective return rπ rises child labor increases

dK + dππ = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in π is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ) 1σ]

( )( )

( )( ) =

Γ

+minusminusminus

minus

Γminus

+minus+minusminus

παα

πππαα r

llhlhrrr

llhllh

)1211

)1211

( )( ) 11

1

1minus+

equivΓσββ z

z

( ) ( )( )

Γminus

minus

+minus+

minus

minus

πππαα

α

γ

α

αα

rrr

llhA

r 1

)121

11

1

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rπ is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

Pedagogical Examples

Variable β λ σ γ α π hValue 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84

1

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

04 05 06 07 08 09 1

Relative Output

Rela

tive

Parti

cipa

tion

Rate

s

Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

γ gt 0 γ = 0

Why the difference

The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels Wages Return rπ Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of

middle-age decisionmakers

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Conclusions

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriersdeveloping countries can reduce child labor Without areduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricterbarriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lotof a country

  • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Background
  • Background
  • Slide Number 9
  • Slide Number 10
  • Slide Number 11
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • Slide Number 16
  • Slide Number 17
  • Slide Number 18
  • Slide Number 19
  • Slide Number 20
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • Slide Number 23
  • Preferences
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Aggregate Investment
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Slide Number 39
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Slide Number 43
  • Slide Number 44
  • Slide Number 45
  • Slide Number 46
  • Slide Number 47
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Aggregate Investment (g = 0)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Slide Number 62
  • Steady State
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Slide Number 67
  • Pedagogical Examples
  • Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)
  • Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)
  • Slide Number 71
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
    • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor

      DEGIT

      St Petersburg Russia

      8 September 2011

      Richard C Barnett

      Drexel University

      Secrecy vs Seclective Disclosure

      Outline of the Talk

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Conclusions

          Background

          Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

          The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

          Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Background

              Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

              The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

              Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)

                  Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

                  3 Important Features

                  Barriers

                  Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

                  Child Labor and Human Capital

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

                  Minimum Consumption Requirements

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

                  Related Studies

                  Overview

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  MCR g

                  The Model

                  Preferences

                  Ut ordm u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl Ut+1

                  where u(c ) = (c ndash g )1-s (1 - s) 0 pound b l pound 1

                  c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

                  c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  qt ordm bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3 wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) lb ucent(c1t+1 )

                  + wt + 2 hcent( 1- lt ) l b 2 ucent(c2t+2 )

                  Aggregate Investment

                  X = +

                  [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                  [rp + (b rp)1s]

                  wl (b rp)1s

                  [rp + (b rp)1s ]

                  Factors and Technologies

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Human Capital

                      Assumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

                      Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of

                      sequences for prices wt rt t sup3 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t sup3 1

                      and Xt Kt+1 lt t sup3 1 such that

                      Agents optimize

                      Factor payments

                      w = (1 - a) A Ka L-a

                      r = a A Ka -1 L1-a

                      All markets clear

                      Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 )

                      Capital xt + bt = p Kt +1

                      Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

                      Equilibrium

                      Approach

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          MCR = 0

                          MCR gt 0

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Steady State

                          • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                              • 1b l sup3 r p
                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                  • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                    • Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                      Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                      wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                      The Child Labor Decision

                                      Steady State

                                      • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                          • 1b l sup3 r p
                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                  -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                  Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                                  Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                                  wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                                  The Child Labor Decision

                                                  Steady State

                                                  • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                                      • 1b l sup3 r p
                                                      • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                            • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                              -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)

                                                                  Suppose drr sup3 dpp Then dK lt 0

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                  Reason In the steady-state 1bl = rp if bt gt 0

                                                                  Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      If the MCR g = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                      Reason

                                                                      When g = 0 investment dXX = dww

                                                                      But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKK

                                                                      From the clearing condition X = p K so

                                                                      dXX = dKK + dpp drr = dpp

                                                                      Aggregate Investment (g = 0)

                                                                      X = +

                                                                      [wh(1- l)][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Suppose the minimum consumption requirement g gt 0 and

                                                                      dp gt 0 Then drr gt dpp

                                                                      Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

                                                                      One consequence Effective return rp rises child labor increases

                                                                      dK + dpp = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

                                                                      Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in p is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

                                                                      Steady State

                                                                      + = K

                                                                      [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp) 1s]

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rp is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛

                                                                      primeprime

                                                                      +rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l Kprime )

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛ +

                                                                      rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      l

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l K )

                                                                      l l prime

                                                                      Pedagogical Examples

                                                                      Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

                                                                      Chart1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates
                                                                      1
                                                                      1036832741
                                                                      1073090064
                                                                      1108955549
                                                                      1144590727
                                                                      1180143169
                                                                      1215752801
                                                                      1251557262
                                                                      1287696923
                                                                      1324320074
                                                                      1361588833
                                                                      1399686467
                                                                      1438827114
                                                                      1479269523
                                                                      152133756
                                                                      1565452592
                                                                      1612187974
                                                                      1662367955
                                                                      1717266013
                                                                      1779062077
                                                                      1852152497

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates

                                                                      Sheet2

                                                                      Sheet3

                                                                      Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

                                                                      g gt 0

                                                                      g = 0

                                                                      Why the difference

                                                                      The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels

                                                                      Wages

                                                                      Return rπ

                                                                      Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of middle-age decisionmakers

                                                                      Conclusions

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriers developing countries can reduce child labor Without a reduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricter barriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lot of a country

                                                                          (

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                                                                          G

                                                                          s

                                                                          b

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                                                                          ucirc

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                                                                          divide

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                                                                          aelig

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                                                                          -

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                                                                          p

                                                                          p

                                                                          p

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          g

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          l

                                                                          l

                                                                          h

                                                                          A

                                                                          r

                                                                          1

                                                                          )

                                                                          1

                                                                          2

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                                                                          1

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                                                                          11

                                                                          12

                                                                          13

                                                                          14

                                                                          15

                                                                          16

                                                                          17

                                                                          18

                                                                          19

                                                                          0405060708091

                                                                          Relative Output

                                                                          Relative Participation Rates

                                                                          Fig 42b Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          = 0

                                                                          4

                                                                          41

                                                                          42

                                                                          43

                                                                          44

                                                                          45

                                                                          46

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          002

                                                                          004

                                                                          006

                                                                          008

                                                                          01

                                                                          012

                                                                          014

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                          Fig 42a Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          gt 0

                                                                          28

                                                                          29

                                                                          3

                                                                          31

                                                                          32

                                                                          33

                                                                          34

                                                                          35

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          005

                                                                          01

                                                                          015

                                                                          02

                                                                          025

                                                                          03

                                                                          035

                                                                          04

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                      y l ratio y ratio l
                                                                      1 5103837338 0196324827 1 1
                                                                      11 4846566344 02035560085 09495926345 1036832741
                                                                      12 4618839709 02106742213 09049739251 1073090064
                                                                      13 4414915419 02177155064 08650188333 1108955549
                                                                      14 423047326 02247115765 08288808949 1144590727
                                                                      15 4062184154 02316914036 07959078404 1180143169
                                                                      16 390742778 02386824584 07655862679 1215752801
                                                                      17 3764101166 0245711763 07375041398 1251557262
                                                                      18 3630484915 02528068757 07113245731 1287696923
                                                                      19 3505146855 02599969094 06867669603 1324320074
                                                                      2 3386870309 02673136922 06635929175 1361588833
                                                                      21 3274598498 02747932035 06415953882 1399686467
                                                                      22 3167388932 02824774842 06205897097 1438827114
                                                                      23 3064372843 02904173333 06004056634 1479269523
                                                                      24 296471464 02986763333 05808795311 152133756
                                                                      25 2867564887 03073372094 0561844882 1565452592
                                                                      26 2771995899 03165125252 05431199537 1612187974
                                                                      27 2676897761 03263641013 05244872796 1662367955
                                                                      28 2580781446 03371419529 0505655113 1717266013
                                                                      29 248133507 03492740545 04861704842 1779062077
                                                                      3 2374158982 03636235186 04651713652 1852152497
                                                                      31 2247263191 03826037427 04403085448 1948830153
                                                                      32
                                                                      33
                                                                      34
                                                                      35
                                                                      1
                                                                      09495926345
                                                                      09049739251
                                                                      08650188333
                                                                      08288808949
                                                                      07959078404
                                                                      07655862679
                                                                      07375041398
                                                                      07113245731
                                                                      06867669603
                                                                      06635929175
                                                                      06415953882
                                                                      06205897097
                                                                      06004056634
                                                                      05808795311
                                                                      0561844882
                                                                      05431199537
                                                                      05244872796
                                                                      0505655113
                                                                      04861704842
                                                                      04651713652
                                                                      Variable b l s g a p h
                                                                      Value 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84
Page 43: Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor · Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor DEGIT St. Petersburg, Russia. 8 September 2011. Richard

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Policy-induced changes in factors

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)Suppose drr ge dππ Then dK lt 0

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reason In the steady-state 1βλ = rπ if bt gt 0

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

If the MCR γ = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reasonndash When γ = 0 investment dXX = dwwndash But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKKndash From the clearing condition X = π K so

dXX = dKK + dππ there4 drr = dππ

Aggregate Investment (γ = 0)

X = +[wh(1- l)][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Suppose the minimum consumption requirement γ gt 0 anddπ gt 0 Then drr gt dππ

Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

One consequence Effective return rπ rises child labor increases

dK + dππ = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in π is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ) 1σ]

( )( )

( )( ) =

Γ

+minusminusminus

minus

Γminus

+minus+minusminus

παα

πππαα r

llhlhrrr

llhllh

)1211

)1211

( )( ) 11

1

1minus+

equivΓσββ z

z

( ) ( )( )

Γminus

minus

+minus+

minus

minus

πππαα

α

γ

α

αα

rrr

llhA

r 1

)121

11

1

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rπ is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

Pedagogical Examples

Variable β λ σ γ α π hValue 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84

1

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

04 05 06 07 08 09 1

Relative Output

Rela

tive

Parti

cipa

tion

Rate

s

Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

γ gt 0 γ = 0

Why the difference

The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels Wages Return rπ Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of

middle-age decisionmakers

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Conclusions

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriersdeveloping countries can reduce child labor Without areduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricterbarriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lotof a country

  • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Background
  • Background
  • Slide Number 9
  • Slide Number 10
  • Slide Number 11
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • Slide Number 16
  • Slide Number 17
  • Slide Number 18
  • Slide Number 19
  • Slide Number 20
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • Slide Number 23
  • Preferences
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Aggregate Investment
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Slide Number 39
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Slide Number 43
  • Slide Number 44
  • Slide Number 45
  • Slide Number 46
  • Slide Number 47
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Aggregate Investment (g = 0)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Slide Number 62
  • Steady State
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Slide Number 67
  • Pedagogical Examples
  • Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)
  • Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)
  • Slide Number 71
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
    • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor

      DEGIT

      St Petersburg Russia

      8 September 2011

      Richard C Barnett

      Drexel University

      Secrecy vs Seclective Disclosure

      Outline of the Talk

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Conclusions

          Background

          Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

          The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

          Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Background

              Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

              The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

              Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)

                  Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

                  3 Important Features

                  Barriers

                  Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

                  Child Labor and Human Capital

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

                  Minimum Consumption Requirements

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

                  Related Studies

                  Overview

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  MCR g

                  The Model

                  Preferences

                  Ut ordm u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl Ut+1

                  where u(c ) = (c ndash g )1-s (1 - s) 0 pound b l pound 1

                  c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

                  c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  qt ordm bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3 wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) lb ucent(c1t+1 )

                  + wt + 2 hcent( 1- lt ) l b 2 ucent(c2t+2 )

                  Aggregate Investment

                  X = +

                  [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                  [rp + (b rp)1s]

                  wl (b rp)1s

                  [rp + (b rp)1s ]

                  Factors and Technologies

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Human Capital

                      Assumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

                      Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of

                      sequences for prices wt rt t sup3 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t sup3 1

                      and Xt Kt+1 lt t sup3 1 such that

                      Agents optimize

                      Factor payments

                      w = (1 - a) A Ka L-a

                      r = a A Ka -1 L1-a

                      All markets clear

                      Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 )

                      Capital xt + bt = p Kt +1

                      Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

                      Equilibrium

                      Approach

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          MCR = 0

                          MCR gt 0

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Steady State

                          • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                              • 1b l sup3 r p
                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                  • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                    • Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                      Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                      wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                      The Child Labor Decision

                                      Steady State

                                      • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                          • 1b l sup3 r p
                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                  -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                  Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                                  Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                                  wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                                  The Child Labor Decision

                                                  Steady State

                                                  • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                                      • 1b l sup3 r p
                                                      • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                            • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                              -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)

                                                                  Suppose drr sup3 dpp Then dK lt 0

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                  Reason In the steady-state 1bl = rp if bt gt 0

                                                                  Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      If the MCR g = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                      Reason

                                                                      When g = 0 investment dXX = dww

                                                                      But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKK

                                                                      From the clearing condition X = p K so

                                                                      dXX = dKK + dpp drr = dpp

                                                                      Aggregate Investment (g = 0)

                                                                      X = +

                                                                      [wh(1- l)][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Suppose the minimum consumption requirement g gt 0 and

                                                                      dp gt 0 Then drr gt dpp

                                                                      Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

                                                                      One consequence Effective return rp rises child labor increases

                                                                      dK + dpp = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

                                                                      Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in p is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

                                                                      Steady State

                                                                      + = K

                                                                      [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp) 1s]

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rp is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛

                                                                      primeprime

                                                                      +rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l Kprime )

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛ +

                                                                      rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      l

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l K )

                                                                      l l prime

                                                                      Pedagogical Examples

                                                                      Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

                                                                      Chart1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates
                                                                      1
                                                                      1036832741
                                                                      1073090064
                                                                      1108955549
                                                                      1144590727
                                                                      1180143169
                                                                      1215752801
                                                                      1251557262
                                                                      1287696923
                                                                      1324320074
                                                                      1361588833
                                                                      1399686467
                                                                      1438827114
                                                                      1479269523
                                                                      152133756
                                                                      1565452592
                                                                      1612187974
                                                                      1662367955
                                                                      1717266013
                                                                      1779062077
                                                                      1852152497

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates

                                                                      Sheet2

                                                                      Sheet3

                                                                      Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

                                                                      g gt 0

                                                                      g = 0

                                                                      Why the difference

                                                                      The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels

                                                                      Wages

                                                                      Return rπ

                                                                      Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of middle-age decisionmakers

                                                                      Conclusions

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriers developing countries can reduce child labor Without a reduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricter barriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lot of a country

                                                                          (

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                                                                          14

                                                                          15

                                                                          16

                                                                          17

                                                                          18

                                                                          19

                                                                          0405060708091

                                                                          Relative Output

                                                                          Relative Participation Rates

                                                                          Fig 42b Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          = 0

                                                                          4

                                                                          41

                                                                          42

                                                                          43

                                                                          44

                                                                          45

                                                                          46

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          002

                                                                          004

                                                                          006

                                                                          008

                                                                          01

                                                                          012

                                                                          014

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                          Fig 42a Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          gt 0

                                                                          28

                                                                          29

                                                                          3

                                                                          31

                                                                          32

                                                                          33

                                                                          34

                                                                          35

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          005

                                                                          01

                                                                          015

                                                                          02

                                                                          025

                                                                          03

                                                                          035

                                                                          04

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                      y l ratio y ratio l
                                                                      1 5103837338 0196324827 1 1
                                                                      11 4846566344 02035560085 09495926345 1036832741
                                                                      12 4618839709 02106742213 09049739251 1073090064
                                                                      13 4414915419 02177155064 08650188333 1108955549
                                                                      14 423047326 02247115765 08288808949 1144590727
                                                                      15 4062184154 02316914036 07959078404 1180143169
                                                                      16 390742778 02386824584 07655862679 1215752801
                                                                      17 3764101166 0245711763 07375041398 1251557262
                                                                      18 3630484915 02528068757 07113245731 1287696923
                                                                      19 3505146855 02599969094 06867669603 1324320074
                                                                      2 3386870309 02673136922 06635929175 1361588833
                                                                      21 3274598498 02747932035 06415953882 1399686467
                                                                      22 3167388932 02824774842 06205897097 1438827114
                                                                      23 3064372843 02904173333 06004056634 1479269523
                                                                      24 296471464 02986763333 05808795311 152133756
                                                                      25 2867564887 03073372094 0561844882 1565452592
                                                                      26 2771995899 03165125252 05431199537 1612187974
                                                                      27 2676897761 03263641013 05244872796 1662367955
                                                                      28 2580781446 03371419529 0505655113 1717266013
                                                                      29 248133507 03492740545 04861704842 1779062077
                                                                      3 2374158982 03636235186 04651713652 1852152497
                                                                      31 2247263191 03826037427 04403085448 1948830153
                                                                      32
                                                                      33
                                                                      34
                                                                      35
                                                                      1
                                                                      09495926345
                                                                      09049739251
                                                                      08650188333
                                                                      08288808949
                                                                      07959078404
                                                                      07655862679
                                                                      07375041398
                                                                      07113245731
                                                                      06867669603
                                                                      06635929175
                                                                      06415953882
                                                                      06205897097
                                                                      06004056634
                                                                      05808795311
                                                                      0561844882
                                                                      05431199537
                                                                      05244872796
                                                                      0505655113
                                                                      04861704842
                                                                      04651713652
                                                                      Variable b l s g a p h
                                                                      Value 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84
Page 44: Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor · Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor DEGIT St. Petersburg, Russia. 8 September 2011. Richard

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Policy-induced changes in factors

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)Suppose drr ge dππ Then dK lt 0

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reason In the steady-state 1βλ = rπ if bt gt 0

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

If the MCR γ = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reasonndash When γ = 0 investment dXX = dwwndash But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKKndash From the clearing condition X = π K so

dXX = dKK + dππ there4 drr = dππ

Aggregate Investment (γ = 0)

X = +[wh(1- l)][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Suppose the minimum consumption requirement γ gt 0 anddπ gt 0 Then drr gt dππ

Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

One consequence Effective return rπ rises child labor increases

dK + dππ = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in π is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ) 1σ]

( )( )

( )( ) =

Γ

+minusminusminus

minus

Γminus

+minus+minusminus

παα

πππαα r

llhlhrrr

llhllh

)1211

)1211

( )( ) 11

1

1minus+

equivΓσββ z

z

( ) ( )( )

Γminus

minus

+minus+

minus

minus

πππαα

α

γ

α

αα

rrr

llhA

r 1

)121

11

1

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rπ is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

Pedagogical Examples

Variable β λ σ γ α π hValue 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84

1

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

04 05 06 07 08 09 1

Relative Output

Rela

tive

Parti

cipa

tion

Rate

s

Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

γ gt 0 γ = 0

Why the difference

The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels Wages Return rπ Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of

middle-age decisionmakers

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Conclusions

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriersdeveloping countries can reduce child labor Without areduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricterbarriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lotof a country

  • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Background
  • Background
  • Slide Number 9
  • Slide Number 10
  • Slide Number 11
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • Slide Number 16
  • Slide Number 17
  • Slide Number 18
  • Slide Number 19
  • Slide Number 20
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • Slide Number 23
  • Preferences
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Aggregate Investment
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Slide Number 39
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Slide Number 43
  • Slide Number 44
  • Slide Number 45
  • Slide Number 46
  • Slide Number 47
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Aggregate Investment (g = 0)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Slide Number 62
  • Steady State
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Slide Number 67
  • Pedagogical Examples
  • Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)
  • Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)
  • Slide Number 71
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
    • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor

      DEGIT

      St Petersburg Russia

      8 September 2011

      Richard C Barnett

      Drexel University

      Secrecy vs Seclective Disclosure

      Outline of the Talk

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Conclusions

          Background

          Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

          The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

          Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Background

              Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

              The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

              Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)

                  Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

                  3 Important Features

                  Barriers

                  Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

                  Child Labor and Human Capital

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

                  Minimum Consumption Requirements

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

                  Related Studies

                  Overview

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  MCR g

                  The Model

                  Preferences

                  Ut ordm u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl Ut+1

                  where u(c ) = (c ndash g )1-s (1 - s) 0 pound b l pound 1

                  c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

                  c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  qt ordm bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3 wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) lb ucent(c1t+1 )

                  + wt + 2 hcent( 1- lt ) l b 2 ucent(c2t+2 )

                  Aggregate Investment

                  X = +

                  [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                  [rp + (b rp)1s]

                  wl (b rp)1s

                  [rp + (b rp)1s ]

                  Factors and Technologies

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Human Capital

                      Assumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

                      Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of

                      sequences for prices wt rt t sup3 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t sup3 1

                      and Xt Kt+1 lt t sup3 1 such that

                      Agents optimize

                      Factor payments

                      w = (1 - a) A Ka L-a

                      r = a A Ka -1 L1-a

                      All markets clear

                      Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 )

                      Capital xt + bt = p Kt +1

                      Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

                      Equilibrium

                      Approach

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          MCR = 0

                          MCR gt 0

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Steady State

                          • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                              • 1b l sup3 r p
                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                  • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                    • Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                      Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                      wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                      The Child Labor Decision

                                      Steady State

                                      • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                          • 1b l sup3 r p
                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                  -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                  Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                                  Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                                  wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                                  The Child Labor Decision

                                                  Steady State

                                                  • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                                      • 1b l sup3 r p
                                                      • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                            • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                              -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)

                                                                  Suppose drr sup3 dpp Then dK lt 0

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                  Reason In the steady-state 1bl = rp if bt gt 0

                                                                  Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      If the MCR g = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                      Reason

                                                                      When g = 0 investment dXX = dww

                                                                      But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKK

                                                                      From the clearing condition X = p K so

                                                                      dXX = dKK + dpp drr = dpp

                                                                      Aggregate Investment (g = 0)

                                                                      X = +

                                                                      [wh(1- l)][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Suppose the minimum consumption requirement g gt 0 and

                                                                      dp gt 0 Then drr gt dpp

                                                                      Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

                                                                      One consequence Effective return rp rises child labor increases

                                                                      dK + dpp = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

                                                                      Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in p is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

                                                                      Steady State

                                                                      + = K

                                                                      [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp) 1s]

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rp is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛

                                                                      primeprime

                                                                      +rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l Kprime )

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛ +

                                                                      rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      l

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l K )

                                                                      l l prime

                                                                      Pedagogical Examples

                                                                      Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

                                                                      Chart1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates
                                                                      1
                                                                      1036832741
                                                                      1073090064
                                                                      1108955549
                                                                      1144590727
                                                                      1180143169
                                                                      1215752801
                                                                      1251557262
                                                                      1287696923
                                                                      1324320074
                                                                      1361588833
                                                                      1399686467
                                                                      1438827114
                                                                      1479269523
                                                                      152133756
                                                                      1565452592
                                                                      1612187974
                                                                      1662367955
                                                                      1717266013
                                                                      1779062077
                                                                      1852152497

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates

                                                                      Sheet2

                                                                      Sheet3

                                                                      Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

                                                                      g gt 0

                                                                      g = 0

                                                                      Why the difference

                                                                      The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels

                                                                      Wages

                                                                      Return rπ

                                                                      Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of middle-age decisionmakers

                                                                      Conclusions

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriers developing countries can reduce child labor Without a reduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricter barriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lot of a country

                                                                          (

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                                                                          a

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                                                                          r

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                                                                          16

                                                                          17

                                                                          18

                                                                          19

                                                                          0405060708091

                                                                          Relative Output

                                                                          Relative Participation Rates

                                                                          Fig 42b Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          = 0

                                                                          4

                                                                          41

                                                                          42

                                                                          43

                                                                          44

                                                                          45

                                                                          46

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          002

                                                                          004

                                                                          006

                                                                          008

                                                                          01

                                                                          012

                                                                          014

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                          Fig 42a Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          gt 0

                                                                          28

                                                                          29

                                                                          3

                                                                          31

                                                                          32

                                                                          33

                                                                          34

                                                                          35

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          005

                                                                          01

                                                                          015

                                                                          02

                                                                          025

                                                                          03

                                                                          035

                                                                          04

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                      y l ratio y ratio l
                                                                      1 5103837338 0196324827 1 1
                                                                      11 4846566344 02035560085 09495926345 1036832741
                                                                      12 4618839709 02106742213 09049739251 1073090064
                                                                      13 4414915419 02177155064 08650188333 1108955549
                                                                      14 423047326 02247115765 08288808949 1144590727
                                                                      15 4062184154 02316914036 07959078404 1180143169
                                                                      16 390742778 02386824584 07655862679 1215752801
                                                                      17 3764101166 0245711763 07375041398 1251557262
                                                                      18 3630484915 02528068757 07113245731 1287696923
                                                                      19 3505146855 02599969094 06867669603 1324320074
                                                                      2 3386870309 02673136922 06635929175 1361588833
                                                                      21 3274598498 02747932035 06415953882 1399686467
                                                                      22 3167388932 02824774842 06205897097 1438827114
                                                                      23 3064372843 02904173333 06004056634 1479269523
                                                                      24 296471464 02986763333 05808795311 152133756
                                                                      25 2867564887 03073372094 0561844882 1565452592
                                                                      26 2771995899 03165125252 05431199537 1612187974
                                                                      27 2676897761 03263641013 05244872796 1662367955
                                                                      28 2580781446 03371419529 0505655113 1717266013
                                                                      29 248133507 03492740545 04861704842 1779062077
                                                                      3 2374158982 03636235186 04651713652 1852152497
                                                                      31 2247263191 03826037427 04403085448 1948830153
                                                                      32
                                                                      33
                                                                      34
                                                                      35
                                                                      1
                                                                      09495926345
                                                                      09049739251
                                                                      08650188333
                                                                      08288808949
                                                                      07959078404
                                                                      07655862679
                                                                      07375041398
                                                                      07113245731
                                                                      06867669603
                                                                      06635929175
                                                                      06415953882
                                                                      06205897097
                                                                      06004056634
                                                                      05808795311
                                                                      0561844882
                                                                      05431199537
                                                                      05244872796
                                                                      0505655113
                                                                      04861704842
                                                                      04651713652
                                                                      Variable b l s g a p h
                                                                      Value 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84
Page 45: Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor · Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor DEGIT St. Petersburg, Russia. 8 September 2011. Richard

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Policy-induced changes in factors

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)Suppose drr ge dππ Then dK lt 0

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reason In the steady-state 1βλ = rπ if bt gt 0

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

If the MCR γ = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reasonndash When γ = 0 investment dXX = dwwndash But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKKndash From the clearing condition X = π K so

dXX = dKK + dππ there4 drr = dππ

Aggregate Investment (γ = 0)

X = +[wh(1- l)][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Suppose the minimum consumption requirement γ gt 0 anddπ gt 0 Then drr gt dππ

Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

One consequence Effective return rπ rises child labor increases

dK + dππ = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in π is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ) 1σ]

( )( )

( )( ) =

Γ

+minusminusminus

minus

Γminus

+minus+minusminus

παα

πππαα r

llhlhrrr

llhllh

)1211

)1211

( )( ) 11

1

1minus+

equivΓσββ z

z

( ) ( )( )

Γminus

minus

+minus+

minus

minus

πππαα

α

γ

α

αα

rrr

llhA

r 1

)121

11

1

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rπ is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

Pedagogical Examples

Variable β λ σ γ α π hValue 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84

1

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

04 05 06 07 08 09 1

Relative Output

Rela

tive

Parti

cipa

tion

Rate

s

Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

γ gt 0 γ = 0

Why the difference

The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels Wages Return rπ Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of

middle-age decisionmakers

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Conclusions

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriersdeveloping countries can reduce child labor Without areduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricterbarriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lotof a country

  • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Background
  • Background
  • Slide Number 9
  • Slide Number 10
  • Slide Number 11
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • Slide Number 16
  • Slide Number 17
  • Slide Number 18
  • Slide Number 19
  • Slide Number 20
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • Slide Number 23
  • Preferences
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Aggregate Investment
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Slide Number 39
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Slide Number 43
  • Slide Number 44
  • Slide Number 45
  • Slide Number 46
  • Slide Number 47
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Aggregate Investment (g = 0)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Slide Number 62
  • Steady State
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Slide Number 67
  • Pedagogical Examples
  • Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)
  • Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)
  • Slide Number 71
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
    • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor

      DEGIT

      St Petersburg Russia

      8 September 2011

      Richard C Barnett

      Drexel University

      Secrecy vs Seclective Disclosure

      Outline of the Talk

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Conclusions

          Background

          Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

          The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

          Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Background

              Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

              The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

              Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)

                  Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

                  3 Important Features

                  Barriers

                  Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

                  Child Labor and Human Capital

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

                  Minimum Consumption Requirements

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

                  Related Studies

                  Overview

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  MCR g

                  The Model

                  Preferences

                  Ut ordm u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl Ut+1

                  where u(c ) = (c ndash g )1-s (1 - s) 0 pound b l pound 1

                  c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

                  c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  qt ordm bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3 wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) lb ucent(c1t+1 )

                  + wt + 2 hcent( 1- lt ) l b 2 ucent(c2t+2 )

                  Aggregate Investment

                  X = +

                  [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                  [rp + (b rp)1s]

                  wl (b rp)1s

                  [rp + (b rp)1s ]

                  Factors and Technologies

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Human Capital

                      Assumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

                      Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of

                      sequences for prices wt rt t sup3 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t sup3 1

                      and Xt Kt+1 lt t sup3 1 such that

                      Agents optimize

                      Factor payments

                      w = (1 - a) A Ka L-a

                      r = a A Ka -1 L1-a

                      All markets clear

                      Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 )

                      Capital xt + bt = p Kt +1

                      Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

                      Equilibrium

                      Approach

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          MCR = 0

                          MCR gt 0

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Steady State

                          • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                              • 1b l sup3 r p
                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                  • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                    • Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                      Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                      wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                      The Child Labor Decision

                                      Steady State

                                      • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                          • 1b l sup3 r p
                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                  -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                  Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                                  Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                                  wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                                  The Child Labor Decision

                                                  Steady State

                                                  • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                                      • 1b l sup3 r p
                                                      • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                            • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                              -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)

                                                                  Suppose drr sup3 dpp Then dK lt 0

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                  Reason In the steady-state 1bl = rp if bt gt 0

                                                                  Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      If the MCR g = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                      Reason

                                                                      When g = 0 investment dXX = dww

                                                                      But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKK

                                                                      From the clearing condition X = p K so

                                                                      dXX = dKK + dpp drr = dpp

                                                                      Aggregate Investment (g = 0)

                                                                      X = +

                                                                      [wh(1- l)][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Suppose the minimum consumption requirement g gt 0 and

                                                                      dp gt 0 Then drr gt dpp

                                                                      Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

                                                                      One consequence Effective return rp rises child labor increases

                                                                      dK + dpp = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

                                                                      Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in p is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

                                                                      Steady State

                                                                      + = K

                                                                      [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp) 1s]

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rp is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛

                                                                      primeprime

                                                                      +rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l Kprime )

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛ +

                                                                      rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      l

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l K )

                                                                      l l prime

                                                                      Pedagogical Examples

                                                                      Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

                                                                      Chart1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates
                                                                      1
                                                                      1036832741
                                                                      1073090064
                                                                      1108955549
                                                                      1144590727
                                                                      1180143169
                                                                      1215752801
                                                                      1251557262
                                                                      1287696923
                                                                      1324320074
                                                                      1361588833
                                                                      1399686467
                                                                      1438827114
                                                                      1479269523
                                                                      152133756
                                                                      1565452592
                                                                      1612187974
                                                                      1662367955
                                                                      1717266013
                                                                      1779062077
                                                                      1852152497

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates

                                                                      Sheet2

                                                                      Sheet3

                                                                      Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

                                                                      g gt 0

                                                                      g = 0

                                                                      Why the difference

                                                                      The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels

                                                                      Wages

                                                                      Return rπ

                                                                      Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of middle-age decisionmakers

                                                                      Conclusions

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriers developing countries can reduce child labor Without a reduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricter barriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lot of a country

                                                                          (

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                                                                          14

                                                                          15

                                                                          16

                                                                          17

                                                                          18

                                                                          19

                                                                          0405060708091

                                                                          Relative Output

                                                                          Relative Participation Rates

                                                                          Fig 42b Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          = 0

                                                                          4

                                                                          41

                                                                          42

                                                                          43

                                                                          44

                                                                          45

                                                                          46

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          002

                                                                          004

                                                                          006

                                                                          008

                                                                          01

                                                                          012

                                                                          014

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                          Fig 42a Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          gt 0

                                                                          28

                                                                          29

                                                                          3

                                                                          31

                                                                          32

                                                                          33

                                                                          34

                                                                          35

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          005

                                                                          01

                                                                          015

                                                                          02

                                                                          025

                                                                          03

                                                                          035

                                                                          04

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                      y l ratio y ratio l
                                                                      1 5103837338 0196324827 1 1
                                                                      11 4846566344 02035560085 09495926345 1036832741
                                                                      12 4618839709 02106742213 09049739251 1073090064
                                                                      13 4414915419 02177155064 08650188333 1108955549
                                                                      14 423047326 02247115765 08288808949 1144590727
                                                                      15 4062184154 02316914036 07959078404 1180143169
                                                                      16 390742778 02386824584 07655862679 1215752801
                                                                      17 3764101166 0245711763 07375041398 1251557262
                                                                      18 3630484915 02528068757 07113245731 1287696923
                                                                      19 3505146855 02599969094 06867669603 1324320074
                                                                      2 3386870309 02673136922 06635929175 1361588833
                                                                      21 3274598498 02747932035 06415953882 1399686467
                                                                      22 3167388932 02824774842 06205897097 1438827114
                                                                      23 3064372843 02904173333 06004056634 1479269523
                                                                      24 296471464 02986763333 05808795311 152133756
                                                                      25 2867564887 03073372094 0561844882 1565452592
                                                                      26 2771995899 03165125252 05431199537 1612187974
                                                                      27 2676897761 03263641013 05244872796 1662367955
                                                                      28 2580781446 03371419529 0505655113 1717266013
                                                                      29 248133507 03492740545 04861704842 1779062077
                                                                      3 2374158982 03636235186 04651713652 1852152497
                                                                      31 2247263191 03826037427 04403085448 1948830153
                                                                      32
                                                                      33
                                                                      34
                                                                      35
                                                                      1
                                                                      09495926345
                                                                      09049739251
                                                                      08650188333
                                                                      08288808949
                                                                      07959078404
                                                                      07655862679
                                                                      07375041398
                                                                      07113245731
                                                                      06867669603
                                                                      06635929175
                                                                      06415953882
                                                                      06205897097
                                                                      06004056634
                                                                      05808795311
                                                                      0561844882
                                                                      05431199537
                                                                      05244872796
                                                                      0505655113
                                                                      04861704842
                                                                      04651713652
                                                                      Variable b l s g a p h
                                                                      Value 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84
Page 46: Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor · Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor DEGIT St. Petersburg, Russia. 8 September 2011. Richard

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Policy-induced changes in factors

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)Suppose drr ge dππ Then dK lt 0

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reason In the steady-state 1βλ = rπ if bt gt 0

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

If the MCR γ = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reasonndash When γ = 0 investment dXX = dwwndash But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKKndash From the clearing condition X = π K so

dXX = dKK + dππ there4 drr = dππ

Aggregate Investment (γ = 0)

X = +[wh(1- l)][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Suppose the minimum consumption requirement γ gt 0 anddπ gt 0 Then drr gt dππ

Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

One consequence Effective return rπ rises child labor increases

dK + dππ = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in π is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ) 1σ]

( )( )

( )( ) =

Γ

+minusminusminus

minus

Γminus

+minus+minusminus

παα

πππαα r

llhlhrrr

llhllh

)1211

)1211

( )( ) 11

1

1minus+

equivΓσββ z

z

( ) ( )( )

Γminus

minus

+minus+

minus

minus

πππαα

α

γ

α

αα

rrr

llhA

r 1

)121

11

1

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rπ is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

Pedagogical Examples

Variable β λ σ γ α π hValue 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84

1

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

04 05 06 07 08 09 1

Relative Output

Rela

tive

Parti

cipa

tion

Rate

s

Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

γ gt 0 γ = 0

Why the difference

The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels Wages Return rπ Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of

middle-age decisionmakers

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Conclusions

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriersdeveloping countries can reduce child labor Without areduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricterbarriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lotof a country

  • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Background
  • Background
  • Slide Number 9
  • Slide Number 10
  • Slide Number 11
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • Slide Number 16
  • Slide Number 17
  • Slide Number 18
  • Slide Number 19
  • Slide Number 20
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • Slide Number 23
  • Preferences
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Aggregate Investment
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Slide Number 39
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Slide Number 43
  • Slide Number 44
  • Slide Number 45
  • Slide Number 46
  • Slide Number 47
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Aggregate Investment (g = 0)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Slide Number 62
  • Steady State
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Slide Number 67
  • Pedagogical Examples
  • Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)
  • Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)
  • Slide Number 71
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
    • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor

      DEGIT

      St Petersburg Russia

      8 September 2011

      Richard C Barnett

      Drexel University

      Secrecy vs Seclective Disclosure

      Outline of the Talk

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Conclusions

          Background

          Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

          The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

          Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Background

              Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

              The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

              Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)

                  Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

                  3 Important Features

                  Barriers

                  Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

                  Child Labor and Human Capital

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

                  Minimum Consumption Requirements

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

                  Related Studies

                  Overview

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  MCR g

                  The Model

                  Preferences

                  Ut ordm u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl Ut+1

                  where u(c ) = (c ndash g )1-s (1 - s) 0 pound b l pound 1

                  c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

                  c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  qt ordm bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3 wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) lb ucent(c1t+1 )

                  + wt + 2 hcent( 1- lt ) l b 2 ucent(c2t+2 )

                  Aggregate Investment

                  X = +

                  [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                  [rp + (b rp)1s]

                  wl (b rp)1s

                  [rp + (b rp)1s ]

                  Factors and Technologies

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Human Capital

                      Assumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

                      Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of

                      sequences for prices wt rt t sup3 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t sup3 1

                      and Xt Kt+1 lt t sup3 1 such that

                      Agents optimize

                      Factor payments

                      w = (1 - a) A Ka L-a

                      r = a A Ka -1 L1-a

                      All markets clear

                      Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 )

                      Capital xt + bt = p Kt +1

                      Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

                      Equilibrium

                      Approach

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          MCR = 0

                          MCR gt 0

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Steady State

                          • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                              • 1b l sup3 r p
                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                  • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                    • Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                      Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                      wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                      The Child Labor Decision

                                      Steady State

                                      • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                          • 1b l sup3 r p
                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                  -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                  Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                                  Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                                  wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                                  The Child Labor Decision

                                                  Steady State

                                                  • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                                      • 1b l sup3 r p
                                                      • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                            • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                              -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)

                                                                  Suppose drr sup3 dpp Then dK lt 0

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                  Reason In the steady-state 1bl = rp if bt gt 0

                                                                  Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      If the MCR g = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                      Reason

                                                                      When g = 0 investment dXX = dww

                                                                      But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKK

                                                                      From the clearing condition X = p K so

                                                                      dXX = dKK + dpp drr = dpp

                                                                      Aggregate Investment (g = 0)

                                                                      X = +

                                                                      [wh(1- l)][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Suppose the minimum consumption requirement g gt 0 and

                                                                      dp gt 0 Then drr gt dpp

                                                                      Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

                                                                      One consequence Effective return rp rises child labor increases

                                                                      dK + dpp = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

                                                                      Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in p is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

                                                                      Steady State

                                                                      + = K

                                                                      [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp) 1s]

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rp is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛

                                                                      primeprime

                                                                      +rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l Kprime )

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛ +

                                                                      rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      l

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l K )

                                                                      l l prime

                                                                      Pedagogical Examples

                                                                      Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

                                                                      Chart1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates
                                                                      1
                                                                      1036832741
                                                                      1073090064
                                                                      1108955549
                                                                      1144590727
                                                                      1180143169
                                                                      1215752801
                                                                      1251557262
                                                                      1287696923
                                                                      1324320074
                                                                      1361588833
                                                                      1399686467
                                                                      1438827114
                                                                      1479269523
                                                                      152133756
                                                                      1565452592
                                                                      1612187974
                                                                      1662367955
                                                                      1717266013
                                                                      1779062077
                                                                      1852152497

