baoshan iron & steel co.,ltd. 2015 full year results · steel making distribution 2014 2015...
TRANSCRIPT
Baoshan Iron & Steel Co.,Ltd.
2015 Full Year Results
March 2016
The following presentation distributed herewith includes forward-looking statements. All statements,
other than statements of historical facts, that address activities, events or developments that Baoshan Iron
& Steel Co.,Ltd.(Baosteel) expects or anticipates will or may occur in the future are forward-looking
statements.
Baosteel’s actual results or developments may differ materially from those indicated by these forward-
looking statements as a result of various factors and uncertainties, including but not limited to price
fluctuations, actual demand, exchange rate fluctuations, competition and other risks and factors beyond
our control.
Disclaimer
Content
1 2015 Results
2 Industry Dynamics
3 2016 Operational Plan
Operation Overview
Steel Ice Age
Unit 2014 2015 YoY
Sales Volume Million tons 21.82 22.15 ↑1.5%
Total Operating Income billion RMB 187.79 164.12 ↓12.6%
Operating Cost billion RMB 168.93 149.26 ↓11.7%
Gross Profit billion RMB 18.60 14.59 ↓21.6%
Gross Margin % 9.86 8.87 ↓10.0%
Total Profit billion RMB 8.28 1.85 ↓77.6%
Net Profit billion RMB 5.79 1.01 ↓82.5%
EPS RMB/share 0.35 0.06 ↓82.5%
BVPS RMB/share 6.94 6.85 ↓1.3%
Net CFO per share RMB/share 1.72 1.29 ↓25.1%
Cash Conversion Cycle days 37.6 21.4 ↓42.9%
Debt to assets ratio % 45.7 47.8 ↑4.7%
LMEs
Revenue 19.05% YoY
Total profit -64.5 billion yuan
Average debt to asset ratio 70%
Company performance shrunk
Utilization rate to 70%
Industry FAI 11% YoY
CSPI at the end of 2015 31% YoY
CSPI: China Steel Price Index
LMEs: Large and medium sized enterprises
million tons 2015 YoY
Crude Steel Output 22.64 ↑ 5.2%
22.00 21.53
22.64
15.00
17.00
19.00
21.00
23.00
2013 2014 2015
21.99 21.82 22.15
1.93 2.27 2.560
5
10
15
20
2013 2014 2015
million tons 2015 YoY
Sales of Finished Products 22.15 ↑ 1.5%
including:export 2.56 ↑ 12.8%
Output & Sales
billion RMB 2015 同比
Operating Income 163.8 ↓12.6%
Operating Cost 149.3 ↓11.7%
189.7 187.4
163.8171.7 168.9
149.3
80
100
120
140
160
180
2013 2014 2015
Operating Income Operating Cost
Operating Income and Cost
14.40% 15.10%
-0.30%
0.80%
14.30%
11.70%
-0.90%
3.60%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
CRC HRC Tube Others
2014 2015
Gross Margins & Sales Breakdown
CRC 43%
HRC 40%
Tube 7%
Others 10%
Sales BreakdownGross Margins
billion RMB Revenue YoYGross
MarginsYoY
Steel Making 96.8 ↓ 19.7% 8.9% ↓1.1ppts
Distribution 140.7 ↓ 13.7% 3.2% ↑0.6ppts
120.6
163.1
96.8
140.7
0
50
100
150
Steel Making Distribution
2014 2015
billion RMB Revenue YoYGross
MarginsYoY
E-commerce 20.1 ↑32.8% 0.13% ↓0.4 ppts
IT 3.9 ↓3.3% 27.3% ↓0.7 ppts
Chemicals 7.6 ↓17.3% 4.9% ↓4.0 ppts
Finance 0.6 ↑1.5% 51.0% ↓1.7 ppts
4.1
9.2
0.6
20.1
3.9
7.6
0.6 0
5
10
15
20
E-commerce IT Chemicals Finance
2014 2015
Segments
In the Ice Age
Fight
Operation Highlights
Technology Innovation
R&D expenses-to-revenue
Sales of New products
Profit contribution (billion RMB)
Research and Development
Debut of new products
Development of new products(grades)
First Prize for Technology Progress of Metallurgy
China Patent Prize Excellence Awards
Patent application
2.11%
1.03
21%
3
828
5
3
122
Customer Service
Baosteel Car Body's debut at the third
session of Baosteel auto sheet EVI
forum.
The market share of CRC auto sheet
and ultra-high strength steel are both
over 50%.
45% market share of Oriented silicon
steel product in extra-high voltage
market.
31+11 EVI service projects in the field
of PTD, home appliances, energy,
transportation and metal packaging etc.
