avcj jakarta venture outlook : opportunities in sea · source : google-temasek e-conomy sea report...

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@jungleventures 1 SEA Venture Discovering the opportunity in a fragmented market

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Page 1: AVCJ Jakarta Venture Outlook : Opportunities in SEA · Source : Google-Temasek e-conomy SEA report & Wearesocial –2017 3 Digital in Asia : SouthEast Asia SEA is the Fastest Growing

@jungleventures 1

SEA VentureDiscovering the opportunity in a fragmented market

Page 2: AVCJ Jakarta Venture Outlook : Opportunities in SEA · Source : Google-Temasek e-conomy SEA report & Wearesocial –2017 3 Digital in Asia : SouthEast Asia SEA is the Fastest Growing

2@jungleventures

Jungle Ventures – Who We Are

Team

15 Investing & Operating professionals with

decades of experience at firms such as

Limited Partners

AUM of US$110m with top tier limited partners such as

Partners & Advisors

Stellar advisory board including Mr Ratan Tata, Chairman

Emeritus of the Tata Group, India

Track Record

Over 30 investments, 4 exits in 4 years at 3.64X & ~215% IRR, <1%

loss of capital

Singapore-based venture firm investing in consumer internet category leaders in

Southeast Asia and selective enterprise tech companies from Asia

Page 3: AVCJ Jakarta Venture Outlook : Opportunities in SEA · Source : Google-Temasek e-conomy SEA report & Wearesocial –2017 3 Digital in Asia : SouthEast Asia SEA is the Fastest Growing

3Source : Google-Temasek e-conomy SEA report & Wearesocial – 2017

Digital in Asia : SouthEast Asia

SEA is the Fastest Growing Internet Market In The

World

Projected to reach ½ billion internet users in 2020; +3.8m online users monthly

SEA countriesMedian age (yrs)

Internet users as % of population

Avg time spent on online daily

Thailand 37.2 67% 8 hr 49m

Indonesia 29.9 51% 8 hr 44m

Malaysia 28.2 71% 8 hr 31m

Singapore 34.3 82% 6 hr 41m

Vietnam 30.1 53% 6 hr 53m

Philippines 23.4 58% 9hrs

SEA social media is growing at rates 50% higher than global average Majority young internet population spending > 6 hours online, daily

@jungleventures

Page 4: AVCJ Jakarta Venture Outlook : Opportunities in SEA · Source : Google-Temasek e-conomy SEA report & Wearesocial –2017 3 Digital in Asia : SouthEast Asia SEA is the Fastest Growing

@jungleventures 4

Source : Google-Temasek e-conomy SEA report

…With A Projected US$200bil Online Opportunity by

2025!

Page 5: AVCJ Jakarta Venture Outlook : Opportunities in SEA · Source : Google-Temasek e-conomy SEA report & Wearesocial –2017 3 Digital in Asia : SouthEast Asia SEA is the Fastest Growing

@jungleventures 5

Highly fragmented market

Collection of dissimilar “emerging” countries

Under developed tech and venture ecosystem

Not big enough to support large exit/ IPO outcomes

However, Despite Headline Numbers, General Perception

Remains That SEA is..

Page 6: AVCJ Jakarta Venture Outlook : Opportunities in SEA · Source : Google-Temasek e-conomy SEA report & Wearesocial –2017 3 Digital in Asia : SouthEast Asia SEA is the Fastest Growing

Looking closely at the Top 10 metros in SEA

@jungleventures 6

Page 7: AVCJ Jakarta Venture Outlook : Opportunities in SEA · Source : Google-Temasek e-conomy SEA report & Wearesocial –2017 3 Digital in Asia : SouthEast Asia SEA is the Fastest Growing

SEA Country ID TH MY SG VN PH

Population (mn) 262.0 68.2 30.9 5.7 94.9 103.0

Country nominal GDP (USD mn)

861.9 395.2 296.3 292.7 193.6 292.5

Average GDP / capita (USD)

3,290 5,792 9,570 51,000 2,039 2,840

Metro cities Jakarta Bangkok Kuala Lumpur Singapore Ho Chi Minh Manila

Population (mn) 32.2 15.6 6.1 5.7 8.2 12.9

% of total population 12% 23% 20% 100% 9% 13%

Nominal GDP (USD) 232.1 191.1 132.7 292.7 41.9 61.9

% to country GDP 27% 48% 45% 100% 22% 21%

GDP / capita (USD) 7,207 12,251 21,750 51,000 5,100 4,763

No of times average GDP/capita

2.19x 2.11x 2.61x 1.0x 2.50x 1.6x

Source : Brookings Institution; Worldbank; Wearesocial – 2017 Digital in Asia : SouthEast Asia; Wikpedia; NESDB Thailand; National Statistical

Coordination Board Philippines; Statistics Office of Vietnam; DOSM

@jungleventures 7

Respective SEA metro cities alone make up >20% of country

GDPs. GDP/capita are ~2x higher than country average

Page 8: AVCJ Jakarta Venture Outlook : Opportunities in SEA · Source : Google-Temasek e-conomy SEA report & Wearesocial –2017 3 Digital in Asia : SouthEast Asia SEA is the Fastest Growing

@jungleventures 8

Customers in metros demonstrate

homogenous consumer behaviour

Online media and Social networks

Ho Chi Minh$5,100

Delhi$3,580

Aspirational brands

Digital Products & Services

Bangkok$12,251

Jakarta$7,207

Manila$4,763

Spending Power (as represented by GDP

per capita)

Delivery and fulfilment options

Payment Networks

Digital Marketing & Advertising

Cloud / Computing / Platform

Infrastructure solutions are available today

via regional / global service providers

Page 9: AVCJ Jakarta Venture Outlook : Opportunities in SEA · Source : Google-Temasek e-conomy SEA report & Wearesocial –2017 3 Digital in Asia : SouthEast Asia SEA is the Fastest Growing

