aylett & co march 2014

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Senate Group 14 March 2014

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Page 1: Aylett & Co March 2014

Senate Group14 March 2014

Page 2: Aylett & Co March 2014

Data as at 28 February 2014

USD 53%

GBP 10%

SEK 1%ASIAN 0%

JPY 0% (USD)

AUD 1%

ZAR 23%

EUR 10%CHF 2%

The Cape Argus Cycle Tour x 2

Page 3: Aylett & Co March 2014

Data as at 28 February 2014

Agenda

Update on Aylett & Co.

Nedgroup Bravata Fund

Investment Strategy

Page 4: Aylett & Co March 2014

Data as at 28 February 2014

Key facts• Founded in 2005

• Independent Asset Management Boutique

• Our view is long term and legacy inspired

• Bottom-up stock pickers

• Tested philosophy and robust investment process

• Integrity, energy and intelligent behaviour form part of the Aylett & Co. ethos.

Update on Aylett & Co.

Page 5: Aylett & Co March 2014

Data as at 28 February 2014

Aylett at a glance• Assets under management

Update on Aylett & Co.

Page 6: Aylett & Co March 2014

Data as at 28 February 2014

AUM Breakdown• Total AUM: R2.1 billion

Update on Aylett & Co.

Equity Mandates50%

Worldwide Mandates39%

Balanced Manadates8%

Absolute Return and Hedge Fund Mandates

3%

Equity Mandates

Worldwide Mandates

Balanced Mandates

Absolute Return and Hedge Fund Mandates

Product Split:

Page 7: Aylett & Co March 2014

Data as at 28 February 2014

Aylett at a glance• Assets under management

• Continue to experience flows

Update on Aylett & Co.

Page 8: Aylett & Co March 2014

Data as at 28 February 2014

Aylett at a glance• Assets under management

• Continue to experience flows

• Team of 8 with strong academic credentials

Update on Aylett & Co.

Page 9: Aylett & Co March 2014

Data as at 28 February 2014

Aylett at a glance• Assets under management

• Continue to experience flows

• Team of 8 with strong academic credentials

• Diverse product offering

Update on Aylett & Co.

Page 10: Aylett & Co March 2014

Data as at 28 February 2014

Aylett & Co. Products

Update on Aylett & Co.

Page 11: Aylett & Co March 2014

Data as at 28 February 2014

Aylett & Co. Products

Update on Aylett & Co.

-500

0

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1 000

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4Q

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AuM (Mn)

Aum (Mn)

Bravata launched 1 October 2005

Equity Fund launched 3 July 2006

Hedge Fund I launched 13 June 2008

Hedge Fund II launched 1 September 2011

The Aylett Hedge Fund – 1 September 2013

Balanced Fund launched 1 November 2013

Page 12: Aylett & Co March 2014

Data as at 28 February 2014

Aylett at a glance• Assets under management

• Continue to experience flows

• Team of 8 with strong academic credentials

• Diverse product offering

• Performance has been excellent across all products

Update on Aylett & Co.

Page 13: Aylett & Co March 2014

Data as at 28 February 2014

-20

20

60

100

140

180

220

260

300

340

-25

0

25

50

75

100

125

150

175

200

225

Jul-06 Jan-07 Jul-07 Jan-08 Jul-08 Jan-09 Jul-09 Jan-10 Jul-10 Jan-11 Jul-11 Jan-12 Jul-12 Jan-13 Jul-13 Jan-14

Cumulative Outperformance

Aylett Equity Prescient Fund - A1

ALSI TRI* Indexed

* Total Return Index assumes dividends and distributions are reinvested**Cumulative outperformance since inception is 41.10%

Source: Bloomberg, end February 2014

AYEPF Cumulative Outperformance

AYEPF Performance

Page 14: Aylett & Co March 2014

Data as at 28 February 2014

Oct-05 Apr-06 Oct-06 Apr-07 Oct-07 Apr-08 Oct-08 Apr-09 Oct-09 Apr-10 Oct-10 Apr-11 Oct-11 Apr-12 Oct-12 Apr-13 Oct-13

