axa asia: accelerate towards a leading position in … · axa asia: accelerate towards a leading...
TRANSCRIPT
Investor Day
November 7, 2012
AXA Asia:
Accelerate towards a
leading position in Asia
Mike Bishop CEO, AXA Asia
E2 – AXA Asia – November 7, 2012
Cautionary note concerning forward-looking
statements
Certain statements contained herein are forward-looking statements including, but not
limited to, statements that are predictions of or indicate future events, trends, plans or
objectives. Undue reliance should not be placed on such statements because, by their
nature, they are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties. Please refer to the
section “Cautionary statements” in page 2 of AXA’s Document de Référence for the year
ended December 31, 2011, for a description of certain important factors, risks and
uncertainties that may affect AXA’s business. AXA undertakes no obligation to publicly
update or revise any of these forward-looking statements, whether to reflect new
information, future events or circumstances or otherwise.
E3 – AXA Asia – November 7, 2012
Today’s key messages
Our key differentiation factors are our composite play and our
bancassurance leadership position, which we will continue to leverage to
accelerate our growth
The HSBC deal in Property & Casualty and the ICBC partnership in Life &
Savings in China are transformational for our business
AXA Asia on track to contribute to the acceleration priority of the Group
Ambition AXA plan to double our size
E4 – AXA Asia – November 7, 2012
Agenda
Asia is a growth engine for the Group
Ambition AXA to accelerate
Hong Kong Life, supporting the development in the region
South-East Asia Life, the acceleration engine
AXA Asia P&C, on track for leadership position in Asia
China, the new frontier
An integrated regional platform
E5 – AXA Asia – November 7, 2012
AXA has established itself as a material player in
Asia in both Life & Savings and P&C…
Life & Savings regional ranking P&C regional ranking
In Euro billion In Euro billion
International insurers in Asia excl. Japan
1. Allianz APE include Japan.
Source: Company disclosures.
Note: AXA is pro forma of the AXA APH transaction
International insurers in Asia excl. Japan
Source: AXCO, AXA estimates
Note: AXA is pro forma of the HSBC transaction, incl. non-consolidated entities, incl.
South Korea direct business
1.8
Prudential 1.9
Aviva 0.4
Manulife 0.7
AXA 0.8
Allianz1 0.9
AIA
Allianz 0.9
AXA 1.2
Chartis 1.2
0.4
0.8
ACE
MSIG
Tokio Marine
0.6
GWP 2010 APE 2011
E6 – AXA Asia – November 7, 2012
… in fast developing insurance markets…
Sources: Swiss Re sigma No 8/2003 for 2001, Swiss Re sigma No 3/2012 for 2011, AXA estimates for 2021E
Asia excl. Japan: Bangladesh, China, Hong Kong, India, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, South Korea, Sri Lanka, Taiwan, Thailand, Vietnam
In USD billion
245
124
445
145
320239
655599
UK
~470
Germany
~310
Japan
~900
Asia excl. Japan
~1,800
Total insurance premiums
2021E 2011 2001
E7 – AXA Asia – November 7, 2012
… and with significant growth potential
Significant under-insurance of mortality risk Underpenetrated P&C markets
Motor vehicles per 1,000 inhabitants Mortality protection gap, 2010, USD billion
This gap is measured as the difference between the income needed to maintain living
standards for a person’s dependents and the sum of savings and life insurance in force
available to them. Source: Swiss Re, 2011 Source: World Bank, 2009, Swiss Re, sigma No 3/2012
P&C premiums account for 2% of GDP in Asia excl. Japan,
vs. ca. 4% in Western economies
Strong fundamentals underpinning future growth
Amongst highest saving rates in the world
Low insurance penetration
Emergence of middle class and growing affluence
Absence of state welfare schemes
Divergent yet favorable demographics
711
380
533
