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AUSTRALIA’S SEASONAL WORKER PROGRAM DEMAND-SIDE CONSTRAINTS AND SUGGESTED REFORMS The World Bank Pacific Department www.wordbank.org/pi Pacific Update, the Australian National University June 17 th , 2014 Jesse Doyle Labour Migration Specialist Timor-Leste, Papua New Guinea and Pacific Islands The World Bank

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Page 1: AUSTRALIA’S SEASONAL WORKER PROGRAMdevpolicy.org/presentations/2014-Pacific-Update/... · worker program demand-side constraints and suggested reforms the world bank pacific department

AUSTRALIA’S SEASONAL

WORKER PROGRAM DEMAND-SIDE CONSTRAINTS AND SUGGESTED

REFORMS

T h e W o r l d B a n k

P a c i f i c D e p a r t m e n t

w w w . w o r d b a n k . o r g / p i

Pacific Update, the Australian National University

June 17th, 2014

Jesse Doyle

Labour Migration Specialist

Timor-Leste, Papua New Guinea and Pacific Islands

The World Bank

Page 2: AUSTRALIA’S SEASONAL WORKER PROGRAMdevpolicy.org/presentations/2014-Pacific-Update/... · worker program demand-side constraints and suggested reforms the world bank pacific department

ECONOMICS OF LOW-SKILLED

LABOUR MOBILITY

Large returns are possible if unskilled workers are

able to move from poor countries where they are

abundant to rich countries where they are relatively

scarce.

The migrants themselves gain from the much higher

wages they receive, the sending countries benefit from

the remittances the migrants send home, and the

receiving countries benefit from the injection of low -

skilled labour.

Page 3: AUSTRALIA’S SEASONAL WORKER PROGRAMdevpolicy.org/presentations/2014-Pacific-Update/... · worker program demand-side constraints and suggested reforms the world bank pacific department

BRACERO PROGRAM- UNITED

STATES 1942

Page 4: AUSTRALIA’S SEASONAL WORKER PROGRAMdevpolicy.org/presentations/2014-Pacific-Update/... · worker program demand-side constraints and suggested reforms the world bank pacific department

SEASONAL AGRICULTURAL

WORKER SCHEME – UK 1950

Page 6: AUSTRALIA’S SEASONAL WORKER PROGRAMdevpolicy.org/presentations/2014-Pacific-Update/... · worker program demand-side constraints and suggested reforms the world bank pacific department

PACIFIC SEASONAL WORKER

PILOT SCHEME (PSWPS)

Page 7: AUSTRALIA’S SEASONAL WORKER PROGRAMdevpolicy.org/presentations/2014-Pacific-Update/... · worker program demand-side constraints and suggested reforms the world bank pacific department

PACIFIC SEASONAL WORKER

PILOT SCHEME (2008-12)

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

Jul-0

8

Au

g-0

8

Se

p-0

8

Oct-

08

Nov-0

8

Dec-0

8

Jan

-09

Fe

b-0

9

Ma

r-09

Ap

r-09

Ma

y-0

9

Jun

-09

Jul-0

9

Au

g-0

9

Se

p-0

9

Oct-

09

Nov-0

9

Dec-0

9

Jan

-10

Fe

b-1

0

Ma

r-10

Ap

r-10

Ma

y-1

0

Jun

-10

Jul-1

0

Au

g-1

0

Se

p-1

0

Oct-

10

Nov-1

0

Dec-1

0

Jan

-11

Fe

b-1

1

Ma

r-11

Ap

r-11

Ma

y-1

1

Jun

-11

Jul-1

1

Au

g-1

1

Se

p-1

1

Oct-

11

Nov-1

1

Dec-1

1

Jan

-12

Fe

b-1

2

Ma

r-12

Ap

r-12

Ma

y-1

2

Jun

-12

1st set of parameter changes

2nd set of parameter changes

3rd parameter change

Page 8: AUSTRALIA’S SEASONAL WORKER PROGRAMdevpolicy.org/presentations/2014-Pacific-Update/... · worker program demand-side constraints and suggested reforms the world bank pacific department