95

120

145

170

195

220

245

270

Source: Bloomberg, inception to end February 2014

Bravata

CPI Indexed

CPI + 5 Indexed

Nedgroup Bravata Worldwide Flexible Fund

Bravata Performance

Page 15: Aylett & Co March 2014

Data as at 28 February 2014

Jun-08 Oct-08 Feb-09 Jun-09 Oct-09 Feb-10 Jun-10 Oct-10 Feb-11 Jun-11 Oct-11 Feb-12 Jun-12 Oct-12 Feb-13 Jun-13 Oct-13 Feb-14

50

75

100

125

150

175

200Fund Indexed

STeFI Indexed

Note: Fund structure changed on 1 September 2013 Source: Bloomberg, inception to end February 2014Fund outperformance since inception is 36.6%

The Aylett Hedge Fund

AHF Performance

Page 16: Aylett & Co March 2014

Nedgroup Bravata Worldwide Flexible Fund

Page 17: Aylett & Co March 2014

Data as at 28 February 2014

What is Bravata?Bravata is a rand denominated Worldwide Asset

Allocation Flexible Fund

• Worldwide: Bravata may invest in both South African and foreign markets. No minima are set for either domestic or foreign assets.

• Flexible Asset Allocation: the portfolio can invest in a flexible combination of investments in equities, bonds and money thus giving exposure to multiple asset classes.

• Rand Denominated: allows easy offshore exposure without the hassle of exchanging currency and SARB applications.

Nedgroup Bravata

Page 18: Aylett & Co March 2014

Data as at 28 February 2014

Our value proposition• Amongst peers, Bravata has performed well

Bravata Performance

Page 19: Aylett & Co March 2014

Data as at 28 February 2014

Our value proposition• Amongst peers, Bravata has performed well

Bravata Performance

For internal use only as this does not comply with the code of advertising for unit trusts

YTD 1 year 2 years 3 years 5 years 7 years

2014/01/01 2013/03/01 2012/03/01 2011/03/01 2009/03/01 2007/03/01

2014/02/28 2014/02/28 2014/02/28 2014/02/28 2014/02/28 2014/02/28

Group/Investment Return Rank Return Rank Return Rank Return Rank Return Rank Return Rank

(ASISA) Wwide MA Flexible

Coronation Optimum Growth A 1.07 16 37.57 4 33.96 2 27.26 1 22.99 1 11.01 4

Foord Flexible FoF R 0.96 17 27.64 7 28.23 4 24.67 3 22.85 2

Coronation Market Plus 1.64 9 23.33 15 23.09 12 19.39 6 22.84 3 13.48 1

Efficient BCI Worldwide Flexible 0.71 19 21.60 17 23.48 10 19.03 8 18.73 4 12.75 2

Nedgroup Inv Bravata Ww Flex A 0.79 18 29.42 6 28.08 5 21.38 4 17.87 5 10.71 5

Oasis Crescent Worldwide Flexible FoF D 3.21 4 26.35 9 23.93 9 17.16 10 17.74 6

Imalivest MET Worldwide Flexible 3.08 5 43.25 1 37.25 1 24.73 2 16.52 7

MET Worldwide Opportunities FoF A -1.55 29 16.51 20 19.74 17 15.46 15 16.24 8

Marriott Worldwide Flexible FoF 0.68 20 25.36 11 24.79 7 18.62 9 15.44 9 7.80 6

MitonOptimal IP Worldwide Flex FoF A1 1.55 11 23.73 13 21.07 14 16.02 13 15.37 10

Consilium MET Worldwide Flexible 0.48 25 26.33 10 25.00 6 19.27 7 15.33 11

Quantum MET Worldwide Flexible FoF 0.59 23 23.33 16 20.69 15 15.97 14 14.59 12

Olympiad MET Worldwide Flexible FoF 0.61 22 16.11 21 19.55 18 14.98 17 13.54 13 5.01 9