Malaysia Thailand Indonesia India
6,676
China
18,745
1833477479
350
598
India Philippines China Hong
Kong
Indonesia Malaysia France
E8 – AXA Asia – November 7, 2012
AXA Asia is already an important contributor to
the Group financial performance… (1/2)
Total 9M12: Euro 391 million1
2% of AXA Group P&C revenues
P&C gross revenues
Commercial non-Motor
45%
Personal Motor
36%
Commercial
Motor
12%
Personal
non-Motor
11%
Total 9M12: Euro 282 million
25% of AXA Group NBV
Life & Savings NBV
Mutual Funds
3%
G/A Protection & Health
63%
Unit-Linked
34%
G/A Pure
Protection
26%
G/A Protection w/ Savings
22%
G/A Health
15%
1. Including other revenues and eliminations
E9 – AXA Asia – November 7, 2012
AXA Asia is already an important contributor to
the Group financial performance… (2/2)
G/A Protection
& Health
76%
G/A Savings
1%
Unit-Linked
16%
Total 1H12: Euro 176 million1
6% of AXA Group pre-tax underlying earnings
Well diversified earnings
Mutual funds
0%
P&C
7%
G/A Protection
w/ Savings
41%
G/A Health
5%
G/A Pure Protection
31%
Underlying earnings evolution
In Euro million
After an initial investment period, most AXA Asia
entities are now generating growing earnings
AXA APH minority interests
buy out on April 1, 2011
1. Includes Other Life & Savings products, which are excluded from the chart (Pre-tax
underlying earnings: Euro -8 million)
1H12
164
FY11
273
FY10
141
FY09
143
FY08
160
India & China Life
AXA Asia P&C
South-East Asia Life
Hong Kong Life
E10 – AXA Asia – November 7, 2012
… with four growth drivers…
Generating strong earnings and cash flows, funding
the growth of the region
9M12 APE: €295m
1H12 Underlying Earnings: €119m
Remittance ratio: above 80% over 2008-2011
Hong Kong Life
Cash flow generator
Expected to fuel growth in the medium term
9M12 APE: €32m
1H12 Underlying Earnings: €-12m
China: ICBC-AXA Life
New frontier
Fast growing operations in Indonesia, Malaysia, the
Philippines, Singapore and Thailand
9M12 APE: €265m
1H12 Underlying Earnings: €50m
South-East Asia Life
Acceleration engine
P&C platform operating in China1, Hong Kong,
India1, Indonesia1, Malaysia, Singapore and
Thailand1
9M12 gross revenues2: €391m
1H12 Underlying Earnings2: €11m
AXA Asia P&C
Strong regional franchise
1. Not consolidated
2. Consolidated scope
1
4
2
3
E11 – AXA Asia – November 7, 2012
All benefitting from an integrated regional
platform to attract new partners
China is the new frontier
Hong Kong Life is delivering growth and strong
earnings, supporting development in the region
South-East Asia Life is the acceleration engine,
where we leverage our leading bancassurance
proposition
AXA Asia P&C benefits from its diversified
strategy and is on track for the #1 position in
Asia post HSBC integration
… and the ambition to accelerate its development and strengthen its position
Efficiency Everywhere with a focus on mature
markets
Customer centricity
Selectivity
Acceleration
Efficiency
Customer
centricity
Trust &
Achievement
Ambition AXA 2010-2015
E12 – AXA Asia – November 7, 2012
Agenda
Asia is a growth engine for the Group
Ambition AXA to accelerate
Hong Kong Life, supporting the development in the region
South-East Asia Life, the acceleration engine
AXA Asia P&C, on track for leadership position in Asia
China, the new frontier
An integrated regional platform
E13 – AXA Asia – November 7, 2012
Strong APE growth
NBV growth
Underlying earnings
Robust in-force book backed by strong growth
Bancassurance deal with Fubon will bolster growth momentum
Ca. Euro 600 million dividend upstreamed over 2008-2011, with a
remittance ratio above 80% on average
Historical persistency rates above 90%
#6 in the market1
In Euro million
Hong Kong Life Profitable growth steadily flowing through earnings
In Euro million
In Euro million
1. 2011. Source: Office of Commissioner of Insurance
330
112
FY11 FY08
295
243
9M12 9M11
208