PSWPS VS. RSE

FY 2007-08 FY 2008-09 FY 2009-10 FY 2010-11 FY 2011-12 FY 2012-13

PSWPS 0 57 63 423 1067 1473

RSE 4486 6821 6216 7091 7009 7456

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

8000

Arr

iva

ls p

er

FY

Page 9: AUSTRALIA’S SEASONAL WORKER PROGRAMdevpolicy.org/presentations/2014-Pacific-Update/... · worker program demand-side constraints and suggested reforms the world bank pacific department

The three major constraints:

1. The lack of an aggregate

labour shortage

2. The lack of information about

the scheme

3. The significant level of risk

and cost

HAY & HOWES (2012)

Page 10: AUSTRALIA’S SEASONAL WORKER PROGRAMdevpolicy.org/presentations/2014-Pacific-Update/... · worker program demand-side constraints and suggested reforms the world bank pacific department

SEASONAL WORKER PROGRAM

(2012-16)

HORTICULTURE SECTOR

Accommodation sector

Aquaculture sector

Cotton sector

Sugar cane sector

Trial

Sectors

Page 11: AUSTRALIA’S SEASONAL WORKER PROGRAMdevpolicy.org/presentations/2014-Pacific-Update/... · worker program demand-side constraints and suggested reforms the world bank pacific department

SEASONAL WORKER PROGRAM

(2012-16)

2000

2500

3250

4250

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

4500

2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16

Cap on Seasonal Worker Program

Page 12: AUSTRALIA’S SEASONAL WORKER PROGRAMdevpolicy.org/presentations/2014-Pacific-Update/... · worker program demand-side constraints and suggested reforms the world bank pacific department

LACK OF AN AGGREGATE LABOUR

SHORTAGE

Main reason for not participating (growers aware of the scheme)

No need Too costly Too risky Other

2011 (N=40) 60% 13% 20% 8%

2014 (N=64) 67% 14% 13% 6%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

Page 13: AUSTRALIA’S SEASONAL WORKER PROGRAMdevpolicy.org/presentations/2014-Pacific-Update/... · worker program demand-side constraints and suggested reforms the world bank pacific department

LACK OF AN AGGREGATE LABOUR

SHORTAGE

N=101 Backpackers Locals Students Grey Nomads

Unspecified

or unknown

Contractors (Non-

local Australians)

2011 65.8% 13.4% 7.4% 3% 5% 5.4%

2014 54% 31.2% 2.5% 0.5% 1% 10.9%

Main category of worker employed (primary sample)

Page 14: AUSTRALIA’S SEASONAL WORKER PROGRAMdevpolicy.org/presentations/2014-Pacific-Update/... · worker program demand-side constraints and suggested reforms the world bank pacific department

LACK OF AN AGGREGATE LABOUR

SHORTAGE

2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13

Unlawful non-citizens located

10,722 11,428 14,169 13,831 15,477 15,077

Notices issued to employers of

illegal workers 750 597 609 515 397 302

Removals and assisted

departures 8,404 6,818 8,825 10,175 10,785 13,486

Source: Department of Immigration and Border Protection (2008-13)

Prevalence of illegal workers in Australia

Page 15: AUSTRALIA’S SEASONAL WORKER PROGRAMdevpolicy.org/presentations/2014-Pacific-Update/... · worker program demand-side constraints and suggested reforms the world bank pacific department

Local / backpacker Pacific seasonal worker

Horticulture award rate $16.37 $16.37

Casual loading (25%) $4.09 $4.09

Statutory costs* $4.09 $4.09

Additional premium $1 $3.50

Total $25.55 $28.05

ADDITIONAL COSTS

*Statutory costs include superannuation, payroll tax and work cover

Cost differential for growers hiring through a labour hire company

Page 16: AUSTRALIA’S SEASONAL WORKER PROGRAMdevpolicy.org/presentations/2014-Pacific-Update/... · worker program demand-side constraints and suggested reforms the world bank pacific department