Flagship IP Worldwide Flexible 5.25 1 41.13 2 23.24 11 16.19 12 13.22 14 6.44 8

Analytics ACi Worldwide Flexible FoF A 1.90 8 24.46 12 22.52 13 15.45 16 12.44 15 7.23 7

Flagship IP Worldwide Flexible FoF 4.64 2 40.35 3 28.48 3 21.12 5 11.99 16 11.94 3

GCI MET Worldwide Flexible FoF 1.35 14 17.11 19 16.57 19 11.97 18 9.47 17

Peer Group Average 1.25 26.753 24.039 18.648 16.304 9.5969

Peer Group Count 30 21 20 18 17 9

Page 20: Aylett & Co March 2014

Data as at 28 February 2014

Our value proposition• Amongst peers, Bravata has performed well

• Amongst worldwide flexible choices Bravata has been a better performer than offshore flexible funds

Bravata Performance

Page 21: Aylett & Co March 2014

Data as at 28 February 2014

• Amongst worldwide flexible choices Bravata has been a better performer than offshore flexible funds

Our value proposition

Bravata Performance

For internal use only as this does not comply with the code of advertising for unit trusts

Group/Investment Return Rank Return Rank Return Rank Return Rank Return Rank Return Rank

(ASISA) Wwide MA Flexible and Global Wwide Flexible

Coronation Optimum Growth A 1.07 32 37.57 7 33.96 4 27.26 2 22.99 1 11.01 4

Coronation Global Em Mkts Flex [ZAR] A -2.68 48 21.44 33 26.17 18 19.79 17 22.98 2

Foord Flexible FoF R 0.96 34 27.64 20 28.23 16 24.67 5 22.85 3

Coronation Market Plus 1.64 24 23.33 30 23.09 28 19.39 19 22.84 4 13.48 1

RE:CM Global FF A 4.45 3 47.31 1 38.66 1 30.31 1 20.14 5

Efficient BCI Worldwide Flexible 0.71 36 21.60 32 23.48 26 19.03 21 18.73 6 12.75 2

Old Mutual Intl Gth FoF A 2.47 16 43.99 2 35.55 3 25.69 3 18.30 7 8.64 9

Nedgroup Inv Bravata Ww Flex A 0.79 35 29.42 17 28.08 17 21.38 13 17.87 8 10.71 5

Oasis Crescent Worldwide Flexible FoF D 3.21 7 26.35 23 23.93 24 17.16 24 17.74 9

Imalivest MET Worldwide Flexible 3.08 8 43.25 3 37.25 2 24.73 4 16.52 10

MET Worldwide Opportunities FoF A -1.55 47 16.51 36 19.74 33 15.46 30 16.24 11

Marriott Worldwide Flexible FoF 0.68 37 25.36 25 24.79 22 18.62 22 15.44 12 7.80 11

MitonOptimal IP Worldwide Flex FoF A1 1.55 26 23.73 28 21.07 30 16.02 28 15.37 13

Consilium MET Worldwide Flexible 0.48 42 26.33 24 25.00 21 19.27 20 15.33 14

Quantum MET Worldwide Flexible FoF 0.59 40 23.33 31 20.69 31 15.97 29 14.59 15

Discovery Global Balanced FoF 2.98 11 34.58 11 29.94 11 22.12 10 14.48 16

Marriott International Growth FF A 2.94 12 36.29 9 31.97 7 23.17 6 14.30 17 7.66 13

Peer Group Count 49 37 36 34 33 20

2012/03/01

2014/02/28

2011/03/01

2014/02/28

2009/03/01

2014/02/28

2007/03/01

2014/02/28

2014/01/01

2014/02/28

2013/03/01

2014/02/28

YTD 1 year 2 years 3 years 5 years 7 years

Page 22: Aylett & Co March 2014

Nedgroup Bravata Worldwide Flexible Fund

Portfolio Detail

Page 23: Aylett & Co March 2014

Data as at 28 February 2014

Bravata Portfolio Detail

Top 15 Holdings % NAV (physical)