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates

                                                                      Sheet2

                                                                      Sheet3

                                                                      Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

                                                                      g gt 0

                                                                      g = 0

                                                                      Why the difference

                                                                      The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels

                                                                      Wages

                                                                      Return rπ

                                                                      Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of middle-age decisionmakers

                                                                      Conclusions

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriers developing countries can reduce child labor Without a reduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricter barriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lot of a country

                                                                          (

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                                                                          )

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                                                                          1

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                                                                          -

                                                                          +

                                                                          ordm

                                                                          G

                                                                          s

                                                                          b

                                                                          b

                                                                          z

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                                                                          (

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                                                                          uacute

                                                                          ucirc

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                                                                          euml

                                                                          eacute

                                                                          divide

                                                                          oslash

                                                                          ouml

                                                                          ccedil

                                                                          egrave

                                                                          aelig

                                                                          G

                                                                          -

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                                                                          +

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                                                                          p

                                                                          p

                                                                          p

                                                                          a

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                                                                          a

                                                                          g

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          l

                                                                          l

                                                                          h

                                                                          A

                                                                          r

                                                                          1

                                                                          )

                                                                          1

                                                                          2

                                                                          1

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                                                                          11

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                                                                          13

                                                                          14

                                                                          15

                                                                          16

                                                                          17

                                                                          18

                                                                          19

                                                                          0405060708091

                                                                          Relative Output

                                                                          Relative Participation Rates

                                                                          Fig 42b Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          = 0

                                                                          4

                                                                          41

                                                                          42

                                                                          43

                                                                          44

                                                                          45

                                                                          46

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          002

                                                                          004

                                                                          006

                                                                          008

                                                                          01

                                                                          012

                                                                          014

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                          Fig 42a Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          gt 0

                                                                          28

                                                                          29

                                                                          3

                                                                          31

                                                                          32

                                                                          33

                                                                          34

                                                                          35

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          005

                                                                          01

                                                                          015

                                                                          02

                                                                          025

                                                                          03

                                                                          035

                                                                          04

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                      y l ratio y ratio l
                                                                      1 5103837338 0196324827 1 1
                                                                      11 4846566344 02035560085 09495926345 1036832741
                                                                      12 4618839709 02106742213 09049739251 1073090064
                                                                      13 4414915419 02177155064 08650188333 1108955549
                                                                      14 423047326 02247115765 08288808949 1144590727
                                                                      15 4062184154 02316914036 07959078404 1180143169
                                                                      16 390742778 02386824584 07655862679 1215752801
                                                                      17 3764101166 0245711763 07375041398 1251557262
                                                                      18 3630484915 02528068757 07113245731 1287696923
                                                                      19 3505146855 02599969094 06867669603 1324320074
                                                                      2 3386870309 02673136922 06635929175 1361588833
                                                                      21 3274598498 02747932035 06415953882 1399686467
                                                                      22 3167388932 02824774842 06205897097 1438827114
                                                                      23 3064372843 02904173333 06004056634 1479269523
                                                                      24 296471464 02986763333 05808795311 152133756
                                                                      25 2867564887 03073372094 0561844882 1565452592
                                                                      26 2771995899 03165125252 05431199537 1612187974
                                                                      27 2676897761 03263641013 05244872796 1662367955
                                                                      28 2580781446 03371419529 0505655113 1717266013
                                                                      29 248133507 03492740545 04861704842 1779062077
                                                                      3 2374158982 03636235186 04651713652 1852152497
                                                                      31 2247263191 03826037427 04403085448 1948830153
                                                                      32
                                                                      33
                                                                      34
                                                                      35
                                                                      1
                                                                      09495926345
                                                                      09049739251
                                                                      08650188333
                                                                      08288808949
                                                                      07959078404
                                                                      07655862679
                                                                      07375041398
                                                                      07113245731
                                                                      06867669603
                                                                      06635929175
                                                                      06415953882
                                                                      06205897097
                                                                      06004056634
                                                                      05808795311
                                                                      0561844882
                                                                      05431199537
                                                                      05244872796
                                                                      0505655113
                                                                      04861704842
                                                                      04651713652
                                                                      Variable b l s g a p h
                                                                      Value 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84
Page 47: Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor · Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor DEGIT St. Petersburg, Russia. 8 September 2011. Richard

Savings uprime( c1t ) = β (rt π ) uprime( c2t+1 )

Bequest uprime(c1t ) ge β λ (rt π ) uprime(c1t+1 )

Schooling wt uprime( c1t ) gewt+1 hprime( 1 - lt ) β λ uprime(c1t+1 ) + wt+2 hprime( 1- lt ) β2 λ uprime(c2t+2 )

The Child Labor Decision

Steady State

uprime( c1 ) β uprime( c2 ) = rπ

1β λ ge r π

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + βλ]

1 = hprime( 1 - l ) βλ[1 + πr]

uprime( c1t )β uprime( c2t+1 ) = rt π uprime( c1t )β λ uprime( c1t+1 ) ge rt π-- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Policy-induced changes in factors

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)Suppose drr ge dππ Then dK lt 0

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reason In the steady-state 1βλ = rπ if bt gt 0

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

If the MCR γ = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reasonndash When γ = 0 investment dXX = dwwndash But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKKndash From the clearing condition X = π K so

dXX = dKK + dππ there4 drr = dππ

Aggregate Investment (γ = 0)

X = +[wh(1- l)][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Suppose the minimum consumption requirement γ gt 0 anddπ gt 0 Then drr gt dππ

Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

One consequence Effective return rπ rises child labor increases

dK + dππ = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in π is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ) 1σ]

( )( )

( )( ) =

Γ

+minusminusminus

minus

Γminus

+minus+minusminus

παα

πππαα r

llhlhrrr

llhllh

)1211

)1211

( )( ) 11

1

1minus+

equivΓσββ z

z

( ) ( )( )

Γminus

minus

+minus+

minus

minus

πππαα

α

γ

α

αα

rrr

llhA

r 1

)121

11

1

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rπ is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

Pedagogical Examples

Variable β λ σ γ α π hValue 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84

1

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

04 05 06 07 08 09 1

Relative Output

Rela

tive

Parti

cipa

tion

Rate

s

Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

γ gt 0 γ = 0

Why the difference

The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels Wages Return rπ Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of

middle-age decisionmakers

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Conclusions

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriersdeveloping countries can reduce child labor Without areduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricterbarriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lotof a country

  • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Background
  • Background
  • Slide Number 9
  • Slide Number 10
  • Slide Number 11
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • Slide Number 16
  • Slide Number 17
  • Slide Number 18
  • Slide Number 19
  • Slide Number 20
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • Slide Number 23
  • Preferences
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Aggregate Investment
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Slide Number 39
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Slide Number 43
  • Slide Number 44
  • Slide Number 45
  • Slide Number 46
  • Slide Number 47
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Aggregate Investment (g = 0)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Slide Number 62
  • Steady State
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Slide Number 67
  • Pedagogical Examples
  • Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)
  • Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)
  • Slide Number 71
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
    • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor

      DEGIT

      St Petersburg Russia

      8 September 2011

      Richard C Barnett

      Drexel University

      Secrecy vs Seclective Disclosure

      Outline of the Talk

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Conclusions

          Background

          Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

          The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

          Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Background

              Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

              The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

              Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)

                  Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

                  3 Important Features

                  Barriers

                  Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

                  Child Labor and Human Capital

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

                  Minimum Consumption Requirements

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

                  Related Studies

                  Overview

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  MCR g

                  The Model

                  Preferences

                  Ut ordm u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl Ut+1

                  where u(c ) = (c ndash g )1-s (1 - s) 0 pound b l pound 1

                  c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

                  c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  qt ordm bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3 wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) lb ucent(c1t+1 )

                  + wt + 2 hcent( 1- lt ) l b 2 ucent(c2t+2 )

                  Aggregate Investment

                  X = +

                  [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                  [rp + (b rp)1s]

                  wl (b rp)1s

                  [rp + (b rp)1s ]

                  Factors and Technologies

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Human Capital

                      Assumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

                      Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of

                      sequences for prices wt rt t sup3 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t sup3 1

                      and Xt Kt+1 lt t sup3 1 such that

                      Agents optimize

                      Factor payments

                      w = (1 - a) A Ka L-a

                      r = a A Ka -1 L1-a

                      All markets clear

                      Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 )

                      Capital xt + bt = p Kt +1

                      Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

                      Equilibrium

                      Approach

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          MCR = 0

                          MCR gt 0

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Steady State

                          • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                              • 1b l sup3 r p
                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                  • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                    • Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                      Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                      wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                      The Child Labor Decision

                                      Steady State

                                      • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                          • 1b l sup3 r p
                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                  -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                  Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                                  Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                                  wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                                  The Child Labor Decision

                                                  Steady State

                                                  • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                                      • 1b l sup3 r p
                                                      • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                            • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                              -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)

                                                                  Suppose drr sup3 dpp Then dK lt 0

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                  Reason In the steady-state 1bl = rp if bt gt 0

                                                                  Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      If the MCR g = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                      Reason

                                                                      When g = 0 investment dXX = dww

                                                                      But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKK

                                                                      From the clearing condition X = p K so

                                                                      dXX = dKK + dpp drr = dpp

                                                                      Aggregate Investment (g = 0)

                                                                      X = +

                                                                      [wh(1- l)][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Suppose the minimum consumption requirement g gt 0 and

                                                                      dp gt 0 Then drr gt dpp

                                                                      Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

                                                                      One consequence Effective return rp rises child labor increases

                                                                      dK + dpp = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

                                                                      Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in p is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

                                                                      Steady State

                                                                      + = K

                                                                      [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp) 1s]

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rp is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛

                                                                      primeprime

                                                                      +rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l Kprime )

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛ +

                                                                      rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      l

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l K )

                                                                      l l prime

                                                                      Pedagogical Examples

                                                                      Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

                                                                      Chart1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates
                                                                      1
                                                                      1036832741
                                                                      1073090064
                                                                      1108955549
                                                                      1144590727
                                                                      1180143169
                                                                      1215752801
                                                                      1251557262
                                                                      1287696923
                                                                      1324320074
                                                                      1361588833
                                                                      1399686467
                                                                      1438827114
                                                                      1479269523
                                                                      152133756
                                                                      1565452592
                                                                      1612187974
                                                                      1662367955
                                                                      1717266013
                                                                      1779062077
                                                                      1852152497

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates

                                                                      Sheet2

                                                                      Sheet3

                                                                      Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

                                                                      g gt 0

                                                                      g = 0

                                                                      Why the difference

                                                                      The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels

                                                                      Wages

                                                                      Return rπ

                                                                      Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of middle-age decisionmakers

                                                                      Conclusions

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriers developing countries can reduce child labor Without a reduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricter barriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lot of a country

                                                                          (

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                                                                          +

                                                                          -

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                                                                          uacute

                                                                          ucirc

                                                                          ugrave

                                                                          ecirc

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                                                                          a

                                                                          p

                                                                          p

                                                                          p

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          r

                                                                          l

                                                                          l

                                                                          h

                                                                          l

                                                                          h

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          l

                                                                          l

                                                                          h

                                                                          l

                                                                          l

                                                                          h

                                                                          )

                                                                          1

                                                                          2

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          )

                                                                          1

                                                                          2

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          (

                                                                          )

                                                                          (

                                                                          )

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          -

                                                                          +

                                                                          ordm

                                                                          G

                                                                          s

                                                                          b

                                                                          b

                                                                          z

                                                                          z

                                                                          (

                                                                          )

                                                                          (

                                                                          )

                                                                          (

                                                                          )

                                                                          uacute

                                                                          ucirc

                                                                          ugrave

                                                                          ecirc

                                                                          euml

                                                                          eacute

                                                                          divide

                                                                          oslash

                                                                          ouml

                                                                          ccedil

                                                                          egrave

                                                                          aelig

                                                                          G

                                                                          -

                                                                          -

                                                                          +

                                                                          -

                                                                          +

                                                                          -

                                                                          -

                                                                          p

                                                                          p

                                                                          p

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          g

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          l

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                                                                          r

                                                                          1

                                                                          )

                                                                          1

                                                                          2

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                                                                          1

                                                                          11

                                                                          12

                                                                          13

                                                                          14

                                                                          15

                                                                          16

                                                                          17

                                                                          18

                                                                          19

                                                                          0405060708091

                                                                          Relative Output

                                                                          Relative Participation Rates

                                                                          Fig 42b Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          = 0

                                                                          4

                                                                          41

                                                                          42

                                                                          43

                                                                          44

                                                                          45

                                                                          46

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          002

                                                                          004

                                                                          006

                                                                          008

                                                                          01

                                                                          012

                                                                          014

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                          Fig 42a Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          gt 0

                                                                          28

                                                                          29

                                                                          3

                                                                          31

                                                                          32

                                                                          33

                                                                          34

                                                                          35

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          005

                                                                          01

                                                                          015

                                                                          02

                                                                          025

                                                                          03

                                                                          035

                                                                          04

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                      y l ratio y ratio l
                                                                      1 5103837338 0196324827 1 1
                                                                      11 4846566344 02035560085 09495926345 1036832741
                                                                      12 4618839709 02106742213 09049739251 1073090064
                                                                      13 4414915419 02177155064 08650188333 1108955549
                                                                      14 423047326 02247115765 08288808949 1144590727
                                                                      15 4062184154 02316914036 07959078404 1180143169
                                                                      16 390742778 02386824584 07655862679 1215752801
                                                                      17 3764101166 0245711763 07375041398 1251557262
                                                                      18 3630484915 02528068757 07113245731 1287696923
                                                                      19 3505146855 02599969094 06867669603 1324320074
                                                                      2 3386870309 02673136922 06635929175 1361588833
                                                                      21 3274598498 02747932035 06415953882 1399686467
                                                                      22 3167388932 02824774842 06205897097 1438827114
                                                                      23 3064372843 02904173333 06004056634 1479269523
                                                                      24 296471464 02986763333 05808795311 152133756
                                                                      25 2867564887 03073372094 0561844882 1565452592
                                                                      26 2771995899 03165125252 05431199537 1612187974
                                                                      27 2676897761 03263641013 05244872796 1662367955
                                                                      28 2580781446 03371419529 0505655113 1717266013
                                                                      29 248133507 03492740545 04861704842 1779062077
                                                                      3 2374158982 03636235186 04651713652 1852152497
                                                                      31 2247263191 03826037427 04403085448 1948830153
                                                                      32
                                                                      33
                                                                      34
                                                                      35
                                                                      1
                                                                      09495926345
                                                                      09049739251
                                                                      08650188333
                                                                      08288808949
                                                                      07959078404
                                                                      07655862679
                                                                      07375041398
                                                                      07113245731
                                                                      06867669603
                                                                      06635929175
                                                                      06415953882
                                                                      06205897097
                                                                      06004056634
                                                                      05808795311
                                                                      0561844882
                                                                      05431199537
                                                                      05244872796
                                                                      0505655113
                                                                      04861704842
                                                                      04651713652
                                                                      Variable b l s g a p h
                                                                      Value 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84
Page 48: Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor · Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor DEGIT St. Petersburg, Russia. 8 September 2011. Richard

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Policy-induced changes in factors

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)Suppose drr ge dππ Then dK lt 0

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reason In the steady-state 1βλ = rπ if bt gt 0

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

If the MCR γ = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reasonndash When γ = 0 investment dXX = dwwndash But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKKndash From the clearing condition X = π K so

dXX = dKK + dππ there4 drr = dππ

Aggregate Investment (γ = 0)

X = +[wh(1- l)][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Suppose the minimum consumption requirement γ gt 0 anddπ gt 0 Then drr gt dππ

Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

One consequence Effective return rπ rises child labor increases

dK + dππ = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in π is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ) 1σ]

( )( )

( )( ) =

Γ

+minusminusminus

minus

Γminus

+minus+minusminus

παα

πππαα r

llhlhrrr

llhllh

)1211

)1211

( )( ) 11

1

1minus+

equivΓσββ z

z

( ) ( )( )

Γminus

minus

+minus+

minus

minus

πππαα

α

γ

α

αα

rrr

llhA

r 1

)121

11

1

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rπ is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

Pedagogical Examples

Variable β λ σ γ α π hValue 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84

1

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

04 05 06 07 08 09 1

Relative Output

Rela

tive

Parti

cipa

tion

Rate

s

Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

γ gt 0 γ = 0

Why the difference

The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels Wages Return rπ Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of

middle-age decisionmakers

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Conclusions

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriersdeveloping countries can reduce child labor Without areduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricterbarriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lotof a country

  • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Background
  • Background
  • Slide Number 9
  • Slide Number 10
  • Slide Number 11
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • Slide Number 16
  • Slide Number 17
  • Slide Number 18
  • Slide Number 19
  • Slide Number 20
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • Slide Number 23
  • Preferences
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Aggregate Investment
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Slide Number 39
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Slide Number 43
  • Slide Number 44
  • Slide Number 45
  • Slide Number 46
  • Slide Number 47
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Aggregate Investment (g = 0)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Slide Number 62
  • Steady State
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Slide Number 67
  • Pedagogical Examples
  • Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)
  • Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)
  • Slide Number 71
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
    • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor

      DEGIT

      St Petersburg Russia

      8 September 2011

      Richard C Barnett

      Drexel University

      Secrecy vs Seclective Disclosure

      Outline of the Talk

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Conclusions

          Background

          Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

          The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

          Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Background

              Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

              The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

              Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)

                  Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

                  3 Important Features

                  Barriers

                  Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

                  Child Labor and Human Capital

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

                  Minimum Consumption Requirements

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

                  Related Studies

                  Overview

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  MCR g

                  The Model

                  Preferences

                  Ut ordm u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl Ut+1

                  where u(c ) = (c ndash g )1-s (1 - s) 0 pound b l pound 1

                  c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

                  c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  qt ordm bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3 wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) lb ucent(c1t+1 )

                  + wt + 2 hcent( 1- lt ) l b 2 ucent(c2t+2 )

                  Aggregate Investment

                  X = +

                  [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                  [rp + (b rp)1s]

                  wl (b rp)1s

                  [rp + (b rp)1s ]

                  Factors and Technologies

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Human Capital

                      Assumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

                      Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of

                      sequences for prices wt rt t sup3 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t sup3 1

                      and Xt Kt+1 lt t sup3 1 such that

                      Agents optimize

                      Factor payments

                      w = (1 - a) A Ka L-a

                      r = a A Ka -1 L1-a

                      All markets clear

                      Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 )

                      Capital xt + bt = p Kt +1

                      Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

                      Equilibrium

                      Approach

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          MCR = 0

                          MCR gt 0

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Steady State

                          • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                              • 1b l sup3 r p
                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                  • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                    • Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                      Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                      wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                      The Child Labor Decision

                                      Steady State

                                      • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                          • 1b l sup3 r p
                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                  -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                  Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                                  Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                                  wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                                  The Child Labor Decision

                                                  Steady State

                                                  • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                                      • 1b l sup3 r p
                                                      • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                            • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                              -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)

                                                                  Suppose drr sup3 dpp Then dK lt 0

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                  Reason In the steady-state 1bl = rp if bt gt 0

                                                                  Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      If the MCR g = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                      Reason

                                                                      When g = 0 investment dXX = dww

                                                                      But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKK

                                                                      From the clearing condition X = p K so

                                                                      dXX = dKK + dpp drr = dpp

                                                                      Aggregate Investment (g = 0)

                                                                      X = +

                                                                      [wh(1- l)][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Suppose the minimum consumption requirement g gt 0 and

                                                                      dp gt 0 Then drr gt dpp

                                                                      Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

                                                                      One consequence Effective return rp rises child labor increases

                                                                      dK + dpp = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

                                                                      Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in p is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

                                                                      Steady State

                                                                      + = K

                                                                      [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp) 1s]

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rp is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛

                                                                      primeprime

                                                                      +rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l Kprime )

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛ +

                                                                      rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      l

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l K )

                                                                      l l prime

                                                                      Pedagogical Examples

                                                                      Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

                                                                      Chart1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates
                                                                      1
                                                                      1036832741
                                                                      1073090064
                                                                      1108955549
                                                                      1144590727
                                                                      1180143169
                                                                      1215752801
                                                                      1251557262
                                                                      1287696923
                                                                      1324320074
                                                                      1361588833
                                                                      1399686467
                                                                      1438827114
                                                                      1479269523
                                                                      152133756
                                                                      1565452592
                                                                      1612187974
                                                                      1662367955
                                                                      1717266013
                                                                      1779062077
                                                                      1852152497

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates

                                                                      Sheet2

                                                                      Sheet3

                                                                      Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

                                                                      g gt 0

                                                                      g = 0

                                                                      Why the difference

                                                                      The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels

                                                                      Wages

                                                                      Return rπ

                                                                      Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of middle-age decisionmakers

                                                                      Conclusions

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriers developing countries can reduce child labor Without a reduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricter barriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lot of a country

                                                                          (

                                                                          )

                                                                          (

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                                                                          G

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                                                                          (

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                                                                          ucirc

                                                                          ugrave

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                                                                          euml

                                                                          eacute

                                                                          divide

                                                                          oslash

                                                                          ouml

                                                                          ccedil

                                                                          egrave

                                                                          aelig

                                                                          G

                                                                          -

                                                                          -

                                                                          +

                                                                          -

                                                                          +

                                                                          -

                                                                          -

                                                                          p

                                                                          p

                                                                          p

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          g

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          l

                                                                          l

                                                                          h

                                                                          A

                                                                          r

                                                                          1

                                                                          )

                                                                          1

                                                                          2

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          11

                                                                          12

                                                                          13

                                                                          14

                                                                          15

                                                                          16

                                                                          17

                                                                          18

                                                                          19

                                                                          0405060708091

                                                                          Relative Output

                                                                          Relative Participation Rates

                                                                          Fig 42b Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          = 0

                                                                          4

                                                                          41

                                                                          42

                                                                          43

                                                                          44

                                                                          45

                                                                          46

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          002

                                                                          004

                                                                          006

                                                                          008

                                                                          01

                                                                          012

                                                                          014

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                          Fig 42a Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          gt 0

                                                                          28

                                                                          29

                                                                          3

                                                                          31

                                                                          32

                                                                          33

                                                                          34

                                                                          35

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          005

                                                                          01

                                                                          015

                                                                          02

                                                                          025

                                                                          03

                                                                          035

                                                                          04

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                      y l ratio y ratio l
                                                                      1 5103837338 0196324827 1 1
                                                                      11 4846566344 02035560085 09495926345 1036832741
                                                                      12 4618839709 02106742213 09049739251 1073090064
                                                                      13 4414915419 02177155064 08650188333 1108955549
                                                                      14 423047326 02247115765 08288808949 1144590727
                                                                      15 4062184154 02316914036 07959078404 1180143169
                                                                      16 390742778 02386824584 07655862679 1215752801
                                                                      17 3764101166 0245711763 07375041398 1251557262
                                                                      18 3630484915 02528068757 07113245731 1287696923
                                                                      19 3505146855 02599969094 06867669603 1324320074
                                                                      2 3386870309 02673136922 06635929175 1361588833
                                                                      21 3274598498 02747932035 06415953882 1399686467
                                                                      22 3167388932 02824774842 06205897097 1438827114
                                                                      23 3064372843 02904173333 06004056634 1479269523
                                                                      24 296471464 02986763333 05808795311 152133756
                                                                      25 2867564887 03073372094 0561844882 1565452592
                                                                      26 2771995899 03165125252 05431199537 1612187974
                                                                      27 2676897761 03263641013 05244872796 1662367955
                                                                      28 2580781446 03371419529 0505655113 1717266013
                                                                      29 248133507 03492740545 04861704842 1779062077
                                                                      3 2374158982 03636235186 04651713652 1852152497
                                                                      31 2247263191 03826037427 04403085448 1948830153
                                                                      32
                                                                      33
                                                                      34
                                                                      35
                                                                      1
                                                                      09495926345
                                                                      09049739251
                                                                      08650188333
                                                                      08288808949
                                                                      07959078404
                                                                      07655862679
                                                                      07375041398
                                                                      07113245731
                                                                      06867669603
                                                                      06635929175
                                                                      06415953882
                                                                      06205897097
                                                                      06004056634
                                                                      05808795311
                                                                      0561844882
                                                                      05431199537
                                                                      05244872796
                                                                      0505655113
                                                                      04861704842
                                                                      04651713652
                                                                      Variable b l s g a p h
                                                                      Value 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84
Page 49: Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor · Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor DEGIT St. Petersburg, Russia. 8 September 2011. Richard

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Policy-induced changes in factors

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)Suppose drr ge dππ Then dK lt 0

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reason In the steady-state 1βλ = rπ if bt gt 0

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

If the MCR γ = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reasonndash When γ = 0 investment dXX = dwwndash But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKKndash From the clearing condition X = π K so

dXX = dKK + dππ there4 drr = dππ

Aggregate Investment (γ = 0)

X = +[wh(1- l)][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Suppose the minimum consumption requirement γ gt 0 anddπ gt 0 Then drr gt dππ

Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

One consequence Effective return rπ rises child labor increases

dK + dππ = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in π is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ) 1σ]

( )( )

( )( ) =

Γ

+minusminusminus

minus

Γminus

+minus+minusminus

παα

πππαα r

llhlhrrr

llhllh

)1211

)1211

( )( ) 11

1

1minus+

equivΓσββ z

z

( ) ( )( )

Γminus

minus

+minus+

minus

minus

πππαα

α

γ

α

αα

rrr

llhA

r 1

)121

11

1

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rπ is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

Pedagogical Examples

Variable β λ σ γ α π hValue 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84

1

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

04 05 06 07 08 09 1

Relative Output

Rela

tive

Parti

cipa

tion

Rate

s

Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

γ gt 0 γ = 0

Why the difference

The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels Wages Return rπ Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of

middle-age decisionmakers

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Conclusions

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriersdeveloping countries can reduce child labor Without areduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricterbarriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lotof a country

  • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Background
  • Background
  • Slide Number 9
  • Slide Number 10
  • Slide Number 11
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • Slide Number 16
  • Slide Number 17
  • Slide Number 18
  • Slide Number 19
  • Slide Number 20
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • Slide Number 23
  • Preferences
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Aggregate Investment
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Slide Number 39
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Slide Number 43
  • Slide Number 44
  • Slide Number 45
  • Slide Number 46
  • Slide Number 47
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Aggregate Investment (g = 0)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Slide Number 62
  • Steady State
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Slide Number 67
  • Pedagogical Examples
  • Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)
  • Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)
  • Slide Number 71
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
    • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor

      DEGIT

      St Petersburg Russia

      8 September 2011

      Richard C Barnett

      Drexel University

      Secrecy vs Seclective Disclosure

      Outline of the Talk

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Conclusions

          Background

          Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

          The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

          Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Background

              Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

              The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

              Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)

                  Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

                  3 Important Features

                  Barriers

                  Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

                  Child Labor and Human Capital

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

                  Minimum Consumption Requirements

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

                  Related Studies

                  Overview

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  MCR g

                  The Model

                  Preferences

                  Ut ordm u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl Ut+1

                  where u(c ) = (c ndash g )1-s (1 - s) 0 pound b l pound 1

                  c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

                  c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  qt ordm bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3 wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) lb ucent(c1t+1 )

                  + wt + 2 hcent( 1- lt ) l b 2 ucent(c2t+2 )

                  Aggregate Investment

                  X = +

                  [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                  [rp + (b rp)1s]

                  wl (b rp)1s

                  [rp + (b rp)1s ]

                  Factors and Technologies

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Human Capital

                      Assumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

                      Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of

                      sequences for prices wt rt t sup3 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t sup3 1

                      and Xt Kt+1 lt t sup3 1 such that

                      Agents optimize

                      Factor payments

                      w = (1 - a) A Ka L-a

                      r = a A Ka -1 L1-a

                      All markets clear

                      Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 )

                      Capital xt + bt = p Kt +1

                      Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

                      Equilibrium

                      Approach

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          MCR = 0

                          MCR gt 0

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Steady State

                          • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                              • 1b l sup3 r p
                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                  • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                    • Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                      Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                      wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                      The Child Labor Decision

                                      Steady State

                                      • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                          • 1b l sup3 r p
                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                  -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                  Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                                  Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                                  wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                                  The Child Labor Decision

                                                  Steady State

                                                  • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                                      • 1b l sup3 r p
                                                      • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                            • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                              -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)

                                                                  Suppose drr sup3 dpp Then dK lt 0

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                  Reason In the steady-state 1bl = rp if bt gt 0

                                                                  Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      If the MCR g = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                      Reason

                                                                      When g = 0 investment dXX = dww

                                                                      But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKK

                                                                      From the clearing condition X = p K so

                                                                      dXX = dKK + dpp drr = dpp

                                                                      Aggregate Investment (g = 0)

                                                                      X = +

                                                                      [wh(1- l)][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Suppose the minimum consumption requirement g gt 0 and

                                                                      dp gt 0 Then drr gt dpp

                                                                      Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

                                                                      One consequence Effective return rp rises child labor increases

                                                                      dK + dpp = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

                                                                      Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in p is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

                                                                      Steady State

                                                                      + = K

                                                                      [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp) 1s]

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rp is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛

                                                                      primeprime

                                                                      +rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l Kprime )

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛ +

                                                                      rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      l

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l K )

                                                                      l l prime

                                                                      Pedagogical Examples

                                                                      Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

                                                                      Chart1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates
                                                                      1
                                                                      1036832741
                                                                      1073090064
                                                                      1108955549
                                                                      1144590727
                                                                      1180143169
                                                                      1215752801
                                                                      1251557262
                                                                      1287696923
                                                                      1324320074
                                                                      1361588833
                                                                      1399686467
                                                                      1438827114
                                                                      1479269523
                                                                      152133756
                                                                      1565452592
                                                                      1612187974
                                                                      1662367955
                                                                      1717266013
                                                                      1779062077
                                                                      1852152497

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates

                                                                      Sheet2

                                                                      Sheet3

                                                                      Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

                                                                      g gt 0

                                                                      g = 0

                                                                      Why the difference

                                                                      The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels

                                                                      Wages

                                                                      Return rπ

                                                                      Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of middle-age decisionmakers

                                                                      Conclusions

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriers developing countries can reduce child labor Without a reduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricter barriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lot of a country

                                                                          (

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                                                                          16

                                                                          17

                                                                          18

                                                                          19

                                                                          0405060708091

                                                                          Relative Output

                                                                          Relative Participation Rates

                                                                          Fig 42b Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          = 0

                                                                          4

                                                                          41

                                                                          42

                                                                          43

                                                                          44

                                                                          45

                                                                          46

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          002

                                                                          004

                                                                          006

                                                                          008

                                                                          01

                                                                          012

                                                                          014

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                          Fig 42a Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          gt 0

                                                                          28

                                                                          29

                                                                          3

                                                                          31

                                                                          32

                                                                          33

                                                                          34

                                                                          35

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          005

                                                                          01

                                                                          015

                                                                          02

                                                                          025

                                                                          03

                                                                          035

                                                                          04

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                      y l ratio y ratio l
                                                                      1 5103837338 0196324827 1 1
                                                                      11 4846566344 02035560085 09495926345 1036832741
                                                                      12 4618839709 02106742213 09049739251 1073090064
                                                                      13 4414915419 02177155064 08650188333 1108955549
                                                                      14 423047326 02247115765 08288808949 1144590727
                                                                      15 4062184154 02316914036 07959078404 1180143169
                                                                      16 390742778 02386824584 07655862679 1215752801
                                                                      17 3764101166 0245711763 07375041398 1251557262
                                                                      18 3630484915 02528068757 07113245731 1287696923
                                                                      19 3505146855 02599969094 06867669603 1324320074
                                                                      2 3386870309 02673136922 06635929175 1361588833
                                                                      21 3274598498 02747932035 06415953882 1399686467
                                                                      22 3167388932 02824774842 06205897097 1438827114
                                                                      23 3064372843 02904173333 06004056634 1479269523
                                                                      24 296471464 02986763333 05808795311 152133756
                                                                      25 2867564887 03073372094 0561844882 1565452592
                                                                      26 2771995899 03165125252 05431199537 1612187974
                                                                      27 2676897761 03263641013 05244872796 1662367955
                                                                      28 2580781446 03371419529 0505655113 1717266013
                                                                      29 248133507 03492740545 04861704842 1779062077
                                                                      3 2374158982 03636235186 04651713652 1852152497
                                                                      31 2247263191 03826037427 04403085448 1948830153
                                                                      32
                                                                      33
                                                                      34
                                                                      35
                                                                      1
                                                                      09495926345
                                                                      09049739251
                                                                      08650188333
                                                                      08288808949
                                                                      07959078404
                                                                      07655862679
                                                                      07375041398
                                                                      07113245731
                                                                      06867669603
                                                                      06635929175
                                                                      06415953882
                                                                      06205897097
                                                                      06004056634
                                                                      05808795311
                                                                      0561844882
                                                                      05431199537
                                                                      05244872796
                                                                      0505655113
                                                                      04861704842
                                                                      04651713652
                                                                      Variable b l s g a p h
                                                                      Value 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84
Page 50: Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor · Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor DEGIT St. Petersburg, Russia. 8 September 2011. Richard

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

hprime( 1 - l ) = 1

βλ (1 + π r)

Policy-induced changes in factors

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)Suppose drr ge dππ Then dK lt 0

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reason In the steady-state 1βλ = rπ if bt gt 0

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

If the MCR γ = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reasonndash When γ = 0 investment dXX = dwwndash But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKKndash From the clearing condition X = π K so

dXX = dKK + dππ there4 drr = dππ

Aggregate Investment (γ = 0)

X = +[wh(1- l)][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Suppose the minimum consumption requirement γ gt 0 anddπ gt 0 Then drr gt dππ

Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

One consequence Effective return rπ rises child labor increases

dK + dππ = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in π is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ) 1σ]

( )( )

( )( ) =

Γ

+minusminusminus

minus

Γminus

+minus+minusminus

παα

πππαα r

llhlhrrr

llhllh

)1211

)1211

( )( ) 11

1

1minus+

equivΓσββ z

z

( ) ( )( )

Γminus

minus

+minus+

minus

minus

πππαα

α

γ

α

αα

rrr

llhA

r 1

)121

11

1

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rπ is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

Pedagogical Examples

Variable β λ σ γ α π hValue 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84

1

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

04 05 06 07 08 09 1

Relative Output

Rela

tive

Parti

cipa

tion

Rate

s

Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

γ gt 0 γ = 0

Why the difference

The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels Wages Return rπ Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of

middle-age decisionmakers

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Conclusions

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriersdeveloping countries can reduce child labor Without areduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricterbarriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lotof a country

  • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Background
  • Background
  • Slide Number 9
  • Slide Number 10
  • Slide Number 11
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • Slide Number 16
  • Slide Number 17
  • Slide Number 18
  • Slide Number 19
  • Slide Number 20
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • Slide Number 23
  • Preferences
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Aggregate Investment
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Slide Number 39
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Slide Number 43
  • Slide Number 44
  • Slide Number 45
  • Slide Number 46
  • Slide Number 47
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Aggregate Investment (g = 0)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Slide Number 62
  • Steady State
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Slide Number 67
  • Pedagogical Examples
  • Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)
  • Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)
  • Slide Number 71
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
    • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor

      DEGIT

      St Petersburg Russia

      8 September 2011

      Richard C Barnett

      Drexel University

      Secrecy vs Seclective Disclosure

      Outline of the Talk

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Conclusions

          Background

          Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

          The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

          Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Background

              Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

              The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

              Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)

                  Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

                  3 Important Features

                  Barriers

                  Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

                  Child Labor and Human Capital

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

                  Minimum Consumption Requirements

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

                  Related Studies

                  Overview

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  MCR g

                  The Model

                  Preferences

                  Ut ordm u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl Ut+1

                  where u(c ) = (c ndash g )1-s (1 - s) 0 pound b l pound 1

                  c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

                  c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  qt ordm bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3 wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) lb ucent(c1t+1 )

                  + wt + 2 hcent( 1- lt ) l b 2 ucent(c2t+2 )

                  Aggregate Investment

                  X = +

                  [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                  [rp + (b rp)1s]

                  wl (b rp)1s

                  [rp + (b rp)1s ]

                  Factors and Technologies

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Human Capital

                      Assumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

                      Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of

                      sequences for prices wt rt t sup3 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t sup3 1

                      and Xt Kt+1 lt t sup3 1 such that

                      Agents optimize

                      Factor payments

                      w = (1 - a) A Ka L-a

                      r = a A Ka -1 L1-a

                      All markets clear

                      Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 )

                      Capital xt + bt = p Kt +1

                      Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

                      Equilibrium

                      Approach

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          MCR = 0

                          MCR gt 0

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Steady State

                          • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                              • 1b l sup3 r p
                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                  • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                    • Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                      Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                      wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                      The Child Labor Decision

                                      Steady State

                                      • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                          • 1b l sup3 r p
                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                  -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                  Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                                  Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                                  wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                                  The Child Labor Decision

                                                  Steady State

                                                  • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                                      • 1b l sup3 r p
                                                      • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                            • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                              -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)

                                                                  Suppose drr sup3 dpp Then dK lt 0

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                  Reason In the steady-state 1bl = rp if bt gt 0

                                                                  Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      If the MCR g = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                      Reason

                                                                      When g = 0 investment dXX = dww

                                                                      But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKK

                                                                      From the clearing condition X = p K so

                                                                      dXX = dKK + dpp drr = dpp

                                                                      Aggregate Investment (g = 0)

                                                                      X = +

                                                                      [wh(1- l)][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Suppose the minimum consumption requirement g gt 0 and

                                                                      dp gt 0 Then drr gt dpp

                                                                      Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

                                                                      One consequence Effective return rp rises child labor increases

                                                                      dK + dpp = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

                                                                      Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in p is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

                                                                      Steady State

                                                                      + = K

                                                                      [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp) 1s]

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rp is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛

                                                                      primeprime

                                                                      +rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l Kprime )

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛ +

                                                                      rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      l

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l K )

                                                                      l l prime

                                                                      Pedagogical Examples

                                                                      Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

                                                                      Chart1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates
                                                                      1
                                                                      1036832741
                                                                      1073090064
                                                                      1108955549
                                                                      1144590727
                                                                      1180143169
                                                                      1215752801
                                                                      1251557262
                                                                      1287696923
                                                                      1324320074
                                                                      1361588833
                                                                      1399686467
                                                                      1438827114
                                                                      1479269523
                                                                      152133756
                                                                      1565452592
                                                                      1612187974
                                                                      1662367955
                                                                      1717266013
                                                                      1779062077
                                                                      1852152497

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates

                                                                      Sheet2

                                                                      Sheet3

                                                                      Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

                                                                      g gt 0

                                                                      g = 0

                                                                      Why the difference

                                                                      The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels

                                                                      Wages

                                                                      Return rπ

                                                                      Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of middle-age decisionmakers

                                                                      Conclusions

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriers developing countries can reduce child labor Without a reduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricter barriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lot of a country

                                                                          (

                                                                          )

                                                                          (

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                                                                          2

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                                                                          )

                                                                          1

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                                                                          1

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                                                                          G

                                                                          s

                                                                          b

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                                                                          z

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                                                                          (

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                                                                          ucirc

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                                                                          euml

                                                                          eacute

                                                                          divide

                                                                          oslash

                                                                          ouml

                                                                          ccedil

                                                                          egrave

                                                                          aelig

                                                                          G

                                                                          -

                                                                          -

                                                                          +

                                                                          -

                                                                          +

                                                                          -

                                                                          -

                                                                          p

                                                                          p

                                                                          p

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          g

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          l

                                                                          l

                                                                          h

                                                                          A

                                                                          r

                                                                          1

                                                                          )

