bank borrowing.pdf
TRANSCRIPT
7/28/2019 bank borrowing.pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/bank-borrowingpdf 1/23
INSTITUTE OF DEVELOPING ECONOMIES
IDE Discussion Papers are preliminary materials circulated
to stimulate discussions and critical comments
IDE DISCUSSION PAPER No. 144
Bank Borrowing and Financing of
Medium-sized Firms in Indonesia
Miki HAMADA†
March 2008
†Institute of Developing Economies
7/28/2019 bank borrowing.pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/bank-borrowingpdf 2/23
Abstract
The improvement of financial intermediation functions is crucial for a robust banking
system. When lending, banks have to cope with such problems as information
asymmetry and adverse selection. In order to mitigate these problems, banks have to
product information and improve their techniques of lending. During the 1998
financial crisis, Indonesia’s banking system suffered severe damage and revealed that
the country’s banking intermediation functions did not work well. This paper examines
the financial intermediation functions of banks in Indonesia and analyzes the
importance of bank lending to firms. The focus is on medium-sized firms, and
“relationship lending”, one of the bank lending techniques, is used to examine financial
intermediation in Indonesia. The results of logit regressions show that the relationship
between a bank and a firm affects the probability of bank lending. The amount of
borrowing and collateral are also affected by a firm’s relationship with a bank. When
viewed from the standpoint of relationship lending to medium-sized firms, Indonesian
banks cannot be criticized for any malfunction of financial intermediation.
Keywords: relationship lending, financial intermediation function, medium-sized firms,
Indonesia,
JEL classification: G21, N25, G30
The Institute of Developing Economies (IDE) is a semigovernmental,
nonpartisan, nonprofit research institute, founded in 1958. The Institute
merged with the Japan External Trade Organization (JETRO) on July 1, 1998.
The Institute conducts basic and comprehensive studies on economic and
related affairs in all developing countries and regions, including Asia, the
Middle East, Africa, Latin America, Oceania, and Eastern Europe.
The views expressed in this publication are those of the author(s). Publication does
not imply endorsement by the Institute of Developing Economies of any of the views
expressed within.
INSTITUTE OF DEVELOPING ECONOMIES (IDE), JETRO
3-2-2, WAKABA, MIHAMA-KU, CHIBA-SHI
CHIBA 261-8545, JAPAN
©2008 by Institute of Developing Economies, JETRO
7/28/2019 bank borrowing.pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/bank-borrowingpdf 3/23
Bank Borrowing and Financing of Medium-sized Firms in Indonesia
Miki Hamada†
Abstract
The improvement of financial intermediation functions is crucial for a robust banking system. When
lending, banks have to cope with such problems as information asymmetry and adverse selection. In
order to mitigate these problems, banks have to product information and improve their techniques of
lending. During the 1998 financial crisis, Indonesia’s banking system suffered severe damage and
revealed that the country’s banking intermediation functions did not work well. This paper examines
the financial intermediation functions of banks in Indonesia and analyzes the importance of bank
lending to firms. The focus is on medium-sized firms, and “relationship lending”, one of the bank
lending techniques, is used to examine financial intermediation in Indonesia. The results of logit
regressions show that the relationship between a bank and a firm affects the probability of bank
lending. The amount of borrowing and collateral are also affected by a firm’s relationship with a
bank. When viewed from the standpoint of relationship lending to medium-sized firms, Indonesian
banks cannot be criticized for any malfunction of financial intermediation.
Keywords relationship lending, financial intermediation function, medium-sized firms, Indonesia
† Institute of Developing Economies
1
7/28/2019 bank borrowing.pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/bank-borrowingpdf 4/23
2
1. Introduction
Financial systems in development economies are often perceived as fragile. The fragility can
be attributed to the immaturity of banking financial intermediation functions such as a deficiency of
screening ability, banks’ poor risk management, and undeveloped legal and accounting systems.
Improvement of financial intermediation is one of the most crucial issues in the development of a
country’s financial system.
When providing loans, banks have to cope with problems of asymmetric information and
adverse selection, therefore collecting information on clients and the production of information are
most important for banks. A rapid increase in non-performing loans is one of the consequences of
massive lending based on the production of insufficient information. Indonesia is a case in point.
This paper examines the financial intermediation functions in the Indonesian banking sector
and analyzes the importance of bank lending to firms. It seems that the vulnerability of the banking
sector aggravated the situation in Indonesia during the financial crisis in 1998, as indicated by the
fact that the rate of nonperforming loans rose to 58.7% in 1999. In this paper the financial
intermediation functions of banks will be evaluated from the standpoint of the relationship between
firms and banks with the focus of examination being on medium-sized firms.
2. Bank Lending to Medium-sized Firms in Indonesia
2.1 Why medium-sized firms?
During and after the 1998 financial crisis, Indonesia’s banking sector suffered serious damage.
The large depreciation of the Indonesian rupiah made the net worth of most commercial banks
inadequate. Non-performing loans rose rapidly, and the average rate for such loans at foreign
exchange banks increased to 76.9%. Major commercial banks were bailed out through capital
7/28/2019 bank borrowing.pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/bank-borrowingpdf 5/23
injections from the government and nationalization. At that time it was reported that 70% to 90% of
bank loans had been channeled to related companies (September 29, 1998, Jakarta Post ). This fact
raises doubts about the financial intermediation functions of Indonesian banks. Before the financial
crisis and nationalization, major private banks belonged to conglomerates or business groups.
Indonesian conglomerates had many large blue-chip companies operating in various sectors.
