Ballistic Missile Defense Overview

By: Dr. David Burns Program Executive for Advanced Technology

Missile Defense Agency

November 14, 2013

To: SMD Working Group

Approved for Public Release

13-MDA-7626 (12 November 13)

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The Increasing Ballistic Missile Threat

Theater Ballistic Missile Force Levels Not including U.S., China, Russia or NATO

Sources: NASIC, Ballistic and Cruise Missile Threat, 2009; DIA, Iran’s Military Power, Statement before the Senate Armed Serv ices Committee, 14 APR 10; Annual Report on Military Power of Iran, April 2012DNI,

Remarks, Worldwide Threat Assessment to the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence, 12 March 2013; Full Update, DIA, Annual Threat Assessment 2008, 2012; MSIC, e-mail, RE: Unclassified Force Level

Numbers, 6 April 2012; DNI, Unclassified Report to Congress on the Acquisition of Technology Relating to Weapons of Mass Destruction and Advanced Conventional Munitions, Covering 1 JAN to 31 DEC 2011;

NSA-FCS5, e-mail, KN08 Classification, 20 Jan 2013FARS News Agency, Korea Central News Agency, Yonhap News Agency

5890 6240

6380 7150

7950

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

8000

2008 2010 2012 2015 2020

SRBM

MRBM

IRBM

Total

North Korean KN-08 ICBM

Launcher on Parade, 2012

Iranian Safir SLV

on Launch Pad, 2011

NK Taepo Dong-2

SLV Launch, 2012 North Korean Mobile IRBM

on Parade, 2010

• Increasing theater threat capabilities

- Accuracy & Range

- North Korea developing new IRBM

• Developing ICBM threat

- North Korea developing KN-08 ICBM

- Iran may be technically capable of flight-testing an ICBM by 2015

- Space Launch Vehicles (SLV) could serve as a test beds for ICBM technologies

• Challenging Missile Defense

- Maneuver / Salvo firings / Countermeasures

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Today’s Ballistic Missile Defense System

3 ncr-113929 / 12/01/11 Approved for Public Release 12- MDA-6524 (17 January 2012)

Approved for Public Release

12-MDA-6946 (12 Jul 12)

Approved for Public Release

12-MDA-6946 (12 Jul 12)

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Homeland Defense Upgrades

Fort Greely Missile Field 2 2012

Clear Radar Upgrade

2017

Cape Cod Radar Upgrade

2018

Fylingdales Radar Upgrade

2010 √

Thule Radar Upgrade

2011 √

√ Sensor Upgrades

Missile Assembly

Building (MAB) √

Infrastructure Upgrades 2012

Power Plant √

Silo

Fire Control Upgrades

√ 2nd Fort Greely

Fire Control Node 2011

Fort Drum In-Flight Interceptor

Communications System

Data Terminal (IDT) 2015

Refurbish Missile Field 1

Hardened 6 Silos

Add 14 Ground-based

Interceptors at Fort Greely

2nd AN/TPY-2 Radar, Japan

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• Phase I

- Aegis Ballistic Missile Defense (BMD) ships on station

- AN/TPY-2 radar deployed to Turkey

- Updated Command, Control, Battle Management and

Communications (C2BMC)

- NATO Interim BMD Capability

• Phases II and III

- International Agreements with Romania, Spain and Poland

• Contributions of missile defense assets from Allies

Regional Defense – European Phased Adaptive Approach –

Aegis BMD 3.6.1 with SM-3 Block IA

C2BMC and NATO BMD

AIRCOM

Ramstein

C2BMC

Ramstein

FTM -15

• Aegis Launch on Remote

• Intercept of an IRBM Target

April 2011

U.S.–Romania Ballistic Missile Defense Agreement

December 2011

U.S.–Poland Ballistic Missile Defense Agreement

September 2011

Spain agrees to host U.S. Aegis BMD Ships

October 2011

AN/TPY-2 Radar in Kurecik, Turkey

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Maturity Of Missile Defense Testing – Operationally Configured Interceptors –

Ground-based Midcourse Defense

3 for 6

Test Complexity Increases After Each Success

Patriot

21 for 25

Aegis BMD

18 for 21

Terminal High Altitude Area Defense 11 for 11

October 25, 2012

• 2 for 3 Ballistic Missiles Intercepted

• 2 for 2 Cruise Missiles Intercepted (Army Program)

USS LAKE ERIE

Satellite Engagement (special mission)

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United Arab Emirates: Foreign Military Sales cases for THAAD and PAC-3

Israel: Arrow Deployed, Arrow System Improvement Program; development of David’s Sling Weapon System; Iron Dome

Qatar: Missile defense discussions

Middle East

Kuwait: Missile defense discussions

Italy: BMD Framework Partner

Denmark: BMD Framework Partner; Thule

Upgraded Early Warning Radar; RDT&E

Cooperative Project

Poland: Agreed to host Aegis Ashore

Czech Republic: BMD Framework Partner; R&D Cooperative Project

Netherlands: PAC-3; Maritime

BMD studies

France: University to University

NATO: NATO BMD Interim Capability ALTBMD, IOC & FOC and BMD (Territorial Missile Defense)

International Partners

Europe

Romania: Agreed to host Aegis Ashore Japan: BMD Framework Partner; AN/TPY-2 radar host, 21" Missile Development; 4 Aegis BMD capable ships

Australia: BMD Framework Partner; R&D Cooperative Project

ROK: Missile defense discussions

Asia / Pacific

Engagement /

Outreach

Missile Defense

Analysis

Cooperative Missile

Defense Projects Co-development Deployment

UK: BMD Framework Partner; Fylingdales

Upgraded Early Warning Radar, Joint Project

Arrangements for Cooperative Projects Turkey: AN/TPY-2 radar host, R&D Cooperative Project

