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March 20, 2019
Page | 1
March 20, 2019
ICICI Securities Ltd | Retail Equity Research
Company Update
RoE progression on track, valuation to sustain
Axis Bank’s top management provided deep insights into the bank’s
strategy to achieve aspired RoE of 18% in the medium term (FY22E). New
MD & CEO, Amitabh Chaudhary, showcased their Growth- Profitability-
Sustainability (G-P-S) strategy. Drivers to lead to uptick in RoE are; 1) Risk
normalisation (controlled asset quality and credit cost), 2) business mix
optimisation (RAROC based portfolio choice), 3) operating efficiency (cost
to asset ratio to trim below 2%). Our RoE estimates, without factoring in
capital infusion, are at ~15.4% in FY21E. Hence, RoE target of 18% by
FY22E, along with capital infusion, seems a bit difficult.
The management’s insight on existing processes and planned
modifications to mitigate risk (by separating credit and risk), stepping on
growth with risk adjusted return on capital (RAROC) based model under
the new leadership provide comfort about future prospects of the bank.
Focus on deposits, retail liabilities to capture credit growth
Axis Bank has a strong liability franchise. CASA deposits at | 235552
crore, account for ~46% of deposits while CASA ratio has been ~45% for
almost a decade. However, the recent slower deposit growth in industry
and also for Axis Bank, remains a key focus area to ensure profitable and
sustainable credit growth. Currently, the loan book comprises 48.9%
retail, 38% corporate and 13% SME segment, which is largely as they
would like. However, they have kept no boundary rules to keep any
proportion fixed and can vary on the basis of opportunities.
Wholesale business – The bank is not averse to corporate loan growth if
an opportunity exists on the basis of their RAROC. However, aggressive
growth in infrastructure lending is ruled out in the current scenario.
The bank intends to moderate corporate guarantee business. Hence, the
slowdown in wholesale fee is expected to continue.
Retail business – Within retail, the share of high yielding retail assets (like
credit cards, personal loans) are rising and form 37% of total retail vs.
31% earlier. Also, the share of retail fee is taking over corporate fee.
We expect loan traction of 17.4% CAGR and deposit growth of 16.9%
CAGR in FY18-21E to | 711119 crore and 724729 crore, respectively.
Moderation in overseas business is expected to continue in near term.
Contained credit costs via better risk assessment, high rated book
Almost 94% of incremental lending is to corporates with rating of A- and
above. The bank’s BB & below rated book is continuously declining to
| 7645 crore; 1.4% of gross customer assets vs. 7.3% peak in June 2016.
Corporate slippages were at | 1887 crore, of which ~98% came from BB
& below account. Hence, credit costs are expected to moderate from
3.7% to 1.1% by FY21E. With bulk of the pain recognised, lower exposure
to IL&FS and anticipated recovery of large stressed cases referred to
NCLT, we expect GNPA ratio to improve to ~4% by FY21E.
Focus on risk adjusted growth to drive returns; maintain BUY
The new CEO has outlined his strategy focused on acceleration in growth,
improving earnings and increasing sustainability. Accordingly, focus on
loans offering higher return on risk-weighted basis and tight control on
cost is seen enhancing return ratios. Contingent provision of | 600 crore
in Q3 provides comfort. Recovery from NCLT cases could act as positive
surprise. We expect PAT CAGR of 76% over FY19-21E with RoA and RoE
of 1.3% and 15.4%, respectively, by FY21E. We also build value for its
subsidiaries at | 35 per share, post 20% holding company discount. We
remain positive on the bank and upgrade our target price to | 825 (earlier
| 790) valuing core bank at 2.6x FY21E ABV. We maintain BUY rating.
Rating matrix
Rating : Buy
Target : | 825
Target Period : 12 months
Potential Upside : 10%
What’s Changed?