Therefore Indonesian banks did not need to product information for channeling loans to related
parties because information asymmetry did not exist within the business group. Thus if there were no
information problems when banks allocated loans to related companies, it is difficult to affirm
whether or not Indonesian banks have financial intermediation functions. However, how about when
lending to small and medium-sized firms? Unlike large companies, small and medium-sized firms
are not related to conglomerates, and their information varies. Thus small and medium-sized firm
lending seems to be meaningful for examining and evaluating banks’ financial intermediation
functions.
Although most bank lending is allocated to large companies, these companies have various
funding sources in addition to domestic bank borrowing. Issuing stocks and bonds on capital markets
and borrowing on international markets are other alternatives. For small and medium-sized firms,
however, financing is a major difficulty, and bank borrowing, while difficult, is the most important
external financial source for them. This is another reason for focusing on lending to small and
medium-sized firms.
Another reason lies within the context of Indonesia. Lending to small firms is not so difficult
for banks because such lending is given preferential treatment. Loans to small firms are regulated by
the central bank, and commercial banks in Indonesia are obligated to allocate 20% of their total
loans to small-scale business, up to Rp500 million (= US$56,000) per client. This preferential
treatment is called KUK (Kredit Usaha Kecil [Small Business Credit]). If a bank does not conform
3
7/28/2019 bank borrowing.pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/bank-borrowingpdf 6/23
to this regulation, it is penalized. On the other hand, if a bank follows the regulation, it gets a bonus.
Thus banks have incentives to lend to small firms: they avoid penalties and get bonuses
(Hamada-Takeda [2000]). Figure 1 shows that the percentage of KUK loans does not exceed 20% of
total bank loans, which indicates that bank lending behavior to small firms is not based on
self-motivated decisions. Under the KUK regulation there is no need for banks to voluntarily
improve their techniques for lending to small firms.
Figure 1 Value and Percentage of Bank Loans
0
100000
200000
300000
400000
500000
600000
700000
800000
900000
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Jun-
07
billion Rp
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90%
Amount o f bank lending
KUK
Private s ector
As there is no government intervention, focusing on lending to medium-sized firms seems the
most suitable for examining the financial intermediation functions of Indonesian banks. When
lending to such firms, banks have to collect information and make lending decisions on their own.
2.2 What is the scale of lending to medium-sized firms?
It is difficult to identify the scale of lending to medium-sized firms, however it is possible to
estimate by comparing the sources of funds for large and medium-sized firms. Figures 2-a and 2-b
4
7/28/2019 bank borrowing.pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/bank-borrowingpdf 7/23
describe the sources of funds for the private sector. From these figures we can see a shift in the
sources of funds.
Figure 2-a Private-Sector Sources of Funding in 1997
1997
Public s ector
2%
Consumption credit
(individuals)
11%
Overseas debt
(billionl of Rp)
39%
Outstanding b onds
2%
KUK
9%
Private secto r
excluding KUK
28%
Total market value o f
stocks
9%
Bank loans
49%
Figure 2-b Private Sector Sources of Funding in 2004
2004
KUK
7%
Public sector
2%
Consumption credit
(individuals)
18%
Private s ector
excluding KUK
15%
Overseas debt
(billionl o f Rp)
33%
Total market value o f
stocks
20%
Outstanding b onds
5%
Bank loans
42%
Source: Author
5
7/28/2019 bank borrowing.pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/bank-borrowingpdf 8/23
Before the financial crisis in 1997, massive amounts of foreign capital flowed in: 39% of
private sector capital was overseas debt; 49% was lending from domestic banks, and capital markets
accounted for 11%. After the crisis overseas debt decreased to 33%: domestic bank loans fell to 42%,
while capital markets increased to 25%.
In the two figures, “private sector excluding KUK” is regarded as bank lending to large and
medium-sized firms. The “private sector excluding KUK” decreased between 1997 and 2004 from
28% to 15% as a percentage of total sources of funds, while utilization of capital markets increased
from 11% to 25%. Conjecturing that large firms for the most part shifted from domestic bank loans
to capital markets, the current domestic bank-loan market would then be composed by and large of
medium-sized firms and some large firms unable to shift to capital markets. Thus it can be argued
that the 15% “private sector excluding KUK” lending in 2004 was mostly to medium-sized firms.
3. Relationship Lending Versus Transaction Lending
In the previous section we estimated the present scale of bank lending to medium-sized firms.
In this section we will look at bank lending techniques to these firms. Boot defined the provision of
financial services by a financial intermediary as the: 1) investment in obtaining customer-specific
information, often proprietary in nature; and 2) evaluation of the profitability of these investments
though multiple interactions with the same customer over time and/or across products (Boot[1999]).
Thus information is key to a financial intermediary.
When providing financial services, information asymmetry is a serious problem for banks
especially in the case of small and medium-sized firms because information on large firms is
relatively available. Large firms usually prepare financial statements and provide public information.
According to Udell lending techniques are based on: 1) financial statements, 2) relationship between
bank and firm, 3) credit-scored lending, 4) asset, 5) factoring, and 6) trading credit (Udell: 2004).
6
7/28/2019 bank borrowing.pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/bank-borrowingpdf 9/23
Among these techniques, transactions-based lending is the most major one, under which the lending
decisions are based on “hard” information that is relatively easily available like financial statement,
credit score and asset at the time of loan origination, and does not rely on the “soft” data gathered
over the course of a relationship with the borrower (Berger and Udell [2002]). While the most
important in lending to small firms is relationship lending which emphasizes the length of time in a
relationship between a bank and a firm.
The relationship between a bank and a firm has several advantages for the firm that go beyond
just borrowing. The fact of obtaining a loan from a bank improves the firm’s reputation and a longer
bank-firm relationship brings more merits to the borrower. For example, at the beginning of a
relationship, the interest rate on a loan is higher and much more collateral is required; however after
several years, the interest rate decreases and the required collateral also decreases because of the
bank’s accumulation of information on the firm. The interest rate especially is greatly affected by the
length of a firm’s relationship with a bank (Berger and Udell[1995]).