1 Berkshire Hath-B 5%

2 Cisco Systems 4%

3 Orbis-Jpn Eqt Us 4%

4 Wal-Mart Stores 3%

5 Loews Corp 3%

6 Bank Ny Mellon 2%

7 Sanofi 2%

8 Barclays Africa 2%

9 Tesco Plc 2%

10 Redwood Trust 2%

11 Carrefour Sa 2%

12 Recm & Calibre L 1%

13 Leucadia Natl 1%

14 Bp Plc 1%

15 Pargesa Holdi-Br 1%

Total 36.0%

Bonds 9%

Cash44%

Equity 47%

Asset Allocation

Page 24: Aylett & Co March 2014

Data as at 28 February 2014

Bonds 9%

Cash44%

South African Equity

6%

USA Equity24%

European Equity6%

UK Equity4%

Japanese Equity

4%

Swedish Equity0%

Australian Equity1%

Swiss Equity2%

Other47%

Asset Allocation & Equity Split• Total AUM: R828 million

Bravata Portfolio Detail

Page 25: Aylett & Co March 2014

Data as at 28 February 2014

Regional Currency Exposure

Bravata Portfolio Detail

USD 53%

GBP 10%

SEK 1%ASIAN 0%

JPY 0% (USD)

AUD 1%

ZAR 23%

EUR 10%CHF 2%

Page 26: Aylett & Co March 2014

Data as at 28 February 2014

Investments with great yields

Bravata Portfolio Detail

Page 27: Aylett & Co March 2014

Data as at 28 February 2014

Income Enhancing Strategies• ALE Property Group

Bravata Portfolio Detail

Page 28: Aylett & Co March 2014

Data as at 28 February 2014

ALE Property Group

Page 29: Aylett & Co March 2014

Data as at 28 February 2014

Income Enhancing Strategies• ALE shares ▫ Aug 2010 bought ALE shares to the value of AUS $326,000

▫ June 2012 profit + dividends amount to AUS $81,000

▫ Yield of approximately 12% per annum

ALE Property Group

Page 30: Aylett & Co March 2014

Data as at 28 February 2014

Income Enhancing Strategies• ALE shares

• ALE notes▫ April 2011 started buying ALE notes

▫ Bought to the value of AUS $205,000

▫ To date have earned roughly AUS $42,000

▫ Yield of approximately 20%

ALE Property Group

Page 31: Aylett & Co March 2014

Data as at 28 February 2014

Income Enhancing Strategies• ALE currency swaps

ALE Property Group

31 May 2013 24 June 2013 18 July 2013 11 August 2013

8.2

8.4

8.6

8.8

9

9.2

9.4

9.6

9.8

Rand vs AUS $

Page 32: Aylett & Co March 2014

Data as at 28 February 2014

Income Enhancing Strategies• ALE shares

• ALE notes

• ALE currency swaps▫ June 2013 – Aug 2013 currency swaps

▫ Rand weakened against the AUS $

▫ Swapped to the value of AUS $200,000

▫ Earned roughly R107,000

(R98,000 profit + R11,000 interest)

ALE Property Group

Page 33: Aylett & Co March 2014

Data as at 28 February 2014

Income Enhancing Strategies• ALE Property Group

• Barclays Group

Bravata Portfolio Detail

Page 34: Aylett & Co March 2014

Data as at 28 February 2014

Income Enhancing Strategies

Barclays

Page 35: Aylett & Co March 2014

Data as at 28 February 2014

Investment Ideas that worked• Reinet

Reinet

Page 36: Aylett & Co March 2014

Data as at 28 February 2014

Reinet

22/01/2014 (eur) (zar)

Reinet NAV Value Value %NAV

Listed 2 843 41 757 72%

BAT shares 2 843 41 757 72%

Other 0 0 0%

Unlisted 1 378 20 201 35%

Cash 229 3 357 6%

Derivative asset - pull and call options -4 -484 0%

Other -478 -7 007 -12%

Sub-Total 3 968 58 248 100%

Minority Interest -14 -205 0%

Total 3 954 58 043 100%

Page 37: Aylett & Co March 2014

Data as at 28 February 2014

Discount to NAV• Why would it trade at a discount?

