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Autogas in Europe State of play and future outlook Samuel Maubanc General Manager, AEGPL [email protected] WLPGA Regional Summit Gold Coast, Australia 18 May 2016

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Page 1: Autogas in Europe State of play and future outlook · 2016-05-18 · State of play and future outlook Samuel Maubanc General Manager, AEGPL samuel.maubanc@aegpl.be WLPGA Regional

Autogas in EuropeState of play and future outlook

Samuel Maubanc General Manager, AEGPL

[email protected]

WLPGA Regional SummitGold Coast, Australia

18 May 2016

Page 2: Autogas in Europe State of play and future outlook · 2016-05-18 · State of play and future outlook Samuel Maubanc General Manager, AEGPL samuel.maubanc@aegpl.be WLPGA Regional

Distribution of LPG demand in Europe

Residential 33%

Agriculture4%

Industry18%

Autogas46%

Total LPG demand in 2014 = 21,1 million tonnes

• Excluding LPG used by petrochemical industry

1. Turkey2. Poland3. Italy4. Ukraine5. Germany6. Bulgaria7. Romania8. Serbia9. Greece 10. Netherlands

Top-10 Autogas markets in EU (in volumes)

Page 3: Autogas in Europe State of play and future outlook · 2016-05-18 · State of play and future outlook Samuel Maubanc General Manager, AEGPL samuel.maubanc@aegpl.be WLPGA Regional

7.51

+650%

470222

+112%

8380

+4%

272120

+118%

494380

+30%

3002.2

+13536%

3.50.5

+508%

19701500

+31%

56.317.5

+222%

28462170

+31%

5040

+25%

190185

+3%

13.54

+238%

402

+1331%

4250

-16% 172208

-17%

5662

-10%

0.020.2

-92% 111215

-48%200235

-14%

0.10.4

-73%

144148

-3%

137929821

2009 2014

+40%

FIVE-YEAR EVOLUTION OF THE NUMBER OF AUTOGAS VEHICLES IN EUROPE

The number of vehicles is expressed in ‘000s

2515215840

2009 2014

+62%

16001300

+23%

40772320

+76%

0.42.6

-85%

Page 4: Autogas in Europe State of play and future outlook · 2016-05-18 · State of play and future outlook Samuel Maubanc General Manager, AEGPL samuel.maubanc@aegpl.be WLPGA Regional

What will it take to grow LPG use further?

Further recognition of LPG environmentalproperties: condition for incentives and favourable taxation

More engagement from OEM

Page 5: Autogas in Europe State of play and future outlook · 2016-05-18 · State of play and future outlook Samuel Maubanc General Manager, AEGPL samuel.maubanc@aegpl.be WLPGA Regional
Page 6: Autogas in Europe State of play and future outlook · 2016-05-18 · State of play and future outlook Samuel Maubanc General Manager, AEGPL samuel.maubanc@aegpl.be WLPGA Regional

Ongoing LPG real-driving emission tests

Tests co-funded by the CFBP (French LPG association), the DVFG (German LPG association), and AEGPL (European LPG association)

6 models tested:

Alfa Romeo Mito: Euro 5 homologated; LPG system retrofitted; mileage of 65,000 km

Fiat 500L: Euro 6 homologated; original LPG vehicle from manufacturer; mileage of 6,300 km

Opel Astra: Petrol/LPG + diesel models: Euro 6 homologated; original LPG vehicle from manufacturer

Skoda Octavia: Euro 6 homologated; original LPG vehicle from manufacturer

Huyndai

Dacia Sandero: Euro 6 homologated; original LPG vehicle from manufacturer

Series of 3 tests for each type of fuel (LPG, gasoline) and car

All tests done at comparable speed, weather and altitude conditions

Page 7: Autogas in Europe State of play and future outlook · 2016-05-18 · State of play and future outlook Samuel Maubanc General Manager, AEGPL samuel.maubanc@aegpl.be WLPGA Regional

A preview on some of the results

Alfa Romeo Mito Fiat 500LCO

PM

HC

NOx

Euro 6 limitsLPGGasoline

Euro 6 limitsLPGGasoline

CO

PM

HC

NOx

Contrary to gasoline, real driving emissions from LPG vehicles, including from the older converted car, are below the limits set out by the Euro 6 standard for all pollutants, even in the case of aggressive driving

Extrapolating data from a ICCT study on diesel vehicles, we calculated that LPG vehicles emit in average -93% NOx and -76% CO compared to diesel vehicles in similar real-driving conditions

Key results for the autogas fueled vehicles compared to gasoline

CO2 CO NOx HC PM

-17 to -19% -60 to -97% Similar(-54% vs Euro 6)

Similar(-99% vs Euro 6)

-96%

Page 8: Autogas in Europe State of play and future outlook · 2016-05-18 · State of play and future outlook Samuel Maubanc General Manager, AEGPL samuel.maubanc@aegpl.be WLPGA Regional

8

Biopropane soon to be a commercial reality in Europe

Several public announcements in the last months, involving the LPG industry (e.g. SHV, DCC Energy, CFBP)

Critical for maintaining authorities’ interestto support LPG

Page 9: Autogas in Europe State of play and future outlook · 2016-05-18 · State of play and future outlook Samuel Maubanc General Manager, AEGPL samuel.maubanc@aegpl.be WLPGA Regional

Availability of OEM vehicles

Across Europe, customers can choose out of:

over 90 models from

20 manufacturers

In all vehicle segments

From small city vehicles

To delivery vans

OEM or delayed OEM, with full manufacturer warranty

However:

No pan-European OEM availability (country by country tactical decision)

Limited OEM interest in advanced technology such as Direct Liquid Injection

Development of Dual Fuel (LPG-diesel) technology for trucks but only retrofits available