It is understandable that banks product and accumulate information through their relationships
with firms, and this mitigates the problem of information asymmetry. As required collateral
decreases proportionally with the length of a relationship, the function of collateral comes to be
regarded not as a prerequisite but a compliment of lending.
As well as being a useful technique for banks, relationship lending is also useful for small
firms. The next section examines the actual conditions of financing for medium-sized firms in
Indonesia, and the funding sources these firms prefer.
4. Financing of Medium-sized Firms
The BPS (Badan Pusat Satistik [Statistics of the Republic of Indonesia]) provides data on
large (more than 100 employees) and medium-sized (from 20 to 99 employees) manufacturing firms
7
7/28/2019 bank borrowing.pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/bank-borrowingpdf 10/23
covering basic information about firms, their output, value added, expenditures on inputs, sales,
investment and financing. The data are obtained through annual surveys of more than 20,000 firms.
This paper uses data for 1993, 1996, 1999 and 2001 in order to examine financing for investment.
The reasons of choosing the years 1993, 1996, 1999 and 2001 are the following. In 1993 the
largest number of firms responded to the annual survey, and the year 1993 is regarded as reflecting
very well Indonesia’s strong economy before the financial crisis. The year 1996 is expected to reflect
the bubble economy just before the crisis; the year 1999 reflects the worst economic situation just
after the crisis, and the year 2001 is expected to show the slight recovery from the damage of the
crisis.
From 1993 to 1996 the total number of medium-sized firms increased 26.6% from 18,163 to
22,997. It was the period when the Indonesian economy grew rapidly due to the government’s
liberalization policies. In 1999 and 2001 the number decreased slightly. Table 1 shows the number
of firms that undertook new investment in each of the examined year. In 1993, 2,583 firms
undertook new investment which accounted for 14.2% of the total number of medium-sized firms. In
1996 the percentage of new investment increased to 41.6%; however in 1999 and 2001 this
decreased to 19.5% and 19.0% respectively because of the financial crisis.
Table 1 Investment by Medium-sized Firm
Total Number of Medium-sized Firm Number of Firms Newly Investing
survey response rate of finance
sources of investment
1993 18,163 2,583 (14.2%) 98.7%
1996 22,997 9,560 (41.6%) 61.6%
1999 22,070 4,311 (19.5%) 63.6%
2001 21,396 4,063 (19.0%) 54.5%
Source: BPS
The BPS surveys provide the sources of funds for investment. Table 2 shows the main sources
of these funds. Respondent firms can check the categories that apply to their own situation; these
8
7/28/2019 bank borrowing.pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/bank-borrowingpdf 11/23
include: own funds, retained earnings, bank loans, capital markets, international markets, and
government funding. In the four years examined, 30% - 40% of firms utilized bank loans, while 60%
relied on their own funds, and 40% - 50% used retained earnings; only 4% - 6% of firms utilized
capital markets. Thus most firms preferred to use internal sources.
Table 2 Numbers of firms by source of funds
1993 1996 1999 2001
% % % %
Bank loans 1,003 39.4 2,010 33.6 987 34.7 640 28.9
Own funds 1,587 62.4 3,700 61.8 1,735 61 1,578 71.3
Retained earnings 1,191 46.8 3,331 55.6 1,471 51.7 1,098 49.6
Stocks/bonds 111 4.4 406 6.8 191 6.7 94 4.2
Source: BPS
Although most firms use a combination of several funding sources (Table 3), a firm’s own
funds is the single most preferred source. In the four years examined, 25%- 30% of firms used their
own funds; around 20% used retained earnings; those relying on bank loans were only 6%-12%.
Clearly firms prefer to use internal funds rather than external sources. This observation fits the
pecking order theory which asserts that firms prefer internal financing first, then external financing,
through the issuing of debt and stock (Fama and French [2002]) .
Table 3
Combination Sources Single SourcesBank loans Own funds Retained
earningsBank loans Own funds Retained
earnings
1993 39.6 52.9 46.7 12.2 27.6 18.4
1996 34.1 62.7 56.4 7.5 25.9 20.6
1999 36.0 63.3 37.5 8.8 24.5 19.5
2001 28.9 71.2 49.6 6.3 34.7 17.4
Source: BPS
9
7/28/2019 bank borrowing.pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/bank-borrowingpdf 12/23
5. Data and Empirical model
5.1 Data
The above discussion has showed that medium-sized firms prefer internal funding sources.
The question then is how banks determine loans. This section examines determinants of bank
lending using logit regression analysis. From the BPS data of large and medium-sized manufacturing
firms, the data for medium-sized firms in 1993, 1996 and 1999 are used. Table 4 presents the
descriptive statistics.
Table 4 Descriptive Statistics
1993 Total of 2583 firms (thousand Rp)
Average minimum maximum Std. Dev.
Employees 45 20 99 21
Output 1,167,948 3,756 60,741,006 3,958,345
Own funds 778,059 0 666,547,444 17,819,240
Bank loans 613,302 0 795,805,182 16,412,820
Retained earrings 628,952 0 640,079,853 17,809,960
Age of firms 12 0 93 13
Assets 117,003 0 50,500,000 1,464,434
1996 Total of 4448 firms (thousand Rp)
Average minimum maximum Std. Dev.
