australian foreign aid trellace lawrimore. what motivates australian foreign aid? humanitarianism...
TRANSCRIPT
Austra
lian fo
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n aid
trella
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What motivates Australian foreign aid?
• Humanitarianism
• Political Interests
• IMF voting power
https://www.civcap.info/?id=84
Recipient need and donor interest models
• McKinlay and Little
• RN
• DI
The case for rn
• AusAID
• Poverty in Oceania
• Findings for RN
•McCawley
•Gounder
Center for International Earth Science Information Network. Child Malnutrition [map]. Scale not given. “Global Subnational Prevalence of Child
Malnutrition, v1.” NASA Earth Data. <http://sedac.ciesin.columbia.edu/data/set/povmap-global-subnational-
prevalence-child-malnutritions/maps> (6 October 2012).
Research supporting di
• “Among the most egoistic” (Berthelemy
2006).
• Regional bias
• Economic interests
• Politics
ineffective aid
• Tied aid (Easterly and Williamson)
• Food aid and technological assistance
• AusAID rhetoric
Pictures from Clip Art
initial hypothesis and Testing for rn
If the mean GDPpc in Oceania is not lower
than that of all of the other regions in the
world, RN is not the only motivating
factor in Australia’s aid.GDP per capita in constant 2000 US $Region* Observations MeanOceania 336 1637.94Africa 1895 859.33
World 5768 2849.11
SOURCE: WDI 2012
*Countries included are only those which receive aid.
A background of imf voting blocs
• Quotas
• Electing executive board members
SOURCE: IMF Annual Report, various years
Primary hypothesis
Australia channels its aid budget to the
countries in its voting block to enlarge
their quotas, and thereby its own power
in the IMF.
DI Variables
• IV: Australian Foreign Aid
• Main DV: Membership in Australia’s IMF
Bloc
• Control Variables:
oPopulation
oGDPpc
oTrade
Regression results confirm hypothesis
Variable Coef. t P>ltl
aussieIMF 101.46 23.35 0
population 3.97E-08 6.12 0
gdppercapita -0.0011 6.12 0
trade_k 8.39E-11 1.44 0.149
cons 9.322 8.59 0
SOURCE: OECD 2012, WDI 2012
Further research
• Additional control variables
• Adverse humanitarian effects
• Australia’s interest in the IMF
Australia’s foreign aid motivations are…
• Not Recipient Need
• Donor Interest
• Tied to IMF voting power
• Indicative of Australia’s international
political strategy