autonomous energy grids: bringing everything together · – should avoid controls that need to...
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Autonomous Energy Grids: Bringing Everything Together
Ian A. Hiskens University of Michigan, Ann Arbor
NREL Workshop September 13-14, 2017
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Vision for autonomous energy grids (AEGs) • Autonomous grids – able to seamlessly connect and
disconnect from other grids. • Incorporate variable generation, energy storage,
controllable loads, multiple energy carriers, energy conversion.
• Supported by a scalable, reconfigurable, self-organizing information and control infrastructure.
• Capable of a high level of security and resilience. • Self-optimizing in real time for economic and reliable
performance.
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Transition • What might motivate/justify a move to AEGs?
– Economic benefits for consumers? For utilities? Others? – Reliability improvements.
• What technical issues might arise in transitioning to a network of AEGs? – Can older devices be incorporated? Example: autonomous
vehicles have trouble coping with illogical drivers. – Standards and interoperability.
• Socio-economic issues arising from stranded assets due to reduced reliance on the grid. – Who pays? Poorer consumers who can’t afford to join an AEG? – Policy.
• Who is responsible for the design of AEGs (cable size, protection, communications, …)? What about safety?
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Energy hubs as AEGs • Energy hubs are building
blocks of multi-energy systems. • Questions relating to dynamics,
optimization. – Example: fuel cells are non-
minimum phase.
• Chilled water plant, C. • Steam boiler plant, B. • Gas turbine cogeneration plant,
Cogen. • Electrical transformer, T. • Thermal energy storage, TES.
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Large versus small systems • Physics-based energy storage inherent in the rotating mass of
large generators results in ‘slow’ changes in frequency. – Controls govern the time constants in inertia-less AEGs. – Is it even necessary for tight frequency control in AEGs?
• Diversity across large numbers of loads gives smoothing and predictability. – Probably not the case for many AEGs.
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Some technical issues • Protection.
– “If it can’t be protected then it can’t be built.” – What level of sophistication is required? – Who designs and pays? – Adaptation is probably necessary as AEGs reconfigure.
• Is it necessary for tight frequency control in AEGs? • Synchronizing AEGs and the grid requires frequency
control (and special circuit breakers).
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Data analytics • The highly adaptive nature of AEGs implies the need
for real-time assessment of network structure and parameters. – Real-time state and parameter estimation. – Needed for optimization, control, protection, …
• Techniques for wide-area monitoring (using PMUs) may not be applicable for AEGs.
• Learn the patterns of generation and load. – Diurnal behaviour of consumers, solar production. – Determine occupancy. Though privacy issues. – Exploit weather forecasts.
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Optimization • Purchase agreements with neighbours, utility.
– How much should I pay? – Consumers are unlikely to want to get involved so the
process should be automated.
• Optimization of storage with limited future information invariably results in suboptimal scheduling. – Exploit learned behaviour as best possible.
• Games will (most likely) arise through competing objectives. – Benign interactions don’t happen by chance. Everyone
wants to exploit the cheapest energy.
• Need to consider stochasticity. – Determine both the optimal operating condition and optimal
policies that address deviations from the forecast. – Can this be handled in a distributed manner?
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Control • Primary frequency control is fairly straightforward,
particularly droop-based strategies. – Should avoid controls that need to know if the AEG is
interconnected or not.
• Secondary control relies on optimization. – May require distributed/consensus algorithms.
• How useful are prediction-based algorithms when the future is so uncertain? – Example: model predictive control.
• Sophisticated systems may introduce vulnerabilities, whereas simpler, more secure systems are sub-optimal.
• Uncontrollable devices may overwhelm controllable assets.
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Load control • Loads frequently undergo discrete jumps.
– Control strategies that exploit aggregation may not be applicable for small populations within AEGs.
– Queueing/scheduling controls may be more useful.
• How can control response be validated when the baseline is unknown?
• Does controlling load incur an extra cost?
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Analysis (1) • With much faster dynamics, how
appropriate are phasor-based models?
• AEG systems are stochastic, hybrid (continuous/discrete) nonlinear dynamical systems, with uncertain delays. – A system may be stable in two
different configurations but switching between them results in instability.
– Can stability be guaranteed or is simulation required?
– Are there computationally efficient approaches to handling uncertainty?
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Analysis (2) • Dynamic models may be complex.
Renewable energy control module
Deadlock due to poor implementation of non-windup PI control
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