Employees 38 20 99 19
Output 737,308 3,069 101,920,749 2,754,430
Own funds 377,296 0 568,000,000 9,631633
Bank loans 58.360 0 11,080,000 450,533
Retained earrings 74,809 0 36,800,000 750.943
Age of firms 10 0 95 10
Assets n.a n.a n.a n.a
1999 Total of 1636 firms
Average minimum maximum Std. Dev.
Employees 42 20 99 21
Output 3,002,649 4,200 287,187,024 12,148,175
Own funds 954,354 0 848,250,000 21,133,012
Bank loans 430,680 0 175,000,000 5,028,543
Retained earrings 267,540 0 150,000,000 4,080,154
Age of firms 13 0 99 13
Assets 1,479,545 20 286,340,600 12,331,658
10
7/28/2019 bank borrowing.pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/bank-borrowingpdf 13/23
5.2 Model
Using the above data, we will examine the probability of firm borrowing . Firm i uses a
bank loan for new investment in period t .
iit iit it t i
i
i
it
uoutput year earnownloan
p
pY
++++++=
⎟⎟ ⎠
⎞⎜⎜⎝
⎛
−=
− ln
1ln
5432)1(10 β β β β β β
i p is the probability of firm i using a bank loan.
Y 1, in the case of firm i using a bank loan in t. =it
0, in the case firm i not using a bank loan in t .
1−t LOAN : dummy variable: if firm i used a bank loan in t-1, 1, not used a bank loan, 0.
=t OWN dummy variable: if firm i used own capital in t, 1, not used own capital, 0.
=t EARN dummy variable: if firm i used retained earnings in t, 1, not used retained earnings, 0.
= AGE years for operation
=t LNOUT natural logarithm of output at t
6. Empirical Results
The results of the analysis show that the record of past loans has a positive effect on future
borrowing. The coefficients of all variables, except AGE, are significant in all three of the years
examined: 1993, 1996 and 1999. The coefficients of the borrowing record and the natural logarithm
of output are positive while the coefficients of own funds, retained earnings and international
borrowing are negative. AGE was expected to affect bank borrowing positively, however it turns out
not to be significant.
11
7/28/2019 bank borrowing.pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/bank-borrowingpdf 14/23
Table 5 Regression results
Year 1993 1996 1999
Number of observations 2280 3600 1442
Coefficients(p-value in parentheses)
Constant -2.47 (0.000) -3.42 (0.000) -3.43 (0.000)
LOAN (t-1) 2.88 (0.000) 2.54 (0.000) 3.10 (0.000)
OWN(t) -0.89 (0.000) -0.79 (0.000) -0.53 (0.001)
EARN(t) -1.01 (0.000) -0.53 (0.000) -0.74 (0.000)
LOANf(t) -1.01 (0.011) -1.27 (0.007) -0.96 (0.070)
AGE 0.00 (0.615) 0.00 (0.919) 0.00 (0.398)
LNOUT(t) 0.16 (0.000) 0.21 (0.000) 0.16 (0.001)
Log likelihood -1076.1863 -1683.7205 -594.31267
Pseudo R 2
0.2925 0.2255 0.3325
Being based on a logit model, the positive coefficients of this estimation show that there is a
high probability of borrowing in the given year. For 1993 the coefficient of the previous year’s
record is 2.88 meaning that if a firm borrowed from a bank in 1992, the probability that it borrowed
again in 1993 was 94.7%. Likewise for 1996 and 1999 the probability of borrowing is very high,
around 92.7% and 95.7% respectively. On the other hand, if a firm had other financial sources such
as its own funds, retained earnings or international markets, the probability of borrowing was low
because the coefficients of these variables are negative. Thus if a firm has other funding sources ,
that firm is inclined not to resort to bank loans. If output increases the probability of borrowing also
increases.
7. Relationship Lending and Collateral
Collateral is one of the important elements in assessing the relationship between a bank and a
firm. In general banks require collateral for a loan regardless of whether undertaking transaction
lending or relationship lending. Asset size is a good proxy for collateral; however in the BPS data set,
12
7/28/2019 bank borrowing.pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/bank-borrowingpdf 15/23
not all firms gave answers to the question of asset size1.
Table 6 Comparison of Loans in 1993 to Firms That Borrowed or Did Not Borrow in 1992
. (thousand of rupiah)
firms that average loan amount in 1993 average assets in 1993
did not borrowed in 1992 527,961 698,823
borrowed in 92 611,446 289,393
Table 6 compares the difference in the average amount of a loan and amount of collateral
between firms that borrowed in both 1992 and 1993 and those that borrowed only in 1993. The
average amount of a loan to a firm that borrowed in both years was larger than for a firm that did not
borrowed in 1992. This indicates that a firm’s past record of borrowing affects the amount of its next
loan. However, the amount of assets of firms borrowing in both years was much smaller than that of
firms that borrowed only in 1993 which seems to indicate that assets complement information on a
firm’s past record of borrowing.
Table 7 Amount of Borrowing and Collateral
Firms borrowing in 1993 Firms borrowing in 1997*
Firms borrowing in 1999 Borrowed in 92
Did not borrow
Borrowed in 96
Did not borrow
Borrowed in 98
Did not borrow
No. of firms in the previous year
569 312 653 178 316 128
% 64.6% 35.4% 78.6% 21.4% 71.2% 28.8%
Ave. output (1,000 Rp) 1,116,317 1,569,987 910,901 707,511 3,066,641 4,532,589
Ave. borrowing(1,000Rp)
2,285,861 214,782 134,345 92,317 1,802,415 771,599
Ave. collateral**(1,000Rp)
110,875 288,937 39,575 42,711 1,196,403 810,926
Borrowing / Collateralamount
4.9% 134.5% 29.5% 46.3% 66.4% 105.1%
*Data on firm assets were unavailable for 1996, therefore data for 1997 were used.