75
FY11 FY08
166150
9M12 9M11
210
133
FY11 FY08
119
83
1H12 1H11
Note: AXA APH minority interests buy out on April 1, 2011 increased the group share
E14 – AXA Asia – November 7, 2012
Agenda
Asia is a growth engine for the Group
Ambition AXA to accelerate
Hong Kong Life, supporting the development in the region
South-East Asia Life, the acceleration engine
AXA Asia P&C, on track for leadership position in Asia
China, the new frontier
An integrated regional platform
E15 – AXA Asia – November 7, 2012
APE
NBV
Underlying earnings
In Euro million In Euro million
In Euro million
South-East Asia Life The acceleration engine
281
60
FY11 FY08
265
206
9M12 9M11
123
19
FY08 FY11
10792
9M12 9M11
55
13
FY11 FY08
50
23
1H12 1H11
Competitive advantage
Well diversified distribution mix
Strong market positioning 1
#2 in Indonesia, #3 in the Philippines and #5 in Thailand
Strong partnerships based on strategic alignment and shared
economic interest, rather than up-front payment
Comprehensive product range to meet different needs of target
segments
1. FY11 for Indonesia and Philippines. 1H12 for Thailand. Sources: Indonesia Life Insurance Association (AAJI), Thai Life Insurance Association (TLAA), AXA estimates
Note: AXA APH minority interests buy out on April 1, 2011 increased the group share
E16 – AXA Asia – November 7, 2012
2011
31%
2010
24% 33%
2009
20%
2011
2010
38%
2008
28%
2011
34%
2010
23%
2011
52%
2009
47%
2011
59%
2009
48%
Bancassurance (1/2) Outgrowing other distribution channels in Asia
… and is continuing to grow steadily Bancassurance is the main distribution
channel…
Agency
41%
Bancassurance
46%
Broker/IFA
3%
Others
10%
Source: Boston Consulting Group Analysis
1. Based on new business premiums. All data in 2010 except for Hong Kong, Philippines,
Vietnam in 2009 and China, Malaysia in 2008
Bancassurance share in life new business premiums (all insurers)
Hong Kong1 Thailand
Note: data not available beyond 2010 for Malaysia and before 2010 for Indonesia
Sources: Standard Chartered, 2012
1. Bancassurance universe includes BEA Life, BOC Life, China Life, Dah Sing Life, HK Life,
HSBC Life, MetLife and Prudential (assume 45% of new business is bancassurance)
Today in Asia, one out of two life insurance products
is sold through a bank
Malaysia India
Singapore Indonesia
Over the past years, bancassurance sales outgrew
agency sales across all countries
Life insurance distribution in Asia excl. Japan (all insurers)1
E17 – AXA Asia – November 7, 2012
Joint-Venture with Metrobank,
the largest universal bank
24% market share of the
bancassurance market
450 AXA financial advisers
across 600 branches
Best in class productivity
Strong partners
Bancassurance (2/2) We are ideally positioned to capitalize on this trend
Joint-Venture with Mandiri,
Indonesia’s largest bank
#2 Life insurer
2,000 AXA employed financial
advisers across ca. 1,300
branches
Indonesia
#1 bancassurer
Joint-Venture with Krungthai
Bank, 2nd largest bank in
Thailand by assets
650 financial service
executives provide support to
9,000+ licensed bank staff
Thailand
Top 5 bancassurer
Acquisition of HSBC’s high
quality P&C business in Hong
Kong & Singapore
10-year exclusive P&C
distribution agreement in
Hong Kong, Singapore, India,
Indonesia & China1
AXA bancassurance APE growth
AXA’s competitive advantage in Asia
2011 APE bancassurance contribution %
In Euro million
Philippines
#1 bancassurer HSBC
AIA
9%
Manulife
13%
PCA (Prudential)
29%
AXA Asia Life
34%
Sources: Companies disclosure, AXA estimates
220225
99
9M12 FY11 FY10
Note: AXA APH minority interests buy out on April 1, 2011 increased the group share
1. Distribution agreements in India, Indonesia and China are still pending closing
E18 – AXA Asia – November 7, 2012
Attractive market
One of the fastest growing economies in the world – GDP growth at 6.5%