Germany: PAC-3; PA on Laser Communications Experiment

Saudi Arabia: Missile defense discussions; PAC-3 purchase

Spain: Hosting BMD-capable ships to support NATO BMD and other missions

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Advanced Technology Contributions To The BMDS

Advanced Research

Advanced Concepts & Performance

Assessment

Weapons Technology

Discrimination Sensor Technology

End-to-End Evaluation of Future Concepts

Notional

Common Kill

Vehicle

Technology High Altitude Characterization

Efficient Laser Technology

Improved

Focal

Plane

Arrays

Higher

Sensitivity

Infrared

Detector

Material

RV

Booster

Improve Multi-Band Tracking

Interceptor Components Advanced Fiber Lasers

Data Fusion

MTS-B

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Discrimination Sensor Technology

• Stay ahead of the evolving threat

• Integrate & test sensors on unmanned

aircraft

• Demonstrate airborne launch-on-remote

precision tracking & multi-color

discrimination

• Demonstrate advanced discrimination

capability

• Develop & demonstrate key component

technology

• Mature sensor technology for multi-

mission applications

MTS-B Form Fit Line

Replaceable

Upgrades

Communications

Satellite

NOTIONAL OPIR

To Ground

Segment &

BMDS

Space

Sensors

To BMDS

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Discrimination Technology Roadmap

FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019

Capability Ready to

Transition to Field

Discrimination

Testbed

Advanced Sensor

Upgrades

Algorithm

Development

Multi Mission Directed Energy

Testbed

Airborne

Precision Track

Airborne

Discrimination

Advanced

Discrimination

Precision Track

Testbed

Characterization/Concepts Testbed Development Integration

Platform Availability

Upgrades I&T Fab

Fab I&T Design Upgrades

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Common Kill Vehicle (CKV) Technology – A Phased Approach –

• Focus on updating kill vehicle concepts for expanded threat set and battle

space in two phases

- Phase I - single kill vehicle per interceptor

- Phase II - evolve to multiple kill vehicles per interceptor

• Near term priority on Phase I concept definition (Feb 2014)

- Focus on mature technology and component reuse (Best of Breed)

- High priority on cost effectiveness, manufacturability, supportability,

testability, and reliability

- Goal to affect next GBI procurement in 2016

• Define concept evolution path for Phase II increased capability

- Prioritize capability improvements while maintaining cost

effectiveness, manufacturability, supportability, testability

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• Multiple kill vehicles per interceptor

• Engagement management algorithms and

KV-to-KV communications

• Improved capability to integrate kill vehicle

and off-board system discrimination data

• EO/IR phenomenology TOM handover

• Improved lethality

• Re-designed unitary GBI kill vehicle – focus

on mature technology and component reuse

• High priority on improved cost effectiveness,

manufacturability, supportability, testability,

and reliability

• On-demand communications for system

discrimination data, directed engagements,

and hit assessment

• TOM correlation reliability improvements

CKV Technology Phases

Phase 1 Next buy of GBI

xx

Phase 2 Inventory replenishment & commonality

(GBI, SM-3)

GBI – Ground Based Interceptor

SM-3 – Standard Missile -3

KV – Kill Vehicle

SM-3 GBI GBI

Exceed Current BMDS Capability Defeat the evolving threat

Kill vehicle depictions are notional Approved for Public Release

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MDA Small Business Innovation Research (SBIR) /

Small Business Technology Transfer Program (STTR) Focus

• Pursue a broad range of high-risk technologies

− To search out revolutionary technologies

− Transform new technologies into actual applications for

insertion into Ballistic Missile Defense System (BMDS)

− Benefit from commercialization

• Technology Insertion into BMDS is Critical

• 4th Largest Program in Department of Defense

High Energy Laser

Low-Thrust

Plume Signature

Modeling

Lightweight

Composite

Ultra Sensitive Detector

Focal Plane Arrays

Low

Temperature

Battery

Ruggedized

Electronics Seeker Technology

Approved for Public Release

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University Engagement / International

• Foster cutting edge research between US and foreign universities

of allied nations

• Cooperative technology development

- Current technology projects

- Multi-Modality Image Reconstruction

- Polymer Parts with Tailored Microstructure

- Fast Deposition of Diamond Films

- Integrated Framework for Replicability into High Assurance System Simulations

• Current collaborating universities:

- University of Nebraska and Universite’ De Bordeaux, France

- University of Nebraska and Universite’ De Rouen, France

- North Carolina State University and Czech Technical University, Prague

- Auburn University and Middle East Technical University, Ankara

Approved for Public Release

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Science, Technology, Engineering, and Mathematics (STEM) Outreach Program

• Purpose

- Expose K-12 students to STEM fields, curricula, and activities, to

increase the number of American scientists and engineers in the

United States

• Objectives

- Increase the number of high school graduates declaring a college

major in a STEM field

- Inspire K-12 grade students about career paths and the activities of

scientists and engineers

- Investigate real-life, practical uses for applied math and science in

K-12 grade classrooms

- Present the importance of STEM career opportunities to school

personnel, parents, and supporting institutions

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Summary

• Balance of capabilities, requirements, and risks to deter

aggression, project power, and protect U.S. and allied interests

• Deployment of capabilities ongoing to respond to warfighter

requirements

• Developing, building and using a global C2 and sensor network

• Operationally realistic, integrated testing

• Continued cooperation with allies and partners for interoperable

missile defense

Missile Defense Capability – Globally Deployed

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