** Assets are a proxy for collateral
Source: BPS
1 There were 349 firms that provided assets information.
13
7/28/2019 bank borrowing.pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/bank-borrowingpdf 16/23
From the foregoing analysis it can be argued that for banks in Indonesia, financial
intermediation functions operate from the standpoint of relationship lending. Table 7 shows that if a
firm already has a relationship with a bank, the amount that can be borrowed is larger and collateral
can be smaller than for a firm without a relationship.
7. Conclusion
This paper examined the funding sources of medium-sized firms and the financial
intermediation functions of banks in Indonesia from the standpoint of relationship lending. In order
to mitigate problems of information asymmetry, banks have to product information and improve
their techniques of lending. This paper examined whether Indonesian banks product information as a
function of financial intermediation. The results of logit regression show that the relationship
between banks and firms affects the probability of borrowing. The amount of borrowing and
collateral is also affected by the existence of a firm’s relationship with a bank. Due to the lack of
information, the effect of this relationship on interest rates was not examined. However, it can be
argued that in Indonesia banks perform financial intermediation functions when examined from the
standpoint of relationship lending.
14
7/28/2019 bank borrowing.pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/bank-borrowingpdf 17/23
15
References
Booth, James R. [1996], Loan Collateral Decisions and Corporate Borrowing Costs, Arizona State
University Working Paper.Berger, Allen N. and Udell, Gregory F [1995], “Relationship Lending and Lines of Credit in Small
Firm Finance,” The Journal of Business, Vol.68, No.3, pp351-381
--------[2002], Small Business Credit availability and relationship lending: the importance of bank
Organizational Structure, The Economic Journal, 112, pp32-53.
Bebczuk, R. N., [2004] “What Determines the Access to Credit by SMEs in Argentina?,” Faculltad
de Clenclas Economicas Universidad Nacional de la Plata.
Boot, A. W. A., [2000] Relationship banking: What do we know?, Journal of Financial
Intermediation, 9, pp.7-25.
Badan Pusat Staristik (BPS), Statistik Industri (various years).
Eugene F. Fama; Kenneth R. French [2002] “Testing Trade-Off and Pecking Order Predictions about
Dividends and Debt,” The Review of Financial Studies, Vol.15, No1, pp.1-33.
Ramakrishnan, S., and Thakor, A.V. [1984] Information Reliability and a Theory of Financial
Intermediation. Review of Economic Studies Vol. 51, pp.415-432.
Udell, Gregory F. [2004], “SME Lending: Defining the Issues in a Global Perspective,” Kelley
School of Business, Indiana University.
In Japanese
Miki Hamada-Takeda [2000] “The Sequence of Financial Liberalization and Financial Fragility,” in
The Asian Currency Crisis: Causes and Problems in Prescription, eds K. Kunimune, Institute
of Developing Economies, Chiba.
--------------------------[2001] “Restructuring Indonesia’s Banks and Corporate”, in Financial
Restructuring and Corporate Restructuring: Asian Experience, eds K. Kunimune Institute of
Developing Economies, Chiba.
---------------------------[2002] “Formation and Structural Change of the Financial Sector”, in
Democratizing Indonesia: Politics and Economy in Historical Perspective, eds Y. Sato,
Institute of Developing Economies, Chiba.
7/28/2019 bank borrowing.pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/bank-borrowingpdf 18/23
No. Author(s) Title
143 Yoko IWASAKIMethodological Application of Modern Historical Science to‘Qualitative Research’
2008
142 Masahiro KODAMAMonetary Policy Effects in Developing Countries with
Minimum Wages
2008
141 Yasushi Hazama The Political Economy of Growth: A Review 2008
140 Kumiko MAKINOThe Changing Nature of Employment and the Reform of Labor and Social Security Legislation in Post-Apartheid South Africa
2008
139 Hisao YOSHINOTechnology Choice, Change of Trade Structure, and A Case of Hungarian Economy
2008
138 Shigeki HIGASHIThe Policy Making Process in FTA Negotiations: A CaseStudy of Japanese Bilateral EPAs
2008
137Arup MITRA andMayumi MURAYAMA
Rural to Urban Migration: A District Level Analysis for India 2008
136 Nicolaus Herman SHOMBE Causality relationship between Total Export and AgriculturalGDP and Manufacturing GDP case of Tanzania
2008
135 Ikuko OKAMOTOThe Shrimp Export Boom and Small-Scale Fishermen inMyanmar
2008
134 Chibwe CHISALAUnlocking the Potential of Zambian Micro, Small and MediumEnterprises "learning from the international best practices - theSoutheast Asian Experience"