Low life insurance penetration – Premiums represent 0.9% of GDP
4th most populous country in the world – 238 million inhabitants
Indonesia Life #2 position in a fast growing market with the right partner
Strong APE growth In Euro million
Underlying earnings In Euro million
135115
9M12 9M11
154
26
FY11 FY08
30
15
1H12 1H11
35
10
FY11 FY08
Note: AXA APH minority interests buy out on April 1, 2011 increased the group share
Highly profitable business for AXA – NBV margin at 55% for 9M12
E19 – AXA Asia – November 7, 2012
Thailand Life Balanced and diversified distribution platform
Total APE In Euro million
In Euro million
9M1
2
Bancassurance APE
Underlying earnings In Euro million
In Euro million
Agency APE1
Relentless focus on distribution excellence
1, Incl. Brokers and IFAs
Note: AXA APH minority interests buy out on April 1, 2011 increased the group share
90
61
9M12 9M11
18
3
FY11 FY08
15
9
1H12 1H11
42
22
FY11 FY10
43
30
9M12 9M11
42
24
FY11 FY10
47
31
9M12 9M11
84
19
FY11 FY08
E20 – AXA Asia – November 7, 2012
Agenda
Asia is a growth engine for the Group
Ambition AXA to accelerate
Hong Kong Life, supporting the development in the region
South-East Asia Life, the acceleration engine
AXA Asia P&C, on track for leadership position in Asia
China, the new frontier
An integrated regional platform
E21 – AXA Asia – November 7, 2012
Ranking: #21
GWP: €45m
Ranking: #29
GWP: €39m
Ranking: #7
GWP: €157m
Significant growth to gain market share and scale
Development of expertise
India: growing 2 times the market rate
China: develop commercial lines in collaboration
with AXA Corporate Solutions
Profitable and generating dividends
Ambition to outgrow the market by leveraging
opportunities in commercial lines & health
Maintain leadership position while driving
efficiencies
Strategic
focus
AXA Asia P&C (1/3) Accelerating the transformation to consolidate our leadership position
Well established entities Developing entities
Countries
Rankings1
Premiums2
Ranking: #11
GWP: €129m
India
Ranking: #42
GWP: €20m
China
Ranking: #9
GWP: €73m
Hong Kong
Ranking: #2
GWP: €161m
Singapore
AXA Group
support
Reinsurance capacity and expertise provided by AXA Global P&C
Technical support and capacity with AXA Corporate Solutions for commercial lines development
Leveraging best practices in product development, notably in Personal non-Motor
Note: all data exclude the benefits of the HSBC transaction
1. 2011. Sources: Hong Kong Office of Commissioner of Insurance, MAS, ISM Statistical Bulletin on Market Performance Report 2011, Thailand Office of Insurance Commission , IRDA,
Indonesia Capital Markets and Financial Institutions Supervisory Agency, CIRC, AXA estimates
2. 9M12
Thailand Indonesia Malaysia
E22 – AXA Asia – November 7, 2012
AXA Asia P&C (2/3) Well balanced financials between growth and earnings
GWP
FY11
CAGR: +8%1
419
FY09
264 322 391
+12%1
9M11 9M12
86 217
FY09
CAGR: +59%2
FY11
234162
+45%2
9M12 9M11
Accounting
treatment Consolidated Not consolidated
Combined
ratio
FY11
98.1%
FY09
97.2%
1H12 1H11
95.3% 97.8%
126.9%
FY09 FY11
114.8%
1H12
112.5%
1H11
118.8%
Well established entities Hong Kong, Singapore, Malaysia
Developing entities China, India, Indonesia, Thailand
In Euro million In Euro million
1. Change on a comparable basis
2. Change on a reported basis
Note: all data exclude the benefits of the HSBC transaction
E23 – AXA Asia – November 7, 2012
AXA Asia P&C (3/3) HSBC: significant acceleration of our growth and earnings generation
Long-term P&C partnership with HSBC launched on November 5, 2012:
AXA acquired HSBC’s P&C businesses in Hong Kong and Singapore
10-year exclusive P&C bancassurance distribution agreement in Hong Kong, Singapore, India, Indonesia and China1
AXA: #29
Indonesia
AXA: #42
China
AXA: #11
India
Transaction scope overview
AXA: #9
HSBC: #1
AXA+HSBC: #1
Hong Kong
AXA: #2
HSBC: #15
AXA+HSBC: #2