PTD: power transmission and distribution
Customer Recognition
Acquired “Excellent Supplier”
from customers
Environment-friendly
Sludge treatment and reuse created economic benefit more
than 100 million RMB.
Total energy consumption decreased by 60,000 tonsstandard coal YoY.
Photovoltaic power station with capacity of 90 MWHwas put into operation. Annual output is expected toreach 70 GWH.
GREEN
SO2 emission was down by 8.4% YoY.
3 energy saving projects were completed, to save energy 32.46 GW, as 9,738 tons standard coal.
September 25, Zhanjiang Steel No.1 blast furnace was ignited.
September 28, steelmaking project realized hot load test.
Zhanjiang Project
Smooth Construction Progress
October, Operation was resumed rapidly after the typhoon.
Cost of molten iron declined quickly.
December 25, 2250 hot rolling mill project realized hot load test ahead of schedule.
$
Settlement volume 8.88 million tons
Signing strategic cooperation agreement with 15 banks.
Obtaining more than 160 billion RMB of cooperative credit quota.
The highest credit quota in the internet finance industry.
96.9%31.1%
Established Transportation Trading Platform.
Becoming the service provider of 4PL platform.Daily trading volume 20,000 tons. Cooperated warehouses 700+.Turnover capacity 50 million tons.
Registered users 43,000+Income 19.8 billion RMB
Finance
Logistics
E-commerce Progress
On-line Trading
01 02Golden Roundtable
AwardBest in Sector
(Materials)
03
China Association for Public CompaniesIR MagazineDirectors & Boards
Capital market Recognition
The Most Admired Listed Company
1
2
3
2015 Results
Industry Dynamics
2016 Operational Plan
Content
9.5%
7.7% 7.7%
7.4%6.9%7.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
8.0%
9.0%
10.0%
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016E
5.4%
2.6% 2.6%
2.0%
1.4%
3.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016E
GDP CPI
• GDP was down to 6.9% in 2015.
• GDP growth targets at 6.5%-7.0% in 2016,
supply side reform is still the top priority.
• CPI was up 1.4% in 2015, Mild growth in price.
• CPI growth targets at 3.0% in 2016. Prudent
monetary policy is expected to continue.
Date source:Wind
Economy outlook
6.5%
Steel industry outlook
Crude steel output and Apparent consumption
Unit: million tons 2015 同比
Crude steel output 804 ↓ 2.3%
Net export 106 ↑ 25.7%
Apparent consumption 698 ↓ 5.5%
Date source:National Bureau of Statistics, Steelhome, Wind
816 823 804 765 739
698
500
600
700
800
900
2013 2014 2015
Crude steel output Apparent consumption
411.8
505.5 506478.9
425.7
14.60%
-2.04% -2.06%-5.90%
-11%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
200
300
400
500
600
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Unit: billion RMB
Steel industry FAI
• Crude steel output was 804mn tons in 2015,down
2.03% YoY. Export increased significantly. Apparent
consumption declined for 2 consecutive years.
• Industry FAI decreased for 3 consecutive years.
• China steel consumption reached the peak region.
Steel inventory
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
2014年1月 2014年6月 2014年11月 2015年4月 2015年9月 2016年2月
总量 长材 板材
Social inventory Steel mill inventory
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
2014年1月 2014年6月 2014年11月 2015年4月 2015年9月 2016年2月
• Steel social inventory declined gradually. But steel mill inventory was still at high level.
Unit: million tons
Date source:Wind
total Long product Flat product
2014 2015 2016 2014 2015 2016
Unit: million tons
13.71
Steel market
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
2014年1月 2014年6月 2014年11月 2015年4月 2015年9月 2016年2月
CSPI Prices
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
4500
2014年1月 2014年6月 2014年11月 2015年4月 2015年9月 2016年2月
热轧 冷轧 螺纹
68.87
3380
24502270
Date source:Wind
Unit: RMB/ton
2014 2015 20162014 2015 2016
• Steel price continued to decrease in 2015, while rebounded quickly at the end of the year.
FAIUnit: trillion RMB
20.6%19.6%
15.7%
• Total FAI was 55 trillion RMB in 2015, up 10% YoY. Growth continued to slow down.
36.543.6
50.255.2
20.6%19.6%
15.7%
10.0%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
20%
22%
0
20
40
60
2012 2013 2014 2015
Infrastructure FAI
7.79.4
11.2
13.1
13.7%
21.2%20.3%
17.3%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
20%
22%
24%
0
5
10
15
2012 2013 2014 2015
• Infrastructure FAI was 13 trillion RMB, up 47.3% YoY. Growth also continued to slow down.
Date source:Wind
Unit: trillion RMB
Infrastructure
Real estate FAI
20.6%19.6%
15.7%
• Real estate FAI was 9.6 trillion RMB in 2015,up 1% YoY. Growth plunged for 2 years.