                                                                          1

                                                                          2

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          11

                                                                          12

                                                                          13

                                                                          14

                                                                          15

                                                                          16

                                                                          17

                                                                          18

                                                                          19

                                                                          0405060708091

                                                                          Relative Output

                                                                          Relative Participation Rates

                                                                          Fig 42b Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          = 0

                                                                          4

                                                                          41

                                                                          42

                                                                          43

                                                                          44

                                                                          45

                                                                          46

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          002

                                                                          004

                                                                          006

                                                                          008

                                                                          01

                                                                          012

                                                                          014

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                          Fig 42a Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          gt 0

                                                                          28

                                                                          29

                                                                          3

                                                                          31

                                                                          32

                                                                          33

                                                                          34

                                                                          35

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          005

                                                                          01

                                                                          015

                                                                          02

                                                                          025

                                                                          03

                                                                          035

                                                                          04

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                      y l ratio y ratio l
                                                                      1 5103837338 0196324827 1 1
                                                                      11 4846566344 02035560085 09495926345 1036832741
                                                                      12 4618839709 02106742213 09049739251 1073090064
                                                                      13 4414915419 02177155064 08650188333 1108955549
                                                                      14 423047326 02247115765 08288808949 1144590727
                                                                      15 4062184154 02316914036 07959078404 1180143169
                                                                      16 390742778 02386824584 07655862679 1215752801
                                                                      17 3764101166 0245711763 07375041398 1251557262
                                                                      18 3630484915 02528068757 07113245731 1287696923
                                                                      19 3505146855 02599969094 06867669603 1324320074
                                                                      2 3386870309 02673136922 06635929175 1361588833
                                                                      21 3274598498 02747932035 06415953882 1399686467
                                                                      22 3167388932 02824774842 06205897097 1438827114
                                                                      23 3064372843 02904173333 06004056634 1479269523
                                                                      24 296471464 02986763333 05808795311 152133756
                                                                      25 2867564887 03073372094 0561844882 1565452592
                                                                      26 2771995899 03165125252 05431199537 1612187974
                                                                      27 2676897761 03263641013 05244872796 1662367955
                                                                      28 2580781446 03371419529 0505655113 1717266013
                                                                      29 248133507 03492740545 04861704842 1779062077
                                                                      3 2374158982 03636235186 04651713652 1852152497
                                                                      31 2247263191 03826037427 04403085448 1948830153
                                                                      32
                                                                      33
                                                                      34
                                                                      35
                                                                      1
                                                                      09495926345
                                                                      09049739251
                                                                      08650188333
                                                                      08288808949
                                                                      07959078404
                                                                      07655862679
                                                                      07375041398
                                                                      07113245731
                                                                      06867669603
                                                                      06635929175
                                                                      06415953882
                                                                      06205897097
                                                                      06004056634
                                                                      05808795311
                                                                      0561844882
                                                                      05431199537
                                                                      05244872796
                                                                      0505655113
                                                                      04861704842
                                                                      04651713652
                                                                      Variable b l s g a p h
                                                                      Value 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84
Page 51: Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor · Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor DEGIT St. Petersburg, Russia. 8 September 2011. Richard

Policy-induced changes in factors

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)Suppose drr ge dππ Then dK lt 0

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reason In the steady-state 1βλ = rπ if bt gt 0

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

If the MCR γ = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reasonndash When γ = 0 investment dXX = dwwndash But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKKndash From the clearing condition X = π K so

dXX = dKK + dππ there4 drr = dππ

Aggregate Investment (γ = 0)

X = +[wh(1- l)][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Suppose the minimum consumption requirement γ gt 0 anddπ gt 0 Then drr gt dππ

Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

One consequence Effective return rπ rises child labor increases

dK + dππ = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in π is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ) 1σ]

( )( )

( )( ) =

Γ

+minusminusminus

minus

Γminus

+minus+minusminus

παα

πππαα r

llhlhrrr

llhllh

)1211

)1211

( )( ) 11

1

1minus+

equivΓσββ z

z

( ) ( )( )

Γminus

minus

+minus+

minus

minus

πππαα

α

γ

α

αα

rrr

llhA

r 1

)121

11

1

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rπ is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

Pedagogical Examples

Variable β λ σ γ α π hValue 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84

1

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

04 05 06 07 08 09 1

Relative Output

Rela

tive

Parti

cipa

tion

Rate

s

Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

γ gt 0 γ = 0

Why the difference

The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels Wages Return rπ Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of

middle-age decisionmakers

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Conclusions

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriersdeveloping countries can reduce child labor Without areduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricterbarriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lotof a country

  • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Background
  • Background
  • Slide Number 9
  • Slide Number 10
  • Slide Number 11
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • Slide Number 16
  • Slide Number 17
  • Slide Number 18
  • Slide Number 19
  • Slide Number 20
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • Slide Number 23
  • Preferences
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Aggregate Investment
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Slide Number 39
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Slide Number 43
  • Slide Number 44
  • Slide Number 45
  • Slide Number 46
  • Slide Number 47
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Aggregate Investment (g = 0)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Slide Number 62
  • Steady State
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Slide Number 67
  • Pedagogical Examples
  • Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)
  • Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)
  • Slide Number 71
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
    • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor

      DEGIT

      St Petersburg Russia

      8 September 2011

      Richard C Barnett

      Drexel University

      Secrecy vs Seclective Disclosure

      Outline of the Talk

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Conclusions

          Background

          Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

          The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

          Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Background

              Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

              The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

              Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)

                  Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

                  3 Important Features

                  Barriers

                  Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

                  Child Labor and Human Capital

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

                  Minimum Consumption Requirements

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

                  Related Studies

                  Overview

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  MCR g

                  The Model

                  Preferences

                  Ut ordm u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl Ut+1

                  where u(c ) = (c ndash g )1-s (1 - s) 0 pound b l pound 1

                  c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

                  c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  qt ordm bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3 wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) lb ucent(c1t+1 )

                  + wt + 2 hcent( 1- lt ) l b 2 ucent(c2t+2 )

                  Aggregate Investment

                  X = +

                  [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                  [rp + (b rp)1s]

                  wl (b rp)1s

                  [rp + (b rp)1s ]

                  Factors and Technologies

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Human Capital

                      Assumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

                      Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of

                      sequences for prices wt rt t sup3 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t sup3 1

                      and Xt Kt+1 lt t sup3 1 such that

                      Agents optimize

                      Factor payments

                      w = (1 - a) A Ka L-a

                      r = a A Ka -1 L1-a

                      All markets clear

                      Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 )

                      Capital xt + bt = p Kt +1

                      Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

                      Equilibrium

                      Approach

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          MCR = 0

                          MCR gt 0

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Steady State

                          • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                              • 1b l sup3 r p
                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                  • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                    • Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                      Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                      wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                      The Child Labor Decision

                                      Steady State

                                      • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                          • 1b l sup3 r p
                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                  -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                  Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                                  Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                                  wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                                  The Child Labor Decision

                                                  Steady State

                                                  • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                                      • 1b l sup3 r p
                                                      • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                            • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                              -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)

                                                                  Suppose drr sup3 dpp Then dK lt 0

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                  Reason In the steady-state 1bl = rp if bt gt 0

                                                                  Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      If the MCR g = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                      Reason

                                                                      When g = 0 investment dXX = dww

                                                                      But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKK

                                                                      From the clearing condition X = p K so

                                                                      dXX = dKK + dpp drr = dpp

                                                                      Aggregate Investment (g = 0)

                                                                      X = +

                                                                      [wh(1- l)][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Suppose the minimum consumption requirement g gt 0 and

                                                                      dp gt 0 Then drr gt dpp

                                                                      Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

                                                                      One consequence Effective return rp rises child labor increases

                                                                      dK + dpp = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

                                                                      Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in p is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

                                                                      Steady State

                                                                      + = K

                                                                      [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp) 1s]

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rp is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛

                                                                      primeprime

                                                                      +rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l Kprime )

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛ +

                                                                      rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      l

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l K )

                                                                      l l prime

                                                                      Pedagogical Examples

                                                                      Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

                                                                      Chart1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates
                                                                      1
                                                                      1036832741
                                                                      1073090064
                                                                      1108955549
                                                                      1144590727
                                                                      1180143169
                                                                      1215752801
                                                                      1251557262
                                                                      1287696923
                                                                      1324320074
                                                                      1361588833
                                                                      1399686467
                                                                      1438827114
                                                                      1479269523
                                                                      152133756
                                                                      1565452592
                                                                      1612187974
                                                                      1662367955
                                                                      1717266013
                                                                      1779062077
                                                                      1852152497

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates

                                                                      Sheet2

                                                                      Sheet3

                                                                      Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

                                                                      g gt 0

                                                                      g = 0

                                                                      Why the difference

                                                                      The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels

                                                                      Wages

                                                                      Return rπ

                                                                      Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of middle-age decisionmakers

                                                                      Conclusions

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriers developing countries can reduce child labor Without a reduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricter barriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lot of a country

                                                                          (

                                                                          )

                                                                          (

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                                                                          -

                                                                          uacute

                                                                          ucirc

                                                                          ugrave

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                                                                          p

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                                                                          l

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                                                                          1

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                                                                          1

                                                                          -

                                                                          +

                                                                          ordm

                                                                          G

                                                                          s

                                                                          b

                                                                          b

                                                                          z

                                                                          z

                                                                          (

                                                                          )

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                                                                          (

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                                                                          uacute

                                                                          ucirc

                                                                          ugrave

                                                                          ecirc

                                                                          euml

                                                                          eacute

                                                                          divide

                                                                          oslash

                                                                          ouml

                                                                          ccedil

                                                                          egrave

                                                                          aelig

                                                                          G

                                                                          -

                                                                          -

                                                                          +

                                                                          -

                                                                          +

                                                                          -

                                                                          -

                                                                          p

                                                                          p

                                                                          p

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          g

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          l

                                                                          l

                                                                          h

                                                                          A

                                                                          r

                                                                          1

                                                                          )

                                                                          1

                                                                          2

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          11

                                                                          12

                                                                          13

                                                                          14

                                                                          15

                                                                          16

                                                                          17

                                                                          18

                                                                          19

                                                                          0405060708091

                                                                          Relative Output

                                                                          Relative Participation Rates

                                                                          Fig 42b Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          = 0

                                                                          4

                                                                          41

                                                                          42

                                                                          43

                                                                          44

                                                                          45

                                                                          46

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          002

                                                                          004

                                                                          006

                                                                          008

                                                                          01

                                                                          012

                                                                          014

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                          Fig 42a Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          gt 0

                                                                          28

                                                                          29

                                                                          3

                                                                          31

                                                                          32

                                                                          33

                                                                          34

                                                                          35

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          005

                                                                          01

                                                                          015

                                                                          02

                                                                          025

                                                                          03

                                                                          035

                                                                          04

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                      y l ratio y ratio l
                                                                      1 5103837338 0196324827 1 1
                                                                      11 4846566344 02035560085 09495926345 1036832741
                                                                      12 4618839709 02106742213 09049739251 1073090064
                                                                      13 4414915419 02177155064 08650188333 1108955549
                                                                      14 423047326 02247115765 08288808949 1144590727
                                                                      15 4062184154 02316914036 07959078404 1180143169
                                                                      16 390742778 02386824584 07655862679 1215752801
                                                                      17 3764101166 0245711763 07375041398 1251557262
                                                                      18 3630484915 02528068757 07113245731 1287696923
                                                                      19 3505146855 02599969094 06867669603 1324320074
                                                                      2 3386870309 02673136922 06635929175 1361588833
                                                                      21 3274598498 02747932035 06415953882 1399686467
                                                                      22 3167388932 02824774842 06205897097 1438827114
                                                                      23 3064372843 02904173333 06004056634 1479269523
                                                                      24 296471464 02986763333 05808795311 152133756
                                                                      25 2867564887 03073372094 0561844882 1565452592
                                                                      26 2771995899 03165125252 05431199537 1612187974
                                                                      27 2676897761 03263641013 05244872796 1662367955
                                                                      28 2580781446 03371419529 0505655113 1717266013
                                                                      29 248133507 03492740545 04861704842 1779062077
                                                                      3 2374158982 03636235186 04651713652 1852152497
                                                                      31 2247263191 03826037427 04403085448 1948830153
                                                                      32
                                                                      33
                                                                      34
                                                                      35
                                                                      1
                                                                      09495926345
                                                                      09049739251
                                                                      08650188333
                                                                      08288808949
                                                                      07959078404
                                                                      07655862679
                                                                      07375041398
                                                                      07113245731
                                                                      06867669603
                                                                      06635929175
                                                                      06415953882
                                                                      06205897097
                                                                      06004056634
                                                                      05808795311
                                                                      0561844882
                                                                      05431199537
                                                                      05244872796
                                                                      0505655113
                                                                      04861704842
                                                                      04651713652
                                                                      Variable b l s g a p h
                                                                      Value 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84
Page 52: Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor · Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor DEGIT St. Petersburg, Russia. 8 September 2011. Richard

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)Suppose drr ge dππ Then dK lt 0

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reason In the steady-state 1βλ = rπ if bt gt 0

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

If the MCR γ = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reasonndash When γ = 0 investment dXX = dwwndash But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKKndash From the clearing condition X = π K so

dXX = dKK + dππ there4 drr = dππ

Aggregate Investment (γ = 0)

X = +[wh(1- l)][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Suppose the minimum consumption requirement γ gt 0 anddπ gt 0 Then drr gt dππ

Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

One consequence Effective return rπ rises child labor increases

dK + dππ = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in π is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ) 1σ]

( )( )

( )( ) =

Γ

+minusminusminus

minus

Γminus

+minus+minusminus

παα

πππαα r

llhlhrrr

llhllh

)1211

)1211

( )( ) 11

1

1minus+

equivΓσββ z

z

( ) ( )( )

Γminus

minus

+minus+

minus

minus

πππαα

α

γ

α

αα

rrr

llhA

r 1

)121

11

1

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rπ is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

Pedagogical Examples

Variable β λ σ γ α π hValue 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84

1

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

04 05 06 07 08 09 1

Relative Output

Rela

tive

Parti

cipa

tion

Rate

s

Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

γ gt 0 γ = 0

Why the difference

The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels Wages Return rπ Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of

middle-age decisionmakers

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Conclusions

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriersdeveloping countries can reduce child labor Without areduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricterbarriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lotof a country

  • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Background
  • Background
  • Slide Number 9
  • Slide Number 10
  • Slide Number 11
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • Slide Number 16
  • Slide Number 17
  • Slide Number 18
  • Slide Number 19
  • Slide Number 20
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • Slide Number 23
  • Preferences
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Aggregate Investment
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Slide Number 39
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Slide Number 43
  • Slide Number 44
  • Slide Number 45
  • Slide Number 46
  • Slide Number 47
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Aggregate Investment (g = 0)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Slide Number 62
  • Steady State
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Slide Number 67
  • Pedagogical Examples
  • Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)
  • Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)
  • Slide Number 71
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
    • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor

      DEGIT

      St Petersburg Russia

      8 September 2011

      Richard C Barnett

      Drexel University

      Secrecy vs Seclective Disclosure

      Outline of the Talk

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Conclusions

          Background

          Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

          The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

          Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Background

              Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

              The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

              Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)

                  Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

                  3 Important Features

                  Barriers

                  Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

                  Child Labor and Human Capital

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

                  Minimum Consumption Requirements

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

                  Related Studies

                  Overview

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  MCR g

                  The Model

                  Preferences

                  Ut ordm u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl Ut+1

                  where u(c ) = (c ndash g )1-s (1 - s) 0 pound b l pound 1

                  c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

                  c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  qt ordm bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3 wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) lb ucent(c1t+1 )

                  + wt + 2 hcent( 1- lt ) l b 2 ucent(c2t+2 )

                  Aggregate Investment

                  X = +

                  [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                  [rp + (b rp)1s]

                  wl (b rp)1s

                  [rp + (b rp)1s ]

                  Factors and Technologies

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Human Capital

                      Assumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

                      Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of

                      sequences for prices wt rt t sup3 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t sup3 1

                      and Xt Kt+1 lt t sup3 1 such that

                      Agents optimize

                      Factor payments

                      w = (1 - a) A Ka L-a

                      r = a A Ka -1 L1-a

                      All markets clear

                      Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 )

                      Capital xt + bt = p Kt +1

                      Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

                      Equilibrium

                      Approach

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          MCR = 0

                          MCR gt 0

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Steady State

                          • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                              • 1b l sup3 r p
                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                  • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                    • Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                      Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                      wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                      The Child Labor Decision

                                      Steady State

                                      • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                          • 1b l sup3 r p
                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                  -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                  Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                                  Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                                  wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                                  The Child Labor Decision

                                                  Steady State

                                                  • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                                      • 1b l sup3 r p
                                                      • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                            • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                              -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)

                                                                  Suppose drr sup3 dpp Then dK lt 0

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                  Reason In the steady-state 1bl = rp if bt gt 0

                                                                  Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      If the MCR g = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                      Reason

                                                                      When g = 0 investment dXX = dww

                                                                      But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKK

                                                                      From the clearing condition X = p K so

                                                                      dXX = dKK + dpp drr = dpp

                                                                      Aggregate Investment (g = 0)

                                                                      X = +

                                                                      [wh(1- l)][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Suppose the minimum consumption requirement g gt 0 and

                                                                      dp gt 0 Then drr gt dpp

                                                                      Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

                                                                      One consequence Effective return rp rises child labor increases

                                                                      dK + dpp = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

                                                                      Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in p is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

                                                                      Steady State

                                                                      + = K

                                                                      [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp) 1s]

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rp is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛

                                                                      primeprime

                                                                      +rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l Kprime )

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛ +

                                                                      rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      l

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l K )

                                                                      l l prime

                                                                      Pedagogical Examples

                                                                      Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

                                                                      Chart1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates
                                                                      1
                                                                      1036832741
                                                                      1073090064
                                                                      1108955549
                                                                      1144590727
                                                                      1180143169
                                                                      1215752801
                                                                      1251557262
                                                                      1287696923
                                                                      1324320074
                                                                      1361588833
                                                                      1399686467
                                                                      1438827114
                                                                      1479269523
                                                                      152133756
                                                                      1565452592
                                                                      1612187974
                                                                      1662367955
                                                                      1717266013
                                                                      1779062077
                                                                      1852152497

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates

                                                                      Sheet2

                                                                      Sheet3

                                                                      Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

                                                                      g gt 0

                                                                      g = 0

                                                                      Why the difference

                                                                      The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels

                                                                      Wages

                                                                      Return rπ

                                                                      Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of middle-age decisionmakers

                                                                      Conclusions

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriers developing countries can reduce child labor Without a reduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricter barriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lot of a country

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                                                                          )

                                                                          (

                                                                          )

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          -

                                                                          +

                                                                          ordm

                                                                          G

                                                                          s

                                                                          b

                                                                          b

                                                                          z

                                                                          z

                                                                          (

                                                                          )

                                                                          (

                                                                          )

                                                                          (

                                                                          )

                                                                          uacute

                                                                          ucirc

                                                                          ugrave

                                                                          ecirc

                                                                          euml

                                                                          eacute

                                                                          divide

                                                                          oslash

                                                                          ouml

                                                                          ccedil

                                                                          egrave

                                                                          aelig

                                                                          G

                                                                          -

                                                                          -

                                                                          +

                                                                          -

                                                                          +

                                                                          -

                                                                          -

                                                                          p

                                                                          p

                                                                          p

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          g

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          l

                                                                          l

                                                                          h

                                                                          A

                                                                          r

                                                                          1

                                                                          )

                                                                          1

                                                                          2

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          11

                                                                          12

                                                                          13

                                                                          14

                                                                          15

                                                                          16

                                                                          17

                                                                          18

                                                                          19

                                                                          0405060708091

                                                                          Relative Output

                                                                          Relative Participation Rates

                                                                          Fig 42b Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          = 0

                                                                          4

                                                                          41

                                                                          42

                                                                          43

                                                                          44

                                                                          45

                                                                          46

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          002

                                                                          004

                                                                          006

                                                                          008

                                                                          01

                                                                          012

                                                                          014

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                          Fig 42a Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          gt 0

                                                                          28

                                                                          29

                                                                          3

                                                                          31

                                                                          32

                                                                          33

                                                                          34

                                                                          35

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          005

                                                                          01

                                                                          015

                                                                          02

                                                                          025

                                                                          03

                                                                          035

                                                                          04

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                      y l ratio y ratio l
                                                                      1 5103837338 0196324827 1 1
                                                                      11 4846566344 02035560085 09495926345 1036832741
                                                                      12 4618839709 02106742213 09049739251 1073090064
                                                                      13 4414915419 02177155064 08650188333 1108955549
                                                                      14 423047326 02247115765 08288808949 1144590727
                                                                      15 4062184154 02316914036 07959078404 1180143169
                                                                      16 390742778 02386824584 07655862679 1215752801
                                                                      17 3764101166 0245711763 07375041398 1251557262
                                                                      18 3630484915 02528068757 07113245731 1287696923
                                                                      19 3505146855 02599969094 06867669603 1324320074
                                                                      2 3386870309 02673136922 06635929175 1361588833
                                                                      21 3274598498 02747932035 06415953882 1399686467
                                                                      22 3167388932 02824774842 06205897097 1438827114
                                                                      23 3064372843 02904173333 06004056634 1479269523
                                                                      24 296471464 02986763333 05808795311 152133756
                                                                      25 2867564887 03073372094 0561844882 1565452592
                                                                      26 2771995899 03165125252 05431199537 1612187974
                                                                      27 2676897761 03263641013 05244872796 1662367955
                                                                      28 2580781446 03371419529 0505655113 1717266013
                                                                      29 248133507 03492740545 04861704842 1779062077
                                                                      3 2374158982 03636235186 04651713652 1852152497
                                                                      31 2247263191 03826037427 04403085448 1948830153
                                                                      32
                                                                      33
                                                                      34
                                                                      35
                                                                      1
                                                                      09495926345
                                                                      09049739251
                                                                      08650188333
                                                                      08288808949
                                                                      07959078404
                                                                      07655862679
                                                                      07375041398
                                                                      07113245731
                                                                      06867669603
                                                                      06635929175
                                                                      06415953882
                                                                      06205897097
                                                                      06004056634
                                                                      05808795311
                                                                      0561844882
                                                                      05431199537
                                                                      05244872796
                                                                      0505655113
                                                                      04861704842
                                                                      04651713652
                                                                      Variable b l s g a p h
                                                                      Value 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84
Page 53: Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor · Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor DEGIT St. Petersburg, Russia. 8 September 2011. Richard

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)Suppose drr ge dππ Then dK lt 0

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reason In the steady-state 1βλ = rπ if bt gt 0

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

If the MCR γ = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reasonndash When γ = 0 investment dXX = dwwndash But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKKndash From the clearing condition X = π K so

dXX = dKK + dππ there4 drr = dππ

Aggregate Investment (γ = 0)

X = +[wh(1- l)][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Suppose the minimum consumption requirement γ gt 0 anddπ gt 0 Then drr gt dππ

Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

One consequence Effective return rπ rises child labor increases

dK + dππ = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in π is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ) 1σ]

( )( )

( )( ) =

Γ

+minusminusminus

minus

Γminus

+minus+minusminus

παα

πππαα r

llhlhrrr

llhllh

)1211

)1211

( )( ) 11

1

1minus+

equivΓσββ z

z

( ) ( )( )

Γminus

minus

+minus+

minus

minus

πππαα

α

γ

α

αα

rrr

llhA

r 1

)121

11

1

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rπ is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

Pedagogical Examples

Variable β λ σ γ α π hValue 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84

1

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

04 05 06 07 08 09 1

Relative Output

Rela

tive

Parti

cipa

tion

Rate

s

Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

γ gt 0 γ = 0

Why the difference

The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels Wages Return rπ Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of

middle-age decisionmakers

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Conclusions

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriersdeveloping countries can reduce child labor Without areduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricterbarriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lotof a country

  • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Background
  • Background
  • Slide Number 9
  • Slide Number 10
  • Slide Number 11
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • Slide Number 16
  • Slide Number 17
  • Slide Number 18
  • Slide Number 19
  • Slide Number 20
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • Slide Number 23
  • Preferences
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Aggregate Investment
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Slide Number 39
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Slide Number 43
  • Slide Number 44
  • Slide Number 45
  • Slide Number 46
  • Slide Number 47
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Aggregate Investment (g = 0)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Slide Number 62
  • Steady State
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Slide Number 67
  • Pedagogical Examples
  • Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)
  • Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)
  • Slide Number 71
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
    • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor

      DEGIT

      St Petersburg Russia

      8 September 2011

      Richard C Barnett

      Drexel University

      Secrecy vs Seclective Disclosure

      Outline of the Talk

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Conclusions

          Background

          Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

          The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

          Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Background

              Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

              The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

              Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)

                  Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

                  3 Important Features

                  Barriers

                  Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

                  Child Labor and Human Capital

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

                  Minimum Consumption Requirements

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

                  Related Studies

                  Overview

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  MCR g

                  The Model

                  Preferences

                  Ut ordm u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl Ut+1

                  where u(c ) = (c ndash g )1-s (1 - s) 0 pound b l pound 1

                  c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

                  c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  qt ordm bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3 wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) lb ucent(c1t+1 )

                  + wt + 2 hcent( 1- lt ) l b 2 ucent(c2t+2 )

                  Aggregate Investment

                  X = +

                  [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                  [rp + (b rp)1s]

                  wl (b rp)1s

                  [rp + (b rp)1s ]

                  Factors and Technologies

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Human Capital

                      Assumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

                      Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of

                      sequences for prices wt rt t sup3 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t sup3 1

                      and Xt Kt+1 lt t sup3 1 such that

                      Agents optimize

                      Factor payments

                      w = (1 - a) A Ka L-a

                      r = a A Ka -1 L1-a

                      All markets clear

                      Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 )

                      Capital xt + bt = p Kt +1

                      Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

                      Equilibrium

                      Approach

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          MCR = 0

                          MCR gt 0

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Steady State

                          • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                              • 1b l sup3 r p
                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                  • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                    • Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                      Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                      wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                      The Child Labor Decision

                                      Steady State

                                      • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                          • 1b l sup3 r p
                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                  -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                  Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                                  Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                                  wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                                  The Child Labor Decision

                                                  Steady State

                                                  • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                                      • 1b l sup3 r p
                                                      • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                            • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                              -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)

                                                                  Suppose drr sup3 dpp Then dK lt 0

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                  Reason In the steady-state 1bl = rp if bt gt 0

                                                                  Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      If the MCR g = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                      Reason

                                                                      When g = 0 investment dXX = dww

                                                                      But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKK

                                                                      From the clearing condition X = p K so

                                                                      dXX = dKK + dpp drr = dpp

                                                                      Aggregate Investment (g = 0)

                                                                      X = +

                                                                      [wh(1- l)][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Suppose the minimum consumption requirement g gt 0 and

                                                                      dp gt 0 Then drr gt dpp

                                                                      Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

                                                                      One consequence Effective return rp rises child labor increases

                                                                      dK + dpp = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

                                                                      Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in p is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

                                                                      Steady State

                                                                      + = K

                                                                      [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp) 1s]

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rp is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛

                                                                      primeprime

                                                                      +rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l Kprime )

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛ +

                                                                      rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      l

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l K )

                                                                      l l prime

                                                                      Pedagogical Examples

                                                                      Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

                                                                      Chart1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates
                                                                      1
                                                                      1036832741
                                                                      1073090064
                                                                      1108955549
                                                                      1144590727
                                                                      1180143169
                                                                      1215752801
                                                                      1251557262
                                                                      1287696923
                                                                      1324320074
                                                                      1361588833
                                                                      1399686467
                                                                      1438827114
                                                                      1479269523
                                                                      152133756
                                                                      1565452592
                                                                      1612187974
                                                                      1662367955
                                                                      1717266013
                                                                      1779062077
                                                                      1852152497

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates

                                                                      Sheet2

                                                                      Sheet3

                                                                      Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

                                                                      g gt 0

                                                                      g = 0

                                                                      Why the difference

                                                                      The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels

                                                                      Wages

                                                                      Return rπ

                                                                      Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of middle-age decisionmakers

                                                                      Conclusions

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriers developing countries can reduce child labor Without a reduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricter barriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lot of a country

                                                                          (

                                                                          )

                                                                          (

                                                                          )

                                                                          (

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                                                                          (

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                                                                          ucirc

                                                                          ugrave

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                                                                          euml

                                                                          eacute

                                                                          divide

                                                                          oslash

                                                                          ouml

                                                                          ccedil

                                                                          egrave

                                                                          aelig

                                                                          G

                                                                          -

                                                                          -

                                                                          +

                                                                          -

                                                                          +

                                                                          -

                                                                          -

                                                                          p

                                                                          p

                                                                          p

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          g

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          l

                                                                          l

                                                                          h

                                                                          A

                                                                          r

                                                                          1

                                                                          )

                                                                          1

                                                                          2

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          11

                                                                          12

                                                                          13

                                                                          14

                                                                          15

                                                                          16

                                                                          17

                                                                          18

                                                                          19

                                                                          0405060708091

                                                                          Relative Output

                                                                          Relative Participation Rates

                                                                          Fig 42b Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          = 0

                                                                          4

                                                                          41

                                                                          42

                                                                          43

                                                                          44

                                                                          45

                                                                          46

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          002

                                                                          004

                                                                          006

                                                                          008

                                                                          01

                                                                          012

                                                                          014

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                          Fig 42a Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          gt 0

                                                                          28

                                                                          29

                                                                          3

                                                                          31

                                                                          32

                                                                          33

                                                                          34

                                                                          35

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          005

                                                                          01

                                                                          015

                                                                          02

                                                                          025

                                                                          03

                                                                          035

                                                                          04

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                      y l ratio y ratio l
                                                                      1 5103837338 0196324827 1 1
                                                                      11 4846566344 02035560085 09495926345 1036832741
                                                                      12 4618839709 02106742213 09049739251 1073090064
                                                                      13 4414915419 02177155064 08650188333 1108955549
                                                                      14 423047326 02247115765 08288808949 1144590727
                                                                      15 4062184154 02316914036 07959078404 1180143169
                                                                      16 390742778 02386824584 07655862679 1215752801
                                                                      17 3764101166 0245711763 07375041398 1251557262
                                                                      18 3630484915 02528068757 07113245731 1287696923
                                                                      19 3505146855 02599969094 06867669603 1324320074
                                                                      2 3386870309 02673136922 06635929175 1361588833
                                                                      21 3274598498 02747932035 06415953882 1399686467
                                                                      22 3167388932 02824774842 06205897097 1438827114
                                                                      23 3064372843 02904173333 06004056634 1479269523
                                                                      24 296471464 02986763333 05808795311 152133756
                                                                      25 2867564887 03073372094 0561844882 1565452592
                                                                      26 2771995899 03165125252 05431199537 1612187974
                                                                      27 2676897761 03263641013 05244872796 1662367955
                                                                      28 2580781446 03371419529 0505655113 1717266013
                                                                      29 248133507 03492740545 04861704842 1779062077
                                                                      3 2374158982 03636235186 04651713652 1852152497
                                                                      31 2247263191 03826037427 04403085448 1948830153
                                                                      32
                                                                      33
                                                                      34
                                                                      35
                                                                      1
                                                                      09495926345
                                                                      09049739251
                                                                      08650188333
                                                                      08288808949
                                                                      07959078404
                                                                      07655862679
                                                                      07375041398
                                                                      07113245731
                                                                      06867669603
                                                                      06635929175
                                                                      06415953882
                                                                      06205897097
                                                                      06004056634
                                                                      05808795311
                                                                      0561844882
                                                                      05431199537
                                                                      05244872796
                                                                      0505655113
                                                                      04861704842
                                                                      04651713652
                                                                      Variable b l s g a p h
                                                                      Value 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84
Page 54: Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor · Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor DEGIT St. Petersburg, Russia. 8 September 2011. Richard

Policy-induced changes in factors

Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of LaborSuppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)dl ge 0 whenever drr ge dππ

Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)Suppose drr ge dππ Then dK lt 0

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reason In the steady-state 1βλ = rπ if bt gt 0

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

If the MCR γ = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reasonndash When γ = 0 investment dXX = dwwndash But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKKndash From the clearing condition X = π K so

dXX = dKK + dππ there4 drr = dππ

Aggregate Investment (γ = 0)

X = +[wh(1- l)][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Suppose the minimum consumption requirement γ gt 0 anddπ gt 0 Then drr gt dππ

Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

One consequence Effective return rπ rises child labor increases

dK + dππ = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in π is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ) 1σ]

( )( )

( )( ) =

Γ

+minusminusminus

minus

Γminus

+minus+minusminus

παα

πππαα r

llhlhrrr

llhllh

)1211

)1211

( )( ) 11

1

1minus+

equivΓσββ z

z

( ) ( )( )

Γminus

minus

+minus+

minus

minus

πππαα

α

γ

α

αα

rrr

llhA

r 1

)121

11

1

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rπ is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

Pedagogical Examples

Variable β λ σ γ α π hValue 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84

1

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

04 05 06 07 08 09 1

Relative Output

Rela

tive

Parti

cipa

tion

Rate

s

Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

γ gt 0 γ = 0

Why the difference

The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels Wages Return rπ Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of

middle-age decisionmakers

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Conclusions

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriersdeveloping countries can reduce child labor Without areduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricterbarriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lotof a country

  • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Background
  • Background
  • Slide Number 9
  • Slide Number 10
  • Slide Number 11
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • Slide Number 16
  • Slide Number 17
  • Slide Number 18
  • Slide Number 19
  • Slide Number 20
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • Slide Number 23
  • Preferences
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Aggregate Investment
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Slide Number 39
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Slide Number 43
  • Slide Number 44
  • Slide Number 45
  • Slide Number 46
  • Slide Number 47
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Aggregate Investment (g = 0)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Slide Number 62
  • Steady State
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Slide Number 67
  • Pedagogical Examples
  • Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)
  • Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)
  • Slide Number 71
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
    • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor

      DEGIT

      St Petersburg Russia

      8 September 2011

      Richard C Barnett

      Drexel University

      Secrecy vs Seclective Disclosure

      Outline of the Talk

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Conclusions

          Background

          Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

          The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

          Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Background

              Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

              The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

              Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)

                  Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

                  3 Important Features

                  Barriers

                  Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

                  Child Labor and Human Capital

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

                  Minimum Consumption Requirements

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

                  Related Studies

                  Overview

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  MCR g

                  The Model

                  Preferences

                  Ut ordm u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl Ut+1

                  where u(c ) = (c ndash g )1-s (1 - s) 0 pound b l pound 1

                  c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

                  c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  qt ordm bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3 wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) lb ucent(c1t+1 )

                  + wt + 2 hcent( 1- lt ) l b 2 ucent(c2t+2 )

                  Aggregate Investment

                  X = +

                  [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                  [rp + (b rp)1s]

                  wl (b rp)1s

                  [rp + (b rp)1s ]

                  Factors and Technologies

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Human Capital

                      Assumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

                      Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of

                      sequences for prices wt rt t sup3 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t sup3 1

                      and Xt Kt+1 lt t sup3 1 such that

                      Agents optimize

                      Factor payments

                      w = (1 - a) A Ka L-a

                      r = a A Ka -1 L1-a

                      All markets clear

                      Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 )

                      Capital xt + bt = p Kt +1

                      Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

                      Equilibrium

                      Approach

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          MCR = 0

                          MCR gt 0

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Steady State

                          • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                              • 1b l sup3 r p
                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                  • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                    • Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                      Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                      wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                      The Child Labor Decision

                                      Steady State

                                      • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                          • 1b l sup3 r p
                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                  -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                  Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                                  Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                                  wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                                  The Child Labor Decision

                                                  Steady State

                                                  • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                                      • 1b l sup3 r p
                                                      • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                            • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                              -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)

                                                                  Suppose drr sup3 dpp Then dK lt 0

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                  Reason In the steady-state 1bl = rp if bt gt 0

                                                                  Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      If the MCR g = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                      Reason

                                                                      When g = 0 investment dXX = dww

                                                                      But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKK

                                                                      From the clearing condition X = p K so

                                                                      dXX = dKK + dpp drr = dpp

                                                                      Aggregate Investment (g = 0)

                                                                      X = +

                                                                      [wh(1- l)][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Suppose the minimum consumption requirement g gt 0 and

                                                                      dp gt 0 Then drr gt dpp

                                                                      Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

                                                                      One consequence Effective return rp rises child labor increases

                                                                      dK + dpp = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

                                                                      Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in p is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

                                                                      Steady State

                                                                      + = K

                                                                      [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp) 1s]

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rp is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛

                                                                      primeprime

                                                                      +rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l Kprime )

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛ +

                                                                      rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      l

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l K )

                                                                      l l prime

                                                                      Pedagogical Examples

                                                                      Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

                                                                      Chart1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates
                                                                      1
                                                                      1036832741
                                                                      1073090064
                                                                      1108955549
                                                                      1144590727
                                                                      1180143169
                                                                      1215752801
                                                                      1251557262
                                                                      1287696923
                                                                      1324320074
                                                                      1361588833
                                                                      1399686467
                                                                      1438827114
                                                                      1479269523
                                                                      152133756
                                                                      1565452592
                                                                      1612187974
                                                                      1662367955
                                                                      1717266013
                                                                      1779062077
                                                                      1852152497

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates

                                                                      Sheet2

                                                                      Sheet3

                                                                      Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

                                                                      g gt 0

                                                                      g = 0

                                                                      Why the difference

                                                                      The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels

                                                                      Wages

                                                                      Return rπ

                                                                      Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of middle-age decisionmakers

                                                                      Conclusions

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriers developing countries can reduce child labor Without a reduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricter barriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lot of a country

                                                                          (

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                                                                          uacute

                                                                          ucirc

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                                                                          divide

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                                                                          -

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                                                                          p

                                                                          a

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                                                                          a

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          l

                                                                          l

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                                                                          14

                                                                          15

                                                                          16

                                                                          17

                                                                          18

                                                                          19

                                                                          0405060708091

                                                                          Relative Output

                                                                          Relative Participation Rates

                                                                          Fig 42b Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          = 0

                                                                          4

                                                                          41

                                                                          42

                                                                          43

                                                                          44

                                                                          45

                                                                          46

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          002

                                                                          004

                                                                          006

                                                                          008

                                                                          01

                                                                          012

                                                                          014

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                          Fig 42a Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          gt 0

                                                                          28

                                                                          29

                                                                          3

                                                                          31

                                                                          32

                                                                          33

                                                                          34

                                                                          35

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          005

                                                                          01

                                                                          015

                                                                          02

                                                                          025

                                                                          03

                                                                          035

                                                                          04

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                      y l ratio y ratio l
                                                                      1 5103837338 0196324827 1 1
                                                                      11 4846566344 02035560085 09495926345 1036832741
                                                                      12 4618839709 02106742213 09049739251 1073090064
                                                                      13 4414915419 02177155064 08650188333 1108955549
                                                                      14 423047326 02247115765 08288808949 1144590727
                                                                      15 4062184154 02316914036 07959078404 1180143169
                                                                      16 390742778 02386824584 07655862679 1215752801
                                                                      17 3764101166 0245711763 07375041398 1251557262
                                                                      18 3630484915 02528068757 07113245731 1287696923
                                                                      19 3505146855 02599969094 06867669603 1324320074
                                                                      2 3386870309 02673136922 06635929175 1361588833
                                                                      21 3274598498 02747932035 06415953882 1399686467
                                                                      22 3167388932 02824774842 06205897097 1438827114
                                                                      23 3064372843 02904173333 06004056634 1479269523
                                                                      24 296471464 02986763333 05808795311 152133756
                                                                      25 2867564887 03073372094 0561844882 1565452592
                                                                      26 2771995899 03165125252 05431199537 1612187974
                                                                      27 2676897761 03263641013 05244872796 1662367955
                                                                      28 2580781446 03371419529 0505655113 1717266013
                                                                      29 248133507 03492740545 04861704842 1779062077
                                                                      3 2374158982 03636235186 04651713652 1852152497
                                                                      31 2247263191 03826037427 04403085448 1948830153
                                                                      32
                                                                      33
                                                                      34
                                                                      35
                                                                      1
                                                                      09495926345
                                                                      09049739251
                                                                      08650188333
                                                                      08288808949
                                                                      07959078404
                                                                      07655862679
                                                                      07375041398
                                                                      07113245731
                                                                      06867669603
                                                                      06635929175
                                                                      06415953882
                                                                      06205897097
                                                                      06004056634
                                                                      05808795311
                                                                      0561844882
                                                                      05431199537
                                                                      05244872796
                                                                      0505655113
                                                                      04861704842
                                                                      04651713652
                                                                      Variable b l s g a p h
                                                                      Value 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84
Page 55: Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor · Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor DEGIT St. Petersburg, Russia. 8 September 2011. Richard