Target Changed from | 790 to | 825
EPS FY20E Unchanged at | 37.5
EPS FY21E Unchanged at | 49.7
Rating Unchanged
Key Financials
| crore FY18E FY19E FY20E FY21E
NII 18,618 21,659 24,981 29,487
PPP 15,594 18,467 21,388 25,875
PAT (263) 4,208 9,806 12,986
Valuation summary
FY18 FY19E FY20E FY21E
P/E NA 43.1 18.5 14.0
Target P/E NA 49.0 21.0 15.9
P/ABV 3.8 3.3 2.7 2.3
Target P/ABV 4.3 3.7 3.1 2.6
RoE -0.4 6.3 13.3 15.4
RoA (0.0) 0.6 1.1 1.3
Stock data
Market Capitalisation | 195671 crore
GNPA (Q3FY19) | 30855 crore
NNPA (Q3FY19) | 12233 crore
NIM (Q3FY19) 3.47
52 week H/L 763 /477
Net worth | 63445 Crore
Face value | 2
DII Holding (%) 19.5
FII Holding (%) 47.6
Price performance (%)
Return % 1M 3M 6M 12M
Yes Bank 16.9 38.6 -22.1 -18.4
Axis Bank 9.8 18.6 25.0 46.5
Indusind Bank 16.5 7.0 -4.4 0.4
Price Chart
0
5,000
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15,000
0
200
400
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800
Mar-
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Dec-1
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Aug-1
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Axis (R.H.S) Nifty (L.H.S)
Axis Bank (AXIBAN) | 750
Research Analyst
Kajal Gandhi
Vishal Narnolia
Harsh Shah
ICICI Securities Ltd | Retail Equity Research Page 2
Other key highlights
Axis Bank is likely to follow the acquisition route for its insurance
venture. RBI’s view on the same will be important and is likely to
lead to buying of a minority stake rather than a majority in the
near term. NoFHC
Current, CET1 is 11.77% while another 48 bps is expected to
come due to warrant conversion. This will be sufficient for the
next 12 months. If CET1 stays below 11% for a quarter or two, the
management may start thinking. At below 10.5% it will certainly
raise capital. We believe by the middle of FY21E, the bank may
look to raise capital, not factored in estimates
Exhibit 1: New organizational structure
Source: Company, ICICI Direct Research
Liability focus to fund growth
Deposits increased 26% YoY to | 514092 crore. The CASA trajectory
remained weak with ratio declining to ~46% vs. 48% in last quarter.
We expect the CASA ratio to sustain at current levels though the pace of
SA accretion may slow down. We expect total deposits to increase at
16.9% CAGR in FY18-21E.
Exhibit 2: Deposit traction to be higher than industry
324101
338343
357968
357858
380187
370790
414379
393741
416431
408967
453623
447079
479680
514092
534485
623007
724729
14.2
16.2
11.0
16.317.3
9.6
15.8
10.0 9.510.3
9.5
13.5
15.2
25.7
17.816.6 16.3
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
0
100000
200000
300000
400000
500000
600000
700000
800000
Q2FY16
Q3FY16
FY16
Q1FY17
Q2FY17
Q3FY17
FY17
Q1FY18
Q2FY18
Q3FY18
FY18E
Q1FY19
Q2FY19
Q3FY19
FY19E
FY20E
FY21E
(| crore)
Deposits Growth (RHS)
Source: Company, ICICI Direct Research
Share of government in CASA deposits is 22% in private
banks. In CA it is 15% and SA it is 10% among all banks.