New start and Sales growth
7.28.6
9.5 9.616.2%
19.8%
10.5%
1.0%0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
0
5
10
2012 2013 2014 2015
• New construction was down 14% YoY. Sales was up 6.5% due to de-stocking.
-7.3%
13.5%
-10.7%-14.0%
1.8%
17.3%
-7.6%
6.5%
-20.0%
-10.0%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
2012 2013 2014 2015
New start Sales growth
Date source:Wind
Real estate
Unit: trillion RMB
Output SalesUnit: million units
• Output and sales were up 3.3% and 4.7% YoY respectively in 2015. Growth slowed down.
• Passenger car sales were more than 20 million units for the first time, up 7.3% YoY,
outperformed commercial car(down 9.0% YoY).
• New energy auto’s strong performance: output and sales were up 330% and 340% YoY
respectively in2015.
19.27
22.1223.72 24.5
4.6%
14.8%
7.3%
3.3%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
20%
0
5
10
15
20
25
2012 2013 2014 2015
19.31
21.9823.49
24.6
4.3%
14.0%
6.9%
4.7%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
20%
0
5
10
15
20
25
2012 2013 2014 2015
Date source:CAAM
Auto
Unit: million units
Washing Machine Refrigerator
67.42
72.02 71.1472.75
1.4%
8.2%
-3.3%
0.7%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
50
60
70
2012 2013 2014 2015
84.27
93.4187.96 89.93
-3.1%
10.6%
-1.0%-1.9%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
50
60
70
80
90
2012 2013 2014 2015
Air-conditioner TV
• Washing machine and air-conditioner output growth was flat, refrigerator output growth decreased, while TV grew fast in 2015.
133
143 145
157
4.9%
11.6%11.5%
0.0%0%
5%
10%
15%
100
120
140
160
2012 2013 2014 2015
140 140 141
162
7.5%
-0.2%
6.2%7.0%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
80
100
120
140
160
2012 2013 2014 2015
Date source:Wind
Home appliances
Unit: million units Unit: million units Unit: million units Unit: million units
Machinery value added growth
-5.0%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
General Equipment Special Equipment
Electrical Equipment Transportation Equipment
60 45
39 42
20
70
60
31
107
131
149
123
0
50
100
150
0
20
40
60
80
100
2012 2013 2014 2015
Completion New Orders Carrying orders(right)
Ship building
• Ship building was till depressed. • Machinery experienced moderate growth.
Date source:Wind
Ship building & machinery
Unit: million tonnages
2013 2014 2015 2016
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
2014年1月 2014年6月 2014年11月 2015年4月 2015年9月 2016年2月
Platts(62%) Port inventory
6000
7000
8000
9000
10000
11000
12000
2014年1月 2014年6月 2014年11月 2015年4月 2015年9月 2016年2月
Unit: million tons
55.50
9454
Date source:Wind
Raw Material
2014 2015 2016 2014 2015 2016
• Iron ore price continued to decrease until the end of 2015.• Port inventory grew gradually and remained high position.
Coking coal(from Australia) First-grade metallurgical coke
500
700
900
1100
2014年1月 2014年6月 2014年11月 2015年4月 2015年9月 2016年2月
500
700
900
1100
1300
1500
1700
2014年1月 2014年6月 2014年11月 2015年4月 2015年9月 2016年2月
• Coke price was still in downward trend in 2015.
680 815
Date source:Wind
Raw Material
Unit: RMB/ton Unit: RMB/ton
2014 2015 2016 2014 2015 2016
1
3
2
2015 Results
Industry Dynamics
2016 Operational Plan
Content
Operational plan
Regular employee efficiency up 3.8%
Total cost cut 4 billion RMB
Net CFO 10 billion RMB
Crude steel output 27.11mn tonsProduct sales volume 23.44mn tonsTotal operating income 160.4 billion RMBOperating cost 149.1 billion RMB
CRC Auto Sheet market share 50%
Best performancein domestic steel industry
Continuous improvement of operation and cost control
No.2 blast furnace is to be ignited in August
Transforming from
construction to operation
Realize positive contribution margin
Crude steel output 4.96mn tons
Note:The output incorporates those of trial production.
Zhanjiang Project
Intelligent Manufacturing
Intelligent HRC plant
Key technology application and research of continuous casting.
Development of Internet purchasing platform.
Settlement volume20 million tons
Cooperated warehouses: 1000+
Turnover capacity 60 million tons
Daily Transactions volume
40,000 tons
Medium and small sized
enterprise users 60000+
Loan balance 10 billion RMB
On-line payment 80 billion RMB
On-line Trading Finance Logistics
$
E-commerce
Internet + Steel