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reason In the steady-state 1βλ = rπ if bt gt 0

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

If the MCR γ = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reasonndash When γ = 0 investment dXX = dwwndash But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKKndash From the clearing condition X = π K so

dXX = dKK + dππ there4 drr = dππ

Aggregate Investment (γ = 0)

X = +[wh(1- l)][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Suppose the minimum consumption requirement γ gt 0 anddπ gt 0 Then drr gt dππ

Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

One consequence Effective return rπ rises child labor increases

dK + dππ = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in π is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ) 1σ]

( )( )

( )( ) =

Γ

+minusminusminus

minus

Γminus

+minus+minusminus

παα

πππαα r

llhlhrrr

llhllh

)1211

)1211

( )( ) 11

1

1minus+

equivΓσββ z

z

( ) ( )( )

Γminus

minus

+minus+

minus

minus

πππαα

α

γ

α

αα

rrr

llhA

r 1

)121

11

1

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rπ is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

Pedagogical Examples

Variable β λ σ γ α π hValue 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84

1

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

04 05 06 07 08 09 1

Relative Output

Rela

tive

Parti

cipa

tion

Rate

s

Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

γ gt 0 γ = 0

Why the difference

The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels Wages Return rπ Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of

middle-age decisionmakers

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Conclusions

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriersdeveloping countries can reduce child labor Without areduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricterbarriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lotof a country

  • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Background
  • Background
  • Slide Number 9
  • Slide Number 10
  • Slide Number 11
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • Slide Number 16
  • Slide Number 17
  • Slide Number 18
  • Slide Number 19
  • Slide Number 20
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • Slide Number 23
  • Preferences
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Aggregate Investment
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Slide Number 39
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Slide Number 43
  • Slide Number 44
  • Slide Number 45
  • Slide Number 46
  • Slide Number 47
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Aggregate Investment (g = 0)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Slide Number 62
  • Steady State
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Slide Number 67
  • Pedagogical Examples
  • Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)
  • Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)
  • Slide Number 71
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
    • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor

      DEGIT

      St Petersburg Russia

      8 September 2011

      Richard C Barnett

      Drexel University

      Secrecy vs Seclective Disclosure

      Outline of the Talk

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Conclusions

          Background

          Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

          The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

          Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Background

              Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

              The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

              Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)

                  Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

                  3 Important Features

                  Barriers

                  Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

                  Child Labor and Human Capital

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

                  Minimum Consumption Requirements

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

                  Related Studies

                  Overview

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  MCR g

                  The Model

                  Preferences

                  Ut ordm u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl Ut+1

                  where u(c ) = (c ndash g )1-s (1 - s) 0 pound b l pound 1

                  c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

                  c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  qt ordm bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3 wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) lb ucent(c1t+1 )

                  + wt + 2 hcent( 1- lt ) l b 2 ucent(c2t+2 )

                  Aggregate Investment

                  X = +

                  [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                  [rp + (b rp)1s]

                  wl (b rp)1s

                  [rp + (b rp)1s ]

                  Factors and Technologies

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Human Capital

                      Assumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

                      Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of

                      sequences for prices wt rt t sup3 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t sup3 1

                      and Xt Kt+1 lt t sup3 1 such that

                      Agents optimize

                      Factor payments

                      w = (1 - a) A Ka L-a

                      r = a A Ka -1 L1-a

                      All markets clear

                      Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 )

                      Capital xt + bt = p Kt +1

                      Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

                      Equilibrium

                      Approach

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          MCR = 0

                          MCR gt 0

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Steady State

                          • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                              • 1b l sup3 r p
                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                  • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                    • Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                      Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                      wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                      The Child Labor Decision

                                      Steady State

                                      • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                          • 1b l sup3 r p
                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                  -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                  Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                                  Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                                  wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                                  The Child Labor Decision

                                                  Steady State

                                                  • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                                      • 1b l sup3 r p
                                                      • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                            • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                              -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)

                                                                  Suppose drr sup3 dpp Then dK lt 0

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                  Reason In the steady-state 1bl = rp if bt gt 0

                                                                  Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      If the MCR g = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                      Reason

                                                                      When g = 0 investment dXX = dww

                                                                      But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKK

                                                                      From the clearing condition X = p K so

                                                                      dXX = dKK + dpp drr = dpp

                                                                      Aggregate Investment (g = 0)

                                                                      X = +

                                                                      [wh(1- l)][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Suppose the minimum consumption requirement g gt 0 and

                                                                      dp gt 0 Then drr gt dpp

                                                                      Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

                                                                      One consequence Effective return rp rises child labor increases

                                                                      dK + dpp = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

                                                                      Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in p is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

                                                                      Steady State

                                                                      + = K

                                                                      [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp) 1s]

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rp is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛

                                                                      primeprime

                                                                      +rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l Kprime )

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛ +

                                                                      rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      l

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l K )

                                                                      l l prime

                                                                      Pedagogical Examples

                                                                      Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

                                                                      Chart1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates
                                                                      1
                                                                      1036832741
                                                                      1073090064
                                                                      1108955549
                                                                      1144590727
                                                                      1180143169
                                                                      1215752801
                                                                      1251557262
                                                                      1287696923
                                                                      1324320074
                                                                      1361588833
                                                                      1399686467
                                                                      1438827114
                                                                      1479269523
                                                                      152133756
                                                                      1565452592
                                                                      1612187974
                                                                      1662367955
                                                                      1717266013
                                                                      1779062077
                                                                      1852152497

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates

                                                                      Sheet2

                                                                      Sheet3

                                                                      Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

                                                                      g gt 0

                                                                      g = 0

                                                                      Why the difference

                                                                      The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels

                                                                      Wages

                                                                      Return rπ

                                                                      Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of middle-age decisionmakers

                                                                      Conclusions

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriers developing countries can reduce child labor Without a reduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricter barriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lot of a country

                                                                          (

                                                                          )

                                                                          (

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                                                                          divide

                                                                          oslash

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                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          l

                                                                          l

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                                                                          A

                                                                          r

                                                                          1

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                                                                          1

                                                                          2

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                                                                          12

                                                                          13

                                                                          14

                                                                          15

                                                                          16

                                                                          17

                                                                          18

                                                                          19

                                                                          0405060708091

                                                                          Relative Output

                                                                          Relative Participation Rates

                                                                          Fig 42b Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          = 0

                                                                          4

                                                                          41

                                                                          42

                                                                          43

                                                                          44

                                                                          45

                                                                          46

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          002

                                                                          004

                                                                          006

                                                                          008

                                                                          01

                                                                          012

                                                                          014

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                          Fig 42a Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          gt 0

                                                                          28

                                                                          29

                                                                          3

                                                                          31

                                                                          32

                                                                          33

                                                                          34

                                                                          35

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          005

                                                                          01

                                                                          015

                                                                          02

                                                                          025

                                                                          03

                                                                          035

                                                                          04

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                      y l ratio y ratio l
                                                                      1 5103837338 0196324827 1 1
                                                                      11 4846566344 02035560085 09495926345 1036832741
                                                                      12 4618839709 02106742213 09049739251 1073090064
                                                                      13 4414915419 02177155064 08650188333 1108955549
                                                                      14 423047326 02247115765 08288808949 1144590727
                                                                      15 4062184154 02316914036 07959078404 1180143169
                                                                      16 390742778 02386824584 07655862679 1215752801
                                                                      17 3764101166 0245711763 07375041398 1251557262
                                                                      18 3630484915 02528068757 07113245731 1287696923
                                                                      19 3505146855 02599969094 06867669603 1324320074
                                                                      2 3386870309 02673136922 06635929175 1361588833
                                                                      21 3274598498 02747932035 06415953882 1399686467
                                                                      22 3167388932 02824774842 06205897097 1438827114
                                                                      23 3064372843 02904173333 06004056634 1479269523
                                                                      24 296471464 02986763333 05808795311 152133756
                                                                      25 2867564887 03073372094 0561844882 1565452592
                                                                      26 2771995899 03165125252 05431199537 1612187974
                                                                      27 2676897761 03263641013 05244872796 1662367955
                                                                      28 2580781446 03371419529 0505655113 1717266013
                                                                      29 248133507 03492740545 04861704842 1779062077
                                                                      3 2374158982 03636235186 04651713652 1852152497
                                                                      31 2247263191 03826037427 04403085448 1948830153
                                                                      32
                                                                      33
                                                                      34
                                                                      35
                                                                      1
                                                                      09495926345
                                                                      09049739251
                                                                      08650188333
                                                                      08288808949
                                                                      07959078404
                                                                      07655862679
                                                                      07375041398
                                                                      07113245731
                                                                      06867669603
                                                                      06635929175
                                                                      06415953882
                                                                      06205897097
                                                                      06004056634
                                                                      05808795311
                                                                      0561844882
                                                                      05431199537
                                                                      05244872796
                                                                      0505655113
                                                                      04861704842
                                                                      04651713652
                                                                      Variable b l s g a p h
                                                                      Value 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84
Page 56: Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor · Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor DEGIT St. Petersburg, Russia. 8 September 2011. Richard

Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reason In the steady-state 1βλ = rπ if bt gt 0

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

If the MCR γ = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reasonndash When γ = 0 investment dXX = dwwndash But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKKndash From the clearing condition X = π K so

dXX = dKK + dππ there4 drr = dππ

Aggregate Investment (γ = 0)

X = +[wh(1- l)][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Suppose the minimum consumption requirement γ gt 0 anddπ gt 0 Then drr gt dππ

Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

One consequence Effective return rπ rises child labor increases

dK + dππ = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in π is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ) 1σ]

( )( )

( )( ) =

Γ

+minusminusminus

minus

Γminus

+minus+minusminus

παα

πππαα r

llhlhrrr

llhllh

)1211

)1211

( )( ) 11

1

1minus+

equivΓσββ z

z

( ) ( )( )

Γminus

minus

+minus+

minus

minus

πππαα

α

γ

α

αα

rrr

llhA

r 1

)121

11

1

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rπ is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

Pedagogical Examples

Variable β λ σ γ α π hValue 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84

1

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

04 05 06 07 08 09 1

Relative Output

Rela

tive

Parti

cipa

tion

Rate

s

Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

γ gt 0 γ = 0

Why the difference

The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels Wages Return rπ Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of

middle-age decisionmakers

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Conclusions

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriersdeveloping countries can reduce child labor Without areduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricterbarriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lotof a country

  • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Background
  • Background
  • Slide Number 9
  • Slide Number 10
  • Slide Number 11
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • Slide Number 16
  • Slide Number 17
  • Slide Number 18
  • Slide Number 19
  • Slide Number 20
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • Slide Number 23
  • Preferences
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Aggregate Investment
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Slide Number 39
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Slide Number 43
  • Slide Number 44
  • Slide Number 45
  • Slide Number 46
  • Slide Number 47
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Aggregate Investment (g = 0)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Slide Number 62
  • Steady State
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Slide Number 67
  • Pedagogical Examples
  • Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)
  • Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)
  • Slide Number 71
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
    • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor

      DEGIT

      St Petersburg Russia

      8 September 2011

      Richard C Barnett

      Drexel University

      Secrecy vs Seclective Disclosure

      Outline of the Talk

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Conclusions

          Background

          Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

          The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

          Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Background

              Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

              The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

              Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)

                  Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

                  3 Important Features

                  Barriers

                  Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

                  Child Labor and Human Capital

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

                  Minimum Consumption Requirements

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

                  Related Studies

                  Overview

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  MCR g

                  The Model

                  Preferences

                  Ut ordm u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl Ut+1

                  where u(c ) = (c ndash g )1-s (1 - s) 0 pound b l pound 1

                  c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

                  c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  qt ordm bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3 wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) lb ucent(c1t+1 )

                  + wt + 2 hcent( 1- lt ) l b 2 ucent(c2t+2 )

                  Aggregate Investment

                  X = +

                  [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                  [rp + (b rp)1s]

                  wl (b rp)1s

                  [rp + (b rp)1s ]

                  Factors and Technologies

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Human Capital

                      Assumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

                      Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of

                      sequences for prices wt rt t sup3 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t sup3 1

                      and Xt Kt+1 lt t sup3 1 such that

                      Agents optimize

                      Factor payments

                      w = (1 - a) A Ka L-a

                      r = a A Ka -1 L1-a

                      All markets clear

                      Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 )

                      Capital xt + bt = p Kt +1

                      Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

                      Equilibrium

                      Approach

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          MCR = 0

                          MCR gt 0

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Steady State

                          • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                              • 1b l sup3 r p
                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                  • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                    • Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                      Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                      wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                      The Child Labor Decision

                                      Steady State

                                      • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                          • 1b l sup3 r p
                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                  -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                  Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                                  Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                                  wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                                  The Child Labor Decision

                                                  Steady State

                                                  • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                                      • 1b l sup3 r p
                                                      • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                            • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                              -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)

                                                                  Suppose drr sup3 dpp Then dK lt 0

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                  Reason In the steady-state 1bl = rp if bt gt 0

                                                                  Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      If the MCR g = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                      Reason

                                                                      When g = 0 investment dXX = dww

                                                                      But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKK

                                                                      From the clearing condition X = p K so

                                                                      dXX = dKK + dpp drr = dpp

                                                                      Aggregate Investment (g = 0)

                                                                      X = +

                                                                      [wh(1- l)][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Suppose the minimum consumption requirement g gt 0 and

                                                                      dp gt 0 Then drr gt dpp

                                                                      Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

                                                                      One consequence Effective return rp rises child labor increases

                                                                      dK + dpp = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

                                                                      Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in p is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

                                                                      Steady State

                                                                      + = K

                                                                      [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp) 1s]

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rp is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛

                                                                      primeprime

                                                                      +rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l Kprime )

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛ +

                                                                      rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      l

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l K )

                                                                      l l prime

                                                                      Pedagogical Examples

                                                                      Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

                                                                      Chart1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates
                                                                      1
                                                                      1036832741
                                                                      1073090064
                                                                      1108955549
                                                                      1144590727
                                                                      1180143169
                                                                      1215752801
                                                                      1251557262
                                                                      1287696923
                                                                      1324320074
                                                                      1361588833
                                                                      1399686467
                                                                      1438827114
                                                                      1479269523
                                                                      152133756
                                                                      1565452592
                                                                      1612187974
                                                                      1662367955
                                                                      1717266013
                                                                      1779062077
                                                                      1852152497

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates

                                                                      Sheet2

                                                                      Sheet3

                                                                      Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

                                                                      g gt 0

                                                                      g = 0

                                                                      Why the difference

                                                                      The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels

                                                                      Wages

                                                                      Return rπ

                                                                      Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of middle-age decisionmakers

                                                                      Conclusions

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriers developing countries can reduce child labor Without a reduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricter barriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lot of a country

                                                                          (

                                                                          )

                                                                          (

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                                                                          G

                                                                          s

                                                                          b

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                                                                          (

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                                                                          uacute

                                                                          ucirc

                                                                          ugrave

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                                                                          euml

                                                                          eacute

                                                                          divide

                                                                          oslash

                                                                          ouml

                                                                          ccedil

                                                                          egrave

                                                                          aelig

                                                                          G

                                                                          -

                                                                          -

                                                                          +

                                                                          -

                                                                          +

                                                                          -

                                                                          -

                                                                          p

                                                                          p

                                                                          p

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          g

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          l

                                                                          l

                                                                          h

                                                                          A

                                                                          r

                                                                          1

                                                                          )

                                                                          1

                                                                          2

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

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                                                                          11

                                                                          12

                                                                          13

                                                                          14

                                                                          15

                                                                          16

                                                                          17

                                                                          18

                                                                          19

                                                                          0405060708091

                                                                          Relative Output

                                                                          Relative Participation Rates

                                                                          Fig 42b Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          = 0

                                                                          4

                                                                          41

                                                                          42

                                                                          43

                                                                          44

                                                                          45

                                                                          46

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          002

                                                                          004

                                                                          006

                                                                          008

                                                                          01

                                                                          012

                                                                          014

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                          Fig 42a Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          gt 0

                                                                          28

                                                                          29

                                                                          3

                                                                          31

                                                                          32

                                                                          33

                                                                          34

                                                                          35

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          005

                                                                          01

                                                                          015

                                                                          02

                                                                          025

                                                                          03

                                                                          035

                                                                          04

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                      y l ratio y ratio l
                                                                      1 5103837338 0196324827 1 1
                                                                      11 4846566344 02035560085 09495926345 1036832741
                                                                      12 4618839709 02106742213 09049739251 1073090064
                                                                      13 4414915419 02177155064 08650188333 1108955549
                                                                      14 423047326 02247115765 08288808949 1144590727
                                                                      15 4062184154 02316914036 07959078404 1180143169
                                                                      16 390742778 02386824584 07655862679 1215752801
                                                                      17 3764101166 0245711763 07375041398 1251557262
                                                                      18 3630484915 02528068757 07113245731 1287696923
                                                                      19 3505146855 02599969094 06867669603 1324320074
                                                                      2 3386870309 02673136922 06635929175 1361588833
                                                                      21 3274598498 02747932035 06415953882 1399686467
                                                                      22 3167388932 02824774842 06205897097 1438827114
                                                                      23 3064372843 02904173333 06004056634 1479269523
                                                                      24 296471464 02986763333 05808795311 152133756
                                                                      25 2867564887 03073372094 0561844882 1565452592
                                                                      26 2771995899 03165125252 05431199537 1612187974
                                                                      27 2676897761 03263641013 05244872796 1662367955
                                                                      28 2580781446 03371419529 0505655113 1717266013
                                                                      29 248133507 03492740545 04861704842 1779062077
                                                                      3 2374158982 03636235186 04651713652 1852152497
                                                                      31 2247263191 03826037427 04403085448 1948830153
                                                                      32
                                                                      33
                                                                      34
                                                                      35
                                                                      1
                                                                      09495926345
                                                                      09049739251
                                                                      08650188333
                                                                      08288808949
                                                                      07959078404
                                                                      07655862679
                                                                      07375041398
                                                                      07113245731
                                                                      06867669603
                                                                      06635929175
                                                                      06415953882
                                                                      06205897097
                                                                      06004056634
                                                                      05808795311
                                                                      0561844882
                                                                      05431199537
                                                                      05244872796
                                                                      0505655113
                                                                      04861704842
                                                                      04651713652
                                                                      Variable b l s g a p h
                                                                      Value 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84
Page 57: Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor · Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor DEGIT St. Petersburg, Russia. 8 September 2011. Richard

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

If the MCR γ = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reasonndash When γ = 0 investment dXX = dwwndash But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKKndash From the clearing condition X = π K so

dXX = dKK + dππ there4 drr = dππ

Aggregate Investment (γ = 0)

X = +[wh(1- l)][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Suppose the minimum consumption requirement γ gt 0 anddπ gt 0 Then drr gt dππ

Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

One consequence Effective return rπ rises child labor increases

dK + dππ = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in π is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ) 1σ]

( )( )

( )( ) =

Γ

+minusminusminus

minus

Γminus

+minus+minusminus

παα

πππαα r

llhlhrrr

llhllh

)1211

)1211

( )( ) 11

1

1minus+

equivΓσββ z

z

( ) ( )( )

Γminus

minus

+minus+

minus

minus

πππαα

α

γ

α

αα

rrr

llhA

r 1

)121

11

1

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rπ is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

Pedagogical Examples

Variable β λ σ γ α π hValue 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84

1

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

04 05 06 07 08 09 1

Relative Output

Rela

tive

Parti

cipa

tion

Rate

s

Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

γ gt 0 γ = 0

Why the difference

The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels Wages Return rπ Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of

middle-age decisionmakers

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Conclusions

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriersdeveloping countries can reduce child labor Without areduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricterbarriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lotof a country

  • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Background
  • Background
  • Slide Number 9
  • Slide Number 10
  • Slide Number 11
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • Slide Number 16
  • Slide Number 17
  • Slide Number 18
  • Slide Number 19
  • Slide Number 20
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • Slide Number 23
  • Preferences
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Aggregate Investment
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Slide Number 39
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Slide Number 43
  • Slide Number 44
  • Slide Number 45
  • Slide Number 46
  • Slide Number 47
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Aggregate Investment (g = 0)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Slide Number 62
  • Steady State
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Slide Number 67
  • Pedagogical Examples
  • Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)
  • Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)
  • Slide Number 71
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
    • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor

      DEGIT

      St Petersburg Russia

      8 September 2011

      Richard C Barnett

      Drexel University

      Secrecy vs Seclective Disclosure

      Outline of the Talk

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Conclusions

          Background

          Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

          The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

          Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Background

              Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

              The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

              Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)

                  Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

                  3 Important Features

                  Barriers

                  Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

                  Child Labor and Human Capital

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

                  Minimum Consumption Requirements

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

                  Related Studies

                  Overview

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  MCR g

                  The Model

                  Preferences

                  Ut ordm u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl Ut+1

                  where u(c ) = (c ndash g )1-s (1 - s) 0 pound b l pound 1

                  c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

                  c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  qt ordm bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3 wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) lb ucent(c1t+1 )

                  + wt + 2 hcent( 1- lt ) l b 2 ucent(c2t+2 )

                  Aggregate Investment

                  X = +

                  [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                  [rp + (b rp)1s]

                  wl (b rp)1s

                  [rp + (b rp)1s ]

                  Factors and Technologies

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Human Capital

                      Assumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

                      Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of

                      sequences for prices wt rt t sup3 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t sup3 1

                      and Xt Kt+1 lt t sup3 1 such that

                      Agents optimize

                      Factor payments

                      w = (1 - a) A Ka L-a

                      r = a A Ka -1 L1-a

                      All markets clear

                      Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 )

                      Capital xt + bt = p Kt +1

                      Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

                      Equilibrium

                      Approach

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          MCR = 0

                          MCR gt 0

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Steady State

                          • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                              • 1b l sup3 r p
                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                  • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                    • Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                      Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                      wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                      The Child Labor Decision

                                      Steady State

                                      • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                          • 1b l sup3 r p
                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                  -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                  Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                                  Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                                  wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                                  The Child Labor Decision

                                                  Steady State

                                                  • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                                      • 1b l sup3 r p
                                                      • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                            • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                              -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)

                                                                  Suppose drr sup3 dpp Then dK lt 0

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                  Reason In the steady-state 1bl = rp if bt gt 0

                                                                  Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      If the MCR g = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                      Reason

                                                                      When g = 0 investment dXX = dww

                                                                      But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKK

                                                                      From the clearing condition X = p K so

                                                                      dXX = dKK + dpp drr = dpp

                                                                      Aggregate Investment (g = 0)

                                                                      X = +

                                                                      [wh(1- l)][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Suppose the minimum consumption requirement g gt 0 and

                                                                      dp gt 0 Then drr gt dpp

                                                                      Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

                                                                      One consequence Effective return rp rises child labor increases

                                                                      dK + dpp = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

                                                                      Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in p is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

                                                                      Steady State

                                                                      + = K

                                                                      [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp) 1s]

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rp is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛

                                                                      primeprime

                                                                      +rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l Kprime )

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛ +

                                                                      rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      l

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l K )

                                                                      l l prime

                                                                      Pedagogical Examples

                                                                      Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

                                                                      Chart1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates
                                                                      1
                                                                      1036832741
                                                                      1073090064
                                                                      1108955549
                                                                      1144590727
                                                                      1180143169
                                                                      1215752801
                                                                      1251557262
                                                                      1287696923
                                                                      1324320074
                                                                      1361588833
                                                                      1399686467
                                                                      1438827114
                                                                      1479269523
                                                                      152133756
                                                                      1565452592
                                                                      1612187974
                                                                      1662367955
                                                                      1717266013
                                                                      1779062077
                                                                      1852152497

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates

                                                                      Sheet2

                                                                      Sheet3

                                                                      Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

                                                                      g gt 0

                                                                      g = 0

                                                                      Why the difference

                                                                      The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels

                                                                      Wages

                                                                      Return rπ

                                                                      Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of middle-age decisionmakers

                                                                      Conclusions

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriers developing countries can reduce child labor Without a reduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricter barriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lot of a country

                                                                          (

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                                                                          15

                                                                          16

                                                                          17

                                                                          18

                                                                          19

                                                                          0405060708091

                                                                          Relative Output

                                                                          Relative Participation Rates

                                                                          Fig 42b Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          = 0

                                                                          4

                                                                          41

                                                                          42

                                                                          43

                                                                          44

                                                                          45

                                                                          46

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          002

                                                                          004

                                                                          006

                                                                          008

                                                                          01

                                                                          012

                                                                          014

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                          Fig 42a Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          gt 0

                                                                          28

                                                                          29

                                                                          3

                                                                          31

                                                                          32

                                                                          33

                                                                          34

                                                                          35

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          005

                                                                          01

                                                                          015

                                                                          02

                                                                          025

                                                                          03

                                                                          035

                                                                          04

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                      y l ratio y ratio l
                                                                      1 5103837338 0196324827 1 1
                                                                      11 4846566344 02035560085 09495926345 1036832741
                                                                      12 4618839709 02106742213 09049739251 1073090064
                                                                      13 4414915419 02177155064 08650188333 1108955549
                                                                      14 423047326 02247115765 08288808949 1144590727
                                                                      15 4062184154 02316914036 07959078404 1180143169
                                                                      16 390742778 02386824584 07655862679 1215752801
                                                                      17 3764101166 0245711763 07375041398 1251557262
                                                                      18 3630484915 02528068757 07113245731 1287696923
                                                                      19 3505146855 02599969094 06867669603 1324320074
                                                                      2 3386870309 02673136922 06635929175 1361588833
                                                                      21 3274598498 02747932035 06415953882 1399686467
                                                                      22 3167388932 02824774842 06205897097 1438827114
                                                                      23 3064372843 02904173333 06004056634 1479269523
                                                                      24 296471464 02986763333 05808795311 152133756
                                                                      25 2867564887 03073372094 0561844882 1565452592
                                                                      26 2771995899 03165125252 05431199537 1612187974
                                                                      27 2676897761 03263641013 05244872796 1662367955
                                                                      28 2580781446 03371419529 0505655113 1717266013
                                                                      29 248133507 03492740545 04861704842 1779062077
                                                                      3 2374158982 03636235186 04651713652 1852152497
                                                                      31 2247263191 03826037427 04403085448 1948830153
                                                                      32
                                                                      33
                                                                      34
                                                                      35
                                                                      1
                                                                      09495926345
                                                                      09049739251
                                                                      08650188333
                                                                      08288808949
                                                                      07959078404
                                                                      07655862679
                                                                      07375041398
                                                                      07113245731
                                                                      06867669603
                                                                      06635929175
                                                                      06415953882
                                                                      06205897097
                                                                      06004056634
                                                                      05808795311
                                                                      0561844882
                                                                      05431199537
                                                                      05244872796
                                                                      0505655113
                                                                      04861704842
                                                                      04651713652
                                                                      Variable b l s g a p h
                                                                      Value 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84
Page 58: Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor · Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor DEGIT St. Petersburg, Russia. 8 September 2011. Richard

Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

If the MCR γ = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

Reasonndash When γ = 0 investment dXX = dwwndash But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKKndash From the clearing condition X = π K so

dXX = dKK + dππ there4 drr = dππ

Aggregate Investment (γ = 0)

X = +[wh(1- l)][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Suppose the minimum consumption requirement γ gt 0 anddπ gt 0 Then drr gt dππ

Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

One consequence Effective return rπ rises child labor increases

dK + dππ = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in π is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ) 1σ]

( )( )

( )( ) =

Γ

+minusminusminus

minus

Γminus

+minus+minusminus

παα

πππαα r

llhlhrrr

llhllh

)1211

)1211

( )( ) 11

1

1minus+

equivΓσββ z

z

( ) ( )( )

Γminus

minus

+minus+

minus

minus

πππαα

α

γ

α

αα

rrr

llhA

r 1

)121

11

1

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rπ is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

Pedagogical Examples

Variable β λ σ γ α π hValue 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84

1

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

04 05 06 07 08 09 1

Relative Output

Rela

tive

Parti

cipa

tion

Rate

s

Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

γ gt 0 γ = 0

Why the difference

The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels Wages Return rπ Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of

middle-age decisionmakers

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Conclusions

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriersdeveloping countries can reduce child labor Without areduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricterbarriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lotof a country

  • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Background
  • Background
  • Slide Number 9
  • Slide Number 10
  • Slide Number 11
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • Slide Number 16
  • Slide Number 17
  • Slide Number 18
  • Slide Number 19
  • Slide Number 20
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • Slide Number 23
  • Preferences
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Aggregate Investment
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Slide Number 39
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Slide Number 43
  • Slide Number 44
  • Slide Number 45
  • Slide Number 46
  • Slide Number 47
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Aggregate Investment (g = 0)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Slide Number 62
  • Steady State
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Slide Number 67
  • Pedagogical Examples
  • Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)
  • Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)
  • Slide Number 71
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
    • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor

      DEGIT

      St Petersburg Russia

      8 September 2011

      Richard C Barnett

      Drexel University

      Secrecy vs Seclective Disclosure

      Outline of the Talk

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Conclusions

          Background

          Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

          The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

          Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Background

              Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

              The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

              Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)

                  Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

                  3 Important Features

                  Barriers

                  Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

                  Child Labor and Human Capital

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

                  Minimum Consumption Requirements

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

                  Related Studies

                  Overview

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  MCR g

                  The Model

                  Preferences

                  Ut ordm u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl Ut+1

                  where u(c ) = (c ndash g )1-s (1 - s) 0 pound b l pound 1

                  c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

                  c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  qt ordm bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3 wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) lb ucent(c1t+1 )

                  + wt + 2 hcent( 1- lt ) l b 2 ucent(c2t+2 )

                  Aggregate Investment

                  X = +

                  [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                  [rp + (b rp)1s]

                  wl (b rp)1s

                  [rp + (b rp)1s ]

                  Factors and Technologies

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Human Capital

                      Assumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

                      Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of

                      sequences for prices wt rt t sup3 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t sup3 1

                      and Xt Kt+1 lt t sup3 1 such that

                      Agents optimize

                      Factor payments

                      w = (1 - a) A Ka L-a

                      r = a A Ka -1 L1-a

                      All markets clear

                      Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 )

                      Capital xt + bt = p Kt +1

                      Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

                      Equilibrium

                      Approach

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          MCR = 0

                          MCR gt 0

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Steady State

                          • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                              • 1b l sup3 r p
                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                  • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                    • Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                      Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                      wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                      The Child Labor Decision

                                      Steady State

                                      • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                          • 1b l sup3 r p
                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                  -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                  Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                                  Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                                  wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                                  The Child Labor Decision

                                                  Steady State

                                                  • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                                      • 1b l sup3 r p
                                                      • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                            • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                              -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)

                                                                  Suppose drr sup3 dpp Then dK lt 0

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                  Reason In the steady-state 1bl = rp if bt gt 0

                                                                  Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      If the MCR g = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                      Reason

                                                                      When g = 0 investment dXX = dww

                                                                      But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKK

                                                                      From the clearing condition X = p K so

                                                                      dXX = dKK + dpp drr = dpp

                                                                      Aggregate Investment (g = 0)

                                                                      X = +

                                                                      [wh(1- l)][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Suppose the minimum consumption requirement g gt 0 and

                                                                      dp gt 0 Then drr gt dpp

                                                                      Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

                                                                      One consequence Effective return rp rises child labor increases

                                                                      dK + dpp = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

                                                                      Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in p is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

                                                                      Steady State

                                                                      + = K

                                                                      [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp) 1s]

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rp is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛

                                                                      primeprime

                                                                      +rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l Kprime )

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛ +

                                                                      rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      l

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l K )

                                                                      l l prime

                                                                      Pedagogical Examples

                                                                      Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

                                                                      Chart1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates
                                                                      1
                                                                      1036832741
                                                                      1073090064
                                                                      1108955549
                                                                      1144590727
                                                                      1180143169
                                                                      1215752801
                                                                      1251557262
                                                                      1287696923
                                                                      1324320074
                                                                      1361588833
                                                                      1399686467
                                                                      1438827114
                                                                      1479269523
                                                                      152133756
                                                                      1565452592
                                                                      1612187974
                                                                      1662367955
                                                                      1717266013
                                                                      1779062077
                                                                      1852152497

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates

                                                                      Sheet2

                                                                      Sheet3

                                                                      Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

                                                                      g gt 0

                                                                      g = 0

                                                                      Why the difference

                                                                      The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels

                                                                      Wages

                                                                      Return rπ

                                                                      Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of middle-age decisionmakers

                                                                      Conclusions

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriers developing countries can reduce child labor Without a reduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricter barriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lot of a country

                                                                          (

                                                                          )

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                                                                          divide

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                                                                          g

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          l

                                                                          l

                                                                          h

                                                                          A

                                                                          r

                                                                          1

                                                                          )

                                                                          1

                                                                          2

                                                                          1

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                                                                          12

                                                                          13

                                                                          14

                                                                          15

                                                                          16

                                                                          17

                                                                          18

                                                                          19

                                                                          0405060708091

                                                                          Relative Output

                                                                          Relative Participation Rates

                                                                          Fig 42b Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          = 0

                                                                          4

                                                                          41

                                                                          42

                                                                          43

                                                                          44

                                                                          45

                                                                          46

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          002

                                                                          004

                                                                          006

                                                                          008

                                                                          01

                                                                          012

                                                                          014

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                          Fig 42a Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          gt 0

                                                                          28

                                                                          29

                                                                          3

                                                                          31

                                                                          32

                                                                          33

                                                                          34

                                                                          35

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          005

                                                                          01

                                                                          015

                                                                          02

                                                                          025

                                                                          03

                                                                          035

                                                                          04

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                      y l ratio y ratio l
                                                                      1 5103837338 0196324827 1 1
                                                                      11 4846566344 02035560085 09495926345 1036832741
                                                                      12 4618839709 02106742213 09049739251 1073090064
                                                                      13 4414915419 02177155064 08650188333 1108955549
                                                                      14 423047326 02247115765 08288808949 1144590727
                                                                      15 4062184154 02316914036 07959078404 1180143169
                                                                      16 390742778 02386824584 07655862679 1215752801
                                                                      17 3764101166 0245711763 07375041398 1251557262
                                                                      18 3630484915 02528068757 07113245731 1287696923
                                                                      19 3505146855 02599969094 06867669603 1324320074
                                                                      2 3386870309 02673136922 06635929175 1361588833
                                                                      21 3274598498 02747932035 06415953882 1399686467
                                                                      22 3167388932 02824774842 06205897097 1438827114
                                                                      23 3064372843 02904173333 06004056634 1479269523
                                                                      24 296471464 02986763333 05808795311 152133756
                                                                      25 2867564887 03073372094 0561844882 1565452592
                                                                      26 2771995899 03165125252 05431199537 1612187974
                                                                      27 2676897761 03263641013 05244872796 1662367955
                                                                      28 2580781446 03371419529 0505655113 1717266013
                                                                      29 248133507 03492740545 04861704842 1779062077
                                                                      3 2374158982 03636235186 04651713652 1852152497
                                                                      31 2247263191 03826037427 04403085448 1948830153
                                                                      32
                                                                      33
                                                                      34
                                                                      35
                                                                      1
                                                                      09495926345
                                                                      09049739251
                                                                      08650188333
                                                                      08288808949
                                                                      07959078404
                                                                      07655862679
                                                                      07375041398
                                                                      07113245731
                                                                      06867669603
                                                                      06635929175
                                                                      06415953882
                                                                      06205897097
                                                                      06004056634
                                                                      05808795311
                                                                      0561844882
                                                                      05431199537
                                                                      05244872796
                                                                      0505655113
                                                                      04861704842
                                                                      04651713652
                                                                      Variable b l s g a p h
                                                                      Value 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84
Page 59: Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor · Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor DEGIT St. Petersburg, Russia. 8 September 2011. Richard

Aggregate Investment (γ = 0)

X = +[wh(1- l)][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Suppose the minimum consumption requirement γ gt 0 anddπ gt 0 Then drr gt dππ

Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

One consequence Effective return rπ rises child labor increases

dK + dππ = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in π is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ) 1σ]

( )( )

( )( ) =

Γ

+minusminusminus

minus

Γminus

+minus+minusminus

παα

πππαα r

llhlhrrr

llhllh

)1211

)1211

( )( ) 11

1

1minus+

equivΓσββ z

z

( ) ( )( )

Γminus

minus

+minus+

minus

minus

πππαα

α

γ

α

αα

rrr

llhA

r 1

)121

11

1

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rπ is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

Pedagogical Examples

Variable β λ σ γ α π hValue 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84

1

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

04 05 06 07 08 09 1

Relative Output

Rela

tive

Parti

cipa

tion

Rate

s

Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

γ gt 0 γ = 0

Why the difference

The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels Wages Return rπ Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of

middle-age decisionmakers

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Conclusions

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriersdeveloping countries can reduce child labor Without areduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricterbarriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lotof a country

  • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Background
  • Background
  • Slide Number 9
  • Slide Number 10
  • Slide Number 11
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • Slide Number 16
  • Slide Number 17
  • Slide Number 18
  • Slide Number 19
  • Slide Number 20
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • Slide Number 23
  • Preferences
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Aggregate Investment
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Slide Number 39
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Slide Number 43
  • Slide Number 44
  • Slide Number 45
  • Slide Number 46
  • Slide Number 47
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Aggregate Investment (g = 0)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Slide Number 62
  • Steady State
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Slide Number 67
  • Pedagogical Examples
  • Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)
  • Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)
  • Slide Number 71
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
    • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor

      DEGIT

      St Petersburg Russia

      8 September 2011

      Richard C Barnett

      Drexel University

      Secrecy vs Seclective Disclosure

      Outline of the Talk

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Conclusions

          Background

          Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

          The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

          Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Background

              Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

              The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

              Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)

                  Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

                  3 Important Features

                  Barriers

                  Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

                  Child Labor and Human Capital

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

                  Minimum Consumption Requirements

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

                  Related Studies

                  Overview

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  MCR g

                  The Model

                  Preferences

                  Ut ordm u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl Ut+1

                  where u(c ) = (c ndash g )1-s (1 - s) 0 pound b l pound 1

                  c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

                  c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  qt ordm bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3 wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) lb ucent(c1t+1 )

                  + wt + 2 hcent( 1- lt ) l b 2 ucent(c2t+2 )

                  Aggregate Investment

                  X = +

                  [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                  [rp + (b rp)1s]

                  wl (b rp)1s

                  [rp + (b rp)1s ]

                  Factors and Technologies

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Human Capital

                      Assumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

                      Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of

                      sequences for prices wt rt t sup3 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t sup3 1

                      and Xt Kt+1 lt t sup3 1 such that

                      Agents optimize

                      Factor payments

                      w = (1 - a) A Ka L-a

                      r = a A Ka -1 L1-a

                      All markets clear

                      Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 )

                      Capital xt + bt = p Kt +1

                      Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

                      Equilibrium

                      Approach

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          MCR = 0

                          MCR gt 0

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Steady State

                          • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                              • 1b l sup3 r p
                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                  • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                    • Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                      Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                      wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                      The Child Labor Decision

                                      Steady State

                                      • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                          • 1b l sup3 r p
                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                  -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                  Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                                  Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                                  wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                                  The Child Labor Decision

                                                  Steady State

                                                  • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                                      • 1b l sup3 r p
                                                      • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                            • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                              -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)