ICICI Securities Ltd | Retail Equity Research Page 3
Exhibit 3: Focus on CASA +Retail term deposits to remain high
16.4 15.7 17.4 15.2 16.6 15.8 17.8 15.4 16.3 15.7 21.0 18.2 19.2 17.2 21.115.3 16.7 16.4 20.8 20.7 20.5
28.2 27.5 27.4 27.5 27.7 27.429.6
28.0 28.4 31.830.4 31.0 31.3 32.1
32.731.6 31.0 29.4
31.9 31.5 31.1
55.5 56.9 55.2 57.2 55.8 56.8 52.7 56.6 55.3 52.4 48.6 50.8 49.6 50.7 46.253.1 52.3 54.2
47.3 47.8 48.4
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Q2FY15
Q3FY15
FY15
Q1FY16
Q2FY16
Q3FY16
FY16
Q1FY17
Q2FY17
Q3FY17
FY17
Q1FY18
Q2FY18
Q3FY18
FY18E
Q1FY19
Q2FY19
Q3FY19
FY19E
FY20E
FY21E
(%
)CA SA Term deposit
Source: Company, ICICI Direct Research
ICICI Securities Ltd | Retail Equity Research Page 4
Exhibit 4: CASA+RTD…
190
117
39
17
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
Metro Urban Semi-Urban Rural
(| crore)
CASA+RTD per Branch
Source: Company, ICICI Direct Research
Exhibit 5: ..gradual decline in size of branch and manpower
100
55
40 39
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
FY13 FY14+FY15 FY16+FY17 FY18+FY19YTD
(%)
Size of Branches
Source: Company, ICICI Direct Research
Credit growth tilt to retail
Axis Bank’s advances growth in the past decade has consistently been
ahead of the industry. In the past eight years, the increase has been at
30% CAGR compared to 19% CAGR for the industry. This was due to a
sustained increase in branch network (>25% CAGR increase in branches
in the past decade) and the bank’s strong corporate relationships. One
must note that in the last few years, the difference between the bank and
industry’s growth has reduced.
Until FY12, the bank’s loan book was largely skewed towards the
corporate segment. However, later it shifted its focus towards the retail &
SME segments owing to a lack of quality growth opportunities in the
corporate segment. Since then, the retail loan proportion has increased
sharply to 49% as on Q3FY19 from 22% in FY12.
Exhibit 6: Advances expected to grow at 17.4% CAGR in FY18-21E
344,925
353,170
347,175
373,069
385,481
410,171
420,923
439,650
441,074
456,121
475,105
515,338
607,794
711,119
21.2
18.5
10.1 10.1
11.8
16.1
21.2
17.8
14.4
11.2
12.9
17.217.9
17.0
0
5
10
15
20
25
0
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
700,000
800,000
Q1FY17
Q2FY17
Q3FY17
FY17E
Q1FY18
Q2FY18
Q3FY18
FY18
Q1FY19
Q2FY19
Q3FY19
FY19E
FY20E
FY21E
(%
)
(| crore)
Advances Growth (RHS)
Source: Company, ICICI Direct Research
Exhibit 7: Proportion of retail segment on the rise to ~49% as on Q3FY19
45.9 45.9 44.7 44.5 41.8 42.1 42.2 41.0 39.7 39.1 38.2 38.0
13.2 12.6 13.0 12.4 13.2 12.4 12.9 13.0 13.4 12.9 13.2 13.1
40.9 41.5 42.3 43.1 45.0 45.5 44.9 45.9 47.0 48.0 48.6 48.9
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Q4FY16 Q1FY17 Q2FY17 Q3FY17 Q4FY17 Q1FY18 Q2FY18 Q3FY18 Q4FY18 Q1FY19 Q2FY19 Q3FY19
(%
)
Corporate SME Retail
Source: Company, ICICI Direct Research
We expect 17.4% CAGR in advances over FY18-21E to
| 711119 crore
We believe adequate capital adequacy ratio of ~16.5%,
CET1 of 11.77% and a strong branch network will aid
higher growth of the retail segment in the overall pie
ICICI Securities Ltd | Retail Equity Research Page 5
Outstanding retail advances, including retail agriculture, were at | 232397
crore as on Q3FY19, growing at 20% YoY. It accounted for 49% of net
advances of the bank. SME advances (including non-retail agriculture)
growth was at 13% YoY and were at | 62238 crore. It accounted for
~13% of net advances.
