australian foreign aid trellace lawrimore. what motivates australian foreign aid? humanitarianism...

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Page 1: AUSTRALIAN FOREIGN AID TRELLACE LAWRIMORE. WHAT MOTIVATES AUSTRALIAN FOREIGN AID? Humanitarianism Political Interests IMF voting power

Austra

lian fo

reig

n aid

trella

ce la

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Page 2: AUSTRALIAN FOREIGN AID TRELLACE LAWRIMORE. WHAT MOTIVATES AUSTRALIAN FOREIGN AID? Humanitarianism Political Interests IMF voting power

What motivates Australian foreign aid?

• Humanitarianism

• Political Interests

• IMF voting power

https://www.civcap.info/?id=84

Page 3: AUSTRALIAN FOREIGN AID TRELLACE LAWRIMORE. WHAT MOTIVATES AUSTRALIAN FOREIGN AID? Humanitarianism Political Interests IMF voting power

Recipient need and donor interest models

• McKinlay and Little

• RN

• DI

Page 4: AUSTRALIAN FOREIGN AID TRELLACE LAWRIMORE. WHAT MOTIVATES AUSTRALIAN FOREIGN AID? Humanitarianism Political Interests IMF voting power

The case for rn

• AusAID

• Poverty in Oceania

• Findings for RN

•McCawley

•Gounder

Center for International Earth Science Information Network. Child Malnutrition [map]. Scale not given. “Global Subnational Prevalence of Child

Malnutrition, v1.” NASA Earth Data. <http://sedac.ciesin.columbia.edu/data/set/povmap-global-subnational-

prevalence-child-malnutritions/maps> (6 October 2012).

Page 5: AUSTRALIAN FOREIGN AID TRELLACE LAWRIMORE. WHAT MOTIVATES AUSTRALIAN FOREIGN AID? Humanitarianism Political Interests IMF voting power

Research supporting di

• “Among the most egoistic” (Berthelemy

2006).

• Regional bias

• Economic interests

• Politics

Page 6: AUSTRALIAN FOREIGN AID TRELLACE LAWRIMORE. WHAT MOTIVATES AUSTRALIAN FOREIGN AID? Humanitarianism Political Interests IMF voting power

ineffective aid

• Tied aid (Easterly and Williamson)

• Food aid and technological assistance

• AusAID rhetoric

Pictures from Clip Art

Page 7: AUSTRALIAN FOREIGN AID TRELLACE LAWRIMORE. WHAT MOTIVATES AUSTRALIAN FOREIGN AID? Humanitarianism Political Interests IMF voting power

initial hypothesis and Testing for rn

If the mean GDPpc in Oceania is not lower

than that of all of the other regions in the

world, RN is not the only motivating

factor in Australia’s aid.GDP per capita in constant 2000 US $Region* Observations MeanOceania 336 1637.94Africa 1895 859.33

World 5768 2849.11

SOURCE: WDI 2012

*Countries included are only those which receive aid.

Page 8: AUSTRALIAN FOREIGN AID TRELLACE LAWRIMORE. WHAT MOTIVATES AUSTRALIAN FOREIGN AID? Humanitarianism Political Interests IMF voting power

A background of imf voting blocs

• Quotas

• Electing executive board members

Page 9: AUSTRALIAN FOREIGN AID TRELLACE LAWRIMORE. WHAT MOTIVATES AUSTRALIAN FOREIGN AID? Humanitarianism Political Interests IMF voting power

SOURCE: IMF Annual Report, various years

Page 10: AUSTRALIAN FOREIGN AID TRELLACE LAWRIMORE. WHAT MOTIVATES AUSTRALIAN FOREIGN AID? Humanitarianism Political Interests IMF voting power

Primary hypothesis

Australia channels its aid budget to the

countries in its voting block to enlarge

their quotas, and thereby its own power

in the IMF.

Page 11: AUSTRALIAN FOREIGN AID TRELLACE LAWRIMORE. WHAT MOTIVATES AUSTRALIAN FOREIGN AID? Humanitarianism Political Interests IMF voting power

DI Variables

• IV: Australian Foreign Aid

• Main DV: Membership in Australia’s IMF

Bloc

• Control Variables:

oPopulation

oGDPpc

oTrade

Page 12: AUSTRALIAN FOREIGN AID TRELLACE LAWRIMORE. WHAT MOTIVATES AUSTRALIAN FOREIGN AID? Humanitarianism Political Interests IMF voting power

Regression results confirm hypothesis

Variable Coef. t P>ltl

aussieIMF 101.46 23.35 0

population 3.97E-08 6.12 0

gdppercapita -0.0011 6.12 0

trade_k 8.39E-11 1.44 0.149

cons 9.322 8.59 0

SOURCE: OECD 2012, WDI 2012

Page 13: AUSTRALIAN FOREIGN AID TRELLACE LAWRIMORE. WHAT MOTIVATES AUSTRALIAN FOREIGN AID? Humanitarianism Political Interests IMF voting power

Further research

• Additional control variables

• Adverse humanitarian effects

• Australia’s interest in the IMF

Page 14: AUSTRALIAN FOREIGN AID TRELLACE LAWRIMORE. WHAT MOTIVATES AUSTRALIAN FOREIGN AID? Humanitarianism Political Interests IMF voting power

Australia’s foreign aid motivations are…

• Not Recipient Need

• Donor Interest

• Tied to IMF voting power

• Indicative of Australia’s international

political strategy