                                                                  Suppose drr sup3 dpp Then dK lt 0

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                  Reason In the steady-state 1bl = rp if bt gt 0

                                                                  Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      If the MCR g = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                      Reason

                                                                      When g = 0 investment dXX = dww

                                                                      But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKK

                                                                      From the clearing condition X = p K so

                                                                      dXX = dKK + dpp drr = dpp

                                                                      Aggregate Investment (g = 0)

                                                                      X = +

                                                                      [wh(1- l)][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Suppose the minimum consumption requirement g gt 0 and

                                                                      dp gt 0 Then drr gt dpp

                                                                      Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

                                                                      One consequence Effective return rp rises child labor increases

                                                                      dK + dpp = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

                                                                      Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in p is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

                                                                      Steady State

                                                                      + = K

                                                                      [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp) 1s]

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rp is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛

                                                                      primeprime

                                                                      +rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l Kprime )

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛ +

                                                                      rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      l

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l K )

                                                                      l l prime

                                                                      Pedagogical Examples

                                                                      Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

                                                                      Chart1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates
                                                                      1
                                                                      1036832741
                                                                      1073090064
                                                                      1108955549
                                                                      1144590727
                                                                      1180143169
                                                                      1215752801
                                                                      1251557262
                                                                      1287696923
                                                                      1324320074
                                                                      1361588833
                                                                      1399686467
                                                                      1438827114
                                                                      1479269523
                                                                      152133756
                                                                      1565452592
                                                                      1612187974
                                                                      1662367955
                                                                      1717266013
                                                                      1779062077
                                                                      1852152497

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates

                                                                      Sheet2

                                                                      Sheet3

                                                                      Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

                                                                      g gt 0

                                                                      g = 0

                                                                      Why the difference

                                                                      The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels

                                                                      Wages

                                                                      Return rπ

                                                                      Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of middle-age decisionmakers

                                                                      Conclusions

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriers developing countries can reduce child labor Without a reduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricter barriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lot of a country

                                                                          (

                                                                          )

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                                                                          G

                                                                          s

                                                                          b

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                                                                          (

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                                                                          uacute

                                                                          ucirc

                                                                          ugrave

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                                                                          euml

                                                                          eacute

                                                                          divide

                                                                          oslash

                                                                          ouml

                                                                          ccedil

                                                                          egrave

                                                                          aelig

                                                                          G

                                                                          -

                                                                          -

                                                                          +

                                                                          -

                                                                          +

                                                                          -

                                                                          -

                                                                          p

                                                                          p

                                                                          p

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          g

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          l

                                                                          l

                                                                          h

                                                                          A

                                                                          r

                                                                          1

                                                                          )

                                                                          1

                                                                          2

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

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                                                                          11

                                                                          12

                                                                          13

                                                                          14

                                                                          15

                                                                          16

                                                                          17

                                                                          18

                                                                          19

                                                                          0405060708091

                                                                          Relative Output

                                                                          Relative Participation Rates

                                                                          Fig 42b Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          = 0

                                                                          4

                                                                          41

                                                                          42

                                                                          43

                                                                          44

                                                                          45

                                                                          46

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          002

                                                                          004

                                                                          006

                                                                          008

                                                                          01

                                                                          012

                                                                          014

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                          Fig 42a Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          gt 0

                                                                          28

                                                                          29

                                                                          3

                                                                          31

                                                                          32

                                                                          33

                                                                          34

                                                                          35

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          005

                                                                          01

                                                                          015

                                                                          02

                                                                          025

                                                                          03

                                                                          035

                                                                          04

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                      y l ratio y ratio l
                                                                      1 5103837338 0196324827 1 1
                                                                      11 4846566344 02035560085 09495926345 1036832741
                                                                      12 4618839709 02106742213 09049739251 1073090064
                                                                      13 4414915419 02177155064 08650188333 1108955549
                                                                      14 423047326 02247115765 08288808949 1144590727
                                                                      15 4062184154 02316914036 07959078404 1180143169
                                                                      16 390742778 02386824584 07655862679 1215752801
                                                                      17 3764101166 0245711763 07375041398 1251557262
                                                                      18 3630484915 02528068757 07113245731 1287696923
                                                                      19 3505146855 02599969094 06867669603 1324320074
                                                                      2 3386870309 02673136922 06635929175 1361588833
                                                                      21 3274598498 02747932035 06415953882 1399686467
                                                                      22 3167388932 02824774842 06205897097 1438827114
                                                                      23 3064372843 02904173333 06004056634 1479269523
                                                                      24 296471464 02986763333 05808795311 152133756
                                                                      25 2867564887 03073372094 0561844882 1565452592
                                                                      26 2771995899 03165125252 05431199537 1612187974
                                                                      27 2676897761 03263641013 05244872796 1662367955
                                                                      28 2580781446 03371419529 0505655113 1717266013
                                                                      29 248133507 03492740545 04861704842 1779062077
                                                                      3 2374158982 03636235186 04651713652 1852152497
                                                                      31 2247263191 03826037427 04403085448 1948830153
                                                                      32
                                                                      33
                                                                      34
                                                                      35
                                                                      1
                                                                      09495926345
                                                                      09049739251
                                                                      08650188333
                                                                      08288808949
                                                                      07959078404
                                                                      07655862679
                                                                      07375041398
                                                                      07113245731
                                                                      06867669603
                                                                      06635929175
                                                                      06415953882
                                                                      06205897097
                                                                      06004056634
                                                                      05808795311
                                                                      0561844882
                                                                      05431199537
                                                                      05244872796
                                                                      0505655113
                                                                      04861704842
                                                                      04651713652
                                                                      Variable b l s g a p h
                                                                      Value 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84
Page 60: Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor · Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor DEGIT St. Petersburg, Russia. 8 September 2011. Richard

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Suppose the minimum consumption requirement γ gt 0 anddπ gt 0 Then drr gt dππ

Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

One consequence Effective return rπ rises child labor increases

dK + dππ = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in π is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ) 1σ]

( )( )

( )( ) =

Γ

+minusminusminus

minus

Γminus

+minus+minusminus

παα

πππαα r

llhlhrrr

llhllh

)1211

)1211

( )( ) 11

1

1minus+

equivΓσββ z

z

( ) ( )( )

Γminus

minus

+minus+

minus

minus

πππαα

α

γ

α

αα

rrr

llhA

r 1

)121

11

1

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rπ is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

Pedagogical Examples

Variable β λ σ γ α π hValue 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84

1

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

04 05 06 07 08 09 1

Relative Output

Rela

tive

Parti

cipa

tion

Rate

s

Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

γ gt 0 γ = 0

Why the difference

The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels Wages Return rπ Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of

middle-age decisionmakers

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Conclusions

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriersdeveloping countries can reduce child labor Without areduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricterbarriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lotof a country

  • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Background
  • Background
  • Slide Number 9
  • Slide Number 10
  • Slide Number 11
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • Slide Number 16
  • Slide Number 17
  • Slide Number 18
  • Slide Number 19
  • Slide Number 20
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • Slide Number 23
  • Preferences
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Aggregate Investment
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Slide Number 39
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Slide Number 43
  • Slide Number 44
  • Slide Number 45
  • Slide Number 46
  • Slide Number 47
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Aggregate Investment (g = 0)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Slide Number 62
  • Steady State
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Slide Number 67
  • Pedagogical Examples
  • Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)
  • Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)
  • Slide Number 71
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
    • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor

      DEGIT

      St Petersburg Russia

      8 September 2011

      Richard C Barnett

      Drexel University

      Secrecy vs Seclective Disclosure

      Outline of the Talk

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Conclusions

          Background

          Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

          The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

          Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Background

              Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

              The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

              Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)

                  Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

                  3 Important Features

                  Barriers

                  Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

                  Child Labor and Human Capital

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

                  Minimum Consumption Requirements

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

                  Related Studies

                  Overview

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  MCR g

                  The Model

                  Preferences

                  Ut ordm u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl Ut+1

                  where u(c ) = (c ndash g )1-s (1 - s) 0 pound b l pound 1

                  c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

                  c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  qt ordm bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3 wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) lb ucent(c1t+1 )

                  + wt + 2 hcent( 1- lt ) l b 2 ucent(c2t+2 )

                  Aggregate Investment

                  X = +

                  [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                  [rp + (b rp)1s]

                  wl (b rp)1s

                  [rp + (b rp)1s ]

                  Factors and Technologies

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Human Capital

                      Assumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

                      Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of

                      sequences for prices wt rt t sup3 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t sup3 1

                      and Xt Kt+1 lt t sup3 1 such that

                      Agents optimize

                      Factor payments

                      w = (1 - a) A Ka L-a

                      r = a A Ka -1 L1-a

                      All markets clear

                      Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 )

                      Capital xt + bt = p Kt +1

                      Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

                      Equilibrium

                      Approach

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          MCR = 0

                          MCR gt 0

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Steady State

                          • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                              • 1b l sup3 r p
                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                  • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                    • Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                      Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                      wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                      The Child Labor Decision

                                      Steady State

                                      • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                          • 1b l sup3 r p
                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                  -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                  Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                                  Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                                  wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                                  The Child Labor Decision

                                                  Steady State

                                                  • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                                      • 1b l sup3 r p
                                                      • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                            • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                              -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)

                                                                  Suppose drr sup3 dpp Then dK lt 0

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                  Reason In the steady-state 1bl = rp if bt gt 0

                                                                  Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      If the MCR g = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                      Reason

                                                                      When g = 0 investment dXX = dww

                                                                      But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKK

                                                                      From the clearing condition X = p K so

                                                                      dXX = dKK + dpp drr = dpp

                                                                      Aggregate Investment (g = 0)

                                                                      X = +

                                                                      [wh(1- l)][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Suppose the minimum consumption requirement g gt 0 and

                                                                      dp gt 0 Then drr gt dpp

                                                                      Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

                                                                      One consequence Effective return rp rises child labor increases

                                                                      dK + dpp = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

                                                                      Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in p is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

                                                                      Steady State

                                                                      + = K

                                                                      [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp) 1s]

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rp is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛

                                                                      primeprime

                                                                      +rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l Kprime )

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛ +

                                                                      rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      l

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l K )

                                                                      l l prime

                                                                      Pedagogical Examples

                                                                      Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

                                                                      Chart1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates
                                                                      1
                                                                      1036832741
                                                                      1073090064
                                                                      1108955549
                                                                      1144590727
                                                                      1180143169
                                                                      1215752801
                                                                      1251557262
                                                                      1287696923
                                                                      1324320074
                                                                      1361588833
                                                                      1399686467
                                                                      1438827114
                                                                      1479269523
                                                                      152133756
                                                                      1565452592
                                                                      1612187974
                                                                      1662367955
                                                                      1717266013
                                                                      1779062077
                                                                      1852152497

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates

                                                                      Sheet2

                                                                      Sheet3

                                                                      Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

                                                                      g gt 0

                                                                      g = 0

                                                                      Why the difference

                                                                      The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels

                                                                      Wages

                                                                      Return rπ

                                                                      Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of middle-age decisionmakers

                                                                      Conclusions

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriers developing countries can reduce child labor Without a reduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricter barriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lot of a country

                                                                          (

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                                                                          17

                                                                          18

                                                                          19

                                                                          0405060708091

                                                                          Relative Output

                                                                          Relative Participation Rates

                                                                          Fig 42b Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          = 0

                                                                          4

                                                                          41

                                                                          42

                                                                          43

                                                                          44

                                                                          45

                                                                          46

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          002

                                                                          004

                                                                          006

                                                                          008

                                                                          01

                                                                          012

                                                                          014

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                          Fig 42a Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          gt 0

                                                                          28

                                                                          29

                                                                          3

                                                                          31

                                                                          32

                                                                          33

                                                                          34

                                                                          35

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          005

                                                                          01

                                                                          015

                                                                          02

                                                                          025

                                                                          03

                                                                          035

                                                                          04

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                      y l ratio y ratio l
                                                                      1 5103837338 0196324827 1 1
                                                                      11 4846566344 02035560085 09495926345 1036832741
                                                                      12 4618839709 02106742213 09049739251 1073090064
                                                                      13 4414915419 02177155064 08650188333 1108955549
                                                                      14 423047326 02247115765 08288808949 1144590727
                                                                      15 4062184154 02316914036 07959078404 1180143169
                                                                      16 390742778 02386824584 07655862679 1215752801
                                                                      17 3764101166 0245711763 07375041398 1251557262
                                                                      18 3630484915 02528068757 07113245731 1287696923
                                                                      19 3505146855 02599969094 06867669603 1324320074
                                                                      2 3386870309 02673136922 06635929175 1361588833
                                                                      21 3274598498 02747932035 06415953882 1399686467
                                                                      22 3167388932 02824774842 06205897097 1438827114
                                                                      23 3064372843 02904173333 06004056634 1479269523
                                                                      24 296471464 02986763333 05808795311 152133756
                                                                      25 2867564887 03073372094 0561844882 1565452592
                                                                      26 2771995899 03165125252 05431199537 1612187974
                                                                      27 2676897761 03263641013 05244872796 1662367955
                                                                      28 2580781446 03371419529 0505655113 1717266013
                                                                      29 248133507 03492740545 04861704842 1779062077
                                                                      3 2374158982 03636235186 04651713652 1852152497
                                                                      31 2247263191 03826037427 04403085448 1948830153
                                                                      32
                                                                      33
                                                                      34
                                                                      35
                                                                      1
                                                                      09495926345
                                                                      09049739251
                                                                      08650188333
                                                                      08288808949
                                                                      07959078404
                                                                      07655862679
                                                                      07375041398
                                                                      07113245731
                                                                      06867669603
                                                                      06635929175
                                                                      06415953882
                                                                      06205897097
                                                                      06004056634
                                                                      05808795311
                                                                      0561844882
                                                                      05431199537
                                                                      05244872796
                                                                      0505655113
                                                                      04861704842
                                                                      04651713652
                                                                      Variable b l s g a p h
                                                                      Value 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84
Page 61: Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor · Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor DEGIT St. Petersburg, Russia. 8 September 2011. Richard

Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

Suppose the minimum consumption requirement γ gt 0 anddπ gt 0 Then drr gt dππ

Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

One consequence Effective return rπ rises child labor increases

dK + dππ = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in π is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ) 1σ]

( )( )

( )( ) =

Γ

+minusminusminus

minus

Γminus

+minus+minusminus

παα

πππαα r

llhlhrrr

llhllh

)1211

)1211

( )( ) 11

1

1minus+

equivΓσββ z

z

( ) ( )( )

Γminus

minus

+minus+

minus

minus

πππαα

α

γ

α

αα

rrr

llhA

r 1

)121

11

1

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rπ is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

Pedagogical Examples

Variable β λ σ γ α π hValue 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84

1

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

04 05 06 07 08 09 1

Relative Output

Rela

tive

Parti

cipa

tion

Rate

s

Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

γ gt 0 γ = 0

Why the difference

The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels Wages Return rπ Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of

middle-age decisionmakers

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Conclusions

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriersdeveloping countries can reduce child labor Without areduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricterbarriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lotof a country

  • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Background
  • Background
  • Slide Number 9
  • Slide Number 10
  • Slide Number 11
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • Slide Number 16
  • Slide Number 17
  • Slide Number 18
  • Slide Number 19
  • Slide Number 20
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • Slide Number 23
  • Preferences
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Aggregate Investment
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Slide Number 39
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Slide Number 43
  • Slide Number 44
  • Slide Number 45
  • Slide Number 46
  • Slide Number 47
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Aggregate Investment (g = 0)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Slide Number 62
  • Steady State
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Slide Number 67
  • Pedagogical Examples
  • Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)
  • Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)
  • Slide Number 71
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
    • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor

      DEGIT

      St Petersburg Russia

      8 September 2011

      Richard C Barnett

      Drexel University

      Secrecy vs Seclective Disclosure

      Outline of the Talk

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Conclusions

          Background

          Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

          The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

          Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Background

              Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

              The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

              Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)

                  Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

                  3 Important Features

                  Barriers

                  Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

                  Child Labor and Human Capital

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

                  Minimum Consumption Requirements

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

                  Related Studies

                  Overview

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  MCR g

                  The Model

                  Preferences

                  Ut ordm u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl Ut+1

                  where u(c ) = (c ndash g )1-s (1 - s) 0 pound b l pound 1

                  c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

                  c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  qt ordm bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3 wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) lb ucent(c1t+1 )

                  + wt + 2 hcent( 1- lt ) l b 2 ucent(c2t+2 )

                  Aggregate Investment

                  X = +

                  [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                  [rp + (b rp)1s]

                  wl (b rp)1s

                  [rp + (b rp)1s ]

                  Factors and Technologies

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Human Capital

                      Assumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

                      Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of

                      sequences for prices wt rt t sup3 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t sup3 1

                      and Xt Kt+1 lt t sup3 1 such that

                      Agents optimize

                      Factor payments

                      w = (1 - a) A Ka L-a

                      r = a A Ka -1 L1-a

                      All markets clear

                      Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 )

                      Capital xt + bt = p Kt +1

                      Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

                      Equilibrium

                      Approach

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          MCR = 0

                          MCR gt 0

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Steady State

                          • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                              • 1b l sup3 r p
                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                  • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                    • Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                      Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                      wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                      The Child Labor Decision

                                      Steady State

                                      • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                          • 1b l sup3 r p
                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                  -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                  Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                                  Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                                  wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                                  The Child Labor Decision

                                                  Steady State

                                                  • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                                      • 1b l sup3 r p
                                                      • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                            • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                              -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)

                                                                  Suppose drr sup3 dpp Then dK lt 0

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                  Reason In the steady-state 1bl = rp if bt gt 0

                                                                  Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      If the MCR g = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                      Reason

                                                                      When g = 0 investment dXX = dww

                                                                      But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKK

                                                                      From the clearing condition X = p K so

                                                                      dXX = dKK + dpp drr = dpp

                                                                      Aggregate Investment (g = 0)

                                                                      X = +

                                                                      [wh(1- l)][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Suppose the minimum consumption requirement g gt 0 and

                                                                      dp gt 0 Then drr gt dpp

                                                                      Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

                                                                      One consequence Effective return rp rises child labor increases

                                                                      dK + dpp = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

                                                                      Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in p is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

                                                                      Steady State

                                                                      + = K

                                                                      [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp) 1s]

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rp is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛

                                                                      primeprime

                                                                      +rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l Kprime )

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛ +

                                                                      rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      l

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l K )

                                                                      l l prime

                                                                      Pedagogical Examples

                                                                      Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

                                                                      Chart1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates
                                                                      1
                                                                      1036832741
                                                                      1073090064
                                                                      1108955549
                                                                      1144590727
                                                                      1180143169
                                                                      1215752801
                                                                      1251557262
                                                                      1287696923
                                                                      1324320074
                                                                      1361588833
                                                                      1399686467
                                                                      1438827114
                                                                      1479269523
                                                                      152133756
                                                                      1565452592
                                                                      1612187974
                                                                      1662367955
                                                                      1717266013
                                                                      1779062077
                                                                      1852152497

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates

                                                                      Sheet2

                                                                      Sheet3

                                                                      Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

                                                                      g gt 0

                                                                      g = 0

                                                                      Why the difference

                                                                      The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels

                                                                      Wages

                                                                      Return rπ

                                                                      Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of middle-age decisionmakers

                                                                      Conclusions

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriers developing countries can reduce child labor Without a reduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricter barriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lot of a country

                                                                          (

                                                                          )

                                                                          (

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                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          l

                                                                          l

                                                                          h

                                                                          A

                                                                          r

                                                                          1

                                                                          )

                                                                          1

                                                                          2

                                                                          1

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                                                                          12

                                                                          13

                                                                          14

                                                                          15

                                                                          16

                                                                          17

                                                                          18

                                                                          19

                                                                          0405060708091

                                                                          Relative Output

                                                                          Relative Participation Rates

                                                                          Fig 42b Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          = 0

                                                                          4

                                                                          41

                                                                          42

                                                                          43

                                                                          44

                                                                          45

                                                                          46

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          002

                                                                          004

                                                                          006

                                                                          008

                                                                          01

                                                                          012

                                                                          014

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                          Fig 42a Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          gt 0

                                                                          28

                                                                          29

                                                                          3

                                                                          31

                                                                          32

                                                                          33

                                                                          34

                                                                          35

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          005

                                                                          01

                                                                          015

                                                                          02

                                                                          025

                                                                          03

                                                                          035

                                                                          04

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                      y l ratio y ratio l
                                                                      1 5103837338 0196324827 1 1
                                                                      11 4846566344 02035560085 09495926345 1036832741
                                                                      12 4618839709 02106742213 09049739251 1073090064
                                                                      13 4414915419 02177155064 08650188333 1108955549
                                                                      14 423047326 02247115765 08288808949 1144590727
                                                                      15 4062184154 02316914036 07959078404 1180143169
                                                                      16 390742778 02386824584 07655862679 1215752801
                                                                      17 3764101166 0245711763 07375041398 1251557262
                                                                      18 3630484915 02528068757 07113245731 1287696923
                                                                      19 3505146855 02599969094 06867669603 1324320074
                                                                      2 3386870309 02673136922 06635929175 1361588833
                                                                      21 3274598498 02747932035 06415953882 1399686467
                                                                      22 3167388932 02824774842 06205897097 1438827114
                                                                      23 3064372843 02904173333 06004056634 1479269523
                                                                      24 296471464 02986763333 05808795311 152133756
                                                                      25 2867564887 03073372094 0561844882 1565452592
                                                                      26 2771995899 03165125252 05431199537 1612187974
                                                                      27 2676897761 03263641013 05244872796 1662367955
                                                                      28 2580781446 03371419529 0505655113 1717266013
                                                                      29 248133507 03492740545 04861704842 1779062077
                                                                      3 2374158982 03636235186 04651713652 1852152497
                                                                      31 2247263191 03826037427 04403085448 1948830153
                                                                      32
                                                                      33
                                                                      34
                                                                      35
                                                                      1
                                                                      09495926345
                                                                      09049739251
                                                                      08650188333
                                                                      08288808949
                                                                      07959078404
                                                                      07655862679
                                                                      07375041398
                                                                      07113245731
                                                                      06867669603
                                                                      06635929175
                                                                      06415953882
                                                                      06205897097
                                                                      06004056634
                                                                      05808795311
                                                                      0561844882
                                                                      05431199537
                                                                      05244872796
                                                                      0505655113
                                                                      04861704842
                                                                      04651713652
                                                                      Variable b l s g a p h
                                                                      Value 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84
Page 62: Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor · Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor DEGIT St. Petersburg, Russia. 8 September 2011. Richard

Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in π is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ) 1σ]

( )( )

( )( ) =

Γ

+minusminusminus

minus

Γminus

+minus+minusminus

παα

πππαα r

llhlhrrr

llhllh

)1211

)1211

( )( ) 11

1

1minus+

equivΓσββ z

z

( ) ( )( )

Γminus

minus

+minus+

minus

minus

πππαα

α

γ

α

αα

rrr

llhA

r 1

)121

11

1

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rπ is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

Pedagogical Examples

Variable β λ σ γ α π hValue 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84

1

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

04 05 06 07 08 09 1

Relative Output

Rela

tive

Parti

cipa

tion

Rate

s

Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

γ gt 0 γ = 0

Why the difference

The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels Wages Return rπ Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of

middle-age decisionmakers

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Conclusions

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriersdeveloping countries can reduce child labor Without areduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricterbarriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lotof a country

  • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Background
  • Background
  • Slide Number 9
  • Slide Number 10
  • Slide Number 11
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • Slide Number 16
  • Slide Number 17
  • Slide Number 18
  • Slide Number 19
  • Slide Number 20
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • Slide Number 23
  • Preferences
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Aggregate Investment
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Slide Number 39
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Slide Number 43
  • Slide Number 44
  • Slide Number 45
  • Slide Number 46
  • Slide Number 47
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Aggregate Investment (g = 0)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Slide Number 62
  • Steady State
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Slide Number 67
  • Pedagogical Examples
  • Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)
  • Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)
  • Slide Number 71
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
    • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor

      DEGIT

      St Petersburg Russia

      8 September 2011

      Richard C Barnett

      Drexel University

      Secrecy vs Seclective Disclosure

      Outline of the Talk

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Conclusions

          Background

          Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

          The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

          Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Background

              Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

              The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

              Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)

                  Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

                  3 Important Features

                  Barriers

                  Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

                  Child Labor and Human Capital

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

                  Minimum Consumption Requirements

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

                  Related Studies

                  Overview

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  MCR g

                  The Model

                  Preferences

                  Ut ordm u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl Ut+1

                  where u(c ) = (c ndash g )1-s (1 - s) 0 pound b l pound 1

                  c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

                  c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  qt ordm bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3 wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) lb ucent(c1t+1 )

                  + wt + 2 hcent( 1- lt ) l b 2 ucent(c2t+2 )

                  Aggregate Investment

                  X = +

                  [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                  [rp + (b rp)1s]

                  wl (b rp)1s

                  [rp + (b rp)1s ]

                  Factors and Technologies

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Human Capital

                      Assumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

                      Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of

                      sequences for prices wt rt t sup3 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t sup3 1

                      and Xt Kt+1 lt t sup3 1 such that

                      Agents optimize

                      Factor payments

                      w = (1 - a) A Ka L-a

                      r = a A Ka -1 L1-a

                      All markets clear

                      Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 )

                      Capital xt + bt = p Kt +1

                      Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

                      Equilibrium

                      Approach

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          MCR = 0

                          MCR gt 0

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Steady State

                          • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                              • 1b l sup3 r p
                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                  • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                    • Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                      Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                      wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                      The Child Labor Decision

                                      Steady State

                                      • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                          • 1b l sup3 r p
                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                  -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                  Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                                  Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                                  wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                                  The Child Labor Decision

                                                  Steady State

                                                  • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                                      • 1b l sup3 r p
                                                      • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                            • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                              -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)

                                                                  Suppose drr sup3 dpp Then dK lt 0

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                  Reason In the steady-state 1bl = rp if bt gt 0

                                                                  Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      If the MCR g = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                      Reason

                                                                      When g = 0 investment dXX = dww

                                                                      But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKK

                                                                      From the clearing condition X = p K so

                                                                      dXX = dKK + dpp drr = dpp

                                                                      Aggregate Investment (g = 0)

                                                                      X = +

                                                                      [wh(1- l)][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Suppose the minimum consumption requirement g gt 0 and

                                                                      dp gt 0 Then drr gt dpp

                                                                      Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

                                                                      One consequence Effective return rp rises child labor increases

                                                                      dK + dpp = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

                                                                      Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in p is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

                                                                      Steady State

                                                                      + = K

                                                                      [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp) 1s]

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rp is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛

                                                                      primeprime

                                                                      +rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l Kprime )

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛ +

                                                                      rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      l

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l K )

                                                                      l l prime

                                                                      Pedagogical Examples

                                                                      Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

                                                                      Chart1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates
                                                                      1
                                                                      1036832741
                                                                      1073090064
                                                                      1108955549
                                                                      1144590727
                                                                      1180143169
                                                                      1215752801
                                                                      1251557262
                                                                      1287696923
                                                                      1324320074
                                                                      1361588833
                                                                      1399686467
                                                                      1438827114
                                                                      1479269523
                                                                      152133756
                                                                      1565452592
                                                                      1612187974
                                                                      1662367955
                                                                      1717266013
                                                                      1779062077
                                                                      1852152497

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates

                                                                      Sheet2

                                                                      Sheet3

                                                                      Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

                                                                      g gt 0

                                                                      g = 0

                                                                      Why the difference

                                                                      The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels

                                                                      Wages

                                                                      Return rπ

                                                                      Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of middle-age decisionmakers

                                                                      Conclusions

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriers developing countries can reduce child labor Without a reduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricter barriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lot of a country

                                                                          (

                                                                          )

                                                                          (

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                                                                          (

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                                                                          ucirc

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                                                                          divide

                                                                          oslash

                                                                          ouml

                                                                          ccedil

                                                                          egrave

                                                                          aelig

                                                                          G

                                                                          -

                                                                          -

                                                                          +

                                                                          -

                                                                          +

                                                                          -

                                                                          -

                                                                          p

                                                                          p

                                                                          p

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          g

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          l

                                                                          l

                                                                          h

                                                                          A

                                                                          r

                                                                          1

                                                                          )

                                                                          1

                                                                          2

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          11

                                                                          12

                                                                          13

                                                                          14

                                                                          15

                                                                          16

                                                                          17

                                                                          18

                                                                          19

                                                                          0405060708091

                                                                          Relative Output

                                                                          Relative Participation Rates

                                                                          Fig 42b Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          = 0

                                                                          4

                                                                          41

                                                                          42

                                                                          43

                                                                          44

                                                                          45

                                                                          46

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          002

                                                                          004

                                                                          006

                                                                          008

                                                                          01

                                                                          012

                                                                          014

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                          Fig 42a Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          gt 0

                                                                          28

                                                                          29

                                                                          3

                                                                          31

                                                                          32

                                                                          33

                                                                          34

                                                                          35

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          005

                                                                          01

                                                                          015

                                                                          02

                                                                          025

                                                                          03

                                                                          035

                                                                          04

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                      y l ratio y ratio l
                                                                      1 5103837338 0196324827 1 1
                                                                      11 4846566344 02035560085 09495926345 1036832741
                                                                      12 4618839709 02106742213 09049739251 1073090064
                                                                      13 4414915419 02177155064 08650188333 1108955549
                                                                      14 423047326 02247115765 08288808949 1144590727
                                                                      15 4062184154 02316914036 07959078404 1180143169
                                                                      16 390742778 02386824584 07655862679 1215752801
                                                                      17 3764101166 0245711763 07375041398 1251557262
                                                                      18 3630484915 02528068757 07113245731 1287696923
                                                                      19 3505146855 02599969094 06867669603 1324320074
                                                                      2 3386870309 02673136922 06635929175 1361588833
                                                                      21 3274598498 02747932035 06415953882 1399686467
                                                                      22 3167388932 02824774842 06205897097 1438827114
                                                                      23 3064372843 02904173333 06004056634 1479269523
                                                                      24 296471464 02986763333 05808795311 152133756
                                                                      25 2867564887 03073372094 0561844882 1565452592
                                                                      26 2771995899 03165125252 05431199537 1612187974
                                                                      27 2676897761 03263641013 05244872796 1662367955
                                                                      28 2580781446 03371419529 0505655113 1717266013
                                                                      29 248133507 03492740545 04861704842 1779062077
                                                                      3 2374158982 03636235186 04651713652 1852152497
                                                                      31 2247263191 03826037427 04403085448 1948830153
                                                                      32
                                                                      33
                                                                      34
                                                                      35
                                                                      1
                                                                      09495926345
                                                                      09049739251
                                                                      08650188333
                                                                      08288808949
                                                                      07959078404
                                                                      07655862679
                                                                      07375041398
                                                                      07113245731
                                                                      06867669603
                                                                      06635929175
                                                                      06415953882
                                                                      06205897097
                                                                      06004056634
                                                                      05808795311
                                                                      0561844882
                                                                      05431199537
                                                                      05244872796
                                                                      0505655113
                                                                      04861704842
                                                                      04651713652
                                                                      Variable b l s g a p h
                                                                      Value 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84
Page 63: Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor · Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor DEGIT St. Petersburg, Russia. 8 September 2011. Richard

Steady State

+ = π K[wh(1- l) ndash γ ][(β rπ)1σ ndash 1 ]

[rπ + (β rπ)1σ]

wl (β rπ)1σ

[rπ + (β rπ) 1σ]

( )( )

( )( ) =

Γ

+minusminusminus

minus

Γminus

+minus+minusminus

παα

πππαα r

llhlhrrr

llhllh

)1211

)1211

( )( ) 11

1

1minus+

equivΓσββ z

z

( ) ( )( )

Γminus

minus

+minus+

minus

minus

πππαα

α

γ

α

αα

rrr

llhA

r 1

)121

11

1

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rπ is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

Pedagogical Examples

Variable β λ σ γ α π hValue 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84

1

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

04 05 06 07 08 09 1

Relative Output

Rela

tive

Parti

cipa

tion

Rate

s

Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

γ gt 0 γ = 0

Why the difference

The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels Wages Return rπ Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of

middle-age decisionmakers

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Conclusions

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriersdeveloping countries can reduce child labor Without areduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricterbarriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lotof a country

  • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Background
  • Background
  • Slide Number 9
  • Slide Number 10
  • Slide Number 11
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • Slide Number 16
  • Slide Number 17
  • Slide Number 18
  • Slide Number 19
  • Slide Number 20
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • Slide Number 23
  • Preferences
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Aggregate Investment
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Slide Number 39
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Slide Number 43
  • Slide Number 44
  • Slide Number 45
  • Slide Number 46
  • Slide Number 47
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Aggregate Investment (g = 0)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Slide Number 62
  • Steady State
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Slide Number 67
  • Pedagogical Examples
  • Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)
  • Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)
  • Slide Number 71
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
    • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor

      DEGIT

      St Petersburg Russia

      8 September 2011

      Richard C Barnett

      Drexel University

      Secrecy vs Seclective Disclosure

      Outline of the Talk

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Conclusions

          Background

          Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

          The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

          Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Background

              Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

              The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

              Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)

                  Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

                  3 Important Features

                  Barriers

                  Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

                  Child Labor and Human Capital

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

                  Minimum Consumption Requirements

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

                  Related Studies

                  Overview

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  MCR g

                  The Model

                  Preferences

                  Ut ordm u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl Ut+1

                  where u(c ) = (c ndash g )1-s (1 - s) 0 pound b l pound 1

                  c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

                  c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  qt ordm bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3 wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) lb ucent(c1t+1 )

                  + wt + 2 hcent( 1- lt ) l b 2 ucent(c2t+2 )

                  Aggregate Investment

                  X = +

                  [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                  [rp + (b rp)1s]

                  wl (b rp)1s

                  [rp + (b rp)1s ]

                  Factors and Technologies

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Human Capital

                      Assumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

                      Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of

                      sequences for prices wt rt t sup3 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t sup3 1

                      and Xt Kt+1 lt t sup3 1 such that

                      Agents optimize

                      Factor payments

                      w = (1 - a) A Ka L-a

                      r = a A Ka -1 L1-a

                      All markets clear

                      Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 )

                      Capital xt + bt = p Kt +1

                      Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

                      Equilibrium

                      Approach

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          MCR = 0

                          MCR gt 0

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Steady State

                          • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                              • 1b l sup3 r p
                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                  • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                    • Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                      Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                      wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                      The Child Labor Decision

                                      Steady State

                                      • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                          • 1b l sup3 r p
                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                  -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                  Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                                  Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                                  wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                                  The Child Labor Decision

                                                  Steady State

                                                  • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                                      • 1b l sup3 r p
                                                      • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                            • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                              -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)

                                                                  Suppose drr sup3 dpp Then dK lt 0

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                  Reason In the steady-state 1bl = rp if bt gt 0

                                                                  Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      If the MCR g = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                      Reason

                                                                      When g = 0 investment dXX = dww

                                                                      But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKK

                                                                      From the clearing condition X = p K so

                                                                      dXX = dKK + dpp drr = dpp

                                                                      Aggregate Investment (g = 0)

                                                                      X = +

                                                                      [wh(1- l)][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Suppose the minimum consumption requirement g gt 0 and

                                                                      dp gt 0 Then drr gt dpp

                                                                      Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

                                                                      One consequence Effective return rp rises child labor increases

                                                                      dK + dpp = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

                                                                      Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in p is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

                                                                      Steady State

                                                                      + = K

                                                                      [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp) 1s]

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rp is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛

                                                                      primeprime

                                                                      +rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l Kprime )

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛ +

                                                                      rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      l

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l K )

                                                                      l l prime

                                                                      Pedagogical Examples

                                                                      Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

                                                                      Chart1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates
                                                                      1
                                                                      1036832741
                                                                      1073090064
                                                                      1108955549
                                                                      1144590727
                                                                      1180143169
                                                                      1215752801
                                                                      1251557262
                                                                      1287696923
                                                                      1324320074
                                                                      1361588833
                                                                      1399686467
                                                                      1438827114
                                                                      1479269523
                                                                      152133756
                                                                      1565452592
                                                                      1612187974
                                                                      1662367955
                                                                      1717266013
                                                                      1779062077
                                                                      1852152497

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates

                                                                      Sheet2

                                                                      Sheet3

                                                                      Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

                                                                      g gt 0

                                                                      g = 0

                                                                      Why the difference

                                                                      The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels

                                                                      Wages

                                                                      Return rπ

                                                                      Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of middle-age decisionmakers

                                                                      Conclusions

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriers developing countries can reduce child labor Without a reduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricter barriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lot of a country

                                                                          (

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                                                                          ucirc

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                                                                          -

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                                                                          p

                                                                          p

                                                                          p

                                                                          a

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                                                                          g

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                                                                          a

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          l

                                                                          l

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                                                                          17

                                                                          18

                                                                          19

                                                                          0405060708091

                                                                          Relative Output

                                                                          Relative Participation Rates

                                                                          Fig 42b Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          = 0

                                                                          4

                                                                          41

                                                                          42

                                                                          43

                                                                          44

                                                                          45

                                                                          46

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          002

                                                                          004

                                                                          006

                                                                          008

                                                                          01

                                                                          012

                                                                          014

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                          Fig 42a Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          gt 0

                                                                          28

                                                                          29

                                                                          3

                                                                          31

                                                                          32

                                                                          33

                                                                          34

                                                                          35

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          005

                                                                          01

                                                                          015

                                                                          02

                                                                          025

                                                                          03

                                                                          035

                                                                          04

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                      y l ratio y ratio l
                                                                      1 5103837338 0196324827 1 1
                                                                      11 4846566344 02035560085 09495926345 1036832741
                                                                      12 4618839709 02106742213 09049739251 1073090064
                                                                      13 4414915419 02177155064 08650188333 1108955549
                                                                      14 423047326 02247115765 08288808949 1144590727
                                                                      15 4062184154 02316914036 07959078404 1180143169
                                                                      16 390742778 02386824584 07655862679 1215752801
                                                                      17 3764101166 0245711763 07375041398 1251557262
                                                                      18 3630484915 02528068757 07113245731 1287696923
                                                                      19 3505146855 02599969094 06867669603 1324320074
                                                                      2 3386870309 02673136922 06635929175 1361588833
                                                                      21 3274598498 02747932035 06415953882 1399686467
                                                                      22 3167388932 02824774842 06205897097 1438827114
                                                                      23 3064372843 02904173333 06004056634 1479269523
                                                                      24 296471464 02986763333 05808795311 152133756
                                                                      25 2867564887 03073372094 0561844882 1565452592
                                                                      26 2771995899 03165125252 05431199537 1612187974
                                                                      27 2676897761 03263641013 05244872796 1662367955
                                                                      28 2580781446 03371419529 0505655113 1717266013
                                                                      29 248133507 03492740545 04861704842 1779062077
                                                                      3 2374158982 03636235186 04651713652 1852152497
                                                                      31 2247263191 03826037427 04403085448 1948830153
                                                                      32
                                                                      33
                                                                      34
                                                                      35
                                                                      1
                                                                      09495926345
                                                                      09049739251
                                                                      08650188333
                                                                      08288808949
                                                                      07959078404
                                                                      07655862679
                                                                      07375041398
                                                                      07113245731
                                                                      06867669603
                                                                      06635929175
                                                                      06415953882
                                                                      06205897097
                                                                      06004056634
                                                                      05808795311
                                                                      0561844882
                                                                      05431199537
                                                                      05244872796
                                                                      0505655113
                                                                      04861704842
                                                                      04651713652
                                                                      Variable b l s g a p h
                                                                      Value 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84
Page 64: Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor · Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor DEGIT St. Petersburg, Russia. 8 September 2011. Richard

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rπ is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

Pedagogical Examples

Variable β λ σ γ α π hValue 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84

1

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

04 05 06 07 08 09 1

Relative Output

Rela

tive

Parti

cipa

tion

Rate

s

Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

γ gt 0 γ = 0

Why the difference

The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels Wages Return rπ Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of

middle-age decisionmakers

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Conclusions

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriersdeveloping countries can reduce child labor Without areduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricterbarriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lotof a country

  • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Background
  • Background
  • Slide Number 9
  • Slide Number 10
  • Slide Number 11
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • Slide Number 16
  • Slide Number 17
  • Slide Number 18
  • Slide Number 19
  • Slide Number 20
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • Slide Number 23
  • Preferences
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Aggregate Investment
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Slide Number 39
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Slide Number 43
  • Slide Number 44
  • Slide Number 45
  • Slide Number 46
  • Slide Number 47
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Aggregate Investment (g = 0)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Slide Number 62
  • Steady State
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Slide Number 67
  • Pedagogical Examples
  • Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)
  • Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)
  • Slide Number 71
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
    • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor

      DEGIT

      St Petersburg Russia

      8 September 2011

      Richard C Barnett

      Drexel University

      Secrecy vs Seclective Disclosure

      Outline of the Talk

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Conclusions

          Background

          Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

          The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

          Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Background

              Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

              The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

              Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)

                  Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

                  3 Important Features

                  Barriers

                  Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

                  Child Labor and Human Capital

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

                  Minimum Consumption Requirements

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

                  Related Studies

                  Overview

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  MCR g

                  The Model

                  Preferences

                  Ut ordm u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl Ut+1

                  where u(c ) = (c ndash g )1-s (1 - s) 0 pound b l pound 1

                  c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

                  c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  qt ordm bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3 wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) lb ucent(c1t+1 )

                  + wt + 2 hcent( 1- lt ) l b 2 ucent(c2t+2 )

                  Aggregate Investment

                  X = +

                  [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                  [rp + (b rp)1s]

                  wl (b rp)1s

                  [rp + (b rp)1s ]

                  Factors and Technologies

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Human Capital

                      Assumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

                      Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of

                      sequences for prices wt rt t sup3 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t sup3 1

                      and Xt Kt+1 lt t sup3 1 such that

                      Agents optimize

                      Factor payments

                      w = (1 - a) A Ka L-a

                      r = a A Ka -1 L1-a

                      All markets clear

                      Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 )

                      Capital xt + bt = p Kt +1

                      Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

                      Equilibrium

                      Approach

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          MCR = 0

                          MCR gt 0

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Steady State

                          • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                              • 1b l sup3 r p
                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                  • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                    • Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                      Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                      wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                      The Child Labor Decision

                                      Steady State

                                      • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                          • 1b l sup3 r p
                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                  -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                  Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                                  Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                                  wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                                  The Child Labor Decision

                                                  Steady State

                                                  • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                                      • 1b l sup3 r p
                                                      • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                            • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                              -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)

                                                                  Suppose drr sup3 dpp Then dK lt 0

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                  Reason In the steady-state 1bl = rp if bt gt 0

                                                                  Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      If the MCR g = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                      Reason

                                                                      When g = 0 investment dXX = dww

                                                                      But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKK

                                                                      From the clearing condition X = p K so

                                                                      dXX = dKK + dpp drr = dpp

                                                                      Aggregate Investment (g = 0)

                                                                      X = +

                                                                      [wh(1- l)][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Suppose the minimum consumption requirement g gt 0 and

                                                                      dp gt 0 Then drr gt dpp

                                                                      Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

                                                                      One consequence Effective return rp rises child labor increases

                                                                      dK + dpp = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

                                                                      Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in p is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

                                                                      Steady State

                                                                      + = K

                                                                      [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp) 1s]

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rp is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛

                                                                      primeprime

                                                                      +rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l Kprime )

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛ +

                                                                      rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      l

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l K )

                                                                      l l prime

                                                                      Pedagogical Examples

                                                                      Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

                                                                      Chart1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates
                                                                      1
                                                                      1036832741
                                                                      1073090064
                                                                      1108955549
                                                                      1144590727
                                                                      1180143169
                                                                      1215752801
                                                                      1251557262
                                                                      1287696923
                                                                      1324320074
                                                                      1361588833
                                                                      1399686467
                                                                      1438827114
                                                                      1479269523
                                                                      152133756
                                                                      1565452592
                                                                      1612187974
                                                                      1662367955
                                                                      1717266013
                                                                      1779062077
                                                                      1852152497

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates

                                                                      Sheet2

                                                                      Sheet3

                                                                      Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

                                                                      g gt 0

                                                                      g = 0

                                                                      Why the difference

                                                                      The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels

                                                                      Wages

                                                                      Return rπ

                                                                      Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of middle-age decisionmakers

                                                                      Conclusions

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriers developing countries can reduce child labor Without a reduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricter barriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lot of a country

                                                                          (

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                                                                          uacute

                                                                          ucirc

                                                                          ugrave

                                                                          ecirc

                                                                          euml

                                                                          eacute

                                                                          divide

                                                                          oslash

                                                                          ouml

                                                                          ccedil

                                                                          egrave

                                                                          aelig

                                                                          G

                                                                          -

                                                                          -

                                                                          +

                                                                          -

                                                                          +

                                                                          -

                                                                          -

                                                                          p

                                                                          p

                                                                          p

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          g

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          l

                                                                          l

                                                                          h

                                                                          A

                                                                          r

                                                                          1

                                                                          )

                                                                          1

                                                                          2

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          11

                                                                          12

                                                                          13

                                                                          14

                                                                          15

                                                                          16

                                                                          17

                                                                          18

                                                                          19

                                                                          0405060708091

                                                                          Relative Output

                                                                          Relative Participation Rates

                                                                          Fig 42b Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          = 0

                                                                          4

                                                                          41

                                                                          42

                                                                          43

                                                                          44

                                                                          45

                                                                          46

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          002

                                                                          004

                                                                          006

                                                                          008

                                                                          01

                                                                          012

                                                                          014

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                          Fig 42a Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          gt 0

                                                                          28

                                                                          29

                                                                          3

                                                                          31

                                                                          32

                                                                          33

                                                                          34

                                                                          35

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          005

                                                                          01

                                                                          015

                                                                          02

                                                                          025

                                                                          03

                                                                          035

                                                                          04

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                      y l ratio y ratio l
                                                                      1 5103837338 0196324827 1 1
                                                                      11 4846566344 02035560085 09495926345 1036832741
                                                                      12 4618839709 02106742213 09049739251 1073090064
                                                                      13 4414915419 02177155064 08650188333 1108955549
                                                                      14 423047326 02247115765 08288808949 1144590727
                                                                      15 4062184154 02316914036 07959078404 1180143169
                                                                      16 390742778 02386824584 07655862679 1215752801
                                                                      17 3764101166 0245711763 07375041398 1251557262
                                                                      18 3630484915 02528068757 07113245731 1287696923
                                                                      19 3505146855 02599969094 06867669603 1324320074
                                                                      2 3386870309 02673136922 06635929175 1361588833
                                                                      21 3274598498 02747932035 06415953882 1399686467
                                                                      22 3167388932 02824774842 06205897097 1438827114
                                                                      23 3064372843 02904173333 06004056634 1479269523
                                                                      24 296471464 02986763333 05808795311 152133756
                                                                      25 2867564887 03073372094 0561844882 1565452592
                                                                      26 2771995899 03165125252 05431199537 1612187974
                                                                      27 2676897761 03263641013 05244872796 1662367955
                                                                      28 2580781446 03371419529 0505655113 1717266013
                                                                      29 248133507 03492740545 04861704842 1779062077
                                                                      3 2374158982 03636235186 04651713652 1852152497
                                                                      31 2247263191 03826037427 04403085448 1948830153
                                                                      32
                                                                      33
                                                                      34
                                                                      35
                                                                      1
                                                                      09495926345
                                                                      09049739251
                                                                      08650188333
                                                                      08288808949
                                                                      07959078404
                                                                      07655862679
                                                                      07375041398
                                                                      07113245731
                                                                      06867669603
                                                                      06635929175
                                                                      06415953882
                                                                      06205897097
                                                                      06004056634
                                                                      05808795311
                                                                      0561844882
                                                                      05431199537
                                                                      05244872796
                                                                      0505655113
                                                                      04861704842
                                                                      04651713652
                                                                      Variable b l s g a p h
                                                                      Value 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84
Page 65: Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor · Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor DEGIT St. Petersburg, Russia. 8 September 2011. Richard

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rπ is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

Pedagogical Examples

Variable β λ σ γ α π hValue 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84

1

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

04 05 06 07 08 09 1

Relative Output

Rela

tive

Parti

cipa

tion

Rate

s

Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

γ gt 0 γ = 0

Why the difference

The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels Wages Return rπ Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of

middle-age decisionmakers

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Conclusions

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriersdeveloping countries can reduce child labor Without areduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricterbarriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lotof a country

  • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Background
  • Background
  • Slide Number 9
  • Slide Number 10
  • Slide Number 11
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • Slide Number 16
  • Slide Number 17
  • Slide Number 18
  • Slide Number 19
  • Slide Number 20
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • Slide Number 23
  • Preferences
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Aggregate Investment
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Slide Number 39
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Slide Number 43
  • Slide Number 44
  • Slide Number 45
  • Slide Number 46
  • Slide Number 47
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Aggregate Investment (g = 0)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Slide Number 62
  • Steady State
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Slide Number 67
  • Pedagogical Examples
  • Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)
  • Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)
  • Slide Number 71
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
    • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor

      DEGIT

      St Petersburg Russia

      8 September 2011

      Richard C Barnett

      Drexel University

      Secrecy vs Seclective Disclosure

      Outline of the Talk

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Conclusions

          Background

          Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

          The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

          Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Background

              Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

              The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

              Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)

                  Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

                  3 Important Features

                  Barriers

                  Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

                  Child Labor and Human Capital

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

                  Minimum Consumption Requirements

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

                  Related Studies

                  Overview

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  MCR g

                  The Model

                  Preferences

                  Ut ordm u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl Ut+1

                  where u(c ) = (c ndash g )1-s (1 - s) 0 pound b l pound 1

                  c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

                  c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  qt ordm bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3 wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) lb ucent(c1t+1 )

                  + wt + 2 hcent( 1- lt ) l b 2 ucent(c2t+2 )

                  Aggregate Investment

                  X = +

                  [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                  [rp + (b rp)1s]

                  wl (b rp)1s

                  [rp + (b rp)1s ]

                  Factors and Technologies

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Human Capital

                      Assumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

                      Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of

                      sequences for prices wt rt t sup3 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t sup3 1

                      and Xt Kt+1 lt t sup3 1 such that

                      Agents optimize

                      Factor payments

                      w = (1 - a) A Ka L-a

                      r = a A Ka -1 L1-a

                      All markets clear

                      Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 )

                      Capital xt + bt = p Kt +1

                      Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

                      Equilibrium

                      Approach

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          MCR = 0

                          MCR gt 0

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Steady State

                          • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                              • 1b l sup3 r p
                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                  • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                    • Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                      Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                      wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                      The Child Labor Decision

                                      Steady State

                                      • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                          • 1b l sup3 r p
                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                  -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                  Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                                  Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                                  wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                                  The Child Labor Decision

                                                  Steady State

                                                  • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                                      • 1b l sup3 r p
                                                      • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                            • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                              -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)

                                                                  Suppose drr sup3 dpp Then dK lt 0

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                  Reason In the steady-state 1bl = rp if bt gt 0

                                                                  Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      If the MCR g = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                      Reason

                                                                      When g = 0 investment dXX = dww

                                                                      But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKK

                                                                      From the clearing condition X = p K so

                                                                      dXX = dKK + dpp drr = dpp

                                                                      Aggregate Investment (g = 0)

                                                                      X = +

                                                                      [wh(1- l)][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Suppose the minimum consumption requirement g gt 0 and

                                                                      dp gt 0 Then drr gt dpp

                                                                      Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

                                                                      One consequence Effective return rp rises child labor increases

                                                                      dK + dpp = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

                                                                      Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in p is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

                                                                      Steady State

                                                                      + = K

                                                                      [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp) 1s]

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rp is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛

                                                                      primeprime

                                                                      +rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l Kprime )

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛ +

                                                                      rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      l

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l K )

                                                                      l l prime

                                                                      Pedagogical Examples

                                                                      Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

                                                                      Chart1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates
                                                                      1
                                                                      1036832741
                                                                      1073090064
                                                                      1108955549
                                                                      1144590727
                                                                      1180143169
                                                                      1215752801
                                                                      1251557262
                                                                      1287696923
                                                                      1324320074
                                                                      1361588833
                                                                      1399686467
                                                                      1438827114
                                                                      1479269523
                                                                      152133756
                                                                      1565452592
                                                                      1612187974
                                                                      1662367955
                                                                      1717266013
                                                                      1779062077
                                                                      1852152497

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates

                                                                      Sheet2

                                                                      Sheet3

                                                                      Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

                                                                      g gt 0

                                                                      g = 0

                                                                      Why the difference

                                                                      The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels

                                                                      Wages

                                                                      Return rπ

                                                                      Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of middle-age decisionmakers

                                                                      Conclusions

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriers developing countries can reduce child labor Without a reduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricter barriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lot of a country

                                                                          (

                                                                          )

                                                                          (

                                                                          )

                                                                          (

                                                                          )

                                                                          (

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                                                                          =

                                                                          divide

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                                                                          ouml

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                                                                          egrave

                                                                          aelig

                                                                          G

                                                                          +

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                                                                          ugrave

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                                                                          1

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                                                                          1

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                                                                          ordm

                                                                          G

                                                                          s

                                                                          b

                                                                          b

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                                                                          (

                                                                          )

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                                                                          uacute

                                                                          ucirc

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                                                                          euml

                                                                          eacute

                                                                          divide

                                                                          oslash

                                                                          ouml

                                                                          ccedil

                                                                          egrave

                                                                          aelig

                                                                          G

                                                                          -

                                                                          -

                                                                          +

                                                                          -

                                                                          +

                                                                          -

                                                                          -

                                                                          p

                                                                          p

                                                                          p

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          g

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          l

                                                                          l

                                                                          h

                                                                          A

                                                                          r

                                                                          1

                                                                          )

                                                                          1

                                                                          2

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          11

                                                                          12

                                                                          13

                                                                          14

                                                                          15

                                                                          16

                                                                          17

                                                                          18

                                                                          19

                                                                          0405060708091

                                                                          Relative Output

                                                                          Relative Participation Rates

                                                                          Fig 42b Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          = 0

                                                                          4

                                                                          41

                                                                          42

                                                                          43

                                                                          44

                                                                          45

                                                                          46

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          002

                                                                          004

                                                                          006

                                                                          008

                                                                          01

                                                                          012

                                                                          014

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                          Fig 42a Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          gt 0

                                                                          28

                                                                          29

                                                                          3

                                                                          31

                                                                          32

                                                                          33

                                                                          34

                                                                          35

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          005

                                                                          01

                                                                          015

                                                                          02

                                                                          025

                                                                          03

                                                                          035

                                                                          04

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                      y l ratio y ratio l
                                                                      1 5103837338 0196324827 1 1
                                                                      11 4846566344 02035560085 09495926345 1036832741
                                                                      12 4618839709 02106742213 09049739251 1073090064
                                                                      13 4414915419 02177155064 08650188333 1108955549
                                                                      14 423047326 02247115765 08288808949 1144590727
                                                                      15 4062184154 02316914036 07959078404 1180143169
                                                                      16 390742778 02386824584 07655862679 1215752801
                                                                      17 3764101166 0245711763 07375041398 1251557262
                                                                      18 3630484915 02528068757 07113245731 1287696923
                                                                      19 3505146855 02599969094 06867669603 1324320074
                                                                      2 3386870309 02673136922 06635929175 1361588833
                                                                      21 3274598498 02747932035 06415953882 1399686467
                                                                      22 3167388932 02824774842 06205897097 1438827114
                                                                      23 3064372843 02904173333 06004056634 1479269523
                                                                      24 296471464 02986763333 05808795311 152133756
                                                                      25 2867564887 03073372094 0561844882 1565452592
                                                                      26 2771995899 03165125252 05431199537 1612187974
                                                                      27 2676897761 03263641013 05244872796 1662367955
                                                                      28 2580781446 03371419529 0505655113 1717266013
                                                                      29 248133507 03492740545 04861704842 1779062077
                                                                      3 2374158982 03636235186 04651713652 1852152497
                                                                      31 2247263191 03826037427 04403085448 1948830153
                                                                      32
                                                                      33
                                                                      34
                                                                      35
                                                                      1
                                                                      09495926345
                                                                      09049739251
                                                                      08650188333
                                                                      08288808949
                                                                      07959078404
                                                                      07655862679
                                                                      07375041398
                                                                      07113245731
                                                                      06867669603
                                                                      06635929175
                                                                      06415953882
                                                                      06205897097
                                                                      06004056634
                                                                      05808795311
                                                                      0561844882
                                                                      05431199537
                                                                      05244872796
                                                                      0505655113
                                                                      04861704842
                                                                      04651713652
                                                                      Variable b l s g a p h
                                                                      Value 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84
Page 66: Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor · Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor DEGIT St. Petersburg, Russia. 8 September 2011. Richard

Simple Extension

Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

Why of interest Allows the human capital production function to

evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rπ is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

Pedagogical Examples

Variable β λ σ γ α π hValue 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84

1

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

04 05 06 07 08 09 1

Relative Output

Rela

tive

Parti

cipa

tion

Rate

s

Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

γ gt 0 γ = 0

Why the difference

The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels Wages Return rπ Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of

middle-age decisionmakers

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Conclusions

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriersdeveloping countries can reduce child labor Without areduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricterbarriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lotof a country

  • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Background
  • Background
  • Slide Number 9
  • Slide Number 10
  • Slide Number 11
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • Slide Number 16
  • Slide Number 17
  • Slide Number 18
  • Slide Number 19
  • Slide Number 20
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • Slide Number 23
  • Preferences
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Aggregate Investment
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Slide Number 39
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Slide Number 43
  • Slide Number 44
  • Slide Number 45
  • Slide Number 46
  • Slide Number 47
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Aggregate Investment (g = 0)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Slide Number 62
  • Steady State
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Slide Number 67
  • Pedagogical Examples
  • Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)
  • Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)
  • Slide Number 71
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
    • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor

      DEGIT

      St Petersburg Russia

      8 September 2011

      Richard C Barnett

      Drexel University

      Secrecy vs Seclective Disclosure

      Outline of the Talk

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Conclusions

          Background

          Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

          The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

          Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Background

              Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

              The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

              Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)

                  Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

                  3 Important Features

                  Barriers

                  Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

                  Child Labor and Human Capital

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

                  Minimum Consumption Requirements

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

                  Related Studies

                  Overview

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  MCR g

                  The Model

                  Preferences

                  Ut ordm u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl Ut+1

                  where u(c ) = (c ndash g )1-s (1 - s) 0 pound b l pound 1

                  c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

                  c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  qt ordm bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3 wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) lb ucent(c1t+1 )

                  + wt + 2 hcent( 1- lt ) l b 2 ucent(c2t+2 )

                  Aggregate Investment

                  X = +

                  [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                  [rp + (b rp)1s]

                  wl (b rp)1s

                  [rp + (b rp)1s ]

                  Factors and Technologies

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Human Capital

                      Assumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

                      Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of

                      sequences for prices wt rt t sup3 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t sup3 1

                      and Xt Kt+1 lt t sup3 1 such that

                      Agents optimize

                      Factor payments

                      w = (1 - a) A Ka L-a

                      r = a A Ka -1 L1-a

                      All markets clear

                      Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 )

                      Capital xt + bt = p Kt +1

                      Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

                      Equilibrium

                      Approach

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          MCR = 0

                          MCR gt 0

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Steady State

                          • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                              • 1b l sup3 r p
                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                  • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                    • Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                      Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                      wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                      The Child Labor Decision

                                      Steady State

                                      • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                          • 1b l sup3 r p
                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                  -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                  Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                                  Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                                  wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                                  The Child Labor Decision

                                                  Steady State

                                                  • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                                      • 1b l sup3 r p
                                                      • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                            • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                              -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)

                                                                  Suppose drr sup3 dpp Then dK lt 0

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                  Reason In the steady-state 1bl = rp if bt gt 0

                                                                  Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      If the MCR g = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                      Reason

                                                                      When g = 0 investment dXX = dww

                                                                      But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKK

                                                                      From the clearing condition X = p K so

                                                                      dXX = dKK + dpp drr = dpp

                                                                      Aggregate Investment (g = 0)

                                                                      X = +

                                                                      [wh(1- l)][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Suppose the minimum consumption requirement g gt 0 and

                                                                      dp gt 0 Then drr gt dpp

                                                                      Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

                                                                      One consequence Effective return rp rises child labor increases

                                                                      dK + dpp = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

                                                                      Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in p is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

                                                                      Steady State

                                                                      + = K

                                                                      [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp) 1s]

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rp is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛

                                                                      primeprime

                                                                      +rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l Kprime )

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛ +

                                                                      rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      l

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l K )

                                                                      l l prime

                                                                      Pedagogical Examples

                                                                      Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

                                                                      Chart1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates
                                                                      1
                                                                      1036832741
                                                                      1073090064
                                                                      1108955549
                                                                      1144590727
                                                                      1180143169
                                                                      1215752801
                                                                      1251557262
                                                                      1287696923
                                                                      1324320074
                                                                      1361588833
                                                                      1399686467
                                                                      1438827114
                                                                      1479269523
                                                                      152133756
                                                                      1565452592
                                                                      1612187974
                                                                      1662367955
                                                                      1717266013
                                                                      1779062077
                                                                      1852152497

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates

                                                                      Sheet2

                                                                      Sheet3

                                                                      Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

                                                                      g gt 0

                                                                      g = 0

                                                                      Why the difference

                                                                      The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels

                                                                      Wages

                                                                      Return rπ

                                                                      Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of middle-age decisionmakers

                                                                      Conclusions

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriers developing countries can reduce child labor Without a reduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricter barriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lot of a country

                                                                          (

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                                                                          ucirc

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                                                                          divide

                                                                          oslash

                                                                          ouml

                                                                          ccedil

                                                                          egrave

                                                                          aelig

                                                                          G

                                                                          -

                                                                          -

                                                                          +

                                                                          -

                                                                          +

                                                                          -

                                                                          -

                                                                          p

                                                                          p

                                                                          p

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          g

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          l

                                                                          l

                                                                          h

                                                                          A

                                                                          r

                                                                          1

                                                                          )

                                                                          1

                                                                          2

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

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                                                                          11

                                                                          12

                                                                          13

                                                                          14

                                                                          15

                                                                          16

                                                                          17

                                                                          18

                                                                          19

                                                                          0405060708091

                                                                          Relative Output

                                                                          Relative Participation Rates

                                                                          Fig 42b Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          = 0

                                                                          4

                                                                          41

                                                                          42

                                                                          43

                                                                          44

                                                                          45

                                                                          46

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          002

                                                                          004

                                                                          006

                                                                          008

                                                                          01

                                                                          012

                                                                          014

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                          Fig 42a Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          gt 0

                                                                          28

                                                                          29

                                                                          3

                                                                          31

                                                                          32

                                                                          33

                                                                          34

                                                                          35

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          005

                                                                          01

                                                                          015

                                                                          02

                                                                          025

                                                                          03

                                                                          035

                                                                          04

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                      y l ratio y ratio l
                                                                      1 5103837338 0196324827 1 1
                                                                      11 4846566344 02035560085 09495926345 1036832741
                                                                      12 4618839709 02106742213 09049739251 1073090064
                                                                      13 4414915419 02177155064 08650188333 1108955549
                                                                      14 423047326 02247115765 08288808949 1144590727
                                                                      15 4062184154 02316914036 07959078404 1180143169
                                                                      16 390742778 02386824584 07655862679 1215752801
                                                                      17 3764101166 0245711763 07375041398 1251557262
                                                                      18 3630484915 02528068757 07113245731 1287696923
                                                                      19 3505146855 02599969094 06867669603 1324320074
                                                                      2 3386870309 02673136922 06635929175 1361588833
                                                                      21 3274598498 02747932035 06415953882 1399686467
                                                                      22 3167388932 02824774842 06205897097 1438827114
                                                                      23 3064372843 02904173333 06004056634 1479269523
                                                                      24 296471464 02986763333 05808795311 152133756
                                                                      25 2867564887 03073372094 0561844882 1565452592
                                                                      26 2771995899 03165125252 05431199537 1612187974
                                                                      27 2676897761 03263641013 05244872796 1662367955
                                                                      28 2580781446 03371419529 0505655113 1717266013
                                                                      29 248133507 03492740545 04861704842 1779062077
                                                                      3 2374158982 03636235186 04651713652 1852152497
                                                                      31 2247263191 03826037427 04403085448 1948830153
                                                                      32
                                                                      33
                                                                      34
                                                                      35
                                                                      1
                                                                      09495926345
                                                                      09049739251
                                                                      08650188333
                                                                      08288808949
                                                                      07959078404
                                                                      07655862679
                                                                      07375041398
                                                                      07113245731
                                                                      06867669603
                                                                      06635929175
                                                                      06415953882
                                                                      06205897097
                                                                      06004056634
                                                                      05808795311
                                                                      0561844882
                                                                      05431199537
                                                                      05244872796
                                                                      0505655113
                                                                      04861704842
                                                                      04651713652
                                                                      Variable b l s g a p h
                                                                      Value 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84
Page 67: Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor · Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor DEGIT St. Petersburg, Russia. 8 September 2011. Richard

Pedagogical Examples

Variable β λ σ γ α π hValue 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84

1

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

04 05 06 07 08 09 1

Relative Output

Rela

tive

Parti

cipa

tion

Rate

s

Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

γ gt 0 γ = 0

Why the difference

The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels Wages Return rπ Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of

middle-age decisionmakers

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Conclusions

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriersdeveloping countries can reduce child labor Without areduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricterbarriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lotof a country

  • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Background
  • Background
  • Slide Number 9
  • Slide Number 10
  • Slide Number 11
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • Slide Number 16
  • Slide Number 17
  • Slide Number 18
  • Slide Number 19
  • Slide Number 20
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • Slide Number 23
  • Preferences
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Aggregate Investment
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Slide Number 39
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Slide Number 43
  • Slide Number 44
  • Slide Number 45
  • Slide Number 46
  • Slide Number 47
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Aggregate Investment (g = 0)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Slide Number 62
  • Steady State
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Slide Number 67
  • Pedagogical Examples
  • Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)
  • Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)
  • Slide Number 71
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
    • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor

      DEGIT

      St Petersburg Russia

      8 September 2011

      Richard C Barnett

      Drexel University

      Secrecy vs Seclective Disclosure

      Outline of the Talk

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Conclusions

          Background

          Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

          The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

          Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Background

              Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

              The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

              Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)

                  Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

                  3 Important Features

                  Barriers

                  Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

                  Child Labor and Human Capital

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

                  Minimum Consumption Requirements

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

                  Related Studies

                  Overview

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  MCR g

                  The Model

                  Preferences

                  Ut ordm u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl Ut+1

                  where u(c ) = (c ndash g )1-s (1 - s) 0 pound b l pound 1

                  c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

                  c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  qt ordm bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3 wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) lb ucent(c1t+1 )

                  + wt + 2 hcent( 1- lt ) l b 2 ucent(c2t+2 )

                  Aggregate Investment

                  X = +

                  [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                  [rp + (b rp)1s]

                  wl (b rp)1s

                  [rp + (b rp)1s ]

                  Factors and Technologies

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Human Capital

                      Assumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

                      Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of

                      sequences for prices wt rt t sup3 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t sup3 1

                      and Xt Kt+1 lt t sup3 1 such that

                      Agents optimize

                      Factor payments

                      w = (1 - a) A Ka L-a

                      r = a A Ka -1 L1-a

                      All markets clear

                      Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 )

                      Capital xt + bt = p Kt +1

                      Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

                      Equilibrium

                      Approach

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          MCR = 0

                          MCR gt 0

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Steady State

                          • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                              • 1b l sup3 r p
                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                  • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                    • Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                      Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                      wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                      The Child Labor Decision

                                      Steady State

                                      • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                          • 1b l sup3 r p
                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                  -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                  Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                                  Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                                  wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                                  The Child Labor Decision

                                                  Steady State

                                                  • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                                      • 1b l sup3 r p
                                                      • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                            • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                              -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)

                                                                  Suppose drr sup3 dpp Then dK lt 0

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                  Reason In the steady-state 1bl = rp if bt gt 0

                                                                  Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      If the MCR g = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                      Reason

                                                                      When g = 0 investment dXX = dww

                                                                      But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKK

                                                                      From the clearing condition X = p K so

                                                                      dXX = dKK + dpp drr = dpp

                                                                      Aggregate Investment (g = 0)

                                                                      X = +

                                                                      [wh(1- l)][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Suppose the minimum consumption requirement g gt 0 and

                                                                      dp gt 0 Then drr gt dpp

                                                                      Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

                                                                      One consequence Effective return rp rises child labor increases

                                                                      dK + dpp = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

                                                                      Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in p is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

                                                                      Steady State

                                                                      + = K

                                                                      [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp) 1s]

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rp is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛

                                                                      primeprime

                                                                      +rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l Kprime )

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛ +

                                                                      rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      l

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l K )

                                                                      l l prime

                                                                      Pedagogical Examples

                                                                      Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

                                                                      Chart1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates
                                                                      1
                                                                      1036832741
                                                                      1073090064
                                                                      1108955549
                                                                      1144590727
                                                                      1180143169
                                                                      1215752801
                                                                      1251557262
                                                                      1287696923
                                                                      1324320074
                                                                      1361588833
                                                                      1399686467
                                                                      1438827114
                                                                      1479269523
                                                                      152133756
                                                                      1565452592
                                                                      1612187974
                                                                      1662367955
                                                                      1717266013
                                                                      1779062077
                                                                      1852152497

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates

                                                                      Sheet2

                                                                      Sheet3

                                                                      Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

                                                                      g gt 0

                                                                      g = 0

                                                                      Why the difference

                                                                      The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels

                                                                      Wages

                                                                      Return rπ

                                                                      Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of middle-age decisionmakers

                                                                      Conclusions

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriers developing countries can reduce child labor Without a reduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricter barriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lot of a country

                                                                          (

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                                                                          uacute

                                                                          ucirc

                                                                          ugrave

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                                                                          (

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                                                                          ucirc

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                                                                          a

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                                                                          a

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                                                                          15

                                                                          16

                                                                          17

                                                                          18

                                                                          19

                                                                          0405060708091

                                                                          Relative Output

                                                                          Relative Participation Rates

                                                                          Fig 42b Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          = 0

                                                                          4

                                                                          41

                                                                          42

                                                                          43

                                                                          44

                                                                          45

                                                                          46

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          002

                                                                          004

                                                                          006

                                                                          008

                                                                          01

                                                                          012

                                                                          014

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                          Fig 42a Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          gt 0

                                                                          28

                                                                          29

                                                                          3

                                                                          31

                                                                          32

                                                                          33

                                                                          34

                                                                          35

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          005

                                                                          01

                                                                          015

                                                                          02

                                                                          025

                                                                          03

                                                                          035

                                                                          04

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                      y l ratio y ratio l
                                                                      1 5103837338 0196324827 1 1
                                                                      11 4846566344 02035560085 09495926345 1036832741
                                                                      12 4618839709 02106742213 09049739251 1073090064
                                                                      13 4414915419 02177155064 08650188333 1108955549
                                                                      14 423047326 02247115765 08288808949 1144590727
                                                                      15 4062184154 02316914036 07959078404 1180143169
                                                                      16 390742778 02386824584 07655862679 1215752801
                                                                      17 3764101166 0245711763 07375041398 1251557262
                                                                      18 3630484915 02528068757 07113245731 1287696923
                                                                      19 3505146855 02599969094 06867669603 1324320074
                                                                      2 3386870309 02673136922 06635929175 1361588833
                                                                      21 3274598498 02747932035 06415953882 1399686467
                                                                      22 3167388932 02824774842 06205897097 1438827114
                                                                      23 3064372843 02904173333 06004056634 1479269523
                                                                      24 296471464 02986763333 05808795311 152133756
                                                                      25 2867564887 03073372094 0561844882 1565452592
                                                                      26 2771995899 03165125252 05431199537 1612187974
                                                                      27 2676897761 03263641013 05244872796 1662367955
                                                                      28 2580781446 03371419529 0505655113 1717266013
                                                                      29 248133507 03492740545 04861704842 1779062077
                                                                      3 2374158982 03636235186 04651713652 1852152497
                                                                      31 2247263191 03826037427 04403085448 1948830153
                                                                      32
                                                                      33
                                                                      34
                                                                      35
                                                                      1
                                                                      09495926345
                                                                      09049739251
                                                                      08650188333
                                                                      08288808949
                                                                      07959078404
                                                                      07655862679
                                                                      07375041398
                                                                      07113245731
                                                                      06867669603
                                                                      06635929175
                                                                      06415953882
                                                                      06205897097
                                                                      06004056634
                                                                      05808795311
                                                                      0561844882
                                                                      05431199537
                                                                      05244872796
                                                                      0505655113
                                                                      04861704842
                                                                      04651713652
                                                                      Variable b l s g a p h
                                                                      Value 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84
Page 68: Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor · Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor DEGIT St. Petersburg, Russia. 8 September 2011. Richard

1

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

04 05 06 07 08 09 1

Relative Output

Rela

tive

Parti

cipa

tion

Rate

s

Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

γ gt 0 γ = 0

Why the difference

The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels Wages Return rπ Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of

middle-age decisionmakers

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Conclusions

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriersdeveloping countries can reduce child labor Without areduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricterbarriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lotof a country

  • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Background
  • Background
  • Slide Number 9
  • Slide Number 10
  • Slide Number 11
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • Slide Number 16
  • Slide Number 17
  • Slide Number 18
  • Slide Number 19
  • Slide Number 20
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • Slide Number 23
  • Preferences
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Aggregate Investment
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Slide Number 39
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Slide Number 43
  • Slide Number 44
  • Slide Number 45
  • Slide Number 46
  • Slide Number 47
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Aggregate Investment (g = 0)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Slide Number 62
  • Steady State
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Slide Number 67
  • Pedagogical Examples
  • Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)
  • Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)
  • Slide Number 71
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
    • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor

      DEGIT

      St Petersburg Russia

      8 September 2011

      Richard C Barnett

      Drexel University

      Secrecy vs Seclective Disclosure

      Outline of the Talk

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Conclusions

          Background

          Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

          The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

          Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Background

              Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

              The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

              Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)

                  Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

                  3 Important Features

                  Barriers

                  Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

                  Child Labor and Human Capital

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

                  Minimum Consumption Requirements

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

                  Related Studies

                  Overview

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  MCR g

                  The Model

                  Preferences

                  Ut ordm u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl Ut+1

                  where u(c ) = (c ndash g )1-s (1 - s) 0 pound b l pound 1

                  c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

                  c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  qt ordm bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3 wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) lb ucent(c1t+1 )

                  + wt + 2 hcent( 1- lt ) l b 2 ucent(c2t+2 )

                  Aggregate Investment

                  X = +

                  [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                  [rp + (b rp)1s]

                  wl (b rp)1s

                  [rp + (b rp)1s ]

                  Factors and Technologies

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Human Capital

                      Assumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

                      Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of

                      sequences for prices wt rt t sup3 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t sup3 1

                      and Xt Kt+1 lt t sup3 1 such that

                      Agents optimize

                      Factor payments

                      w = (1 - a) A Ka L-a

                      r = a A Ka -1 L1-a

                      All markets clear

                      Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 )

                      Capital xt + bt = p Kt +1

                      Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

                      Equilibrium

                      Approach

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          MCR = 0

                          MCR gt 0

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Steady State

                          • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                              • 1b l sup3 r p
                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                  • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                    • Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                      Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                      wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                      The Child Labor Decision

                                      Steady State

                                      • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                          • 1b l sup3 r p
                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                  -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                  Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                                  Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                                  wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                                  The Child Labor Decision

                                                  Steady State

                                                  • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                                      • 1b l sup3 r p
                                                      • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                            • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                              -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)

                                                                  Suppose drr sup3 dpp Then dK lt 0

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                  Reason In the steady-state 1bl = rp if bt gt 0

                                                                  Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      If the MCR g = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                      Reason

                                                                      When g = 0 investment dXX = dww

                                                                      But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKK

                                                                      From the clearing condition X = p K so

                                                                      dXX = dKK + dpp drr = dpp

                                                                      Aggregate Investment (g = 0)

                                                                      X = +

                                                                      [wh(1- l)][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Suppose the minimum consumption requirement g gt 0 and

                                                                      dp gt 0 Then drr gt dpp

                                                                      Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

                                                                      One consequence Effective return rp rises child labor increases

                                                                      dK + dpp = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

                                                                      Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in p is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

                                                                      Steady State

                                                                      + = K

                                                                      [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp) 1s]

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rp is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛

                                                                      primeprime

                                                                      +rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l Kprime )

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛ +

                                                                      rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      l

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l K )

                                                                      l l prime

                                                                      Pedagogical Examples

                                                                      Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

                                                                      Chart1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates
                                                                      1
                                                                      1036832741
                                                                      1073090064
                                                                      1108955549
                                                                      1144590727
                                                                      1180143169
                                                                      1215752801
                                                                      1251557262
                                                                      1287696923
                                                                      1324320074
                                                                      1361588833
                                                                      1399686467
                                                                      1438827114
                                                                      1479269523
                                                                      152133756
                                                                      1565452592
                                                                      1612187974
                                                                      1662367955
                                                                      1717266013
                                                                      1779062077
                                                                      1852152497

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates

                                                                      Sheet2

                                                                      Sheet3

                                                                      Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

                                                                      g gt 0

                                                                      g = 0

                                                                      Why the difference

                                                                      The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels

                                                                      Wages

                                                                      Return rπ

                                                                      Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of middle-age decisionmakers

                                                                      Conclusions

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriers developing countries can reduce child labor Without a reduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricter barriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lot of a country

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                                                                          (

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                                                                          (

                                                                          )

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          -

                                                                          +

                                                                          ordm

                                                                          G

                                                                          s

                                                                          b

                                                                          b

                                                                          z

                                                                          z

                                                                          (

                                                                          )

                                                                          (

                                                                          )

                                                                          (

                                                                          )

                                                                          uacute

                                                                          ucirc

                                                                          ugrave

                                                                          ecirc

                                                                          euml

                                                                          eacute

                                                                          divide

                                                                          oslash

                                                                          ouml

                                                                          ccedil

                                                                          egrave

                                                                          aelig

                                                                          G

                                                                          -

                                                                          -

                                                                          +

                                                                          -

                                                                          +

                                                                          -

                                                                          -

                                                                          p

                                                                          p

                                                                          p

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          g

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          l

                                                                          l

                                                                          h

                                                                          A

                                                                          r

                                                                          1

                                                                          )

                                                                          1

                                                                          2

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          11

                                                                          12

                                                                          13

                                                                          14

                                                                          15

                                                                          16

                                                                          17

                                                                          18

                                                                          19

                                                                          0405060708091

                                                                          Relative Output

                                                                          Relative Participation Rates

                                                                          Fig 42b Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          = 0

                                                                          4

                                                                          41

                                                                          42

                                                                          43

                                                                          44

                                                                          45

                                                                          46

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          002

                                                                          004

                                                                          006

                                                                          008

                                                                          01

                                                                          012

                                                                          014

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                          Fig 42a Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          gt 0