Exhibit 8: Share of high yield retail rising…
29 3137
71 6963
0
20
40
60
80
100
FY13 FY16 9MFY19
(%)
High Yield Regular Yield
Source: Company, ICICI Direct Research
Exhibit 9: ..Retail fees growing faster and corporate fee declining
13
9
4
15
11
2
5
-11-13
-21
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 9MFY19(%)
Transaction Banking Fees Corporate credit linked fees
Source: Company, ICICI Direct Research
Currently, CASA + retail term deposits constitute ~80% of total deposits.
Savings account (SA) balances have increased more than18x since FY05
to | 151380 crore as on Q3FY19. Axis Bank has the best SA/branch in the
industry of >| 40 crore.
Going ahead, strong deposit franchise has enabled the bank to maintain
healthy margins of >3% since FY08 despite a challenging environment. In
the past two years, owing to increased focus on the retail & SME
segment, yields have improved. This has further given a boost to
margins, which increased to ~3.7% as on FY17 from 3.3% in FY12.
However, owing to higher slippages in FY18, NIM witnessed pressure and
was ~3.44%. Going ahead, recoveries in stressed assets, hike in MCLR
and change in product mix is likely to provide support to margins to
remain at current level.
Exhibit 10: Margins calculated to stay at healthy level ~3.3-3.4% in next two years
3.2
3.4
3.5
3.3
3.4
3.6
3.8
3.8
3.7
3.43.4
3.4
3.4
2.9
3.0
3.1
3.2
3.3
3.4
3.5
3.6
3.7
3.8
3.9
FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18E FY19E FY20E FY21E
(%
)
NIM (calculated)
Source: Company, ICICI Direct Research
Cost optimisation
Despite a strong increase in the network, Axis Bank has managed its cost
well. The cost to income ratio (CIR) has fallen below 40% in FY16 from
The bank expects a branch network of 5000-5500 over the
longer term to be needed for a pan India presence and
various business growth
Earlier 6% of small business origination was digital, now it
is 58%
ICICI Securities Ltd | Retail Equity Research Page 6
49% in FY08. However, owing to weak operating earnings in FY17, the
ratio increased to 41% and was at 47% in FY18. Going ahead, the
management is focused on keeping a tight control on costs and bringing
down its cost to asset ratio below 2% through improvement in cost
efficiencies and focusing on digital banking and customer analytics.
Exhibit 11: Bank network increases consistently at healthy pace
19472402 2589 2904
3304 3385 3485 3589 3703 3779 3882 3964
11245
1292212355
12743
14163 14311 14332 13977 13814
12834
15940 16253
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
16000
18000
FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 Q1FY18 Q2FY18 Q3FY18 FY18E Q1FY19 Q2FY19 Q3FY19
Branches ATM
Source: Company, ICICI Direct Research
ICICI Securities Ltd | Retail Equity Research Page 7
Asset quality parameters; improvement seen ahead
Post the huge slippage at | 16536 crore in Q4FY18, the accretion came
down to | 4337 crore in Q1FY19 and further down to | 2777 crore. In
Q3FY19, the asset quality improved further. Total 98% of corporate
slippages came from disclosed BB & below accounts. The bank’s BB and
below rated book has been on a continuous decline at | 7645 crore
(| 8860 crore in Q2FY19). This is 1.4% of bank’s gross customer assets,
and is down to less than a fourth of the 7.3% peak reached in June 2016.
These accounts have been already downgraded in H1FY19 while | 100
crore has been provided in lieu of the same in Q3FY19. The bank made a
contingent provision of | 600 crore in Q3FY19 towards any potential
slippages from BB & below pool of corporate loan.
Headline asset quality witnessed an improvement with absolute GNPA at
| 30855 crore (GNPA ratio – 5.75%) vs. | 30938 crore (GNPA ratio –
5.96%) in Q2FY19. PCR improved to 75% vs. 73% QoQ.