EXCESSIVE RISK

Needing to guarantee Pacific seasonal workers a

minimum of 14 weeks work

Less control over the selection of workers

Paying upfront costs for untested workers

Risk of absconding

Page 17: AUSTRALIA’S SEASONAL WORKER PROGRAMdevpolicy.org/presentations/2014-Pacific-Update/... · worker program demand-side constraints and suggested reforms the world bank pacific department

LACK OF AWARENESS

Percentage of growers who have heard of the Seasonal Worker Program

NSW NT QLD SA TAS VIC WA TOTAL

PS (N=101) 74% 71% 88% 56% 67% 70% 56% 68%

SS (N=76) 56% 0% 67% 38% 50% 25% 17% 38%

Total (N=177) 67% 56% 79% 47% 60% 49% 40% 55%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Page 18: AUSTRALIA’S SEASONAL WORKER PROGRAMdevpolicy.org/presentations/2014-Pacific-Update/... · worker program demand-side constraints and suggested reforms the world bank pacific department

REPUTATION OF THE SCHEME

6%

19%

42%

18%

5% 7%

2%

5%

15%

10%

33% 33%

5%

0% 0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

Poor Below Average Average Above Average Excellent Unsure Would rathernot say

Non-participating growers (N=95) AEs and participating growers (N=40)

Reputation of the SWP (all growers aware of the scheme)

Page 19: AUSTRALIA’S SEASONAL WORKER PROGRAMdevpolicy.org/presentations/2014-Pacific-Update/... · worker program demand-side constraints and suggested reforms the world bank pacific department

ADMINISTRATIVE COSTS

27%

40%

3% 3%

7%

20%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

< 3 months 3-6 months 6-9 months 9-12 months >12 months Unsure

N=30

Time take to become an Approved Employer

Page 20: AUSTRALIA’S SEASONAL WORKER PROGRAMdevpolicy.org/presentations/2014-Pacific-Update/... · worker program demand-side constraints and suggested reforms the world bank pacific department

Labour market testing

Reporting to Government

Process of applying to become an AE

Recruitment plans

On-arrival and pre-departure briefing

Paperwork associated with

superannuation

ADMINISTRATIVE COSTS

Page 21: AUSTRALIA’S SEASONAL WORKER PROGRAMdevpolicy.org/presentations/2014-Pacific-Update/... · worker program demand-side constraints and suggested reforms the world bank pacific department

SUGGESTED REFORMS

75%

48%

35%

28%

20% 18%

15% 13%

40%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

international travelcosts

Domestic transfercosts

Organisingaccommodation

Reporting togovernment

Minimum 14 weekswork requirement

Superannuation Labour markettesting

Pastoral care Other

N=40

Key changes that growers thought would make the scheme more attractive

Page 22: AUSTRALIA’S SEASONAL WORKER PROGRAMdevpolicy.org/presentations/2014-Pacific-Update/... · worker program demand-side constraints and suggested reforms the world bank pacific department

Key reform that would transform the scheme:

Removing the second-year visa extension for Working Holiday

(subclass 417) visa holders or expanding the second-year visa

extension to other sectors beyond agriculture, mining and

construction

Industry body survey suggests that this reform would not be

politically feasible. Horticulture has become so dependent on

backpackers that any reform restricting their supply would not

pass.

SUGGESTED REFORMS

Page 23: AUSTRALIA’S SEASONAL WORKER PROGRAMdevpolicy.org/presentations/2014-Pacific-Update/... · worker program demand-side constraints and suggested reforms the world bank pacific department

Some of the key feasible reforms:

1. Reforming cost-sharing arrangements

2. Sharing the risk burden

3. Advertising the scheme more broadly

4. Improving the reputation amongst non -participating growers

5. Minimizing the administrative requirements

SUGGESTED REFORMS

Page 24: AUSTRALIA’S SEASONAL WORKER PROGRAMdevpolicy.org/presentations/2014-Pacific-Update/... · worker program demand-side constraints and suggested reforms the world bank pacific department

T h e W o r l d B a n k

P a c i f i c D e p a r tm e n t

w w w . w o r db a n k . o r g / p i

THANK YOU