                                                                          28

                                                                          29

                                                                          3

                                                                          31

                                                                          32

                                                                          33

                                                                          34

                                                                          35

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          005

                                                                          01

                                                                          015

                                                                          02

                                                                          025

                                                                          03

                                                                          035

                                                                          04

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                      y l ratio y ratio l
                                                                      1 5103837338 0196324827 1 1
                                                                      11 4846566344 02035560085 09495926345 1036832741
                                                                      12 4618839709 02106742213 09049739251 1073090064
                                                                      13 4414915419 02177155064 08650188333 1108955549
                                                                      14 423047326 02247115765 08288808949 1144590727
                                                                      15 4062184154 02316914036 07959078404 1180143169
                                                                      16 390742778 02386824584 07655862679 1215752801
                                                                      17 3764101166 0245711763 07375041398 1251557262
                                                                      18 3630484915 02528068757 07113245731 1287696923
                                                                      19 3505146855 02599969094 06867669603 1324320074
                                                                      2 3386870309 02673136922 06635929175 1361588833
                                                                      21 3274598498 02747932035 06415953882 1399686467
                                                                      22 3167388932 02824774842 06205897097 1438827114
                                                                      23 3064372843 02904173333 06004056634 1479269523
                                                                      24 296471464 02986763333 05808795311 152133756
                                                                      25 2867564887 03073372094 0561844882 1565452592
                                                                      26 2771995899 03165125252 05431199537 1612187974
                                                                      27 2676897761 03263641013 05244872796 1662367955
                                                                      28 2580781446 03371419529 0505655113 1717266013
                                                                      29 248133507 03492740545 04861704842 1779062077
                                                                      3 2374158982 03636235186 04651713652 1852152497
                                                                      31 2247263191 03826037427 04403085448 1948830153
                                                                      32
                                                                      33
                                                                      34
                                                                      35
                                                                      1
                                                                      09495926345
                                                                      09049739251
                                                                      08650188333
                                                                      08288808949
                                                                      07959078404
                                                                      07655862679
                                                                      07375041398
                                                                      07113245731
                                                                      06867669603
                                                                      06635929175
                                                                      06415953882
                                                                      06205897097
                                                                      06004056634
                                                                      05808795311
                                                                      0561844882
                                                                      05431199537
                                                                      05244872796
                                                                      0505655113
                                                                      04861704842
                                                                      04651713652
                                                                      Variable b l s g a p h
                                                                      Value 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84
Page 69: Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor · Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor DEGIT St. Petersburg, Russia. 8 September 2011. Richard

Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

γ gt 0 γ = 0

Why the difference

The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels Wages Return rπ Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of

middle-age decisionmakers

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Conclusions

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriersdeveloping countries can reduce child labor Without areduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricterbarriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lotof a country

  • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Background
  • Background
  • Slide Number 9
  • Slide Number 10
  • Slide Number 11
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • Slide Number 16
  • Slide Number 17
  • Slide Number 18
  • Slide Number 19
  • Slide Number 20
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • Slide Number 23
  • Preferences
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Aggregate Investment
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Slide Number 39
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Slide Number 43
  • Slide Number 44
  • Slide Number 45
  • Slide Number 46
  • Slide Number 47
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Aggregate Investment (g = 0)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Slide Number 62
  • Steady State
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Slide Number 67
  • Pedagogical Examples
  • Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)
  • Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)
  • Slide Number 71
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
    • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor

      DEGIT

      St Petersburg Russia

      8 September 2011

      Richard C Barnett

      Drexel University

      Secrecy vs Seclective Disclosure

      Outline of the Talk

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Conclusions

          Background

          Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

          The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

          Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Background

              Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

              The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

              Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)

                  Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

                  3 Important Features

                  Barriers

                  Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

                  Child Labor and Human Capital

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

                  Minimum Consumption Requirements

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

                  Related Studies

                  Overview

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  MCR g

                  The Model

                  Preferences

                  Ut ordm u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl Ut+1

                  where u(c ) = (c ndash g )1-s (1 - s) 0 pound b l pound 1

                  c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

                  c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  qt ordm bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3 wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) lb ucent(c1t+1 )

                  + wt + 2 hcent( 1- lt ) l b 2 ucent(c2t+2 )

                  Aggregate Investment

                  X = +

                  [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                  [rp + (b rp)1s]

                  wl (b rp)1s

                  [rp + (b rp)1s ]

                  Factors and Technologies

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Human Capital

                      Assumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

                      Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of

                      sequences for prices wt rt t sup3 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t sup3 1

                      and Xt Kt+1 lt t sup3 1 such that

                      Agents optimize

                      Factor payments

                      w = (1 - a) A Ka L-a

                      r = a A Ka -1 L1-a

                      All markets clear

                      Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 )

                      Capital xt + bt = p Kt +1

                      Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

                      Equilibrium

                      Approach

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          MCR = 0

                          MCR gt 0

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Steady State

                          • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                              • 1b l sup3 r p
                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                  • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                    • Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                      Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                      wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                      The Child Labor Decision

                                      Steady State

                                      • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                          • 1b l sup3 r p
                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                  -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                  Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                                  Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                                  wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                                  The Child Labor Decision

                                                  Steady State

                                                  • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                                      • 1b l sup3 r p
                                                      • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                            • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                              -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)

                                                                  Suppose drr sup3 dpp Then dK lt 0

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                  Reason In the steady-state 1bl = rp if bt gt 0

                                                                  Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      If the MCR g = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                      Reason

                                                                      When g = 0 investment dXX = dww

                                                                      But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKK

                                                                      From the clearing condition X = p K so

                                                                      dXX = dKK + dpp drr = dpp

                                                                      Aggregate Investment (g = 0)

                                                                      X = +

                                                                      [wh(1- l)][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Suppose the minimum consumption requirement g gt 0 and

                                                                      dp gt 0 Then drr gt dpp

                                                                      Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

                                                                      One consequence Effective return rp rises child labor increases

                                                                      dK + dpp = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

                                                                      Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in p is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

                                                                      Steady State

                                                                      + = K

                                                                      [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp) 1s]

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rp is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛

                                                                      primeprime

                                                                      +rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l Kprime )

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛ +

                                                                      rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      l

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l K )

                                                                      l l prime

                                                                      Pedagogical Examples

                                                                      Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

                                                                      Chart1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates
                                                                      1
                                                                      1036832741
                                                                      1073090064
                                                                      1108955549
                                                                      1144590727
                                                                      1180143169
                                                                      1215752801
                                                                      1251557262
                                                                      1287696923
                                                                      1324320074
                                                                      1361588833
                                                                      1399686467
                                                                      1438827114
                                                                      1479269523
                                                                      152133756
                                                                      1565452592
                                                                      1612187974
                                                                      1662367955
                                                                      1717266013
                                                                      1779062077
                                                                      1852152497

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates

                                                                      Sheet2

                                                                      Sheet3

                                                                      Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

                                                                      g gt 0

                                                                      g = 0

                                                                      Why the difference

                                                                      The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels

                                                                      Wages

                                                                      Return rπ

                                                                      Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of middle-age decisionmakers

                                                                      Conclusions

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriers developing countries can reduce child labor Without a reduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricter barriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lot of a country

                                                                          (

                                                                          )

                                                                          (

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                                                                          (

                                                                          )

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                                                                          =

                                                                          divide

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                                                                          ouml

                                                                          ccedil

                                                                          egrave

                                                                          aelig

                                                                          G

                                                                          +

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                                                                          uacute

                                                                          ucirc

                                                                          ugrave

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                                                                          1

                                                                          2

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                                                                          )

                                                                          1

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                                                                          )

                                                                          (

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                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          -

                                                                          +

                                                                          ordm

                                                                          G

                                                                          s

                                                                          b

                                                                          b

                                                                          z

                                                                          z

                                                                          (

                                                                          )

                                                                          (

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                                                                          (

                                                                          )

                                                                          uacute

                                                                          ucirc

                                                                          ugrave

                                                                          ecirc

                                                                          euml

                                                                          eacute

                                                                          divide

                                                                          oslash

                                                                          ouml

                                                                          ccedil

                                                                          egrave

                                                                          aelig

                                                                          G

                                                                          -

                                                                          -

                                                                          +

                                                                          -

                                                                          +

                                                                          -

                                                                          -

                                                                          p

                                                                          p

                                                                          p

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          g

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          l

                                                                          l

                                                                          h

                                                                          A

                                                                          r

                                                                          1

                                                                          )

                                                                          1

                                                                          2

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          11

                                                                          12

                                                                          13

                                                                          14

                                                                          15

                                                                          16

                                                                          17

                                                                          18

                                                                          19

                                                                          0405060708091

                                                                          Relative Output

                                                                          Relative Participation Rates

                                                                          Fig 42b Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          = 0

                                                                          4

                                                                          41

                                                                          42

                                                                          43

                                                                          44

                                                                          45

                                                                          46

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          002

                                                                          004

                                                                          006

                                                                          008

                                                                          01

                                                                          012

                                                                          014

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                          Fig 42a Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          gt 0

                                                                          28

                                                                          29

                                                                          3

                                                                          31

                                                                          32

                                                                          33

                                                                          34

                                                                          35

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          005

                                                                          01

                                                                          015

                                                                          02

                                                                          025

                                                                          03

                                                                          035

                                                                          04

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                      y l ratio y ratio l
                                                                      1 5103837338 0196324827 1 1
                                                                      11 4846566344 02035560085 09495926345 1036832741
                                                                      12 4618839709 02106742213 09049739251 1073090064
                                                                      13 4414915419 02177155064 08650188333 1108955549
                                                                      14 423047326 02247115765 08288808949 1144590727
                                                                      15 4062184154 02316914036 07959078404 1180143169
                                                                      16 390742778 02386824584 07655862679 1215752801
                                                                      17 3764101166 0245711763 07375041398 1251557262
                                                                      18 3630484915 02528068757 07113245731 1287696923
                                                                      19 3505146855 02599969094 06867669603 1324320074
                                                                      2 3386870309 02673136922 06635929175 1361588833
                                                                      21 3274598498 02747932035 06415953882 1399686467
                                                                      22 3167388932 02824774842 06205897097 1438827114
                                                                      23 3064372843 02904173333 06004056634 1479269523
                                                                      24 296471464 02986763333 05808795311 152133756
                                                                      25 2867564887 03073372094 0561844882 1565452592
                                                                      26 2771995899 03165125252 05431199537 1612187974
                                                                      27 2676897761 03263641013 05244872796 1662367955
                                                                      28 2580781446 03371419529 0505655113 1717266013
                                                                      29 248133507 03492740545 04861704842 1779062077
                                                                      3 2374158982 03636235186 04651713652 1852152497
                                                                      31 2247263191 03826037427 04403085448 1948830153
                                                                      32
                                                                      33
                                                                      34
                                                                      35
                                                                      1
                                                                      09495926345
                                                                      09049739251
                                                                      08650188333
                                                                      08288808949
                                                                      07959078404
                                                                      07655862679
                                                                      07375041398
                                                                      07113245731
                                                                      06867669603
                                                                      06635929175
                                                                      06415953882
                                                                      06205897097
                                                                      06004056634
                                                                      05808795311
                                                                      0561844882
                                                                      05431199537
                                                                      05244872796
                                                                      0505655113
                                                                      04861704842
                                                                      04651713652
                                                                      Variable b l s g a p h
                                                                      Value 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84
Page 70: Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor · Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor DEGIT St. Petersburg, Russia. 8 September 2011. Richard

Why the difference

The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels Wages Return rπ Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of

middle-age decisionmakers

Fig 42a Case where γ gt 0

28

29

3

31

32

33

34

35

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

005

01

015

02

025

03

035

04

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Fig 42b Case where γ = 0

4

41

42

43

44

45

46

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100Time

Out

put

0

002

004

006

008

01

012

014

Chi

ld L

abor

Cap

ital

OutputChild LaborCapital

Conclusions

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriersdeveloping countries can reduce child labor Without areduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricterbarriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lotof a country

  • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Background
  • Background
  • Slide Number 9
  • Slide Number 10
  • Slide Number 11
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • Slide Number 16
  • Slide Number 17
  • Slide Number 18
  • Slide Number 19
  • Slide Number 20
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • Slide Number 23
  • Preferences
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Aggregate Investment
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Slide Number 39
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Slide Number 43
  • Slide Number 44
  • Slide Number 45
  • Slide Number 46
  • Slide Number 47
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Aggregate Investment (g = 0)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Slide Number 62
  • Steady State
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Slide Number 67
  • Pedagogical Examples
  • Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)
  • Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)
  • Slide Number 71
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
    • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor

      DEGIT

      St Petersburg Russia

      8 September 2011

      Richard C Barnett

      Drexel University

      Secrecy vs Seclective Disclosure

      Outline of the Talk

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Conclusions

          Background

          Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

          The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

          Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Background

              Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

              The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

              Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)

                  Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

                  3 Important Features

                  Barriers

                  Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

                  Child Labor and Human Capital

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

                  Minimum Consumption Requirements

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

                  Related Studies

                  Overview

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  MCR g

                  The Model

                  Preferences

                  Ut ordm u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl Ut+1

                  where u(c ) = (c ndash g )1-s (1 - s) 0 pound b l pound 1

                  c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

                  c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  qt ordm bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3 wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) lb ucent(c1t+1 )

                  + wt + 2 hcent( 1- lt ) l b 2 ucent(c2t+2 )

                  Aggregate Investment

                  X = +

                  [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                  [rp + (b rp)1s]

                  wl (b rp)1s

                  [rp + (b rp)1s ]

                  Factors and Technologies

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Human Capital

                      Assumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

                      Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of

                      sequences for prices wt rt t sup3 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t sup3 1

                      and Xt Kt+1 lt t sup3 1 such that

                      Agents optimize

                      Factor payments

                      w = (1 - a) A Ka L-a

                      r = a A Ka -1 L1-a

                      All markets clear

                      Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 )

                      Capital xt + bt = p Kt +1

                      Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

                      Equilibrium

                      Approach

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          MCR = 0

                          MCR gt 0

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Steady State

                          • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                              • 1b l sup3 r p
                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                  • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                    • Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                      Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                      wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                      The Child Labor Decision

                                      Steady State

                                      • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                          • 1b l sup3 r p
                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                  -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                  Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                                  Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                                  wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                                  The Child Labor Decision

                                                  Steady State

                                                  • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                                      • 1b l sup3 r p
                                                      • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                            • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                              -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)

                                                                  Suppose drr sup3 dpp Then dK lt 0

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                  Reason In the steady-state 1bl = rp if bt gt 0

                                                                  Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      If the MCR g = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                      Reason

                                                                      When g = 0 investment dXX = dww

                                                                      But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKK

                                                                      From the clearing condition X = p K so

                                                                      dXX = dKK + dpp drr = dpp

                                                                      Aggregate Investment (g = 0)

                                                                      X = +

                                                                      [wh(1- l)][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Suppose the minimum consumption requirement g gt 0 and

                                                                      dp gt 0 Then drr gt dpp

                                                                      Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

                                                                      One consequence Effective return rp rises child labor increases

                                                                      dK + dpp = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

                                                                      Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in p is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

                                                                      Steady State

                                                                      + = K

                                                                      [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp) 1s]

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rp is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛

                                                                      primeprime

                                                                      +rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l Kprime )

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛ +

                                                                      rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      l

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l K )

                                                                      l l prime

                                                                      Pedagogical Examples

                                                                      Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

                                                                      Chart1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates
                                                                      1
                                                                      1036832741
                                                                      1073090064
                                                                      1108955549
                                                                      1144590727
                                                                      1180143169
                                                                      1215752801
                                                                      1251557262
                                                                      1287696923
                                                                      1324320074
                                                                      1361588833
                                                                      1399686467
                                                                      1438827114
                                                                      1479269523
                                                                      152133756
                                                                      1565452592
                                                                      1612187974
                                                                      1662367955
                                                                      1717266013
                                                                      1779062077
                                                                      1852152497

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates

                                                                      Sheet2

                                                                      Sheet3

                                                                      Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

                                                                      g gt 0

                                                                      g = 0

                                                                      Why the difference

                                                                      The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels

                                                                      Wages

                                                                      Return rπ

                                                                      Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of middle-age decisionmakers

                                                                      Conclusions

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriers developing countries can reduce child labor Without a reduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricter barriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lot of a country

                                                                          (

                                                                          )

                                                                          (

                                                                          )

                                                                          (

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                                                                          =

                                                                          divide

                                                                          oslash

                                                                          ouml

                                                                          ccedil

                                                                          egrave

                                                                          aelig

                                                                          G

                                                                          +

                                                                          -

                                                                          -

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                                                                          -

                                                                          uacute

                                                                          ucirc

                                                                          ugrave

                                                                          ecirc

                                                                          euml

                                                                          eacute

                                                                          divide

                                                                          oslash

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                                                                          ccedil

                                                                          egrave

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                                                                          1

                                                                          2

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          )

                                                                          1

                                                                          2

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          (

                                                                          )

                                                                          (

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                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          -

                                                                          +

                                                                          ordm

                                                                          G

                                                                          s

                                                                          b

                                                                          b

                                                                          z

                                                                          z

                                                                          (

                                                                          )

                                                                          (

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                                                                          (

                                                                          )

                                                                          uacute

                                                                          ucirc

                                                                          ugrave

                                                                          ecirc

                                                                          euml

                                                                          eacute

                                                                          divide

                                                                          oslash

                                                                          ouml

                                                                          ccedil

                                                                          egrave

                                                                          aelig

                                                                          G

                                                                          -

                                                                          -

                                                                          +

                                                                          -

                                                                          +

                                                                          -

                                                                          -

                                                                          p

                                                                          p

                                                                          p

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          g

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          l

                                                                          l

                                                                          h

                                                                          A

                                                                          r

                                                                          1

                                                                          )

                                                                          1

                                                                          2

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          11

                                                                          12

                                                                          13

                                                                          14

                                                                          15

                                                                          16

                                                                          17

                                                                          18

                                                                          19

                                                                          0405060708091

                                                                          Relative Output

                                                                          Relative Participation Rates

                                                                          Fig 42b Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          = 0

                                                                          4

                                                                          41

                                                                          42

                                                                          43

                                                                          44

                                                                          45

                                                                          46

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          002

                                                                          004

                                                                          006

                                                                          008

                                                                          01

                                                                          012

                                                                          014

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                          Fig 42a Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          gt 0

                                                                          28

                                                                          29

                                                                          3

                                                                          31

                                                                          32

                                                                          33

                                                                          34

                                                                          35

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          005

                                                                          01

                                                                          015

                                                                          02

                                                                          025

                                                                          03

                                                                          035

                                                                          04

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                      y l ratio y ratio l
                                                                      1 5103837338 0196324827 1 1
                                                                      11 4846566344 02035560085 09495926345 1036832741
                                                                      12 4618839709 02106742213 09049739251 1073090064
                                                                      13 4414915419 02177155064 08650188333 1108955549
                                                                      14 423047326 02247115765 08288808949 1144590727
                                                                      15 4062184154 02316914036 07959078404 1180143169
                                                                      16 390742778 02386824584 07655862679 1215752801
                                                                      17 3764101166 0245711763 07375041398 1251557262
                                                                      18 3630484915 02528068757 07113245731 1287696923
                                                                      19 3505146855 02599969094 06867669603 1324320074
                                                                      2 3386870309 02673136922 06635929175 1361588833
                                                                      21 3274598498 02747932035 06415953882 1399686467
                                                                      22 3167388932 02824774842 06205897097 1438827114
                                                                      23 3064372843 02904173333 06004056634 1479269523
                                                                      24 296471464 02986763333 05808795311 152133756
                                                                      25 2867564887 03073372094 0561844882 1565452592
                                                                      26 2771995899 03165125252 05431199537 1612187974
                                                                      27 2676897761 03263641013 05244872796 1662367955
                                                                      28 2580781446 03371419529 0505655113 1717266013
                                                                      29 248133507 03492740545 04861704842 1779062077
                                                                      3 2374158982 03636235186 04651713652 1852152497
                                                                      31 2247263191 03826037427 04403085448 1948830153
                                                                      32
                                                                      33
                                                                      34
                                                                      35
                                                                      1
                                                                      09495926345
                                                                      09049739251
                                                                      08650188333
                                                                      08288808949
                                                                      07959078404
                                                                      07655862679
                                                                      07375041398
                                                                      07113245731
                                                                      06867669603
                                                                      06635929175
                                                                      06415953882
                                                                      06205897097
                                                                      06004056634
                                                                      05808795311
                                                                      0561844882
                                                                      05431199537
                                                                      05244872796
                                                                      0505655113
                                                                      04861704842
                                                                      04651713652
                                                                      Variable b l s g a p h
                                                                      Value 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84
Page 71: Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor · Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor DEGIT St. Petersburg, Russia. 8 September 2011. Richard

Conclusions

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriersdeveloping countries can reduce child labor Without areduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricterbarriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lotof a country

  • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Background
  • Background
  • Slide Number 9
  • Slide Number 10
  • Slide Number 11
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • Slide Number 16
  • Slide Number 17
  • Slide Number 18
  • Slide Number 19
  • Slide Number 20
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • Slide Number 23
  • Preferences
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Aggregate Investment
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Slide Number 39
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Slide Number 43
  • Slide Number 44
  • Slide Number 45
  • Slide Number 46
  • Slide Number 47
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Aggregate Investment (g = 0)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Slide Number 62
  • Steady State
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Slide Number 67
  • Pedagogical Examples
  • Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)
  • Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)
  • Slide Number 71
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
    • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor

      DEGIT

      St Petersburg Russia

      8 September 2011

      Richard C Barnett

      Drexel University

      Secrecy vs Seclective Disclosure

      Outline of the Talk

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Conclusions

          Background

          Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

          The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

          Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Background

              Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

              The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

              Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)

                  Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

                  3 Important Features

                  Barriers

                  Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

                  Child Labor and Human Capital

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

                  Minimum Consumption Requirements

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

                  Related Studies

                  Overview

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  MCR g

                  The Model

                  Preferences

                  Ut ordm u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl Ut+1

                  where u(c ) = (c ndash g )1-s (1 - s) 0 pound b l pound 1

                  c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

                  c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  qt ordm bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3 wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) lb ucent(c1t+1 )

                  + wt + 2 hcent( 1- lt ) l b 2 ucent(c2t+2 )

                  Aggregate Investment

                  X = +

                  [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                  [rp + (b rp)1s]

                  wl (b rp)1s

                  [rp + (b rp)1s ]

                  Factors and Technologies

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Human Capital

                      Assumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

                      Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of

                      sequences for prices wt rt t sup3 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t sup3 1

                      and Xt Kt+1 lt t sup3 1 such that

                      Agents optimize

                      Factor payments

                      w = (1 - a) A Ka L-a

                      r = a A Ka -1 L1-a

                      All markets clear

                      Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 )

                      Capital xt + bt = p Kt +1

                      Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

                      Equilibrium

                      Approach

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          MCR = 0

                          MCR gt 0

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Steady State

                          • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                              • 1b l sup3 r p
                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                  • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                    • Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                      Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                      wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                      The Child Labor Decision

                                      Steady State

                                      • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                          • 1b l sup3 r p
                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                  -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                  Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                                  Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                                  wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                                  The Child Labor Decision

                                                  Steady State

                                                  • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                                      • 1b l sup3 r p
                                                      • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                            • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                              -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)

                                                                  Suppose drr sup3 dpp Then dK lt 0

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                  Reason In the steady-state 1bl = rp if bt gt 0

                                                                  Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      If the MCR g = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                      Reason

                                                                      When g = 0 investment dXX = dww

                                                                      But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKK

                                                                      From the clearing condition X = p K so

                                                                      dXX = dKK + dpp drr = dpp

                                                                      Aggregate Investment (g = 0)

                                                                      X = +

                                                                      [wh(1- l)][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Suppose the minimum consumption requirement g gt 0 and

                                                                      dp gt 0 Then drr gt dpp

                                                                      Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

                                                                      One consequence Effective return rp rises child labor increases

                                                                      dK + dpp = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

                                                                      Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in p is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

                                                                      Steady State

                                                                      + = K

                                                                      [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp) 1s]

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rp is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛

                                                                      primeprime

                                                                      +rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l Kprime )

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛ +

                                                                      rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      l

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l K )

                                                                      l l prime

                                                                      Pedagogical Examples

                                                                      Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

                                                                      Chart1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates
                                                                      1
                                                                      1036832741
                                                                      1073090064
                                                                      1108955549
                                                                      1144590727
                                                                      1180143169
                                                                      1215752801
                                                                      1251557262
                                                                      1287696923
                                                                      1324320074
                                                                      1361588833
                                                                      1399686467
                                                                      1438827114
                                                                      1479269523
                                                                      152133756
                                                                      1565452592
                                                                      1612187974
                                                                      1662367955
                                                                      1717266013
                                                                      1779062077
                                                                      1852152497

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates

                                                                      Sheet2

                                                                      Sheet3

                                                                      Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

                                                                      g gt 0

                                                                      g = 0

                                                                      Why the difference

                                                                      The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels

                                                                      Wages

                                                                      Return rπ

                                                                      Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of middle-age decisionmakers

                                                                      Conclusions

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriers developing countries can reduce child labor Without a reduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricter barriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lot of a country

                                                                          (

                                                                          )

                                                                          (

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                                                                          +

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                                                                          ucirc

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                                                                          ordm

                                                                          G

                                                                          s

                                                                          b

                                                                          b

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                                                                          (

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                                                                          uacute

                                                                          ucirc

                                                                          ugrave

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                                                                          euml

                                                                          eacute

                                                                          divide

                                                                          oslash

                                                                          ouml

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                                                                          egrave

                                                                          aelig

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                                                                          -

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                                                                          p

                                                                          p

                                                                          p

                                                                          a

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                                                                          g

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          l

                                                                          l

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                                                                          r

                                                                          1

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                                                                          1

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                                                                          11

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                                                                          13

                                                                          14

                                                                          15

                                                                          16

                                                                          17

                                                                          18

                                                                          19

                                                                          0405060708091

                                                                          Relative Output

                                                                          Relative Participation Rates

                                                                          Fig 42b Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          = 0

                                                                          4

                                                                          41

                                                                          42

                                                                          43

                                                                          44

                                                                          45

                                                                          46

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          002

                                                                          004

                                                                          006

                                                                          008

                                                                          01

                                                                          012

                                                                          014

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                          Fig 42a Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          gt 0

                                                                          28

                                                                          29

                                                                          3

                                                                          31

                                                                          32

                                                                          33

                                                                          34

                                                                          35

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          005

                                                                          01

                                                                          015

                                                                          02

                                                                          025

                                                                          03

                                                                          035

                                                                          04

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                      y l ratio y ratio l
                                                                      1 5103837338 0196324827 1 1
                                                                      11 4846566344 02035560085 09495926345 1036832741
                                                                      12 4618839709 02106742213 09049739251 1073090064
                                                                      13 4414915419 02177155064 08650188333 1108955549
                                                                      14 423047326 02247115765 08288808949 1144590727
                                                                      15 4062184154 02316914036 07959078404 1180143169
                                                                      16 390742778 02386824584 07655862679 1215752801
                                                                      17 3764101166 0245711763 07375041398 1251557262
                                                                      18 3630484915 02528068757 07113245731 1287696923
                                                                      19 3505146855 02599969094 06867669603 1324320074
                                                                      2 3386870309 02673136922 06635929175 1361588833
                                                                      21 3274598498 02747932035 06415953882 1399686467
                                                                      22 3167388932 02824774842 06205897097 1438827114
                                                                      23 3064372843 02904173333 06004056634 1479269523
                                                                      24 296471464 02986763333 05808795311 152133756
                                                                      25 2867564887 03073372094 0561844882 1565452592
                                                                      26 2771995899 03165125252 05431199537 1612187974
                                                                      27 2676897761 03263641013 05244872796 1662367955
                                                                      28 2580781446 03371419529 0505655113 1717266013
                                                                      29 248133507 03492740545 04861704842 1779062077
                                                                      3 2374158982 03636235186 04651713652 1852152497
                                                                      31 2247263191 03826037427 04403085448 1948830153
                                                                      32
                                                                      33
                                                                      34
                                                                      35
                                                                      1
                                                                      09495926345
                                                                      09049739251
                                                                      08650188333
                                                                      08288808949
                                                                      07959078404
                                                                      07655862679
                                                                      07375041398
                                                                      07113245731
                                                                      06867669603
                                                                      06635929175
                                                                      06415953882
                                                                      06205897097
                                                                      06004056634
                                                                      05808795311
                                                                      0561844882
                                                                      05431199537
                                                                      05244872796
                                                                      0505655113
                                                                      04861704842
                                                                      04651713652
                                                                      Variable b l s g a p h
                                                                      Value 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84
Page 72: Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor · Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor DEGIT St. Petersburg, Russia. 8 September 2011. Richard

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriersdeveloping countries can reduce child labor Without areduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricterbarriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lotof a country

  • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Background
  • Background
  • Slide Number 9
  • Slide Number 10
  • Slide Number 11
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • Slide Number 16
  • Slide Number 17
  • Slide Number 18
  • Slide Number 19
  • Slide Number 20
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • Slide Number 23
  • Preferences
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Aggregate Investment
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Slide Number 39
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Slide Number 43
  • Slide Number 44
  • Slide Number 45
  • Slide Number 46
  • Slide Number 47
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Aggregate Investment (g = 0)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Slide Number 62
  • Steady State
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Slide Number 67
  • Pedagogical Examples
  • Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)
  • Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)
  • Slide Number 71
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
    • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor

      DEGIT

      St Petersburg Russia

      8 September 2011

      Richard C Barnett

      Drexel University

      Secrecy vs Seclective Disclosure

      Outline of the Talk

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Conclusions

          Background

          Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

          The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

          Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Background

              Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

              The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

              Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)

                  Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

                  3 Important Features

                  Barriers

                  Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

                  Child Labor and Human Capital

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

                  Minimum Consumption Requirements

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

                  Related Studies

                  Overview

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  MCR g

                  The Model

                  Preferences

                  Ut ordm u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl Ut+1

                  where u(c ) = (c ndash g )1-s (1 - s) 0 pound b l pound 1

                  c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

                  c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  qt ordm bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3 wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) lb ucent(c1t+1 )

                  + wt + 2 hcent( 1- lt ) l b 2 ucent(c2t+2 )

                  Aggregate Investment

                  X = +

                  [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                  [rp + (b rp)1s]

                  wl (b rp)1s

                  [rp + (b rp)1s ]

                  Factors and Technologies

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Human Capital

                      Assumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

                      Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of

                      sequences for prices wt rt t sup3 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t sup3 1

                      and Xt Kt+1 lt t sup3 1 such that

                      Agents optimize

                      Factor payments

                      w = (1 - a) A Ka L-a

                      r = a A Ka -1 L1-a

                      All markets clear

                      Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 )

                      Capital xt + bt = p Kt +1

                      Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

                      Equilibrium

                      Approach

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          MCR = 0

                          MCR gt 0

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Steady State

                          • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                              • 1b l sup3 r p
                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                  • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                    • Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                      Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                      wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                      The Child Labor Decision

                                      Steady State

                                      • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                          • 1b l sup3 r p
                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                  -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                  Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                                  Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                                  wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                                  The Child Labor Decision

                                                  Steady State

                                                  • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                                      • 1b l sup3 r p
                                                      • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                            • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                              -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)

                                                                  Suppose drr sup3 dpp Then dK lt 0

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                  Reason In the steady-state 1bl = rp if bt gt 0

                                                                  Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      If the MCR g = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                      Reason

                                                                      When g = 0 investment dXX = dww

                                                                      But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKK

                                                                      From the clearing condition X = p K so

                                                                      dXX = dKK + dpp drr = dpp

                                                                      Aggregate Investment (g = 0)

                                                                      X = +

                                                                      [wh(1- l)][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Suppose the minimum consumption requirement g gt 0 and

                                                                      dp gt 0 Then drr gt dpp

                                                                      Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

                                                                      One consequence Effective return rp rises child labor increases

                                                                      dK + dpp = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

                                                                      Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in p is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

                                                                      Steady State

                                                                      + = K

                                                                      [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp) 1s]

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rp is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛

                                                                      primeprime

                                                                      +rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l Kprime )

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛ +

                                                                      rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      l

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l K )

                                                                      l l prime

                                                                      Pedagogical Examples

                                                                      Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

                                                                      Chart1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates
                                                                      1
                                                                      1036832741
                                                                      1073090064
                                                                      1108955549
                                                                      1144590727
                                                                      1180143169
                                                                      1215752801
                                                                      1251557262
                                                                      1287696923
                                                                      1324320074
                                                                      1361588833
                                                                      1399686467
                                                                      1438827114
                                                                      1479269523
                                                                      152133756
                                                                      1565452592
                                                                      1612187974
                                                                      1662367955
                                                                      1717266013
                                                                      1779062077
                                                                      1852152497

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates

                                                                      Sheet2

                                                                      Sheet3

                                                                      Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

                                                                      g gt 0

                                                                      g = 0

                                                                      Why the difference

                                                                      The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels

                                                                      Wages

                                                                      Return rπ

                                                                      Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of middle-age decisionmakers

                                                                      Conclusions

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriers developing countries can reduce child labor Without a reduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricter barriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lot of a country

                                                                          (

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                                                                          14

                                                                          15

                                                                          16

                                                                          17

                                                                          18

                                                                          19

                                                                          0405060708091

                                                                          Relative Output

                                                                          Relative Participation Rates

                                                                          Fig 42b Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          = 0

                                                                          4

                                                                          41

                                                                          42

                                                                          43

                                                                          44

                                                                          45

                                                                          46

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          002

                                                                          004

                                                                          006

                                                                          008

                                                                          01

                                                                          012

                                                                          014

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                          Fig 42a Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          gt 0

                                                                          28

                                                                          29

                                                                          3

                                                                          31

                                                                          32

                                                                          33

                                                                          34

                                                                          35

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          005

                                                                          01

                                                                          015

                                                                          02

                                                                          025

                                                                          03

                                                                          035

                                                                          04

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                      y l ratio y ratio l
                                                                      1 5103837338 0196324827 1 1
                                                                      11 4846566344 02035560085 09495926345 1036832741
                                                                      12 4618839709 02106742213 09049739251 1073090064
                                                                      13 4414915419 02177155064 08650188333 1108955549
                                                                      14 423047326 02247115765 08288808949 1144590727
                                                                      15 4062184154 02316914036 07959078404 1180143169
                                                                      16 390742778 02386824584 07655862679 1215752801
                                                                      17 3764101166 0245711763 07375041398 1251557262
                                                                      18 3630484915 02528068757 07113245731 1287696923
                                                                      19 3505146855 02599969094 06867669603 1324320074
                                                                      2 3386870309 02673136922 06635929175 1361588833
                                                                      21 3274598498 02747932035 06415953882 1399686467
                                                                      22 3167388932 02824774842 06205897097 1438827114
                                                                      23 3064372843 02904173333 06004056634 1479269523
                                                                      24 296471464 02986763333 05808795311 152133756
                                                                      25 2867564887 03073372094 0561844882 1565452592
                                                                      26 2771995899 03165125252 05431199537 1612187974
                                                                      27 2676897761 03263641013 05244872796 1662367955
                                                                      28 2580781446 03371419529 0505655113 1717266013
                                                                      29 248133507 03492740545 04861704842 1779062077
                                                                      3 2374158982 03636235186 04651713652 1852152497
                                                                      31 2247263191 03826037427 04403085448 1948830153
                                                                      32
                                                                      33
                                                                      34
                                                                      35
                                                                      1
                                                                      09495926345
                                                                      09049739251
                                                                      08650188333
                                                                      08288808949
                                                                      07959078404
                                                                      07655862679
                                                                      07375041398
                                                                      07113245731
                                                                      06867669603
                                                                      06635929175
                                                                      06415953882
                                                                      06205897097
                                                                      06004056634
                                                                      05808795311
                                                                      0561844882
                                                                      05431199537
                                                                      05244872796
                                                                      0505655113
                                                                      04861704842
                                                                      04651713652
                                                                      Variable b l s g a p h
                                                                      Value 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84
Page 73: Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor · Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor DEGIT St. Petersburg, Russia. 8 September 2011. Richard

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriersdeveloping countries can reduce child labor Without areduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricterbarriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lotof a country

  • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Background
  • Background
  • Slide Number 9
  • Slide Number 10
  • Slide Number 11
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • Slide Number 16
  • Slide Number 17
  • Slide Number 18
  • Slide Number 19
  • Slide Number 20
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • Slide Number 23
  • Preferences
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Aggregate Investment
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Slide Number 39
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Slide Number 43
  • Slide Number 44
  • Slide Number 45
  • Slide Number 46
  • Slide Number 47
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Aggregate Investment (g = 0)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Slide Number 62
  • Steady State
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Slide Number 67
  • Pedagogical Examples
  • Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)
  • Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)
  • Slide Number 71
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
    • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor

      DEGIT

      St Petersburg Russia

      8 September 2011

      Richard C Barnett

      Drexel University

      Secrecy vs Seclective Disclosure

      Outline of the Talk

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Conclusions

          Background

          Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

          The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

          Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Background

              Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

              The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

              Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)

                  Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

                  3 Important Features

                  Barriers

                  Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

                  Child Labor and Human Capital

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

                  Minimum Consumption Requirements

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

                  Related Studies

                  Overview

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  MCR g

                  The Model

                  Preferences

                  Ut ordm u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl Ut+1

                  where u(c ) = (c ndash g )1-s (1 - s) 0 pound b l pound 1

                  c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

                  c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  qt ordm bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3 wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) lb ucent(c1t+1 )

                  + wt + 2 hcent( 1- lt ) l b 2 ucent(c2t+2 )

                  Aggregate Investment

                  X = +

                  [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                  [rp + (b rp)1s]

                  wl (b rp)1s

                  [rp + (b rp)1s ]

                  Factors and Technologies

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Human Capital

                      Assumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

                      Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of

                      sequences for prices wt rt t sup3 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t sup3 1

                      and Xt Kt+1 lt t sup3 1 such that

                      Agents optimize

                      Factor payments

                      w = (1 - a) A Ka L-a

                      r = a A Ka -1 L1-a

                      All markets clear

                      Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 )

                      Capital xt + bt = p Kt +1

                      Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

                      Equilibrium

                      Approach

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          MCR = 0

                          MCR gt 0

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Steady State

                          • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                              • 1b l sup3 r p
                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                  • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                    • Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                      Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                      wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                      The Child Labor Decision

                                      Steady State

                                      • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                          • 1b l sup3 r p
                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                  -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                  Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                                  Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                                  wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                                  The Child Labor Decision

                                                  Steady State

                                                  • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                                      • 1b l sup3 r p
                                                      • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                            • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                              -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)

                                                                  Suppose drr sup3 dpp Then dK lt 0

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                  Reason In the steady-state 1bl = rp if bt gt 0

                                                                  Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      If the MCR g = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                      Reason

                                                                      When g = 0 investment dXX = dww

                                                                      But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKK

                                                                      From the clearing condition X = p K so

                                                                      dXX = dKK + dpp drr = dpp

                                                                      Aggregate Investment (g = 0)

                                                                      X = +

                                                                      [wh(1- l)][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Suppose the minimum consumption requirement g gt 0 and

                                                                      dp gt 0 Then drr gt dpp

                                                                      Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

                                                                      One consequence Effective return rp rises child labor increases

                                                                      dK + dpp = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

                                                                      Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in p is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

                                                                      Steady State

                                                                      + = K

                                                                      [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp) 1s]

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rp is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛

                                                                      primeprime

                                                                      +rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l Kprime )

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛ +

                                                                      rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      l

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l K )

                                                                      l l prime

                                                                      Pedagogical Examples

                                                                      Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

                                                                      Chart1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates
                                                                      1
                                                                      1036832741
                                                                      1073090064
                                                                      1108955549
                                                                      1144590727
                                                                      1180143169
                                                                      1215752801
                                                                      1251557262
                                                                      1287696923
                                                                      1324320074
                                                                      1361588833
                                                                      1399686467
                                                                      1438827114
                                                                      1479269523
                                                                      152133756
                                                                      1565452592
                                                                      1612187974
                                                                      1662367955
                                                                      1717266013
                                                                      1779062077
                                                                      1852152497

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates

                                                                      Sheet2

                                                                      Sheet3

                                                                      Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

                                                                      g gt 0

                                                                      g = 0

                                                                      Why the difference

                                                                      The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels

                                                                      Wages

                                                                      Return rπ

                                                                      Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of middle-age decisionmakers

                                                                      Conclusions

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriers developing countries can reduce child labor Without a reduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricter barriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lot of a country

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                                                                          divide