Exposure to IL&FS is relatively lower at | 825 crore. Of this, | 238 crore is
fund based while balance | 587 crore is non-fund based. The bank had
made 20% provision in lieu of fund based exposure in Q2FY19.
With the bulk of the stress being recognised and focus of new
management to move towards better rated corporate, moderation in
slippages is seen ahead. Over the longer term, asset quality pressure is
estimated to ease. Anticipated recoveries in large cases referred to NCLT
are expected to lead to a further decline in NPA, though trajectory could
remain volatile. We expect GNPA ratio at ~4% levels by FY21E. Credit
costs are expected to moderate from 3.7% to 1.1% by FY21E.
Exhibit 12: Asset quality outlook improving in long term
16378.6
5
20466.8
2
21280
22030.8
7
27402.3
2
25000.5
1
34249
32662.4
30938.3
3
30854.6
7
34528
33068
31308
7761.1
5
8294.7
8
8627
9765.9
8
14052.3
4
11769.4
9
16592
14901.5
6
12715.7
1
12233.2
9
13695
11786
10906
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
35000
40000
Q2FY17
Q3FY17
FY17
Q1FY18
Q2FY18
Q3FY18
FY18E
Q1FY19
Q2FY19
FY19E
FY19E
FY20E
FY21E
(| c
rore
)
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
(%)
GNPA NNPA GNPA ratio NNPA ratio
Source: Company, ICICI Direct Research
The bank’s BB and below rated book was at | 7645 crore.
This is 1.4% of bank’s gross customer assets, and is down
to less than a fourth of the 7.3% peak reached in June 2016
ICICI Securities Ltd | Retail Equity Research Page 8
Outlook and valuation
The new CEO has outlined his strategy focused on acceleration in growth,
improving earnings and increasing sustainability. Accordingly, the focus
on loans offering higher return on risk-weighted basis and tight control on
cost is seen enhancing return ratios. Contingent provision of | 600 crore
in Q3 provides comfort, recovery from NCLT cases could act as positive
surprise. We expect PAT CAGR of 76% over FY19-21E and RoA and RoE
of 1.3% and 15.4%, respectively, by FY21E. We also build value for its
subsidiaries at | 35 per share, post 20% holding company discount. We
remain positive on the bank and upgrade our target price to | 825 (earlier
| 790) valuing core bank at 2.6x FY21E ABV. We maintain BUY rating.
Exhibit 13: Valuation
(| cr) (%) (| cr) (%) (x) (|) (x) (%) (%)
FY17 18,093 7.5 3,679.2 (55.3) 48.4 196.8 3.8 0.6 6.8
FY18E 18,618 2.9 (262.7) (107.1) (725.8) 182.5 4.1 (0.0) (0.4)
FY19E 21,659 16.3 4,207.7 (1,701.5) 46.1 212.9 3.5 0.6 6.3
FY20E 24,981 15.3 9,805.7 133.0 19.8 254.2 2.9 1.1 13.3
FY21E 29,487 18.0 12,985.9 32.4 14.9 303.8 2.4 1.3 15.4
Source: Company, ICICI Direct Research
Exhibit 14: RoE drivers as per management
19.7
7.3
18
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
FY11-15 (Avg) 9MFY19 Med term
(%)
ROE
Drivers to 18% ROE
1.Risk normalization
2.Business mix optimization
3.Improvment in Operating efficiency