2008
133 Miwa YAMADAEvolution in the Concept of Development: How has the WorldBank's Legal Assistance Extended its Reach?
2008
132 Maki AOKI-OKABELooking Toward the “New Era”:Features and Background of the Japan-Thailand Economic
Partnership Agreement
2008
131Masanaga KUMAKURA andMasato KUROKO
China’s Impact on the Exports of Other AsianCountries: A Note
2007
130 Koichiro KIMURAGrowth of the Firm and Economic Backwardness:A Case Study and Analysis of China's Mobile HandsetIndustry
2007
129 Takahiro FUKUNISHIHas Low Productivity Constrained Competitiveness of AfricanFirrms?: Comparison of Firm Performances with Asian Firms
2007
128 Akifumi KUCHIKI Industrial Policy in Asia 2007
127 Teiji SAKURAIJETRO and Japan’s Postwar Export Promotion System:Messages forLatin American Export Promotion Agencies
2007
126 Takeshi KAWANAKA Who Eats the Most? Quantitative Analysis of Pork BarrelDistributions in the Philippines
2007
125 Ken IMAI and SHIU JingmingA Divergent Path of Industrial Upgrading: Emergence andEvolution of the Mobile Handset Industry in China
2007
124 Tsutomu TAKANEDiversities and Disparities among Female-Headed Householdsin Rural Malawi
2007
123 Masami ISHIDAEvaluating the Effectiveness of GMS Economic Corridors:Why is There More Focus on the Bangkok-Hanoi Road thanthe East-West Corridor
2007
122 Toshihiro KUDOBorder Industry in Myanmar: Turning the Periphery into theCenter of Growth
2007
121 Satoru KUMAGAI A Mathematical Representation of "Excitement" in Gamesfrom the Viewpoint of a Neutral Audience
2007
120 Akifumi KUCHIKIA Flowchart Approach to Malaysia'sAutomobile Industry Cluster Policy
2007
119 Mitsuhiro KAGAMIThe Sandinista Revolution and Post-ConflictDevelopment - Key Issues
2007
~Previous IDE Discussion Papers ~
7/28/2019 bank borrowing.pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/bank-borrowingpdf 19/23
No. Author(s) Title
118 Toshihiro KUDO Myanmar and Japan: How Close Friends Become Estranged 2007
117 Tsutomu TAKANEGambling with Liberalization: Smallholder Livelihoods inContemporary Rural Malawi
2007
116Toshihiro KUDO and FumiharuMIENO
Trade, Foreign Investment and Myanmar's EconomicDevelopment during the Transition to an Open Economy
2007
115 Takao TSUNEISHI
Thailand's Economic Cooperation with Neighboring Countries
and Its Effects on Economic Development within Thailand 2007
114Jan OOSTERHAVEN,Dirk STELDER andSatoshi INOMATA
Evaluation of Non-Survey International IO ConstructionMethods with the Asian-Pacific Input-Output Table
2007
113 Satoru KUMAGAIComparing the Networks of Ethnic Japanese and EthnicChinese in International Trade
2007
112 Rika NAKAGAWAInstitutional Development of Capital Markets in Nine AsianEconomies
2007
111Hiroko UCHIMURA andJohannes JÜTTING
Fiscal Decentralization, Chinese Style: Good for HealthOutcomes?
2007
110
Hiroshi KUWAMORI and
Nobuhiro OKAMOTO
Industrial Networks between China and the Countries of the
Asia-Pacific Region 2007
109 Yasushi UEKIIndustrial Development and the Innovation System of theEthanol Sector in Brazil
2007
108 Shinichi SHIGETOMIPublicness and Taken-for-granted Knowledge:A Case Study of Communal Land Formation in Rural Thailand
2007
107 Yasushi HAZAMAPublic Support for Enlargement: Economic, Cultural, or
Normative?2007
106 Seiro ITO Bounding ATE with ITT 2007
105 Tatsufumi YAMAGATASecuring Medical Personnel: Case Studies of Two SourceCountries and Two Destination Countries
2007
104 Tsutomu TAKANE
Customary Land Tenure, Inheritance Rules, and Smallholder
Farmers in Malawi 2007
103Aya OKADA and N. S.SIDDHARTHAN
Industrial Clusters in India: Evidence from AutomobileClusters in Chennai and the National Capital Region
2007
102 Bo MENG and Chao QUApplication of the Input-Output Decomposition Technique toChina's Regional Economies
2007
101 Tatsufumi YAMAGATAProspects for Development of the Garment Industry inDeveloping Countries: What Has Happened since the MFAPhase-Out?
2007
100 Akifumi KUCHIKIThe Flowchart Model of Cluster Policy:The Automobile Industry Cluster in China
2007
99
Seiro ITOH, Mariko
WATANABE, and NoriyukiYANAGAWA
Financial Aspects of Transactions with FDI: Trade CreditProvision by SMEs in China 2007
98 Norio KONDO Election Studies in India 2007
97 Mai FUJITALocal Firms in Latecomer Developing Countries amidstChina's Rise - The case of Vietnam's motorcycle industry
2007
96Kazushi TAKAHASHI andKeijiro OTSUKA
Human Capital Investment and Poverty Reduction over Generations: A Case from the Rural Philippines, 1979-2003
2007
95 Kazushi TAKAHASHISources of Regional Disparity in Rural Vietnam: Oaxaca-Blinder Decomposition
2007
94 Hideki HIRAIZUMIChanges in the Foreign Trade Structure of the Russian Far East
under the Process of Transition toward a Market Economy
2007
93 Junko MIZUNODifferences in Technology Transfers to China amongEuropean and Japanese Elevator Companies
2007
92 Kazuhiko OYAMADAIs It Worthwhile for Indonesia to Rush into a Free Trade Dealwith Japan?
2007
7/28/2019 bank borrowing.pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/bank-borrowingpdf 20/23
No. Author(s) Title
91 Haruka I. MATSUMOTOThe Evolution of the "One China" Concept in the Process of Taiwan's Democratization
2007
90 Koji KUBO Natural Gas and Seeming Dutch Disease 2007
89 Akifumi KUCHIKIClusters and Innovation: Beijing's Hi-technology IndustryCluster and Guangzhou's Automobile Industry Cluster
2007
88 DING Ke
Domestic Market-based Industrial Cluster Development in
Modern China 2007
87 Koji KUBODo Foreign Currency Deposits Promote or Deter Financial Development in Low-income Countries?:An Empirical Analysis of Cross-section Data
2007
86 G. BALATCHANDIRANE IT Offshoring and India: Some Implications 200785 G. BALATCHANDIRANE IT Clusters in India 2007
84 Tomohiro MACHIKITAAre Job Networks Localized in a Developing Economy?Search Methods for Displaced Workers in Thailand
2006
83 Tomohiro MACHIKITACareer Crisis? Impacts of Financial Shock on the Entry-LevelLabor Market: Evidence from Thailand
2006
82 Tomohiro MACHIKITA
Is Learning by Migrating to a Megalopolis Really Important?