                                                                          oslash

                                                                          ouml

                                                                          ccedil

                                                                          egrave

                                                                          aelig

                                                                          G

                                                                          -

                                                                          -

                                                                          +

                                                                          -

                                                                          +

                                                                          -

                                                                          -

                                                                          p

                                                                          p

                                                                          p

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          g

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          l

                                                                          l

                                                                          h

                                                                          A

                                                                          r

                                                                          1

                                                                          )

                                                                          1

                                                                          2

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          11

                                                                          12

                                                                          13

                                                                          14

                                                                          15

                                                                          16

                                                                          17

                                                                          18

                                                                          19

                                                                          0405060708091

                                                                          Relative Output

                                                                          Relative Participation Rates

                                                                          Fig 42b Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          = 0

                                                                          4

                                                                          41

                                                                          42

                                                                          43

                                                                          44

                                                                          45

                                                                          46

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          002

                                                                          004

                                                                          006

                                                                          008

                                                                          01

                                                                          012

                                                                          014

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                          Fig 42a Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          gt 0

                                                                          28

                                                                          29

                                                                          3

                                                                          31

                                                                          32

                                                                          33

                                                                          34

                                                                          35

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          005

                                                                          01

                                                                          015

                                                                          02

                                                                          025

                                                                          03

                                                                          035

                                                                          04

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                      y l ratio y ratio l
                                                                      1 5103837338 0196324827 1 1
                                                                      11 4846566344 02035560085 09495926345 1036832741
                                                                      12 4618839709 02106742213 09049739251 1073090064
                                                                      13 4414915419 02177155064 08650188333 1108955549
                                                                      14 423047326 02247115765 08288808949 1144590727
                                                                      15 4062184154 02316914036 07959078404 1180143169
                                                                      16 390742778 02386824584 07655862679 1215752801
                                                                      17 3764101166 0245711763 07375041398 1251557262
                                                                      18 3630484915 02528068757 07113245731 1287696923
                                                                      19 3505146855 02599969094 06867669603 1324320074
                                                                      2 3386870309 02673136922 06635929175 1361588833
                                                                      21 3274598498 02747932035 06415953882 1399686467
                                                                      22 3167388932 02824774842 06205897097 1438827114
                                                                      23 3064372843 02904173333 06004056634 1479269523
                                                                      24 296471464 02986763333 05808795311 152133756
                                                                      25 2867564887 03073372094 0561844882 1565452592
                                                                      26 2771995899 03165125252 05431199537 1612187974
                                                                      27 2676897761 03263641013 05244872796 1662367955
                                                                      28 2580781446 03371419529 0505655113 1717266013
                                                                      29 248133507 03492740545 04861704842 1779062077
                                                                      3 2374158982 03636235186 04651713652 1852152497
                                                                      31 2247263191 03826037427 04403085448 1948830153
                                                                      32
                                                                      33
                                                                      34
                                                                      35
                                                                      1
                                                                      09495926345
                                                                      09049739251
                                                                      08650188333
                                                                      08288808949
                                                                      07959078404
                                                                      07655862679
                                                                      07375041398
                                                                      07113245731
                                                                      06867669603
                                                                      06635929175
                                                                      06415953882
                                                                      06205897097
                                                                      06004056634
                                                                      05808795311
                                                                      0561844882
                                                                      05431199537
                                                                      05244872796
                                                                      0505655113
                                                                      04861704842
                                                                      04651713652
                                                                      Variable b l s g a p h
                                                                      Value 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84
Page 74: Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor · Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor DEGIT St. Petersburg, Russia. 8 September 2011. Richard

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriersdeveloping countries can reduce child labor Without areduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricterbarriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lotof a country

  • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Background
  • Background
  • Slide Number 9
  • Slide Number 10
  • Slide Number 11
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • Slide Number 16
  • Slide Number 17
  • Slide Number 18
  • Slide Number 19
  • Slide Number 20
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • Slide Number 23
  • Preferences
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Aggregate Investment
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Slide Number 39
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Slide Number 43
  • Slide Number 44
  • Slide Number 45
  • Slide Number 46
  • Slide Number 47
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Aggregate Investment (g = 0)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Slide Number 62
  • Steady State
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Slide Number 67
  • Pedagogical Examples
  • Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)
  • Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)
  • Slide Number 71
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
    • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor

      DEGIT

      St Petersburg Russia

      8 September 2011

      Richard C Barnett

      Drexel University

      Secrecy vs Seclective Disclosure

      Outline of the Talk

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Conclusions

          Background

          Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

          The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

          Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Background

              Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

              The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

              Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)

                  Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

                  3 Important Features

                  Barriers

                  Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

                  Child Labor and Human Capital

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

                  Minimum Consumption Requirements

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

                  Related Studies

                  Overview

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  MCR g

                  The Model

                  Preferences

                  Ut ordm u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl Ut+1

                  where u(c ) = (c ndash g )1-s (1 - s) 0 pound b l pound 1

                  c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

                  c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  qt ordm bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3 wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) lb ucent(c1t+1 )

                  + wt + 2 hcent( 1- lt ) l b 2 ucent(c2t+2 )

                  Aggregate Investment

                  X = +

                  [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                  [rp + (b rp)1s]

                  wl (b rp)1s

                  [rp + (b rp)1s ]

                  Factors and Technologies

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Human Capital

                      Assumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

                      Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of

                      sequences for prices wt rt t sup3 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t sup3 1

                      and Xt Kt+1 lt t sup3 1 such that

                      Agents optimize

                      Factor payments

                      w = (1 - a) A Ka L-a

                      r = a A Ka -1 L1-a

                      All markets clear

                      Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 )

                      Capital xt + bt = p Kt +1

                      Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

                      Equilibrium

                      Approach

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          MCR = 0

                          MCR gt 0

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Steady State

                          • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                              • 1b l sup3 r p
                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                  • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                    • Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                      Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                      wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                      The Child Labor Decision

                                      Steady State

                                      • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                          • 1b l sup3 r p
                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                  -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                  Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                                  Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                                  wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                                  The Child Labor Decision

                                                  Steady State

                                                  • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                                      • 1b l sup3 r p
                                                      • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                            • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                              -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)

                                                                  Suppose drr sup3 dpp Then dK lt 0

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                  Reason In the steady-state 1bl = rp if bt gt 0

                                                                  Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      If the MCR g = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                      Reason

                                                                      When g = 0 investment dXX = dww

                                                                      But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKK

                                                                      From the clearing condition X = p K so

                                                                      dXX = dKK + dpp drr = dpp

                                                                      Aggregate Investment (g = 0)

                                                                      X = +

                                                                      [wh(1- l)][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Suppose the minimum consumption requirement g gt 0 and

                                                                      dp gt 0 Then drr gt dpp

                                                                      Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

                                                                      One consequence Effective return rp rises child labor increases

                                                                      dK + dpp = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

                                                                      Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in p is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

                                                                      Steady State

                                                                      + = K

                                                                      [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp) 1s]

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rp is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛

                                                                      primeprime

                                                                      +rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l Kprime )

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛ +

                                                                      rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      l

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l K )

                                                                      l l prime

                                                                      Pedagogical Examples

                                                                      Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

                                                                      Chart1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates
                                                                      1
                                                                      1036832741
                                                                      1073090064
                                                                      1108955549
                                                                      1144590727
                                                                      1180143169
                                                                      1215752801
                                                                      1251557262
                                                                      1287696923
                                                                      1324320074
                                                                      1361588833
                                                                      1399686467
                                                                      1438827114
                                                                      1479269523
                                                                      152133756
                                                                      1565452592
                                                                      1612187974
                                                                      1662367955
                                                                      1717266013
                                                                      1779062077
                                                                      1852152497

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates

                                                                      Sheet2

                                                                      Sheet3

                                                                      Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

                                                                      g gt 0

                                                                      g = 0

                                                                      Why the difference

                                                                      The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels

                                                                      Wages

                                                                      Return rπ

                                                                      Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of middle-age decisionmakers

                                                                      Conclusions

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriers developing countries can reduce child labor Without a reduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricter barriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lot of a country

                                                                          (

                                                                          )

                                                                          (

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                                                                          +

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                                                                          -

                                                                          uacute

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                                                                          ugrave

                                                                          ecirc

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                                                                          -

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                                                                          1

                                                                          2

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          )

                                                                          1

                                                                          2

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          (

                                                                          )

                                                                          (

                                                                          )

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          -

                                                                          +

                                                                          ordm

                                                                          G

                                                                          s

                                                                          b

                                                                          b

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                                                                          (

                                                                          )

                                                                          (

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                                                                          (

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                                                                          uacute

                                                                          ucirc

                                                                          ugrave

                                                                          ecirc

                                                                          euml

                                                                          eacute

                                                                          divide

                                                                          oslash

                                                                          ouml

                                                                          ccedil

                                                                          egrave

                                                                          aelig

                                                                          G

                                                                          -

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                                                                          p

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                                                                          a

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                                                                          g

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          a

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          r

                                                                          l

                                                                          l

                                                                          h

                                                                          A

                                                                          r

                                                                          1

                                                                          )

                                                                          1

                                                                          2

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          1

                                                                          11

                                                                          12

                                                                          13

                                                                          14

                                                                          15

                                                                          16

                                                                          17

                                                                          18

                                                                          19

                                                                          0405060708091

                                                                          Relative Output

                                                                          Relative Participation Rates

                                                                          Fig 42b Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          = 0

                                                                          4

                                                                          41

                                                                          42

                                                                          43

                                                                          44

                                                                          45

                                                                          46

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          002

                                                                          004

                                                                          006

                                                                          008

                                                                          01

                                                                          012

                                                                          014

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                          Fig 42a Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          gt 0

                                                                          28

                                                                          29

                                                                          3

                                                                          31

                                                                          32

                                                                          33

                                                                          34

                                                                          35

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          005

                                                                          01

                                                                          015

                                                                          02

                                                                          025

                                                                          03

                                                                          035

                                                                          04

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                      y l ratio y ratio l
                                                                      1 5103837338 0196324827 1 1
                                                                      11 4846566344 02035560085 09495926345 1036832741
                                                                      12 4618839709 02106742213 09049739251 1073090064
                                                                      13 4414915419 02177155064 08650188333 1108955549
                                                                      14 423047326 02247115765 08288808949 1144590727
                                                                      15 4062184154 02316914036 07959078404 1180143169
                                                                      16 390742778 02386824584 07655862679 1215752801
                                                                      17 3764101166 0245711763 07375041398 1251557262
                                                                      18 3630484915 02528068757 07113245731 1287696923
                                                                      19 3505146855 02599969094 06867669603 1324320074
                                                                      2 3386870309 02673136922 06635929175 1361588833
                                                                      21 3274598498 02747932035 06415953882 1399686467
                                                                      22 3167388932 02824774842 06205897097 1438827114
                                                                      23 3064372843 02904173333 06004056634 1479269523
                                                                      24 296471464 02986763333 05808795311 152133756
                                                                      25 2867564887 03073372094 0561844882 1565452592
                                                                      26 2771995899 03165125252 05431199537 1612187974
                                                                      27 2676897761 03263641013 05244872796 1662367955
                                                                      28 2580781446 03371419529 0505655113 1717266013
                                                                      29 248133507 03492740545 04861704842 1779062077
                                                                      3 2374158982 03636235186 04651713652 1852152497
                                                                      31 2247263191 03826037427 04403085448 1948830153
                                                                      32
                                                                      33
                                                                      34
                                                                      35
                                                                      1
                                                                      09495926345
                                                                      09049739251
                                                                      08650188333
                                                                      08288808949
                                                                      07959078404
                                                                      07655862679
                                                                      07375041398
                                                                      07113245731
                                                                      06867669603
                                                                      06635929175
                                                                      06415953882
                                                                      06205897097
                                                                      06004056634
                                                                      05808795311
                                                                      0561844882
                                                                      05431199537
                                                                      05244872796
                                                                      0505655113
                                                                      04861704842
                                                                      04651713652
                                                                      Variable b l s g a p h
                                                                      Value 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84
Page 75: Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor · Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor DEGIT St. Petersburg, Russia. 8 September 2011. Richard

Conclusions

Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor andphysical and human capital

Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explainingobserved differences in output and child labor participationrates across countries

We make the argument that under certain conditions highercapital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriersdeveloping countries can reduce child labor Without areduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricterbarriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lotof a country

  • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Outline of the Talk
  • Background
  • Background
  • Slide Number 9
  • Slide Number 10
  • Slide Number 11
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • 3 Important Features
  • Slide Number 16
  • Slide Number 17
  • Slide Number 18
  • Slide Number 19
  • Slide Number 20
  • Slide Number 21
  • Slide Number 22
  • Slide Number 23
  • Preferences
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • The Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem
  • Aggregate Investment
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Factors and Technologies
  • Slide Number 39
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Approach
  • Slide Number 43
  • Slide Number 44
  • Slide Number 45
  • Slide Number 46
  • Slide Number 47
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Steady State
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Policy-induced changes in factors
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)
  • Aggregate Investment (g = 0)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)
  • Slide Number 62
  • Steady State
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Simple Extension
  • Slide Number 67
  • Pedagogical Examples
  • Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)
  • Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)
  • Slide Number 71
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
  • Conclusions
    • Barriers to Capital Subsistence Consumption and Child Labor

      DEGIT

      St Petersburg Russia

      8 September 2011

      Richard C Barnett

      Drexel University

      Secrecy vs Seclective Disclosure

      Outline of the Talk

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Outline of the Talk

          Background and Motivation

          Evidence from World Bank

          Objectives

          Related literature

          The Model

          Model overview

          Agentsrsquo problem equilibrium

          Main Results

          Can capital barriers impact on the child laborschooling decision

          Can barriers be one explanation behind the observed negative relationship between output and child labor

          Conclusions

          Background

          Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

          The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

          Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Background

              Some 206 million children work part-or full-time in developing countries (ILO estimates 2002)

              The World Bank documents an inverse relationship between per-capita incomes and child labor participation rates

              Barriers to capital seem to play an important role in explaining some stylized differences in economic development

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

              Introduce child labor and schooling into a modified Diamond growth model

              Two main questions

              Do capital barriers have

              i) Positive impact on child labor and

              ii) A negative impact on output

              What are some implications for policy

              Paperrsquos Objectives

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  3 Important Features

                  Binding non-negativity constraint on bequests

                  Parents face binding credit restrictions which prevent them from amassing debt to pay for or compensate the family for the loss of a childs earnings and then passing this debt obligation onto the child later in life

                  0 lt l lt 1 lsquoimpure altruismrsquo

                  1b lt rp lt 1bl

                  Barriers to capital formation

                  Bribes bureaucratic red tape or other capital market distortions common to many developing economies

                  Reduces capital input

                  Maymay not affect labor allocation

                  Minimum consumption requirement (MCR)

                  Elasticity of intertemporal substitution depends on wealth

                  3 Important Features

                  Barriers

                  Parente et al (JPE 2000) Ngai (JME 2004)

                  Child Labor and Human Capital

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Baland and Robinson (JPE 2000) Ranganzas (JME 2000) Aiyagari et al (JET 2002) Das and Deb (BE Press 2006) Doepke and Krueger (2008) Soares (2008) Bell and Gersbach (MD 2009)

                  Minimum Consumption Requirements

                  Basu and Van (AER 1998) Chatterjee and Ravikumar (MD 1999)

                  Related Studies

                  Overview

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  The Model

                  Overview

                  OG model with 2 period lived decision-makers Parents make time allocation for children

                  Single consumption good with Cobb-Douglas production using capital and labor inputs

                  Agents work each period of life Childrsquos time is divided between work lt and schooling 1- lt

                  Schooling increases the productivity of an agentrsquos labor input when middle-aged and old

                  Barrier-to-capital agrave la Parente et al (2000) The effective gross return on capital is MPKp

                  MCR g

                  The Model

                  Preferences

                  Ut ordm u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl Ut+1

                  where u(c ) = (c ndash g )1-s (1 - s) 0 pound b l pound 1

                  c1t parentrsquos consumption (when middle age)

                  c2t+1 parentrsquos consumption (when old)

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  The Agentrsquos Problem

                  U(qt Wt ) ordm max u(c1t ) + b u(c2t+1 ) + bl U(qt +1 Wt +1 )

                  Subject to

                  c1t + xt + bt pound wt lt + wt h(1 ndash lt -1 ) + rt-1 bt - 1 p

                  c2t+1 pound wt +1 h(1 ndash lt -1) + rt xt p

                  c1t c2t+1 sup3 g xt bt sup3 0

                  qt ordm bt - 1 lt - 1 is given

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Marginal Conditions Agentrsquos Problem

                  Savingsucent( c1t ) = (rt p ) b ucent( c2t+1 )

                  Bequestucent(c1t ) sup3 (rt p ) l b ucent(c1t +1 )

                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3 wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) lb ucent(c1t+1 )

                  + wt + 2 hcent( 1- lt ) l b 2 ucent(c2t+2 )

                  Aggregate Investment

                  X = +

                  [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                  [rp + (b rp)1s]

                  wl (b rp)1s

                  [rp + (b rp)1s ]

                  Factors and Technologies

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Factors and Technologies

                      Output Yt = AKta Lt1-a

                      Factors

                      Labor of parent and child L1t = lt + h(1 ndash lt - 1 )

                      Labor of the old L2t = h(1 ndash lt -2 )

                      Capital Kt+1 = xt p + bt p

                      Human Capital

                      Assumption 1 h has lsquonice propertiesrsquo and h(0)= 1

                      Given K0 b0 h(1- l0 ) h(1- l-1 ) an equilibrium consists of

                      sequences for prices wt rt t sup3 1 and allocations c1t c2t+1t sup3 1

                      and Xt Kt+1 lt t sup3 1 such that

                      Agents optimize

                      Factor payments

                      w = (1 - a) A Ka L-a

                      r = a A Ka -1 L1-a

                      All markets clear

                      Labor Lt = lt + h(1 - lt -1 ) + h(1 - lt -2 )

                      Capital xt + bt = p Kt +1

                      Goods c1t + c2t + Xt = Yt

                      Equilibrium

                      Approach

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Approach

                          Steady-State with Nonbinding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          Steady-State with Binding Non-negativity Constraint on Bequests

                          MCR = 0

                          MCR gt 0

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                          Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                          Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                          wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                          + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                          The Child Labor Decision

                          Steady State

                          • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                              • 1b l sup3 r p
                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                  • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                    • Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                      Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                      wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                      + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                      The Child Labor Decision

                                      Steady State

                                      • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                          • 1b l sup3 r p
                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                              • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                  -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                  Savings ucent( c1t ) = b (rt p ) ucent( c2t+1 )

                                                  Bequest ucent(c1t ) sup3 b l (rt p ) ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  Schooling wt ucent( c1t ) sup3

                                                  wt+1 hcent( 1 - lt ) b l ucent(c1t+1 )

                                                  + wt+2 hcent( 1- lt ) b2 l ucent(c2t+2 )

                                                  The Child Labor Decision

                                                  Steady State

                                                  • ucent( c1 ) b ucent( c2 ) = rp
                                                      • 1b l sup3 r p
                                                      • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + bl]
                                                          • 1 = hcent( 1 - l ) bl[1 + pr]
                                                            • ucent( c1t )b ucent( c2t+1 ) = rt p ucent( c1t )b l ucent( c1t+1 ) sup3 rt p

                                                              -- intertemporal link -- -- intergenerational link --

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Steady State

                                                              + = K

                                                              [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              wl (b rp)1s

                                                              [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                              hcent( 1 - l ) =

                                                              1

                                                              bl (1 + p r)

                                                              Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Policy-induced changes in factors

                                                                  Result 1 (Child Labor and Aggregate Supply of Labor

                                                                  Suppose dl gt 0 Then dL lt 0 where L = l + 2h(1 ndash l ) is the steady-state supply of labor

                                                                  Result 2 (Policy induced changes in l)

                                                                  dl sup3 0 whenever drr sup3 dpp

                                                                  Result 3 (Policy induced changes in K)

                                                                  Suppose drr sup3 dpp Then dK lt 0

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  Proposition 2 (Nonbinding Constraint on Bequests)

                                                                  If bequests bt gt 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                  Reason In the steady-state 1bl = rp if bt gt 0

                                                                  Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      Proposition 4 (Binding Constraint on Bequests I)

                                                                      If the MCR g = 0 barriers to capital have no impact on child labor in the steady-state

                                                                      Reason

                                                                      When g = 0 investment dXX = dww

                                                                      But factor payments rarr dww = drr + dKK

                                                                      From the clearing condition X = p K so

                                                                      dXX = dKK + dpp drr = dpp

                                                                      Aggregate Investment (g = 0)

                                                                      X = +

                                                                      [wh(1- l)][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Proposition 5 (Binding Constraint on Bequests II)

                                                                      Suppose the minimum consumption requirement g gt 0 and

                                                                      dp gt 0 Then drr gt dpp

                                                                      Intuition Barrier does same sort of thing it does in the previous case ie reduces K (wealth and wages) But now hellip investment falls proportionally more than wages Why With lower wealth agent is less willing substitute intertemporally (invests less)

                                                                      One consequence Effective return rp rises child labor increases

                                                                      dK + dpp = dXX lt dww = drr + dKK ndash dLL

                                                                      Bottom Line The increase in child labor accompanying an increase in p is a consequence of the reduction in the agentrsquos willingness to substitute intertemporally

                                                                      Steady State

                                                                      + = K

                                                                      [wh(1- l) ndash g ][(b rp)1s ndash 1 ]

                                                                      [rp + (b rp)1s]

                                                                      wl (b rp)1s

                                                                      [rp + (b rp) 1s]

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      Simple Extension

                                                                      Consider a capital externality in the human capital production function h(1 ndash lt ndash 1 Kt )

                                                                      Why of interest

                                                                      Allows the human capital production function to evolve over the course of development in an convenient manner

                                                                      If you assume a lsquosmall countryrsquo assumption rp is fixed and changes in the barrier have no effect on child labor

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛

                                                                      primeprime

                                                                      +rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l Kprime )

                                                                      ⎟⎠⎞

                                                                      ⎜⎝⎛ +

                                                                      rπβλ 1

                                                                      1

                                                                      l

                                                                      hprime(1 ndash l K )

                                                                      l l prime

                                                                      Pedagogical Examples

                                                                      Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

                                                                      Chart1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates
                                                                      1
                                                                      1036832741
                                                                      1073090064
                                                                      1108955549
                                                                      1144590727
                                                                      1180143169
                                                                      1215752801
                                                                      1251557262
                                                                      1287696923
                                                                      1324320074
                                                                      1361588833
                                                                      1399686467
                                                                      1438827114
                                                                      1479269523
                                                                      152133756
                                                                      1565452592
                                                                      1612187974
                                                                      1662367955
                                                                      1717266013
                                                                      1779062077
                                                                      1852152497

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Sheet1

                                                                      Relative Output
                                                                      Relative Participation Rates

                                                                      Sheet2

                                                                      Sheet3

                                                                      Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

                                                                      g gt 0

                                                                      g = 0

                                                                      Why the difference

                                                                      The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels

                                                                      Wages

                                                                      Return rπ

                                                                      Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of middle-age decisionmakers

                                                                      Conclusions

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          Conclusions

                                                                          Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

                                                                          Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

                                                                          We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

                                                                          The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriers developing countries can reduce child labor Without a reduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricter barriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lot of a country

                                                                          (

                                                                          )

                                                                          (

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                                                                          (

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                                                                          p

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                                                                          p

                                                                          a

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                                                                          a

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                                                                          1

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                                                                          14

                                                                          15

                                                                          16

                                                                          17

                                                                          18

                                                                          19

                                                                          0405060708091

                                                                          Relative Output

                                                                          Relative Participation Rates

                                                                          Fig 42b Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          = 0

                                                                          4

                                                                          41

                                                                          42

                                                                          43

                                                                          44

                                                                          45

                                                                          46

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          002

                                                                          004

                                                                          006

                                                                          008

                                                                          01

                                                                          012

                                                                          014

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                          Fig 42a Case where

                                                                          g

                                                                          gt 0

                                                                          28

                                                                          29

                                                                          3

                                                                          31

                                                                          32

                                                                          33

                                                                          34

                                                                          35

                                                                          0102030405060708090100

                                                                          Time

                                                                          Output

                                                                          0

                                                                          005

                                                                          01

                                                                          015

                                                                          02

                                                                          025

                                                                          03

                                                                          035

                                                                          04

                                                                          Child Labor Capital

                                                                          Output

                                                                          Child Labor

                                                                          Capital

                                                                      y l ratio y ratio l
                                                                      1 5103837338 0196324827 1 1
                                                                      11 4846566344 02035560085 09495926345 1036832741
                                                                      12 4618839709 02106742213 09049739251 1073090064
                                                                      13 4414915419 02177155064 08650188333 1108955549
                                                                      14 423047326 02247115765 08288808949 1144590727
                                                                      15 4062184154 02316914036 07959078404 1180143169
                                                                      16 390742778 02386824584 07655862679 1215752801
                                                                      17 3764101166 0245711763 07375041398 1251557262
                                                                      18 3630484915 02528068757 07113245731 1287696923
                                                                      19 3505146855 02599969094 06867669603 1324320074
                                                                      2 3386870309 02673136922 06635929175 1361588833
                                                                      21 3274598498 02747932035 06415953882 1399686467
                                                                      22 3167388932 02824774842 06205897097 1438827114
                                                                      23 3064372843 02904173333 06004056634 1479269523
                                                                      24 296471464 02986763333 05808795311 152133756
                                                                      25 2867564887 03073372094 0561844882 1565452592
                                                                      26 2771995899 03165125252 05431199537 1612187974
                                                                      27 2676897761 03263641013 05244872796 1662367955
                                                                      28 2580781446 03371419529 0505655113 1717266013
                                                                      29 248133507 03492740545 04861704842 1779062077
                                                                      3 2374158982 03636235186 04651713652 1852152497
                                                                      31 2247263191 03826037427 04403085448 1948830153
                                                                      32
                                                                      33
                                                                      34
                                                                      35
                                                                      1
                                                                      09495926345
                                                                      09049739251
                                                                      08650188333
                                                                      08288808949
                                                                      07959078404
                                                                      07655862679
                                                                      07375041398
                                                                      07113245731
                                                                      06867669603
                                                                      06635929175
                                                                      06415953882
                                                                      06205897097
                                                                      06004056634
                                                                      05808795311
                                                                      0561844882
                                                                      05431199537
                                                                      05244872796
                                                                      0505655113
                                                                      04861704842
                                                                      04651713652
                                                                      Variable b l s g a p h
                                                                      Value 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84
Page 76: Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor · Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor DEGIT St. Petersburg, Russia. 8 September 2011. Richard

⎟⎠⎞

⎜⎝⎛

primeprime

+rπβλ 1

1

hprime(1 ndash l Kprime )

⎟⎠⎞

⎜⎝⎛ +

rπβλ 1

1

l

hprime(1 ndash l K )

l l prime

Pedagogical Examples

Example 1 (Observations Across Steady-States)

Chart1

Relative Output
Relative Participation Rates
1
1036832741
1073090064
1108955549
1144590727
1180143169
1215752801
1251557262
1287696923
1324320074
1361588833
1399686467
1438827114
1479269523
152133756
1565452592
1612187974
1662367955
1717266013
1779062077
1852152497

Sheet1

Sheet1

Relative Output
Relative Participation Rates

Sheet2

Sheet3

Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

g gt 0

g = 0

Why the difference

The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels

Wages

Return rπ

Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of middle-age decisionmakers

Conclusions

      Conclusions

      Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

      Conclusions

      Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

      Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

      Conclusions

      Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

      Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

      We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

      Conclusions

      Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

      Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

      We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

      The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriers developing countries can reduce child labor Without a reduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricter barriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lot of a country

      (

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      )

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      1

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      (

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      )

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      1

      1

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      G

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      b

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      (

      )

      (

      )

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      eacute

      divide

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      egrave

      aelig

      G

      -

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      +

      -

      -

      p

      p

      p

      a

      a

      a

      g

      a

      a

      a

      r

      r

      r

      l

      l

      h

      A

      r

      1

      )

      1

      2

      1

      1

      1

      1

      1

      11

      12

      13

      14

      15

      16

      17

      18

      19

      0405060708091

      Relative Output

      Relative Participation Rates

      Fig 42b Case where

      g

      = 0

      4

      41

      42

      43

      44

      45

      46

      0102030405060708090100

      Time

      Output

      0

      002

      004

      006

      008

      01

      012

      014

      Child Labor Capital

      Output

      Child Labor

      Capital

      Fig 42a Case where

      g

      gt 0

      28

      29

      3

      31

      32

      33

      34

      35

      0102030405060708090100

      Time

      Output

      0

      005

      01

      015

      02

      025

      03

      035

      04

      Child Labor Capital

      Output

      Child Labor

      Capital

y l ratio y ratio l
1 5103837338 0196324827 1 1
11 4846566344 02035560085 09495926345 1036832741
12 4618839709 02106742213 09049739251 1073090064
13 4414915419 02177155064 08650188333 1108955549
14 423047326 02247115765 08288808949 1144590727
15 4062184154 02316914036 07959078404 1180143169
16 390742778 02386824584 07655862679 1215752801
17 3764101166 0245711763 07375041398 1251557262
18 3630484915 02528068757 07113245731 1287696923
19 3505146855 02599969094 06867669603 1324320074
2 3386870309 02673136922 06635929175 1361588833
21 3274598498 02747932035 06415953882 1399686467
22 3167388932 02824774842 06205897097 1438827114
23 3064372843 02904173333 06004056634 1479269523
24 296471464 02986763333 05808795311 152133756
25 2867564887 03073372094 0561844882 1565452592
26 2771995899 03165125252 05431199537 1612187974
27 2676897761 03263641013 05244872796 1662367955
28 2580781446 03371419529 0505655113 1717266013
29 248133507 03492740545 04861704842 1779062077
3 2374158982 03636235186 04651713652 1852152497
31 2247263191 03826037427 04403085448 1948830153
32
33
34
35
1
09495926345
09049739251
08650188333
08288808949
07959078404
07655862679
07375041398
07113245731
06867669603
06635929175
06415953882
06205897097
06004056634
05808795311
0561844882
05431199537
05244872796
0505655113
04861704842
04651713652
Variable b l s g a p h
Value 397 25 964 475 30 1 to 3 h(x) = 1 + 10x84
Page 77: Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor · Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor DEGIT St. Petersburg, Russia. 8 September 2011. Richard

Chart1

Relative Output
Relative Participation Rates
1
1036832741
1073090064
1108955549
1144590727
1180143169
1215752801
1251557262
1287696923
1324320074
1361588833
1399686467
1438827114
1479269523
152133756
1565452592
1612187974
1662367955
1717266013
1779062077
1852152497

Sheet1

Sheet1

Relative Output
Relative Participation Rates

Sheet2

Sheet3

Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

g gt 0

g = 0

Why the difference

The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels

Wages

Return rπ

Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of middle-age decisionmakers

Conclusions

      Conclusions

      Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

      Conclusions

      Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

      Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

      Conclusions

      Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

      Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

      We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

      Conclusions

      Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

      Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

      We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

      The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriers developing countries can reduce child labor Without a reduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricter barriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lot of a country

      (

      )

      (

      )

      (

      )

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      )

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      divide

      oslash

      ouml

      ccedil

      egrave

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      G

      +

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      1

      -

      +

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      G

      s

      b

      b

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      (

      )

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      )

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      eacute

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      egrave

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      +

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      1

      11

      12

      13

      14

      15

      16

      17

      18

      19

      0405060708091

      Relative Output

      Relative Participation Rates

      Fig 42b Case where

      g

      = 0

      4

      41

      42

      43

      44

      45

      46

      0102030405060708090100

      Time

      Output

      0

      002

      004

      006

      008

      01

      012

      014

      Child Labor Capital

      Output

      Child Labor

      Capital

      Fig 42a Case where

      g

      gt 0

      28

      29

      3

      31

      32

      33

      34

      35

      0102030405060708090100

      Time

      Output

      0

      005

      01

      015

      02

      025

      03

      035

      04

      Child Labor Capital

      Output

      Child Labor

      Capital

y l ratio y ratio l
1 5103837338 0196324827 1 1
11 4846566344 02035560085 09495926345 1036832741
12 4618839709 02106742213 09049739251 1073090064
13 4414915419 02177155064 08650188333 1108955549
14 423047326 02247115765 08288808949 1144590727
15 4062184154 02316914036 07959078404 1180143169
16 390742778 02386824584 07655862679 1215752801
17 3764101166 0245711763 07375041398 1251557262
18 3630484915 02528068757 07113245731 1287696923
19 3505146855 02599969094 06867669603 1324320074
2 3386870309 02673136922 06635929175 1361588833
21 3274598498 02747932035 06415953882 1399686467
22 3167388932 02824774842 06205897097 1438827114
23 3064372843 02904173333 06004056634 1479269523
24 296471464 02986763333 05808795311 152133756
25 2867564887 03073372094 0561844882 1565452592
26 2771995899 03165125252 05431199537 1612187974
27 2676897761 03263641013 05244872796 1662367955
28 2580781446 03371419529 0505655113 1717266013
29 248133507 03492740545 04861704842 1779062077
3 2374158982 03636235186 04651713652 1852152497
31 2247263191 03826037427 04403085448 1948830153
32
33
34
35
1
09495926345
09049739251
08650188333
08288808949
07959078404
07655862679
07375041398
07113245731
06867669603
06635929175
06415953882
06205897097
06004056634
05808795311
0561844882
05431199537
05244872796
0505655113
04861704842
04651713652
Page 78: Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor · Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor DEGIT St. Petersburg, Russia. 8 September 2011. Richard

Sheet1

Sheet1

Relative Output
Relative Participation Rates

Sheet2

Sheet3

Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

g gt 0

g = 0

Why the difference

The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels

Wages

Return rπ

Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of middle-age decisionmakers

Conclusions

      Conclusions

      Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

      Conclusions

      Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

      Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

      Conclusions

      Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

      Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

      We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

      Conclusions

      Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

      Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

      We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

      The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriers developing countries can reduce child labor Without a reduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricter barriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lot of a country

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      r

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      1

      1

      1

      1

      11

      12

      13

      14

      15

      16

      17

      18

      19

      0405060708091

      Relative Output

      Relative Participation Rates

      Fig 42b Case where

      g

      = 0

      4

      41

      42

      43

      44

      45

      46

      0102030405060708090100

      Time

      Output

      0

      002

      004

      006

      008

      01

      012

      014

      Child Labor Capital

      Output

      Child Labor

      Capital

      Fig 42a Case where

      g

      gt 0

      28

      29

      3

      31

      32

      33

      34

      35

      0102030405060708090100

      Time

      Output

      0

      005

      01

      015

      02

      025

      03

      035

      04

      Child Labor Capital

      Output

      Child Labor

      Capital

y l ratio y ratio l
1 5103837338 0196324827 1 1
11 4846566344 02035560085 09495926345 1036832741
12 4618839709 02106742213 09049739251 1073090064
13 4414915419 02177155064 08650188333 1108955549
14 423047326 02247115765 08288808949 1144590727
15 4062184154 02316914036 07959078404 1180143169
16 390742778 02386824584 07655862679 1215752801
17 3764101166 0245711763 07375041398 1251557262
18 3630484915 02528068757 07113245731 1287696923
19 3505146855 02599969094 06867669603 1324320074
2 3386870309 02673136922 06635929175 1361588833
21 3274598498 02747932035 06415953882 1399686467
22 3167388932 02824774842 06205897097 1438827114
23 3064372843 02904173333 06004056634 1479269523
24 296471464 02986763333 05808795311 152133756
25 2867564887 03073372094 0561844882 1565452592
26 2771995899 03165125252 05431199537 1612187974
27 2676897761 03263641013 05244872796 1662367955
28 2580781446 03371419529 0505655113 1717266013
29 248133507 03492740545 04861704842 1779062077
3 2374158982 03636235186 04651713652 1852152497
31 2247263191 03826037427 04403085448 1948830153
32
33
34
35
Page 79: Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor · Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor DEGIT St. Petersburg, Russia. 8 September 2011. Richard

Sheet1

Relative Output
Relative Participation Rates

Sheet2

Sheet3

Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

g gt 0

g = 0

Why the difference

The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels

Wages

Return rπ

Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of middle-age decisionmakers

Conclusions

      Conclusions

      Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

      Conclusions

      Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

      Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

      Conclusions

      Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

      Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

      We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

      Conclusions

      Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

      Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

      We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

      The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriers developing countries can reduce child labor Without a reduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricter barriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lot of a country

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      )

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      )

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      13

      14

      15

      16

      17

      18

      19

      0405060708091

      Relative Output

      Relative Participation Rates

      Fig 42b Case where

      g

      = 0

      4

      41

      42

      43

      44

      45

      46

      0102030405060708090100

      Time

      Output

      0

      002

      004

      006

      008

      01

      012

      014

      Child Labor Capital

      Output

      Child Labor

      Capital

      Fig 42a Case where

      g

      gt 0

      28

      29

      3

      31

      32

      33

      34

      35

      0102030405060708090100

      Time

      Output

      0

      005

      01

      015

      02

      025

      03

      035

      04

      Child Labor Capital

      Output

      Child Labor

      Capital

Page 80: Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor · Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor DEGIT St. Petersburg, Russia. 8 September 2011. Richard

Sheet2

Sheet3

Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

g gt 0

g = 0

Why the difference

The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels

Wages

Return rπ

Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of middle-age decisionmakers

Conclusions

      Conclusions

      Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

      Conclusions

      Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

      Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

      Conclusions

      Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

      Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

      We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

      Conclusions

      Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

      Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

      We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

      The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriers developing countries can reduce child labor Without a reduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricter barriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lot of a country

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      1

      11

      12

      13

      14

      15

      16

      17

      18

      19

      0405060708091

      Relative Output

      Relative Participation Rates

      Fig 42b Case where

      g

      = 0

      4

      41

      42

      43

      44

      45

      46

      0102030405060708090100

      Time

      Output

      0

      002

      004

      006

      008

      01

      012

      014

      Child Labor Capital

      Output

      Child Labor

      Capital

      Fig 42a Case where

      g

      gt 0

      28

      29

      3

      31

      32

      33

      34

      35

      0102030405060708090100

      Time

      Output

      0

      005

      01

      015

      02

      025

      03

      035

      04

      Child Labor Capital

      Output

      Child Labor

      Capital

Page 81: Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor · Barriers to Capital, Subsistence Consumption, and Child Labor DEGIT St. Petersburg, Russia. 8 September 2011. Richard

Sheet3

Example 2 (Dynamic Response to Lower Barrier)

g gt 0

g = 0

Why the difference

The transitional effect of a lower barrier on child labor is felt through one of three channels

Wages

Return rπ

Marginal rate of substitution across consumption of middle-age decisionmakers

Conclusions

      Conclusions

      Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

      Conclusions

      Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

      Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

      Conclusions

      Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

      Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

      We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

      Conclusions

      Paper provides a general equilibrium model of child labor and physical and human capital

      Paper focuses on the critical role MCRs may play in explaining observed differences in output and child labor participation rates across countries

      We make the argument that under certain conditions higher capital barriers can lsquodeepenrsquo child labor participation rates

      The model also suggests that by reducing capital barriers developing countries can reduce child labor Without a reduction in capital barriers not clear that imposing stricter barriers to child labor participation rates will improve the lot of a country

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      14

      15

      16

      17

      18

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      0405060708091

      Relative Output

      Relative Participation Rates

      Fig 42b Case where

      g

      = 0

      4

      41

      42

      43

      44

      45

      46

      0102030405060708090100

      Time

      Output

      0

      002

      004

      006

      008

      01

      012

      014

      Child Labor Capital

      Output

      Child Labor

      Capital

      Fig 42a Case where

      g

      gt 0

      28

      29

      3

      31

      32

      33

      34

      35

      0102030405060708090100

      Time

      Output

      0

      005

      01

      015

      02

      025

      03

      035

      04

      Child Labor Capital

      Output

      Child Labor

      Capital