Singapore
Accelerating profitable growth
Leading position:
AXA becomes the #1 P&C player in Hong Kong
AXA strengthens its #2 position in P&C in Singapore
Combination of strong growth and high level of
profitability:
HSBC mainly underwrites very profitable medical and
personal accident businesses, for both personal and
corporate clients
HSBC businesses provide multi-channel distribution
in Hong Kong and Singapore:
HSBC Bank branches
Strong agency network
Well established broker relationships
Diversification of AXA’s distribution platform in India,
Indonesia and China:
AXA will benefit from HSBC bancassurance agreement in
countries where existing P&C distribution is mainly agents
1. Distribution agreements in India, Indonesia and China are still pending closing
E24 – AXA Asia – November 7, 2012
Agenda
Asia is a growth engine for the Group
Ambition AXA to accelerate
Hong Kong Life, supporting the development in the region
South-East Asia Life, the acceleration engine
AXA Asia P&C, on track for leadership position in Asia
China, the new frontier
An integrated regional platform
E25 – AXA Asia – November 7, 2012
Joining forces with ICBC
4 million corporate clients
16,232 domestic branches
World’s largest bank by market capitalization
282 million individual customers
Note: APE at 100%, based on local reporting. In AXA consolidated accounts, China APE is group share and
reported with a 3-month lag
In RMB million
Acceleration of APE growth after the Joint-Venture launch
China ICBC-AXA Life: a great alliance to create a leading brand in China
Source: Company website
343
137
193
1Q12 2Q12 4Q12E 3Q12
Launch of the new
Joint-Venture
X 2
X 2.5
E26 – AXA Asia – November 7, 2012
Becoming the
preferred insurer
Where we are What we announced
Ambition to become the #1 foreign insurance
Joint-Venture in China by 2015
Ranked #7 amongst all foreign life insurers in
9M12 in terms of total premiums1
ICBC-AXA Life Insurance early achievements
Access to more than 5,000 of ICBC branches 4,407 ICBC branch relationships as of
September 2012
Implementation of our successful
bancassurance blueprint in these branches
while expanding our reach to cover the
remaining branches
Capturing a growing share of ICBC’s insurance
business
Implementing a
successful model
Accessing
ICBC network
Our Ambition
China ICBC-AXA Life: a great alliance to create a leading brand in China
Source: CIRC, AXA estimates
E27 – AXA Asia – November 7, 2012
Agenda
Asia is a growth engine for the Group
Ambition AXA to accelerate
Hong Kong Life, supporting the development in the region
South-East Asia Life, the acceleration engine
AXA Asia P&C, on track for leadership position in Asia
China, the new frontier
An integrated regional platform
E28 – AXA Asia – November 7, 2012
AXA Asia A differentiated composite model
Integrated regional platform Our ambition
Access to a comprehensive product suite
Best in class time to market for product
launches
A single view of the customer across all
business lines
A strong unified brand across the region
Unit cost reduction
Top 3 Life & Savings international insurer in
Asia by new business
Leading Property & Casualty international
player in Asia
ONE AXA Asia :
ONE customer view
ONE brand
ONE operating platform / shared services
Top 3 Life & Savings international insurer in
Asia by new business
Leading Property & Casualty international
player in Asia
E29 – AXA Asia – November 7, 2012
Today’s key messages
Our key differentiation factors are our composite play and our
bancassurance leadership position, which we will continue to leverage to
accelerate our growth
The HSBC deal in Property & Casualty and the ICBC partnership in Life &
Savings in China are transformational for our business
AXA Asia on track to contribute to the acceleration priority of the Group
Ambition AXA plan to double our size