Evidence from Thailand 2006
81 Asao ANDO and Bo MENGTransport Sector and Regional Price Differentials:A SCGE Model for Chinese Provinces
2006
80 Yuka KODAMAPoverty Analysis of Ethiopian Females in the Amhara Region:Utilizing BMI as an Indicator of Poverty
2006
79 So UMEZAKIMonetary and Exchange Rate Policy in Malaysia before theAsian Crisis
2006
78 Ikuo KUROIWA Rules of Origin and Local Content in East Asia 2006
77 Daisuke HIRATSUKAOutward FDI from and Intraregional FDI in ASEAN:Trends and Drivers
2006
76 Masahisa FUJITA
Economic Development Capitalizing on Brand Agriculture:
Turning Development Strategy on Its Head 2006
75 DING KeDistribution System of China’s Industrial Clusters:Case Study of Yiwu China Commodity City
2006
74Emad M. A. ABDULLATIFAlani
Crowding-Out and Crowding-In Effects of Government BondsMarket on Private Sector Investment (Japanese Case Study)
2006
73 Tatsuya SHIMIZU Expansion of Asparagus Production and Exports in Peru 2006
72 Hitoshi SUZUKIThe Nature of the State in Afghanistan and Its Relations with
Neighboring Countries2006
71 Akifumi KUCHIKI An Asian Triangle of Growth and Cluster-to-Cluster Linkages 2006
70 Takayuki TAKEUCHIIntegration under ‘One Country, Two Systems’ - The Case of Mainland China and Hong Kong-
2006
69 Shinichi SHIGETOMI Bringing Non-governmental Actors into the PolicymakingProcess: The Case of Local Development Policy in Thailand
2006
68 Kozo KUNIMUNE Financial Cooperation in East Asia 2006
67 Yasushi UEKIExport-Led Growth and Geographic Distribution of the PoultryMeat Industry in Brazil
2006
66 Toshihiro KUDOMyanmar's Economic Relations with China: Can ChinaSupport the Myanmar Economy?
2006
65 Akifumi KUCHIKI Negative Bubbles and Unpredictability of Financial Markets:The Asian Currency Crisis in 1997
2006
64 Ken IMAI Explaining the Persistence of State-Ownership in China 2006
63
Koichi FUJITA and Ikuko
OKAMOTO
Agricultural Policies and Development of Myanmar
Agriculture: An Overview 2006
62 Tatsufumi YAMAGATAThe Garment Industry in Cambodia: Its Role in PovertyReduction through Export-Oriented Development
2006
61 Hisaki KONOIs Group Lending A Good Enforcement Scheme for AchievingHigh Repayment Rates?Evidence from Field Experiments inVietnam
2006
7/28/2019 bank borrowing.pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/bank-borrowingpdf 21/23
No. Author(s) Title
60 Hiroshi KUWAMORIThe Role of Distance in Determining International TransportCosts: Evidence from Philippine Import Data
2006
59 Tatsuya SHIMIZU Executive Managers in Peru's Family Businesses 2006
58 Noriyuki YANAGAWA, SeiroITO, and Mariko WATANABE
Trade Credits under Imperfect Enforcement: A Theory with aTest on Chinese Experience
2006
57
Reiko AOKI, Kensuke KUBO,
and Hiroko YAMANE
Indian Patent Policy and Public Health: Implications from the
Japanese Experience 2006
56 Koji KUBOThe Degree of Competition in the Thai Banking Industry
before and after the East Asian Crisis2006
55 Jiro OKAMOTOAustralia's Foreign Economic Policy: A 'State-SocietyCoalition' Approach and a Historical Overview
2006
54 Yusuke OKAMOTOIntegration versus Outsourcing in Stable Industry Equilibriumwith Communication Networks
2006
53Hikari ISHIDO andYusuke OKAMOTO
Winner-Take-All Contention of Innovation under Globalization: A Simulation Analysis and East Asia’s Empirics
2006
52 Masahiro KODAMA Business Cycles of Non-mono-cultural Developing Economies 2006
51
Arup MITRA and Yuko
TSUJITA
Migration and Wellbeing at the Lower Echelons of the
Economy: A Study of Delhi Slums 2006
50
Bo MENG, Hajime SATO, Jun NAKAMURA, NobuhiroOKAMOTO, HiroshiKUWAMORI, and SatoshiINOMATA
Interindustrial Structure in the Asia-Pacific Region: Growthand Integration, by Using 2000 AIO Table
2006
49Maki AOKI-OKABE, YokoKAWAMURA, and ToichiMAKITA
International Cultural Relations of Postwar Japan 2006
48 Arup MITRA and Hajime SATOAgglomeration Economies in Japan: Technical Efficiency,Growth and Unemployment
2006
47 Shinichi SHIGETOMIOrganization Capability of Local Societies in RuralDevelopment: A Comparative Study of MicrofinanceOrganizations in Thailand and the Philippines
2006
46 Yasushi HAZAMA Retrospective Voting in Turkey: Macro and Micro Perspectives 2006
45Kentaro YOHIDA and Machiko
NAKANISHIFactors Underlying the Formation of Industrial Clusters inJapan and Industrial Cluster Policy: A Quantitative Survey
2005
44 Masanaga KUMAKURA Trade and Business Cycle Correlations in Asia-Pacific 2005
43 Ikuko OKAMOTOTransformation of the Rice Marketing System and Myanmar'sTransition to a Market Economy
2005
42 Toshihiro KUDO
The Impact of United States Sanctions on the Myanmar
Garment Industry 2005