Source: Company, ICICI Direct Research
Exhibit 15: Subsidiaries
(| crore) Income PAT AuM Income PAT AuM
Axis Finance 722 209 6624 651 155 7914
Axis AMC 0 43 67000 - 24 81622
Axis Capital 402 139 - 151 50 0
Axis Securities 951 - - 769 - -
9MFY19FY18
Source: Company, ICICI Direct Research
ICICI Securities Ltd | Retail Equity Research Page 9
Financial summary
Profit and loss statement | crore
(Year-end March) FY18 FY19E FY20E FY21E
Interest Earned 45,780 54,111 62,616 72,311
Interest Expended 27,163 32,453 37,635 42,824
Net Interest Income 18,618 21,659 24,981 29,487
growth (%) 2.9 16.3 15.3 18.0
Non Interest Income 10,967 12,457 13,812 15,755
Fees and advisory 7,730 8,889 10,223 11,756
Trading Gains 1,325 1,193 1,431 1,717
Other income 1,912 2,375 2,158 2,282
Net Income 29,585 34,115 38,794 45,242
Staff cost 4,313 4,753 5,294 5,894
Other operating Expense 9,677 10,896 12,111 13,474
Operating Profit 15,594 18,467 21,388 25,875
Provisions 16,011 12,023 6,599 6,288
PBT (417) 6,444 14,790 19,587
Taxes (154) 2,236 4,984 6,601
Net Profit (263) 4,208 9,806 12,986
growth (%) -107.1 -1701.5 133.0 32.4
EPS (|) (1.0) 16.1 37.5 49.7
Source: Company, ICICI Direct Research
Key ratios
(Year-end March) FY18 FY19E FY20E FY21E
Valuation
No. of Equity Shares 256.7 261.2 261.2 261.2
EPS (|) -1.0 16.1 37.5 49.7
BV (|) 247.2 265.3 299.3 345.5
ABV (|) 182.5 212.9 254.2 303.8
P/E -614.0 39.0 16.7 12.6
P/BV 2.5 2.4 2.1 1.8
P/ABV 3.4 3.0 2.5 2.1
Yields & Margins (%)
Net Interest Margins 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4
Yield on assets 8.3 8.4 8.4 8.4
Avg. cost on funds 4.8 5.0 5.0 4.9
Yield on average advances 8.4 8.7 8.7 8.7
Avg. Cost of Deposits 4.4 4.8 4.9 4.9
Quality and Efficiency
Cost to income ratio 47.3 45.9 44.9 42.8
Credit/Deposit ratio 96.9 96.4 97.6 98.1
GNPA 6.9 5.9 4.8 3.9
NNPA 3.8 2.7 1.9 1.5
ROE -0.4 6.3 13.3 15.4
ROA (0.0) 0.6 1.1 1.3
Source: Company, ICICI Direct Research
Balance sheet | crore
(Year-end March) FY18 FY19E FY20E FY21E
Sources of Funds
Capital 513 522 522 522
Reserves and Surplus 62924 68771 77660 89729
Networth 63438 69294 78183 90252
Deposits 453623 534485 623007 724729
Borrowings 148016 165718 183598 206163
Other Liabilities & Provisions 26245 33301 40963 50554
Total 691322 802797 925751 1071698
Application of Funds
Fixed Assets 3972 4150 4908 5840
Investments 153876 172099 192522 215413
Advances 439650 515338 607794 711119
Other Assets 45111 71896 75106 86809
Cash with RBI & call money 48713 39314 45421 52517
Total 691322 802797 925751 1071698
Source: Company, ICICI Direct Research
Growth ratios (% growth)
(Year-end March) FY18E FY19E FY20E FY21E
Total assets 14.9 16.1 15.3 15.8
Advances 17.8 17.2 17.9 17.0
Deposit 9.5 17.8 16.6 16.3
Total Income 0.9 17.3 14.8 15.2
Net interest income 2.9 16.3 15.3 18.0
Operating expenses 14.7 11.9 11.2 11.3
Operating profit -11.3 18.4 15.8 21.0
Net profit -107.1 -1701.5 133.0 32.4