1. Can buy underlying investments yourself2. Holdco costs

a) Management Feeb) Performance Fee

3. They tend to keep the cash

• BUT it is not justified…1. Who better to know when to sell BAT?2. History of treating minorities fairly3. Exceptional returns earned on investments to date

(which we cannot get exposure to)4. Performance Fee based on Euro price, but got headroom

(free ride)

Reinet

Page 38: Aylett & Co March 2014

Data as at 28 February 2014

Discount History

Reinet

Page 39: Aylett & Co March 2014

Data as at 28 February 2014

Discount moved from 34% to 25%

Reinet

34%25%

Page 40: Aylett & Co March 2014

Investment Strategy

Page 41: Aylett & Co March 2014

Data as at 28 February 2014

• Deflation at the FED

Investment Strategy

Page 42: Aylett & Co March 2014

Data as at 28 February 2014

US New One Family Houses Sold • Annual total

Investment Strategy

Page 43: Aylett & Co March 2014

Data as at 28 February 2014

• South Africa: Aggregate Valuations

Investment Strategy

Page 44: Aylett & Co March 2014

Data as at 28 February 2014

• South Africa vs. Emerging Markets Valuations

Investment Strategy

Page 45: Aylett & Co March 2014

Data as at 28 February 2014

• The Naspers effect

Investment Strategy

Page 46: Aylett & Co March 2014

Data as at 28 February 2014

• The Naspers effect

Investment Strategy

Page 47: Aylett & Co March 2014

Data as at 28 February 2014

• The Naspers effect

Investment Strategy

Page 48: Aylett & Co March 2014

Data as at 28 February 2014

• SA economic slowdown

Investment Strategy

Page 49: Aylett & Co March 2014

Data as at 28 February 2014

• SA economic slowdown

Investment Strategy

Page 50: Aylett & Co March 2014

Data as at 28 February 2014

• SA market is expensive

Investment Strategy

Page 51: Aylett & Co March 2014

Data as at 28 February 2014

• Taxation

Investment Strategy

Page 52: Aylett & Co March 2014

Data as at 28 February 2014

International (Offshore Equity)• Large Caps

• Predictable

• Balance Sheet Strength

• Majority US

• Small bets: Australia, Japan

Investment Strategy

Page 53: Aylett & Co March 2014

Data as at 28 February 2014

Looking forward• Avoid long term bonds

• Maintain maximum exposure offshore

• Increase exposure to small cap and mid cap markets

• “Cash is the ultimate contrarian bet”

Investment Strategy

Page 54: Aylett & Co March 2014

Data as at 28 February 2014

Aylett Wwide Flexible Performance

Investment Strategy

Page 55: Aylett & Co March 2014

Data as at 28 February 2014

Aylett & Co. is an authorised financial services provider approved by the Registrar ofFinancial Services Providers (www.fsb.co.za) to provide intermediary services andadvice in terms of the Financial Advisory and Intermediary Services Act 45 of2002. Market fluctuations and changes in rates of exchange or taxation may have aneffect on the value, price or income of investments. Since the performance offinancial markets fluctuates, an investor may not get back the full amount invested.Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future investment performance.Information and opinions have been compiled or arrived at by Aylett & Co. fromsources believed to be reliable, but Aylett & Co. does not accept liability for any lossarising from the use hereof nor makes any representation as to their accuracy orcompleteness. Any underlying research or analysis has been procured by Aylett & Co.for its own purposes and may have been acted on by Aylett & Co. or an associate forits or their own purposes.

Thank you