Takeaway #1

Combined, Top 10 Metros of SEA is a ~100mn, homogenous market with projected US$50+B potential for online consumption

@jungleventures 9

** Jungle Portfolio Company

**

**

Page 10: AVCJ Jakarta Venture Outlook : Opportunities in SEA · Source : Google-Temasek e-conomy SEA report & Wearesocial –2017 3 Digital in Asia : SouthEast Asia SEA is the Fastest Growing

Looking closely at Indonesia’s middle market

@jungleventures 10

Page 11: AVCJ Jakarta Venture Outlook : Opportunities in SEA · Source : Google-Temasek e-conomy SEA report & Wearesocial –2017 3 Digital in Asia : SouthEast Asia SEA is the Fastest Growing

6546 28

65

57

48

44

47

51

4255

68

23 36 49

7 12 173 5 7

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

2012 2016 2020

mil

Poor Aspirant Emerging Middle

Middle Upper middle Affluent

Elite

2012 : 74mil 2016 : 108mil 2020 : 141mil

@jungleventures 11

Source: BCG Population and Household Expenditure Report 2012

*MAC is defined as basic household monthly expenses (only includes expenses i.e. food, utilities, transport, communication, excludes discretionary spending) of

over >$150

Indonesian middle & affluent consumers (MAC) projected to be >50% of

population by 2020, with majority increase coming from outside Jakarta

Today, 50+mn MAC consumers are outside Jakarta, expected to double over this decade

Page 12: AVCJ Jakarta Venture Outlook : Opportunities in SEA · Source : Google-Temasek e-conomy SEA report & Wearesocial –2017 3 Digital in Asia : SouthEast Asia SEA is the Fastest Growing

Online shoppers as % of total

online population more than

doubled in just 2014-15

Implying ecommerce is growing

fast but still comprises ~30% of

online population

91%+ online users are active on

social networks and 50%+ use

IM apps

Implying substantial time spent

and comfort with usage

Source: Credit Suisse Indonesia Consumer Survey 2016

@jungleventures 12

Social network (90%+) and IM (50%+) usage is already high amongst both

urban and rural populations who are online

Page 13: AVCJ Jakarta Venture Outlook : Opportunities in SEA · Source : Google-Temasek e-conomy SEA report & Wearesocial –2017 3 Digital in Asia : SouthEast Asia SEA is the Fastest Growing

@jungleventures 13

Takeaway #2

Indonesia’s growing MAC is a large homogenous market with significant online potential over the next decade for start-ups to

dominate

**

** Jungle Portfolio Company

**

Page 14: AVCJ Jakarta Venture Outlook : Opportunities in SEA · Source : Google-Temasek e-conomy SEA report & Wearesocial –2017 3 Digital in Asia : SouthEast Asia SEA is the Fastest Growing

Network-based

Target large populations/ user bases and go broad with what you can layer on as services

An ideal business at scale has user sets of 50m+ users spending 40$+ per year resulting in $2b+ in revenues/ GMV but with thinner gross margins

(net take rate) of ~3-5%

Consumption-based

Target the metro cities initially, build brand and go deeper with each customer’s spend

An ideal business at scale has presence in 5+ large metros and with 0.5m+ shoppers in each metro

spending 100$+ per year on the platform sees net revenues of $250m+ with high gross margins of

30%+

@jungleventures 14

Investors and startups need to deeply evaluate what they are building /

funding, and accordingly, plan to go wider and / or deeper in new markets

Page 15: AVCJ Jakarta Venture Outlook : Opportunities in SEA · Source : Google-Temasek e-conomy SEA report & Wearesocial –2017 3 Digital in Asia : SouthEast Asia SEA is the Fastest Growing

Thank you

@jungleventures 15

Page 16: AVCJ Jakarta Venture Outlook : Opportunities in SEA · Source : Google-Temasek e-conomy SEA report & Wearesocial –2017 3 Digital in Asia : SouthEast Asia SEA is the Fastest Growing

16

These Materials (“Materials”) are based on information provided by independent third parties reasonably believed tobe reliable and are being shared with a limited number of parties who have expressed interest in the same. TheseMaterials do not constitute an offer or solicitation to sell or purchase any securities or investment advisory services.

By accepting these Materials, the recipient agrees (in addition to any obligations it may have under a ConfidentialityAgreement executed with Jungle Ventures) that neither it nor its agents, representatives, directors or employees willcopy, reproduce or distribute to others these Materials, in whole or in part, at anytime without the prior writtenconsent of Jungle Ventures and it will keep confidential all information contained herein or otherwise made availableby Jungle Ventures.

Neither Jungle Ventures nor any of their respective affiliates, employees or representatives makes any representationor warranty, express or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of the information contained in these Materials orany other information (whether written or oral) made available in connection with the investigation of investmentopportunities by Jungle Ventures. Only those particular representations and warranties, if any, which may be made toa party in a definitive written agreement regarding a transaction involving Jungle Ventures, when, as and if executed,and subject to such limitations and restrictions as may be specified therein, will have any legal effect.

Jungle Ventures and their respective affiliates, employees or representatives expressly disclaim any and all liabilityrelating to or resulting from the use of these Materials, any errors therein or omissions therefrom or the use of anyother related information by a prospective investor or any of its affiliates, agents or representatives. These Materialsdo not purport to be all inclusive or necessarily to contain all information that may be material with respect to anypotential investment led by Jungle Ventures. In all cases, each recipient should conduct their own independentinvestigation and analysis of the information contained in these Materials.

@jungleventures

IMPORTANT NOTICE TO RECIPIENTS