41 Yukihito SATOPresident Chain Store Corporation's Hsu Chong-Jen: A CaseStudy of a Salaried Manager in Taiwan
2005
40 Taeko HOSHINO Executive Managers in Large Mexican Family Businesses 2005
39 Chang Soo CHOEKey Factors to Successful Community Development: TheKorean Experience
2005
38 Toshihiro KUDO Stunted and Distorted Industrialization in Myanmar 2005
37Etsuyo MICHIDA and Koji
NISHIKIMI North-South Trade and Industly-Specific Pollutants 2005
36 Akifumi KUCHIKI Theory of a Flowchart Approach to Industrial Cluster Policy 2005
35 Masami ISHIDA
Effectiveness and Challenges of Three Economic Corridors of
the Greater Mekong Sub-region 2005
34 Masanaga KUMAKURATrade, Exchange Rates, and Macroeconomic Dynamics in EastAsia: Why the Electronics Cycle Matters
2005
33 Akifumi KUCHIKITheoretical Models Based on a Flowchart Approach toIndustrial Cluster Policy
2005
7/28/2019 bank borrowing.pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/bank-borrowingpdf 22/23
No. Author(s) Title
32 Takao TSUNEISHIThe Regional Development Policy of Thailand and ItsEconomic Cooperation with Neighboring Countries
2005
31 Yuko TSUJITAEconomic Reform and Social Setor Expenditures: A Study of Fifteen Indian States 1980/81-1999/2000
2005
30 Satoshi INOMATATowards the Compilation of the Consistent Asian InternationalI-O Table: The Report of the General Survey on National I-O
Tables
2005
29 Bo MENG and Asao ANDOAn Economic Derivation of Trade Coefficients under theFramework of Multi-regional I-O Analysis
2005
28 Nobuhiro OKAMOTO, TakaoSANO, and Satoshi INOMATA
Estimation Technique of International Input-Output Model by Non-survey Method
2005
27Masahisa FUJITA and TomoyaMORI
Frontiers of the New Economic Geography 2005
26 Hiroko UCHIMURA Influence of Social Institutions on Inequality in China 2005
25Shinichiro OKUSHIMA andHiroko UCHIMURA
Economic Reforms and Income Inequality in Urban China 2005
24 Banri ITO and TatsufumiYAMAGATA
Who Develops Innovations in Medicine for the Poor? Trends
in Patent Applications Related to Medicines for HIV/AIDS,Tuberculosis, Malaria and Neglected Diseases
2005
23 Etsuyo MICHIDAManagement for a Variety of Environmental Pollution and
North-South Trade2005
22 Daisuke HIRATSUKA The "Catching Up" Process of Manufacturing in East Asia 2005
21Masahisa FUJITA and TomoyaMORI
Transport Development and the Evolution of EconomicGeography
2005
20 Graciana B. FEMENTIRACase Study of Applied LIP Approach/Activities in thePhilippines: The Training Services Enhancement Project for Rural Life Improvement (TSEP-RLI) Experience
2005
19 Hitoshi SUZUKI
Structural Changes and Formation of Rū st ā-shahr in Post-
revolutionary Rural Society in Iran 2004
18Tomokazu ARITA, MasahisaFUJITA, and YoshihiroKAMEYAMA
Regional Cooperation of Small & Medium Firms in JapaneseIndustrial Clusters
2004
17 Karma URA Peasantry and Bureaucracy in Decentralization in Bhutan 2004
16Masahisa FUJITA and ToshitakaGOKAN
On the Evolution of the Spatial Economy with Multi-unit・Multi-plant Firms: The Impact of IT Development
2004
15 Koji KUBOImperfect Competition and Costly Screening in the CreditMarket under Conditions of Asymmetric Information
2004
14Marcus BERLIANT andMasahisa FUJITA
Knowledge Creation as a Square Dance on the Hilbert Cube 2004
13 Gamini KEERAWELLA Formless as Water, Flaming as a Fire – Some observations onthe Theory and Practice of Self-Determination
2004
12 Taeko HOSHINOFamily Business in Mexico: Responses to Human ResourceLimitations and Management Succession
2004
11 Hikari ISHIDO East Asia’s Economic Development cum Trade “Divergence” 2004
10 Akifumi KUCHIKIPrioritization of Policies: A Prototype Model of a FlowchartMethod
2004
9 Sanae SUZUKI Chairmanship in ASEAN+3: A Shared Rule of Behaviors 2004
8Masahisa FUJITA and ShlomoWEBER
On Labor Complementarity, Cultural Frictions and StrategicImmigration Policies
2004
7 Tatsuya SHIMIZU
Family Business in Peru: Survival and Expansion under the
Liberalization 2004
6 Katsumi HIRANOMass Unemployment in South Africa: A Comparative Studywith East Asia
2004
5Masahisa FUJITA and Jacques-Francois THISSE
Globalization and the Evolution of the Supply Chain: WhoGains and Who Loses?
2004
7/28/2019 bank borrowing.pdf
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/bank-borrowingpdf 23/23
No. Author(s) Title
4 Karma URAThe First Universal Suffrage Election, at County (Gewog)Level, in Bhutan
2004
3 Gamini KEERAWELLAThe LTTE Proposals for an Interim Self-Governing Authorityand Future of the Peace Process in Sri Lanka
2004
2 Takahiro FUKUNISHIInternational Competitiveness of Manufacturing Firms in Sub-Saharan Africa
2004
1 Pk. Md. Motiur RAHMAN andTatsufumi YAMAGATA
Business Cycles and Seasonal Cycles in Bangladesh 2004