Net worth 13.8 9.2 12.8 15.4
EPS (106.7) (1,673.6) 133.0 32.4
Source: Company, ICICI Direct Research
ICICI Securities Ltd | Retail Equity Research Page 10
ICICI Direct coverage universe (Banking)
CMP M Cap
(|) TP(|) Rating (| Cr) FY18 FY19E FY20E FY18 FY19E FY20E FY18 FY19E FY20E FY18 FY19E FY20E FY18 FY19E FY20E
Bank of Baroda (BANBAR) 117 140 Buy 30,860 -9.2 10.0 17.0 -12.7 11.6 6.8 1.0 0.9 0.8 -0.3 0.4 0.6 -5.8 6.1 9.8
State Bank of India (STABAN) 288 340 Buy 257,118 -7.3 26.0 17.3 -39.3 11.1 16.7 2.4 1.4 1.8 -0.2 0.7 0.4 -3.0 9.7 6.5
Indian Bank (INDIBA) 257 250 Buy 12,360 26.2 16.9 30.6 9.8 15.2 8.4 1.0 1.2 1.1 0.5 0.3 0.5 7.1 4.4 7.7
Axis Bank (AXIBAN) 743 825 Buy 191,024 1.1 22.2 38.2 691.9 33.4 19.5 4.1 3.5 2.8 0.0 0.8 1.2 0.0 0.8 1.2
City Union Bank (CITUNI) 188 225 Buy 13,766 8.9 8.5 10.3 21.1 22.0 18.2 3.5 3.3 2.4 1.6 1.5 1.6 15.6 14.5 14.2
DCB Bank (DCB) 198 210 Buy 6,129 7.9 10.2 13.9 25.2 19.4 14.2 2.5 2.2 1.9 0.9 1.0 1.1 10.9 11.7 14.0
Federal Bank (FEDBAN) 90 110 Buy 17,933 4.5 6.2 7.4 20.2 14.7 12.2 1.6 1.5 1.3 0.7 0.8 0.9 8.2 9.3 10.4
HDFC Bank (HDFBAN) 2,138 2,400 Buy 581,966 67.4 75.5 91.3 31.7 28.3 23.4 5.5 4.1 3.6 1.8 1.8 1.8 18.1 16.6 16.2
IndusInd Bank (INDBA) 1,511 1,860 Buy 91,060 60.1 81.5 106.1 25.1 18.5 14.2 3.9 3.3 2.8 1.8 2.0 2.1 16.2 18.8 20.6
Jammu & Kashmir Bk(JAMKAS) 46 52 Buy 2,567 3.6 5.0 8.9 12.7 9.3 5.2 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.2 0.3 0.5 3.4 4.4 7.5
Kotak Mahindra Bank (KOTMAH) 1,238 1,400 Hold 236,167 21.4 26.5 33.0 57.8 46.6 37.5 6.6 6.0 5.5 1.7 1.7 1.8 12.5 12.8 14.4
Yes Bank (YESBAN) 235 300 Buy 54,259 18.3 22.1 26.3 12.8 10.6 8.9 2.2 1.9 1.5 1.6 1.4 1.4 17.6 18.0 18.2
Bandhan Bank (BANBAN) 507 575 Buy 60,542 11.3 16.9 21.9 20.8 13.9 10.7 3.0 2.6 2.1 3.6 4.0 4.0 19.5 19.6 21.1
Sector / Company
RoE (%)RoA (%)EPS (|) P/E (x) P/ABV (x)
Source: Company, ICICI Direct Research
ICICI Securities Ltd | Retail Equity Research Page 11
RATING RATIONALE
ICICI Direct Research endeavours to provide objective opinions and recommendations. ICICI Direct Research
assigns ratings to its stocks according to their notional target price vs. current market price and then
categorises them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold and Sell. The performance horizon is two years unless specified and
the notional target price is defined as the analysts' valuation for a stock.
Strong Buy: >15%/20% for large caps/midcaps, respectively, with high conviction;
Buy: >10%/15% for large caps/midcaps, respectively;
Hold: Up to +/-10%;
Sell: -10% or more;
Pankaj Pandey Head – Research [email protected]
ICICI Direct Research Desk,
ICICI Securities Limited,
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Road No 7, MIDC,
Andheri (East)
Mumbai – 400 093
ICICI Securities Ltd | Retail Equity Research Page 12
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